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#BRICS#petro dollar#USA dollar#USA debt#eliminate the US dollar#news & prophecy#bible prophecy#end time prophecy#USA the most indebted nation#bible in the news#bible prophecy in the news#usa in prophecy#bible prophecy radio
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Barbadian genius Sir Lloyd Erskine Sandiford: truly an iconic figure in his own life time, is dead!
By Stanley Collymore You always were, still are and will forever be an irrefutably phenomenal inspiration in the lives of all Barbadians irrespective of the generation, that they belong to; and also crucially significantly, those still unborn. A distinct, exceptionally outstandingly fulfilled life, that very certainly on your part, was clearly lived to the fullest; in significantly quite obviously, advantageously too, likewise very constructively distinctively simply shaping the future and actually the careers of plainly, multiple generations of thoroughly indebted Bajans; as we adoringly call ourselves. Mortals we all are and Death is inevitable, although our Barbadian culture and upbringing do positively, encourage us to very welcomingly embrace it as and when it inevitably comes, and crucially in no way, intelligently fear it; as Death so discernibly is not the definitive end. And you Sir are the classic archetypal embodiment of this lovely philosophy of ours and, as such, those of us who are still here quite uncompromisingly salute and obviously, wholeheartedly honour the phenomenal perspicacity with which you've clearly remarkably conducted your exceptionally styled honourably lived, and rewarding life. Consequently, we who remain will undoubtedly miss you for sure while absolutely confident nevertheless, that your very esteemed presence - eight decades plus among us and similarly what most irrefutably quite superbly conscionably, similarly empathetically and very committedly stood for, will constantly remain very deeply ingrained; forever rapturously treasured and enduringly so lovingly in the hearts, minds, and recurrently permanent reminiscences naturally, of every Citizen - of our meritocracy motivated, evident politically stable democracy; crucially well-educated and an unequivocally plain-spoken, intrepid independent Bajan Nation! (C) Stanley V. Collymore 27 June 2023. Author's Remarks: On the 26 June 2023 Barbadians both at home and throughout our global Diaspora learnt sadly of the death of one of our most iconic and progressive political leaders who died that day. Sir Lloyd Erskine Sandiford: a veritably outstanding educationalist, politician and the 4th Prime Minister of our truly beloved homeland hugely transformed Barbados into the exceptionally quite outstanding society that it is today; not only in terms of education and health with Barbados at the very top of these globally, but equally our country's political maturity and stability, in tandem with the precepts of Meritocracy, Equality and Democracy for all Barbadians regardless of where they live or were born, as the late notable USA Congresswoman: Shirley Chisholm, who was of Barbadian heritage and had her formative education in Barbados always proudly recounted. I knew Sir Lloyd Erskine Sandiford personally as we were members of the same political party the Barbados Democratic Labour Party (DLP); and he will be sorely missed. Hence this tribute to him! I also wish to express my sincerest condolences to Sir Lloyd Erskine Sandiford's widow, Lady Angelita Sandiford an outstanding Bajan in her own right as a psychologist and educationalist and their three children. My thoughts are with you. And to all my fellow Bajans I know how you feel as I feel the same. Sir Lloyd Erskine Sandiford 24 March 1937 - 26 June 2023. Age 86 years. You'll never be forgotten! The Barbados Government and Parliament quite expectedly and highly commendably have confirmed that Sir Lloyd Erskine Sandiford, our former Prime Minister will have a State Funeral.
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Contentment
“Yet true godliness with contentment is itself great wealth. After all, we brought nothing with us when we came into the world, and we can’t take anything with us when we leave it.” I Timothy 6:6-7NLT
Once I heard a story about an extremely rich man. He feared dying, leaving his young wife and all of his wealth behind. Thus, he extracted a promise from her to put all of his wealth into the casket just before the lid was closed. His dutiful wife came up to his body. She removed his wedding band and large, diamond ring. Then she placed an envelope into his hand.
A curious family member asked her what was in the envelope. ‘I gave him a check equal to all of his earthly possessions,’ she replied.
One of the least content places on the planet is the USA. Everyone is trying to get wealth, someone else’s wealth. Every advertisement is aimed at owning the best, living the wealthy life of the Jones’. Greed, ‘the love of money,’ and pride controls our country. Presidents are elected or rejected, not on their merit, but on economic promises. Sadly, we’re supposed to be a godly nation, electing government officials on godly merits.
Israel’s kings rose and failed according to greed and pride. Joash followed the priest’s counsel until the priest’s death. Then he listened to his ungodly advisors, (2Chronicles 24:17), turning away from God. Amaziah allowed pride to enter into his life, (2Chronicles 25:19) turning away from the Lord. His son Uzziah started out right with God, but became prideful to his own physical harm, (2Chronicles 26:16). The story is as old as time. Pride-and-or-greed draws hearts away from God and contentment. For this very reason the early US church preached poverty as God’s will.
Jesus instructed us to ask the Father for our daily bread, (Matthew 6:11). To the rich young ruler He said, “…sell whatsoever thou hast, and give to the poor…” Mark 10:21KJV. God supplied fresh manna to the Israelites, six days a week, (Exodus 16:4-5). Paul told the Philippians God would supply all their needs from His heavenly accounts. (Philippians 4:19)
Meanwhile, we’ve amassed the nicest, most luxurious, fanciest everything imaginable, becoming indebted to the world’s system of debt and credit cards. Our lives are tangled in multiple forms of slavery, “Don’t you realize that you become the slave of whatever you choose to obey?…” Romans 6:16NLT. Debt to whomever money is owed, greed for satisfying desires outside of God’s provision— this is true slavery. I speak from lots of experience, and finally being free from debt, except for utility bills and taxes.
Holy Spirit has been challenging me to trust God for every need. He taught me paying off the largest interest account was actually a savings account, until the indebtedness was gone. No longer a slave, the challenge is now to trust God for my daily bread, not worry about it. (With politicians and foreigners trying to kill our food supply, we MUST LEARN to trust God.)
Contentment is the state of happiness and satisfaction in every situation, see Philippians 4:11. We can only achieve this goal of contentment in Christ, in faith, not white-knuckle ‘I will trust.’ Faith comes in giving whatever He tells us to give away freely, wherever He instructs us to give.
Since we had nothing on arrival, and will leave the same way— will you join me in giving in obedience? Nothing will own your heart but God Who floods our hearts with true contentment. It’s your choice. You choose.
LET’S PRAY: Yahweh God all we have comes from You, (Deuteronomy 8:17-18). Please rid our lives of greed, lust and pride. May we find true contentment in the name of Jesus Christ, I pray.
by Debbie Veilleux Copyright 2023 You have my permission to reblog this devotional for others. Please keep my name with this devotional, as author. Thank you.
#Jesus Christ#lord of lords#word of god#God#Holy Spirit#it's your choice#devotional#contentment#happiness#satisfacción#obedience#debt#greed#pride#love#hope#faith
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Political economy vs inflation
As Biden lays out ambitious plans to stimulate the US economy and fight inequality with new money creation (spending) and money destruction (higher taxes on corporations, capital gains and the right), a firing squad of economists assembled to issue dire inflation warnings.
They're repeating the economic doctrine of the pasty 40 years, an austerity doctrine that focuses on the inflationary risks of "deficit spending" (when governments don't tax as much money out of the economy as they inject in the same year).
It's a doctrine that made a pretense to being a science, going to far as to create a fake "Nobel Prize" in economics in a bid for scientific credibility (the Nobel administrators eventually folded the economics prize into its administrative remit).
The "neoclassicals" used abstract equations to "prove" a bunch of economic truths that - purely coincidentally - made rich people much, much richer and poor people much, much poorer.
Tellingly, the most exciting development in economics of the past 50 years is "behavioral economics" - a subdiscipline whose (excellent) innovation was to check to see whether people actually act the way that economists' models predict they will.
(they don't)
It's this vain, discredited and shambolic group who have assembled behind leaders like Larry Summers to decry Biden's stimulus spending plans, insisting that we are flirting with hyperinflation and the collapse of the USD as a global reserve currency.
But economists aren't the last word in understanding stimulus and inflation. If you're trying to figure out whether Summers is right and inequality, poverty and crumbling infrastructure are the price of American stability, it's worth checking out the *political* economists.
Here's a great place to start: Brown University economist Mark Blyth's interview with The Analysis, available in audio, video, and as a transcript:
https://theanalysis.news/interviews/mark-blyth-the-inflated-fear-of-inflation/
Blyth doesn't dismiss Summers' inflationary fears out of hand, but he does say that Summers is vastly overestimating the likelihood that stimulus spending will trigger inflation - Summers says there's a 1-in-3 chance of inflation, while Blyth says it's more like 1-in-10.
To understand the difference, it's useful to first understand what we mean by inflation: "a general, sustained rise in the level of all prices."
It's not a short-term spike (like we saw with GPUs when everyone upgraded their gaming rigs at the start of the pandemic).
It's also not an asset-bubble. House prices in Toronto are high, but that's not inflation. They're high because "Canada stopped building public housing in the 1980s and turned it into an asset class and let the 10 percent top earners buy it all and swap it with each other."
For inflation to happen in the wake of the stimulus, the spending would have to lead to too much money chasing not enough goods. Blyth gives some pretty good reasons to be skeptical that this will happen.
Start with the wealthy: they don't spend much, relative to their income. Their consumption needs are already met (that's what it means to be rich). You can only own so many Sub-Zero fridges, and even after you fill them with kobe beef and Veuve Cliquot, you're still rich.
What rich people do with extra money is *speculate*. That's why top-level giveaways generate socially useless, destructive asset bubbles. Remember, these aren't inflation, which is good, because everyone agrees that inflation is hard to stop once it gets going.
They're speculative bubbles. We have a much better idea of how to prevent bubbles: transaction taxes, hikes to the capital gains tax, and high marginal tax rates at the top bracket.
Okay, fine, so the rich won't be able to spend us into inflation after a broad stimulus, but what about poor people? Well, the bottom 60% of the US is grossly indebted, suffocating under medical debt, student debt and housing debt. A *lot* of that will disappear.
That will transfer a lot of stimulus money from poor people to rich people (who own the debt), which is why we need high capital gains and top-bracket taxation. But it will also sweep away a vast swathe of the financialized economy.
The point of long-term debt isn't to get paid off - it's to generate ongoing cash-flows that can be securitized and turned into bonds. Securitization converted "advanced" economies into shambling, undead debt-zombies.
https://pluralistic.net/2021/04/02/innovation-unlocks-markets/#digital-arm-breakers
It's securitization that led to the 2008 financial crisis, and it's securitization that sustains Wall Street's speculative acquisition of every single-family dwelling for sale in America as part of a bid to turn every home into an extractive slum.
Blythe explains that if the rich have nothing to buy and the poor use most of their stimulus to get out of debt, it will likely reorient the US economy to useful things: creating jobs to make stuff that people want to buy.
But what about the dollar's status as a global reserve currency? Won't all that stimulus send other countries scurrying around for another form of national savings? Blyth's answer is pretty convincing.
First, because there aren't any great alternatives: the European economy is growing at half the rate of the US. The Chinese economy is booming, but if you buy Chinese assets, there's a good chance you'll never be able to get them out of China.
Gold? Bitcoin? Leave aside the deflationary risk of pegging your currency to an inelastic metal or virtual token, leave aside the environmentally devastating effect of cryptocurrency (cryptos consume enough energy to offset the entire planetary solar capacity!).
Instead, think of the volatility of these assets, with their drunken, wild swings - countries that dump USD due to inflationary fears are hardly likely to switch to a crypto that can lose 20% of its value in a day.
And remember how much of that volatility is driven by out-and-out fraud, with major crypto exchanges and gold schemes imploding without warning, taking hundreds of millions of dollars with them. This is not a stable alternative to the dollar!
Beyond the lack of an alternative, there's another reason to believe that the USD will remain a global reserve, as Blyth elegantly explains.
Think of a Chinese company supplying the US market. Chances are, that's actually US company's subcontractor, getting paid in USD.
These end up swapped with the Chinese central bank for Chinese money, because Chinese companies need to pay salaries, rent, and other expenses in Renminbi, not dollars. The Chinese central bank holds onto the USDs, using them as a national savings, a reserve currency.
If China were to dump all its USD holdings into the world economy, it would tank the US dollar - which is to say, it burn China's own national savings. China's central bank needs to do something with those dollar savings, so they buy 10-year US T-bills.
Same goes for Germany - net exporters depend on a net importer to buy their stuff, and primarily that's the USA. They are stuck in a form of "monetarily assured destruction," and a crisis of confidence is unlikely "because you’ve got nowhere else to take your confidence."
Next, Blyth takes up is the proposed increase in the corporate tax rate, and he says that investors are actually surprisingly okay with this - he reminds us of Buffett's maxim, "Only when the tide goes out do you discover who's been swimming naked."
A hike in the corporate tax rate has the potential to reveal which of the "great" firms "are just really good at tax optimization" rather than efficient production. It'll smash those unproductive firms to pieces that can be bought by good firms for pennies on the dollar.
The final issue that Blyth takes up is an excellent one for this May Day: the relationship of higher wages to inflation. When the US had large, centrally managed industries with large, centralized unions, there was the risk that higher prices would trigger higher wages.
But the US doesn't have a unionized workforce with guaranteed COLA inflationary rises - there's no "wage-price spiral" risk of higher prices leading to higher wages and then higher prices.
The neoclassical theory of wages is based on the "marginal productivity" and "higher than outside option" theories: wage-levels are the product of how much money they stand to make from your work, and how much someone else is willing to pay you to work for them.
But economists like Suresh Naidu describe how high-tech surveillance can disrupt this equilibrium: you can spy on workers instead of paying them more, can impose onerous conditions on them that wring them of everything they can produce.
This kind of bossware was once the exclusive burden of low-waged, precarious workers, but thanks to the shitty technology adoption curve, it is working its way up the privilege gradient to increasingly elite workforce segments.
Digital micromanagement went from the factory floor to remote customer-support reps to office workers who are minutely surveilled by Office 365, all the way up to MDs and other elite professionals:
https://pluralistic.net/2021/02/24/gwb-rumsfeld-monsters/#bossware
This has led to increased profits for firms - firms now take a larger share of their productivity gains, and workers see stagnant or declining wages. That excess profit represents slack in the system.
It means that even if companies' costs go up, they can hold prices steady - all they need to do is reduce their retained profits.
We've had 40 years of price stability at the expense of a living wage for working people.
Higher wages are only inflationary if we assume that the 1% will continue to extract vast sums from their investments and use them to kick off destructive asset bubbles.
Image: badsci https://www.flickr.com/photos/7941730@N06/8625213990/
CC BY-SA: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/2.0/
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The Eternals is about preventing the birth of New Earth and ascension which is symbolized as the new celestial being born, Tiamut. Tiamut is Tiamat from ancient Babylonian Mythology which became the biblical Genesis story. Tiamut is the result of a Celestial Seed being sub-planted (Panspermia) by Arishem the Judge, leader of the Celestials. To prevent the birth of Tiamut, Earth’s energy/Schumann Resonance had to remain steadily low which was done by The Deviants preying on humans. This is the wicked cabal limiting the consciousness of the masses inhibiting the unified field and morphogenetic grid to stop people waking up and New Earth ascension. Old Earth was symbolized as Sersi as she wore green/love. She was the key in stopping Tiamut being born as she was attached to humanity after discovering The Eternals and The Deviants purpose and origins. It’s part of the natural order and they stopped it for this wicked world that needs to go because it’s all used up and redundant. As usual, the roles are reversed, heroes are the villains and the villains are the heroes. They symbolized the black man, Phastos, with the gay agenda, Sprite was a god who wanted to be human to age, and Ikarus killed himself for what he did to Ajak. Nothing racist but Sersi is the representation of Asia as Eastern Asia is the lead of the social credit system NWO agenda/Old Earth. The Biden/Harris Administration had been bought out by China as they are the highest bidder in buying out the USA corporation. The USA corporation is owned by the IMF which is owned by the United Nations and the Secretary General was Ki-Ban Moon from 2007-2016. The US is indebted to the Federal Reserve and Eastern Asia (which is why Kamala is VP) and China is the highest bidder but they are getting earth’s wrath the most now as judgement/Arishem. Earth is an anagram Heart and it is being cleaned for a new one. #eternals #13knowledge #esotericknowledge #occultknowledge #gnosis
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Chinese Artificial Intelligence vs US Artificial Intelligence
http://cset.georgetown.edu/wp-content/uploads/CSET-The-Question-of-Comparative-Advantage-in-Artificial-Intelligence-1.pdf
....Since Chinese companies like Huawei and ZTE were added to the Department of Commerce’s Entity List,15 China’s determination to pursue indigenous innovation has only intensified.16
In cases where the United States has stymied Chinese advances with unilateral export controls but substitute options remain available, China has typically managed to find workarounds or substitute components within a short timeframe.17 The challenge will be for China to replicate core innovations in semiconductor technology where no comparable substitute exists.
