#there is no margin for error with misinformation

[melancholyghoul]

We are gonna be discussing gender identity in my developmental psychology class at 9am today (in 6 hours)

I have not slept and probably won't be able to for a while

I fear I will be impatient and frustrated

Ngl I'm ready to fight

[a-book-of-creatures]

What notable books (or author) on folklore and/or mythology would you consider to have reliable info, and which ones definitely don't? It's a broad ask, but what are the first names that come to mind?

Very good ask! I'll try to see if I can put my thoughts in words, but if you need any further examples or evaluations let me know.

Here's a general rule: primary sources are Good. Books that directly reference primary sources are Good. The more distance between a book and the primary source, the less reliable it gets. Always ask yourself, where is this book getting its information from? How does it present this information? If you're not dealing with primary sources, always check to see how information is presented and where possible errors could creep in.

For example...

Books like these are the gold standard for reliability. If I was handing out ratings, they would score a perfect 5 out of 5. Everything is extensively cited (the second book is practically all citations). You can't go wrong with these.

In general the more specialized a book is, the more reliable it is. So the excellent Meeting With Monsters gets a very respectable 4.5 out of 5. Very detailed info just about Icelandic monsters. Why not 5? The authors engage in some speculative creature building where they treat the monsters as real animals and invent features for them (the hrosshvalur has dorsal spines teeming with bacteria that infect the wounds it causes, for instance). But these are restricted to marginal notes and do not interfere with the actual information.

More general books generally get less reliable. Again, ask, where are those sources? What are they?

This one is often held up as the encyclopedia of mythical creatures currently in print. It's a decent starting point to start looking for things. It has sources and each entry is linked to its sources. The entries are written in a dry, concise encyclopedic style. But it relies far too much on second and third (and fourth, etc) hand sources. Scratch a little past the surface and you start finding weird mistakes, errors, inaccuracies. Snowballing misinformation. I would consider this to be of average reliability at best. A 2.5 out of 5 or so. Best used as a suggestion to dig into deeper, better things.

This one is a broad introduction to dragons, but instead of an encyclopedia, each "entry" (chapter?) is presented as a retelling of that story. And with that comes very low reliability and heavy use of secondary sources. The retellings make stuff up that isn't anywhere in the originals and miss a lot of the point of the stories - and spread misinformation that continues to propagate online. Also there's plenty of cryptozoology in there so eeehhhh.

This one is obviously aimed at a younger audience, but I'm mentioning it because of one amusing detail. It seems to be a good introduction for children to dragon mythology. Except it presents with a straight face the marsupial dragon as a dragon from Australia. The marsupial dragon, you know, which was written into Dragonology as a joke? And Dragonology wouldn't even have made my primary-source-reliability anyway! Some due-diligence was not duly diligenced, if I may say so.

Then there are books that are just... confusing.

Like anything by Pierre Dubois. On the surface they seem well-researched. But the references and cross-references are more opaque than... uh... a very opaque thing. He clearly has a lot of them, but it's anyone's guess where the information he got came from (no cross-referencing, you see). Combine that with him just making stuff up to pad page numbers and it's never clear what is "true" and what he wrote (and some of it is distasteful, not going to lie). Sometimes he even misses the interesting part of legends just to write his own stories. The most charitable take is that this is literary fantasy, and maybe what he's said can be traced to actual reliable folkloric sources, but after having used him as a source of information I cannot recommend him. You could also argue that Dubois never does claim that this is a scholarly reference, but it sure is presented as one.

I have so far restricted myself to books that claim (or seem to claim) to be references on myth, legend, and folklore. Books that engage in speculative "creature building" (e.g. Dragonology, The Flight of Dragons, etc) would not be reliable as references, but they're still great books. You just wouldn't use them as sources of information.

... or would you? Sometimes non-reference books get treated as such, and then the information they made up gets reified by being parroted uncritically by later books. Like Woodruff's book above. A fake "long-lost expedition journal" by Pliny the Elder, it's an excuse for (gorgeous) art and Latin practice. Except that some of the made-up stuff in there found its way out of the book and - uncited - ended up in supposedly serious works. Like the Pyrallis being a dragon, or the two-headed Hyperborean frogs. Confusing. It even got a minor news mention because people were taking it seriously!

Anyway, how about you? Any books you find reliable or unreliable?

[beware-the-jabberwock-my-son]

"But Palestinians elected Hamas!"

False. Let's take an analytical look at the reality of the situation and the statistics behind the most recent Palestinian election.

First of all, the most recent parliamentary (and legislative) election in Palestine took place in January of 2006, just over 18 years ago.

At that time, the estimated population of Palestine was about 3,761,904 (reported as of July 2005). Interestingly enough, at this time, just over half of the population of Palestine (52.3%) was under the age of 18. Those numbers alone suggest that Palestinians as a whole could not have voted for Hamas, since the majority of the population was underage.

But of course, there's even more to this story. Of the population that was eligible to vote, only 1,341,671 were registered to vote and only 1,042,424 votes were cast. Of the cast votes, only 990,873 were labeled as "valid" votes. That comes out to approximately 26.3% of the population of Palestine in 2006 having cast valid votes.

However, the plot thickens even further. In 2006, Hamas was under a party called "Change and Reform", which won the election by a slim margin with a majority of 440,409 votes compared to the runner up with 410,554 votes. Doing the math, this means that in the most recent election in 2006, Hamas, under the Change and Reform party, won the election with a vote from approximately 11.7% of the total population of Palestine.

And if those numbers aren't already enough, let's compare that to the current population, seeing as the 2006 election was so long ago. Making the bold assumption that every single person who voted for Hamas in 2006 is still alive, and compared to the current Palestinian population of about 5.4 million people, that comes out to be approximately 8% of the current population having voted for Hamas.

