#mao x emily
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poda-venna · 2 years ago
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Straight ship for straight lovers
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Straight ship for gay lovers
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Straight ship for sapphic lovers
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Gay ship for straight lovers
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Gay ship for gay lovers
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Gay ship for sapphic lovers
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Sapphic ship for straight lovers
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Sapphic ship for gay lovers
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Sapphic ship for sapphic lovers
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moonandblossoms · 7 months ago
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Ok, so long ago, I used a height difference generator for my Beyblade ships. And the heights are solely based on my headcanons.
Takao x Hiromi
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Quite above average for Takao. He probably has a bit of height because of training and stuff, plus a bit of genetics. And Hiromi is also quite above average for a Japanese woman. Cute height difference for huggies and cuddles while standing.
Height difference = 22cm
Kai x Julia
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As for Kai, I wanted to make him taller than Takao. The deuteragonists always exceed the protagonist's height. Julia has the perfect 'tall girl' height, since she is already tall enough in the series. She'll wear heels so that Kai can kiss on her lips smeared with Lipstick hehe.
Height difference = 18cm
Rei x Mao
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The Chinese are shorties in general, but I'm not convinced to give Rei a short height. He is a good trainer and I headcanon his father having a great height. As for Mariah, I neither made her short nor tall, instead average. But their big height difference is so cute and hot! Rei can lift her up anytime.
Height difference = 29cm
Max x Emily
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Americans are decently tall. But, I still wanted to give Maxie some extra height and Emily is average to above average (?). It's soothing for Max when Emily hugs him and lays her head on his neck.
Height difference = 19cm
Yuriy x Queen
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It's self explanatory for both of them, I guess? Yuriy is Russian, and they have a great height. And I think Queen is quite tall as well. Huge height difference and it's quite hot. Queen will enjoy the height difference and the effort to kiss him.
Height difference = 25cm
Ozuma x Mariam
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I know Ozuma is VERY short in the series, but I'm not convinced by that. I headcanon him having a huge height boost as he ages. As for Mariam, she is quite tall. They have a lesser height difference, but still decent. Easier to kiss.
Height difference = 12cm
Kane x Salima
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My OTP, eeh! Kane is a Japanese Australian and Australians have a great height. I'd say the height thing runs in their family genes. And, I think the height for Salima is quite decent above average-ish. Cute height difference for her to cuddle on Kane's chest.
Height difference = 25cm
Michael x Mathilda
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Michael is definitely tall in my opinion. He seemed quite tall in the series. Mathilda as a shortie is cute and sweet. But, she buys heels after heels to come a bit closer to his height. Her head directly goes on his chest during hugs which is cute. They'd prefer showing their love language when they are lying down together since it would be difficult for her.
Height difference = 37cm
In order
1] Michael x Mathilda = 37cm
2] Rei x Mao = 29cm
3] Yuriy x Queen + Kane x Salima = 25cm
4] Takao x Hiromi = 22cm
5] Max x Emily = 19cm
6] Kai x Julia = 18cm
7] Ozuma x Mariam = 12cm
[Link]
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virtuousfuta · 1 year ago
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New Test Muses
DC: Huntress (Helena Bertinelli) Raven (Rachel Roth) Starfire (Koriand'r) Final Fantasy: Neon Sophia Fire Emblem: Titania Genshin Impact: Amber Eula Jean Mona Granblue Fantasy: Katalina The Legend of Heroes: Alisa Reinford Claire Rieveldt Elie MacDowell Emma Millstein Estelle Bright Laura S. Arseid Rixia Mao MARVEL: Black Cat (Felicia Hardy) Captain Carter (Peggy Carter) Captain Marvel (Carol Danvers) Crystal Emma Frost Gwen Stacy Invisible Woman (Susan Storm) Jubilee (Jubilation Lee) Kate Bishop Magik (Illyana Rasputin) Maria Hill The Mighty Thor (Jane Foster) Psylocke (Elizabeth "Betsy" Braddock) Scarlet Witch (Wanda Maximoff) Shadowcat (Kitty Pryde) Sharon Carter Sharon Rogers Silk (Cindy Moon) Wasp (Janet Van Dyne) X-23 (Laura Kinney) Yelena Belova My Hero Academia: Nejire Hado Star Trek: Beverly Crusher (Alt FC: Rachel McAdams) Christine Chapel (FC: Jess Bush) Jadzia Dax (Alt FC: Zoey Deutch) Jamie Kirk (FC: Emily VanCamp) Star Wars: Brianna (FC: Adelaide Kane) Jaina Solo (FC: Kaya Scodelario) Jyn Erso Meetra Surik (FC: Jennifer Lawrence) Qi'ra Revan (FC: Brie Larson) Valkyria Chronicles: Alicia Melchiott Kai Schulen Minerva Victor Riley Miller Selvaria Bles
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ashxketchum · 3 years ago
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Their “how we met” story would be iconic. 
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snowflurried · 2 years ago
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TV Shows & Movies I Plan to Watch/Re-Watch
(will update as time goes on)
To Watch:
Movies:
The Godfather
Little Women
The Dark Knight Rises
Nightcrawler
The French Dispatch
Audition (1999)
Ponyo
No Time to Die
Top Gun: Maverick
Friday the 13th (1980)
Murder on the Orient Express (1974)
Grave of the Fireflies
Marie Antoinette
Dracula (1931)
Scarface
Sunset Boulevard (1950)
Halloween
Misery
Black Phone
Shaun of the Dead
Paranorman
Breakfast at Tiffany's (re-watch)
Gone With The Wind
An American in Paris
TV Shows:
The Bear
Good Omens
Legendary (re-watch)
Bee and Puppycat
Money Heist
Watching:
Breaking Bad (S5, 10)
Criminal Minds (S3, 3)
Succession (S2, 8)
Gossip Girl (S5, 17)
Watched (chronological order):
Everything Everywhere All at Once (re-watch)
Inglourious Basterds
Glass Onion
Black Swan (re-watch)
Marriage Story
Parks and Recreation
The Shape of Water
Fight Club
Blade Runner 2049
The White Lotus
Nope (re-watch)
Free Guy
The Batman
You Season 4 Part 1
Scream (2022)
Scream (1996)
The Menu
Moonrise Kingdom
Carrie (1976)
Puss in Boots: The Last Wish
Us (re-watch)
Last Night in Soho (re-watch)
Train to Busan
Turning Red
Mao's Last Dancer
The Mitchells Vs. The Machines
The Dressmaker
Scream (2022) (re-watch)
The Princess and the Frog (re-watch)
You Season 4 Part 2
La Haine
Roma
Run Lola Run
Desierto
Community
I, Tonya (re-watch)
Bullet Train
Legally Blonde (re-watch)
Amores perros
The Grand Budapest Hotel
Crouching Tiger, Hidden Dragon
Now You See Me
Perfect Blue
The Hunger Games (re-watch)
X (2022)
Scream 2
The Hunger Games: Catching Fire (re-watch)
The Hunger Games: Mockingjay Part One (re-watch)
The Hunger Games: Mockingjay Part Two (re-watch)
Monsoon Wedding
Scream 3
Scream 4
Abbott Elementary
Ocean's Eleven
Lady Bird (re-watch)
Pearl
Tár
Spirited Away (re-watch)
The Social Network
The Circle (2000)
Miss Congeniality
Scream VI
Isle of Dogs
Moolaadé
Amélie
Good Bye, Lenin!
Rafiki
The Circle (re-watch)
Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse (re-watch)
Yellowjackets
Memento
Do Revenge
Birds of Prey
Ai City
Superbad
It Chapter Two (re-watch)
Easy A (re-watch)
Borat
Portrait of a Lady on Fire
Borat Subsequent Moviefilm
Pitch Perfect (re-watch)
Pitch Perfect 2 (re-watch)
Don't Look Up (re-watch)
Barry
Kiki's Delivery Service (re-watch)
Pitch Perfect 3
Run (re-watch)
Minions: Rise of Gru
Knives Out (re-watch)
Fleabag (re-watch)
Glass Onion (re-watch)
Ocean's 8 (re-watch)
Crashing (re-watch)
Black Mirror Season 6
Abbott Elementary (re-watch)
Emily the Criminal
A Quiet Place Part II
Do Revenge (re-watch)
Carol
The Intern
Crazy, Stupid, Love
Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse
Life
White Noise
Legendary
Zoolander (re-watch)
Annabelle
Bottoms
Sex Education Season 4
Cocaine Bear
Zombieland
Barbie
Fear Street Part One: 1994
Fear Street Part Two: 1978
Fear Street Part Three: 1666
Bombshell
Five Nights at Freddy's
American Psycho (re-watch)
Gen V
They Cloned Tyrone
No Hard Feelings
Scream (2022) (re-watch)
Scream VI (re-watch)
Minions
You Season 4
Bottoms (re-watch)
Derry Girls
The Hunger Games: Catching Fire (re-watch)
I Am Not Okay With This (re-watch)
The Shining
Cunk On Earth
When Marnie Was There
Birds of Prey (re-watch)
Gone Girl
Tár (re-watch)
Princess Mononoke
Gen V (re-watch)
The Hunger Games: The Ballad Of Songbirds & Snakes
I, Tonya (re-watch)
The Boys (re-watch)
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murder-senpai · 4 years ago
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F A N F I C T I O N
Oh, hello there!! My name is Murder-senpai! I’m new here to tumblr sooooo don’t mind me being awkward n’ stuff. So this is gonna be like, what fandoms and characters I write for sOoooOoOo
AU’s and other stuff I’ll do: ABO, genderbend, hanahaki, soulmate, supernatural/power, soft yandere/ stockholm syndrome, coffee shop, modern, fantasy, baby/kid versions of characters, babysitter, neko, inu, kitsune, post apocalyptic, zombie, flower shop, book store, dragon, fairy tale, high school/college, mafia, pregnant, steampunk, merpeople, pirate, pirate/merperson, prison, reincarnation, famous, vampire, werewolf
There is more shit I’ll do but I can’t really think anymore so just request
(reader insert crap)
I will NOT do nsfw. This is a christian minecraft sever 
You CAN request multiple character/poly and platonic stuff
If your not specific, I will choose between headcanons or a fic/drabble
If you request angst, I will give it a fluffy ending unless requested otherwise
Please be specific in your request��  ex: reader gender (fem, male, gender neutral)
Edit: I will now take character x character, character + character platonic stuff, aus (like, medevil bnha, or a story about friendship or enemies to friends or adoption, anything really), and stuff like that
Current hyperfixation (aka, what I will probably write better for/ do more): dream smp
Will probably put the scenario in a non specific arc
Fairy Tail:
Natsu
Gray
Loke/leo
Laxus
Sting
Rouge
Gajeel
Zeref
Jellal
Jackal
Lucy
Levy
Juvia
Guildarts
Freed
Erza
DBH:
Connor
Hank
Markus
Gavin
nines
ATLA:
Aang
Zuko
Sokka
Katara
Toph
mai
ty lee
azula
BNHA:
Izuku
Katsuki
Shouto
Denki
Eijiro
Tenya
Toshinori
Shouta
hizashi
fumikage
neito
mirio
takami
hitoshi
inasa
Enji
keigo
rumi
momo
mina
ochaco
dabi
shigaraki
overhaul
sir nighteye
kurogiri
toga
twice
Inuyasha:
Inuyahsa
kagome
naraku
miroku
koga
sesshomaru
sango
BNA:
michiru
shirou
nazuna
alan
marie
pinga
Sherlock:
Sherlock
john
moriarty
mycroft
greg
molly
Harry potter:
harry
ron
hermione
draco
cedric
Black Butler:
ciel
sebastian
bard
finny
ash
claude
alois
triplets
william
grell
ronald
undertaker
joker
dagger
agni
soma
pluto
beast
lizzy
mey-rin
ran-mao
edward
aleistar
vincent
real ciel (I refer to him as astre tho)
snake
charles grey
charles phipps
gregory
cheslock
joanne
maurice
herman
clayton
lawrance
mcmillan
edgar
blavat
seiglinde
MLB:
Marinette/ladybug
adrien/chat noir
gabriel/hawkmoth
nathaniel
marc
luka
alya
nino
felix
bridgette
chloe
TPN:
emma
ray
norman
don
gilda
leslie
Undertale:
sans
papyrus
frisk
toriel
chara
asriel
asgore
grillby
gaster
mettaton
blooky 
AU’s- underfell, mafiatale, mafiafell, underswap, swapfell
Beastars:
legoshi
haru
louis
juno
gouhin
melon
Gravity falls:
dipper
mable
ford
wendy
robbie
bill
AU-reverse falls, monster falls
SVTFOE:
star
marco
tom
toffee
Hazbin:
alastor
angle dust
charlie
husk
vaggie
lucifer
val
vox
Pokemon:
Gladion
ash
clemont
serena
james
jesse
zeraora
lucario
mewtwo
zacian
zamazenta
literally any pokemon but those are my fave(and human versions ofc either is fine)
guzma
kukui
alain
lysandre
bede
hop
leon
milo
allister
raihan
marnie
piers
ACNH:
tom nook
raymond
lobo 
kabuki
lolly
marshal
Isabelle
redd
fang
Avengers:
tony
steve
bucky
clint
natasha
dr. strange
thor 
loki
peter
Voltron:
lance
keith
shiro
hunk
lotor
pidge
Aggretsuko:
tadano
haida
hyoudou
The hobbit:
literally JUST smaug
MLP:
twilight
pinkie
apple jack
rainbow
fluttershy
rarity
discord
Maid sama:
takumi
misaki
shoichiro
the three idiots
aoi (totaly gives off a ciel/lizzy vibe don’t even lie)
sotaro
tora
kanade
kuga
koma
yujiro
shosei
Naruto:
naruto
sauske
kakashi
itachi
gaara
neji
shikamaru
kurama
kiba
OHSHC:
tamaki
haruhi
hikaru
karou
both twins
kyoya
hunny
mori
kasanoda
nekosawa
Cells at work:
white blood cell
red blood cell
killer t cell
Little witch academia:
atsuko
diana
sucy
lotte
amanda
andrew
louis
frank
Pucca:
pucca
garu
tobe
abyo
Glitter force:
emily/Miyuki
kelsey/Akane
lily/Yayoi
april/Nao
chole/Reika
ulric/wolfrun
rascal
Glitter force doki doki:
ira
maya/Mana
rachel/Rikka
clara/Alice
mackenzie/Makoto
TMNT(2012):
leonardo
raphael
michelangelo
donatello
splinter
april
ROTG:
aster bunnymund
north
pitch
sandy
jack
tooth
Soul eater:
death the kid
soul 
black star
maka
stein
Aot:
levi
eren
armin
mikasa
jean
erwin
IT(2017):
pennywise
richie
beverly
eddie 
stanley
ben
bill 
henry
patrick
victor
belch
bowers gang
losers club
kamisama kiss:
nanami
tomoe
mizkui
kurama
otohiku
mikage
jiro
The outsiders:
dallas
darry
ponyboy
johnny
two-bit
steve
soda
Diabolik lovers:
shu
reiji
ayato
laito
kanato
subaru
yui
karlheinz
kou
azuza
carla
ruki
richter
yuma
shin
Hamilton:
alex
john
king george
george washington
lafayette
hercules
philip
aaron
thomas
Venom(2018):
eddie/venom
Tokyo mew mew:
ichigo
zakuro
tart
pie
Kisshu
Fran bow
Fran
remor
itward
mr. midnight
Steven universe
steven
connie
pearl
amethyst
larz 
sadie
garnet
lapiz
peridot
spinel
Haven't you heard i'm sakamoto
sakamota
Shou
Gargantia on the verdurous planet
ledo
amy
Animaniacs
yakko
wakko
dot
Over the garden wall
wirt
beast
Sonic
sonic
tails
knuckles
amy
shadow
Snow white with the red hair
Shirayuki
zen
obi
The sacrificial princess and the king of beasts(manga)
Leonhart
Sariphi
Lanteveldt
Anubis/Sirius
Jormungand
Fenrir
Nir
Joz
Ilya
Beetlejuice(musical)
beetlejuice
lydia
Creepypasta
Jeff the killer
slenderman
offenderman
trenderman
splenderman
ticci toby
masky
hoodie
BEN drowned 
eyeless jack
laughing jack
homicidal liu
zalgo
clockwork
Jason the toymaker
puppeteer
Yu-gi-oh
Seto Kaiba
FNAF
Freddy
bonnie
chica
foxy
golden freddy
toy freddy
toy bonnie
toy chica
mangle (male and female ver pls specify)
marionette ^
springtrap
william afton/ purple guy
baby
funtime freddy
ennard
nightmare freddy
nightmare bonnie
nightmare chica
nightmare foxy
nightmare mangle
fredbear
nightmare fredbear
Cuphead
cuphead
mugman
devil
king dice
Bendy and the ink machine
bendy
boris
alice 
Duck tales
Scrooge (aged down tho)
webby
della
donald
louie
dewey
huey
launchpad
lena
Dream smp
everyone (all platonic. Will do reader stuff, but would prefer more character +character interactions, specifically, SBI. PLSSS give me sbi stuff, ill marry you)
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giuliafc · 4 years ago
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Chinese horoscopes and Miraculous
Hi there!
