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catboybiologist · 2 months ago
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Hey I feel like I remember someone using crispr (or other gene editing method) to successfully edit her own genome and since I saw the article on tumblr and I think I remember her doing it for trans reasons it feels like something you'd know about. Google isn't helping, do you know who im talking about?
Yup I remember that.
Tl;Dr: I don't buy this instance of it, but there's some nuggets of theory that she built upon that are reasonable.
I'm gonna try to keep this brief and simple.
Here was the basic theory, extremely oversimplified: normal cell development follows a kind of "tree". A stem cell can become a couple different kinds of other stem cells that are more specific, and onwards, until they become "fully differentiated" cell types. These are the cells we know and love: nerve, skin, muscle, etc.
Stem cell research is so valuable because of this- "replacement" tissue can be generated for any other kind of cell with stem cells.
But in extremely rare cases, a process called transdifferentiation can occur. Essentially, a fully differentiated cell type becomes a different cell type without reverting to a stem cell state at all. Imagine a bit of heart tissue becoming an intestine.
It's an extremely poorly understood process. Like, EXTREMELY poorly understood, and the basic dynamics of how it works are a subject of active research. However, it's generally understood that in some organisms, under some extreme external circumstances, in certain cell types, it can be induced by adding in or blocking the right signal.
Based on one study that did a trial on natal male mice, there is a gene that, when knocked down, MIGHT cause transdifferentiation of testes cells into ovarian tissue, which would then secrete estrogens.
CRISPR is used to target a small segment of DNA and cleanly "cut" it out of the genome.
Now. What did this woman actually do?
Well, we don't have much to go on. It was a single thread, less than a paragraph in total, from a "bio hackers" forum. The only data provided was a text document of estrogen levels, one time point before and one time point after, and a diagram of the insert vector that would target the gene mentioned before. What she's claiming she did is inject this vector into her testes, and that the resulting estrogen level afterwards is from her being off HRT, and therefore is a result of ovarian tissue producing it.
But there's SO many confounding factors here, and SO little to go on. Self-professed "bio hackers" are kinda notorious for not having great ideas of what they're doing- not in a dangerous way, more in a "wasting time and money on things that don't work" way. And even for them, there's almost nothing to go on here.
Am I saying the entire thing is fake? Not necessarily, I don't like to jump to "people are lying". However, I am saying that there are too many confounding factors that could have easily kept E high for a long time to question Contrary to what popular media would have you believe, CRISPR is extremely fickle, and not well optimized for humans. I'm also saying that, without additional time points or verification of data, those hormones levels could just be taking a longer time to change.
In fact, I literally consider it more likely that transfemme HRT for extended periods of time might be able to cause transdifferentiation in extremely small amounts on its own. It's been possibly documented going the other direction:
I say possibly because there are other potential explanations that haven't been investigated yet, and it's never been studied in transfemmes. Either way, is it enough to endogenously produce hormones at cis female levels? Maybe, after a decade or so. But I want to see a lot more investigation into it.
Generously, I want to say that long term HRT did cause a lasting change- either the pituitary suppression of testosterone was so prolonged that it took a long time to rebound, or there actually is some transdifferentiation happening as a result of previous HRT itself. I don't think there's a world where the CRISPR actually worked.
Now. Is CRISPR to edit the genome to cause transdifferentiation of testes into ovarian tissue, that would be just enough of an ovary to produce estradiol, theoretically possible? Probably yes, actually! But did someone do it with no documentation, minimal funding, and then disappear afterwards? Not really buying it.
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cryptidcircuslife · 4 years ago
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Hi unofficial compilation of Getting Away From A Place tips
this is tailored to a specific situation so please do your own research for stuff more specific to you
running away tips subreddit
Short Term Preparation:
These are the things you can prepare now if you have to get out fast and unexpectedly
Do not tell anyone about your plan other than those directly involved in helping you.
Make a plan for your cash. You don't want to access an account your family can access or freeze. Slowly withdraw money and hide it if it's at risk of being taken. Withdrawing it all the day you leave will raise a red flag and have you on camera (atm or bank), if you even have time. As a legal adult, you may be able to get away with this because you aren't doing anything against the law. Just make sure to do it before your family finds out about you leaving. When you leave, if you don’t want to be traced- don’t use cards.
For hiding paper cash- you know your house and its occupants best. Determine what objects you have that won't be thrown away or tampered with by someone, and if they have a hollow space, store it. I used to use opaque pill bottles, hidden pockets or bindings in notebooks, the linings of old dvd or game cases, water bottles, gum cases, (all of these put in clothing or backpack pockets), opening the lining of coats and backpacks and hiding it inside of that, inside of hygeine products like the hollow part of a deodorant stick. Inside old electronics. in the stuffing of a plushie. Underneath the insoles of shoes you dont wear often.
Even if your money isn't at risk of being taken, store some of it separately anyway for emergencies.
I heard the bare minimum for running away with no destination or job is $1k. Judge for yourself your needs.
Get a backpack. Waterproof/resistant is better, but any is good. Don't pack it yet, so you don't arouse suspicion. But test out packing it to see if everything fits, and unpack it. Modify some hidden compartments so that when you travel, you will have places to hide your IDs and Cash- it's necessary so no one steals it. You want to travel light, regardless of your situation, because packing and carrying a ton of stuff takes time and you don't always have time on the day you leave.
Get a secondary bag. I learned the hard way that a backpack doesn't fit everything you'll need. Especially with amenities, food, clothing, personal possessions.... A duffel bag, one of those canvas grocery bags. A tote. Something to hold by hand.
Packing lists for running away are surprisingly similar to emergency evacuation pack lists.
Clothes to pack: 1 short sleeve shirt. 1 long sleeve shirt. 1 pair of pants. 7 sock pairs. 7 underwear pairs. 1 jacket. Some winter gear if you can, because nights will always be cold especially if you are stuck outside.
Hygeine to pack: deodorant. toothpaste. toothbrush. floss. baking soda if you’ll be on the road for a long time. Special products you may need- cream for a skin condition, sunscreen. I recommend a small essential oil bottle as a bug repellent, and some have antibacterial properties to help you/your clothes not smell musty af, and they're safe on the skin.
Must-haves to pack: you should have your social security card and another form of ID, like a state ID or drivers license. Pass port if you have one, and birth certificate or a copy if you can. Your cash. A map of your state/region.
Valuables to pack: bring a few things to keep you entertained that are small. A small book, or a notebook and pen. Try not for anything too heavy or bulky. Any survival gear you may own (sewing kits, first aid, multitools, matches, lighters).
If you will be staying outside, get a sleeping bag. Thermal blanket for cold temps.
Food to pack: bring healthy nonperishable food. Junk food won't do much for you on the move. Go for granola/protein bars, dried fruit, meat bars, jars of nut butters, canned food. A water bottle. Bring all medication you need.
Stuff to wear on you: go for baggy and multi-pocketed stuff. Don't wear your favorite clothing if you don't want to be identified, and make sure they blend well into the environment. Grey is the most unnoticeable color, then black, then neutrals. If identification isn't a problem, only wear and pack your favorite things. Wear comfortable and travel safe shirt and pants. Wear a hoodie or tie it around your waist so it doesnt take up bag space. A hat. Keep some cash in a hidden pocket if you can. Wear comfortable sneakers you can move around in for a long time and is good for the weather of where you live. Keep your self defense on you - knives, pepper spray, etc. (and learn the laws for those in your area)
Note: Storing some of these supplies around or in hiding places won't be too weird. Keeping the 'valuables' in the backpack won't be too strange to anyone either. Keeping everything nearby so you can quickly dump everything in the bags and go is a good idea. But Do Not Pack the clothes until the day you leave. clothes are a warning signal for leaving. And you cannot let them find out about your plans, especially if you are in a dangerous place.
