#re-elect tammy baldwin

[tomorrowusa]

Filthy rich Republicans wish to tax poor people more so that the rich can get even more tax brakes when the GOP is in power. That's pretty much the story of Eric Hovde.

Hovde is running against incumbent Wisconsin US Senator Tammy Baldwin.

Wisconsin is a fairly moderate state. But it features some of the most despicable Republicans outside the old Confederacy.

In 2017, Sunwest Bank CEO Eric Hovde advocated for reforms that would raise taxes for 72 million Americans, including retirees and low-income earners. Hovde, a Republican, is expected to announce a U.S. Senate campaign in Wisconsin soon. Hovde, who has been endorsed by national Republicans to challenge Democratic Sen. Tammy Baldwin in 2024, made the proposal in a Nov. 18, 2017, appearance on the radio program “The Vicki McKenna Show.”  [ ... ] Analysis by the nonpartisan Tax Policy Center found the plan would have also raised taxes for middle- and working-class families as well as retirees. “More than 80 percent of the tax increase would be paid by households making about $54,000 or less, and 97 percent would be paid by those making less than about $100,000,” wrote Howard Gleckman, a senior fellow with the organization. “Low-income families with children would pay the most: Achieving Scott’s goal would slash their after-tax incomes by more than $5,000, or more than 20 percent. A Scott-like plan would raise taxes on middle-income households by an average of $450.” Scott’s plan failed to pass, but he has not given up pushing for it. If Hovde were to join him in the Senate and support the measure, it could gain traction. In Wisconsin, Scott’s plan would have raised taxes for 32% of people, according to analysis by the nonpartisan Institute on Taxation and Economic Policy. 

Hovde wants to take away your healthcare in addition to raising your income tax (if you're not a millionaire).

Hovde ran unsuccessfully in the Republican primary for U.S. Senate in 2012, and during that campaign he called for a total repeal of the Affordable Care Act, which in 2022 made it possible for 212,209 individuals in Wisconsin to obtain affordable health insurance coverage.

The Eric Hovde and Donald Trump Agenda: Take Away Critical Health Care Protections From Wisconsinites

Hovde doesn't even live in Wisconsin. Just sayin'...

Bice: Eric Hovde may run for Senate in Wisconsin, but he's living large in Laguna Beach, California

Did I mention that Eric Hovde is an anti-abortion fanatic.

ERIC HOVDE ON ABORTION

[batboyblog]

Things Biden and the Democrats did, this week #10

March 15-22 2024

The EPA announced new emission standards with the goal of having more than half of new cars and light trucks sold in the US be low/zero emission by 2032. One of the most significant climate regulations in the nation’s history, it'll eliminate 7 billion tons of CO2 emissions over the next 30 years. It's part of President Biden's goal to cut greenhouse gas emissions in half by 2030 on the road to eliminating them totally by 2050.

President Biden canceled nearly 6 Billion dollars in student loan debt. 78,000 borrowers who work in public sector jobs, teachers, nurses, social workers, firefighters etc will have their debt totally forgiven. An additional 380,000 public service workers will be informed that they qualify to have their loans forgiven over the next 2 years. The Biden Administration has now forgiven $143.6 Billion in student loan debt for 4 million Americans since the Supreme Court struck down the original student loan forgiveness plan last year.

Under Pressure from the administration and Democrats in Congress Drugmaker AstraZeneca caps the price of its inhalers at $35. AstraZeneca joins rival Boehringer Ingelheim in capping the price of inhalers at $35, the price the Biden Admin capped the price of insulin for seniors. The move comes as the Federal Trade Commission challenges AstraZeneca’s patents, and Senator Bernie Sanders in his role as Democratic chair of the Senate Health Committee investigates drug pricing.

The Department of Justice sued Apple for being an illegal monopoly in smartphones. The DoJ is joined by 16 state attorneys general. The DoJ accuses Apple of illegally stifling competition with how its apps work and seeking to undermining technologies that compete with its own apps.

The EPA passed a rule banning the final type of asbestos still used in the United States. The banning of chrysotile asbestos (known as white asbestos) marks the first time since 1989 the EPA taken action on asbestos, when it passed a partial ban. 40,000 deaths a year in the US are linked to asbestos

President Biden announced $8.5 billion to help build advanced computer chips in America. Currently America only manufactures 10% of the world's chips and none of the most advanced next generation of chips. The deal with Intel will open 4 factories across 4 states (Arizona, Ohio, New Mexico, and Oregon) and create 30,000 new jobs. The Administration hopes that by 2030 America will make 20% of the world's leading-edge chips.

