#the last election without trump was 2012

[thebreakfastgenie]

There are people who will be old enough to vote this year who don't remember a presidential election without Donald Trump as one of the candidates.

[lauralot89]

You know what?

Good for Joe Biden.

His son was the victim of a political witch hunt and had agreed to a plea deal which the GOP successfully pressured the DOJ out of upholding. I'd have pardoned him too.

"But he said he wouldn't pardon him! He lied!"

Cool, so that's one lie from Biden, and Trump is averaging what, six lies every time he opens his mouth? Are we going to pretend Trump didn't run on promises to pardon himself, the January 6 rioters, and his cronies?

"But now he's no better than them!"

what fairy tale false equivalence world are you living in

Joe Biden is the best president of my lifetime and his accomplishments are constantly diminished in favor of calling him senile, the evidence for this being that an old man with a stutter talks like an old man who has been instructed on how to avoid stuttering would talk

High level party members like Pelosi and mega donors like Clooney conspired behind his back to force him out after one subpar debate performance* (in July, when he was sick) and left Harris screwed over without enough time to run an effective campaign. I don't know if Biden would have won. I do know what happened was bullshit.

Good for him on pardoning his last surviving child. I hope his retirement is spent having fun with his family every day of the rest of his life

*Debates do not matter. They used to matter, way back when before the 24/7 news cycle, in the days when we didn't all carry computers in our pockets and lacked the ability to immediately search for and learn a candidate's stances, but they don't matter now. In 2012 it was routinely agreed that Romney easily won his first debate against Obama. Romney lost the election. Hillary won every debate against Trump, lost the election. Harris won the debate against Trump, lost the election. Debates don't mean shit.

[beardedmrbean]

In the winter of January 2020, Democratic Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D-NY), a member of the party’s informal left-wing House bloc dubbed “The Squad,” temporarily backed away from the campaign of Vermont Senator Bernie Sanders in the lead-up to the Iowa caucuses, after enthusiastically supporting him.

Among the reasons she reportedly “grew less interested in helping Sanders’ campaign” was Joe Rogan.

Sanders’ campaign had touted a quasi-endorsement from the wildly popular podcaster, who has a record of inviting controversial guests on to spew conspiracies and bigotry while dabbling in both himself, apparently unnerving Ocasio-Cortez and her team in the process.

Four years later, the Democratic nominee for president, Vice President Kamala Harris, who has Ocasio Cortez’s fervent backing, is in discussions to appear on Rogan’s The Joe Rogan Experience.

It marks a dramatic 180 from the Democratic movement’s response to Sanders merely noting Rogan’s praise four years ago.

Reuters reported Monday that Harris campaign officials were in talks with Rogan’s team about having her on the show, which former president Donald Trump has said he plans to appear on before election day.

The arguments for and against appearing on Rogan remain little changed.

First, there’s the baggage.

Rogan falsely claimed “activists” were behind California wildfires and touted a conspiracy theory associated with climate change denial that claims shifts in the earth’s magnetic poles bring about natural, apocalyptic catastrophes like the flood in the biblical story of Noah’s Ark.

Nearly 300 doctors, physicians and science educators wrote to Rogan's distributor, Spotify, when he spread Covid-19 information, including claiming young people didn’t need to get vaccinated and promoting the taking of veterinary drug ivermectin to treat the disease.

In 2022, he apologized after a compilation of clips of him repeatedly saying the N-word went viral.

Among his past guests are Gavin McInnes, founder of the far-right neo-fascist group Proud Boys, and Alex Jones, the malicious conspiracist who waged a years-long campaign against parents whose children were murdered in the 2012 Sandy Hook massacre.

It could be pointed out that Howard Stern, the reformed shock jock whose show Harris appeared on last week, has a decades long archive of sexist and racist broadcasts. But Stern has backed away from his past antics in recent years—though he’s also paid his way into the Democratic fold, attending top dollar fundraisers.

But, unlike Stern, one need not reach years into the past to find Rogan’s controversies. Earlier this year, his Netflix standup special Burn the Boats was criticized for his mocking trans people and preaching vaccine skepticism—and, arguably more important for a standup special, it was also unfunny, reviewers agreed.

But then there is the case for Rogan, for which the Sanders campaign made a compelling argument for in 2020.

Rogan has a giant audience—tens of millions of subscribers across Spotify, YouTube, Instagram and X. That audience skews heavily male (81%) and young (56% between 18 and 34), demographics relatively immune to legacy media (only 12% of Rogan’s audience says they trust newspapers).

The best way to reach them—agree or disagree with all of their views—is on their turf. If some of them join the Democratic fold and help defeat Donald Trump, great.

Sanders, in fact, had already appeared on Rogan’s show months before the endorsement controversy. In his interview, he took advantage of Rogan’s deferential interview style—part of the reason why right-wing guests on the show frequently make crazed claims without being challenged—to hammer home his message of economic justice directly to the host’s massive audience.

“The goal of our campaign is to build a multi-racial, multi-generational movement that is large enough to defeat Donald Trump and the powerful special interests whose greed and corruption is the root cause of the outrageous inequality in America,” the Sanders campaign told Vanity Fair in 2020. “Sharing a big tent requires including those who do not share every one of our beliefs, while always making clear that we will never compromise our values.”

Sanders was pilloried by Democratic aligned organizations like MoveOn and the Human Rights Campaign. They may yet issue similar reprisals if Harris does ultimately agree to appear on Rogan.

[kaputalism]

I'm not going to do a very good job of organizing this but I just like, can't stand listening to people try to browbeat my friends into voting again. I'm sick of hearing about how we are "enabling fascism" by not voting for Harris. I feel like it shows how short sighted our entire political project is. Whether people intended it to be this way or not, every person who tells me "we have to think strategically/big picture/long game" does not appear to be thinking in those terms, and instead we are stuck on a treadmill of the current election cycle perpetually being the "most important election of our lives," wherein all other concerns, all objections, all violations of good sense can be hand-waved away by trying to avoid the current Bad Republican Fascist. When I ask people "okay say Kamala wins, what stops Trump from running again? Do we think he's just going to go away? How do we contend with a successor?" Not to mention, I do sincerely believe that Trump is not as bad or dangerous as just like, the average career Republican, ie a person totally soullessly devoted to the GOP who has spent 5 decades of their life relentlessly building the project and movement that Trump kind of just waltzed into. Unfortunately, he's been built up for almost a decade now as a singular apocalyptic threat. The Democrats are so myopic that they've moved the goalposts to incorporate and welcome with open arms every mother fucker that they told me in 2008 and 2012 that they were the alternative to, when that was the most important election of our lives. I knocked on doors to keep these people out of the white house and now I'm supposed to be inspired that they are "on our side". But Mitt Romney didn't suddenly become a moderate: the Democrats are simply more in line with what he and people like Dick Cheney believe now than they used to be. That should disturb us! Especially because now basically any Republican who can be moderately polite and couch the awful shit they believe in passive enough language gets to look like an incredibly reasonable and sane pragmatist in comparison to Trump. Laser focusing your party around opposition to one mortal guy is a bad move. But yeah so many people talk as if beating Trump now is the end-all-be-all of everything, ignoring the fact that like, he's just going to keep running until he dies (unless of course, if I'm more cynical, they are banking on that happening because he's such a good fundraiser for Democrats).

But the last thing is just beating people over the head with the "fascist" shit is so fucking dumb. Kamala is running based on the argument that Trump is incompetent to accomplish the fascist claims he makes, whether it's increasing our military might and how feared we are by other nations, instituting draconian anti-immigration policies, or the genocide in Gaza. Biden allowed my governor to commit treason and did nothing. I've watched my friends'rights get stripped away with no response and I'm just expected to ignore that, "hold my nose" and vote for Harris. I'm sorry, but the calculation of "exactly which groups of immigrants, people in other countries, queer Americans, and American POC am I okay with being sacrificed so that I can get a tax credit and infrastructure spending and people can get some of their student loans forgiven" is a fascist calculation that I won't be engaging in. If the Democrats are willing to retrofit 70 percent of their platform to the Republicans over the course of roughly a decade how am I supposed to believe helping the Democrats win would provide them any effective incentive to change? If they don't know that they will lose without the left and/or ideological progressives then they have zero incentive to ever change. We've seen the net result of "elect them and push them left." It just hasn't borne out in reality.

[mariacallous]

In the United States, the polls in the run-up to the Nov. 5 presidential election show Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump are neck and neck. But if the voting were limited to Israelis, Trump could begin writing his inaugural address. Israel is Trump country, and Trump’s No. 1 supporter is its prime minister, Benjamin Netanyahu. Yet, Trump’s record, his mercurial personality, and his public remarks on Israel during the campaign offer little to justify the enthusiasm.

The war Israel has been fighting for the past year has made it more dependent on the United States than at any time since the 1973 Yom Kippur War. Israel needs the full support of the next U.S. president no matter who they are. Yet Netanyahu seems willing to give a cold shoulder to one candidate and place all his chips on another whose policy instincts mostly run counter to Israel’s interests.

Netanyahu has always felt more at home with Republicans than Democrats. In the 2012 election, he made his preference for Sen. Mitt Romney known, over the incumbent Barack Obama. Romney was given head-of-state treatment in a July visit that year, and Netanyahu appeared (supposedly without his foreknowledge) in an Obama attack ad. Netanyahu held back in the next two elections, but this time around, he has been playing favorites again.