China’s model of development through state subsidies appears ill-suited for the semiconductor industry, which is fast moving and requires both business acumen and sizable technical expertise.18 Nearly 20 years after PRC science and technology leaders set out to develop a competitor to the x86 processor, Chinese alternatives remain limited and significantly behind U.S. counterparts. State-led pushes in the 1990s to establish a foothold in the chip fabrication market failed to produce commercially viable firms capable of keeping up with foreign leaders. China’s most successful fab, the Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corporation (SMIC), kept PRC’s S&T officials at arm’s length during its early development.19 The current state drive, led by the
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National Integrated Circuit Fund, attempts to learn from prior mistakes and introduces more market mechanisms than in the past. However, many experts are skeptical that this state-led push will be sufficient to wean China off foreign chips.20
Regardless of the Chinese model’s efficiency, the reality is that China is building its manufacturing capacity to compete in semiconductors as the United States loses indigenous capability and outsources semiconductor manufacturing to foundries elsewhere.21 Technological trends may also play out in China’s favor. As Moore’s Law reaches its end, squeezing additional computing power out of chips will require new materials and specialized AI chip architectures.22 The United States enjoys a dominant market share in leading-edge GPU (Graphics Processing Units) and FPGA (Field Programmable Gate Array) design, as well as many of the top AI-relevant ASICs (Application Specific Integrated Circuits). For the time being, China’s leading AI chip designs often incorporate U.S. and allied designs. Yet as technological progress slows and evolves, China may have an easier time catching up.
Chinese players are starting to break into the AI chip space on some fronts. China’s AI chip unicorns Cambricon and Horizon Robotics, for example, have attained multi-billion-dollar valuations within just a few years.23 Huawei has launched its own AI chip, Ascend 910, designed to process efficiently the massive amounts of data often required to train algorithms.24 Alibaba has also created a new AI chip, known as the Hanguang 800, which it claims possesses the computing capabilities of 10 GPUs.25 Alibaba’s chip subsidiary Pingtouge (平头哥) open-sourced its microcontroller design platform on GitHub in order to make chip design more accessible.26 So far, however, PRC AI chips have primarily achieved successes in “inference,” the process of running existing neural networks; the process of training continues to rely primarily on GPUs produced by NVIDIA.27 Whether Chinese companies like Huawei can compete with NVIDIA in the AI training space remains to be seen.
Endnotes
1 K. A. Konrad, “Dynamic Contests and the Discouragement Effect,” Revue d'Économie Politique (2012); C. Harris and J. Vickers, “Racing with Uncertainty,” Review of Economic Studies 54, 1 (1987); I. K. Wang, L. Qian, and M. Lehrer, “From Technology Race to Technology Marathon: A Behavioral Explanation of Technology Advancement,” European Management Journal 35, Issue 2 (April 2017): 187-197.
2 This policy brief is not intended to be comprehensive, but rather proposes a framework for assessing relevant data and measures that bear on current debates in AI. We are indebted to the robust research and existing literature in the field. See, e.g., Michael C. Horowitz, Gregory Allen, Elsa Kania, and Paul Scharre, “Strategic Competition in an Era of Artificial Intelligence,” Center for a New American Security, July 2018, 8.
3 Deborah J. Jackson, “What is an innovation ecosystem,” National Science Foundation, 1, 2011. On AI in particular, see “AI is a national security priority — here’s how we cultivate it,” The Hill, February 20, 2019, https://thehill.com/opinion/cybersecurity/430765-ai-is-a- national-security-priority-heres-how-we-cultivate-it; For another excellent evaluation of the importance of the overall ecosystem to AI development, see: Lindsey R. Sheppard and Andrew Philip Hunter, “Artificial Intelligence and National Security: The Importance of the AI Ecosystem,” Center for Strategic and International Studies, November 5, 2018,https://www.csis.org/analysis/artificial-intelligence-and-national-security-importance-ai- ecosystem.
4 Andrew Imbrie, “Mapping the Terrain: AI Governance and the Future of Power,” Survival (blog), December 17, 2019, https://www.iiss.org/blogs/survival- blog/2019/12/mapping-the-terrain-ai-governance.
5 See, e.g., Andrew Imbrie, “Artificial Intelligence Meets Bureaucratic Politics,” War on the Rocks, August 1, 2019, https://warontherocks.com/2019/08/artificial-intelligence-meets- bureaucratic-politics/; Michael C. Horowitz and Lauren Kahn, “The AI Literacy Gap Hobbling American Officialdom,” War on the Rocks, January 14, 2020,https://warontherocks.com/2020/01/the-ai-literacy-gap-hobbling-american- officialdom/.
6 “Winning the Future: A Blueprint for Sustained U.S. Leadership in Semiconductor Technology,” Semiconductor Industry Association, April 2019,https://www.semiconductors.org/wp-content/uploads/2019/04/FINAL-SIA-Blueprint- for-web.pdf.
7 We define “AI chips” to include GPUs (Graphics Processing Units), FPGAs (Field Programmable Gate Array), and ASICs (Application Specific Integrated Circuits) specialized for high speed and efficiency for AI algorithms, among others.
8 See, e.g., “Re: ANPRM on Review of Controls for Certain Emerging Technologies (BIS- 2018-0024),” Center for Security and Emerging Technology, January 10, 2019,https://cset.georgetown.edu/wp-content/uploads/2019-01-10-Dept-of-Commerce-GU-
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CSET-ANPRM-on-Export-Controls-for-AI.pdf. For a recent example, see Alexandra Alper, Toby Sterling, and Stephen Nellis, “Trump Administration pressed Dutch hard to cancel China chip-equipment sale: sources,” Reuters, January 6, 2020,https://www.reuters.com/article/asml-holding-usa-china/rpt-insight-trump-administration- pressed-dutch-hard-to-cancel-china-chip-equipment-sale-sources-idUSL1N29802U.
9 “Trade war forces Chinese chipmaker Fujian Jinhua to halt output,” Financial Times, January, 28, 2019, https://www.ft.com/content/87b5580c-22bf-11e9-8ce6- 5db4543da632.
10 For one prominent example, see the case of Fujian Jinhua. Paul Mozur, “Inside a Heist of American Chip Designs, as China Bids for Tech Power,” New York Times, June 22, 2018,https://www.nytimes.com/2018/06/22/technology/china-micron-chips-theft.html.
11 Some U.S. firms made the move abroad in response to export controls. See “U.S.-based chip-tech group moving to Switzerland over trade curb fears,” Reuters, November 28, 2019,https://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-china-semiconductors-insight/u-s-based-chip- tech-group-moving-to-switzerland-over-trade-curb-fears-idUSKBN1XZ16L.
12 Chris Gillis, “US exporters attempt to head off new content restrictions,” American Shipper, December 9, 2019, https://www.freightwaves.com/news/us-exporters-attempt-to-head- off-new-content-restrictions.
13 Timothy P. Morgan, “Huawei Jumps into the Arms Server Chip Fray,” The Next Platform, January 8, 2019. See also Saif Khan, “Maintaining the AI Chip Advantage of the United States and its Allies,” Center for Security and Emerging Technology, December 2019,https://cset.georgetown.edu/wp-content/uploads/CSET-Maintaining-the-AI-Chip- Competitive-Advantage-of-the-United-States-and-its-Allies-20191206.pdf.
14 “Winning the Future: A Blueprint for Sustained U.S. Leadership in Semiconductor Technology,” Semiconductor Industry Association, April 2019,https://www.semiconductors.org/wp-content/uploads/2019/04/FINAL-SIA-Blueprint- for-web.pdf.
15 ZTE was later removed from this list. “BIS Adds ZTE Corporation and Three Affiliated Entities to the Entity List,” Bureau of Industry and Security, Department of Commerce,https://bis.doc.gov/index.php/oee/9-bis/carousel/1011-bis-adds-zte-corporation-and- three-affiliated-entities-to-the-entity-list; “China’s Huawei, 70 affiliates placed on U.S. trade blacklist,” Reuters, May 15, 2019, https://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-china- huaweitech/chinas-huawei-70-affiliates-placed-on-us-trade-blacklist-idUSKCN1SL2W4.
16 Lorand Laskai, “Why Blacklisting Huawei Could Backfire,” Foreign Affairs, June 19, 2019,
https://www.foreignaffairs.com/articles/china/2019-06-19/why-blacklisting-huawei- could-backfire.
17 Jason Matheny and Carrick Flynn, “ANPRM on Review of Controls for Certain Emerging Technologies,” Center for Security and Emerging Technology, January 10, 2019,
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https://docs.google.com/document/d/1JDDQaWlU- u90VAl6h9sdQb_c_7EB9ftrYDOEqu12nEk/edit.
18
19 Doug Fuller, Paper Tigers, Hidden Dragons: Firms and Political Economy of China’s Technological Development (Oxford University Press, 2016), 131.
20 Junko Yoshida, “China Must Go Beyond Big Fund,” EE Times, November 11, 2019,https://www.eetimes.com/china-must-go-beyond-big-fund/#.
21 “The Decline in Semiconductor Manufacturing in the United States,” Center for Public Policy Innovation, June 2010, https://www.cppionline.org/wp- content/uploads/2017/07/The-Decline-of-Semiconductor-Manufacturing.pdf.
22 Will Knight, “China has never had a real chip industry. Making AI chips could change that,” MIT Technology Review, December 14, 2018,https://www.technologyreview.com/s/612569/china-has-never-had-a-real-chip- industry-making-ai-chips-could-change-that/.
23 While valuations are likely inflated due in part to the influence of state-driven investments, these start-ups have achieved notable progress nonetheless. “Chinese AI chip maker Horizon Robotics raises $600 million from SK Hynix, others,” Reuters, February 27, 2019,https://www.reuters.com/article/us-china-tech-semiconductors/chinese-ai-chip-maker- horizon-robotics-raises-600-million-from-sk-hynix-others-idUSKCN1QG0HW.
24 Dan Strumpf, “Huawei Launches AI Chip in Push to Unseat U.S. Makers,” Wall Street Journal, August 23, 2019, https://www.wsj.com/articles/huawei-launches-ai-chip-in-push- to-unseat-u-s-makers-11566556836.
25 “Alibaba’s New AI Chip Can Process Nearly 80K Images Per Second,” Synced, September 25, 2019, https://syncedreview.com/2019/09/25/alibabas-new-ai-chip- can-process-nearly-80k-images-per-second/. Arjun Kharpal, “Alibaba unveils its first A.I. chip as China pushes for its own semiconductor technology,” CNBC, September 25, 2019,https://www.cnbc.com/2019/09/25/alibaba-unveils-its-first-ai-chip-called-the- hanguang-800.html.
26 “Alibaba Open-Sources Its MCU to Boost AI Research,” Synced, October 23, 2019,
https://syncedreview.com/2019/10/23/alibaba-open-sources-its-mcu-to-boost-ai- research/.
27 Lorand Laskai and Helen Toner, “Can China Grow Its Own AI Tech Base?”, DigiChina, November 4, 2019, https://www.newamerica.org/cybersecurity- initiative/digichina/blog/can-china-grow-its-own-ai-tech-base/.
On the obstacles to indigenizing a semiconductor industry in China, see Douglas B. Fuller,
“Growth, Upgrading, and Limited Catch-up in China’s Semiconductor Industry,” in Loren
Brandt and Thomas G. Rawski, eds., Policy, Regulation and Innovation in China’s Electricity
and Telecom Industries (Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 2019).
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28 See, e.g., Data.gov, https://www.data.gov/open-gov/; “Project Open Data,” https://project-open-data.cio.gov.
29
30 Tim Wu, The Master Switch: The Rise and Fall of Information Empires (New York: Vintage, 2011), 6.
31 Tim Wu, The Curse of Bigness: Antitrust in the New Gilded Age (New York: Random House Audio, 2018).
32 Theresa Hitchens, “U.S. Military Needs Better Data on Itself to Exploit AI,” Breaking Defense, December 12, 2019, https://breakingdefense.com/2019/12/us-military-needs- better-data-on-itself-to-exploit-ai/.
33 Sydney J. Freedberg Jr., “EXCLUSIVE Pentagon’s AI Problem Is ‘Dirty’ Data: Lt. Gen. Shanahan,” Breaking Defense, November 13, 2019,https://breakingdefense.com/2019/11/exclusive-pentagons-ai-problem-is-dirty-data-lt- gen-shanahan/.
34 “The New Racetrack for Artificial Intelligence: China-U.S. Competition” [人工智能新赛场 -中美对比], CCID, May 2017.
35 For an instructive framework on this issue, see Matt Sheehan, “Much Ado About Data: How America and China Stack Up,” MacroPolo, July 16, 2019,https://macropolo.org/ai-data-us-china/.
36 Celia Chen and Iris Deng, “Tencent seeks to kill silo culture that gave it WeChat as it expands into AI, big data,” South China Morning Post, November 14, 2018,https://www.scmp.com/tech/apps-social/article/2172967/tencent-seeks-kill-silo- culture-gave-it-wechat-it-expands-ai-big.
37 Emily Feng, “In China, A New Call To Protect Data Privacy,” NPR, January 5, 2020,
https://www.npr.org/2020/01/05/793014617/in-china-a-new-call-to-protect-data- privacy.
38 “Navigating China’s Data Maze: How Regulations Affect U.S. Companies,” The American Chamber of Commerce in Shanghai, May 2019, https://www.amcham- shanghai.org/sites/default/files/2019-05/Viewpoint%20- %20Data%20%28May%202019%29.pdf.
39 “Interpretation of the Work Plan on Promoting the Development of the Artificial Intelligence Industry through the Opening of Public Data” [关于通过公共数据开放促进人工智能 产 业发展的工作方案》政策解读], November 4, 2019,http://jxj.beijing.gov.cn/zcjd/zcjdlb/201912/t20191212_1088931.html.
Based on analysis of monthly user data of most valuable U.S. and Chinese tech
companies.
Center for Security and Emerging Technology | 39
40 For a discussion of the challenges and opportunities that big data presents for defense mobilization, see Li Ching [李庆], “Looking at the National Defense Mobilization Big Data Construction” [冷眼看国防动员大数据建设], China National Defense News [中国国防报], October 24, 2018, http://www.qstheory.cn/defense/2018- 10/24/c_1123606679.htm.
41 “China Tech Talk 76: US vs China—AI asymmetries with Jeffrey Ding,” technode, April 16, 2019, https://technode.com/2019/04/16/china-tech-talk-76-us-vs-china-ai- asymmetries-with-jeffrey-ding/.
42 “Artificial Intelligence Index: 2019 Annual Report,”https://hai.stanford.edu/sites/g/files/sbiybj10986/f/ai_index_2019_report.pdf.
43 Ibid., 18.44
45 Noam Brown and Tuomas Sandholm, “Superhuman AI for heads-up no-limit poker: Libratus beats top professionals,” Science 359, no. 6374 (2018): 418-424. Alan Blair and Abdallah Saffidine, “AI surpasses humans at six-player poker,” Science 365, no. 6456 (2019): 864-865.
46 Raymond Perrault, Yoav Shoham, Erik Brynjolfsson, Jack Clark, John Etchemendy, Barbara Grosz, Terah Lyons, James Manyika, Saurabh Mishra, and Juan Carlos Niebles, “The AI Index 2019 Annual Report,” AI Index Steering Committee, Human-Centered AI Institute, Stanford University, Stanford, CA, December 2019; Laskai and Toner, “Can China Grow Its Own AI Tech Base.”
