#U.S. trade policy reforms 2025

[justsaying4041]

Project 2025: Redefining U.S. Trade Policy

Project 2025 proposes a bold transformation of U.S. trade policy, focusing on reshaping international commerce to prioritize economic self-sufficiency, deregulation, and reduced reliance on multilateral trade agreements. While the intention behind these changes may be to secure U.S. economic interests and encourage domestic growth, the broader implications of these policies raise significant…

[simply-ivanka]

Who’s Afraid of Project 2025?

Democrats run against a think-tank paper that Trump disavows. Why?

Wall Street Journal

July 29, 2024

By The Editorial Board

Americans are learning more about Kamala Harris, as Democrats rush to anoint the Vice President’s candidacy after throwing President Biden overboard. Ms. Harris wasted no time saying she’s going to run hard against a policy paper that Donald Trump has disavowed—the supposedly nefarious agenda known as Project 2025. But who’s afraid of a think-tank white paper?

“I will do everything in my power to unite the Democratic Party—and unite our nation—to defeat Donald Trump and his extreme Project 2025 agenda,” Ms. Harris tweeted shortly after President Biden dropped out. She’s picking up this ball from Mr. Biden, and her campaign website claims that Project 2025 would “strip away our freedoms” and “abolish checks and balances.”

***

Sounds terrible, but is it? The 922-page document doesn’t lack for modesty, as a wish list of policy reforms that would touch every part of government from the Justice Department to the Corporation for Public Broadcasting. The project is led by the Heritage Foundation and melds the work of some 400 scholars and analysts from an eclectic mix of center-right groups. The project is also assembling a Rolodex of those who might work in a Trump Administration.

Most of the Democratic panic-mongering has focused on the project’s aim to rein in the administrative state. That includes civil service reform that would make it easier to remove some government workers, and potentially revisiting the independent status of agencies like the Federal Trade Commission.

The latter isn’t going to happen, but getting firmer presidential control over the bureaucracy would improve accountability. The federal government has become so vast that Presidents have difficulty even knowing what is going on in the executive branch. Americans don’t want to be ruled by a permanent governing class that doesn’t answer to voters.

Some items on this menu are also standard conservative fare. The document calls for an 18% corporate tax rate (now 21%), describing that levy as “the most damaging tax” in the U.S. system that falls heavily on workers. A mountain of economic literature backs that up. The blueprint suggests tying more welfare programs with work; de-regulating health insurance markets; expanding Medicare Advantage plans that seniors like; ending sugar subsidies; revving up U.S. energy production. That all sounds good to us.

Democrats are suggesting the project would gut Social Security, though in fact it bows to Mr. Trump’s preference not to touch the retirement program, which is headed for bankruptcy without reform. No project can profess to care about the rising national debt, as Heritage does, without fixing a program that was 22% of the federal budget in 2023.

At times the paper takes no position. For example: The blueprint features competing essays on trade policy. This is a tacit admission that for all the GOP’s ideological confusion on economics, many conservatives still understand that Mr. Trump’s 10% tariff is a terrible idea.

As for the politics, Mr. Trump recently said online that he knew “nothing about Project 2025. I have no idea who is behind it.” That may be true. The chance that Mr. Trump has read any of it is remote to nil, and he doesn’t want to be tied to anyone’s ideas since he prizes maximum ideological flexibility.

The document mentions abortion nearly 200 times, but Mr. Trump wants to neutralize that issue. The project’s chief sponsor, Heritage president Kevin Roberts, also gave opponents a sword when he boasted of “a second American revolution” that would be peaceful “if the left allows it to be.” This won’t help Mr. Trump with the swing voters he needs to win re-election.

By our lights the project’s cultural overtones are also too dark and the agenda gives too little spotlight to the economic freedom and strong national defense that defined the think tank’s influence on Ronald Reagan in 1980.

***

But the left’s campaign against Project 2025 is reaching absurd decibels. You’d think Mr. Trump is a political mastermind hiding the secret plans he’ll implement with an army of shock troops marching in lockstep. If his first term is any guide, and it is the best we have, Mr. Trump will govern as a make-it-up-as-he-goes tactician rather than a strategist with a coherent policy guide. He’ll dodge and weave based on the news cycle and often based on whoever talks to him last.

Not much of the Project 2025 agenda is likely to happen, even if Republicans take the House and Senate. Democrats will block legislation with a filibuster. The bureaucracy will leak with abandon and oppose even the most minor reforms to the civil service. The press will revert to full resistance mode, and Mr. Trump’s staff will trip over their own ambitions.

Democrats know this, which is why they fear Trump II less than they claim. They’re targeting Project 2025 to distract from their own failed and unpopular policies.

