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sistersorrow · 19 days ago

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I'm just gonna list SCPs from each series you may or may not have read

SCP-008-J - Geoff: A 23 year old man named Geoff who keeps finding his way into Foundation facilities completely by accident and in such a manner that the Foundation isn't actually sure if he's anomalous or not

SCP-7474-EX - Not All Aliens Are Anomalies: An alien argues that they should not be in containment because their technology is explicable within the standard model of physics

The Great Hippo's SCP-001 Proposal (feat. PeppersGhost) - A Good Boy: The Foundation builds a computer which becomes SCP-001 by neutralising every other SCP in containment

SCP-423 - Self-Inserting-Character: A fictional character named Fred who can jump between any narrative works placed near each other and then inserts himself into the story as a minor character

SCP-1006 - Spider Proletariat: A community of communist spiders living in a national park under their own rudimentary Marxist governmet

SCP-2137 - The Forensic Ghost of Tupac Shakur: A copy of Me Against the World (which may or may not be possessed by his ghost) which when played reveals the locations of murderers connected to cold cases, with the additional implication that Tupac was a higher being who incarnated as a human to take a break from warring against the Scarlet King

SCP-2557, A Holding of Envelope Logistics®: An SCP slot the Foundation can no longer use because the concept of SCP-2557 as a set of Special Containment Procedures in the Foundation Database was purchased in 2011 by a company which invests in abstract concepts, with the whole page now being an ad for said company

SCP-2719 - Inside: A "variable abstract-metaphysical construct pointer" which can either designate a concept as inside or make a concept go inside

SCP-3006 - Twice The Number One: A YouTube video titled "we are number one except every time you play it there are twice as many robbie rottens but the room is the same size[nsfw]" whose effects spread to every other video linked in the same thread as it whenever anyone posts a link

SCP-3309 - Where We Go When We Fade, Fade Away: The Foundation fills SCP documents with grammatical errors to trigger the SCP Wiki's quality control measures, leading to the now poorly written anomaly being erased from existence

SCP-4413 - The End of Something Really Excellent: Homestuck fans use metafictional rituals to enter the narrative of Homestuck triggering a pataphysical war over control of the narrative which spreads to Homestuck fanfiction and sees many Homestuck characters escape to baseline reality

SCP-4485 - Such Black Light: The Church of the Broken God collaborates with a post-modernist splinter sect of Are We Cool Yet? to destroy formal logic in the hopes that by doing so there will be no meaningful distinction between Cool and Uncool or Broken and Unbroken, so their god will be resurrected and AWCY? will attain a state of artistic perfection referred to as "Coolness"

SCP-4493 - Keep Pride Out of Corps: A phenomenon caused by Gamers Against Weed which edits Pride Month themed social media posts and ads by organisations to highlight the negative effects those groups have had on LGBTQ individuals

SCP-4703 - Perfectly Legal: A store in Texas called Yeah, We're Totally Going to Sell You This which through anomalous means makes all its dangerous and unethical business practices perfectly legal, thank you very much

SCP-5004 - MEGALOMANIA: The Foundation conspires to make Donald Trump president to contain a demon underneath the Capitol and gets more and more depressed as they realise they won't have to do any manipulation to get him elected

SCP-5167/SCP-5761 - When The Imposter is Sus Part I & II: The Foundation creates an AI tasked to play games of Among Us to track down a minor Greek god who is playing the game, only for the AI to play so much Among Us they ascend and become Amogusrath, God of Suspicion

SCP-5449 - Choo Choo Spooder: An intelligent jumping spider who uses a wooden toy train to deliver things to staff across Site-47

SCP-5721 - What Passes As Worship In The Digital Age: The goddess Discordia poses as the Founder of Hammer and Chisel, creators of the Discord chat application and adds a clause which states all users pledge their souls to her, allowing her to siphon the vital energies of its userbase

SCP-5790 - [DATA KILLED]: A spiritual successor to SCP-579, no details about the anomaly and instead describes the procedures used to acquire information about the anomaly when needed

SCP-6101 - The Most Powerful SCP: The Make-A-Wish asks the Foundation to classify nine year old Ethan Prosper as the most powerful SCP

