#Coffee Trading Market

[scottbiffin]

Scott Biffin's Guide to Coffee Trading- Trends, Challenges, and Opportunities Ahead

The coffee trading market is a dynamic and complex sector that reflects global economic trends, environmental changes, and evolving consumer preferences. As an experienced trader with a deep understanding of both the cotton and coffee markets, I, Scott Biffin, have witnessed firsthand the shifts and developments within this industry. This blog post delves into the current trends, challenges, and opportunities within the coffee trading market, providing insights into what shapes this vital global commodity.

Current Trends in Coffee Trading

1. Growing Demand for Specialty Coffee

One of the most notable trends in coffee trading is the growing demand for specialty coffee. Consumers are increasingly seeking high-quality, unique coffee experiences, driven by a desire for more than just a caffeine fix. Specialty coffee, which is often characterized by its distinct flavors, sustainable sourcing, and artisanal production methods, is capturing a larger share of the market. This trend is reflected in the rising number of specialty coffee shops and the premium pricing of high-quality beans.

2. Sustainability and Ethical Sourcing

Sustainability has become a crucial factor in the coffee trading market. Consumers and businesses alike are placing greater emphasis on ethical sourcing practices and environmental responsibility. This shift is driving coffee traders to focus on sourcing beans from sustainable farms that employ eco-friendly practices. Certifications such as Fair Trade, Rainforest Alliance, and Organic are becoming more prominent, signaling a commitment to both social and environmental standards.

3. Technological Advancements

Technology is transforming the coffee trading market in several ways. From precision agriculture to blockchain traceability, technological advancements are enhancing the efficiency and transparency of coffee production and trading. Precision agriculture techniques, including the use of drones and sensors, are helping farmers optimize crop yields and reduce waste. Meanwhile, blockchain technology is providing greater transparency in the supply chain, allowing consumers to trace the origin of their coffee with greater accuracy.

4. Emerging Markets

The global coffee market is experiencing growth in emerging markets, particularly in Asia and Africa. As these regions develop economically and their middle classes expand, the demand for coffee is increasing. Countries such as China and India are seeing rising coffee consumption, driven by changing lifestyles and increasing urbanization. This trend presents new opportunities for coffee traders to tap into these growing markets and establish new trading relationships.

Challenges Facing the Coffee Trading Market

1. Climate Change

Climate change poses a significant challenge to the coffee trading market. Rising temperatures, changing precipitation patterns, and extreme weather events are affecting coffee-growing regions around the world. Coffee plants are sensitive to climate variations, and disruptions in growing conditions can lead to reduced yields and lower quality beans. Traders must navigate these challenges by adapting their sourcing strategies and supporting sustainable practices that help mitigate the impact of climate change.

2. Price Volatility

The coffee market is known for its price volatility, which can be attributed to various factors, including supply and demand fluctuations, geopolitical events, and currency fluctuations. Coffee prices can experience sharp fluctuations, impacting both traders and consumers. Managing price risk and ensuring stable pricing for consumers while maintaining profitability is a key challenge for coffee traders.

3. Supply Chain Disruptions

Supply chain disruptions can significantly impact the coffee trading market. Events such as natural disasters, political instability, and logistical challenges can disrupt the flow of coffee from producers to consumers. The COVID-19 pandemic, for example, highlighted vulnerabilities in global supply chains and emphasized the need for resilience and flexibility. Coffee traders must develop strategies to manage and mitigate supply chain risks to ensure a steady supply of coffee.

4. Labor and Ethical Issues

Labor conditions in coffee-producing regions can also present challenges. Issues such as low wages, poor working conditions, and child labor are concerns that can affect the ethical sourcing of coffee. Traders and buyers must address these issues by working with reputable suppliers, supporting fair labor practices, and ensuring compliance with ethical standards.

Opportunities in the Coffee Trading Market

1. Direct Trade Relationships

One opportunity for coffee traders is the development of direct trade relationships with coffee producers. Direct trade allows traders to establish closer connections with farmers, ensuring better quality control and fair compensation for their products. This approach can also help build strong, long-term partnerships and improve transparency in the supply chain.

2. Innovation in Coffee Products

The coffee industry is ripe for innovation, with opportunities for traders to explore new coffee products and formats. Innovations such as ready-to-drink coffee beverages, cold brew, and specialty blends are gaining popularity. Traders can capitalize on these trends by diversifying their product offerings and exploring new market segments.

3. Investment in Sustainable Practices

Investing in sustainable practices presents both an opportunity and a responsibility for coffee traders. By supporting environmentally friendly farming practices, investing in reforestation projects, and promoting social responsibility, traders can contribute to the long-term health of the coffee industry. Additionally, sustainability can be a selling point for consumers who are increasingly making purchasing decisions based on environmental and ethical considerations.

4. Expanding Market Presence

As emerging markets continue to grow, coffee traders have the opportunity to expand their market presence in these regions. Establishing a foothold in developing markets can lead to new revenue streams and increased market share. Traders can explore partnerships with local distributors, invest in marketing strategies tailored to regional preferences, and adapt their offerings to meet the demands of these growing markets.

5. Leveraging Data and Analytics

Data and analytics are powerful tools for making informed decisions in the coffee trading market. By leveraging data on market trends, consumer preferences, and supply chain dynamics, traders can gain valuable insights that drive strategic decision-making. Investing in data analytics tools and technologies can enhance market forecasting, optimize pricing strategies, and improve overall operational efficiency.

The coffee trading market is a dynamic and evolving sector characterized by shifting trends, significant challenges, and promising opportunities. As consumers demand higher quality and more sustainable coffee, traders must navigate these changes while adapting to a complex global landscape. By embracing innovation, investing in sustainability, and leveraging data, coffee traders can position themselves for success in this exciting and ever-changing industry.

As an experienced trader with a passion for coffee and a deep understanding of the market, I look forward to continuing to explore the evolving world of coffee trading and contributing to its growth and development. Whether you're a coffee enthusiast, a trader, or someone interested in the global coffee supply chain, the journey of coffee from bean to cup is a fascinating one that reflects the intersection of commerce, culture, and innovation.

