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oneatlatime · 1 year ago

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Let's look back at my season 2 predictions!

When I got to the halfway point of season 2, I made a post detailing my predictions for where the rest of the season was going. They were delightfully subjective and conformed more to my hopes than to any legitimate foreshadowing.

I made 9 predictions (one per main character), and then I predicted three ways that the finale could go. I went into some detail in some of my predictions, so I'd recommend checking out the linked post. Keep in mind that I made these predictions before the Ba Sing Se arc started, and it shows.

For Azula, I predicted that she would be the finale's big bad, that she would be defeated, and that the Fire Lord would be introduced as next season's big bad. I'm giving myself one third of a point for this one. Azula was indeed the big bad.

For Toph, I predicted that she would get a subplot that revolved around either something she excelled at being challenged by an external force like those wrestling idiots, or something that she needed to work on that tied into her noble background. Once again giving myself a third of a point, because those wrestling idiots were involved and she did meet an obstacle that she beat by inventing metalbending. I correctly predicted the pieces involved but I got them in completely the wrong configuration.

For Appa, I predicted that he would come back after having many adventures and running into other sky bison. (What's the plural of sky bison? Devastated to say that I've never had to use it) I was right that Appa came back; I was wrong that he ran into remnants of sky bison(s?), but he did end up running into remnants of the Air Nomads, and dreaming about other sky bison(s?), so I'm giving myself three quarters of a point.

For Zuko, I predicted that he would be coaxed/dragged into being decent via a swordbending girlfriend, and that he would be redeemed by the end of Season 2. Hilariously, my prediction smashed Jin and Jet together, which breaks my brain a little. Also, he did the polar opposite of being redeemed by the end of the season. I'm going to give myself a quarter point, for getting the sword bit and the girl bit.

I predicted that Sokka would split from the rest of the Gaang and go on a multi-episode Appa hunting arc that focused heavily on his ties to his family. I was 100% wrong with this one. No point for me. Which is too bad, because I really liked the idea I came up with.

I predicted that Momo would do aerial reconnaissance for the Appa hunt with Sokka. I'm giving myself a full point for this one, because what was he doing in the Tale of Momo? Flying around looking for Appa. Admittedly Sokka wasn't there, but whatever, I need this point.

For Katara, I predicted some sort of moral crisis. Something to add some nuance to her world view. A good yet unapologetically patriotic firebender, or a downright evil waterbender. I was completely wrong on this one too, unless you count being talked into listening to Jet. No points for me.

I predicted that Aang would have to do some type of Avataring that involved delegating tasks to his friends, or putting his status as avatar first, probably due to unrest in the spirit world. This was by far my most broad prediction ("hey maybe the avatar will have to avatar it up" is a very safe statement), so no points for that. I was wrong about spirit world involvement, although I was right that his Avatar duties would conflict with his personal convictions. I'll give myself one quarter point.

For Iroh, I predicted that he would call on old resources to get himself and Zuko into a better situation. I got this one almost completely right, except two bits: I thought he would use blackmail or intimidation, when he actually used something more like the power of friendship, and I also thought that particular plot point would last longer than a single B-plot in a single episode. But what the hell, I'm giving myself the point.

All three of my predictions for how the finale was going to go were incorrect. There was no strike against the Fire Nation, there was no immediate dismissal of the eclipse as a possible time of attack, and there was no relegation of the eclipse to a single episode plot point. No point for me.

So, out of a grand total of 12 predictions, I scored:

3.91!

Ouch.

I'm going to be generous and round it up to 4, which is a third correct. Still ouch. I am less reliable than a coin toss.

But! I actually had a lot of fun both coming up with predictions and reviewing them. So I'm still counting this exercise as a win.