Yes, you heard me right,

Only 8% of the current population of Palestine voted for Hamas

Now I know I hardly have any followers and the chances of this post getting any attention are slim to none, but these numbers are so important. When we talk about Hamas, October 7th, and the ongoing, centuries old Israeli-Palestinian conflict, we have to consider the analytical data behind all this. Those of us supporting Palestine have never said we're in support of Hamas, in fact many of us understand the detrimental impacts Hamas has had on the Palestinian political system.

All we're asking is for you to have even an ounce of compassion and understanding for the fact that tens of thousands of innocent civilians are being killed at the hands of the Israeli military. This is a genocide. Israel is an apartheid state. There's no debating that.

Sources:

https://theloop.ecpr.eu/palestinian-elections-hang-in-the-balance/

https://www.electionguide.org/elections/id/1433/

https://english.wafa.ps/Pages/Details/104279#:~:text=RAMALLAH%2C%20November%2019%2C%202006%2C,of%2018%20years%20in%202006.

https://www.worldometers.info/world-population/state-of-palestine-population/#google_vignette

(please lmk if I've made any errors with links or misinformed sources or if I've made a miscalculation or stated an untrue fact)

[anistarrose]

I have a lot of thoughts about post-election misconceptions I've seen online, and I was writing something long-winded about it this morning, but I think it's much more to the point to say:

I wish statistics was better-addressed in U.S. public schools.

It's not that every (or most) high schoolers need to know the density function for the normal distribution, but, like. They need to know about margin of error. The basics of confidence intervals. The importance of sample size. Most of all, looking at reported statistics in the news and using critical thinking skills while actually interpreting them. Judging whether a given headline is being sensationalist about a result that's not nearly as certain as the headline claims. And less relevant to politics, but relevant to life — understanding false positives and false negatives. You can put this in a math class, you can put this in a science class, you can put this in a government class, maybe you should ideally put a little bit in each, but it has to be there.

And I say this with patience and compassion towards the people who didn't receive this education, because I certainly wouldn't have gotten the majority of it, if I hadn't gone into a related field in college. I also say this with sympathy towards the math, science, and government teachers who face enough challenges even without having to work all this statistics into the lesson plans. But I think this country's misinformation problems can never be fully solved while our statistics-comprehension problem is still this dire.

[sophieinwonderland]

Oh, hey! It's been a while since I've dealt with anti-endos invading the endogenic tags!

Guess it's time to deal with this.

Off to a bad start right away.

I almost always only see "endos" as a pejorative used by anti-endos. It's rare that endogenic system refer to themselves as "endos." While I wouldn't say it's quite a slur, it's not

Okay, so right from the start, the sources they cite for the claim that endogenic systems are impossible under the Theory of Structural Dissociation are from DID-research... a blog by a doctoral student.

And these pages don't even say anywhere what @jananpa claims it does. Let's actually hear what the authors of the Theory of Structural Dissociation have said about the existence of other forms of plurality.

There you have it from two of the authors of The Haunted Self, the book that started the Theory of Structural Dissociation, that it's possible for other "self-conscious dissociative parts" to exist outside of trauma and dissociative disorders. (This is also consistent with how the ICD-11 states that you can have multiple "distinct personality states" without DID.)

At no point has the Theory of Structural Dissociation ever claimed that endogenic systems are impossible.

Stop lying.

Stop misrepresenting the theory of Structural Dissociation when even the authors don't support you.

Just noting that the source here is a Carrd which in turn doesn't provide sources for any of its claims.

This is probably where @jananpa got most of their misinformation since everything they say is taken straight from its talking points.

On this note, Jananpa mentioned wanting to major in psychology. If they go down this route, I sincerely hope that they learn how to tell if a source is trustworthy or not on their chosen career path, and to not just blindly believe every bigoted Carrd they come across.

This isn't actually an unfair assessment.

Well, aside from the repeated claim that endogenic plurality violates the Theory of Structural Dissociation, which we literally just proved was a lie. It is true that there isn't a "study" in the chapter.

All that this really shows is the opinions of Eric Yarbrough, who is a Distinguished Fellow of the American Psychiatric Association, in a book that was peer reviewed and published by the APA's publishing arm.

It's not a study. But it DOES show recognition and support in the psychiatric field by notable professionals.

Which is more than you can say of the anti-endo opinion that endogenic plurality isn't possible, because absolutely no psychiatrists will ever back you up on that claim, and it's disputed by both the creators of the Theory of Structural Dissociation and the World Health Organization.

Oh no! The sample size is six less than the rule of thumb for a minimum! The horror! 😲

But wait... did they... actually look at that source of theirs???

While the minimums have the largest margin of error, a 10% margin of error isn't really an issue in surveys that are just gathering general opinions like this. And this shows the 10% at 96 for population of larger than 5000. Basically only two off of what's listed here.

It's utterly ridiculous to say a sample size of almost 100 is even close to the equivalent of a sample size of 11.

I'm not going to comment on the Jung article itself since I haven't looked into this much. If anyone wants to add anything, they're welcome to. But obviously older works about plurality aren't using the word plural because the term itself is recent. They just describe instance of people experiencing multiple self-conscious agents sharing a body. Acting like someone not using the word plural is this great "gotcha" is silly.

What I will say on this is that yes, inner worlds can be consciously created in DID. There are guides out there on how to do it.

Actually, I don't think the leading theory is even that trauma causes you to "gain" an inner world (at least not directly), so much as retreating into fantasy worlds is a common trauma response and that action causes inner worlds to develop. Outside forces (trauma) result in an action (escapism) which leads to inner world development.

But the action does not require trauma.

Not everyone exposed to trauma develops complex inner worlds because not everyone responds to trauma with the same coping mechanisms.

You should also pick an armchair diagnosis and stick with it. Is his inner world SZPD or MADD? These are very different disorders.

Or better yet, don't do either. Not all daydreaming is maladaptive, and you shouldn't assume somebody has a disorder just because they have complex inner worlds. Immersive daydreaming is a common practice, and it's not maladaptive unless it interferes with daily life.

No.

Stop.

Literally all of this is wrong!