[mizzroyalty]

❄️☕️

Go follow : StocksOnWatch ( YouTube)

[baycitystygian]

promising myself that if I send in five job applications or more in the next 24 hours I can give myself a little treat (an 8x10 of paulie I saw on eBay that made me downright critically DEHYDRATED for that man)

[realityarchitect]

Down in Costa Mesa trading before helping my friend move. Been going crazy since spring break started. This like my 8th consecutive $150+ day…🎯📈📉

[farmerstrend]

Coffee Traded at Weekly Auction Fetches Sh1.6 Billion: Key Insights from the Latest Nairobi Coffee Exchange Sale

Coffee drawn from cooperative societies and estates that was traded at Nairobi Coffee Exchange, Tuesday netted Sh1.6 billion. Young African woman collecting coffee berries from a coffee plant, Kenya, Africa. A total of 28,971 bags of 50 kilos of coffee were sold representing a 4 percent increase from the 27,864 bags traded during last week’s sale. Average price per bag saw a slight drop to…

[death-metal-mugs]

The Trader’s Secret Weapon: Caffeine and a Winning Mindset

In the world of stock trading, where every second and every decision matters, a strong mindset is key. And if there’s one thing that powers that mindset better than any indicator, it’s coffee. For traders, caffeine isn’t just a boost—it’s a way to stay sharp, keep focused, and weather the inevitable highs and lows of the market. Paired with a powerful outlook, coffee becomes the ultimate tool for success.

Mornings are when traders gather information, analyze overnight trends, and prepare for the market’s opening bell. This is when coffee plays its biggest role, fueling the meticulous preparation that can make or break a day. A mug like the Stonks Coffee Mug brings a light-hearted touch to those early hours, reminding traders that no matter how volatile things get, they’re ready to take it on.

It’s not just about keeping alert. The right coffee can become part of a trader’s strategy, providing a ritual that helps them focus on the moment, shake off market noise, and stick to their plans. Trading can be a rollercoaster, and a strong cup of coffee offers the grounding energy needed to stay patient and rational, even during a volatile day. There’s a reason so many traders make coffee an essential part of their setup—it’s a comfort that calms the nerves and keeps the mind steady.

Afternoons are a chance to assess progress, make adjustments, and, sometimes, take a deep breath before diving back in. For those in it for the long haul, coffee isn’t just a one-time boost; it’s a companion that offers a moment to pause and re-center. A bold mug can bring a bit of humor to these moments, helping traders shake off the intensity of the day and refocus.

So, what makes coffee the secret weapon of so many traders? It’s not just the caffeine—it’s the resilience it represents. Coffee is a small reminder of a trader’s grit, helping them stick to their strategies, roll with the punches, and stay ready for the next move. If you’re a trader who lives for the challenge, embrace coffee as part of your arsenal, because success isn’t just about skill; it’s about staying sharp, strong, and steady from morning to close.

[chheolie]

[🌾] 003. market- favorite enemy series

masterlist

the sun shone brightly that saturday morning, casting warm rays over the houses that lined the narrow street. the homes of you and mingyu were separated by just a street and a childhood rivalry that never seemed to fade, no matter the age. childhood friends who spent more time bickering than anything else, you told everyone you were enemies, but the feeling went far beyond mutual teasing.

you sleepily walked downstairs, the familiar aroma of fresh coffee filling the kitchen and welcoming you comfortingly. dressed in loose pajamas, you entered the kitchen distractedly, waving to your mother who was finishing up breakfast. however, when you looked up, you froze.

sitting in your favorite spot, right next to your mother, was mingyu. he smiled mischievously when he noticed the look of displeasure on your face. it was a smug smile, as if he knew exactly what he was doing.

"good morning, slacker," he teased, taking a sip of coffee as if he owned the place.

you narrowed your eyes. "who let this imposter in?"

"imposter? are you hearing this, eomeoni?" mingyu shot back, redirecting the conversation to your mom, laughing.

you rolled your eyes, moving closer to the table and deliberately bumping his head as you sat down. mingyu complained, rubbing the spot where you hit him, but his smile didn't fade. you settled in across from him, making it clear you were there to annoy him just as much as he was annoying you.

"you know that's my spot, right?" you grumbled, pushing a piece of toast onto your plate.

"i know," he replied with a cheeky grin, pushing his coffee cup toward you. "but whoever wakes up late gets the leftover spot."

"oh yeah?" you took his cup, bringing it to your lips and taking a sip, just to see his reaction. mingyu gasped, staring at you in disbelief.

"hey, that's my coffee!" he protested, but didn't move to take the cup back.

"it's mine now." you took a long, deliberate sip, your eyes locked on his the entire time.

your mom, watching the amusing interaction between the two of you, seized the moment to ask a favor. “y/n, why don't you and mingyu go to the market to pick up the order for me? it's too heavy for me to carry.”

you almost choked on your coffee, turning to your mom with an exaggerated look of horror. “go with him? in the same car?”

your mom laughed, shaking her head. “oh, stop it. it's just a quick trip to the market.”

you shot a glare at mingyu, who just smiled. "come on, y/n. don't be a killjoy. or are you afraid to be alone with me?"

“i'm not afraid of anything, especially not you,” you muttered, but your mom gave you that insistent look you couldn't ignore.

a few minutes later, you were in mingyu's car. he unlocked the door and, before you got in, started laying down his rules with the authority of a drill sergeant.

“first thing: get in with clean feet. i don't want you dirtying up my car. second: don't mess with the seat, it's adjusted exactly how i like it. third: no playing your horrible music. and-”

before he could continue, you had already entered with dirty feet on purpose, adjusted the seat forward, and started fiddling with the radio to play your peculiar playlist that he couldn't stand. mingyu looked at you in disbelief.

“i just told you the rules!” he exclaimed, but you just shrugged, acting as if you hadn't heard anything.

“you didn't expect me to obey, did you?” you said casually, as if it were the most obvious thing in the world.

mingyu grumbled but couldn't help but smile. your stubbornness was one of the things he hated and loved at the same time. the drive to the market was filled with silly arguments about the music, the seat adjustment, and the dirty shoes, but deep down, that was your dynamic—and neither of you would trade it for anything.

when you arrived at the market, mingyu went straight to pick up the order. you, however, quickly got distracted in the snacks aisle, grabbing colorful packets and analyzing each one. mingyu, with the heavy bags in hand, watched you from afar, shaking his head but with a soft smile he couldn't contain.

after a few minutes, you noticed his presence, the heavy bags pulling his arms down. you ran over to him, grabbing one of the bags.