Last note: know these are flexible to you. You can add or change stuff, as long as you have the most important things.
Long Term:
These are the things you can prepare for better
Save as much money as possible. You can secretly sell things.
Research more about what you may experience, be that attaining financial independence or how to train hop and live on the streets temporarily. Look at other people's tips for running away, or their experiences. Research moving out tips. Research specific to your area or where you will be headed. Libraries, shelters, charities, support organizations, 24-hour restaurants and locations. Research ticket prices, gas prices, etc. Apartment search. Be sure to remove those from your history. Cleaning it entirely may be suspicious if someone monitors that.
Build a budget and a food plan for how you will use your savings on the road.
As an adult, if you manage to get hired secretly for a job in your target location, you can apply for housing there, too. You will get set move-in dates and can give dates you can start working that work with your runaway schedule.
If you're running away as a minor, you can't stay with friends. However, as an adult you can. If someone is trying to find you, you'll have to be careful still.
If you need to leave fake trails because someone might search for you, there are some excellent resources by people trying to hide from domestic violence. The main tips are leaving fake trails in cities far away from wherever you will be- job applications you have no intention of following through on, apartment applications, phone calls, internet searches, purchases, etc. These can go more in-depth.
If you will be tracked, figure out how to get a burner phone. These are pretty cheap, and so are their service plans. You may want to consider this anyway to pay for your own service if your phone is taken off the existing one. Write down phone numbers you want to keep.
Make sure you have the proper amounts of medications you will need.
Be careful with this one, but figure out if you have any smaller hard-to-replace valuables that you want to bring to your new life but can't pack for your method of travel or might get stolen. Only do this if you have a place you are going to, and are going to get a job and housing there. Make a plan with a trusted friend to hold on to a few things you cannot carry in your bags and arrange for them to be mailed or picked up later. Only do this with one or two things that are easy to carry, because you will need to get it to them somehow, right? dont do this if you don't have the methods or the time before your runaway day. A good example is that I don't want to replace my laptop but I can't tow it through town and across state lines on a train. my friend can take care of it until I am settled.
Tie off any loose ends that you need to. This can be waiting for a responsibility to be gone, waiting for a last paycheck, or attending something you wanted to go to one last time.
Delete old accounts, and eventually deleting your emails and social media associated with your identity.
Note: The best thing you can do with time is make your supplies as efficient as possible, and plan. plan plan plan.
Schedule your leave date. or a range of leaving dates. But know sometimes it can be unpredictable. Make it a day when no one is home- especially if it's a dangerous situation.
On Runaway Day:
Hopefully you have a small window of time where you are alone.
Make sure you’re wearing all your runaway clothes you have prepared.
Pack your backpack and duffel bag quickly.
Leave a note, even if you don't want to. This is important, because you don't want a search for you because someone thought you were kidnapped or murdered. This way, officials can pretty much ignore it since it was voluntary.
Don’t look nervous or afraid while you are out, since that’ll draw unwanted attention.
If you made a plan for someone to pick you up, or to meet someone, make sure they are punctual. Don't meet right in front of your house if possible. Go a few streets away or somewhere less noticeable. Again, make sure whatever you bring is easy to carry so you move fast and no one tries to steal it.
If unfortunately you have to leave very quickly and haphazardly, leave anything not immediately important to survival behind.
Buy your burner phone with cash. Add your written numbers to the contacts. Create your new email and social media from there. If you're hiding, don't take pictures of yourself. Don't use your real name or information. Keep private accounts, and don't interact with anyone who will give you away.
If you have other travel plans, make your way there. Head to your safe places, your shelter, wherever you have planned. You are in your new life.
Once You Are Out:
Take care of your immediate needs. Find resources for food, water, and shelter.
Start accessing any support resources, regardless of what your situation is. In a town I lived in, there was an LGBTQ+ resource center that had entertainment/food/clothing/education clubs/showering/laundry/other amenities and programs for both lgbtq+ and homeless youth. I also took part in a gift drive for a specific minority that I qualified as, which gave me a lot of food.
Start working towards your future goals. Start job searching, and from there being able to secure housing. Start making friends. build a support structure. i hope it goes well
Rebuild your supplies and closet when you have the location security to do so.
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meduise · 4 years ago
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my own hibari headcanons
[reposting because of adult terminology crimes, lol]
been meaning to write down my list of hcs for a while anyway, and now i have the occasion to get to it! among the others im gonna add what i decided to avoid putting under this post and give more details about what i already wrote there
content/trigger warnings: death, assassination, mental illness, eating disorders
the list will be under the cut! it excludes my strictly shippy hcs and i may update it over time
first things first. like my own blog title suggests, i hc hibari as a trans guy.  i’m trans myself, so this is arguably the hc of mine im the most attached to for personal comfort reasons LOL. it all started when i read a fic about trans hibari a few years ago and later on i got more and more fond of this transcanon, becoming 100% personal. i also hc that he doesnt feel dysphoric. as for his sexuality i hc him as gay
we know that hibari and fon are relatives. my idea is that they’re step-brothers (different mother), and long lost to that. NOW. i realize that with the assumption of fon’s age, them being siblings is unlikely, but it shouldn’t be impossible. their father could be old enough. he got married to a chinese woman who gave birth to fon, then divorced, then got married again to a japanese woman, kyouya’s mom. (i kinda based this on my irls situation, where because of the parents’ second marriage there is at least a good 20 years of gap between the oldest and youngest sibling)
the hibari family was part of the yakuza. to answer a question that was made to me: i agree that hibari “just liking fighting” isnt funny at all. i heavily believe that there’s a psychological reason to his behavior but im going to talk about this in another point below. i also think that hibari was probably the heir to the clan, but here in my head hibari is still too young for it, like 5-6 years old.
