#2019 UK general election
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Michael Ebenezer Kwadjo Omari Owuo Jr
#Michael Ebenezer Kwadjo Omari Owuo Jr.#stormzy#British rapper#Stormzy songs#stormzy 2024#UK underground music#youtuber star#british youtubers#Wicked Skengman#Stiff Chocolate#Heavy Is the Head#Dreamers Disease#Grime#radio 1#WickedSkengMan 4#GSAP 24.02#Gang Signs & Prayer#2019 Glastonbury Festival#Pyramid Stage#Watch Dogs: Legion#Mel Made Me Do It#Toxic Trait#Grenfell Tower fire#Brit Awards#2019 UK general election#Gospel of Luke#This Is What I Mean#Noughts + Crosses#hot celebs#Christmas number one
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girls be like “i miss him” and it’s just jeremy corbyn
#uk politics#uk general election#i saw on twitter he won islington north? now i miss him MORE#we could’ve had it ALL! I AM SICK#i’ll never forgive any of you for 2019
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anyone else going slightly 😵💫 while waiting for the exit poll
#i almost had a breakdown when i saw the 2019 one#i’m excited but also nervous#uk politics#general election 2024#ge2024
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Once summer/any kind of warm weather is over for real I definitely have to do some kind of regular fitness workout again....
#i think i last used my exercise bike around the time of the last uk general election...oops#for people who use this weird measure of time called years: this was in 2019#(pointless observation but back then my hair was still long enough to put it in a ponytail during sports lol...good old times)#random stuff
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That isn't what happened though.
The North West and the North East both continued to vote for Labour more than other parties, but Labour's vote share decreased and that allowed the Tories to win a number of seats.
That doesn't mean that huge numbers of Northern voters switched to Tory. This is what actually happened in the North West:
Almost half the votes lost went to anti-Brexit parties.
And this is what happened in the North East:
Around a third of the votes lost there went to anti-Brexit parties.
Yorkshire was the only Northern region that had more Tory voters than Labour voters, and even there Labour only lost 9 seats. 40% of lost voters switched to anti-Brexit parties.
These charts don't show the depressingly large number of people who voted for the Brexit Party, but the results still show it wasn't just pro-Brexit voters that prevented Labour from winning. It was also anti-Brexit voters who decided that the slim (actually non-existent) chance of stopping Brexit was more important than stopping austerity, saving the NHS, getting rid of the Tories, etc.
The media made a lot of fuss about "the collapse of the Red Wall" and we were frequently told that lots of the North had gone Tory, but that's not the case. Labour found their vote split between multiple other parties, probably because the media had spent 4 years obsessing over Brexit to the exclusion of all other political issues. People were wrongly led to believe that this was the only real issue of our times and I think a lot of people just wanted it "done" - not in the sense they wanted Brexit but they were sick of hearing about Brexit.
And yet despite those losses from Labour (only 29 seats in total), the North still voted for Labour more than any other party. So why is the North more culpable than Southerners who spent years voting Tory? Why aren't working class Southerners expected to know better?
I'm not saying there aren't a lot of racist and xenophobic pro-Brexit dickheads in the North, and I can't stand it when people pretend the North is inherently more progressive than the South, but the people who switched to Lib Dem or Green - knowing they were throwing away their vote - certainly didn't help. I think at least a share of the blame has to go to people who pretended that Brexit could be avoided, and it doesn't help that Labour eventually changed their position to be in favour of a second referendum. As much as Brexit is a ridiculous concept, I can understand why a bunch of people said "fuck that" to a second referendum because you can't just ignore 2016.
It is horribly frustrating that we lost the chance of a social democratic government because of Brexit (not the genuine revolution we need, but it would've saved a lot of lives), but to put that particularly on Northern voters makes no sense. Labour listened too much to the centrists who demanded a second referendum policy. The media talked shit about Labour for 4 years and focused almost exclusively on Brexit. Labour was being sabotaged from within by its own MPs.
Labour lost 60 seats overall and only 29 of those are from the North, so blaming this on the Red Wall or pro-Brexit voters alone doesn't work. Besides, plenty of those anti-Brexit centrists have shown themselves to be white supremacists and anti-LGBTQ assholes and much of what is happening now is happening with their approval.
Do you know why I still have such a rage over the UK's 2019 election?
It's because so much of the supposedly left-wing poor "working class" North (among others) just threw aside decades of anti-Toryism to vote for the Tories or the Brexit Party (very openly just more Tories) because of Brexit.
These god damned mindless f*cking people just threw away the only chance in years for responsible, beneficial left-wing government because of Brexit and the racist xenophobic scapegoating that goes along with it. People who should have known better just swallowed a mountain of lies because it's easier to blame people who don't look like you, than the (mostly) white wealthy parasites that are bleeding people dry.
I'm tired of it all.
I'm tired of trying to excuse people for their mindless hate.
Racism and anti-lgbtq actions are greatly rising, and it sickens me that there are poor people both white and not, both straight or LGBTQ who've helped enable this because of comfortable ignorance and despicable greed.
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The Pizzaburger Presidency
For the rest of May, my bestselling solarpunk utopian novel THE LOST CAUSE (2023) is available as a $2.99, DRM-free ebook!
The corporate wing of the Democrats has objectively terrible political instincts, because the corporate wing of the Dems wants things that are very unpopular with the electorate (this is a trait they share with the Republican establishment).
