#take what I say with a grain of salt btw
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Hey y’all! Just to give some insight into what we are seeing in the states. This is going to be close, like reaaaaallly close. Kamala would need to win Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin from the looks of it. So, where does that leave us? Who’s to say all three of these states are very volatile. There’s a high chance she loses Michigan ( I mena she fully fumbled it there so it depends on if the people choose to over look that), so that’s already bad news. Georgia would have been a good alternative but gerrymandering needed any chance of that.
There is an ever increasing chance that Trump is able to pull what he did in 2016 so y’all need to be prepared for that.
And even if he doesn’t win there is a high chance there will be riots so
#fyp#politics#us politics#fuck israel#american elections#2024 election#u.s. news#usa news#also it’s still free palestine#and a large part of the unknowing was surrounding michighan was her and her teams alienation of the Arabs and Muslims in the state#so just remember it was her teams fumble on that end#wisconsin#is up in the air and it could go either way#same with Pennsylvania though I am expecting it to be blue#take what I say with a grain of salt btw#so don’t freak out just yet#I mena don’t freak out at all#either way we will need to rebuild#if she wins you all promised to push her left so I’m expecting y’all to actually put the work in#and again I better see yall protesting for Palestine#I got my eyes on yall#and so does history
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This is probably Bush and also Pullings's native dialect (though I have many MANY doubts about what exactly the methodology being used here was)
#they have texts and they have informants and they have the informants read the text but i'm not really sure how that's supposed to work#anyways this is definitely the dialect pullings grew up speaking since afaik he's the son of hampshire farmers#apparently chichester is in area 5 as well so also falls under this categorization#this is very unrigorous research btw. please take everything i am saying with a grain of salt i'm just fiddling around with an old book#i'll look for a good basic primer on history/dialectology of english at the library at some point perhaps#i do not have the historical context/cross-references to verify any of this guy's claims#i just really like dialect and english-language ones are so much fun what with all the crazy vowel combos#and apparently lots of rhoticity??? he's claiming this accent was also rhotic which is a little insane#would love to read a history of rhoticity in english tbh#perce rambles#adventures in historical sociolinguistics#percy yells at cecil scott#The Creative Endeavor and other aubreyad nonsense#if you go to the source there's a lot of texts in this section i just picked one
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i love the re19 i really do, but we don't have to post only about isolde/kakania
#none of this is bad btw take what i'm saying w a grain of salt#i'm guilty of this too don't come for me#i just feel like everyone posts about it at every moment rather than maybe focusing on another character for two seconds#and i do like the stuff people make#but i can't see another omg their wearing each others colors!!!1!1 guys#guys#i have seen atleast 20#and that itself isn't bad#and it's rambled
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Ydfgdhedrhdhshhdhxhhsshhdhdhehebfbsjakxhkakshxbanapfhebbddje
i wanna post a teaser for a thing I’m making but but idk if I should because it’s a little obvious
if my motivation stays, I’ll finish in either one day or a week, the grind depends💪🔥🐺
eh
here :]
“i warned you, emily.”
IOOOH I WONDER WHO IS SAYING THAT???!1!1!1!1!1!
#This isn’t the full image btw#the whole thing is a work in progress so the lines and color are messy#It’s probably obvious#But it’s not what you think#Whatever you’re thinking is WRONG#Probably#it’s not what you think#If i knew what you were thinking I would say it’s not what you think#Just take this as a grain of salt because it’s not what you think#hazbin hotel#hazbin hotel emily#hazbin hotel sera#emily seraphim#sera seraphim#emily and sera#seraphim sisters#hazbin#erm chat?#Spoiler alert they make out#PLS IM JUST KIDDING THEY ARE SISTERS#I PROMISE DONT TAKE THAT SERIOUSLY THEY ARE NOT MAKING OUT🙏🙏#its not what you think
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personally i think baldur's gate 3 is pretty mediocre as an eroge, and also as an rpg. it mainly excels as an excuse to have spent that money on that graphics card
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Character ask game: Cayde-6 7, 22, & 26 For 26: Stick Cayde, Eris & the Drifter temporarily and accidentally locked in an elevator (pre Excision for continuity reasons). What happens?
