#Remote Access Tools

[agileseen24]

How to check if your computer is being monitored

In today's digital age, the issue of privacy and security is more pressing than ever. Whether you’re a casual user or a professional, understanding if your computer is being monitored is crucial. This guide will delve into the signs of monitoring, tools to detect it, and steps to safeguard your privacy.

Understanding Computer Monitoring

Before diving into the signs and detection methods, it’s essential to understand what computer monitoring entails. Monitoring can involve tracking your online activity, keystrokes, file access, and even webcam usage. This can be done by malicious software (malware), spyware, or legitimate monitoring software used by employers or parents.

Types of Monitoring

Malware and Spyware: These are malicious programs that can be installed without your knowledge. They can track your activities and send data back to an attacker.

Keyloggers: This type of software records keystrokes, capturing sensitive information like passwords and personal messages.

Remote Access Tools (RATs): These tools allow someone to control your computer remotely, monitoring your screen, accessing files, and even using your webcam.

Legitimate Monitoring Software: Often used in corporate environments, this software tracks employee activity for productivity or compliance reasons. While legal, it can still infringe on personal privacy.

Signs That Your Computer May Be Monitored

Recognizing the signs that your computer might be monitored is the first step in protecting yourself.

1. Unusual System Behavior

Slow Performance: If your computer suddenly becomes sluggish, it might be due to monitoring software consuming resources.

Frequent Crashes or Freezes: Unexpected system crashes can indicate underlying issues, including malware.

2. Suspicious Programs

Unknown Applications: Check your installed programs for any unfamiliar applications. Many monitoring tools disguise themselves as legitimate software.

High Resource Usage: Use the Task Manager (Windows) or Activity Monitor (Mac) to look for processes consuming excessive CPU or memory.

3. Network Activity

Unexplained Network Traffic: Use network monitoring tools to check for unusual data being sent or received. High outbound traffic could indicate that data is being transmitted without your consent.

Blocked Ports: Monitoring software often uses specific ports to communicate. If you notice blocked ports that you didn’t configure, it could be a red flag.

4. Webcam and Microphone Behavior

Indicator Light Activation: If your webcam or microphone is being accessed without your knowledge, the indicator light may be on even when you're not using it.

Unexpected Recordings: Check for unusual files that could be recordings made by your microphone or webcam.

5. Browser Behavior

Unusual Browser Extensions: Check for extensions you didn’t install. Some can track your browsing activity.

Unexpected Redirects: Frequent redirects to strange sites or altered search results can indicate tracking.

6. Security Alerts

Antivirus Notifications: If your antivirus software frequently alerts you about threats, it may indicate that monitoring software is present.

Firewall Alerts: Unusual outgoing connection attempts can suggest that an unauthorized program is trying to access the internet.

Tools to Detect Monitoring Software

If you suspect that your computer is being monitored, several tools can help you investigate further.

1. Antivirus and Anti-Malware Software

Using a reliable antivirus or anti-malware program can help detect and remove malicious software. Some popular options include:

Malwarebytes: Excellent for detecting and removing malware and spyware.

Norton: Offers comprehensive protection against various types of threats.

2. Network Monitoring Tools

Tools like Wireshark can help analyze network traffic and identify suspicious activity. You can monitor data packets to see if there are any unexpected connections.

3. Task Manager / Activity Monitor

Regularly check the Task Manager (Windows) or Activity Monitor (Mac) for processes that look unfamiliar or suspicious. Research any questionable applications before taking action.

4. System Scans

Use built-in tools to perform system scans:

Windows Defender: Run a full scan for malware and spyware.

Mac’s Built-in Security Features: Use the Malware Removal Tool for additional scanning.

5. Firewall Monitoring

Make sure your firewall is active and monitor logs for any unusual activity. A firewall can block unauthorized access attempts and alert you to potential threats.

Steps to Protect Your Privacy

If you determine that your computer is being monitored or you want to prevent it from happening, follow these steps to enhance your security.

1. Update Your Software Regularly

Keeping your operating system and all software up-to-date ensures that you have the latest security patches. This reduces vulnerabilities that can be exploited by monitoring tools.

2. Use Strong Passwords

Implement strong, unique passwords for all your accounts and devices. Consider using a password manager to generate and store complex passwords securely.

3. Enable Two-Factor Authentication

Two-factor authentication (2FA) adds an extra layer of security by requiring a second form of verification, making unauthorized access much more difficult.

4. Install a Firewall

Ensure you have a firewall activated, whether it’s built-in (like Windows Firewall) or third-party. This helps control incoming and outgoing network traffic.