[news365times]

[ad_1] In his first global address after his inaugural, President Donald Trump virtually spoke at the World Economic Forum on Thursday, laying out his administration’s bold agenda for domestic and international policies. Speaking to global leaders, Trump covered a wide array of topics, including defense spending, U.S.-China relations, the Russia-Ukraine war, border security, and energy independence. Call for NATO Reform Trump called for a major overhaul of NATO’s defense contributions, urging member nations to increase their spending to 5% of GDP. Labeling the current financial structure as unsustainable, he stressed the United States’ disproportionate burden, particularly during the ongoing Ukraine conflict. Speaking about the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO), Trump said, “As we restore common sense in America, we’re moving quickly to bring back strength, peace, and stability abroad. I’m also going to ask all NATO nations to increase defense spending to 5 percent of GDP, which is what it should have been years ago.” A Reset with China Discussing U.S.-China relations, Trump shared insights from a recent conversation with Chinese President Xi Jinping. He expressed optimism for a better partnership while emphasizing the need for fair trade practices. “All we want is fairness. We just want a level-playing field. We don’t want to take advantage. We have been having massive deficits with China,” he stated. Trump also underscored China’s potential role in mediating the Russia-Ukraine conflict, highlighting Beijing’s influence over Moscow. #WATCH | World Economic Forum | On US-China relations and his telephone conversation with Chinese President Xi Jinping, US President Donald Trump says, “He called me. But I see it very good. I think that we are going to have a very good relationship. All we want is fairness. We… pic.twitter.com/6yqTt7nkDS — ANI (@ANI) January 23, 2025 Ending the Russia-Ukraine War The President expressed a strong desire to meet Russian President Vladimir Putin to end the war in Ukraine, highlighting the humanitarian toll of the conflict. “I really would like to be able to meet with President Putin soon and get that war ended.,” Trump declared. #WATCH | At World Economic Forum, US President Donald Trump says, “…I really would like to be able to meet with President Putin soon and get that war ended. That’s not from the standpoint of economy or anything else. It is from the standpoint of millions of lives that are being… pic.twitter.com/dh0zI7dF5Y — ANI (@ANI) January 23, 2025 He also connected high oil prices to the continuation of the war, urging Saudi Arabia and OPEC to reduce prices to facilitate peace. “I am also going to ask Saudi Arabia and OPEC (Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries) to bring down the cost of oil. If the price came down, the Russia-Ukraine war would end immediately. Right now, the price is high enough that the war will continue. You have to bring down the oil price, you have to end that war. #WATCH | At World Economic Forum, US President Donald Trump says, “…I am also going to ask Saudi Arabia and OPEC (Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries) to bring down the cost of oil. You have to bring it down which, frankly, I am surprised they didn’t do before the… pic.twitter.com/cirh3b55M0 — ANI (@ANI) January 23, 2025 Southern Border Emergency Addressing domestic security, Trump announced the declaration of a national emergency at the southern border to halt illegal crossings. He criticized prior administrations for allowing uncontrolled migration, pledging immediate deportations and stronger border policies. “We will not allow our territory to be violated, after 4 long years the US is strong and sovereign and a beautiful nation once again,” he asserted. #WATCH | At World Economic Forum, US President Donald Trump says, “This week I am also taking swift action to stop the invasion at our southern border. They allowed people to come in at levels that nobody had ever seen before.

It was ridiculous. I decided and declared to do, a… pic.twitter.com/egLrBhZYLp — ANI (@ANI) January 23, 2025 Energy Independence and Economic Revival Trump positioned energy independence as a cornerstone of his economic vision. He announced plans to utilize America’s vast oil and gas reserves, which he claimed would lower costs, boost manufacturing, and establish the U.S. as the global hub for artificial intelligence and cryptocurrency. #WATCH | At World Economic Forum, US President Donald Trump says, “…The United States has the largest amount of oil and gas of any country on earth and we are going to use it. Not only will this reduce the cost of virtually all goods and services, it will make the United States… pic.twitter.com/s5qiIxyLzw — ANI (@ANI) January 23, 2025 Trump described his election as a “revolution of common sense” and vowed to restore America’s strength and global leadership. “Our country will soon be stronger, wealthier and more united than ever before and the entire planet will be more peaceful and prosperous as a result of this incredible momentum,” he said. #WATCH | At World Economic Forum, US President Donald Trump says, “…It was a massive mandate from the American people like hasn’t been seen in many years and some of the political pundits, even some of my so-called enemies said, it was the most consequential election victory in… pic.twitter.com/pcZN3er6g0 — ANI (@ANI) January 23, 2025 Click here for Latest Fact Checked News On NewsMobile WhatsApp Channel For viral videos and Latest trends subscribe to NewsMobile YouTube Channel and Follow us on Instagram [ad_2] Source link

[news365timesindia]