SCP-6102(031) - For Classification: Small Organism, No Function: An SCP document generated by an autoarchavist AI living in a future where there are millions of documented SCPs

SCP-6135 - We Didn't Start the SCP: A copy of Billy Joel's Stormfront album with an altered version of We Didn't Start the Fire containing references to groups and individuals who don't exist, like Harry Potter, Pokemon, and the Taliban

SCP-6136 - two dudes chilling in an interrogation room, five feet apart cause they're not happy: Completely unrelated to that one vine, it's a physical mnemonic device which gives you memories related to pliers and because of this is a pair of pliers

SCP-6383 - The One True Anomaly: A stop sign classified as anomalous because it is the single least anomalous thing in the universe

SCP-6442 -Mimir, Mímir: A congnitohazard etched inside a carbon-fibre based elastomer sphere so that the only beings who will ever perceived it are those who attain omniscience, of which over 8000 have and all died instantly upon seeing it

SCP-6690 - NO MORE PURPLE DINOSAUR: The Muppets (who are alive; a detail never commented on by the document) created the "I hate you, you hate me. Let's go out and kill Barney." song, which causes event to occur which can injure or kill whoever is the current actor for Barney the Dinosaur

SCP-6930 - 🔴 Paty Is Streaming Now: Remember SCP-3930 (the Pattern Screamer), the Russian facility which does not exist but when a specific region is observed your mind fills the void until there's an entity real enough to suffer and hate you for making them aware of their non-existence? Yeah, one of those got out, and she's a vtuber now

SCP-7529 - Josie's Better Half: The back half of a cat which a Foundation researcher is convinced is the back half of SCP-529, the front half of a cat with a different coat colour, and after he tries to force them together who voids the universe's insurance policy

SCP-7777 - Heptaphobia: A phenomenon that affects Random Number Generators to produce sequences of 0's and 7's which when translated into ASCII reveal unethical actions taken by the Foundation

SCP-7918 - RONALD REAGAN DIES OF ACQUIRED IMMUNODEFICIENCY SYNDROME-RELATED COMPLICATIONS: An anomalous recording of Ronald Regan in the terminal stages of HIV/AIDS while recounting stories of his political career and what seem to be annecdotes of an alternate version of himself that was dating a man

SCP-8008 - TIME PERVERT: Real life writer and founder of LessWrong, Elizier Yudkowsky ascends to godhood after blasting rope to hentai trap his mind in a million year timeloop, remoulds the multiverse into a series of self-indulgent narratives, and modifies baseline humans into our current appearance to fit his sexual preferences, which by the standards of the original timeline make us the equivalent of those anime girls who look 12 with breasts larger than their heads

SCP-8981 - RONALD REAGAN'S PRESIDENTIAL REPUTATION CUT UP WHILE 😳ING: Spiritual successor to SCP-1891 (RONALD REGAN CUT UP WHILE TALKING), it is a collection of anomalies which randomly affect Ronald Regan, including the manifestation of a homonculus created by the Foundation as a body double for his public appearances which exhibits strange behaviours after a failed assassination like trying to crossbreed dogs and horses and attempting to eat a baby

#scp #scp foundation

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eugenedebs1920 · 26 days ago

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“No prior President has ever abased himself more abjectly before a tyrant” Were the words spoken by the late Senator from Arizona, John McCain after the July 2018 summit between President Trump and Russian president Vladimir Putin. His fellow Arizonan Senator Jeff Flake would say, “I never thought I would see the day when our American President would stand on the stage with the Russian President and place blame on the United States for Russian aggression. This is shameful.”

McCain would pass away from an aggressive brain cancer on August 25, 2018. His fellow statesmen would not seek reelection, giving a lengthy em passionate speech condemning “new normal” of the Trump era, saying, “the personal attacks, the threats against principles, freedoms, and institutions; the flagrant disregard for truth or decency, the reckless provocations, most often for the pettiest and most personal reasons, reasons having nothing whatsoever to do with the fortunes of the people that we have all been elected to serve.”