47 Field Cady and Oren Etzione, “China May Overtake the US in AI Research,” Medium, March 13, 2019, https://medium.com/ai2-blog/china-to-overtake-us-in-ai-research- 8b6b1fe30595.
48 Karen White, “Publications Output: U.S. Trends and International Comparisons,” Science & Engineering Indicators, December 17, 2019, https://ncses.nsf.gov/pubs/nsb20206.
49 “The China New Generation Artificial Intelligence Development Strategic Research Academy released two heavyweight reports” [中国新一代人工智能发展战略研究院发 布两份重量级报告], Interface news [界面新闻], May 18, 2019,https://xw.qq.com/partner/wcsbzst/20190518A0EB05/20190518A0EB0500?ADTA G=undefined&pgv_ref=undefined.
50 China accounts for 17 of the top 20 academic institutions that have been involved in patenting AI, with particular strength in deep learning, according to a study from the World Intellectual Property Organization. See “WIPO’s First ‘Technology Trends’ Study Probes
David Silver, Thomas Hubert, Julian Schrittwieser, Ioannis Antonoglou, Matthew Lai, Arthur
Guez, Marc Lanctot et al., “A general reinforcement learning algorithm that masters chess,
shogi, and Go through self-play,” Science 362, no. 6419 (2018): 1140-1144.
Center for Security and Emerging Technology | 40
Artificial Intelligence: IBM and Microsoft are Leaders Amid Recent Global Upsurge in AI Inventive Activity,” World Intellectual Property Organization,https://www.wipo.int/pressroom/en/articles/2019/article_0001.html; “WIPO Technology Trends 2019, Artificial Intelligence,” World Intellectual Property Organization,https://www.wipo.int/edocs/pubdocs/en/wipo_pub_1055.pdf.
51 Sarah O’Meara, “Will China Lead the World in AI by 2030,” Nature, August 21, 2019,https://www.nature.com/articles/d41586-019-02360-7.
52 “Robust Vision Challenge,”http://www.robustvision.net/leaderboard.php?benchmark=stereo.
53 Yu Sun, Shuohuan Wang, Yukun Li, Shikun Feng, Xuyi Chen, Han Zhang, Xin Tian, Danxiang Zhu, Hao Tian, and Hua Wu, “ERNIE: Enhanced Representation through Knowledge Integration,” arXiv preprint arXiv:1904.09223 (2019).
54 “Baidu’s Pre-training Model ERNIE Achieves New NLP Benchmark Record,” Synced, December 11, 2019, https://syncedreview.com/2019/12/11/baidus-pre-training- model-ernie-achieves-new-nlp-benchmark-record/.
55 See, e.g., “Global AI Talent Report 2019,” jfgagne, https://jfgagne.ai/talent-2019/.
56 “AAAI-17 Accepted Papers,”http://www.aaai.org/Conferences/AAAI/2017/aaai17accepted-papers.pdf; Sarah Zhang, “China’s Artificial-Intelligence Boom,” The Atlantic, February 16, 2017,https://www.theatlantic.com/technology/archive/2017/02/china-artificial- intelligence/516615/.
57 “Artificial Intelligence Index,” 87,https://hai.stanford.edu/sites/g/files/sbiybj10986/f/ai_index_2019_report.pdf.
58 Remco Zwetsloot, Roxanne Heston, and Zachary Arnold, “Strengthening the U.S. AI Workforce,” Center for Security and Emerging Technology, September 2019,https://cset.georgetown.edu/wp-content/uploads/CSET_US_AI_Workforce.pdf.
59 Remco Zwetsloot, James Dunham, Zachary Arnold, and Tina Huang, “Keeping Top Talent in the United States: Findings and Policy Options for International Graduate Student Retention,” Center for Security and Emerging Technology, https://cset.georgetown.edu/wp- content/uploads/Keeping-Top-AI-Talent-in-the-United-States.pdf.
60 Ibid.
61 Elias G. Carayannis and David FJ Campbell, eds., Knowledge Creation, Diffusion, and Use in Innovation Networks and Knowledge Clusters: A Comparative Systems Approach Across the United States, Europe, and Asia (Connecticut: Greenwood Publishing Group, 2006); “Rapid Rise of China’s STEM Workforce Charted by National Science Board Report,” American Institute of Physics, January 31, 2018.
Center for Security and Emerging Technology | 41
62 Wang Cong, “AI race shifts to talent in battle for dominance,” Global Times, March 19, 2019, http://www.globaltimes.cn/content/1142700.shtml.
63 “The China New Generation Artificial Intelligence Development Strategic Research Academy released two heavyweight reports” [中国新一代人工智能发展战略研究院发 布两份重量级报告], Interface News [界面新闻], May 18, 2019,https://xw.qq.com/partner/wcsbzst/20190518A0EB05/20190518A0EB0500?ADTA G=undefined&pgv_ref=undefined.
64 Zwetsloot, Dunham, Arnold, and Huang, “Keeping Top Talent in the United States.”
65 China Institute for Science and Technology Policy at Tsinghua University, “China AI Development Report 2018,” Tsinghua University, July 2018,http://www.sppm.tsinghua.edu.cn/eWebEditor/UploadFile/China_AI_development_repo rt_2018.pdf.
66 Ibid.
67 Joy D. Ma, “China’s AI Talent Base Is Growing, and then Leaving,” MacroPolo, July 30, 2019, https://macropolo.org/chinas-ai-talent-base-is-growing-and-then-leaving/. By one initial estimate, of the 12,500 AI graduates from Chinese universities to date, reportedly only 31 percent have stayed in China, whereas 62 percent instead departed to the United States. Wang Cong, “AI race shifts to talent in battle for dominance,” Global Times, March 19, 2019, http://www.globaltimes.cn/content/1142700.shtml.
68 Ministry of Education, “Artificial Intelligence Innovation Action Plan for Institutions of Higher Learning” [高等学校人工智能创新行动计划], April 4, 2018,http://www.moe.edu.cn/srcsite/A16/s7062/201804/t20180410_332722.html. For commentary on the topic, see Elsa Kania, “China’s AI talent ‘arms race,” The Strategist, April 23, 2018, https://www.aspistrategist.org.au/chinas-ai-talent-arms-race/.
69 “This year, colleges and universities have added these specialties: artificial intelligence and big data are the hottest” [今年高校新增这些专业:人工智能与大数据最火], June 12, 2019, http://edu.sina.com.cn/gaokao/2019-06-12/doc-ihvhiews8390284.shtml.
70 “Cross National Comparisons of R&D Performance,” National Science Board,
https://www.nsf.gov/statistics/2018/nsb20181/report/sections/research-and- development-u-s-trends-and-international-comparisons/cross-national-comparisons-of-r-d- performance.
71 “2016–2019 Progress Report: Advancing Artificial Intelligence R&D,” November 2019,
https://www.nitrd.gov/pubs/AI-Research-and-Development-Progress-Report-2016- 2019.pdf; Melissa Flagg, “America’s Future Lies in Technical Alliances,” Center for Security and Emerging Technology (blog), January 8, 2020,https://cset.georgetown.edu/2020/01/08/americas-future-lies-in-technical-alliances/.
72 “National Security Commission on Artificial Intelligence,” Interim Report, November 2019,https://www.nscai.gov/about/reports-to-congress.
Center for Security and Emerging Technology | 42
73 Ibid.
74 MIT Committee to Evaluate the Innovation Deficit, “The Future Postponed: Why Declining Investment in Basic Research Threatens a U.S. Innovation Deficit,” April 2015,https://dc.mit.edu/sites/default/files/Future%20Postponed.pdf.
75 Jonathan Gruber and Simon Johnson, Jump-starting America: How Breakthrough Science Can Revive Economic Growth and the American Dream (New York: Public Affairs, 2019).
76 Charlotte Yang, “Chart of the Day: Another Record Year for China R&D Spending, Caixin, October 10, 2018, https://www.caixinglobal.com/2018-10-10/chart-of-the-day- another-record-year-for-china-rd-spending-101333479.html. See also “Is China a global leader in research and development,” China Power, https://chinapower.csis.org/china- research-and-development-rnd/l; Dennis Normile, “China narrows U.S. lead in R&D spending,” Science, October 19, 2018,https://science.sciencemag.org/content/362/6412/276.
77 “China’s R&D expenditure is close to two trillion yuan. Which cities have more research investment?” [中国研发经费接近两万亿,哪些城市科研投入多?], CCTV, September 13, 2019,http://news.cctv.com/2019/09/13/ARTIwBtFsNMhTHQ8DXpFQHJR190913.shtml.
78 Teddy Ng and Jane Cai, “China’s funding for science and research to reach 2.5 per cent of GDP in 2019,” South China Morning Post, March 10, 2019,https://www.scmp.com/news/china/science/article/2189427/chinas-funding-science- and-research-reach-25-cent-gdp-2019.
79 “Atlas of national key R & D plan funding allocation” [国家重点研发计划经费分配图谱 浮现], Economic Reference [经济参考报], October 14, 2019,http://www.xinhuanet.com/fortune/2019-10/14/c_1125100297.htm.
80 Ashwin Acharya and Zachary Arnold, “Chinese Public AI R&D Spending: Provisional Findings,” CSET Issue Brief, December 2019, https://cset.georgetown.edu/wp- content/uploads/Chinese-Public-AI-RD-Spending-Provisional-Findings-2.pdf.
81 For instance, i
“Tianjin established a new generation of artificial intelligence industry fund with a scale of 100 billion RMB” [天津设新一代人工智
能产业基金,规模为1000亿人民币], May 16, 2018,https://m.pedaily.cn/news/431332.
82 “The National “863” Plan Computer Subject’s Thirty-Year Anniversary: Leapfrog-Style Development and the Realm of Necessity” [
n May 2018, the city of Tianjin announced the New Generation Artificial
Intelligence Industry Fund, which amounts to 100 billion RMB ($16 billion), based on a
combination of state and venture capital funding.
国家“863”计划计算机主题30年拾遗:跨
越式发展与必然王国], Science Net, February 8, 2017,
Center for Security and Emerging Technology | 43
“863 Plan” [
83 Ibid. “863 Plan” [ 84 “Our Nation Launched Four Major Science Research Programs” [我国启动四项重大���
学研究计划], Science and Technology Daily, November 16, 2006.
85 “The national key R&D plan for next year is basically determined! These industries are the most noteworthy” [国家明年重点研发计划基本确定!这几个产业最值得关注], October 28, 2019.
86 “National Medium and Long Term Science and Technology Development Plan Outline” (2006-2020) [国家中长期科学和技术发展规划纲要], Ministry of Science and Technology, February 9, 2006,http://www.most.gov.cn/mostinfo/xinxifenlei/gjkjgh/200811/t20081129_65774_9.ht m.
https://www.itu.int/en/ITU- D/Cybersecurity/Documents/National_Strategies_Repository/China_2006.pdf.
87 See estimates from the Allen Institute.
88 “2021-2035 National Medium- and Long-term Scientific and Technological Development Plan Basic Science Development Strategy Research Project Launched in Beijing” [2021- 2035年国家中长期科技发展规划基础科学发展战略研究专题在京启动], Ministry of Science and Technology Website, May 3, 2019, http://www.gov.cn/xinwen/2019- 05/03/content_5388386.htm.
89 Elsa B. Kania, “Battlefield Singularity: Artificial Intelligence, Military Revolution, and China’s Future Military Power,” Center for a New American Security, November 28, 2017,https://www.cnas.org/publications/reports/battlefield-singularity-artificial-intelligence- military-revolution-and-chinas-future-military-power.
90 Jeffrey Ding, “Deciphering China’s AI Dream,” Future of Humanity Institute, University of Oxford, March 2018, https://www.fhi.ox.ac.uk/wp- content/uploads/Deciphering_Chinas_AI-Dream.pdf.
91 “State Council Notice on the Issuance of the New Generation AI Development Plan” [国 务院关于印发新一代人工智能发展规划的通知]. “MIIT’s Notice Regarding the Release of the Three Year Action Plan to Promote the Development of New-Generation Artificial Intelligence Industry (2018-2020) [工业和信息化部关于印发《促进新一代人工智能产 业发展三年行动计划(2018-2020年)》的通], December 14, 2017,http://www.miit.gov.cn/n1146295/n1652858/n1652930/n3757016/c5960820/co ntent.html.
For an English translation of this plan, see Paul Triolo, Elsa Kania, and Graham Webster (translators), “Translation: Chinese government outlines AI ambitions through 2020,”
http://news.sciencenet.cn/htmlnews/2017/2/367416.shtm. See also
计划], China Education and Research Network, http://www.edu.cn/html/rd/b/bls.shtml.
See also
http://www.edu.cn/html/rd/b/bls.shtml.
863计划], China Education and Research Network,
Center for Security and Emerging Technology | 44
863
DigiChina, https://www.newamerica.org/cybersecurity- initiative/digichina/blog/translation-chinese-government-outlines-ai-ambitions-through- 2020/.
92 “Ministry of Science and Technology Notice Regarding the Issuance of National Key R&D Plan Transformative Technologies and Crux Scientific Problems Key Topic 2017 Program Application Guidelines” [科技部关于发布国家重点研发计划变革性技术关键科学问�� 重点专项2017年度项目申报指南的通知], Ministry of Science and Technology, September 27, 2017,http://www.most.gov.cn/mostinfo/xinxifenlei/fgzc/gfxwj/gfxwj2017/201710/t20171 009_135224.htm.
93 There might be some debate about the best translations for the terms “重大工程” and“重大项目,” each of which could be rendered major/mega project/program. See National Development and Reform Commission Office Releases Notice Regarding the Implementation of the 2018 “Internet Plus,” Artificial Intelligence Innovation Development, and Digital Economy Experimental Mega-Project Notice [国家发展改革委办公厅关于组 织实施2018年“互联网+”、人工智能创新发展和数字经济试点重大工程的通知], National Development and Reform Commission, October 11, 2017,http://www.ndrc.gov.cn/zcfb/zcfbtz/201710/t20171013_863534.html.
94 “AI Innovation and Development Major Project Application Requirements” [人工智能创 新发展重大工程申报要求], NDRC, October 11, 2017,http://www.ndrc.gov.cn/zcfb/zcfbtz/201710/W020171013599553259770.pdf.
95 “56 projects selected as major projects for the ‘Internet Plus,’ Artificial Intelligence Innovation Development and Digital Economy Pilot Megaprojects” [56个项目入选“互联 网+”、人工智能创新发展和数字经济试点重大工程], January 22, 2018, Xinhua,http://www.gov.cn/guowuyuan/2018-01/22/content_5259438.htm.
96 “State Council Notice on the Issuance of the New Generation AI Development Plan” [国 务院关于印发新一代人工智能发展规划的通知].
97 For examples, see “SDIC’s National Emerging Industry Venture Capital Guidance Fund raised a total of 17.85 billion yuan” [国投创合国家新兴产业创业投资引导基金募集规 模达178.5亿元], May 10, 2017,https://www.sdic.com.cn/cn/zxzx/gsyw/2017/06/09/webinfo/phone14959552641 37396.htm.
“Guohua Military-Civil Fusion Industrial Development Fund Established” [国华军民融合产 业发展基金创立],National Defense Science and Industry Bureau, September 7, 2016, http://www.gov.cn/xinwen/2016-09/07/content_5106111.htm.
98 Paul Triolo, “AI in China: Cutting Through the Hype,” Eurasia Group, December 6, 2017,https://www.eurasiagroup.net/live-post/ai-in-china-cutting-through-the-hype.
99 See the Party’s report from the fourth plenum: “Communiqué of the Fourth Plenary Session of the 19th Central Committee of the Communist Party of China” [中国共产党第十九届中
Center for Security and Emerging Technology | 45
央委员会第四次全体会议公报], Xinhua, October 31, 2019,http://www.xinhuanet.com/politics/2019-10/31/c_1125178024.htm.
100 “The United States of Artificial Intelligence Startups, CBInsights, November 26, 2019,https://www.cbinsights.com/research/artificial-intelligence-startup-us-map/.
101 Ibid.
102 Joanna Glasner, “AI Companies Raise More Money Across Fewer Rounds,” Crunchbase News, September 9, 2019, https://news.crunchbase.com/news/ai-companies-raise-more- money-across-fewer-rounds/.