when hibari was a child his parents got killed in the hibari household. how could they get killed in their own house, didn’t they have enough protection? they did. but the guard was low considering who turned out to be their murderers were old, trusted allies. kyouya only survived because he managed to hide properly and long enough. he didnt witness the assassination but he did see his parents in a pool of blood after everything ended. before dying, his mom left a last message to him: be stronger than anyone else. because of the trauma, even in the present hibari avoids going back to that house as much as he can and especially he never reopens the door of the crime scene. hibari also still grows into a delinquent, but he dislikes the mafia world and wishes he didnt have to be involved with it
for a while, hibari is in fon’s mother’s custody. here is when he meets fon for the first time, over time they get very attached to one another, but because of the arcobaleno matters, fon goes disappearing, and hibari ends up assuming fon has died and left him behind just like this parents did. fon reappears and goes to meet hibari in occasion of the arcobaleno representative battles and of course wit trauma resurface and about 10 years of beliefs and assumptions hibari really, really struggles with this reunion, but eventually they bond again. (for this one i dont take into account the events in the anime only arcobaleno trial events, as well as the fact that we see all the arcobalenos revived at the end of the future arc)
hibari has an antisocial personality disorder (which implies he already had conduct disorders before the age of 15). it explains his violent and criminal behavior, as well as the fact that he doesn’t feel guilty for anything he does. he also suffers from ptsd and has eating disorders (i thought about the avoidant food intake, where, among the other symptoms, a person avoids to extreme levels some types of food because of characteristics such as their pattern or their color and generally lacks appetite/interest in food)
(wears my enneagram nerd hat) HIBARI IS A TYPE EIGHT. 8w7 precisely, aka the maverick. all about type eight is basically a call out to hibari lmfao but here’s the most relevant characteristics: eights are the real stand-alones of the enneagram. eights’ basic fear is to be harmed and controlled by others, and they steel up to prevent their basic fear from happening (or happening again). below the tough facade there is a vulnerability that cant be shown to anyone. their virtue is innocence, an innocence that they once and forever lost, and hibari basically lost it when his family was assassinated. eights are also associated to the deadly sin of lu st. for hibari its not necessarily the ns fw kinda lu st, rather bloodlu st. and its one big paradox because eights want to be in control of their surroundings, but being consumed by lu st means being under something/someone else’s control (and so we’re back to the basic fear). unhealthy eights are violent, despotic, reckless. all things we see in hibari. very unhealthy eights are also those who typically may develop the antisocial disorder, reason why i listed it above
since he wants to dominate his environment, hibari controls over the namimori and especially the school to feel “security”. he managed it through illegal means and pretty much lives in the school, namichuu is also one of the few places where usually he can sleep without having nightmares
yes, hibari loves sleeping but also he gets nightmares about his past more often than not
but i also love imagining hibari gradually healing and recovering from his trauma, so i do hc that in adulthood he’s mentally doing better. he can be a leader without being tyrannical. he can be strong while also acknowledging his own vulnerability. he is able to love again, too
the reason why he has a soft spot for little animals and children, like we see for ipin, is that he (unconsciously?) sees in them the innocence he himself lost. plus tiny and cute things help him cope when he is having episodes
he also treats ipin well because she is fon’s pupil. and i love to think of them as a little family
if hibari has a ring he really likes or is emotionally attached to he makes sure to never wear it on his fingers so he doesnt risk breaking it with his flames
hibari is pretty much a nerd, in his own twisted way. i mean. he’s seen reading in a bunch of official arts and we know that he’s very fond of the wonders of the world, he started up the foundation for his box researches and he knows well how illusions work - which means he studied them. since he was moved by his hatred towards mukuro, his illusion studies must have reached an unhealthy level, becoming an obsession
fon trained hibari on how to fight against illusions as well
for hibari, finding out he has mist flames too was very much of a shock, but he eventually accepts it. he only uses those flames if really needed (like the foundation entry camouflage)
i will get back to this post when i’ll have established:
why hibari picks tonfas as his weapons (i already have an idea but i havent gone into details myself enough to write about it here)
hibari’s parents and fon’s mother’s name
anything relevant that i forgot or come up with
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igdbwljydukl-blog · 5 years ago
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Easy Guidelines To How To See Who Viewed Your Instagram Must
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How To See Who Views Your Instagram
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Reference
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ddonggeun · 6 years ago
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Hey! So I’m suspecting if I got adhd/add but is there any symptom idk. It’s really exp here to get it diagnosed
sorry it took me a while to get back to you because honestly i dont know whats a good alternative for you can be so i guess i can share my own experience? 
first of all i think googling symptoms and types of adhd and reading peoples account on how adhd/add manifest is a good start? my doctor and the reddit /r/adhd REALLY help me to accept myself (which is the first step i think) but the way i get diagnosis (i am adhd with predominately inattentiveness - but at the same time i have depressions and dyslexia which is like a killer combo 10/10 would never rec) is that i came across with an article a couple months about how girls with adhd are more likely to be (mis)diagnosed with depression and it basically fucks up multiple generations because they cant get the help they need and i was like wait whats describe in it sounds kind of like me but at the same time i have always been very lethargic and rather well behaved in class growing up i am nothing like what you would typically associate with adhd (you know the hyper-activeness) so during my next visit to the doctor (im getting treatment for my depression) i mention to the article to her and she said wait you know what describe how you feel in a classroom setting growing up and is there anything you do that teachers complain about repeatedly and tell me how studying and doing homework is like to you and so i did (i can go further into details of my life since a lot contributes to why i only get diagnosis when im 21… let me know if you would like to know i guess?)
my doctor (who just so happens to be an adhd specialist and is quite active in the research area i didnt know before then we stan forever i love her really she is so encouraging and so good at her job) took some notes as i was talking and after im done she said you know what i think you might be onto something but i cant be sure yet (since i have depression and dyslexia which both overlaps quite a lot with adhd/add) why dont i first explain to you what adhd is and i’ll give you the set of official diagnosis questions you dont have to do it just take a look at it first do some research organize your thought talk to your parents about it and if you think getting a test on it is something you want we can set up another appointment and we can go from there - which is really really nice because adhd has always been a taboo at least with my upbringing it makes you a loser socially academically and you know just in general its not something you will want to have…. 
in hind sight there are SO MANY SIGNS even in early childhood how come no one notice i dont know prolly because i grew up in the 00s if you are different you need to kys lmao rip: 
trouble paying attention in school or work,
the appearance of not listening - although im an audio learner funny enough
avoidance of activities that require sustained focus,
being easily distracted 
restlessness
fidgeting and cant sit properly - i shake my legs or click my pen so much especially when im thinking or anxious lmao, i got into trouble a lot when i was younger because i only sit in my seat facnig the teacher 5 mins max at at ime then i move around or i move the chair around i think better when i cross my legs but i went to a uniform school and i always make my skirt too short so you know
interrupting - if i dont say what comes to mind when it comes to mind, the thought is gone forever
frequent talking and talking way too fast - i get the exact same comment every single report day class from when i was 4 till i graduated high school im not even kidding “she has excellent comprehension skill and reading speed. it would be great if parents can help her out a bit in maths or chemistry.  she has a lot of potential if she applies herself, she seems distracted although when we ask her questions she can answer. very helpful and bubbly and yet she talks too much in class. she is not disruptive and her seatmate never complains but she just doesnt stop talking. we have been pairing her up with quiet students in class in the hopes that she will talk less in class but she just turn the quiet student talkative”
trying to do multiple things at once - i cant do one thing at a time, even when im say writing a paper i need to be listening to music or talking to someone if not switching between tabs or word files
mood swings
hyperfocus - oh boy oh boy oh boy
impulsiveness - i dont know if i get better as i age or is it getting worse i just know how to clean up my mess lmaooooo
poor time management - although i would say ever since i start listening to stuff 24/7 it really helps build a sense of the passage of time or whatever? its like now i know ok by the time i get to the third song in the shower i need to be washing out my conditioner; or say i need to go somewhere in 40 mins which is really abstract to me i set timers and put on a show thats 35ish mins even tho im not watching it just so im aware of time is actually happening if it makes sense
fail to follow through - i start things and once i have it figure out in my head i struggle to put it down in words or explain it to others i work well with other adhd peps tho
doesnt follow instruction and only do stuff their way
burnout - this is the worst especially if you are a perfectionist or a control freak and guess who is both 
trouble coping with stress - 