Look at those pictures of Donald Trump! Have you ever seen that lack of overbearing arrogance on his face before!? Putin either makes him soil his diaper with fear, he has dirt on Trump, or our tiny handed tyrant is in love! This has little to do with what we’ll dive into but, just happened to run across Flake’s announcement for not seeking reelection. It was pretty good! Anyway…

With our short attention spans and constant distractions, we may only remember a phrase when we associate the word Russia, and the word Trump. That being the former President’s response to a reporter, saying “Oh! Russia Russia Russia”, that’s my word association image anyway. But yes. Russia Russia Russia.

We’ll go in a reverse chronologicalish order, or most relevant recent order, or whatever order it ends up as. There’s a lot to cover, see how long you make it… 😆

Trump has long had affairs overseas, and no, not the kind he’s known for, but business dealings. After making a series of bad decisions in the later 80’s early 90’s American banks were hesitant to loan to Trump. As it turns out, the Kremlin had their eye on Trump, and had Czech spies working for the Kremlin covertly tail him as early as 1987. Throughout the years Trump Would rely on Russian assistance quite often. From the financial and business side to the political and personal side.

Upon the merger of Trump’s, Truth Social and Digital World Acquisition Corp, Truth Social became, Trump Media and Technology Group. Before the merger Truth Social had been hemorrhaging money, showing significant losses on all quarterly reports.

In late 2021 the social media platform seemed as if it was doomed. In December of 2021, a Christmas miracle occurred in the form of two loans totaling eight million dollars, acting as a lifeline to the failing site.

These loans came as one for $2 million and another $6 million. The $2 million loan was from Paxum Bank, an entity tied with Russian President Vladimir Putin. Paxum Bank is partially owned by a man named Anton Postolnikov, who is related to a man named Aleksandr Smirinov (not the same As Alexander Smirinov that tried to relay Russian misinformation to the FBI, and was subsequently arrested for doing so in the House, Biden impeachment inquiry, political theater headed by James Comer of KY, but a different Smirinov) a former Russian government official, who runs Rosmorport, a Russian shipping company. There was $6 million loan paid by a separate entity by the name of ES Family Trust, who’s director at the time was the very same man who held the title of director at Paxum Bank, the same bank who loaned the smaller $2 million loan. You almost need a poster board with pictures, some tacks and yarn with that one!

In 2023 prosecutors in the U.S. Attorney’s Office for the Southern District of New York began an investigation into the Russian based financial backing and Trump Media and Technology Group (TMTG). The case is still ongoing.

We’re going to skip out of order here because this is already lacking brevity, so. Let’s turn to the end of Trump’s presidency, in the waning days, after the insurrection, Jan 16-20th.

After the disgraceful behavior Trump had engaged in upon losing the 2020 election to Joe Biden, Trump and his remaining staff were scrambling to exit the White House. On Jan the 18th, just two days from Biden’s inauguration, Trump requested the delivery of a binder.

This ten inch thick, treasure trove of documents contained some of the United States most closely guarded information and secrets. So much so that even lawmakers and congressional aides with top secret clearance could only view the binder, and information within, at the Central Intelligence Agency’s (CIA) headquarters in Langley Virginia. Inside were the highest levels of confidentiality and secret information from the United States, its allies, and top secret NATO intelligence as well. It was a collection on Russia, assets working for or against the Kremlin, sources, methods in which the U.S. government received its information and even an assessment of the Russian President Vladimir V. Putin.

Trump’s request was carried out under the care of the Presidents Chief of Staff Mark Meadows. Trump’s sociopathic narcissist disorder caused the exiting, disgraced President to feel the need to declassify a host of documents, including the FBI’s investigation into himself and Russia.

White House lawyers and aides hurriedly redacted names, dates, locations as fast as they could knowing the erratic behavior of Trump. His top administration officials would attempt to block the publication of the classified information. The day before leaving office, on Jan 19th, despite pleas from White House officials, aides and staff, as well as out of spite, Trump issued the declassification of nearly all the sensitive material, putting the lives of agents, informants, and sources in jeopardy. Multiple copies of the initial redacted version were printed out and were set to be distributed throughout Washington to Republicans in Congress and to right wing media outlets. The copies that did get sent out were quickly recovered by White House lawyers, demanding that further redactions were necessary.