#atla #avatar: the last airbender #avatar the last airbender #if any of you play cards with me #bet against me

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namarikonda · 6 months ago

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Jesus showing off his top surgery scars to the boys (John. 20:27)

#i'm a professional theologian on master's level so you can bet that any intolerance against this interpretation is null and useless :P #the border is the same passage in koine greek btw #jesus christ #trans jesus #artists on tumblr #digital art #doubting thomas #incredulity of thomas #saint thomas #holy wounds #lance of longinus #religious art #religious imagery #my art #idk what to tag this as please just behave or so help me god #trans #theology

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khruschevshoe · 10 months ago

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You know, it's rather interesting to me that Taylor Swift's parasocial relationship with her fans is honestly more akin to a YouTuber than a writer's. When I scroll through her tag on tumblr/Twitter, it's far more regarding the connection to her personal life/relationship developments than the actual metaphors/fictional story she might be telling. Everything comes back to how her songs reflect back on her relationships with Joe/Matty/Travis/Jake/insert ex-boyfriend here. And what fascinates me about it is that even though she complains about it, she leans into that very perception because it strengthens the parasocial bond.

The marketing for TTPD so clearly being about Joe Alwyn and the songs to Matty Healy. The marketing/video for Red TV so CLEARLY being about Jake Gyllenhaal, with so many of the new lines in All Too Well specifically being digs at him (I'll get older but your lovers stay my age, casting an actor that looks like him for the video, specific lines in I Bet You Think About Me). The fact that songs like Getaway Car and Bejeweled and Gorgeous and London Boy and Lavender Haze being picked apart at time of release and long after for signs of relationships crumbling. The way she uses surprise songs in relation to her relationship development with Joe/Matty/Travis. The damn TTPD "stages of grief" playlists where she deliberately undid/changed the meanings of old songs just to keep her audience speculating on her love life.

It's not sexist to point out that her wielding her love life is a marketing tool and that the strongest connection to her audience isn't the strength of her writing/the composition of her music- it's her deliberate crafting of a connection between her music and her personal life, leaving the audience invested in her music as an extension of Taylor the Person/Girlfriend rather than Taylor the Artist.

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scyllas-dogs · 3 months ago

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as you asked, and nothing more

#featuring zeus accidentally catching feelings bc i think thats fun #whats more fun than a god losing what they want because they were playing games #hurr hurr ill make a bet to seduce a little king so i can win a game against my wife. wait why am i sad that he got back home #why am i so fucking upset that he's with his wife and doesnt seem to miss me at all hold on #zeus/odysseus #zeus x odysseus #zeus #odysseus #my art

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spikeyphil · 9 months ago

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ah yes my favorite youtubers, phil and ted, as featured in episode 11 of the supermegashow podcast

#i love when they breach containment and people are just totally clueless #also the idea of them only dating since 2019... ten long awkward years of living with your crush #and to their last point from what theyve told us against our will? yeah. i bet they do. and i wish we knew less about it #dan and phil #dan howell #phil lester #dnp #dip and pip #phan #danisnotonfire #amazingphil #supermega #ryan magee #matt watson #supermegashow #sorry for the god awful quality tumblr made me compress the shit out of it!#again phannie clip uploaders my hats off to you

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musubiki · 11 months ago

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danmarch 🐉💎

#honkai star rail #dan heng #march 7th #danmarch #fanart #hsr #what else do i tag. i have no idea #anyway. im breaking my VERY LONG oc art streak to post my one(1) contribution to star rail #i care them very much #ive been playing this game so religiously and they have not left my team #tragic past(emo) vs tragic past(girly pop)#theres NO WAY with marchs very teenage girl mind that she does not have a crush on the hot cool mysterious yet caring dragon guy #who stays in the room right next to her #and the fact that he teases her so much........#the whole ass belabog quest he throws in little harmless march roasts every so often #he fucking CARE her #i bets shes like a filipino mom with that camera. every oppertunity (picture!!!!)#and dan heng gets dragged into it #he is honing his photography skills against his will #any nice place? shes like (lemme pose can you get a photo of me?)#dan heng just sighs #they bond over silently judging stelle rummaging through the garbage #cast each other that best friend glance as half her body is sticking out of a trash bin #i like to think you see them hanging out on the train together #with dan heng reading some obscure 8th century book on civilization pattern and development #and march is humming and putting stickers and aesthetic shit in her scrapbook #taping a piece of antimatter legion loot in the middle of a page #and with bubbly handwriting (we beat some bad guys today!!! <333 so fun!!)

