biscuitlover23 - Tumblr blog

biscuitlover23 · 1 month ago

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Damn straight!

We’re gonna fight it!

Even though he won, we’re not gonna back down and take it! We will keep fighting no matter what! To make the lives of others better in these times! We will never be silence!

THANKS TO ALL WHO VOTED BLUE! KEEP ON FIGHTING!

#keep on fighting

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biscuitlover23 · 2 months ago

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Holy shit! Thank you guys so much! And also big thank you voting for blue! You have no idea how much it’s means to me and appreciate it so much! So thank you to all who voted for blue!

Well all fight together!

#100 likes #tumblr milestone #thank you #vote blue #thanks everyone

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biscuitlover23 · 2 months ago

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#thank you #vote blue #the right side of history #keep on fighting

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biscuitlover23 · 2 months ago

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#vote blue #vote democrat #vote harris #election 2024 #please vote #go vote #the right side of history #thank you

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biscuitlover23 · 2 months ago

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We’re gonna fight it!

Even though he won, we’re not gonna back down and take it! We will keep fighting no matter what! To make the lives of others better in these times! We will never be silence!

THANKS TO ALL WHO VOTED BLUE! KEEP ON FIGHTING!

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biscuitlover23 · 2 months ago

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Kamala Harris has a chance of winning the presidential election. Don’t allow the internet and polls to psyche you out and make you believe it’s inevitable that Trump will win.

All we need to do is outvote Trump, and he'll be defeated again. When the 2028 presidential election rolls around, he'll either be dead or more mentally incompetent than he is to run. Trump copycats will try to ride off his coattails but will fail to reach the same popularity.

Trump isn't going to be around forever, and this is our chance to finally be rid of him.

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biscuitlover23 · 2 months ago

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NEVADA FOLKS KEEP AN EYE ON YOUR PHONES

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biscuitlover23 · 2 months ago

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Useful article from CNN on election-night misinformation.

Key takeaway is that pretty much whatever happens, Trump will claim it's evidence that the election is being rigged against him.

Some additional things to keep in mind--particularly if you haven't been through many of these before:

The winner may or may not be projected on election night. How long it takes depends on a bunch of factors, having to do with the logistics of ballot-counting and how the statistical analysis comes along. Getting a projected winner by midnight and the count taking several days are both well within the range of normal, and neither one suggests that anything nefarious is happening.

Counting of votes always continues for several days after the election, until every vote has been counted. This happens regardless of whether or not the media have "called" a winner, or a candidate has conceded.

Media outlets project election winners based on the data that has come in and their statistical models--they do not "declare" or "decide" who won. The major outlets are very motivated to avoid an incorrect projection*, so if they make a call, it's because they're really sure they have enough information to accurately predict the outcome of the final count.

Usually, when this happens, all of the major media outlets are making the same projection around the same time--within the same hour, at least, and often in the same 10 minutes or so. If there's an outlier, there's a good chance they're either guessing or propagandizing.

Candidates do not get to call the race in their own favor. There's a decent chance Trump will try, but also it's also normal and expected for both campaigns to talk like they're expecting to win; e.g. introducing their candidate as "the next President of the United States" when appearing before supporters at events. (My guess is that if he does try, the mainstream media outlets will simply sanewash it as typical election-night bravado, which is actually fine.)

The only thing that means anything, coming from a candidate/campaign, is a concession. This will often happen after the media has called the race for the other candidate; it usually isn't a surprise. A normal campaign will often go quiet--stop sending people to talk on TV, etc.--when they're getting ready to concede. (Trump arguably** still hasn't conceded 2020, so no one is particularly expecting him to concede any time this coming week.)

It's normal for the numbers to change a lot. There are always some surprises, but there are also standard patterns: results from the southeast usually come in a clump, and put a lot of electoral votes into the Republican column, early in the night. Democrats usually pick up the west coast states, which of course are the last to close their polls and start reporting results***. For the swing states, where we'll probably see a lot of reporting on very incomplete vote totals, results will start coming in first from the rural areas, which lean red; cities take longer to count their votes--because there are more of them--and lean blue.

The more uncertainty there is about the outcome, the more you'll hear about the evolving numbers--news networks have airtime to fill, and there's only so many ways you can say, "Still too close to call." Try not to obsess over these numbers; the news networks have people specially trained to analyze this exact kind of data, and if they can't say how it's going to turn out, you're not going to know, either.

If it ends up being too close to call for several days, there will probably be reporting on small, county-by-county vote dumps. It's important to realize that this is all still the original count of the votes, not a recount or "finding new votes." We only hear about it when the election is so close that these relatively small numbers of ballots are likely to affect the outcome, but it happens every single election. In 2020, Trump repeatedly claimed that ongoing counts were some how irregular, and sometimes demanded that counts be stopped when the current total showed him in the lead. This is, to be clear, nuts; the full & complete count of the votes always takes more than just the one day, and it's a bedrock principle of democracy that every valid ballot is counted.

(* Back in 2000, the Bush-Gore election with the whole Florida debacle, several major news outlets did project winners too soon, and then had to walk back their projections.

This definitely contributed to the chaos that night, and may have also contributed to the widespread perception that Bush was the "real" winner and Gore was dragging the country through multiple recounts, in those first few days when the initial count of wasn't even complete in some states.

As a result, responsible media outlets are much more cautious these days about election-night projections.)

(**On January 7, 2021 he made a statement that was taken as indicating his understanding that Biden had won, or at least that he knew he wouldn't be staying in office, but he never stopped saying he won.)

(***This often looks like the Republican being miles ahead, and then suddenly California reports in and they aren't anymore. Expect Trump to pretend that this is somehow shocking, even though the last time a Republican won California was 1988.

Similarly, he will also pretend to be surprised when, for instance, Philadelphia turns in their first big batch of results, and Harris's numbers jump up.)

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biscuitlover23 · 2 months ago

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Vote Harris.

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biscuitlover23 · 2 months ago

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VOTE FOR BLUE NOW!

DON’T STOP AND NEVER STOP VOTING AND FIGHTING!

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biscuitlover23 · 2 months ago

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VOTE FOR BLUE!

Silence is complicity when lives are on the line! Stop project 2025 for everyone’s sake and well-being! Keep on voting and spread it like wildfire!

VOTE FOR BLUE! VOTE FOR BLUE! VOTE FOR BLUE!

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biscuitlover23 · 2 months ago

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My fellow leftists, do NOT give in to defeatism.

Things are already turning around.

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biscuitlover23 · 2 months ago

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Vote Harris.

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biscuitlover23 · 2 months ago

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Un-American behavior by Trump and Vance.

Typical.

Please, in November, vote Kamala Harris, vote BLUE, Vote Democrat. It is time to be rid of Trump, Vance and the poisonous MAGA brand. Enough of this division and hate.

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biscuitlover23 · 2 months ago

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🗽🇺🇸💙

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biscuitlover23 · 2 months ago

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VOTE FOR BLUE NOW! EVERYONE LIVES ARE ON THE LINE!

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biscuitlover23 · 2 months ago

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STOP PROJECT 2025!

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