#friederike otto

[higherentity]

[tomorrowusa]

There is "a tiny window" of hope remaining for keeping the climate from spinning out of control. But to keep that window open we need to keep professional climate deniers out of power.

Increasingly severe weather impacts had also been long signposted by scientists, although the speed and intensity of the reality scared some. The off-the-charts sea temperatures and Antarctic sea ice loss were seen as the most shocking. The feeling of entering a new age of devastation was the result of the return of the natural El Niño phenomenon, which has temporarily turbocharged global heating, they said. Another factor was many people being confronted with extreme weather they had never experienced before, as climate impacts began to clearly stand out from usual weather. The scientists were clear the world had not yet passed a “tipping point” into runaway climate change, but some warned that it got ever closer with continued heating.

The scientists also warned that the “crazy” extreme weather of recent months was just the “tip of the iceberg” compared with the even worse impacts to come. In just a decade the exceptional events of 2023 could be a normal year, unless there is a dramatic increase in climate action. Some further warned that the tendency of climate models to underestimate extreme weather meant we were “flying partially blind” into a future that could be even more catastrophic than anticipated. However, a “tiny window” of opportunity remained open to tackle the climate crisis, they said, with humanity having all the tools needed. The researchers overwhelmingly pointed to one action as critical: slashing the burning of fossil fuels down to zero. “Climate science’s projections are pretty robust over the last decades. Unfortunately, humanity’s stubbornness to spew out ever-higher amounts of greenhouse gases has also been pretty robust,” said Prof Malte Meinshausen, of the University of Melbourne, Australia.

There's a relatively simple prescription to keep things from getting worse.

“We need to stop burning fossil fuels,” said (Imperial College's Dr. Friederike) Otto. “Now – not sometime when we’ve allowed companies to make all the money they possibly can.” Others said the world was on “code red alert” to stop fossil fuel extraction and to fight to halt new exploration projects.

The stats are pretty damned clear about what's happening.

The first step in making things better is to stop them from getting worse. A certain political party in the US pretends that climate change is just "politicization of the weather". Making sure these people are not put in power gives us time to work on solutions.

Why Republicans can’t get out of their climate bind, even as extreme heat overwhelms the US

Even as more Republican politicians are joining the consensus that climate change is real and caused by humans, Trump’s inflammatory rhetoric has driven the party to the right on climate and extreme weather. Trump has called the extremely settled science of climate change a “hoax” and more recently suggested that the impacts of it “may affect us in 300 years.”

Even if some Republicans grudgingly admit that humans cause climate change, the influence of their party's Dear Leader will keep them from taking any action.

And if The Donald choked on a triple cheeseburger tomorrow, don't expect the party to abruptly swerve away from its extremist anti-science positions. It's not just Trump himself, it's Trumpism as exemplified by his Mini-Me Vivek Ramaswamay.

Vivek Ramaswamy calls climate change agenda a ‘hoax’ during debate

Here are some of the current "hoaxes" which Trump lickspittle Vivek doesn't want you to think about too much.

[allthecanadianpolitics]

Environment and Climate Change Canada says it's now able to publicly identify links between episodes of extreme heat and climate change within days of a weather event.

The federal department says that its scientists now have the ability to estimate the degree to which human-induced climate change played a role in a heat wave or extreme heat event within a week of it happening.

Friederike Otto, an internationally renowned climate researcher and one of the global leaders in weather attribution science, said Canada's weather service will be the first in the world to issue rapid analyses of heat events.

