#Crime Rate
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Tim Walz was mopping the floor with Trump.
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"Expanding freedom and opportunity to millions
Over a decade ago, researchers, policymakers, journalists, and individuals and family members harmed by prisons and jails helped define American mass incarceration as one of the fundamental policy challenges of our time. In the years since, policymakers and voters in red, blue, and purple jurisdictions have advanced criminal justice reforms that safely reduced prison and jail populations, expanding freedom and opportunities to tens of millions of Americans.
After nearly forty years of uninterrupted prison population growth, our collective awareness of the costs of mass incarceration has fundamentally shifted–and our sustained efforts to turn the tide have yielded meaningful results.
Since its peak in 2009, the number of people in prison has declined by 24 percent (see figure 1). The total number of people incarcerated has dropped 21 percent since the 2008 peak of almost 2.4 million people, representing over 500,000 fewer people behind bars in 2022. Absent reforms, more than 40 million more people would have been admitted to prison and jail over this period. The number of people on probation and parole supervision has also dropped 27 percent since its peak in 2007, allowing many more people to live their lives free from onerous conditions that impede thriving and, too often, channel them back into incarceration for simple rule violations.1
"Absent reforms, more than 40 million more people would have been admitted to prison and jail over this period. [2008 to 2022]"
Make no mistake: mass incarceration and the racial and economic disparities it drives continue to shape America for the worse. The U.S. locks up more people per capita and imposes longer sentences than most other countries. Nearly 1-in-2 adults in the U.S. have an immediate family member that has been incarcerated, with lifelong, often multigenerational, consequences for family members’ health and financial stability. Yet the past decade of successful reforms demonstrate that we can and must continue to reduce incarceration. These expansions of freedom and justice–and the millions of people they have impacted–help define what is at stake as public safety has reemerged as a dominant theme in American public and political conversation.
...We have a robust body of research built over decades showing that jail stays and long prison sentences do not reduce crime rates. And fortunately, we have an extensive and expanding body of research on what does work to reduce crime and keep communities safe. The evidence is clear: our focus must be on continuing and accelerating reductions in incarceration.
Black imprisonment rate drops by nearly half
People directly impacted by incarceration and other leaders in the criminal justice reform movement have persistently called out how the unequal application of policies such as bail, sentencing, and parole (among others) drive massive racial disparities in incarceration. The concerted effort to reduce our prison population has had the most impact on the group that paid the greatest price during the rise of mass incarceration: Black people, and particularly Black men.
The Black imprisonment rate has declined by nearly 50 percent since the country’s peak imprisonment rate in 2008 (see figure 2). And between 1999 and 2019, the Black male incarceration rate dropped by 44 percent, and notable declines in Black male incarceration rates were seen in all 50 states. For Black men, the lifetime risk of incarceration declined by nearly half from 1999 to 2019—from 1 in 3 Black men imprisoned in their lifetime to 1 in 5.
While still unacceptably high, this reduction in incarceration rates means that Black men are now more likely to graduate college than go to prison, a flip from a decade ago. This change will help disrupt the cycle of incarceration and poverty for generations to come.
Expanding safety and justice together
The past decade-plus of incarceration declines were accompanied by an increase in public safety. From 2009-2022, 45 states saw reductions in crime rates, while imprisoning fewer people, with crime falling faster in states that reduced imprisonment than in states that increased it.
This is in keeping with the extensive body of research showing that incarceration is among the least effective and most expensive means to advance safety. Our extremely long sentences don’t deter or prevent crime. In fact, incarcerating people can increase the likelihood people will return to jail or prison in the future. Public safety and a more fair and just criminal system are not in conflict.
Strong and widespread support for reform
We have also seen dramatic progress on the public opinion front, with a clear understanding from voters that the criminal justice system needs more reform, not less. Recent polling shows that by a nearly 2 to 1 margin respondents prefer addressing social and economic problems over strengthening law enforcement to reduce crime. [In simpler terms: people are twice as likely to prefer non-law-enforcement solutions to crimes.]
Nearly nine-in-ten Black adults say policing, the judicial process, and the prison system need major changes for Black people to be treated fairly. Seventy percent of all voters (see figure 3) and 80 percent of Black voters believe it’s important to reduce the number of people in jail and prison. Eighty percent of all voters, including nearly three-fourths of Republican voters, support criminal justice reforms.