*cracks knuckles*
7. What's something the fandom does when it comes to this character that you like?
❤️:I like a lot of the art that people make when it comes to Cayde (and Destiny in general).Some people are so,so talented.Drawings,cosplay,props,figures,blender renderings,what have you,I love it. The more love I see for one of my favorite characters,the better.Cayde deserves all of that love. I've also adored seeing New Lights get to meet Cayde for the first time in The Final Shape and fall in love with his character. It's something special.A whole new generation of Cayde fans.❤️
22. If you're a fic reader, what's something you like in fics when it comes to this character? Something you don't like?
♠️:I'm honestly not as big of a fanfic reader as I used to be.Although,I do like it when people send me fanfics they've written,and I do read those (and if anyone ever wants to recommend fics,feel free and I'll take a look.❤️)
Something I like:
❤️:In the few fanfics I have read involving Cayde,I like it when he gets to go on a quick adventure outside of the Tower,getting into some shenanigans and gets back in one piece. I also enjoy it if any of the Hunter gang are involved (or at least referenced) in said shenanigans,or if it makes me feel something,a good story should always make you feel something. Whether it makes you laugh or tugs on your heartstrings.
Some things I don't like:
-When people write Cayde where he uses slang like "rizz","babygirl","sigma"or "skibbity" casually in a sentence (yes, I've seen people write him like this,"babygirl" in the romantic sense?Maybe,but in the slang sense,no.I can't see him saying that.),if he were human (and not a centuries old Guardian 😅),I'm fairly certain based on his personality in the game, he'd be somewhere between his mid/late 30's-mid forties (Also basing this a little on both of his V.As who are currently in their 50's,but during most of Cayde's screentime throughout the games,they were in their 40's), he'd have no idea what those words meant.Even if he spent time around younger Guardians,it'd be like your dad using slang to sound cool and failing miserably at it,not to mention literally none of the characters talk like that in the game,which makes it even harder to imagine. (I personally couldn't take a character seriously, if they did.)
-When people write him like he wouldn't know what any real life current pop culture would be.Yes,Destiny takes place hundreds of years in the future,but he literally makes a reference to watching Firefly,a show that came out in 2002,and was cancelled after one season.(Also one of my favorite shows btw.😘)Cayde references it because his V.A is Nathan Fillion,who played the main character,Malcom Reynolds,on the show. It's an Easter egg,but it's still canon. He references it in idle dialogue in D1.
Here's a video I found, if anyone wants to hear him say it.
youtube
"Look, I'd love to stand here with you all day, but, um... *tut* I got a... a show I like to binge-watch... it was... cancelled early. Still love it."
So saying he wouldn't at least know what something more popular and super ingrained in our current culture, like Star Trek or Star Wars is, would be a little far fetched in my opinion. Not to mention the people at Bungie are a bunch of nerds and there are literally hundreds of pop culture references throughout the actual games. (This has nothing to do with Cayde,but just further proving my point,one of the ornaments for Malfeasance itself is a Firefly reference. "Aim to misbehave"? Yeah,that line is a direct reference to Firefly.I also kinda wanted an excuse to use one of my favorite gifs of Mal. 👀)
I also understand that not everyone is a massive kriffing nerd like I am,and the likelihood of that being common knowledge is slim,so I at least understand why some people might not know that,but it's just a preference of mine. (Also historically,in real life, we know a lot about events,customs,and trends from hundreds of years ago,so saying the same of the Destiny-verse,which takes place in the future, isn't a stretch. Even if all historical records were destroyed,there would still be word of mouth stories handed down through the centuries.)