[ad_1] In his first global address after his inaugural, President Donald Trump virtually spoke at the World Economic Forum on Thursday, laying out his administration’s bold agenda for domestic and international policies. Speaking to global leaders, Trump covered a wide array of topics, including defense spending, U.S.-China relations, the Russia-Ukraine war, border security, and energy independence. Call for NATO Reform Trump called for a major overhaul of NATO’s defense contributions, urging member nations to increase their spending to 5% of GDP. Labeling the current financial structure as unsustainable, he stressed the United States’ disproportionate burden, particularly during the ongoing Ukraine conflict. Speaking about the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO), Trump said, “As we restore common sense in America, we’re moving quickly to bring back strength, peace, and stability abroad. I’m also going to ask all NATO nations to increase defense spending to 5 percent of GDP, which is what it should have been years ago.” A Reset with China Discussing U.S.-China relations, Trump shared insights from a recent conversation with Chinese President Xi Jinping. He expressed optimism for a better partnership while emphasizing the need for fair trade practices. “All we want is fairness. We just want a level-playing field. We don’t want to take advantage. We have been having massive deficits with China,” he stated. Trump also underscored China’s potential role in mediating the Russia-Ukraine conflict, highlighting Beijing’s influence over Moscow. #WATCH | World Economic Forum | On US-China relations and his telephone conversation with Chinese President Xi Jinping, US President Donald Trump says, “He called me. But I see it very good. I think that we are going to have a very good relationship. All we want is fairness. We… pic.twitter.com/6yqTt7nkDS — ANI (@ANI) January 23, 2025 Ending the Russia-Ukraine War The President expressed a strong desire to meet Russian President Vladimir Putin to end the war in Ukraine, highlighting the humanitarian toll of the conflict. “I really would like to be able to meet with President Putin soon and get that war ended.,” Trump declared. #WATCH | At World Economic Forum, US President Donald Trump says, “…I really would like to be able to meet with President Putin soon and get that war ended. That’s not from the standpoint of economy or anything else. It is from the standpoint of millions of lives that are being… pic.twitter.com/dh0zI7dF5Y — ANI (@ANI) January 23, 2025 He also connected high oil prices to the continuation of the war, urging Saudi Arabia and OPEC to reduce prices to facilitate peace. “I am also going to ask Saudi Arabia and OPEC (Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries) to bring down the cost of oil. If the price came down, the Russia-Ukraine war would end immediately. Right now, the price is high enough that the war will continue. You have to bring down the oil price, you have to end that war. #WATCH | At World Economic Forum, US President Donald Trump says, “…I am also going to ask Saudi Arabia and OPEC (Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries) to bring down the cost of oil. You have to bring it down which, frankly, I am surprised they didn’t do before the… pic.twitter.com/cirh3b55M0 — ANI (@ANI) January 23, 2025 Southern Border Emergency Addressing domestic security, Trump announced the declaration of a national emergency at the southern border to halt illegal crossings. He criticized prior administrations for allowing uncontrolled migration, pledging immediate deportations and stronger border policies. “We will not allow our territory to be violated, after 4 long years the US is strong and sovereign and a beautiful nation once again,” he asserted. #WATCH | At World Economic Forum, US President Donald Trump says, “This week I am also taking swift action to stop the invasion at our southern border. They allowed people to come in at levels that nobody had ever seen before.

It was ridiculous. I decided and declared to do, a… pic.twitter.com/egLrBhZYLp — ANI (@ANI) January 23, 2025 Energy Independence and Economic Revival Trump positioned energy independence as a cornerstone of his economic vision. He announced plans to utilize America’s vast oil and gas reserves, which he claimed would lower costs, boost manufacturing, and establish the U.S. as the global hub for artificial intelligence and cryptocurrency. #WATCH | At World Economic Forum, US President Donald Trump says, “…The United States has the largest amount of oil and gas of any country on earth and we are going to use it. Not only will this reduce the cost of virtually all goods and services, it will make the United States… pic.twitter.com/s5qiIxyLzw — ANI (@ANI) January 23, 2025 Trump described his election as a “revolution of common sense” and vowed to restore America’s strength and global leadership. “Our country will soon be stronger, wealthier and more united than ever before and the entire planet will be more peaceful and prosperous as a result of this incredible momentum,” he said. #WATCH | At World Economic Forum, US President Donald Trump says, “…It was a massive mandate from the American people like hasn’t been seen in many years and some of the political pundits, even some of my so-called enemies said, it was the most consequential election victory in… pic.twitter.com/pcZN3er6g0 — ANI (@ANI) January 23, 2025 Click here for Latest Fact Checked News On NewsMobile WhatsApp Channel For viral videos and Latest trends subscribe to NewsMobile YouTube Channel and Follow us on Instagram [ad_2] Source link

[gitficonline0]

Breaking International News Updates: Key Events Shaping the Global Landscape

In the fast-moving world of international news, developments across political, economic, and social spheres are constantly shaping global dynamics. From ongoing conflicts to economic shifts and environmental challenges, these events have far-reaching implications for countries, organizations, and individuals alike. As of Breaking international news updates stories are capturing global attention, highlighting the complexities and interconnectedness of today’s world.

