#Southwest Michigan

[hate-love-and---roses55]

hiii

[parisiterileymoon]

My mom is playing total eclipse of the heart on repeat

[ammiemarie]

Meet-and-Greet with Buddy Jewell

At the Mendel Center, Lake Michigan College, Benton Harbor, Michigan on March 26, 2004.

[yearningforunity]

After the Cinco de Mayo parade, lowrider aficionados and residents gather in Southwest Detroit for the Blessing of the Lowriders. The event started in 1997 to create a safe space for neighborhood youths.

Photograph by Carina, 7.

[passengerpigeons]

need to practice driving more but renting car expensive and I'd have to drive it out of the city from an airport (scary traffic) when most of my driving experience recently has been in Bumfucking Nowhere. girl help

[yzerman]

it’d be cool have a job i can functionally do, and do properly, but between my abrupt quits that involve me and the management shouting at each other, and the fun times i have between that job and the next one, idk how any retail expects anyone to stay tbh 

[sunset-sama]

As an American, this is hilarious. I remember being forced to memorize the states in elementary school.

Also, answering your tags with some of my own @alishatheninth

okay americans how’d i do

[skmedicare]

Why Hire A Medicare Agent In Michigan?

There is a lot of information available on the internet that you can gather about Medicare plans. Besides, you can ask for the help of a friend or family member before opting for a health care plan. However, the help of an expert Medicare agent in Michigan always remains at the top. They are licensed and offer the best advice for choosing the top-notch facility according to your healthcare needs. Read More: https://skbenefitsus.wordpress.com/2023/08/23/why-hire-a-medicare-agent-in-michigan

[kleosvarietyblog]

USA PATCH NOTES

-made Wisconsin significantly larger by absorbing several other states into it, as well as giving it most of Michigan

-minnesota is now an independent country

-made missouri much smaller (much of what used to be missouri now belongs to wisconsin)

-resolved v-fighting between utah and wyoming

-split the rest of Michigan between ohio and indiana

-the entire delmarva peninsula is now part of Washington, D.C.

-gave georgia's coastline to south carolina

-further divided the dakotas

-southern montana is now part of southwest dakota

-the alaskan panhandle is now canadian

-3 of the hawaiian islands are now part of mexico

-merged arizona, nevada, and southern california into a single state

-alabama and mississippi's coastlines are now floridian

-oklahoma is now very very long

-eastern texas is now in louisiana

-arkansas is slightly larger

-western texas is part of new mexico

-merged northern california, western oregon, and the entirety of washington into a new state

-eastern oregan is part of idaho

-the idaho panhandle is now a separate state

-rotated the border between virginia and north carolina by 90° (virginia in the east, NC in the west)

-merged kentucky, east tennessee, and the maryland panhandle into west virginia

-merged the rest of maryland as well as most of western new york into Pennsylvania

-merged eastern Massachusetts and all of new hampshire into maine

-merged western massachusetts, new york city, long island, and all of new jersey into vermont

-renamed colorado to squareland

-rhode island is entirely unchanged

[mosertone]

A member of the Miami tribe.

The Miami people, are a Native American nation, originally speaking one of the Algonquian languages. Among the peoples known as the Great Lakes tribes, it occupied territory, that is now identified as Indiana, southwest Michigan, and western Ohio.

By 1846, most of the Miami had been removed, to Indian Territory (now Oklahoma). The Miami Tribe of Oklahoma, is the only federally recognized tribe of Miami Indians, in the United States. The Miami Nation of Indiana, is an unrecognized tribe

[welldigger62]

From Midland Michigan-

I had been requested by one of my followers to see if I could get some photos from Dahlia Hill the next time I traveled to Midland for pics.

Below are a bunch of photos I took today. I have seen the flowers more perky in other years but we are in a two week hot spell with no rain.

Most all of these look like they’ve been hand watered.

Rain is due tomorrow

There are gravel pathways for visitors every few tiers for people, so that it limits trampling.

I was the only one there this afternoon.

The location of this is just a bit southwest of the city. It was a nice day to get outside and some others were doing just that in the downtown area.