I actually wrote this article for a Facebook group during the summer, but i had completely forgotten about it until I read the very in-depth analysis of Kagami's role in the series written by @geekgirles . There, she mentioned the bit in Ikari Gozen that had got me started on this research, so I thought why not? let's 'delight' you with this indepth analysis of the four characters of Marinette, Adrien, Luka and Kagami based on what we know of their zodiac signs in the Chinese horoscope. There are a couple of things that may surprise you.
First of all, let's put a lovely wee "keep reading" tag, so it doesn't clog your board, because it's a little long (ah, the understatement!)
Now. Here we are and if you clicked on carry on reading it means that you may be interested so... welcome welcome.
Apologies for the length
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Let's first of all talk about how the Chinese horoscope can give us a clue as of the characters age and date of birth.
In Ikari Gozen we find out that Marinette is a Snake in the Chinese horoscope. This narrows the search for her date of birth to two very precise years. 2013 or 2001. Now... counting that if she was born in 2013 she would be 7 now, it's most likely that she's born in 2001. In the French edition she is revealed instead to be a Leo. Which places her birthday in late July/beginning of August 2001. Kagami instead is revealed to be a Dragon, and a Scorpio, which places her birthday around November 2000. In an official Marinette’s Instagram post her birthday has been revealed as the 20th of November, IIRC.
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Now... not only this is a great deal of trivia information for us fans, which also helps us place the timeline of the story, which hasn't yet reached a full year in Canon from the start (in the Felix episode it's revealed that it's the first anniversary of Emilie’s disappearance. Hence in 3 series the story has advanced only by less than one year). It also helps up place the birthdays of some other characters.
Adrien for example. His birthday was series 1 episode 1, quite far from Marinette's birthday in Befana. So it's likely that he's a dragon like Kagami (which would also make sense thinking that Kagami is a character that mirrors Adrien's life and situation. But this isn't the place to discuss such thing, i refer to the very well developed article written by @geekgirles if you want to know more). A lot of people have theorised that he may be a Libra and be born maybe at the beginning of October, but of this I have no proof.
However, coming back to the Dragon sign it gets even more interesting, guys. If one of you have got more in-depth information and this comes up to be wrong I do apologise. I performed quite of an extensive research on the subject but of course I'm no astrologist so I can be wrong. That said... Not only the Dragon is considered the sign of the Emperor in the Chinese horoscope, and a lucky sign (ha). But 2000 is also the year of the Golden Dragon (metal). What better description than a golden dragon for our handsome sunshine?
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It gets even better when you get to the Dragon man's personality. Loves to be the centre of the attention. Natural flirts (ha! Touché Chat Noir!). Hot headed. Stubborn. Competitive. Naturally attracts money and women. Full of energy. Do I need any more proof that Adrien is a Dragon?
Let's see what the horoscope says about the Snake, and let's compare it to Marinette/Ladybug, so you understand why I'm pretty sure that the production looked this up quite in detail and that Chinese astrology can be at the base of our beloved characters.
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So the Snake woman is intuitive, intelligent, reserved and mysterious, has deep thinking, a mind that goes a mile per minute. Because they are smart and come quickly to solutions, they are great in crisis situations. They're able to step back and consider workable solutions. They are determined, sensual and smart and have innate wisdom. Doesn't this speak Marinette AND Ladybug from a mile?
Now... Luka. Until last week we weren’t really that sure of how old Luka was, Astruc had said that he was a couple of years older than Marinette, but Zag’s website had highlighted that Luka was Juleka’s twin brother which, counting that Juleka was in Marinette’s class, didn’t make any sense. But last weekend Astruc has actually confirmed that Juleka has repeated a year and that yes, Luka is her twin brother.
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Already before knowing this I had a look at the personality of the previous signs in the horoscope, and I had strong feelings that Luka may be a Rabbit, which would make him born in 1999 and one year older than Adrien. And this has been confirmed, so now we know. He is indeed a rabbit. Do you want proof? Rabbit men are calm, extraordinarily polite, and will do everything to avoid conflict. They have control over themselves and are sometimes conservatives. They can be considered a "yes-man", but have a line that they will never cross. They like organising, decorating, helping the wife/gf. They are great friends but don't like getting too close to someone. They are shy, introverted, honest, cuddle-lovers and attention givers. They are associated with the western sign of cancer, which is associated with the moon and the arts. Tell me if this doesn't speak Luka by a mile?
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Now a little bit of trivia that will make you laugh is... in the Chinese horoscope the cat doesn't exist. The legend says that Buddha invited the animals to a dinner, and the mouse tricked the cat and didn't wake him up, making him miss out on being chosen for the horoscope. However in TAIWAN things are different and the Cat takes the place of the RABBIT in the horoscope. The confusion seems to come from the old Chinese word for Rabbit, Mao, which sounds like the Taiwanese word for Cat Mau. So the sign of the Rabbit is also the sign of the Cat. Oh the irony!!
Snakes are yin energy. Rabbits are also yin energy. Dragons are yang energy.
But it gets better! Let's look at love compatibility, shall we? *rubs hands* hehe...
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Dragon man x Dragon woman (Adrien and Kagami) can be steamy and can work only if both have their own realm to shine on, because both are too competitive and can get into competition with each other. They love to be the centre of their world. They're great leaders but want the spotlight and don't settle for less. They're both independent and stubborn and their personality will clash, making it difficult to maintain the relationship going. They require a lot of love and admiration. They will never give in and apparently two dragons have a good physical relationship, mostly.
They CAN work together, but only if each has their own way to shine.
Sorry, Adrigami shippers.
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Dragon man x snake woman (Adrien and Marinette): they can be an excellent couple. They find each other physically attractive. The dragon is bold and full of energy, the snake is appealing in a more subtle way. Excellent romantic relationship, they both have strong personalities that attract each other. They share a degree of savoir-faire that prevents serious concerns. The male dragon will be tempted to stray, but he will know better than doing that, because he knows very well that his companion has hidden poisonous fangs (lol) and is VERY jealous... so he will look but not touch (the wise one will at least). Snake women love success and attention, but they're not as flashy as dragon men so they will be more subtle. Snake women are self-possessive, devoted and can give a good boost of confidence to a dragon man. She will be better at handling finances than him (that wouldn't surprise me in adrienette!). They both like fine things but Snake will teach Dragon to not overspend. Little trivia: the dragon was the sign of the emperor and the snake was the advisor. So they work very well in tandem. Their union will be full of passion and personal satisfaction.
Adrienette is in the stars, guys.
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Now last but not least... Snake woman x Rabbit/cat man (Luka and Marinette, but in a way even Chat Noir and Ladybug): very good couple too, they enjoy great conversation and have great time together. They make great friends. Snake loves the attention Rabbit gives and Rabbit is drawn by her sensuousness. They start as friends and have enticing conversations, which draws them together. When they start dating they realise they have similar tastes. They love cuddling in a hidden corner and will feel safe in their cosy nest to explore each other's sensuality. They can make a strong couple, unless their personalities start clashing. Rabbit can get annoyed at Snake's love for novelty and her extravagance, which may cause friction. If their temper clashes, they can't overcome differences.
So... Lukanette can work too, sorry guys. But as highlighted, it also works very well as a friendship. And sadly it's the same for Ladynoir...
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What I find funny in all of this is that, if this is true, Luka has the Snake miraculous, Marinette is a Snake sign, Luka is a cat sign, Adrien is a cat miraculous, Adrien and Kagami are a dragon sign, Kagami is a dragon miraculous... Jesus what a circle! Add to the mix Marinette as the RAT miraculous and we have a real laugh… (if any of you has ever watched Fruit Basket, the Japanese anime about the Chinese horoscope, you know perfectly well what I’m talking about!) and Snake/Rabbit as friends and potential couple works for both Lukanette AND Ladynoir, counting that rabbit = cat. And then you think about how Chat Noir bounces on his baton and you think "yes that's a rabbit, indeed"!
Any thoughts?
(apologies if this reflection doesn’t make sense to you!)
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ocandrew1 · 3 years ago
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NEW LIKES
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ARMENIAN CUISINE | AOBOCO USB WEBCAM
BRENNLEY BROWN | BROOKS NADER | BRANDIE WILKERSON
COMBAT PRACTICE KNIVES | CHARLIE BROWN MUG
DECKEY 48 PCS BIKE REPAIR TOOL SET
EMILY BLUNT | ECOAROMA SCENTED CANDLES | EMILIE IKEDA
FLORENCE PUGH | FILM SCANNER
GIRO CYCLING HELMET | GABBY THOMAS
HALLIE JACKSON | HD DIGITAL ANTENNA
I AM DURAN | INIGHT MEMORY FOAM PILLOW
JUSTICE LEAGUE ACTION | JUSTICE SOCIETY: WORLD WAR II
KIARA GOMEZ | KOREANCLASS101
LEVI & STRAUSS GOLDEN LABEL JEAN SHORTS | LEVI LUSKO
MEREDITH ANDREWS | MAO XUE WANG STEW
NOOK | NELEUS COMPRESSION DRI-FIT UNDERSHIRTS
OSMANTHUS TEA | OKINAWAN MILK TEA
PLANTER'S UNSALTED PREMIUM NUTS
QUIET PLACE & QUIET PLACE PART II, A
ROD PIAZZA AND THE MIGHTY FLYERS
SHAVER LAKE | SUNI LEE | SPIRITED AWAY
TATJANA SCHOENMAKER | TRI-POD/LAPTOP STAND
ULTRAMAN VOL. 1: THE RISE OF ULTRAMAN
VAURNET LEGEND 03 | VERTIGO
WPL ABSOLUTE BICYCLE GREASE
X-MEN VOL. 1: THE STRANGEST SUPER-HEROES OF ALL
YETI VACUUM INSULATED COOLERS, TUMBLERS & RAMBLERS
ZERO SUGAR DR. PEPPER | ZERO SUGAR CANADIAN DRY GINGER ALE
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turquoisewisteria · 4 years ago
Note
FOR THE FANDOM MEME: A Q X Z -
Thank you very much for asking!  I didn’t really expect people to ask me :3
A - Your current OTP(s)/OT3(s)/OTX(s)
I honestly prefer friendships more than romantic pairings but my otps would be Takao x Kai and Hiromi x Boris-looking at the holy content the fandom has brought us-. If I see some more content I have a feeling like Queen x Ming Ming will be added to this list as well. Still, I enjoy other ships a lot too!(the amount of highest quality Yuriy x Kai stuff is amazing) And I can say that my non-Beyblade otp is Zutara.
Q - A ship you’ve abandoned and why
I liked Takao x Hiromi when I was a child but not anymore.
X - top 5-10 characters who are yoUR PRECIOUS BABIES AND YOU WILL DIE DEFENDING THEM
they all are my babies!!!!! this question is very hard
in no particular order:
- Yuriy
- Olivier
- Max
-Kai
-Takao
-Sergei
-Emily
-Giancarlo
-Mao
-Kyouju
But still, hard question and many others could be included here.
Z - Just ramble about something fan-related, go go go (prompts optional but encouraged)
I’d like to start this TED talk with a concept: The real champion was not Takao, it was the person in the shadows-Kyouju lol. I’d like to think that, for example, if he was part of the Neo-Borgs, they would have won the last championship with a huuge gap with the other teams. I know that y’all don’t like the fact that Neo-Borgs lost that match without Takao but that episode was one of my favourite ones since my nerd boy finally got some recognition. Even though this boy is the tech guy who has been with the champion team 3 times in a row. Even Takao mocks Kyouju a lot when all he is doing is pulling all-nighters and trying his best! Also I don’t like how Max gets treated most of the show, that boy deserved better. My first champion is Kyouju and my second one is Max. These children were given us as the brains(along with Hiromi and Emily) and they were mistreated. Give the characters the treatment they deserve.(I didn’t talk about the bey-girl mistreatment since this subject is covered a lot,but yes, add it here too)
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parfaitkiwi · 4 years ago
Note
A C Q R X - Fandom meme 😊
First of all, thank you for my first ever ask 😭.
A - Your current OTP(s)/OT3(s)/OTX(s) I don’t think I have any super strong OTPs, but I tend to gravitate towards to Tala/YuriyxKai. Definitely not opposed to a Tala/YuriyxBoris, either. Overall, I’m not really picky, and there’s not really one be all end all ship for me.
....I will also ship PPB Michael with almost anyone. C - A ship you have never liked and probably never will (be nice) Yuriy/TalaxJulia  I love Yuriy.  I love Julia. Them together just is off to me...I don’t know what it is, either. Something about them though just does not vibe for me, though.