i luck out because im canadian and my doctor (in my schools clinic) just so happens to be a specialist who is very passionate about helping undergrads and grad school students to achieve as much as they can - so doctor and diagnosis for me is free. i do have to pay for my medications out of my pocket for a bit since im on vyvanse (to treat both my adhd and depression-lead anxiety its complicated but it makes sense when my doctor explained it to me lol) and this drug isnt covered by Pharmacare (CAD $130ish for 3 weeks worth of 30mg, im mostly on 30mg but on days when i dont have work on stuff or go to school i take 20mg just so my anxiety dont cause me to explode lmao) and very expensive but recently my doctor and i have agreed that vyvanse really work for me and it is something that i should be on daily for the foreseeable future we applied for special authorization which means i only gotta pay the tax… of course medicating isnt a must but it is what works for me and we figure out a way to make it affordable so i cant be more happy about that
at the same time i work with my psychiatrist to you know configure the whole adhd thing cause you know 21 years of repressing and forcing your feet into a shoes that not even your size frick you up thats something people dont tell you 🤷🏻‍♀️
what my doctor said to me then stuck with me - she told me adhd or add really is no monster or flaw in fact it is a very valuable set of traits we inherit from our ancestor - we hate it now because modern society render these skills useless well you see adhd isnt all about the hyperactiveness you see in the media people with adhd are extra sensitive to their surrounding and prefer hands on experiences (today we call them distracted) they are always aware of the change around them and is capable to attend to a couple things at a time and act fast because their brains are always making sense of things even when they arent consciously doing it. in todays society we dont want these kind of people why? because they ask questions they are curious people who notice trivial stuff that dont contribute to productivity they cant sit still which makes them not the ideal factor workers or pupils BUT! you have to remember that industrialization started like a century ish ago before that our ancestors live in predominately tribal society - adhd people then are the perfect caretakers and protectors, why? because they are always noticing things they adapt and react fast… so yeah it kinda suck for us growing up in a system thats designed to be everything we are and it is something that need to be changed but for those of us who “made it out alive” especially people who only get diagnosed in adulthood more often than not they look back and realize they have developed so many incredible ways to cope to make things work - are they always the perfect way? are they always health? no definitely no but at the same time it shows you how incredible these people are they make things work yes things are really hard sometimes but you got to give yourself a pet in the shoulder for not giving up… with the help of science and research we now know a little more about how adhd affect people we now have medication and programs developed to help people with adhd - they arent to dumb you down or numb you but instead it helps you to focus better so you can actually hear your entire thought and not just phrases or sentence fragments
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saotome-michi · 7 years ago
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Hi! Well I think they might have changed the regulations since even a BL that was broadcasted this year (the one about the blond guy and his teacher) couldn't show kisses (though i think they could show one in last episode?) anyway regarding not mentioning the kiss perhaps it was due to the fact they didn't choose the BL tag, the scan of the fanbook and translation you can find it in the tumblr account "gogoeeg" under the tag "sayo-yamamoto"
About the event in Philippines, I got friends from there who went and talked to me about it but I couldn’t find a post until now, to read it go to the account zuzusexytiems and search the tag “yoi-news” also not long ago mappa’s ceo talked about how Sayo always had the intention to depict a romance which i think was the most direct statement but of course not choosing a BL tag arrises problems, but even so as I told you about that other bl series, they couldn’t show kisses until last eps
Still same anon, but messages sent later on with links and more clarification: 
Hi! Don’t rush if you need to study, I hope things go well with your finals, i found a twitter thread about the director’s statements on the fanbook (they also put tumblr links with the scans in the thread) i hope this link can be sent well twitter.com/hanleia/status/877682683429609472
Also this is a report of the event my friends in ph talked about, i met them because the persona fandom but they were into yoi too so it caught my attention, there might be more reports but is difficult to find them zuzusexytiems.tumblr.com/post/165924693224/met-sayo-yamamoto-fuuko-noda-of-yuri-on-ice-at-a?is_related_post=1
A second anon, I presume: 
Regarding what the other anon said, is true, that other anime hitorijime my hero had a lot of censorship despite being a BL and even the staff of series “explicit visually” like no6 have explicitly stated the relationship is “probably one sided” or “up for interpretation”. The thing is that even co creator Kubo has already labelled Victor and Yuuri as a couple as well as mappa’s ceo Otsuka and even Sayo said in yuri on life that their love encompasses love like lovers, family, etc so (½)
As someone who participates a lot in japanese fandom I can tell you almost no one denies the kiss and they took that statement as “confirmation” (for westerns it would be when Otsuka said their relationship was 恋愛) I dont consider yoi the best representation but i can assure is not bait, you just have to check official material, あの二人の愛多くの意味を包含するから…友だちだけじゃない、恋人だけじゃない even JCM and Johnny Weir have spoken with the staff and assure is romance (2/2)
First of all, I would like to apologize to both of you for this late response. Although I said I would address this after finals, I got sidetracked by family obligations, and couldn’t really get together enough energy to look through these sources and do research until now. Hopefully you two still see this answer. I am compiling your messages and answering both of you at the same time due to the similarity in topic.
Before I get started on talking about TV regulations, I wish to clarify (especially for those who are not aware of what I’ve already written on yoi) that I do not consider yoi bait, due to queerbaiting being a US/UK concept. In my opinion, the term simply does not make sense in Japan–MAPPA was never trying to attract LGBT viewers to yoi, their material was always well in line with the light BL/shoujo demographic. My past criticism about yoi was focused on its overblown reception among international anime viewers; people were acting like yoi was going to revolutionize all Japanese media in regards to depictions of lgbt people, as if yoi was the first show to have men in love, as if Japanese lgbt people and organizations have not already been fighting this fight for years… and frankly it just annoyed me on how much people misunderstood and oversimplified the situation in Japan. Whatever your views on yoi are, I think most can agree that there’s a real disconnect happening when the only articles talking about how revolutionary yoi is were from western/international websites, and Japanese sites, including lgbt sites, had nothing.  
Hence, despite having voiced my dissatisfactions towards Kubo and the yoi staff before on my blog, my main beef with yoi has always been more about its reception, the international fandom and their activity. 
But I digress– the discussion regarding TV regulations goes back to my post “Yuri on Ice, anime ratings, and censorship”. I wrote this post on Nov 20, 2016–so not long after episode 7 had been released–and in this post I put forward arguments refuting the idea that “the YOI staff censored the kiss either because they didn’t want to change their rating or their genre, or to avoid government censorship laws.” While I still stand by this idea (because ratings and genres really don’t work the same way in Japan as they do in the US, and there are no government censorship laws that apply here) I also see that, after doing some more research, there were other factors that I failed to take into consideration, namely: 
While there are no government laws or agencies that censor depictions of homosexuality in media (as there are in China), that doesn’t mean people/companies in Japan don’t exercise other forms of censorship, such as:
Corporate censorship: the sanctioning of speech by spokespersons, employees, and business associates by threat of monetary loss, loss of employment, or loss of access to the marketplace. 
Self-censorship: the act of censoring or classifying one’s own work of media. Usually done out of fear of, or deference to, the sensibilities or preferences of others (Wikipedia).
What I’m hinting towards is that, basically, either: 
Broadcasting Stations, while not having legal regulations, may pressure Anime Studios to change their content and/or
Studios themselves might be inclined to change their content in order to not conflict with Broadcasters’ perceived preferences or to better market their anime to certain Broadcasters. 
This is actually an idea that I brought up in “Yuri on Ice, anime ratings, and censorship”, but did not fully develop– it would make sense if different broadcasting stations had different “preferences” in place regarding what content they prefer in the anime they broadcast, depending on their reach, image, and perceived audience. For example, stations such as AT-X and BS11, which are known for broadcasting a good deal of “shinya anime” (if you do not know what this term means please refer back to my post linked above), are much more likely to screen niche anime with explicit content than say, stations like TBS, whose anime content consists of those targeted to either children or shounen manga readers, a much wider demographic. 
There is a possibility that these “preferences” are formalized in the shape of outlined standards. The JBA (The Japan Commercial Broadcasters Association), a non-profit incorporated association whose membership consists of 206 commercial broadcasters in Japan, focuses on upholding fundamental standards for commercial broadcasters, as well as on improving broadcasting ethics throughout the industry. Their standards, which are detailed in this document, “ JBA Broadcasting Standards”, are then used as a guideline for individual broadcasting stations to outline their own standards. However, since I am unable to find any individual broadcaster’s standards on the internet, this is mostly speculation, although the document itself is an interesting read and gives an idea of the various social pressures more mainstream broadcasters might face. For example, a couple of the outlined standards include: 
26. Public morals shall be respected. Any possibility of arousing favorable feelings toward speech or action that is against common social practice, or desire to imitate such speech or action, shall be avoided.
