#FederalReserv

[scienza-magia]

Eurozona, tassi ed inflazione rallentano il mercato dell'export

Tassi, le strade diverse di Fed e Bce. L'economia Usa regge e Powell può alzare ancora. L'Europa invece rischia la recessione. Jerome Powell e Christine Lagarde sono arrivati con stati d'animo diversi tra le montagne del Wyoming, dove ieri si è aperto il simposio dei banchieri centrali organizzato dalla Federal Reserve. Entrambi saliranno sul palco oggi, ma se al numero uno di Eccles Building basterà esibire una bella faccia da poker per non spaventare i mercati, a Madame Bce sarà richiesto ben altro sforzo. Stati Uniti ed eurozona sono al momento affetti da un'inflazione appiccicosa, ma sempre più separati sotto il profilo congiunturale. E questa divaricazione fa una grande differenza quando si deve giustificare la volontà di mantenere una politica monetaria restrittiva. Di sicuro a Jackson Hole ci sono alcuni convitati di pietra evocati fin dal titolo dell'evento («Cambiamenti strutturali nell'economia globale»): il primo è la Cina, con le tensioni geopolitiche ed economiche che la circondano; l'altro sono gli sviluppi della guerra fra Russia e Ucraina; il terzo è il consolidarsi all'interno dei Brics di un nocciolo duro anti-dollaro. Tre incognite di peso, ma non ancora sufficienti per spostare i riflettori dalla traiettoria dei tassi.

Ed è qui, in quello che per Eurolandia appare sempre più come un terreno minato, che Powell ha ancora margini per incastonare, a ottobre o a novembre, la dodicesima stretta che porterà il costo del denaro al 5,50-5,75%. Come sostiene Blerina Uruci di T. Rowe Price, per il capo dell'istituto di Washington «non è il momento di agitare le acque» mostrandosi troppo «hawkish». Non ne ha neppure bisogno: l'indice Atlanta Fed Gdp Now stima per il terzo trimestre un'espansione del 5,8% sorretta dallo slancio dei consumi, dal rimbalzo della produzione industriale, da un tasso di disoccupazione in calo (al 3,5% in luglio) e dalla tenuta del mercato edile. Al netto delle nuvole grigie nel cielo a stelle e strisce portate dalla decisione di Moody's e Standard&Poor's di declassare alcuni banche e dai 400 fallimenti da inizio anno (il doppio dello scorso anno), si tratta di numeri solidi a sostegno della tesi secondo cui è necessario non togliere il piede dal pedale dei tassi. Anche perché, dopo 13 mesi consecutivi di calo, l'inflazione è salita in luglio al 3,2%. L'aspetto cruciale del discorso di oggi di Powell non è quindi se i tassi saliranno ancora, ma quando smetteranno di farlo. È però probabile che sul cosiddetto «pivot» il successore della Yellen tenga le carte coperte. La sola certezza è che un eventuale taglio del costo del denaro non arriverà prima del 2024, come peraltro confermato ieri da Patrick Harker, presidente della Fed di Philadelphia, che tuttavia prevede «tassi stabili per il resto dell'anno». Più complicato appare invece il lavoro della Bce. La Lagarde ha legato le prossime decisioni di politica monetaria ai dati economici, ma se l'inflazione è considerata ancora fuori controllo malgrado il calo di luglio (6,1% dal 6,4% di giugno), la contrazione subita anche dal settore dei servizi mostra che Eurolandia è sul binario della recessione. Il rallentamento della crescita cinese è un'arma a doppio taglio: se da un lato può accelerare il processo disinflazionistico, dall'altro rischia di indebolire l'export europeo, come già testimoniano le cifre dell'Ocse. L'Organizzazione parigina dà infatti conto che le esportazioni di merci del G20 sono calate da aprile a giugno del 3,1% (dopo +2,2% nel primo trimestre), con l'Italia finita in «rosso» (-0,7% dopo il +4,7% del primo trimestre). Buoni motivi per tenere le mani lontane dai tassi e vedere che succede. Read the full article

