#margin of error

[stygiansauce]

Emergency babysitting and the kid plays Legos and I'm typing up a storm and she turns to me and goes

"What are you writing?" And I went "you know that guy we watched on YouTube earlier?" I am going to get this six year old into minecraft via margin of error, OH DEAR. (She does not know the plot.) (She likes boarder hoarders and joel)

[awyanno]

Based off the fanfic Margin of Error by @stygiansauce

I really wanted to push body types especially with how you described them. Also, I consider Jimmy also as a soccer player because that's literally something he's done irl so I kind of just smooshed the soccer/volleyball body types together as I know someone who plays both collegiately. However, she's a lot shorter so I just elongated the proportions to lank man. Unfortunately, you didn't really describe dresswear (or at least from what I've seen) so I just kinda put them in whatever. Jimmy gets stereotypical summer-wear but soccer jersey that I stole from his insta. Tango gets stereotypical "cowboy but not" vibes (based on personal experience/guessing). It's a combination of half-cowboy (jeans and t-shirt) and engineer (steel-toed boots). Then the alt clothes are supposed to be Yellowstone rip off and an outfit from jimmy's insta lmao.

[jjjunebuggg]

he is risen, and by he i mean tango tek at the end of margin of error chapter four

[harriswalz4usabybr]

Harris-Walz Campaign Update!

53 days ago the Harris-Walz campaign kicked off in Maine and we've been working diligently to meet with Americans across our country, answering questions, communicating policies, and working to win every voter's confidence. The campaign has officially visited 45 states, the District of Columbia, and all 5 territories. We maintain our commitment to visiting all 50 states and will swing through the remaining states in the coming days.

We are happy to know that this strategy is also seeing positive results in polling numbers, while not all movement in the polls has been in our directions, there are traditionally deep red states that are seeing movement that was not expected. Using multiple polls, we've been able to establish a map that speaks to the work we've been putting in and that we view as more and more likely. However, as the country learned in 2016, polls are not the end all, be all in predicting a winner.

We cannot be fooled into complacency. The Harris-Walz administration remains the underdog in the 2024 presidential race and we must remain steadfast in bring more independents and republicans into our fold, while also deepening our support in key demographics. White college voters are a growing base with us, which we believe is due to common sense policy on our side, and divisive rhetoric coming from our opponents campaign.

We will continue to fight on the campaign trail every day for the trust of the American people and their vote for our ticket and democrats down the ballot. We look forward to campaigning and for Americans to have their voices heard in 28 days from now, on Election Day!

~BR~

[quillsword]

Is Harris Going to Win?

Probably not. We won’t know until all those votes get counted. So VOTE! You are one of those ‘give us the details’ people, aren’t you? Fine, let’s break the race down so far: Polls Real Clear Politics is our aggregator of choice. Habit is the main reason but you can call it ‘consistency’ if that sounds all sciency to you. We’re going to go fast through this first part so you may want to look…

[stygiansauce]

Okay okay okay, I'm much calmer now. I sent it to my mom and my partner and the betas and made it my desktop and my homescreen on my phone. And everything is great!!!

Thank you @slooopes for the amazing art! It truly warms my heart that this scene plagued you enough to draw.

And for those of you not in my DMs. Slooopes did art for @twodiamondhoes dirges in the dark. That art is what helped me find dirges, and drigres started my rancher kick that made me say screw it-- and write Margin of Error. A crazy domino effect that had brought us back here.

Thank you all so much for supporting me. I am authoring and that's been my dream for almost a decade now. I love you all very much. (I am still screaming)

Ranchers sharing a lollipop

From @stygiansauce 's fic Margin of Error

[laughhardrunfastbekindsblog]

We've seen Tech with many expressions - happy, thoughtful, calculating, curious, determined, uncertain, exasperated, sad, awed, concerned, even angry - but I think this scene, when Tech's plan involved the Marauder being impounded and Hunter informs Tech that Omega is on the ship, is the one and only time we see him with "OOPS" face.

[ms0milk]

thinking about mithrun dunmeshi who could incapacitate most opponents in hand-to-hand (update: he’s a trained knife-fighter!) but chooses to use extremely fastidious teleportation magic without blinking at how easy it would be to accidentally blow himself or everyone involved, friend or foe, all the way up

(and finding something in all of his lackthereof, to smile about here which only ever happens one more time SPARE me SPEAR me anything love this guy forever)

[stygiansauce]

I think my fic might be gay!?