It began with a reconciliation of sorts. Trump took umbrage over the fact that Netanyahu  congratulated President Joe Biden on his election victory in 2020. For the next four years, the two men didn’t speak. In an interview with Time last April, Trump blamed Netanyahu for the failures that enabled Hamas’s Oct. 7, 2023, attack on Israel. It was a sharp dig for an Israeli leader who has refused to accept any responsibility for the security failure.

Netanyahu broke the ice last July in a visit to Mar-a-Lago. Since then, the two have reportedly spoken by phone several times. Whatever the two men really think of one another, both find it useful politically to be seen as friends and allies.

Israelis stand out among Western democracies in their support of Trump. A recent poll by Channel 12, an Israeli broadcaster, found that 66 percent said he was their preferred candidate, versus just 17 percent for Harris (another 17 percent expressed no opinion). By comparison, a survey conducted by Gallup International of 43 countries (but not Israel) found that 54 percent of respondents preferred Harris, more than double the level of support for Trump. Even in Serbia and Hungary, the two countries most supportive of Trump, he was favored by no more than 49 and 59 percent of those polled, respectively.

The average Israeli probably prefers Trump partly because Harris is an unknown. Little or none of the appreciation they feel for Biden’s enormous help over the course of the war in Gaza has been passed on to his vice president.

But Trump’s popularity is mostly due to his first term in office, when he moved the U.S. embassy to Jerusalem, recognized Israeli sovereignty over the Golan Heights, pulled out of the Iranian nuclear deal and orchestrated the Abraham Accords, which normalized relations between Israel and a clutch of Arab countries. The fact that Trump also proposed a peace plan that called for a Palestinian state and that he scotched Netanyahu’s plans to annex part of the West Bank seems to have been forgotten.

Israelis tend to see the positive gestures as a demonstration of Trump’s love for Israel. But the record doesn’t quite bear that out. Trump only made one visit to Israel during his term as president. By contrast, Biden has traveled to Israel twice, including in the early days of the war in Gaza, in a powerful and personal show of support days after the Oct. 7, 2023, attack. Early in his 2016 campaign, Trump got his pro-Israel talking points wrong and told a CNN interviewer that, in regard to the Israel-Palestine conflict, he “would love to be neutral if it’s possible.” He corrected himself quickly after he recognized the gaffe, but it is safe to assume it reflected a strong personal impulse.

In his current campaign, Trump has offered a mixed and often nebulous mélange of stances on Israel in regards to the most pressing issues it faces, namely Hamas in Gaza, Hezbollah in Lebanon, and Iran.

In the first few months of the Israel-Hamas war, Trump spoke about the need to “finish up your war”  and “get it done quickly.” In the September debate with Harris, he said, “I will get that settled and fast.” More recently, he has moved a little more in the direction of supporting the war effort, telling Netanyahu in a phone call, “Do what you have to do.” But Trump has never spoken of the “total victory,” which Netanyahu says is Israel’s goal.

Trump advisors have been quoted as saying it is quite possible Trump would follow Biden’s approach by pressuring Israel to agree to a cease-fire and hostage deal. And, since Trump appears keen on crowning his Abraham Accords achievement with a deal between Israel and Saudi Arabia, Netanyahu might find himself under pressure from a Trump administration to meet Saudi demands for progress toward Palestinian statehood.

On Iran, Trump has taken a tough line publicly, but not as tough as Netanyahu would like. Trump has spoken of stepping up his campaign of “maximum pressure” on Tehran but by that he means more onerous economic sanctions, not a war. “Overall, he has a huge aversion to war,” one advisor recently told the Financial Times.

And that speaks to Trump’s larger worldview, which doesn’t align well with Israeli interests. Trump is suspicious of allies, especially those who don’t pay their own way in terms of defense. He most certainly doesn’t like multilateralism. In all these areas, Israel would be vulnerable in a Trump administration.

In the past, Israel might have been regarded as the kind of ally Trump appreciates. Yes, it was the recipient of billions of dollars in U.S. aid and was hardly paying its way, but at least Israel never asked for American troops to defend it. And its powerful and effective military often served U.S. interests.

The war with Hamas and the parallel conflicts with Hezbollah and Iran have changed that dynamic. The United States has spent at least $22.7 billion on direct military aid to Israel and related U.S. operations in the region as of September 30, according to a study by Brown University’s Watson Institute for International and Public Affairs. Since then, the price tag has grown, as Washington extended more assistance amid tit-for-tat attacks between Israel and Iran.

Beyond the money, the United States has, at various times, dispatched additional aircraft carriers, fighter jets, and troops to the region. Earlier this month, it sent a Terminal High Altitude Area Defense (THAAD) ballistic missile defense system to Israel and 100 personnel to operate it to close gaps in Israel’s air defenses. The United States has also been supplying massive quantities of arms to Israel that could never be sourced from any other country or produced at home. To the credit of multilateralism, Biden twice organized a coalition of Western and Arab powers to aid Israel when Iran launched missile attacks.

The fighting will eventually come to an end, but Israel’s reliance on the United States is likely to remain elevated for the foreseeable future. Israeli planners are assuming it will have to increase defense spending considerably in the years ahead, costs that it might struggle to cover, especially if economic growth slows.

Trump’s defenders will counter that Israel is a special case. Unlike other allies, it has a homegrown constituency in the United States among evangelical Christians and many Jews. In the Republican Party, support for Israel is a sine qua non. But will that be enough?

Trump will never have to face voters again if he wins next week and can do as he chooses. He and Netanyahu might have made up for now because they need each other politically, but Trump isn’t the forgiving type and doesn’t take defiance lightly. If the two clash on Iran, Palestinian policy, or the terms for Saudi normalization, the friendship could easily fall apart.

Trump’s foreign-policy team is likely to contain a large number of “America first” supporters who might like Israel but are loath to entangle the United States in the Middle East’s forever wars, even when Israel is a party. Those among his advisors who advocate a more activist U.S. foreign policy are focused on China. Like the Biden administration, they see Iran as secondary and don’t want to commit resources to the threat.

Netanyahu is presumably more calculating and pragmatic than the ordinary Israelis whose support for Trump is visceral. The prime minister might be reasoning that he can’t afford to alienate Trump and that if Harris wins she’ll behave like Biden and continue supporting Israel despite any bad blood.

No matter who wins, the next four years of Israel-U.S. relations are likely to be rockier than those of the Biden presidency. Biden was a true friend of Israel and was prepared to go a long way to help it in a crisis at a great political cost. The White House’s next occupant—whether Trump or Harris—is unlikely to do the same.

[sinceileftyoublog]

Run The Jewels Live Show Review: 9/28, The Salt Shed, Chicago

Run The Jewels (El-P & Killer Mike)

BY JORDAN MAINZER

Over the past several years, Run The Jewels albums have seemed primed for the time they came out. Run The Jewels 3 was released digitally in between the 2016 U.S. Presidential Election and Donald Trump's subsequent inauguration, El-P and Killer Mike's penchant for grand political statements and even cheeky conspiracy theories nestled alongside their statements of self-triumph. RTJ4 was released in 2020, two days earlier than planned in response to the murder of George Floyd and subsequent protests of police brutality and institutional racism all over the world. Songs like "Just", featuring the unforgettable line, "Look at all these slavemasters posin' on yo' dollar," were both timely and ever-relevant. Reflecting, though, it's always been Run The Jewels 2 that's the duo's crowning achievement, where it felt like the potential of the collaboration reached its full potential. In 2012, El-P lent his dystopian production to Mike's southern fried R.A.P. Music, Mike a verse to Cancer 4 Cure standout "Tougher Colder Killer". 2013 saw the two realize the group for the first time with a self-titled album, which at the time was a welcome surprise and perhaps a victory lap. Turns out, it was just a warm-up.

Run The Jewels (Killer Mike & El-P)

That is, Run the Jewels 2 showcased everything you love about hip hop: MCs with distinct, but complementary flows and styles, unique production, and social awareness combined with a firecracker sense of humor, the potential to burn it all down, and unmistakably horny braggadocio. It was my obvious choice when deciding which of four nights to see RTJ perform an album in full, also knowing they'd cherry pick highlights from their back catalog in a second set. On stage at The Salt Shed last Thursday, Mike and El sounded as clear as ever without losing their bruising momentum, shouting words to a crowd who replied back every single one. (The two joked that playing this album in full was a bad idea, considering the amount of mushrooms they consumed when making it, fearing they wouldn't be able to remember their lines.) Trackstar the DJ rattled the stereo-busting bass of "Oh My Darling Don't Cry" and "Close Your Eyes (And Count To Fuck)" as the crowd jumped up and down and moshed. Mike likened himself to William "Refrigerator" Perry during "Blockbuster Night Part 1", successfully pandering to those members of the crowd who were fans of the Chicago Bears, aka didn't travel from all over the Midwest to see the show.