 I’ve actually been kind of bummed about this because there has been a lot of content floating around for them recently, and I feel like I am missing out, but something about it just isn’t my jam 😟. All y’all do you, though! Q - A ship you’ve abandoned and why I used to be really into TyKa, probably because it’s the first ship I ever encountered (before I even knew what ships were), but I really just love them both so much as a Bromance, and just tend to pair them more with other people now. 
If anyone ships them, though, go for it. Do your thang. R - A pairing you ship that you don’t think anyone else ships One of my favourite fics had a cheeky l’il side Tala/YuriyxPPBMichael. It was done really well, both them left fairly in character (especially for how I characterized both them at the time, and within the conditions of the AU), and I’ve thought about it for years now.
X - top 5-10 characters who are yoUR PRECIOUS BABIES AND YOU WILL DIE DEFENDING THEM In no particular order: 
1. Eddy - Boy didn’t even get the Steve treatment in G-Rev. At least Steve got taken out of the season entirely. We just get a sad little Eddy in G-Rev, with a weird design, and who could really contribute a lot to the team in terms of cool confidence vs the over the top cockiness of his teammates. 2. Tala/Yuriy - On top of the fact that he’s had a wild ride of life, I like how how he can be so versatile. Want him to be serious, soft spoken, but sharp? Got it. Want him to be a chaotic force to be reckoned with? Got it. A mix between all of them above? Go ahead. I also just love how he grows into a more self assured and sassy dude...and how he doesn’t take any of Kai’s ish....or, tries not to, rather.
...And he’s super cute.
3.Max - I feel bad that he used to (less so now!) get reduced to some kid on a sugar high when he is one of the better fleshed out characters (in my opinion). I think a lot of this was due to the fandom skewing quite young in the beginning (as was I), and now that, you know, we’re all a bit older and wiser, there’s been a bit more fleshing out for most the characters in the series, Max included :).  
4.Mao/Mariah - I like a girl who knows what she wants and isn’t afraid to go for it. She’s very multi-dimensional, and I like how she is both a badass blader, but also can take a step back and take on a more supportive role as well. Wish could have battled more in G-Rev, though.
5.PPB Michael - He’s just fun....That’s all I got. I think he seems like a cool guy underneath the over confident exterior.
....So many others though....so....many....others....Emily comes to mind, but I’ve already written a lot about her, so I’ll save it 😅
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s-stamper · 6 years ago
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What are your favorite Beyblade ships, and what do you love about them?
Kai X Hilary: I love the sweetness and the “Knight in shinning armor” kind of feel that it has.
Tyson X Hilary: The whole “Friendship first” thing has always appealed to me for some odd reason.
Kai X Julia: I love the entire dramatic dynamic of this ship. They just…. fit. Read, “Together Forever” by Rainbow-Winged Phoenix and you might see what I mean.
Kai X Mao (Mariah): I know she likes Rei but something about this couple seems sweet and a little bit starcrossed or somewhat forbidden to me.
Kai X Mathilda: I don’t see them as a couple persay, just sort of a “Shy girl watching the popular boys play and then deciding to join them so she can find out how she really feels. Is it love or just admiration?” In all actuality, I think she’d just see him as a protective older brother once she really got to know him.
Kai X Tyson: Hot dudes. Need I say more? … Probably.
Kai X Wyatt (Yuya): You can’t tell me Yuya didn’t have a little crush on Kai. It’s just so cute.
Kai X Ray: I can see it being possible. But I ship KaiTy more.
Kai X Tala: Hehe, they’re funny.
Gou X Lin: Not much to say here realy.
Ray X Salima: They crushed my 12-year-old soul when they made these two. So cute.
Max X Mariam: I like drama.
Kenny X Emily, Max X Emily: Either one would be plausible and both are friggin adorable.
Kenny X Ming-Ming: It’s cute and a wee bit fun.
Makoto X Lin: I ship Gou with her more but this seems cute. They’d probably argue a lot, like Tyson and Hilary.
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milliondollarbaby87 · 5 years ago
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Best Feature
Frozen 2 – Walt Disney Animation Studios
How to Train Your Dragon: The Hidden World – DreamWorks Animation
Klaus – Netflix Presents A Production of The Spa Studios and Atresmedia Cine
Missing Link – LAIKA, LLC
Toy Story 4 – Pixar Animation Studios
Best Indie Feature
Buñuel in the Labyrinth of the Turtles – Sygnatia, Glow, Submarine, Hampa Animation Studio
I Lost My Body – Xilam for Netflix
Okko’s Inn – Madhouse
Promare – TRIGGER, XFLAG
Weathering With You – Toho Co., LTD. / STORY Inc. / CoMix Wave Films
Best Special Production
Guava Island, “Titles and Prologue” – Six Point Harness / Amazon
How to Train Your Dragon Homecoming – DreamWorks Animation
Infinity Train, “The Perennial Child” – Cartoon Network Studios
SpongeBob SquarePants, “SpongeBob’s Big Birthday Blowout” – Nickelodeon and Jonas & Co.
Zog – Magic Light Pictures
Best Short Subject
Acid Rain – Animoon
DONT KNOW WHAT – Thomas Renoldner
Je sors acheter des cigarettes – Miyu Productions
Purpleboy – Bando à Parte, Rainbox Productions, Ambiances… asbl, Luna Blue Film
Uncle Thomas: Accounting for the Days – Ciclope Filmes, National Film Board of Canada, Les Armateurs
Best VR
Bonfire – Baobab Studios
GLOOMY EYES – ATLAS V
Kaiju Confidential – ShadowMachine
Best Commercial
Dove Self-Esteem Project x Steven Universe: “Social Media”Cartoon Network / Dove / Chromosphere
Fortnite Season 7 Launch SpotEpic Games / Screen Novelties / iam8bit
The Mystical Journey of Jimmy Page’s ‘59 Telecaster – Nexus Studios
Best TV/Media – Preschool
Ask the Storybots – JibJab Bros. Studios for Netflix
Elena of Avalor – Disney Television Animation
Let’s Go Luna! – Brown Bag Films / 9 Story Media Group
Norman Picklestripes – Factory
Xavier Riddle and the Secret Museum – Brown Bag Films / 9 Story Media Group
Best TV/Media – Children
Disney Mickey Mouse – Disney TV Animation/Disney Channel
Niko and the Sword of Light – Titmouse, Amazon Studios
Rise of the Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles – Nickelodeon Animation Studio
Tales of Arcadia: 3Below – DreamWorks Animation
The Tom and Jerry Show – Warner Bros. Animation
Best TV/Media – General Audience
Big Mouth – Netflix
BoJack Horseman – Tornante Productions, LLC for Netflix
Harley Quinn – Warner Bros. Animation
Tuca & Bertie – Tornante Productions, LLC for Netflix
Undone – Tornante Company and Amazon Studios
Best Student Film
Con Fuerza – Savannah College of Art and Design
Gravedad – Filmakademie Baden-Württemberg GmbH Animationsinstitut
The Fox & The Pigeon – Sheridan College
Un diable dans la poche – GOBELINS, l’école de l’image
Best FX for TV/Media
How to Train Your Dragon Homecoming – DreamWorks Animation Nominees: Manuel Reyes Halaby, Cristiana Covone, Koya Masubuchi, Jean Claude Nouchy, Dustin Henning
Love, Death & Robots – Blur for Netflix Nominees: Viktor Németh, Szabolcs Illés, Ádám Sipos , Vladimir Zhovna
My Moon – Eusong Lee, Co-produced with Chromosphere Nominees: Stéphane Coëdel, Natan Moura
Star Wars Galaxy of Adventures – Lucasfilm, Titmouse, Inc. Nominees: Araiza Tokumasu Naoki
Tales of Arcadia: 3Below – DreamWorks Animation Nominees: Greg Lev, Igor Lodeiro, Chen Ling, Brandon Tyra
Best FX for Feature
Abominable –DreamWorks Animation Nominees: Amaury Aubel, James Jackson, Domin Lee, Michael Losure, Alex Timchenko
Frozen 2 – Walt Disney Animation Studios Nominees: Benjamin Fiske, Alex Moaveni, Jesse Erickson, Dimitre Berberov, Kee Nam Suong
Missing Link – Laura E Gross Nominees: Eric Wachtman, David Horsley, Peter Stuart, Timu Khodzhaev, Joe Strasser
Toy Story 4 – Pixar Animation Studios Nominees: Alexis Angelidis, Amit Ganapati Baadkar, Greg Gladstone, Kylie Wijsmuller, Matthew Kiyoshi Wong
Weathering With You – GKIDS Nominees: Hidetsugu Ito, Yuko Nakajima, Jumi Lee, Ryosuke Tsuda
Best Character Animation – TV/Media
Ask the Storybots – JibJab Bros. Studios for Netflix Nominees: Chris O’HaraDisney
Rapunzel’s Tangled Adventure – Disney TV Animation/Disney Channel Nominees: Juliane Martin
His Dark Materials – BBC Studios Nominees: Aulo Licinio
How to Train Your Dragon Homecoming – DreamWorks Animation Nominees: Andrew Muir
Robot Chicken – Stoopid Buddy Stoodios Nominees: Scott DaRos
Best Character Animation – Animated Feature
Frozen 2 – Walt Disney Animation Studios Nominees: Andrew Ford
How to Train Your Dragon: The Hidden World – DreamWorks Animation Nominees: Dane Stogner
How to Train Your Dragon: The Hidden World – DreamWorks Animation Nominees: Rani Naamani
Klaus – Netflix Presents A Production of The Spa Studios and Atresmedia Cine Nominees: Sergio Martins
Missing Link – LAIKA, LLC Nominees: Rachelle Lambden
Best Character Animation – Live Action
Alita: Battle Angel – Weta Digital Nominees: Michael Cozens
Avengers: Endgame – Weta Digital Nominees: Sidney Kombo-Kintombo
Game of Thrones – Season 8 Episode 3 “The Long Night” – Dance of the Dragons – Image Engine Nominees: Jason Snyman, Sheik Ghafoor, Maia Neubig, Michael Siegel, Cheri Fojtik
Pokémon Detective Pikachu – Framestore Nominees: Dale Newton, Waiyin Mendoza, Rochelle Flynn, Leila Gaed, Paul Jones
SPIDER-MAN: FAR FROM HOME – Steven Argula Nominees: Joakim Riedinger
Best Character Animation – Video Game
Gears 5 – Cinematic AnimationThe Coalition/ Microsoft Nominees: Brian Whitmire
KINGDOM HEARTS III – SQUARE ENIX Nominees: Munenori Shinagawa, Kayoko Yajima, Koji Hamada, Koji Inoue
Sinclair Snake: Museum Mischief – Chromosphere / Within Nominees: Tommy Rodricks, Natan Moura, Nelson Boles
Unruly Heroes – Magic Design Studios Nominees: Sebastien Parodi, Nicolas Leger
Best Character Design – TV/Media
Carmen Sandiego – Houghton Mifflin Harcourt Publishing and DHX Media for Netflix Nominees: Keiko Murayama
DC Super Hero Girls – Warner Bros. Animation Nominees: Lauren Faust
T.O.T.S. – Titmouse / Disney Junior Nominees: John Jagusak
The Adventures of Rocky and Bullwinkle – DreamWorks Animation Nominees: Chris Mitchell
Victor and Valentino – Cartoon Network Studios Nominees: FABIEN MENSE
Best Character Design – Feature
Abominable – DreamWorks Animation / Pearl Studio Nominees: Nico Marlet
Frozen 2 – Walt Disney Animation Studios Nominees: Bill Schwab
Klaus – Netflix Presents A Production of The Spa Studios and Atresmedia Cine Nominees: Torsten Schrank
Spies in Disguise – Blue Sky Studios Nominees: José Manuel Fernández Oli
The Addams Family – MGM and BRON Creative Nominees: Craig Kellman
Best Direction – TV/Media
Ask the Storybots – JibJab Bros. Studios for Netflix Nominees: Jeff Gill
DC Super Hero Girls – Warner Bros. Animation Nominees: Natalie Wetzig
Disney Mickey Mouse – Disney TV Animation/Disney Channel Nominees: Alonso Ramirez Ramos
Rilakkuma & Kaoru – Dwarf for Netflix Nominees: Masahito Kobayashi
Ultraman – Production IG, SOLA Digital Arts for Netflix Nominees: Kenji Kamiyama, Shinji Aramaki
Best Direction – Feature
Frozen 2 – Walt Disney Animation Studios Nominees: Jennifer Lee, Chris Buck
I Lost My Body – Xilam for Netflix Nominees: Jérémy Clapin
Klaus – Netflix Presents A Production of The Spa Studios and Atresmedia Cine Nominees: Sergio Pablos
Missing Link – LAIKA, LLC Nominees: Chris Butler
Weathering With You – Toho Co., Ltd. / STORY Inc. / CoMix Wave Films Nominees: Makoto Shinka
Best Music – TV/Media
Carmen Sandiego – Houghton Mifflin Harcourt Publishing and DHX Media for Netflix Nominees: Jared Lee Gosselin, Steve D’Angelo, Lorenzo Castell
Love, Death & Robots – Blur for Netflix Nominees: Rob Cairns
Seis Manos – VIZ Media / Powerhouse Animation Studios Nominees: Carl Thiel
She-Ra and the Princesses of Power – DreamWorks Animation Nominees: Sunna Wehrmeijer
The Tom and Jerry Show – Warner Bros. Animation Nominees: Vivek Maddala
Best Music – Feature
AWAY – Dream Well Studios Nominees: Gints Zilbalodis
Frozen 2 – Walt Disney Animation Studios Nominees: Christophe Beck, Frode Fjellheim, Kristen Anderson-Lopez, Robert Lopez
I Lost My Body – Xilam for Netflix Nominees: Dan Levy
Spies in Disguise – Blue Sky Studios Nominees: Mark Ronson, Theodore Shapiro
Toy Story 4 – Pixar Animation Studios Nominees: Randy Newman
Best Production Design – TV/Media
Carmen Sandiego – Houghton Mifflin Harcourt Publishing and DHX Media for Netflix Nominees: Eastwood Wong, Sylvia Liu, Elaine Lee, Linda Fong, Emily Paik
Disney Rapunzel’s Tangled Adventure – Disney TV Animation/Disney Channel Nominees: Alan Bodner, Brian Woods, Steven Nicodemus, Laura Price, Leonard Robledo
Love, Death & Robots – Blur for Netflix Nominees: Alberto Mielgo
Mao Mao: Heroes of Pure Heart – Cartoon Network, Titmouse, Inc. Nominees: Khang Le, Chris Fisher, Gael Bertrand, Deodato Pangandoyon, Howard Chen
The Adventures of Rocky and Bullwinkle – DreamWorks Animation Nominees: Chris Mitchell, Chris Turnham, Tor Aunet, DanBob Thompson, Aaron Spurgeon
Best Production Design – Feature
Abominable – DreamWorks Animation Nominees: Max Boas, Paul Duncan, Christopher Brock, Cecline Da Hyeu Kim, Jane Li
How to Train Your Dragon: The Hidden World – DreamWorks Animation Nominees: Pierre-Olivier Vincent, Kirsten Kawamura, Woonyoung Jung, Iuri Lioi
Klaus – Netflix Presents A Production of The Spa Studios and Atresmedia Cine Nominees: Szymon Biernaki, Marcin Jakubowski
Missing Link – LAIKA, LLC Nominees: Nelson Lowry, Santiago Montiel, Trevor Dalmer
The Addams Family – MGM and Bron Creative Nominees: Patricia Atchison, Maisha Moore, Chris Souza, Jack Yu
Best Storyboarding – TV/Media
Carmen Sandiego – Houghton Mifflin Harcourt Publishing and DHX Media for Netflix Nominees: Kenny Park
Carole & Tuesday – Bones for Netflix Nominees: Shinichiro Watanabe
Love, Death & Robots – Blur for Netflix Nominees: Owen Sullivan
Snoopy in Space – Apple Nominees: Riccardo Durante
Zog – Magic Light Pictures Nominees: Max Lang
Best Storyboarding – Feature
I Lost My Body – Xilam for Netflix Nominees: Julien Bisaro
I Lost My Body – Xilam for Netflix Nominees: Jérémy Clapin
Klaus – Netflix Presents A Production of The Spa Studios and Atresmedia Cine Nominees: Sergio Pablos
Missing Link – LAIKA, LLC Nominees: Julián Nariño
Missing Link – LAIKA, LLC Nominees: Oliver Thomas
Best Voice Acting – TV/Media
Big City Greens – Disney TV Animation/Disney Channel Nominees: Marieve Herington
Bob’s Burgers – 20th Century FOX / Bento Box Entertainment Nominees: H. Jon Benjamin
Steven Universe – Cartoon Network Studios Nominees: Sarah Stiles
Tigtone – Titmouse, Inc., Babyhemyth Productions, Williams Street Nominees: Debi Derryberry
Tuca & Bertie – Tornante Productions, LLC for Netflix Nominees: Ali Wong
Best Voice Acting – Feature