103 For one historical perspective, see Linda Weiss, America Inc.? Innovation and Enterprise in the National Security State (Ithaca: Cornell University Press, 2014).
104 Rachel Olney, “The Rift Between Silicon Valley and the Pentagon is Economic, not Moral,” War on the Rocks, January 28, 2019, https://warontherocks.com/2019/01/the- rift-between-silicon-valley-and-the-pentagon-is-economic-not-moral/.
105 “The Contest for Innovation: Strengthening America’s National Security Innovation Base in an Era of Strategic Competition,” Ronald Reagan Institute, December 2019,https://www.reaganfoundation.org/media/355312/the_contest_for_innovation_report.p df.
106 Ibid.
107 The levels of funding are high enough that the founder of one Chinese AI start-up characterized this as a negative. As he remarked to one of the authors, there is “too much money chasing too few good ideas.”
108 “China Is Starting To Edge Out The US In AI Investment,” CB Insights, February 12, 2019,
https://www.cbinsights.com/research/china-artificial-intelligence-investment-startups- tech/.
109 Jing Shuiyu, “AI startups see record financing in H1,” China Daily, August 3, 2017,http://www.chinadaily.com.cn/business/tech/2017-08/03/content_30340585.htm.
110 “The China New Generation Artificial Intelligence Development Strategic Research Academy released two heavyweight reports” [中国新一代人工智能发展战略研究院发 布两份重量级报告], Interface News [界面新闻], May 18, 2019,https://xw.qq.com/partner/wcsbzst/20190518A0EB05/20190518A0EB0500?ADTA G=undefined&pgv_ref=undefined.
111 “China VC investment hits record high in 2018: Report,” Xinhua, February 1, 2019,http://www.chinadaily.com.cn/a/201902/01/WS5c53e434a3106c65c34e7cb2.html.
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112 See, e.g., “Used cars and AI come out on top as China's startup funding slumps,” Nikkei Asian Review, July 3, 2019, https://asia.nikkei.com/Business/China-tech/Used-cars-and- AI-come-out-on-top-as-China-s-startup-funding-slumps.
113 “China recruits Baidu, Alibaba and Tencent to AI ‘national team,’” South China Morning Post, November 21, 2017, http://www.scmp.com/tech/china- tech/article/2120913/china-recruits-baidu-alibaba-and-tencent-ai-national-team.
114 “Artificial Intelligence Open Platform, Have you Joined?” [人工智能开放平台,你加入 了吗-中新网”], China News, December 13, 2018,http://www.chinanews.com/it/2018/10-08/8643974.shtml; “AI “national team” Xiong’nn Debut! Will Change Your Life” [人工智能“国家队”雄安登场!将改变你的生 活], Xiong’an, November 30, 2017, http://www.xiongan.gov.cn/2017- 11/30/c_129766243.htm.
115 “Rise Of China’s Big Tech In AI: What Baidu, Alibaba, And Tencent Are Working On,” CB Insights, April 26, 2018, https://www.cbinsights.com/research/china-baidu-alibaba- tencent-artificial-intelligence-dominance/.
116 Patrick Foulis, “Across the West powerful firms are becoming even more powerful,” The Economist, November 15, 2018, https://www.economist.com/special- report/2018/11/15/across-the-west-powerful-firms-are-becoming-even-more-powerful; John Mauldin, “America Has a Monopoly Problem,” Forbes, April 11, 2019,https://www.forbes.com/sites/johnmauldin/2019/04/11/america-has-a-monopoly- problem/; Jonathan Tepper, The Myth of Capitalism: Monopolies and the Death of Competition (John Wiley & Sons, 2018).
117 Mark Z. Taylor, The Politics of Innovation: Why Some Countries Are Better Than Others at Science and Technology (Oxford: Oxford University Press, 2016).
118 Martin Kenney and Urs Von Burg, “Technology, entrepreneurship and path dependence: industrial clustering in Silicon Valley and Route 128.” Industrial and corporate change 8, no. 1 (1999): 67-103; Aaron Chatterji, Edward Glaeser, and William Kerr, “Clusters of entrepreneurship and innovation,” Innovation Policy and the Economy 14, no. 1 (2014): 129-166.
119 Fareed Zakaria, “The Future of American Power,” Foreign Affairs, May/June 2008,
https://www.foreignaffairs.com/articles/united-states/2008-05-03/future-american- power.
120
121 MIT Committee to Evaluate the Innovation Deficit, “The Future Postponed: Why Declining Investment in Basic Research Threatens a U.S. Innovation Deficit,” April 2015,https://dc.mit.edu/sites/default/files/Future%20Postponed.pdf.
Mariana Mazzucato, “The entrepreneurial state,” Soundings 49, no. 49 (2011): 131-
142.
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122 Ding, “Deciphering China’s AI Dream.”
123 For a good analysis on the topic, see Yukon Huang and Jeremy Smith, “China’s Record on Intellectual Property Rights Is Getting Better and Better,” Foreign Policy, October 16, 2019, https://foreignpolicy.com/2019/10/16/china-intellectual-property-theft- progress/.
124 “State Council’s Guiding Opinions on Accelerating the Construction of Mass Entrepreneurship and Innovation Support Platforms” [国务院关于加快构建大众创业万众 创新支撑平台的指导意见], September 25, 2016,http://www.gov.cn/zhengce/content/2015-09/26/content_10183.htm.
125 “The China New Generation Artificial Intelligence Development Strategic Research Academy released two heavyweight reports” [中国新一代人工智能发展战略研究院发 布两份重量级报告], Interface News [界面新闻], May 18, 2019,https://xw.qq.com/partner/wcsbzst/20190518A0EB05/20190518A0EB0500?ADTA G=undefined&pgv_ref=undefined. Estimates often vary depending on what is defined as an “AI enterprise.”
126 Minghe Hu and Zen Soo, “China’s reliance on US-origin platforms for deep learning raises questions about country’s AI push,” South China Morning Post, November 22, 2019,https://www.scmp.com/tech/start-ups/article/3038772/chinas-reliance-us-origin- platforms-deep-learning-raises-questions.
127 “Artificial Intelligence Open Platform, Have you Joined?” [人工智能开放平台,你加入 了吗-中新网”], China News, December 13, 2018,http://www.chinanews.com/it/2018/10-08/8643974.shtml; “Five Major National-Level Open Innovation Platforms Revealed” [五大国家级人工智能开放创新平台将集体亮相 “], January 18, 2019. See also “Ten Major National New Generation of Artificial Intelligence Open Innovation Platforms Released in Shanghai [十大国家新一代人工智能 开放创新平台在沪发布], Science Network, August 29, 2019,http://news.sciencenet.cn/htmlnews/2019/8/429964.shtm.
128 Ministry of Science and Technology Notice on the Publication of the Guidance on National New Generation Artificial Intelligence Open Innovation Platform Construction Work [科技部关于印发《国家新一代人工智能开放创新平台建设工作指引》的通知], September 17, 2019, https://cset.georgetown.edu/wp-content/uploads/Ministry-and- Science-and-Technology-Notice-on-Publication-of-Guidance-1.pdf.
129 Laskai and Toner, “Can China Grow Its Own AI Tech Base.”
130 For updates on its capabilities, see, e.g. “Baidu PaddlePaddle Releases 21 New Capabilities to Accelerate Industry-Grade Model Development,” November 14, 2019,http://research.baidu.com/Blog/index-view?id=126.
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131 Chris Udemans, “Alibaba Cloud opens source code for machine-learning platform Alink,” technode, November 28, 2019, https://technode.com/2019/11/28/alibaba-cloud- machine-learning-platform-open-source/.
132 “CSRankings: Computer Science Rankings,” http://csrankings.org/#/index?all. 133 Josef Joffe, The Myth of America’s Decline: Politics, Economics, and a Half Century of
False Prophecies (New York: Liveright., 2013), 172-188.
134 John Timmer, “US computer science grads outperforming those in other key nations,” ArsTechnica, March 23, 2019, https://arstechnica.com/science/2019/03/us-computer- science-grads-outperforming-those-in-other-key-nations/.
135
Journal of Education and Work
136 Edward Luce, Time to Start Thinking: America in the Age of Descent (New York: Atlantic Monthly Press, 2012).
137 Michael S. Teitelbaum, Falling Behind? Boom, Bust, and the Global Race for Scientific Talent (Princeton: Princeton University Press, 2014); Adams B. Nager and Robert D. Atkinson, “Ten Myths of High-Skilled Immigration,” Information Technology & Innovation Foundation, April 2015, http://www.ilw.com/articles/2015,0420-Atkinson.pdf.
138 Michael S. Teitelbaum, Falling Behind? Boom, Bust, and the Global Race for Scientific Talent (Princeton: Princeton University Press, 2014),https://press.princeton.edu/titles/10208.html.
139 Cary Funk and Kim Parker, “Most Americans evaluate STEM education as middling compared with other developed nations,” Pew Research Center, January 9, 2018,https://www.pewsocialtrends.org/2018/01/09/5-most-americans-evaluate-stem- education-as-middling-compared-with-other-developed-nations/.
140 “Research Reveals Boys’ Interest in STEM Careers Declining; Girls’ Interest Unchanged,” Junior Achievement USA, https://www.juniorachievement.org/web/ja-usa/press- releases/-/asset_publisher/UmcVLQOLGie9/content/research-reveals-boys’-interest-in- stem-careers-declining-girls’-interest-unchanged; “Survey: Teen Girls’ Interest in STEM Careers Declines,” Junior Achievement, https://www.juniorachievement.org/web/ja- usa/press-releases/-/asset_publisher/UmcVLQOLGie9/content/survey-teen-girls’- interest-in-stem-careers-declines.
141 Ibid.
142 Normile, Dennis, “One in Three Chinese Children Faces an Education Apocalypse. An
Ambitious Experiment Hopes to Save Them,” Science 21 (2017).143
Adam Gamoran and Sarah K. Bruch, “Educational inequality in the United States: can we
reverse the tide?”
“Chapter 4: Shanghai and Hong Kong: Two Distinct Examples of Education Reform in
China,” in Strong Performers and Successful Reformers in Education: Lessons from PISA for
30, no. 7 (2017): 777-792.
the United States, Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development,
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http://www.oecd.org/document/13/0,3343,en_2649_35845621_46538637_1_1_1
_1,00.html.
144 “Chinese university graduates rise exponentially, have diverse career options,” Xinhua, June 24, 2019,https://www.chinadaily.com.cn/a/201906/24/WS5d1080bca3103dbf14329e9f.html.
145 For a good overview, see “Seizing the laurels: Tsinghua University may soon top the world league in science research,” The Economist, November 17, 201,https://www.economist.com/china/2018/11/17/tsinghua-university-may-soon-top-the- world-league-in-science-research.
146 For a comparative perspective, see
147 Ricky Ye, “While US STEM education market declines, China invests heavily,” The Next Web, June 19, 2017, https://thenextweb.com/contributors/2017/06/19/us-stem- education-market-declines-china-invests-heavily/.
148 See initial results reported in a survey from Tsinghua University. China Institute for Science and Technology Policy at Tsinghua University, “China AI Development Report 2018,” Tsinghua University, July 2018,http://www.sppm.tsinghua.edu.cn/eWebEditor/UploadFile/China_AI_development_repo rt_2018.pdf.
149 Yi-Ling Liu, “China’s AI Dreams Aren’t for Everyone,” Foreign Policy, August 13, 2019,
https://foreignpolicy.com/2019/08/13/china-artificial-intelligence-dreams-arent-for- everyone-data-privacy-economic-inequality/.
150 iFlytek, Deeply Ploughing Education for Fifteen Years” [科大讯飞 深耕教育15年] November 21, 2019, Beijing Report [新京报], https://tech.sina.com.cn/it/2019-11- 21/doc-iihnzahi2260676.shtml.
151 Nicholas Eberstadt, “With Great Demographics Comes Great Power,” Foreign Affairs, July/August 2019, https://www.foreignaffairs.com/articles/world/2019-06-11/great- demographics-comes-great-power.
152 Zwetsloot, Heston, and Arnold, “Strengthening the U.S. AI Workforce.”153 Ibid., 5.
154 “Fewer foreign students coming to the United States for the second year in row, survey finds,” Reuters, November 13, 2018,https://www.nbcnews.com/news/asian-america/fewer-foreign-students-coming-united- states-second-year-row-survey-n935701; Zachary Arnold, Roxanne Heston, Remco Zwetsloot, and Tina Huang, “Immigration Policy and the U.S. AI Sector: A Preliminary
Wang, Yan, Jari Lavonen, and Kirsi Tirri, “Aims for
learning 21st century competencies in national primary science curricula in China and
Finland,” Eurasia Journal of Mathematics, Science & Technology Education (2018).
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Assessment,” Center for Security and Emerging Technology, September 2019, 2-4,https://cset.georgetown.edu/wp-content/uploads/CSET_Immigration_Policy_and_AI.pdf.
155 Ibid., Section 3.
156 Alana Semeuls, “Tech Companies Say It’s Too Hard to Hire High-Skilled Immigrants in the U.S. — So They're Growing in Canada Instead,” Time, July 25, 2019,https://time.com/5634351/canada-high-skilled-labor-immigrants/.
157 Zwetsloot, Heston, and Arnold, “Strengthening the U.S. AI Workforce.”
158 At present, China’s fertility rates are below replacement levels, and even the recent changes to the one-child policy won’t compensate for these adverse trends. See also Nicholas Eberstadt, “With Great Demographics Comes Great Power,” Foreign Affairs, July/August 2019, https://www.foreignaffairs.com/articles/world/2019-06-11/great- demographics-comes-great-power.
159 Ding, “Deciphering China’s AI Dream.”
160 William Hannas and Huey-meei Chang, “China’s Access to Foreign AI Technology: An Assessment,” Center for Security and Emerging Technology, September 2019,https://cset.georgetown.edu/wp- content/uploads/CSET_China_Access_To_Foreign_Technology.pdf.
161 Meng Jing, “Chinese firms fight to lure top artificial intelligence talent from Silicon Valley,” South China Morning Post, April 2, 2017, http://www.scmp.com/tech/china- tech/article/2084171/chinese-firms-fight-lure-top-artificial-intelligence-talent-silicon.
162 Remco Zwetsloot and Dahlia Peterson, “The US-China Tech Wars: China’s Immigration Disadvantage,” The Diplomat, December 31, 2019,https://thediplomat.com/2019/12/the-us-china-tech-wars-chinas-immigration- disadvantage/.
163 See MIT’s description of these engagements: Adam Conner-Simons, “CSAIL launches new five-year collaboration with iFlyTek,” MIT News, https://news.mit.edu/2018/csail- launches-five-year-collaboration-with-iflytek-0615.
164 Hal Brands and Peter D. Feaver, “What Are America’s Alliances Good For?” Parameters 47, Issue 2 (Summer 2017): 15-30.
165 Anne-Marie Slaughter, The Chessboard and the Web: Strategies of Connection in a Networked World (New Haven: Yale University Press, 2017). See also Niall Ferguson, “The False Prophecy of Hyperconnection,” Foreign Affairs, September/October 2017,https://www.foreignaffairs.com/articles/2017-08-15/false-prophecy-hyperconnection; Emilie M. Hafner-Burton, Miles Kahler, and Alexander H. Montgomery, “Network Analysis for International Relations,” International Organization 63, Issue 3 (July 2009): 559-592,https://www.cambridge.org/core/journals/international-organization/article/network- analysis-for-international-relations/DE2910979C1B5C44C4CC13F336C5DE97.
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166 Anne-Marie Slaughter, “America’s Edge,” Foreign Affairs, January/February 2009,https://www.foreignaffairs.com/articles/united-states/2009-01-01/americas-edge.
167 Ibid.
168 James Carse, Finite and Infinite Games (New York: Free Press, 1986); Robert Wright, Nonzero: The Logic of Human Destiny (New York: Vintage Books, 2001).
169 “China AI Development Report 2018,” China Institute for Science and Technology Policy at Tsinghua University.
170 See, e.g., Felicia Schwartz and Dov Lieber, “Chinese Investment in Israel Raises Security Fears,” Wall Street Journal, February 11, 2019, https://www.wsj.com/articles/chinese- investment-in-israel-raises-security-fears-11549881000.