For starters, there's no evidence anywhere of the Tibetan Buddhist practice being closed, and the Dalai Lama has said that people of other religions can use Tibetan Buddhist meditations.

“Many Christians tell me they believe in Buddhist meditation, which can be learned by Christians. We teach right attitude. We teach meditation, which can be quite deep. These would be things that the West can take, and I think it is clear that Buddhists should practice certain Western methods, too.”

Moreover, the Tibetan Buddhist practice is not called Tulpamancy. "Tulpamancy" is a term associated solely with the Western practice.

And Tulpamancy is largely NOT a religious or spiritual practice. From Varieties of Tulpa Experiences:

76.5% of tulpamancers view their practice as psychological.

Both the above study and the one referenced in Jan Anpa's post are about the primarily psychological Western practice. As will be ALL research into tulpamancy. The Buddhist religious practices it shares an etymology with is completely irrelevant to this topic of studies into the disorder.

Tulpamancy is primarily seen as psychological plurality by most tulpamancers, and that's what these studies are about.

You're welcome to look into the above study further as it has a lot more information on tulpamancy. It's was written by Samuel Veissière, a psychiatry professor at McGill University in a book reviewed and published by the Oxford University Press.

Jananapa, if there's one thing that's clear from all of this, it's that despite being confident in your ignorance, you know absolutely nothing about systems, structural dissociation, plurality, tulpamancy or literally anything else discussed in your post.

Given your self-assured ignorance of systems, I wouldn't recommend people put any trust in your understanding of Autism or any of the other conditions you discuss on your blog.

If anyone wants to further educate themselves on endogenic systems, please see my Endogenic Syscourse Primer.

As always with these hate posts that end up being posted in pro-endo tags, it's only fair that I share my responses in anti-endo tags along with many other tags the initial post was made in.

If any anti-endos are bothered by this, please ask @jananpa to not post in our tags anymore. As long as anti-endos stay in their lane, I'll stay in mine. When anti-endos invade our spaces, my responses to those posts will continue to go straight to theirs. If we can't have safe spaces to exist, then you aren't allowed safe spaces to spread hate against us. (I will avoid DID/OSDD/traumagenic tags out of respect for non-anti-endos in those spaces. But you might want to ask that Jananpa stay out of those tags as well since I know you guys also tend to not care for singlets posting in those tags.)

[covid-safer-hotties]

More Americans embrace COVID vax untruths: Poll - Published Aug 29, 2024

This is why vax and relax was a mistake: Without other mitigation, the vaccine has failed to stop the spread of covid, leading people to doubt vaccination rather than the public health officials and politicians who promised more than they could fulfil. This covid vaccine hesitancy/refusal spreads to other immunizations, meaning children aren't getting their MMR and other necessary shots, fueling outbreaks and deaths of diseases once considered extinct in my lifetime.

Growing numbers of Americans are buying into misinformation about COVID-19 vaccines, according to a new national survey, with more than one in five believing it's safer to get the virus than to get a shot.

Why it matters: Belief in misconceptions is stoking vaccine hesitancy with the nation facing a summer surge of infections, more COVID-related hospitalizations, and updated shots now reaching pharmacy shelves.

The big picture: The findings from the University of Pennsylvania's Annenberg Public Policy Center are further evidence of how intense backlash to the government's at times muddled COVID response eroded trust in public health, jeopardizing preparedness efforts to address future crises.

The proliferation of vaccine misinformation on social media has also outpaced efforts to counter it, Columbia University researchers found earlier this year. What they found: 28% of respondents to Annenberg's survey incorrectly believe that COVID-19 vaccines have been responsible for thousands of deaths, up from 22% in June 2021. The percentage who know this is false declined to 55% from 66%.

22% believe the false idea that it's safer to get a COVID infection than to get the vaccine, up from 10% in April 2021, months after the shots were rolled out. The percent of those incorrectly believing that the COVID-19 vaccine changes people's DNA nearly doubled to 15% from 8% in April 2021. Yes, but: Two-thirds of Americans still say the benefits of taking COVID-19 vaccines outweigh the risks. But that's a lower percentage than those who said the same for the mpox vaccine (70%), RSV shots for adults 60 and older (74% when asked in October 2023), and the childhood measles, mumps, rubella vaccine (89% in August 2023).

Just under half of those surveyed said they'd likely take a combined mRNA vaccine to protect against flu, RSV, and COVID-19 if one were offered and the Centers for Disease Control recommended it. 27% say they would be "not at all likely" to take such a single-shot vaccine. Between the lines: Previous polling has shown sizable numbers of Americans who believe COVID vaccine misinformation know they're at odds with scientists and medical experts, suggesting that educating people on the science behind vaccines won't change many minds.

"A belief that persists across waves of a survey is probably less subject to change than a recently acquired one," said Annenberg Center director Kathleen Hall Jamieson. The current wave also isn't heightening concern about the virus itself, the survey found. Only one in five said they're somewhat or very worried that they or someone in their family will contract COVID, down from 25% in February and 35% in October 2023. The survey of 1,496 adults was conducted July 11-18 and has a margin of sampling error ± 3.6% at the 95% confidence level.

