#BRI Implementation Plan Agreement
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nepalenergyforum · 28 days ago
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Congress Proposes Amendments to BRI Agreement
Congress gave a written proposal to the Prime Minister to amend the document of BRI implementation plan sent by China, the working group of Congress and UML could not make a common opinion yet. The ruling Congress and UML are yet to come to a consensus on the documents sent by China for the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) implementation plan agreement. Although both parties are ready to revise the…
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staruva · 9 months ago
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Welcome to our blog, where we explore the issues of the contemporary global political economy. Let’s delve into the international political economy dimensions of the Chinese Five-Year Development Plan, the Zimbabwean National Development Strategy 1 (NDS1), and Vision 2030.
Background: Over specified time periods, China's economic and social development is guided by the policies outlined in its Five-Year Development Plans, which are vital frameworks. Innovation, sustainability, and high-quality growth are prioritized in the most recent plan, which spans 2021 to 2025. The 13th plan of the nation is what makes the policy successful.
International Dimensions of Political Economy: Economic Transformation: China wants to reorganize its economy with an emphasis on sustainable development, innovation in technology, and the real economy. China plays a major role in international trade and investment, so this transformation has global implications. Integration with International Markets: China's policies have an effect on international investment flows, trade relations, and supply chains. Other nations need to adjust to China's economic clout as it keeps opening up its markets. Technological Leadership: China's focus on innovation, encompassing green, robotic, and AI technologies, influences global competitiveness and transforms industries across the globe.
Asia, Europe, and Africa are connected through China's massive infrastructure and investment initiative, known as the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI). Geopolitics and regional economies are impacted by BRI projects. Financial Integration: International financial markets and reserve currencies are impacted by China's financial reforms, which include the yuan's (renminbi) internationalization.
With alignment to Zimbabwe's long-term vision, Vision 2030, the National Development Strategy 1 (2021–2025) replaces the Transitional Stabilization Program (TSP).
Aims of NDS1 in the area of international political economy include investment attraction, economic recovery, and sustainable growth. International partners and investors keep a close eye on Zimbabwe's development. Trade and Investment: The goals of NDS1 are to draw foreign direct investment, strengthen trade relations, and improve the business climate. Agreements on a bilateral and multilateral basis are important. Debt management: Zimbabwe's attempts to restructure its debt have an effect on financial stability and foreign creditors. A sustainable debt load is necessary for the economy to rebound. Regional Cooperation: Zimbabwe's participation in trade, infrastructure, and security dynamics is influenced by regional organizations such as the Southern African Development Community.
Human Capital Development: The emphasis placed by NDS1 on health, education, and skill development has an impact on regional competitiveness and labor markets.
China’s Five-Year Plan and Zimbabwe’s NDS1 both have international implications, influencing trade, investment, and regional cooperation. Vision 2030 aligns Zimbabwe’s goals with global sustainable development objectives, emphasizing economic growth, social well-being, and environmental stewardship.
In summary, it is clear that the implementation of policies in Zimbabwe has not been without difficulty due to past inconsistencies in the monitoring, evaluation, and delivery processes; the same is true for the NDS1. Although the plan appears promising on paper, it falls short of actualizing Vision 2030 due to inadequate measures of accountability and transparency during the implementation of these policy plans. People continue to question the government's ability to fulfill the objectives of Vision 2030. Extremely lofty objectives were set by NDS1, such as providing unemployment benefits to the unemployed, which have yet to materialize It is crucial that the government demonstrates its devotion to the Vision 2030 by advancing socioeconomic policies that prioritize the needs of the populace. If the public's trust in the government is strong enough to support its commitment, good governance principles will carry over NDS1. It is crucial that the government demonstrates its devotion to the Vision 2030 by advancing socioeconomic policies that prioritize the needs of the populace. If the public's trust in the government is strong enough to support its commitment, good governance principles will carry over NDS1.
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alexsmitposts · 5 years ago
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China – The Belt and Road Initiative – The Bridge that Spans the World The Belt and Road Initiative (BRI), also called the New Silk Road, is based on a 2,100-year-old trade route between the Middle East and Eastern Asia, called the Silk Road. It wound its ways across the huge landmass Eurasia to the most eastern parts of China. It favored trading, based on the Taoist philosophy of harmony and peaceful coexistence – trading in the original sense of the term, an exchange with “win-win” outcomes, both partners benefitting equally. Today, in the western world we have lost this concept. The terms of trade are imposed always by the ‘stronger’ partner, the west versus the poorer south – the south where most of the natural resources are lodged. Mother Earth’s assets have been and are coveted by the west – or north – for building and maintaining a lifestyle in luxury, abundance and waste. This trend has lasted for centuries of western colonialism: Exploitation, loot, esclavisation and rape of entire peoples of the Global South by the Global North, to use the current soothing World Bank lingo. The New Silk Road, or BRI, is Chinese President Xi Jinping’s brainchild. It’s based on the same ancient principles, adjusted to the 21st Century, building bridges between peoples, exchanging goods, research, education, knowledge, cultural wisdom, peacefully, harmoniously and ‘win-win’ style. On 7 September 2013, Xi presented BRI at Kazakhstan’s Nazarbayev University. He spoke about “People-to-People Friendship and Creating a better Future”. He referred to the Ancient Silk Road of more than 2,100 years ago, that flourished during China’s Western Han Dynasty (206 BC to 24 AD). Referring to this epoch of more than two millenniums back, Xi Jinping pointed to the history of exchanges under the Ancient Silk Road, saying, “they had proven that countries with differences in race, belief and cultural background can absolutely share peace and development as long as they persist in unity and mutual trust, equality and mutual benefit, mutual tolerance and learning from each other, as well as cooperation and win-win outcomes.” President Xi’s vision may be shaping the world of the 21st Century. The Belt and Road Initiative is designed and modeled loosely according to the Ancient Silk Road. President Xi launched this ground-breaking project soon after assuming the Presidency in 2013. The endeavor’s idea is to connect the world with transport routes, infrastructure, industrial joint ventures, teaching and research institutions, cultural exchange and much more. Since 2017, enshrined in China’s Constitution, BRI has become the flagship for China’s foreign policy. BRI is literally building bridges and connecting people of different continents and nations. The purpose of the New Silk Road is “to construct a unified large market and make full use of both international and domestic markets, through cultural exchange and integration, to enhance mutual understanding and trust of member nations, ending up in an innovative pattern with capital inflows, talent pool, and technology database”. BRI is a perfect vehicle for building peacefully a World Community with a Shared Future for Mankind – which was the theme of an international Forum held in Shanghai, from 5-7 November, a tribute to China’s 70th Anniversary of her Revolution and achievements – with a vision into the future. BRI is a global development strategy adopted by the Chinese Government. Already today BRI has investments involving more than 150 countries and international organizations – and growing – in Asia, Africa, Europe, the Middle East and the Americas. BRI is a multi-trillion investment scheme, for transport routes on land and sea, as well as construction of industrial and energy infrastructure and energy exploration – as well as trade among connected countries. Unlike WTO (World Trade Organization), BRI is encouraging nations to benefit from their comparative advantages, creating win-win situations. In essence, BRI is to develop mutual understanding and trust among member nations, allowing for free capital flows, a pool of experts and access to a BRI-based technology data base. At present, BRI’s closing date is foreseen for 2049 which coincides with new China’s 100th Anniversary. The size and likely success of the program indicates, however, already today that it will most probably be extended way beyond that date. It is worth noting, though, that only in 2019, six years after its inception, BRI has become a news item in the West. Remarkably, for six years BRI was as much as denied, or ignored by the western media, in the hope it may go away. But away it didn’t go. To the contrary, many European Union members have already subscribed to BRI, including Greece, Italy, France, Portugal – and more will follow, as the temptation to participate in this projected socioeconomic boom is overwhelming. Germany, the supposed economic leader of Europe, is mulling over the benefits and contras of participating in BRI. The German business community, like business throughout Europe, is strongly in favor of lifting US-imposed sanctions and reconnecting with the East, in particular with China and Russia. But official Berlin is still with one foot in the White House – and with the other trying to appease the German – and European – world of business. This balancing act is in the long run not sustainable and certainly not desirable. At present BRI is already actively involved in over 80 countries, including at least half of the EU members. To counteract the pressure to join BRI, the European Union, basically run by NATO and intimately linked to Washington, has initiated their own ‘Silk Road’, attempting to connect Asia with Europe through Japan. In that sense, the EU and Japan have signed a “free trade agreement” which includes a compact to build infrastructure, in sectors such as energy, transport and digital devices. The purpose is to strengthen economic and cultural ties between the two regions, boosting business relations between Asia and Europa. It is an obvious effort to compete with or even sideline China’s BRI. But it is equally obvious that this response will fail. Usually initiatives taken in ill-fate are not successful. And China, non-belligerent China, is unlikely to challenge this EU-Japan competitive approach. In another approach to counter BRI, The U.S. Overseas Private Investment Corporation (OPIC), Australia’s Department of Foreign Affairs and Trade (DFAT), and Japan Bank for International Cooperation (JBIC), launched on 4 November the Blue Dot Network (BDN), an initiative supposedly run entirely by private actors, funded by private banking, intended to bring together governments, the private sector, and civil society “to promote high-quality, trusted standards for global infrastructure development in an open and inclusive framework.” It is not clear how the BDN will interact with or counteract BRI. Anything run entirely by the private sector, especially western private banking, is no good omen for the country their “development effort” touches. Such investments’ objectives are primarily shareholder profits, not socioeconomic development benefitting the countries where they plan to invest. No competition for China’s BRI. Again, non-aggressive China is unlikely to react. China’s New Silk Road is creating a multipolar world, where all participants will benefit. The idea is to encourage economic growth, distributed in a balanced way, so as to prioritize development opportunities for those most in need. That means the under-developed areas of western China, eastern Russia, Central Asia, Central Europe – reaching out to Africa and the Middle East, Latin America, as well as to South East Asia and the Pacific. BRI is already actively building and planning some six to ten land and maritime routes, connecting Africa, the Middle East, Europe and South America. The expected multi-trillion-dollar equivalent dynamic budget is expected to be funded by China, largely, but not exclusively, by the Asian Infrastructure and Investment Bank (AIIB), by Russia – and by all the countries that are part of BRI and involved in singular or multi-country projects. The long-term return on these massive investments in people’s wellbeing is an exponential multiple of the original investments and cannot be limited to numerical economics, as social benefits of wellbeing cannot be defined by linear accounting. Implementing BRI, or the New Silk Road, is itself the realization of a vision of nations: Peaceful interconnectivity, joint infrastructure and industrial development, as well as joint management of natural resources. For example, BRI may help with infrastructure and management advice resolving or preventing conflicts on transboundary water resources. There are some 263 transboundary lake and river basins, covering almost half the earth’s surface and involving some 150 countries. In addition, there are about 300 transboundary aquifers serving about 2 billion people who depend on groundwater. The Chinese government calls the Silk Road Initiative “a bid to enhance regional connectivity and embrace a brighter future”. Today, John Lennon’s “Give Peace a Chance” is more relevant than ever. And China is a vanguard in promoting peaceful development across the globe. BRI, China’s foreign policy flagship, is clearly an initiative towards world Peace.