Remember Hillary Clinton's unimaginably terrible campaign slogan, "America is already great?" In other words, "Vote for me if you believe that nothing needs to change":
https://twitter.com/HillaryClinton/status/758501814945869824
Biden picked up the "This is fine" messaging where Clinton left off, promising that "nothing would fundamentally change" if he became president:
https://www.salon.com/2019/06/19/joe-biden-to-rich-donors-nothing-would-fundamentally-change-if-hes-elected/
Biden didn't so much win that election as Trump lost it, by doing extremely unpopular things, including badly bungling the American covid response and killing about a million people.
Biden's 2020 election victory was a squeaker, and it was absolutely dependent on compromising with the party's left wing, embodied by the Warren and Sanders campaigns. The Unity Task Force promised – and delivered – key appointments and policies that represented serious and powerful change for the better:
https://pluralistic.net/2023/07/10/thanks-obama/#triangulation
Despite these excellent appointments and policies, the Biden administration has remained unpopular and is heading into the 2024 election with worryingly poor numbers. There is a lot of debate about why this might be. It's undeniable that every leader who has presided over a period of inflation, irrespective of political tendency, is facing extreme defenstration, from Rishi Sunak, the far-right prime minister of the UK, to the relentlessly centrist Justin Trudeau in Canada:
https://prospect.org/politics/2024-05-29-three-barriers-biden-reelection/
It's also true that Biden has presided over a genocide, which he has been proudly and significantly complicit in. That Trump would have done the same or worse is beside the point. A political leader who does things that the voters deplore can't expect to become more popular, though perhaps they can pull off less unpopular:
https://www.hamiltonnolan.com/p/the-left-is-not-joe-bidens-problem
Biden may be attracting unfair blame for inflation, and totally fair blame for genocide, but in addition to those problems, there's this: Biden hasn't gotten credit for the actual good things he's done:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FoflHnGrCpM
Writing in his newsletter, Matt Stoller offers an explanation for this lack of credit: the Biden White House almost never talks about any of these triumphs, even the bold, generational ones that will significantly alter the political landscape no matter who wins the next election:
https://www.thebignewsletter.com/p/why-does-the-biden-white-house-hate
Biden's antitrust enforcers have gone after price-fixing in oil, food and rent – the three largest sources of voter cost-of-living concern. They've done more on these three kinds of crime than all of their predecessors over the past forty years, combined. And yet, Stoller finds example after example of White House press secretaries being lobbed softballs by the press and refusing to even try to swing at them. When asked about any of this stuff, the White House demurs, refusing to comment.
The reasons they give for this is that they don't want to mess up an active case while it's before the courts. But that's not how this works. Yes, misstatements about active cases can do serious damage, but not talking about cases extinguishes the political will needed to carry them out. That's why a competent press secretary excellent briefings and training, because they must talk about these cases.
Think for a moment about the fact that the US government is – at this very moment – trying to break up Google, the largest tech company in the history of the world, and there has been virtually no press about it. This is a gigantic story. It's literally the biggest business story ever. It's practically a secret.
Why doesn't the Biden admin want to talk about this very small number of very good things it's doing? To understand that, you have to understand the hollowness of "centrist" politics as practiced in the Democratic Party.
The Democrats, like all political parties, are a coalition. Now, there are lots of ways to keep a coalition together. Parties who detest one another can stay in coalition provided that each partner is getting something they want out of it – even if one partner is bitterly unhappy about everything else happening in the coalition. That's the present-day Democratic approach: arrest students, bomb Gaza, but promise to do something about abortion and a few other issues while gesturing with real and justified alarm at Trump's open fascism, and hope that the party's left turns out at the polls this fall.
Leaders who play this game can't announce that they are deliberately making a vital coalition partner miserable and furious. Instead, they insist that they are "compromising" and point to the fact that "everyone is equally unhappy" with the way things are going.
This school of politics – "Everyone is angry at me, therefore I am doing something right" – has a name, courtesy of Anat Shenker-Osorio: "Pizzaburger politics." Say half your family wants burgers for dinner and the other half wants pizza: make a pizzaburger and disappoint all of them, and declare yourself to be a politics genius:
https://pluralistic.net/2023/06/17/pizzaburgers/
But Biden's Pizzaburger Presidency doesn't disappoint everyone equally. Sure, Biden appointed some brilliant antitrust enforcers to begin the long project of smashing the corporate juggernauts built through forty years of Reaganomics (including the Reganomics of Bill Clinton and Obama). But his lifetime federal judicial appointments are drawn heavily from the corporate wing of the party's darlings, and those judges will spend the rest of their lives ruling against the kinds of enforcers Biden put in charge of the FTC and DoJ antitrust division:
https://www.thebignewsletter.com/p/judge-rules-for-microsoft-mergers
So that's one reason that Biden's comms team won't talk about his most successful and popular policies. But there's another reason: schismogenesis.
