#Parliamentary elections

[alwaysbewoke]

[srebrnafh]

Last week before election.

In Poland.

Guys.

Fingers crossed, good vibes, even thoughts and prayers. I'm not a person of faith, but hell, I'll take thoughts and prayers at this stage. Please please please someone make these stinking bastards LOSE. Just fucking LOSE.

They took over the constitutional tribunal and did the "oups that's not constitutional anymore" to our abortion rights (more or less what happened to Roe...). They managed to put their own bought corrupt stinky judges into way too many courts. They are forcing fucked up "patriotic" curriculum on the kids. They messed up the school system FOR MY SON when he was just in the middle of his education. They are endangering pregnant women by criminalising even miscarriage (a woman who miscarried reported that police checking out the sewers coming from her house...) They are keeping refugees on the border, not allowing them even to petition for protection, throwing people into the woods in autumn and winter, kids, pregnant women...

(I know these things are not equal, but they just fuck up so much at the same time I can't even summarise it properly...!)

I just want them to GO. GO AWAY, stop ruining my country. I am not a very patriotic person, I'm not 100% of one nationality or other, half of my family is from all around the bloody continent, from Carrara to Mariupol. But I live in Poland and I'm just.

So.

Tired.

Of.

Them.

...we need to vote them the fuck out of the office...

[thesarkycoder]

Remember UK folks, there's no such thing as Tory overkill, Reform needs to be driven into last place, and anyone who says you shouldn't vote is trying to help their party reduce their losses.

Vote.

[trendynewsnow]

Georgia's Political Future: An Interview with Prime Minister Irakli Kobakhidze

Georgia’s Political Landscape: An Interview with Prime Minister Irakli Kobakhidze Irakli Kobakhidze, the Prime Minister of Georgia, presents himself as a man who is both relaxed and composed, with a clear sense of focus. During our interview, he did not have a large entourage, which allowed for a more personal conversation. He shared fond memories of Georgian football, reminiscing about the…

[marythegizka]

Jesus f*cking christ

[myntti]

Fucking fucking fuck. The next four years are going to be sooooo fun. Fuck.

[head-post]

Sri Lanka votes in parliamentary elections

Sri Lankans are voting in parliamentary elections key to the country’s new president Anura Kumara Dissanayake, according to AP News.

President Dissanayake won the presidential election on 21 September, marking a rejection of traditional political parties. They have governed Sri Lanka since its independence from Britain in 1948.

However, his failure to win more than 50 per cent of the vote heightened concerns about his party’s prospects in Thursday’s election. His party, National People’s Power (NPP), needs a minimum of 113 to control the 225-member parliament.

The biggest challenge for the NPP, founded in 2019, is that many of its candidates are emerging political figures. Of the 225 parliamentary seats, 196 are drawn under Sri Lanka’s proportional-representative electoral system. There are 8,821 candidates contesting for the 196 elected parliamentary seats.

The system allocates the seats in each district to parties according to the share of votes they receive. The remaining 29 seats are allocated to parties and independent groups according to the proportion of votes they receive nationwide.

While campaigning, Dissanayake urged voters to help elect them to parliament so that he would not have to rely on a coalition to implement his promised reforms.

The election comes at a crucial time for the people of Sri Lanka, which is trying to emerge from its worst economic crisis by declaring bankruptcy after defaulting on its foreign debt in 2022. The country is currently in the process of a salvation programme from the International Monetary Fund and debt restructuring to international creditors.

Economic and political crisis

Sri Lanka’s crisis was largely the result of poor economic management combined with the effects of COVID-19. Along with the 2019 terrorist attacks, the pandemic devastated the country’s important tourism industry, also disrupting the flow of remittances from Sri Lankans working abroad.

The economic turmoil led to a political crisis that forced then president Gotabaya Rajapaksa to step down in 2022. Parliament then elected Ranil Wickremesinghe to replace him. However, he lost the election as public discontent grew due to the government’s attempts to increase revenue by raising bills and taxes.

Dissanayake’s promise to punish members of previous governments accused of corruption and return allegedly stolen assets also raised great hopes among the public. Election results are expected on Friday.