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khalilhumam · 4 years ago
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China could help stop the freefall in global economic cooperation
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China could help stop the freefall in global economic cooperation
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By Peter A. Petri, Michael Plummer The Trump administration is ramping up pressure on China, including sending additional troops and two aircraft carriers to East Asia. But it is also retreating from the East Asian economy. In late June, 15 East Asian countries, representing nearly 30% of world output and population, met by videoconference to commit to signing the Regional Comprehensive Partnership (RCEP) in November 2020. (RCEP members are the 10 Association of Southeast Asian Nations [ASEAN] countries, plus Australia, China, Japan, South Korea, and New Zealand.) By some measures, this will be the largest free trade agreement ever, joining a second important regional accord, the Comprehensive and Progressive Agreement for Trans-Pacific Partnership (CPTPP) that went into effect in 2018. (CPTPP members are Australia, Brunei, Canada, Chile, Japan, Malaysia, Mexico, New Zealand, Peru, Singapore, and Vietnam.) The United States is missing from these agreements, having left the predecessor of the CPTPP (the Trans-Pacific Partnership) when President Trump took office. India, originally a member of the RCEP negotiations, withdrew just before the agreement’s conclusion. These departures hand China potent leverage: It is by far the largest economy in a now regionally focused East Asian system. Will China use this leverage to advance short-term political interests — a kind of “China first” strategy — or build a rules-based system that works for other countries as well, perhaps as a model for global cooperation? How Chinese leaders answer this question will shape the economic and political landscape for years to come.
Huge economic potential
In computer simulations we recently published, we found that the U.S.-China trade war will reduce world incomes by $301 billion annually and world trade by nearly $1 trillion annually by 2030 from what they would be with pre-Trump policies. Nearly three-quarters of the decline in trade will consist of transactions across the Pacific. In contrast, the CPTPP and RCEP could add $121 billion and $209 billion to world incomes, respectively, if they are implemented as planned. These gains — due to additional trade and production in East Asia — would offset the effects of the trade war for the region, if not fully for China and the United States. The agreements will reduce the cost of doing business in East Asia, connecting strengths there in technology, manufacturing, agriculture, and natural resources. They will deepen linkages among China, Japan, and South Korea, which are already among each other’s largest trade partners. The Chinese Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) will reinforce these relationships. For all its bad press, over time the BRI will offer $1.4 trillion in investments for transport, energy, and communications infrastructure to neighboring economies. Secretary of State Mike Pompeo’s offer of $113 million in U.S. investments only highlights the gulf between Chinese and American priorities. The United States used to counter aid with good access to its sophisticated markets, but no more — it is retreating unapologetically into mercantilism. RCEP and the CPTPP make East Asia a natural sphere of Chinese economic influence and will generate skewed benefits. China will gain the most from RCEP ($100 billion), followed by Japan ($46 billion) and South Korea ($23 billion). Southeast Asia will also benefit ($19 billion), but less since free trade accords are already in place with RCEP partners. Meanwhile, the United States and India will forego gains of $131 billion and $60 billion, respectively.
China’s approach
The big question is how China will manage its new economic role. That is not clear, probably not even to Chinese policymakers. Some in China appear to see compromise with foreigners as unnecessary beyond the need for essential trade. That may explain policies to coerce even well-disposed trade partners to support China politically — for example, by warning Chinese students away from Australia, presumably in retaliation for Australian support for an inquiry into the pandemic. But other Chinese leaders no doubt understand that the country faces acute international pushback, as tracked by Pew Research Center polling. Regional concerns are well known and include a range of Chinese policies, from Hong Kong to the South China Sea, backed by a new “wolf warrior” approach to diplomacy that usually alienates rather than persuades. Yes, the Trump administration also pursues many unacceptable objectives and uses deeply alienating speech. But these do not change the facts facing China; it cannot grow its regional or global influence by acting as an “unencumbered power,” as Singaporean Prime Minister Lee Hsien Loong elegantly put it. Nor can East Asia become a regional model while many see China as a rising threat. Indeed, China’s interest in collaboration gained momentum in recent years, as suggested by accelerating dialogue with neighboring leaders. The China-Japan-Korea trilateral meetings resumed in 2018 and set the stage for an extended visit by President Xi Jinping to Japan this summer, only to be upended by the new Hong Kong security law. Working with China is becoming a political liability for many regional leaders.
Mutually valued international partnerships have never been more urgent for China or the world.
Beijing put to the test
In these dysfunctional times, a new regional cooperation model led by China would yield economic gains and meaningful political support. Mutually valued international partnerships have never been more urgent for China or the world. RCEP and the CPTPP invite a positive Chinese approach. China patiently stood by RCEP through years of rollercoaster negotiations under “ASEAN centrality.” It could now ensure that the agreement enters smoothly into force and is followed by collaborations with ASEAN on political issues — for example, completing the longstanding Code of Conduct negotiations about the South China Sea. Chinese Premier Li Keqiang’s recent surprise announcement that China is open to the CPTPP creates an additional opportunity. By signaling willingness to adopt global norms, China’s membership in the CPTPP would cheer markets and countries as a harbinger of future deals and global growth. In earlier studies, we found that Chinese membership in the CPTPP would add $485 billion to world real incomes. The gains would exceed $1 trillion if Indonesia, South Korea, the Philippines, Taiwan, and Thailand also joined (all expressed interest in doing so), offsetting the costs of the U.S.-China trade war three-fold. We also showed, however, that joining the CPTPP would require China to adopt advanced international rules. Premier Li no doubt understood, for example, that China would have to change its approach to supporting strategic sectors and enterprises. But compromises are increasingly possible — in part due to COVID-19, many countries now support a larger economic role for the state. Even the United States is using or proposing “buy American” laws, controls on trade and investment, public investments in technology, and government stakes in global champions. Limited industrial policy space could coexist with market disciplines, though defining that space will take thoughtful leadership. RCEP and the CPTPP will benefit China economically, but they put Chinese leadership to a test. They offer an unusual chance to reverse the freefall in international cooperation.
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the-funtime-autocrat · 7 years ago
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A possible economic solution to North Korea courtesy of Russia and China.
From (ZeroHedge):
“In sharp contrast to the Trump administration and the Beltway’s bellicose rhetoric, what “RC” proposes are essentially 5+1 talks (North Korea, China, Russia, Japan and South Korea, plus the US) on neutral territory, as confirmed by Russian diplomats. 
In Vladivostok, Putin went out of his way to defuse military hysteria and warn that stepping beyond sanctions would be an “invitation to the graveyard.” Instead, he proposed business deals.
Largely unreported by Western corporate media, what happened in Vladivostok is really ground-breaking. Moscow and Seoul agreed on a trilateral trade platform, crucially involving Pyongyang, to ultimately invest in connectivity between the whole Korean peninsula and the Russian Far East.
