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globodamorte · 2 years

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FUCK. HOLD ON.

remember how some people said the Korean name for the webtoon was 'survivorship bias'

(i can't really tell if that was true bc when I put 꼬리잡기 on a translator it said chasing tail so...)

BUT. BUT. BUT. my point is. the whole survivorship bias thing was abt focusing on things that shouldn't be the focus. there's a famous example that illustrates this: imagine sending a bunch of planes to war. some of them come back with gunshot holes on some areas, while others don't come back at all. seeing the damaged areas, they decide to reinforce THOSE. but if you stop and think about it, the OTHER planes who didn't make it back were hit on more fragile places that should be reinforced instead, but they can't see where bc they didn't make it back. so: you should focus on the the ones who didn't make it instead of the ones who did. (look it up it'll make more sense than whatever I say)

now what does that tell us? we should be focusing on Yun, hyesong and junho? maybe even juntaek since he was almost killed as well? or can we stretch and abstract this concept a bit more?

if we do focus on the victims (and almost victim) what do we get? what do they all have in common that have got them killed? so far seem to be the fact that they were all suspicious one way or another of what was going on in there. Yun kept talking about the whispers, hyesong noticed something was wrong with the water order (and realized seongbin was imitating others), junho realized the whole ponnamephrin situation and could tell those deaths were not normal. juntaek was suspicious as well and was trying to find a way for nobody else to get killed.

ok. they all were seemingly killed for noticing something strange going on. this much is a given. but what about the circumstances in which they were killed? what the crime scene says?

the police established a height for the killer, but given all the rubble that could be faked fairly easily, specially since the killer had light at their disposal. they also seemed to be either a leftie or ambidextrous but idk there might be a way around this as well. there are many people out there who genetically, have a dominant hand but were raised to use the other, so in certain situations where one would typically to use the dominant hand, they'd use their 'true' hand.

I feel like this connects to jeongdo's tunnel vision as well, like I'm sorry I'm so bad at putting my thoughts into words, but what I mean is I think this kinda ties with the police pretty much excluding the girls from the suspect list (juntaek also). they're focusing on certain things and choosing to ignore others.

now, if we instead take the 'survivorship bias' concept into a more abstract analysis, we could analyze how among the suspects there are people being excluded from the investigation. regarding the girls, we have yujeong's hallucination right at the start of the story. he sees a long haired figure that threatens him into 'not telling anyone'. the figure's hair is dark but that could be more abstract since they were in the dark so probably the shapes matter more than the color - seeing a long haired shadow person and them being blonde instead of brunette makes more sense than it having a bob cut - I've seen people theorize that maybe that hallucination is of his younger sister but that sounds unlikely... also btw when are we getting more info on that???

now regarding juntaek, a couple chapters ago he says he remembers everything from before he got knocked out. and I found that really interesting because here's the thing: does he? we have this guy's memories be really important now, crucial even, but we also have someone else whose memories are just as valuable: Hanna's. she was awarded for her good memory and I think they definitely need to cross and compare his statements to hers. I don't believe the author would just mention this incredibly valuable information to only use it for those water testimonies. now we have someone who could lie on one side (Hanna), and on the other we have someone who could both lie or be confused bc of brain injury (juntaek) so that'll be interesting to see. why would they lie though? now that is the question lmao

and taeyeon has this thing where she was basically excluded from the suspect list by both the police AND junho. and idk that does sound suspicious to me. she's laying low even though she lied to the police and kept just bringing new evidence and statements whenever she wanted. but instead of keeping an eye on her they simply ignore everything else in favor of what the circumstantial evidence points to: seongbin.

there are many theories to explain seongbin's involvement (or lack thereof), some being him as an unwilling accomplice, threatened by the true killer, others with him being used and manipulated by someone who took advantage of his mental state, others about him being framed, not necessarily participating in the murders (consciously or not)

this latest chapter (62) ends with seongbin asking jeongdo if he's sure it was him. he said "I said, are you sure? because I don't think I would" <- seems like he doesn't remember doing anything. and while yes of course the presence of a mimic during the murders has been confirmed, we can't confirm it was seongbin because we can't confirm he was the only person capable of doing that. they're actors after all. one could denifitely be able to mimic voices without it being caused by a seizure.

how crazy is this, to receive so much information but not have anything to do with it, to not be able to draw any solid conclusion from it, because it's all so circumstantial. there's so much we know, but also so much to be uncovered.

I often don't have a point or conclusion to these posts. most of the time they make no sense, and this one is no different. it's mostly for myself to vent and try to organize my thoughts about what's going on in this story

my brain is juiceless now I've used up all my juice and I don't even know if this made any sense bc I don't have the capacity to go read it again.... oh well

I'll be back next week probably with more nonsense meta that's all folks~!

#im insane im crazy im-#fuuuuuuckkkkk chasing tails makes me so crazyyyyyyy aaaaaaaaaaaaa #chasing tails

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nat-20s · 3 months

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name a more iconic thing to happen for the fictional qpr community than Donna Noble quite literally meeting her soulmate and being like hmm. there's no one I've ever wanted to fuck less

#i cannot get over how much she's like.#im crazy insane about this alien our lives and beings are intertwined #to be separate would and did require us to tear ourselves apart #and build back from the ground up #he is also completely and utterly unattractive to me. lol.#doctor who #tennant doctor #donna noble

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kitamars · 19 days

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