5. Be Cautious with Downloads

Avoid downloading software from untrusted sources, as this can introduce malware to your system. Always verify the legitimacy of software before installing it.

6. Regularly Review Permissions

Check application permissions on your device regularly. Revoke access for any apps that do not need to access your camera, microphone, or location.

7. Use a VPN

A Virtual Private Network (VPN) encrypts your internet connection, making it difficult for anyone to monitor your online activities.

8. Educate Yourself

Stay informed about the latest cybersecurity threats and best practices. Knowledge is your best defense against monitoring.

When to Seek Professional Help

If you suspect your computer is being monitored and cannot identify or remove the software yourself, consider seeking professional help. Cybersecurity experts can perform a thorough analysis of your system and provide tailored solutions.

Conclusion

Understanding if your computer is being monitored is vital for protecting your privacy. By recognizing the signs, utilizing detection tools, and implementing security measures, you can safeguard your personal information. Remember, vigilance is key in the ever-evolving landscape of digital security. Stay informed, proactive, and secure in your online presence.

[ilkkawhat]

The Dark Presence...Fuck! Fuck! Fuck! Fuck!

[pepprs]

genuinely so angry and scared im shaking. how many other times this week this month this year have i been exposed without knowing it. do people even tell each other anymore. it’s just so grim. it’s so fucking grim

[likitakans]

AI and Health: New Technologies Paving the Way for Better Treatment

Artificial intelligence (AI) is expanding rapidly in the health sector, and it is revolutionizing our medical system. With the help of AI, new technologies are being developed that are not only helpful in accurately diagnosing diseases but are also playing an important role in personalized treatment and management.

Quick and accurate diagnosis of diseases AI-based tools can now analyze medical imaging data such as X-rays, CT scans, and MRIs quickly and accurately. This helps doctors to quickly detect complex conditions such as cancer, heart diseases, and neurological problems.

Personalized medicine AI can help create personalized treatment plans for every individual by analyzing genomics and biometrics. This technology ensures that the patient gets the right medicine and the right dose at the right time.

Improved health management AI-based health apps and wearables such as smart watches are now helping people monitor their health condition. These devices regularly track health indicators such as heart rate, blood pressure and sleep quality.

Accelerating medical research The role of AI has become extremely important in the development of new drugs and vaccines. Using AI, scientists can analyze complex data sets and make new medical discoveries faster.

Accessible and affordable healthcare AI technology is helping in delivering affordable and effective healthcare, even in rural and remote areas. Telemedicine and virtual health assistants are bridging the gap between patients and doctors.

Conclusion Artificial intelligence is playing an important role in making healthcare more effective, accurate, and accessible. However, there are challenges such as data security and ethics in the use of AI technology which need to be dealt with. In the coming years, with more advanced and innovative uses of AI, the healthcare landscape may change completely.

[filehulk]

NoMachine

NoMachine is a remote connection application for PCs that allows you to access file systems and control target systems with additional features like video and audio streaming. If you’re in search of a reliable software solution for remotely connecting to any computer and accessing your files quickly, NoMachine is the perfect tool for a seamless remote desktop experience. With its intuitive…

[techdriveplay]

What Is the Best Approach to Setting Up a Smart Garage?

As homes become more interconnected and smart devices permeate every corner of daily life, the garage is often overlooked. However, integrating smart technology into your garage can significantly enhance convenience, security, and efficiency. So, what is the best approach to setting up a smart garage? Whether you’re looking to streamline your morning routine or boost the security of your home, a…

[transcriptioncity]

Professional Note Taking Services for Accessibility

Enhancing Communication with Professional Recording and Note Taking Services Note taking has revolutionised the way we capture and retain information. It offers a seamless method to document conversations, lectures, meetings, and more. From ancient scribes inscribing thoughts on clay tablets to modern-day digital recordings, the evolution is impressive. The advent of recording technologies has…

[ss-1990]

Beyond Storage: Enhancing Patient Care with PACS: Radiology Machines Interfacing Explained

In modern healthcare, the ability to efficiently manage medical imaging data is crucial for providing high-quality patient care. Radiology Machines Interfacing and Picture Archiving and Communication Systems (PACS) play a pivotal role in streamlining radiology workflows and improving diagnostic efficiency. In this blog post, we'll explore how PACS facilitates Radiology Machines Interfacing and its impact on patient care, focusing on key aspects such as Seamless Workflow, Diagnostic Efficiency, Advanced Visualization Tools, Remote Collaboration, and Long-Term Archiving & Accessibility.