[quietwingsinthesky]

funny you say that I can’t remember if it was one or two but technically. Yes the doctor was the first man to walk on the moon

no. they’ve cornered me by confronting me with untrue facts about the moon landing, a topic i am in fact reasonably knowledgeable about. i know there were three astronauts during the first moon landing, though only buzz aldrin and neil armstrong ever walked on it. BUT. if i say that now, i reveal myself to be a fucking nerd. hm. maybe i can play this off cooly. if i keep details to a minimum and focus on reacting to the joke at the end about our common media interest, no one will notice that i’m so bothered by this misinformation that i need to correct it- Wait, no. Everything I do on this blog is for an audience, and what’s funniest has to come first or they’ll all start questioning why they follow me in the first place. i can’t correct the misinformation, no matter how much it pains me to let it slide, because i have to stay committed to my bit of ignorance. damnit. i’m taking too long to respond. wait, that’s it, i can always pretend i got busy and was going to answer the ask later, but never actually answer it! it’s brilliant! they’ll never know if it’s the result of deliberate ignorance or my unmedicated adhd! it’s the perfect plan! unless… they send a follow-up ask. one message can slip through the cracks, but two? they’d know it was on purpose. i can’t leave that margin for error. shit, i need to answer quickly. stay calm, the principle of ‘yes and-’ has gotten you this far on tumblr.com. it won’t fail you now.

the moon landing was faked to give doctor who free publicity

[velvetvexations]

Okay okay this happened like months ago but it's been stuck in my brain ever since and I GOTTA complain about it to someone: remember back when that one youtube video about HRT came out and while other kinds of trans were on the writing team there was a lack of trans women and so they were kind of wrong about estrogen? And there was massive backlash about how transmisogynistic the whole thing was and how dangerous it was and how it misinforms people about HRT.

A post I saw a lot of on here at the time went something like, "this is the same as if they were writing about pregnancy and only had cis men on the writing team and completely ignored women speaking out". Which. Like. Girl,,,,, there were other genders of trans person on the writing staff. I'm not gonna excuse the being wrong about estrogen part but this is really seriously Not The Same and making that comparison really uh. Really. Shows your whole ass.

I have not been able to get over it I have puzzled over this bullshit post and malded whenever it got put on my dash I have had this stupid thing living in my OCD rent free for months now what do you MEAN it's like cis men were writing about pregnancy with no female voices are you ignoring the rest of the HRT information included or does that just not matter? Why is an imperfect attempt to explain HRT to the layperson that does not adequately cover the breadth of the trans experience comparable to a room full of cis men writing about pregnancy.

Yes there should have been a trans woman in the writing team that was an egregious mistake but frankly comparing other trans people writing about their HRT and inadequately covering estrogen is not the same as Cis! Men! Mansplaining pregnancy! and the comparison really reads to me like the only HRT that matters to the poster is estrogen. Because cis men (other genders of trans people) don't understand pregnancy (HRT) and can't understand pregnancy (HRT) and thus have the true knowledge of it, so not including (trans) women in your discussion of pregnancy (HRT) is fundamentally misrepresenting what pregnancy (HRT) is.

Also I am mildly skeeved by the pregnancy comparison to begin with because. Y'know. Trans Men can get pregnant. Trans men CAN speak on pregnancy. Being denied from spaces for pregnancy care is a major problem for pregnant trans men. Not being able to speak about our pregnancies and the struggles they cause is in fact a huge issue.

(As an aside I really wonder what the people who say transandrophobia doesn't exist would call corrective impregnation to force a detransition. Regular transphobia? But that's fundamentally not an experience perisex trans women are capable of having. Is regular transphobia just All Transphobia Ever or is it the transphobia that all trans people experience? If regular transphobia is All Transphobia Ever then why would there be a need to distinguish the intersection of transphobia and misogyny to identify the types of transphobia unique to trans women? If regular transphobia is instead the forms of transphobia experienced by all trans people, why is there pushback against other genders putting labels to their own intersectional overlap with transphobia to distinguish marginalizations that other trans people don't experience?)

Yeah, like. It's ideal to have people with as much experience possible but I don't think people realize how weird and complicated it would be if no one could ever educate people about things they don't have direct, first-hand experience with. In this case, someone made a massive error that a trans woman in the same position probably wouldn't have, but to act like a trans person talking about estrogen is as removed from the issue as cis men are from pregnancy is wild.

[thepoliticalvulcan]

Do not misinterpret the Paradox of Intolerance to give yourself license to make trolling the sum total of your politics.

The Paradox of (In)Tolerance describes PHYSICAL safety. It is not a prescription to use the tools of the enemy to create change. That is foolish and its never been clearer to me than after this election why its a snake eating its own tail.

If you need more evidence than 2015 - 2024 why using the Paradox of Intolerance as an excuse to never educate, to never attempt persuasion, to ONLY meet ignorance with withering scorn, then let me ask you a hypothetical:

There is a Muslim with whom you have a close, personal relationship: a friend, a coworker, an in-law etc. They are very warm and courteous to you but sometimes they say things that hint at a worldview you don't quite grok or feels like they are a bit too credulous when it comes to rumors. At some point after election day they confess to you that they 1. didn't vote, 2. voted third party, or 3. voted for Trump: would you engage them in dialogue to try to understand why and try to persuade them why this was an error without intentionally insulting them? Or would you disavow them and never speak to them again to the fullest extent possible within the limits of your common ties? Would you encourage people you know in common to disavow them or would you engage these people in conversation about how best to reach your Muslim friend?

Now what I am getting at is not the same as asking you to do emotional and intellectual labor when you're burnt out and the other party is overtly abusive and clearly acting in bad faith or to show up, in person, in spaces where you feel like you may be physically in danger.

What I am saying is that the Paradox of Intolerance or self care should not become an excuse to abdicate any responsibility for doing any amount of outreach and education. To advocate for ourselves and for our values.

Kamala Harris going on Joe Rogan would not have changed the outcome of this election, but the growing tendency of people with liberal and leftist values to ignore these increasingly important venues in favor of only ever doing interviews inside the hug box is poison. We are losing the culture war and its not because we don't have the best, most witty entertainers to sell our ideas its because our avatars are not pitching their ideas to audiences they assume are unreachable or irrelevant.

Late Night monologues and leftist podcasts are an echo chamber. I love QAA, Behind the Bastards, and other "dirt bag left" forums but the model of deradicalization where you passively wait for the most open minded red pills and "enlightened centrists" to stumble upon something that might tilt their worldview ever so slightly has DEMONSTRABLY failed.

Those with silver tongues need to follow the example of Mayor Pete and Bernie Sanders and take the fight for real equality and humanism to the lion's den, or at least the boorish stoner gym bro's den. Rogan is a prime example of someone who has become stupider and meaner the more he is surrounded by people who nurture these instincts. He is a cautionary tale.

