#cw usa

[kingproteus]

Seeing an increasing amount of “violence is never justified..” “even if you don’t like someone they shouldn’t be shot…” type posts… hmm

Killing fascists in self-defense for your nation or group is actually a pretty obviously moral action but whatever I guess. I’m sure the sentiment that violence is never an acceptable reaction to fascists trying to kill you is NEVER used to silence dissent. I’m sure also those kind of statements aren’t made by people with similar fascistic political leanings, perhaps coupled with racism towards certain Arabs in certain levant countries.

Anyway let’s all pray that his ear explodes a little more dangerously next time <33 and Bidens too!

[unholyglitch404]

I feel like, at this point, I already need to take a break from US politics. Like, I'm just sitting here, getting more and more stressed the more I hear of it, and for what? I can't do shit. I can't fucking vote. I can't add any input, because what politician actually cares about trans minors, beyond using us as fucking ammunition for their power-hungry bullshit? I can't even fucking leave! I'm just stuck in a so-called "democracy" that's actively falling apart at the seams!

[newtsoftheworldunite]

🚨 Terrible Pun Warning 🚨

Q: How do you know that the United States of America is an xtian country?

A: Easy! Anybody can tell you that American automobile infrastructure is proof of the in car nation.

[newtsoftheworldunite]

I may hate this country but Steve Rogers deserves his milk and cookies.

It’s Fourth of July Eve so make sure to leave some milk and cookies out for Captain America

[kingproteus]

Me watching “leftist” Americans call for Biden’s impeachment bc of his various maybe disabilities and stutter. And not bc of, like, the genocide and racism towards Palestinians. Great! I’m sure this has no meaning at all.

Like daily reminder, I guess, that a democracy with no allowed participation from the disabled is the worst of all possible dystopias. Lol. 😐

[newtsoftheworldunite]

In the mind of the median US voter, a change is as good as arrest.

[futurebird]

Court Transcript

Judge: OK prosecution when do you want to have the trial?

Prosecution: How about January the second, twenty, twenty-four?

Judge: Noted. How about you, defense?

Defense: … oh …uh… … how about … Neverbember the nopeth, twenty, nuh-uh-uh?

[would-you-punt-them]

Donald Trump

[snoozerin]

good afternoon to those who celebrate!!!!

[newtsoftheworldunite]

Rare spooky season political reblog because the potential outcomes of this election are genuinely hair-raising.

"Elon Musk is literally bribing voters in swing states. Isn't that illegal!?"

If this thought has crossed your mind, then I'm sorry. I'm sorry to have to be the one to tell you this.

But it will be the election this November that decides if it's illegal or not.

This year, we are at the breaking point in the intersection of law and politics where whether or not the President's team can outright commit crimes to consolidate his power and destroy his enemies is on the ballot and up for vote.

[beequestionsthings]

I don’t have a ship to obsess over and now I’ve lost my purpose in life. I have tried ALL MY OLD SHIPS and let me tell you nothing hits like a true new ship

[umlewis]

"Roscoe Core 🐶 Happy Birthday!" - october 24, 2024

📷 @.mercedesamgf1 / tiktok

[anghraine]

I'm trying to redirect my political thoughts from my fandom escape blog again, but I found something interesting enough that I thought I'd talk a little about it.

Occasionally I choose suffering (looking at the more granular 2024 exit poll breakdowns rather than the summaries that I mostly don't trust much at this point). Anyway, I did find something intriguing, if not particularly surprising, in the CNN exit polls, which were done in Arizona, Florida, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Texas, and Wisconsin with a sample size of 22,914 voters.

(I mention the specific states forming the sample because this pretty notably excludes any blue states while including some reliably Republican ones.)

Anyway, most exit polls including CNN's let respondents identify their place on the US political spectrum: conservative, moderate, or liberal (reminder that "liberal" in US usage can be a pejorative for "less leftist than me" but also a shorthand for "radical leftist" but also for "anyone who doesn't seek a cishet white Christian ethnostate", but also can be a more neutral synonym for progressives and/or leftists and is often used that way, as here). So you can look at the election results for each of these ideological factions and what share of the overall sample size they represent.