"let me help, you're carrying everything," you said, trying to lighten his load.

mingyu shook his head. “i can handle it, y/n. these bags are too heavy for you.”

you insisted, trying to take the bag back. "i'm not made of porcelain, mingyu. besides, if you pass out here, how will i explain it to my mom?"

he laughed, finally giving in and letting you take one of the bags. your fingers brushed his for a moment, and both of you fell silent, the weight of the interaction both familiar and yet different. you held the bag with determination, and mingyu watched in silence, with a mix of pride and something else he preferred not to name.

as you walked back to the car, mingyu glanced at you out of the corner of his eye, noticing the frown on your face as you carried the bag. this was the same y/n—stubborn and independent—and he couldn't imagine his life without those daily bickering sessions. maybe you were childhood enemies, but it was the best enmity he could have.

you walked side by side toward the parking lot, the bags swaying gently in your hands. you walked in silence, a comfortable silence that you rarely shared, but that seemed perfectly fitting at that moment.

as mingyu talked about some random topic, you suddenly stopped, your eyes widening as you spotted someone familiar approaching from the opposite direction. the playful smile on your face vanished instantly, and you instinctively hid behind mingyu, using his body as a shield. he stopped walking, frowning in confusion at your behavior.

"y/n, what are you doing?" he asked, turning his head to try and see you.

before you could answer, mingyu noticed the figure approaching. his body automatically tensed, recognizing the man heading toward you with a sneering smile. it was your ex-boyfriend, a guy mingyu could never stand. he knew the guy was a jerk, the kind of person who made you wonder how someone as smart as you had fallen for his charm.

your ex stopped in front of you, his eyes piercing you with an unpleasant familiarity. “y/n, what a coincidence to run into you here,” he said, his tone dripping with sarcasm.

you didn't respond, keeping yourself firmly behind mingyu, who, sensing your discomfort, adopted a protective stance. he moved slightly to block the man's view of you, shooting a hard look that said much more than words could express.

"no coincidence at all," mingyu shot back, his voice firm and cold. "what do you want?"

your ex gave a sarcastic smile, ignoring the question and trying to peek at you behind mingyu. "just wanted to say hi. it's been a while, right, y/n?" he said, stepping closer.

you remained silent, trying to make yourself invisible, but mingyu had no patience for games. he took a large step forward, forcing the guy to back off a bit.

“she doesn't want to talk to you. so you'd better move on and stop bothering her,” mingyu said, his voice carrying authority. he didn't raise his voice, but the implicit threat was clear.

your ex found it amusing, but he knew that with mingyu by your side, he wouldn't be able to get to you. "all right, all right, no need to get mad hyung," he said mockingly, casting one last look at you before walking away.

as soon as he disappeared from view, you let out a shaky sigh, feeling the weight of relief mixed with the adrenaline still coursing through your veins. mingyu turned to you, his face relaxing as he noticed how shaken you were. the silence stretched for a moment, laden with emotions neither of you knew how to express.

not knowing exactly how to break the tension, mingyu decided to follow his usual instinct – to tease you. a wry smile appeared on his lips as you both headed back to the car.

“you don’t know how to do anything right, do you?” he began, a playful tone in his voice. “not even pick a decent boyfriend.”

you looked at him, first with a surprised expression, which quickly turned into a mix of irritation and relief. the familiar teasing was, in a way, comforting. “look who’s talking,” you retorted, trying to sound confident, but there was still a slight tremor in your voice. “as if you were an expert in picking girlfriends.”

mingyu laughed, that warm laugh that always seemed to ease any tension. “i might not be an expert, but at least i don’t hide behind other people,” he teased, giving you a light nudge with his elbow.

you gave him a gentle tap on the arm, which only made him laugh more. “you’re an idiot,” you murmured, but there was a faint smile on your lips.

when you finally got into the car, the atmosphere felt lighter. mingyu glanced at you, who was looking out the window, trying to collect your thoughts. he could see you were still trying to process what had happened, so, for the first time in a long time, he decided to say nothing. the silence was comfortable, and sometimes, it was all you needed.

as he drove back home, with the radio playing softly the song you had chosen, mingyu gave a slight smile, more to himself than anyone else.

“hey, you,” he finally said, his voice softer than usual.

“what’s up, gyu?” you responded, still looking out the window, but with a somewhat calmer tone.

“you know i’m here for you, right?” the words came out without much pretense, but their meaning was much deeper than anything else he could have said.

you turned to look at him, a serious expression on your face before you finally relaxed. “i know,” you replied softly, and this time, without any teasing.

and, for the first time that day, the silence between you was more than just a pause – it was an understanding.

taglist: @tacosandbitch @hamji-hae @babbyypeenk @simpxxstan @oiiviagrande @hobiiimingyu @caaaptaaainamericaaa @soffiyuhh

[transmutationisms]

in addition to being prone to an obvious naturalistic fallacy, the oft-repeated claim that various supplements / herbs / botanicals are being somehow suppressed by pharmaceutical interests seeking to protect their own profits ('they would rather sell you a pill') belies a clear misunderstanding of the relationship between 'industrial' pharmacology and plant matter. bioprospecting, the search for plants and molecular components of plants that can be developed into commercial products, has been one of the economic motivations and rationalisations for european colonialism and imperialism since the so-called 'age of exploration'. state-funded bioprospectors specifically sought 'exotic' plants that could be imported to europe and sold as food or materia medica—often both, as in the cases of coffee or chocolate—or, even better, cultivated in 'economic' botanical gardens attached to universities, medical schools, or royal palaces and scientific institutions.

this fundamental attitude toward the knowledge systems and medical practices of colonised people—the position, characterising eg much 'ethnobotany', that such knowledge is a resource for imperialist powers and pharmaceutical manufacturers to mine and profit from—is not some kind of bygone historical relic. for example, since the 1880s companies including pfizer, bristol-myers squibb, and unilever have sought to create pharmaceuticals from african medicinal plants, such as strophanthus, cryptolepis, and grains of paradise. in india, state-created databases of valuable 'traditional' medicines have appeared partly in response to a revival of bioprospecting since the 1980s, in an increasingly bureaucratised form characterised by profit-sharing agreements between scientists and local communities that has nonetheless been referred to as "biocapitalism". a 1990 paper published in the proceedings of the novartis foundation symposium (then the ciba foundation symposium) spelled out this form of epistemic colonialism quite bluntly:

Ethnobotany, ethnomedicine, folk medicine and traditional medicine can provide information that is useful as a 'pre-screen' to select plants for experimental pharmacological studies.

there is no inherent oppositional relationship between pharmaceutical industry and 'natural' or plant-based cures. there are of course plenty of examples of bioprospecting that failed to translate into consumer markets: ginseng, introduced to europe in the 17th century through the mercantile system and the east india company, found only limited success in european pharmacology. and there are cases in which knowledge with potential market value has actually been suppressed for other reasons: the peacock flower, used as an abortifacient in the west indies, was 'discovered' by colonial bioprospectors in the 18th century; the plant itself moved easily to europe, but knowledge of its use in reproductive medicine became the subject of a "culturally cultivated ignorance," resulting from a combination of funding priorities, national policies, colonial trade patterns, gender politics, and the functioning of scientific institutions. this form of knowledge suppression was never the result of a conflict wherein bioprospectors or pharmacists viewed the peacock flower as a threat to their own profits; on the contrary, they essentially sacrificed potential financial benefits as a result of the political and social factors that made abortifacient knowledge 'unknowable' in certain state and commercial contexts.

exploitation of plant matter in pharmacology is not a frictionless or infallible process. but the sort of conspiratorial thinking that attempts to position plant therapeutics and 'big pharma' as oppositional or competitive forces is an ahistorical and opportunistic example of appealing to nominally anti-capitalist rhetoric without any deeper understanding of the actual mechanisms of capitalism and colonialism at play. this is of course true whether or not the person making such claims has any personal financial stake in them, though it is of course also true that, often, they do hold such stakes.

[afeelgoodblog]

The Best News of Last Week - January 15, 2024

🎊 - As we embark on another journey around the sun, I am thrilled to bring you the first newsletter of the year, packed with inspiring, informative, and sometimes downright amusing stories.

1. Marijuana meets criteria for reclassification as lower-risk drug

Marijuana has a lower potential for abuse than other drugs that are subjected to the same restrictions, with scientific support for its use as a medical treatment, researchers from the US Food and Drug Administration say in documents supporting its reclassification as a Schedule III substance.

2. South Korea passes law banning dog meat trade

The slaughter and sale of dogs for their meat is to become illegal in South Korea after MPs backed a new law. The legislation, set to come into force by 2027, aims to end the centuries-old practice of humans eating dog meat.

3. After 20 years in a tiny cage, these 'broken bears' are finally feeling the grass beneath their paws

These bears, termed "broken bears" due to physical and psychological trauma from years of abuse, are treated at the Tam Dao rescue center with individually tailored diets, physiotherapy, and medical care. The bear bile trade, which involves extracting bile for traditional Asian medicine, has been illegal in Vietnam since 2005, but a black market still exists.

4. France just got its first openly gay prime minister.

Gabriel Attal is France’s youngest-ever prime minister at age 34 and the first who is openly gay.

5. Australian ‘builders without borders’ repairing war-torn homes and schools in Ukraine

Manfred Hin, a 66-year-old builder from Townsville, Australia, spent most of 2023 volunteering in Ukraine to rebuild homes and schools damaged by Russian attacks. Having contributed to over 50 house and a dozen school renovations, he worked with Ukrainian charity Brave to Rebuild, mentoring young volunteers and sourcing three tonnes of donated tools.

Inspired by Hin's story, Tasmanian carpenter Hamish Stirling also joined the efforts, learning Ukrainian, traveling to Europe, and volunteering for three months to help rebuild homes.

6. The age-standardized death rate from cancer has declined by 15% since 1990

The age-standardized death rate from cancer declined by 15%

Cancer kills mostly older people – as the death rate by age shows, of those who are 70 years and older, 1% die from cancer every year. For people who are younger than 50, the cancer death rate is more than 40-times lower (more detail here).

7. Germany Reached 55% Renewable Energy in 2023

In 2023, 55 percent of Germany’s power came from renewables — an increase of 6.6 percent, according to energy regulator Bundesnetzagentur, reported Reuters. Europe’s biggest national economy has a goal of 80 percent green energy by 2030.

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That's it for this week :)

This newsletter will always be free. If you liked this post you can support me with a small kofi donation here:

Buy me a coffee ❤️

Also don’t forget to reblog this post with your friends.

[scottbiffin]

Coffee Futures- Navigating the Volatile World of Commodity Trading

The global coffee market is an intricate web of farmers, exporters, importers, roasters, and retailers. But beyond the cups of morning joe lies a high-stakes world of commodity trading, where coffee futures attract traders with their volatility and profit potential. If you’re intrigued by this dynamic market, understanding the fundamentals and nuances of trading coffee futures is essential.

In this article, we’ll delve into the mechanics of coffee futures, the factors driving their volatility, and strategies for navigating this exciting yet unpredictable commodity.

What Are Coffee Futures?

Coffee futures are standardized contracts that obligate the buyer to purchase, or the seller to deliver, a specified amount of coffee at a predetermined price on a set future date. These contracts are primarily traded on exchanges like the Intercontinental Exchange (ICE).

Coffee is classified into two main types for trading purposes:

Arabica: A higher-quality coffee grown at high altitudes, primarily in Latin America.

Robusta: A lower-cost, stronger-flavored coffee grown in regions like Vietnam and Brazil.

Arabica futures are the most traded contracts, representing a benchmark for global coffee prices.

Why Trade Coffee Futures?

Hedging: Producers, exporters, and importers use coffee futures to hedge against price fluctuations, ensuring stable income or costs.

Speculation: Traders profit from price movements without needing to own the physical commodity.

Diversification: Coffee futures offer an opportunity to diversify portfolios, as they often react differently to global economic trends compared to stocks or bonds.

The Volatility of Coffee Futures

Coffee futures are among the most volatile commodities. Prices can swing dramatically due to a variety of factors, including:

1. Weather Conditions

Coffee is highly sensitive to weather changes. For instance, frost in Brazil, the world’s largest coffee producer, can severely impact crops and drive prices sky-high.