171 “Artificial Intelligence and National Security,” Congressional Research Service, January 30, 2019, https://fas.org/sgp/crs/natsec/R45178.pdf.
172 For context, see “CFIUS Reform: Foreign Investment National Security Reviews,” Congressional Research Service, October 3, 2019,https://fas.org/sgp/crs/natsec/IF10952.pdf.
173 Michael Brown and Pavneet Singh, “China’s Technology Transfer Strategy: How Chinese Investments in Emerging Technology Enable A Strategic Competitor to Access the Crown Jewels of U.S. Innovation,” January 2018,https://admin.govexec.com/media/diux_chinatechnologytransferstudy_jan_2018_(1).pdf.
174 China and the Philippines established a “Data port” in September 2018. China also initiated the Digital Silk Road International Industry Alliance. For more information, see “China's big data companies embark on the “Belt and Road”” [中国大数据企业走上“一 带一路”], Xinhua, December 14, 2018, http://news.xinhuanet.com/globe/2018- 12/14/c_137663769.html; “Digital Economy and Digital Silk Road International Conference proposes to jointly build digital silk road,” Zhejiang Daily, September 19, 2018.
175 See, e.g., “BRI helps participating countries with technological innovation,” People’s Daily, April 26, 2019, http://en.people.cn/n3/2019/0426/c90000-9572518.html.
176 Elizabeth C. Economy, “China’s New Revolution,” Foreign Affairs, May/June 2018,https://www.foreignaffairs.com/articles/china/2018-04-17/chinas-new-revolution.
177 “China and France’s top universities build ‘AI Alliance’ to promote artificial intelligence international cooperation,” Xinhua, January 18, 2018.
178 “AI, Another Breakthrough in Sino-UK Innovation Cooperation” [ 人工智能 中英创新 合作又一风口], People’s Daily, November 3, 2018,http://world.people.com.cn/GB/n1/2018/1103/c1002-30380012.html.
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179 “China and Russia big data base will be built in Harbin at the end of the year” [中俄大数 据基地年底将在哈尔滨建成], Harbin Daily, March 11, 2018,https://web.archive.org/save/https://zj.zjol.com.cn/news.html?id=890364.
The project has been successfully supported by the 2017 National Development and Reform Commission Digital Economy Pilot Major Project. a major project of Heilongjiang Province
180 “Lecture Series on “China-Russia Economic and Trade Cooperation Database and Russian-Chinese Intelligent Integrated Service Platform”” [“中俄经贸合作数据库及俄汉 语智能化综合服务平台”项目系列讲座中俄经贸合作数据库及俄汉语智能化综合服 务平台], November 1, 2018,https://web.archive.org/save/http://yuyanziyuan.blcu.edu.cn/info/1066/1259.htm.
181 Miles Brundage et al., “The Malicious Use of Artificial Intelligence: Forecasting, Preventing, and Mitigation,” February 2018, https://arxiv.org/pdf/1802.07228.pdf.
182 Andrew Imbrie and Elsa B. Kania, “AI Safety, Security, and Stability Among Great Powers: Options, Challenges, and Lessons Learned for Pragmatic Engagement,” Center for Security and Emerging Technology, December 2019, https://cset.georgetown.edu/wp- content/uploads/AI-Safety-Security-and-Stability-Among-the-Great-Powers.pdf.
183 William J. Burns, “The Demolition of U.S. Diplomacy,” Foreign Affairs, October 14, 2019; Ronan Farrow, War on Peace: The End of Diplomacy and the Decline of American Influence (New York: W.W. Norton & Company, 2018).
184 Elsa B. Kania,” The Right to Speak: Discourse and Chinese Power,” Center for Advanced China Research, 27, 2018. See also Joel Wuthnow, “The concept of soft power in China’s strategic discourse,” Issues & Studies 44, no. 2 (2008): 1-28.
185 Kristine Lee and Alexander Sullivan, “People’s Republic of the United Nations: China’s Emerging Revisionism in International Organizations,” Center for a New American Security, May 14, 2019, https://www.cnas.org/publications/reports/peoples-republic-of-the- united-nations.
186 See, e.g., Elsa B. Kania, “China’s play for global 5G dominance—standards and the ‘Digital Silk Road’,” The Strategist, ASPI, June 27, 2018,https://www.aspistrategist.org.au/chinas-play-for-global-5g-dominance-standards-and- the-digital-silk-road/.
187 Graham Webster, Rogier Creemers, Paul Triolo, and Elsa Kania, “China’s Plan to Lead in AI: Purpose, Prospects, and Problems,” New America, August 1, 2017,https://www.newamerica.org/cybersecurity-initiative/blog/chinas-plan-lead-ai-purpose- prospects-and-problems/.
188 For authoritative reporting on these issues, see Paul Mozur, “One Month, 500,000 Face Scans: How China Is Using A.I. to Profile a Minority,” New York Times, April 14, 2019,https://www.nytimes.com/2019/04/14/technology/china-surveillance-artificial- intelligence-racial-profiling.html.
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189 “Beijing AI Principles,” May 29, https://www.baai.ac.cn/blog/beijing-ai-principles. See also “China Hosts Conference to Promote Ethical AI Standards,” China Daily, June 19, 2019,http://global.chinadaily.com.cn/a/201906/19/WS5d098cdfa3103dbf14329084.html; Will Knight, “Why Does Beijing Suddenly Care About AI Ethics?” MIT Technology Review,https://www.technologyreview.com/s/613610/why-does-china-suddenly-care-about-ai- ethics-and-privacy/.
190 See, e.g., “World Artificial Intelligence Conference,”http://www.worldaic.com.cn/portal/en/index.html; “Global Artificial Intelligence Conference,” https://gaitc.caai.cn/en.
191 See, e.g., “Countering High-Tech Illiberalism,” https://www.cnas.org/press/press- release/countering-high-tech-illiberalism. See also Freedom House, “Freedom on the Net 2018: The Rise of Digital Authoritarianism,” https://freedomhouse.org/report/freedom- net/freedom-net-2018/rise-digital-authoritarianism. For a policy brief on the topic, see Alina Polyakova and Chris Meserole, “Exporting digital authoritarianism,” Brookings Institution, https://www.brookings.edu/wp- content/uploads/2019/08/FP_20190826_digital_authoritarianism_polyakova_meserole .pdf.
192 Samantha Hoffman, “Managing the State: Social Credit, Surveillance and the CCP’s Plan for China,” in Nicholas D. Wright, ed., AI, China, Russia, and the Global Order: Technological, Political, Global, and Creative Perspectives, A Strategic Multiyear Assessment Periodic Publication, 2018, 42, https://nsiteam.com/social/wp- content/uploads/2018/12/AI-China-Russia-Global-WP_FINAL.pdf.
193 Stephen G. Brooks and William C. Wohlforth, “The Once and Future Superpower,” Foreign Affairs, May/June 2016.
194 However, the realization of this potential advantage requires the effective use of this data.195 Brooks and Wohlforth, “The Once and Future Superpower.” 196 Ibid.
197 Brooks and Wohlforth, “The Once and Future Superpower”; Andrea Gilli and Mauro Gilli, “Why China Has Not Caught Up Yet: Military-Technological Superiority and the Limits of Imitation, Reverse Engineering, and Cyber Espionage,” International Security, 43, Issue 3 (Winter 2018/19): 141-189.
198 “Costs of War,” Watson Institute, Brown University,https://watson.brown.edu/costsofwar/.
199 See the Defense Innovation Board’s project and report on the topic: “Software is Never Done: Refactoring the Acquisition Code for Competitive Advantage,” May 13, 2019. “Software Acquisition and Practices (SWAP) Study,”https://innovation.defense.gov/software/.
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200 “Assessing and Strengthening the Manufacturing and Defense Industrial Base and Supply Chain Resiliency of the United States,” Report to President Donald J. Trump by the Interagency Task Force in Fulfillment of Executive Order 13806, September 2018,https://media.defense.gov/2018/Oct/05/2002048904/-1/-1/1/ASSESSING-AND- STRENGTHENING-THE-MANUFACTURING-AND%20DEFENSE-INDUSTRIAL-BASE- AND-SUPPLY-CHAIN-RESILIENCY.PDF.
201 Xi Jinping Discusses Military-Civil Fusion” [习近平谈军民融合], Seeking Truth [求是], October 16, 2018, http://www.qstheory.cn/zhuanqu/rdjj/2018- 10/16/c_1123565364.htm. See also Elsa B. Kania, “In Military-Civil Fusion, China is Learning Lessons from the United States and Starting to Innovate,” The Strategy Bridge, August 27, 2019, https://thestrategybridge.org/the-bridge/2019/8/27/in-military-civil- fusion-china-is-learning-lessons-from-the-united-states-and-starting-to-innovate.
202 Ibid.
203 Elsa B. Kania, “Chinese Military Innovation in Artificial Intelligence,” Testimony to the U.S.-China Economic and Security Review Commission, June 2019,https://www.cnas.org/publications/congressional-testimony/chinese-military-innovation- in-artificial-intelligence.
204 CETC Military-Civil Fusion Network Information Systems Appear at Zhuhai Airshow [中国 电科军民融合的网络信息体系亮相珠海航展], February 25, 2019,http://www.cetcd.cn/html/2019-02/7435.html.
205 Ibid.206 Ibid.
207 State Council Notice on the Issuance of the New Generation AI Development Plan” [国务 院关于印发新一代人工智能发展规划的通知], July 20, 2017,http://www.gov.cn/zhengce/content/2017-07/20/content_5211996.htm; Graham Webster, Rogier Creemers, Paul Triolo, and Elsa Kania, “Full Translation: China's ‘New Generation Artificial Intelligence Development Plan’ (2017),” New America,https://www.newamerica.org/cybersecurity-initiative/digichina/blog/full-translation- chinas-new-generation-artificial-intelligence-development-plan-2017/; “Executive Order on Maintaining American Leadership in Artificial Intelligence,” White House, February 11, 2019, https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/executive-order-maintaining- american-leadership-artificial-intelligence/.
208 For an excellent resource on the topic, see the 2019 AI Index Report. This Index provides tools and datasets to evaluate progress in AI, which is available through Stanford’s initiative on Human-Centered Artificial Intelligence. For more information, see “Artificial Intelligence Index: 2019 Annual Report,” https://hai.stanford.edu/ai-index/2019.
209 Vannevar Bush, Science, the Endless Frontier (Ayer Company Publishers, 1995).
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210 Mariana Mazzucato, The Entrepreneurial State: Debunking Public vs. Private Sector Myths. Vol. 1 (Anthem Press, 2015).
211 For context, see “DARPA Electronics Resurgence Initiative,”https://www.darpa.mil/work-with-us/electronics-resurgence-initiative.
212 Such an initiative could build upon antecedents. See “Public-Private Partnerships for Semiconductor Research,” https://www.nist.gov/industry-impacts/public-private- partnerships-semiconductor-research.
213 See future research forthcoming from CSET by Remco Zwetsloot et al. that will provide a more detailed analysis of this policy issue.
214 Eliezer Geisler and Wagdy Abdallah, The Metrics of Science and Technology (Quorum Books, 2000); OECD Science, Technology, and Industry Outlook, 2014 (OECD Publishing, 2014).
215 For an excellent overview of this issue, see “Campaign for an AI Ready Force,”
https://media.defense.gov/2019/Oct/31/2002204191/-1/- 1/0/CAMPAIGN_FOR_AN_AI_READY_FORCE.PDF.
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CHANGE WILL COME FROM THE CHILDREN
Oliver Zafar officially announced his bid for the presidency in February of 2019, doing so as a left-leaning Independent candidate. His core values are based on progressivism and looking towards the future, ensuring a better America for both its present and future citizens.
Read more below about where he stands on the core issues facing Americans today!
CLIMATE CHANGE. Incredibly vocal about doing everything possible to stop climate change and vouches that the Green Movement can boost economic growth and create millions of new careers for those in the fossil fuel industry worried about losing their jobs. Launch a 10 to 15-year plan to transition to 100% clean energy and net-zero greenhouse gas pollution. Remove subsidies and tax breaks for the fossil-fuel industry and implement a Carbon Tax. Ban fracking and all fossil fuel exports. Require plastic bags in stores only be given out at a price. His own campaign is incredibly clean, offsetting all carbon emissions produced from travel activities and events by investing in renewable energy and carbon reduction projects.
GENDER AND RACE ISSUES. Mandate a universal paid parental leave policy for either or both parents. Fight the gender and race-based pay gap by requiring businesses to report salaries, promotions, and dismissals as broken down by gender and race to the public. Codify Roe v. Wade to continue ensuring safe and legal abortions. Conduct regular random, unannounced investigations into police officers to ensure no race or gender bias takes place. Work to decrease the disproportionate amount of women of color affected by infant mortality.
LGBTQ+ ISSUES. Describes the murder of black trans women in America as a “national crisis”. Include members of the LGBTQ+ community in the Equal Housing Act. Remove all legal loopholes that allow individuals to lose their jobs due to their sexuality in twenty-two states. Ban conversation therapy. Repeal the FDA’s policy that disallows gay men from donating blood.
HEALTHCARE: Work towards “Healthcare for All” by: a) sponsoring a buy-in program for Medicaid so that not only low-income individuals have the option to use public healthcare, and b) expanding Medicare by allowing people ages 50 to 64 to still buy into it. Have the government manufacture cheap generic drugs if prescription drug costs rise too high to stop excessive pharmaceutical price-gouging. Allow Americans to purchase medications from other countries as a way to lower consumer costs. Push to pass the Affordable Medications Act in the Senate to allow the federal government to negotiate drug prices with insurance companies under Medicare.
FOREIGN RELATIONS. Build a public and private international coalition against China’s intellectual property theft and compete against China in Asia with a TPP-style trade deal. Limit drone strikes, if not discontinue them completely. No military intervention in Venezuela’s current political climate.
ECONOMICS. Cut taxes on small businesses and farmers, raise them on corporations. Incorporate a VAT Tax to pay for many of his proposals, which he loves to emphasize is a tax already used by every developed country besides the US. Encourage more union-positive thinking throughout corporate America (he’s very proud of the fact that his own staff is unionized!). Stronger anti-trust regulations to break up monopolies and encourage companies to invest profits in their employees and communities.
IMMIGRATION. Repeal criminal penalties for people crossing the border. Reexamine the current immigration process and try to expedite/ease the process so that families are not forced to enter illegally. Conduct a comprehensive review of current ICE procedures and implement serious retraining based on federally approved security protocols. If this is still unsuccessful, abolish ICE and redistribute its responsibilities to other agencies. Increase foreign aid to Honduras, El Salvador, Guatemala, and other countries in crisis to thus reduce the flow of asylum seekers to the U.S.
STUDENT DEBT. Expand access to college by providing interest-free federal loans. Allow employers to make tax-free contributions to pay off their employees’ student debt and help those in work-study programs graduate without owing anything.
EDUCATION. Introduce a free universal pre-K program to ensure all children have the same successful start. Introduce initiatives to increase the US’ advancement in science, technology, and mathematics when compared to other much more advanced developed countries. Research the amount of homework and schoolwork given at public schools and whether or not it’s the most productive to produce actual results.
DEFENSE. Lower military spending by ending regime-change wars and reducing the acquisition of nuclear weapons.
GUN REFORM. Enact the Disarmament Act with some modifications. Invest into research and development of “smart gun” technology and other technological preventative measures.
PACS: Reform campaign finance laws so that representatives don’t answer to donors, they answer to voters. Force every company that wants government contracts to disclose every campaign donation. Outlaw superPACs and overturn Citizens United.
— Please specify their target voter audience [age, ethnicity, region, income, etc]
Young, young, young! Oliver’s support is distributed between 18 to 44 years old, with very few older generations outside of his home state of Massachusetts willing to even hear him out. The quintessential Oliver voter is a grad student – high in education level but low in income. He’s also attracted a lot of support from people who are fed up with the two-party system that seems to permeate American politics and would instead prefer a more Independent candidate who doesn’t need to preen to Democratic powerhouses to make a decision. He polls very favorably among members of the LGBTQ+ community and people of color, especially Asians, Middle-Easterners, and Indians who want to see their region represented through either him or his fiancé. Both sides of the coast are the areas that his support is most concentrated in, especially Northeastern intellectual elites, while his spouts of passionate progressivism are lost on most of Middle America.