One of the top international headlines involves the escalating tensions between the United States and China, with both countries engaged in a series of diplomatic and economic confrontations. Recent developments include a new round of tariffs and trade restrictions imposed by the U.S. on Chinese technology companies, specifically targeting the semiconductor industry. This move comes amid concerns over cybersecurity, intellectual property theft, and competition for global dominance in the technology sector. China, in turn, has retaliated with its own set of sanctions, further straining relations between the two economic giants. The outcome of these tensions could reshape global trade patterns and have lasting effects on the tech industry and international markets.

In Europe, political instability continues to be a significant issue, with protests and strikes erupting in several countries. Most notably, France has witnessed widespread demonstrations in response to proposed pension reforms, which many citizens argue would reduce benefits and raise the retirement age. Similar unrest is seen in other parts of Europe, as governments attempt to implement austerity measures in the face of rising debt and economic recovery efforts. These movements highlight the growing frustration of the public with austerity policies and government decisions that are perceived as detrimental to social welfare. The situation poses a challenge for European leaders who must balance economic recovery with public sentiment.

On a more positive note, environmental issues are making headlines with groundbreaking initiatives aimed at addressing climate change. One significant development is the announcement of a global coalition of nations committed to cutting carbon emissions by 50% by 2030. This initiative, led by a coalition of European and Pacific countries, sets ambitious targets for transitioning to renewable energy, reducing waste, and improving energy efficiency. The announcement was made during the UN Climate Summit, where leaders from around the world gathered to discuss actionable strategies to meet global environmental goals. This coalition is seen as a critical step toward mitigating the effects of climate change and encouraging other nations to commit to a greener future.

In the Middle East, the ongoing conflict in Syria remains a point of concern, with new military offensives and humanitarian crises affecting millions of civilians. Despite years of international efforts to bring about a peaceful resolution, the situation has yet to stabilize, and the involvement of foreign powers such as Russia, Turkey, and the U.S. complicates peace negotiations. In recent days, reports have emerged of renewed fighting in Idlib province, leading to an increase in casualties and displacement. The international community continues to push for ceasefire agreements and humanitarian aid, but the road to lasting peace remains uncertain, with multiple factions vying for control and influence.

Finally, international sports are also making headlines with the approach of major events. The 2025 FIFA Women's World Cup is set to kick off in Australia and New Zealand, generating excitement and anticipation across the globe. Teams are finalizing their preparations, and many countries are investing in women's sports programs to strengthen their chances in the tournament. This year’s event is expected to showcase the growing prominence of women's sports and is a testament to the changing landscape of international athletics, where gender equality and visibility continue to rise.

In conclusion, the International business news updates is marked by significant political, environmental, and social developments. From trade tensions between the U.S. and China to protests in Europe, climate action initiatives, ongoing conflicts in the Middle East, and the rise of women's sports, these stories reflect the complexity and interconnectedness of global affairs. As the year progresses, these issues will continue to shape the trajectory of international relations, economic policies, and social movements worldwide.

[mwm2150]

Trump Inauguration 2025 and Historical Market Reactions to New Presidents

The inauguration of Donald Trump as President of the United States in January 2025 marks a significant political moment. The transition of power and its potential economic implications have drawn attention from various sectors, including financial markets. While no predictions are made here, understanding the history of new presidential terms and their relationship with markets can provide valuable context.

Historical Market Trends with New Presidents

Financial markets often react to new administrations due to anticipated policy changes. Historically, the start of a presidential term can coincide with shifts in investor sentiment, driven by expectations about fiscal policies, regulations, and international relations. Here are some general observations:

First-Year Trends:

Market performance in the first year of a presidency varies widely, often reflecting the state of the economy inherited by the new administration.

For example, Barack Obama’s inauguration in 2009 coincided with the global financial crisis, resulting in a challenging market environment. Learn more about retirement advice.

Conversely, Ronald Reagan’s 1981 inauguration saw markets initially struggle with inflation concerns but later rally due to deregulation and tax reforms.

Policy Expectations:

Markets respond positively or negatively depending on perceived impacts of new policies on industries like energy, healthcare, and technology. Read about the financial advice.

For instance, Donald Trump’s 2017 inauguration was followed by a market rally attributed to expectations of corporate tax cuts and deregulation.

Election-Year Anomalies:

Election years themselves often see heightened volatility as investors adjust to potential leadership changes. financial planner Sydney can help navigate such uncertainties.

Market Volatility and Transitions of Power

The transfer of power from one administration to another can lead to market uncertainty, especially if there are significant ideological differences between the outgoing and incoming presidents. This phenomenon is not unique to the United States and has been observed globally. Key factors influencing market reactions include:

Economic Policies: Anticipation of changes in taxes, spending, and regulation.

Trade Policies: Adjustments to tariffs, trade agreements, and international relations. Learn about financial planner Parramatta.

Federal Reserve Dynamics: The president’s influence on monetary policy indirectly impacts investor confidence.

Trump’s Historical Market Impact

During Trump’s first term (2017–2021), the U.S. stock market experienced notable growth, particularly in sectors like technology and finance. This was largely attributed to tax reforms, deregulation, and increased government spending. However, geopolitical tensions and trade disputes also introduced periods of volatility. Understanding long-term market growth strategies can help mitigate these risks.