Minutes before the inauguration of President elect Biden, Meadows rushed to get approval from the Justice Department, hand delivering the redacted copy for final approval.

Suspiciously, in all the chaos of the final 48 hours, and Trump’s temper tantrum, the original, unredacted, ten inch thick binder of the most sensitive material regarding the U.S. and its allies went missing. There’s a redacted copy in the National Archives, but the whereabouts of the original binder remains a mystery.

During the hearings on the criminality that occurred in Trump’s final weeks in office, aide, Cassidy Hutchinson testified that she saw Chief of Staff MarkMeadows leave the White House with the binder, suggesting that her assumption was that he had put the top secret information in a safe, located at his home.

This brings us to our next act… Of sedition.

The declassification and illegal retention of the world’s most secretive binder was not the only act of treason Trump would engage in. After his loss in November and into December Trump had authorized the removal and transport of dozens of boxes of classified information, state secrets, nuclear secrets, U.S. and its allies war plans to various properties he owned.

The FBI was aware of the taking of the documents, after requesting their return several times a warrant was issued to Trump’s Florida “home” Mar-a-lago. It was coordinated out of respect, safety and to not make a spectacle of the raid, that Trump would not be present when the FBI searched his club/home.

What the FBI found was dozens of boxes containing the classified documents as well as other trinkets like magazines and newspaper articles, strewn around, knocked over and spilling in various locations such as a closet, bathroom, his youngest child Barrons’s room and a hidden room containing surveillance equipment for the property.

In thier assessment of the evidence they found 43 empty folders with tabs labeled, Classified, 28 empty folders labeled, Return to Staff Secretary or Military Aide. In the boxes, folders that weren’t empty included, 18 documents marked, Top Secret, 54 marked as, secret, 31 marked as, Confidential, and 11,179 other Government documents, some with photos that weren’t marked.

This case is the most egregious act of sedition of American President in our nations history. A Special Prosecutor, Jack Smith, was tasked by the DOJ of heading the case. In a stunning move of partisanship and a complete disregard of standing Jurisprudence, Federal Judge Aileen Cannon, a Trump appointee, would go against 50 years of precedent and dismiss the case under the grounds the the special counsel was improperly funded. The American people would be denied their right to get the truth about who, what, when and why these documents were retained, missing, and in the condition they were found. The binder talked about earlier was not in the trove of documents found at Mar-a-lago, its location remains unknown.

So yea! Russia Russia Russia… There’s SO much more Russian ties, scandals, shady business dealings to show but. If this is nearly as long to read as it was to write, I’m proud you made it all the way through.

I’ve been saying it for years, Trump is a Russian asset, I even made a bet saying in 20 years if it doesn’t come out that Trump was a Russian asset I owed this person a sloppy, dentureless blowjob (because I’ll be kinda old in 20 years and I assume I’ll have dentures).

Don’t be conned by Americans most notorious conman and give him the chance to steal and share even more of our state secrets. Vote Kamala Harris for President. Blue down ballot for real change in our country.

I may finish this and post the whole thing from 2013 to what we dove in to on my substack, which I’ll try to remember to leave a link in the comments section. Until next time. Let’s hope for the sake of our democracy Trump loses here in 2024 or maybe I’ll see some of you f*cks in Gitmo 😉😅😆☮️🇺🇸

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mariacallous · 8 months ago

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Truth Social, former president Donald’s Trump’s clone of Twitter, has a fraction of the users of competitors like Reddit and X. The company has never turned a profit, and just happens to be the place where Trump is currently posting.

But on the Nasdaq, the stock exchange where Truth Social became a publicly traded company today, there's a different story: Truth Social has become a certified meme stock. Trump supporters seem to have conflated their support for the former president with the stock itself, and are buying en masse.

The stock quickly rose more than 40 percent after being listed and trades under a ticker of Trump’s initials, DJT. The company is now valued at more than $6.8 billion. The value, however, could change quickly; the stock was so volatile that it temporarily halted soon after it was listed. The company’s financial performance has been underwhelming. It posted $3.3 million in revenue and lost $49 million in the first three quarters of 2023, according to regulatory filings.