President Biden signed an Executive Order prioritizing research into women's health. The order will direct $200 million into women's health across the government including comprehensive studies of menopause health by the Department of Defense and new outreach by the Indian Health Service to better meet the needs of American Indian and Alaska Native Women. This comes on top of $100 million secured by First Lady Jill Biden from ARPA-H.

Democratic Senators Bob Casey, Tammy Baldwin, Sherrod Brown, and Jacky Rosen (all up for re-election) along with Elizabeth Warren, Cory Booker, and Sheldon Whitehouse, introduced the "Shrinkflation Prevention Act" The Bill seeks to stop the practice of companies charging the same amount for products that have been subtly shrunk so consumers pay more for less.

The Department of Transportation will invest $45 million in projects that improve Bicyclist and Pedestrian Connectivity and Safety

The EPA will spend $77 Million to put 180 electric school buses onto the streets of New York City This is part of New York's goal to transition its whole school bus fleet to electric by 2035.

The Senate confirmed President Biden's nomination of Nicole Berner to the Court of Appeals for the Fourth Circuit. Berner has served as the general counsel for America's largest union, SEIU, since 2017 and worked in their legal department since 2006. On behalf of SEIU she's worked on cases supporting the Affordable Care Act, DACA, and against the Defense of Marriage act and was part of the Fight for 15. Before working at SEIU she was a staff attorney at Planned Parenthood. Berner's name was listed by the liberal group Demand Justice as someone they'd like to see on the Supreme Court. Berner becomes one of just 5 LGBT federal appeals court judges, 3 appointed by Biden. The Senate also confirmed Edward Kiel and Eumi Lee to be district judges in New Jersey and Northern California respectively, bring the number of federal judges appointed by Biden to 188.

[dhaaruni]

I live in Nevada and it looks like Jacky Rosen will probably narrowly win re-election and while I'm still disappointed in Kamala's loss, this is a bright spot for me. However Sam Brown supporters are already trying to say she "stole" the election and it was rigged and Sam Brown should have won. I hate what Trump and Steve Bannon have done to democracy and now Republicans cry "it's rigged!" whenever they lose anything.

I'm so glad Jacky Rosen won, and same with Ruben Gallego, Tammy Baldwin, and Elissa Slotkin like they're real MVPs for winning in states Harris lost.

[sethshead]

Rep. Ritchie Torres (D-NY) said on social media that “the only just outcome” for the Israeli-Palestinian conflict is “the peaceful coexistence” of an Israeli and a Palestinian state. “I am under no illusion that a two-state solution will happen in the immediate future but to assert that it should NEVER happen — that either Jews or Palestinians should never have self-determination — is morally wrong,” Torres continued.

Once again, Rep. Torres distinguishes himself as a voice of nuance and peace in this conflict.

I don't know what exactly are the conditions for aid the 18 senators have established, but if they focus on the "day after" need to lay all possible groundwork for eventual Palestinian autonomy and independence, I would be on board. As much as I am a Zionist and side unreservedly with Israel against Hamas in the current war, nothing will have been achieved if a two-state future is off the table. Netanyahu's vision only sets the stage for unsustainable occupation and future conflict. It is a dispiriting confirmation of what we all knew he believed and was working toward, despite his perverse willingness to live alongside a Hamas that never promised anything but what it did Oct. 7. Israel is in desperate need of better leadership, as are the Palestinians. If that is achieved, there is good reason to hope for peace.

After all this is the calculus: Israel is going nowhere and neither are the Palestinians. Both Jews and Palestinians demand and have every right to national self-determination, and each possesses its own form of indigeneity within the borders of the former British Mandate of Palestine. Neither people wishes to live as a minority under the other's rule. That leaves only partition into two sovereign and viable states as a just solution. Zionists understood this in 1947, but have inconsistently acted in accordance with this logic. The Palestinians, well, when they're ready to accept this conclusion, there has to be something concrete as an incentive for conceding to reality.

[elfwreck]

All 435 Representative seats are up for election (as they are every two years).

Every state is not a contested Senate state - every state doesn't even have senators running in this election. They're elected for 6 years each, in 2-year cycles.

34 Senate seats are up for election this year. 23 of those are currently held by Democrats or Independents, so the Republicans will be pushing hard to get one or two of them and take control of the Senate.