[unpluggedfinancial]

Bitcoin Going Parabolic: A Closer Look at the Factors Driving the Surge

Bitcoin has been a subject of fascination and debate for over a decade. Recently, the buzz around its potential parabolic rise has reached new heights. With multiple presidential nominees proposing to make Bitcoin a strategic reserve asset and groundbreaking legislative efforts, the cryptocurrency is poised for a significant breakthrough. In this blog post, we will explore the factors contributing to Bitcoin's potential meteoric rise and what this could mean for the future of finance.

Current Market Overview

The Bitcoin market has seen remarkable stability and growth over the past year. Despite global economic uncertainties, Bitcoin's price has maintained an upward trajectory, driven by increased adoption and growing institutional interest. The market's resilience has only strengthened the belief that Bitcoin is here to stay.

Factors Driving Bitcoin's Potential Parabolic Rise

Institutional Adoption Institutional investment in Bitcoin has been one of the most significant drivers of its price surge. Companies like MicroStrategy, Tesla, and Square have made substantial Bitcoin purchases, demonstrating their confidence in its long-term value. Recently, MicroStrategy announced plans to raise $2 billion to buy more Bitcoin, adding to its already significant holdings of 226,500 BTC. This move exemplifies the growing trend of institutions recognizing Bitcoin as a hedge against inflation and economic instability.

Regulatory Developments Positive regulatory changes are also contributing to Bitcoin's upward momentum. Notably, several presidential nominees in the upcoming election have expressed their support for Bitcoin, proposing to make it a strategic reserve asset for the United States. Additionally, Senator Cynthia Lummis has introduced a groundbreaking bill to establish a U.S. Bitcoin reserve. This legislation aims to treat Bitcoin like gold or oil, strengthening the country's economy and positioning Bitcoin as a permanent national asset. Such initiatives could legitimize Bitcoin on a national level, potentially triggering a wave of similar actions from other countries.

Monetary Policy Shifts The Federal Reserve is expected to cut interest rates in September, a move that historically leads to Bitcoin price pumps. Lower interest rates often result in increased liquidity in the financial system, driving investors to seek alternative stores of value like Bitcoin. Moreover, the global M2 money supply is skyrocketing, indicating a significant increase in the amount of money in circulation. This surge in money supply can lead to inflation, further underscoring the appeal of Bitcoin as a deflationary asset.

Technological Advancements Bitcoin's underlying technology continues to evolve, enhancing its security, efficiency, and scalability. Innovations such as the Lightning Network and Taproot upgrade are making Bitcoin transactions faster and more cost-effective, further cementing its position as a superior financial instrument.

Historical Parabolic Trends in Bitcoin

Bitcoin's history is marked by several parabolic rises, each driven by different factors but sharing common themes of increased adoption and market maturation. The 2017 bull run, fueled by retail investor interest, and the 2020-2021 surge, driven by institutional adoption, provide valuable insights into the current trend. Studying these patterns helps us understand the potential trajectory of Bitcoin's price movement.

Expert Predictions and Analysis

Experts in the field of cryptocurrency are making bold predictions about Bitcoin's future. Influential figures like Michael Saylor, CEO of MicroStrategy, and Cathie Wood, CEO of ARK Invest, have forecasted Bitcoin reaching new all-time highs. Their analyses are based on Bitcoin's scarcity, growing adoption, and its role as digital gold.

Potential Challenges and Risks

While the outlook for Bitcoin is promising, it is essential to acknowledge the potential challenges and risks. Regulatory hurdles, market volatility, and technological vulnerabilities could impact Bitcoin's growth. Investors must remain vigilant and informed to navigate these challenges effectively.