Abominable – DreamWorks Animation / Pearl Studio Nominees: Tenzing Norgay Trainor
Frozen 2 – Walt Disney Animation Studios Nominees: Josh Gad
Invader Zim: Enter the Florpus – CJ Entertainment and Nickelodeon Animation Studios for Netflix Nominees: Richard Horvitz
The Secret Life of Pets 2 – Illumination Nominees: Jenny Slate
Toy Story 4 – Pixar Animation Studios Nominees: Tony Hale
Best Writing – TV/Media
Apple & Onion – Cartoon Network Studios Nominees: George Gendi, Michael Gendi, Deepak Sethi, Eric Acosta, Sean Szeles
BoJack Horseman – Tornante Productions, LLC for Netflix Nominees: Alison Tafel
Pinky Malinky – Nickelodeon Animation Studios for Netflix Nominees: Sheela Shrinivas, Aminder Dhaliwal, Rikke Asbjoern
Tuca & Bertie – Tornante Productions, LLC for Netflix Nominees: Shauna McGarry
Xavier Riddle and the Secret Museum – Brown Bag Film / 9 Story Media Group Nominees: Meghan Read
Best Writing – Feature
Frozen 2 – Walt Disney Animation Studios Nominees: Jennifer Lee
How to Train Your Dragon: The Hidden World – DreamWorks Animation Nominees: Dean DeBlois
I Lost My Body – Xilam for Netflix Nominees: Jérémy Clapin, Guillaume Laurant
Toy Story 4 – Pixar Animation Studios Nominees: Andrew Stanton, Stephany Folsom
Weathering With You – Toho Co., Ltd. / STORY Inc. / CoMix Wave Films Nominees: Makoto Shinkai, Makoto Shinkai
Best Editorial – TV/Media
Big Hero 6: The Series – Disney TV Animation/Disney Channel Nominees: Dao Le, Joe Molinari, Charles T. Jones, David Vasquez
DC Super Hero Girls – Warner Bros. Animation Nominees: Torien Blackwolf
Disney Mickey Mouse – Disney TV Animation/Disney Channel Nominees: Tony Molina
Green Eggs and Ham – Warner Bros. Animation for Netflix Nominees: Margaret Hou
Love, Death & Robots – Blur for Netflix Nominees: Bo Juhl, Stacy Auckland, Valerian Zamel
Best Editorial – Feature
How to Train Your Dragon: The Hidden World – DreamWorks Animation Nominees: John K. Carr, Mark Hester, Mary Blee
Klaus – Netflix Presents A Production of The Spa Studios and Atresmedia Cine Nominees: Pablo García Revert
Missing Link – LAIKA, LLC Nominees: Stephen Perkins
The Secret Life of Pets 2 – Illumination Nominees: Tiffany Hillkurtz
Toy Story 4 – Pixar Animation Studios Nominees: Axel Geddes, Torbin Xan Bullock, Greg Snyder
Awards: 2020 Annie – Nominations Best Feature Frozen 2 – Walt Disney Animation Studios How to Train Your Dragon: The Hidden World…
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wittchnestle-blog · 5 years ago
Text
Political Scenarios for Climate Disaster
Political Situations for Local weather Catastrophe
Within the International North we frequently act as if our future might be a hotter model of right now: liberal capitalism, plus flood insurance coverage, minus coral reefs. That future is a fantasy.
Geoff Mann and Joel Wainwright ▪ Summer time 2019 A bicyclist surveys a truck flipped into floodwater in Port Arthur, Texas. (Emily Kask/ AFP/Getty Pictures)
The scientific consensus is past debate: due to burning an ever-increasing quantity of fossil fuels, our world is present process deep and speedy local weather change. Sadly, the responses of the most important states (notably the USA) have fallen far brief of what’s wanted with respect to decreasing carbon emissions. Temperatures proceed to rise; the Earth’s ecosystems are reworking earlier than our eyes. However the coming modifications are usually not restricted to climate or the pure surroundings. The world’s social, political, and financial techniques are sure to vary as properly, maybe basically. Nonetheless, right here within the International North we frequently act as if our future will probably be a hotter model of at the moment: liberal capitalism, plus flood insurance coverage, minus coral reefs.
That future is a fantasy. It already has a chance near zero.
So how are we to consider options? Some flip towards doom-saying and prognostications of collapse. An increasing viewers eagerly consumes books with titles like Dropping Earth or Studying to Die within the Anthropocene. Every provides variations on apocalyptic themes, an anti-politics for the world after the autumn of human civilization.
There isn’t any real looking state of affairs for addressing local weather change that doesn’t contain a complete reorganization of human societies within the fairly close to time period. But we emphasize reorganization, not collapse or apocalypse. As a species, humanity will virtually definitely survive the approaching centuries. However who will survive, and the way they’ll stay, is genuinely unsure. The distribution of the burdens of considerable adaptation—which is now inevitable, regardless of the extent of future carbon mitigation—and the political-economic means by which distribution is carried out: these are pressing points dealing with us all.
On the coronary heart of those issues is the capitalist nation-state that buildings our world. Each different type of political-economic group derives from and is irreducibly dependent upon it. It’s virtually inconceivable to think about a world with out it; even these with pretentions to international energy often assume its centrality by way of the territorial or military-political enlargement of an imperial nation-state. Nevertheless one chooses so far the origins of the capitalist nation-state, accelerating planetary local weather change poses the best menace in its historical past. In contrast to the opposite “everlasting emergency” to which the organizational problem of addressing local weather change is ceaselessly in contrast—the Second World Conflict—the present menace isn’t restricted to this or that nation-state or transnational alliance. It’s, fairly, a menace to the sovereignty of the nation-state in all places as a way of organizing human collectivities. How those that train energy right now, and the actions that problem them, reply to local weather change may have an unlimited affect on human life sooner or later. If we need to perceive these processes, we’re pressured to take a position about how states and elites will try and form hotter and weirder futures. And if we search to make sure justice, democracy, and equitability, we should think about how the present conjuncture will develop and act in mild of that evaluation.
In Local weather Leviathan: A Political Concept of Our Planetary Future (2018, Verso), we examined what futures might plausibly emerge from the present geopolitical order. Will the nation-state-based zero-sum parceling of territorial sovereignty persist within the face of what’s generally described because the world’s largest collective motion drawback? Will that world stay within the thrall of capital? Even among the many very wealthy, the notion that modes of life that don’t exacerbate local weather change are incompatible with the infinite accumulation and power throughput of up to date capitalism is starting to sound like widespread sense. Because the writer of the UK authorities’s 2006 Stern Assessment famously put it, local weather change “have to be considered market failure on the best scale the world has seen.”
These two questions—of sovereignty and of capitalism—level towards 4 tough paths. We name these Local weather Leviathan, Local weather Mao, Local weather Behemoth, and Local weather X. Local weather Leviathan describes an emergent international order dedicated to the consolidation of capitalism by way of the group of a type of planetary sovereignty that may overcome the collective motion drawback. Local weather Mao would symbolize a equally planetary-scale “answer,” however one devoted to an anti-capitalist order. Local weather Behemoth describes a worldwide association animated by a chauvinistic capitalist and nationalist politics that denies—till it may possibly solely denounce—the menace local weather change poses to nationwide capitals. Local weather X is the identify we give the gathering of actions that pursue international local weather justice: actions that construct non-capitalist political economies, and assemble solidarities at a number of scales that reject the political logic of sovereignty.
These 4 broad trajectories usually are not equally doubtless. Local weather Leviathan is probably the most believable, if not probably the most preferable, for causes just like these behind Fredric Jameson’s well-known line: “it’s simpler to think about the top of the world than to think about the top of capitalism.” We’re already witnessing Local weather Leviathan emerge as widespread sense in a lot of the liberal- capitalist a part of the world. It’s a planetary mode of energy organized round adaptation, in an effort to perpetuate the present international distribution of energy and wealth. It has the facility of incumbency, together with the political-economic, army, and ideological energy of the states and regimes that decide the prevailing order value preserving. The collective desperation with which a lot of the progressive group in North America and Western Europe watches occasions unfold on the Copenhagen or Paris local weather negotiations exhibits a widespread want for a local weather sovereignty that decides who can emit and the way a lot, who and learn how to adapt, and find out how to apportion the prices. Many people appear to lengthy for somebody to find out how issues are going to be, within the curiosity of saving life on Earth.
Local weather Behemoth additionally has an orientation towards the capitalist established order, however in contrast to Leviathan it’s vociferously “anti-globalist”—in different phrases, it’s a capitalist order characterised by a reactionary, often racist, macho-nationalism. Local weather Behemoth right now expresses itself most fiercely in local weather denialism, a conspiracy-mongering worry that an emergent, cryptically hegemonic Local weather Leviathan is the foremost “globalist” menace to the nationalist-capitalist ultimate that animates a lot of the modern Republican Celebration and segments of the Conservative events within the UK and Canada.
Behemoth is a big menace to international stability particularly insofar as its present seats of energy quantity amongst them the USA. We completed the e-book in mid-2017, quickly after Donald Trump was put in within the White Home, not completely ready for a way properly he was forged on this position. Equally belligerent reactionary denialist blocs, principally led by Trump sycophants, have captured government energy in a number of different states in each the International South and North, most notably Jair Bolsonaro in Brazil. Trump and Bolsonaro are among the many few world leaders to label local weather change a “hoax”; Vladimir Putin and the Home of Saud additionally sometimes categorical “skepticism,” and there’s a not insignificant diploma of help for comparable posturing in some nations whose states acknowledge the problem of worldwide warming. On the electoral degree, that is notably seen within the ascendance of some Trump wannabes on the subnational degree, like Doug Ford in Ontario (Canada’s most populous and highly effective province).
Nonetheless, it’s truthful to say that a massive a part of the rationale Local weather Behemoth appears so threatening immediately is attributable to its Americanism; Russia and Saudi Arabia’s provocations have a lot to do with their relationships with the White Home. The largely white, male, sexist, and racist proper wing with which Behemoth is related can wreak havoc even when it acknowledges that local weather change is actual. Witness how Andrzej Duda, the president of Poland and host of the 2018 UN Framework Conference on Local weather Change (UNFCCC) conferences in Katowice, doubled down on coal and derailed the EU’s decarbonization plan, or the actions of the far-right FPÖ authorities of Austria, which doesn’t a lot deny local weather change as refuse to speak about it. But setting apart the actual risk that Trump may refuse to cede energy peacefully, the precarious electoral foundation of the few truly present Local weather Behemoths is sweet purpose to doubt its long-term endurance.
This isn’t to counsel towards resistance. However as horrible and devastating because the Trump presidency is, we already see the wheels beginning to come off the denialist bus. We now have reached a tipping level the place there are such a lot of clear alerts of speedy environmental change that it’s more durable to confuse individuals by producing noise. When even its personal pandering media discover themselves unable to promote a hoaxer’s story to Behemoth’s constituency—with the residential abandonment of coastal Florida, say, or the depletion of the Ogallala Aquifer, the water supply for a substantial portion of U.S. agriculture—the legitimacy of Behemoth can be exhausting to take care of. One of many least predictable repercussions of Behemoth’s declining legitimacy, nevertheless, is the rising attraction of Guide of Revelations apocalypticism to its fundamentalist cohort. The worldview of evangelical Christianity already does essential work for Trump and Bolsonaro. The longer term impression of its theological politics will rely not on the planet’s local weather, however on the correct’s capability to conjure an apocalyptic political local weather.
At current, although, an unquestioning dedication to capitalism incorporates the seeds of Local weather Behemoth’s personal destruction, as a result of it’s troublesome to think about the persistence of capitalism in a political financial system that refuses to sharply scale back the burning of fossil fuels. Most of what we all know concerning the social and ecological impacts of worldwide warming is categorically dangerous for a mode of financial group that requires relative stability for the circulation and accumulation of capital. That is why establishments just like the IMF and the World Financial institution are outspoken in favor of putting a worth on carbon.
The lack of an atomized Local weather Behemoth to deal with local weather change–induced social and ecological transformation factors us towards Leviathan-like orders of authority. However it should not be forgotten that though wealth and energy are presently concentrated within the International North, individuals and mass political actions are concentrated within the International South. There isn’t a cause to anticipate, for instance, that within the face of local weather devastation, the plenty of South and East Asia will embrace a worldwide Local weather Leviathan that (at the very least within the inchoate type it presently takes in arenas just like the UNFCCC) is just within the upkeep of a worldwide order during which they’re subordinated. As international warming additional impoverishes, marginalizes, and kills the billions of individuals on this a part of the world, it appears unlikely they may rally to a planetary order meant to take care of and even exacerbate present inequalities.