South Korean Prime Minister Moon Jae-in proposed to Moscow to build no less than “nine bridges” of cooperation: “Nine bridges mean the bridges of gas, railways, the Northern Sea Route, shipbuilding, the creation of working groups, agriculture and other types of cooperation.”
Crucially, Moon added that the trilateral cooperation would aim at joint projects in the Russian Far East. He knows that “the development of that area will promote the prosperity of our two countries and will also help change North Korea and create the basis for the implementation of the trilateral agreements.
Moscow has also approached Tokyo with the idea of building a bridge between the nations. That would physically link Japan to Eurasia – and the vast trade and investment carousel offered by the New Silk Roads, aka, the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) and the Eurasia Economic Union (EAEU). It would also complement the daring plan to link a Trans-Korean Railway to the Trans-Siberian one.
Seoul wants a rail network that will physically connect it with the vast Eurasian land bridge, which makes perfect business sense for the fifth largest export economy in the world. Handicapped by North Korea’s isolation, South Korea is in effect cut off from Eurasia by land. The answer is the Trans-Korean Railway.
Moscow is very much for it, with Putin noting how “we could deliver Russian pipeline gas to Korea and integrate the power lines and railway systems of Russia, the Republic of Korea and North Korea. The implementation of these initiatives will be not only economically beneficial, but will also help build up trust and stability on the Korean Peninsula.”
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xtruss · 4 years ago
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Three Reasons Why G7's Build Back Better World Plan is No Competition for China's BRI
— By Ekaterina Blinova | Sputnik | June 15, 2021
Joe Biden's $40 trillion Build Back Better World (B3W) does not appear to be a threat or challenge to China's comprehensive Belt and Road (B&R) plan, say international observers, suggesting that if G7 is really concerned about the well-being of third-world countries struck by COVID, it could team up with China rather than pushing a zero-sum game.
On 12 June, President Joe Biden met with G7 leaders to discuss strategic competition with China and bring forward a new bold global infrastructure initiative – Build Back Better World (B3W). The plan envisages helping "narrow the $40+ trillion infrastructure need" in developing countries "from Latin America and the Caribbean to Africa to the Indo-Pacific," explaining that the G7 and other like-minded partners will mobilise "private-sector capital in four areas of focus," namely climate, health, and health security, digital technology, and gender equity and equality.
Why G7's B3W is No Challenge to BRI
It's obvious that the Biden-proposed endeavour is nothing less than a potential substitute to the Beijing-led Belt and Road Initiative, which has been implemented by China since 2013, South Asia observers say, expressing skepticism over the viability of the G7 project.
Firstly, B3W does not seem to serve the essential interest of developing countries as it's a US attempt "to export its surging internal inflation to the world" in the post-COVID era, according to The Global Times, a Chinese daily newspaper. The US and other G7 countries have had many chances to address the developing countries' infrastructural gaps before, but somehow they turned a blind eye to the problem, the media outlet notes.
"Taking the African countries as an example, they have been facing an annual infrastructure investment shortfall of $108 billion," Song Wei, an associate research fellow at the Chinese Academy of International Trade and Economic Cooperation, told the Chinese daily. "The shortfall has long become a major barrier for the development of the continent, and why didn't the G7 realise the demand earlier?"
Besides that, B3W appears to be aimed at maintaining the West's dominance over emerging economies, looking like "a strategic plan to win political influence on a very large scale," writes Matteo Giovannini, a member of the China Task Force at the Italian Ministry of Economic Development.
At the same time, judging from Biden's proposal, the aid will be attached to "intrusive conditionalities" regarding human rights, climate change, corruption, and the rule of law, remarks Middle East and South Asia expert Dnyanesh Kamat in his op-ed for Syndication Bureau, suggesting that developing countries would rather choose "China’s simplified and no-strings-attached BRI funding."
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US President Joe Biden takes part in a press conference on the final day of the G7 summit at Cornwall Airport Newquay, near Newquay, Cornwall on June 13, 2021.
Secondly, it's unclear where exactly B3W funding will come from. Observers doubt that the G7 countries would fork out $40 trillion which is more than the combined 2020 GDP of the seven countries. Many developed economies are still struggling to overcome the lockdown-related recession. The UK Parliament noted in May that because of the COVID outbreak the budget's 2020/21 deficit reached £303 billion (14.3 percent of GDP) which is "a peacetime record."
For its part, the Biden administration is still unable to overcome the resistance of GOP deficit hawks and pass a set of the president's bold domestic "build back better" initiatives in US Congress. Biden's initial $2.3 trillion infrastructure plan then shrank to $1.7 trillion, while last Thursday, a bloc of Senate moderates proposed spending $974 billion over five years, or $1.2 trillion over eight years, according to Reuters.
Meanwhile, the White House's hint that "the private sector" could pay for B3W does not appear realistic, according to Tom Fowdy, a British political and international relations analyst.
"This is a logical contradiction in real terms, private enterprises invest where they will make a profit, not to meet the needs of a specific country as the BRI does or to comprehensively recreate a national economy like CPEC," Fowdy suggested in his article for CGTN, a Chinese English-language news service. "They are not willing to take 'risks,' which many BRI projects have done."
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G7 Finance Ministers Meeting in London
Thirdly, it's unclear who will do the job, notes The Global Times. While China has mastered itself in infrastructural projects over the past years, there is "the distinct technological gap" between the People's Republic and most of the Western countries when it comes to infrastructure construction, the Chinese daily insists.
When it comes to the US, it needs to fix its own old infrastructure "before thinking about being the promoter of renovation outside of the national borders," echoes Matteo Giovannini.
Meanwhile, Beijing has already signed cooperation agreements with 140 countries and 31 international organisations within the BRI framework with 1,100 construction projects being underway in Africa alone despite the pandemic, according to the media outlet. For his part, Fowdy cites the fact that China has already implemented a considerable part of its grand design, while the G7 club has a long way to go.
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Pakistan Navy soldiers patrol in Gwadar port, about 700 kilometers (435 miles) west of Karachi, Pakistan, Monday, April 11, 2016
The People's Republic has already kicked off the China-Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC) stretching from the western Chinese city of Kashgar to Pakistan's Arabian Sea port of Gwadar.
Transcontinental Eurasian and African railways are other examples of China's comprehensive effort. In addition, Beijing is also set to create the so-called Polar Silk Road in the Arctic, cooperating with Russia on employing the Northern Sea Route (NSR) – the shortest maritime lane from Europe to Asia. On top of this, China is implementing a Digital Silk Road, i.e. a network of subsea cables designed to bring Asia, Africa, and Europe together. Nothing of that kind has been made by G7 yet, observers point out.
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China Digital Silk Road
Win-Win Solution Instead of Zero-Sum Game
Nevertheless, there is always room for consensus, argues Giovannini. He does not consider B3W as "a real challenge" for China, suggesting that the G7 initiative could become an opportunity to "alleviate some of the burden that China's scheme has so far carried on alone."
"Therefore, if the G7 countries are able to recalibrate their intentions to use the B3W as a vehicle for mutual prosperity instead of an instrument for challenging the status quo, and possibly for personal gain, then the whole international community will come out as a clear winner," the Italian scholar concludes.
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wolfliving · 5 years ago
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New Silk Roads
Aformal Academy, e-flux Architecture
Editorial
Monique Wong / Aformal Academy, Silk Road Dreams, 2018.
New Silk Roads is a collaboration between Aformal Academy and e-flux Architecture. The project has been supported by Design Trust and produced in cooperation with Digital Earth. It features contributions by Tekla Aslanishvili and Orit Halpern, Nishat Awan and Zahra Hussain, Danika Cooper, Jeremiah Ikongio, Timothy Mitchell, Ştefan Rusu, Maia Adele Simon, Solveig Suess and Asia Bazdyrieva, and Tim Winter.
On September 8, 2013, China’s president Xi Jinping launched the largest infrastructure project of the twenty-first century, the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI). Since then, the Chinese government has facilitated and invested in new construction, development, and communication projects around the world in an attempt to link together through trade more than fifty percent of the world’s population and economic output. New ports, airports, rail lines, highways, fiber optic cables, utilities, industrial centers, special economic zones, urban districts, and entire cities have been planned, financed, and realized by Chinese entities mainly throughout Eurasia, Africa, and expanding into Americas.
Although commonly depicted as a series of continuous lines drawn on a map—with the “belt” referring to land-based developments and the “road” referring to sea-based ones—developments have been more fragmentary, and focused on connecting specific regional “corridors.”[footnote While an official count of participating countries is avoided, the BRI’s main economic corridors include the New Eurasian Land Bridge, the China-Central Asia–West Asia Economic Corridor, the China–Pakistan Economic Corridor, the Bangladesh–China–Myanmar Economic Corridor, the China–Mongolia–Russia Economic Corridor, and the China–Indochina Peninsula Economic Corridor.] 
There is no official list of participating governments or developments. Yet even if there was, it would only say so much, as each project is the result of a specific bilateral agreement with varying levels of participation from host countries, the details of which few are inclined to disclose. It is often only in the face of resistance, or crisis, that such information emerges.