Killer Mike

Though the first four RTJ2 songs are all-timers, it was the back half that shone brightest. Before RTJ performed nihilist anthem "Lie, Cheat, Steal", El-P remarked, based on the younger age of the crowd, that they'd have "a front row seat to the apocalypse," which put into perspective for a lot of us why we gravitated towards their magnum opus in the first place. When it came out 9 years ago, it foreshadowed the shit that would truly hit the fan a couple years later, providing a worthwhile soundtrack to said gradually looming apocalypse, all without being self-serious. The magic of the record is that a song like "Early", which Mike introduced by dedicating it to anybody who has been terrorized by the police and declaring that "the state should fear the people" as opposed to the other way around, is immediately followed by, in the duo's words, "two of the most ignorant songs we've ever written." By "ignorant," they really meant sexually charged tunes that provide necessary moments of levity. Specifically, when performing "Love Again (Akinyele Back)", the duo let the raunchy verse from the late, great Gangsta Boo, play uninterrupted, cementing her as the most important spirit in the room at that moment.

Mr. Len

It's no secret that Run the Jewels in general have a diverse fanbase. Folks I spoke with in the crowd ranged from hardcore kids to hip-hop heads, as expected from the type of group that has Pharrell Williams rub elbows with Zach De La Rocha. For the old school fans, an unexpected gift was in store: an opening DJ set from Mr. Len of Company Flow, the hip hop trio where El-P cut his teeth before going solo. (According to El, Bigg Jus was also in the house, though he never came out on stage.) Mr. Len treated us to tracks from Company Flow, El-P produced tunes from Cannibal Ox, and classics from Goodie Mob, Gang Starr, and A Tribe Called Quest. Though it was a callback to a bygone era, I couldn't help but think how Run the Jewels--along with the Backwoodz Studioz and Griselda crew--are this generation's possible forebears to whatever comes next, whether that's 20 years of RTJ or something else.

[dhaaruni]

Here are my extremely vibes-based 2024 Senate predictions:

Imo the most likely case is a 48D-52R Senate because I think Dems can win Arizona since Biden likely wins it, but lose Ohio/Montana/West Virginia. No matter what the denizens of Election Twitter wishcast, I'm skeptical that Sherrod Brown OR Jon Tester are favored even with flawed candidates!

Here's the reality:

There's MUCH less ticket-splitting since 2012 which was the presidential year when this Senate class was last up for re-election. 2018 was a blue-wave year without a presidential race!

Trump won Montana by twice as much as he won Ohio, and Tester is a good incumbent in a small state but that doesn't mean he can outrun Biden by 20

[bllsbailey]

Report: Harris Seeks Counsel From Hillary Clinton Following Election Loss As She Plans Future Campaign

US Vice President Democratic presidential candidate Kamala Harris waves at supporters at the end of her concession speech at Howard University in Washington, DC, on November 6, 2024.

Former Vice President Kamala Harris reportedly consulted with Hillary Clinton on numerous occasions following her crushing defeat to President Donald Trump.

The two Democrat leaders were both hopeful to become the first woman president in American history, though both were similarly denied that opportunity — since the American people opted to select President Donald Trump instead.

Since the election, Harris has reportedly kept her options open regarding her political future, stating last Friday: “It is not my nature to go quietly into the night.”

Speculation has mounted that Harris will either attempt to run for California governor next year, as Newsom is term limited, or she could potentially stage a comeback on the national stage by launching another presidential run in 2028.

“Harris could break one glass ceiling and do the near-impossible of turning California red if she chooses to run for governor in 2028,” a source told The New York Post.

“Los Angeles is full of virtue signalers, but a lot of them may be having second thoughts about politicians like Harris, given the wildfires,” a former Los Angeles district attorney added, according to The Post.

Critics say that Harris’ campaign messaging was viewed as out of touch, pompous, and elitist, as she relied on phony and shallow celebrity endorsements to move the needle, without providing any real vision for the country over the next four years –besides her abortion advocate promises.

Harris also reportedly never had a “backup plan” regarding an election day defeat, as her team was confident “even up until 6, 7 p.m. on election night, they felt very confident she would become president,” according to a Harris campaign staffer speaking to The Post.

The former vice president has refused to acknowledge any of her mishaps leading to one of the most crushing defeats in modern political history. The whole country watched as she lost all seven battleground states.

“She is done in D.C. and quite frankly was the worst major candidate of either party since Michael Dukakis,” stated an anonymous senior congressional Democrat, according to the New York Post report.

As Harris remains silent, Democrat leaders have been consistently looking for someone to place the blame on in regards to her defeat.

Former House Speaker Nancy Pelosi recently insinuated that former President Joe Biden was to blame, for not ending his campaign sooner, following his disastrous debate performance against Trump last summer.

“Had the president gotten out sooner, there may have been other candidates in the race,” Pelosi stated following the election. “If it had been much earlier, it would have been different.”

Pelosi led the charge to pressure Biden to end his campaign, quickly endorsing Harris at the top of the ticket without holding a Democrat primary.

The Democrat blame game has also targeted Harris’ husband, Doug Emhoff, who made headlines after it was discovered that he cheated on his first wife with their nanny, and that he allegedly assaulted his ex-girlfriend back in 2012, according to her.

“He looked like a hypocritical ass after the bombshells that he had got his child’s nanny pregnant while married to his first wife and assaulted his ex-girlfriend on the heels of his ‘I am a woman’ crusade,’” a source told the Daily Mail.

Another source close to Harris who spoke with The Post expressed that she should just end her political career altogether now.

“She’s a fake and a fraud. I mean retire for God’s sake. Let some other people take a stab at life,” the anonymous source said to press. “I don’t see her getting a warm welcome back in California.”

Stay informed! Receive breaking news blasts directly to your inbox for free. Subscribe here. https://www.oann.com/alerts

[dankusner]

IMMIGRATION ENFORCEMENT What could sidetrack Trump plan?

Logistical, financial hurdles might await administration’s attempt to deport thousands

President-elect Donald Trump intends to launch a “light speed” mass deportation campaign as soon as he “puts his hand on that Bible and takes the oath of office,” top aide Stephen Miller has said.

While U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement has long prioritized immigrants with criminal records, there are other subgroups that could be at a higher risk of deportation.

They include millions of newcomers who arrived during the record border influx under President Joe Biden, as well as those who have exhausted their legal appeals but haven’t left the United States.

Others, including “Dreamers” allowed to stay under the Obama-era Deferred Action for Childhood Arrivals program, are likely to remain a lower priority.

Trump will face logistical and financial hurdles if he attempts to sharply increase the number of people arrested, jailed and removed from the country by ICE.

So, what would a mass deportation campaign really look like?

Does Trump have the means and the personnel to pull it off?

The universe of potential deportees — immigrants living in the United States without legal status — is about 11 million, according to a 2024 report by the Office of Homeland Security.

Many immigration analysts believe that figure is now higher due to record border crossings during Biden’s term.

Trump set ambitious deportation goals as he prepared to take office in 2017, pledging to remove 2 million to 3 million people.

He ended up deporting about 1.5 million people over four years.

In recent interviews, Trump has said he would like to deport everyone living illegally in the United States, though he did not set a numerical target.

That has put immigrant communities on edge and raised worries among businesses about the potential impact to the U.S. labor force and wider economy.

ICE deported the highest number of people in a decade during fiscal 2024, the last full fiscal year of Biden’s term.

The majority were recent border crossers rather than immigrants taken into custody by ICE in U.S. communities.

The agency’s busiest year was 2012, during the Obama administration, when ICE deported 409,000 people.

Priorities

Immigrants with criminal records will be Trump’s first priority, his top aides say.

ICE told Congress that as of July 21, there were more than 650,000 noncitizens with criminal histories on the agency’s caseload.

Those in federal or state prison will face deportation once their criminal sentences are complete.

The total includes 435,719 convicted criminals.

Of that total, there are also 226,847 noncitizens with pending charges.

Traffic offenses (including drunken driving), drug crimes and immigration violations are the leading categories, court data shows.

Tom Homan, the former ICE acting director whom Trump has named “border czar,” said the new administration will also prioritize the 1.4 million immigrants who have received deportation orders after failing to qualify for legal status in the United States.

The latest ICE data shows nearly half are ineligible to be sent home.

Some have been granted a reprieve or deferral by ICE because their home countries won’t take them back or they are likely to face persecution.

Others have been allowed to remain at the discretion of a judge.

Some of their cases account for the nearly 8 million now on ICE’s “non-detained docket” — immigrants who are potentially eligible for deportation and remain in some stage of court proceedings.

A new analysis by the nonpartisan Migration Policy Institute estimates that as of July, 5.8 million migrants who entered the United States during Biden’s term remain in the country with a pending immigration claim or a provisional status, such as humanitarian parole, that Trump could revoke once he takes office.

More than 1 million of these immigrants may be awaiting asylum hearings that aren’t scheduled for several more years due to historic backlogs.

Those immigrants and others are required to periodically report to ICE or may be subject to electronic monitoring requirements.

Because the claims of these 8 million people on ICE’s “non-detained docket” are pending, they are not easy for ICE to deport.

But they are relatively easy to find:

The agency has their names, addresses, phone numbers and, in many cases, biometric data such as fingerprints.

During Trump’s first term, some immigrants reported to their ICE check-ins, only to be detained and scheduled for deportation.

It’s an enforcement tactic that can snare a lot of potential deportees in the short term, but ICE officials say voluntary compliance with the check-in process tends to fall off as fears of deportation rise.