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erinwantstowrite · 20 days ago

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Erin! Do you have rednote? Everyone has been moving there from tiktok and I was wondering if you plan to as well?

tbh i really haven't posted anything on tiktok in a few months and i want to give it a while before i try to find another platform. i'm cool chilling here with all of you, and maybe making a youtube instead of another tiktok version

#not against red note i think it's funny everyone was like “fucking bet”#and the people who were already on there seem very sweet #but i'm not in a hurry and will let y'all know what my next move is in a little bit #if i do make a youtube i have a couple ideas about things i want to post #such as animatic wips or drawing while ranting about smth #or video essays/commentary #maybe clips of me and my friends being silly #and ofc talking about writing!#i wanna make some educational videos too

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viivenn · 10 months ago

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the lady of Nevermore and her knight.

(i blame @franouo for this. you’ve influenced me😔✨🧚‍♀️)

i just think they’re so sweet and… stuff 😁✨🧚‍♀️🦋🪄❤️✨✨✨✨✨

i draw brienne like this to give a little reference to the books , if you’re curious about her scars and freckles. i also don’t think larissa would have any scars , and in this universe i think brienne would be juuuuuuuuuuuuuuuust a smidge taller , not by much , but enough.

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melkor-did-nothing-wrong · 24 days ago

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Soooo if we operate under the assumption that they circulated any form of currency... do we think that Utumno/Angband coins had Melkor's face on them, on account of him being the ruler orrrrrr...?

#melkor #morgoth #silmarillion #the silmarillion #melkor posting #The alternative is just as funny. Like if not... Is Utumno some sort of hippy utopia where you don't need money?#(obviously you don't need to tell me that it's more likely that no one had any money on account of most of them being thralls. I know.)#but the mental image of the Balrogs placing bets against each other #and someone keeps winning large stacks of coins with Melkor's very unimpressed face on them... is hilarious to me.#Also and more importantly did Mairon keep any amount of those coins past the war of wrath just so he could look at Melkor's face on em?#I mean that would explain what he did for the first 1000 yrs of the second age when no one heard anything from him.#He was having an “I'm disappointed” look staring contest with a few very tiny pieces of metal with Melkor's face on them lmfao.#shitpost

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s0fter-sin · 27 days ago

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through the virtue of training an ever revolving door of rookies, price recognises pretty much every ailment the human body can come across

he’s seen every illness, every delayed puberty spike and weird rash and he can and will kick your ass to medical for your “i swear it’s just a cold sore”

it’s not even a parental thing, it’s the pure exhaustion of being an adult in charge of a bunch of basically children who’ve never been away from mummy this long before and he’s sick of talking a bunch of cherries through UTIs and the clap

#price completely against his will learning all there is to know about the human body and having to teach a bunch of kids #also against their will #is absolutely hilarious #he ends up with a full seminar and power point ready to go for boot camp sex ed #‘this is chlamydia. this is also chlamydia. this is a yeast infection. this is a pimple. if you have any of these things for the love of go #dont show it to me’#he has a standing bet with the medics on how many people he’ll end up sending there when he gets a new batch #even after being captain for so long he still somehow always manages to undershoot #he has a drawer filled with every morning after pill; regular pill; abortion pill; antibiotic and fungal cream allowed in the uk #and has standing scripts with medical to get more when he runs out #which causes a hilarious misunderstanding with nik when they go to fuck in his offic and nik goes rooting around in his drawers for lube #only to find his mega stash #nik genuinely wonders if he has six differed stds and regularly impregnates people despite being gay since he was twelve #coming out of my cage and ive been doing just fine.txt #we’re a team. ghost team #john price #captain john price #price cod #john price cod #nikprice #cod #cod mw2 #cod modern warfare #cod mwii

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moeblob · 1 month ago

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#detroit become human #hank anderson #connor rk800 #rk800 60 #rk900 #nines telling sixty that if sumo is happy then hank is happy and sixty is like aight bet #and makes sure to break and enter before hank wakes up for optimal puppy priming and doting #connor wants sixty removed from the premises immediately and usually hank will threaten him with an arrest for breaking n entering or smth #but sometimes the two gotta make the sacrifice for sumo (and nines)#do many people think nines and sixty would be friends or is it just me #i think they should both be allowed to have that kinship of people tend to like connor more even if we were meant to be better #and while sixty would hold the head wound grudge against connor n hank i think hes like well NINES never shot me so i like him most #while i think nines would be like well i was going to replace connor and we all saw how that turned out #so i rather like the other failed replacement cause he makes me feel less like a pity project now that we have rights #bc if hes out and about having a good enough time existing than so can i #am i thinking too hard about this dynamic? probably!#ive seen lots of sixty doodles involving hank not liking him but i dont see much for him and nines