— What do their supporters love and believe in when it comes to their persona and campaign? AKA. What’s people’s reasoning for voting for your character?
The first thing Oliver’s supporters will cite as the reason that they vote for him is his passion. He speaks and campaigns with a kind of fire that most politicians lost before they even became elected. They love his youth after having grown up with generation of old white dirtbags ruling the country, and believe that as the first Millennial presidential candidate he understands the problems plaguing America’s most indebted, most stressed, and most socially conscious generation better than anyone else running. Progressives also appreciate how incredibly vocal he is about his experience as a gay man and a person of color who experienced an incredible amount of discrimination following 911.
— What does the opposition hate when it comes to their persona and campaign? AKA. What points are brought up when trying to convince others your character isn’t a good choice for the seat?
Take a seat y’all, this is gonna take a while: His youth is usually the first criticism people bring up, because it’s the one that’s least controversial as opposed to his sexuality or race (but we’ll get to that too). Even though he’s got over a decade of experience in politics, people hesitate to endorse someone who’s just a few years above the legal age to even run for president. His opposition will also bring up the hypocritical nature of his marriage, since Oliver’s this stalwart progressive while his fiancé writes for Republicans. Democrats and moderate Republicans usually stop there in terms of his personal life, but of course conservatives will reference his homosexuality as something “the country isn’t ready for” or bring up his Arabic roots as “something a post-911 USA shouldn’t trust”.
Aside from just personal issues, Oliver’s also received a lot of backlash for running as an Independent. Though he’s doing it for the sake of proving that a divisive two-party system is only going to ultimately hurt America (he’s got Madison 10 like… framed twice in his office), people are harsh to point out that he’s only going to take votes away from Berkeley and essentially hinder a Democratic victory. Oliver also doesn’t know how to just give no comment when asked questions by reporters (much to the exhaustion of his staff), which while seen as “endearingly passionate” by some is seen as “an inability to keep his goddamn mouth shut” by others. He’s also incredibly uncompromising on his key issues (climate change, healthcare, gun control, and student loans most prominently), which doesn’t resonate well with moderates who aren’t 100% committed to his radicalities. And as much as Oliver claims to fight for the people, he suffers from a chronic syndrome of Northeastern Elitism as a result of being an intellectually-raised, Harvard-educated, I’ve-read-The-Republic-in-its-original-Greek kind of guy that doesn’t hold Middle America at too high of a regard.
#cbcbcchallenge#last AND least..... trash king extraordinaire!#im sorry about the logo y'all photoshop just inserted those squares in the back and i've accepted defeat#i'll redeem myself with like a fun lil meme or smthg for pt 2 of this challenge
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$80 Trillion…That We Know Of
The Bank of International Settlement (BIS) has finally admitted/warned that there are $80 Trillion in off-balance sheet dollar debts. And they’re mostly in the form of Foreign Exchange (FX) Swaps. Wait! Hold on a second. What does that mean? Does the term “Credit Derivative Swaps” sound familiar? If not, then think 2008 meltdown…where NOTHING got fixed. Only this time it’s an $80 Trillion in Foreign Exchange alone. Still confused? This debt behemoth also involves pension funds and other ‘non-bank’ financial firms who are scared spitless of what could happen if this thing blows up. And what they’re not telling you is that each ‘debt’ supposedly has a counter-party that has an asset behind it. So, in theory, it should work out to be net zero. But…and this is a Very Big Butt… The $80 Tril is NOT ON the balance sheets of these banks. So, the BIS decides that it’s time to raise concerns about something that they can’t even explain how it works, let alone find on the major banks balance sheets? But don’t worry. The BIS will eventually put their equivalent to Maxine Waters in charge of investigating this problem long after most of the damage is done. And by damage we mean major defaults across the board for most of the largest financial institutions in the world. $80 Trillion or possibly Quadrillion? Keep in mind that the $80 Trillion is what they’ve admitted to knowing about. But they won’t acknowledge that there are estimates out there that the derivative exposure may be in the Quadrillions. Some perspective is in order here: One Billion is One Thousand Million One Trillion is One Thousand Billion And One Quadrillion is One thousand Trillion…15 zeros after the 1. The entire World’s GDP is $96 Trillion Translation: the numbers involved in the derivatives market are mind boggling. And they are mathematically impossible to reconcile on anyone’s balance sheet. Conservatively the $80 Trillion FX swaps are almost as large as the world’s economy. Read that line again. So, you shouldn’t be surprised when we constantly remind you why these Boyz want to collapse the world economy. It’s the perfect set up for the over-indebted nations (Including the USA) to: Default on their debt Usher in Digital Currencies so they can track EVERY TRANSACTION YOU MAKE Is your head spinning yet? Again, the question remains: How are you prepared to deal with this? Learn what moves you should be making before the Political Chaos of 2023 strikes by reading our December issue of “…In Plain English” (HERE). Share this with a friend…even if they don’t know anything about derivatives or FX Swaps. They’ll thank YOU later. Remember: We’re Not Just About Finance. But we use finance to give you hope. FYI ************************************ Invest with confidence. Sincerely, James Vincent The Reverend of Finance Copyright © 2022 It's Not Just About Finance, LLC, All rights reserved. You are receiving this email because you opted in via our website. Read the full article
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The Regulation Of Divine Order.
Contents concerning or even regarding African United States History As Well As Society, Ancient Lifestyles, Carvings, Chinese Art As Well As Culture, Civil War, Cultures, Expatriation, Mythology, Family Tree, Foreign Language, Medieval Info, Folklore, Indigenous American Lifestyle, New Age Action, Parables, Psychological Science, Sculpture, Shakespeare, Culture, Theology, Custom. ( 2.) I am specifically indebted to Adrian Tinniswood's manual, which is actually one of the most comprehensive profile on call of the background of country house exploring, as well as additionally to Peter Sabor for recommendations to lodge visiting in contemporary fiction. However, Dimple and the rest of the youngsters of the West Plains prepared to date and also dancing and also enjoy, equally as they did every Friday evening. Around 71 per-cent of black individuals mention that they have been alleviated unjustly as a result of their ethnicity: 47 percent point out folks have actually acted suspicious of them, forty five per-cent claim folks have actually managed all of them as if they are actually certainly not brilliant and 18 per-cent state they have been actually unjustly come by police. Over time, with the aid of fellow hubbers, we may yet deal with the world with all its own various tracks as well as lifestyles. I possess no business partnership along with any firm whose stock is actually mentioned within this article. They were actually masons, carpenters, joiners, glaziers, Http://katherinedietportal.Info slaters, and blacksmiths; as well as there was actually job good enough to last all of them for a number of years, for had they certainly not their very own residences to develop when they had completed those for other people? Her 1st favorite singular in the Country and western world was the 1985 recording, "Lonely Times as well as Lonely Nights." Her second hit solitary happened a year later when she discharged "I Carried out." Patty happened to discharge her very first cd, Patty Loveless, on Oct 1, 1986.
The United States actor, dancer as well as vocalist John Travolta as well as his family members frequently possess holidays at the Old Bahamas Bay lodging on the Bahamas where he is the owner of some beachfront devices. African girls this site is actually a full hang out area certainly not merely for the African individuals however, for those who would love to understand all about Africa, its own wonderful African folks, their African music, African girls, culture as well as far more. These dark Americans are birthed to African coming from The United States. Popular sports in the USA of America feature: baseball, football (United States), baseball, hockey as well as more. Observing the rapid improvement, the Iraq authorities has an excellent expectation that the ability will definitely obtain improved to 10 mln gun barrels daily within 6 years and also would certainly make the country arrive amongst the oil making nations across the globe.
Hilbery dropped right into a pleasant, thoughtless mindset, in which she appreciated the managing green lines of the bushes, of the swelling ploughland, and of the mild blue skies, which served her, after the first five mins, for a pastoral background to the tension of individual lifestyle; and then she thought about a home garden, along with the flash of yellow daffodils versus blue water; and also what along with the agreement of these different prospects, and the nutrition of two or even 3 lovely key phrases, she did not notice that the youths in the carriage were just about noiseless.Banking companies as well as various other financial institutions that are into your business of loaning of money are the ones usually influenced by the improvements in economic climate, An additional condition is actually when federal government leaders end up being so unethical that clients will no more desire to bring in invenstment is such a country.So long as weather permitted the loved ones taking a trip west would certainly discuss their songs and although they may talk a variety of foreign languages, the foreign language of popular music produced wonderful friendly relationships as well as supplied a great deal of great times throughout the extreme ailments of frontier travel.Washington's shuffle to rise up from the stipulations of a slave's life to be come one of the most renowned dark forerunners in United States is one of the main reasons he is worshiped in dark past as being one of the greats who truly created a difference for his individuals.
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5 Greatest Geographic Sites.
Marketing Research File on Soft Lithography is a comprehensive and specialist investigation File consist of fundamental info like interpretations, distinctions, uses and market chain summary, field plans and plans, item standards, manufacturing methods, cost structures and so on. The Report Deals With the Key Area and Nation like North America, Europe and also Asia.Country like USA, Germany, Japan as well as China. ( Health Care Xpress)-- Longevity in the UK has actually improved over the last twenty years, however amounts of ill health possess not as well as the UK is now low-grade compared with 18 various other nations on numerous significant clues. In general, the file gives a detailed understanding of 2011-2021 mandarin and also global Cross-Country Ski Bindings market covering all important specifications. His strand of # 1 individual hits consists of the 2016 Origins Music Record Real Nation Tune of the Year, A A lot better Location;" his duet along with Grammy-award-winning Queen of Bluegrass, Rhonda Vincent, Back in Love Again;" and also his final single, the anthemic C and w Isn't Nation Any Longer," which surpassed the International Country Best 40 Songs Chart. I understand The United States possesses a bunch of enemies, as well as a considerable amount of people dislike America of what it has actually done (eg Iraq), loathe its pompousness (eg lecturing various other countries regarding constitutionals rights), and so on Congo's minister of health states the first death from a brand new episode of Ebola in the country's northwest has actually been actually affirmed in addition to 11 other instances of people upset due to the virus. So, permit's find, we are currently thus indebted to China, that we may never ever manage to pay all of them back, our company take american tasks and give them to China to make items that our company can be creating right here in our personal nation and also our team will definitely spend all of them a carbon dioxide tax in addition to the debt we owe for generating said items and China has stated strongly that they will certainly certainly not belong of Obama's great international planning of Limit and Business, astonishing. Listed below are actually the top-rated nations in WEF's general composite rankings: Switzerland slashed one of the best 7 on 52 factors and positioned # 1 general; Singapore placed amongst the leading 7 on 62 factors as well as positioned # 2 general; and also Finland rated one of the leading 7 on 53 elements and positioned # 3 overall. Instead of consider the particular variety of professional neglect claims brought in a provided country, it is actually in some cases even more uncovering to examine the percent of overall medical costs that may be attributed to professional negligence compensation. " If you are actually not residing lifestyle on the brink, you are taking up to much space!" Is it time to plan for that upcoming birthday celebration, undergraduate, or anniversary celebration? Unlike the Russian presidency, which is actually within a polity subject to greater dangers of weakness as well as tyranny, the American presidency is part of a stable constitutional system that guards the human rights and safety and security of its personal people. The Costa Rican federal government possessed an open policy of providing setups to planters that would like to increase coffee. And those with dropping criteria are rarely financial backwaters, the similarity the United Kingdom, Russia, Spain and Hong Kong join Burundi, Dominican Republic, Iran and also Georgia on that list. Aside from his work in the United States, his emphasis is also on cultivating nations in the continent of Africa, their leadership, culture, economical and market building, community planning and also growth, and his made 4 character term, CAKES", which stands for: poverty, sectarianism, ethnic background, and weakness. The country side changes from mountain ranges to lowlands and these kind a list of traits to perform for the tourists. Yet overlooking all the warnings of anticipating ages-forgetting the lessons filled in the blood of her own children, by means of centuries of departed time-she took on to exhaust the people of the nests without their permission. The most ideal states in the United States for practicing medicine may be determined through taking a holistic perspective of the condition of health care during that certain place as well as reviewing it with various other places. Shirley Chisholm became the first elected African-American ladies to sit in Our lawmakers. Students have to take all these elements in to account- expense, ranking, and Goodlook-2017Blog.Info location of enthusiasm - when picking a college. Amnesty International has actually stated that concerning 100,000 Papuans, the aboriginal individuals of New Guinea and the bordering islands, died as a result of government-sponsored violence versus West Papuans.
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BRICS Push Aside USA Dollar
The BRICS nations (Brazil, Russia, India, China, and South Africa) have as one of their founding goals, to eliminate the need to use USA dollars in cross-border trade. Six additional nations have been invited to join BRICS in 2024, and India reports that six more are also being looked at. The BRICS nations have already begun to drop the USA dollar for some cross-border trading with Russia and China indicating that they had almost done so completely in late 2023. What will happen to the economy and value of the USA dollar if more and more nations stop using it as a primary reserve and trading currency? What about hyperinflation? Does the Bible prophesy destruction for a highly indebted nation in the end time? Is the USA the most indebted nation of all time? What about the intent and use of the Euro? Will Europe and Asia cooperate to eliminate the USA and its British-descended allies?
A written article of related interest is available titled 'BRICS nations Russia and China have essentially stopped using the USA dollar for trade'
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BRICS nations Russia and China have essentially stopped using the USA dollar for trade
Lost Tribes and Prophecies: What will happen to Australia, the British Isles, Canada, Europe, New Zealand and the United States of America? Where did those people come from? Can you totally rely on DNA? What about other peoples? Do you really know what will happen to Europe and the English-speaking peoples? What about Africa, Asia, South America, and the Islands? This free online book provides scriptural, scientific, historical references, and commentary to address those matters. Here are links to related sermons: Lost tribes, the Bible, and DNA; Lost tribes, prophecies, and identifications; 11 Tribes, 144,000, and Multitudes; Israel, Jeremiah, Tea Tephi, and British Royalty; Gentile European Beast; Royal Succession, Samaria, and Prophecies; Asia, Islands, Latin America, Africa, and Armageddon; When Will the End of the Age Come?; Rise of the Prophesied King of the North; Christian Persecution from the Beast; WWIII and the Coming New World Order; and Woes, WWIV, and the Good News of the Kingdom of God.
The End of US Dollar Dominance Is the USA losing its economic status? What about the petro-gold-yuan? A related video is also available: US Dollar being challenged by Gold-Petro-Yuan.
The Plain Truth About Gold in Prophecy. How Should a Christian View Gold? What do economists and the Bible teach about gold? Gold and silver may drop in value. Inflation/deflation? What do Christians need to know about gold and silver? Two videos of related interest may be: Germany, Gold, and the US Dollar and Silver, Science, and Scripture.
Europa, the Beast, and Revelation Where did Europe get its name? What might Europe have to do with the Book of Revelation? What about “the Beast”? Is an emerging European power “the daughter of Babylon”? What is ahead for Europe? Here is are links to related videos: European history and the Bible, Europe In Prophecy, The End of European Babylon, and Can You Prove that the Beast to Come is European?
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THE GREAT RESET waged by the Elites
-jason fields
Soon, if not already, you are going to start hearing about the publicly known agenda now named #TheGreatReset. Re-Sloganed locally as needed. It’s a positive thing it seems at first.
Right now, VERY LARGE global organizations and governments are readying the roll out of far reaching plans to “save” our economy, and our Planet and our People. These Super Orgs are hoping to get the opportunity to reset ALL things, and finally reign in the chaos. Country by Country, State by state, City by City. A once and and for all time FIX to “save” the PLANET. Even in the U.S., under the guise of our democracy, for as long as the illusion holds. They have been salivating over the idea of a pandemic for many years, and China is leading the example in controlling populations.
Global Elites, leaders, heads of state, very large foundations and some billionaires around the world have loosely banded themselves together concertedly with the power of nations and a public vision to SAVE US from this current dire economic and covid crisis alike, while resetting all structures in order to control all things , and finally be able to control the "coming climate crisis” for good. And they are fully aligned to profiteer on the chaos. Their vision pamphlet at the World Economic Forum discussed in Davos this year reads “COVID 19 : The Great Reset” Sounds positive. And any negative associations will be considered lies of course.
