#gold derby predictions

[dualredundancy]

[rwrbmovie]

Variety: Can Nicholas Galitzine and Taylor Zakhar Perez Land Acting Noms for ‘Red, White and Royal Blue?’

Weekly Commentary (Updated: June 6, 2024): Nicholas Galitzine and Taylor Zakhar Perez light up the screen in Prime Video’s hit romantic comedy “Red, White and Royal Blue.” In addition, they’ve become two of the biggest breakout stars of the year, and with the film being among the frontrunners for outstanding television movie, the pair could be a packaged deal on many Emmy ballots.

[lovetgr76]

[adoptourcrew]

🚨 NOMINATION ALERT 🚨

Rhys Darby and Our Flag Means Death have been nominated for Gold Derby TV Awards! Voting goes through July 30 and winners will be announced on Aug 14.

To vote, create a Gold Derby account and head to the prediction center

https://www.goldderby.com/leagues/

[insanityclause]

TLOC has been added to Gold Derby

Not sure if they have inside info on distribution, but it's in the Oscars prediction centre.

[not-so-rosyyy]

nobody expected him to get recognized by the critics of all people, i'm looking on gold derby at people's predictions for the noms and nobody put tom on their list

he will always get the last laugh 😌

this is one of the things about him that always makes me giggle, the fact that every single time the odds are against him he always manages to turn things around and win in the end.

that's kinda like main character energy, idk.

[yes-svetlana-world]

Gold Derby Oscar predictions 2025: 'A Complete Unknown' cracks into Best Picture Top 10 [Updated August 19] https://goldderby.com/article/2024/gold-derby-oscar-predictions-2025-august-19/

Gold Derby

@GoldDerby

·

[brian-in-finance]

I know this is a long shot but has Cait ever been on an EMMY prediction list? Usually she was on the GG. Amazed that she is here even if not in the top 6.

https://variety.com/lists/2024-emmys-lead-actress-drama-predictions/also-in-contention-2/

Thanks for the message, Anon. 😃

Your link includes Variety’s predictions of nominees in the Outstanding Lead Actress in a Drama Series category for the 76th Primetime Emmy Awards. Nominations will be announced on 17 July and the Emmys awarded on 15 September.

Variety included this photo in its story published yesterday, 11 April 2024:

Photo : Robert Wilson for Starz

It’s not a long shot, as you suggest. To date, she’s never been nominated, but predictions lists have included Caitríona’s name every Outlander season. Here are some examples:

The Wrap 2015 / Season 1

E! News 2016 / Season 2

Awards Watch 2018 / Season 3

Spoiler TV 2019 / Season 4

Gold Derby 2020 / Season 5

We Are Actors (Variety) 2022 / Season 6

Variety 2024 / Season 7

Outlander has been nominated four times.

Screenshot: IMDb

Regarding 2024 Emmys for Drama, Variety has published its predictions lists for Drama Series, Lead Actor, and Lead Actress. The lists for Supporting Actor, Supporting Actress, Directing, Writing, and Casting are pending. Maybe we’ll see more Outlander representation in those five categories? 🍿

Remember… I'm thinking about naming my first son Emmy so I can say I've got one. I want Emmy, Oscar, and Tony - and my daughter Grammy. — Noah Wyle

😂 According to IMDb, Noah Wyle has two children, sons, and neither is named Emmy. He received five Emmy nominations for playing Dr John Carter on ER.

[kiurit]

gold derby predictions: what time is this bus arriving

[dualredundancy]

Just five days to go! Who will win big on Sunday at the 76th Primetime Emmy Awards? We have our predictions! #Emmy #Emmys #Emmys2024 #EmmyAwards #EmmyPredictions

[rwrbmovie]

re: rwrb emmy noms odds

Yesterday, I replied to an ask about rwrb's odds for emmy noms, and I like numbers and was procrastinating had time today to dig deeper into this. I wanted to see our odds for the Emmy noms compared to the Golden Globes (which rwrb didn't get).

Before reading this post, I encourage you to check out the linked reply above first (it's a quick read).

NOTE: This is all using data from Gold Derby. Again, anyone can just create an account and do their own predictions, but it’s still the main website for predictions, including votes from experts. Emmys noms campaigning season have just started, these are very early predictions, so these odds can change dramatically from now to early June. Some shows that are eligible are yet to air, however are expected for nominations. The data I include in this post are as of April 6. I might revisit their odds once all predictions are locked in, so we can track any changes.

Quick explainer for Gold Derby: - There are 5 types of users on Gold Derby: experts, editors, top 24 users (users who had the best scores last year), all-star top 24 (users who had the best scores over the past two years), and the rest of the users on the website - When I say total rankings, it means the combined votes from everyone Total accuracy for the Golden Globes predictions: - TV Limited Series/Movie - 83.33% - TV Limited/Movie Actor - 63.67% Links: Golden Globes | Emmys

Previously, some predicted a Golden Globes nom for RWRB (which it didn’t get), but RWRB/Prime did not campaign for that. The SAG-Aftra strike ended on Nov 9th, and the deadline for Television nomination ballots to be sent to all voters was on the 20th. Now with the strike over, Prime seems to be actively pushing for the Emmy noms, and I think we can expect some more content asides from The Awardist podcast with Nick and Taylor. There is a higher chance of an Emmy nom as Limited Series and TV Movies have separate categories.

As of now, RWRB sits at #4 (out of 15) on Gold Derby’s total rankings, and there are slots for 5 nominees. If filtered to just the experts’ votes, it actually climbs to #3.

For the Golden Globes, RWRB was ranked #13/41 (all votes from users, no experts/editors). For this category, Gold Derby had an 83.33% accuracy.