"Schismogenesis" is a anthropological concept describing how groups define themselves in opposition to their opponents (if they're for it, we're against it). Think of the liberals who became cheerleaders for the "intelligence community" (you know the CIA spies who organized murderous coups against a dozen Latin American democracies, and the FBI agents who tried to get MLK to kill himself) as soon as Trump and his allies began to rail against them:
https://pluralistic.net/2021/12/18/schizmogenesis/
Part of Trump's takeover of conservativism is a revival of "the paranoid style" of the American right – the conspiratorial, unhinged apocalyptic rhetoric that the movement's leaders are no longer capable of keeping a lid on:
https://pluralistic.net/2023/06/16/that-boy-aint-right/#dinos-rinos-and-dunnos
This stuff – the lizard-people/Bilderberg/blood libel/antisemitic/Great Replacement/race realist/gender critical whackadoodlery – was always in conservative rhetoric, but it was reserved for internal communications, a way to talk to low-information voters in private forums. It wasn't supposed to make it into your campaign ads:
https://www.statesman.com/story/news/politics/elections/2024/05/27/texas-republicans-adopts-conservative-wish-list-for-the-2024-platform/73858798007/
Today's conservative vibe is all about saying the quiet part aloud. Historian Rick Perlstein calls this the "authoritarian ratchet": conservativism promises a return to a "prelapsarian" state, before the country lost its way:
https://prospect.org/politics/2024-05-29-my-political-depression-problem/
This is presented as imperative: unless we restore that mythical order, the country is doomed. We might just be the last generation of free Americans!
But that state never existed, and can never be recovered, but it doesn't matter. When conservatives lose a fight they declare to be existential (say, trans bathroom bans), they just pretend they never cared about it and move on to the next panic.
It's actually worse for them when they win. When the GOP repeals Roe, or takes the Presidency, the Senate and Congress, and still fails to restore that lost glory, then they have to find someone or something to blame. They turn on themselves, purging their ranks, promise ever-more-unhinged policies that will finally restore the state that never existed.
This is where schismogenesis comes in. If the GOP is making big, bold promises, then a shismogenesis-poisoned liberal will insist that the Dems must be "the party of normal." If the GOP's radical wing is taking the upper hand, then the Dems must be the party whose radical wing is marginalized (see also: UK Labour).
This is the trap of schismogenesis. It's possible for the things your opponents do to be wrong, but tactically sound (like promising the big changes that voters want). The difference you should seek to establish between yourself and your enemies isn't in promising to maintaining the status quo – it's in promising to make better, big muscular changes, and keeping those promises.
It's possible to acknowledge that an odious institution to do something good – like the CIA and FBI trying to wrongfoot Trump's most unhinged policies – without becoming a stan for that institution, and without abandoning your stance that the institution should either be root-and-branch reformed or abolished altogether.
The mere fact that your enemy uses a sound tactic to do something bad doesn't make that tactic invalid. As Naomi Klein writes in her magnificent Doppelganger, the right's genius is in co-opting progressive rhetoric and making it mean the opposite: think of their ownership of "fake news" or the equivalence of transphobia with feminism, of opposition to genocide with antisemitism:
https://pluralistic.net/2023/09/05/not-that-naomi/#if-the-naomi-be-klein-youre-doing-just-fine
Promising bold policies and then talking about them in plain language at every opportunity is something demagogues do, but having bold policies and talking about them doesn't make you a demagogue.
The reason demagogues talk that way is that it works. It captures the interest of potential followers, and keeps existing followers excited about the project.
Choosing not to do these things is political suicide. Good politics aren't boring. They're exciting. The fact that Republicans use eschatological rhetoric to motivate crazed insurrectionists who think they're the last hope for a good future doesn't change the fact that we are at a critical juncture for a survivable future.
If the GOP wins this coming election – or when Pierre Poilievre's petro-tories win the next Canadian election – they will do everything they can to set the planet on fire and render it permanently uninhabitable by humans and other animals. We are running out of time.
We can't afford to cede this ground to the right. Remember the clickbait wars? Low-quality websites and Facebook accounts got really good at ginning up misleading, compelling headlines that attracted a lot of monetizable clicks.
For a certain kind of online scolding centrist, the lesson from this era was that headlines should a) be boring and b) not leave out any salient fact. This is very bad headline-writing advice. While it claims to be in service to thoughtfulness and nuance, it misses out on the most important nuance of all: there's a difference between a misleading headline and a headline that calls out the most salient element of the story and then fleshes that out with more detail in the body of the article. If a headline completely summarizes the article, it's not a headline, it's an abstract.
Biden's comms team isn't bragging about the administration's accomplishments, because the senior partners in this coalition oppose those accomplishments. They don't want to win an election based on the promise to prosecute and anti-corporate revolution, because they are counter-revolutionaries.
The Democratic coalition has some irredeemably terrible elements. It also has elements that I would march into the sun for. The party itself is a very weak institution that's bad at resolving the tension between both groups:
https://pluralistic.net/2023/04/30/weak-institutions/
Pizzaburgers don't make anyone happy and they're not supposed to. They're a convenient cover for the winners of intraparty struggles to keep the losers from staying home on election day. I don't know how Biden can win this coming election, but I know how he can lose it: keep on reminding us that all the good things about his administration were undertaken reluctantly and could be jettisoned in a second Biden administration.
If you'd like an essay-formatted version of this post to read or share, here's a link to it on pluralistic.net, my surveillance-free, ad-free, tracker-free blog:
https://pluralistic.net/2024/05/29/sub-bushel-comms-strategy/#nothing-would-fundamentally-change
#pluralistic#pizzaburgers#elections#uspoli#us politics#joe biden#democrats in disarray#genocide#antitrust#trustbusting#coalitions#naomi klein#david dayen#rick perlstein#know your enemy#fever swamp#centrism kills#hamilton nolan#Anat Shenker-Osorio#clickbait#gop#maga#texas#matt stoller#schismogenesis
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"“Always ask yourself: Why is this lying bastard lying to me?” Perhaps these blunt words of advice for journalists interviewing politicians, attributed to the late foreign correspondent Louis Heren, have endured because they are seen as self-evidently true. That politicians lie is viewed as established fact.