All these areas have their very own political-economic, ideological, and cultural histories to attract upon, lots of which don’t embrace a dedication to the regulative superb of liberal-capitalist progress. That is the rationale we give the identify Local weather Mao to the third future trajectory: a non-capitalist order of Leviathan-like planetary sovereignty. This isn’t the identical factor as “Local weather China,” though it’s exhausting to think about a state of affairs during which China doesn’t play an essential position in international local weather politics. As an alternative, we name it Local weather Mao partly as a result of we anticipate that the potential for this future lies within the radical political traditions of South and East Asia, areas with traditionally vital rural collectivism that retains substantial modern organizational assets. Since this a part of the world is residence to actually billions of poor individuals, the overwhelming majority of whom local weather science signifies stay in communities instantly liable to local weather change–induced disturbance—extra at-risk populations than anyplace else on Earth—it appears affordable to anticipate that these plenty will draw upon these political and ideological traditions within the face of threats to their livelihoods. Provided that local weather change threatens not solely the interior stability of those areas however the international political financial system to which they’re more and more central, we anticipate Local weather Mao wouldn’t embrace the nation-state because the locus of sovereignty, at the least not for lengthy. Insofar as capitalism stands justifiably accused of each driving local weather disaster and stopping critical motion to deal with it, Local weather Mao represents the most probably non-capitalist formation prepared to confront Leviathan on the planetary stage.
The attraction of Local weather Mao to radical critics of capitalism continues to strike us. Since it’s clear to them that the capitalist nation-state has confirmed an irremediable impediment to local weather motion, not to mention something approaching local weather justice, the attraction of Local weather Mao is nearly visceral. Like Leviathan, it guarantees to get past the spatial and political limits of the state and do one thing. However in contrast to Leviathan, it won’t be beholden to the planet-eating capitalism that generated the issue within the first place—a situation that seems sure to ensure Leviathan’s inadequacy to the issue.
The ultimate future political trajectory we describe—a future that refuses capitalism and sovereignty, each nationwide and planetary—we name Local weather X. Local weather X is sadly however inevitably probably the most troublesome for us to sketch out; therefore X, a placeholding variable for a variety of options. Local weather X is our time period for the world for which the worldwide local weather justice motion struggles. As a result of that motion is in truth many actions, organized at many scales, X will take many varieties, every formed by particular historic and geographical circumstances.
However at a minimal, these actions share two broad orientations. First is a rejection of the capitalist mode of political-economic group, by which the issue of local weather change originates. No remotely believable capitalist foundation for a simply and safe future for all has been demonstrated, regardless of many years of political maneuvering and greenspeak. Second, a refusal to grant political precedence, maybe even standing, to the sovereign arrogation of energy, both in its nationwide or emergent planetary type. The nation-state has already demonstrated it can’t and won’t “save the planet.” Local weather Mao may, however it’s as more likely to discovered local weather justice as the unique Maoism did social justice. If we’re trustworthy, we should acknowledge that each the nation-state and its efforts at worldwide coordination and enforcement have confirmed a hindrance to significant motion. Within the International North it has confirmed an enormous compromise machine, a nominally “democratic” desk at which capital all the time has the primary and final phrase. Local weather X is a recognition that a answer to the local weather disaster lies past sovereignty, in a number of actions that arrange not on the idea of predetermined autonomous political parcels, however on the idea of the struggles and livelihoods of these concerned.
The a number of and centuries-long efforts of Indigenous peoples present helpful and admirable fashions of group, dedication, and political creativity within the face of existential threats. These can’t exhaust the assets upon which Local weather X will draw, however they’re and can proceed to be essential sources of data, knowledge, and solidarity, as will the various different struggles of working individuals, racialized communities, and others on all scales. Some, however not all, of those efforts will probably be based mostly in radical left custom. If Local weather X is feasible, it’ll solely be via the post-sovereign solidarity of those many bases of local weather justice.
It’s value noting that because of this Local weather X doesn’t, and won’t, take the type of a Inexperienced New Deal. This isn’t to dismiss requires the reorientation of state coverage as mere instruments of the powers-that-be, a greenwashing of the capitalist downward spiral. If, for instance, the Home decision presently circulating in U.S. Congress (“Recognizing the obligation of the Federal Authorities to create a Inexperienced New Deal”) have been carried out, it will be greater than welcome. It’s successfully a social justice omnibus invoice; even when solely half of its objectives have been undertaken, not to mention realized, that may sign a exceptional flip in U.S. political financial system. But we have to assume onerous about its limits.
Setting apart the array of pragmatic and denialist criticisms (it’s too costly, it’s too onerous on the power business and its staff, it’s “utopian”), the obvious concern one may increase concerning the Inexperienced New Deal is that we merely wouldn’t have time to attend for the state to show the full-speed-ahead tanker that’s the U.S. financial system round. The sort of transformation proposed can’t occur on a quick sufficient timeline, it in any respect, whether it is state-led—particularly in the USA, the place fossil-fuel capital is so deeply entangled within the state. The Inexperienced New Deal would require civil society to reorient the Behemoth that’s the USA on an analogous timeline—an achievement value celebrating, however one that’s arduous to consider will occur between now and 2030.
Inexperienced Keynesianism’s longer historical past locations it squarely within the Local weather Leviathan camp. No less than since the newest international monetary disaster, its proponents have included not merely greenwashers like Thomas Friedman and Lawrence Summers, however sensible critics like Ann Pettifor and Susan George. Inexperienced Keynesianism is the central platform of the influential Stern Evaluation, and of an elaborate 2008 Deutsche Financial institution proposal to make use of nationwide inexperienced infrastructure banks to save lots of Europe’s monetary sector. These sorts of Inexperienced Keynesianism are usually not similar. Like Pettifor and George, the Inexperienced New Deal goes additional in its redistributive and democratic commitments than any Keynesianism that precedes it. However in essential methods it’s tightly sure to the Keynesian custom, and shares a few of its primary orientations and limits.
Inexperienced Keynesianism is a policy-institutional matrix aimed toward sustaining social stability—local weather danger is described as a “menace multiplier”—and it depends on well-coordinated nationwide capitals to understand this aim. Like different Keynesianisms, it places all its eggs within the state’s basket, assuming a welcome however perhaps over-sanguine view of state capability, but in addition assuming the state’s long-term dedication to this system (past, say, one or two administrations). Whereas we on no account imply to impute some imperialist scheme to the Inexperienced New Deal, it’s also essential to notice the slightly summary geopolitical context it assumes, during which america is an unproblematic worldwide chief on local weather motion. And there was little thought to how different states can be affected (one may, for instance, anticipate substantial financial hardship when the world’s biggest shopper radically alters its consumption patterns).
One may say—and lots of have—that regardless of these issues, the Inexperienced New Deal is so a lot better than the established order, and is the best choice we’ve got. Certainly, this system’s most articulate advocates argue compellingly that the nation-state is probably the most highly effective establishment at hand, and it might be insane to not use it if we will. We see the benefit of those arguments. However whereas the state may probably be a useful gizmo proper now, it has additionally been maybe probably the most vital impediment to local weather motion. The capitalist state is extraordinarily unlikely to supply one thing like a Inexperienced New Deal. We’ll want extra radical options—which may solely come from, and be undertaken by, the individuals within the locations and communities through which they wrestle to make, and make sense of, their lives at this perilous conjuncture.
Geoff Mann is the Director of the Centre for International Political Financial system at Simon Fraser College in Vancouver, British Columbia. He’s the writer of Within the Lengthy Run We Are All Lifeless: Keynesianism, Political Financial system and Revolution (Verso, 2017).
Joel Wainwright is Professor of Geography at Ohio State College. He’s writer of Decolonizing Improvement (Blackwell, 2008) and coeditor of Rethinking Palestine and Israel: Marxist Views (Routledge, 2019).
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kath-plumberss · 5 years ago
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Political Scenarios for Climate Disaster
Political Situations for Local weather Catastrophe
Within the International North we frequently act as if our future might be a hotter model of right now: liberal capitalism, plus flood insurance coverage, minus coral reefs. That future is a fantasy.
Geoff Mann and Joel Wainwright ▪ Summer time 2019 A bicyclist surveys a truck flipped into floodwater in Port Arthur, Texas. (Emily Kask/ AFP/Getty Pictures)
The scientific consensus is past debate: due to burning an ever-increasing quantity of fossil fuels, our world is present process deep and speedy local weather change. Sadly, the responses of the most important states (notably the USA) have fallen far brief of what’s wanted with respect to decreasing carbon emissions. Temperatures proceed to rise; the Earth’s ecosystems are reworking earlier than our eyes. However the coming modifications are usually not restricted to climate or the pure surroundings. The world’s social, political, and financial techniques are sure to vary as properly, maybe basically. Nonetheless, right here within the International North we frequently act as if our future will probably be a hotter model of at the moment: liberal capitalism, plus flood insurance coverage, minus coral reefs.
That future is a fantasy. It already has a chance near zero.
So how are we to consider options? Some flip towards doom-saying and prognostications of collapse. An increasing viewers eagerly consumes books with titles like Dropping Earth or Studying to Die within the Anthropocene. Every provides variations on apocalyptic themes, an anti-politics for the world after the autumn of human civilization.
There isn’t any real looking state of affairs for addressing local weather change that doesn’t contain a complete reorganization of human societies within the fairly close to time period. But we emphasize reorganization, not collapse or apocalypse. As a species, humanity will virtually definitely survive the approaching centuries. However who will survive, and the way they’ll stay, is genuinely unsure. The distribution of the burdens of considerable adaptation—which is now inevitable, regardless of the extent of future carbon mitigation—and the political-economic means by which distribution is carried out: these are pressing points dealing with us all.
On the coronary heart of those issues is the capitalist nation-state that buildings our world. Each different type of political-economic group derives from and is irreducibly dependent upon it. It’s virtually inconceivable to think about a world with out it; even these with pretentions to international energy often assume its centrality by way of the territorial or military-political enlargement of an imperial nation-state. Nevertheless one chooses so far the origins of the capitalist nation-state, accelerating planetary local weather change poses the best menace in its historical past. In contrast to the opposite “everlasting emergency” to which the organizational problem of addressing local weather change is ceaselessly in contrast—the Second World Conflict—the present menace isn’t restricted to this or that nation-state or transnational alliance. It’s, fairly, a menace to the sovereignty of the nation-state in all places as a way of organizing human collectivities. How those that train energy right now, and the actions that problem them, reply to local weather change may have an unlimited affect on human life sooner or later. If we need to perceive these processes, we’re pressured to take a position about how states and elites will try and form hotter and weirder futures. And if we search to make sure justice, democracy, and equitability, we should think about how the present conjuncture will develop and act in mild of that evaluation.
In Local weather Leviathan: A Political Concept of Our Planetary Future (2018, Verso), we examined what futures might plausibly emerge from the present geopolitical order. Will the nation-state-based zero-sum parceling of territorial sovereignty persist within the face of what’s generally described because the world’s largest collective motion drawback? Will that world stay within the thrall of capital? Even among the many very wealthy, the notion that modes of life that don’t exacerbate local weather change are incompatible with the infinite accumulation and power throughput of up to date capitalism is starting to sound like widespread sense. Because the writer of the UK authorities’s 2006 Stern Assessment famously put it, local weather change “have to be considered market failure on the best scale the world has seen.”
These two questions—of sovereignty and of capitalism—level towards 4 tough paths. We name these Local weather Leviathan, Local weather Mao, Local weather Behemoth, and Local weather X. Local weather Leviathan describes an emergent international order dedicated to the consolidation of capitalism by way of the group of a type of planetary sovereignty that may overcome the collective motion drawback. Local weather Mao would symbolize a equally planetary-scale “answer,” however one devoted to an anti-capitalist order. Local weather Behemoth describes a worldwide association animated by a chauvinistic capitalist and nationalist politics that denies—till it may possibly solely denounce—the menace local weather change poses to nationwide capitals. Local weather X is the identify we give the gathering of actions that pursue international local weather justice: actions that construct non-capitalist political economies, and assemble solidarities at a number of scales that reject the political logic of sovereignty.
These 4 broad trajectories usually are not equally doubtless. Local weather Leviathan is probably the most believable, if not probably the most preferable, for causes just like these behind Fredric Jameson’s well-known line: “it’s simpler to think about the top of the world than to think about the top of capitalism.” We’re already witnessing Local weather Leviathan emerge as widespread sense in a lot of the liberal- capitalist a part of the world. It’s a planetary mode of energy organized round adaptation, in an effort to perpetuate the present international distribution of energy and wealth. It has the facility of incumbency, together with the political-economic, army, and ideological energy of the states and regimes that decide the prevailing order value preserving. The collective desperation with which a lot of the progressive group in North America and Western Europe watches occasions unfold on the Copenhagen or Paris local weather negotiations exhibits a widespread want for a local weather sovereignty that decides who can emit and the way a lot, who and learn how to adapt, and find out how to apportion the prices. Many people appear to lengthy for somebody to find out how issues are going to be, within the curiosity of saving life on Earth.
Local weather Behemoth additionally has an orientation towards the capitalist established order, however in contrast to Leviathan it’s vociferously “anti-globalist”—in different phrases, it’s a capitalist order characterised by a reactionary, often racist, macho-nationalism. Local weather Behemoth right now expresses itself most fiercely in local weather denialism, a conspiracy-mongering worry that an emergent, cryptically hegemonic Local weather Leviathan is the foremost “globalist” menace to the nationalist-capitalist ultimate that animates a lot of the modern Republican Celebration and segments of the Conservative events within the UK and Canada.
Behemoth is a big menace to international stability particularly insofar as its present seats of energy quantity amongst them the USA. We completed the e-book in mid-2017, quickly after Donald Trump was put in within the White Home, not completely ready for a way properly he was forged on this position. Equally belligerent reactionary denialist blocs, principally led by Trump sycophants, have captured government energy in a number of different states in each the International South and North, most notably Jair Bolsonaro in Brazil. Trump and Bolsonaro are among the many few world leaders to label local weather change a “hoax”; Vladimir Putin and the Home of Saud additionally sometimes categorical “skepticism,” and there’s a not insignificant diploma of help for comparable posturing in some nations whose states acknowledge the problem of worldwide warming. On the electoral degree, that is notably seen within the ascendance of some Trump wannabes on the subnational degree, like Doug Ford in Ontario (Canada’s most populous and highly effective province).
Nonetheless, it’s truthful to say that a massive a part of the rationale Local weather Behemoth appears so threatening immediately is attributable to its Americanism; Russia and Saudi Arabia’s provocations have a lot to do with their relationships with the White Home. The largely white, male, sexist, and racist proper wing with which Behemoth is related can wreak havoc even when it acknowledges that local weather change is actual. Witness how Andrzej Duda, the president of Poland and host of the 2018 UN Framework Conference on Local weather Change (UNFCCC) conferences in Katowice, doubled down on coal and derailed the EU’s decarbonization plan, or the actions of the far-right FPÖ authorities of Austria, which doesn’t a lot deny local weather change as refuse to speak about it. But setting apart the actual risk that Trump may refuse to cede energy peacefully, the precarious electoral foundation of the few truly present Local weather Behemoths is sweet purpose to doubt its long-term endurance.