Inaugurations and Market Observations

Short-Term Volatility: Market reactions to inaugurations are often short-lived, influenced by inaugural speeches, cabinet appointments, and early executive orders.

Long-Term Trends: Over the long term, markets are influenced more by economic fundamentals than by the party or policies of the president.

Conclusion

While presidential inaugurations are significant political events, their direct impact on financial markets is often nuanced and context-dependent. Historical trends suggest that markets adjust over time as policies take shape and economic fundamentals come into play. For those observing the inauguration of Donald Trump in 2025, understanding these historical patterns provides a grounded perspective on market behavior during presidential transitions. Learn more about navigating financial milestones.

Disclaimer

This document provides general historical information and does not constitute financial or investment advice. Past market performance does not guarantee future results. For personalised advice, consult a licensed financial adviser.

[arfacapital]

Crédit Agricole CIB Emerging Markets 2025 Outlook – Navigating Headwinds

The Emerging Markets 2025 Outlook by Crédit Agricole CIB emphasizes resilience amidst external pressures, including geopolitical shifts, monetary policy divergence, and global trade realignment. The report forecasts a tempered slowdown in EM growth while highlighting opportunities in selective asset classes and regions. Key Macro Themes 1. Growth Dynamics - Overall EM Growth: - Projected to slow modestly from 4.1% in 2024 to 3.8% in 2025. - EM-DM growth differential remains positive but narrows slightly from 2.6 percentage points (2024) to 2.3 points (2025). - Domestic demand continues to support growth, though external headwinds, including U.S. tariffs, could intensify. - China: - Growth slows to 4.2%, driven by a decline in exports and cautious recovery in domestic demand amid property sector challenges. - Aggressive U.S. tariffs are anticipated to reduce GDP growth by 0.4 percentage points in 2025. - Other EM Regions: - Asia: Moderated growth due to weaker electronics demand and increasing trade protectionism. - Latin America: Resilience in Brazil and commodity exporters but vulnerabilities in Mexico and Colombia due to U.S. policy risks. - EMEA: Geopolitical uncertainty and rising inflation risks weigh on Central and Eastern Europe. 2. Monetary Policy - Easing Bias: - EM central banks expected to cautiously lower rates amid progress in disinflation, but risks of renewed inflation persist in parts of Latin America and EMEA. - Asia maintains a dovish tilt, with less urgency for rate cuts due to lower inflation concerns. - Fed Influence: - U.S. monetary policy pivots will dictate the pace and extent of EM rate cuts, with a focus on preserving interest rate differentials to stabilize currencies. 3. Geopolitical Risks - US-China Tensions: - Escalation in tariffs and restrictions on technology and critical minerals could destabilize EM supply chains. - China’s economic buffer includes stimulus measures, but sustained pressures may weaken investor sentiment. - Tariff Impacts: - U.S. protectionist policies expected to negatively impact trade-dependent EMs, particularly in Asia and Mexico. - Global South vs. West: - The widening divide amplifies political risks and challenges global collaboration on trade and climate issues. Market Views and Investment Opportunities 1. Currencies (EM FX) - Performance Expectations: - EM FX to face pressure in H1 2025 due to stronger USD and tariff-induced risks but could stabilize in H2 as U.S. rates decline. - Top Picks: - Asia: Favor high-yielders (INR, IDR, PHP) over open economies (KRW, SGD, MYR). - EMEA: ZAR benefits from reforms; TRY shows resilience in H1. - LatAm: BRL remains resilient, but bearish on MXN and COP. 2. Fixed Income - Carry Opportunities: - EM-DM interest rate differential supports high-yield debt. - Short-duration instruments in Asia and EMEA remain attractive. - Regional Preferences: - Asia: Receive CNY repo rates and long 5Y CGBs as China’s easing accelerates. - Latin America: Focus on local currency debt in Brazil and Peru. - EMEA: Selective exposure to South African and Turkish bonds. 3. Equities - Regional Insights: - Asia: Weaker growth momentum in North Asia; India and Indonesia lead on domestic resilience. - LatAm: Brazil favored for structural reforms and commodity exposure. - EMEA: Cautious on CE4 equities due to geopolitical risks but opportunities in South Africa. 4. Commodities - Oil and Metals: - Softer oil prices benefit commodity importers in Asia, while metal exporters in LatAm stand to gain from China’s stimulus measures. - Gold: - Retains appeal as a hedge against inflation and geopolitical instability. Strategic Recommendations - Geographic Diversification: - Prioritize resilient economies like India, Indonesia, and Brazil. - Reduce exposure to trade-sensitive markets like Mexico and Korea. - Focus on High-Yielders: - Leverage carry opportunities in Asia (INR, IDR) and LatAm (BRL). - Hedge Against Geopolitical Risks: - Use gold and U.S. Treasuries as stabilizers within portfolios. - Sectoral Allocation: - Emphasize structural themes like sustainability and regional infrastructure development. Conclusion The Emerging Markets 2025 Outlook highlights a year of cautious optimism. While headwinds from tariffs, geopolitical tensions, and inflation risks persist, selective opportunities exist across high-yield currencies, local debt, and resilient equity markets. Strategic diversification and active management remain crucial to navigate this evolving landscape. Read the full article