This is not only a blue state phenomenon. Recent polling in Mississippi indicates strong support across the political spectrum for bold policies that reduce incarceration. For example, according to polling from last month, 72 percent of Mississippians, including majorities from both parties, believe it is important to reduce the number of people in prison (see figure 4). Perhaps most tellingly, across the country victims of crime also support further reforms to our criminal justice system over solutions that rely on jail stays and harsh prison sentences...
We are at an inflection point: we can continue to rely on the failed mass incarceration tactics of the past, or chart a new path that takes safety seriously by continuing to reform our broken criminal justice system and strengthening families and communities."
-via FWD.us, May 15, 2024
#REFORMS HAVE ALREADY SAVED OVER 40 MILLION PEOPLE FROM ENTERING JAILS AND PRISONS#THAT ALONE IS A MASSIVE MASSIVE ACCOMPLISHMENT#never doubt that we CAN make a difference#no matter how long it takes#we are going to build a better and freer world#whether those in power want us to or not#mass incarceration#prison#prison system#racism#united states#us politics#systemic racism#incarcerated people#incarceration#criminal justice#criminal justice reform#crime rate#prison industrial complex#good news#hope
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Statistics Canada recently released its figures for the Crime Severity Index (CSI) for 2023. Data shows the rate rose 2.1 per cent between 2022 and 2023, which translates to a rate of 80.5 per 100,000 people. This is the highest the CSI has been since 2010, but well below when reported numbers peaked in the late 1990s. Homicides were down in the majority of provinces, with Manitoba reporting a decrease of 15 from the year before. Both robberies and vehicle thefts increased by five per cent, but when compared to longer-term data, down more than 50 per cent from 25 years ago. The biggest contributors to the increase was a 35-per cent increase in rates of extortion, a 32-per cent increase in hate crimes, and a 52-per cent higher rate of police-reported instances of child sexual exploitation (CSE). British Columbia accounted for 79 per cent of that increase, while Alberta made up 14 per cent. Manitoba’s number of cases came down slightly. From 2014 to 2022, reported cases of CSE have increased by 217 per cent across Canada. That figure didn’t surprise Manitoba RCMP Cpl. Gord Olson with the Internet Child Exploitation Unit (ICE). “We’ve been inundated over the last few years since COVID, really,” Olson explained. “From luring cases, to making and distributing child pornography cases… unfortunately I’m not surprised that the numbers are high nationally.”
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Tagging: @newsfromstolenland
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lead exposure in childhood leads to increased chance of criminal activity in adult hood, combine this with the fact that many houses in poor areas of the us (And areas with high POC pop) Still have stuff with lead paint, and the correlation of socioecinomic factors to crime rate, and the dispaportionat amount of poc criminals makes sense and the solutions to lower becomes rather clear.
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Truth; Malmö, Sweden is the rape capital of Europe and Marseilles France is the crime capital. What do they both have in common? A high % of Muslim immigrants - where in Marseille, Muslims represent roughly 45% of the city population.
#islam#muslims#crime rate#europe#islamification#israeli#judaism#jewish#secular-jew#israel#diaspora#jerusalem#secular jew#secularjew#islamism#welcome to islam#islamic#england has fallen#muslim immigration#brussels#london#coventyr#birmingham#bradford england#montpelier#liege belgium#malmo sweden#malmo#rape#crime
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By: Jason L. Riley
Published: Dec 12, 2023
A decade ago, New York City launched a campaign to combat teen pregnancy. It featured ads on buses and subway cars that read: “If you finish high school, get a job, and get married before having children, you have a 98% chance of not being in poverty.”
That advice, more popularly known as the “success sequence,” is often credited to research done by Brookings Institution scholars Isabel Sawhill and Ron Haskins, though others have made similar observations. In his recent book, “Agency,” Ian Rowe of the American Enterprise Institute writes that the message “has attracted many admirers because of the simplicity of the three steps that young people, even if born into disadvantaged circumstances or raised by a young single parent, can themselves control and take in their lives.”