Seamless Workflow is essential for optimizing radiology operations and ensuring timely delivery of imaging results to healthcare providers. PACS enables Radiology Machines Interfacing with seamless integration into existing radiology workflows, allowing for efficient image acquisition, storage, and retrieval. By automating data transfer and streamlining image interpretation processes, PACS enhances workflow efficiency and reduces turnaround times, ultimately improving patient care.

Diagnostic Efficiency is paramount in radiology, where accurate and timely diagnoses are critical for patient management. PACS provides radiologists with access to advanced image visualization tools and intuitive user interfaces, enabling them to interpret images with precision and confidence. By facilitating rapid image retrieval and manipulation, PACS enhances diagnostic efficiency, allowing radiologists to focus on interpreting images and making informed clinical decisions.

Advanced Visualization Tools offered by PACS enable radiologists to perform detailed image analysis and visualization, enhancing diagnostic accuracy and confidence. Features such as multi-planar reconstruction, 3D rendering, and image fusion empower radiologists to extract valuable insights from medical imaging data, leading to more accurate diagnoses and improved patient outcomes.

Remote Collaboration capabilities facilitated by PACS enable radiologists to collaborate with colleagues and specialists in real-time, regardless of geographical location. With PACS, radiologists can securely share images, discuss cases, and consult with other healthcare providers, fostering collaboration and enabling multidisciplinary care approaches. This remote collaboration enhances communication among healthcare teams, facilitates knowledge sharing, and ultimately benefits patient care.

Long-Term Archiving & Accessibility of medical imaging data is essential for ensuring continuity of care and facilitating research and education. PACS provides robust archiving capabilities, allowing for the secure storage and retrieval of imaging studies over extended periods. By centralizing image storage and providing on-demand access to historical imaging data, PACS ensures long-term accessibility and availability of patient records, supporting continuity of care and enabling retrospective analysis.

In conclusion, PACS plays a vital role in enhancing patient care by facilitating Radiology Machines Interfacing and streamlining radiology workflows. By prioritizing aspects such as Seamless Workflow, Diagnostic Efficiency, Advanced Visualization Tools, Remote Collaboration, and Long-Term Archiving & Accessibility, PACS empowers radiologists to deliver high-quality diagnostic services, ultimately improving patient outcomes and advancing healthcare delivery.

[webnavals]

How To Snag Top Remote Jobs Via Contena Quickly!

Remote work has significantly changed the professional landscape, emerging as a highly sought-after employment mode across varied industries. The global embrace of remote work positions itself at the intersection of technological advancement and evolving work-life balance preferences. Contena is at the forefront, serving as a central hub for freelancers and professionals seeking to capitalize on the remote work trend. It offers a robust platform where one can access a plethora of remote job opportunities.

Users eager to leverage Contena’s resources will find it streamlining their job search process, offering tailored job alerts and a curated selection of writing gigs, all from the comfort of their homes. As a marketplace for remote jobs, Contena not only connects people with potential employers but also provides valuable tools and resources to enhance their job search and career growth.

[ms-demeanor]

For those who are not aware: Bitlocker is encryption software, it encrypts your computer and makes it impossible to access the information on the computer unless you have the key.

It should be standard practice for IT companies to document the bitlocker keys as they are configuring bitlocker on a computer; generally you would do this by creating a record in your client management software for that specific device and putting the key in the record. Sometimes software can be used to extract that information in the event that it's necessary, but even if there's theoretically a way to extract the key, it should be documented somewhere *other* than on the encrypted computer.

This is something that a lot of IT people fuck up on kind of a lot (we've definitely had problems with missing bitlocker keys and I'm quite happy that the people who didn't document those keys aren't my coworkers anymore).

So what do you do if you want to use encryption software and you're NOT an IT company using a remote management tool that might be able to snag the keys?

When you are setting up encryption, put the encryption key in your password manager. Put it in your password manager. Document the important information that you cannot lose in your password manager. Your password manager is a good place to keep important things like your device encryption key, which you do not want lost or stolen. (If you run your password manager locally on an encrypted computer, export the data every once in a while, save it as an encrypted file, and put the file on your backup drive; you are going to have a bad time if your computer that hosts the only copies of your passwords shits the bed so *make a backup*)

This is my tip for home users for any kind of important recovery codes or software product keys: Print out the key and put it in your underwear drawer. Keep it there with your backup drive. That way you've got your important (small) computer shit in one place that is NOT your computer and is not likely to get shifted around and lost (the way that papers in desks often get shifted around and lost).