This isn’t to counsel towards resistance. However as horrible and devastating because the Trump presidency is, we already see the wheels beginning to come off the denialist bus. We now have reached a tipping level the place there are such a lot of clear alerts of speedy environmental change that it’s more durable to confuse individuals by producing noise. When even its personal pandering media discover themselves unable to promote a hoaxer’s story to Behemoth’s constituency—with the residential abandonment of coastal Florida, say, or the depletion of the Ogallala Aquifer, the water supply for a substantial portion of U.S. agriculture—the legitimacy of Behemoth can be exhausting to take care of. One of many least predictable repercussions of Behemoth’s declining legitimacy, nevertheless, is the rising attraction of Guide of Revelations apocalypticism to its fundamentalist cohort. The worldview of evangelical Christianity already does essential work for Trump and Bolsonaro. The longer term impression of its theological politics will rely not on the planet’s local weather, however on the correct’s capability to conjure an apocalyptic political local weather.
At current, although, an unquestioning dedication to capitalism incorporates the seeds of Local weather Behemoth’s personal destruction, as a result of it’s troublesome to think about the persistence of capitalism in a political financial system that refuses to sharply scale back the burning of fossil fuels. Most of what we all know concerning the social and ecological impacts of worldwide warming is categorically dangerous for a mode of financial group that requires relative stability for the circulation and accumulation of capital. That is why establishments just like the IMF and the World Financial institution are outspoken in favor of putting a worth on carbon.
The lack of an atomized Local weather Behemoth to deal with local weather change–induced social and ecological transformation factors us towards Leviathan-like orders of authority. However it should not be forgotten that though wealth and energy are presently concentrated within the International North, individuals and mass political actions are concentrated within the International South. There isn’t a cause to anticipate, for instance, that within the face of local weather devastation, the plenty of South and East Asia will embrace a worldwide Local weather Leviathan that (at the very least within the inchoate type it presently takes in arenas just like the UNFCCC) is just within the upkeep of a worldwide order during which they’re subordinated. As international warming additional impoverishes, marginalizes, and kills the billions of individuals on this a part of the world, it appears unlikely they may rally to a planetary order meant to take care of and even exacerbate present inequalities.
All these areas have their very own political-economic, ideological, and cultural histories to attract upon, lots of which don’t embrace a dedication to the regulative superb of liberal-capitalist progress. That is the rationale we give the identify Local weather Mao to the third future trajectory: a non-capitalist order of Leviathan-like planetary sovereignty. This isn’t the identical factor as “Local weather China,” though it’s exhausting to think about a state of affairs during which China doesn’t play an essential position in international local weather politics. As an alternative, we name it Local weather Mao partly as a result of we anticipate that the potential for this future lies within the radical political traditions of South and East Asia, areas with traditionally vital rural collectivism that retains substantial modern organizational assets. Since this a part of the world is residence to actually billions of poor individuals, the overwhelming majority of whom local weather science signifies stay in communities instantly liable to local weather change–induced disturbance—extra at-risk populations than anyplace else on Earth—it appears affordable to anticipate that these plenty will draw upon these political and ideological traditions within the face of threats to their livelihoods. Provided that local weather change threatens not solely the interior stability of those areas however the international political financial system to which they’re more and more central, we anticipate Local weather Mao wouldn’t embrace the nation-state because the locus of sovereignty, at the least not for lengthy. Insofar as capitalism stands justifiably accused of each driving local weather disaster and stopping critical motion to deal with it, Local weather Mao represents the most probably non-capitalist formation prepared to confront Leviathan on the planetary stage.
The attraction of Local weather Mao to radical critics of capitalism continues to strike us. Since it’s clear to them that the capitalist nation-state has confirmed an irremediable impediment to local weather motion, not to mention something approaching local weather justice, the attraction of Local weather Mao is nearly visceral. Like Leviathan, it guarantees to get past the spatial and political limits of the state and do one thing. However in contrast to Leviathan, it won’t be beholden to the planet-eating capitalism that generated the issue within the first place—a situation that seems sure to ensure Leviathan’s inadequacy to the issue.
The ultimate future political trajectory we describe—a future that refuses capitalism and sovereignty, each nationwide and planetary—we name Local weather X. Local weather X is sadly however inevitably probably the most troublesome for us to sketch out; therefore X, a placeholding variable for a variety of options. Local weather X is our time period for the world for which the worldwide local weather justice motion struggles. As a result of that motion is in truth many actions, organized at many scales, X will take many varieties, every formed by particular historic and geographical circumstances.
However at a minimal, these actions share two broad orientations. First is a rejection of the capitalist mode of political-economic group, by which the issue of local weather change originates. No remotely believable capitalist foundation for a simply and safe future for all has been demonstrated, regardless of many years of political maneuvering and greenspeak. Second, a refusal to grant political precedence, maybe even standing, to the sovereign arrogation of energy, both in its nationwide or emergent planetary type. The nation-state has already demonstrated it can’t and won’t “save the planet.” Local weather Mao may, however it’s as more likely to discovered local weather justice as the unique Maoism did social justice. If we’re trustworthy, we should acknowledge that each the nation-state and its efforts at worldwide coordination and enforcement have confirmed a hindrance to significant motion. Within the International North it has confirmed an enormous compromise machine, a nominally “democratic” desk at which capital all the time has the primary and final phrase. Local weather X is a recognition that a answer to the local weather disaster lies past sovereignty, in a number of actions that arrange not on the idea of predetermined autonomous political parcels, however on the idea of the struggles and livelihoods of these concerned.
The a number of and centuries-long efforts of Indigenous peoples present helpful and admirable fashions of group, dedication, and political creativity within the face of existential threats. These can’t exhaust the assets upon which Local weather X will draw, however they’re and can proceed to be essential sources of data, knowledge, and solidarity, as will the various different struggles of working individuals, racialized communities, and others on all scales. Some, however not all, of those efforts will probably be based mostly in radical left custom. If Local weather X is feasible, it’ll solely be via the post-sovereign solidarity of those many bases of local weather justice.
It’s value noting that because of this Local weather X doesn’t, and won’t, take the type of a Inexperienced New Deal. This isn’t to dismiss requires the reorientation of state coverage as mere instruments of the powers-that-be, a greenwashing of the capitalist downward spiral. If, for instance, the Home decision presently circulating in U.S. Congress (“Recognizing the obligation of the Federal Authorities to create a Inexperienced New Deal”) have been carried out, it will be greater than welcome. It’s successfully a social justice omnibus invoice; even when solely half of its objectives have been undertaken, not to mention realized, that may sign a exceptional flip in U.S. political financial system. But we have to assume onerous about its limits.
Setting apart the array of pragmatic and denialist criticisms (it’s too costly, it’s too onerous on the power business and its staff, it’s “utopian”), the obvious concern one may increase concerning the Inexperienced New Deal is that we merely wouldn’t have time to attend for the state to show the full-speed-ahead tanker that’s the U.S. financial system round. The sort of transformation proposed can’t occur on a quick sufficient timeline, it in any respect, whether it is state-led—particularly in the USA, the place fossil-fuel capital is so deeply entangled within the state. The Inexperienced New Deal would require civil society to reorient the Behemoth that’s the USA on an analogous timeline—an achievement value celebrating, however one that’s arduous to consider will occur between now and 2030.
Inexperienced Keynesianism’s longer historical past locations it squarely within the Local weather Leviathan camp. No less than since the newest international monetary disaster, its proponents have included not merely greenwashers like Thomas Friedman and Lawrence Summers, however sensible critics like Ann Pettifor and Susan George. Inexperienced Keynesianism is the central platform of the influential Stern Evaluation, and of an elaborate 2008 Deutsche Financial institution proposal to make use of nationwide inexperienced infrastructure banks to save lots of Europe’s monetary sector. These sorts of Inexperienced Keynesianism are usually not similar. Like Pettifor and George, the Inexperienced New Deal goes additional in its redistributive and democratic commitments than any Keynesianism that precedes it. However in essential methods it’s tightly sure to the Keynesian custom, and shares a few of its primary orientations and limits.
Inexperienced Keynesianism is a policy-institutional matrix aimed toward sustaining social stability—local weather danger is described as a “menace multiplier”—and it depends on well-coordinated nationwide capitals to understand this aim. Like different Keynesianisms, it places all its eggs within the state’s basket, assuming a welcome however perhaps over-sanguine view of state capability, but in addition assuming the state’s long-term dedication to this system (past, say, one or two administrations). Whereas we on no account imply to impute some imperialist scheme to the Inexperienced New Deal, it’s also essential to notice the slightly summary geopolitical context it assumes, during which america is an unproblematic worldwide chief on local weather motion. And there was little thought to how different states can be affected (one may, for instance, anticipate substantial financial hardship when the world’s biggest shopper radically alters its consumption patterns).
One may say—and lots of have—that regardless of these issues, the Inexperienced New Deal is so a lot better than the established order, and is the best choice we’ve got. Certainly, this system’s most articulate advocates argue compellingly that the nation-state is probably the most highly effective establishment at hand, and it might be insane to not use it if we will. We see the benefit of those arguments. However whereas the state may probably be a useful gizmo proper now, it has additionally been maybe probably the most vital impediment to local weather motion. The capitalist state is extraordinarily unlikely to supply one thing like a Inexperienced New Deal. We’ll want extra radical options—which may solely come from, and be undertaken by, the individuals within the locations and communities through which they wrestle to make, and make sense of, their lives at this perilous conjuncture.
Geoff Mann is the Director of the Centre for International Political Financial system at Simon Fraser College in Vancouver, British Columbia. He’s the writer of Within the Lengthy Run We Are All Lifeless: Keynesianism, Political Financial system and Revolution (Verso, 2017).
Joel Wainwright is Professor of Geography at Ohio State College. He’s writer of Decolonizing Improvement (Blackwell, 2008) and coeditor of Rethinking Palestine and Israel: Marxist Views (Routledge, 2019).
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winny-tan-blog · 5 years ago
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Political Scenarios for Climate Disaster
Political Situations for Local weather Catastrophe
Within the International North we frequently act as if our future might be a hotter model of right now: liberal capitalism, plus flood insurance coverage, minus coral reefs. That future is a fantasy.
Geoff Mann and Joel Wainwright ▪ Summer time 2019 A bicyclist surveys a truck flipped into floodwater in Port Arthur, Texas. (Emily Kask/ AFP/Getty Pictures)
The scientific consensus is past debate: due to burning an ever-increasing quantity of fossil fuels, our world is present process deep and speedy local weather change. Sadly, the responses of the most important states (notably the USA) have fallen far brief of what’s wanted with respect to decreasing carbon emissions. Temperatures proceed to rise; the Earth’s ecosystems are reworking earlier than our eyes. However the coming modifications are usually not restricted to climate or the pure surroundings. The world’s social, political, and financial techniques are sure to vary as properly, maybe basically. Nonetheless, right here within the International North we frequently act as if our future will probably be a hotter model of at the moment: liberal capitalism, plus flood insurance coverage, minus coral reefs.
That future is a fantasy. It already has a chance near zero.
So how are we to consider options? Some flip towards doom-saying and prognostications of collapse. An increasing viewers eagerly consumes books with titles like Dropping Earth or Studying to Die within the Anthropocene. Every provides variations on apocalyptic themes, an anti-politics for the world after the autumn of human civilization.
There isn’t any real looking state of affairs for addressing local weather change that doesn’t contain a complete reorganization of human societies within the fairly close to time period. But we emphasize reorganization, not collapse or apocalypse. As a species, humanity will virtually definitely survive the approaching centuries. However who will survive, and the way they’ll stay, is genuinely unsure. The distribution of the burdens of considerable adaptation—which is now inevitable, regardless of the extent of future carbon mitigation—and the political-economic means by which distribution is carried out: these are pressing points dealing with us all.
On the coronary heart of those issues is the capitalist nation-state that buildings our world. Each different type of political-economic group derives from and is irreducibly dependent upon it. It’s virtually inconceivable to think about a world with out it; even these with pretentions to international energy often assume its centrality by way of the territorial or military-political enlargement of an imperial nation-state. Nevertheless one chooses so far the origins of the capitalist nation-state, accelerating planetary local weather change poses the best menace in its historical past. In contrast to the opposite “everlasting emergency” to which the organizational problem of addressing local weather change is ceaselessly in contrast—the Second World Conflict—the present menace isn’t restricted to this or that nation-state or transnational alliance. It’s, fairly, a menace to the sovereignty of the nation-state in all places as a way of organizing human collectivities. How those that train energy right now, and the actions that problem them, reply to local weather change may have an unlimited affect on human life sooner or later. If we need to perceive these processes, we’re pressured to take a position about how states and elites will try and form hotter and weirder futures. And if we search to make sure justice, democracy, and equitability, we should think about how the present conjuncture will develop and act in mild of that evaluation.
In Local weather Leviathan: A Political Concept of Our Planetary Future (2018, Verso), we examined what futures might plausibly emerge from the present geopolitical order. Will the nation-state-based zero-sum parceling of territorial sovereignty persist within the face of what’s generally described because the world’s largest collective motion drawback? Will that world stay within the thrall of capital? Even among the many very wealthy, the notion that modes of life that don’t exacerbate local weather change are incompatible with the infinite accumulation and power throughput of up to date capitalism is starting to sound like widespread sense. Because the writer of the UK authorities’s 2006 Stern Assessment famously put it, local weather change “have to be considered market failure on the best scale the world has seen.”
These two questions—of sovereignty and of capitalism—level towards 4 tough paths. We name these Local weather Leviathan, Local weather Mao, Local weather Behemoth, and Local weather X. Local weather Leviathan describes an emergent international order dedicated to the consolidation of capitalism by way of the group of a type of planetary sovereignty that may overcome the collective motion drawback. Local weather Mao would symbolize a equally planetary-scale “answer,” however one devoted to an anti-capitalist order. Local weather Behemoth describes a worldwide association animated by a chauvinistic capitalist and nationalist politics that denies—till it may possibly solely denounce—the menace local weather change poses to nationwide capitals. Local weather X is the identify we give the gathering of actions that pursue international local weather justice: actions that construct non-capitalist political economies, and assemble solidarities at a number of scales that reject the political logic of sovereignty.
These 4 broad trajectories usually are not equally doubtless. Local weather Leviathan is probably the most believable, if not probably the most preferable, for causes just like these behind Fredric Jameson’s well-known line: “it’s simpler to think about the top of the world than to think about the top of capitalism.” We’re already witnessing Local weather Leviathan emerge as widespread sense in a lot of the liberal- capitalist a part of the world. It’s a planetary mode of energy organized round adaptation, in an effort to perpetuate the present international distribution of energy and wealth. It has the facility of incumbency, together with the political-economic, army, and ideological energy of the states and regimes that decide the prevailing order value preserving. The collective desperation with which a lot of the progressive group in North America and Western Europe watches occasions unfold on the Copenhagen or Paris local weather negotiations exhibits a widespread want for a local weather sovereignty that decides who can emit and the way a lot, who and learn how to adapt, and find out how to apportion the prices. Many people appear to lengthy for somebody to find out how issues are going to be, within the curiosity of saving life on Earth.