The initiative as a whole often is referred to as a twenty-first-century Silk Road, and often invokes ancient precedent as a means of legitimation. Yet the name Silk Road (Die Seidenstrasse) was a name first coined in the mid-nineteenth century by the German geologist Baron Ferdinand von Richthofen to describe a series of disparate historical infrastructures that linked Asia, the Middle East, and parts of Europe in a network of commerce and exchange. Only consolidated and unified in the thirteenth century by the Mongol Empire, the Silk Road carried not only precious commodities, but also knowledge, skills, ideas, cultures, and beliefs, and had a profound impact on the history and civilizations of Eurasian peoples.
While the ancient Silk Road provides a mythological foundation for the Belt and Road Initiative, its form of statecraft bears closer affinity to a series of modern precedents. Indeed, most of the twentieth century’s imperial gambits sought to secure territory by means of infrastructural development, from the Marshall Plan to various midcentury city- and state-building exercises orchestrated throughout Latin America, Africa, and the Middle East. The agent of modern geopolitics was the nation state, and could thus be represented by closed shapes on a map filled in with one color or another. The Belt and Road Initiative, on the other hand, operates according to a different geometric logic, of points and lines. This requires new ways of reading power, and calls for different tactics of intervention.
Much of the news surrounding the Belt and Road Initiative tends to be reported and discussed in abstract, ambiguous, and sweeping terms, and is often accompanied by vertiginous conjecture about grand narratives and global dominance. One could argue this is simply evidence of a twentieth-century mode of politics being confronted with the twenty-first century, or blame it on the fact that all governments (but especially the Chinese one, or so we believe) are predicated on secrecy. Yet it might have something more to do with the initiative itself. Infrastructures are spatio-temporal constructs. They not only alter the logics of relation to resources, cultures, and geographies, but also to the past, present, and future. On the one hand, infrastructures guarantee the possibility of something, be it water coming from the tap or a train running on time, but on the other, their effects are inherently uncertain.
Infrastructure looks towards the future. But it is built in the present, and on top of the past. Debate around the Belt and Road Initiative that focuses entirely on what is to come, or what comes after, belies the basic fact that the initiative has already and continues to transform the realities of people and places all around the world, be it by actual development or mere speculation. There is great urgency in attuning discourse to these landscapes, these lives, these cultures, not least because of the potential impacts—economic, political, social, environmental—of such projects. More than money, materials, and labor, the Belt and Road Initiative trades in the currencies of hope and fear.
It is with both that New Silk Roads seeks to address the lack of clarity about the Belt and Road’s on-the-ground initiatives. In an attempt to fill in a relative absence of architectural and urban scholarship on the matter, we have invited researchers and spatial practitioners working on specific localities where BRI is being implemented to share their knowledge with us. While humble in scope compared to what it seeks to grapple with, the world’s futures are being made today. And knowing where we are now is the first step in figuring out how to get to where we want to be.
New Silk Roads is a collaboration between Aformal Academy and e-flux Architecture. The project has been supported by Design Trust Hong Kong, and has been produced in cooperation with Digital Earth.
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preciousmetals0 · 5 years ago
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Chinese Blockchain-Based Mobile Payment Revolution: How Is the Biggest CO2 Polluter Becoming Leading World Solar Panels Producer
Chinese Blockchain-Based Mobile Payment Revolution: How Is the Biggest CO2 Polluter Becoming Leading World Solar Panels Producer:
Society is now witnessing the implementation of digital currencies, AI and blockchain technology worldwide. These new digital technologies require a high consumption of electric energy, which is currently produced with coal and fossil fuels that adversely impact the environment. A global shift toward green energy will require the removal of the technological, infrastructural, regulatory and tax policy barriers. In a series, my articles evaluate the tax, digital technology and solar policies (including space power satellites) of the top-CO2-emitting countries.
For the last three decades, China has been on an economic and technological growth path unequalled in size and duration in human history. Its government is playing an active role in shaping the global digital economy, serving as one of its biggest backers and building a world-class infrastructure to support digitization by acting as an investor, green-developer and consumer.
China’s leadership role in the digital payment area comes as no surprise and includes establishing the world’s first blockchain-based central bank issued digital currency — a stablecoin and mobile payment system called DCEP. After all, China pioneered the issuance of paper money during the Tang Dynasty (A.D. 618–907), which finally caught on in Europe and the United States during the 17th century, and still remains at the foundation of the modern economy.  
The world’s first central bank issued digital currency
The chairman of the China International Economic Exchange Center, Huang Qifan, explained that the organization has been working on DCEP for five to six years now, and he is fully confident it can be introduced within the next few months by the People’s Bank of China to seven institutions: 
The Industrial and Commercial Bank of China
China Construction Bank
The Bank of China
The Agricultural Bank of China
Alibaba
Tencent 
Union Pay
DCEP will eventually be available to the general public in 2020. 
The DCEP’s partial blockchain-based design will provide the PBoC with unprecedented oversight over money flows, giving them a degree of control over the Chinese economy that most central banks do not have. DCEP will be pegged 1:1 to the Chinese yuan, with the overall objective that it will eventually become a dominant global currency like the United States dollar. 
It will not be possible to mine or stake on the DCEP network. 
Stablecoins
Despite concerns from G-7 and G-20 regulators, Tether recently launched an offshore yuan-pegged stablecoin dubbed CNHT after launching a stablecoin pegged to the U.S. dollar, which is blamed for causing the world’s largest cryptocurrency bubble during 2017 by several class action attorneys in the U.S. who are suing the company for trillions of dollars in damages. Steven Mnuchin, secretary of the U.S. Treasury, supports the launch of stablecoins, including Facebook’s Libra — as long as U.S. financial regulations are followed. EU finance ministers, on the other hand, banned the launch of stablecoins in the region until the bloc has a common approach to regulation, since the EU parliament acknowledged in its latest report on “Financial crimes, tax evasion and tax avoidance” that cross-border cryptocurrency transactions remained a very high risk in terms of money laundering, financing of terrorism and tax evasion in the EU.
Users all over the world are able to earn stablecoins by mining. 
Related: Is US Environmental Tax Policy Hindering Solar Power to Fuel Digital Technologies?
Blockchain-based mobile payment system
Recently, Chinese President Xi Jinping passed a cryptography law and called on his country’s tech community to accelerate efforts in blockchain adoption. So far, China dominates in global blockchain patents, and according to a study conducted by the Central Committee of the Political Bureau of the Communist Party of China, there are over 700 blockchain companies in China. But according to the PBoC, the number of Chinese black market blockchain companies are about 40 times higher — at 28,000 — with 25,000 of these companies issuing their own crypto assets valued at over 110 billion yuan ($15 billion). 
In its latest report, CipherTrace estimated crypto crime activity at $4.4 billion for the first nine months of the year, noting that it had risen 150% compared to a year earlier. According to the global monetary watchdog, the Financial Action Task Force, this sharp increase is due to criminals constantly developing new and more sophisticated methods to obfuscate the flow of illicit funds via blockchain-based mobile devices.
Crypto assets can be earned by mining, even on cell phones
For better or worse, mobile blockchain payment technology adoption seems unstoppable. Huawei — currently the only company in the world that can offer the fifth generation of cellular network technology, or 5G — has boldly implemented the world’s first channel coding scheme (polar codes), pioneered by professor Dr. Erdal Arikan, and is collaborating with the PBoC on mobile blockchain payment projects.
China Telecom is actively developing blockchain-enabled 5G SIM cards to become one of the world’s leading platforms for mobile-based crypto asset transactions. At the end of October, 5G services were launched in more than 50 Chinese cities, creating one of the world’s largest 5G networks, with as many as 110 million 5G users. 
China’s Belt and Road Initiative (BRI), a massive free-trade plan involving over 130 other countries across Asia, Europe, Africa, and South America, is creating the Digital Silk Road of the 21st century and transforming China into a cyber-superpower. Chinese tech behemoths Alibaba and Tencent have already led the way in cross-border mobile digital payments by driving the shift away from cash, and now collectively control 90% of the $17 trillion mobile payments market, sharing a combined 1.5 billion users between them. Traders of the Digital Silk Road are sending cross-border payments from Hong Kong to the Philippines in mere seconds using blockchain-based, mobile digital wallets from Alipay and WeChat Pay.
Crypto asset mining
Inspired by its new focus on blockchain, China is committed to maintaining its world-leading position in cryptocurrency mining and keeping its massive mining farms in business. The specialized processors used for mining crypto (the world’s supply of which is largely provided by China) consume large amounts of electricity, mostly fueled by coal — a resource that has been fundamental to China’s unparalleled economic growth. China burns about half of the coal used globally each year. Between 2000 and 2018, its annual carbon emissions nearly tripled, now accounting for about 30% of the world’s total. China emerged as the world’s top CO2 polluter starting in 2017, when cryptocurrencies experienced an unprecedented global bubble, and continues to maintain this ranking to date. 