[removejobs]

Remoteliz

In today's fast-paced digital world, the quest for flexibility and work-life balance has propelled remote work into the spotlight. Enter RemoteLiz, your ultimate resource for finding the perfect online job tailored to your lifestyle preferences. Whether you’re seeking full-time employment or freelance gigs, RemoteLiz seamlessly connects job seekers with a diverse array of opportunities. With our innovative Remote Job Board and intuitive Remote Search Engine, searching for work-from-home jobs has never been easier. Discover a plethora of positions across various industries, ensuring that the ideal WFH job is just a click away. Say goodbye to long commutes and hello to a world of possibilities with RemoteLiz, where your remote working dreams are just a search away!Discover RemoteLiz, your go-to remote job board and search engine for online and work-from-home opportunities, simplifying your journey to find WFH jobs.

RemoteLiz

RemoteLiz is your one-stop destination for discovering a diverse range of remote opportunities that cater to your skills and career aspirations. As an innovative Remote Job Board, RemoteLiz features a comprehensive collection of listings, making it easier than ever for job seekers to find the ideal role suited to their needs.

What sets RemoteLiz apart is its powerful Remote Search Engine, designed to filter jobs by various parameters including industry, position, and experience level, ensuring you only see opportunities that truly match your qualifications. This tailored approach saves you valuable time and maximizes your chances of landing the perfect job.

With a strong emphasis on Online Jobs, RemoteLiz spans multiple sectors, offering options in both full-time and freelance positions. If you're on the hunt for Work From Home Jobs or the increasingly popular WFH Jobs, RemoteLiz connects you with companies that prioritize flexibility and a healthy work-life balance.

No matter where you are in your career journey, RemoteLiz provides resources, insights, and support to help you navigate the ever-evolving world of remote work. Don't miss out on the opportunity to transform your professional life—visit RemoteLiz today to explore your next career move!

Remote Job Board

The RemoteLiz Remote Job Board is your gateway to discovering a myriad of work-from-home opportunities tailored to fit your lifestyle. With a user-friendly interface, we make it simple to navigate through countless job listings that match your skills and career goals.

Our platform not only provides access to online jobs across various sectors but also incorporates a powerful Remote Search Engine that filters results based on your preferences. This means you can quickly find job postings that are truly relevant to you, making the job search process more efficient than ever.

Employers also benefit from listing their positions on RemoteLiz, as they gain access to a wide pool of talented candidates eager to embrace remote work. By connecting businesses with prospective remote employees, we help facilitate successful hires that contribute to organizational growth.

Don’t miss your chance to explore the wide range of work-from-home jobs available on our Remote Job Board. Whether you're a seasoned professional or just getting started, RemoteLiz has the tools and resources to help you embark on your next career journey.

Remote Search Engine

Finding the right opportunity in today's digital landscape can be overwhelming. That's where the RemoteLiz Remote Search Engine comes into play, streamlining your job search process. With a comprehensive database of remote job listings, it allows users to explore a wide array of online jobs across various industries and professions.

Our innovative search engine empowers you to filter results based on your skills, experience, and preferred job type, whether you are looking for full-time, part-time, or freelance positions. Say goodbye to endless scrolling through irrelevant job postings; RemoteLiz prioritizes your needs by delivering tailored results with just a few clicks.

Additionally, our Remote Search Engine is designed for efficiency, ensuring that you can quickly access opportunities that match your criteria. Whether it’s for work from home jobs or specialized WFH jobs, you’ll find what you need in one centralized location.

Start your journey toward remote work success today. Explore the RemoteLiz Remote Job Board and discover how our user-friendly search engine can connect you with your dream job.

Online Jobs

Looking for a flexible work lifestyle? Online jobs have revolutionized the way we approach our careers, providing opportunities that fit into your life rather than the other way around. At RemoteLiz, we specialize in connecting you to a diverse range of online job listings—from freelance gigs to full-time positions—that cater to various skill sets and industries.

Through our Remote Job Board, you'll gain access to thousands of vetted listings that are updated regularly, ensuring you never miss out on the latest opportunities. Our platform makes it easy to browse through categories, making your job search both efficient and effective.

Choosing to work from home does not mean compromising on your career growth. You can explore high-paying positions and meaningful work that not only meets your financial needs but also aligns with your professional aspirations. With RemoteLiz, finding the right online job has never been easier.

Don’t wait to make a job change that enhances your life. Start using RemoteLiz's Remote Search Engine today, and discover the freedom and flexibility that come with online jobs. Join our community, and take the first step towards a rewarding and fulfilling work-from-home journey!

Work From Home Jobs

In today's fast-paced world, finding the right Work From Home Jobs can be challenging. RemoteLiz is designed to connect job seekers with a plethora of online job opportunities that cater to various skills and industries. Whether you are looking for full-time positions or freelance gigs, our Remote Job Board offers a diverse range of listings that are updated regularly.