Public confidence in lawmakers plunged to a record low last year in the wake of Partygate and other scandals: only 9% of British adults polled by Ipsos said that they trust politicians to tell the truth. Without trust, says Jennifer Nadel of the thinktank Compassion in Politics, faith in democracy is undermined. “If we can’t trust what politicians are saying, how can we decide who to vote for? We need to be able to rely on our politicians to tell the truth,” she explains.
Compassion in Politics has long been campaigning to introduce criminal penalties for political lying, with a petition launched in 2019 attracting more than 200,000 signatures. In a surprise move two days before the UK’s general election, the Welsh government committed to passing legislation that would make lying illegal for Senedd members and candidates, having previously opposed the measure. Under the plans, those found guilty of deliberate deception by an independent judicial process would be disqualified from office.
“We’re excited and optimistic,” Nadel says. “It’s unprecedented that the government has agreed to take this measure forward.” Although some countries have limited penalties for politicians who lie during election campaigning or when giving evidence to committees, Wales is the first in the world to propose legislation that would apply more broadly to lawmakers and candidates.
Compassion in Politics’ next challenge is to persuade Westminster to follow suit by banning MPs and parliamentary candidates from lying.
The campaign sprung from concern at the rapid normalisation of lies in politics. “We are slipping at an alarming speed into a post-truth era,” says Nadel. “We only have to look at what is happening in the United States.”
Fact-checkers at the Washington Post found that Donald Trump made 30,573 false or misleading claims during his presidency, averaging about 21 a day. “America is a warning of what can happen if this problem is allowed to go unchecked,” Nadel believes. “[Our proposals] are designed to stop [the UK] from getting to that stage.”
Polling shows wide public approval for the measure, with 72% backing criminal penalties for politicians found guilty of deliberate lying in an Opinium survey conducted for Compassion in Politics in May. Though it is not yet clear whether Wales would make lying a criminal offence, Nadel says: “If the same goal of disqualifying politicians who deliberately misrepresent the facts can be achieved through using the civil law, then we’re happy.”
A private member’s bill to ban lying in Westminster, introduced by Plaid Cymru MP Liz Saville Roberts in 2022, had cross-party support. “We will be looking to build [on that] and win the support of the Labour government to introduce the measure,” Nadel says...
“I think it’s important to signal a different set of norms, and try to arrest a slide towards the acceptability of attempts to deceive in public life.”
For Compassion in Politics, another challenge is persuading doubters that banning lying in politics is even possible. “There’s this belief that it’s too complex to stop,” says Nadel, who qualified as a barrister. “But the law prevents fraudulent misrepresentation in other walks of life. This is something that courts adjudicate on all the time. Why shouldn’t it apply to politicians?”"
-via Positive.News, July 26, 2024
#wales#united kingdom#uk#senedd#westminster#uk politics#lying#donald trump#2024 election#good news#hope
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UK citizens & residents, check if you have the right to vote, register to vote before 11:59pm on the 18th of June 2024 in order to be allowed to vote in the General Election.
In 2019 one of my coworkers missed out on the chance to vote because he hadn't known he was eligible to vote as a Nigerian student living in the UK.
Voter registration for International Students
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I had a random gut feeling that if writer and actor strikes in USA continues, capitalists may start using their pundits to incite fascists to go after the protesters. Your opinion on this perspective?
We don't know about that Anon, that seems a bit far-fetched. It's not like fascists have a 100+ year history of attacking strikers and trade unions. Unless of course you count Benito Mussolini hiring out his blackshirts as strikebreakers in 1919. Or the fascist attacks & disruptions of the 1926 general strike in the UK. Or Hitler making trade unions illegal in 1933 and then sending trade unionists to be murdered in concentration camps. Anyways, that's all ancient history and there are no examples of recent fascist activity targeting trade unions. Aside from the fascist attack on striking railway workers in Manchester in 2019. Or the murder of Bolivian miner union leader Orlando Gutiérrez in 2020 by a mob of fascists protesting the outcome of the country's election by beating him to death. Or the 2021 attack on the headquarters of an Australian construction workers' union in Australia in 2021 by far-right extremists and anti-public health conspiracy theorists, who broke into the building and attacked union officials and union staff. Or the attack by members of the fascist Forza Nuova party on a union office in Rome, Italy that same year. Or the (failed) attempt by fascists in Albi, France to assault trade union members (only to be badly beaten themselves by the union members!) in October 2021. Or the November 2021 attack on two union members in Paris by a fascist gang. Well anyways it's not like fascist leaders like the UK's Alek Yerbury are currently calling for his followers to target union offices, picket lines, and strikers.
You see? Nothing at all to worry about and anti-fascists shouldn't bother showing their support and solidarity with working people striking in an attempt to raise the working conditions and lives of all of us! OR MAYBE WE SHOULD???
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Howdy folks!
I'm not really comfortable making posts like these, because I'm extremely accustomed to just getting by Somehow without getting outside assistance. Historically I've just made do with whatever I had and over the years I've gotten pretty good at making "very little" seem like "just enough" at least, sometimes even "quite a bit".
But I recognise that's a long-term trauma response and, what's more, that I can't overcome this particular obstacle without external support.
So here's the situation: I have been on a waiting list for healthcare since 2019 and the most I've ever heard back to be sure I'm even still on that list is the occasional newsletter. There's a chance I'll hear back properly in November, but also every likelihood I still have years to wait.