We should contemplate how this applies to our own lives and our own dealings.

No one should tolerate physical threats or emotional abuse.

But also we should not mislabel stupidity and ignorance as emotional abuse because our labor is not free.

And I've got news for people who themselves are marginalized: you're going to have to advocate for yourself.

We who are not marginalized can do our best to prepare the soil, to combat misinformation and prejudices, but if there is one thing to be learned from Trump's multiracial coalition its that experience reduces prejudice more than rhetoric. A few Latino and Asian men were Trump curious, tested the waters, and over time they've become more accepted. It ain't all sunshine and roses: Ramaswamy still has to deal with the likes of Anne Coulter, but he's benefited enormously from his willingness to tolerate a few bigoted morons in order to sell himself and his interests directly.

Coalition politics are messy, but you have to be seen in order to be seen as fully human. It just doesn't work any other way and I'm sorry for that. The rest of us can do our best to set an expectation that persons X,Y,&Z are chill and should be protected from morons but that will only achieve so much without some people willing to represent themselves: if they can without compromising safety. I'm under no illusions that for some populations, like trans people and undocumented immigrants, things might be headed to somewhere even bleaker and unsafe than it already is.

And again, louder for the people in the back, if you cannot be PHYSICALLY safe or you cannot be your best self at the moment, then you are not obligated to attempt outreach; but we are screwed if everyone abdicates all of the time forever.

[rjzimmerman]

Here’s why so many Republicans won’t buy EVs. (Washington Post)

Electric cars have taken off across the United States. Even amid news of slowing sales, the country sold almost 1.2 million fully electric vehicles in 2023, more than quadruple the number in 2019. Grocery stores and rest stops are installing charging stations across the country; electric cars have moved beyond niche status and are being produced by Ford, GM, Hyundai and many others.

But there is one thing holding the nation back from the dream of an all-electric future: politicalpolarization. Sales data have consistentlyshown that while Democrats have been buying the new cars in droves,Republicans haven’t jumped onto the EV-buying train.

“The Republican is like, ‘They’re trying to ban gas cars — I’m not going to buy a Biden-mobile,’” said Mike Murphy, a former Republican strategist who runs the nonprofit EV Politics Project, which attempts to counter misinformation on electric cars and encourage conservatives to adopt the vehicles.

Personal cars account for 20 percent of U.S. planet-warming emissions, and more Americans still prefer gas-powered ones. A Washington Post-University of Maryland poll last year found that 46 percent of respondents favored a gas car, compared to 19 percent who wanted a fully electric vehicle. If that doesn’t change, it will be almost impossible for the United States to meet its climate goals.

According to a Gallup poll conducted in March of this year, 61 percent of Democrats reported that they were “seriously considering�� or “might consider” buying an EV in the future — compared to only 24 percent of Republicans. At the same time, 69 percent of Republicans said that they “would not buy” an EV in future, compared to 27 percent of Democrats. The difference in Democratic and Republican respondents who owned an EV was within the margin of error.

Actual sales show a partisan trend. According to an analysis from researchers at the University of California, Berkeley, MIT and HEC Montréal, between 2012 and 2022 about half of all EVs sold went to the top 10 percent most Democratic counties in the United States. Around a third of all EVs sold went to the top 5 percent most Democratic counties. That pattern persisted when researchers analyzed the most Democratic states, according to the working paper, which has not yet been peer-reviewed.

The finding held when researchers accounted for income, gas prices and population density. That means that even when looking at dense, urban areas — which are more likely to have more public EV charging — Democratic counties outweighed Republican ones in EV adoption.

[originalleftist]

A poll of Gazans by the Palestinian Center for Research shows that a majority believe the October 7th attack was a mistake.

I am not familiar with this pollster or its credibility, and polling in general is often unreliable and open to manipulation, so take the numbers with some skepticism. Still, I think it's worth looking at.

Some key highlights:

-57% of Gazans believe October 7th "was incorrect", down from 57% support in June. Only 39% thought it was "correct" now.

-A majority in the West Bank, 64%, still support it, though support has dropped there too. I speculate that the difference is likely due at least in part to how much greater the cost of the war has been for those in Gaza.

-Disturbingly, nearly 90% says they do not believe Hamas committed atrocities. How much this is due to a different definition of what constitutes an atrocity, and how much is due to misinformation, is unclear. I suppose the latter is better than knowing that atrocities occurred and supporting them, as misinformation can at least in theory be corrected. This does speak to the effectiveness of Hamas's propaganda apparatus.

-VERY POSITIVELY, only 35% of Gazans support Hamas- a reduction from 38%. However, it is still more popular than Fatah.

-1,200 people were polled face-to-face, 790 in the West Bank and 410 in Gaza. The margin of error is 3.5%

I think what this shows, in conjunction with the massive protests against the Netanyahu government and in support of a ceasefire for hostages deal in Israel, is that the majority of the population on both sides is opposed to continuing the war. I know that this is not motivated entirely by idealism, altruism, or respect for the other side- Mostly, I imagine, it is driven by self-interest, by the cost of the war to them and the people close to them. But that's just humanity all over. When push comes to shove, many, perhaps most people are driven primarily by the interests of themselves and their groups, not universal moral principles.

What it does show once again is that the situation is a lot more complicated than "All Palestinians support Hamas/October 7th" (or "All Israelis support Netanyahu/the war"). And that there is an opportunity for peace, if those in power can be made to listen to the wishes of the people they rule.

I would also ask "pro-Palestinian" activists in the West to justify their continued cheerleading for an atrocity that most Gazans now consider a mistake, but its long become increasingly clear to me that many of them do not give a shit about Palestinians or Palestinian voices, but simply for using Palestinians as mascots for their Anti-semitism/wanting a revolution against the "Western establishment".