Needless to say, people can write and interpret Cayde however they want,I couldn't give a cotton sock,I'm an adult and I'm just answering the question and giving my opinions and preferences.Take them with a grain of salt. 😄
You do you, kiddos. 👈👈😎
Nothing but love.❤️
Go wild, and have fun.😘
26. Freebie Question:
♠️:I know Cayde and Drifter have history, so they would probably be reminiscing the old days,throwing snark at each other,trying to come up with some crazy scheme to get out of the elevator (or y'know,all three at the same time)much to Eris' chagrin. Eris would probably suggest using some kind of magic to get out of the elevator (like how she's pulled the Guardian out of situations before). Any way you go about it,I think Cayde and Drifter would be driving Eris a little nuts. 😅
Thank you so much for the ask! ❤️♠️
If you read this far, you get a gold star sticker. ⭐
#baede-6#This was a long one phew! 😂❤️#Love getting asks!#destiny#destiny 2#destiny the game#personal baede 6 business#cayde-6#ask baede-6#Just my opinions take them with a grain of salt kiddos.#I like that show...a lot.#Every time I find a reference in Destiny I'm like “I understood that reference!”#Can't wait for the Firefly thing to be a can of Hive worms I opened up...#“I knew that the whole time!” Did you though?#Either that or people start watching Firefly specifically because of Cayde.#It's on Hulu btw.#Ikora and Sagira are also voiced by main cast members of Firefly#Something something man with the Golden Gun...#When I say I don't care how people interpret Cayde I mean it.#Write him however you want. It doesn't affect me. It's just personal preference and I do not care.#As long as y'all are having fun.#I'm also not judging in any way if you write Cayde like that. I'm an adult ao when I say don't care just know that I mean it.#Whatever floats your boat.#The movie Reign of Fire ruined any kind of sci-fi future where they wouldn't know what Star Wars is. They were reinacting the entire thing.#Good movie.#Should probably stop talking now and go run a strike or something...#You read all of the tags too? Ramen's on me kiddo. You've earned it.🍜
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me whenever someone gives me unsolicited opinions about myself:
#thinking about the time a friend of mine did this#and she does this a lot bc she's older and ofc sees herself as 'more knowledgeable' or w/e#which hey sometimes she is#mostly i take her opinions with a grain of salt but she said something to me recently that just#idk it rubbed me the wrong way. and i keep thinking about it.#ider what we were talking about but somehow we got on the subject of romantic relationships#and i basically said i'm not opposed to one but i'm NOT looking. like at ALL. not even a little bit.#but if something happens someday great!#she proceeds to tell me literally right after i say this#that i should work on my appearance then because i'm 'a little plain'. not ugly or anything just...plain.#which hey i know already btw and it doesn't really bother me#i wear make up and am not against it at all. i think it's amazing to see what people can do with it tbh.#and if people wanna wear it i'm all for it#i personally don't like the way it feels on my skin so i use as little as possible#just enough to cover things like my acne scars or other imperfections that i feel self conscious about#i'd love to get to a point where i feel comfortable NOT wearing make up actually#and that's not even to say that i'd NEVER get dolled up or whatever#it's just not something i enjoy doing on a regular basis ya know?#and honestly? any future partner i have should be aware of that bc you're gonna get plain ol' non-makeup-wearing me 99% of the time#and if that's a problem with them then i don't even wanna waste my time on them#so yeah when she said this to me i was annoyed#bc fr wtf does that have to do with me not looking for a partner??? lol#*sigh* ik she was probably just trying to help in her own way but like#just don't k? k.#/rant#sorry i had to get that out somewhere lmao#it's been driving me crazy#ignore me
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PEAKY P-KEY'S TRIUMPHAL ALBUM HAS BEEN RELEASED!!!! here is the following links for each song in order of the album!!!!!
Absolute
OVERWHELM!
One's Believing
Ultimate Vista
Never lose
Let's do it!
Electric Chaos★Countdown
Echoing Chaos☆Countdown
INVINCIBLE☆moment
PEAKY FORCE
hanamuke
Shiki no Uta (Shinobu Solo cover)
Ao to Natsu (Yuka Solo cover)
Fuwa Fuwa Time (Esora Solo Cover)
Onegai Muscle (Muscle Trio +Saori cover)
Choose me Choose love
Doki Dokiss
Let's do the 'Big Bang!' (EG NURemix)
hope you enjoy the playlist (i sure am lmao--)
#crow talks#d4dj#d4dj groovy mix#peaky p-key#hehehehehhehe.#rlly weird they don't have kyoko's solo tho..... wonder why.#in the announcement vid for the album it said that her cover of hello would be there but it isnt..... oh well....#im guessing theyre gonna do this w the other units but idk take what i say w a grain of salt#bc if what i think is right this means they might do a general album w every unit's popular song w every vocalist's solo cover as the bonus#im not putting my thoughts on the songs here btw bc i think the tags would be too long (especially ones involving yellow and green idiots)#im gonnna yell abt it to myself instead lol#hope you guys enjoy the album!!
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i just finished trying to read and translate the story and if i interpreted it correctly, it's pretty much about how midori was anxious about letting his supportive fans down in his solo Feature Live because he doesn't want to disappoint them
both chiaki and someone from the shopping district reassured him that no matter what kind of stage midori puts on, they're just happy seeing him working so hard and trying his best
C: They probably understand that Takamine is desperately trying to stand on stage even though he has such anxiety.