Moreover, there's every possibility that the UK general election on July 7th will see a considerable crackdown on the availability of healthcare support for people like me. The current government just last week issued an emergency ban until September on medication for children of my demographic in the span of just 62 minutes.
The medication I've been taking since June 2020 has to be sourced from the grey market, and that makes it expensive, especially so if I don't order it in bulk. Which I frankly cannot afford to do due to a bunch of different problems over the last year. Whatever savings I had to the effect of paying for medication (or anything else for that matter) had to be dumped to prevent my bank from taking action against me just for not having enough money at once. I am not physically capable of working any more than I already am, and therefore have no available options to increase my income to resolve this myself.
So here's the rub: It's Pride Month, and my birthday is in 4 days.
If you have any spare change, please consider putting it towards the GoFundMe linked above. If you don't, please reblog this post so it hopefully reaches someone who can.
My supply will last less than 2 more months before I start to deplete parts of it, 3 months at the most overall. It's a dark time here for the trans community, and particularly for someone as far below the poverty line as me, so for my birthday all I ask is for a bit of assistance making it a teensy bit brighter.
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Peter Bottomley
Physique: Average Build Height: 5’ 8" (1.73 m)
Sir Peter James Bottomley (born 30 July 1944-) is a British Conservative Party politician who has served as a Member of Parliament (MP) since 1975, and who currently represents Worthing West. First elected at a by-election in the former constituency of Woolwich West, he served as its MP until its abolition at the 1983 general election, and then for the Eltham constituency which replaced it, until 1997. He moved to his current constituency at the 1997 general election. Following the 2019 general election, Bottomley became the longest-serving MP and therefore Father of the House.
Cute grandpa type. And the british accent puts him over the top. I wonder if he is what his name implies! Doesn't matter anyway as I'd happily do him.
Born in Newport, Shropshire, England, UK, Bottomley was educated at Westminster School and Trinity College, Cambridge. He previously worked as a lorry driver and in commerce and industry, including in the steel and engineering sectors. He is qualified in personnel management.
In 1967, Bottomley married Virginia Garnett who later became a Cabinet Minister (Health Secretary), and a life peer in 2005 as Baroness Bottomley of Nettlestone. Together they have three children.
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As someone from the UK I'm stunned that there are still people talking about “boycotting” the [US presidential] election in order to “send a message”. No one in politics actually interprets low turnout as some kind of message and that's pretty obvious from the general election we just had over here.
We had crashingly low voter turnout, at 59.9% - down 7.4 percentage points since the last one. But it's worse than that makes it look: 59.9% is just the percentage of actually registered voters who turned up; the proportion of total UK adults who voted was 52%, the lowest since 1928.
Yet Labour still took a massive victory (with fewer votes than in both 2019 and 2017). There has been a little mention in the media of the extremely low turnout, but overall the Story Of This Election as it's being presented by both the media and politicians is not “wow, looks like half the British adult population wanted to send a message that they were dissatisfied with the options” but rather “what an incredible Labour landslide”.
And the fact that Labour won power despite only 52% of adults actually voting is not going to affect the way they run things. They're not going to water down their plans, they're not going to say they have a smaller mandate, they're not going to try to work with smaller parties who took votes from them, they're certainly not going to “move left” to try to scoop up lefties who are decidedly unenthusiastic about the current state of the Labour Party (in fact, if anything they're likely to move even further to the right to try to attract voters who went to the far-right Reform UK). Staying at home and not voting has not “sent anyone a message”. The attitude of politicians towards non-voters is overwhelmingly “why bother trying to appeal to people who aren't inclined to use their political voice”, not “wow we need to enact change right now in order to appeal to people who feel unheard and disenfranchised”. Non-voters are assumed to be apathetic uninterested people who couldn't be bothered voting, not a bloc of highly motivated people with strong views who are refusing to vote in order to make a point. And I'm not saying this is a good thing! Ideally politicians would try to connect with people who don't feel politically represented, especially since non-voters are more likely to be marginalised in some way*. But that's the state of affairs we have. The inaction of not voting is not treated as some special kind of protest action; it's just treated as inaction.
*In this election, turnout was 7% lower in constituencies with the highest proportion of BME people, compared with the lowest, and 10% lower in constituencies with the highest proportion of Muslims, compared with the lowest. Compare this with turnout being 11% higher in constituencies with the highest proportion of >64-year-olds and 13% higher in constituencies with the highest proportion of homeowners.
Trump cannot be allowed to get into power again. And I know that Americans have the horrible quandary of “well how on earth are we supposed to communicate to Democrats that we don't like what they're offering other than not voting for them”. This is one of the many flaws with the US electoral system; it's a simple two-horse race and there's no realistic way to send a message that actually you don't like either option without just making it more likely that the candidate you most hate will win. It's not a great situation to be in, especially since there are very valid reasons not to like Biden and not exactly be hyped to vote for him. But oh my god NOW is not the time to be trying to “send Democrats a message” by not voting (or voting third party). You won't be sending anything and you'll just be handing Trump a second term because that is, very unfortunately, how it works. The best-case scenario of a Trump second term is “merely” an intensification of violence towards people of colour, crackdowns on LGBTQ rights, the further stripping away of reproductive freedoms, heinous crimes at the border and towards migrants and undocumented people, dangerous and apeshit foreign policy that will further endanger vulnerable oppressed groups everywhere, the emboldening of fascism and Christian nationalism not only across America but across the entire world, the list goes on. The worst-case scenario is the straight-up end of the last vestiges of representative democracy the US still has. None of this is a price worth paying in order to “send Democrats a message” and “move them to the left”. And I would feel the same way if Reform UK - a party whose supporters talk about wanting to gun down asylum seekers in the sea - were at the gates of power and the only realistic way to stop them was to vote for the current deeply flawed incarnation of the Labour Party. Some prices are too high.