Happy Thursday y’all 😁

[entheognosis]

A member of the Miami tribe. The Miami people, are a Native American nation, originally speaking one of the Algonquian languages. Among the peoples known as the Great Lakes tribes, it occupied territory, that is now identified as Indiana, southwest Michigan, and western Ohio. By 1846, most of the Miami had been removed, to Indian Territory (now Oklahoma). The Miami Tribe of Oklahoma, is the only federally recognized tribe of Miami Indians, in the United States. The Miami Nation of Indiana, is an unrecognized tribe.

[creepyamericana]

Southeast Poll

Mid-Atlantic Poll

Northeast Poll

Rocky Mountains Poll

Southwest Poll

Pacific Northwest Poll

Non-Contiguous Poll

[redistrictgirl]

As of September 8th, 2024, Kamala Harris is slightly favored (64% chance) in the race for the presidency.

So first, let's talk about that topline.

Some other forecasts have become noticeably more bullish for former President Trump, and that's because they're looking at the polling margins decline and declaring that the convention bump is still declining. But that's not the important part of the picture. Here, my polling "bins" come in handy. Let's look at the week-by-week average of national polling:

Week of August 11th: 47.7 Harris, 45.8 Trump

Week of August 18th (week of DNC): 47.9 Harris, 43.8 Trump

Week of August 25th: 47.9 Harris, 45.0 Trump

Week of September 1st: 49.0 Harris, 46.4 Trump

Notice anything? Vice President Harris held steady through the DNC- the convention bump merely took the form of a dip in polling for Mr. Trump. My personal theory as to why that is rests in the tone of the convention - the organizers clearly attempted a big-tent strategy to reach out to disaffected Republicans. But that makes undecided voters, not new voters for Democrats. And now both candidates are snatching up undecided voters - we are officially in full gear.

Now, let's break down the closest states:

Arizona (51% chance of being won by Harris) - This state had the biggest swing this week thanks to continued gains for Mr. Trump. The fundamentals of this state are still strong for Ms. Harris, however.

Georgia (62% chance of being won by Trump) - Another Romney-Trump-Biden state, the Vice President is keeping this state close, but it may not be enough given that the Deep South isn't known for its abundance of persuadable voters. Fundamentals and polling line up well here.

North Carolina (64% chance of being won by Trump) - The polls have this state being neck-and-neck, but again, the model expects Mr. Trump to have an easier time picking up undecided voters here.

Pennsylvania (67% chance of being won by Harris) - This state has the closest polling average in our dataset, but the model seems to believe we're more likely to be looking at a polling miss like 2022's instead of 2020's.

Wisconsin (69% chance of being won by Harris) - If there's any state the polls could fumble, I personally think it's this one. I just can't buy this whiter, more rural Rust Belt state voting to the left of Michigan. But even just looking at fundamentals, Ms. Harris is still a very, very slim favorite in the Badger State.

Now for some other notable swings:

Nevada (77% chance of being won by Harris) - Another massive swing in the Southwest, but this time it's bad for the former President. The model is now pretty confident that he's locked out of around 48.5% of the state's voters, which... you know... gives a narrow path for victory. He better hope that Ms. Harris doesn't gain any further here.

Texas (96% chance of being won by Trump) - Texas has leaped back off the board for a similar reason to Nevada - all indicators suggest that Mr. Trump is approaching 50% of the vote in this state. It would probably take a genuine polling miss in the Vice President's favor to make the state winnable.

So where does this leave each candidate? The Rust Belt continues to get more important for Ms. Harris, and Mr. Trump still needs Georgia and North Carolina to come through for him. So on a macro level, outside of the Southwest getting weird, things have actually been fairly unsurprising, which you'd expect from a short week. Let's see if there's a shakeup after the debate and in the coming months.

[talonabraxas]

A member of the Miami tribe.

The Miami people, are a Native American nation, originally speaking one of the Algonquian languages. Among the peoples known as the Great Lakes tribes, it occupied territory, that is now identified as Indiana, southwest Michigan, and western Ohio.

By 1846, most of the Miami had been removed, to Indian Territory (now Oklahoma). The Miami Tribe of Oklahoma, is the only federally recognized tribe of Miami Indians, in the United States. The Miami Nation of Indiana, is an unrecognized tribe.