#gold derby predictions

[dualredundancy]

[rwrbmovie]

Variety: Can Nicholas Galitzine and Taylor Zakhar Perez Land Acting Noms for ‘Red, White and Royal Blue?���

Weekly Commentary (Updated: June 6, 2024): Nicholas Galitzine and Taylor Zakhar Perez light up the screen in Prime Video’s hit romantic comedy “Red, White and Royal Blue.” In addition, they’ve become two of the biggest breakout stars of the year, and with the film being among the frontrunners for outstanding television movie, the pair could be a packaged deal on many Emmy ballots.

[lovetgr76]

[adoptourcrew]

🚨 NOMINATION ALERT 🚨

Rhys Darby and Our Flag Means Death have been nominated for Gold Derby TV Awards! Voting goes through July 30 and winners will be announced on Aug 14.

To vote, create a Gold Derby account and head to the prediction center

https://www.goldderby.com/leagues/

[insanityclause]

TLOC has been added to Gold Derby

Not sure if they have inside info on distribution, but it's in the Oscars prediction centre.

[yes-svetlana-world]

Gold Derby Oscar predictions 2025: 'A Complete Unknown' cracks into Best Picture Top 10 [Updated August 19] https://goldderby.com/article/2024/gold-derby-oscar-predictions-2025-august-19/

Gold Derby

@GoldDerby

·

[brian-in-finance]

I know this is a long shot but has Cait ever been on an EMMY prediction list? Usually she was on the GG. Amazed that she is here even if not in the top 6.

https://variety.com/lists/2024-emmys-lead-actress-drama-predictions/also-in-contention-2/

Thanks for the message, Anon. 😃

Your link includes Variety’s predictions of nominees in the Outstanding Lead Actress in a Drama Series category for the 76th Primetime Emmy Awards. Nominations will be announced on 17 July and the Emmys awarded on 15 September.

Variety included this photo in its story published yesterday, 11 April 2024:

Photo : Robert Wilson for Starz

It’s not a long shot, as you suggest. To date, she’s never been nominated, but predictions lists have included Caitríona’s name every Outlander season. Here are some examples:

The Wrap 2015 / Season 1

E! News 2016 / Season 2

Awards Watch 2018 / Season 3

Spoiler TV 2019 / Season 4

Gold Derby 2020 / Season 5

We Are Actors (Variety) 2022 / Season 6

Variety 2024 / Season 7

Outlander has been nominated four times.

Screenshot: IMDb

Regarding 2024 Emmys for Drama, Variety has published its predictions lists for Drama Series, Lead Actor, and Lead Actress. The lists for Supporting Actor, Supporting Actress, Directing, Writing, and Casting are pending. Maybe we’ll see more Outlander representation in those five categories? 🍿

Remember… I'm thinking about naming my first son Emmy so I can say I've got one. I want Emmy, Oscar, and Tony - and my daughter Grammy. — Noah Wyle

😂 According to IMDb, Noah Wyle has two children, sons, and neither is named Emmy. He received five Emmy nominations for playing Dr John Carter on ER.

[kiurit]

gold derby predictions: what time is this bus arriving

[dualredundancy]

Just five days to go! Who will win big on Sunday at the 76th Primetime Emmy Awards? We have our predictions! #Emmy #Emmys #Emmys2024 #EmmyAwards #EmmyPredictions

[rwrbmovie]

re: rwrb emmy noms odds

Yesterday, I replied to an ask about rwrb's odds for emmy noms, and I like numbers and was procrastinating had time today to dig deeper into this. I wanted to see our odds for the Emmy noms compared to the Golden Globes (which rwrb didn't get).

Before reading this post, I encourage you to check out the linked reply above first (it's a quick read).

NOTE: This is all using data from Gold Derby. Again, anyone can just create an account and do their own predictions, but it’s still the main website for predictions, including votes from experts. Emmys noms campaigning season have just started, these are very early predictions, so these odds can change dramatically from now to early June. Some shows that are eligible are yet to air, however are expected for nominations. The data I include in this post are as of April 6. I might revisit their odds once all predictions are locked in, so we can track any changes.

Quick explainer for Gold Derby: - There are 5 types of users on Gold Derby: experts, editors, top 24 users (users who had the best scores last year), all-star top 24 (users who had the best scores over the past two years), and the rest of the users on the website - When I say total rankings, it means the combined votes from everyone Total accuracy for the Golden Globes predictions: - TV Limited Series/Movie - 83.33% - TV Limited/Movie Actor - 63.67% Links: Golden Globes | Emmys

Previously, some predicted a Golden Globes nom for RWRB (which it didn’t get), but RWRB/Prime did not campaign for that. The SAG-Aftra strike ended on Nov 9th, and the deadline for Television nomination ballots to be sent to all voters was on the 20th. Now with the strike over, Prime seems to be actively pushing for the Emmy noms, and I think we can expect some more content asides from The Awardist podcast with Nick and Taylor. There is a higher chance of an Emmy nom as Limited Series and TV Movies have separate categories.