Continue Reading

Tagging: @newsfromstolenland

[tieflingkisser]

Why did so many die in Spain? Because Europe still hasn’t accepted the realities of extreme weather

Severe flooding is, unfortunately, inevitable. What isn’t inevitable is how ready we are, from early warning systems to emergency services

At the time of writing, the death toll has risen to 214. Battered cars and other debris are piled up in the streets, large swaths of Valencia remain underwater, and Spain is in mourning. On Sunday, anger erupted as the king and queen of Spain were pelted with mud and other objects by protesters. Why were so many lives lost in a flood that was well forecasted in a wealthy country? From the global north’s vantage point, the climate crisis, caused by the burning of coal, oil and gas, has long been seen as a distant threat, affecting poor people in the global south. This misconception has perpetuated a false sense of security. Scientists have long known that heating the climate with fossil fuel emissions will result in the intensification of floods, storms, heatwaves, drought and wildfires. However, it was not until 2004 that the first attribution study formally linked a weather event – the devastating 2003 European heatwave – to our changing climate. Despite the evidence, people have been hesitant to connect extreme weather with the climate crisis.

[mariacallous]

At the time of writing, the death toll has risen to 214. Battered cars and other debris are piled up in the streets, large swaths of Valencia remain underwater, and Spain is in mourning. On Sunday, anger erupted as the king and queen of Spain were pelted with mud and other objects by protesters. Why were so many lives lost in a flood that was well forecasted in a wealthy country?

From the global north’s vantage point, the climate crisis, caused by the burning of coal, oil and gas, has long been seen as a distant threat, affecting poor people in the global south. This misconception has perpetuated a false sense of security.

Scientists have long known that heating the climate with fossil fuel emissions will result in the intensification of floods, storms, heatwaves, drought and wildfires. However, it was not until 2004 that the first attribution study formally linked a weather event – the devastating 2003 European heatwave – to our changing climate. Despite the evidence, people have been hesitant to connect extreme weather with the climate crisis.

I founded World Weather Attribution in 2014 to shift the conversation. Our attribution studies are carried out quickly, over days or weeks, in the immediate aftermath of weather disasters to inform people in real time about the role of the climate crisis.

A quick analysis following the floods in Spain found that the climate emergency made the extreme rainfall about 12% more intense and twice as likely. Despite this, in Paiporta, where at least 62 people have died, the mayor said floods were not common and “people are not afraid”. But the changing climate is making once-rare events more common.

Record-breaking events such as these complicate preparedness – how do you communicate the extreme danger of something someone has never experienced before?

We saw this play out recently after Hurricane Helene made landfall. More than 200 people died in floods in the inland southern Appalachians region of the US. Despite warnings of “catastrophic and life-threatening” flooding ahead of the disaster, people were still caught out when disaster struck, and many could not appreciate how extreme the downpours were going to be.

However, in Spain, people were only warned as it was happening. Warnings were not sent until many people were already trapped in flooded houses or in underground car parks, trying to move their cars to higher ground.

The same happened – or rather didn’t happen – in Germany in 2021. No information was given on how to act and, crucially, no support was given to those who could not help themselves: in the German town of Sinzig, 12 residents of a home for disabled people drowned. Back in Spain, the deaths of the inhabitants of one care home have already been reported and I fear more disturbing stories such as this will emerge in the weeks to come.

World Weather Attribution has studied 30 devastating floods, and in almost all cases, including in developing countries, we’ve found that the rainfall was well forecast. But as we’ve seen in Spain, forecasting is not enough. The warnings, when they finally came, did not include vital information on where to evacuate to and how.

Local governments and emergency services are the essential mediator between the weather services and the people in harm’s way. They need to be strengthened and not dismantled, as had been the case with the Valencia Emergency Unit.

Clearly, Spain’s disaster systems need to improve. More widely, we need to ask some hard questions about international disaster funds – should the EU have funds for prevention, rather than cleaning up the mess after a disaster has struck? In my view, it absolutely has to increase funds and develop coordinated plans.

We will see more extreme weather events as long as we burn fossil fuels. Today we are at 1.3C of warming, but we are on track to experience up to 3C by 2100, which would mean similar floods in Spain increasing in frequency and severity. Without creating an action plan and knowing exactly how to implement it, as practised in drills, death tolls will always be high when a heat record is broken or a new region experiences hurricane-scale forces of rain, as happened in Spain.