[stygiansauce]

GUYYYYYYYYSSSSSSS MY HEART CANT HANDLE THIS!!!!!!!!

Ohh I am silently screaming in bed. This is amazing, thank you!!!

Based off the fanfic Margin of Error by @stygiansauce

I really wanted to push body types especially with how you described them. Also, I consider Jimmy also as a soccer player because that's literally something he's done irl so I kind of just smooshed the soccer/volleyball body types together as I know someone who plays both collegiately. However, she's a lot shorter so I just elongated the proportions to lank man. Unfortunately, you didn't really describe dresswear (or at least from what I've seen) so I just kinda put them in whatever. Jimmy gets stereotypical summer-wear but soccer jersey that I stole from his insta. Tango gets stereotypical "cowboy but not" vibes (based on personal experience/guessing). It's a combination of half-cowboy (jeans and t-shirt) and engineer (steel-toed boots). Then the alt clothes are supposed to be Yellowstone rip off and an outfit from jimmy's insta lmao.

[pianokantzart]

I’m going to level with you chat I don’t know which I’d prefer

[arolesbianism]

Been working on some first run Chou sprites for funsies, here’s a handful of the ones I’ve done so far

[harriswalz4usabybr]

Campaign Goal Met!

Vice President Kamala Harris launched a campaign just 73 days ago that promised Americans from all 50 states, the district, and 5 territories would have their voices heard by her campaign. She has officially crossed the finish line on that promise and she will not stop fight to hear from more Americans until the Election.

While we understand that polling is a flawed science and that we are 2 weeks out from the election, which is a long time in American politics, we are pleased with the map below that we are seeing. This tells us that Americans across the country have been receptive to the type of campaign that we are running and that we are seeing the return on our investment in hearing the voice of as many Americans as possible. Thank you for believing in us and the promise that was made to visit all 50 states, 5 territories, and the district. We are not done fighting, and the map below still has a lot of swing states indicated. Please make sure you make a plan to vote and check on those you know to make sure they have one as well.

During our campaign we have worked tirelessly to spread the platform of the Harris-Walz candidacy and the policies we hope to enact in the White House. However, we have made a concentrated commitment on helping down ballot races across the country. The map for the house continues to prove to be tough, but the math is still possible and some polls are still swinging certain congressional districts on a near-daily basis. Please make sure you have supported your congressional district, if you are financial able to do so, especially if you've maxed your contributions to the Harris-Walz campaign.

Lastly, do not forget to educate yourself on the ballot initiatives in your state and local levels. Many states are seeing some hard hitting ballot initiatives concerning the right to abortion, the legalization of marijuana, rank choice voting, and public school funding. These are all initiatives that our campaign support and we hope that you will help us fight the good fight for a better future for all Americans. We are not going back.

~BR~

[fingolfinwiththesteelchair]

i'm so gullible i see literally any redhead covered in blood and i'm immediately like 👀 Maedhros? 👀👀 my king Maedhros? my love Maedhros?? and i'm only right like. 70% of the time. what do you mean there's other bloodsoaked redheads who allowed this

[momo-t-daye]

One of those basic rules of improv say you have to say "Yes and-" rather than an outright contradiction, right? Sometimes you just have to commit to the bit even if your partner in crime makes things too dang complicated (so much for flying under the radar and being unmemorable- that nurse is going to be telling stories for weeks!). Of course, it is one thing to claim a child as part of an act and quite another to let such a claim slip out in a moment of guileless yelling at the co-god-parent (previous); no number of denials can take back such an admission.

So, are werewolves undead? I like to think that Remus had a muggle birth certificate in addition to whatever records the wizarding world might utilize- but post-bite his protective parents decided that it would be safer if he no longer had a paper trail in the muggle world, keep him hidden from prying questions etc. Perhaps it was safer for Remus (or easier for his parents at least) to not exist in the muggle records as a child, but it would become very difficult to find a job outside of the magical world and bring up all sorts of awkward questions when, after a night of running around in the woods with a pack of werewolves that don't exactly trust him and sans his trousers, he gets his exhausted ass hit by a lorry and dragged off to a muggle hospital.