Full text of the article:

"By Ali Sawafta

RAMALLAH, West Bank (Reuters) - A majority of Gazans believe Hamas' decision to launch the Oct. 7 attack on Israel was incorrect, according to a poll published on Tuesday pointing to a big drop in backing for the assault that prompted Israel's devastating Gaza offensive.

The poll, conducted in early September by the Palestinian Center for Policy and Survey Research (PSR), found that 57% of people surveyed in the Gaza Strip said the decision to launch the offensive was incorrect, while 39% said it was correct.

It marked the first time since Oct. 7 that a PSR poll found a majority of Gazan respondents judging the decision as incorrect. It was accompanied by a drop in support for the attack in the West Bank, though a majority of 64% of respondents there still thought it was the correct decision, the poll found.

PSR's previous poll, conducted in June, showed that 57% of respondents in Gaza thought the decision to be correct.

More than 41,000 Palestinians have been killed by the Israeli military offensive that has laid waste to the Gaza Strip since last October, according to the Gaza health ministry.

Israel launched its assault after the unprecedented Hamas raid which killed 1,200 people and resulted in another 250 being abducted, according to Israeli tallies.

PSR said it surveyed 1,200 people face-to-face, 790 of them in the West Bank and 410 in Gaza, with a 3.5% margin of error.

PSR polls since the Oct. 7 attack have consistently shown a majority of respondents in both Gaza and the West Bank to believe the attack was a correct decision, with support generally greater in the West Bank than Gaza.

PSR said the poll released on Tuesday marked the first time since Oct 7. that its findings had shown simultaneously in the West Bank and Gaza a significant drop in the favorability of the attack and in expectations that Hamas will win the current war.

Overall, the poll found a majority of 54% of respondents in Gaza and the West Bank thought the decision was correct.

In August, the Israeli military accused Hamas of mounting an effort to falsify the results of PSR polls to falsely show support for Hamas and Oct. 7, though the military said there was no evidence of PSR cooperating with Hamas.

PSR said it had taken the allegation seriously and investigated it. PSR said on Tuesday its analysis of the data did not flag any inconsistencies that would arise when data is arbitrarily altered, and that a review of quality control measures "convinced us that no data manipulation took place".

Support for Oct. 7 did not necessarily mean support for Hamas or killings or atrocities against civilians, PSR said, adding that "almost 90% of the public believes Hamas men did not commit the atrocities depicted in videos taken on that day".

The poll showed a drop in the number of respondents in Gaza who said they support Hamas to 35% from 38%. But the Islamist movement remained more popular than Fatah, led by President Mahmoud Abbas, in both in Gaza and the West Bank.

(Writing by Tom Perry, Editing by William Maclean)"

[alleycatallies]

Junk Science Gets Cats Killed

Lately, scientific research is being exploited by fringe interests to promote the absurd notion that outdoor cats are the leading cause of bird species declines in the United States.

The most commonly cited was published in the online journal Nature Communications and funded by the Smithsonian Institution and the U.S. Fish and Wildlife Services (“The impact of free-ranging domestic cats on wildlife of the United States,” January 29, 2013 by Scott R. Loss, Tom Will, and Peter P. Marra).

News outlets have sensationalized coverage of this and similar “studies” by labeling cats as “serial killers” and using other exaggerated metaphors to manufacture a fake debate about outdoor cats and species decline that plays right into the fringe interests and bolsters their flawed arguments.

The common-sense and seldom-reported facts, however, are that habitat destruction, pollution, and climate change are far and away the greatest threats to birds and wildlife.

Bogus reports, propagated by the mass media, sidestep serious discussion on the real threats to birds and wildlife, and end up scapegoating cats.

The Smithsonian-funded study published in Nature Communications is not rigorous science.

It is a literature review that surveys a variety of unrelated, older studies and concocts a highly speculative conclusion that suits the researchers’ seemingly desperate anti-cat agenda. This speculative research is highly dangerousit is being used by opponents of outdoor cats and Trap-Neuter-Return (including the authors) to further an agenda to kill more cats and roll back decades of progress on TNR. And it is being spread unchecked by the media. Only a handful of reporters, including CNN’s Erin Burnett, have questioned the Nature Communications research. Burnett noted the ridiculously large margin of error the authors employed, deemed it “unacceptable,” and told her viewers, “When it comes to the danger of cats, it seems like they’re just telling tales.”

To assess the integrity of the Smithsonian study, Alley Cat Allies commissioned a respected, independent statistician, Gregory J. Matthews, PhD, of the University of Massachusetts at Amherst.

Dr. Matthews conducted a thorough review of the statistics and methodology used in the study and found major flaws that should have made the authors’ research unacceptable for publication. Some key insights from Dr. Matthews’ assessment:

The authors looked at a number of previously published studies to make their case. The studies have a huge range in size, scope, and geography. Some were not peer reviewed. Some were decades oldone of the studies the authors used was published in 1930. They counted one study twicea major error that was not picked up by peer reviewers.

There was no use of a meta-analysis to normalize across all these very dissimilar studies. Use of a meta-analysis is common, and the authors failed to address why they did not use one. They also failed to acknowledge that each individual estimate itself has error.

The authors used extrapolation where it was not warrantedoften. They failed to account for variations in season, geography, or predation opportunity.

“If a student turned something like this in for a freshman statistics class, he would have failed the assignment,” Dr. Matthews relayed to Alley Cat Allies in an interview.

No one should be swayed by this junk science.

But such misinformation does confuse the issue about outdoor cats, and the authors know it. Indeed, they are doing nothing more than promoting cleverly veiled propaganda to promote their true agenda, which is mass extermination of the millions of outdoor cats in the United States.

Here’s the real story: Trap-Neuter-Return remains the only effective approach for feral cats.

Animal protection experts, individual caregivers, mayors, city councils, and county commissioners across the country are turning to TNR as the best response to feral cats. By humanely trapping, neutering, vaccinating, and then returning outdoor cats to their natural environment, communities can end the breeding cycle, protect cats, and save taxpayer dollars.