China currently accounts for roughly 60% of the global Bitcoin hashrate, down from a previously estimated high of 90% in 2017. In a private email, Tsou Yung Chen, Global CEO of RRMine — a cloud mining company — explained, “Our platform doesn’t own data centers, we are a Hashrate service provider. We cooperate with global data centers, convert Hashrate into liquid asset and provide it to investors. Most of our cooperative data centers are in Southwest China, which has abundant hydropower for cryptocurrency mining.”
Inner Mongolia is home to the world’s largest “Ordos” solar power plant, together with Xinjiang and Sichuan, constitute the big three Bitcoin mining bases in China. All three provinces also have the worst air quality. Susanne Köhler and Massimo Pizzol at Aalborg University in Denmark found that coal-heavy Inner Mongolia accounted for 12.3% of Bitcoin mining, but resulted in more than a quarter of the total country’s CO2 emissions, which has only increased since countries signed on to the Paris agreement. 
Liu Cixin, the celebrated Chinese science fiction writer, has advocated for “abolishing crude technologies such as fossil fuels and nuclear energy and keeping gentler technologies such as solar power and small-scale hydroelectric power.” During the past 25 years, China went from having virtually no solar panels to leading the world by a margin of more than 100%. The country surpassed Germany to become the world’s largest producer of photovoltaic power based on its 2011 five-year plan for energy production in 2015, became the first country to surpass the 100 GW of installed capacity in 2017. Estimates see China’s photovoltaic panel installations hitting a cumulative total of 370 GWdc by 2024 — more than double the projected capacity for the U.S.
During the past 10 years, China has also ranked number one in terms of the sums invested in renewable energy capacity by committing $758 billion between 2010 and the first half of 2019, with Chinese companies emerging as technology leaders in green transport and energy as well as digital infrastructure. Currently, China accounts for around 24% of global investment in renewables, with solar and wind capacity in BRI countries surging from 0.45 GW to 12.6 GW between 2014 and 2019 as a result.
According to an Energy Transitions Commission report, it is technically and economically feasible for China to become a fully decarbonized and green-developed economy by reaching a net-zero carbon emissions by mid-century, with solar energy comprising 44% of all renewable capacity additions until 2040, according to the International Energy Agency’s World Energy Outlook report. Subsidy-free solar projects can be built not only in most Chinese cities — and at a significantly cheaper price than coal, hydropower, nuclear and other grid-fed generation-sources — but also in the nations covered by the BRI.  
The reality is, wind and solar only accounted for 5.2% and 2.5%, respectively, of China’s national power generation in 2018, and during May, the Chinese National Energy Administration announced that it would stop providing subsidies for onshore renewable energy projects, which must now compete directly at auction with other forms of power generation. Solar energy also competes with the thick, gray air pollution that dims Chinese sunlight by about 13%. Renewable energy investment in China already dropped by 39% in the first half of 2019 compared to a year earlier, and starting Jan. 1, 2020, the pricing of electricity underwent a seismic change that may impact the competitiveness of renewable energy pricing in favor of coal.
Related: Green Policy and Crypto Energy Consumption in the EU
China’s Space Power Satellites (SPS) 
China is very serious about the idea of building renewable-energy projects in space to beam the sun’s energy back to Earth, fundamentally reshaping the way grids receive electricity. If scientists can overcome the formidable technical and economical challenges involved, SPS projects could represent a monumental leap in combating China’s addiction to coal power sources, which worsen air pollution and global warming.  Pang Zhihao, a researcher from the China Academy of Space Technology Corporation, described SPS as an “inexhaustible source of clean energy for humans.”
China’s solar power station plans under contemplation include the launch of small solar power stations into the stratosphere between 2021 and 2025 to generate electricity, followed by a space-based solar power station that can generate at least a megawatt of electricity in 2030, as well as a commercial-scale solar power plant in space by 2050. A receiving station will be built in Xi’an — the region’s space hub — to develop the world’s first SPS power farm.
The China National Space Agency has been collaborating with India Space Research Organization in fields such as lunar and deep space exploration. On Jan. 2, 2019, China made a historic first landing on the far side of the moon. The milestone marked a turning point for China’s space exploration and may factor into China’s SPS ambitions.
Related: Japan to Solarize Its Burgeoning Digital Economy, Expert Take
China’s tax policies
China is the world’s most populous country and number one in CO2 emissions as well as coal consumption. It is number two in the consumption of oil products, and number three in natural gas consumption. The country taxes 8% of CO2 emissions from energy use.
According to an IMF report, China ranks number one in subsidies to the hydrocarbon industry, at $1.4 trillion, and is world-third in terms of total coal reserves behind the U.S. and Russia. Fossil subsidies are used as a tool to influence the energy mix and energy prices in both China and at coal-fueled electricity plants across the BRI countries it heavily lends to and invests in. 
Conclusion
It is undeniable that China is once again taking the lead, this time by providing the world with a new blockchain-based mobile payment system, with the steep energy requirements that come with this new payment system being electrified by coal. Taking a proactive stance on the matter, Ziheng Zhou, partner and chief scientist at blockchain company VeChain, explained:
“We recognize that traditional carbon reduction is mainly driven by administrative orders. To counter this, we rolled out a market oriented Digital Carbon Ecosystem (DCE), the world’s first blockchain-based program that incentivizes people for protecting the environment.”
Only time will tell whether VeChain’s blockchain-based, market-oriented approach will end up contributing to environmental protection and reversing the effects of climate change as China takes the global lead in the wake of U.S. President Trump’s administration formally beginning the year-long process of pulling out of the Paris Agreement. In the interim, the failure of free markets to consider environmental costs and damages is being addressed by climate change-based class-action lawsuits against governments and corporations — originally a uniquely American undertaking and historically prohibited in most other countries — have ramped up and spread across 28 countries, including China, where public interest claims for such damages have seen some success.
The views, thoughts and opinions expressed here are the authors alone and do not necessarily reflect or represent the views and opinions of Cointelegraph.
Selva Ozelli, Esq., CPA is an international tax attorney and CPA who frequently writes about tax, legal and accounting issues for Tax Notes, Bloomberg BNA, other publications and the OECD.
0 notes
goldira01 · 5 years ago
Link
Society is now witnessing the implementation of digital currencies, AI and blockchain technology worldwide. These new digital technologies require a high consumption of electric energy, which is currently produced with coal and fossil fuels that adversely impact the environment. A global shift toward green energy will require the removal of the technological, infrastructural, regulatory and tax policy barriers. In a series, my articles evaluate the tax, digital technology and solar policies (including space power satellites) of the top-CO2-emitting countries.
For the last three decades, China has been on an economic and technological growth path unequalled in size and duration in human history. Its government is playing an active role in shaping the global digital economy, serving as one of its biggest backers and building a world-class infrastructure to support digitization by acting as an investor, green-developer and consumer.
China’s leadership role in the digital payment area comes as no surprise and includes establishing the world’s first blockchain-based central bank issued digital currency — a stablecoin and mobile payment system called DCEP. After all, China pioneered the issuance of paper money during the Tang Dynasty (A.D. 618–907), which finally caught on in Europe and the United States during the 17th century, and still remains at the foundation of the modern economy.  
The world’s first central bank issued digital currency
The chairman of the China International Economic Exchange Center, Huang Qifan, explained that the organization has been working on DCEP for five to six years now, and he is fully confident it can be introduced within the next few months by the People’s Bank of China to seven institutions: 
The Industrial and Commercial Bank of China
China Construction Bank
The Bank of China
The Agricultural Bank of China
Alibaba
Tencent 
Union Pay
DCEP will eventually be available to the general public in 2020. 
The DCEP’s partial blockchain-based design will provide the PBoC with unprecedented oversight over money flows, giving them a degree of control over the Chinese economy that most central banks do not have. DCEP will be pegged 1:1 to the Chinese yuan, with the overall objective that it will eventually become a dominant global currency like the United States dollar. 
It will not be possible to mine or stake on the DCEP network. 
Stablecoins
Despite concerns from G-7 and G-20 regulators, Tether recently launched an offshore yuan-pegged stablecoin dubbed CNHT after launching a stablecoin pegged to the U.S. dollar, which is blamed for causing the world’s largest cryptocurrency bubble during 2017 by several class action attorneys in the U.S. who are suing the company for trillions of dollars in damages. Steven Mnuchin, secretary of the U.S. Treasury, supports the launch of stablecoins, including Facebook’s Libra — as long as U.S. financial regulations are followed. EU finance ministers, on the other hand, banned the launch of stablecoins in the region until the bloc has a common approach to regulation, since the EU parliament acknowledged in its latest report on “Financial crimes, tax evasion and tax avoidance” that cross-border cryptocurrency transactions remained a very high risk in terms of money laundering, financing of terrorism and tax evasion in the EU.
Users all over the world are able to earn stablecoins by mining. 
Related: Is US Environmental Tax Policy Hindering Solar Power to Fuel Digital Technologies?