C: Takamine's courage to dance hard on stage will definitely reach everyone.
M: But instead of just running away like that...I wish I could try my best to become the cool person that everyone who supports me imagines me to be.
M: For a future where I sing and dance and make everyone smile...
he's grown so much... i'm so proud of him
#context for his unbloomed: he thought anzu came to the shopping district to buy veggies#he was recommending carrots and how to cook them and what to pair it with; it was adorable#and he says he's indebted to anzu so he will continue to serve her#i only know a bit of japanese and used gtranslate for this so pls take it with a grain of salt#midori takamine#takamine midori#高峯翠#ryuseitai#流星隊#ensemble stars music#ensemble stars basic#ensemble stars#enstars#あんさんぶるスターズ!#あんスタ#midotag#mo's gameplays#mo rambles into the void#he also said smth about setting aside yuruchara for his feature live stage btw; feel free to ask for brainrot!#i'm just rlly happy for him; his growth is so admirable
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like i dont Actually care but is there a quick guide to the ryan lore cause i got nothing on tonight. im not a patd fan i just like drama
ryan was one of the founding members of the band (iirc the original lineup was ryan ross on guitar and as lyricist, brendon urie on vocals, brent wilson (later replaced by jon walker) on bass, and spencer smith on drums). panic at the disco got their big break as a band after ross and urie sent their first demos to pete wentz of fall out boy (who himself was a friend of ross), leading to pete signing the band to his label, decaydance records. ross and walker left in 2009 after the release of their second album because of like. creative differences and stuff (mostly between ross and urie) and there was a huge blowout with their record label that ended up with urie and smith remaining signed to decaydance/fueled by ramen under the panic at the disco name and ross and walker getting burned pretty badly with regard to a lot of their music that ross wrote in the first place. it’s all just kind of depressing in a unique way because it was a band of childhood friends that totally cannibalized itself over the course of two decades
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damn i look up twc after 2 years, apparently book 3 has come out last week and everyone hates it?? like the fuck how have things gone so poorly in such a short amount of time i am so confused?? i have been skimming over your posts and i gotta ask do you think it’s still worth a read for those who have distanced themselves from the characters/ series?
HELPPPPPPP PLS THE WORDING OF THIS MADE ME LAUGH
but ok in all honesty, it depends how you read the book – if you think your love for the ro's outweighs your potential qualms with the actual plot/writing/etc, then you should go for it! i think that there's a lot of enjoyment to be found in this book, but it depends what way you're willing (or able) to read it if that makes sense
#this is absolutely no shade to anyone btw !! i think that anyone enjoying b3 is valid in that enjoyment !#i would also say if you're comfortable with the possibility of seeing some ooc behavior from your favs#and if you're willing to just unplug your brain and not think about plot inconsistencies and weird writing choices#then go for it#i'm not sure how you'd feel about any of this stuff considering you said you've distanced yourself so –#just take what i'm saying with a grain of salt!#no spoiler tags bc there aren't any spoilers in this imo – lmk if you think differently !#asks
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whats like your process for writing i have ideas but ive just never like started writing ive tried planning but i get so bogged down and idk youre a writer so im just wondering what you do to like get started and stay motivated i guess (dont post if off anon btw thank you…)
For me, I either plan out so much and then write and then go back and plan more, or I do freewriting of an idea and just go back and edit and revise it until I like it!
For the first one, I suggest separating your planning into sections that you can switch between, instead of trying to tackle a whole story at once!
For example, my onenote sections are summary of the story (the blurb that would be on the back of a book or the description on wattpad) -> setting (time period, place, general history of the area) -> characters (work from main characters first, then add other characters as you write about them) -> outline (timeline of events and who is involved, climax, main story points) -> prologue -> chapters. This is how I'm working through my main story. It makes it so you can go back and easily edit information about your story as you get new ideas, and switching between each section once you get bored or overwhelmed with one is easy peasy.
For the second one I do, I just write down whatever! Incomplete sentences, random plot points unconnected, bits of dialog! And once I get the idea out of my head, I go back and edit it. And then I edit it again.......and then I add more......and then I edit that too!
I get a lot of story ideas in my head that turn out to be nothing, but it's hard to determine whether or not you can complete a thought when it's bouncing around in your brain. So I definitely suggest freewriting!