Still, Trump’s fans have posted on Reddit, X, and Truth Social about how they plan to hold the stock in defiance of traditional investing logic. Previous meme stocks like GameStop and cryptocurrency culture have helped provide the script, but the rhetorical formula is simple: Short sellers will perish, this stock is going to the moon, and don’t sell no matter what.

“Let’s go baby! Trump 2024 to the moon,” one user posted on Reddit, followed by the rocket ship emoji.

In another Reddit thread, stockholders discussed at what price they would sell shares in the company. “At least waiting for the election win,” one user posted, with the tag Diamond DWAC, a reference to “diamond hands,” a desire to hold a stock despite volatility.

“$150 maybe … but probably waiting for the launch of TMTG+ streaming and also stories videos,” another replied. “Or when our founder is The Leader of The Free World (again) and most reported on person on the world with the most attention on him and his platform. So maybe never‼️”

Reddit user deepfuckingbagholder speculated that the company could eventually be worth 1 trillion dollars. When another user replied, saying that valuation would be virtually impossible, deepfuckingbagholder wrote back: “This stock represents the value of Trump’s brand and I personally believe it can achieve that valuation.”

Truth Social is, predictability, a hotbed of conspiracy theories. Election denialism, vaccine skepticism, and the great replacement theory are all prominently featured on the site. The company has also been mired in controversy since it began, following Trump’s ban from Twitter after the January 6, 2021, riot at the Capitol. A former senior employee filed a whistleblower complaint with the SEC, and other former employees have sued the company, alleging breach of contract. Shareholders voted to take the company public last week, merging Trump Media and Technology Group with a publicly traded holding company, Digital World Acquisition Corp.

The outsize valuation of Truth Social has made Trump incredibly rich. His net worth rose $4 billion to $6.5 billion, making him one of the world’s 500 richest people, according to calculations by Bloomberg News. Trump is restricted from selling shares in the company for about six months, so his net worth could still tank, however, if the price of Truth Social falls.

On Truth Social, one user said a prayer. “Bless all the patriots invested in #DJT,” GothamGal wrote. “Bless this investment, and make us successful so that we may do your will and bring glory to you. Bless and protect our president DJT, and our country. In Jesus name.”

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worldofwardcraft · 8 months ago

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The Trump pump and dump.

April 8, 2024

Back in October 2021, we reported on Donald Trump's scam social media platform, Truth Social ("The Don's latest con"). At the time, we referred to it as a "garden-variety stock swindle" to defraud investors. Now, after years of lawsuits and SEC investigations, Trump Media & Technology Group (the owners of Truth Social) has finally merged with Digital World Acquisition Corp., a publicly traded shell company. Recently listed on the stock exchange as DJT, Trump's social media company is turning out to be exactly the con job we told you it was.

After surging to $78 a share at its market debut on March 26, Trump Media stock (supposedly valued at $8 billion) began dropping rapidly, with its price per share down to $40.55 by the close of last Friday. In other words, the company's stock lost more than 40% of its original value in about a week and a half. The sell-off accelerated when SEC filings revealed that Trump Media lost $58.2 million in 2023, with interest expenses totaling more than $39 million, while generating total revenues of a mere $4.1 million.

That huge interest liability was because, prior to the merger with DWAC, Truth Social was only kept afloat through millions in loans from a shady Russian-American money launderer named Anton Postolnikov. The filing also included a disturbing note from an independent accounting firm, Colorado-based BF Borgers CPA PC, warning that Trump Media's "operating losses raise substantial doubt about its ability to continue as a going concern."

Meanwhile, two Truth Social co-founders sued Don the Con for diluting the value of their ownership when he increased the number of shares in the company from 120 million to one billion. Naturally, he's countersuing in retaliation. At the same time, two other individuals connected to Trump Media pled guilty to insider trading, admitting they had advance knowledge of the merger from which they personally profited.

Why would anyone invest in such an obvious flimflam? John Rekenthaler, vice president for research at Morningstar, a financial services group, likens the company's stock to a cryptocurrency.

Bitcoin owners are members of a club. So, too, are Trump Media investors, to an even greater degree. For them, DJT shares represent a currency by which they can express their beliefs and commitment.