The grey states have no one in the running; there is no way to influence their existing senator balance.

Spots to watch:

West Virginia - Joe Manchin (I, former D) is stepping down; the state leans strongly red and pro-Trump, so this is one to push for activism. Glenn Elliott is the new Democratic candidate. He's running against Jim Justice, the current governor there, and the polls are not in Elliott's favor.

Montana - Jon Tester (D) - Another Democrat in a red state; the only one who holds statewide office in Montana. He's running for re-election against Sheehy.

Ohio - Sherrod Brown (D) running for re-election. Brown is a strong progressive; his opponent is Moreno, who is Trump's pick.

Nevada - Jacky Rosen (D) running for re-election. She's a first-term senator, and Nevada has been tilting blue but isn't strongly there. She's ahead of her opponent (Sam Brown) 47%-40% by some accounts, but almost tied at 41% each in others.

Arizona - Krysten Sinema (I) is stepping downn; Ruben Gallego is the Democrat running against Kari Lake, and numbers are so far in his favor.

Michigan - Debbie Stablenow (D) is retiring; Elissa Slotkin is very likely to be selected to run for her spot. Republicans haven't won a senator's race in Michigan for 30 years, but Trump is popular there. The likely R candidate is Rogers; polls have her about 9 points ahead of him.

Pennsylvania - Bob Casey (D) is running against McCormick; Casey is solidly leading in the polls.

Wisconsin - Tammy Baldwin (D) is likely going against Hovde - and while state polls put Trump ahead of Biden (...hah, those numbers are now all useless), she has a 5-pt lead in the polls.

Maryland - Angela Alsobrooks (D) won the nomination to go after retiring Ben Cardin's spot. This would be a non-competitive race (Biden was up 30 points in the last election), but she's running against a former governor, Larry Hogan. Hogan is trying to call himself a moderate; his track record doesn't show that.

Texas - Ted Cruz (R) is the incumbent; Colin Allred is his competition, and it's looking like a fairly close race - recent polls are 47/44 in favor of Cruz, but that's within the range of change.

This has a map with all the races:

even if you're resigned that trump is going to win, 1/3 of the country lives in states with competitive senate elections. if democrats win the senate, there is very little that trump can do (can't even appoint supreme court nominees)

the following states all have competitive senate elections:

arizona

florida

maryland

michigan

montana

nevada

ohio

pennsylvania

texas

wisconsin

even if you don't think your state is competitive at all, THESE SENATE RACES STILL ARE, SO IF YOU LIVE IN ONE OF THESE STATES, MAKE SURE TO VOTE

and even if you don't live in one of those states, you could live in a competitive house seat. if democrats win the house, then trump can't pass any bills

and even if you don't live in a competitive state or district, your local elections matter even more than federal ones because they have a much more direct impact on your life

so VOTE VOTE VOTE VOTE VOTE VOTE VOTE

[bllsbailey]

NYT's Whine Fest Over Failed Female Presidential Candidates Buried This Odd Line

This New York Times piece about the failure of female presidential candidates has some good, bad, and ugly parts. Despite the headline, it’s not as insane as you’d expect. It’s fair-ish, though you wouldn’t know if you didn’t get past the first few paragraphs. The Democratic Party is still reeling from its 2016 and 2024 losses, where twice the party has had female candidates that have lost to Donald J. Trump. The article goes through the usual motions about whether it was sexism and the like, which a great many Democrats still cling to despite Kamala Harris being one of the worst candidates in recent memory. Yet, it’s this line that made me recoil. It dealt with erasing the stigma of a female candidate if more ran (via NYT) [emphasis mine]: 

Those candidates have been conservative and liberal, racially diverse, and from big cities, small towns and across the country. Some campaigned on an economic message, others focused on social issues. Only two — Mrs. Clinton and Ms. Harris, both Democrats — captured their party’s nomination. 