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baejax-the-great · 1 month ago

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Veilguard does the important work of reminding us that people's religiousity is generally rooted entirely in rationalism, logic, and goodwill toward everyone in the world and not just specific ingroups.

When the Elvhen pantheon, who in many ways take after the Greek pantheon from our world, are revealed to be flawed individuals, something that the Dalish are already aware of because their myths convey some of those flaws all these years later, logically, the Dalish then abandon their gods instantly and without any sort of emotional response and turn toward the rational goal of killing those gods.

After all, during the Trojan war when Apollo felt slighted and decided to send a plague to wipe out the Achaeans (and their dogs for some reason), didn't the Trojans all look at each other and go, "Actually, that was a kind of fucked up thing for Apollo to do. And scary. There's nothing to stop him from using that ability against us. Maybe we should just go kill Apollo"?

No? They didn't do that? Because that would be absurd and entirely out of keeping with how people understand and express faith throughout all of history?

Weird. Well, I'm sure there's an example out there somewhere that jives with Veilguard's quality writing.

#veilguard critical #datv critical #datv spoilers #this might be my dumbest post on this to date idk just #imagine going up to a christian and saying 'actually the devil had good reason to rebel against god'#in fact many people HAVE made that argument #and weirdly christianity still exists #just... the gods ar ereal and they are huge assholes!!!#yeah that religion existed and we have a LOT of info about the people who believed in it #the book of job is just god torturing a dude for a bet (isn't gambling immoral) and somehow I was taught I'm supposed to worship him harder #for it or something idk that story and its lessons never really made sense to me #just like yeah sometimes god is a dick even if you do nothing wrong you still have to act right anyway #like that's a major story in a major religion!!!!#anyway its fine it's whatever this post sucks but I need to get up but porthos is snuggling me so I can't so I'm trapped #and thus making bad posts #veilguard

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leslutdepointedulac · 1 year ago

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Louis complaining about having to squeeze into a coffin like sardines with Lestat (who he's totally not gay for) and lie face down on top of him with their faces smushed up against each other, like oh no! That's so sad, I'm heartbroken for you. What hardships you must endure in life. That's sucks, that sucks real bad. Are you okay? Was that tough? However did you cope? That must have been soooo hard, I'm so sorry that happened to you 😞😥

#don't lie to me louis #you fucking loved that shit #damn imagine having to sleep squished up against a hot af guy in a confined space 😒#i bet you just hated that #🙄#louis de pointe du lac #lestat de lioncourt #loustat #interview with the vampire #iwtv #vampire chronicles #tvc #my vampire chronicles

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rogloptimist · 7 months ago

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LAKE MISSOULA x JONAS VINGEGAARD

credits under cut!