ACTING NOMS:

EMMYS

From the votes from experts and editors, only one editor voted for a nomination for Taylor, and none for Nick. The one vote puts Taylor at a tie with Austin Butler and Aaron Pierre.

However on the total rankings table, Taylor and Nick ranked #17 and #26, respectively (with Nick for Mary & George at #18).

GOLDEN GLOBES

Similarly to the Emmys, Taylor had one vote from an editor, but he placed higher on the table at #9 (tied with Joe Cole). Again, no votes for either from experts.

On the total rankings table, Taylor and Nick placed at #13 and #14, respectively.

Uma Thurman also has votes in the total rankings for both the Emmys and Golden Globes.

Emmys

Golden Globes

The Emmys TV Movie/Limited Series Lead Actor category is so stacked that the boys and Uma had higher chances at the Golden Globes. Again, remember these are very early predictions, so changes to these odds are expected.

[wroteclassicaly]

Gold Derby predicting Joe for the Emmy’s. Bruhhhhhh. He’s gonna be squirming when they make him watch a Gator scene for his nomination clip. And his cute, awkward little ass getting on stage. It’ll be like Evan Peters - thanking his parents, his siblings, and he’ll thank Jon, Juno, the entire cast. And then he will take the award back home and put it with his plants or his special music stuff, idk 😭

[spade-riddles]

The Grammys eligibility period came to an end on September 15, 2023, so we’ve now officially heard all the albums that qualify for consideration at the upcoming awards. But the front-runner to win Album of the Year according to the combined predictions of Gold Derby users is a collection that came out at the very beginning of the season: Taylor Swift‘s “Midnights.” If we’re right, it would be an achievement unmatched by any artist in Grammy history.

Swift won Album of the Year for “Fearless” in 2010, “1989” in 2016 and “Folklore” in 2021. That’s the most wins ever in the category for a female artist, and it tied her as the most awarded artist of any gender. The only other performers with three Album of the Year trophies are Frank Sinatra, Paul Simon and Stevie Wonder. If Swift indeed wins a fourth she would stand alone among recording artists and tie engineers Tom Coyne, Şerban Ghenea and John Hanes for the most wins by any individual.

[falllpoutboy]

I don't know if I want January to arrive because in addition to that relationship continuing (I can already imagine the interviews), Gold Derby already predicted that Jean Smart will win the Golden Globe, Critics Choice, and the SAG Awards and I prefer to kill myself. Someone can think of Ayo and give her even ONE prize (although there isn't much material in season 3 besides episode 10). And what can we tell you about the series in general, Hacks will also win The Bear in all the awards. I was encouraged to watch Hacks, and although it has its comic moments, it also has enough drama, especially the last season, for people to say that this is really a comedy, even Abbott Elementary has more comedy than Hacks.

can’t tell if I wanna blame the academy voters more or chris himself for putting us in this predicament 🙄

[insanityclause]

variety,com/lists/2024-golden-globes-awards-predictions/film-categories-3/ ... Look at the predicted nominees for best actor in a TV drama series. 🤔

I saw a couple of predictions, including Variety, that had Tom as a nominee for GG. So fingers crossed! However after what happened last time, I am a bit scared, but showbiz tend to forget pretty fast (in Tom´s case, it sadly is not always the truth, but mostly because the Swift fiasco is beaten like a dead horse by tabloids and her fans, otherwise people would have forgotten already)

Honestly, I'm only kind of hopedicting it myself, mostly because genre stuff doesn't generally do well in awards shows. But the GGs are a little more forgiving.

I would say there are three locks for nominations in the category - Kieran Culkin, Jeremy Strong and Pedro Pascal. After that, for the other three slots, it could potentially be any three of 6-8 actors, imo. And all of them have some things that could play into not getting a nomination (Brian Cox in too few episodes of Succession this season for lead? Is The Crown as popular as it used to be? Hijack had lousy audience scores, and not as many viewers as Loki, which also has recency bias working for it, as does The Curse... but maybe only Emma Stone gets a nomination for that.)

So it wouldn't surprise me if he got in, but it also wouldn't surprise me if he didn't.

It has been kind of fun to watch his odds on Gold Derby improve since the Critics' Choice announcement, though, no matter what. And Emmys will be a different pool of candidates.

[denimbex1986]

Christopher Rosen: ...I’ve got Andrew Scott in first for Best Movie/Limited Actor. You’ve been soft on “Ripley” since it debuted — and there is no shortage of online chatter about how the show was stiff or boring. But I believe it was more beloved than we’ve given it credit for — it got a better user rating on Metacritic than “Baby Reindeer,” not that any of this matters — and the actors clearly responded to the show, given the relatively unexpected nomination for Dakota Fanning in the supporting race to go along with Scott’s predicted inclusion. Gadd certainly has his fans...but I’d argue few actors have as much universal appeal among other actors at the moment than Scott. It just feels like “his time” – unless it’s not and Gadd just wins because the voters are going to hit “Baby Reindeer” wherever they can...I wonder if Steve Zaillian will have his own big block of support for the cinematic adaptation of “Ripley.” And if that happens, and Lopez and Zaillian are both strong alternatives to Tofilska, maybe she actually just wins because there’s not a clear consensus pick for a runner-up...

joyceeng: Like I’ve always said, Scott would win, and probably rather easily, if “Baby Reindeer” did not exist...Scott is obviously very well liked and is going to win one of these things sooner than later, but I feel like he lacks the excitement of being a “discovery” that “Baby Reindeer” provides. Fanning’s nomination is also evened out by Goodman-Hill’s since they were both “unexpected” in the same way — she was ninth in the odds and he was eighth...“Ripley” will have its supporters...'