(And I've seen a few people seem to embrace the notion of a Trump second term with the idea that “then we'll just form the antifascist resistance”. Trust me, you don't want to have to become “the resistance” to a fascist state. That is a last resort. So many people will die if it gets to the point where Trump or some other far-right ghoul is a dictator presiding over an authoritarian one-party state. This stance of “bring on the fascist nightmare so then we can be The Resistance” feels like it comes from people who get their idea of political action from Star Wars rather than from those familiar with the harrowing stories of real-life historical antifascist resistance. It's not hanging out at the secret HQ with your friends and blowing stuff up and having fun; it's being thrown in a camp and executed.)
It's good to want the Democrats to move left, to want to tell them that you're dissatisfied with Biden as a candidate, to want to let them know that you're profoundly furious with their handling of Gaza. But the way the system is set up means that “not voting” is not sending a message at all; it's just handing a victory to their opponents. And again: some prices are too high.
#uk politics#ukpol#us politics#uspol#american politics#election 2024#us elections#2024 elections#2024 presidential election#uk general election#politics#elections#voting#please vote#voting matters#my posts
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https://news.sky.com/story/gravely-concerning-claims-of-russian-interference-in-general-election-to-spread-support-for-farages-reform-13161235
Alright UK lot listen up, you know how this jig goes. They did it during Brexit, they likely did it in 2019, and they're doing it again now. Evidence suggests that Reform and Farage are being backed up by the Kremlin. This checks out with Farage's comments on Ukraine and with the Russian M.O. in the past. This is your PSA to spread it as much as possible that Reform is backed up by Putin and that the Kremlin is interfering in this election, with the hope that maybe we don't fall for it again.
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So I made a post about this article back when it came out in November 2023, but in light of us having a General Election in just over a month, it feels pertinent to bring it up again.
A tl/dr of it would be that within the past six years or so, two separate UN experts on poverty and human rights have assessed the UK and both have found that the poverty levels are horrific and unacceptable.
The first was a report done by Philip Alston in 2019; the second expert, Olivier De Schutter is the UN's current special rapporteur on extreme poverty and human rights and who visited the country at the end of 2023, and he accused the government of violating human rights in regards to poverty.
Both experts put the blame squarely on the Tories and their policies.
The first expert compared austerity to a Victorian era workhouse and accused the government of “systematic immiseration of a significant part of the British population”. At the time of that report, the government responded with denial and accusations of political bias.
The second expert rightfully pointed out that the government's refusal to engage with what Alston had reported had led to a rise in poverty, specifically that a fifth of UK residents live in poverty. He described the welfare state as “a leaking bucket” and again, he blamed the Tories and their policies.
This time, the government responded with fluffy words and empty promises that are not even in line with what De Schutter recommended.
I think it's important to bring this up again right now because in 37 days, we will be selecting what party will govern us for five more years.
In five years, the level of poverty in this country went from deeply concerning to breaching human rights laws.
Do you want to hand them the keys to number 10 for another five years? Do you want to see how much worse it can get?
Because I fucking don't and that's why I'm gonna (tactically) vote for Labour on July 4th. I fucking beg you to join me in voting the Tories out.
#uk politics#britpol#britposting#british politics#uk general election#general election#tories out#fuck the tories#the guardian#please vote#for the love of god#fucking vote#poverty
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To someone who doesn't live in the UK and has only a very basic understanding of the different parties involved, pray could you provide a very brief rub-down of the election situation? Also a side question, where exactly did Rishi Sunak and the Tories in general fuck up? I've been getting a lot of British politics posts on my dash and I was curious. You seem like a reliable fellow to ask :)
Btw you really don't have to answer this ask if you don't want to or if it's too much work. In that case, could you point me in the right direction for some online resources I can refer to? Thank ye very much, cheers!
for context, I recieved this ask the day after the election, and somehow managed to miss it for 3 weeks. oops.
if you don't know how British elections work, here are three youtube videos from Jay Foreman which I recommend: how elections work, how elections don't work, and the bit that isn't elected at all
very long post under the cut...
the british political parties
like the US, the UK is a two-party state. unlike the US, the UK has more than two relevant political parties. here they are, in order of seats won this year:
Labour Party (411 (63.2%) seats, with 33.7% of votes)
won this year's General Election.
led by kid starver, queer harmer Keir Starmer, namesake of this blog.
was the Big Left-Wing Party. has recently become the Big Party which Doesn't Stand for Anything, Really, Except for Winning Elections and Hurting Transgender People, due to Starmer's leadership.
oddly patriotic. wants to establish "Great British Railways" and "Great British Energy". Nobody really knows yet what they mean by this.
former leader Ed Miliband is the man in my pfp, pictured failing to eat a bacon sandwich. Some speculate that this photo was the reason he lost the election in 2015.
Conservative "Tory" Party (121 (18.6%) seats, with 23.7% of votes)
tonight's Big Loser.
led by fishy, dishy Rishi Sunak, but not for long, because they're electing a new leader on Halloween.
was the Big Right-Wing Party. is still the Big Right-Wing Party, but is now also an Embarrassment.
they were in power for 14 years until this election.