Excuse me? Ms. Harris stole that nomination, fellas. Even your own Maureen Dowd called it a coup in the editorial section. No Democrat has ever voted for Kamala Harris in a Democratic primary. Second, the sexism narrative is the place of safe refuge but a false oasis as Harris had the lowest levels of female support in nearly a generation. The Times noted that this go-to coping mechanism could also be blinding Democrats to the serial flaws of the Harris operation: 

For Democrats still scarred by Hillary Clinton’s loss to Donald J. Trump in 2016, Vice President Kamala Harris’s defeat at the hands of the same man in November has only deepened anxieties over gender bias and prompted a fresh round of debate over the electability of women to the nation’s highest office.  While few will say so aloud, some Democrats are already quietly hoping their party doesn’t nominate a woman in 2028, fearing she could not overcome an enduring hold of sexism on the American electorate. Many others anticipate another — perhaps even more aggressive — round of questions and doubts about female presidential candidates that have plagued the party for the better part of two decades..  “People feel pretty stung by what happened,” said Liz Shuler, the first woman elected to lead the A.F.L.-C.I.O., the largest federation of unions in the country, who supported Ms. Harris and believes she made no significant missteps in the race.   […]  Yet to chalk Ms. Harris’s loss up to sexism alone — and to the idea that women are held to a higher standard when seeking the White House — could also be a way of minimizing campaign missteps.  […]  Senator Tammy Baldwin, Democrat of Wisconsin, who won a tough re-election race against a male candidate in November, said she saw more traditional political factors playing a larger role in Ms. Harris’s defeat, noting that she heard “very little focus” on her gender or the barrier-breaking potential of her candidacy.  “This was a change election. People — if people are expressing that they’re concerned about the direction of the country, they’re not going to vote for the incumbent party,” she said. “It has much more to do with that than I think the fact that Kamala Harris is a woman.”  The results indicate that, yet again, voters were not particularly motivated by a desire for greater female representation. Despite the liberal hope that women would flock to her candidacy over issues like abortion rights, Ms. Harris won the lowest level of support from female voters of any Democratic nominee since 2004, according to an analysis by the Center for American Women and Politics at Rutgers University. 

Democrats gambled and lost on abortion. It’s not the only issue, and female voters know that. They misread the Dobbs fallout. You saw that when they chortled over Kansas rejecting a right-to-life amendment to their constitution by an overwhelming margin while remaining oblivious to the fact that there is no state or federal funding, there are parental consent laws. Abortion is banned after 22 weeks except for the usual exceptions (life of the mother et al.).  

Everything I just mentioned would make pro-aborts vomit, though it’s a window into how most of the country views this issue: legal, but with a host of restrictions. For sure, the Left will try to thread gun control into this debate with more restrictions on women’s health than gun purchases, but with Hunter Biden’s pardon and progressives cheering Luigi Mangione—the Left can take a seat for a while. They can sit down for the next four years because they lost.  

Regarding Republicans, no woman has ever won the nomination for a national race, but there’s a bit of a wrinkle here: Donald J. Trump was running. Trump was going to bulldoze any candidate in the GOP field this year, so it will be interesting to see what comes next after the second Trump presidency. This bit was added after the article mentioned Sen. Lindsey Graham (R-SC) and former President Bill Clinton admitting that America will elect a female president someday. Still, it’ll likely be from the Republican Party.  

Trending on Townhall Videos

[vyurza]

LGBTQ+ Politicians Who Made History In The 2024 United States Elections

Julie Johnson - First out LGBTQ+ person to represent Texas in Congress

Keturah Herron - First LGBTQ+ woman State Senator in Kentucky

Emily Randall - First Latina LGBTQ+ Congresswoman

Tammy Baldwin - First out lesbian woman elected to the United States Senate

Molly Cook - Bisexual woman who won Texas Senate seat

Sarah McBride - First out trans person elected to the House

Becca Balint - First LGBTQ+ person elected to represent Vermont in Congress

Angie Craig - First LGBTQ+ person elected to represent Minnesota in Congress

Sharice Davids - First out LGBTQ+ Congress member elected in Kansas

Chris Pappas - First out LGBTQ+ Congress member in New Hampshire

Mark Pocan - Gay member of Congress for Wisconsin, re-elected

Mark Takano - Only out LGBTQ+ Asian and Pacific American in Congress, re-elected

Ritchie Torres - First out LGBTQ+ Afro-Latin person elected to Congress, re-elected for a New York seat

Aime Wichtendahl - First out trans House member in Iowa

Robert Garcia - Out gay politician representing California's 42 District, re-elected

Eric Sorensen - First out gay member of Congress in Illinois, re-elected

Zooey Zephyr - Transgender State Representative in Montana, re-elected

[qnewsau]

US elects more LGBTQIA+ people to Congress

New Post has been published on https://qnews.com.au/us-elects-more-lgbtqia-people-to-congress/

US elects more LGBTQIA+ people to Congress

There was a silver lining to this week’s US Presidential Election, with several states electing their first LGBTQIA+ representatives to Congress and a number of prominent queer lawmakers being returned to office by voters.

