#Trading with RSI and MACD
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signode-blog · 3 days ago
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Trading Strategies for Channel Patterns
How to Trade Channel Patterns: A Comprehensive Guide Trading in financial markets often requires a keen understanding of price action and chart patterns. One of the most popular and versatile tools in technical analysis is the Channel Pattern. This guide will walk you through what channel patterns are, how to identify them, and actionable strategies for trading these patterns effectively. By the…
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Sniper entry Scalper mode on #XAUUSD Gold Signal M1 Timeframe MT4. Non Repaint signals more info in official Website: wWw.ForexCashpowerIndicator.com . Cashpower Indicator Lifetime license one-time fee with No Lag & Non Repaint buy and sell powerful Signals with Smart algorithms that emit signals in big trades volume zones. . ✅ NO Monthly Fees ✅ NON REPAINT / NON LAGGING 🔔 Sound And Popup Notifications 🔥 Powerful & Profitable AUTO-Trade Option . ✅ ** Exclusive: Constant Refinaments and Updates in Ultimate version will be applied automatically directly within the metatrader 4 platform of the customer who has access to his License.** . ( Ultimate Version Promotion price 60% off. Promo price end at any time / This Trade image was created at XM brokerage. Signals may vary slightly from one broker to another ). . ✅ Highlight: This Version contains a new coding technology, which minimizes unprofitable false signals ( with Filter ), focusing on profitable reversals in candles with signals without delay. More Accuracy and Works in all charts mt4, Forex, bonds, indices, metals, energy, crypto currency, binary options. . 🛑 Be Careful Warning: A Fake imitation reproduction of one Old ,stayed behind, outdated Version of our Indicator are in some places that not are our old Indi. Beware, this FAKE FILE reproduction can break and Blown your Mt4 account.
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allaboutforexworld · 6 months ago
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Fibonacci Trading: Forex Trading Strategy Explained
Fibonacci trading is a popular forex trading strategy that utilizes the Fibonacci sequence and its ratios to predict potential price movements and retracement levels. This method helps traders identify entry and exit points, making it an essential tool in forex trading. Understanding Fibonacci Sequence The Fibonacci sequence is a series of numbers where each number is the sum of the two preceding…
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bitcoinversus · 5 days ago
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Quantitative Analysis vs. Technical Chart Analysis in Cryptocurrency Markets
Cryptocurrency markets are notoriously volatile, and traders have long relied on technical chart analysis to make decisions. This method involves identifying patterns, using indicators like moving averages and RSI, and drawing trendlines to predict future price movements. However, as markets evolve, many traders are turning to quantitative analysis (quant analysis) for a more data-driven…
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dencyemily · 1 year ago
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Mastering Solana's Volatility: Unlocking Strategic Trading Levels for Optimal Returns
Solana has recently demonstrated remarkable resilience in the cryptocurrency market, experiencing a substantial rebound after briefly touching the $75-80 price range. This notable recovery not only showcases Solana's volatile nature but also indicates strong market resilience and sustained investor interest. According to insights from Daan Crypto, a prominent figure in the crypto trading community, Solana's market behavior has presented both challenges and opportunities for investors, emphasizing the importance of strategic price levels.
The analysis highlights the swift response of the market to favorable buying zones, with Solana's price bouncing back impressively from the $75-80 region. Daan Crypto's trading experience underscores the nuanced strategy required to navigate Solana's market successfully, emphasizing timing and patience as crucial factors.
Traders are advised to monitor key levels identified in the analysis. A potential retreat to the $75 level is considered an attractive entry point, signaling confidence in Solana's ability to rally. Additionally, the analysis identifies a critical resistance zone between $138-148, marking pivotal levels for determining Solana's future price trajectory.
Solana's recent market growth is reflected in its current value of $97.85, indicating a 0.73% increase in the last 24 hours. The surge in trading volume, reaching $2.88 billion, further emphasizes heightened market activity. With a market cap of $42 billion, Solana holds a significant position in the cryptocurrency market, ranking fifth by CoinMarketCap.
