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everytangbo · 26 days ago

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"Tomorrow Chung Myung will turn 50 years old. That's half a century! So I planned in advance, today I treated him with half a banket. That's half a pork, half a duck and half of a jug of wine. He just half laughed and said

'I guess I should wait five years to get the other half on your 50th birthday'

'so I have to pay for my own banquet?'

He laughed!

'half-paying— but don't worry, you'll only get half-beaten'

Rude, you'll still punch me in my birthday? Great.

I told him that I hope I don't turn 100, though.

He gave me a whole beat up anyway.

We'll aside from my poor attempt to make him laugh. But that was just half the morning.

Next thing I made for him was the treasure hunt across Huayin. All planned. I couldn’t just hand over all his gifts so easily. No, no, that wouldn’t do for someone as sharp as Chung Myung. So I devised the Plum Blossom Trail, but here’s the catch—I planted a few traps along the way, and if Chung Myung took a wrong turn, well… let’s just say he’d meet a most unfortunate end at the hands of a clever “murderer” (me).

The clues were embroidered on silk ribbons, but some contain the wrong clues.

The death ribbon is the white one. His punishment? Bam! Getting ambushed with stink cloud bombs. Dozens of them. He couldn't run away. I handed out a trap for every gift.

He fell for one! Fermented soybeans! I told him he was only half dead, so he could have received the correct clue.

I gave him a bottle of aged wine, which I labeled as ‘half the price but double the quality’.

A basket of steamed buns, the ones he loves so much, with a note saying ‘Only half as good without you’.

And last but not least, a chest filled of coins 'Here's half of what you're owed for all the times you've saved my life. The other half? Well, you'll have to stick around a few more decades to earn it, Myung-Myung~'

He punched me, but he smiled. They let me stay overnight with them at Mount Hua. It's nice to have dinner with all the disciples.

It's almost midnight now, I'm waiting for his actual birthday.

Happy 50th birthday, Myung-Myung.

#tang bo's diaries #Red diary #tang bo #Chung Myung #tangchung #fanfic #rotbb #rotmhs #///#Well I had too!#Hope is a good entry

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dreaminginthedeepsouth · 15 days ago

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Pat Byrnes

* * * *

LETTERS FROM AN AMERICAN

October 20, 2024

Heather Cox Richardson

Oct 21, 2024

I had hoped to write tonight about the farm bill, which Eric Hovde, running for the Senate from Wisconsin although it’s not clear he lives there, could not talk about in the debate between him and incumbent senator Tammy Baldwin on Friday. “I’m not an expert on the farm bill because I'm not in the U.S. Senate at this point in time,” Hovde said. “So I can’t opine specifically on all aspects of the farm bill.”

The farm bill is one of our most important pieces of legislation. It establishes the main agricultural and food policies of the government, covering price supports for farm products, especially corn, soybeans, wheat, cotton, rice, peanuts, dairy, and sugar; crop insurance; conservation programs; and nutritional programs for 41 million low-income Americans, including the Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program (SNAP) formerly known as food stamps. It must pass every five years but has been held up by Republican extremists in the House and is now in limbo. One would think that anyone running for Senate should know it pretty well, especially in Wisconsin, where in 2022 farms produced $16.7 billion in agricultural products.

Perhaps this is why the Wisconsin Farm Bureau Federation has endorsed Baldwin, the first Democrat in nearly twenty years to receive their support.

But I cannot take tonight to explain the really quite interesting history of the farm bill (and why it contains our nutrition programs) because the real story of today is that the Republican candidate for president is not mentally able to handle the job of the presidency, and Republican leaders are trying to cover up that reality.

These two stories are related.

That same quest for power that appears to be driving Hovde to seek a Senate seat without knowing anything about a bill that is hugely important to the people he would be representing appears to be preventing Republican leaders from admitting that their 78-year-old candidate has lost the mental capacity necessary for managing the most powerful nation in the world, including its vast stockpiles of nuclear weapons.

The United States has guardrails to prevent an incapacitated president from exercising power.

The question of what to do when a president was unable to do his job was not really a major question until the post–World War II years. While presidents before then had been weakened—notably, Woodrow Wilson had had a stroke—medical care was poor enough that those presidents who sustained life-threatening injuries tended to die from them fairly quickly. At the same time, the difficulties of the travel necessary for a national political career made politics a young man’s game, so there really weren’t rumblings of mental incapacity from age.

But Republican president Dwight Eisenhower had seen the grave damage military leaders could do when they were incapacitated and unaware of their inability to evaluate situations accurately, and knew that the commander-in-chief must have a system in place to be replaced if he were unable to fulfill the mental requirements of his position.

Eisenhower took office in 1953, and two years later, he suffered a heart attack. Vice President Richard Nixon and members of the Cabinet agreed to a working plan to conduct business while the president recovered, but presidential assistant Sherman Adams noted that the crisis left everyone “uncomfortably aware of the Constitution's failure to provide for the direction of the government by an acting President when the President is temporarily disabled and unable to perform his functions.”

When Eisenhower went on to need an abdominal operation and then to have a minor stroke, concerns mounted. As Congress discussed a solution, Eisenhower took matters into his own hands. He drafted an informal agreement that he presented to Nixon. If the president became temporarily unable to do the duties of the office, the document gave to the vice president the power of “Acting President.”