Investing in people and emergency services will save lives. But governments also cannot build back the same way. Almost everywhere in Europe where people live, rivers are canalised, and all surfaces are sealed with concrete and asphalt to make a comfortable city for cars. If we want to start caring about people instead, we need to give rivers space again, so that they have somewhere else to go, rather than into people’s homes. Urban sprawl across Europe is creating ever more sealed surfaces and exposing an increasing number of people to devastating floods.

We Europeans need to learn and rebuild for a future that is only just emerging. But most urgently, we have to practise survival in a climate-changed world.

[allthegeopolitics]

https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2024/nov/04/spain-deaths-europe-realities-extreme-weather-flooding

[darkmaga-returns]

A week ago, the BBC published an article claiming that “researchers have been quick to point out the role that rising temperatures have had in making the Spanish floods worse.”

The propaganda news agency quoted Dr. Friederike Otto from Imperial College London as saying. “No doubt about it, these explosive downpours were intensified by climate change.”

It’s a shame BBC didn’t fact-check their article because according to data, the claim that floods were worse in Spain because of climate change is false. Additionally, BBC ignored Spain’s long history of sometimes catastrophic floods.

[rjzimmerman]

Excerpt from this story from Grist:

Like wildfires chewing through dried-out forests, hurricane after hurricane fed on extra-hot ocean water this summer and fall before slamming into communities along the Gulf Coast, causing hundreds of billions of dollars in damages and killing more than 300 people. The warmer the sea, the more potent the hurricane fuel, and the more energy a storm can consume and turn into wind. 

Human-made climate change made all of this season’s 11 hurricanes — from Beryl to Rafael — much worse, according to an analysis released on Wednesday from the nonprofit science group Climate Central. Scientists can already say that 2024 is the hottest year on record. By helping drive record-breaking surface ocean temperatures, planetary warming boosted the hurricanes’ maximum sustained wind speeds by between 9 and 28 miles per hour.

That bumped seven of this year’s storms into a higher category on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale, including the two Category 5 storms, Beryl and Milton. “Our analysis shows that we would have had zero Category 5 storms without human-caused climate change,” said Daniel Gilford, climate scientist at Climate Central, on a press call. “There’s really this impact on the intensity of the storms that we’re experiencing in the real world on a day-to-day basis.”

In a companion study also released Wednesday, Climate Central found that between 2019 and 2023, climate change accelerated hurricane wind speeds by an average of 18 mph. More than 80 percent of the hurricanes in that period were made significantly more intense by global warming, the study found. 

That’s making hurricanes more dangerous than ever. An 18 mph boost in wind speeds might not sound like much, but that can mean the difference between a Category 4 and a Category 5, which packs sustained winds of 157 mph or higher. Hurricanes have gotten so much stronger, scientists are considering modifying the scale. “The hurricane scale is capped at Category 5, but we might need to think about: Should that continue to be the case?” said Friederike Otto, a climatologist who cofounded the research group World Weather Attribution, on the press call. “Or do we have to talk about Category 6 hurricanes at some point? Just so that people are aware that something is going to hit them that is different from everything else they’ve experienced before.”

[farnwedel]

Jahresrückblick/book rec 2024

Ein frohes neues Jahr, loves. Lasst uns jede Gelegenheit nutzen, es zu einem guten zu machen. <3

In diesem Rückblick: Lizenz zum Beißen, Maurice, Mr. & Mr. (Sammelband), Go Tell The Bees That I Am Gone, Unlearn Patriarchy, Das verborgene Kind, Winterland und Todland.

Lizenz zum Beißen

Autor*in: Kerrelyn Sparks

Inhalt & Kommentar: hier

Empfehlenswert für: Fans der Reihe, sonst fehlt einiges an Kontext und Hintergrundwissen für Nebenfiguren; ansonsten ist es ein sehr unhinged, bizarres Leseereignis.

Maurice

Autor*in: E. M. Forster

Inhalt: Maurice entdeckt in einer Zeit, in der das den gesellschaftlichen Ruin bedeuten kann, seine Homosexualität und verliebt sich in seinen Kommilitonen Clive.