2. Supply and Demand Dynamics

Supply: Coffee production depends on agricultural conditions, labor availability, and geopolitical stability in producing countries.

Demand: Global trends in coffee consumption, such as the rise of specialty coffee shops, influence demand.

3. Currency Fluctuations

Coffee is priced in U.S. dollars on global exchanges. Changes in the value of the dollar or local currencies of coffee-producing nations can impact trading prices.

4. Geopolitical and Economic Factors

Political instability in key producing countries, trade tariffs, and global economic conditions can all lead to significant price changes.

How to Trade Coffee Futures

1. Understand the Market Basics

Familiarize yourself with the coffee industry, its supply chain, and major players. Understand seasonal patterns, such as peak harvest periods, which often influence price trends.

2. Choose a Trading Platform

Select a reliable trading platform offering access to ICE coffee futures. Ensure the platform provides analytical tools, charts, and real-time data to aid your decision-making.

3. Learn the Contract Specifications

For Arabica coffee on ICE:

Contract Size: 37,500 pounds

Tick Size: 5 cents per pound ($18.75 per tick)

Delivery Months: March, May, July, September, and December

4. Analyze the Market

Use a combination of:

Fundamental Analysis: Study supply-demand factors, weather reports, and global coffee consumption trends.

Technical Analysis: Examine price charts, trends, and indicators to identify potential entry and exit points.

5. Practice Risk Management

Set stop-loss orders to limit potential losses. Never trade more than you can afford to lose, as coffee’s volatility can lead to significant gains or losses.

Trading Strategies for Coffee Futures

1. Seasonal Trends Strategy

Coffee prices often follow predictable seasonal patterns. For example, prices may rise during Brazil’s winter (May to August) due to the risk of frost.

2. News-Based Trading

Stay updated on coffee-related news, such as weather forecasts, production reports, or policy changes in major coffee-producing nations. Use this information to anticipate price movements.

3. Spread Trading

This involves buying and selling futures contracts with different delivery months to profit from price discrepancies. For example, you might buy a March contract while selling a July contract if you expect prices to rise in the near term.

4. Hedging with Options

Options on coffee futures allow you to hedge against adverse price movements while maintaining upside potential. Buying a put option, for instance, protects against falling prices.

Case Study: The Brazilian Frost of 2021

In July 2021, severe frost hit Brazil’s coffee-growing regions, significantly damaging crops. As a result, Arabica coffee futures surged to a seven-year high, with prices rising over 30% in just a few weeks.

For traders who anticipated the frost’s impact, this event provided substantial profit opportunities. It also highlighted the importance of monitoring weather patterns and staying prepared for sudden market shifts.

Risks of Coffee Futures Trading

While the potential rewards are attractive, coffee futures trading comes with inherent risks:

High Volatility: Rapid price changes can lead to significant losses if positions are not managed carefully.

Leverage Risk: Futures trading involves leverage, amplifying both gains and losses.

Knowledge Gap: Without a deep understanding of the market, traders can make costly mistakes.

Tips for Successful Coffee Futures Trading

Stay Informed: Follow coffee market reports, weather forecasts, and economic news.

Start Small: Begin with smaller positions to minimize risk as you learn the market’s intricacies.

Use Demo Accounts: Practice trading with virtual money before committing real capital.

Diversify Your Portfolio: Avoid overexposure to coffee by balancing your investments with other commodities or asset classes.

The Future of Coffee Futures

The coffee market is evolving, driven by sustainability concerns, climate change, and shifts in consumer preferences.

Sustainability: Growing demand for sustainably sourced coffee may influence production practices and costs.

Climate Change: Increasing climate unpredictability poses risks to coffee yields, likely amplifying price volatility.

Digital Trading: Advances in technology, such as AI-driven trading algorithms, are reshaping commodity trading.

As these trends unfold, the coffee futures market will remain a fascinating arena for traders seeking to capitalize on its unique dynamics.

Conclusion

Trading coffee futures offers a blend of challenge and opportunity. The market’s volatility, driven by factors ranging from weather to global demand, creates profit potential for well-prepared traders. By understanding the fundamentals, employing effective strategies, and practicing diligent risk management, you can navigate the exciting world of coffee futures with confidence.

Whether you’re a seasoned trader or a newcomer, coffee futures provide a dynamic way to engage with one of the world’s most beloved commodities. So, brew your knowledge, sip on some analysis, and prepare to trade in the thrilling coffee market.

[thedialoguedilemma]

The Dilemma Bulletin: Monday January 27th, 2025

Keeping you informed about the daily events of the Trump Administration

China releases an AI source called DeepSeek set to rival ChatGPT and OpenAI. China claims it created this AI at a fraction of the cost causing US markets to trend downhill.

China releases an internet communications satellite set to rival Starlink.

NVIDIA has fallen out of being the world’s most valuable company after losing $600 billion dollars in market capitalization today under the Trump administration

Trump continues to threaten tariffs on nations that don’t agree with his policies which will skyrocket prices for everyone.

A January 6th terrorist that was pardoned and released into the public by President Trump was shot and killed by police during a traffic stop in Indiana following an altercation.

The Trump administration has instructed public health officials across the United States to stop working with the World Health Organization effective immediately as bird flu cases rise in the US

After Trump threatened Colombia with tariffs this past Sunday, coffee prices have risen in expectation of possible trade war with Colombia.

President Donald Trump announces a tariff on foreign semiconductor chips which will cause electronics such as refrigerators, game consoles, tvs, computers to all skyrocket in price.

Trump claims the United States military entered California and just “turned the water on” What does that even mean????? The pumps were temporarily off for a 3 day maintenance and are now up and running.

Trump says Microsoft is in talks to acquire TikTok

Google Maps updates Gulf of Mexico to Gulf of America despite every other world country still referring to the body of water as the Gulf of Mexico

Trump expected to sign an Executive Order banning transgender people from the military. Will be challenged in court.

Legoland Florida announces massive upcoming layoffs as a result of Governor DeSantis and President Trump leadership

Trump announces an idea of wanting to fly American criminals to other countries who will incarcerate them for "a small fee". Again— will be immediately challenged in court.

[himluv]

The Bet

The next chapter of Say My Name (Say it Twice) is here! Read it below, or over on AO3.