The need to figure out what would happen if modern medicine could keep alive an incapacitated president became apparent after the assassination of President John F. Kennedy in 1963. Not only did the question of a president’s incapacity have to be addressed; so did the problem of succession. Vice President Lyndon Baines Johnson was falsely rumored to have had a heart attack, and both the speaker of the House and the president pro tempore of the Senate were old and doubted that they could adequately fulfill the duties of the presidency themselves.

Congress’s solution was the Twenty-fifth Amendment to the Constitution, providing a system by which either the president or, if they were unable to realize their incapacity, members of the executive branch would transfer the powers of the president to the vice president. Eisenhower enthusiastically backed the idea that the nation should have coverage for a disabled president.

To anyone paying attention, it is clear that Trump is not in any shape to manage the government of the United States of America. He is canceling interviews and botching the ones he does sit for, while falling asleep at events where he is not actually speaking. He lies incessantly even when hosts point out that his claims have been debunked, and cannot answer a question or follow a train of thought. And his comments of the weekend—calling the vice president a “sh*t vice president,” telling a woman to get “your fat husband off the couch” to vote for him, and musing about a famous golfer’s penis—indicate that he has no mental guardrails left.

Today, in what apparently was designed to show Trump as relatable and to compete with the story that Vice President Harris worked at a McDonalds when she was in college, Trump did a photo op at a McDonalds in the swing state of Pennsylvania, where he took prepared fries out of the fryolator. It was an odd moment, for Trump has never portrayed himself as a man of the people so much as a man to lead the people, and the picture of him in a McDonald’s apron undercuts his image as a dominant leader.

But in any case, it was all staged: the restaurant was closed, the five “customers” were loyalists who had practiced their roles, and when Trump handed food through the drive-through window, he did not take money or make change.

"Now I have worked at McDonald's," he said afterward. "I've now worked for 15 minutes more than Kamala."

The fact that someone on Trump’s campaign leaked to Politico that he is “exhausted” is almost certainly a sign that people down the ranks are deeply concerned about his ability to finish the campaign, let alone run the country. But party leaders continue to stand behind him, raising echoes of their staunch support during Trump’s two impeachment trials.

In 2019 the House of Representatives impeached Trump for his attempt to coerce Ukraine’s president Volodymyr Zelensky and pervert the security of the United States to steal an election. The evidence was so overwhelming that Senator Ted Cruz (R-TX) noted: “Out of one hundred senators, you have zero who believe you that there was no quid pro quo. None. There’s not a single one.” But Republican senators—except Mitt Romney (R-UT), who voted to convict on one count—nonetheless acquitted Trump. “This is not about this president. It’s not about anything he’s been accused of doing,” Senate majority leader Mitch McConnell (R-KY) told his colleagues. “It has always been about November 3, 2020. It’s about flipping the Senate.”

Trump’s second impeachment by the House in January 2021 for incitement of insurrection ended similarly. In the Senate, McConnell refused to change the schedule to enable the Senate to vote before a new president was inaugurated, thus giving himself, as well as other Republican senators, an out to vote against conviction on the grounds that Trump was no longer the president. Seven Republican senators joined the Democrats to convict, but forty-three continued to back Trump. In a speech after the vote, McConnell said he believed Trump was responsible for the January 6, 2021, attempt to overturn the results of the 2020 presidential election but that he would have to answer for that behavior in court.

But nearly four years later, Trump has not had to answer in court because the Supreme Court, stacked with his appointees thanks to Republican senators, has said that he cannot be prosecuted for crimes committed as part of his official duties. While the courts sort out what counts as official duties, he is, once again, the Republican nominee for president. Leaders are standing behind him despite the fact he is demonstrating deeply concerning behavior.

When President Joe Biden decided not to accept the Democratic presidential nomination after his poor performance in his June debate with Trump, Republicans demanded that Vice President Harris and the Cabinet invoke the Twenty-fifth Amendment, despite the fact that Biden’s job performance continued to be exemplary. We learned later that during the time of the debate, he was negotiating a historic prisoner swap involving multiple countries to free twenty-four prisoners, including Americans Evan Gershkovich and Paul Whelan.

Nonetheless, that one poor debate performance was enough for Republicans to condemn Biden’s ability to govern the nation. Senator Eric Schmitt (R-MO) told the Fox News Channel that “Joe Biden has decided he isn’t capable of being a candidate; in so doing his admission also means he cannot serve as President.”

But Trump has been lying that immigrants are eating pets; calling voters fat pigs; basing his economic policy on a backward idea of how tariffs work; calling for prosecuting his enemies and making the civil service, military, and judiciary loyal to him; and praising a famous golfer’s “manhood”—hardly indications of a man able to take on the presidency of the United States.

And yet with regard to his mental acuity, Republican leaders offer only crickets.

LETTERS FROM AN AMERICAN

HEATHER COX RICHARDSON

#Pat Byrnes #Letters From An American #Heather Cox Richardson #Farm Bill #Election 2024 #unfit #American history #25th Amendment #MAGA lies

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misfitwashere · 15 days ago

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October 20, 2024

HEATHER COX RICHARDSON

OCT 21

Perhaps this is why the Wisconsin Farm Bureau Federation has endorsed Baldwin, the first Democrat in nearly twenty years to receive their support.

These two stories are related.

The United States has guardrails to prevent an incapacitated president from exercising power.

"Now I have worked at McDonald's," he said afterward. "I've now worked for 15 minutes more than Kamala."

And yet with regard to his mental acuity, Republican leaders offer only crickets.

—

#heather cox richardson #letters from an american

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rjzimmerman · 5 months ago

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Excerpt from this story from the New York Times:

Agriculture Secretary Tom Vilsack has a line about the state of small-scale agriculture in America these days.

