#maxwell bontrager family
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Gutted to learn the Bontrager-Bowers couples didn't keep up their letter name themes! I was hoping to see some really wacky names from them. But... another Spurgeon?!?!?! The mind boggles.
Breaking News: Bontrager/ Bowers baby names
She named them along with gender in groups from the siblings
Chelsy:
1. Axton
2. Elliott
3. Madelyn
Mitchell:
4. Micah
5. Tucker
6. Brynleigh
Carson:
7. Jubilee
8. Jemima
9. Spurgeon
Joshua:
10. Wallace
11. Winston
12. Lillian
Allison:
13. Malachi
14. Gemma
#bontrager family#bontrager bowers family#shitty baby names#maxwell bontrager family#bontrager leppert family#mitchell + bryn#john + chelsy#carson + carolina#joshua + cassidy#jeremiah + allison#helferich bontrager family#helferich family
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Chelsy Bontranger has updated her blog with Mary Maxwell wedding pics if you want to see a Maxwell in a sleeveless wedding dress :D
Omg Chelsy's blog post was a wealth of Maxwell updates!! I'll have to make a point to check hers like I used to do with Titus2.
First, loooove Mary's dress!! Sleeveless AND backless get it queen, easily the best Maxwell dress I've ever seen.
Second, a few pregnancy updates: Anna Marie (Anna #2 I think) and Anna #4 (or maybe 5?). The newest Anna has been married a couple of years already, and this looks like her first so that's surprising.
I wonder how Anna Marie's cancer is going and if it's still in remission. She looks good!
Bonus Sarah update!:
#mary Maxwell#mary hock#sarah Maxwell#sarah bollinger#chelsy Maxwell#chelsy bontrager#anna marie maxwell#Steve Maxwell#teri Maxwell#anna Maxwell#that tag can just work for the rest of them#the Maxwell family#fundie blogs
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My 2024 predictions
What came true and what didn't. If it came true it's bold, if it didn't it's streept out. It's italic when it's still unsure if I was right or wrong
Duggar
Anna - Stays away from the camera but we will spot her from time to time
John&Abbie - appears to be pregnant with #3
Jana - keeps going like she has been the past years
Jill&Derick - announce #4 after Freddy's 2nd birthday
Jessa&Ben - goes on and off on SM
Jinger&Jeremy - announce #3, another girl
Joseph&Kendra - They will suddenly have a 5th child without us knowing about their pregnancy
Josiah&Lauren - Lauren first shows up pregnant in one of the other siblings video's, later we will find out she had #4, another boy
Joy&Austin - Joy will not make come back on youtube in january. She will start making them again after visiting Carlin
Jed&Katey - announce #3, a boy
Jer&Hannah - have a girl
Jason - announces that he is married
James - announces a courtship/relation
Justin&Claire - announce #1, a girl
Jackson - stays quiet, makes appearances in video's
Johannah - announces a courtship/relationship
Bates
Zach&Whitney - Don't announce #6 yet
Michaella&Brandon - move to a house and have a dog
Erin&Chad - endless video's of precious William
Lawson&Tiffany - keep producing weird video's
Nathan&Esther - announce #2, another girl
Alyssa&John - Nothing new, just the same old over and over again
Tori&Bobby - have their 5th, another boy
Trace&Lydia - have another episode of 'help my wife and her family is getting deported'
Carlin&Evan - announce #3, another boy
Josie&Kelton - have their 3th, a boy
Katie&Travis - announce #2, a boy
Jackson&Emmy - announce #1, a girl
Warden - dates Taylor
Isaiah - stays quiet
Addellee - starts courting
Rodrigues
Jill&David - announce another miscarriage
Nurie&Nathan - have #3, a girl
Timothy&Heidi - get married with a lot of drama, announce #1
Kaylee&Jonathan - announce #2, a girl
Renee - starts a new courtship, hyped by Jill
Phillip - Stays away from girls
Samuel - starts a courtship, Jill is first super excited, later not so much
Gabriel - goes to a fake college
Wissmann
Rachel&Alan - keep off SM
Ruth&Ryan - announce #6, another boy
Josiah&Abi - nothing happens