lake missoula - richy mitch and the coal miners // jonas vingegaard - team presentation, tour de france 2024 // jonas vingegaard, tadej pogacar, and remco evenepoel - podium ceremony, tour de france 2024 (belga images) // tadej pogacar and jonas vingegaard - tour de france 2024 // wayward son - rainbow rowell // jonas vingegaard - stage 21, tour de france 2024 // it's down to legs - caley fretz // jonas vingegaard - stage 20, tour de france 2024 // jonas vingegaard - tour de france 2024 // jonas vingegaard - stage 11, tour de france 2024 // a poem on hope - wendell berry // jonas vingegaard and remco evenepoel - stage 19, tour de france 2024 // quora user shulamit widawsky // jonas vingegaard - stage 21, tour de france 2024 (getty images) // jonas vingegaard - stage 21, tour de france 2024 post-race interview (flobikes) // 'now the fight is over': jonas vingegaard concedes tour de france battle for yellow, but still aims for second - adam becket // jonas vingegaard - stage 19, tour de france 2024 post-race interview (flobikes) // video: jonas vingegaard and matteo jorgenson consoled after heart-breaking end to stage 19 of 2024 tour de france for team visma | lease a bike - kieran wood // jonas vingegaard - tour de france 2024 // jonas vingegaard - tour de france 2024 // 'probably the hardest moment of my career'-- jonas vingegaard on his crash and fight to be ready for the tour de france - stephen farrand // jonas vingegaard's tour de france was a venn diagram - iain treloar // rise up and salute the sun: the writings of suzy kassem - suzy kassem // jonas vingegaard - tour de france 2023 // jonas vingegaard - stage 21, tour de france 2024 // jonas vingegaard - stage 11, tour de france 2024 // vingegaard exhausted after tour de france: may cut season short - sjoerd valkering // jonas vingegaard and tadej pogacar - stage 20, tour de france 2024 (belga images) // the thing is - ellen bass // "if you had told me four months ago that i would be second, i wouldn't have believed you" - jonas vingegaard disappointed but proud of his tour de france - ondrej zhasil // jonas vingegaard and tadej pogacar - stage 11, tour de france 2024 // jonas vingegaard - stage 11, tour de france 2024 post-race interview (nbc sports) // alfred lord tennyson // jonas vingegaard and tadej pogacar - stage 11, tour de france 2024 // remco evenepoel and jonas vingegaard - stage 21, tour de france 2024 // jonas vingegaard and tadej pogacar - tour de france 2024 // matteo jorgenson and jonas vingegaard - stage 19, tour de france 2024 // matteo jorgenson and jonas vingegaard - tour de france 2024 // jonas vingegaard and tadej pogacar - podium ceremony, tour de france 2024 // jonas vingegaard and wout van aert - tour de france 2024 (team visma | lease a bike)

#obligatory jonasposting #i don’t know if i got the vibe i wanted to capture?? i feel like watching jonas race this year has ultimately been about hope #like the entire thing at its core feels like a leap of faith- of course visma was obsessively running numbers behind the scenes and #trying to prepare him as well as possible #but in the end he still hadn’t raced since april. he still had less than half the preparation and a massive question mark was following #them to the startline #but he still came. and he still believed. and everyone around him believed beyond everything else-#staff. commentators. fans. everyone was holding their breath because they don’t know where to place their bets #so it all comes down to crossing your fingers every time he gets a mechanical. saying a prayer under your breath when he loses 30 seconds.#and then stage 11 comes along! the tension is suddenly resolved and it’s like seeing the sun again!#but then things start to go downhill- but everyone still keeps hoping. the commentators i was watching were still saying “if” instead of #“when” about his podium in stage 21 because despite everything people still had hope! they don’t want to lay down the hammer #and even when he still finished second #the grief still mingled with the wonderful and beautiful fact that he still did it!#you take a step back and against all odds jonas vingegaard came back from the brink of death and podiumed the fucking tour de france!#and that heartbreak and wonder can coexist. you didn’t hope for nothing. the sky is still blue. the sun still shines. he made it.#sorry long tag rant i’m a yapper at heart y’all #me reading or listening to anything ever rn: omg this is so jonas coded!!!#jonas vingegaard #jv #tadej pogacar #remco evenepoel #wout van aert #wva #matteo jorgenson #tdf #tdf 2024 #tour de france 2024 #tour de france #cycling

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ywpd-translations · 8 months ago

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Ride 774: Kiji, coming!!

Pag 1

1: Welcome, to the Emperor's throne!!

My aim is the double crown!!

Pag 2

4: Ahhh... you're fast, the two of you

I thought I could catch you for sure at 2km left

Pag 3

1: But it took me until “1km left”, yon!!

Pag 4

3: Ah!?

He

4: caught up!? Who....

Pag 5

1: who the hell are you!?

2: The two people in the lead are taking the curve and passing the sign that says that there's 1km left until the sprint line.....

Pag 6

1: No, it's three people!!

Three people passed the “1km left” sign!!

2: There's more people!? Since when!?

Wasn't it two people!?

What happened!? Who's that? That jersey-

At the last curve, suddenly-

3: It's not “who are you”....!!

Dammit!! I know!! This guy!!