It’s drawn from the National Agricultural Statistics Service, which shows that as the average size of farms has risen, the nation had lost 544,000 of them since 1981.

“That’s every farm today that exists in North Dakota and South Dakota, added to those in Wisconsin and Minnesota, added to those in Nebraska and Colorado, added to those in Oklahoma and Missouri,” Mr. Vilsack told a conference in Washington this spring. “Are we as a country OK with it?”

Even though the United States continues to produce more food on fewer acres, Mr. Vilsack worries that the loss of small farmers has weakened rural economies, and he wants to stop the bleeding. Unlike his last turn in the same job, under former President Barack Obama, this time his department is able to spend billions of dollars in subsidies and incentives passed under three major laws since 2021 — including the biggest investment in conservation programs in U.S. history.

The plan in a nutshell: Multiply and improve revenue streams to bolster farm balance sheets. Rather than just selling crops and livestock, farms of the future could also sell carbon credits, waste products and renewable energy.

“Instead of the farm getting one check, they potentially could get four checks,” Mr. Vilsack said in an interview. He is also helping schools, hospitals and other institutions to buy food grown locally, and investors to build meatpacking plants and other processing facilities to free farmers from powerful middlemen.

But it’s far from clear whether new policies and a cash infusion will be enough to counteract the forces that have pushed farmers off the land for decades — especially since much of the money is aimed at reducing carbon emissions, and so will also go toward large farming operations because they are the biggest polluters.

The number of farms has been declining since the 1930s, in large part because of migration from rural areas to cities and greater mechanization of agriculture, which allowed operators to cultivate larger tracts with fewer people. Over time, the federal government abandoned a policy of managing production to support prices, prompting growers to become more export-oriented while local distribution networks atrophied.

The last half-decade has been more disruptive than most. First came a trade war against China under former President Donald J. Trump, which drew retaliatory tariffs that cut into U.S. exports of farm products like soybeans and pork. Then came the pandemic, which scrambled supply chains and sapped farm labor, leaving crops to rot in the fields.

After Congress cushioned the blow with relief for farmers hurt by pandemic disruptions, things started to turn around. Even as the cost of supplies like fertilizer and seed rose, so did food prices, and farm incomes increased. In 2023, default rates on farm loans neared record lows.

“Farm balance sheets are the healthiest they’ve ever been in the aggregate,” said Brad Nordholm, the chief executive of Farmer Mac, a large secondary market for agricultural credit. “The tools available to American farmers to have a more predictable return, even when commodity prices change and input prices change, is greater than it’s ever been before.”

But wholesale crop prices are expected to decline over the coming year. Rising interest rates have made it more difficult to finance planting and harvesting, borrow for an expansion or just get into agriculture — especially since land values jumped 29 percent from 2020 to 2023.

That’s especially true for the smallest farmers, who are far less likely to be tapped into Department of Agriculture assistance programs and are more vulnerable to adverse weather, labor shortages and consumer whims.

“I think in some ways they’re in a worse position than before the pandemic,” said Benneth Phelps, executive director of the nonprofit Carrot Project, which advises small farmers in New England. “We see a lot of farmers making hard decisions right now about whether to stay in or get out, because they’ve run out of steam.”

That’s where the American Rescue Plan, the Inflation Reduction Act and the Bipartisan Infrastructure Law come in.

The laws have collectively provided about $60 billion to the Agriculture Department, which has parceled it out across a variety of priorities, from relieving farmers’ debt to paying them to reduce their carbon emissions.

The biggest chunk — about $19.5 billion — has breathed new life into subsidies to encourage conservation practices that improve the land, like cutting back on plowing and planting cover crops to sequester carbon in the soil. Some of the programs had shrunk in successive Farm Bills, which are five-year legislative packages that covers most agricultural subsidies, and about two-thirds of farmers who applied each year got nothing.

The new funding has added 16,000 recipients over the past two years. Preliminary data shows the expansion is allowing smaller farms to take part.

#family farms #federal farming subsidies

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ki-adi-money · 2 years ago

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I'm not sure how people can be so oblivious as to how things are just barely clinging to "normal".

There are constantly empty shelves at stores.

The company I'm at has been postponing work because we can't get certain materials and the quality of lumber is in the shitter (although the price has gone down) and one of the stores we frequent hasn't gotten a shipment of hanger nails in over a month.

I went to costco today to buy soybean oil and the box is up to $42 from the $27 I paid last yearish.

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nickgerlich · 1 year ago

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The Steaks Are High

I remember all too well that time in the early-1970s when there was a spike in the price of beef. My Dad the Accountant was also the primary shopper in the family, and he knew the price of every grocery product in Chicagoland. Well, it seemed like he did, because back when gas was cheap, it was actually prudent to cherry-pick a few items here, a few more there, and so forth. In the end, the cupboards and refrigerator were filled.

But the price of beef scared him into a new reality, because he could not find anyone with what he saw as a competitive price. Instead, he had read about some newfangled soybean burgers that were packed in protein, cost less than beef, and were quite possibly the future of dining.

He bought some, and I can still recall the taste of cardboard. They were horrible, not even close to the real deal. It was also the first time I had ever knowingly encountered soybeans as food, which was ironic because our house sat right at the edge of a soybean farm on the far southern reaches of Chicagoland. I had no clue what they used them for.

Skip forward to the 1990s, and food science had done a complete makeover on what we now know as veggie burgers (thank you, marketing!). They actually tasted pretty good, and when dressed properly, were a reasonable substitute. If you were vegan, vegetarian, an ethical consumer, or just wanting to try something different, they were legit.