Read more HERE

[rightnewshindi]

श्रीलंका में 14 नवंबर को होंगे संसदीय चुनाव, भारत के दौरे पर रवाना हुए राष्ट्रपति मुइज्जू; मस्कट पहुंचे भारतीय नौसेना के जहाज

Big Stories: श्रीलंका में सभी प्रमुख राजनीतिक दल नवंबर में होने वाले संसदीय चुनाव की तैयारियों में जुट गए हैं। राजनीतिक पार्टियां उम्मीदवारों की सूची बनाने में जुटी हैं और नए गठबंधन बनाने का प्रयास कर रही हैं। श्रीलंका में 14 नवंबर को संसदीय चुनाव होने हैं। पिछले शुक्रवार को नामांकन शुरू होने के बावजूद किसी भी प्रमुख पार्टी ने अभी तक चुनाव लड़ने के लिए अपना नामांकन दाखिल नहीं किया है। चुनाव के…

[thoughtlessarse]

The Freedom Party is set to win a national election for the first time in its history as it taps into voters' anxieties about immigration, inflation and the war in Ukraine. Polls have opened in Austria's parliamentary elections with the far-right Freedom Party (Freiheitliche Partei Österreich) seemingly the most popular amongst voters who are anxious about immigration, inflation and the war in Ukraine. Herbert Kickl, a former interior minister and long-time campaign strategist who has led the party since 2021, wants to become Austria's new chancellor. Speaking at a campaign rally on Friday, he demanded the "remigration" of illegal immigrants. "It is not acceptable that we have to protect our people from the people, who are coming here looking for protection. Then something isn't right with the system anymore. And that’s why we finally need remigration. I don’t even know why this word is supposed to be so evil," he said. Kickl has also sparked controversy on the campaign trail by using the term 'Volkskanzler', or chancellor of the people, which was used by the Nazis to describe Adolf Hitler in the 1930s. Polls estimate the Freedom Party will take around 28% of the vote, well below the threshold needed for an outright win. But finding coalition partners might be tough. Chancellor Karl Nehammer, whose Austrian People's Party (Österreichische Volkspartei) is polling second at 24%, has already ruled out teaming up with Kickl and urged voters to vote for him to prevent the far-right from coming to power. "I have made it clear with whom it is not possible to form a responsible, viable government. The current leader of the FPÖ (Freedom Party of Austria) does not fulfil these criteria. That's why I excluded him," he said in Vienna on Friday. "It is not acceptable that we have to protect our people from the people, who are coming here looking for protection. Then something isn't right with the system anymore. And that’s why we finally need remigration. I don’t even know why this word is supposed to be so evil," he said. Kickl has also sparked controversy on the campaign trail by using the term 'Volkskanzler', or chancellor of the people, which was used by the Nazis to describe Adolf Hitler in the 1930s. Polls estimate the Freedom Party will take around 28% of the vote, well below the threshold needed for an outright win. But finding coalition partners might be tough. Chancellor Karl Nehammer, whose Austrian People's Party (Österreichische Volkspartei, ÖVP) is polling second at 24%, has already ruled out teaming up with Kickl and urged voters to vote for him to prevent the far-right from coming to power. "I have made it clear with whom it is not possible to form a responsible, viable government. The current leader of the FPÖ (Freedom Party of Austria) does not fulfil these criteria. That's why I excluded him," he said in Vienna on Friday.

continue reading

Well the ÖVP could go into government with the FPÖ, but that would make it the minority party with the FPÖ calling the shots. I'm sure Nehammer would not hesitate to cohabit with the FPÖ if the ÖVP were in the majority, as it did under Kurz.

All of which is moot anyway because the ÖVP will continue to adopted far-right policies to please the growing numbers of fascists in the country.

[cryptolioneirs]

Dapatkah pergerakan pasar pasca pemilu Inggris menyerupai tahun 1997 dan 2010?

Pemilu umum sudah di depan mata

Pemilihan umum Inggris akan diselenggarakan pada hari Kamis ini, 4 Juli, hari di mana AS akan merayakan ulang tahunnya yang ke-248 sejak  diadopsinya Deklarasi Kemerdekaan. Partai Buruh diperkirakan akan menang dengan nyaman dalam pemilihan tersebut dengan pertanyaan terakhir yang belum terjawab adalah besarnya mayoritas parlementernya. Partai ini dapat memenangkan lebih dari 400 kursi di parlemen berikutnya, mayoritas Partai Buruh terbesar sejak 2001, yang memberikan pemimpinnya kemampuan untuk memerintah tanpa gangguan selama 5 tahun ke depan.

Pasar telah menganalisis dan membedah rencana ekonomi pemerintah baru, tetapi tampaknya masih dalam mode menunggu menjelang peristiwa penting tersebut. Indeks FTSE 100 turun sekitar 3% sejak hari pengumuman pada 22 Mei sementara pound sterling menunjukkan kinerja yang beragam terhadap dolar dan euro, meskipun volatilitas pasar meningkat.

Apa yang selanjutnya untuk aset utama Inggris?

Analisis historis merupakan cara yang berguna untuk memetakan kemungkinan reaksi pasar setelah peristiwa berisiko. Oleh karena itu, tinjauan terperinci terhadap kinerja pascapemilu sejak 1997 bisa jadi menarik. Namun, kita harus mempertimbangkan bahwa perkembangan eksternal, seperti krisis utang zona euro, atau peristiwa yang terjadi sekali saja, seperti Brexit, dapat sangat memengaruhi hasil pemilu dan reaksi pasar.