77. When presenting sexual minorities, full consideration shall be given to the human rights of people who belong to said minorities.
A bit conflicting, given that a portion of Japanese people still think same-sex relationships go against public morals... 
So, with all this being said, do I think it’s possible that the yoi staff was pressured into making the kiss scene what it was, not by any laws, but by social pressures translated into Broadcasters’ standards, a combination of corporate and self censorship? Yes, I do. Although TV Asahi did broadcast Shin Sekai Yori, an anime with same-sex relationships and kiss scenes, Shin Sekai Yori is an outlier among TV Asahi’s anime content. The majority of their programs (and BS Asahi’s, another station that broadcast yoi) are targeted towards a wider demographic, so I can see them having stricter standards. 
Having come to this conclusion, I wish to apologize for my old post; although the information included there is accurate, I failed to consider the factors and possibilities outlined above, thus not giving readers the full picture. 
Does this change my opinion about yoi? It changes my opinion that Kubo and Yamamoto could’ve included the kiss if they wanted to, but it doesn’t change the rest of my criticisms about yoi and its reception. 
Oh and before I forget–
Regarding Hitorijime~My Hero: I am not familiar with this anime, but whichever way the kiss scenes were handled does not prove anything in regards to TV Asahi’s regulations, because the anime was not broadcast by TV Asahi in the first place. A quick look at the anime’s main website (http://hitorijime-myhero.com/onair/) shows that it was broadcast by AT-X, Tokyo MX, and BS日テレ–not by TV Asahi.
Furthermore, while Hitorijime may have only had one kiss scene, BL/GL anime such as Super Lovers 2 and NTR~Netsuzou Trap showed multiple kiss scenes, and non-BL/GL anime like Kuzu no Honkai and Koi to Uso each had one as well. (All mentioned anime were broadcast in 2017.)
But if anything, this lends more weight to my theory that different broadcasters simply have different standards, and anime studios self-censor their content in order to market to certain broadcasters. Hitorijime, Super Lovers 2, and NTR~Netsuzou Trap were all broadcast by AT-X (shinya anime) and Tokyo MX (shinya anime), but only Hitorijime was broadcast by BS日テレ (wider demographic), while Super Lovers 2 and NTR were broadcast by BS11 (shinya anime). So perhaps BS日テレ is stricter? Makes sense to me. 
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ryandelmontessss · 5 years ago
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2 for women's hockey bronze medal
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igjojpkpdtll-blog · 5 years ago
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hxuijzgophf-blog · 5 years ago
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Reference
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hbdggqeeker-blog · 5 years ago
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Instagram has emerged as one of the most well-liked photos sharing social media websites taking into consideration some incredible features. Instagram allows you to follow any person and others can follow you as well. In fact, you can as well as view the account of any registered supporter can you see who views your instagram videos of IG. But in mind somewhere one always has a will to know that who viewed my Instagram profile. And how to check who viewed my Instagram? Who viewed my Instagram videos? who viewed my Instagram and un-followers? Who viewed ur Instagram? Who recently viewed my Instagram? How to know who viewed my Instagram profile? app to know who viewed me on Instagram? and if it is attainable to know who viewed your Instagram profile? every this question was blowing in my mind.Here is credit ofwho is checking my Instagram account?
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Instagram is one of the most popular social network sites in the world, allowing you to proclaim photos and short videos to ration them when the collection word. Some era ago, the Stories section and the inauguration of albums were introduced into the application. Nowadays it is a leading brand advertising tool for many brands. Initially, it could on your own be used by users of iOS devices, but well ahead the users of Android and Windows were adept to download it too. In 2012 it was purchased by Facebook. Today we will review what are my options if I would later to find out who stalks my Instagram profile in 2018.story-sharing app by can I see who viewed my InstagramWe stimulate in the epoch of internet and social media networks are a big share of it. everyday more and more people gain right of entry to the internet, mobile internet plans, smartphones are getting cheaper and now even the poorest can afford them. This means that social networks are continually expanding and getting hold of can you see who views your instagram videos further userbase and many of these addict flock to Instagram. Many of them arent familiar of all the features offered by this network, many of them want to know whether it is doable to view private Instagram profiles without next them, and even more question themselves unidentified if its reachable to acquire a list of every user who has viewed their Instagram profile. Today, we bring you the respond to the latter and its not a easy one. Officially no, you cant, but un-officially there are a few risky, and a few secure methods to see who viewed your Instagram who viewed my Instagram. Who is stalking my Instagram. Social media have led to a lawlessness in building social bonds and establishing relationships like extra people. more than time, it turned out that their use has an impact upon our whole life. This is particularly felt today by minor people, for whom social media is clearly an integral allocation of their lives.Table of contents show. So, Yes, It Is realistic to look who views your Instagram. But You Should log on Carefully.We have reviewed various vary applications who are always advertised as the on your own real solution that allows users to see who has visited their Instagram profile. But this is not the deserted issue that they have in common the common denominator of these apps would be the fact that in most cases they straightforwardly dont feat as advertised. You cannot in reality use them to in fact look who has viewed your Instagram profile. Our research suggests that every they do is pull a list of all your followers, pick some of them, along like some supplementary can you see who views your instagram random profiles and do something that list to you. As you can look its all fake. We cannot herald these applications for legitimate reasons, but you probably already know which ones Im talking about. And there is hundreds, or thousands of them.So heres the genuine deal. We tested on top of hundreds of apps and lonesome five of them worked. below you can find the best one according to our tests and the one I personally use to check who is stalking my Instagram:
Firstly,New One Briefing
Let me tell you something important. This is not an app for iOS, Android or Windows, but it works upon every of these devices anyway. Thats because it is a forward looking multiplatform web application that is launched from your internet browser. This means that you dont infatuation to download it. That is a huge advantage and one of the main reasons we chose it as the winner. Thanks to this, we dont have to risk the safety of our device by downloading some shady software that could contain some virus, or even slope it into a crypto-currency miner, slowing it all along significantly as a result.You cannot essentially use them to in point of fact look who has viewed your Instagram profile. Our research suggests that all they complete is tug a list of all your followers, select some of them, along in the manner of some supplementary random profiles and function that list to you. As you can see its every fake. We cannot publicize these applications for valid reasons, but you probably already know which ones Im talking about. You might be thinking thatcan you look who views your Instagram video?? And there are hundreds, or thousands of them. the common denominator of these apps would be the fact that in most cases they conveniently dont accomplishment as advertised. higher than time, it turned out that their use has an impact on our collect life. This is particularly felt today by youthful people, for whom social media is understandably an integral portion of their lives.Psychologists have long been wondering whether (and if so, how) the use of social media affects our mental health. From times to grow old there are studies that describe, among additional things, how the use of further technologies can be united gone mood disorders, whether it has a destructive effect on how to see who viewed your instagram video associations like peers, or it affects the atmosphere of vivaciousness and the level of happiness. One of the biggest threats we direction upon social media platforms are stalkers which are sometimes no question hard to identify and most platforms dont support us gone this issue in the past we cannot check who is viewing our profile, photos or videos.