Temporary protected status

There are other subgroups of potential deportees Trump could target.

They include more than 1 million immigrants with temporary protected status who have been allowed to live and work in the United States because their countries are too dangerous or chaotic to take them back.

On Jan. 9, the Biden administration announced an 18-month extension for Venezuela, El Salvador, Ukraine and Sudan, four nations that account for about 80% of all temporary protected status holders.

If Trump declines to renew the protections when the extension expires, some of those immigrants will lose their legal status and would be subject to arrest.

Other countries with TPS designations include Afghanistan, Burma (also known as Myanmar), Cameroon, Ethiopia, Haiti, Honduras, Nepal, Nicaragua, Somalia, South Sudan, Syria and Yemen, though only migrants who meet specific parameters are eligible.

Nearly 600,000 Venezuelans are eligible for TPS, by far the largest nationality.

Others potentially subject to a mass deportation campaign include some of the nearly 600,000 migrants from Cuba, Haiti, Nicaragua and Venezuela who have been allowed to enter the United States through Biden’s expansive use of “parole,” an executive authority to waive people in.

Many of those allowed to live and work in the United States temporarily through the parole program have sought to apply for another form of legal status, including asylum.

Trump could try to revoke their temporary status with executive action.

Another group vulnerable to mass deportation includes the more than 500,000 beneficiaries of Deferred Action for Childhood Arrivals, or DACA.

These are immigrants who were brought to the United States as children, grew up here and passed background checks.

A U.S. District Court judge has declared the program unlawful.

DACA is closed to new applicants, but the Biden administration has continued to accept renewals.

A large pool of potential deportees don’t appear in ICE databases because they entered the country without being encountered by Border Patrol or another government agency.

If arrested, they would have the right to make a humanitarian claim to try to stay in the country.

Trump aides say they will once more seek to expand a fast-tracked deportation authority known as “expedited removal” — limited to recent border-crossers — to include this category of migrants.

Challenges

The relative dearth of ICE officers will be one of the biggest obstacles to Trump’s deportation ambitions.

The agency has about 5,500 officers working on immigration enforcement nationwide, and there’s no quick path to workforce expansion.

Hundreds of vacant positions have proved hard to fill, and ICE officials say it takes 18 to 24 months to recruit, vet, train and deploy a new officer.

Carrying out roundups and worksite raids is not a promising path to mass deportations, veteran ICE officials say.

Those operations require weeks or even months of planning.

Even when they result in hundreds of arrests, the number that can be easily deported is typically much smaller.

It’s far easier for ICE to take custody of potential deportees in a secure facility like a county jail, rather than going to homes, communities and job sites where risks to officers and immigrants are higher.

Scores of jurisdictions across the country — including New York City, Los Angeles, Chicago and others — have adopted “sanctuary” policies that limit cooperation with ICE in their jails and on the streets, hampering the agency’s ability to find and arrest potential deportees.

Holding significantly more deportees in custody will be another challenge for Trump officials.

ICE has funding to pay for about 40,000 detainees per day nationwide, and it regularly needs to hold potential deportees for several weeks while coordinating their flights home with recipient nations.

A major cash infusion — through new appropriations or a budget maneuver by the Trump administration — could help boost capacity.

ICE officials say it wouldn’t be difficult to expand to 55,000 or even 60,000 detainees per day, at times referred to as the number of beds needed, by working with private contractors.

Growing beyond that capacity could prove difficult.

Homan has said he would like at least 100,000 beds.

He and other Trump aides have floated the idea of using military bases or temporary tent facilities to hold would-be deportees.

Those sites are unlikely to meet ICE safety and detention standards.

Flight capacity is another limiting factor. ICE has about a dozen aircraft available for flights that can transport about 135 deportees each.

Officials say there aren’t a lot of additional unused planes available for hire, and the Pentagon has been reluctant to allow military aircraft to be used for deportations.

Using other noncivilian aircraft such as cargo planes would probably violate Federal Aviation Administration rules.

Perhaps the biggest limiting factor is the ability of even willing (or non-recalcitrant) nations to take back deportees.

Even countries that cooperate with ICE such as Mexico, Honduras and Guatemala don’t have the capacity to take back significantly more people than they are already accepting.

Their airports must issue permits for additional flights.

Their intake facilities, or reception centers — some built with U.S. funding — have limited processing capacity.

While they may be able to accept an increase in deportees, they would not be able to quickly double or triple capacity.

Family groups

Any effort to deport a large number of migrants who entered during Biden’s presidency will also run into a demographic hurdle:

Many of those arrivals came in family groups, which have been deported at much lower rates than single adults, DHS data shows.

A federal judge has set 20 days as the maximum amount of time minors can be held with their families in immigration detention, which is one key reason that ICE historically has prioritized easier-to-deport adults.

Homan said in an interview with The Washington Post last month that the Trump administration will once more detain family groups and look to use temporary “soft-sided” tent facilities to hold them for deportation, which would probably trigger legal challenges.

Homan said the best solution for parents with U.S.-citizen children is for the family to be deported together.

About this story

The Washington Post pulled data from annual retrospectives published by U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement, congressional reports, the Migration Policy Institute and the Department of Homeland Security.

Reporters also analyzed data on immigration court cases released regularly by the Executive Office for Immigration Review.

Reporters interviewed current and incoming officials from ICE and other relevant agencies to fill in gaps in the data and contextualize the numbers.

BY THE NUMBERS

Temporary protected status

More than 1.1 million potential deportees have some type of temporary protected status. 1,100,000 Temporary protected status 860,000 Processed via CBP One App 535,000 Deferred Action for Childhood Arrivals program 531,600 Cuban, Haitian, Nicaraguan and Venezuelan parole 214,800 Uniting for Ukraine 178,800 Deferred action for U Visa 80,000 Deferred action for Special Immigrant Juveniles 75,000 Operation Allies Welcome plan 58,800 Family Reunification Parole for Colombia, Cuba, Ecuador, El Salvador, Guatemala, Haiti and Honduras

[brookstonalmanac]

Events 1.16 (after 1910)

1913 – Indian mathematician Srinivasa Ramanujan writes his first letter to G. H. Hardy at Cambridge, stating without proof various formulae involving integrals, infinite series, and continued fractions, beginning a long correspondence between the two as well as widespread recognition of Ramanujan's results. 1919 – Nebraska becomes the 36th state to approve the Eighteenth Amendment to the United States Constitution. With the necessary three-quarters of the states approving the amendment, Prohibition is constitutionally mandated in the United States one year later. 1920 – The League of Nations holds its first council meeting in Paris, France. 1921 – The Marxist Left in Slovakia and the Transcarpathian Ukraine holds its founding congress in Ľubochňa. 1942 – The Holocaust: Nazi Germany begins deporting Jews from the Łódź Ghetto to Chełmno extermination camp. 1942 – Crash of TWA Flight 3, killing all 22 aboard, including film star Carole Lombard. 1945 – World War II: Adolf Hitler moves into his underground bunker, the so-called Führerbunker. 1959 – Austral Líneas Aéreas Flight 205 crashes into the Atlantic Ocean near Astor Piazzolla International Airport in Mar del Plata, Argentina, killing 51. 1969 – Czech student Jan Palach commits suicide by self-immolation in Prague, Czechoslovakia, in protest against the Soviets' crushing of the Prague Spring the year before. 1969 – Space Race: Soviet spacecraft Soyuz 4 and Soyuz 5 perform the first-ever docking of crewed spacecraft in orbit, the first-ever transfer of crew from one space vehicle to another, and the only time such a transfer was accomplished with a space walk. 1979 – Iranian Revolution: The last Iranian Shah flees Iran with his family for good and relocates to Egypt. 1983 – Turkish Airlines Flight 158 crashes at Ankara Esenboğa Airport in Ankara, Turkey, killing 47 and injuring 20. 1991 – Coalition Forces go to war with Iraq, beginning the Gulf War. 1992 – El Salvador officials and rebel leaders sign the Chapultepec Peace Accords in Mexico City, Mexico ending the 12-year Salvadoran Civil War that claimed at least 75,000 lives. 1995 – An avalanche hits the Icelandic village Súðavík, destroying 25 homes and burying 26 people, 14 of whom died. 2001 – Second Congo War: Congolese President Laurent-Désiré Kabila is assassinated by one of his own bodyguards in Kinshasa. 2001 – US President Bill Clinton awards former President Theodore Roosevelt a posthumous Medal of Honor for his service in the Spanish–American War. 2002 – War in Afghanistan: The UN Security Council unanimously establishes an arms embargo and the freezing of assets of Osama bin Laden, al-Qaeda, and the remaining members of the Taliban. 2003 – The Space Shuttle Columbia takes off for mission STS-107 which would be its final one. Columbia disintegrated 16 days later on re-entry. 2006 – Ellen Johnson Sirleaf is sworn in as Liberia's new president. She becomes Africa's first female elected head of state. 2011 – Syrian civil war: The Movement for a Democratic Society (TEV-DEM) is established with the stated goal of re-organizing Syria along the lines of democratic confederalism. 2012 – The Mali War begins when Tuareg militias start fighting the Malian government for independence. 2016 – Thirty-three out of 126 freed hostages are injured and 23 killed in terrorist attacks in Ouagadougou, Burkina Faso on a hotel and a nearby restaurant. 2017 – Turkish Airlines Flight 6491 crashes into a residential area near Manas International Airport in Kyrgyzstan, killing 39 people. 2018 – Myanmar police open fire on a group of ethnic Rakhine protesters, killing seven and wounding twelve. 2020 – The first impeachment of Donald Trump formally moves into its trial phase in the United States Senate. 2020 – The United States Senate ratifies the United States–Mexico–Canada Agreement as a replacement for NAFTA.