Directly responsible for this country's decline over the past... 14 years.
their colour is more of a dark blue, but Tumblr doesn't let me do that.
Liberal Democrat Party (72 (11.1%) seats, with 12.2% of votes)
returned to its rightful place as the Third Party.
led by Sir Ed Davey, who spent the election campaign bungee jumping, playing Jenga, and paddleboarding.
is the Centrist Party that Nobody Really Cares About.
somehow is more left-wing than Labour.
Scottish National Party (SNP) (9 (1.4%) seats, with 2.5% of votes)
tonight's Medium-Sized Loser.
led by John Swinney, who was also their leader like 20 years ago.
unsurprisingly, is the Scottish Independence Party. is also more left-wing than Labour.
their colour is yellow, but Tumblr doesn't let me do that.
Reform UK Ltd. (5 (0.8)% seats, with 14.3% of votes)
Fascist Cunts.
led by Nigel Farage.
not actually a political party, for some reason.
enough said. (for now)
Green Party (4 (0.6%) seats, with 6.7% of votes)
the one I voted for.
co-led by Carla Denyer and Adrian Ramsey.
the Actually Left-Wing Party. Their slogan is "real hope, real change" which sums it up.
Plaid Cymru (4 (0.6%) seats, with 0.7% of votes)
the SNP, but Welsh. (it's pronounced "Plad Cumry")
led by Rhun ap Iorweth. (pronounced "Rune app You're weth")
their colour is dark green, but Tumblr doesn't let me do that.
None of these parties run for election in Northern Ireland, which is part of the UK, but not part of Great Britain. NI is an entirely different situation which I don't know about.
so what actually Happened? Now that the scene is set, I'll go through the events that transpired, from the conservative landslide in 2019 to the conservative demise in 2024.
2019
the Conservatives don't have enough MPs who want to vote for their Brexit plan, so they call a snap general election. in the UK, our elections aren't at regular intervals. ONLY the Prime Minister decides when they happen, within a 5 year limit. this is important later...!
they win a massive landslide victory, with Boris Johnson as their PM. the SNP wins 48 out of 59 seats in Scotland.
Labour leader Jeremy Corbyn (affectionately known as Jezza) resigns, as does LibDem leader Jo Swinson.
2020
Keir Starmer takes over as Labour leader, and is immediately very boring. Labour gets more unpopular.
Jezza is kicked out of the Labour party, as are many of his supporters, on false allegations of antisemitism.
Boris finally "gets Brexit done" (this was his slogan.) The Tories get more popular. The Brexit Party changes its name to Reform UK, but they're still considered right-wing extremists
COVID happens. Everyone rallies round the flag. The Tories get more popular.
Boris gets COVID and nearly dies.
top conservative politicians hold parties in Downing Street, breaking their own lockdown rules, but shhhh! nobody knows about that yet! these keep happening until April 2021
The NHS begins to collapse a bit more than it already had, due to Conservative underfunding. The Tories get less popular.
Chancellor Rishi Sunak announces a program giving people discounts to eat out in restaurants. COVID cases spike. The Tories get less popular.
It's revealed that one of the top Tories, Dominic Cummings, broke lockdown rules by visiting family. The Tories get less popular.
End of year - Tories and Labour tied in the polls.
2021
the Queen's husband dies. She goes to his funeral, socially-distanced, alone. on the same day, more Downing Street parties are held.
not much else happens?? until December, when
people start to find out that the Tories were breaking their own rules by partying in Downing Street. Immediately, the Labour Party gains a 7% lead in the polls.
2022 - shit hits the fan
people are MAD about the lockdown parties. it's named Partygate and the police start to investigate.
Russia invades Ukraine. Boris tries to distract everyone by supporting Zelenskyy.
the police conclude their investigation. Boris Johnson becomes the first Prime Minister to have officially broken the law. as a firm punishment, he is fined.... £50. (so are Rishi Sunak, and lots of others.)
Everything gets expensive. Many people are now choosing between eating and heating their home.
Just after this happens, it's revealed that Johnson also gave promotions to a Tory who he knew had committed sexual assault. His cabinet revolts. He is forced to resign as Conservative Party leader. But because he is Prime Minister, he's the only one who can call an election, and he simply chooses not to! because he knows he'd lose!
The new Prime Minister is chosen not by the people, but by the Conservative Party members. people hate this.
Liz Truss beats Rishi Sunak in the final contest. She becomes Prime Minister.
The Queen dies.
Liz Truss crashes the economy. All hell breaks loose. The Labour Party now have a 25% lead in the polls.
The Daily Star starts a YouTube livestream - will Liz Truss leave office before this lettuce expires?
Liz Truss loses control of her MPs. She, too, is forced to resign, just 40 days after becoming PM! Because she doesn't have to call an election, she doesn't.
The lettuce won.
ONCE AGAIN it is up to the Conservative Party leadership to choose a Prime Minister... except nobody wants to be Prime Minister. Rishi Sunak becomes Prime Minister without being elected by ANYBODY
2023
not much extra happens, for a while. people are just sick and tired of the Tories
They decide it's a good idea to try and deport asylum seekers to Rwanda, because immigration is "too high".
Nicola Sturgeon gets bored of being a politician and resigns as SNP leader. Without a clear successor, the SNP destroys itself finding a new leader.