Conclusion

Bitcoin's potential to go parabolic is underpinned by strong institutional support, favorable regulatory developments, and continuous technological advancements. As multiple presidential nominees propose to make Bitcoin a strategic reserve asset and Senator Lummis's groundbreaking bill aims to establish a U.S. Bitcoin reserve, the stage is set for a significant transformation in the financial landscape. With MicroStrategy's aggressive strategy to raise $2 billion for more Bitcoin purchases and the expected interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, the momentum is undeniable. Additionally, the skyrocketing global M2 money supply highlights the growing need for a deflationary asset like Bitcoin. Whether you're an investor, a crypto enthusiast, or a curious observer, staying informed about these developments is crucial as we witness the evolution of Bitcoin.

Take Action Towards Financial Independence

If this article has sparked your interest in the transformative potential of Bitcoin, there's so much more to explore! Dive deeper into the world of financial independence and revolutionize your understanding of money by following my blog and subscribing to my YouTube channel.

🌐 Blog: Unplugged Financial Blog Stay updated with insightful articles, detailed analyses, and practical advice on navigating the evolving financial landscape. Learn about the history of money, the flaws in our current financial systems, and how Bitcoin can offer a path to a more secure and independent financial future.

📺 YouTube Channel: Unplugged Financial Subscribe to our YouTube channel for engaging video content that breaks down complex financial topics into easy-to-understand segments. From in-depth discussions on monetary policies to the latest trends in cryptocurrency, our videos will equip you with the knowledge you need to make informed financial decisions.

👍 Like, subscribe, and hit the notification bell to stay updated with our latest content. Whether you're a seasoned investor, a curious newcomer, or someone concerned about the future of your financial health, our community is here to support you on your journey to financial independence.

[admirer-jerome-powell]

[trader-sg112]

Gold Prices Hold Near One-Month Highs Amid Fed Rate Cut Speculation: Market Insights and Analysis

In the dynamic world of commodities trading, gold prices have recently been a focal point, with bullion prices hovering close to one-month highs and nearing the pivotal $2,400 per ounce mark. This surge comes amidst mounting speculation that the Federal Reserve will embark on interest rate cuts as early as September, a move aimed at bolstering economic recovery amidst persistent global uncertainties.

Gold's Resilience in Current Market Dynamics

Spot gold, a reliable indicator of market sentiment, experienced a slight dip of 0.3% in Asian trading, settling at $2,384.47 per ounce. Similarly, August gold futures saw a marginal decrease of 0.2%, trading at $2,392.55 per ounce. Despite these minor corrections, the overall sentiment remains bullish, underpinned by investor optimism fueled by expectations of monetary easing by the Fed.

Broader Metals Market Movements

Alongside gold, other precious metals also displayed mixed movements. Platinum futures declined by 0.6% to $1,039.25 per ounce, reflecting varied investor sentiment within the sector. Silver futures followed suit with a 1% drop to $31.370 per ounce, illustrating divergent market dynamics in the precious metals arena.

Impact of Dollar Weakness on Metal Prices

A significant factor influencing these movements was the weakening of the US dollar, which hit a near one-month low. The inverse relationship between the dollar and commodity prices was evident as the dollar's depreciation bolstered demand for commodities priced in USD, including gold and silver.

Copper's Surprising Rally

Contrary to the downward trend in precious metals, copper futures on the London Metal Exchange surged by 1% to $9,983.0 per ton. This unexpected rally underscores copper's critical role as an industrial metal, influenced by global economic indicators and infrastructure developments.

Market Outlook and Strategic Considerations

Looking ahead, market participants are closely monitoring upcoming economic data releases and Federal Reserve announcements for further clues on interest rate adjustments. The prospect of lower interest rates typically supports non-interest-bearing assets like gold, enhancing its appeal as a safe-haven investment during uncertain economic times.

Stay Informed with Spectra Global Ltd

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[farademetre]

InvestTalk - 9-13-2022 – The Market Thinks the Fed Has an Awful Problem and Recession Is the Only

Fears that the Federal Reserve will eventually cause a recession spread like wildfire, sending stocks plunging.