[altecisbit]

General Clayton - if the australian media think of going after me - think of the "cost" to the Australian Federal Government and us - no - "copyright and licence" - switch the surveillance off - please - or we all lose - G.C - press release - 12/12/2023.

the "formula for gold" - s6-h-Kr=Ri - attach s6-Kr to the hydrogen atom (excite) using the exchange electron theory and split the hydrogen atom - the bonding of the noble gas and produce gold - 79 - see notes

General Clayton -  it is believed fission the bonding of a noble gas - s6-h-Kr=Ri - is enough to produce - gold - kryptons6 - press release - 16:24P.M A.E.S.D.T 18/3/2024

the USGoV has said it can not conduct any nuclear experiments at this time kryptons6 is a hydrogen bomb vladmir putin has just announced he will start testing weapons if any tests are conducted by the U.SGoV

https://m.facebook.com/story.php?story_fbid=3768410590151718&id=100009484426712&mibextid=Nif5oz damages - u.k patents court

https://m.facebook.com/story.php?story_fbid=3766482030344574&id=100009484426712&mibextid=Nif5oz see - ALTECISBIT G+ (unregistered buisness)  - "copyright and licence" - fee - 380M - u.k patents court - justice drewett - if joe "hunter" "s" biden/u.s president does not agree to buy me out for 3 billion dollars and 5% to the clayton sinkovich families of the profits from production - of the (methonine aspartic inhibitor) the "formula for gold" - s6-h-Kr=Ri - "anti matter engine" I am going to run my company ALTECISBIT G+ - Alex m.m Clayton - as authorised officer negotiate the terms of "copyright and licences" - for the formulas my Intellectual property - the (methonine aspartic inhibitor) the "formula for gold" - s6-h-Kr=Ri - "anti matter engine"- 12/12/2023 - fn: a request of justice drewett u.k patents court to "enforce" - the - "contract"- and recover licence fees on behalf of Alex m.m Clayton - ALTECISBIT G+ - 22:45 P.M A.E.S.D.T 12/12/2023 

close of business #finance see deal for the "formula" in the interests of trade with #china -"copyright and licence" for the"formula for gold" - to #china - belt and road - as a sale to joe hunter s biden/u.s president d.j.t "trump industries" and a.u governments asking price for a limited licence per 3mth of 380M for licence

https://m.facebook.com/story.php?story_fbid=3797237823935661&id=100009484426712&mibextid=Nif5oz my administrators  (last testament and will) Alex m.m Clayton (see medical report)

https://m.facebook.com/story.php?story_fbid=3668148460177932&id=100009484426712&mibextid=Nif5oz copyright and licences

https://m.facebook.com/story.php?story_fbid=3763858423940268&id=100009484426712&mibextid=Nif5oz a report for the cheif justice gageler and the australian prime minister - see application for #payout #qt

.General Clayton - d.j.t "trump industries" received the hard copy of the formula for gold in 2020 as the U.SGoV received in 2012/13-15 the research associated with the formulas I have updated all records online since -the  U.SGoV after the democrats received the research in 2012/13-15 - d.j.t "trump industries" was in control of the research and since the election joe "hunter" "s" biden/u.s president has had control - without my consent I have never been approached by AuSGoV or U.SGoV - n.y.p.d s.o.d inform the u.s president if he does not buy the research the chinese government could buy in and own the research and if not d.j.t "trump industries" could make good a offer - G.C - press release - 16/12/2023.

@ABC_Australia said I have the whole world trying to make gold "why" it was said it was supposed to be a secret - ABC the formulas stolen of me by AuSGoV and sold of in the u.k and the united states as I updated the stolen notes online and shared as it has been the motive of the AuSGoV and U.SGoV not to negotiate "contracts" I have written whilst testing the stolen research "yes" it is right it is no secret since 1992/93 and 2012/12-15 - 2020 the thefts occurred I have not been contacted by the interested parties it is now possible china could win "contract' in protest by the australian federal government the deceit shown by past and present Australian Prime Ministers - and the U.SGoV

https://m.facebook.com/story.php?story_fbid=3672206096438835&id=100009484426712&mibextid=Nif5oz a report for the u.s president

17/12/2023 - the u.k prime minister said justice drewett u.k patents court said Smythe Glaxco and klyne must pay - if the court would like to expedite the claim on my behalf - 0431644158 by text message I can be contacted.

https://m.facebook.com/story.php?story_fbid=3768655813460529&id=100009484426712&mibextid=Nif5oz Smythe Glaxco and Klyne

U.K PATENTS COURT N.Y.P.D S.O.D SAID THE U.SGoV plans to go into production with my Intellectual property - the "formula for gold" - THE U.S GOVERNMENT FROM THE FORMULAS IN THIS REPORT DISCOVERED HOW TO MAKE GOLD I CAN CONFIRM I REGISTERED WITH THE U.K PATENTS COURT JUSTICE DREWETT I AM THE OWNER AND COPYRIGHT HOLDER OF THIS WORK - 22/2/2024 - fn: the AuSGoV and U.SGoV say the "surveillance" is to protect me it's lies why are the AuSGoV AND U.SGoV taking out "contracts" on my life

National Press Club of Australia - p.m - AAMHR "two ways to make gold one of them impossible to complete the other requires a chain reaction" - 25/1/2024

#finance Alan Kohler - the experiment for the "formula for gold" I would not arrived at the formula from "einstein" if I hadn't written the "formula for gold" do not rule out the two experiments one of wich has not been tested

#buisness - einstein's final work - s6-h-Kr=Ri derived from writing the formula for gold

https://m.facebook.com/story.php?story_fbid=3787691364890307&id=100009484426712&mibextid=Nif5oz joe "hunter" "s" biden - the (methonine aspartic inhibitor) and the "formula for gold" s6-h-Kr=Ri - "anti matter engine"

#planetamerica fire side chat - joe "hunter "s" biden "of course I can trust al he sold me the formulas I just haven't paid him yet"  20:20-25P.M A.E.S.D.T 12/1/2024 - fn: a report for justice drewett u.k patents court - G.C

#buisness I rely on the honesty of the U.SGoV testing my formulas formula for gold s6-h-Kr=Ri - "anti matter engine" - I have been told the formula is a success

O2 -6-3=6 - Ri - Kr) = hydrogen -fuel --s6-h-kr = rubidium.- Ri - Kr  = O2 - 6 - 3 = 6 = 100 x T2/E2 /C2  Rubidium  T = logic therefore (C2 = T X 100 X 1 = M /E2) - RCM = M/CE2 -antimatter- derived from the formula for gold.-= O2 -h -h2 - Ri = Kr- s6 (sum 6) - krypton s6 - bonding of a noble gas.-frequency = space - E/M =C2 - C2 = space/ time - time = M/C2 × 100/1= E = C2/M = matter travelling through a black hole  - C.E.R.N©®

General Clayton -  it is believed fission the bonding of a noble gas - s6-h-Kr=Ri - is enough to produce - gold - kryptons6 - press release - 16:24P.M A.E.S.D.T 18/3/2024

Hypothesis

"it has been established sister pairs of atoms form the basis of a element once extracted from each - other" the theory of a black hole as the black hole formed the galaxy as gravity exists throughout the universe.

the periodic table and it's reordering with sister pairs of atoms the exchange electron theory form the basis of a element once extracted from each - other

sister pairs of atoms on the periodic table to find new elements (bonding a noble gas  kr - (36) =  s6 (11) = (16 &17) = - h (1) - Kr (36) = Ri (37) it's how - I found mercury 80 rubidium 37 extracting rubidium from mercury(80) to find - (s6-h- Kr =Ri) = gold (79) - ((80) mercury - split (excite) the hydrogen atom - s6-h-Kr =Ri - radio active isotype (37)) = gold (79) a new way to look at chemistry - einstein - alex m.m clayton ©®

sister atom (element) of the nuclear isotope - and confirm by the noble gas on the periodic table - the relationship between the noble gas and the isotope sister pairs with sodium - 6 - 0:33A.M A.E.S.D.T 18/1/2024 © ®

mercury (80) / s6-h-kr (36) a sister element to rubidium (37) s6-h-kr = rubidium extracted from mercury (80) (79)- gold sister pairs of atoms for the basis of element once extracted from each other - (16) phosphorus and (17) chlorine - s6 (11) - eg: - by a factor of - 1 and 10 x 2 + or - for the isotope and - s6 (11) + - h (1) =  correctly ordering the periodic table ©®

https://m.facebook.com/story.php?story_fbid=3791717937820983&id=100009484426712&mibextid=Nif5oz the theory

Formula for gold - s6-h-Kr = rubidium - the extraction of rubidium from mercury to find gold = s6-h-Kr - a nuclear reactor split the (atom) s6-h-Kr formula for gold = O2 - h - h2 - Ri = Kr = s6 - krypton s6 - the chain reaction is the rubidium isotope wich is the fuel for spaceflight it is believed a way of bonding the noble gas sodium with krypton gas in the chain reaction - einstein's final work by Alex m.m Clayton - 17/9/2023 fn: krypton s6 nuclear isotype - s6-h-Kr=Ri/h/O2 - finding a inexhaustible way to store rocket fuel and energy for life support systems (mercury -  Ri - s6-h-Kr= chain reaction/gold) - #jcheifofstaffs kim jong un is testing kryptons6 solid with gas and primed with a radioactive isotope s6-h-kr derived from mecury - bonding noble gas. - is all that is needed to store as everything else can be produced by the nuclear reactor.