More recently, Beyond and Impossible have introduced the best versions of meat substitutes yet. They are truly lab foods, and are now reaching ubiquity in supermarkets and restaurants. The mouth feel, the redness, even the juices spilling forth, are the closest approximations yet of a beef burger on the grill. They are so close that the cattle industry is rightfully a little nervous, and in some states, their lobbying groups have pushed for legislation regulating basic food terms, such as “meat,” “beef,” and others. Gotta keep those consumers from becoming confused, you know.

Lab foods require over-the-top marketing, though. It’s one thing to buy a garment made from a different fabric, or any number of other consumables. But when it comes to the things we put in our mouth, you better be careful. I recall my ultra cycling years, primarily the 1980s and 1990s, but a little into this century. If you wanted to be competitive, you had to consume sports nutrition on the fly. This meant no burgers and burritos, because they can do a stomach bad when racing. Food scientists, though, came through and brought us innovative products like Ultra Energy, which they touted as being “pre-digested.”

Now if there is any word or phrase that can turn a stomach, it is “pre-digested.” It just sounds bad. Never mind it simply meant the powdered concoction, once reconstituted with water, would be absorbed quickly within the body, allowing for a continuous source of energy. Drink one of these every hour (550 calories), and you’ll be able to go day and night.

It still sounded like yuck, and we all called it Ultra Eulogy. Where were the marketers when they needed it? The name was good, but the other print on the package was a death wish as far as branding goes. Today, manufacturers such as Hammer Nutrition have worked out the kinks as well as the taste, and they skip all the nasty verbiage and focus instead on the results.

Which brings me to the dinner table finally, and the talk last week about lab-grown meat is once again making headlines. It is coming soon, thanks to a new FDA ruling giving it the green light. It’s just that, once again, the food scientists have been doing all the business planning.

Even out here in West Texas, people are OK with some folks eating Beyond and Impossible. You can find them everywhere. But lab-grown meat? That might just be taking things too far. Cattle ranchers know that the vegans and vegetarians among us will likely always be just a small percentage of the population, and even the others who want to try one occasionally are a blip on the radar.

But these new “meats” will be aimed squarely at carnivores, meaning that all those ranchers and feedlot owners will be shaking in their boots far more than any veggie burger might make them uneasy.

The arguments in favor of lab meat are multiple. The meats, which are cultivated from animal cells, can be produced without ethical consideration of creatures crammed into small pens. The carbon footprint is much smaller, right down to the fact it takes six pounds of feed to produce one pound of beef at the feedlot. And let’s not forget the unpleasant smell, which some folks around here argue is the smell of money. It’s at that time I invoketh Shakespeare. “Cow poop by any other name would smell as pungent.” Or something like that.

In case you’re wondering, lab-grown meat is not a total panacea, because vegans and vegetarians still will not eat it, because animal cells. But will the other 95%? It’s going to take some serious marketing to take the lab out of the lab-grown meat so that people feel like they are eating something good, about as much of a challenge those soybean burger makers faced in the 70s.

Consumers don’t have to worry just yet about mistaking it at the supermarket—that time will come, though—but these new products will start appearing in restaurants. And you know what? You might not even know it. Heck, it took federal legislation a few years ago to force chains with 20 or more units to list calorie counts on menu items. Do you think a restaurant is going to put the word “lab” anywhere on the menu?

I think not.

And you thought that GMO foods was a big deal. I am betting that lab meat will elicit howls of disapproval across the country, especially in cattle-rich West Texas. It’s one thing to make the vegans and vegetarians happy, but it is quite another to let a bunch of scientists start whittling away at your livelihood, the one thing for which this part of Texas is best known.

Heck, they may as well just have a 72-ounce tofu challenge over at the Big Texan. That idea, while offered in jest, is about as under-cooked as the lab meat coming our way. At least for now.

Dr “I’ll Pass” Gerlich

Audio Blog

#marketing #beef #meat #lab-grown

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allthebrazilianpolitics · 2 years ago

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Soybeans down as record Brazilian crop could capture Chinese sales

hicago soybean, wheat and corn fell on Thursday, with the stronger trend in the dollar hampering export prospects for U.S. supplies at a time of intensifying competition, especially from Brazilian soybeans and Russian wheat.

Chicago Board of Trade most-active soybeans Sv1 were down 0.1% to $15.23-3/3 a bushel at 1211 GMT. Wheat Wv1 fell 0.4% to $7.77 a bushel, corn Cv1 fell 0.1% to $6.75-1/4 a bushel.

Brazil’s soybean harvest this year could be a record of over 150 million tonnes.

“The stronger trend in the dollar is a factor weakening soybeans, wheat and corn today at a time of intensifying competition in export markets to U.S. supplies,” said Matt Ammermann, StoneX commodity risk manager.

“The weight of record large Brazilian soybean crop is beginning to be felt. The price spread between cash markets in the U.S. and Brazil means that cheaper Brazilian soybeans are expected to meet import demand from China and other world buyers in the near future.”