Blockchain-based mobile payment system
Recently, Chinese President Xi Jinping passed a cryptography law and called on his country’s tech community to accelerate efforts in blockchain adoption. So far, China dominates in global blockchain patents, and according to a study conducted by the Central Committee of the Political Bureau of the Communist Party of China, there are over 700 blockchain companies in China. But according to the PBoC, the number of Chinese black market blockchain companies are about 40 times higher — at 28,000 — with 25,000 of these companies issuing their own crypto assets valued at over 110 billion yuan ($15 billion). 
In its latest report, CipherTrace estimated crypto crime activity at $4.4 billion for the first nine months of the year, noting that it had risen 150% compared to a year earlier. According to the global monetary watchdog, the Financial Action Task Force, this sharp increase is due to criminals constantly developing new and more sophisticated methods to obfuscate the flow of illicit funds via blockchain-based mobile devices.
Crypto assets can be earned by mining, even on cell phones
For better or worse, mobile blockchain payment technology adoption seems unstoppable. Huawei — currently the only company in the world that can offer the fifth generation of cellular network technology, or 5G — has boldly implemented the world’s first channel coding scheme (polar codes), pioneered by professor Dr. Erdal Arikan, and is collaborating with the PBoC on mobile blockchain payment projects.
China Telecom is actively developing blockchain-enabled 5G SIM cards to become one of the world’s leading platforms for mobile-based crypto asset transactions. At the end of October, 5G services were launched in more than 50 Chinese cities, creating one of the world’s largest 5G networks, with as many as 110 million 5G users. 
China’s Belt and Road Initiative (BRI), a massive free-trade plan involving over 130 other countries across Asia, Europe, Africa, and South America, is creating the Digital Silk Road of the 21st century and transforming China into a cyber-superpower. Chinese tech behemoths Alibaba and Tencent have already led the way in cross-border mobile digital payments by driving the shift away from cash, and now collectively control 90% of the $17 trillion mobile payments market, sharing a combined 1.5 billion users between them. Traders of the Digital Silk Road are sending cross-border payments from Hong Kong to the Philippines in mere seconds using blockchain-based, mobile digital wallets from Alipay and WeChat Pay.
Crypto asset mining
Inspired by its new focus on blockchain, China is committed to maintaining its world-leading position in cryptocurrency mining and keeping its massive mining farms in business. The specialized processors used for mining crypto (the world’s supply of which is largely provided by China) consume large amounts of electricity, mostly fueled by coal — a resource that has been fundamental to China’s unparalleled economic growth. China burns about half of the coal used globally each year. Between 2000 and 2018, its annual carbon emissions nearly tripled, now accounting for about 30% of the world’s total. China emerged as the world’s top CO2 polluter starting in 2017, when cryptocurrencies experienced an unprecedented global bubble, and continues to maintain this ranking to date. 
China currently accounts for roughly 60% of the global Bitcoin hashrate, down from a previously estimated high of 90% in 2017. In a private email, Tsou Yung Chen, Global CEO of RRMine — a cloud mining company — explained, “Our platform doesn’t own data centers, we are a Hashrate service provider. We cooperate with global data centers, convert Hashrate into liquid asset and provide it to investors. Most of our cooperative data centers are in Southwest China, which has abundant hydropower for cryptocurrency mining.”
Inner Mongolia is home to the world’s largest “Ordos” solar power plant, together with Xinjiang and Sichuan, constitute the big three Bitcoin mining bases in China. All three provinces also have the worst air quality. Susanne Köhler and Massimo Pizzol at Aalborg University in Denmark found that coal-heavy Inner Mongolia accounted for 12.3% of Bitcoin mining, but resulted in more than a quarter of the total country’s CO2 emissions, which has only increased since countries signed on to the Paris agreement. 
Liu Cixin, the celebrated Chinese science fiction writer, has advocated for “abolishing crude technologies such as fossil fuels and nuclear energy and keeping gentler technologies such as solar power and small-scale hydroelectric power.” During the past 25 years, China went from having virtually no solar panels to leading the world by a margin of more than 100%. The country surpassed Germany to become the world’s largest producer of photovoltaic power based on its 2011 five-year plan for energy production in 2015, became the first country to surpass the 100 GW of installed capacity in 2017. Estimates see China’s photovoltaic panel installations hitting a cumulative total of 370 GWdc by 2024 — more than double the projected capacity for the U.S.
During the past 10 years, China has also ranked number one in terms of the sums invested in renewable energy capacity by committing $758 billion between 2010 and the first half of 2019, with Chinese companies emerging as technology leaders in green transport and energy as well as digital infrastructure. Currently, China accounts for around 24% of global investment in renewables, with solar and wind capacity in BRI countries surging from 0.45 GW to 12.6 GW between 2014 and 2019 as a result.
According to an Energy Transitions Commission report, it is technically and economically feasible for China to become a fully decarbonized and green-developed economy by reaching a net-zero carbon emissions by mid-century, with solar energy comprising 44% of all renewable capacity additions until 2040, according to the International Energy Agency’s World Energy Outlook report. Subsidy-free solar projects can be built not only in most Chinese cities — and at a significantly cheaper price than coal, hydropower, nuclear and other grid-fed generation-sources — but also in the nations covered by the BRI.  
The reality is, wind and solar only accounted for 5.2% and 2.5%, respectively, of China’s national power generation in 2018, and during May, the Chinese National Energy Administration announced that it would stop providing subsidies for onshore renewable energy projects, which must now compete directly at auction with other forms of power generation. Solar energy also competes with the thick, gray air pollution that dims Chinese sunlight by about 13%. Renewable energy investment in China already dropped by 39% in the first half of 2019 compared to a year earlier, and starting Jan. 1, 2020, the pricing of electricity underwent a seismic change that may impact the competitiveness of renewable energy pricing in favor of coal.
Related: Green Policy and Crypto Energy Consumption in the EU
China’s Space Power Satellites (SPS) 
China is very serious about the idea of building renewable-energy projects in space to beam the sun’s energy back to Earth, fundamentally reshaping the way grids receive electricity. If scientists can overcome the formidable technical and economical challenges involved, SPS projects could represent a monumental leap in combating China’s addiction to coal power sources, which worsen air pollution and global warming.  Pang Zhihao, a researcher from the China Academy of Space Technology Corporation, described SPS as an “inexhaustible source of clean energy for humans.”
China’s solar power station plans under contemplation include the launch of small solar power stations into the stratosphere between 2021 and 2025 to generate electricity, followed by a space-based solar power station that can generate at least a megawatt of electricity in 2030, as well as a commercial-scale solar power plant in space by 2050. A receiving station will be built in Xi’an — the region’s space hub — to develop the world’s first SPS power farm.
The China National Space Agency has been collaborating with India Space Research Organization in fields such as lunar and deep space exploration. On Jan. 2, 2019, China made a historic first landing on the far side of the moon. The milestone marked a turning point for China’s space exploration and may factor into China’s SPS ambitions.
Related: Japan to Solarize Its Burgeoning Digital Economy, Expert Take
China’s tax policies
China is the world’s most populous country and number one in CO2 emissions as well as coal consumption. It is number two in the consumption of oil products, and number three in natural gas consumption. The country taxes 8% of CO2 emissions from energy use.
According to an IMF report, China ranks number one in subsidies to the hydrocarbon industry, at $1.4 trillion, and is world-third in terms of total coal reserves behind the U.S. and Russia. Fossil subsidies are used as a tool to influence the energy mix and energy prices in both China and at coal-fueled electricity plants across the BRI countries it heavily lends to and invests in. 
Conclusion
It is undeniable that China is once again taking the lead, this time by providing the world with a new blockchain-based mobile payment system, with the steep energy requirements that come with this new payment system being electrified by coal. Taking a proactive stance on the matter, Ziheng Zhou, partner and chief scientist at blockchain company VeChain, explained:
“We recognize that traditional carbon reduction is mainly driven by administrative orders. To counter this, we rolled out a market oriented Digital Carbon Ecosystem (DCE), the world’s first blockchain-based program that incentivizes people for protecting the environment.”
Only time will tell whether VeChain’s blockchain-based, market-oriented approach will end up contributing to environmental protection and reversing the effects of climate change as China takes the global lead in the wake of U.S. President Trump’s administration formally beginning the year-long process of pulling out of the Paris Agreement. In the interim, the failure of free markets to consider environmental costs and damages is being addressed by climate change-based class-action lawsuits against governments and corporations — originally a uniquely American undertaking and historically prohibited in most other countries — have ramped up and spread across 28 countries, including China, where public interest claims for such damages have seen some success.
The views, thoughts and opinions expressed here are the authors alone and do not necessarily reflect or represent the views and opinions of Cointelegraph.
Selva Ozelli, Esq., CPA is an international tax attorney and CPA who frequently writes about tax, legal and accounting issues for Tax Notes, Bloomberg BNA, other publications and the OECD.