1997 dan 2010 – terulangnya sejarah?

Meski demikian, ada dua pemilihan umum yang menonjol dan sesuai dengan situasi saat ini. Pada tahun 1997, Partai Buruh di bawah Tony Blair berhasil merebut kembali pemerintahan setelah 18 tahun didominasi Partai Konservatif. Demikian pula, pada tahun 2010, Partai Konservatif kembali berkuasa, memenangkan empat pemilihan umum berturut-turut dan tetap berkuasa hingga 4 Juli 2024. Jadi, apa yang terjadi dengan aset pasar utama sebelum dan sesudah pemilihan umum ini?

Analisis kinerja pasar pada hari pemilihan, satu hari, dan satu minggu setelah tanggal-tanggal penting mengungkapkan beberapa temuan menarik. Misalnya, harga minyak Brent cenderung turun baik pada hari pemilihan maupun hari berikutnya karena pasar masih mencerna hasilnya.

Yang lebih penting, perubahan pasar seminggu setelah pemilihan umum memberikan sinyal terkuat. Seperti yang terlihat pada grafik 1 di bawah ini, pada tahun 1997 dan 2010, pound berkinerja buruk terhadap dolar AS dan euro, sementara indeks FTSE 100 melonjak sekitar 3%. Selain itu, harga emas dan minyak Brent menunjukkan kecenderungan naik, dengan yang terakhir sangat dipengaruhi oleh inisiatif energi baru yang diharapkan akan dilaksanakan oleh pemerintah baru.

Volatilitas dalam empat pemilu terakhir

Cara populer lainnya untuk memperdagangkan peristiwa pasar yang signifikan adalah melalui volatilitas. Analisis volatilitas tersirat selama satu bulan untuk pasangan euro/pound dan pound/dolar dalam empat pemilihan terakhir, sejak 2010, menunjukkan beberapa hasil yang menjanjikan.

Volatilitas pada kedua pasangan cenderung turun satu hari setelah pemilihan umum diadakan, dengan satu-satunya pengecualian pada tahun 2010 ketika krisis utang zona euro yang sedang berlangsung menyebabkan sedikit peningkatan volatilitas satu bulan. Menariknya, koreksi volatilitas mata uang ini berlanjut satu minggu setelah tanggal pemilihan dengan penurunan sekitar 10-35% yang tercatat dalam empat pemilihan terakhir, karena pasar bereaksi terhadap risiko politik yang lebih rendah. Penurunan volatilitas ini juga dipertahankan ketika memeriksa periode waktu yang lebih lama, hingga enam bulan setelah tanggal pemilihan umum.

Bisakah kinerja terkini memberi kita petunjuk tentang prospek jangka pendek?

Terakhir, cara alternatif untuk menganalisis tren historis adalah dengan mencoba dan mencocokkan kinerja aset-aset utama sebelum peristiwa selama pemilihan sebelumnya dengan yang sekarang. Logika di balik proses ini adalah bahwa kinerja yang serupa menunjukkan risiko yang serupa yang dihargakan pada kedua periode dan dengan demikian dapat mengungkapkan prospek jangka pendek untuk aset yang dianalisis.

Tabel 1 di bawah ini menunjukkan periode pemilihan yang sesuai untuk berbagai aset. Misalnya, pergerakan harga indeks FTSE 100 tahun ini sesuai dengan kinerja indeks sebelum pemilihan umum 2015, ketika Partai Konservatif memenangkan masa jabatan berikutnya dalam pemerintahan. Pada tahun 2015, FTSE 100 turun 1,5% satu bulan setelah tanggal pemilihan umum dengan kerugiannya meningkat menjadi 2,4% dalam periode tiga bulan.

[hidden-hearth]

[trendynewsnow]

Reflections on Poland's Political Landscape One Year After the 2022 Elections

A Year After Poland’s Parliamentary Elections: A Mixed Bag of Results On 15 October last year, many observers breathed a sigh of relief as the results of Poland’s parliamentary elections were revealed. After eight years marked by illiberal politics and democratic erosion under the leadership of the Law and Justice (PiS) party, the political landscape appeared poised for a shift back towards…

[reportwire]

German government seeks to ease rules for naturalization

German government seeks to ease rules for naturalization

BERLIN — Germany’s socially liberal government is moving ahead with plans to ease the rules for obtaining citizenship in the European Union’s most populous country, a drive that is being assailed by the conservative opposition. Chancellor OIaf Scholz said in a video message Saturday that Germany has long since become “the country of hope” for many, and it’s a good thing when people who have put…

[akatiuspielinki]

Next 4 years in Finland be like after the elections

(Kokoomus - Orpo: "Cries will be heard from many households" in English)

[inkbotkowalski]

fucking fascist fucks. fucking Nazi continent