[cryptogids]

Bitcoin Stijgt Na Renteverlaging Door De Fed

Na de renteverlaging door de Federal Reserve steeg Bitcoin met 6% en handelt boven $63.000. Analisten voorspellen verdere groei, met een sterk vierde kwartaal voor Bitcoin en Ethereum ETFs. Gunstige liquiditeitsvoorwaarden ondersteunen risicovolle activa, maar economische onzekerheid blijft bestaan terwijl de Fed mogelijke recessierisico's beheert.

[rethinking-the-dollar]

Fed just cut rates drastically, signaling potential economic turmoil. This has always been the trigger that precedes an 'official' recession or worse? This upcoming episode of financial reshuffling will be historic. Find out more here:

[bankacilik-finans-haberleri]

ABD'de Büyük Bankalar için Sermaye Yeterliliği Gerekliliklerinde Değişiklikler ABD'de Banka Sermaye Yeterliliği Planında Değişiklikler Amerika Birleşik Devletleri'nde, Federal Reserve (Fed), Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. (FDIC) ve Office...

[finans-ve-bankacilik-haberleri]

ABD'de Büyük Bankalar için Sermaye Yeterliliği Gerekliliklerinde Değişiklikler ABD'de Banka Sermaye Yeterliliği Planında Değişiklikler Amerika Birleşik Devletleri'nde, Federal Reserve (Fed), Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. (FDIC) ve Office...

[bankacilik-ve-finans-haberleri]

ABD'de Büyük Bankalar için Sermaye Yeterliliği Gerekliliklerinde Değişiklikler ABD'de Banka Sermaye Yeterliliği Planında Değişiklikler Amerika Birleşik Devletleri'nde, Federal Reserve (Fed), Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. (FDIC) ve Office...

[if-haber]

ABD'de Büyük Bankalar için Sermaye Yeterliliği Gerekliliklerinde Değişiklikler ABD'de Banka Sermaye Yeterliliği Planında Değişiklikler Amerika Birleşik Devletleri'nde, Federal Reserve (Fed), Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. (FDIC) ve Office...

[unpluggedfinancial]

The Slowdown in US Job Growth and Rising Bankruptcies: Implications and Outlook

Recent reports indicate a sharp slowdown in US job growth, with the unemployment rate rising to 4.3%. This trend, coupled with a record high in bankruptcies, signals deeper economic challenges. As the Federal Reserve considers cutting interest rates in September, if not sooner, it's crucial to understand the implications for the economy and personal finance.

The slowdown in job growth reflects a cautious approach by businesses in response to economic uncertainties. This trend, combined with a rising unemployment rate, signals potential difficulties ahead for many individuals seeking employment. Businesses are hesitant to expand their workforce amidst uncertain economic conditions, and technological advances reduce the need for human labor in certain sectors. Increased global competition also leads to cost-cutting measures, including hiring freezes or layoffs.

Bankruptcies have surged to a record high, driven by factors such as persistent inflation, high interest rates, and ongoing supply chain disruptions. Rising costs of goods and services reduce profit margins for businesses and disposable income for consumers. Higher borrowing costs make it more difficult for businesses to finance operations and growth, leading to financial distress. Disruptions in the supply chain can lead to shortages and increased costs, further straining business finances.

In response to these economic challenges, the Federal Reserve is likely to cut interest rates in September to stimulate economic activity. Lowering interest rates can make borrowing cheaper, potentially boosting investment and spending. The anticipated rate cut aims to encourage borrowing by making loans more affordable for businesses and consumers, boosting economic growth by increasing spending and investment, and managing inflation by stimulating economic activity and preventing deflationary pressures.

Amidst these economic uncertainties, Bitcoin presents itself as a hedge against traditional market volatility. Its decentralized nature and limited supply make it an attractive option for preserving value. Bitcoin operates independently of central banks and government policies, providing a hedge against political and economic instability. With a capped supply of 21 million coins, Bitcoin is immune to inflationary pressures caused by excessive money printing. Bitcoin's growing acceptance as a digital store of value makes it a viable alternative to traditional assets like gold.