The effort nevertheless faced significant backlash from detractors who accused then-Mayor Michael Bloomberg of stigmatizing teen pregnancy and pushing a “moralistic, conservative agenda to revitalize marriage,” Mr. Rowe writes. Mr. Bloomberg’s successor, Bill de Blasio, ultimately abandoned the effort. Public moralizing has since fallen further out of favor and been replaced by a kind of self-congratulatory nonjudgmentalism. In today’s New York, you’re likely to see ads for free syringes and directions to “safe” injections sites for junkies, even as drug overdoses have reached record levels.
We could use more of that moralizing from public officials, whether the issue is solo parenting, substance abuse or crime. The success sequence works to keep people not only off the dole but also out of trouble with the law. High-school graduates and children raised by both parents are much less likely to end up in jail. “Virtually every major social pathology,” political scientist Stephen Baskerville writes, “has been linked to fatherless children: violent crime, drug and alcohol abuse, truancy, unwed pregnancy, suicide, and psychological disorders—all correlating more strongly with fatherlessness than with any other single factor, surpassing even race and poverty.”
America’s crime debate tends to focus on so-called root causes, such as joblessness. But it’s worth remembering that the sharpest increase in violent crime began in the 1960s, a decade that saw low unemployment, strong economic growth and a doubling of black household incomes. As notable, labor-force participation rates of young black men fell during the 1980s and ’90s, one of the longest periods of sustained economic growth in U.S. history.
A new academic paper from the Institute for Family Studies doesn’t deny that economic conditions play a role in criminal behavior. And co-authors Rafael Mangual, Brad Wilcox, Joseph Price and Seth Cannon write that “changes in law-enforcement and the prosecution of criminals have also had a hand in the recent uptick in violent crime in American cities.” The paper’s main argument, however, is that family instability may be the biggest factor of all and that it’s not receiving the attention it deserves.
“Cities are safer when two-parent families are dominant and more crime-ridden when family instability is common,” the authors write. Nationwide, the total crime rate is about 48% higher in cities “that have above the median share of single-parent families, compared to cities that have fewer single-parent families.” Even when controlling for variables such as race, income and educational attainment, “the association between family structure and total crime rates, as well as violent crime rates, in cities across the United States remains statistically significant.”
Having a father around, the authors note, is about more than an additional paycheck. Fathers teach their sons responsibility, self-control, how to carry themselves, how to treat women. They tend to be more effective disciplinarians, and their involvement in childrearing is linked to positive outcomes in the academic development of their children, “especially in mathematics and verbal skills.” That finding “has been established for both sons and daughters but, unsurprisingly, it is especially pronounced among boys. The presence of married fathers is also protective against school suspensions and expulsions, as well as the risk of dropping out of high school.”
Between 1960 and 2019, the percentage of babies in the U.S. born to unwed mothers grew from 5% to almost 50%. “Shifts from the late-1960s to the 1990s away from stable families have left some cities, and especially some neighborhoods, vulnerable to higher rates of crime, especially violent crime,” the study concludes. “We need to realign material and cultural incentives in our cities to favor marriage and stable families, not undercut them.”
We all know single mothers��some of us even may be related to them—who heroically beat these odds and raised children that have gone on to lead productive lives. The public-policy goal should be to reduce the number of people who will have to face those odds. And that means calling out behavior that is objectively harmful to people and society in general.
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Study: Stronger Families, Safer Streets: Exploring Links Between Family Structure and Crime
Executive Summary This Institute for Family Studies report finds that strong families are associated with less crime in cities across the United States, as well in neighborhoods across Chicago. Specifically, our analyses indicate that the total crime rate in cities with high levels of single parenthood are 48% higher than those with low levels of single parenthood. When it comes to violent crime and homicide, cities with high levels of single parenthood have 118% higher rates of violence and 255% higher rates of homicide. And in Chicago, our analysis of census tract data from the city shows that tracts with high levels of single-parent-headed households face 137% higher total crime rates, 226% higher violent crime rates, and 436% higher homicide rates, compared to tracts with low levels of single parenthood. We also find that poverty, education, and race are linked to city and census-tract level trends in crime. In general, in cities across America, and on the streets of Chicago, this report finds that public safety is greater in communities where the twoparent family is the dominant norm.
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Not everything needs to be normalized or destigmatized.