Review
This is particularly felt today by young people, for whom social media is helpfully an integral ration of their lives.Psychologists have long been wondering whether. You cannot really use them to in reality see who has viewed your Instagram profilewho viewed my Instagram. Our research suggests that every they reach is pull a list of every your followers, select some of them, along in the manner of some additional can you see who views your instagram videos random profiles and do something that list to you. As you can see its all fake. We cannot publicize these applications for legal reasons, but you probably already know which ones Im talking just about
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vclffcremhut-blog · 5 years ago
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Best Method To Can You See Who Views Your Instagram Story Fastly
Instagram users are always unquestionably keen to know roughly the username of those users who have stalked their profiles. Now Gihosoft has bring a proper guide for the users in which we will say you practically 5 ways which you can follow in order to track the details of the Instagram users who have recently stalked your Instagram profile. Instagram users are always agreed how to see who viewed your instagram avid to know practically the username of the Stalkers who have stalked their profiles without letting them know. The internet is flooded past various types of usual or peculiar methods that pretends to assist the users in this task. But most of them are found or identified as undertaking methods because these methods are just developed to threaten the users privacy.
How To See Who Views Your Instagram
There is nothing incorrect to get to know very nearly the proclaim of the stalkers who are staking your profile without letting you know. We too didnt preserve such types of happenings of Stalkers and strongly condemned them. But to acquire all the details of these stalkers, there is an urgent obsession to get a software or a tool or an app which will back you out in this task. Using this Instagram tracker will along with allow you to know not quite the users who have recently blocked your profile, unfollowed or follow your Instagram account etc. Thats why this is an awesome unorthodox for every Instagram addict because you will get every the detailed information at one place frustration free. The reachable interface of this app is along with a unconditionally notable feature of this Instagram tracker tool. This app is open on Google enactment how to see who viewed your instagram growth and any addict can download this app in his/her phone exclusively for free. After you install this app, just login past your Instagram account credentials and acquire every the required instruction hassle free. There is no doubt that IGapers is yet option totally awesome Instagram profile viewer tracker tool which provides an excellent comprehensible interface to its users. As subsequently the fan sharpness for Instagram tool, users are required to install this app in their phones followed by connecting their Instagram account upon this app to get their task done. This tracker tool will automatically get amalgamated on the Instagram servers and will gift a list of every the stalkers or visitors who are stalking your Instagram profile. This Instagram tracker tool is truly a completely fine tool as this tool doesnt keep the Instagram password of the users who are using this tool in their phones. Just download this software tool from its credited website in your phone and border your Instagram account gone this tool to acquire all the detailed counsel irritation free. This tool is trusted and used by Millions of users and now its your face to use this tool for your personal use. And due all these magnificent features, we are motivated to have enough money this tool the second spot of this list. The publicize of this Instagram Tracker tool is giving you the relish for which it is developed for the users. This Instagram tracker tool will let you uncover the post of all the stalkers who are in secret stalking occurring your profile without letting you know roughly that. You can easily monitor all the endeavors of the stalkers held on your account to control the things. all you infatuation to accomplish is to download the APK file of this app to install this app upon your phone. After you are ended like the installation process, just log in past your Instagram account credentials to start monitoring your Instagram account utterly can you see who views your instagram videos deliberately This tool is afterward a unconditionally compliant tool to acquire the detailed instruction practically several extra things next who have recently unfollowed you upon Instagram, who have followed you, who have blocked your profile and much more features as well. So, without any doubt, we can tell that this Instagram tracker tool is nevertheless other astounding unconventional for the users who have to be placed at the 3rd spot of this list.
My View Introduction
Another categorically well-liked other in the course of the users as an Instagram tracker tool which will permit you track each and every single detail of the stalker no question easily. while this app is not having the best user-interface, but the overall features are lovely much similar to the above two mentioned tools. And the best allowance of this app is that users are getting every these excellent features exclusively for free. This app will allow you the perfect data for example, date and correct grow old etc. If you install this tool upon your phone, subsequently you can easily monitor every the happenings of the stalkers as this app will provide you the reports on daily basis. You can as a consequence view the real-time stalkers who are stalking your profiles at a particular moment of time. This app is user-friendly both for iOS and Android users. So, just install this app in your phone and get your task the end is just few clicks. The developers of this app have promised that they will soon ensue some more looking for excitement stuff to this app which will let the users to acquire some more features without spending a single penny upon it. Today Instagram is the most well-liked image and video sharing social media website. Its unbelievable features are the main reason for popularity. Now Instagram is a ration of Facebook, therefore people are loving it. If you are using Instagram later can see the profile of any member. But, many of us eager eager to know who viewed my Instagram profile and Instagram stalkers. upon Instagram, today in this area every celebrities are associated past fans and sharing their social life. Instagram is furthermore helping business, marketers, webmasters, and bloggers to become a brand. Research brought some fine ways to check who stalks my Instagram profile online. This article will let you know how to look who viewed your Instagram. I am not motto to spend child maintenance to locate out who views your Instagram version and extra sharings. Its free, free, free Reasons to know not quite your who viewed my instagram video cronies and who viewed my Instagram. The main question is why do you want to check who views and stalks your Instagram account. People are crazy not quite rank and popularity. Even college and educational students want to be well-liked and check their popularity. If you can check who every are stalking you on Instagram, it makes attainable to deed your popularity. Stalkers and cronies are generally good but you should not be lenient more or less your safety and security. Sometimes stalkers may be dangerous too. Using fan acuteness for Instagram App you can see who views your Instagram profile. It is doable to track those stalkers who follow, unfollow or block you on Instagram. It can send you a notification for all three activities. After investigation I found this app gives a enlarged idea of who views my Instagram profile. It has a simple and friendly interface. You can easily know the stalkers upon your Instagram profile.
Reference
So, these were some Best 2 ways in which you can track or identify the goings-on of stalkers upon your Instagram profile. We are once again attractive to our users that make smile dont ever install any type of app which is not official because if you use those apps, subsequently you will stop going on in losing your Instagram account credentials or you can say you will stop stirring in losing all your privacy. Why realize you desire to know virtually your fans and who considered my instagram? Why can you see who views your instagram complete you desire to test who views and stalks your instagram pages and even follows you? Properly, it truly offers you recognition rank of recognition. As an example, if you are a academic circles or a capability pupil, reputation is every that subjects to you the most, right? If you get to peer who every are how to see who viewed your instagram stalking you on instagram, you may give a positive response your recognition. It is good to have fans, but you compulsion to keep auspices and precautionary proceedings that allows you to save away from any undesirable and undesired situations. Stalkers can be risky too.
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viralhottopics · 8 years ago
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More middle-aged men taking steroids to look younger
Experts warn about growing number of men in their 40s and 50s taking drugs to fight signs of ageing and boost sex drive
Growing numbers of middle-aged men are turning to anabolic steroids to make themselves look and feel more youthful and boost their sexual performance, experts say.
People who work with users have raised concern about a new trend among men in their 40s and 50s, and some even in their 60s and 70s, who are taking the drug to boost energy levels and fight some of the effects of ageing, such as weight gain and a lower libido. Steroids can cause a range of health problems such as heart disease and blood clots.
We have come across a lot of older men using. Its almost like hormone replacement therapy [used to relieve symptoms of the menopause] for females. Steroids can help you lose body fat as well, said Julien Baker, an applied physiology professor at the University of the West of Scotland.
It is a major problem, but the evidence isnt there about what the long-term impact is yet. We are not sure what these drugs are doing to you at that age, but everyone perceives it as safe.
As men get older their testosterone levels drop, which can sometimes lead to a reduced sex drive, weight gain and muscle reduction. Baker says men get information from magazines and online about the drug, which mimics the effects of testosterone and boosts muscle growth, though some are also prescribed it.