And for your last bit about staying motivated, I don't :) don't try to force yourself to write if you are struggling! Step back for a few hours, days, weeks, or months if you have to! Start a new story, look up writing prompts to do, practice certain aspects like dialog or scene descriptions by writing out what people in a painting are doing!! But don't ever force yourself to write because you will go back in editing and realize that it suuuucks bad.
#asks answered#hope this helped#btw i am a complete amateur writer that hasnt completed a single story#so take what i say with a grain of salt
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like even if it is an april fools thing it's Weird normal users r seeing it available days before (we can't find that at all on our app btw so. iOS only rn ig??) and also. oh good lird. this better apply to Just posts made on april fools bc if this Is this year's april fools thing and it applies to Any Post On The Site No Matter How Old . i will die lmao
#talky#<== has paranoia up the ass at all times. btw.#also can you blaze an unrebloggable post. GENUINE question.#what I'm saying is all hell may break loose Derogatory in a couple days lads.#but also take what i say with a grain of salt. I'm just the resident psychotic bitch LMAO#ask 2 tag#not trying 2 fearmonger or anything I'm litcherally just speaking my thoughts aloud rn
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reblogging again with @aq2003 's tags bcs they're literary fire
I know that Richard2Shakespeare is played as an obnoxious little twink for political and drama reasons (you’re telling me a queer coded this tragedy etc) and to let the actors chew the scenery a bit, and the indecisiveness is a tragic flaw that sets him apart from the clear penetrating masculinity of eg Bolingbroke etc etc. it’s great that there is a whole play about “the deserved downfall of cunty little maximalist who changes his Starbucks order 3 times with a huge line behind him.” However, I have forgotten what I was great revelation I was going to write here, so here are some richard2shakespeares I found while trying to remember
#i need to actually pick apart the text and annotate it cuz i probably missed a lot but i WILL play devils advocate for one second#and say that richard ii works both as a character and a play FOR ME because bolingbroke isn't exempt from the criticism#and richard becomes more and more sympathetic and more in touch with his humanity as he loses his power#at least this is what i got from the dt version. richard's flaws do not come from him being a gay little freak! i agree#his flaws all stem from how he was crowned king as a small child and held above everyone around him. unable to relate to/connect w others#the problem is not richard and his fail twink swag it's the system of the monarchy itself#that is inherently flawed. 'god given right to rule' doesn't mean anything they're both just some guys w a crown on their head#he quite literally shines a mirror onto bolingbroke and says the brittleness of glory in his own face is the same as bolingbroke's#the mirror is powerful imagery because it seems to convey richard's vanity on the surface but it's actually#him looking at himself and seeing how fragile and shallow the position of king is. like in general. outside of his own devastation#or maybe i'm just reading into stuff that isn't there and/or watched it wrong idk#regardless to keep the story relevant in a modern era i feel like you would want to make a point of criticizing the monarchy as a system#rather than having ur thesis statement b ab one monarch being worse than another. richard can stay a gay little freak if u keep that in#ricky 2#you can take all these tags w a grain of salt btw. again i have not eaten the text like i did w hamlet#i dont know it like the back of my hand or anything i just watched the dt version and had a gender crisis over it
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hey all !! normally i wouldn't engage in something like this on my blog, but considering that it's happening to a friend of mine, i felt i had an obligation to speak out. sorry for clogging up the tags/interrupting your scrolling 😭
tldr: @/hxveneru has stolen the works of my good friend @lowkeyren not once, but twice and is deleting any comments calling them out.
edit: they've changed their user to @/yneri; if you've blocked them already, this doesn't really matter bc they're still blocked :) reminder to not engage with them, they're just looking for attention. block and ignore!
i know. fun stuff. proof is under the cut.
please note that i'm doing this of my own accord, and the only involvement ren has had in this post is me asking for permission to post it since, well, it's an issue mainly affecting her.
also i should say beforehand but. don't ??? send them death threats please 😭 we are better than that. i'm mainly making this to spread awareness about the issue :)
reblogs are appreciated to spread awareness.
first stolen work is ren's oneshot "drunk words, sober thoughts!" for aventurine here.
as you can see, it was posted on June 15th, a little over two months before hxveneru posted their own oneshot.
for reference. hxveneru is a new blog and all of their posts are in the month of september, proven here via their archive.
and here's the two oneshots side by side, with ren's on the left and the stolen one on the right.
notice how the oneshots are exactly word-for-word except for the title and synopsis? even the author's note is exactly the same. obviously i can't fit the whole thing here, but this should be enough.