#qt it is true I found out what einstein was talking about S6-H-KR=Ri - "anti matter engine" by writing the formula for gold - bonding a noble gas and away to write the perodic table and verify the table - and the spin offs in medical science and astrophysics - quantum mechanics - G.C 

close of #buisness its established the study of lithium hydroxide led to the development of the "formula of gold" as we know is all related see "medical science and astrophysics" - and the investments in to our rare earths and lithium and the backing of the u.s government in our clean energy policies #theworld - and the formula for gold - S6-H-KR = RI - "ANTIMATTER ENGINE" - einstein's final work it is now known the technologies for space travel are efficient as reports state - the "anti matter engine" travels at the speed of light and its sub systems are compatible and work from the same source of power making more effecient -in its own right - from life support systems to a nuclear powered engine - fully sustainable for the effecient and safe travel through a black hole to travel at light speed through a black hole rotating the spaceship (cloaking is achieved) the trajectory of the spaceship is important to achieve the successful flight.

https://m.facebook.com/story.php?story_fbid=3253853171607465&id=100009484426712&mibextid=Nif5oz "einstein's final work"-  by Alex m.m Clayton.

@ABC_Australia said I am working on the theory of the black hole - periodic table and it's reordering with sister pairs of atoms - spies (highly classfied)  I have had to lock off my research based on this theory/u.s government a update to the gates principal and oppenheimers law - einstein s6-h-Kr=Ri - "anti matter engine"

https://m.facebook.com/story.php?story_fbid=194344463661823&id=100092588104148&mibextid=Nif5oz pre existing - "contract" - l.n.p - barack obama and joe "hunter" "s" biden - 2012/13-15 - expression of interest - the (methonine aspartic inhibitor) the "formula for gold" -  s6-h-Kr=Ri - "anti matter engine"  - see l.n.p and "contract" with d.j.t "trump industries" #qt - dr jim chalmers - "breach of "contract" a.l.p with joe "hunter" "s" biden/u.s president a report for justice drewett u.k patents court see pre existing "contract" - ALTECISBIT G+ with barack obama joe "hunter" "s" biden/u.s president 2012/13-15  - G.C - 28/1/2024

https://m.facebook.com/story.php?story_fbid=3798653153794128&id=100009484426712&mibextid=Nif5oz the 6 - "contracts" - u.k patents court justice drewett.

General Clayton - u.k patents court justice drewett - how can the U.SGoV and AuSGoV and d.j.t "trump industries" be allowed to test my experiments "my Intellectual property" without a fee I have requested 380M it is stolen property stolen by AuSGoV it needs to stop - I have not been contacted I have stayed in touch with the U.SGoV through n.y.p.d s.o.d and joe hunter s biden has promised 3billion dollars as I requested as a starting price - see 6 "contracts" - on offer - justice drewett you have to decide whether a fee is applicable for continued testing of my intellectual property (experiments) with a view to sale of my intellectual property - G.C - press release - 15/3/2024

General Clayton - I do not know what the chinese a.u governments and d.j.t "trump industries" - are complaining about - joe "hunter""s" biden/u.s president is the only one who has agreed to my request of 3 billion dollars with royalties - a report for justice drewett u.k patents court - G.C - press release - 15/3/2024.

joe "hunter" "s" biden/u.s president has thrown me too the wolves as I hacked the "eye in the sky" sattilite (infra red with A.I) and deactivated the mind reading sattilite on me as n.y.p.d s.o.d worked around the hack and reinitiated the SATTILITTE - on "orders of joe "hunter" "s" biden/u.s president I site IRRECONCILABLE DIFFERENCE WITH THE U.SGoV and cancel the "contract" for my intellectual property a report for justice drewett u.k patents court - G.C - 20:20P.M A.E.S.D.T 15/3/2024 - fn: if and only when a fee is paid for testing the formula the U.SGoV would again be eligible to buy my Intellectual property - G.C - 20:11P.M A.E.S.D.T 16/3/2024

General Clayton - some would say I have failed us releasing the research einstein's final work - and it's use my apologies to joe "hunter" "s" biden/u.s president who I  know is interested in the research - as I said the research was released because I had a fight on my hands the AuSGoV claiming it was theirs as it was stolen by AuSGoV and u.k patents court has evidence of this  - it is only available to those who can use nuclear fission technology I am willing to accept a offer for the fee to test my research it's all I can do in all fairness - G.C - press release - 18/3/2024

N.Y.P.D S.O.D I SUFFER FROM BAD THOUGHTS A SYMPTOM OF #SCIZOPHRENIA  IS THE REASON I DON'T LIKE "EYE IN THE SKY" SATTILITTE (INFRA RED WITH A.I) MIND READING SATTILITE IT IS BEING USED ON ME TO CONFUSE AND CONTROL - in use by the media to "overdubb" on too "content" prerecorded live  - (voices)

N.Y.P.D S.O.D TRYING TO SAY I HAD A DEAL WITH U.SGoV and use @ABC_Australia to publicise it is a case of irreconcilable difference I have worked 23 years u.s military service 23 years no pay no honor's n.y.p.d s.o.d have been promising payment in the 10 - 15 years I have worked for them bribing me to stay in service - police corruption - "police fire and media" working together in a extorsion racket

u.k patents court justice drewett I am trying to get back the rights of my intellectual property stolen by the australian federal government for the U.SGoV and d.j.t "trump industries" -  AuKuS - 1992/93 - 2012/13 - 15 2016 - 2020 the intellectual property is being tested illegally by these entities

Show quoted text

[beardedmrbean]

FIRST ON FOX: A report from the Heritage Foundation shows that homicide rates have been higher in Democrat-run "blue counties" than they have been in "red counties" since 2002 – contradicting a popular talking point recited by prominent liberals like California Gov. Gavin Newsom and billionaire George Soros.

Newsom has publicly stated that "8 of the top 10 murder states are red" while liberal mega-donor Soros wrote in the Wall Street Journal last year that "violent crime in recent years has generally been increasing more quickly in jurisdictions without reform-minded prosecutors" and "murder rates have been rising fastest in some Republican states led by tough-on-crime politicians."

The problem, according to Heritage Foundation’s Kevin Dayaratna, who authored the report along with former research assistant Alexander Gage, is that studies cited by Democrats to make that argument – including a recent study from Third Way titled "The Two-Decade Red State Murder Problem" – use a "flawed" methodology because crime is a local issue and, therefore, crime analysis must be undertaken at the local level.

"It is true that red states have higher homicide rates than blue states, but the problem with this is that crime is a hyper-localized phenomenon," Dayaratna told Fox News Digital. "It doesn't make sense to talk about at the state level. It makes sense to talk about at the local level because that's where the prosecutions occur. The local level crime is handled at the local level by local police, so when you look at this question on a local basis, namely the county level, you'll see that the trend is reversed."

"If you look at the analysis on a state-by-state level, it's 34% higher in red states and blue states, according to the most recent data we analyzed, but then when you look at it as a county-by-county level, it is 60% higher in blue counties than red counties."

The study says that "drawing conclusions from state-level homicide data in such a manner is flawed, as each state consists of a combination of federal, state, county, and local law enforcement agencies, as well as prosecutors with different approaches to law enforcement often based on highly divergent political beliefs."

"Violations of state law are prosecuted largely at the county or city level and, thus, amalgamating data across such units neglects important variation in these different approaches," the study continues.

"Looking at homicide rates by county, states show skewed distributions with many counties having little or no homicides, and a handful of counties with excessively high homicide rates. Thus, state homicide rates can be heavily influenced by a few counties. When those counties have different politics from the rest of the state, it can flip the conclusion about the association between political identifications and homicides."

Dayaratna also told Fox News Digital that Third Way’s conclusion that homicide rates are higher in red states is flawed because it did not update the changes in red states and blue states, in terms of how they shifted in presidential elections over the past 20 years, when compiling the data.

ANDREW CUOMO BLASTS FAR LEFT DEMS FOR BEING SOFT ON CRIME, HARMING MINORITIES THEY CLAIM TO REPRESENT

"Third Way held ‘red’ states and ‘blue’ states constant in terms of how they voted in the 2020 presidential election. This approach is fundamentally flawed because electoral sentiment changed across the time period used for the study," the report states.

"For example, although President Biden won Arizona in 2020, the previous Democrat who won the state was Bill Clinton in 1996. Similarly, Donald Trump won Florida in both 2016 and 2020, despite the fact that Barack Obama had won the state in 2008 and 2012."

