#US-Wahlen

[haraldbulling]

Blieb der Prozess um die Auslieferung von Julian Assange ohne Ergebnis, weil Biden vor den US-Wahlen im November kein „politisches Schlachtfeld“ will? Das vermutet das engste Umfeld des Angeklagten. Für sein weiteres Schicksal könnte ausgerechnet das schlimmste Szenario die entscheidende Rolle spielen.

[doomdoomofdoom]

Also das hatte ich mit "Vote Blue" eigentlich nicht gemeint.

[xenglitch]

Visuelle Darstellung meines Lebenswillen

[something-something-sonnschein]

Absurdistan ist ein Land und es liegt nordwestlich des Atlantik...

[waytootiredstudent]

Öhm. So this has gotten a wider reach than I thought! It does feel good to read the notes and to know none of us are alone in this moment what the actual fuck is happening.

Have an update. Because new things have happened and because in my attempt to keep it as a brief overview I skipped over. Like. A lot.

The tldr version:

There are two different votes, one to dissolve Parlament, one to elect Parlament. Theres a lot of discussion about that. It's the vote of no confidence that Merz is calling for to be next week, not an election!

Currently we don't have a majority in the goverment to, well, govern. Some ministers have two ministries to look after now. The guy who just got kicked from his job is already loudly proclaiming he wants to be finance minister again in the next coalition. Insanity all around.

The long version:

Let's start with something that made me laugh to keep the mood from being so doom-y yes?

You are so correct I love to know that thank you very much.

Now to clear up a little misunderstanding in the notes:

There's two different votes:

A vote of no confidence

An election

Those are two different things with two different time frames. In my attempt to keep it brief I think I scrapped one paragraph too many.

What Merz, the CDU guy that is a human being that forgot its soul somewhere on the way, has called for to happen next week is the vote of no confidence. Not the election itself. The vote of no confidence would dissolve Parlament if Scholz, the current chancellor, loses it, which it's pretty sure that he would. According to our Constitution after the dissolvement of Parlament, they 60 days to hold an election. Ppl responsible for that have already said "I mean this is our job yeah we can do that". Scholz wants that vote to happen in January, to hold the election in march.

Now that we got that out of the way, let's return to the insanity shall we?

Yes I understand completely but there's more:

So you remember how I said this is a messy divorce? The FDP has kept most of their children (the ministers, besides the one drama bitch that jumped ship)(yes the FDP didn't even manage a collective walkout why do you ask) but that left the seats open and the coalition needs to fill them. Which has resulted in a mud feast of accusations about how the coalition is putting up there friends in those seats to get them money and pensions and there have been calls to stop all promotions.

Well I don't know if you know that but you do need ministers to keep your goverment functioning.

Which is way there are now a couple ministers, including the one of the FDP that jumped ship, hold two ministries. The swearing of the new ones was so hasty that a couple ministers didn't make it and had their secretaries (I sure hope thats the right translation of the job lol) be their instead as a witness.

Now we have different problem besides that nobody knows what's going on or can agree on what's supposed to happen. Our current government is a minority goverment. Which is why Merz, you remember, the corpse of a human being that somehow convinced everybody that he's technically alive and should be given money for it, yes I am biased is that obvious, has called for the vote of no confidence to be called next week. So the elections could happen mid January instead of mid march.

Now. Let's break that down. What happens after a vote of no confidence?

Well if he loses Parlament will dissolve. Great time right now to not have a functioning goverment right?

Yeah. That. So everybody is split everybody is yelling over each other, there have been already two closed door meetings, one between the CDU and SPD (current chancellor's party), and there has been no agreement on any front. So it's currently a 'waiting with baited breath on what the fuck is going to happen'. Will we have a functioning goverment tmw?

Who knows! Not us!

Well i hope we will and I hope they get their shit together and agree on something because let me tell you I am not made for this kinda stress.

Best summed up like this:

I am so sorry btw for everyone that put their phone aside to escape the America election meltdown just to come back and find the German government meltdown.

Now we go backt to where it all started. Recently fired ex-finance minister Lindner. Yeah that bitch.

He is already making noise about how he's gonna be the candidate of his party in the upcoming election and that he's ready finance minister again.

Like bitch. Or son of a bitch in this case. Take a hint. You just got fired.

Let me just remind you that it hasn't even been 24h since Scholz kicked Lindner and the FDP out. All of this. Happend in under 24 hours.

Okay alright sorry for all the sudden German politics influx but lemme explain what happened so far and why Germans are losing it a bit:

The tldr? Our government is getting a divorce and it's turning messy with elections being called early and now being called even earlier.

The longer version?