Kommentar: Ich weiß nicht, ob es an der Jahreszeit liegt, in der ich diese Bücher lese, oder an ihrer Haptik, aber sie haben immer etwas Deprimierendes und die nervlichen Zusammenbrüche der Hauptfiguren scheinen ein wiederkehrendes Thema zu sein. Aber immerhin endet dieses Buch hoffnungsvoll.

Empfehlenswert für: Freund*innen empfindsamer Literatur und Connoisseurs des "Hopeful Ending"-Tags auf AO3

Mr. & Mr. (Sammelband)

Autor*innen: Lorena Morrissen, Zoe Larsen, Sienna Miles

Inhalt & Kommentar: hier, hier und hier

Empfehlenswert für: seichte, queere Unterhaltung auf 'ner mittellangen Busfahrt durch die Pampa ohne genug Mobilfunk für den T-Tag auf AO3

Go Tell The Bees That I Am Gone

Autor*in: Diana Gabaldon

Inhalt: Claire, Jamie und alle irgendwie verwandten, verfeindeten, alliierten Personen leben im aufkommenden amerikanischen Unabhängigkeitskrieg.

Kommentar: Let it end.

Empfehlenswert für: Fans der Reihe, die den immer gleichen Plot, die immer gleichen Konflikte und die immer gleichen Figuren noch nicht über sind, I guess.

Unlearn Patriarchy

Autor*innen: Kübra Gümüşay, Linus Giese, Emilia Roig, Lena Marbacher, Friederike Otto, Laura Gehlhaar, Teresa Bücker, Madeleine Alizadeh, Olaolu Fajembola, Tebogo Nimindé-Dundadengar, Margret Rasfeld, Lisa Jaspers, Kristina Lunz, Ise Bosch, Kenza Ait Si Abbou, Naomi Ryland

Inhalt: Feministische Perspektiven auf Themen von Sprache über Arbeit, Rassismus, Familie, Politik bis hin zu Geld

Kommentar: Durchaus kurzweilig, bietet neue Sichtweisen, erweitert den Begriff von "Feminismus" um einige Dimensionen und Aspekte

Empfehlenswert für: alle, allerdings ist ein gewisses linkes Grundverständnis von Gesellschaft und Gender eine ratsame Grundvoraussetzung

Das verborgene Kind

Autor*in: Marcia Willett

Inhalt: Im Nachlass seiner Mutter entdeckt der Schriftsteller Matt Llewellyn Fotos von sich selbst als Kind, die ihm seltsam vorkommen, da er sich an die Kleidung oder Gegenstände darin nicht erinnern kann. Auf der Suche nach Antworten und sich selbst zieht er aufs Land zu seiner (Ersatz-)Familie, die alle mit ihren eigenen Dämonen kämpfen.

Kommentar: Ich hätte mir eine Fortsetzung sehr gewünscht, da ich erst am Ende des Buches das Gefühl hatte, jetzt mit der Exposition durch zu sein. Die sehr gut geschrieben war und mich mit allen Charakteren und deren persönlichen Geschichten, Beweggründen etc. vertraut gemacht hat! Ich hätte nur gern mehr von ihnen gelesen - und auch mehr Zusammenhängendes statt fünf parallel laufende Einzelschicksale.

Empfehlenswert für: Zugfahrten oder andere ruhige Stunden, in denen man nicht viele Kapazitäten zum Nachdenken hat und trotzdem angenehm unterhalten werden möchte.

Winterland

Autor*innen: Kim Faber, Janni Pedersen

Inhalt: In Kopenhagen sterben 21 Menschen bei einem Terroranschlag auf dem Weihnachtsmarkt. Gleichzeitig werden in einem Kaff in der dänischen Pampa zwei Menschen brutal ermordet. Kommissarin Signe Kristiansen und Kommissar Martin "Juncker" Junckersen ermitteln - zunächst in den jeweiligen Fällen getrennt.