The interesting thing: this "liberal" category accounted for very similar proportions to 2020 of the overall vote in the sample (24% in 2020, 23% in 2024—a difference well within the margin of error of exit polling). There is no need to explain liberals/leftists staying home in 2024: at least in terms of proportions of the overall electorate, they didn't. Just under 1/4 of voters in 2024 were liberals or leftists, just as in 2020.

Okay, if the most leftwards faction of the US political spectrum actually formed a similar proportion of the electorate, then who did they vote for?

Harris. In CNN's own exit polls from 2020, 89% of this faction voted for Biden, and (surprisingly!) a full 10% voted for Trump. God knows what motivated that 10% Trump share after four years of his hellscape of an administration at the height of COVID, but in any case, that support cratered in 2024. 91% of this group voted for Harris and only 4% for Trump. It's an estimate, but it looks like these very peculiar Trump voters had enough of him in 2024 and around half either voted third party this time or for Harris.

So which faction is Trump's victory coming from? Further consolidation of the far right?

In part, yes! 90% of conservatives voted for Trump in 2024, vs 85% in 2020—likely, some conservatives who voted third party or even for Biden in 2020 came "home" this year. However, conservative turnout was actually a little down in 2024, proportionally speaking: conservatives dropped from 38% of the sample in 2020 to 34% in 2024.

But there's one more major faction in all this: "moderates" or centrists. To be clear, we're talking about the US version of centrism, given that this is a US organization polling US voters about US politicians, not "Bernie would be center-right in Denmark" or whatever. This moderate faction jumped from 38% of the overall sample in 2020 to 42% in 2024, and they swung hard towards Trump, though Harris still won a plurality of them. In 2020, 64% of moderates voted for Biden vs 34% for Trump. In 2024, 57% of them voted for Harris vs 40% for Trump—that is, the Democratic lead among centrists dropped precipitously from +30 to +17.

Tl;dr—ideologically speaking, this data suggests that Trump owes his victory to gains among both right-wing and centrist voters rather than some faction of would-be leftists or progressives apathetically staying home or voting third-party or otherwise deserting Democrats (because they're insufficiently radical or for any other reason).

Oh, and if you're curious as to how this compares to CNN's 2016 exit polls, I also checked those! Harris's 84-point lead among the most leftwards faction is a significant improvement from HRC's 74-point lead in 2016. Trump also got 10% of that group in 2016, as in 2020, so it's this campaign—not Hillary's or Biden's—that managed to eat into whatever the hell is going on with that group.

Harris's +17 with moderates is actually a slight improvement on Hillary's +12 in 2016. Biden's jump to a +30 lead among centrists in 2020 represented either a backlash against Trump from centrists, or Biden's own rapport with that group, or some mysterious issue some of those voters had with both HRC and Harris (I wonder what it could be!!), or some combination thereof. Regardless, there are a lot of actual ideologically centrist voters in the USA and not just would-be leftists who haven't heard the good news of Marx yet. And Trump has an iron grip on the right wing at this point: he beat Hillary with conservatives by +65 in 2016, then beat Biden with an even larger margin of +71, then leapt to a 81-point lead over Harris with right-wing voters this year.

[augustspisspoorblog]

I have never gotten political on my tumblr before, but the election has me so nervous I feel like I'm gonna throw up. This is deciding my future not only as an afab person but as a queer person and I have absolutely no say because Im still underage. I don't know if I will wake up tomorrow and be able to feel safe in my country and thats a scary thing for me. I live in a red state so I already tend to feel unsafe I'm just scared that everything is gonna get worse. I'm terrified for my future, for my friends everyone else this affects futures.

I want to live in a country where I can live and feel safe. I want to feel proud of my nation.