One of the standout features of RemoteLiz is its intuitive Remote Search Engine, which makes it easy to filter jobs based on specific criteria, including skillset and job type. This means you can quickly locate the WFH Jobs that align with your professional goals and personal preferences.

Moreover, with the rise of digital workspaces, more companies are embracing remote work, leading to an ever-growing demand for talented individuals. Our platform is the perfect tool for you to seize these Online Jobs and establish a fulfilling career right from the comfort of your home.

Don't miss out on the opportunity to enhance your work-life balance and discover exciting remote career possibilities. Explore RemoteLiz today and take the first step toward finding your ideal Work From Home Job!

WFH Jobs

Finding the perfect WFH jobs has never been easier with RemoteLiz by your side. Our specially curated Remote Job Board allows you to browse thousands of remote positions across various industries, ensuring that the perfect opportunity is just a click away.

Utilizing our powerful Remote Search Engine, you can swiftly filter jobs that align with your skills and geographic preferences. This means you can focus on what truly matters—landing a position that suits your lifestyle while enjoying the flexibility of working from home.

At RemoteLiz, we understand the importance of work-life balance. That's why our platform is designed to connect job seekers with the best online jobs tailored to their unique needs. Because your home should feel like more than just a place to work— it should enhance your productivity and happiness.

Don’t wait to transform your career! Embrace the freedom and convenience offered by WFH jobs with RemoteLiz. Start your journey toward a fulfilling remote work lifestyle today.

[the-original-skipps]

|| Yandere Hacker!Scaramouche x Reader ||Headcanons || Genshin Impact ||

so I was watching hoyofair and this came up so I thought I’d do a quick something mehehe I mean I did spy scara before so might as well continue the tradition

cw: mentions of cyber stalking. privacy breach. slight mention of violence involving firearms.

Hacker!Scaramouche has your phone and laptop/computer bugged with his own personally made virus, which basically acts as a listening device. He can also remotely access both devices without you even knowing.

Hacker!Scaramouche who basically knows everything about you. He can hack into the government database to find out any personal information you have. Any records, all the names of your family members; he can just find out with a tap of his finger.

Hacker!Scaramouche knows your whereabouts at all times, a tracking software installed into your phone which you’ll never find. You can be in any part of the world and he’d still be able to find you. You don’t have your phone with you? Not a problem, he’ll just assess the satellite and look for you.

Hacker!Scaramouche who because of the virus on your phone, he pretty much listens to you go about your day. In this day and age, a person’s smartphone is an essential tool after all and he knows you’d always have it with you. He can be going about his day and your voice would be heard from this headphones. What you’re saying as you browse the internet, your personal mumblings - he hears them all. Especially the phone calls you have with other people.

Hacker!Scaramouche knows your current interests and wants. He knows you have that item in your basket on your shopping app that you’re putting off buying. So, he makes things easier for you and buys it for you. He’ll have it delivered straight to your house. A little gift from him.

Hacker!Scaramouche who has access to your phone’s photo gallery. He saves all the pictures you’ve taken into his own personal computer and phone. The pictures of the food you’re about to eat, the pretty scenery of the sky - they’re all backed up and saved. Though, he has a special folder for pictures with you in it.

Hacker!Scaramouche can hack into any security camera in any part of the world. He has a live stream of the security camera feed running in front of your house/apartment so he’d know when you’re home. He also keeps watch in case you bring any visitors home. If you do, a simple facial recognition program is all he needs to know who they are and if they’re a threat to him.

Hacker!Scaramouche who spends majority of his time behind a screen but isn’t afraid to come in person when needed. This new person you’re seeing? He already knows who they are and where they live. He’ll ruin them - drain them of their assets, enter false criminal records; anything to get them away from you. If they don’t get the message, a gun to the face will be sure to change their mind. 

[elbiotipo]

I'm not a linguist and I find the whole excercise of conlanging, while I love it and respect it, beyond my abilities, but I do have one thing or two to say about linguistic diversity and how boring is to have a "common" or "basic" language in fantasy or science fiction without exploring the implications.

Being a bilingual speaker of Spanish and English, and someone that because of work reasons and entertaiment tastes interacts a lot with English, I tend to see English as the equivalent of those "common" or "basic" languages of speculative fantasy. As a useful tool for communication, science technology and commerce. In real life, however, as you are aware, the expansion of English tends to undermine local languages, it's considered more valuable to know English that to know the language of your grandparents, or learn any other language you just feel curious about.