Kommentar: ...hmpf. Die beiden Autoren sind TV-Moderatorin/Kriminalreporterin (Pedersen) bzw. Architekt/Journalist (Faber) und das merkt man. Ich möchte zu gern wissen, wer von den beiden für welchen Teil zuständig war, denn die leicht belehrende/herablassende Erzählweise (inkl. Anspielungen auf Dinge, die man als Dän*in in gut informierten und bezahlten Kreisen weiß, aber nicht als Deutsche, die einen Krimi liest) kann ich mir noch erklären, nicht aber den konstant bevormundenden bis sexualisierenden Unterton gegenüber ausnahmslos jeder weiblichen Figur in diesem Buch.

Empfehlenswert für: Fabers und Pedersens social circle, schätze ich.

Todland

Autor*innen: Kim Faber, Janni Pedersen

Inhalt: Junckers demnächst geschiedene Frau Charlotte erhält ein halbes Jahr nach dem Anschlag aus dem ersten Band einen Hinweis darauf, dass bei der Aufklärung Dinge vertuscht wurden. Sie geht den Hinweisen nach und begegnet Signes Mordermittlung. Juncker arbeitet derweil an der Aufklärung eines Mordes des ehemaligen Kollegen seines Vaters und hat Besuch von seiner Tochter.

Kommentar: In der ersten Hälfte sowohl zäh als auch unangenehm nah an den Ermittler*innen (ich muss echt nichts über Junckers altersbedingte Schwierigkeiten beim Pinkeln wissen, danke vielmals) und verfängt sich wieder in einigen seltsamen Beobachtungen/Beschreibungen von Figuren sowie in der permanenten horniness der Hauptfiguren; in der zweiten Hälfte nimmt das Buch jedoch mehr Fahrt auf und führt die Stränge zufriedenstellender zusammen, als das im ersten Band der Fall war. Insgesamt sehr leicht und schnell zu lesen.

Empfehlenswert für: einen Krimi zwischendurch, am besten bei kühleren Temperaturen, sonst schwitzt man mit.

[lesser-known-composers]

Heinrich Schütz (1585-1672) - Schütz: Symphoniae Sacrae II, Op. 10 - No. 1, Mein Herz ist bereit, Gott, SWV 341 ·

Tobias Mäthger · Margret Baumgartl · Matthias Müller · Andreas Arend · Friederike Otto · Beate Röllecke · Hans-Christoph Rademann

[nordleuchten]

La Fayette and the "Emkendorfer Kreis"

The Emkendorfer Kreis (the Emkendorf Circle) was a Danish-German intellectual society that focused mainly on literature, music and theological discussions. It was formed around Friederike Juliane Gräfin von Reventlow (Countess of Reventlow, pictured below.) The circle counted such luminaires like Matthias Claudius, Friedrich Gottlieb Klopstock, Matthias Claudius, Heinrich Christian Boie, Johann Heinrich Voß and Friedrich Heinrich Jacobi as its members. It was sometimes also referred to as the Weimar des Nordes (the Weimar of the North.)

The name of the group derived from the manor “Emkendorf” (pictured above) that was and to this day still is owned by the von Reventlow family. The von Reventlow family is a noble family with great influence in both Denmark and Germany. Several members of the family were diplomats and held high offices while also having significant influence on the academic and artistic landscape of their day. Although the influence of the family has diminished over the last two centuries, the family still has considerable holdings in northern Germany, is well connected and engaged in local politics. Gut Emkendorf in particular is often the venue for cultural or musical presentations, special markets were craftspeople can sell their goods as well as guided tours that touch on the regional as well as on the family history.

Gut Wittmold and Gut Lehmkuhlen, the two mansions where La Fayette and his family stayed during their exile in Danish-Holstein, are close by and the La Fayette’s as well as friends and other family members were guests at Gut Emkendorf and occasionally present when the Emkendorfer Kreis met. The relationship between the von Reventlow's and the La Fayette’s in particular was rather cold and reserved. I wrote in this post here about Friederike Juliane’s opinion on Adrienne and her sister Pauline, but there was far more to the matter.