As of now, RWRB sits at #4 (out of 15) on Gold Derby’s total rankings, and there are slots for 5 nominees. If filtered to just the experts’ votes, it actually climbs to #3.

For the Golden Globes, RWRB was ranked #13/41 (all votes from users, no experts/editors). For this category, Gold Derby had an 83.33% accuracy.

ACTING NOMS:

EMMYS

From the votes from experts and editors, only one editor voted for a nomination for Taylor, and none for Nick. The one vote puts Taylor at a tie with Austin Butler and Aaron Pierre.

However on the total rankings table, Taylor and Nick ranked #17 and #26, respectively (with Nick for Mary & George at #18).

GOLDEN GLOBES

Similarly to the Emmys, Taylor had one vote from an editor, but he placed higher on the table at #9 (tied with Joe Cole). Again, no votes for either from experts.

On the total rankings table, Taylor and Nick placed at #13 and #14, respectively.

Uma Thurman also has votes in the total rankings for both the Emmys and Golden Globes.

Emmys

Golden Globes

The Emmys TV Movie/Limited Series Lead Actor category is so stacked that the boys and Uma had higher chances at the Golden Globes. Again, remember these are very early predictions, so changes to these odds are expected.

[ladyaislinn]

December 2024

▪️ Video Rufus Sewell on the complexity of his character in ‘The Diplomat’

Sari Cohen chats with Rufus Sewell about Netflix’s ‘The Diplomat.’

Video 'The Diplomat' actor Rufus Sewell on how that deadly explosion changed dynamic between Hal and Kate

'The Diplomat' actor Rufus Sewell on how that deadly explosion changed the dynamic between Hal and Kate. He says, 'It's often the case in relationships that the things that people can't stand about each other are the things that they love each other for.' Gold Derby senior editor Daniel Montgomery hosts this webchat.

When Hal Wyler (played by Rufus Sewell) was injured in an explosion at the end of The Diplomat Season 1, he didn’t expect it to leave emotional scars. “He’s not just being cavalier about it,” Sewell explains about his character’s disposition in Season 2. “He has experienced these things before. He’s experienced them a lot of times. He’s been in very dangerous situations. People have tried to kill him. He’s been in explosions. So he’s taken by surprise I think by it affecting him.” Watch our complete video interview with Sewell above.

The Diplomat, which premiered its second season on Netflix on Oct. 31, follows Kate Wyler (Keri Russell), the United States ambassador to the United Kingdom, as she investigates an attack on a British aircraft carrier that killed dozens. The new episodes continue that mystery, while Hal uses his own skills at diplomacy to play an unofficial role in uncovering the truth. Meanwhile, Hal and Kate continue to clash over political ambition and the moral compromises required by their work.

But did Hal’s latest brush with death fundamentally change him and his approach to politics and intrigue. It’s not that simple, according to the actor. “ I think that everything that happens to a person contributes to the noise that surrounds them and becomes what they see as themselves,” says Sewell. The key to this traumatic event, however, is that it happened at a low point in the Wylers’ marriage. “ In a moment like that, you’re just confronted with your fear of loss, your need for them, and that kind of elemental need to just be with someone and touch them because they’re alive.”

The explosion also puts them in a position where there are few others they can trust. “ So in this situation, Hal, because he doesn’t have an official title, can be the receptacle of secrets and knowledge that she can’t. So he’s a very useful, in fact vital link for her at this time.” So while Hal is an unpredictable “live wire” whom Kate can’t predict, “ he is there for her. And it’s often the case in relationships that the things that people can’t stand about each other are the things that they love each other for as well. It’s a very complicated mix. … Everything that’s wrong about them is what’s also right about them.”

As for whether Hal and Kate will still be together when their story runs its course, “ I have no hopes.  I trust [showrunner Debora Cahn] and the writing team and the whole creature of the show so much that I’m happy with wherever it goes.” And he doesn’t mind strife along the way. In fact, he relishes it.  “ I like it when things go wrong,” he admits. That’s where the drama is, after all.