honestly it's. i have to laugh at the audacity to just copy and paste like hello???
and here's the second work that was copied, with hxveneru's "diff scenarios w hsr men" taking from drabbles from two of ren's works.
these are the two fics that were stolen from, with their dates attached. both are posted far before september. links are here and here if you want to double check..
now let's look at the drabbles that were - once again, copy and pasted. first is blade's, again with ren on the left and the stolen one on the right (ren's is circled bc they didn't take the hcs part).
and here is the sunday drabble that was stolen.
so far, those are the only works posted on their blog. i was also informed that they had apparently stolen from @/exuvianen's post here but deleted it, but since said post is deleted, we don't have evidence for that so take it with a grain of salt.
but yeah! just wanted to let yall know out there, especially since the plagiarized works have already gained some traction and have 100+ notes on them. i've talked about them vaguely on my blog before, so if this sounds familiar, yeah this is them.
plagiarism is shitty, i shouldn't have to say that. it is not that hard to just write your own stuff. i know validation and publicity make you feel good, but stealing someone else's hard work is not the way to go. writers already have enough to deal with. just don't do it. what's the point of getting validation if it's not even your work?
again, don't send death threats, please. that's a bit far, and they likely won't even do anything since the plagiarizer has already been called out before and this was their response.
not a single ounce of remorse or shame. people have gotten way too comfortable on here.
also "who the hell is ren anyway" bestie you blocked her 😭😭 and ignored her ask to you. that's why ren can't dm her to sort it out privately btw, in case you were wondering.
anyways! that's all i have to say, thanks for sticking around this long and have a great rest of your day. hxveneru if you see this. hi ig ?? id say smth to you but i doubt you'd take it seriously so i won't <3
#psa#plagiarism#raise awareness#honkai star rail#honkai star rail x reader#hsr#hsr x reader#x reader#writers on tumblr#tumblr writers#honkai star rail blade#hsr blade#honkai star rail sunday#hsr sunday#sunday x reader#blade x reader#hsr aventurine#aventurine x reader#honkai star rail aventurine#announcements 🏵️
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With the ongoing investigation into the CEO Killer, it's interesting to see how little people know about police investigations. Which is funny, because most of that stems from Copaganda and is now kinda biting the cops in the ass.
Semi-Educated rambles about copaganda and real procedures below the cut
I say semi-educated because I am writing a thesis paper on copaganda, but much more about the brutality aspects and not the crime solving ones. I did write a much less intense paper on that almost ten years ago, and presumably some things have changed. Take my "expertise" with a grain of salt.
The Copaganda Thing
Copaganda (Cop Propaganda) is basically what the name suggests. Anything that makes police look good. Social media posts about community outreach, the adorable little K-9 units, kneeling next to a protestor that you brutalize after the camera turns off. But the massive elephant in the room here are Cop Shows. There are literally too many for me to name. NCIS, Blue Bloods, True Detective, any of those weird "live" police shows, and yes, Brooklyn 99, too. These shows (often produced in cooperation with the police btw) serve to humanize cops and portray them as good, honest people, who maybe have to cross the line sometimes but it's always for a good reason and they're always right and save the day! The other half of it is vastly misrepresenting how (and if) crimes get solved.
Reality
Ripping this band-aid off first: Police are dogshit at solving crimes. There are aspects technically outside their control, like that only about half of all crimes (excluding murder) actually get reported to the police. (Based on comparing the 'Uniform Crime Reports' and the 'National Criminal Victimization Survey') But this also means that the Police Clearance rates are only half of what they calculate. Numbers get further skewed by not accounting for a lot of online crimes because the system hasn't caught up with like, the 90s. Anyway, for reported crimes, investigations will lead to an arrest in about 20-25% of cases. Three out of Four cases die without ever apprehending a suspect. (While there are ways to deal with a case without an arrest, ask yourself if you think that's likely in a system that measures success by arrest numbers) Conviction rates (which vary massively depending on crime) even out to about 4%, or 2% of total known crimes. (x) Worth noting: Generally, violent crimes have higher clearance and conviction rates. For murder, the conviction rate is around 60% while larceny-theft can dip below 1% of reported crimes. (It's generally assumed that the number of known and reported murders is the same, as the NCVS doesn't track it. Because murder victims are bad at filling out surveys.) To recap: Police solve about 4% of crimes reported to them. Meanwhile in your average cop show, you've got a success rate of about 100%. That's a stark difference, even if you take only murder rates of 60%. If you're an average citizen who's the victim of a crime, the most helpful thing the cops will do is file a report you can submit to your insurance.