Überhaupt hat der Aufenthalt all dieser Fremdlinge in Emkendorf dazu beigetragen, sich über die Ereignisse der Französischen Revolution genauer zu unterrichten, keineswegs aber das Urteil darüber zu mildern. Hier, wo ohnehin die alte ständische Gliederung als einzig wahre Staatsform betrachtet und deutscher Geisteskultur der Vorrang vor jeder anderen, besonders der französischen, gegeben wurde, konnten jene liberalen französischen Royalisten bei allem Mitgefühl für ihr Schicksal doch nicht auf volle Übereinstimmung mit ihren Zielen rechnen. Ein Mann wie Lafayette, der Holstein ebenfalls zu seinem Asyl für kurze Zeit erkor, ist in Emkendorf als unmittelbarer Mitschuldiger an den blutigen Anfängen der Revolution mit eisiger Kälte empfangen und wieder entlassen worden (…)

Otto Brandt, Geistesleben und Politik in Schleswig-Holstein um die Wende des 18. Jahrhunderts, Outlook Verlag GmbH, Frankfurt, 2022, original reprint from 1925, pp. 150-151.

My translation:

In general, the stay of all these foreigners in Emkendorf helped the people in Emkendorf to learn more about the events of the French Revolution, but in no way did it softened their judgment. Here, where the old system of goverment was regarded as the only true form of government and German intellectual culture was given priority over any other, especially French intellectual culture, those liberal French royalists, with all the sympathy for their fate, could not count on full agreement with their ideals. A man like Lafayette, who also chose Holstein as his asylum for a short time, was received in Emkendorf, as a direct accomplice in the bloody beginnings of the revolution, with icy coldness (...)

The next passage partly quotes a letter from Friedrich “Fritz“ Karl Graf von Reventlow (left, Friederike Juliane’s husband) to his brother Cay Friedrich Graf von Reventlow (right) from June 1, 1798

Übrigens war man in Emkendorf überzeugt, dass Lafayette bei „seinem stillen und eingezogenen Wesen“ sich nicht „als Werkzeug brauchen lasse“ und nicht „kleine niedrige Künste und Ränke“ anwende um „den Geist der Revolution auch im Norden zu erregen“.

Otto Brandt, Geistesleben und Politik in Schleswig-Holstein um die Wende des 18. Jahrhunderts, Outlook Verlag GmbH, Frankfurt, 2022, original reprint from 1925, pp. 151.

My translation:

People in Emkendorf were convinced that Lafayette, with “his quiet and withdrawn nature”, would not let anyone “use him as a tool” and would not use “small low arts and intrigues” to “excite the spirit of the revolution in the north as well”.

While I myself always like to point out that La Fayette was far more than the bubbly teenager, he is often made out to be, I find it nevertheless quite remarkable that La Fayette is described here as “quite and withdrawn”. It shows once more that the last years had been a living nightmare for him and his family.

[dxmedstudent]

‘I am an optimistic person’: the scientist who studies climate catastrophes

[yo-sostenible]