Bethany&Dan - announce #6, a boy
Andrew&Kori - nothing happens
Elizabeth - starts dating
Matthias&Michelle - nothing happens
Stephen - nothing happens
Hannah&Jer - have a girl
Susanna&Drew - announce #1, a boy
Alathia - starts dating
Nathanael&Katrina - announce #2, a girl
Charissa - visits all her sisters all the time
Bontrager
Chelsy&John - announce #4, a boy
Mitchell&Bryn - announce #4, a girl
Allison&Jeremiah - announce #3, a boy
Lincoln&Susanna - announce #1, a girl
Elizabeth - starts dating
Hudson - starts dating
Maxwell
Nathan&Melanie - nothing happens
Christopher&Anna - nothing happens
Sarah&Kory - photographers more weddings
Joseph&Elissa - appear to have a 4th child
Chelsy&John - announce #4, a boy
Anna - starts dating
Jesse&Anna - nothing happens
Mary&Samuel - announce #1, a girl
Keller
Esther&John - have a girl
Enoch - nothing happens
Alatheia - starts courting
Priscilla&David - announce #7, a boy
Anna - Stays away from the camera but we will spot her from time to time
Nathan&Nurie - have #3, a girl
David&Hannah - announce #2, a boy
Caldwell
Paul&Christina - announce #10, a girl
Kendra&Joseph - They will suddenly have a 5th child without us knowing about their pregnancy
Lauren - appears to have suddenly a man by her side
Micah - nothing happens
Others
Rogers - nothing happens
Young - announce #6 at the end of the year
Ballinger - have #5, a girl
Etbauer - announce #3, a boy
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2024 Wrap-Up: Babies
Duggar Family
Shockingly, we had just 1 Duggar grandbaby this year!
Brielle Grace was born to Jeremiah + Hannah (Wissmann) Duggar in late February. She is already slated to become a big sister.
Bates Family
The Bateses welcomed 5 grandkids this year, all of them boys. It's worth noting that we didn't see a grandBates from Jackson + Emerson, who had the rare experience of hitting their first anniversary without getting pregnant.
Miles Kelton was born to Josie + Kelton on February 21.
Weston Slade was born to Tori + Bobby on May 29.
William Daniel was born to Lawson + Tiffany on July 19.
Harvey Gray was born to Katie + Travis on September 29.
Graham Alan was born to Nathan + Esther on October 4.
Wissmann Family
There were 2 Wissmann grandkids this year, both girls.
The aforementioned Brielle Grace Duggar
Lila Ann Jerred was born to Susanna + Drew on April 1.
Keller Family
You know I love me some shitty baby names, and the Keller family delivers. It seems the Keller Reber family is doing an E theme, and we finally got an answer to how the Waller Keller family picks their names (D for girls, P for boys).
Josiah was born to Esther + John on January 17. (Here's hoping this is the last--though I wish we could see what wild choice they'd have made for another girl. Agatha? Eirene?)
Edelweiss Miracle was born to David + Hannah on March 16. What a mouthful. I love how bad this is.
Naomi Christine was born to Nathan + Nurie on July 14. "Naomi" was very predictable, but "Christine" was a pleasant surprise. I had been betting on "Naomi Jill." "Naomi Christine" is, in retrospect, much more pleasant.
Desiree Hope was born to Priscilla + David on July 19.
Maxwell-Bontrager-Bowers-Helferich Clan
Early in the year, Marlin Bontrager announced that he had 3 grandkids on the way. It looks like there were actually 5! Not everyone posts actively on socials, so I don't have names and birthdays for everyone.
Baby #1 was born to Taylor + Susanna (Helferich) Bontrager. Judging by the baby's age, it looks like a honeymoon baby.
Baby #4 was born to Mitchell + Bryn Bontrager in the spring.
Baby #4 was born to Carson + Carolina (Bowers) Bontrager. After Jubilee, Jemima, and Spurgeon, I am dying to know what they named their next kid.
Amelia Marie was born to Jeremiah + Allison (Bontrager) Helferich on August 28.
Watson Joe was born to John + Chelsy (Bontrager) Maxwell on December 3.
Morton Family
The Mortons are on their way to 60 grandkids.
Gabriel Lorenzo was born to Wesley + Rachael Morton on April 24.