Texan Julie Johnson has become the first LGBTQIA+ person to be elected to Congress for her state and for the entire US South.

Sarah McBride won the state of Delaware’s single seat in the House of Representatives to become the first transgender member of Congress.

Washington State’s Emily Randall has become the first LGBTQIA+ and Latina person in Congress.

All three of the new LGBTQIA+ members of Congress are Democrats and bring the total number of LGBTQIA+ people in the House of Representatives to a record twelve.

Existing LGBTQIA+ members of Congress who will continue in their seats include Vermont’s Becca Balint, Kansas’ Sharice Davids, Illinois’ Eric Soresen, Minnesota’s Angie Craig, Wisconsin’s Mark Pocan, California’s Mark Takano and Robert Garcia, New Hampshire’s Chris Pappas and New York’s Ritchie Torres.

Senator Tammy Baldwin from the state of Wisconsin has also won re-election as the sole LGBTQIA+ person in the US Senate following the retirement of lesbian Democrat Laphonza Butler and bisexual Democrat-turned-Independent Kyrsten Sinema who did not seel re-election.

For the latest LGBTIQA+ Sister Girl and Brother Boy news, entertainment, community stories in Australia, visit qnews.com.au. Check out our latest magazines or find us on Facebook, Twitter, Instagram and YouTube.

[bloggingblue]

Endorsement: Wisconsin Needs To Re-elect Senator Tammy Baldwin

Well duh, Senator Baldwin has had our back for the past 12 years and still is deeply invested in helping Wisconsin and its residents. I won’t waste my breath on her carpetbagger opponent.

[alaturkanews]

Biden’s Fate Hangs Over Baldwin and Democrats in Congress as Voters Question His Fitness

Senator Tammy Baldwin, a Wisconsin Democrat seeking re-election, has noticed voters returning to the same question in recent days as she crisscrosses her state to make the case for her campaign: Does she think President Biden can win in November, and should he even try? “Typically, I’ll go to an event; I’ll share my remarks,” Ms. Baldwin said in an interview on Friday at a newly opened campaign…

[brookstonalmanac]

Events 11.6

447 – A powerful earthquake destroys large portions of the Walls of Constantinople, including 57 towers. 963 – Synod of Rome: Emperor Otto I calls a council at St. Peter's Basilica in Rome. Pope John XII is deposed on charges of an armed rebellion against Otto. 1217 – The Charter of the Forest is sealed at St Paul's Cathedral, London by King Henry III, acting under the regency of William Marshall, 1st Earl of Pembroke which re-establishes for free men rights of access to the royal forest that had been eroded by William the Conqueror and his heirs. 1792 – Battle of Jemappes in the French Revolutionary Wars. 1860 – Abraham Lincoln is elected the 16th president of the United States with only 40% of the popular vote, defeating John C. Breckinridge, John Bell, and Stephen A. Douglas in a four-way race. 1869 – In New Brunswick, New Jersey, Rutgers College defeats Princeton University (then known as the College of New Jersey), 6–4, in the first official intercollegiate American football game. 1900 – President William McKinley is re-elected, along with his vice-presidential running mate, Governor Theodore Roosevelt of New York. Republicans also swept the congressional elections, winning increased majorities in both the Senate and the House of Representatives. 1936 – Spanish Civil War: The republican government flees from Madrid to Valencia, leading to the formation of the Madrid Defense Council in its stead. 1943 – World War II: The 1st Ukrainian Front liberates Kyiv from German occupation. 1947 – Meet the Press, the longest running television program in history, makes its debut on NBC Television. 1963 – Nguyễn Ngọc Thơ is appointed to head the South Vietnamese government by General Dương Văn Minh's junta, five days after the latter deposed and assassinated President Ngô Đình Diệm. 1971 – The United States Atomic Energy Commission tests the largest U.S. underground hydrogen bomb, code-named Cannikin, on Amchitka Island in the Aleutians. 1977 – The Kelly Barnes Dam, located above Toccoa Falls College near Toccoa, Georgia, fails, killing 39. 1985 – Colombian conflict, leftist guerrillas of the 19th of April Movement seize control of the Palace of Justice in Bogotá. 1986 – Sumburgh disaster: A British International Helicopters Boeing 234LR Chinook crashes 21⁄2 miles east of Sumburgh Airport killing 45 people. It is the deadliest civilian helicopter crash on record. 1988 – Lancang–Gengma earthquakes: At least 938 are killed after two powerful earthquakes rock the China–Myanmar border in Yunnan Province. 1995 – Cleveland Browns relocation controversy: Art Modell announces that he signed a deal that would relocate the Cleveland Browns to Baltimore. 2002 – Jiang Lijun is detained by Chinese police for signing the Open Letter to the 16th National Congress of the Chinese Communist Party. 2002 – A Fokker 50 crashes near Luxembourg Airport, killing 20 and injuring three. 2004 – An express train collides with a stationary car near the village of Ufton Nervet, England, killing seven and injuring 150. 2012 – Tammy Baldwin becomes the first openly gay politician to be elected to the United States Senate. 2016 – Syrian civil war: The Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF) launch an offensive to capture the city of Raqqa from the Islamic State of Iraq and the Levant (ISIL).