A visit to Treviso never failed to make Lucanis feel better. The night sky overhead coupled with the warm glow of lanterns reflected in the canals were as comforting to him as a favored blanket to a child. He walked the market, slowly purchasing the items on his list while Spite flitted around, smelling everything. 

Bellara wanted to make a Dalish fish soup that required some very specific spices and, of course, fish. He would buy the protein on his way back to the Lighthouse. For now he chatted with the merchants, stopped to trade good-natured barbs with Neri and Noa, and made his wending way to Café Pietra. 

Spite raised his face to the sky and inhaled. Coffee, he said. But, no Rook?

Of course, the only other time the demon had been to the café had been with Rook. It made sense that he would associate this place with her. 

“Not today,” he murmured as they found a table near the water. It was early in the evening and there were fewer patrons than there would be later in the night. He ordered an Andoral’s Breath and a small plate of cantucci, then settled in to enjoy the moment of quiet. Viago was punctual, but Teia was not. They would be late and Lucanis did not mind in the slightest. 

Spite leaned over the table, inhaling the scent of the almond pastries with unabashed hunger. What. Is. That?!

Lucanis sighed and answered in a low voice. “Cantucci,” he said. “A biscuit with almonds.” There were many different interpretations of the form, but Café Pietra favored bold flavors – their cantucci were baked with amaretto for additional punch. 

Goes. With coffee?

“Yes,” he said, although Lucanis would never dip biscotti in a brew as complex and delicately crafted as Andoral’s Breath. Instead, he took a bite of the cantucci – careful to keep the powdered sugar out of his beard – then took a sip of his coffee. 

He savored the blend of the bold, rich roast with the gentle, bittersweetness of roasted almond. A combination that took the best of each to create something exquisite. He sighed. He’d needed this. Though, he had to admit, it would be even more pleasant if Rook were there.

Where. Is. Rook?

“Lucanis,” Teia said as she approached his table.

He stood to greet her with the customary kisses at each cheek, though no lips touched skin. House Dellamorte might view the Seventh Talon as family, but none of them were foolish enough forego the basic precautions. 

Behind her, Viago scowled. Not for any particular reason that Lucanis could tell, that was simply the man’s default expression. 

Lucanis gestured to the table. “Please, sit.”

The Talons sat, each oblivious to the demon flickering between them, sniffing with abandon.

Smells like leather and lavender, Spite said of Teia. Soft and supple. He inhaled, then grinned at Lucanis. Deadly!

Viago seemed harder for the demon to catalog. He sniffed and sniffed, circling the Fifth Talon like a dog scenting a bone. Smells like… death. Like sour, scorching death. Like numbing ice. Like – another deep inhale – bitter fruit.

The poisons, Lucanis realized. The demon scented all the various vials Viago no doubt had secreted across his person. Finally, Spite left Viago to sit at the only remaining chair, as if he too were joining this meeting. 

Teia gave an exaggerated look around the café. “Where is Rook?”

Lucanis shrugged. “I think she’s in Arlathan.” He knew she was in Arlathan, with Davrin and Bellara. “Something about Venatori in the forest?”

Viago shook his head. “They’re growing bold.”

“They’ve been bold,” Teia said, her tone dark. No doubt she was thinking of their raid on the casino. Of Caterina. 

Lucanis gave her a grim smile. “Rook will handle it.”

Spite grinned. Rook. Will. KILL. Them!

Teia shot him an appraising look. “You know,” she said. “I like Rook. She’s good for you.”

Lucanis spluttered into his coffee. “What? That’s not–”

Teia laughed and Viago’s eyes went wide. “Shit,” he said, side-eyeing Teia. “You were right!”

She grinned at him. “You owe me a night at the opera!”

Lucanis frowned. “You bet that Rook and I–”

Teia’s smile vanished into shock, while Viago’s smile suddenly bared teeth.

“Our bet was that you’d caught feelings for Rook,” he said. 

“Not that she returned them!” Teia’s eyes shone in the lantern light, wide and hopeful. 

“Mierda,” Lucanis said. 

She likes. That we like. Rook?

Viago chuckled. “She’ll be planning your wedding in no time.”

The blood drained from Lucanis’s face, even as his stomach flipped at the thought. 

Our Rook. Forever?! 

He needed to get this conversation back under control. “There’s nothing to plan,” he said. “Rook and I are not together.”

Teia scowled and sat back in her chair with her arms crossed. “Yet.”

Viago snorted. “She is tenacious, this one.” He said it with such uncharacteristic fondness that Lucanis’s chest ached. Not because he had once desired that fondness, but because it reminded him of Rook. The softness in Viago’s eyes for Teia was a faint echo of the way Rook looked at him.

Rook. Loves. Us?!

Mierda! Lucanis scowled to tamp down that train of thought.

Teia shrugged. “You’ve never complained about my tenacity before.”

“Yes, he has,” Lucanis said. 

“Yes, I have,” Viago said at the same time. 

Teia rolled her eyes. “You two are no fun.”

Lucanis sighed. “I asked to meet for a reason, if you’re finished harassing me?” He glanced between the Talons, but they kept their silence. He lowered his voice, aware that his cousin might have spies in the café.

“Illario is working with the Venatori.”

Hate him, Spite said. Kill. Him.

Viago went utterly still, his blue eyes locked on Lucanis. “You’re certain?”

He growled. “Heard it from the lips of Zara Renata herself.” She had been dead at the time, but he would spare them the details. 

Teia looked uncertain. “She could have lied.”

Lucanis tilted his head in assent. “Perhaps.”

The Talons exchanged uneasy glances. “But,” Teia said. “Illario has been…”

“Acting suspiciously,” Viago said. 

“At first, I blamed it on your…” Teia winced. “Disappearance. Then Caterina’s death.”

“But, if he’s the one who betrayed you…” Viago’s voice was low and ice cold. It was the voice of one the most lethal men in all Antiva.

Teia looked down at the table. “It would explain his behavior. Not just grief, but–”

“Guilt,” Viago said. 

Teia gasped, her head jerking up to look at Lucanis. “Does that mean–? Caterina?”

“Yes.”

She let out a string of decadent curses. “I’ll kill him myself!”

Viago put a hand on her shoulder. “Patience,” he said. He looked to Lucanis. “If we are to move against him, we need information. Proof.”