Pag 7

1: There's one more person who we need to pay special attention to

2: Gunma Ryousei's third year, Kiji Kyuui

3: Ohh, Kiji? Who's that

Oi, I already told you about this in advance, Manami!! Come on, at the sea

Is that so?

4: What's your data about him?

5: There's basically no record of him in road racing

6: He's an..... “assassin” from the MTB world, huh

7: Is he aiming for the goal?

8: Yeah.... the goal...

That's right....

We should be glad

Pag 8

1: That he's only aiming for the goal

2: Hayaaaa!!

3: Dammit!! The first result.... so you're aiming for the sprint too!?

4: Since they said you were aiming for the goal I thought you were a climber like Manami!!

Pag 9

1: Let's speed up, Orange!! He'll catch up!!

2: I've seen it before!! This guy's jersey

3: That day.... he appeared suddenly on that bike with the thick tires

Pag 10

1: It's the guy who chased Onoda-san and the Hakogaku guy with the bouncy hair!!

2: Before that, Onoda-san said they were friends and that he's “strong”!!

3: He's coming to catch up to

4: mine and San-na's battle

Pag 11

1: He really is strong!!

Let's switch, I'll pull!!

Pag 12

1: Orange!!

3: They're in tune

You have amazing judgment and explosive power!!

4: When I caught up at the last curve

5: Even though they could have also accepted me and made me join them

Without making eye contact or calling out to each other, in an instant at the same time they made the decision

6: that they would “cooperate” to leave me behind!! Yon!!

You're really....

Pag 13

4: What's that

He's lowering his stance and pushing on the handles like he's about to dance....!!

5: Hayaaaa

Pag 14

1: You're really close friends!!

Pag 15

4: He lined up to us in one go!?

Pag 16

1: This guy!! Was it an optical illusion? Just now, I saw something like a cloud of dust behind me

2: Takadajou told us this

Be careful

3: I've been told that the power that a MTB rider can produce in a short time

4: is 1.5 times that of a road racing cyclist

5: This guy can match this top speed!?

8: Ah!?

9: Huh!?

Pag 17

2: In between!?

He came in between!?

Ah!?

3: You bastard, usually when one catches up he joins in the back

Pag 18

1: It's road racing theory!!

4: This guy doesn't know the theory?

5: 800m left until the sprint line!!

6: 1

Pag 19

1: 2

What's this- San-na, did this guy suddenly started counting

2: What's this

The sign for an attack?

3: 3

Pag 20

2: Alright, I recovered

5: Well then, I'll go

Pag 21

1: Ahead, yon

2: So it really was a sign for attacking!!

Who's that guy!!

#yowamushi pedal #yowapeda #yowamushi pedal translations #yowapeda manga #yowamushi pedal manga #yowamushi pedal spoilers #ride 774 #and we're back finallyyyy #i hope watanabe is alright and last week's break wasnt because of health problems :/#anyway!! of i loved this chapter SO MUCH #Kiji Kyuui you cheeky bastard i love you #he arrives he crushes kabu and bashi's race-date he boasts and brags #and then he's like okay bye now you losers keep doing what you were doing imma go ahead #ANNOYING AF I LOVE HIM #hes annoying without even realizing it lmao i bet he doesnt realize it #'you must be so close!!" oh please they were having a moment and you interrupted them!!#btw it's so fckn funny to me that kabu and bashi simply decided to pair up against kiji lmao they got one look at him and were like #'nope we dont like this guy' afsgdasfd #im so sorry for them but also that was funny af #also i love bashi thinking 'this is basic road racing theory!! ah wait this guy probably doesnt know shit about theory ;A;'#kiji has no idea how road racing works and thats why hes so strong #he just does whatever he wants

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flerkenkiddingme · 7 months ago

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have you ever read something that makes you think the author is into the same fanfiction as you

#the sunbearer trials #i read this last night and i'd bet my kidney that aiden thomas is a zukka fan #there is a fire manipulator who is seen as a failure by his parent compared to his prodigy sister #who has burn damage from said parent and is turning against his family and unlearning the toxic beliefs he was taught growing up #bestie that is not subtle #teo also gives me major sokka vibes #fanfiction sokka more so #atla #zukka

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