Joseph Kean, visiting research fellow at Liverpool John Moores University, said while over-50s still accounted for only a small proportion of the image- and performance-enhancing drugs population, their numbers have doubled over the past five years. He estimated there were between 15,000 and 30,000 over-40s using in the UK.
Guys are saying they just want to stand a bit taller and feel they can stand alongside the younger generation who are much more aware of how they look, Kean said. He explained that older men typically used smaller amounts of the drug less frequently than their younger counterparts.
A typical steroid cycle can be about three months, starting with less and building up before tapering off. At its peak you could be taking steroids daily and injecting around four times a week, said Kean. Older guys tend to take less, but for much longer one injection every seven to 10 days and sometimes almost consistently.
The Juice Clinic in Sheffield, a service for people using steroids and image-enhancing drugs, has noted an increase in older men asking for help.
Steroid use for older men is often about the youthful effects, and about body image and energy levels, said Sid Wiffen, the clinics team leader. I hear talk of men feeling more pressure now to look good, so they are more likely to go to the gym and dress well.
It can be dangerous and it does worry me. Lots of people we see are keen to make an informed decision about their steroid use, but some get information elsewhere and its not always good.
Once users begin to decrease or discontinue use of steroids, withdrawal symptoms such as low mood and anxiety can occur.
Commentators say the growing popularity of such drugs could be the result of societal changes, with people living longer and expecting more from life.
With an ageing population there are now more key points in peoples lives when they are concerned about appearance, said Jim McVeigh, an expert on steroid use at Liverpool John Moores University.
For men who get to a certain age where they are unable to maintain a particular physique naturally, you can see how they would be tempted to try other means to get a body they maybe found easier to achieve 15-20 years ago. Wanting to look good is no longer just the domain of the young.
But a former user, who asked to remain anonymous, disagreed that there was any more pressure on midlife men now than before. He started taking the drug at 41 and said: Steroids will be attractive to any middle-aged man who can see their youth disappearing and want to fight the inherent vulnerabilities of middle age.
The findings coincide with reports of increasing anabolic steroid use, with a particular focus on younger men. Last year people who worked with steroid users estimated that the real numbers of those taking the drug annually was far higher than the 60,000 people quoted in the Crime Survey for England and Wales.
The drugs, officially known as anabolic-androgenic steroids, were first developed for medical use. While they remain a class C prohibited drug, experts say people are finding it easy to get the drugs online or in gyms. They come in tablet form, although they are more commonly injected into muscles.
Baker said while there could be some benefits for older men under a proper prescription regime, there were risks attached to self-medication and buying the products online. Introducing something your body stopped producing naturally may lead to repercussions or have health implications, he said. Theres not enough research out there to look at that. Someone taking steroids at 50 its not clear what might happen to them in the future.
Getting older gets put on hold for a while
I dont want to look like younger guys; Im taking the drugs for me. Photograph: Christopher Thomond for the Guardian
The Guardian spoke to a 53-year-old steroid user, who asked to remain anonymous, about why he chose to take the drug.
I am a normal 53-year old guy and I am a non-smoker who eats well and looks after himself. I go to the gym three or four times a week. I drink some weekends and lead an active social life. I have also been taking steroids for the last three years.
I was apprehensive when I started. I am not a bodybuilder and have never wanted to be one. I got the drug at my gym. I wanted to look healthy and have a nice physique, not rippling muscles but just a bit more definition. I never took steroids when I was younger. Now I have a small dosage once a week and its made me feel fantastic. My testosterone levels and other blood levels are normal. I know this because I have my blood checked regularly at a local clinic for users.
Not only have I got the extra muscle mass I wanted, but the drug has also made me feel good about myself and made me sleep better. It has given me an appetite for life and a better sex drive. No one knows Im on steroids except my partner, who is fine with it.
I am not talking about taking massive amounts. I dont have a massive 60-inch chest. I am a normal guy who looks well for his age. I have a slim waist, not a big belly, and train a little bit.
I dont want to look like younger guys. I am taking the drugs for me, to look good and feel happy. Steroids make you feel more youthful, and in a corny kind of way it is like drinking a feelgood elixir. All the characteristics of getting older, such as feeling tired etc, get put on hold for a while.
When you come off it, in my experience, your body goes back to its normal cycle again eventually. Then, I am tired and all the normal characteristics associated with someone over 50 come back.
Anything in excess is bad for you, but if taken in moderation then its not a problem. Its like having alcohol, its all down to drinking and doing things in moderation. Steroids should fall into that bracket.
I suppose I do worry about the long-term impact of steroids on my body. But I also worry about additives in foods and the effect of using mobile phones on my brain. The list is endless. Irresponsible use and abuse is always the main problem.
Read more: http://bit.ly/2nVnGcu
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cheapesthealthinsurance · 8 years ago
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TWIG Note – 2/2 Cotton update – Daniels Trading
Good afternoon friends!
Corn (H17) 366'6 -1'4
from soybeans (H17) 1035'4 -1'2
Chi Wheat (H17) 434'2 +'4
KC Wheat (H17) 443'4 +3'0
Cotton (H17) 76.85 +.41
Im checking back in this PM to talk about a cotton! The market has gone parabolic of late, with all the contracts out to Dec 17 testing the summer highs. There are a lot of angles on this story, so I invited one of the interns we have working in our Lubbock office named Payne (yes!) Sharpley to give me his take. Payne is a Sr. in Ag Econ at Texas Tech. Payne and I share more than a name, we share a passion for this stuff. In the expect him to provide insight to the newsletter, I want to hear from guys who dont sit and stare at the forest that is the markets all day. As we move forward you can expect to hear more from him. As an academic, I asked him to provide a couple of paragraphs of what he notices:
Upon breaking the ice into the first February in the Trump administration and Chinese New Year, the ICE Cotton #2 futures have absolutely overran through resistance levels of 75 this week and it’s a push towards a near 6-month high with Mar '17 futures closing 150 points higher at 76.44 on Wednesday. Front months following, May'17 and Jul'17 closed at 77.05(+1.45) and 77.57(+1.41), respectively, with Dec'17, closing only 56 points higher at 72.39. Last week’s Commitment of Traders report showed open interest increased by 32,534 with producers/merchants/processors increasing net shorts and longs by 10,791 and 2,538 contracts, respectively. This is likely due to hedgers locking in last week’s favorable prices in the mid 70 cents region, a narrowing basis, an alarmingly wide 5 cents spread between May'17 & Nov'17 futures, and increased estimates of U.S. cotton production (mainly in TX). Addition ally, the traders and funds are beginning to roll their positions from March to May with anticipations of increasing volatility due to various fundamental reasons and world supply concerns for 2017.
Fundamentals
Projections from the USDA have claimed that demand for cotton is going to outweigh supply by 1.24 MMT. China's demand for 2017 is reportedly 5x higher than it was last year. Higher demand for US cotton has also been a key factor driving prices as we come into the second month of the new year with Pakistan, Turkey, and China being our top importers. Our cotton exports have also surpassed the 5-year average by 6%, and projections that we will be shipping the most cotton since 2013 are circumventing and beginning to prove true. So, if you remember what cotton prices were 4-5 years ago then I expect we will soon again ask walking in 'High Cotton'. Furthermore, India, the biggest producer of cotton in the world, is currently in an interesting position in regards to their agriculture production and trade considering the growing concerns about the global cotton supply. Stating that, I have anticipated on rising prices ever sin ce the Indian government shunned Monsanto last year whom which commandeered 90% of the country’s agricultural biotechnology (pesticides, GE seeds, GM plants). Believe it or not, but India’s Economic Times claimed that government officials and economists are preparing to undergo a reformation policy for their commodity markets because they "require a better infrastructure in order to compete with the 'normal' global cotton trade" due to poor quality. Expectedly, the country has planted 10% less cotton than the 2015-16 year due to white flies which come about from growing all organic wherein the plants do not get sprayed or planted with the necessary pesticides and/or seeds and are more susceptible to damage.