Technical analyses provide additional support for Solana's bullish outlook. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator signals positive momentum, and the Relative Strength Index (RSI) nearing the 50 mark suggests a potential bullish trend in the near term. The positioning of the 20 Exponential Moving Average (EMA) over the 50-EMA adds to the optimistic outlook, indicating the potential for further gains in Solana's market performance.
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cryptoschmypto · 2 years ago
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Here Is A List Of The Most Common Trading Indicators
In trading, an indicator is a statistical measure of market conditions used to forecast price changes. These are some of the most commonly used trading indicators, which are typically available on trading platforms like KuCoin: Simple Moving Average (SMA): An average of the price over a certain number of periods (like days or hours). The formula for SMA is (A1+A2+A3…+An)/n, where A is the asset…
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dragonflycap · 2 months ago
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What to expect from the stock market this week
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Last week, the review of the macro market indicators saw with October in the books and heading into the election and FOMC meeting, equity markets experienced a Halloween spooking. Elsewhere looked for Gold ($GLD) to continue its uptrend while Crude Oil ($USO) consolidated at the bottom of a broad range. The US Dollar Index ($DXY) looked to consolidate in its uptrend while US Treasuries ($TLT) pulled back in their consolidation. The Shanghai Composite ($ASHR) looked to continue the short term move higher while Emerging Markets ($EEM) pulled back in their uptrend.
The Volatility Index ($VXX) looked to remain at a neutral level, above the base established this year, and was likely to stay there at least until after the election. This might make for choppy light trading for equity markets to start next week. Their charts looked strong on the longer timeframe though. On the shorter timeframe both the $QQQ and $SPY had reset momentum measures lower and could reverse or turn bearish, likely a couple of days’ time would tell. The $IWM did not seem concerned about an election or Fed policy, churning sideways.
The week saw major movements happen following the election. It played out with Gold pulling back from its high Wednesday before a partial recovery while Crude Oil found some strength and moved higher in a choppy range. The US Dollar jumped to a 4 month high while Treasuries fell back to a 5½ month low Wednesday before a recovery. The Shanghai Composite continued the move to the upside while Emerging Markets chopped in a wide range.
Volatility crashed down to the low end of the range since August. This put a stiff breeze at the backs of equities and they started to move up Tuesday and then accelerated Wednesday through the end of the week. This resulted in the SPY and QQQ printing a new all-time highs Wednesday, Thursday and Friday and the IWM gapping up to a 1 year high. What does this mean for the coming week? Let’s look at some charts.
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The SPY came into the week at the 50 day SMA on the daily chart in a pullback from the top. It had a gap left open from the end of the week. It held there on Monday and then started higher Tuesday, into the gap. It gapped up Wednesday to finish at a new all-time high and leaving an island below. It followed that up with new all-time highs Thursday and Friday. The Bollinger Bands® are open to the upside. The RSI is rising deep in the bullish zone with the MACD positive and rising.
The weekly chart shows a strong, long bullish candle rising from the 161.8% extension of the retracement of the 2022 drop. The 200% extension is now within view at 614 above. The RSI is rising near overbought territory in the bullish zone with the MACD drifting up and positive. There is no resistance above 599.60. Support lower sits at 585 and 580 then 574.50 and 571.50 before 565.50 and 556.50. Uptrend.
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With the Presidential Election and November FOMC meeting in the rearview mirror, equity markets showed jubilation as they vaulted higher. Elsewhere look for Gold to in its uptrend while Crude Oil consolidates in a broad range. The US Dollar Index continues to move to the upside while US Treasuries consolidate in their pullback. The Shanghai Composite looks to continue the move higher while Emerging Markets chop in their short term uptrend.
The Volatility Index looks to remain low and drifting lower following the election making it easier for equity markets to continue higher. Their charts look strong on both timeframes, especially the SPY and QQQ. The IWM has now joined the party, a stone’s throw away from making its first new all-time high in 2 years. Use this information as you prepare for the coming week and trad’em well.