Lucanis sat back, bringing his nearly empty cup with him. “Precisely why I am here.”

Viago nodded. “I’ll keep an eye on him. See what we can discover.”

Teia winced. “You should know,” she said. “He’s been spreading rumors about you.”

Now Lucanis stilled in his seat. “What kind of rumors?”

She looked to Viago, who gave Lucanis a guarded look. 

“He’s telling anyone who will listen that you’re an abomination,” she said. 

Viago added, “that you tried to kill him.”

Lucanis focused on keeping his breathing even, but said nothing. He just stared into his coffee cup. 

“Shit.” Viago pinched the bridge of his nose.

“It’s true?” Teia sounded heartbroken. “But how? You’re not–”

Lucanis raised a hand to forestall their questions. “It’s complicated,” he said. “But, the short version is that Zara used the Ossuary as a sort of lab to create abominations.” He scowled, blocking out the memories of that place as he spoke. “And she wanted to make the Demon of Vyrantium more than just a clever title.”

“But,” Teia said. “You seem fine!”

Both Lucanis and Viago gave her dubious looks.

She scoffed. “I mean, fine for being imprisoned and tortured for a year!”

Viago raised an eyebrow at her. “Maker, Teia.”

Show. Her? Spite grinned at Lucanis hopefully.

Lucanis shook his head. “Like I said, it’s complicated. 

“Which part?” Viago asked. “The demon, or trying to kill Illario?”

He snorted. “When haven’t I wanted to kill my idiot cousin?”

“Big difference in wanting to and trying,” the Fifth Talon said.

Teia gave him a hard look. “Does Rook know? About the demon?”

“Of course,” he said, almost offended. “I never kept it from her.” Never mind that he couldn’t. She was a mage and had noticed Spite right away. 

The Talons shared a weighted look, as if his honesty with Rook held some deeper meaning.

“What do you want us to do about the rumors?” Teia asked. 

He shook his head. “Nothing,” he said. “Illario cannot suspect you of taking my side.”

Viago nodded. “Not if we’re to remain close enough to learn his plans.”

“Very well,” she said, though she clearly didn’t like it. “We’ll be on our best behavior.”

Vaigo snorted. “That won’t be conspicuous at all.”

She glared at him and Viago smirked back.

Lucanis sighed. “You two are disgusting.”

Viago scowled at him, but Teia just laughed. “Us? You should see how you look at Rook! Like she hung the moon.”

He made a disgusted noise. “Don’t you have an opera to attend?”

Teia grinned at him. “We do. Although…” she glanced at Viago, then back to Lucanis. “We could always postpone. You could invite Rook! Make a double date of it?”

Both men groaned.

“Enough, Teia,” Viago said. “Leave him be.”

She sighed and shook her head. “See? Like I said, no fun at all.”

Viago smirked and opened his mouth, eyes glittering at whatever he was about to say, but Lucanis stood abruptly.

“I’m fairly certain I don’t want to hear the rest of this conversation,” he said. He gestured to the plate of cantucci. “Help yourselves.”

Viago scowled. “And where are you going?”

Lucanis smiled. “I have to see a Qunari about some fish.” He gave a shallow bow and hurried back out into the market before the Talons’ flirtations made him nauseous.

Leather and lavender, Spite said. Death. Flirting?

“Yes,” he said as he wound back through the market toward the fishmonger’s stall. “They’re together. At least, right now.” They tended to be on-and-off-again, though they’d been steadier since House De Riva had moved to Treviso after Salle fell to the Antaam.

Together. Like us. And Rook?

“No,” he said. “Rook isn’t… ours.” It was strange to talk about her this way, but he needed to use words Spite would understand.

Noooo, Spite said. Rook is ours! Our Rook!

“No,” Lucanis said, more firmly this time. Like reprimanding a dog.

We. Like. Rook.

He sighed. “Yes.”

Rook. Likes. Us!

Well, she liked Lucanis, at least. How she felt about the demon was less clear. “Maybe,” he said.

No! No maybe. Rook. Likes. US!

Lucanis shook his head. “Even if she does,” he said. “That doesn’t mean we’re together. That doesn’t make her ours.”

Why not?

“Because there’s more to being together than just liking someone.” He browsed the fishmonger’s stall, selecting two of the fresher whitefish he knew had a mild, sweet flavor and flaky texture. They should meet Bellara’s needs perfectly.

Like. What?

Mierda, did he really have to explain commitment to a demon? What had become of his life? He ignored Spite’s question and paid the fishmonger, who grunted their thanks.

Spite remained quiet until they were in the Crossroads. They walked through the spirit market side-by-side when Spite looked at him. Explain. Now?

Lucanis sighed. The demon had been patient, and this was the most polite request Spite had made of him, maybe ever. Either he felt guilty for his outburst with Davrin the night before, or he genuinely wanted to know. Perhaps a little of both.

“Being together is…” Mierda. He didn’t have any experience with this. “Choosing to be with one another. Spending all your time with each other.”

Like. Us?

Lucanis winced. It was easy to forget sometimes, but Spite had even less experience than he did. “We didn’t choose this, Spite.”

The demon didn’t respond to that.

“And,” Lucanis continued. “When people are together there’s usually romantic feelings. Attraction. Love.” He shrugged. “They care for one another.”

Attracted to Rook?

“Yes.” As strange as the fact still was to him, he couldn’t deny it. He was very attracted to Rook.

They walked in silence to the dock, and Spite pointedly ignored the Caretaker as it ferried them back to the Lighthouse eluvian. But before they reached the mirror, Spite stopped.

Lucanis. Loves Rook?

He blinked at the demon, then considered what to say. The fact that his response wasn’t an immediate ‘no’ was more than a little terrifying. After a moment, he shook his head. “I don’t know,” he said. He didn’t think so, not yet. But it was all too easy to imagine a future where he did.

He should be careful. Guard his heart and hers, because the odds of this contract getting a happy ending were not high. But even as he considered walling himself away from Rook, he knew it was too late. 

Regardless of what was to come, Lucanis’s course was set.

I. Like. Rook! Spite said.

Lucanis snorted at that. “I think everyone knows that by now.”

The demon beamed at him, and they stepped through the eluvian and back to the Lighthouse. Back to Rook.