The problem with the discussion around addressing social issues is that many people only want to do the politically virtuous thing, not the harder, more politically difficult thing. They want to shout, "defund the police!" But they don't want to do anything that would actually facilitate a reduction in the need for police.
What this tells us is that they don't really care about actually solving it, they just want to be seen to care about it. Indeed, if it was resolved, it would be politically inconvenient, as they'd no longer be able to posture around it.
#Jason L. Riley#fatherlessness#success sequence#crime#violent crime#homicide#crime rate#teen pregnancy#drug abuse#alcohol abuse#truancy#suicide#psychological disorders#social pathology#law enforcement#religion is a mental illness
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How low do yall think the rent is in Gotham? Because I think that has to be cheap due to the high crime rate around there due to the daily chaos.
Also how much fan fiction do yall think the residents of Gotham make fanfiction on the villains and the bat family and other heros?
#dc universe#adhd thoughts#gotham#rent#crime rate#crime#bat family#batman#joker#harly quinn#cat woman#superman
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The media is obsessed with spreading bad news. Their business model is poison for society.
Property crime is at 60 year lows. The trend has been going down for 30 years.
Listen to a FOX indoctrinated idiot and they will have you believe the world is ending.
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Jessica Tisch Sworn in as New York City Police Commissioner
Jessica Tisch Sworn in as New York Police Commissioner On Monday, Jessica Tisch took her oath of office as the 48th commissioner of the New York City Police Department, amid a backdrop of scrutiny regarding her qualifications leading a force of over 34,000 officers. Mayor Eric Adams defended her appointment, emphasizing that, “She can wear any uniform she wants and accomplish the task.” This…
#accountability#challenges#crime rate#Edward Caban#Eric Adams#federal investigation#female leader#Jessica Tisch#law enforcement#morale#New York City Police Department#Police Commissioner
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Crime Rate Drops in State: AP Home Minister
Vijayawada: Home Minister Vangalapudi Anitha has claimed that the crime rate in Andhra Pradesh has come down during the past five months of the alliance government. The minister was replying to questions in the Legislative Council on Monday from members Varudu Kalyani, Mondikota Aruna Kumar and Chandragiri Yesuratnam. Vanitha came up with a comparison of the present and previous years’ figures.…
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Opinion: The Great Imbalance
By promoting responsible gun ownership and addressing social issues, society can foster security without compromising individual rights.
#Civil Rights#Crime Rate#criminal empowerment#firearm regulation#Government Regulation#Gun Control#gun rights#Illegal Firearms#illicit firearm trade#Personal Protection#public safety#responsible ownership#Second Amendment#Self-Defense#Weapon Legislation
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Thieves Strike Workshop in Jamshedpur's Mango Area
Tools and iron worth lakhs stolen; BJP leader demands swift action Key Points: • Workshop in Mangal Colony robbed, tools and iron stolen • Owner informs BJP leader Vikas Singh about the incident • Singh urges police to increase patrols and arrest culprits JAMSHEDPUR – A workshop in Mango’s Dimna Basti falls victim to theft, with thieves escaping with valuable tools and iron worth lakhs of…
#अपराध#BJP leader Vikas Singh#Crime#Crime Rate#Jamshedpur#Mango Dimna Basti#Nand Kishore Sharma#police patrols#Ulidih police station#workshop theft
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Explore the Neighbourhood Before You Buy
Choosing where to live is a major decision, and the quality of the surrounding community plays a crucial role in your overall happiness and satisfaction. It’s not always easy to form an accurate impression of a neighborhood until you move in, but doing thorough preliminary research can help minimize the risk of buyer’s remorse. Here are five essential strategies for researching a neighborhood…
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#Community Quality#Crime Rate#Daily Commute#Home Buying Tips#Investment Trends#Jamaica Homes#Jamaica Real Estate#Local Residents#Neighborhood Research#Property Values
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https://www.ocalapost.com/as-the-murder-rate-rises-the-investigation-continues-after-two-found-shot-to-death/
As the murder rate rises, the investigation continues after two found shot to death
Photo; Ocala Post
Ocala, Florida -- As the murder/homicide rate in Marion County continues to rise, another deadly shooting is being investigated by the Marion County Sheriff's Office. The investigation continues after Marion County Sheriff's detectives were notified of the shooting deaths of two people
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