[thedepressedweasel]

Please donate/boost this to help Tammy Baldwin win

[mariacallous]

Rick Scott, Josh Hawley, and Ted Cruz (plus Marsha Blackburn) are all up for re-election in 2024

So are Krysten Sinema, Debbie Stabenow, Jon Tester, Jacky Rosen, Martin Heinrich, Sherrod Brown, Bob Casey, Joe Manchin, and Tammy Baldwin.

[dhaaruni]

There's been chatter over the last few days about Trump having all but decided to run again in 2024, which is obviously terrifying. Assuming that happens, and with what we know right now, how would you rate a Biden-Trump rematch in three years? Would you agree that the battleground states that have been trending blue (AZ/GA/TX) will become even bluer in 2024, while MI/PA/WI continue to get redder, even if only slightly?

Okay so, I really don't want Trump to run again because he draws out low-propensity white voters like nobody else does, and as a result, when Trump's not on the ballot like in 2018 and during the Georgia runoffs, Democrats do better. But, I think he will run and we need to be prepared for it. I really need Joe Biden to run for re-election because literally almost other Democrat has any concept of messaging discipline, but his approval numbers in swing states need to come out of the 30s. His approval numbers ignoring outliers are in the mid-40s nationwide but in swing states, they're about 10 points lower, and he's not winning re-election against Trump if that's the case.

I think that Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin are going to get redder in the next 4 years, especially if Trump is on the ballot, but my other huge concern is the Senate in 2024. Debbie Stabenow in Michigan is possibly retiring, which means there won't be incumbency advantage there and that Senate race will be competitive, and all the other Midwestern Senate Dems, Tammy Baldwin, Sherrod Brown, Amy Klobuchar, and Bob Casey, are up for reelection. I think Klobuchar is fine, but the reality is, if Trump's on the ballot, Brown is almost surely toast. He previously won in 2006 and 2018, blue wave years, and in 2012 when Obama won Ohio at the top of the ticket, and Biden/Hillary lost Ohio by 9. Manchin and Tester are already most likely gone, and if the Democrat at the top of the ticket doesn't carry Wisconsin and Pennsylvania, Casey and Baldwin might viably lose too, because once again, they and Brown won re-election when Trump wasn't on the ballot. And, due to a lack of ticket-splitting, I don't believe they can outrun a losing presidential candidate on the same ballot by enough to keep their seats.

As for AZ/GA/TX, Democrats need to stop pretending that Texas is going to flip blue in 2024 (or probably even 2028) because it's not, and Republicans have that electoral buffer along with Florida unless Democrats stop talking about socialism period and do Clinton level numbers with the Cubans/Venezuelans, which won't happen. I believe Texas will eventually flip blue, but as I've said, Ohio is a swing state when Trump isn't on the ballot and a red state when he is, and Texas is a red state always, but is less red when Trump is on the ballot. As for Arizona, I honestly believe that Arizona flipped blue on the presidential level thanks to the ghost of John McCain and Cindy McCain endorsing Biden, and that also means I don't think it'll stay blue without her endorsement.

Sorry to be a huge downer but I'll end by saying that Georgia seems to be pulling a Virginia, and is helped along by Stacey Abrams' efforts of course but also by huge demographic shifts in the state and the growing Atlanta metro. Like, Arizona isn't there demographically because Phoenix and Maricopa County and the suburbs around it are much less blue than Atlanta and Fulton County and the suburbs around it. So yeah, I trust Georgia to stay blue way more than I trust Arizona, and if Joe Biden's not at the top of the ticket, god help us all.