#brazil #politics #brazilian politics #economy #farming #mod nise da silveira #image description in alt

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palmoilnews · 12 days ago

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European vegoils Palm oil up on stronger demand, lower output GDYNIA, October 23 (LSEG) - Palm oil on the European vegetable oils market rose third day in a row on Wednesday after palm oil futures were higher on expectations for lower output during October and forecasts of higher exports. Asking prices for crude palm oil were between $15 and $30 per tonne up after Malaysian palm oil futures rallied and closed between 55 and 110 ringgit a tonne up. A lower ringgit, which makes palm oil cheaper for buyers holding foreign currencies, could boost export demand. At 1630 GMT, CBOT soyoil futures were between 0.09 and 0.24 cent per pound lower, dragged down by softer Chicago soybeans on a record-high U.S. harvest and beneficial crop weather in Brazil. Lower energy prices also weighed. EU rapeoil was offered 28 euros per tonne higher for November shipments. The December'24-January'26 shipments were offered in a tight range between five euros a tonne down and six euros a tonne up. The U.S. strong dollar underpinned the prices, while downward trend in MATIF rapeseed and CBOT soyoil futures offset gains. Lower energy prices today also weighed. Coconut oil was offered up to $15 a tonne lower. Palmkernel oil was quoted between $15 a tonne down and $50 per tonne up, following climbing palm oil.

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pricevisionai · 2 years ago

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The Rise of ML-Based Forecasting: Implications and Opportunities for the Future

To increase corporate productivity, machine learning is utilised in business forecasting. Data and observations are utilised to start the learning process. examples, directions, or first-hand experience, for instance. They are offered so that the computer can analyse data patterns and come to better conclusions in the future.

Using the hundreds of metrics at your fingertips and taking each one into account for the particular prediction at hand allows you to prepare considerably more correctly than with manual approaches, which is one of the primary advantages of deep learning for business forecasting.

A machine learning-based system can be fed with as many business indicators and KPIs as you have access to. Whether your forecast is affected by 100 factors or 100,000, machine learning may find patterns and connections that a traditional (or human) system just cannot.

Not only can machine learning forecasting deliver the precision you need, but a turnkey system is also fully autonomous, continuously updating estimates as trends change to help you make better decisions.

How Should Machine Learning Be Used for Forecasting?

Whatever model is chosen, the overall acceptance of ML practices appears to be as follows:

Establish business goals and make advantage of any internal data that is accessible.

Get outside data by searching for market research reports, trends, GDPs, customer reviews, etc.

Sort, clean, & label the information (if needed)

Identify the set of problems that forecasting will be used to tackle.

To act as the initial benchmark, pick a baseline model (usually a basic extrapolation or a tree-based model).

Model performance can be improved by utilising more intricate ML models or altering the data.

Once comfortable findings have been attained, the model is used.

Business Applications using Machine Learning Forecast

Here are a few business applications for machine learning predictions-

1. Predicting financial data

Businesses endure disruption in their performance and operations without a financial projection, and C-level executives are more prone to make bad choices. Due to this, companies utilise ML forecasting, which emphasizes understanding the business drivers instead of handling tedious activities. While reducing the usage of unproductive tactics and human error, ML financial planning also assists with forecasting supply, demand, inventories, future revenues, expenditures, and cash flow.

For instance, those who are involved with the company want to know the firm's turnover and crucial elements for development during the forthcoming financial quarter to understand and appraise areas for improvement. We can develop a machine learning prediction models that use previous key business metrics for the organisation and current turnover data from prior periods using convolutional or regression models.

Seasonal data and other influencing factors will be used to predict the necessary metrics for the future. In this case, company owners can arrange the following period effectively.

2. Predicting the supply chain

The increasingly globalised and sophisticated supply chain management could be radically transformed by ML. Businesses may respond to problems and threats more quickly and avoid under and overstocking by using ML-based forecasting systems. Machine learning algorithms for forecasting can discover patterns in a training sample and then apply those patterns to fresh data. Consequently, machine learning enhances the processes of inventory management, transportation and distribution, anticipating supply chain risks, and supplier selection and segmentation.

Take the next illustration of supply chain forecasting using machine learning as an example. The chain of hypermarkets runs about 100 locations with an average of 50,000 SKUs per store. For such a big network, automated warehouse replenishment is necessary. There are two key benefits in this instance:

There's no reason to start stocking up on things that are difficult to sell.

Regularly purchased goods must be supplied on time.

Based on historical warehouse replenishment statistics and data demonstrating how quickly specific products sell, we can create an ML model for estimating the number of goods per SKU. Several time frames could be used to depict the prediction.

3. Forecast Commodity Prices

Price prediction algorithms establish the price at which a product should be sold to satisfy customer demand, and company expectations, and maximize sales. Machine learning, or artificial intelligence, is frequently used in commodity price predictions. With minimum human input, this approach helps with the automatic separation of data that is organized and unorganized and the development of models to forecast real-time commodities prices. Items that are typically indistinguishable from human sight can be made known, enabling manufacturers to plan ahead, dealers to make pricing predictions, and purchasers to plan more effective purchases.

Business owners frequently want to understand how future price changes for a certain product will affect their business. The beneficial effect could also be used by taking into account external data from other parties that affect prices, such as the rate of inflation, holidays, seasonal trends, etc.

Prices of different types of commodities can be forecasted like:

Sugar Prices

Cotton prices

Palm oil

Gold

Coffee

Natural Gas, etc.

4. Detecting fraud

Businesses should work more to build anti-fraud measures, according to the surge in worldwide digital fraud rates. ML algorithms can identify questionable financial transactions by learning from past data. They are currently employed successfully in a variety of industries, including e-commerce, finance, healthcare, and fintech.

A chain cafe owner could want to evaluate employee productivity, for instance. Finding hidden patterns that let employees cheat is one of the main goals. These and other frauds of this nature may cause monetary loss. To identify and report unusual behaviours, we can build a fraud prevention model using historical data. Managers can then carefully examine anomalies found and pinpoint the underlying reason for such data variances.