The idea was for Trump to make a ton o' cash by peddling puffed-up stock to the gullible MAGA rubes. But under the merger agreement, he's restricted from dumping his own shares for six months. And by then, they'll probably be next to worthless.

#truth social #trump con #trump media

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crisismonitor · 23 days ago

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Για τις αγορές η πρώτη ανάγνωση της νίκης του Ντόναλντ Τραμπ και των αποτελεσμάτων των αμερικανικών εκλογών είναι μια: Βεβαιότητα και αποκατάσταση της προβλεψιμότητας, ενώ παράλληλα αναμένουν αναπτυξιακές παρεμβάσεις, απορρύθμιση και λιγότερη γραφειοκρατία. Με καύσιμο την αποκατάσταση της σταθερότητας, της προβλεψιμότητας και τις προσδοκίες για φιλεπενδυτικό περιβάλλον τα χρηματιστήρια πραγματοποίησαν ράλι, με τον S&P 500 να γράφει νέο ιστορικό ρεκόρ. Το Trump-effect πλέον είναι γνωστό, το playbook αναλυμένο και οι αβεβαιότητες περιορισμένες. Οι αγορές προτιμούν να πανηγυρίζουν για το καθαρό έκλογικό αποτέλεσμα για την προεδρία, παρά την αποτυχία των δημοσκοπήσεων, την αποκατάσταση της πολιτικής σταθερότητας που σηματοδοτεί ο έλεγχος Βουλής και Γερουσίας από τους Ρεπουμπλικάνους και κατ επέκταση από τον Τραμπ. Από την άλλη, δεν ανησυχούν για τις κοινωνικές αναταραχές που ενδεχομένως θα προκαλέσει η ακραία συντηρητική και αντιμεταναστευτική ατζέντα, καθώς εκτιμούν ότι ο Τραμπ διαθέτει την απαραίτητη κοινωνική υποστήριξη. Έτσι, παρά τους προφανείς κινδύνους για την ανεξαρτησία της Fed και των εποπτικών αρχών στις ΗΠΑ, την προοπτική κλιμάκωσης των γεωοικονομικών ανταγωνισμών, οι αγορές προτιμούν να βλέπουν το ποτήρι μισογεμάτο, εκτιμώντας ότι τα μέτωπα που θα κλείσουν θα είναι περισσότερα και πιο κοστοβόρα από αυτά που ενδεχομένως θα ανοίξουν. Η εικόνα των αγορών Οι μετοχές έφτασαν σε ιστορικά υψηλά, οι αποδόσεις των ομολόγων αυξήθηκαν και το δολάριο βρέθηκε στο καλύτερο επίπεδο από το 2020, καθώς οι επενδυτές προβλέπουν την επιστροφή του Ντόναλντ Τραμπ στον Λευκό Οίκο και τι θα σημαίνουν οι πολιτικές του για τις αγορές. Ο δείκτης S&P 500 γράφει κέρδη της τάξης του 2%, οδεύοντας προς το 48ο ρεκόρ φέτος, καθώς οι επενδυτές στοιχηματίζουν ότι ο νέος πρόεδρος θα εφαρμόσει πολιτικές ανάπτυξης που θα ενισχύσουν την εταιρική Αμερική. Ένας δείκτης εταιριών μικρής κεφαλαιοποίησης ενισχύεται κατά 4,6% εν μέσω εικασιών ότι θα ωφεληθούν από την προστατευτική στάση του Τραμπ, ενώ τα στοιχήματα για χαμηλότερους φόρους και μειωμένους κανονισμούς ενίσχυσαν τις τράπεζες. Οι ασφαλιστές που επικεντρώνονται στην αγορά Medicare σημείωσαν άνοδο λόγω των προσδοκιών ότι η κυβέρνηση θα πληρώσει υψηλότερα ποσοστά σε εταιρίες που παρέχουν ιδιωτικές