Local weather Behemoth additionally has an orientation towards the capitalist established order, however in contrast to Leviathan it’s vociferously “anti-globalist”—in different phrases, it’s a capitalist order characterised by a reactionary, often racist, macho-nationalism. Local weather Behemoth right now expresses itself most fiercely in local weather denialism, a conspiracy-mongering worry that an emergent, cryptically hegemonic Local weather Leviathan is the foremost “globalist” menace to the nationalist-capitalist ultimate that animates a lot of the modern Republican Celebration and segments of the Conservative events within the UK and Canada.
Behemoth is a big menace to international stability particularly insofar as its present seats of energy quantity amongst them the USA. We completed the e-book in mid-2017, quickly after Donald Trump was put in within the White Home, not completely ready for a way properly he was forged on this position. Equally belligerent reactionary denialist blocs, principally led by Trump sycophants, have captured government energy in a number of different states in each the International South and North, most notably Jair Bolsonaro in Brazil. Trump and Bolsonaro are among the many few world leaders to label local weather change a “hoax”; Vladimir Putin and the Home of Saud additionally sometimes categorical “skepticism,” and there’s a not insignificant diploma of help for comparable posturing in some nations whose states acknowledge the problem of worldwide warming. On the electoral degree, that is notably seen within the ascendance of some Trump wannabes on the subnational degree, like Doug Ford in Ontario (Canada’s most populous and highly effective province).
Nonetheless, it’s truthful to say that a massive a part of the rationale Local weather Behemoth appears so threatening immediately is attributable to its Americanism; Russia and Saudi Arabia’s provocations have a lot to do with their relationships with the White Home. The largely white, male, sexist, and racist proper wing with which Behemoth is related can wreak havoc even when it acknowledges that local weather change is actual. Witness how Andrzej Duda, the president of Poland and host of the 2018 UN Framework Conference on Local weather Change (UNFCCC) conferences in Katowice, doubled down on coal and derailed the EU’s decarbonization plan, or the actions of the far-right FPÖ authorities of Austria, which doesn’t a lot deny local weather change as refuse to speak about it. But setting apart the actual risk that Trump may refuse to cede energy peacefully, the precarious electoral foundation of the few truly present Local weather Behemoths is sweet purpose to doubt its long-term endurance.
This isn’t to counsel towards resistance. However as horrible and devastating because the Trump presidency is, we already see the wheels beginning to come off the denialist bus. We now have reached a tipping level the place there are such a lot of clear alerts of speedy environmental change that it’s more durable to confuse individuals by producing noise. When even its personal pandering media discover themselves unable to promote a hoaxer’s story to Behemoth’s constituency—with the residential abandonment of coastal Florida, say, or the depletion of the Ogallala Aquifer, the water supply for a substantial portion of U.S. agriculture—the legitimacy of Behemoth can be exhausting to take care of. One of many least predictable repercussions of Behemoth’s declining legitimacy, nevertheless, is the rising attraction of Guide of Revelations apocalypticism to its fundamentalist cohort. The worldview of evangelical Christianity already does essential work for Trump and Bolsonaro. The longer term impression of its theological politics will rely not on the planet’s local weather, however on the correct’s capability to conjure an apocalyptic political local weather.
At current, although, an unquestioning dedication to capitalism incorporates the seeds of Local weather Behemoth’s personal destruction, as a result of it’s troublesome to think about the persistence of capitalism in a political financial system that refuses to sharply scale back the burning of fossil fuels. Most of what we all know concerning the social and ecological impacts of worldwide warming is categorically dangerous for a mode of financial group that requires relative stability for the circulation and accumulation of capital. That is why establishments just like the IMF and the World Financial institution are outspoken in favor of putting a worth on carbon.
The lack of an atomized Local weather Behemoth to deal with local weather change–induced social and ecological transformation factors us towards Leviathan-like orders of authority. However it should not be forgotten that though wealth and energy are presently concentrated within the International North, individuals and mass political actions are concentrated within the International South. There isn’t a cause to anticipate, for instance, that within the face of local weather devastation, the plenty of South and East Asia will embrace a worldwide Local weather Leviathan that (at the very least within the inchoate type it presently takes in arenas just like the UNFCCC) is just within the upkeep of a worldwide order during which they’re subordinated. As international warming additional impoverishes, marginalizes, and kills the billions of individuals on this a part of the world, it appears unlikely they may rally to a planetary order meant to take care of and even exacerbate present inequalities.
All these areas have their very own political-economic, ideological, and cultural histories to attract upon, lots of which don’t embrace a dedication to the regulative superb of liberal-capitalist progress. That is the rationale we give the identify Local weather Mao to the third future trajectory: a non-capitalist order of Leviathan-like planetary sovereignty. This isn’t the identical factor as “Local weather China,” though it’s exhausting to think about a state of affairs during which China doesn’t play an essential position in international local weather politics. As an alternative, we name it Local weather Mao partly as a result of we anticipate that the potential for this future lies within the radical political traditions of South and East Asia, areas with traditionally vital rural collectivism that retains substantial modern organizational assets. Since this a part of the world is residence to actually billions of poor individuals, the overwhelming majority of whom local weather science signifies stay in communities instantly liable to local weather change–induced disturbance—extra at-risk populations than anyplace else on Earth—it appears affordable to anticipate that these plenty will draw upon these political and ideological traditions within the face of threats to their livelihoods. Provided that local weather change threatens not solely the interior stability of those areas however the international political financial system to which they’re more and more central, we anticipate Local weather Mao wouldn’t embrace the nation-state because the locus of sovereignty, at the least not for lengthy. Insofar as capitalism stands justifiably accused of each driving local weather disaster and stopping critical motion to deal with it, Local weather Mao represents the most probably non-capitalist formation prepared to confront Leviathan on the planetary stage.
The attraction of Local weather Mao to radical critics of capitalism continues to strike us. Since it’s clear to them that the capitalist nation-state has confirmed an irremediable impediment to local weather motion, not to mention something approaching local weather justice, the attraction of Local weather Mao is nearly visceral. Like Leviathan, it guarantees to get past the spatial and political limits of the state and do one thing. However in contrast to Leviathan, it won’t be beholden to the planet-eating capitalism that generated the issue within the first place—a situation that seems sure to ensure Leviathan’s inadequacy to the issue.
The ultimate future political trajectory we describe—a future that refuses capitalism and sovereignty, each nationwide and planetary—we name Local weather X. Local weather X is sadly however inevitably probably the most troublesome for us to sketch out; therefore X, a placeholding variable for a variety of options. Local weather X is our time period for the world for which the worldwide local weather justice motion struggles. As a result of that motion is in truth many actions, organized at many scales, X will take many varieties, every formed by particular historic and geographical circumstances.
However at a minimal, these actions share two broad orientations. First is a rejection of the capitalist mode of political-economic group, by which the issue of local weather change originates. No remotely believable capitalist foundation for a simply and safe future for all has been demonstrated, regardless of many years of political maneuvering and greenspeak. Second, a refusal to grant political precedence, maybe even standing, to the sovereign arrogation of energy, both in its nationwide or emergent planetary type. The nation-state has already demonstrated it can’t and won’t “save the planet.” Local weather Mao may, however it’s as more likely to discovered local weather justice as the unique Maoism did social justice. If we’re trustworthy, we should acknowledge that each the nation-state and its efforts at worldwide coordination and enforcement have confirmed a hindrance to significant motion. Within the International North it has confirmed an enormous compromise machine, a nominally “democratic” desk at which capital all the time has the primary and final phrase. Local weather X is a recognition that a answer to the local weather disaster lies past sovereignty, in a number of actions that arrange not on the idea of predetermined autonomous political parcels, however on the idea of the struggles and livelihoods of these concerned.
The a number of and centuries-long efforts of Indigenous peoples present helpful and admirable fashions of group, dedication, and political creativity within the face of existential threats. These can’t exhaust the assets upon which Local weather X will draw, however they’re and can proceed to be essential sources of data, knowledge, and solidarity, as will the various different struggles of working individuals, racialized communities, and others on all scales. Some, however not all, of those efforts will probably be based mostly in radical left custom. If Local weather X is feasible, it’ll solely be via the post-sovereign solidarity of those many bases of local weather justice.
It’s value noting that because of this Local weather X doesn’t, and won’t, take the type of a Inexperienced New Deal. This isn’t to dismiss requires the reorientation of state coverage as mere instruments of the powers-that-be, a greenwashing of the capitalist downward spiral. If, for instance, the Home decision presently circulating in U.S. Congress (“Recognizing the obligation of the Federal Authorities to create a Inexperienced New Deal”) have been carried out, it will be greater than welcome. It’s successfully a social justice omnibus invoice; even when solely half of its objectives have been undertaken, not to mention realized, that may sign a exceptional flip in U.S. political financial system. But we have to assume onerous about its limits.
Setting apart the array of pragmatic and denialist criticisms (it’s too costly, it’s too onerous on the power business and its staff, it’s “utopian”), the obvious concern one may increase concerning the Inexperienced New Deal is that we merely wouldn’t have time to attend for the state to show the full-speed-ahead tanker that’s the U.S. financial system round. The sort of transformation proposed can’t occur on a quick sufficient timeline, it in any respect, whether it is state-led—particularly in the USA, the place fossil-fuel capital is so deeply entangled within the state. The Inexperienced New Deal would require civil society to reorient the Behemoth that’s the USA on an analogous timeline—an achievement value celebrating, however one that’s arduous to consider will occur between now and 2030.
Inexperienced Keynesianism’s longer historical past locations it squarely within the Local weather Leviathan camp. No less than since the newest international monetary disaster, its proponents have included not merely greenwashers like Thomas Friedman and Lawrence Summers, however sensible critics like Ann Pettifor and Susan George. Inexperienced Keynesianism is the central platform of the influential Stern Evaluation, and of an elaborate 2008 Deutsche Financial institution proposal to make use of nationwide inexperienced infrastructure banks to save lots of Europe’s monetary sector. These sorts of Inexperienced Keynesianism are usually not similar. Like Pettifor and George, the Inexperienced New Deal goes additional in its redistributive and democratic commitments than any Keynesianism that precedes it. However in essential methods it’s tightly sure to the Keynesian custom, and shares a few of its primary orientations and limits.
Inexperienced Keynesianism is a policy-institutional matrix aimed toward sustaining social stability—local weather danger is described as a “menace multiplier”—and it depends on well-coordinated nationwide capitals to understand this aim. Like different Keynesianisms, it places all its eggs within the state’s basket, assuming a welcome however perhaps over-sanguine view of state capability, but in addition assuming the state’s long-term dedication to this system (past, say, one or two administrations). Whereas we on no account imply to impute some imperialist scheme to the Inexperienced New Deal, it’s also essential to notice the slightly summary geopolitical context it assumes, during which america is an unproblematic worldwide chief on local weather motion. And there was little thought to how different states can be affected (one may, for instance, anticipate substantial financial hardship when the world’s biggest shopper radically alters its consumption patterns).
One may say—and lots of have—that regardless of these issues, the Inexperienced New Deal is so a lot better than the established order, and is the best choice we’ve got. Certainly, this system’s most articulate advocates argue compellingly that the nation-state is probably the most highly effective establishment at hand, and it might be insane to not use it if we will. We see the benefit of those arguments. However whereas the state may probably be a useful gizmo proper now, it has additionally been maybe probably the most vital impediment to local weather motion. The capitalist state is extraordinarily unlikely to supply one thing like a Inexperienced New Deal. We’ll want extra radical options—which may solely come from, and be undertaken by, the individuals within the locations and communities through which they wrestle to make, and make sense of, their lives at this perilous conjuncture.
Geoff Mann is the Director of the Centre for International Political Financial system at Simon Fraser College in Vancouver, British Columbia. He’s the writer of Within the Lengthy Run We Are All Lifeless: Keynesianism, Political Financial system and Revolution (Verso, 2017).
Joel Wainwright is Professor of Geography at Ohio State College. He’s writer of Decolonizing Improvement (Blackwell, 2008) and coeditor of Rethinking Palestine and Israel: Marxist Views (Routledge, 2019).
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The post Political Scenarios for Climate Disaster appeared first on Infinite Bits.
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brwnfiya-blog · 5 years ago
Text
Political Scenarios for Climate Disaster
Political Situations for Local weather Catastrophe
Within the International North we frequently act as if our future might be a hotter model of right now: liberal capitalism, plus flood insurance coverage, minus coral reefs. That future is a fantasy.
Geoff Mann and Joel Wainwright ▪ Summer time 2019 A bicyclist surveys a truck flipped into floodwater in Port Arthur, Texas. (Emily Kask/ AFP/Getty Pictures)
The scientific consensus is past debate: due to burning an ever-increasing quantity of fossil fuels, our world is present process deep and speedy local weather change. Sadly, the responses of the most important states (notably the USA) have fallen far brief of what’s wanted with respect to decreasing carbon emissions. Temperatures proceed to rise; the Earth’s ecosystems are reworking earlier than our eyes. However the coming modifications are usually not restricted to climate or the pure surroundings. The world’s social, political, and financial techniques are sure to vary as properly, maybe basically. Nonetheless, right here within the International North we frequently act as if our future will probably be a hotter model of at the moment: liberal capitalism, plus flood insurance coverage, minus coral reefs.
That future is a fantasy. It already has a chance near zero.
So how are we to consider options? Some flip towards doom-saying and prognostications of collapse. An increasing viewers eagerly consumes books with titles like Dropping Earth or Studying to Die within the Anthropocene. Every provides variations on apocalyptic themes, an anti-politics for the world after the autumn of human civilization.
There isn’t any real looking state of affairs for addressing local weather change that doesn’t contain a complete reorganization of human societies within the fairly close to time period. But we emphasize reorganization, not collapse or apocalypse. As a species, humanity will virtually definitely survive the approaching centuries. However who will survive, and the way they’ll stay, is genuinely unsure. The distribution of the burdens of considerable adaptation—which is now inevitable, regardless of the extent of future carbon mitigation—and the political-economic means by which distribution is carried out: these are pressing points dealing with us all.
On the coronary heart of those issues is the capitalist nation-state that buildings our world. Each different type of political-economic group derives from and is irreducibly dependent upon it. It’s virtually inconceivable to think about a world with out it; even these with pretentions to international energy often assume its centrality by way of the territorial or military-political enlargement of an imperial nation-state. Nevertheless one chooses so far the origins of the capitalist nation-state, accelerating planetary local weather change poses the best menace in its historical past. In contrast to the opposite “everlasting emergency” to which the organizational problem of addressing local weather change is ceaselessly in contrast—the Second World Conflict—the present menace isn’t restricted to this or that nation-state or transnational alliance. It’s, fairly, a menace to the sovereignty of the nation-state in all places as a way of organizing human collectivities. How those that train energy right now, and the actions that problem them, reply to local weather change may have an unlimited affect on human life sooner or later. If we need to perceive these processes, we’re pressured to take a position about how states and elites will try and form hotter and weirder futures. And if we search to make sure justice, democracy, and equitability, we should think about how the present conjuncture will develop and act in mild of that evaluation.