5. Predicting sales and demand

Demand changes are a complicated issue that impacts the entire e-commerce sector. To forecast consumer behavior and decide how many products to create or order, businesses, especially manufacturers, employ machine learning (ML) demand forecasting. With ML models, it is feasible to avoid having too much stock or running out of it. Such a forecasting strategy also makes it possible to understand the target market and the competition better.

Let's say a chain of restaurants wishes to predict demand in advance. The company will gain from it in several ways:

to get an idea of how many dishes the restaurant will sell so that the food supply can be prepared in advance

to understand and specify how many personnel are needed to deliver exceptional customer service

to plan a suitable and timely marketing effort

It will be advantageous to start by looking at historical data from earlier times to create demand prediction models and help firms achieve their goals. For instance, we can check Google reviews for both our restaurant chain and the main rivals to see which level of service clients enjoy or dislike.

Advantages of Predicting with Machine Learning

Businesses can better serve consumers and complete orders before running out of stock by using forecasting. As a result, there is a considerable influence on both sales and customer happiness. For example, knowing the demand enables you to control logistics, monitor production costs, and even project the investment return for a new device. As a consequence, ML prediction models give companies the ability to develop their AI more fully and, more significantly, to address business issues by looking at historical data.

1. The capacity to generate more accurate forecasts, Faster

Financial forecasting can be liberated from the time-consuming labour of data collection and reconciliation due to machine learning-enabled forecasting. The tools can be configured to automatically gather and reconcile big data sets. Moreover, machine learning methods can help uncover business drivers and drastically lower forecast mistakes.

Machine learning techniques are intended to acquire information over time and forecast which elements will have the biggest impacts on financial performance. Over time, the model becomes more accurate and produces projections more quickly.

2. Use of Additional Data

When employing spreadsheet-driven forecasting procedures, there are limits on the number of sources of data and how much data can be processed and ingested within forecasting models. The quantity and variety of data that may be utilized can be greatly improved by machine learning technologies since they can store more information and analyze it more rapidly than humans.

An organisation that sells consumer goods, for instance, can quickly access data from search engines or social media to determine when buyers are most likely to look for or post about its products. This type of information can help the forecaster gain a better knowledge of the revenue peaks and valleys.

3. Making Value-Added Activities Possible

Analysts are generally obliged to spend the majority of their time on existing prediction processes reconciling or compiling data, rather than working on value-added research and interfacing with the business.

Analysts can focus on understanding operational drivers, key business events, or macro- and microeconomic variables that could have an influence on the organisation instead of these tiresome activities by employing machine learning technology to provide at least a baseline estimate. These findings can then be applied to forecasting. Ultimately, by utilizing machine learning, financial analysts may enhance decision-making and collaborate more with the company's management.

Conclusion

Forecasting in business combines art and science. It blends business intelligence with data science. Business forecasting issues are frequently a result of poor judgement and inexperience. If assumptions are paired with unexpected events, predictions may be incorrect. Machine learning and artificial intelligence will ensure that you avoid making these errors. Machine learning is an effective tool in today's quick-paced culture.

By using algorithms for machine learning and persevering through setbacks, businesses can make the shift to improved performances, sales, and outstanding profit margins. PriceVision is one such tool that paves your path towards easy forecasting of the prices of commodities like metal, forex, energy and agricultural commodities.

#commodity market #commodity price forecasting #commodity futures prices #live commodity prices #Artificial intelligence #oil price forecast #wheat price #steel prices #palm oil price #sugar price #coffee price #ai techniques #oil forecast #soybean price today #commodity prices

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yourreddancer · 15 days ago

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Heather Cox Richardson 10.20

It must pass every five years but has been held up by Republican extremists in the House and is now in limbo. One would think that anyone running for Senate should know it pretty well, especially in Wisconsin, where in 2022 farms produced $16.7 billion in agricultural products.

Perhaps this is why the Wisconsin Farm Bureau Federation has endorsed Baldwin, the first Democrat in nearly twenty years to receive their support.

These two stories are related.

The United States has guardrails to prevent an incapacitated president from exercising power.

"Now I have worked at McDonald's," he said afterward. "I've now worked for 15 minutes more than Kamala."

And yet with regard to his mental acuity, Republican leaders offer only crickets.

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wahjiwahofficial · 15 days ago

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The Best Soya Chaap in Delhi: A Flavorful Journey with Wah Ji Wah

Delhi is a paradise for food lovers, offering an endless variety of dishes to savor. For vegetarians, one dish that stands out is soya chaap—a high-protein, flavorful delight. When it comes to finding the Best Soya Chaap Delhi, Wah Ji Wah emerges as a clear winner. Known for its innovative chaap dishes and impeccable service, Wah Ji Wah has become a favorite chaap restaurant among locals and visitors alike.

In this blog, we'll dive deep into why Wah Ji Wah is considered the best soya chaap restaurant and why it ranks among the best restaurants in Delhi NCR for lovers of vegetarian cuisine.

What Makes Soya Chaap So Popular?

Soya chaap is made from soya flour and soya beans, shaped into skewers, and often marinated with aromatic spices. It is a versatile dish that can be grilled, roasted, or cooked in gravies, making it a popular choice for vegetarians and even meat lovers. The texture closely resembles meat, making it a satisfying alternative for those looking to avoid animal products.