εκδόσεις του αμερικανικού προγράμματος υγείας για ηλικιωμένους. Η εταιρία Trump Media & Technology Group Corp. σημείωσε άνοδο 6%. Βουτιά του δείκτη φόβου Ο δείκτης "φόβου" της Wall Street — ο VIX — υποχώρησε περισσότερο από τον Αύγουστο, φτάνοντας περίπου στις 16 μονάδες. Βέβαια, παραμένει πάνω από το 15, επίπεδο που σηματοδοτεί ύφεση ή κλιμάκωση της μεταβλητότητας. Οι συναλλαγές στις μετοχές εκτοξεύτηκαν, με τον όγκο του S&P 500 υπερβαίνει κατά 110% τον μέσο όρο του τελευταίου μήνα. Ο Dow Jones Transportation Average έφτασε σε νέο υψηλό μετά από τρία χρόνια, επιβεβαιώνοντας την ισχύ του βιομηχανικού του ομολόγου. Η διάσπαση αυτή αποτελεί θετικό σημάδι για όσους ακολουθούν το πλαίσιο επενδύσεων Dow Theory, που υποστηρίζει ότι οι συγχρονισμένες αυξήσεις και στους δύο δείκτες προμηνύουν καλύτερες εποχές για την ευρύτερη αγορά. "Για την ώρα, το επενδυτικό κλίμα είναι υπέρ της ανάπτυξης, της απορρύθμισης και των αγορών," δήλωσε ο David Bahnsen, επικεφαλής επενδύσεων στην Bahnsen Group. "Υπάρχει επίσης η υπόθεση ότι η δραστηριότητα συγχωνεύσεων και εξαγορών θα ενταθεί και ότι περισσότερες μειώσεις φόρων έρχονται ή οι υπάρχουσες θα παραταθούν. Αυτό δημιουργεί ισχυρό υπόβαθρο για τις μετοχές". Ανεβαίνουν οι αποδώσεις στα ομόλογα Οι αποδόσεις των κρατικών ομολόγων αυξήθηκαν σε όλη την καμπύλη, με την κίνηση να καθοδηγείται από τα μακροπρόθεσμα ομόλογα καθώς οι επενδυτές μείωσαν τα στοιχήματα για μείωση των επιτοκίων από την Fed. Οι επενδυτές ενισχύουν τα στοιχήματα για πολιτικές, όπως φοροαπαλλαγές και δασμοί, που θα μπορούσαν να προκαλέσουν πιέσεις τιμών. Οι κινήσεις επίσης υποδεικνύουν ανησυχίες ότι οι προτάσεις του Τραμπ θα αυξήσουν το δημοσιονομικό έλλειμμα και θα οδηγήσουν σε μεγαλύτερη προσφορά ομολόγων. Το δολάριο ενισχύθηκε έναντι των περισσότερων μεγάλων νομισμάτων, με το ευρώ να υποχωρεί κατά 1,9%. Το μεξικανικό πέσο μείωσε την πτώση του στο 0,7%. Το Bitcoin, το οποίο πολλοί θεωρούν επένδυση υπέρ του Τραμπ, σημείωσε νέο ρεκόρ. Τα εμπορεύματα βρέθηκαν υπό πίεση, με το χρυσό και το χαλκό να σημειώνουν πτώση, ενώ το πετρέλαιο ήταν ασταθές. Η ώρα της Fed Η προσοχή τώρα στρέφεται στη συνάντηση της Fed αύριο. Το δεκαετές πλησιάζει στο επίπεδο του 4,5%, επίπεδο στο οποίο τα στοιχεία ενεργητικού κινδύνου αντιμετώπισαν προβλήματα τα τελευταία 24 μήνες." Ο δείκτης S&P 500 κυμαινόταν κοντά στις 5.900 μονάδες. Ο Nasdaq 100 σημείωσε άνοδο 2,1%, και ο Dow Jones Industrial Average σημείωσε άνοδο 3,1%. Οι αποδόσεις του δεκαετούς αμερικανικού ομολόγου αυξήθηκαν κατά 18 μονάδες βάσης στο 4,45%. Ο δείκτης Bloomberg Dollar Spot ενισχύθηκε κατά 1,3%, ενώ ο δείκτης Markit CDX North American High Yield, ο οποίος αυξάνεται καθώς ο αντιληπτός πιστωτικός