Join the Premium Users and you can view the Full Version with 20 detailed charts and analysis: Macro Week in Review/Preview November 8, 2024
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artbusiness5 · 5 months ago
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Forex Trading
Forex trading, or foreign exchange trading, involves buying and selling currencies to profit from changes in exchange rates. Here’s a detailed guide to get you started:
1. Understanding Forex Trading
Currency Pairs: Forex trading always involves trading one currency for another. Currencies are quoted in pairs (e.g., EUR/USD, GBP/JPY). The first currency is the base currency, and the second is the quote currency.
Pips: The smallest unit of movement in a currency pair’s exchange rate. For most pairs, a pip is 0.0001.
Leverage: Allows you to control a large position with a relatively small amount of money. While leverage can amplify profits, it also increases risk.
2. Setting Up Your Forex Trading
Choose a Reliable Broker: Select a forex broker that offers a user-friendly trading platform, competitive spreads, and good customer service. Look for brokers with a solid reputation and proper regulatory oversight (e.g., regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) or the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC)).
Open a Trading Account: After selecting a broker, open a trading account. Many brokers offer demo accounts where you can practice trading without real money.
Deposit Funds: Fund your trading account with an amount you’re comfortable with. Remember, forex trading can be risky, so only invest money you can afford to lose.
3. Develop a Trading Strategy
Technical Analysis: Uses historical price data and charts to forecast future price movements. Key tools include indicators (like Moving Averages, RSI, MACD) and chart patterns (like head and shoulders, flags).
Fundamental Analysis: Involves analyzing economic indicators, news events, and other factors that might impact currency values. Key indicators include GDP, interest rates, inflation, and employment data.
Risk Management: Set stop-loss and take-profit orders to manage risk and protect your capital. Determine how much you’re willing to risk on each trade.
4. Executing Trades
Place Orders: Use your broker’s trading platform to place trades. You can choose from various order types, such as market orders, limit orders, and stop orders.
Monitor and Adjust: Keep track of your trades and the market conditions. Adjust your strategies and positions as needed based on market movements and your trading plan.
5. Continuous Learning and Improvement
Stay Informed: Follow financial news, economic reports, and market analyses to stay up-to-date with factors affecting currency markets.
Review and Reflect: Regularly review your trades to understand what worked and what didn’t. Learning from past trades helps improve your strategy.
Adapt: Forex markets are dynamic and can change quickly. Be ready to adapt your strategies to new market conditions.
6. Avoiding Common Pitfalls
Overleveraging: Using high leverage can lead to significant losses. Start with lower leverage until you gain more experience.
Emotional Trading: Avoid making decisions based on emotions. Stick to your trading plan and strategy.
Lack of Research: Ensure you conduct thorough research and analysis before making trading decisions.
Resources for Learning Forex Trading
Books: “Trading in the Zone” by Mark Douglas, “Currency Trading for Dummies” by Brian Dolan and Kathleen Brooks.
Online Courses: Platforms like Coursera, Udemy, and Babypips offer courses on forex trading.
Websites: Follow financial news on websites like Bloomberg, CNBC, and Reuters.
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tradesignalsbusiness · 1 year ago
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Mastering forex signals for trend following: a comprehensive guide
The foreign exchange market, or Forex, is a dynamic and ever-changing arena where traders seek to capitalize on currency price movements. One popular trading strategy is trend following, which involves identifying and following the prevailing market direction. Forex signals play a crucial role in assisting traders to navigate the complexities of trend following. In this comprehensive guide, we will explore the intricacies of Forex signals for trend following, helping you understand how to leverage them effectively for successful trading.
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Understanding Trend Following
Trend following is a strategy that seeks to capitalize on the directionality of market prices. The basic premise is simple: identify the prevailing trend and place trades in the same direction. Trends can be upward (bullish), downward (bearish), or sideways (range-bound). Successful trend following involves entering a trade at the beginning of a trend and exiting when the trend shows signs of reversal.