Why Wah Ji Wah is the Best Soya Chaap Restaurant in Delhi

Wah Ji Wah has redefined the way people experience soya chaap, offering a unique combination of flavors, quality, and presentation. Let’s look at what makes Wah Ji Wah a must-visit for chaap lovers.

1. Variety of Soya Chaap Dishes

Wah Ji Wah takes the humble soya chaap and turns it into a masterpiece with a wide range of offerings. Whether you prefer spicy, creamy, or tangy flavors, they’ve got something for every palate. Their most popular options include:

Tandoori Soya Chaap: Smoky and spicy, marinated in a flavorful blend of spices and grilled to perfection.

Malai Chaap: Creamy and mild, with a rich texture perfect for those who enjoy less heat.

Afghani Chaap: Infused with subtle spices and cooked in a buttery, creamy sauce.

Achari Chaap: A tangy option that uses traditional pickle spices for a zesty kick.

2. High-Quality Ingredients

What sets Wah Ji Wah apart is their commitment to using only the freshest and highest quality ingredients. Their soya chaap is made from premium soybeans, ensuring it is not only tasty but also packed with nutrition.

3. Affordable Dining Experience

Despite being known for offering some of the best soya chaap in Delhi, Wah Ji Wah maintains affordable prices. This makes it a perfect choice for families, students, and office-goers who want to enjoy a great meal without breaking the bank.

4. Multiple Locations Across Delhi NCR

Another reason Wah Ji Wah is so popular is its accessibility. With multiple branches across Delhi, Gurgaon, and Noida, it’s easy to enjoy their delicious soya chaap without having to travel far. Whether you want to dine in or order for home delivery, Wah Ji Wah has you covered.

Wah Ji Wah: Among the Best Restaurants in Delhi NCR

While Wah Ji Wah is famous for its soya chaap, the restaurant has earned a name for itself beyond just chaap dishes. It has become one of the best restaurants in Delhi NCR for its combination of quality, taste, and service. Here’s why:

1. Diverse Menu

Although soya chaap is the star of the show, Wah Ji Wah also offers a variety of other vegetarian delicacies, including paneer tikka, mushroom tandoori, and vegetarian kebabs. Their menu caters to all types of food lovers, making it a great place for group outings.

2. Comfortable Dining Ambience

Wah Ji Wah offers a welcoming and relaxed atmosphere, whether you’re visiting for a quick meal or a family dinner. The clean, comfortable setting enhances the dining experience, making you feel right at home.

3. High Standards of Hygiene

In today’s world, hygiene is a top priority, and Wah Ji Wah ensures that all food is prepared under the most sanitary conditions. From the kitchen to the dining area, the staff adheres to strict cleanliness protocols, providing a safe and enjoyable meal for all guests.

Must-Try Soya Chaap Dishes at Wah Ji Wah

If you’re visiting Wah Ji Wah for the first time, here are some of their best soya chaap dishes you simply can’t miss:

Tandoori Soya Chaap: This classic favorite is grilled to perfection, offering a smoky flavor with just the right amount of spice.

Malai Chaap: Creamy and rich, this dish is perfect for those who prefer a mild yet flavorful option.

Achari Chaap: Infused with pickling spices, this dish offers a tangy and spicy experience.

Afghani Chaap: A rich, creamy chaap option with a buttery texture that melts in your mouth.

Conclusion

Wah Ji Wah has become synonymous with the best soya chaap in Delhi, offering a variety of dishes that cater to different tastes and preferences. Their commitment to quality, flavor, and affordability has made them one of the best restaurants in Delhi NCR, particularly for vegetarian food lovers.

Whether you’re a local or just visiting, Wah Ji Wah is a must-visit for anyone looking to enjoy a delicious meal centered around the beloved soya chaap. So next time you’re craving a flavorful, protein-packed dish, head to Wah Ji Wah and treat yourself to the Best Soya Chaap Delhi!

FAQs About Soya Chaap and Wah Ji Wah

1. What makes Wah Ji Wah the best soya chaap restaurant in Delhi? Wah Ji Wah offers an extensive variety of chaap dishes made from high-quality ingredients. Their focus on flavor, affordability, and service makes them stand out as the best soya chaap restaurant in Delhi.

2. Does Wah Ji Wah offer home delivery? Yes, Wah Ji Wah provides home delivery services across Delhi NCR, allowing customers to enjoy their favorite chaap dishes from the comfort of their homes.

3. Are there vegan options available at Wah Ji Wah? Many of the soya chaap dishes at Wah Ji Wah are vegan-friendly. However, it's always a good idea to ask the staff to ensure no dairy products are used, especially in creamy dishes like Malai Chaap.

4. What is the price range at Wah Ji Wah? Wah Ji Wah is known for offering quality food at affordable prices, making it a great option for people looking to enjoy delicious chaap dishes without spending too much.

5. Where can I find Wah Ji Wah? Wah Ji Wah has multiple locations across Delhi NCR, including Delhi, Gurgaon, and Noida. You can easily locate an outlet near you through popular food delivery platforms or by checking their website.

#food #delhincr #soyachaap #wahjiwah #delhi

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storedapear · 20 days ago

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The Okinawa Diet: A Time-Tested Path to Longevity and Health

Okinawa, a picturesque island in Japan, holds a remarkable secret to longevity. Known for its breathtaking beaches and lush landscapes, Okinawa is also home to the highest number of centenarians—people who live to be 100 years old—in the world. The people of Okinawa not only live longer but also enjoy healthier lives compared to the rest of the globe. The question is: what’s their secret?