Forensics & Procedures
I've seen these float around a bit and it's mildly ridiculous. Supposedly they've found a bottle and a protein bar of our killer and will be testing fingerprints and DNA. If those worked flawlessly, they still would only bring up results if the killer has been detained before. Databases of random civilian fingerprints/DNA samples are not kept by law enforcement. These analyses only work by having a point of comparison (and even then fingerprint analysis remains subjective), so they won't actually help finding the culprit, but they would be relevant to confirm the identity of an apprehended suspect and as evidence in an eventual trial. (There is also something called familial DNA which would work if they had a couple of relatives in the system, but that's both a flawed and incredibly time intensive approach. We're talking months of drawing family trees.) Also your average DNA test takes like 24 hours and fingerprint analysis is algorithmically supported now, but still mostly done manually. And both require a clear sample, so good luck with that. Fingerprint might as well be the clerk who sold the bottle. There's an infamous case of a serial killer whose DNA kept being found on crime scenes all Central Europe with no connection to each other. Turned out the Swabs were contaminated during production. There was no serial killer. Quickfire round of unrelated notes: 1) Lie detectors don't detect lies, they detect stress, anyone can trick one with some practice. the guy who popularized their use thought they could detect stress in plants too and that the plants could read his mind. 2) We're not actually sure if all fingerprints are completely unique. 3) Bite mark analysis is a pseudoscience that needs to be removed from criminal and legal proceedings asap. 4) Any algorithmic detections inherit the flaws of their human predecessors. Those are their training data. (That's also how they keep turning up racist)
And as a final note, it's common for the police to not share details on their ongoing investigations. That's just common sense. The only details that get released to the public are ones that could lead to direct hints or vague ones if there's a lot of public attention, to assure everyone there is progress. For similar reasons, while everyone and their grandma has put together the motive from the bullet casings, cops can't actually go out and confirm that. It's like how Bulbapedia has to say Flamigo appears to be based on a flamingo. Contrary to the cops, Bulbapedia does not have to carefully watch what data they release that might elicit more sympathy for Flamigo.
Why tho
So after literal decades of copaganda brainwashing, the public perception of crime and punishment is heavily skewed. We've been told over and over that cops can catch any criminal in a matter of a 60 minute episode, max. And that's by design. Aside from the image polishing, copaganda is a deterrent. If you're convinced you'll be caught after committing a crime, you wouldn't commit it, right? You don't wanna go to jail. And the bad guys always get what they deserve on TV, no matter how smart they are. You're not gonna risk that, are you?
That's why we keep using lie detectors, that's why the news are full of arrests being made constantly, that's why cop shows get so much support from the police. That's also why we keep pouring money into policing. Part of it, at least. We've built a police force that isn't about solving crimes. If that was priority, we'd invest more into forensics and labs to keep up with the demand of samples that need to be analyzed. Instead, we built a police force that gets new tech gadgets and military gear. It's an arms race against the general public that isn't even running. We take cops and we give them paranoia, weapons, justifications for violence, and targets to brutalize. I don't have to remind you of the riot gear and responses to peaceful protests. The police isn't your friend and helper. You must fear them. Fear their superior intellect, fear their crime solving abilities, fear the high tech arsenal at their disposal. Fear them so much, you won't even think of doing a crime unless you're rotten to the core. And if someone's rotten to the core, then surely the violence is justified.
But that's also why this guy in particular is so dangerous. They've built up this image of being near infallible (to anyone who never actually interacted with police proceedings, at least) and being able to stop any threat, catch any criminal. And yet, this guy shot someone in broad daylight, in the juristiction of the country's largest police department, and he's currently getting away with it.
#ramble#long post#copaganda#united healthcare#make ceos afraid again#forensics#acab#all cops are bastards#tw police#criminal justice#tw police brutality#mostly implied but if you know you know#theres also so much more in depth horrifying shit i could explain here but this post is already way too long#this is very generalized and obviously mostly US focused as they're the most prominent extreme example.#theres a lot more nuance to different locations and circumstances#also they reportedly used drones for their sweep of central park and it still took them three days to find a backpack on the second try#your tax dollars at work.
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