[wroteclassicaly]

Gold Derby predicting Joe for the Emmy’s. Bruhhhhhh. He’s gonna be squirming when they make him watch a Gator scene for his nomination clip. And his cute, awkward little ass getting on stage. It’ll be like Evan Peters - thanking his parents, his siblings, and he’ll thank Jon, Juno, the entire cast. And then he will take the award back home and put it with his plants or his special music stuff, idk 😭

[patientlibrarian]

Thursday January 30 2025 - Goran Thursday

👆Courtesy: gv-archive.com

👇From Goran's instagram page 29 Jan 2025:

Here's a translation of the story behind this:'

"The Man Who Couldn't Keep Quiet" is the bookmakers' top favorite for the Oscars

The Croatian film "The Man Who Couldn't Keep Silent" has been declared the main favorite in the Best Short Film category to win the prestigious Oscar, according to predictions from the popular website Gold Derby.

The site, which has been successfully predicting winners of Oscars, Emmys, Grammys and other prestigious film and television awards for years, sees this film as the most likely candidate to win the golden statuette.

In addition to Slijepčević's film, the short films "Anuja", "A Lien", "I'm Not a Robot" and "The Last Ranger" also won nominations. 

According to the popular website's forecasts, right behind the Croatian film is the film "I'm Not a Robot".

After winning the Palme d'Or, the European Film Award for Best Short Film and the Grand Prix at the Melbourne International Film Festival, and being included in the Manhattan Short festival selection, Croatian director Nebojša Slijepčević could achieve historic success at the biggest film festival with his short film "The Man Who Couldn't Keep Silent", if the Gold Derby predictions come true.

Let us recall that the film is based on a true event and tells the story of the heroic deed of Tomo Buzov , a retired JNA officer from Kaštela, who was the only one to stand up to armed Serbian paramilitary forces in Štrpci, Bosnia and Herzegovina, in the mid-1990s, when a train carrying 500 passengers on the Belgrade-Bar route was stopped by armed Serbian paramilitary forces and they committed a war crime by executing 19 Muslims.

Source: magagin.hrt.hr

Hello everyone, everywhere, hope your future days will be as you would wish them to be in these chaotic times.

I post every day, usually before 10am GMT (UK time) so please join me again. Find me on AO3 for all my stories. Have a couple of WIPs at the moment, one of which gives a new solution to a particular problem.

[lafiametta]

You aren’t wrong about Borisov tbh because, as of this moment, his chances for an Oscar nom are high. He’s currently 4th place in the bookies odds on gold derby. He’s also average 4th place prediction on Oscar expert - which is a really good indication because most of the people who use that are well versed in how the critics/guilds/juries think and vote. He isn’t predicted for a SAG nom - he’s just outside the 5 - but if he DOES get one that pretty much guarantees him an Oscar nom. If he doesn’t he still has a really good chance of both BAFTA and Oscar nominations depending on how well received Anora has been with the academy voters. He has a good chance of being recognised which is well deserved

I defer to your expertise, Anon — and I'll remain cautiously optimistic!

To be honest, I haven't really been paying a huge amount of attention to the awards chatter (aside from knowing that the movie won the Palme d'Or), so I didn't even realize that the Golden Globes are tonight and that both Mikey Madison and Yura Borisov are up for awards (and Sean Baker, too, of course). There's obviously some stiff competition, but it would be very cool to see them win!

[spade-riddles]

The Grammys eligibility period came to an end on September 15, 2023, so we’ve now officially heard all the albums that qualify for consideration at the upcoming awards. But the front-runner to win Album of the Year according to the combined predictions of Gold Derby users is a collection that came out at the very beginning of the season: Taylor Swift‘s “Midnights.” If we’re right, it would be an achievement unmatched by any artist in Grammy history.

Swift won Album of the Year for “Fearless” in 2010, “1989” in 2016 and “Folklore” in 2021. That’s the most wins ever in the category for a female artist, and it tied her as the most awarded artist of any gender. The only other performers with three Album of the Year trophies are Frank Sinatra, Paul Simon and Stevie Wonder. If Swift indeed wins a fourth she would stand alone among recording artists and tie engineers Tom Coyne, Şerban Ghenea and John Hanes for the most wins by any individual.

[falllpoutboy]

I don't know if I want January to arrive because in addition to that relationship continuing (I can already imagine the interviews), Gold Derby already predicted that Jean Smart will win the Golden Globe, Critics Choice, and the SAG Awards and I prefer to kill myself. Someone can think of Ayo and give her even ONE prize (although there isn't much material in season 3 besides episode 10). And what can we tell you about the series in general, Hacks will also win The Bear in all the awards. I was encouraged to watch Hacks, and although it has its comic moments, it also has enough drama, especially the last season, for people to say that this is really a comedy, even Abbott Elementary has more comedy than Hacks.

can’t tell if I wanna blame the academy voters more or chris himself for putting us in this predicament 🙄