The answer lies in the Okinawa diet. This way of eating goes beyond just the food on the plate—it's a lifestyle that promotes health, longevity, and overall well-being. By adopting some of the key principles of this diet, we can also unlock the potential for a healthier, longer life.

The Modern Health Crisis

Before diving into the Okinawa diet, it’s important to understand some of the common health challenges we face today. Globally, obesity rates are rising at an alarming rate, leading to a spike in chronic diseases such as diabetes, heart disease, and high blood pressure. Sedentary lifestyles and the widespread availability of fast food and sugary snacks only exacerbate the problem. Many people find themselves stuck in a vicious cycle of poor eating habits and lack of physical activity, contributing to weight gain and various health issues.

This modern diet, high in fats, sugars, and processed ingredients, comes with heavy consequences. The convenience of fast food has a steep price: our health. But there is hope—this is where the Okinawa diet offers a fresh and effective solution to these common health problems. The diet’s focus on whole foods and mindful eating provides a sustainable path to better health and well-being.

What Is the Okinawa Diet?

The Okinawa diet is primarily plant-based, emphasizing whole, nutrient-dense foods that are both satisfying and incredibly healthy. The diet consists of a variety of colorful vegetables, whole grains, legumes, and small portions of fish or tofu. Let’s take a closer look at what makes up the core of this diet.

Sweet Potatoes: One of the staples of the Okinawa diet is the sweet potato. This vibrant vegetable is packed with essential nutrients, including vitamins A and C, potassium, and fiber. It provides energy without causing spikes in blood sugar levels, making it a healthy source of carbohydrates. Sweet potatoes also contain antioxidants that help reduce inflammation and support heart health.

Vegetables and Legumes: The Okinawans eat a wide range of fresh vegetables, such as bitter melon, seaweed, and leafy greens, all of which are packed with vitamins, minerals, and fiber. These nutrient-rich foods are consumed in abundance, promoting strong immunity and overall vitality. Legumes, such as soybeans and lentils, also play a key role in their diet, offering a rich source of plant-based protein and fiber.

Tofu and Fish: For protein, the Okinawan diet relies on tofu and fish. Tofu, made from soybeans, is a nutritious source of protein and phytonutrients. Fish is consumed in moderation, providing essential omega-3 fatty acids, which are known to support heart and brain health.

Hara Hachi Bu: One of the most important aspects of the Okinawa diet is the practice of “Hara Hachi Bu,” which means eating until you are 80% full. This simple yet profound philosophy helps prevent overeating and ensures that meals are consumed mindfully. By stopping when they feel satisfied rather than full, Okinawans maintain a healthy weight and reduce the strain on their digestive systems.

This mindful approach to eating is a key factor in their longevity. The Okinawans not only pay attention to what they eat but also to how much they eat, ensuring that their diet remains balanced and in harmony with their body’s needs.

The Social and Emotional Connection

Another important aspect of the Okinawa diet is the way meals are enjoyed. In Okinawa, food is often consumed in a social setting with family and friends. Sharing meals fosters connection and community, which plays a significant role in emotional well-being. The sense of belonging and support in Okinawa helps combat stress and loneliness—two factors that can negatively affect health and shorten lifespan.

Eating together and engaging with loved ones adds another layer of health benefits that goes beyond physical nourishment. Studies show that people with strong social ties tend to live longer and enjoy better health, making this aspect of the Okinawa lifestyle just as important as the food itself.

A Real-Life Success Story

To illustrate the power of the Okinawa diet, let me share the story of Takashi, a 70-year-old man from Okinawa. Like many people, Takashi struggled with high blood pressure, fatigue, and weight gain. He had resigned himself to these health issues, thinking they were simply part of aging. But after learning more about the Okinawa diet and its benefits, he decided to make a change.

Takashi started incorporating more vegetables, sweet potatoes, and fish into his diet. He also embraced the practice of “Hara Hachi Bu,” cutting back on portion sizes and eating mindfully. Over time, he noticed significant improvements. His blood pressure dropped, his energy levels increased, and he even started hiking again—a hobby he hadn’t enjoyed in years.

Takashi’s transformation is a testament to the power of this lifestyle. It’s not just about food; it’s about revitalizing your entire way of living.

How You Can Benefit From the Okinawa Diet

The Okinawa diet is more than just a diet—it’s a holistic approach to life that promotes long-term health and happiness. By adopting the principles of this lifestyle, you can experience a range of benefits, including:

Improved Heart Health: The plant-based, low-calorie diet helps lower cholesterol and blood pressure, reducing the risk of heart disease.

Weight Management: With its emphasis on whole foods and mindful eating, the Okinawa diet can help maintain a healthy weight.

Longevity: By nourishing your body with nutrient-dense foods and practicing mindful eating, you can enhance your overall well-being and increase your chances of living a longer, healthier life.

Stronger Social Connections: Sharing meals with loved ones fosters emotional well-being and reduces stress, contributing to a longer, happier life.

Conclusion: A Lifestyle for Longevity

The Okinawa diet offers a proven and sustainable way to improve health and longevity. By focusing on nutrient-rich, plant-based foods, practicing mindful eating, and fostering social connections, the Okinawans have unlocked the secret to a longer, healthier life. This lifestyle is accessible to anyone willing to make small but impactful changes in their diet and habits.

So, are you ready to give it a try? Start by incorporating more vegetables, sweet potatoes, and plant-based proteins into your meals. Practice mindful eating by stopping when you’re 80% full, and don’t forget to share meals with family and friends.

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