Ezra Michael was born to Adeline + Michael Holloway on April 24.
Baby #2 was born to Edwin + Francesca in April.
Baby #5 was born to Andrew + Kennedy in August.
Thomas Ezekiel was born to Cleve + Lise on November 26.
Other Fundie Babies
Deitrich Johannes was born to Isaac + Arti Anderson on August 17.
Arrow Chosen was born to Karissa + Mandrae Collins on August 17.
Briggs Maverick was born to Sierra + Mark Dominguez.
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Fundie and Adjacent Families I Follow: December 2024 in a Glance
Births:
Chelsy (33) (Bontrager) and John (33) Maxwell welcomed their fourth child Watson Joe on December 3. He joins his three older siblings: Axton (5), Elliott (4), and Madeline (3).
Anastasia (28) (Salyer) and James (29) Silberman welcomed their second child Ezra Maxwell on December 6. Ezra joins his older sister Geneva (16 months).
Paige and David (25) Williams welcomed their second child, a girl (name unknown). She joins older brother Deacon (18 months).
Pregnancies:
Lydia (26) (Romeike) and Trace (25) Bates announced they are expecting their second child, a rainbow boy. This baby will join older brother Ryker (15 months) in June 2025.
Georgia (25) (Brown) and Ryan (35) Williams accidentally leaked that they are expecting their first child together. They officially announced a few days later. This child will join his paternal half-brother Ryder.
Hannah (29) (Wissmann) and Jeremiah (26) Duggar announced they are expecting their third daughter. She will join Brynley (2) and Brielle (10 months) in late Spring.
Becky (38) (Keilen) and Tim Forman announced they are expecting their first child, a boy. He is due to arrive in March 2025.
Cherise (29) and Brance Kahle announced they are expecting their third child in summer 2025. This child will join older siblings Ryder (3) and Haven (19 months).
Bethany (25) and Benjamin (24) Burnett are expecting their second child in summer 2025. This new child will join older brother Josiah (19 months).
Loren Wissmann said he has 4 grandchildren due in 2025. Only his daughter Hannah Wissmann Duggar is confirmed. These are the possible pregnancies: Rachel Busenitz (age 42, 4 children, 15 months PP), Ruth Bourlier (41, 5 children, 24 months PP), Abi Wissmann (age 37, 5+ years PP), Bethany Beasley (age 38, 5 children, almost 4 years PP), Kori Wissmann (age 35, 2 children, 4+ years PP), Michelle Wissmann (age 34, 3 children, 18 months PP), Jana Duggar (age 34, no children, 4 months newlywed), Susanna Jerred (age 27, 1 child, 9 months PP), Katrina Wissmann (age 21, 1 child, 16 months PP). I think the other 3 might include Michelle, Susanna, and Katrina. Maybe Jana idk.
Engagements:
Lydia Plath (20) and Zac Wyse got engaged.
Terra Maples (19) and Will Ham got engaged.
New Relationships:
Elizabeth Wissmann is in a relationship with Zane Buhr.
Ethan Plath is in a relationship with an unknown woman.
#Romeike Family#Bates Family#Bontrager Family#Brown Williams Family#Salyer Family#Plath Family#Maples Family#Williams Family#Duggar Family#Wissmann Family#Keilen Family#Kahle Family#Burnett Family
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ICYMI: 2 New GrandMaxes
Simon and Caleb Were Born in January.
Since stepping back a bit from Duggar Data, the Maxwell Family has grown by two. I didn’t comment on the births, but they didn’t go by without notice!
First, on January 18, 2020, Simon Peter Maxwell was born to Christopher + Anna Marie. He is their sixth child. (Note—Anna Marie wasn’t actually due ‘til mid–February; however, she opted to be induced early, so that she could start treatment for her recently–diagnosed breast cancer.)
Then, a week later, on January 25, 2020, Caleb Alexander Maxwell was born to Joseph + Elissa. He is their Thirdborn. Elissa’s labor and delivery was fast and seemingly complication–free.
Stay tuned for thorough data analyses for both babies.
... and, don’t forget! Another Maxwell Couple is still expecting. John + Chelsy are due to welcome their second child in June 2020. Busy, busy.