The experiences of every multilingual person are different, but in mine I know English, I write and read and listen to English a lot. But I don't consider myself an English *speaker*, I speak Spanish and more to the point Argentine Spanish, that's the culture I identify with, and it's the language I use to express my feelings and inner thoughts. I can't imagine saying "I love you" to anyone in English, to me it's just a tool I use to access to knowledge or communicate through language barriers ("basic", "common"). But interestingly, by both writing and participating in the wider English-speaker internet culture, isn't it part of my own culture, as an individual, too?

The fact is that English also has a culture(s) and a history and a corpus of literature. So when we write about "Common" or "Basic" languages in fiction we need to ask ourselves: where did they come from? How did they become the standard? Is there a literature, a canon, a culture of "Common" in your fantasy world? What about other languages, other cultures that aren't raised learning it and see it just as a tool? Because no matter the strenght of Anglophone cultural imperialism and the social value of learning English, I don't see Argentines, or for that matter Chinese, Italians or Russians abandoning their first language. And yet even in English and in all other languages (ESPECIALLY other languages, English is remarkably uniform) there is a variety of dialects. And we need to remember, once Latin was spoken only in a village in central Italy, and English in a rather remote rainy island. They weren't destined to have their future roles, history drives language.

So, when an author goes for the "universal language" explanation to avoid linguistic misunderstandings, for me, it raises more questions that I believe are worth exploring.

[nostalgebraist]

Anthropic's stated "AI timelines" seem wildly aggressive to me.

As far as I can tell, they are now saying that by 2028 – and possibly even by 2027, or late 2026 – something they call "powerful AI" will exist.

And by "powerful AI," they mean... this (source, emphasis mine):

In terms of pure intelligence, it is smarter than a Nobel Prize winner across most relevant fields – biology, programming, math, engineering, writing, etc. This means it can prove unsolved mathematical theorems, write extremely good novels, write difficult codebases from scratch, etc. In addition to just being a “smart thing you talk to”, it has all the “interfaces” available to a human working virtually, including text, audio, video, mouse and keyboard control, and internet access. It can engage in any actions, communications, or remote operations enabled by this interface, including taking actions on the internet, taking or giving directions to humans, ordering materials, directing experiments, watching videos, making videos, and so on. It does all of these tasks with, again, a skill exceeding that of the most capable humans in the world. It does not just passively answer questions; instead, it can be given tasks that take hours, days, or weeks to complete, and then goes off and does those tasks autonomously, in the way a smart employee would, asking for clarification as necessary. It does not have a physical embodiment (other than living on a computer screen), but it can control existing physical tools, robots, or laboratory equipment through a computer; in theory it could even design robots or equipment for itself to use. The resources used to train the model can be repurposed to run millions of instances of it (this matches projected cluster sizes by ~2027), and the model can absorb information and generate actions at roughly 10x-100x human speed. It may however be limited by the response time of the physical world or of software it interacts with. Each of these million copies can act independently on unrelated tasks, or if needed can all work together in the same way humans would collaborate, perhaps with different subpopulations fine-tuned to be especially good at particular tasks.

In the post I'm quoting, Amodei is coy about the timeline for this stuff, saying only that

I think it could come as early as 2026, though there are also ways it could take much longer. But for the purposes of this essay, I’d like to put these issues aside [...]

However, other official communications from Anthropic have been more specific. Most notable is their recent OSTP submission, which states (emphasis in original):

Based on current research trajectories, we anticipate that powerful AI systems could emerge as soon as late 2026 or 2027 [...] Powerful AI technology will be built during this Administration. [i.e. the current Trump administration -nost]

See also here, where Jack Clark says (my emphasis):

People underrate how significant and fast-moving AI progress is. We have this notion that in late 2026, or early 2027, powerful AI systems will be built that will have intellectual capabilities that match or exceed Nobel Prize winners. They’ll have the ability to navigate all of the interfaces… [Clark goes on, mentioning some of the other tenets of "powerful AI" as in other Anthropic communications -nost]

----

To be clear, extremely short timelines like these are not unique to Anthropic.

Miles Brundage (ex-OpenAI) says something similar, albeit less specific, in this post. And Daniel Kokotajlo (also ex-OpenAI) has held views like this for a long time now.

Even Sam Altman himself has said similar things (though in much, much vaguer terms, both on the content of the deliverable and the timeline).

Still, Anthropic's statements are unique in being

official positions of the company

extremely specific and ambitious about the details

extremely aggressive about the timing, even by the standards of "short timelines" AI prognosticators in the same social cluster

Re: ambition, note that the definition of "powerful AI" seems almost the opposite of what you'd come up with if you were trying to make a confident forecast of something.