The Role of Forex Signals
Forex signals serve as triggers for traders, indicating opportune moments to enter or exit a trade. These signals are generated through a thorough analysis of market data, including technical indicators, fundamental factors, and sometimes a combination of both. For trend following, signals become particularly crucial as they guide traders on when to jump on a trend and when to step aside.
Key Components of Forex Signals for Trend Following
1. Technical Indicators:
Moving Averages: These are fundamental tools in trend following. A moving average smoothens price data to create a single flowing line. Traders often look for crossovers, where short-term moving averages cross above long-term ones, as a signal to enter a trade.
Relative Strength Index (RSI): RSI measures the speed and change of price movements. A high RSI may indicate overbought conditions, suggesting a potential reversal, while a low RSI may indicate oversold conditions, signaling a potential buying opportunity.
Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD): MACD is a trend-following momentum indicator that shows the relationship between two moving averages of a security’s price.
2. Fundamental Analysis:
While trend following is predominantly a technical strategy, incorporating fundamental analysis can enhance the accuracy of signals. Economic indicators, interest rates, and geopolitical events can significantly impact currency trends.
3. Price Action:
Pure price action analysis involves studying the historical price movements of a currency pair. Identifying patterns, such as higher highs and higher lows in an uptrend, can provide strong signals for trend following.
Choosing a Reliable Signal Provider
With the plethora of signal providers available, it's essential to choose a reliable one. Consider the following factors:
Track Record: A provider's historical performance is a crucial indicator of their reliability. Look for providers with a consistent track record of accurate signals.
Transparency: Transparent signal providers disclose their methods, including the criteria for generating signals and their risk management strategies.
Risk-Reward Ratio: A good signal provider should have a clear risk-reward ratio for each signal, helping you manage your trades effectively.
Implementing Forex Signals for Trend Following
Once you've selected a signal provider or developed a reliable system, the implementation phase is critical. Here are some tips:
Risk Management: Set clear risk parameters for each trade. This includes defining the percentage of your trading capital you're willing to risk on a single trade.
Position Sizing: Adjust the size of your positions based on the strength of the signal and the volatility of the market.
Stay Informed: While signals provide valuable insights, staying informed about broader market trends and events is crucial. Unexpected news can impact the Forex market.
Continuous Evaluation: Regularly assess the performance of your chosen signals and be prepared to adjust your strategy if market conditions change.
Conclusion
Forex signals for trend following can be powerful tools in a trader's arsenal, helping to identify and capitalize on market trends. However, success in Forex trading requires a comprehensive understanding of both the strategy and the market itself. By combining technical indicators, fundamental analysis, and a disciplined approach to risk management, traders can use Forex signals to navigate the complex world of trend following with confidence. Remember, no strategy guarantees success, and ongoing learning and adaptation are essential for long-term success in the Forex market.
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primexalgo · 1 month ago
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allaboutforexworld · 7 months ago
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Momentum Trading: Forex Trading Strategy Explained
Momentum trading is a strategy that seeks to capitalize on the continuance of existing trends in the market. By focusing on the strength of price movements, traders can make informed decisions and optimize their profits. What is Momentum Trading? Momentum trading involves buying and selling currency pairs based on recent price trends. The core idea is that strong movements in the market tend to…
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googleblogs123 · 2 months ago
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Forex Trading Strategies: Navigating Market Trends Amid Economic Shifts
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Forex traders need adaptable strategies to thrive in unpredictable market conditions. This post focuses on forex trading methods such as scalping, market trend analysis, and risk management.
Gold is currently experiencing bearish momentum, with RSI divergence suggesting further declines. While short-term pullbacks may occur, traders can capitalize on these movements with scalping strategies aimed at price dips.
Silver’s price action shows a pullback, but the overall market remains bearish. RSI and MACD signals hint at potential for a temporary rally. Scalping traders should focus on short-term selling opportunities.