#maxwell family#christopher and anna marie#maxwell hamilton 6#joseph and elissa#maxwell frost 3#john and chelsy#maxwell bontrager 2#simon maxwell
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Y'ALL. YA. ALL. Be there or be square. This is fundie royalty here. (Mary)
#John Maxwell#chelsy bontrager#bontrager family#Maxwell family#fundie weddings#keepingupwithfundies nonasks
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I cannot get on board with following too many fundies
Like, I can do the Bates, I can do the Duggars, I can even do their extended families - and lord knows there's a lot of them
But even though I'm like, vaguely aware of people such as the Plaths, the Maxwells, the Bontragers, Karissa Collins, Flannery Carpenter, The Transformed Wife, my brain is simply too small to keep up with them all!!
More power to you if you are able, but I just don't have the brain capacity 🙃
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2021 predictions
For my sims:
- lots of grandchilderen!
- beginning of the fourth generation
- the family’s will get to big
For the duggars:
- Josh&Anna announce and have M7
- Jana stays single (I made to many times the prediction she will marry this year, I gave up hope)
- John&Abbie announce pregnancy #2 and have #2
- Jill&Derick, Derick finishes law school, Jill announces #3 at the end of the year.
- Jessa&Ben, announce pregnancy #4 or adoption and they will move or add on.
- Jinger&Jeremy, happy with two girls, announce more weird stuff they try to sell in their stories
- Jospeh&Kendra, have girl #2, announce pregnancy #4 in okt’21 or nov’21
- Josiah&Lauren, announce pregnancy #3 (they will call it like #3) and have #3
- Joy&Austin, announce #3 at the end of the year
- Jed&Jer, both announce courtship who end like the Bates
- Jason, announces courtship, engament and get married in less then 6 months (just a feeling, no facts. He is a lost boy, we won’t see it coming, despite Jessa’s video’s)
- James, stays at home, is showed a lot with Lauren Caldwell but nothing happens
- Justin&Claire, get married and announce pregnancy before the end of the year
For the Bates:
- Zach&Withney, have boy #2 with a B-name.
- Michaela&Brandon, Michaela is officially a nurse, Brandon writes two more childerensbooks
- Chad&Erin, announce and have #5
- Lawson, another musicvideo and lots of hints about courtship but nothing happens
- Nathan, gets married out of the blue (ofcourse we all figured it out)
- Alyssa&John, have Maci, lots of matching photo’s (ofcourse)
- Tori&Bobby, announce and have #3 with another K name. This time it’s a girl so Gil is mad that he doesn’t get grandsons (he forgets baby B Bates)
- Trace, living the single live forever
- Carlin&Evan, announce and have #2
- Josie&Kelton, announce and have #2. Birth doesn’t get filmed again and we all see beautiful photos of them tearing up about their rainbow baby
- Katie&Travis, doesn’t get engeged but way to many hints from Katie that she wants to.
- One of the three boys starts a courtship which fails
For the Bontragers
- Chelsy&John, announce and have #3
- Mitchell&Bryn, run the inn quitly
- Allison&Jeremiah, announce and have #1 or don’t announce at all because she is infertille (It’s a sad thing to predict)
- Carson&Carolina, announce #3 before we all expect
- Joshua&Cassidy, announce #3 in the second half of the year
- Denver&Praise, get married, announce #1
For the Maxwells
- Nathan&Melanie, living their weird live where Anna and Mary babysit regurly
- Christopher&Anna 2.0, living really healty. No no.7 Beautifull srories by Anna 2.0
- Sarah, one more book that takes forever
- Jospeh&Elissa, get back in line with Steve
- John&Chelsy, see above
- Jesse&Anna 3.0, have #1 out of the blue
- Anna, does nothing
- Mary, gets swept away by prince charming on a withe horse
I’m very curious what happens in 2021!