0 notes
whittlebaggett8 · 6 years ago
Text
Consolidating India’s Indian Ocean Strategy
Altered nationwide passions in the Indian Ocean are promptly reworking the location into an arena of reoriented strategic disposition for common powers like the United States, France, Russia, and the U.K., as properly as an spot of emerging passions for China, Australia, and Japan. Considering that the Cold War, India has remained a peninsular witness to this pivotal shift in the region’s worth, but its latest plan reformulations vis-à-vis the Indian Ocean location and the greater Indo-Pacific are indications of increasing awareness to the adjustments underway. However, regardless of the gains manufactured, worries remain in this essential maritime area of remerging Asian geopolitics.
The new governing administration in India begins on the back of quite a couple gains, which seem to have consolidated its regional maritime technique in the Indian Ocean area (IOR). Early in his final time period, Prime Minister Narendra Modi significantly visited a few important Indian Ocean nations around the world, the Seychelles, Mauritius, and Sri Lanka, in 2015. In the adhering to 12 months, he frequented Mozambique, South Africa, Tanzania, and Kenya, four littoral countries of the Indian Ocean. Apart from these, in the final five several years India has partly undone the hurt to relations with its crucial IOR neighbor, the Maldives ties experienced endured below the previous pro-China government in Male underneath Abdulla Yameen. As for strategic techniques in the IOR, securing port access in Duqm, Oman for military use India’s determination to produce its maiden deep-sea port in Indonesia’s Sabang furthering talks for a doable military services foundation at Assumption Island in the Seychelles and securing logistics agreements with the U.S., France, and Singapore have been vital decisions for consolidating India’s regional naval presence as properly as deterring exterior energy dominance.
Modi’s determination to stop by the Maldives, an Indian Ocean region, on his initial pay a visit to to any region in his 2nd expression ties in with India’s motivation to consolidate its Indian Ocean vision. The new government’s aim on the Bay of Bengal Initiative for Multi-Sectoral Complex and Financial Cooperation (BIMSTEC) — prioritizing relations with Bangladesh, Bhutan, Myanmar, Nepal, Sri Lanka, and Thailand — underscores New Delhi’s maritime eyesight in the IOR and the Indo-Pacific. Heading forward, India’s regional consolidation in the Indian Ocean will depend on at the very least four variables: steps taken to harness the likely of the country’s coastlines and oceans to ability a blue overall economy the speed and efficiency with which its Maritime Capacity Viewpoint Strategy (MCPP) is implemented sturdy maritime diplomacy with the international locations of the IOR, invoking the ideal spirit of Safety and Advancement for All in the Area (SAGAR) and efficient, expansive partnership with external powers of the area.
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With its blue financial state focus, India intends to market intelligent, sustainable, and inclusive growth and work prospects inside of the Indian Ocean region’s maritime financial pursuits. The effort is staying led by the Indian Ocean Rim Association and incorporates a spectrum of challenges which include fisheries, aquaculture, seafood products and solutions, seaport and delivery, maritime connectivity, port administration and operations, marine spatial organizing, ocean forecasting, blue carbon, and renewable electricity.
On the security entrance, the MCPP is a grand regional strategy to bolster India’s operational capabilities by inducting new warships, submarines, and aircraft apart from improving New Delhi’s affect in the strategic maritime zones. It aims at a comprehensive enhancement of naval capabilities by inducting 200 ships, 500 aircraft, and 24 attack submarines (in contrast to India’s current degrees of just in excess of 130 ships, 220 aircraft, and 15 submarines). Amid gradual inductions, procurement clearance delays, and bureaucratic hurdles, having said that, there is still a prolonged way to go right before recognizing the Indian Navy’s MCPP. Further than just the components of difficult electrical power, a ton will depend on how the Indian Navy will assimilate foreseeable future systems into its operational standards, particularly significant info analytics and artificial intelligence to offer with a swiftly changing fight area.
Diplomatically, India’s SAGAR technique stays constrained to a grand eyesight that ties India’s IOR aspirations with those of the Indo-Pacific. Littoral nations around the world of the IOR, like these in Southeast Asia, are keen to see India’s maritime eyesight translate into constructive leadership that not only appears over and above India’s speedy regional passions and terrific power politics but also delivers an alternate to expense procedures led by the Chinese Belt and Street Initiative. Though the Indo-Pacific vision, in its emphasis on ASEAN centrality together with its focus on the African coastline, does underscore India’s SAGAR spirit, a great deal continues to be to be accomplished on in the location of stability cooperation with India’s maritime neighbors and aiding them in building their maritime protection capabilities.
Finally, a consequential part of India’s rising regional maritime method is the way its partnerships with external powers in the IOR are shaping up. The role of external powers has turn out to be crucial to the evolving maritime get in the IOR. The region had witnessed great electric power competitiveness all through the Chilly War and continues to see competitive coexistence, if not outright rivalry, amongst key gamers. Nonetheless, as opposed to the Cold War, smaller nations have received strategic importance owing to their positioning, major to a subtle just one-upmanship amongst competing powers for strategic leverage. Although China’s BRI has weaved alongside one another a host of nations around the world together critical nodes in the IOR, generating unprecedented personal debt affect in international locations like the Maldives, Sri Lanka, and Myanmar, other exterior powers like Australia, France, Japan , the U.K., and the U.S. have sought to repurpose their strategic existence in the IOR to counter any domination by China. In this mix, India carries on to perform it harmless. When its logistics agreements with France and the United States possibly give it obtain to crucial ports like Djibouti close to the horn of Africa, Reunion Islands around Madagascar, and Diego Garcia in southern Indian Ocean — beside other advantages like joint training and refueling with strategic partner navies — India carries on to exercise strategic ambivalence in the Indian Ocean. This is additional obvious in its Indo-Pacific technique than any where else. India continues to term its tactic in the Indo-Pacific as “inclusive,” with no defining the limitations of inclusivity. Does it incorporate China? To be absolutely sure, India has taken subtle measures not to antagonize China in this part of the entire world. For instance, it proceeds to hold Australia out of the Malabar sequence of naval exercise routines, which now involves Japan and the United States. India has also pussyfooted on its Quad policies, evidently negating any will need for protection polarization in the Indo-Pacific. Whether this method requires to modify will depend on how India consolidates its Indian Ocean strategy going ahead.
Having said that, the single remarkable obstacle for India’s new governing administration will be to distinguish its maritime vision from that of its major strategic husband or wife in the area, the United States. Whilst India proceeds to perceive the Indo-Pacific as extending from the Persian Gulf to ASEAN nations around the world and Japan in the east, there is rising pressure from Washington to clip the Persian Gulf out of that eyesight via sanctions on India’s electricity imports from Iran. Although the Indian authorities stopped oil imports from Iran amidst political uncertainty in New Delhi, the Modi govt has hinted at ideas to resume purchases of Iranian oil, skirting U.S. sanctions. In addition to enunciating the gravity of India’s dependence on oil imports, the selection to flout U.S. sanctions is telling of a refined line of change that New Delhi has drawn even though developing its individual Indo-Pacific eyesight. India’s mission-centered deployments have introduced the Gulf area underneath the immediate strategic aim of its Navy. In the exact regard, the P8I surveillance planes of Indian Navy have been carrying out anti-piracy patrol sorties in Salalah in the Gulf of Aden and other piracy susceptible parts.
On its eastern seaboard, India proceeds to cooperate with the Quad nations around the world, owning just concluded a conference in Bangkok in between officials of the U.S., Japan, Australia, and India, who held consultations on their collective attempts for a totally free, open up, and inclusive Indo-Pacific. As New Delhi proceeds to search for stability between its “Act East” and “Look West” visions, the consolidation of its IOR vision will be essential for straddling its two subtly variant visions for the two ends of the Indo-Pacific seaboard.
Vivek Mishra is Assistant Professor of Global Relations at the Netaji Institute for Asian Scientific studies, Kolkata.
The post Consolidating India’s Indian Ocean Strategy appeared first on Defence Online.
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gclsystem-blog · 6 years ago
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GCL Strengthens Partnership with Japan's Mitusi Amid China-Japan Third Party Market Cooperation Plan
BEIJING, Oct. 29, 2018 /PRNewswire/ -- Zhu Gongshan, Chairman of GCL Group (the "GCL"), the world's leading one-stop solutions provider for solar projects, has participated in the first China-Japan Third Party Market Cooperation Forum("the Forum").The Forum is held in conjunction with Japan's Prime Minister Shinzo Abe's visit to Beijing, which aims to bring together the economic strengths of both countries. Companies from China and Japan have inked over 50 partnership deals at the Forum, and GCL Group was part of them. GCL has reached an agreement with Japan's Mitsui & Co., Ltd. on the implementation of investment projects and will further explore more partnership opportunities.
At the Forum, the two nations reached agreements on third party market cooperation, GCL exchanged ideas with Japanese business representatives on strengthening cooperation in the fields of international and domestic clean energy and new energy.
The Forum has also served as an important platform for the 1,600 government officials, key industry representatives and enterprises from China and Japan who attended to exchange thoughts on new avenues of cooperation in a range of industries.
GCL Group has a strong presence in countries that fall within China's "Belt and Road" Initiative (BRI) and has strengthened the development of its solar projects in them. GCL continues to push ahead with more cooperation agreements as it expands overseas, and the partnership agreement with Japan's Mitsui & Co., Ltd is in-line with GCL's overall expansion strategy.