[allthebrazilianpolitics]

Brazil's Energy sector could generate up to R$120bn in mergers, acquisitions in 2025

Sector could see a heated year, but higher interest rates, geopolitical tensions, the Trump Factor, and lower global liquidity present uncertainties

The energy sector is expected to continue driving mergers and acquisitions investments in 2025, with estimates of up to R$120 billion, according to projections by Swiss bank UBS BB. Additionally, funds are anticipated for energy auctions, operational enterprise reforms, capacity expansion, and to a lesser extent, generation expansion.

However, a context of higher interest rates in Brazil, persistent geopolitical tensions, the Donald Trump factor, potential revisions in U.S. trade policies, and the prospect of lower global liquidity bring uncertainties that could affect the flow of foreign investments in emerging countries like Brazil.

Anderson Brito, head of UBS BB’s investment bank, acknowledges that, from a macroeconomic perspective, the economy might face greater hurdles in 2025. Nonetheless, he highlights that some more strategic sub-sectors, such as energy, have the potential to diverge from this negative trend and continue recording significant transaction volumes.

“We are expecting a 10% to 15% increase in the volume of power utilities M&As in Brazil, which is expected to generate a volume of around R$50 billion. In hydropower generation, there are good assets in Brazil, and strategic players are reassessing their portfolios, bringing important transactions to the market. In transmission, there are bottlenecks, few assets, and high market demand (...). Including oil and gas, we expect a volume between R$55 billion and R$60 billion in transactions. For the entire sector, the forecast is for movement of up to R$120 billion,” predicts Mr. Brito.

Continue reading.

[manselllaw]

Beyond the Basics: Rethinking Paid Parental Leave in New York State in 2025

Does New York’s Paid Parental Leave Truly Deliver on Its Promises?

New York State’s Paid Parental Leave (PPL) program is widely recognized as a trailblazer in family-friendly workplace policies. But does it truly achieve its goals of equity and support for all families? While it represents progress, a deeper dive reveals areas where it falls short. It’s time to reevaluate its impact, challenge assumptions, and explore paths toward more inclusive solutions.

The Evolution of Paid Parental Leave in NYS

New York introduced its Paid Family Leave Act in 2018, a landmark policy designed to offer job-protected, paid time off for new parents, caregivers, and individuals facing family emergencies. Hailed as one of the most comprehensive leave programs in the U.S., it provided a crucial safety net for workers.

However, as other states and countries advance their policies, New York risks losing its edge. For instance, European countries offer up to a year of fully paid leave, significantly outpacing New York’s wage replacement rates.

The question is: Has New York’s progress stalled, and is it time to recalibrate?

Who Benefits Most? Rethinking Equity and Accessibility

Paid parental leave was designed to support families, but its impact is not universally felt.

Gig workers and freelancers: These workers often fall through the cracks as the program is tied to traditional employment. With the gig economy booming, this exclusion leaves a growing segment of workers unprotected.

Small Business Challenges: Small business owners struggle to balance employees’ rights to take leave with their operational demands, creating tension in smaller workplaces.

Low-Income Families: Although PPL offers partial wage replacement, it’s often not enough for low-income families living paycheck to paycheck. For these families, the financial gaps can make taking leave a challenging decision.

Who truly benefits from New York’s Paid Parental Leave? These inequities deserve closer examination.

Is parental leave really gender-neutral?

Despite intentions for gender neutrality, societal norms often dictate otherwise.

Fathers and non-birthing parents are far less likely to use PPL due to workplace stigma and ingrained cultural expectations. This disparity reinforces outdated gender roles, perpetuating the notion that caregiving is primarily a woman’s responsibility.

Can New York bridge the gap? Policies from Nordic countries, such as use-it-or-lose-it leave for fathers, could provide inspiration for fostering equal participation.

The Hidden Costs of Paid Parental Leave

While the benefits of paid parental leave are undeniable, there are hidden costs worth addressing:

Increased workloads: Colleagues often bear the brunt of covering for employees on leave, leading to resentment and burnout.

Career Penalties: Extended absences, especially for women, can result in biases in promotions, pay raises, and professional growth opportunities.

Administrative Challenges: Navigating paperwork and delays in benefit payments add stress for families during an already demanding time.

Can these trade-offs be mitigated through better employer practices and streamlined processes?

Toward a More Inclusive and Effective Policy

To make New York’s Paid Parental Leave more inclusive, bold reforms are necessary:

Expand Eligibility: Include gig workers, freelancers, and other non-traditional employees.

Encourage Gender Equity: Offer incentives for equal use of leave across genders to break stigma.