El 2024 fue el más cálido registrado en el mundo y el primer año natural en que la temperatura media mundial superó en 1,5 °C su nivel preindustrial, según ha confirmado el Servicio de Cambio Climático del programa europeo Copernicus. Los expertos asocian este calentamiento con fenómenos como la DANA o los incendios que arrasan en estos momentos California. El sol se pone entre el humo del incendio forestal Kenneth en el barrio de Woodland Hills de Los Ángeles, California (EE UU). / EFE | ALLISON DINNER En 2024, la temperatura media del planeta superó por primera vez los 1,5 ºC con respecto a los niveles preindustriales, un umbral que se estableció en el Acuerdo de París de 2015. En aquella cumbre de Naciones Unidas, las partes firmantes se comprometieron a “proseguir los esfuerzos para limitar el aumento de la temperatura a 1,5 ºC con respecto a los niveles preindustriales, reconociendo que ello reduciría considerablemente los riesgos y los efectos del cambio climático”, recuerda Ernesto Rodríguez Camino, meteorólogo superior del Estado y miembro de la Asociación Meteorológica Española, en declaraciones al SMC España. La mala noticia ha sido hecha pública hoy por el Servicio de Cambio Climático de Copernicus, el programa de la Unión Europea para monitorizar el planeta vía satélite. Era solo cuestión de tiempo ya que, aunque el último informe del IPCC señalaba que esto no sucedería hasta principios de la década de 2030, los últimos datos no invitaban al optimismo. “Todas las bases de datos de temperaturas globales muestran que 2024 ha sido el año más caliente desde que los registros empezaran en 1850”, afirma Carlo Buontempo, director del Servicio de Cambio Climático de Copernicus. “Hace ya varios meses que vemos noticias de este tipo: que 2024 ha sido el año más caluroso hasta ahora”, explica al SMC Anna Cabré, científica del clima asociada a la Universidad de Pensilvania (Estados Unidos). “El hecho de que el límite de 1,5 °C se haya alcanzado por primera vez le da aún más urgencia a la situación”. Múltiples causas Que la llegada al temido umbral de 1,5 ºC se haya acelerado obedece a varios motivos. Aunque el principal sigue siendo que las emisiones de gases de efecto invernadero no se han ralentizado en los últimos años, existe otra causa notable: El Niño, la fase cálida de un patrón climático que afecta a ambos hemisferios. “El año 2024 ha sido muy cálido, tanto en cuanto a la temperatura del aire como la de la superficie del mar, además de la contribución adicional de la fase positiva de El Niño a la tendencia subyacente al calentamiento causado por el continuo incremento de las emisiones de gases de efecto invernadero”, indica Rodríguez Camino. Hay que matizar también que los límites de 1,5 °C o 2 °C establecidos en el Acuerdo de París sobre el cambio climático “no se refieren a un único año específico, como ha sucedido en 2024, sino al promedio en un cierto número de años que filtre las oscilaciones anuales debido a fenómenos como El Niño”, dice el meteorólogo, que aboga por evitar que esta cifra se convierta en una nueva norma a largo plazo. “Un solo año con temperaturas 1,5 °C por encima de los niveles preindustriales no significa que hayamos alcanzado 1,5 °C de calentamiento global”, aclara también Joeri Rogelj, director de Investigación del Instituto Grantham de Cambio Climático y Medio Ambiente del Imperial College, al SMC británico. “Sin embargo, sí significa que nos estamos acercando peligrosamente. Cada fracción de grado —ya sea 1,4, 1,5 o 1,6 °C— conlleva más daños para las personas y los ecosistemas, lo que subraya la necesidad permanente de recortes ambiciosos de las emisiones”. La solución pasa por descarbonizar Para Friederike Otto, profesora titular del Centro de Política Medioambiental del Imperial College de Londres, “este récord tiene que ser un baño de realidad. El clima se está calentando hasta niveles que llevamos años intentando evitar...

[gazetadoleste]

Mudanças climáticas causaram 41 dias de calor perigoso no mundo em 2024

Em 2024, o calor extremo afetou milhões de pessoas em todo o mundo, com uma média de 41 dias de temperaturas consideradas perigosas – como resultado das mudanças climáticas causadas pela atividade humana, segundo um estudo da World Weather Attribution e da Climate Central.  De acordo com Friederike Otto, líder da equipe de pesquisa, as mudanças climáticas tornaram ondas de calor, secas, ciclones…

[hennethgalad]

"governments also cannot build back the same way. Almost everywhere in Europe where people live, rivers are canalised, and all surfaces are sealed with concrete and asphalt to make a comfortable city for cars."

the atmosphere, which weighs fifteen pounds or seven kilos per square inch (stand up straight!) grinds against the planet like a boot on concrete. global warming is making it faster and heavier.

also, the forecasts were corrupted by big oil who own the universities and the scientists. the forecast is much worse. much.