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Anyone else have this weird thing where they feel like they wish they were more invested/interested in other less mainstream fundies just so there’d be more info to follow and more stuff happening? But I just cannot make myself care about the Bontragers or Maxwells or whoever they are, like I don’t even know them! They need a show for me to watch and see how ridiculous they are, and then I’ll care (except for the Rodriguii, nobody needs a show to see how insane they are) -
It has been a bit slow around the established families though.. I’m actually happy for Joy and Austin but it looks like maybe with all the youtube they’ve been doing this birth won’t even be part of the show, and I don’t know how interested I really am in Jana’s garden. Jinger’s only posting what looks like stock images that come up if you type in ‘suburban pregnant lady’ and I just really want a courtship or engagement!! Come on Jana, Jed, Jer, Jason! Lauren Caldwell is still single! At least the Bates have Travis and Katie, although they tend to have such long courtships.. I kinda want Jill or Alyssa or Josie or someone to announce a pregnancy. 🤷♀️
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Breaking News: Baby Maxwell is here
Watson Joe Maxwell was born Dec 3rd 2024 to Chelsy and John Maxwell along to big siblings Axton John, Elliott Rex and Madeline Sue
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The Bates are the only fundie family I still really follow. I used to follow the Duggars, Wissmanns, Bontragers as well but with so many of them leaving social media it's become boring to follow them. Also all the bullshit with J*sh was just so disheartening that I just couldn't stand to be a part of it anymore. I still lurk on those families from the sidelines, but the Bates are my main family these days.
Also I'd like to throat punch Elizabeth Bontrager. She's one of the most insufferably annoying people I've ever seen on social media.
Yea I get what you mean. I don't have it in me to watch all the Duggar vlogs, which is about the only things they post online anymore besides ads. The Bates are easier to keep up with bc they're more active but I gotta say, the influencer bullshit really wears me tf out, I can only stand so many ads and beige decor and posed moments.
The Bontragers and similar fundie families are just boring as hell. The last one I really kept up with regularly were the Maxwells via their blog (arguably also very boring but I was super interested in Sarah) but they don't update anymore ever since Sarah's escape marriage.
And yea I agree about Elizabeth, she's so sheltered and ignorant and such a fundie Pick Me, I can only handle so much of her at a time lol.
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My 2025 predictions
Duggars
Anna - she won't be seen for the whole year
Jana&Stephen - announce #1, a boy
John&Abbie - announce #3, a boy
Jill&Derick - announce #4*, a girl
Jessa&Ben - announce #6, a girl
Jinger&Jeremy - baby girl
Joseph&Kendra - #5 will appear very suddenly, a girl
Josiah&Lauren - #4 will appear, a boy
Joy&Austin - will buy their farm
Jedidiah&Katey - disappear from SM after the twins arrival
Jeremiah&Hannah - baby girl
Jason&Maddie - announce #1, a boy
James - announces relationship
Justin&Claire - announce #1, a boy
Jackson - announces nothing
Johannah - announces relationship
Jennifer - announces nothing
Bates
Zach&Whitney - keep going like they are
Michaella&Brandon - move to a new house
Chad&Erin - move to Erins grandparents
Lawson&Tiffany - announce #2, a boy
Nathan&Esther - living their best lives
Alyssa&John - announce #6, a girl
Tori&Bobby - announce #6, a boy
Trace&Lydia - baby boy
Carlin&Evan - announce #3, a boy
Josie&Kelton - move to a new house
Katie&Travis - Travis will get his own tour
Jackson&Emerson - announce #1, a boy
Warden - announces nothing
Isaiah - announces relationship
Addellee - announces relationship
Ellie - announces relationship
Rodrigues
Jill&David - will get into a depresion with Timothy&Heidi not allowing her near their child and everything going on with Phillip, the grandbaby's from Nurie and Kaylee will keep her going
Nurie&Nathan - announce #4, a boy
Timothy&Heidi - announce #1 all by them self, Jill never announces it, it's a girl
Kaylee&Jonathan - announce #2, a girl
Renee - announces relationship
Phillip - cuts ties with Jill
Samuel - stays single
Gabriel - goes to college
Tessie - announces relationship
Wissmann