The U.S. dollar continues to strengthen as inflation fears delay potential rate cuts. The DXY index reflects this, offering opportunities for traders to go long on USD pairs, including USDJPY and USDCHF.
GBPUSD is maintaining a bearish trend, with minimal resistance to further declines. Short-term pullbacks could offer opportunities for scalping, but the long-term outlook remains negative.
The Australian dollar is showing consolidation, lacking clear direction. Traders should wait for a breakout before entering positions, using proper forex risk control measures to manage volatility.
NZDUSD is in a downtrend, with RSI suggesting a possible short-term reversal. However, the broader trend remains bearish, offering short-term selling opportunities for scalpers.
EURUSD remains weak, with both RSI and MACD signaling further declines. Scalping traders can take advantage of short pullbacks while keeping a bearish outlook.
USDJPY continues its bullish momentum, supported by strong buying pressure. Traders should use caution and manage risk, looking for potential overbought signals.
USDCHF is moving upward, but a pullback seems likely. Traders can capitalize on small price movements through scalping strategies while managing risk.
USDCAD shows signs of a potential pullback after an uptrend. Traders should wait for confirmation and use forex signals to time entries and exits effectively.
With effective forex trading methods like scalping, market analysis, and risk control, traders can adapt to market fluctuations and maximize profits.
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poshpriya · 2 months ago
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Chart Chaser: A Trader’s Obsession with Technical Analysis on MintCFD
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In the realm of online trading, a “Chart Chaser” is a trader who relies heavily on technical analysis. These traders obsessively study charts, patterns, and indicators to identify the optimal entry and exit points for their trades. While some traders focus on market news or economic fundamentals, Chart Chasers believe that the key insights lie within the patterns and trends shown in the data itself. For users on MintCFD, adopting the Chart Chaser approach can be rewarding, especially given the wide range of tools and various trading chart patterns available on the platform.
The Allure of Following Trends in Charts
Chart Chasers are drawn to technical analysis because it offers a visual and data-driven way to understand market behavior. By studying price movements, volume, and indicators, they look for recurring patterns, such as Double Bottoms, Head and Shoulders, and Moving Averages, which they believe can predict future price action. With the MintCFD trading app, traders have access to advanced charting tools that make it easy to become a Chart Chaser, allowing for in-depth analysis and strategy development.
Key Tools on the MintCFD Platform for Chart Chasers
MintCFD’s platform is rich with tools tailored for those who take a technical approach. Here are some essentials for the dedicated Chart Chaser:
Real-Time Charting Tools: MintCFD offers detailed, real-time charts that provide instant insights into price movements. For a Chart Chaser, these charts are invaluable as they capture every shift and trend in the market, allowing them to act quickly based on the latest data.
Diverse Chart Patterns: From Candlestick charts to Line charts, MintCFD provides several options, enabling traders to switch between patterns based on their trading style. For instance, Candlestick patterns are often favored by Chart Chasers because they reveal price action in detail, helping traders identify trends and reversals.
Technical Indicators: Popular indicators, such as the RSI (Relative Strength Index), MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence), and Bollinger Bands, are available on MintCFD to help Chart Chasers confirm their hypotheses. These indicators can signal overbought or oversold conditions, momentum changes, and potential trend reversals.
Custom Alerts: MintCFD’s alert system lets Chart Chasers set notifications based on specific price movements, helping them act on technical signals even if they’re not actively monitoring their screens. This way, they never miss a crucial trade opportunity based on their analysis.
Benefits and Pitfalls of Being a Chart Chaser
For those who love data, becoming a Chart Chaser offers unique advantages, but it also comes with some potential pitfalls. Here’s how to manage both on the MintCFD Platform:
Benefits: Technical analysis is highly data-driven, meaning decisions are based on objective data rather than emotional responses. By relying on chart patterns and indicators, Chart Chasers can create highly structured strategies with specific entry and exit points. With MintCFD’s intuitive tools, they can continuously refine their methods and explore different indicators.