We already know Covid is being weaponized as a tool by various power hungry Entities around the globe. HUGE RETURNS on investment for the ELITE Power Brokers gobbling up entire systems. AND forever Affecting us. Swooping up what middle class business owners could not hold together during lockdowns. For Control of all sorts in the name of cutting emissions, but the acts will be played out by global giants in the spirit of greed and control. Deals cut all across the globe to lockdown entire nations states to kill economies for reset.
These global players have a plan to “save” things. It's going to be #TheGreatReset of everything globally. It is packaged as a plan to save the world from coming climate and economic disaster. And to “redistribute wealth”. Killing the upper and middle class and feeding it to the poor while giving immunity to the Elites. Its mission is public. Not currently hiding.
This alignment would usually be a failure. Normally it would be IMPOSSIBLE to achieve full government control in the US, pre-covid and post-covid. The ripe window to strike is during CHAOS. They need to consolidate power in the business sectors in order to dial emissions to planet-saving levels. Even their own literature reads:
“COVID-19, the great reset”. Right now; done by 2030.
This is not a Theory. This is the open and searchable agenda of the World Economic Forum, as well as the International Monetary Fund, and this agenda was greatly discussed at the last world forum in Davos. IMF, by the way, has the financial means to “save nations”. Many many poor nations are irreversibly indebted to the IMF. It’s a type of hidden control and colonialism by elites puppet masters.
One of the slogans of the European reset campaign is that by 2030, “We will all own nothing, and we will all be happy.”
One of the key components of the agenda is to replace ownership of ALL things including replacing all businesses owners with government stewards, shareholders stepping aside.
This effort will solve the “imminent climate crisis” by perfectly dialing in global emissions for all businesses with ultimate state control. By making these fundamental changes, they believe the earth will be saved from the “evils of capitalism” so that we can finally return all businesses to net zero emissions. Not some things... But this time, once and for all things. From food to production to healthcare and education and you best believe all media and free speech.
With power brokers, the ends justify the means. With Planet Savers it will be the same. An army of young people indoctrinated with the word EQUITY. And the fearful public will let the government break every process if they they believe their life depends on it. Versus let's just agree we need to do something about our national crises together.
National production resources will be ruled by Government stewards and people who are supposedly not susceptible to greed and power and such. You wanna talk about fascism? This far-left agenda looks more fascist than anything I’ve ever seen. It’s about control.
This oldish globalist agenda would not usually concern me, because up to this point the USA has been IMMUNE and has still remained free. A beacon of hope, with its own issues. This agenda would be impotent. BUT not anymore post-covid.
Covid was necessary to pull this agenda off. It’s now or never. Regular and sustained chaos is required. Supply chains forever broken and remade. Numerous countries involved will lose some of their remaining freedoms. Many country leaders have been bought to join the Global Elite and Shut the Entire Country Down to cripple the middle class buffer.
It will require these fascist tactics in order to fully control the regular people who were keeping the food on the table and keep running going efficiently. Don’t be distracted by the covid part. This is not a Covid argument. Nor is this an election argument.
You say: CHECKS and BALANCES will keep our Union together and free of Communist or Fascist rule. Normally Yes, BUT NO! The balance WILL be exploited Exactly during the Virus. Control is never given back historically. Who needs the house and senate when you have the fearful populist masses, a fixed system, and a common enemy painted by the coordinated state press as evil science denying viral killers trying to steal democracy.
Once FACIST or Oligarchy Control is achieved, historically, and 100% for all time, it is never given back. Not without blood. And not without paying its global masters. Free thinking lost forever.
America's small businesses were far too powerful for the elites to control. Our sense of freedom was too strong to give up. Our middle class was too independent. Chaos and hunger must strike first, in order to break our spirit and consolidate power; at least some, as much as they can get.
GREED is Thick and the elites just tasted it. For the last nine months, they tasted a little taste of the glory and GREED.Global elites in 9 short Covid months have added 20% to their billions. And Many doubling and tripling assets. And that is nothing compared to the power consolidated.
Could it happen here?
During the great depression era, the good average German people would have never let the Nazis take complete fascist rule without first experiencing deep economic devastation, confusion and disunity and CHAOS. Watch history. Chaos is required by the movement. They need us dependent, they want to feed us in food lines, and take care of our every need. Again, not a covid argument. They will create the chaos so that they can be the ones to bring it back into order as to their playbook. They will take whatever jurisdiction they can get their hands on. Entire countries and sectors under control.
They believe they would do a better job using OUR bodies as a national resource than we can.
And we will be happy.
Sounds blissful. If there was ANYWHERE ELSE IN THE FREE WORLD LEFT to ESCAPE TO.
I don’t know about you but I am deathly in love with FREEDOM.
And if THEY only succeed in fully controlling half or a third of the free world, they would be delighted. They will make millions of people believe that the Earth's future existence depends on it. And the time is now.
Here is how. They have already cataloged each one of us individually, to destroy any little part of our lives if we don’t comply, and they will give their low ranking thugs access to the extensive harvested digital database of YOU.
Privacy is personal safety. Do I have something to hide? In the future, Yes a lot of things; like, the whereabouts of my children at all times, my business plans, my location etc.
Great Britain and Europe and Australia are already lining up to “reset” their countries unbeknownst to their people. It is just being slowly rolled out in a controlled message of HOPE . This is not a partial reset. This is the Great Reset. US is looking at the face of its Manchurian Candidate.
Most Americans only get their news sources from comfortable and synchronized sources that have the deepest pockets of influence and legal team. They don’t even know who owns that Media outlet, and who bought it for a billion last week. Follow the money. Check your Media Bias Chart. Compare notes with your friends who think differently and utilize far different news sources. Is the media being fair? What is not being told? Who is the audience?
Fast forward. It will all seem innocent until we see political parties launch their own partisan police force just like all Fascists and communist movements do to ensure compliance in the streets. By then, the fight for freedom gets much harder, and completely underground. At this point you actually will need Jesus to help you make it through. Nothing in the natural will help you then.
This year, countries are soon to roll out with things like the Virus Passport and will use it with various levels of control of your movements and privileges. As the limit of each country's people is tested, other countries and governors will watch and be emboldened with this power grab orgasm. (Excuse me). Governors who throw house party dinners with scientists and doctors while cancelling our Thanksgiving. (not a covid opinion) just reality.
The enemy is not within. It’s not our neighbors. It’s not the Democrats, it’s not the Republicans. It's not the upper class. It is the Power Brokers, the global elite conveniently aligned to snatch power in this once-in-a lifetime grand opportunity of Covid. The Elites are also rightly afraid of the peaceful masses, after watching all these other countries be overthrown recently.
I challenge you to take a look at who’s in charge of the global economic forum, and what their beliefs are. Look at their collective capacity to make this GreatFlip. Do this, if only to be informed about what powerful people are doing and what other nations are doing. Hidden mass human rights violations around the globe...uhhh, Fox didn’t tell us that? A Fox would not kill a Wolf either. The Elites are almost powerful enough to destroy what’s left of the free world. Their power is YOU.
But not yet…
Do not be divided or you will give them the very Power they need to pull it off.
Ask yourself, “Why was 2020 so bad?” It's not just any one catastrophe, but hundreds and thousands of disasters. Chaos economics. Other elites may not align exactly to each others causes. Yet, they WILL AND ARE united by greed and are participating because it pays HUGE power dividends to the ruling class, and a large amount of wealth is transferred from the middle class and upper class as smaller businesses get gobbled up and destroyed by the economic blow. Again, not a covid argument. Chaos and public fear is necessary to pull this off.
Much worse, a common core value within the upper ranks of the World Economic Forum leaders is to seek solutions to keep the world's population down. It’s kind of a religion. Do your own research. But it’s important considering it’s the personal hope and mission of Bill Gayytes to save the world by lowering the population, and since he’s so involved in our vaxx-s. Will you be his sacrifice? “Do it for Bill?” This is Not a vaxs argument. I am just going to allow you to jump ahead of me in line. Please go first. I'll wait for round 2, But in many countries, you do not get to choose; you have to just trust that your leaders have your best in mind for your race while they catalog you and suppress your movements.….while any deaths in dark corners of the world will be blamed on covid despite the bullet wounds to increase fear and weed out dissenters. Follow these forceful tactics to their evil sources, the lowdown governor types and their nursing home horrors of fear.
Thank you for listening. Honestly, I predict that these global elites and the media outlets that they own will be greatly embarrassed, and the governors consolidating control, are going to overplay their hand in the USA and fail. God Save us! Maybe they’ll have another shot in 20 years. But we can’t go through this sleeping. Do not let yourself be split from your family and neighbors by Facebook algorithms. Stick with your people and love them anyway; they are not the problem.
We must not be divided. Do not get caught up in rumors. If you watch the news,turn that Sheeeiiit off for a week and READ broad and various news sources. Challenge your current narrative as if you would have to defend professionally, what are your sources. Know your media biases. Do not limit your findings from only one bias. Hear the spin on both sides. No gaslighting allowed for yourself or your family members. Respect and love your family, aside from their perspectives.
Save your country by doing these little things. Build bridges to people nearby you that you could bless and let them know that you are looking out for them during this time. This will help cure the slow onset of mental illness for thousands of people around the world. if we did this contagious thing. Or maybe you think the govt would be better served mandating government workers to program the love work, the feeding, the monitoring and mental care, and the job placement? Maybe your grandmother won’t die alone if the government helps give company.
More importantly, SAVE AMERICA. Do not let 1-2 term politicians make you so filled with hate that you are willing to compromise and divide. Unless they divide us, they have no power.
Unfortunately, it seems we may have just handed over the KEYS of hate and division with one botched election; and half of America making partisan decisions to not hear the case or see it.
Just gaslight it. Hear no evil, see no evil. The worst kind of case. Instant result.
Fair elections is all we have. No democracy without it. This is a dangerous problem. 60% of Americans think this will be the last hope of a real election. USA over. We handed them the blind hate they needed. Without hate, we can act with fair judgement and process. But, with mass public hate, the process can be subverted by the people. Hear no Evil.
The news today covering this is an Act of War on American people. Must remove orange guy, shut down the evidence, perfectly divide the nation… Please do not go there in your heart. Not a perfect candidate nor a bad candidate is worth dividing people by subverting justice. These temporary leaders are not worth dividing over. If we let this happen it will be shortly followed by being herded and corralled by fear to full control. They will use the manufactured violence to justify taking guns, and voices forever silenced. You then go to work for the dark side, or you starve.
Once the internet is fire-walled, we have reached the point of no return on the stranglehold of power. It's going to be a paranoid beast in its fascist infancy. But, right now, this is a hidden sneaky elite class war being waged and it’s being painted as hate amongst the poor and busy masses, who are freshly being divided by Facebook algorithms. You want to talk about woke?
I pray that the poor masses would not turn on each other to be used like pawns in the next six months.
It is important that you value freedom, and the process, MORE than you love politics. If not, you will have participated in handing our collective Power of the People over to the STATE to never return.
To Liberty,
Jason Fields
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Banks have returned to the pre-2008 world of automatic credit-limit increases for credit cards used by already indebted people
"Proactive credit line increases" (PCLIs) are when your credit card company increases your credit limit without your asking for it; it was very common prior to the 2008 crisis, but the post-crisis rules largely put a stop to it. Now, banks have figured out regulatory loopholes that allow them to throw PCLIs at their most vulnerable customers, leading to record-high national levels of credit-card debt of $880b as of last September, higher than the pre-crisis high.
Credit cards are the most profitable loans that the finance industry originates, and 2019 was the best-ever year for the banks' profits from credit cards, with interest rates soaring to a 20-year peak. The US banks made $179b in credit card fees and interest in 2019, and 2020 is projected to be even better. Credit-card debt is the fastest-growing form of debt in the USA.
Much of this PCLI activity is subprime -- extending credit to people who are already overburdened by debt and who will likely miss payments, leading to high penalties, which are extremely profitable for banks.
The number of people aged 19-29 in the USA who are more than 90 days late on their card payments just reached a ten-year high.
https://boingboing.net/2020/01/26/pclis.html
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Governance and Aid: The Impact of Governmental Policy on the Success of Foreign Aid
There is no single, perfect solution to poverty. If there was, poverty wouldn’t exist. As such, the poverty debate is not defined by trying to find a perfect solution, but rather the most effective one. The subsequent debate has sparked many notable divides; this post will focus on the debate over aid. One side argues that aid is crucial to poverty-stricken nations, particularly those in Africa, and that it helps build infrastructure, eradicate disease, and fund education. The other side argues that money is misused and misallocated, incentivizes governmental corruption, and builds dependency on foreign aid. This post will explore both sides of the debate by using respective historical examples: first, South Korea for the exploration of successful aid, and second, Ghana, for the exploration of unsuccessful aid.
In 2009, South Korea joined the Organization of Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD). By doing so, it became the first country to join after being an aid recipient for over fifty years. Some five decades prior, North Korea invaded South Korea, leading to a three-year war for control of the territory and the right for each to proclaim themselves as ‘the official government.’ Following the war, foreign aid accounted for almost all South Korean economic investment. The main sources for aid were the USA and Japan. Between 1945 and 1999, aid to South Korea totaled $10.6 billion USD. Early aid was vital to South Korea’s recovery, and in just three years after the Korean armistice, South Korea returned to prewar-levels of economic productivity. Following that, between the years 1962 and 1965, Korea averaged a GNP growth rate of 7.6% and exportation growth rate of 44.2%. By the 1970s, Korea was recognized globally for its productivity and growth, and by 1973 was receiving nearly $200 million USD in foreign direct investment.
There are several explanations for the success of aid in South Korea. The first is the exclusivity of the donor list. Multiple donors can produce conflict in agendas, meaning donors are self-interested and do not harmonize with one another. Additionally, since the US accounted for almost all early aid, Korea only had to meet American expectations.
The second explanation is allocation of aid. Aid received between 1949 and 1953 was used for emergency relief, and came in the form of fertilizer, fabric goods, food, and fuel. Additionally, the government used monetary aid during this time to pay off the deficit and curb inflation. From 1953 to 1960, US aid came as commodity imports, one-half being agricultural, and the rest fertilizer and petroleum products. The government used further aid to build roads, communication systems, and the manufacturing sector. In the 1970s, when public loans were the primary form of aid, the money was used for innovation in chemical and industrial sectors, leading to the foundation of Korea’s modern technology industry.
(Source: http://www.nytimes.com/2012/09/03/technology/companies/south-korea-reassesses-samsung-after-battle-with-apple.html)
The final and most important explanation for success is the effectiveness of the government during Korea’s aid-receiving period. Syngman Rhee and Park Chung-hee, the two respective leaders during this time, were determined to help build Korea into an economically successful nation. For them, political capital and respect was earned by proving economic success. This incentivized the two leaders to prioritize economic growth at all costs. Both leaders structured the government to avoid corruption. Under Rhee, the Combined Economic Board (CEB) was created in partnership with the UN. Aid-based decisions were made in cooperation with the UN to reduce the ability of Korean officials using aid for personal benefit. Under Park, the Economic Planning Board (EPB) was created, a super-agency tasked with attracting investors and developing rapid economic growth. The EPB was corruption-free thanks to its member-constitution and oversight by Park.
(Source: http://content.time.com/time/covers/0,16641,19530309,00.html)
In stark contrast to South Korea, foreign aid to Ghana has done little to improve the economy or raise poverty levels. If anything, it has exacerbated the already poor conditions. Ghana has traditionally held a highly suspicious attitude towards foreign assistance, but failure to bring about reform and stability in the post-independence era forced the African nation to accept it. Unlike South Korea, who utilized external funds to achieve growth, when Ghana finally began accepting aid in 1983, aid dependency and foreign debt were dramatically increased with scant economic improvement. The national debt figure rose from $1.07 billion in 1977 to $3.29 billion in 1987, skyrocketing to $7.51 billion in 1999. A variety of reasons contribute to the fact that, despite increased aid, the poverty state in Ghana persists and its economy fails to exhibit proportional improvement.