Studies clearly show that TNR policies effectively reduce the size of outdoor cat colonies both immediately (with the removal and adoption of kittens and socialized cats) and over time (as the population stabilizes and the breeding cycle ends).

Supporters of catch and kill programs have spread misinformation in an effort to slow down the adoption of TNR policies. They have spread myths about outdoor cats’ health and their impact on the environment. They are desperately clinging to these myths in an attempt to cover up the truththat catch and kill is extremely cruel, ineffective, and wasteful. Decades of failed catch and kill policies prove that it does not even permanently reduce outdoor cat colonies, and it wastes taxpayer dollars that should be used to protect animals.

Trap-Neuter-Return is safe for our communities. It’s humane. And it’s effective.

Because TNR is proven to stabilize and reduce cat populations over time, it is now the gold standard for feral cat management in the United States. More than 300 communities have passed laws or enacted policies supporting the practice of TNR. Major cities including San Francisco, New York, Philadelphia, Chicago, Washington, D.C., and dozens more have embraced TNR. Animal control and public health officials have endorsed it, calling it common-sense and effective. Trap-Neuter-Return reduces calls into municipal agencies, keeps cats out of shelters, encourages spay/neuter practices, and saves tax dollars.

Junk science gets cats killed.

It’s time for the national media to start reporting on the thinly veiled agenda of anti-cat researchers: their proposed “solution” really endorses the continued mass killing of cats.

Content source: https://www.alleycat.org/resources/junk-science-gets-cats-killed/

[wordarttmn]

The prevalence of neurodivergency in gifted children is around 17% (with an INSANE error margin), which is more or less the prevalence of neurodivergency in the general population.

This is a topic where misinformation abounds so please refrain from claiming as facts things like this.

(not denying the vast majority of gifted ppl on this website are almost certainly also neurodivergent, but the key word is "this website". of course tumblr dot com has a sampling bias.)

people misunderstand what ‘gifted kid’ actually means but it’s ok it’s fine it’s cool it’s good

[vmures]

Since I'm already thinking about James Somerton, I might add this to my musings on his videos and the take aways from his errors, lies, omissions, and plagiarism.

He's a great example of the problems that arise when you decide to categorize a minority group into good and bad members of the group instead of focusing on individual bad behaviors and just that--individual. He's also a great example of the same type of behavior the 9-1-1 stans I was talking about earlier love to revel in.

He's white, a cis dude, and gay. He acts like he's uplifting minority voices and speaking for more marginalized groups when in reality he was spreading a lot of hate and using voices of those more marginalized than himself to boost his fame and fortune. There's a lot of misogynist language in his videos. There's also a whole lot of "good gays" talk. While he doesn't go the puritanical route for describing good gays (meaning a gay person who fits into heterosexual norms and thus is less likely to upset the far right), he does still paint a picture of there only being one right way to be queer while deriding those who do fit into heterosexual norms.

Claiming the opposing stance (we're good because we're freaks and they're bad because they pass) is just another tactic that divides the community and causes strife and in-fighting which weakens the whole community and makes it easier for outside forces to oppress and harm the community.

Of all the videos that pissed me off, the one where he claims that all the good gays died in the AIDS crisis was probably the one that made me most feral with anger. I was too young to be active in the queer community during the Act Up years. I was only able to become more active in the community when I got to college in the late 90s. But I watched the news and read and tried to come to terms with being queer while living in the rural deep south (and let me tell you, finding supportive info was hell before the internet). I saw the work people were doing to fight for housing, for employment rights, for fair treatment in all walks of life. It was never just about marriage and joining the military. Honestly 20 year old me didn't think we'd ever see gay marriage legalized in all 50 states. So hearing that blatant lie was infuriating. It was a sign that not only did he not do his research, he deliberately created misinformation to try to radicalize members of the community and get them to hate other members of the community.

The other problem with his stance about the only good gays being the visibly wild and weird ones is that it ignores the realities that a lot of LGBTQUIA+ folks face. I tried hard to pass, and failed spectacularly especially in middle school where I was severely bullied for looking like a boy and being to masculine and possibly being gay. I did eventually get better at passing as a protective measure.

When I officially came out in college, my cousin thought I was brave as hell, but kind of insane. Not because it was wrong, but because it literally put my life in danger. My college was a small private liberal arts college but was still located in a very red, very conservative state and city. I ended up helping start the college's first gay-straight alliance group (and as far as I know it's still an active group on campus). People were afraid to come because they didn't want to become targets. We had our flyers torn down and some of us had our cars keyed. Thankfully I don't recall us having any violence to people just a whole lot of microaggressions on campus.

A few years after college, I joined the Peace Corps and was told point blank that the country I would be serving in was very homophobic and it would be best if I stayed closeted while there for my own safety. There are lots of people in many US states who still face the choice of being closeted or being victims of violence and for those who simply cannot pass it is a terrifying world to live in. Instead of dividing it into good and bad camps of who can pass and who cannot, it's a lot more effective if both groups stand together and work for change. We are so much stronger when we join forces and stand in solidarity. Calling out those who are afraid to come out, or who feel like they only way to live safely is to pass, isn't an effective way to create change. Just like alienating those who cannot pass or choose not to is not an effective way to create change.

Neither extreme take is fair to the other group. And these sorts of takes tend to result in a sort of "I got mine, and you can go die" mentality. We shouldn't be leaving any member to the hatred and abuse of oppressors. And for those who join our oppressors in hopes of sparing themselves...well, we should pity them because in the end they will find that once the other scapegoats have been slaughtered they will be the ones on the chopping block.

TLDR; Misinformation and framing things in a way to fracture oppressed minority groups even farther is one of the things we all need to be wary of when we're taking information in. Because in the end it only ends up hurting the entire group.

[andrewleousa]

Data Annotation in Machine Learning Challenges and Overcoming Them

Artificial Intelligence and Machine Learning are rapidly growing technologies laying the foundation for unbelievable inventions delivering advantages to multiple fields around the world. And, the process that fuels such fascinating machines and applications is called data annotation.