Pitfalls: Focusing solely on technical analysis can lead to “analysis paralysis,” where a trader over-analyzes and hesitates to act. Additionally, ignoring market news and economic factors may leave a Chart Chaser blind to important influences. MintCFD offers market news and insights alongside technical tools, helping Chart Chasers balance their analysis with a broader context.
Master the Market on MintCFD Trading App: Stop Over-Analyzing and Start Thriving as a Chart Chaser
To succeed as a Chart Chaser without getting caught in a loop of over-analysis, it’s essential to have a plan and set clear criteria for entering and exiting trades. MintCFD’s watchlists and alert systems can help keep track of multiple assets without overwhelming yourself with constant analysis. Having a set of “go-to” indicators and patterns also helps prevent information overload.
Final Thoughts
For traders who thrive on technical data, becoming a Chart Chaser can be an exciting and rewarding journey. MintCFD is an ideal platform for these traders, with its robust charting tools, real-time indicators, and customizable alerts. While it’s easy to get caught up in the details, the best Chart Chasers know when to step back and trust their analysis. By balancing data with a disciplined approach, MintCFD users can make the most of their technical strategies and succeed in the dynamic world of trading.
Take control of your trading journey with the MintCFD Trading App
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dencyemily · 1 year ago
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Ethereum ETFs Awaited in the Crypto Market: FOMO on the Horizon?
In a significant development, several traditional asset managers from the world of traditional finance (TradFi) have filed applications for the creation of spot Ethereum Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs). This move is seen as a crucial step toward mainstream adoption of Ethereum (ETH), the second-largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization. Notable firms such as VanEck, 21Shares, ARK, Hashdex, Grayscale, Invesco, Galaxy, BlackRock, and Fidelity have submitted proposals, each with varying deadlines set between May and August 2024.
The filing of these ETF applications has ignited anticipation in the crypto market, with investors and enthusiasts closely watching the developments. The diverse set of deadlines for ETF proposals suggests that the cryptocurrency community can expect heightened interest and trading activity leading up to and during these timelines. The prospect of Fear Of Missing Out (FOMO) gripping the market has been highlighted, potentially resulting in increased market participation.
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samdrews · 7 months ago
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Bitcoin (BTC) gained significant momentum this week, pushing toward a $1 trillion market cap. Trading over $23,000 and approaching $23,500, Bitcoin leads the crypto market surge.
Cryptocurrencies prices heatmap, source: Coin360
Altcoins also saw strong gains despite Bitcoin dominating the spotlight. Ethereum (ETH) remains above $1,500, while Ripple (XRP) is up 1.60% at $0.4165, and Polkadot (DOT) has risen 2.42%.
Altcoin season is evident with Cardano (ADA), Binance Coin (BNB), Litecoin (LTC), Bitcoin Cash (BCH), and Chainlink (LINK) all recording minor gains. The overall crypto market capitalization has surged past $1 trillion, though Bitcoin’s dominance has dropped to 41.17%.
Top gainers include GALA, up over 27%, and other strong performers like Trust Wallet Token, Avalanche, Enjin Coin, Flax Share, and GMX token, each gaining over 10%.
Top gainers and losers of the day: CoinMarketCap
Despite Genesis Capital’s bankruptcy on Jan. 19, the market sentiment remains bullish, with investors continuing to enter the crypto space. Over the week, market capitalization climbed 7%, and 11 of the top 80 coins saw gains of 18% or more.
Bitcoin price analysis
Bitcoin is at $23,003.26, up 0.13% in the last 24 hours, with a market cap of $444.7 billion. Bitcoin has risen 36% over the past 30 days, with support at $22,200 and resistance at $24,000. Trading above the 21-day EMA, Bitcoin shows bullish control, with the RSI above 50 and a positive MACD indicating potential sideways trading before another move.