[she-posts-nerdy-stuff]

Okay maybe this is a known thing and I’m just spouting nonsense or both Idek it’s half one in the morning and I was meant to be getting an early night but YOU GUYS I was just listening to my Soc audiobook and in chapter 18 when Kaz is remembering the coffee shop and the Hertzoon scam we learn that the first trade major trade Jordie and Kaz were privy to and I’m pretty sure Jordie put a little money into was A CHANGE IN THE SUGAR MARKET.

And of all the things Kaz might have been able to manipulate the market for to try and profit off Van Eck’s destruction at the start of crooked kingdom HE CHOSE SUGAR.

The failure of the Sweet Reef job doesn’t only represent, to Kaz, the foolishness at being hoodwinked by Rollins again that he describes as causing such anger within himself whilst at the Van Eck house but also LITERALLY REFLECTS AND PROBABLY SERVES AS A CLEAR CUT REMINDER OF THE HERTZOON SCAM. We know Kaz is a pretty big on poetic justice (see Fillip and the wind up dogs torture/murder, stealing from the bank that was involved in the scam, the use of Alby against Rollins, etc) and I can’t help but wonder if that’s what this was intended to be in his mind, but there’s also the possibility that this wasn’t an active decision he made and only occurred to him afterwards when he saw Rollins and had that strange “sense of doubling” and saw both situations and both failures so clearly reflected and

okay I may have lost my point here I’m very tired idk how to end this um ta-dah and goodnight

[reginamillls]

kayla i cant stop thinking about bucktommy and this is partly your fault so i need you to take responsibility

OKAY SO DON'T THINK ABOUT BUCKTOMMY...

trying to coordinate their schedules because they work at different fire stations, but they both understand the job so, it's okay, they get it, only for them to finally find the time but are both so exhausted they just fall asleep and in the morning Buck makes crepes and they trade lazy morning kisses that taste like fresh whipped cream and berries

going to the farmer's market and Buck is charmed because Tommy knows so many vendors by names and these little old ladies are just as infatuated as Buck is because Tommy has helped them with their carts before and in return they adore Buck because they make Tommy smile

sharing clothes because they're roughly the same size and both of them being pleased with how the other looks in their clothes

learning about the small things - their coffee orders, if they prefer pancakes or waffles, what kind of detergent they use if they're a morning or a night person, etc

Tommy tracing all of Buck's tattoos late at night, memorizing how the ink looks on his sweaty skin as it cools

Buck asking Tommy about his scars and Tommy doesn't need to worry about freaking anyone out because they both understand the job Tommy asks about Buck's in return

Maddie and Chimney coming home to see two giant men sitting in tiny chairs and having a very serious tea party with Jee-Yun on one of the days when Uncle Buck babysits

Tommy getting hurt and how Buck worries so hard because he wasn't there and Tommy is in surgery and when he wakes up Buck is at his side and he talks about how worried he was that Tommy would leave and Tommy replying "why would I leave when I have someone to go home to?"

Buck inviting Tommy over to events with the 118 so he can share his family with Tommy

falling in love

[lorelune]

oh to be alhaitham and kaveh's third roommate. less of a stray, more of a tax-paying citizen of sumeru city who mellows the two of them out. mediates by your nature.

you listen to kaveh's rants and ravings, let him show you his blueprints and new inspirations, and inspire him in kind with casual beauties you bring him. a padisarah in full bloom you found by the market. a seashell, found on the shores of yazahada pool, carried in from the ocean by the rivers current.

you sit quiet with alhaitham. you pet his hair after long days, lean against his side during the kinder ones. he likes when you read over his shoulder or have your nose in your own book. you start keeping a book of crossword puzzles on the coffee table, topped with a black ink pen, and you'll ask alhaitham to do one with you when the mood strikes.

(nsfw)

you cow them both into being a bit more... reasonable with one and other. they're oil and water, sun and moon, sky and sea. you remind alhaitham that antagonizing kaveh with staunch logic isn't the best way to resolve a conflict. you remind kaveh that not everything he feels is a personal slight is intended to be taken in such a way.

you are the jar that hold the oil and water. the star bed that carries the sun and moon. solid earth that keeps the sky tethered and the sea close.

alhaitham takes your recommendation for books seriously-- dives into fiction at your request. his assistant at the akademiya catches him reading what could only be called a "smut novel" between meetings. kaveh drags you into the study and kisses you breathless on the comfy chaise lounge in the corner, pushing you into the cushions and telling you sweetly-- "stay just like that." sketches you. paints you. memorizes the contours and curves of you.

when you tumble into bed, it's a dance.

kaveh maps out the curves of you with soft, long-fingered hands. leaves scratches and opened-mouthed kisses in his wake. kaveh wants to feel you. the rush of heat that comes when he sucks a bruise into your neck. the breath that rushes from your lungs when you let out a pretty keen.

alhaitham wants to know you. wants to learn you in the most intimate way. he wants to know the best angles to crook his finger inside you, the positions that make your eyes roll back in your skull. there's something about rendering you-- someone so horribly intentional, kind, present-- into a puddle, at his hand, that alhaitham quietly adores. shows you, more than tells you. you never leave bed without a limp, or a drooling web of slick and spunk stickying your thighs.

you drag them close. glut yourself on them. watch starry eyes when they kiss, whimper at the way they both go weak for teasing. you spit in your palms and tug at them both, watch with a split smile when kaveh has to duck his head into alhaitham's neck. overcome with just a little touch.

it's all reciprocal. you trade teeth marks (and in alhaitham's case, chomps) and have a schedule for who cooks dinner each night. you link arms with kaveh on the way to the market and steal sips of alhaithams tea before bed. you all attempt to steal the duvet during the night, so you propose to invest in another to keep folded at the end of your shared mattress.

you're grateful, to have fallen into step with them

[farmerstrend]

Inside Kenya’s Coffee, Tea and Fruit Reforms: How Farmers Are Pocketing More for Their Beans, Thanks to DP Gachagua

Discover how ongoing reforms in Kenya’s coffee and tea sectors are boosting farmers’ earnings, improving transparency, and driving industry growth with new legislation and policies. Explore the impact of Kenya’s tea and coffee reforms, including higher bonus payouts, direct sales systems, and legal changes aimed at benefiting small-scale farmers. Kenya’s coffee and tea sectors are experiencing a…