Often people will talk about "AI capable of transforming the world economy" or something more like that, leaving room for the AI in question to do that in one of several ways, or to do so while still failing at some important things.

But instead, Anthropic's definition is a big conjunctive list of "it'll be able to do this and that and this other thing and...", and each individual capability is defined in the most aggressive possible way, too! Not just "good enough at science to be extremely useful for scientists," but "smarter than a Nobel Prize winner," across "most relevant fields" (whatever that means). And not just good at science but also able to "write extremely good novels" (note that we have a long way to go on that front, and I get the feeling that people at AI labs don't appreciate the extent of the gap [cf]). Not only can it use a computer interface, it can use every computer interface; not only can it use them competently, but it can do so better than the best humans in the world. And all of that is in the first two paragraphs – there's four more paragraphs I haven't even touched in this little summary!

Re: timing, they have even shorter timelines than Kokotajlo these days, which is remarkable since he's historically been considered "the guy with the really short timelines." (See here where Kokotajlo states a median prediction of 2028 for "AGI," by which he means something less impressive than "powerful AI"; he expects something close to the "powerful AI" vision ["ASI"] ~1 year or so after "AGI" arrives.)

----

I, uh, really do not think this is going to happen in "late 2026 or 2027."

Or even by the end of this presidential administration, for that matter.

I can imagine it happening within my lifetime – which is wild and scary and marvelous. But in 1.5 years?!

The confusing thing is, I am very familiar with the kinds of arguments that "short timelines" people make, and I still find the Anthropic's timelines hard to fathom.

Above, I mentioned that Anthropic has shorter timelines than Daniel Kokotajlo, who "merely" expects the same sort of thing in 2029 or so. This probably seems like hairsplitting – from the perspective of your average person not in these circles, both of these predictions look basically identical, "absurdly good godlike sci-fi AI coming absurdly soon." What difference does an extra year or two make, right?

But it's salient to me, because I've been reading Kokotajlo for years now, and I feel like I basically get understand his case. And people, including me, tend to push back on him in the "no, that's too soon" direction. I've read many many blog posts and discussions over the years about this sort of thing, I feel like I should have a handle on what the short-timelines case is.

But even if you accept all the arguments evinced over the years by Daniel "Short Timelines" Kokotajlo, even if you grant all the premises he assumes and some people don't – that still doesn't get you all the way to the Anthropic timeline!

To give a very brief, very inadequate summary, the standard "short timelines argument" right now is like:

Over the next few years we will see a "growth spurt" in the amount of computing power ("compute") used for the largest LLM training runs. This factor of production has been largely stagnant since GPT-4 in 2023, for various reasons, but new clusters are getting built and the metaphorical car will get moving again soon. (See here)

By convention, each "GPT number" uses ~100x as much training compute as the last one. GPT-3 used ~100x as much as GPT-2, and GPT-4 used ~100x as much as GPT-3 (i.e. ~10,000x as much as GPT-2).

We are just now starting to see "~10x GPT-4 compute" models (like Grok 3 and GPT-4.5). In the next few years we will get to "~100x GPT-4 compute" models, and by 2030 will will reach ~10,000x GPT-4 compute.

If you think intuitively about "how much GPT-4 improved upon GPT-3 (100x less) or GPT-2 (10,000x less)," you can maybe convince yourself that these near-future models will be super-smart in ways that are difficult to precisely state/imagine from our vantage point. (GPT-4 was way smarter than GPT-2; it's hard to know what "projecting that forward" would mean, concretely, but it sure does sound like something pretty special)

Meanwhile, all kinds of (arguably) complementary research is going on, like allowing models to "think" for longer amounts of time, giving them GUI interfaces, etc.

All that being said, there's still a big intuitive gap between "ChatGPT, but it's much smarter under the hood" and anything like "powerful AI." But...

...the LLMs are getting good enough that they can write pretty good code, and they're getting better over time. And depending on how you interpret the evidence, you may be able to convince yourself that they're also swiftly getting better at other tasks involved in AI development, like "research engineering." So maybe you don't need to get all the way yourself, you just need to build an AI that's a good enough AI developer that it improves your AIs faster than you can, and then those AIs are even better developers, etc. etc. (People in this social cluster are really keen on the importance of exponential growth, which is generally a good trait to have but IMO it shades into "we need to kick off exponential growth and it'll somehow do the rest because it's all-powerful" in this case.)

And like, I have various disagreements with this picture.

For one thing, the "10x" models we're getting now don't seem especially impressive – there has been a lot of debate over this of course, but reportedly these models were disappointing to their own developers, who expected scaling to work wonders (using the kind of intuitive reasoning mentioned above) and got less than they hoped for.