Okay so, groundwork first:

in Germany there is a coalition currently in power called the Ampel(traffic lights) bc the colours of the party are red, yellow and green (or not anymore or for much longer??). They're centrist slightly more left leaning than right leaning. (You could argue about that I am aware). There has been infighting for as long as this coalition has been going on. It is also the first three party coalition since y know, the Last Time.

So. Enough groundwork. The yellow party (FDP) has a finance minister (Christiane Lindner) it's this guy

You will see him in memes I am sure. We don't like him. He's an asshole and has blocked every meaningful change that the coalition had been trying to accomplish. He also got his finance plan blocked by our highest court because parts were against our Constitution.

(.... I am oversimplifying hard here it's actually more complicated than that and not fully his fault, but it's also not the focus)

What WAS the fault though of him and the FDP was that they had a strong position of "saving money at all costs" which made bigger and bigger rifts with the two other coalition partners who were more leaftleaning. The war in Ukraine, Infrastructure, climate change - there were many places that needed more money and Lidner was like naaahhhhh for no fucking reason other than "oh we need to save money!!"

Long story short there have been arguing all the fucking time and therefore have started to lose approval. Drastically lose approval. As on for the first time since the Last Time there is a far right party in charge for part of the country that is also being investigated for being Nazis. (Oversimplifying again).

Which is. Worrying. You know. Especially with Trump now being elected. It has us all a little skittish.

The finance minister has also now been fired.

You see. We were all still trying to stomach Trump winning the US election, when Scholz, in the same fucking evening, fired Lindner.

And not in a polite way. Nah. Olaf fucking Scholz our Chancellor, notorious for saying literally nothing, and with a running joke that he regularly stops existing bc that man Does Not Take Stances, a spine of wet cardboard, delivered this yesterday evening:

(English subtitles by me you already got this far watch it I spent too much time on this lol)

And it is insane alright. For his standards and German politic standards thats the equivalent of calling Lindner a egomaniacal bitch that has only his self interest at heart and can not be trusted.

Lindner and his party have been pulverised in all recent elections. Which means that after he was fired, the FDP completely withdrew from the coalition and all minister from the FDP resigned.

....well all but one who apparently stayed in his positions because he's leaving the FDP over this. What sort of shitty backstabbing kindergarten fight is this. (Jokes aside hes the minister of transportation and says he needs to stay in office in important projects. Which. True. Having minister resigning en mass is not good)

Alright cool cool cool cool. Current situation yesterday is the following:

So. Trump is president. Fuck.

Lindner got fired! Yaaay!

Wait my goverment is now also falling apart! Fuck.

Which all lead to new elections being called in Germany.

Mind you, that's not usual ok. I know other countries have systems where they can call an election whenever but that is not a thing that normally happens here. We have a schedule alright. (Insert obligatory "Germans and their plans and structure" joke)

So new elections are called for spring, nearly a year early. Cool cool cool. With a right wing rising in Germany and deeply unpopular current leadership. On the eve of motherfucking trump getting elected.

Habeck, leader of the green party and one of the few policians in germany I think is vaguely liked by ppl (the general attitude in German politics is less "I like this guy" and more "you are the least shitty choice I guess") has appearently also nearly started crying after the news broke. So. Yeah.

Now. Let's make this shitshow complete,alright?

There is this party. CDU. They had been in charge for a very long time in Germany. Centrist, right leaning, with the afd on the rising even more right leaning than before. Their current leader is Friedrich Merz, as unpleasant as human beings can go.

He has now called for the new election to be not in a few months but like. To be called next week.

In the current climate.

So yeah. if you're German mutuals and friends are currently going through their own stages of grief - this is why.

[schunckinfo]

[norbert-weber]

20241104  Swing States

Wahlentscheidende Swing StatesIn diesen US-Bundesstaaten ist offen, wer die Präsidentschaftswahl 2024  gewinnt… 選挙決定スイングステートこれらの米国の州では、2024年の大統領選挙で誰が勝つかは不明です… 20241104  NORBERT WEBER GERMANYPHOTO-ART-WEBERSMARTPHONE-PHOTOGRAPHYFLOWER-PHOTOGRAPHYPHOTOGRAPHY WEBER NORBERT ○#photoart #fotografie#monochrome  #b&w#abstract #art #abstractart #creative #flower #japan #karate #budo #norbertweber #love…

[politikwatch]

#US #Wahlen 🤦🧠

[divantis]

Sind US-Wahljahre wirklich gute Börsenjahre?

2024 wird das Super-Wahljahr in der Geschichte schlechthin sein. In mindestens 76 Staaten oder -gebilden werden Wahlen abgehalten. Nicht alle sind frei und demokratisch. Manchmal steht die Entscheidung faktisch schon vorher fest oder die mögliche Veränderung durch den Wahlausgang ist nicht wirklich groß. Mit Indien, der Europäischen Union und den USA finden in drei bedeutenden Wirtschaftsregionen…

[alphachamber]

Das NETZ wird enger...