Rachel&Alan - nothing new, Rachel won't be active on SM
Ruth&Ryan - announce miracle #6, a girl
Josiah&Abi - nothing
Bethany&Dan - announce #6, a girl
Andrew&Kori - nothing
Elizabeth - get's engaged and married
Matthias&Michelle - announce #4, a boy
Stephen&Jana - announce #1, a boy
Hannah&Jeremiah -baby girl
Susanna&Drew - announce #2, a girl
Alathia - stays with medic corps
Nathanael&Katrina - announce #2, a boy
Charissa - get's her own IG nothing happens
Bontrager
Chelsy&John - goes back to normal life with four boys now
Mitchell&Bryn - nothing
Allison&Jeremiah - announce #4, a boy
Elizabeth - announces relationship
Hudson - announces relationship
Rebecca - get's her own IG
Maxwell
Nathan&Melanie - nothing new
Christopher&Anna - surprise us all with another baby, a boy
Sarah&Kory - Sarah goes big with her photografy
Joseph&Elissa - nothing new
John&Chelsy - goes back to normal life with four boys now
Anna - get's into a relationship
Jesse&Anna - have #2, a boy
Mary&Samuel - announce #1, a girl
Keller
Esther&John - nothing new
Enoch - goes to the US, finds a girl, marries it and takes it back to africa
Alatheia - goes to the US, finds a husband, her family won't be on her wedding
Timothy - nothing
Nehemiah - goes to the US, meets his cousin with the same name
Priscilla&David - nothing
Anna - she won't be seen for the whole year
Nathan&Nurie - announce #4, a boy
David&Hannah - announce #3, a boy
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2024 Q4 Fundie Happenings
Here's what's been going on in fundieland in the last 3 months.
Duggar Family
Jason + Maddie (Jones) get married on October 3. They set a new record for shortest engagement at just 40 days.
Jinger + Jeremy announce that they are expecting Baby #3 in March.
Jeremiah + Hannah announce that they are expecting Baby #3, a girl, in the spring.
Anna (Keller) Duggar is photographed, leading some folks to speculate about her weight gain. (Y'all. Not every woman who gains weight is pregnant. Especially not one whose husband is in prison.)
Jedidah + Katey are due to welcome their twin daughters any day now. It would be kind of neat if they came the day I'm posting this (Dec 30), as that is also Jed and Jer's birthday.
Bates Family
Katie + Travis bring home baby Harvey Gray. Harvey was born on September 29 and had some health issues that required him to be hospitalized for several days.
Nathan + Esther welcome babe Graham Alan, born October 4.
Trace + Lydia announce they are expecting Baby #2, a rainbow baby following their loss early in 2024.
Rodrigues Family
Jill Rodrigues posts the "official courtship photos" of Samuel + Brianne, which were taken at Tim's wedding the month before.
Just after Christmas, all photos of Samuel + Brianne disappear, leading to speculation that the pair has called it off.
Other Fundie Families
John + Chelsy (Bontrager) Maxwell welcome Baby #4, Weston Joe. Weston comes after a 3+ year gap between babies, following Maddie Sue's premature birth and Chelsy's health issues. I'm kind of impressed they waited that long to have another--here's hoping both Chelsy and Weston stay in good health.
Cleve + Lise Morton welcome Baby #7, Thomas Ezekiel.
Sam + Alyssa (Campana) Morton are expecting Baby #7. This appears to be the longest gap in between pregnancies so far.
According FJ, Loren Wissmann has said they are expecting 4 grandkids right now. We know about Jer + Hannah, but the rest are unknown. (My guess is Jana, Katrina, and Michelle.)
Elizabeth Wissmann is in a relationship with a man named Zane Buhr.
Speculation abounds around the Anderson family, from reports that Steve was committed to the psych ward back in October to reports from the adult children about the abuse they endured at home.
What all did I miss?
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Fundie and Adjacent Families I Follow: November 2024 in a Glance
Births:
Jennifer (30) (Hartono) and Joshua Toto welcomed their second child, Jane Aanaya, on Nov 22. She joins older sister Jocelyn (2).
Pregnancy Announcements:
Gracie (26) (Wikstrom) and Kord Etbauer announced they are expecting their third son following a miscarriage. This son will join his older brothers Grit (3) and Flint (2).
Chelsy (33) (Bontrager) and John (33) Maxwell are expecting their fourth child in early 2024. This child will join 3 older siblings: Axton (5), Elliot (4), and Madeline (3).
Lauren (Andregg) and Devon Wikstrom announced they are expecting their third child in the spring of 2025. This child will join 2 older siblings: Evelynn (3) and Rafe (15 months).