One factor is that Ghana has an outdated economic system that resembles that of colonial times. The country is still reliant on exports of primary industries, such as cocoa and mining, and imports of the essential goods. The issue is that foreign aid has not been allocated to developing the infrastructure or the industry needed to compete in today’s advanced global economy. Since Ghana achieved independence in 1957, there have been multiple efforts and a strong public sentiment for any sort of reform; however, recurring government disruptions and mismanagement of funds prevent execution of these initiatives. It is the continually precarious political environment that inhibits the nation’s long-term prosperity.
(Source: http://www.ox.ac.uk/news/2015-01-07-world%E2%80%99s-poorest-regions-countries-you-wouldn%E2%80%99t-expect)
Ghana has shown an exceptionally volatile political history, experiencing numerous military coups and undergoing five different administrations within 12 years. Even though the most recent political revolutions by Jerry John Rawlings were attempts to rid the government of corruption and establish greater economic equality, it became clear that true reform could not take place without the support of the ruling elite. Thus, much of the foreign aid received has been allocated as political capital rather than assistance for those in need, and it is widely used as justification for prolonging the existing authoritarian practices. Additionally, in contrast to South Korea, Ghana receives funds from a variety of donors that have a direct role in their policymaking process. This has delegitimized the sovereignty of the Ghanaian government and, as a result, many decisions are made to meet donor requirements rather than to address the nation’s internal issues. As Ghana continues to rely almost entirely upon the IMF and the World Bank to finance its survival, it will become harder to prioritize political reform and break the cycle of dependence.
The independence of South Korea and Ghana left both economies in ruins; the two nations had about the same annual GDP per capita in 1957 and were beneficiaries of significant amounts of foreign aid. Today, however, South Korea has the 11th largest economy in the world with a trading volume of over $1 trillion per year, while Ghana remains nearly as indebted and aid-dependent as before. The disparity in these two cases accurately conveys the importance of sound governance and policymaking when dealing with foreign aid. Pumping money into a nation by no means ensures economic development or the alleviation of poverty; the result depends on the interests and ambitions of the administration.
By: Sam Goldman and Cissy Shao
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The collapse of oil takes its toll on exporting countries | Economy
The oil market is going through one of the most agitated phases in its history: a road full of setbacks, potholes and an unknown end. In addition to the major depression in demand for the coronavirus, which has paralyzed China and now has the European and American economies on the brink of precipice, has been added the rupture and subsequent price war between OPEC and Russia. Far from agreeing to a withdrawal of barrels to rebalance the market, their struggle has unleashed the opposite: an unprecedented flood of crude and a collapse in prices to levels of almost two decades ago. A brutal blow that exporters already feel.
In January, when the virus had already made an appearance in China, none of the traditional analyzes of the beginning of the year had among their forecasts a barrel of Brent below $ 30. No one could think of such a deep decline (60%), much less that it came as soon as in the first quarter. Nor could the producer countries, even distantly, imagine it, with public accounts almost entirely dependent on oil revenues. And three months later, however, the worst possible scenario for them is a reality: the crude oil has entered a drill and there are already those who, like Paul Sankey, from the Mizuho bank, have come to draw the most extreme, implausible (and dystopian) scenario. , from the point of view of exporters) possible: prices of zero dollars due to the impossibility of storing all the crude that is extracted and not consumed.
Crude has been smashing records for a month: it is trading at lows of almost two decades and has suffered the biggest daily drop in history (last Wednesday) and the biggest weekly crash (in the week just ended) since 1991. With cars in the garage, airline fleets in the hangar, and the mid-range chemical industry, demand has plummeted, at rates even higher than in the Great Recession. On the other, the lack of unity in the producer cartel has made it impossible to artificially sustain prices with supply cuts. And the result is a escabechina for a group of nations and companies that, without great efforts, had assured an income that now they will not be able to count.
The claw will be – is – especially hard for developing countries. The voice of alarm was given just a week ago by the International Energy Agency (IEA) and the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC, de facto led by Saudi Arabia) in an unusual joint statement warning that, if the also unusual market conditions persist, the income of the emerging oil nations will sink between 50% and 85% this year, with “important economic and social consequences” in regions such as Latin America, which are already coming from a particularly troubled period . “It is the most dramatic situation that I remember,” says Mauricio Cárdenas, a professor at Columbia University and a former Colombian minister of Finance and Energy.
Evolution of brent in one year
Minimum price from which a nation stabilizes its public budgets. In the case of the United States, level of profitability for producers.
Source: Bloomberg and Reuters
THE COUNTRY
Evolution of brent in one year
Minimum price from which a nation stabilizes its public budgets. In the case of the United States, level of profitability for producers.
Source: Bloomberg and Reuters
THE COUNTRY
Evolution of brent in one year
Minimum price from which a nation stabilizes its public budgets. In the case of the United States, level of profitability for producers.
Source: Bloomberg and Reuters
THE COUNTRY
At current prices, many countries – and companies – simply do not pay off: if they want to continue producing they know they are doing it at a loss. And, in spite of everything, they have no other choice: stopping operations to resume them in a few months would entail a huge cost. “Some, in order not to lose quota, can sustain production by burning their own resources. But not all of them, not even for a very long period, ”adds Cárdenas. In these circumstances, the price war is also a resistance race: the countries and companies with more financial muscle will be able to last longer selling below cost and, therefore, defend their starting position in the market.
The two protagonists of the struggle that has uncontrolled the market, Riyadh and Moscow, will also suffer. But they both play with the net, at least for a time: Saudi Arabia, as Bruegel's Marta Domínguez-Jiménez explains, has a profitability threshold of $ 10 and many reserves in dollars. “His problem is that he needs a price of $ 80 to balance his accounts and his economic diversification program is complicated.” The Kremlin, for its part, insists that it could sustain itself with these prices for another year or year and a half. “Can you hold on? Yes, both Saudis and Russians. Are you interested? I do not think so”.
For others, such as the large Latin American and African producers, as well as the Gulf countries that have a harder time producing each barrel, each day with oil below 50 or 60 dollars (and we are around 25) it is one more day of severe damage to its economy and its public accounts. Venezuela, the country with the largest reserves in the world, is the one in the most critical situation: without the possibility of increasing its pumps to enter the war by volume and with a profitability threshold substantially higher than other powers, it has already been forced to implore the IMF (an entity it does not recognize) to grant it a loan of $ 5 billion with which to cope with the advance of the virus. The answer: a resounding no.
Uncertain future
Nigeria or Angola are also in trouble – both need prices to double to avoid a fiscal hole – Ecuador – already rescued by the IMF, these prices are dangerously close to default– or Mexico – whose plan to revive Pemex, the world's most indebted oil company, is more up in the air than ever. Everything is here, also in quarantine.
Things will not improve on their own. In the absence of a pact, on April 1, when the last agreement between OPEC and Russia expires – sealed in December last year – everyone will have free rein to place on the market as much as they want, further exacerbating the oversupply. But the analysts' consensus points in another direction. “The already extensive damage (from low prices) will accumulate as the year progresses and will create the conditions for them to negotiate and compromise with, probably, a new restriction agreement,” Ayham Kamel, Robert Johnston and Alex Brideau predict, from the Eurasia consultancy. The long-term financial health of many oil economies, especially Latin American ones, depends on the fact that this pact does not take long to expand over time, for which oil at $ 30 is simply unsustainable.
US 'fracking' also takes the hit
The emerging ones are not the only ones affected by a free-falling crude oil: it is also a significant breakdown for some 9,000 oil producers fracking in the USA: after completely changing the market in the last decade and turning the North American country into the world's leading producer, today they are out of the game. “There is concern about the stress they are under,” says Nomura's Richard Koo. Donald Trump also has no room for maneuver: he cannot afford an economic collapse in Texas, the oil state par excellence and essential in his aspiration to be re-elected.
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Pros and Cons of Bankruptcy usa
Pros and cons Bankruptcy
Practically every customer who comes in for an underlying conference about the condition of their money related undertakings will do one of two things:
They'll ask to what extent it assumes to modify their acknowledgment.
They'll swear that starting now and into the foreseeable future they're money just, and will never to such an extent as take out a magazine membership without paying for it quickly.
Pros and cons Bankruptcy Lawyers have battled for whatever length of time that we've had a bankruptcy framework to decide how best to expand the lessons of bankruptcy to serve our customers as they assemble their money related fates.
It's a difficulty. There's nothing to keep you from getting more charge cards after you get your bankruptcy release. Trust it or not, you'll likely get sales letters from neighborhood auto merchants and furniture stores offering to enable you to get a "new beginning" before the ink is dry on your release arrange. Expecting that you'll never have the capacity to get another credit, you may be enticed to exploit these costly arrangements.
Pros and cons Bankruptcy
Then again, we need our customers to have the choice of assuming out acknowledgment when it makes a difference, as to purchase a house or an auto. It has begun little and fabricated a strong credit notoriety before you assume a vast obligation.
The greater part of the data out there on recouping from bankruptcy talks about how to restore credit. In any case, Emma asks The Balance something else. Could the experience of going bankrupt show you how to deal with your cash better? This is her story:
Pros and cons Bankruptcy Will and I have been hitched fifteen years and have two awesome children who are 8 and 5 years of age. Before we had our children we both worked all day in well-paying occupations. I was a paralegal in individual damage law office and Will is a development extend supervisor. We had new autos, went on decent get-aways, and didn't mull over what we spent for garments, hair styles, or excitement.
Pros and cons Bankruptcy At the point when our child was conceived, we concluded that we could manage with one salary so I could remain home full time. That appeared to work fine until the point when we started to understand that we were utilizing our charge cards to compensate for my pay. And still, at the end of the day, we didn't generally contemplate changing our ways of managing money since we had constantly expected that I would come back to work all day when the children entered school.
Here we are, after eight years, and near $50,000 in the red. We've maximized our Visas and are experiencing difficulty making the base installments, which add up to about $2,000 consistently. We just purchased an utilized minivan, however the loan fee was silly on the grounds that our credit has endured.
Regardless of the possibility that I backpedaled to work all day, I don't perceive how we could ever have the capacity to pay off that gigantic obligation. We're about chosen to petition for bankruptcy and simply begin once again. Before I do that, I need to know whether filing bankruptcy will show us how to deal with our cash better so we won't wind up in this chaos again a couple of years not far off.
Pros and cons Bankruptcy How about we perceive how that may happen.
Did Bankruptcy Reform Legislation Make Bankruptcy Recovery Easier?
In 2005, Congress passed the Bankruptcy Abuse Prevention and Consumer Protection Act (BAPCPA). Congress endeavored to deliver what it saw to be an indulgent bankruptcy framework that enabled individuals to record a Chapter 7 straight bankruptcy situation when they truly could bear to make at any rate some installment on their Mastercard and other unsecured obligations. Among the new arrangements is a two-section account holder instruction prerequisite.
Pre-Petition Credit Counseling: First, before filing bankruptcy everybody needs to have a session with an endorsed credit advocate. In this session, you will lay out your obligations, salary, and costs, and the credit advisor will let you know whether you could profit by taking measures shy of bankruptcy, similar to uncommon installment designs, cash administration courses, consulting with creditors, or even obligation combination.
Two years after this prerequisite became effective, the National Consumer Law Center (NCLC) led an examination, which in addition to other things, measured the adequacy of the credit guiding necessity.
The NCLC found that the credit advising offices could recommend a feasible contrasting option to bankruptcy to somewhere close to 1% and 4% of individuals directed.
The report's decision was that the advising necessity was not a viable hindrance to bankruptcy and was not a powerful account holder training device. There were various purposes behind this conclusion, however two of the most vital appeared to be that
The credit guiding session comes past the point of no return in the diversion for by far most of debtors. They have achieved a point where the main alleviation they'll get is through a bankruptcy filing.
Most debtors record bankruptcy not in view of poor cash administration aptitudes, but rather due to an occasion that shook their lives: like a noteworthy therapeutic issue, separation, or joblessness. Credit directing will do little to deter somebody from filing bankruptcy when the lion's share of obligations were caused by these groundbreaking occasions.
Pros and cons Bankruptcy Post-Petition Financial Management: Second, subsequent to filing bankruptcy and before the release is entered, each indebted person must take an endorsed budgetary administration course.
Regularly alluded to as Part 2 of the account holder training prerequisite, the NCLC think about reports that this course is a vastly improved vehicle for the instruction of debtors than Part 1. Section 2 really talks about how to push ahead, oversee cash, spending plan, and revamp credit.
The issue with the money related administration course is its superficial nature. It's recently not sufficiently profound or sufficiently long to give the data and the training that an account holder requirements for an effective new beginning.
The NCLC ponder on account holder training additionally refers to an investigation that reviewed debtors after they rose up out of bankruptcy to decide how filing had changed their lives. 33% announced that their conditions were the same or more terrible than before filing. One-quarter said that paying costs kept on being an issue. Absence of unfaltering wage had all the earmarks of being the key factor in the lives of the individuals who keep on struggling.
What Works?
Your circumstance is somewhat not the same as a few people report. You clearly found yourself in this pickle as a result of — how about we come out with the plain truth — poor cash administration, or if nothing else an indifferent state of mind toward the impact of credit.
You have the most to pick up from focusing on your spending. You comprehend what you have coming in. You simply need to make sense of the best approach to utilize it. How about we discuss some approaches.
Is a Chapter 13 Repayment Plan the Answer?
Think about a Chapter 13 design like you would weight reduction surgery. It's a major ordeal, and it drives the issue. With Weight misfortune surgery you need to eat less. SChapter 13 compels you to spend less. You should cling to a financial plan, and not an exceptionally liberal one. You put in three to five years making regularly scheduled installments. You can't assume on new praise amid that time without getting consent from the court and having a better than average purpose behind it. For some individuals, it's a decent progress from confusion to control.
Pros and cons Bankruptcy Procedures for Success
Changes in Attitude: Whether you attempt a Chapter 13 or not, you and your significant other will require an adjustment in disposition toward cash, or you'll end up back here in a couple of years. Here are a few thoughts to consider.
Despite the fact that it's actual that the easily overlooked details do include, I have confidence in beginning with the progressions that can have the most effect.
Spending Help: If you're educated, consider utilizing a telephone application or a site to enable you to track spending. Frameworks like Mint and Billguard can tie into your financial balances and your charge cards to recover and sort your individual cost things. You set the financial plan and these applications will caution you when you've gone over. Also, that is quite recently the start.
Begin an Emergency Fund: After you record bankruptcy, you can't utilize Visas as support when a crisis emerges. You have to begin a backup stash. Every month, store what you would have used to make your Visa installments before the bankruptcy. Do this before you choose you have the space to release your financial plan for things like get-aways and new TVs. Consider that it takes at least $2,000 a month for a normal family to climate a time of joblessness.
A lot of House? Do you truly require a 3,000 square foot house? With a pool. Furthermore, a three auto carport. Furthermore, a 40-year contract. Furthermore, a week after week visit from the cleaning administration? No you don't. I brought my children up in a 1,600 square foot townhouse with a porch.
This goes for autos, as well. We as a whole know the financial matters of purchasing new autos. Presently, practically every utilized auto merchant has an online nearness and you can shop on your portable PC. You can even shop online for the best financing bargain.
An excessive amount of Dining Out? Have you at any point purchased a $5 frozen custard and thought, "I could purchase a container of dessert at the market (two at a bargain at a markdown store), for what I simply paid for one scoop and a waffle cone." Sure, it's amusing to go down to the dessert parlor, however for a family a four, that is $20. As per the Bureau of Labor Statistics, in 2015 the normal American family spent a normal of $3,008 on eateries and take out. Contrast that with the $4,015 we spend on basic needs.
I think about whether those figures incorporate favor espresso drinks? The normal American burns through $780 a year at cafés. Or, on the other hand pop, of which we expend 44.7 gallons every year. That is very nearly 240 12-ounce jars, or around $80 (in the container) or $240 (in the candy machine). That is per individual.
Rather drink more water. Furthermore, I'm not discussing the packaged kind. In the event that you don't care for your faucet water, get a channel pitcher, or include a cut or two of lemon.
Pros and cons Bankruptcy Cut the Cord: The time-worn counsel still works. Surrender what you needn't bother with. You needn't bother with digital TV. I used to think I required satellite TV since I had two children at home. When they moved out of the house, neither one of them got digital TV. Beyond any doubt demonstrated me.
Children Are Money Pits, Am I right? What's more, talking o
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