Die 4 Hauptprojekte der Globalisten haben wir schon kennengelernt: Pandemien, Klimadiktatur, Digitale Währung und ein III. Weltkrieg. Was diese wahnwitzigen Vorhaben verbindet, ist die totale Kontrolle über das digitale Universum und Informationsfluss. Das Endziel – der Heilige Gral, sozusagen – ist die Digitalisierung aller Geschöpfe, ihrer Bewegungen und Transaktionen und ihre Kodierung. Ohne…

[klargreeves]

olaf ich bin ja ganz bei dir aber die US-wahlen haben jetzt nicht so richtig bock auf mehr gemacht

[thatswhywelovegermany]

Politische Systeme sind sterblich. Das gilt auch für Demokratien. Typischerweise fallen sie dadurch, dass in Wahlen Demokratiegegner immer stärker werden, um am Ende mit den Mitteln der Demokratie die Demokratie aus den Angeln zu heben.

Political systems are mortal. This also applies to democracies. They typically fall because opponents of democracy become increasingly stronger in elections, only to ultimately use the means of democracy to unhinge democracy.

Norbert Lammert (*1948), German politician

[linkemaus]

ich liebs, dass olaf scholz sich dazu entschieden hat, einen tag nach den US-Wahlen erstmal öffentlich eine ansage an linder zu halten und dazu noch bekannt gibt, dass die derzeitige regierungskoalition offiziell over ist. für jemanden, der in den letzten drei jahren nichts von sich gegeben hat, war das irgendwie echt etwas unerwartet 😭

[techniktagebuch]

Herbst 2024

Die Kraft der Handschrift

Die Wahl zum US-Präsidenten im November ist die erste, bei der ich mitwählen darf. Es ist auch die erste, bei der ich mich darüber hinaus engagieren will. Ich fange bescheiden an, indem ich Postkarten an Wähler in Swing States schicke.

Die Sache hat Methode. Es ist unwahrscheinlich, dass jemand seine Meinung ändert, schon gar nicht wegen einer Postkarte. Stattdessen konzentriert sich die Aktion auf Leute, die vermutlich die eigene Meinung teilen, aber bei der letzten Wahl nicht gewählt haben. Das kann man in den öffentlichen Wählerverzeichnissen einsehen. Da die Wahlbeteiligung in den USA grundsätzlich niedrig ist, liegt hier das größte Potential, den Ausgang zu beeinflussen.

Von Hand geschriebene Postkarten sind dazu erwiesenermaßen eine der besten Methoden. Ich weiß das aus eigener Erfahrung: Alles, was nach Massenpost aussieht, wirft man gleich weg, aber bei einer von Hand geschriebenen Mitteilung überwiegt die Neugier. Daran ändert auch nichts, dass viele Organisationen das inzwischen auszunutzen versuchen und Post verschicken, die auf den ersten Blick aussieht wie von Hand geschrieben. Ich bin darin inzwischen geübt und wenn ich etwas sehe, das in einem Zeichensatz geschrieben ist, der Handschrift vorzutäuschen versucht, werfe ich es erst recht ungelesen weg. Aber wenn es echte Handschrift ist, werde ich immer noch neugierig. Sehr neugierig.

Die Gruppe Postcards to Swing States hat es statistisch untersucht und nachgewiesen: Die handschriftlichen Postkarten haben etwa ein Prozent Erfolgsquote. Pro hundert geschriebene Postkarten geht eine Person wählen, die es ohne Postkarte nicht getan hätte.

Damit ist es ein Zahlenspiel. Postcards to Swing States rekrutiert dieses Jahr Tausende von Freiwilligen, um insgesamt 36 Millionen Postkarten zu verschicken. Das sollte etwa 360.000 Wähler mobilisieren, was in der Größenordnung des Vorsprungs liegt, durch den Wahlen in den USA oft entschieden werden.

Ich selber werde 200 Postkarten schreiben und kann hoffen, dass ich damit eine oder zwei Personen dazu bringe, wählen zu gehen. Ganz wichtig aber: Ich soll auf keinen Fall etwas Persönliches schreiben. Die Texte für die Postkarten sind vorgegeben, und die Erfolgsquote dieser Texte ist ebenfalls statistisch untersucht. Mit einem eigenen Text, egal wie authentisch oder gut gemeint er ist, könnte ich alles kaputt machen. Ich soll schreiben:

Hi [ Voter's First Name ]! Thank you for being a voter! Who you vote for is private, but whether you vote is public record. Please vote in the Tues. Nov 5 election! – [ Your First Name ]

(André Spiegel)