Ethereum Price Analysis
Ethereum is trading at $1,591.12, consolidating above $1,500 despite a slight dip. Its market cap is $186 billion. Up over 33% in the past 30 days, Ethereum shows bullish sentiment. Support is at $1,540 and resistance at $1,620. A stagnant triangle pattern suggests an imminent directional move, with the RSI neutral and MACD bullish. The Stochastic RSI in the overbought zone indicates a potential pullback before further gains. Overall, the sentiment remains positive for ETH.
In January's final week, the market cap surpassed $1 trillion, while Bitcoin’s dominance rose.
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dragonflycap · 3 months ago
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What to expect from the stock market this week
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Last week, the review of the macro market indicators saw with just one full week of trading to go ahead of the election and November FOMC meeting, equity markets were set to go into the week after one of choppy trading. Elsewhere looked for Gold ($GLD) to continue its uptrend while Crude Oil ($USO) consolidated at the bottom of a broad range. The US Dollar Index ($DXY) continued to move to the upside while US Treasuries ($TLT) pulled back in consolidation. The Shanghai Composite ($ASHR) looked to continue the short term move higher while Emerging Markets ($EEM) consolidated in their young uptrend.
The Volatility Index ($VXX) looked to remain low and stable making the path easier for equity markets to the upside. Their charts looked strong, especially on the longer timeframe. On the shorter timeframe both the $QQQ and $SPY had reset on momentum measures as they moved sideways. The $IWM continued to disappoint with another sputtered break out reversing.
The week played out with Gold ripping to a new all-time high before profit taking left it little changed on the week while Crude Oil gapped down Monday and slowly recovered through Friday. The US Dollar met resistance and consolidated at the late July high while Treasuries held in a tight range consolidating the pullback. The Shanghai Composite shifted to consolidating the move higher while Emerging Markets continued to drift lower threatening the short term uptrend.
Volatility ticked up to touch recent resistance and held. This put pressure on equities midweek and they pulled back Wednesday and Thursday before a bounce Friday. This resulted in the SPY breaking its 5 month winning streak in October and the QQQ falling just short of retesting the all-time high. The IWM continued in its own world moving mostly sideways. What does this mean for the coming week? Let’s look at some charts.
SPY Daily, $SPY
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The SPY came into the week consolidating near the all-time high and above the 20 day SMA on the daily chart. It continued to hold there in a tight trading range through Wednesday. Thursday saw it gap down through the 20 day SMA and run to the 50 day SMA and lower end of the Bollinger Bands®. This was the 1st touch of the 50 day SMA in 6 weeks. It held there with an inside day Friday, a possible bottom signal. The RSI also pulled back, bouncing at the September low, and remaining in the bullish zone. The MACD is dropping but positive.
The weekly chart shows a second down week with a longer body candle. It remains well above the 20 week SMA though in healthy territory. The RSI on this timeframe is pulling back in the bullish zone with the MACD looking to cross down and positive. There is support lower at 565.50 and 556.50 then 549.50 and 545.50 before 542. Resistance higher is at 571.50 and 574.50 then 580 and 585. Pause in Uptrend.
SPY Weekly, $SPY
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With October in the books and heading into the election and FOMC meeting, equity markets experienced a Halloween spooking. Elsewhere look for Gold to continue its uptrend while Crude Oil consolidates at the bottom of a broad range. The US Dollar Index looks to consolidate in its uptrend while US Treasuries pullback in their consolidation. The Shanghai Composite looks to continue the short term move higher while Emerging Markets pullback in their uptrend.
The Volatility Index looks to remain at a neutral level, above the base established this year, likely at least until after the election. This could make for choppy light trading for equity markets to start next week. Their charts look strong on the longer timeframe though. On the shorter timeframe both the QQQ and SPY have reset momentum measures lower and could reverse or turn bearish, likely a couple of days’ time will tell. The IWM does not seem concerned about an election or Fed policy churning sideways. Use this information as you prepare for the coming week and trad’em well.
Join the Premium Users and you can view the Full Version with 20 detailed charts and analysis: Macro Week in Review/Preview November 1, 2024
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