Boost Wage Replacement Rates: Increase benefits for low-income families to ensure financial security during leave.

Other regions provide valuable lessons. Nordic countries emphasize equal parental participation through innovative policies. New York has an opportunity to adapt these best practices for a fairer system.

Time for Critical Conversations

New York’s Paid Parental Leave program has made strides, but there’s room for improvement. Addressing its shortcomings can ensure it better serves families, workers, and employers alike.

How has paid parental leave impacted your life or workplace? Share your thoughts and experiences below. Together, we can advocate for a system that supports all families.

Need legal advice? Mansell Law can help.

If you’re facing challenges with employment rights or family leave policies, Mansell Law is here to assist. Our expert attorneys specialize in employment law and are dedicated to protecting your rights.

📞 Contact us today for personalized legal guidance tailored to your needs.

[indoorverticalfarmingnews]

The Directions Group Releases 2024 U.S. Election Analysis for Agriculture

Key Takeaways: The Directions Group (formerly Aimpoint Research) released a report analyzing potential agricultural impacts of the 2024 U.S. election. The report outlines policy scenarios covering tax reform, trade, tariffs, sustainability, and labor. A new tax bill in 2025 is expected, with potential impacts on estate taxes and tariffs. The Directions Group will host a public webinar on October…

[tocitynews]

Project 2025 envisions widespread changes to the government, particularly economic and social policies and the role of the federal government and its agencies.

● The plan proposes taking partisan control of the Department of Justice (DOJ), the Federal Bureau of Investigation (FBI),

● The Department of Commerce,

● The Federal Communications Commission (FCC) and

● The Federal Trade Commission (FTC),

● Dismantling the Department of Homeland Security (DHS), and

● Sharply reducing environmental and climate change regulations to favor fossil fuel production. The blueprint seeks to institute tax cuts, though its writers disagree on the wisdom of protectionism.

● Project 2025 recommends abolishing the Department of Education, whose programs would be either transferred to other agencies or terminated.

● Funding for climate research would be cut while

● The National Institutes of Health (NIH) would be reformed according to conservative principles.

● The project seeks to cut funding for Medicare and Medicaid and urges the government to explicitly reject abortion as health care. The project states that life begins at conception and

● Seeks to eliminate coverage of emergency contraception under

● the Affordable Care Act and

● enforce the Comstock Act to prosecute those who send and receive contraceptives and abortion pills nationwide.

● Some contributors to Project 2025 have sought to infuse the government with elements of Christianity. Although the actual document offers alternative views that state "that the government’s role is to protect the free exercise of religion"

● Stating that Federal mandates to impose specific religious practices are contrary to the Founding Principles.

● It proposes criminalizing pornography

● Removing legal protections against discrimination based on sexual orientation and gender identity

● Terminating diversity, equity, and inclusion (DEI) programs and affirmative action

● Having the DOJ prosecute "anti-white racism."

● The project recommends the arrest, detention, and deportation of undocumented immigrants living in the U.S.

● using the military to capture and place them in internment camps.

● The Insurrection Act of 1807 would be used to allow the military to engage in domestic policing and capturing undocumented immigrants.

● It promotes capital punishment and the speedy "finality" of those sentences. The Project proposes deploying the military for domestic law enforcement.

Project 2025 as 920 pages of many more maniacal twists of the law and the US Constitution.

[visbankingnews]

Fitch Announces Downgrade of U.S. Credit Rating

Fitch Ratings has downgraded the U.S. credit rating from AAA to AA+ this week. The agency cited fiscal deterioration, growing debt, and an erosion of good governance as reasons for the downgrade. Specifically, Fitch pointed to repeated debt limit standoffs, complex budgeting processes, and a failure to address rising entitlement costs. A host of credit rating concerns In its Rating Action Commentary, Fitch addressed entitlement concerns: “Over the next decade, higher interest rates and the rising debt stock will increase the interest service burden, while an aging population and rising healthcare costs will raise spending on the elderly absent fiscal policy reforms. The CBO projects that interest costs will double by 2033 to 3.6% of GDP. The CBO also estimates a rise in mandatory spending on Medicare and social security by 1.5% of GDP over the same period.” The agency cited CBO estimates that predict the Social Security fund will be exhausted in just ten years. It also expressed concerns that the 2017 tax cuts could be made permanent before they expire in 2025. Fitch suggested that a recession may occur sometime late in 2023 or early 2024. To support that expectation, the agency cited tight credit, reduced investment by companies, and lower consumer buying. It also cited various labor-related problems lingering since the pandemic shutdowns. Response to the downgrade Despite the stock market’s initial negative reaction to the news, Wall Street largely dismissed the U.S. credit rating downgrade during trading Wednesday. At the same time, however, some strategists worried that the move could embolden leaders of the BRICs trade bloc. Those countries, including Brazil, Russia, India, China, and South Africa are expected to meet in late August. BRICs nations have spent years arguing in favor of an alternative world reserve currency. It is likely that they will point to the U.S. credit rating downgrade as further evidence that U.S. currency dominance needs to end. Read the full article