Dayaratna said that between 2002 and 2008, there was an 88% higher rate of homicide in blue counties than red counties and between 2014 and 2022 there was a 62% increase.

"It is undoubtable that this blue county murder problem has been persisting for quite some time," Dayaratna told Fox News Digital. "And it is quite disingenuous for the Third Way to just present the data as they did. We analyze it from a variety of perspectives at the Heritage Foundation. And we wanted to make sure we put out the proper story."

Last year, Dayaratna partnered with fellow Heritage scholars Cully Stimson and Zack Smith and released a study showing that of the 30 American cities with the highest murder rates, 27 have Democratic mayors, and at least 14 Soros-backed prosecutors.

A spokesperson for Third Way told Fox News Digital that "data is missing or suppressed for many suburban and rural counties, making a complete county-level analysis impossible. But to test a prevalent narrative, we removed the county containing the largest city from only the red states and we found that even after removing the murders from the biggest cities in red states, red state murder rates were still significantly higher than in blue states, which were given no similar advantage."

In response to not updating the electoral map, the spokesperson said they "chose an approach that categorized states consistently across all 21 years" and that "including electoral changes would only increase red state murder rates."

A spokesperson for Newsom's office told Fox News Digital that Newsom has cited more localized crime studies in the past and pointed to a specific interview where he did so in September. 

[msclaritea]

Some Prominent Silicon Valley Investors Shift to the Right (SHOCKER!) 🙄

- The New York Times

Some Prominent Silicon Valley Investors Shift to the Right

Marc Andreessen, Chamath Palihapitiya and several other tech venture capitalists are increasingly criticizing President Biden and making their disaffection known in an election year.

Credit...Barbara Gibson

By Erin Griffith

May 23, 2024, 5:02 a.m. ET

In 2021, David Sacks, a prominent venture capital investor and podcast host, said former President Donald J. Trump’s behavior around the Jan. 6 riot at the U.S. Capitol had disqualified him from being a future political candidate.

At a tech conference last week, Mr. Sacks said his view had changed.

“I have bigger disagreements with Biden than with Trump,” the investor said. Mr. Sacks said he and his podcast co-hosts were working on hosting a fund-raiser for Mr. Trump, which could include an interview for their “All In” show. They also extended an invitation to President Biden, he said, but the Trump camp was more open to it.

Such public support for Mr. Trump used to be taboo in Silicon Valley, which has long been seen as a liberal bastion. But frustration with Mr. Biden, Democrats and the state of the world has increasingly driven some of tech’s most prominent venture capitalists to the right.

Some investors, like Chamath Palihapitiya of Social Capital, backed Democrats in the past. (He is set to co-host the fund-raiser for Mr. Trump alongside Mr. Sacks.) Others, like Marc Andreessen of Andreessen Horowitz and Shaun Maguire of Sequoia Capital, have criticized Mr. Biden without expressing support for Mr. Trump. Still others, like Keith Rabois of Khosla Ventures, are focusing their efforts on electing Republicans to Congress.

The activity may amount to more noise than formal support or personal donations for Mr. Trump’s campaign. And it is by no means everyone. Much of Silicon Valley, including prominent donors like the investors Reid Hoffman and Vinod Khosla, remains loyal to Democrats. Peter Thiel, the investor who backed Mr. Trump in the past, has said he is disillusioned with politics and plans to stay out of the 2024 race.

Jacob Helberg, Vinod Khosla and Senator Todd Young are seated in blue armchairs on a stage, with U.S. flags behind them.

Jacob Helberg, left, an adviser to Palantir, spoke with the venture capitalist Vinod Khosla, center, and Senator Todd Young, Republican of Indiana, at a forum in Washington. Credit...Jason Andrew for The New York Times

But the tech investors who are leaning right are influential, with enormous followings on social media and lots of money — and they are becoming more politically engaged. That reflects how the start-up industry has grown — soaring eightfold between 2012 and 2022 to $344 billion, according to PitchBook, which tracks start-ups — with more of the industry’s issues turning political in nature.

“When I started, everybody cared about tax issues and immigration issues,” said Bobby Franklin, who has led the National Venture Capital Association, a trade group, since 2013. “Now it is so much more complex.”

Delian Asparouhov, an investor at Founders Fund, the investment firm founded by Mr. Thiel, recently marveled at how much the political winds had shifted. This month, Mr. Trump made a virtual appearance at a venture capital conference in Washington. There, he thanked attendees for “keeping your chin up” and said he looked forward to meeting them.

“Four years ago you had to issue an apology if you voted for him,” Mr. Asparouhov wrote on X.

Delian Asparouhov, an investor at Founders Fund, recently marveled at how much the political winds had shifted in tech.Credit...Jason Andrew for The New York Times

Mr. Sacks, Mr. Palihapitiya and Founders Fund did not respond to a request for comment. Sequoia Capital declined to comment.

The comments and activity by the group of tech investors are particularly noticeable given Silicon Valley’s blue background. The circle of Republican donors in the nation’s tech capital has long been limited to a few tech executives such as Scott McNealy, a founder of Sun Microsystems; Meg Whitman, a former chief executive of eBay; Carly Fiorina, a former chief executive of Hewlett-Packard; Larry Ellison, the executive chairman of Oracle; and Doug Leone, a former managing partner of Sequoia Capital.

But mostly, the tech industry cultivated close ties with Democrats. Al Gore, the former Democratic vice president, joined the venture capital firm Kleiner Perkins in 2007. Over the next decade, tech companies including Airbnb, Google, Uber and Apple eagerly hired former members of the Obama administration.

Mr. Thiel’s loud and enthusiastic support for Mr. Trump in 2016, which included a $1.25 million donation and a speech at the Republican National Convention, came as a shock. Even more surprising to some in the industry was the way that, after Mr. Trump won the election that year, the world seemed to blame tech companies for his victory. The resulting “techlash” against Facebook and others caused some industry leaders to reassess their political views, a trend that continued through the social and political turmoil of the pandemic.

During that time, Democrats moved further to the left and demonized successful people who made a lot of money, further alienating some tech leaders, said Bradley Tusk, a venture capital investor and political strategist who is a Democrat.

“If you keep telling someone over and over that they’re evil, they’re eventually not going to like that,” he said. “I see that in venture capital.”

That feeling has hardened under President Biden. Some investors said they were frustrated that his pick for chair of the Federal Trade Commission, Lina Khan, has aggressively moved to block acquisitions, one of the main ways venture capitalists make money. They said they were also unhappy that Mr. Biden’s pick for head of the Securities and Exchange Commission, Gary Gensler, had been hostile to cryptocurrency companies.

The start-up industry has also been in a downturn since 2022, with higher interest rates sending capital fleeing from risky bets and a dismal market for initial public offerings crimping opportunities for investors to cash in on their valuable investments.

Some also said they disliked Mr. Biden’s proposal in March to raise taxes, including a 25 percent “billionaire tax” on certain holdings that could include start-up stock, as well as a higher tax rate on profits from successful investments..."

WHICH IS EXACTLY WHAT WE NEED. THEY'RE WORRIED... ABOUT THEIR MONEY; ABOUT THEIR BILLIONS. America has been under relentless assault from SILICON VALLEY since it's inception. You saw the reports from Keri Kukral an SV whistleblower. The place was teeming with criminal behavior. Foreign money flowing in from foreign adversaries like China Russia India, etc. There were prostitution rings and access run rampant, as Main Street kept having everything stolen from it. Practically every Cryptocurrency company was engaged in illegal activities.

Perhaps Mr Thiel (who is very much NOT out of politics. He's a backer of NYC Eric Adams) should not have tried to crash our Banks and the Stock Market and allow me to find the article where some of these 'former liberals' including Thiel, used to wax on about wanting a Monarchy; about wanting to 'REPLACE GOVERNMENT ' With THEY'RE OWN VERSION. He is also close to the Fascist wing of the Catholic Church They're all full of shit. And I don't know how impressive Al Gore is with that WEF leash. Tech is/was working with the World Economic Forum to gain more control.

#VoteBlue #BidenHarris2024 because our country desperately needs to get some of these billionaires under control or they will NEVER leave us alone. I'll admit to not being happy about everything right now, but I'm smart and adult enough to know that right now, it's not about me. It's about saving this country from Silicon Valley.

#SanFrancisco #KhoslaVentures #SequoiaCapital #ToddYoung #JacobHelberg #Palantir #ScottMcNealy #SunMicrosystems; #MegWhitman #Ebay #CarlyFiorina #hewlettpackard #larryellison #Oracle #dougleone #airbnb #GooglePlay #uber #apple #Obama #LinaKhan #garygensler

[justinspoliticalcorner]

Amee Vanderpool at SHERO:

Do not be fooled and do not let anyone you know be fooled into believing that any federal entitlement programs will be safe if Donald Trump is elected to a second term in 2024. The fact that we even call these programs “entitlements” is infuriating because they are programs that we, the taxpayers, have been paying into over the span of our lifetimes. After we get through this next election we need to talk about rebranding these programs to something like “give me my moula back or I’ll cut you-ments.” Last week, I tweeted out the following video (click below to play) to reiterate something Donald Trump has been promising to do for years. As always, when Trump uses the buzzword “entitlements” he is referring to Social Security and Medicare. The Republican Party has spent years bastardizing the word so that it is seen as something bad, similar to welfare. The truth is, a lot of the people voting for conservatives don’t even understand that these are programs they have paid into, and it is their own money coming back to them.