In Local weather Leviathan: A Political Concept of Our Planetary Future (2018, Verso), we examined what futures might plausibly emerge from the present geopolitical order. Will the nation-state-based zero-sum parceling of territorial sovereignty persist within the face of what’s generally described because the world’s largest collective motion drawback? Will that world stay within the thrall of capital? Even among the many very wealthy, the notion that modes of life that don’t exacerbate local weather change are incompatible with the infinite accumulation and power throughput of up to date capitalism is starting to sound like widespread sense. Because the writer of the UK authorities’s 2006 Stern Assessment famously put it, local weather change “have to be considered market failure on the best scale the world has seen.”
These two questions—of sovereignty and of capitalism—level towards 4 tough paths. We name these Local weather Leviathan, Local weather Mao, Local weather Behemoth, and Local weather X. Local weather Leviathan describes an emergent international order dedicated to the consolidation of capitalism by way of the group of a type of planetary sovereignty that may overcome the collective motion drawback. Local weather Mao would symbolize a equally planetary-scale “answer,” however one devoted to an anti-capitalist order. Local weather Behemoth describes a worldwide association animated by a chauvinistic capitalist and nationalist politics that denies—till it may possibly solely denounce—the menace local weather change poses to nationwide capitals. Local weather X is the identify we give the gathering of actions that pursue international local weather justice: actions that construct non-capitalist political economies, and assemble solidarities at a number of scales that reject the political logic of sovereignty.
These 4 broad trajectories usually are not equally doubtless. Local weather Leviathan is probably the most believable, if not probably the most preferable, for causes just like these behind Fredric Jameson’s well-known line: “it’s simpler to think about the top of the world than to think about the top of capitalism.” We’re already witnessing Local weather Leviathan emerge as widespread sense in a lot of the liberal- capitalist a part of the world. It’s a planetary mode of energy organized round adaptation, in an effort to perpetuate the present international distribution of energy and wealth. It has the facility of incumbency, together with the political-economic, army, and ideological energy of the states and regimes that decide the prevailing order value preserving. The collective desperation with which a lot of the progressive group in North America and Western Europe watches occasions unfold on the Copenhagen or Paris local weather negotiations exhibits a widespread want for a local weather sovereignty that decides who can emit and the way a lot, who and learn how to adapt, and find out how to apportion the prices. Many people appear to lengthy for somebody to find out how issues are going to be, within the curiosity of saving life on Earth.
Local weather Behemoth additionally has an orientation towards the capitalist established order, however in contrast to Leviathan it’s vociferously “anti-globalist”—in different phrases, it’s a capitalist order characterised by a reactionary, often racist, macho-nationalism. Local weather Behemoth right now expresses itself most fiercely in local weather denialism, a conspiracy-mongering worry that an emergent, cryptically hegemonic Local weather Leviathan is the foremost “globalist” menace to the nationalist-capitalist ultimate that animates a lot of the modern Republican Celebration and segments of the Conservative events within the UK and Canada.
Behemoth is a big menace to international stability particularly insofar as its present seats of energy quantity amongst them the USA. We completed the e-book in mid-2017, quickly after Donald Trump was put in within the White Home, not completely ready for a way properly he was forged on this position. Equally belligerent reactionary denialist blocs, principally led by Trump sycophants, have captured government energy in a number of different states in each the International South and North, most notably Jair Bolsonaro in Brazil. Trump and Bolsonaro are among the many few world leaders to label local weather change a “hoax”; Vladimir Putin and the Home of Saud additionally sometimes categorical “skepticism,” and there’s a not insignificant diploma of help for comparable posturing in some nations whose states acknowledge the problem of worldwide warming. On the electoral degree, that is notably seen within the ascendance of some Trump wannabes on the subnational degree, like Doug Ford in Ontario (Canada’s most populous and highly effective province).
Nonetheless, it’s truthful to say that a massive a part of the rationale Local weather Behemoth appears so threatening immediately is attributable to its Americanism; Russia and Saudi Arabia’s provocations have a lot to do with their relationships with the White Home. The largely white, male, sexist, and racist proper wing with which Behemoth is related can wreak havoc even when it acknowledges that local weather change is actual. Witness how Andrzej Duda, the president of Poland and host of the 2018 UN Framework Conference on Local weather Change (UNFCCC) conferences in Katowice, doubled down on coal and derailed the EU’s decarbonization plan, or the actions of the far-right FPÖ authorities of Austria, which doesn’t a lot deny local weather change as refuse to speak about it. But setting apart the actual risk that Trump may refuse to cede energy peacefully, the precarious electoral foundation of the few truly present Local weather Behemoths is sweet purpose to doubt its long-term endurance.
This isn’t to counsel towards resistance. However as horrible and devastating because the Trump presidency is, we already see the wheels beginning to come off the denialist bus. We now have reached a tipping level the place there are such a lot of clear alerts of speedy environmental change that it’s more durable to confuse individuals by producing noise. When even its personal pandering media discover themselves unable to promote a hoaxer’s story to Behemoth’s constituency—with the residential abandonment of coastal Florida, say, or the depletion of the Ogallala Aquifer, the water supply for a substantial portion of U.S. agriculture—the legitimacy of Behemoth can be exhausting to take care of. One of many least predictable repercussions of Behemoth’s declining legitimacy, nevertheless, is the rising attraction of Guide of Revelations apocalypticism to its fundamentalist cohort. The worldview of evangelical Christianity already does essential work for Trump and Bolsonaro. The longer term impression of its theological politics will rely not on the planet’s local weather, however on the correct’s capability to conjure an apocalyptic political local weather.
At current, although, an unquestioning dedication to capitalism incorporates the seeds of Local weather Behemoth’s personal destruction, as a result of it’s troublesome to think about the persistence of capitalism in a political financial system that refuses to sharply scale back the burning of fossil fuels. Most of what we all know concerning the social and ecological impacts of worldwide warming is categorically dangerous for a mode of financial group that requires relative stability for the circulation and accumulation of capital. That is why establishments just like the IMF and the World Financial institution are outspoken in favor of putting a worth on carbon.
The lack of an atomized Local weather Behemoth to deal with local weather change–induced social and ecological transformation factors us towards Leviathan-like orders of authority. However it should not be forgotten that though wealth and energy are presently concentrated within the International North, individuals and mass political actions are concentrated within the International South. There isn’t a cause to anticipate, for instance, that within the face of local weather devastation, the plenty of South and East Asia will embrace a worldwide Local weather Leviathan that (at the very least within the inchoate type it presently takes in arenas just like the UNFCCC) is just within the upkeep of a worldwide order during which they’re subordinated. As international warming additional impoverishes, marginalizes, and kills the billions of individuals on this a part of the world, it appears unlikely they may rally to a planetary order meant to take care of and even exacerbate present inequalities.
All these areas have their very own political-economic, ideological, and cultural histories to attract upon, lots of which don’t embrace a dedication to the regulative superb of liberal-capitalist progress. That is the rationale we give the identify Local weather Mao to the third future trajectory: a non-capitalist order of Leviathan-like planetary sovereignty. This isn’t the identical factor as “Local weather China,” though it’s exhausting to think about a state of affairs during which China doesn’t play an essential position in international local weather politics. As an alternative, we name it Local weather Mao partly as a result of we anticipate that the potential for this future lies within the radical political traditions of South and East Asia, areas with traditionally vital rural collectivism that retains substantial modern organizational assets. Since this a part of the world is residence to actually billions of poor individuals, the overwhelming majority of whom local weather science signifies stay in communities instantly liable to local weather change–induced disturbance—extra at-risk populations than anyplace else on Earth—it appears affordable to anticipate that these plenty will draw upon these political and ideological traditions within the face of threats to their livelihoods. Provided that local weather change threatens not solely the interior stability of those areas however the international political financial system to which they’re more and more central, we anticipate Local weather Mao wouldn’t embrace the nation-state because the locus of sovereignty, at the least not for lengthy. Insofar as capitalism stands justifiably accused of each driving local weather disaster and stopping critical motion to deal with it, Local weather Mao represents the most probably non-capitalist formation prepared to confront Leviathan on the planetary stage.
The attraction of Local weather Mao to radical critics of capitalism continues to strike us. Since it’s clear to them that the capitalist nation-state has confirmed an irremediable impediment to local weather motion, not to mention something approaching local weather justice, the attraction of Local weather Mao is nearly visceral. Like Leviathan, it guarantees to get past the spatial and political limits of the state and do one thing. However in contrast to Leviathan, it won’t be beholden to the planet-eating capitalism that generated the issue within the first place—a situation that seems sure to ensure Leviathan’s inadequacy to the issue.
The ultimate future political trajectory we describe—a future that refuses capitalism and sovereignty, each nationwide and planetary—we name Local weather X. Local weather X is sadly however inevitably probably the most troublesome for us to sketch out; therefore X, a placeholding variable for a variety of options. Local weather X is our time period for the world for which the worldwide local weather justice motion struggles. As a result of that motion is in truth many actions, organized at many scales, X will take many varieties, every formed by particular historic and geographical circumstances.
However at a minimal, these actions share two broad orientations. First is a rejection of the capitalist mode of political-economic group, by which the issue of local weather change originates. No remotely believable capitalist foundation for a simply and safe future for all has been demonstrated, regardless of many years of political maneuvering and greenspeak. Second, a refusal to grant political precedence, maybe even standing, to the sovereign arrogation of energy, both in its nationwide or emergent planetary type. The nation-state has already demonstrated it can’t and won’t “save the planet.” Local weather Mao may, however it’s as more likely to discovered local weather justice as the unique Maoism did social justice. If we’re trustworthy, we should acknowledge that each the nation-state and its efforts at worldwide coordination and enforcement have confirmed a hindrance to significant motion. Within the International North it has confirmed an enormous compromise machine, a nominally “democratic” desk at which capital all the time has the primary and final phrase. Local weather X is a recognition that a answer to the local weather disaster lies past sovereignty, in a number of actions that arrange not on the idea of predetermined autonomous political parcels, however on the idea of the struggles and livelihoods of these concerned.
The a number of and centuries-long efforts of Indigenous peoples present helpful and admirable fashions of group, dedication, and political creativity within the face of existential threats. These can’t exhaust the assets upon which Local weather X will draw, however they’re and can proceed to be essential sources of data, knowledge, and solidarity, as will the various different struggles of working individuals, racialized communities, and others on all scales. Some, however not all, of those efforts will probably be based mostly in radical left custom. If Local weather X is feasible, it’ll solely be via the post-sovereign solidarity of those many bases of local weather justice.
It’s value noting that because of this Local weather X doesn’t, and won’t, take the type of a Inexperienced New Deal. This isn’t to dismiss requires the reorientation of state coverage as mere instruments of the powers-that-be, a greenwashing of the capitalist downward spiral. If, for instance, the Home decision presently circulating in U.S. Congress (“Recognizing the obligation of the Federal Authorities to create a Inexperienced New Deal”) have been carried out, it will be greater than welcome. It’s successfully a social justice omnibus invoice; even when solely half of its objectives have been undertaken, not to mention realized, that may sign a exceptional flip in U.S. political financial system. But we have to assume onerous about its limits.
Setting apart the array of pragmatic and denialist criticisms (it’s too costly, it’s too onerous on the power business and its staff, it’s “utopian”), the obvious concern one may increase concerning the Inexperienced New Deal is that we merely wouldn’t have time to attend for the state to show the full-speed-ahead tanker that’s the U.S. financial system round. The sort of transformation proposed can’t occur on a quick sufficient timeline, it in any respect, whether it is state-led—particularly in the USA, the place fossil-fuel capital is so deeply entangled within the state. The Inexperienced New Deal would require civil society to reorient the Behemoth that’s the USA on an analogous timeline—an achievement value celebrating, however one that’s arduous to consider will occur between now and 2030.
Inexperienced Keynesianism’s longer historical past locations it squarely within the Local weather Leviathan camp. No less than since the newest international monetary disaster, its proponents have included not merely greenwashers like Thomas Friedman and Lawrence Summers, however sensible critics like Ann Pettifor and Susan George. Inexperienced Keynesianism is the central platform of the influential Stern Evaluation, and of an elaborate 2008 Deutsche Financial institution proposal to make use of nationwide inexperienced infrastructure banks to save lots of Europe’s monetary sector. These sorts of Inexperienced Keynesianism are usually not similar. Like Pettifor and George, the Inexperienced New Deal goes additional in its redistributive and democratic commitments than any Keynesianism that precedes it. However in essential methods it’s tightly sure to the Keynesian custom, and shares a few of its primary orientations and limits.
Inexperienced Keynesianism is a policy-institutional matrix aimed toward sustaining social stability—local weather danger is described as a “menace multiplier”—and it depends on well-coordinated nationwide capitals to understand this aim. Like different Keynesianisms, it places all its eggs within the state’s basket, assuming a welcome however perhaps over-sanguine view of state capability, but in addition assuming the state’s long-term dedication to this system (past, say, one or two administrations). Whereas we on no account imply to impute some imperialist scheme to the Inexperienced New Deal, it’s also essential to notice the slightly summary geopolitical context it assumes, during which america is an unproblematic worldwide chief on local weather motion. And there was little thought to how different states can be affected (one may, for instance, anticipate substantial financial hardship when the world’s biggest shopper radically alters its consumption patterns).
One may say—and lots of have—that regardless of these issues, the Inexperienced New Deal is so a lot better than the established order, and is the best choice we’ve got. Certainly, this system’s most articulate advocates argue compellingly that the nation-state is probably the most highly effective establishment at hand, and it might be insane to not use it if we will. We see the benefit of those arguments. However whereas the state may probably be a useful gizmo proper now, it has additionally been maybe probably the most vital impediment to local weather motion. The capitalist state is extraordinarily unlikely to supply one thing like a Inexperienced New Deal. We’ll want extra radical options—which may solely come from, and be undertaken by, the individuals within the locations and communities through which they wrestle to make, and make sense of, their lives at this perilous conjuncture.
Geoff Mann is the Director of the Centre for International Political Financial system at Simon Fraser College in Vancouver, British Columbia. He’s the writer of Within the Lengthy Run We Are All Lifeless: Keynesianism, Political Financial system and Revolution (Verso, 2017).
Joel Wainwright is Professor of Geography at Ohio State College. He’s writer of Decolonizing Improvement (Blackwell, 2008) and coeditor of Rethinking Palestine and Israel: Marxist Views (Routledge, 2019).
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