Weddings:
Emily Keyes (21) and Ethan Myers wed on Nov 2.
Danielle (24) (Seewald) and Lawson (24) Howard on Nov 9.
Chaney Kahle (26) and Benjamin Tibbe wed on Nov 3.
Name Reveals:
Anastasia (Salyer) and James Silberman will be naming their upcoming second child, Ezra.
Gender Reveal:
Maddie (Brown) and Caleb Brush are expecting a girl. She will join 1 older brother and 2 older sisters.
Brittany Dawn and Jordan Nelson are expecting a boy. He will be their first baby.
#Keyes Family#Salyer Family#Wikstrom Family#Bontrager Family#Brown Family#Seewald Family#Nelson Family#Hartono Family#Kahle Family
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Breaking: Chelsy (Bontrager) Maxwell is Pregnant!
Today (December 29, 2019), John + Chelsy (Bontrager) Maxwell announced via Chelsy’s blog that they’re expecting Baby #2 in June 2020. John + Chelsy tied the knot on Decemeber 30, 2017, and their Firstborn (Axton John) is 11 Months Old. (He was born on January 26, 2019.) Quite an impressive pace!
When To Expect Baby #2
Chelsy said that she’s due in June 2020, but didn’t get more specific than that. Looking at her previous data... Axton was due on January 23, 2019, and John + Chelsy announced the pregnancy on August 20, 2018. She was 124 Days—or 17 Weeks, 5 Days—Along, at the time. If she was exactly that far along with this announcement too, he due date would be June 2, 2020. That’s in June, so Duggar Data will use that as Chelsy’s tentative due date.
John + Chelsy didn’t do a Sex Reveal with Axton. We’ll see if they stick to that pattern with Baby #2. (FWIW, I think they will. The Maxwell Family’s really isn’t big on Sex Reveals... They have over a dozen grandchildren, and only one had a Sex Reveal, prior to birth.)
Axton arrived 3 Days Late. If Baby #2 does the same is due due on June 2nd, he or she might arrive on June 5, 2020.
Reality vs. The Predictor
How did the Predictor do, in terms of predicting this announcement and DOB? Let’s take a look...
Axton arrived 392 Days after his parents’ marriage. Since he was a fast–arriving Firstborn Child, the Predictor assumed that John + Chelsy would slow down by 50%, and Baby #2 would arrive 392 Days + 50% = 588 Days (or ~19.3 Months) after Axton. That would’ve put Baby #2′s DOB on September 5, 2020, and the Pregnancy Announcement in March 2020. Clearly, John + Chelsy are ahead of schedule!
Recently, I’ve been working on a new Predictor, which deals with “Honeymoon Babies” a bit differently. Instead of just assuming the couple will slow down by 50%, it assumes they’ll slow at a rate that is typical for women in their family... For the Maxwells, that rate is actually quite close to 50%. (It’s 53.4%.) So, the new Predictor would’ve expected Baby #2 at about the same time. So, they’re ahead of schedule, however you slice it!
Looking Forward
Chelsy comes from a family of 10 Children. Her parents espoused quiverfullish beliefs, and clearly had a large brood. Her mother, Rebecca, had her last child at Age 39.95. If Chelsy is exactly as fertile, her fertility “cut–off” date would be January 10, 2031.
Axton arrive 392 Days after John + Chelsy’s marriage. Baby #2 is estimated to arrive on June 5, 2020, which is 496 Days after Axton.
The current Predictor would set John + Chelsy’s Procreative Pace at 444 Days, which is the straight average of 392 and 496. At that pace, they’ll have time to have 10 Children (Axton, Child #2, and 8 More) before January 10, 2031. Each new child’s spacing is factored into the average, potentially shifting it and their ultimate quiver size.
Under the new, work–in–progress Predictor, Marriage–to–Child 1 Spacings will be ignored after Child #2 is announced. At that time, Procreative Pace is set at the predicted spacing from Child 1–to–Child 2. (In John + Chelsy’s case, that’s 496 Days, which leaves them enough time to have 9 Children.) Like the current Predictor, the new Predictor will also average in later child spacings if and when they occur, potentially shifting the couple’s pace and quiver size.
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