[news365times]

[ad_1] The recent electoral outcome has delivered a decisive mandate from the American electorate, one that warrants both respect and critical examination. While opinions on Donald Trump’s policies are often sharply divided, his commitment to representing all Americans resonates with a significant portion of the voter base. This election was not merely a personal victory for Trump; it reflects a broader, inclusive mandate that has attracted support from a diverse coalition across the country. His ability to connect with voters on pressing issues such as the economy, immigration, trade, taxation, and foreign policy has proven instrumental in his success. Notably, Trump’s clear stance against a national abortion ban and his distancing from the controversial Project 2025 garnered him support from moderate and female voters seeking change. This nuanced positioning allowed him to appeal to a demographic that might have otherwise felt alienated. In contrast, Kamala Harris struggled to find her footing. Despite a wealth of celebrity endorsements, her messaging failed to resonate effectively with voters, particularly in the key swing states that ultimately determined the election outcome. Her late entry into the race did little to alleviate the disconnect. Another significant factor in Trump’s electoral strategy was his pronounced stance on legal skilled immigration. His outreach to the Asian American community, especially Indian Americans facing challenges like the employment-based green card backlog, proved critical. This demographic is acutely aware of the stakes for their families and careers, and many harbour hopes that the Trump administration will pursue meaningful reforms. On the leadership front, Trump’s preference for a leader-to-leader diplomatic approach may diverge from traditional norms, but it holds the potential for strengthening international partnerships, particularly with India. His rapport with Prime Minister Narendra Modi suggests that the U.S.-India relationship will continue to thrive under his administration. Moreover, Trump’s assertive stance on China and his proposed strategies for addressing conflicts in Ukraine and the Middle East could lead to significant diplomatic breakthroughs. With the Senate under Republican control, Trump will be able to get his key nominees fairly quickly to advance his Presidential agenda. As he noted in an interview he did with me his commitment to combating radical terrorism could have positive implications for both the U.S. and the world. However, a Trump 2.0 should evoke cautious optimism regarding issues like climate change and how he will handle dissent and those opposed to him. There is hope that he will move away from the divisive rhetoric that characterized the election cycle and instead focus on fostering a better America and a more secure world. The path forward will demand prudent leadership and a willingness to engage constructively to solve complex global challenges. Click here for Latest Fact Checked News On NewsMobile WhatsApp Channel For viral videos and Latest trends subscribe to NewsMobile YouTube Channel and Follow us on Instagram [ad_2] Source link

[news365timesindia]

[ad_1] The recent electoral outcome has delivered a decisive mandate from the American electorate, one that warrants both respect and critical examination. While opinions on Donald Trump’s policies are often sharply divided, his commitment to representing all Americans resonates with a significant portion of the voter base. This election was not merely a personal victory for Trump; it reflects a broader, inclusive mandate that has attracted support from a diverse coalition across the country. His ability to connect with voters on pressing issues such as the economy, immigration, trade, taxation, and foreign policy has proven instrumental in his success. Notably, Trump’s clear stance against a national abortion ban and his distancing from the controversial Project 2025 garnered him support from moderate and female voters seeking change. This nuanced positioning allowed him to appeal to a demographic that might have otherwise felt alienated. In contrast, Kamala Harris struggled to find her footing. Despite a wealth of celebrity endorsements, her messaging failed to resonate effectively with voters, particularly in the key swing states that ultimately determined the election outcome. Her late entry into the race did little to alleviate the disconnect. Another significant factor in Trump’s electoral strategy was his pronounced stance on legal skilled immigration. His outreach to the Asian American community, especially Indian Americans facing challenges like the employment-based green card backlog, proved critical. This demographic is acutely aware of the stakes for their families and careers, and many harbour hopes that the Trump administration will pursue meaningful reforms. On the leadership front, Trump’s preference for a leader-to-leader diplomatic approach may diverge from traditional norms, but it holds the potential for strengthening international partnerships, particularly with India. His rapport with Prime Minister Narendra Modi suggests that the U.S.-India relationship will continue to thrive under his administration. Moreover, Trump’s assertive stance on China and his proposed strategies for addressing conflicts in Ukraine and the Middle East could lead to significant diplomatic breakthroughs. With the Senate under Republican control, Trump will be able to get his key nominees fairly quickly to advance his Presidential agenda. As he noted in an interview he did with me his commitment to combating radical terrorism could have positive implications for both the U.S. and the world. However, a Trump 2.0 should evoke cautious optimism regarding issues like climate change and how he will handle dissent and those opposed to him. There is hope that he will move away from the divisive rhetoric that characterized the election cycle and instead focus on fostering a better America and a more secure world. The path forward will demand prudent leadership and a willingness to engage constructively to solve complex global challenges. Click here for Latest Fact Checked News On NewsMobile WhatsApp Channel For viral videos and Latest trends subscribe to NewsMobile YouTube Channel and Follow us on Instagram [ad_2] Source link