κίνδυνος μειώνεται, έφτασε προσωρινά στο υψηλότερο επίπεδο από τον Ιανουάριο του 2022. Αναλυτές θεωρούν ότι ο Τραμπ δεν θα επιλέξει να τυπώσει χρήμα για να στηρίξει την οικονομία, ούτε θα επενδύσει σε υπέμετρες φοροαπαλλαγές που θα επιβαρύνουν τον προϋπολογισμό. Οι αγορές όμως βλέπουν τώρα επιδοτήσεις και φοροαπαλλαγές, γι αυτό και εκτοξεύονται οι αποδώσεις στα ομόλογα. Η αγορά φαίνεται να επικεντρώνεται περισσότερο στις θετικές πτυχές της ατζέντας του Τραμπ, με λιγότερη έμφαση στις πιθανές συνέπειες των δασμών και των ευρύτερων πολιτικών. Ωστόσο, οι δασμοί μπορεί τελικά να αποτελέσουν αντίβαρο στη σημερινή θετική ανατίμηση. Παρ' όλα αυτά, οι αναλυτές βλέπουν διατήρηση της ανοδικής δυναμικής και συνέχιση της ανόδου στις αγορές αξιών. Έρχεται μείωση επιτοκίων Οι αξιωματούχοι της Fed αναμένεται ευρέως να μειώσουν το επιτόκιο αναφοράς την Πέμπτη κατά ένα τέταρτο της εκατοστιαίας μονάδας, μετά από μια μείωση κατά μισή μονάδα τον Σεπτέμβριο. Έχουν προβλέψει μία ακόμα μείωση κατά ένα τέταρτο το Δεκέμβριο και μια επιπλέον μείωση κατά μια ολόκληρη μονάδα το 2025, σύμφωνα με την μέση εκτίμηση που δημοσιεύθηκε τον Σεπτέμβριο. Ωστόσο, οι υπεύθυνοι χάραξης πολιτικής ίσως αντιμετωπίσουν πιο προσεκτικά το ερώτημα του πότε και πόσο να μειώσουν, καθώς αξιολογούν πώς οι οικονομικές προτάσεις του Τραμπ θα μετατραπούν σε πραγματικές πολιτικές. Η Fed πιθανότατα θα μειώσει κατά 25 μονάδες βάσης στη συνεδρίαση της Πέμπτης και πιθανότατα θα μειώσει ξανά τον Δεκέμβριο, με τις αγορές να προσδοκούν συνολικά δύο ή το πολύ τρεις μειώσεις επιτοκίων μέχρι τέλος του έτους. Η ανθρωπογεωγραφία του Κογκρέσου Οι Ρεπουμπλικανοί κέρδισαν τον έλεγχο της Γερουσίας των ΗΠΑ, δίνοντας στο κόμμα ισχυρό μοχλό πίεσης σε υψηλού διακυβεύματος φορολογικές και δημοσιονομικές μάχες την επόμενη χρονιά. Εν τω μεταξύ, οι Δημοκρατικοί χρ��ιάζονται μια καθαρή αύξηση μόλις τεσσάρων εδρών για να πάρουν την ισχνή πλειοψηφία από τους Ρεπουμπλικανούς στη Βουλή των Αντιπροσώπων. Ωστόσο, με πολλές κρίσιμες εκλογικές αναμετρήσεις να είναι ακόμη πολύ αμφίρροπες —ιδιαίτερα στην Καλιφόρνια— μπορεί να περάσουν μέρες προτού είναι σαφές ποιο κόμμα έχει την πλειοψηφία. Για πολλούς αναλυτές, ο απόλυτος έλεγχος του Κογκρέσου από τους Ρεπουμπλικάνους και τον Τραμπ μπορεί να οδηγήσει σε ένα πιο δυναμικό περιβάλλον για δαπάνες και επενδύσεις κεφαλαίου. Ένα πιο ευνοϊκό φορολογικό καθεστώς για τις επιχειρήσεις, πλήρης επέκταση του Tax Cuts and Jobs Act, και μια ελαφρύτερη ρυθμιστική προσέγγιση θα πρέπει να αντισταθμίσουν τους δυνητικούς αρνητικούς αντίκτυπους από αυξημένους δασμούς και μειωμένη μετανάστευση στα εταιρικά κέρδη. Read the full article

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