Nicola Sturgeon is also arrested on suspicion of having funnelled money out of the SNP to herself before she resigned! (she's cleared of suspicion, but the public gain a conception of the SNP being corrupt.)
Shit happens in Gaza. The Tories back Israel. Labour, having shifted massively to the right, also back Israel. People become unhappy with both of them, and still are today.
2024
A general election has to happen this year. The Tories are still 20% behind in the polls.
It's announced that the UK entered a small recession at the end of 2023.
Four asylum seekers are sent to Rwanda. They spent £700,000,000 on this.
Rishi constantly dodges questions about when the general election will be, simply saying it will come "in the second half" of the year. Most people think he means autumn.
He did not mean autumn. He calls an election for 4 July, but forgets to bring an umbrella in the process, and gets rained on.
Nigel Farage immediately takes control of Reform UK. (He's allowed to do that because it's technically a company, and as owner of said company he can do what he wants)
Reform UK surges in popularity, reaching 17% in the polls, just behind the Conservatives at 21%
Rishi leaves a D-day event halfway through to give an interview with a TV broadcaster, in which the multimillionaire claimed his childhood was hard because he didn't have Sky TV.
The Conservatives decide to cure their election woes by sending all 18-year-olds to National Service. (ie. military)
It's also revealed that many top Tories placed bets on the election being held on 4 July.
The Conservative Party loses voters to Labour on their left, and to Reform on their right.
election result analysis
where did it go wrong for the Tories? uh, everywhere.
where did it go right for Labour, though? depends who you ask...
voters decisively rejected the Conservatives, choosing either Reform, Labour, or LibDem instead.
however, they weren't enthusiastic about Labour instead. many Labour wins came about as a result of Reform splitting the right-wing vote in half.
polling suggests most people who voted Labour did so to remove the Tories from power.
Fewer people voted for Labour this year than in 2019, but they doubled their seats in Parliament. Our voting system is fucked.
The Green Party quadrupled its seat share. They have won in every seat they have targeted.
Five leftist independent MPs beat Labour in what were "safe" constituencies. One of them was Jeremy Corbyn!! What this shows is that people don't really like Labour, or that people really don't like Labour. They want something better.
The SNP is nearly wiped out in Scotland, despite getting 30% of the Scottish vote. Labour wins most seats in Scotland with 35% of the Scottish vote.
The "Party of Women" (which is literally just TERFs) got fewer votes than the Monster Raving Loony Party. Lmao.
19 people voted for Elmo in Keir Starmer's constituency.
More people voted for the Conservatives and Reform UK combined than they did for Labour. If Labour doesn't get its shit together, we could be in trouble.
what's happened since the election?
7 Labour MPs have already been kicked out of the party for voting to adopt measures to lift 1.6 million children out of poverty
pressure from Greens and independents led to Labour accepting the ICC's arrest warrant for Netanyahu and stopping some arms sales to Israel's genocide.
what happens next?
the Tories choose a new leader on Halloween. other than that? fuck knows lmao. what the 2019-2024 parliament tells us is that anything can happen. as mentioned before, we don't even know when the next election is.
where exactly did Rishi Sunak and the Tories in general fuck up?
you tell me
i also realise just now, after typing all that out, that you asked for a "very brief rub-down" of what happened............. yeah my bad
#politics#uk politics#uk general election#rishi sunak#keir starmer#jeremy corbyn#labour#conservatives#tory party#labour party#reform#reform uk#general election#general election 2024#covid#covid 19#partygate#ed davey#nigel farage#liz truss#boris johnson
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happy election eve, uk folks!
going to give a shoutout to https://voteforpolicies.org.uk/—their quiz is a super useful summary of the largest parties’ stances on various policies (you can pick the topics that matter to you and do a little quiz where it removes their names so you vote unbiased, and then it gives you your results), and even if you end up voting tactically, it is *extremely* useful and interesting to get a succinct summary of what the various policies are in different fields (spoilers: reform are extremely easy to spot and utterly terrible, and there’s… lots of transphobic policies.)
also bit of a shoutout to https://tactical.vote/ which is just ‘get the tories out’, and will probably tell you to vote Labour in most constituencies in England which yknow you may not want to do bc *gestures at Labour*, BUT it is a handy place to see both the 2019 results and recent polling for your constituency. do with that what you will.
see you at the polls tomorrow, and don’t forget ID! we ARE getting the tories out tomorrow, and we keep building after that bc the world and activism and change does not start or end at westminster and electoral politics will only take us so far! replacing the tories (particularly with Labour) will not fix all our problems (we will retain many of the same problems, have you seen those policies?) and we have to keep actually… doing shit, taking action, getting out there, not letting the name of the party sway us.
also, not going to tell anyone how to vote – make the decision that makes sense for you and your constituency, tho I feel like my stance is pretty clear here – but tomorrow I’m wearing green, yknow? 🌱
#ukpol#2024 is an experience#uk elections#text post#my post#apologies for the electoral politics post I know it’s all fucked and flawed at the moment#esp when we’re gearing up for a Labour victory which is… idk even what that means at this point#but yeah#idk it’s a good day to vote with your heart and ethics and hopefully send a message#the whole system is fucked tho#we go and we vote and then we get out there and keep making actual change#where it is needed and where it’s going to make a difference and where we have power#yknow?#we don’t fulfill all our duties or tick off our activism by voting#cause fuck knows the options that are gonna win are shit#so we do this thing and then we focus on the next thing and we move#but also I’d like the Tories out if only for a bit of a change#I’m sleepy idk if my tags make sense
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