While I typically expect to get a lot of negative trolling responses to a tweet like this, the level of Trump paid, or Russian paid, or whatever paid trolling was kicked up a notch. These responses were targeted, organized, and completely outraged at the mention that Trump was in fact promising to cut benefits. I have also noticed that a lot of Trump-biased trolling accounts also have blue checks, which now have a monthly cost, so it looks like Elon Musk might be assisting the former president in some way. Bottom line: pointing out the facts about Trump’s stance on entitlements is hitting a certain button with the Trump Campaign, which is frantically trying to rehabilitate years of Trump’s statements.

Here is a quick summary of where we are with entitlements and where we are at risk. If nothing is done, Medicare will be solvent until 2028, and Social Security has been preserved until 2033. Without active and immediate attention, these benefits, which Americans have spent a lifetime paying into, will be reduced due to a lack of funding.

President Biden calls these federal entitlement programs: “the bedrock of financial security for American seniors and for millions of Americans with disabilities.” Currently middle and lower-income Americans pay Social Security taxes on all of their earnings, but highest-income Americans do not, and Biden has proposed raising taxes on the super wealthy to compensate for maintaining benefits for all earners. Moreover, the recent budget proposal presented by President Biden would extend the life of the Medicare Hospital Insurance (HI) trust fund indefinitely.

[...]

An NBC News deep dive found that Trump has many different kinds of responses that range from:

Calling Social Security a “Ponzi scheme” in 2000

Being asked on Hardball in December 2004, just before a Republican push to partially privatize the program, if Trump would support individual retirement accounts he said: “I sort of think I would. Something has to be done. Social Security is a huge problem right now, funding it.”

Endorsing former Representative Paul Ryan’s 2012 plan to a Medicare restructure, to convert Medicare into a “premium support” system that would cap spending for future retirees and give them vouchers to buy insurance plans

Launching his campaign for president in 2015, Trump reversed his stance saying: “I’m not going to cut Social Security like every other Republican, and I’m not going to cut Medicare or Medicaid.”

Claiming in 2016 that he would protect those programs and tackle retirement spending in his White House budgets — which he never did.

Trump’s fiscal 2021 budget endorsed billions of dollars of Social Security cuts for disabled seniors, and he insisted on changing the name of the program to “Social Security Disability Insurance.” The benefits under Trump’s plan for disabled workers would would have maxed out at six months instead of 12 months. Trump’s proposed budget also called for reducing Supplemental Security Income benefits for those who live with other Social Security recipients, which means elderly couples.

[...] As on most issues, Trump has changed his tune to suit whatever whim or need he had in the moment, but these changes to entitlements have a pattern. More than that, you can completely ignore his words and look at his actions to determine the truth. If Donald Trump is elected again in 2024, and he has the majority in Congress, he will, in the blink of an instant, cut these programs our country has come to rely upon. Trump’s severe stance on “terminating” Obamacare over the years has also been more than just his dislike of President Obama. This only further emphasizes his desire to cut programs that affect the lower and middle classes, that threaten the wealth of the rich. Sadly, many of his own supporters, who are themselves part of the lower income section, fail to realize that they are on a Trump chopping block of their own making.

Amee Vanderpool wrote in her SHERO Substack that Donald Trump, if given the chance, WILL cut Social Security and Medicare.

It’s also why we must elect Joe Biden again.

[ez-ra-zed]

2009. a random white boy named Ethan Jones in a timeline where i kept my dads last name was killed by a random oncoming car and creamed. 2010, i accidentally did something that lead to a butterfly effect of Hillary Clinton dying from a disease i had that kept being passed on to random ppl and eventually her, in that fake alternate timeline thst i find funny right now. 2011, my mom got another abortion after aborting her two other children that are alive in this reality, and then i killed myself later cuz i didnt have my sister, and then my mom drank herself to death and without four children was a mean hospice nurse instead of a nice one. 2012, everybody but 44million random white people, 44 million random black people, 44 million random all the other races, dies for no reason and then some random people had to raise me in this really cool reality that is more wholesome in the long-term. 2013, this random person online kills themselves after i target them and bully them to death on iFunny. oh wait it was like dozens of random people targeting one person and slowly killing them over multiple years when they fucked up some weak peoples minds when they could've just deleted iFunny. 2014, so many random people in the military tried to initaite a coup in an alternate timeline that lead to a second black man ending up in office in 2016 and he was completely black, dark black. but that only happened when the military killed so many politcians in DC in 2014 in an alternate timeline. 2015, Russia decides to have more random social media platforms than iFunny and did a lot more good damage in an alternate reality

Imagine iFunny never existed and I never learned about disinformation from Daddy Russia who is so Mother (Mother Russia)

Imagine Hillary won the election and I never learned from Trump I could fuck shit up and decide decades prior to run for office and then just do it, like that man I learned more from that Hillary Clinton

Alternate timelines where she won are so boring and sad

[toshootforthestars]

From the report by Roger Sollenberger, posted 22 Nov 2023:

The nonprofit, called American Compass, included the names of five donor organizations on a schedule in its 2022 tax statement, a copy of which was obtained by The Daily Beast. The page header says, “Do Not File” and “Not Open to Public Inspection,” indicating the donors may have been accidentally disclosed. Of the five groups, two stand out for their prominent histories of supporting liberal causes—the William and Flora Hewlett Foundation and the Omidyar Network Foundation.

* * * *

The donations are striking because American Compass is a partner organization in Project 2025, a controversial right-wing think tank that has been building the policy and personnel firmament for a second Trump administration. Project 2025 is an arm of the Heritage Foundation and it has been criticized for its hard-right, authoritarian agenda—including “dehumanizing” rhetoric towards the LGBTQ community, re-upping Trump’s attempt to include citizenship on the census, leveraging the power of the Justice Department to crack down on critics, and a potentially unconstitutional plan to sic U.S. troops on domestic protesters. Project 2025 backers include xenophobic Trump advisers Stephen Miller and Steve Bannon, as well as Christian nationalist and former Trump budget chief Russ Vought, one of the group’s top advisers. According to The Washington Post, Project 2025 has been crafting “specific plans for using the federal government to punish critics and opponents,” with Trump himself “naming individuals he wants to investigate or prosecute.” The group is also “drafting plans to potentially invoke the Insurrection Act on his first day in office to allow him to deploy the military against civil demonstrations,” the Post reported. American Compass—whose specific political allegiances lie with the so-called “New Right”—boasts other ties to anti-democratic, pro-Trump luminaries. For instance, the address on its tax filing is inside the Conservative Partnership Institute, which employs Trump’s former chief of staff Mark Meadows and political attorney Cleta Mitchell, another architect of Trump’s potentially criminal plot to overturn the 2020 election. CPI is another key force behind Project 2025.

* * * *

American Compass founder Oren Cass—a former Bain executive and adviser to Mitt Romney’s failed 2012 presidential bid—has staked out what he casts as a more labor-friendly economic conservatism. While he has advocated for “genuine” bipartisanship, Cass is also aligned with the New Right. He rejects many of the absolutist tenets of laissez-faire capitalism that the GOP has held dear for so long, arguing that free-market fundamentals have failed the American worker. Last year, Cass drew a salary of $275,000 from his nonprofit—more than one out of every four dollars raised. Writing about Cass and his New Right peers in June, New York Times columnist David Leonhardt emphasized the caveat that, while these Republicans rage against the free market, “they really are conservative.” This movement, Leonhardt cautioned, should not be mistaken for “disaffected right-wingers who have become moderates without admitting it,” noting that they “support abortion restrictions and oppose gun laws” and “make excuses for Donald Trump’s anti-democratic behavior or even spread his falsehoods.” The departures from traditional conservatism are indeed stark enough to be deceptive, or at least distracting. For instance, while American Compass criticized the Trump and Bush tax cuts, the group has also called to abolish corporate income tax altogether, replacing it with a tax on asset trading in the secondary market. But the rhetoric has apparently been good for fundraising. In 2020, the group’s founding year, Cass trashed free-market absolutism in a Hewlett Foundation interview; that year, Hewlett donated $611,000 to American Compass—nearly half the group’s total founding revenue, and half of what Hewlett gave NPR in 2020. About $198,000 of American Compass’ 2020 revenue went to Cass’ salary. While Cass delivers sharp, almost heretical rebukes of historical conservative economic principles, he also carries conservative banners—for instance, cultural and economic criticism of college education and student debt relief, for instance. He and his New Right cohort are not inclusive, pushing a fierce nationalism with an illiberal agenda of its own. (Sens. Josh Hawley (R-MO), Tom Cotton (R-AR), and J.D. Vance (R-OH) are all seen as flag bearers.) That position has been most broadly articulated by a group called American Moment, a conservative nonprofit that is close with Cass and has featured him in its lecture series. (American Moment’s board includes hard-right up-and-comers like Ryan Girdusky and anti-LGBTQ activist Terry Schilling. The board also has strong ties to the right-wing Clermont Institute.) As analysts unravel Project 2025’s 902-page “Mandate for Leadership,” they’ve found something of an underlying Christian nationalist manifesto.