When the Federal Reserve cuts interest rates, it often acts as a catalyst for Bitcoin's price. Historically, lower interest rates have led to increased liquidity in the financial system, which can drive investment into alternative assets like Bitcoin. Lower interest rates increase the money supply, providing more capital for investment in assets like Bitcoin. With traditional savings and bonds offering lower returns, investors seek higher returns in alternative assets, including cryptocurrencies. As interest rates drop and the money supply increases, concerns about inflation drive investors to assets like Bitcoin that are perceived as inflation-resistant.

For individuals, it is crucial to diversify investments, enhance skills, and stay informed about market trends. Embracing digital currencies like Bitcoin can provide a safeguard against economic downturns and currency devaluation. Spread investments across various asset classes, including stocks, bonds, real estate, and cryptocurrencies, to mitigate risk. Continuously update skills and knowledge to remain competitive in the job market and adapt to changing economic conditions. Regularly monitor economic indicators, market trends, and policy changes to make informed financial decisions.

Additionally, adopting a strategy of Dollar-Cost Averaging (DCA) into Bitcoin and buying the dips can be highly beneficial. DCA involves investing a fixed amount of money at regular intervals, regardless of the asset's price. This strategy reduces the impact of market volatility and can lead to a lower average cost per Bitcoin over time. Buying the dips, or purchasing Bitcoin when its price drops, can also enhance returns by taking advantage of temporary price declines.

The combination of slowing job growth, rising bankruptcies, and potential interest rate cuts underscores the need for proactive financial planning. By understanding these trends and exploring alternative investment options like Bitcoin, individuals can better prepare for the economic uncertainties ahead. Embracing strategies like DCA and buying the dips can further enhance financial resilience and long-term growth prospects.

Take Action Towards Financial Independence

If this article has sparked your interest in the transformative potential of Bitcoin, there's so much more to explore! Dive deeper into the world of financial independence and revolutionize your understanding of money by following my blog and subscribing to my YouTube channel.

🌐 Blog: Unplugged Financial Blog Stay updated with insightful articles, detailed analyses, and practical advice on navigating the evolving financial landscape. Learn about the history of money, the flaws in our current financial systems, and how Bitcoin can offer a path to a more secure and independent financial future.

📺 YouTube Channel: Unplugged Financial Subscribe to our YouTube channel for engaging video content that breaks down complex financial topics into easy-to-understand segments. From in-depth discussions on monetary policies to the latest trends in cryptocurrency, our videos will equip you with the knowledge you need to make informed financial decisions.

👍 Like, subscribe, and hit the notification bell to stay updated with our latest content. Whether you're a seasoned investor, a curious newcomer, or someone concerned about the future of your financial health, our community is here to support you on your journey to financial independence.

[admirer-jerome-powell]

[cambcurrencies]

Forex Market: Bank of England Rates & Gold Prices

Forex Market Update – September 16, 2024 This week begins with steady movement in the forex market as traders watch for updates from central banks, especially regarding the Bank of England interest rate decision. Oil and gold prices are also seeing some changes as the week gets underway. Major Currency Pairs: EUR/USD: The euro is trading around 1.11104, up 0.32% today. Traders are expecting…

[son-bankacilik-finans-haberleri]

ABD'de Büyük Bankalar için Sermaye Yeterliliği Gerekliliklerinde Değişiklikler ABD'de Banka Sermaye Yeterliliği Planında Değişiklikler Amerika Birleşik Devletleri'nde, Federal Reserve (Fed), Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. (FDIC) ve Office...

[farademetre]

Experts Advise Moving Cash as Money Market Accounts Surge

A record $6.3 trillion is held in money market accounts, therefore financial experts advise against hoarding too much cash. It could be a good idea to look into better investing options right now, as the Federal Reserve is predicted to cut interest rates soon.