And (in light of that) I think it's double-counting to talk about the wonders of scaling and then talk about reasoning, computer GUI use, etc. as complementary accelerating factors – those things are just table stakes at this point, the models are already maxing out the tasks you had defined previously, you've gotta give them something new to do or else they'll just sit there wasting GPUs when a smaller model would have sufficed.

And I think we're already at a point where nuances of UX and "character writing" and so forth are more of a limiting factor than intelligence. It's not a lack of "intelligence" that gives us superficially dazzling but vapid "eyeball kick" prose, or voice assistants that are deeply uncomfortable to actually talk to, or (I claim) "AI agents" that get stuck in loops and confuse themselves, or any of that.

We are still stuck in the "Helpful, Harmless, Honest Assistant" chatbot paradigm – no one has seriously broke with it since that Anthropic introduced it in a paper in 2021 – and now that paradigm is showing its limits. ("Reasoning" was strapped onto this paradigm in a simple and fairly awkward way, the new "reasoning" models are still chatbots like this, no one is actually doing anything else.) And instead of "okay, let's invent something better," the plan seems to be "let's just scale up these assistant chatbots and try to get them to self-improve, and they'll figure it out." I won't try to explain why in this post (IYI I kind of tried to here) but I really doubt these helpful/harmless guys can bootstrap their way into winning all the Nobel Prizes.

----

All that stuff I just said – that's where I differ from the usual "short timelines" people, from Kokotajlo and co.

But OK, let's say that for the sake of argument, I'm wrong and they're right. It still seems like a pretty tough squeeze to get to "powerful AI" on time, doesn't it?

In the OSTP submission, Anthropic presents their latest release as evidence of their authority to speak on the topic:

In February 2025, we released Claude 3.7 Sonnet, which is by many performance benchmarks the most powerful and capable commercially-available AI system in the world.

I've used Claude 3.7 Sonnet quite a bit. It is indeed really good, by the standards of these sorts of things!

But it is, of course, very very far from "powerful AI." So like, what is the fine-grained timeline even supposed to look like? When do the many, many milestones get crossed? If they're going to have "powerful AI" in early 2027, where exactly are they in mid-2026? At end-of-year 2025?

If I assume that absolutely everything goes splendidly well with no unexpected obstacles – and remember, we are talking about automating all human intellectual labor and all tasks done by humans on computers, but sure, whatever – then maybe we get the really impressive next-gen models later this year or early next year... and maybe they're suddenly good at all the stuff that has been tough for LLMs thus far (the "10x" models already released show little sign of this but sure, whatever)... and then we finally get into the self-improvement loop in earnest, and then... what?

They figure out to squeeze even more performance out of the GPUs? They think of really smart experiments to run on the cluster? Where are they going to get all the missing information about how to do every single job on earth, the tacit knowledge, the stuff that's not in any web scrape anywhere but locked up in human minds and inaccessible private data stores? Is an experiment designed by a helpful-chatbot AI going to finally crack the problem of giving chatbots the taste to "write extremely good novels," when that taste is precisely what "helpful-chatbot AIs" lack?

I guess the boring answer is that this is all just hype – tech CEO acts like tech CEO, news at 11. (But I don't feel like that can be the full story here, somehow.)

And the scary answer is that there's some secret Anthropic private info that makes this all more plausible. (But I doubt that too – cf. Brundage's claim that there are no more secrets like that now, the short-timelines cards are all on the table.)

It just does not make sense to me. And (as you can probably tell) I find it very frustrating that these guys are out there talking about how human thought will basically be obsolete in a few years, and pontificating about how to find new sources of meaning in life and stuff, without actually laying out an argument that their vision – which would be the common concern of all of us, if it were indeed on the horizon – is actually likely to occur on the timescale they propose.

It would be less frustrating if I were being asked to simply take it on faith, or explicitly on the basis of corporate secret knowledge. But no, the claim is not that, it's something more like "now, now, I know this must sound far-fetched to the layman, but if you really understand 'scaling laws' and 'exponential growth,' and you appreciate the way that pretraining will be scaled up soon, then it's simply obvious that –"

No! Fuck that! I've read the papers you're talking about, I know all the arguments you're handwaving-in-the-direction-of! It still doesn't add up!

[filehulk]

PuTTY

PuTTY is a widely-used, open-source, lightweight, and free SSH client and terminal emulator. Created by Simon Tatham using the C programming language, its main purpose is to enable remote computer connections while providing file transfer and data manipulation capabilities. PuTTY supports various network protocols, including SSH, Telnet, Serial, SCP, and SFTP. It also includes a command-line tool…