Computers are competent in delivering ultimate outcomes that are just not exact but also related and timely. So, how does a machine learn to provide such efficiency?

All thanks to data annotation, which is the process of labeling the data present in various formats such as images, videos, or text. The labels are added in the form of tags, meta tags, descriptions, etc. so that Machine Learning algorithms can easily and clearly comprehend the input datasets and perform the assigned tasks.

Significance of Annotation in Machine Learning

In practice, Machine Learning algorithms are fed with constant streams of high-quality and accurately labeled training datasets. They are provided with volume after volume of learning data to prepare them better for making judgments as well as identifying elements or objects.

It is only through the data annotation process that modules can distinguish between a sidewalk from a road, a dog and a cat, or an adjective and a noun. Without annotated datasets, every impression would be the exact same for Machine Learning algorithms as they do not have any understanding or ingrained information about anything on the planet.

Data annotation in Machine Learning is the key that makes the network deliver detailed results, assists modules to specify elements to equip computer vision and speech and recognize models. For any model, system, or application that has a machine-based decision-making system at its fulcrum, the data annotation process is expected to ensure the decisions are accurate and reliable.

Fundamental Challenges in Annotation and Overcoming Them

As it’s not simple to manage and streamline the data labeling process, it becomes an uphill task. Companies encounter several internal and external obstacles that make the annotation task ineffective and inefficient. Take a look at these challenges:

Skill Gaps

AI/ML models are data-hungry, demanding a massive volume of labeled data to learn things. As datasets are labeled manually, companies hire a huge workforce to generate that enormous volume of tagged data to be fed into the algorithms. Besides, processing and labeling Big Data to optimal quality is vital to achieving a high accuracy level. Dealing with such huge data mining teams is a real task- and businesses often suffer from organizational predicaments that impact profits, productivity, efficiency, as well as quality.

Limited Access to Tech Acumen

High-quality labeled datasets are not only generated with well-trained manpower but also require appropriate tools and tech acumen to execute the annotation process precisely. Based on the data type, different techniques and software are used to label datasets. Hence, it is crucial to have adequate infrastructure and implement the correct technology to ensure the highest quality.

While global corporations can afford this, small and mid-sized companies often fail to develop such infrastructure that roots for best-in-class data annotation processes. Annotation tools are quite expensive and businesses are unable to figure out the correct technology due to a lack of expert process knowledge.

Logistical Challenges

A precise and reliable data annotation model needs top-notch quality training datasets where there is absolutely no margin for errors-even the slightest mistakes can cost big-time companies. If your data samples are tagged with misinformation, the machine will learn it in the same way.

Next, ensuring high-quality data doesn’t suffice, producing them consistently is the real struggle. It is fundamental for businesses to maintain a good flow of rich-quality training datasets for the training of Machine Learning algorithms and correct prediction for AI.

Strict Budget Constraints

Data annotation is a time-consuming and resource-intensive process. Many companies struggle to shape their budget requirements to develop and implement an AI/ML project. Factors like investing in expensive technologies, paying salaries to a huge amount of workforce until the project is complete, and arranging an ergonomic office space with all the necessary amenities sometimes force businesses to take a step back.

Failing to Comply With Data-Related Regulations

The lack of process knowledge can make businesses suffer by not complying with global data security guidelines. Given the growing popularity of Big Data and the increase in security breaches, data privacy compliance regulations are getting strict.

Raw data includes highly personal data like reading texts and identifying faces. Any little mistakes or tagging misinformation can have huge repercussions-and data leak is the central factor to be addressed here. So, failing to conform to privacy and internal data security standards and compliances can have serious repercussions.

These were some of the real problems for organizations in the data annotation space. And just like everything in the world, solutions do exist for such enigmas. In this case, it lies with professional data annotation companies.

Exercising your in-house abilities in the data labeling process can be tempting but falls flat in the long run. So, to grow in the Artificial Intelligence and Machine Learning space, outsourcing your non-core data annotation tasks to an experienced and specialized service provider is a wise choice.

Final Thoughts

Just as data is continually evolving, the data annotation process is becoming more sophisticated with the years passing by. To put it in perspective, it was enough to label a few notches on a face 4-5 years ago and build an AI prototype based on that data. But now, there can be as many as twenty dots marked on the nose alone.

The continuous shift from scripted chatbots to Artificial Intelligence is one of the promising bridges to the rift between artificial and natural interactions. Consumer confidence in AI-driven solutions is deliberately increasing currently. Surprisingly, people are more inclined to ratify an algorithm’s suggestions when they arrive at a product’s practicality or its accurate performance.

Algorithms will shape consumer understanding for the foreseeable fate; however, they can be flawed and can endure the same prejudices as their creators. Assuring AI-powered experiences are efficient, fascinating, and beneficial needs data annotation services performed by specialists with a fine understanding of what they are tagging. It is only then that one can ensure data-based solutions are as representative and detailed as feasible.

Read here inspired blog: https://www.sooperarticles.com/technology-articles/support-services-articles/data-annotation-machine-learning-challenges-overcoming-them-1848172.html

[notbeingnoticed]

Unfortunately this user @film--of is woefully uninformed about how business actually works. They claim companies are making "record breaking profits" but then quote revenues. They aren't the same. Companies can make huge revenues but still be losing money hand over fist.

Actual Profit for FAT Foods (quarterly):

March 2024:

Net profit margin -25.21%

December 2023:

Net profit margin -16.54%

September 2023:

Net profit margin -22.54%

June 2023:

Net profit margin -6.64%

So as you can see, FAT Foods has been losing money recently.

As for "disable comments that allow fact checks": you can comment, plenty of people do, you just have to follow the blog. The reason I use that setting is because of the proliferation of truly stupid comments like the one above, which are misinformed, inaccurate and frankly I don't have the time to pick them apart and rebut their errors.

Fast food workers losing jobs as California minimum wage jumps to $20