Thank you very much, Payne. Those are well thought out points, that touch on a lot of what I fear, specifically India and China. I have been hearing a lot of talk about currency problems in each country, combined with weak production last year and in the case of India, maybe smaller production next year. This all matters. My argument would be that it is being priced in. I think the action in the July-Dec futures spread points toward capitulation.
The market traded into its price gap today on Dec 17 futures, which filled some orders we had sitting out there near 73.60. Time will tell whether or not this was a good play, but I think its the necessary one. In the point back to corn from last year, when the market gave us this kind of price action only to have the funds take it away within weeks. While I think this rally is more justified than corn from a year ago, I think a correction is much over due. I lean on the long fund position as the reason to hedge. Buy puts or sell futures/spreads. How aggressive you want to be is up to you but I would look to trade this more aggressively from the short side at these levels. If Dec 17 gets through 75 then we maybe have a new ball game, but I think between now and the end of the second quarter, we will see lower prices – especially in Dec 17.
If you bear spread today, you would be profitable so far. I would look at July the plaster if you want to sell but want to take a conservative approach. Be ready to be wrong, do not get emotional and stick to your plan.
Risk Disclosure
This material is conveyed as a solicitations for entering into a derivatives transaction.
This material has been prepared by a Daniels Trading broker who provides research market commentary and trade recommendations as part of his or her solicitations for accounts and solicitations for trades; however, Daniels Trading does not maintain a research department as defined in CFTC Rule 1.71. Daniels Trading, its principals, brokers and employees may trade in derivatives for their own accounts or for the accounts of others. Due to various factors (such as risk tolerance, margin requirements, trading objectives, short term vs. long term strategies, technical vs. fundamental market analysis, and other factors) such trading may result in the initiation or liquidation of positions that are different from or contrary to the opinions and recommendations contained therein.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future performance. The risk of loss in trading futures contracts or commodity options can be substantial, and therefore investors should understand the risks involved in taking leveraged positions and must assume responsibility for the risks associated with such investments and for their results.
You should carefully consider whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances and financial resources. You should read the “risk disclosure” webpage accessed at http://ift.tt/1ahJTUG at the bottom of the homepage. Daniels Trading is not affiliated with nor does it endorse any trading system, newsletter or other similar service. Daniels Trading does note guarantee or verify any performance claims made by such systems or service.
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viralhottopics · 8 years ago
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Dont let anti-vegan jokes and Petas antics put you off try Veganuary | Arwa Mahdawi
There are sound health, ethical and environmental reasons to go vegan. So why do those who have adopted the diet still get branded as irritants?
Why are vegans so irritating? Veganism is a laudable lifestyle choice, but there is something about it that seems to get on peoples nerves. Just ask the town of Aargau, in Switzerland, which recently denied citizenship to a foreign-born vegan resident because she was being too annoying. In Switzerland, local residents get a say in applications for naturalisation and the townsfolk decided the womans very vocal veganism was incompatible with Swiss values such as cowbells pig racing, eating meat, circus animals, mouse-catching [and] giving out milk at school. Dont let anyone tell you the Swiss dont know how to have a good time.
Its not just Switzerland; vegans seem to be a global irritant. Take the new 5 note furore. When the polymer note was introduced last year, vegans were not happy that it contained small amounts of tallow and a petition was sent to the Bank of England asking for the animal fat to be removed. The Australian inventor of the polymer notes responded by saying: Its stupid. Its absolutely stupid. There was a general sense that the vegans were at it again getting outraged and causing trouble.
Veganism has a lengthy history. Followers of the ancient Indian religion of Jainism have been big fans for a long time. But trends dont really become a legitimate thing until white people claim them, so veganism-the-brand wasnt officially born until 1944. This was kind of an eventful year, what with Paris being liberated from the Nazis and the Battle of the Bulge. Amid the turmoil of the second world war, Donald Watson, an English woodworker, called a meeting with some fellow non-dairy vegetarians to form plans for eventual dietary world domination. It was decided that non-dairy vegetarian wasnt a terribly catchy name if they wanted their lifestyle to spread and that some new nomenclature was needed. They mulled over various options, including dairyban, vitan and benevore, until finally someone said something along the lines of Veganism, my dear Watson, and they all agreed on that.
Today, around half a million people in Britain consider themselves vegan. But they also get a lot of flak for it. Veganism has become the butt of many a joke (How do you know someone is a vegan? Theyll tell you) and is considered a socially acceptable target for mockery.
A major reason people are often hostile to vegans is because of a perceived holier-than-thou factor. A 2011 research paper in the journal of Social Psychological and Personality Science sums it up in the title: Do Gooder Derogation: Disparaging Morally Motivated Minorities to Defuse Anticipated Reproach. The study found that the mainstream feels judged by moral minorities and this causes backlash. Do gooder derogation also factors into antagonism towards teetotallers, cyclists and millennials who can fit a years worth of their rubbish into a jar.
Vegans also have a Peta problem. The animal rights group has been one of the loudest proponents of veganism over the years and it has done the movement no favours. Peta has a long history of appalling advertising, which for some serves to confirm the idea that animal activists care more about animals than humans. It has compared cows to rape victims and factory farming to the Holocaust. It is also fond of depicting women as pieces of meat and misogyny runs rife through its marketing. It appears incapable of creating an advert that doesnt involve a naked woman; its latest campaign features Alicia Silverstone baring her buttocks in a meadow while coquettishly clutching a lambs face. The headline reads Id rather go naked than wear wool.
Alicia Silverstone bears all for Petas latest ad. Photograph: Peta
Personally, I would rather swallow knitting needles than eat vegan cheese but, to be clear, Im not here to berate veganism. I am never going to give up pizza with proper cheese but I am a vegetarian and I think that cutting down on our consumption of animal products is one of the easiest ways to support the wellbeing of the planet. Livestock accounts for more than 14% of global greenhouse gas emissions, for example; widespread adoption of a vegan diet could cut this considerably.
There are numerous compelling health, ethical and environmental reasons for moving towards a vegan diet and more people are paying attention. The stigmas around vegan diets are also slowly being dismantled and it may not be long before the days of vegan-mockery are over. The idea that veganism is unmasculine, for example, has largely been debunked. A 2015 study in the journal Appetite found participants did not associate vegetarianism or veganism with lower levels of masculinity. And John Joseph, an Ironman athlete and punk singer, recently wrote Meat is for Pussies, a book that challenges the idea that eating bacon somehow makes you a bastion of masculinity.
More people are also trialling veganism through concepts such as Mark Bittmans VB6, where you eat only vegan foods before 6pm. There is also Veganuary, which encourages people to go vegan for January. Launched in 2014, a record 50,000 people signed up Veganuary this year. No cheese pairs really well with no wine, so if youre doing dry January, you may want to consider combining the two. Nothing like a Dryveguary to cheer you up.
If you are doing Veganuary, it has also become a lot easier to find something to eat. Pret a Manger, for example, introduced new vegan options earlier this month. Vegans may long have been mocked for taking the high road, but they have finally arrived on the high street.
Read more: http://ift.tt/2jTfwQG
from Dont let anti-vegan jokes and Petas antics put you off try Veganuary | Arwa Mahdawi
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