About GCL Group
Golden Concord Group Limited (the "GCL") is a global energy group that specializes in clean energy, new energy and related industries. It is the world-top manufacturer of silicon materials with advanced technologies. GCL supplies 30% of highly efficient PV materials to the world. Its total installed capacity of PV power stations ranks the second in the world. GCL has formed the most integrated PV industrial chain in the world which boast of the largest collection of intellectual property.
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(source:https://en.gclsi.com/newsDetail/GCL_Strengthens_Partnership_with_Japan's_Mitusi_Amid_China-Japan_Third_Party_Market_Cooperation_Plan)
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smartmeindia-blog · 6 years ago
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Pakistan rejects report on BRI renegotiation, says committed to CPEC
Pakistan rejects report on BRI renegotiation, says committed to CPEC
The two sides had in-depth exchange of views on all issues of mutual interest. (Express)
Pakistan on Monday rejected a media report that Prime Minister Imran Khan’s newly elected government plans to renegotiate the agreements reached under China’s ambitious Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) and said the country remains committed to the successful implementation of the CPEC. The Financial…
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uniteordie-usa · 7 years ago
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The petro-yuan bombshell
http://uniteordie-usa.com/the-petro-yuan-bombshell/ http://uniteordie-usa.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/01/Dollar-Value-Since-1913-600x386.jpg The petro-yuan bombshell by Pepe Escobar (cross-posted with the Asia Times by special agreement with the author) The new 55-page “America First” National Security Strategy  (NSS), drafted over the course of 2017, defines Russia and China as “revisionist” powers, “rivals”, and for all practical purposes strategic competi...
by Pepe Escobar (cross-posted with the Asia Times by special agreement with the author)
The new 55-page “America First” National Security Strategy  (NSS), drafted over the course of 2017, defines Russia and China as “revisionist” powers, “rivals”, and for all practical purposes strategic competitors of the United States.
The NSS stops short of defining Russia and China as enemies, allowing for an “attempt to build a great partnership with those and other countries”. Still, Beijing qualified it as “reckless” and “irrational.” The Kremlin noted its “imperialist character” and “disregard for a multipolar world”. Iran, predictably, is described by the NSS as “the world’s most significant state sponsor of terrorism.”
Russia, China and Iran happen to be the three key movers and shakers in the ongoing geopolitical and geoeconomic process of Eurasia integration.
The NSS can certainly be regarded as a response to what happened at the BRICS summit in Xiamen last September. Then, Russian President Vladimir Putin insisted on “the BRIC countries’ concerns over the unfairness of the global financial and economic architecture which does not give due regard to the growing weight of the emerging economies”, and stressed the need to “overcome the excessive domination of a limited number of reserve currencies”.
That was a clear reference to the US dollar, which accounts for nearly two thirds of total reserve currency around the world and remains the benchmark determining the price of energy and strategic raw materials.
And that brings us to the unnamed secret at the heart of the NSS; the Russia-China “threat” to the US dollar.
The CIPS/SWIFT face-off
The website of the China Foreign Exchange Trade System (CFETS) recently announced the establishment of a yuan-ruble payment system, hinting that similar systems regarding other currencies participating in the New Silk Roads, a.k.a. Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) will also be in place in the near future.
Crucially, this is not about reducing currency risk; after all Russia and China have increasingly traded bilaterally in their own currencies since the 2014 US-imposed sanctions on Russia. This is about the implementation of a huge, new alternative reserve currency zone, bypassing the US dollar.
The decision follows the establishment by Beijing, in October 2015, of the China International Payments System (CIPS). CIPS has a cooperation agreement with the private, Belgium-based SWIFT international bank clearing system, through which virtually every global transaction must transit.
What matters in this case is that Beijing – as well as Moscow – clearly read the writing on the wall when, in 2012, Washington applied pressure on SWIFT; blocked international clearing for every Iranian bank; and froze $100 billion in Iranian assets overseas as well as Tehran’s potential to export oil. In the event Washington might decide to slap sanctions on China, bank clearing though CIPS works as a de facto sanctions-evading mechanism.
Last March, Russia’s central bank opened its first office in Beijing. Moscow is launching its first $1 billion yuan-denominated government bond sale. Moscow has made it very clear it is committed to a long term strategy to stop using the US dollar as their primary currency in global trade, moving alongside Beijing towards what could be dubbed a post-Bretton Woods exchange system.
Gold is essential in this strategy. Russia, China, India, Brazil & South Africa are all either large producers or consumers of gold – or both. Following what has been extensively discussed in their summits since the early 2010s, the BRICS are bound to focus on trading physical gold.
Markets such as COMEX actually trade derivatives on gold, and are backed by an insignificant amount of physical gold. Major BRICS gold producers – especially the Russia-China partnership – plan to be able to exercise extra influence in setting up global gold prices.
The ultimate politically charged dossier
Intractable questions referring to the US dollar as top reserve currency have been discussed at the highest levels of JP Morgan for at least five years now. There cannot be a more politically charged dossier. The NSS duly sidestepped it.
The current state of play is still all about the petrodollar system; since last year what used to be a key, “secret” informal deal between the US and the House of Saud is firmly in the public domain.
Even warriors in the Hindu Kush may now be aware of how oil and virtually all commodities must be traded in US dollars, and how these petrodollars are recycled into US Treasuries. Through this mechanism Washington has accumulated an astonishing $20 trillion in debt – and counting.
Vast populations all across MENA (Middle East-Northern Africa) also learned what happened when Iraq’s Saddam Hussein decided to sell oil in euros, or when Muammar Gaddafi planned to issue a pan-African gold dinar.
But now it’s China who’s entering the fray, following on plans set up way back in 2012. And the name of the game is oil-futures trading priced in yuan, with the yuan fully convertible into gold on the Shanghai and Hong Kong foreign exchange markets.
The Shanghai Futures Exchange and its subsidiary, the Shanghai International Energy Exchange (INE) have already run four production environment tests for crude oil futures. Operations were supposed to start at the end of 2017; but even if they start sometime in early 2018 the fundamentals are clear; this triple win (oil/yuan/gold) completely bypasses the US dollar. The era of the petro-yuan is at hand.
Of course there are questions on how Beijing will technically manage to set up a rival mark to Brent and WTI, or whether China’s capital controls will influence it. Beijing has been quite discreet on the triple win; the petro-yuan was not even mentioned in National Development and Reform Commission documents following the 19th CCP Congress last October.
What’s certain is that the BRICS supported the petro-yuan move at their summit in Xiamen, as diplomats confirmed to Asia Times. Venezuela is also on board. It’s crucial to remember that Russia is number two and Venezuela is number seven among the world’s Top Ten oil producers. Considering the pull of China’s economy, they may soon be joined by other producers.
Yao Wei, chief China economist at Societe Generale in Paris, goes straight to the point, remarking how “this contract has the potential to greatly help China’s push for yuan internationalization.”
The hidden riches of “belt” and “road”
An extensive report by DBS in Singapore hits most of the right notes linking the internationalization of the yuan with the expansion of BRI.
In 2018, six major BRI projects will be on overdrive; the Jakarta-Bandung high-speed railway, the China-Laos railway, the Addis Ababa-Djibouti railway, the Hungary-Serbia railway, the Melaka Gateway project in Malaysia, and the upgrading of Gwadar port in Pakistan.
HSBC estimates that BRI as a whole will generate no less than an additional, game-changing $2.5 trillion worth of new trade a year.
It’s important to keep in mind that the “belt” in BRI should be seen as a series of corridors connecting Eastern China with oil/gas rich regions in Central Asia and the Middle East, while the “roads” soon to be plied by high-speed rail traverse regions filled with – what else – un-mined gold.
A key determinant of the future of the petro-yuan is what the House of Saud will do about it. Should Crown Prince – and inevitable future king – MBS opt to follow Russia’s lead, to dub it as a paradigm shift would be the understatement of the century.
Yuan-denominated gold contracts will be traded not only in Shanghai and Hong Kong but also in Dubai. Saudi Arabia is also considering to issue so-called Panda bonds, after the Emirate of Sharjah is set to take the lead in the Middle East for Chinese interbank bonds.
Of course the prelude to D-Day will be when the House of Saud officially announces it accepts yuan for at least part of its exports to China. A follower of the Austrian school of economics correctly asserts that for oil-producing nations, higher oil price in US dollars is not as important as market share; “They are increasingly able to choose in which currencies they want to trade.”
What’s clear is that the House of Saud simply cannot alienate China as one of its top customers; it’s Beijing who will dictate future terms. That may include extra pressure for Chinese participation in Aramco’s IPO. In parallel, Washington would see Riyadh embracing the petro-yuan as the ultimate red line.
An independent European report points to what may be the Chinese trump card; “an authorization to issue treasury bills in yuan by Saudi Arabia”; the creation of a Saudi investment fund; and the acquisition of a 5% share of Aramco.
Nations under US sanctions such as Russia, Iran and Venezuela will be among the first to embrace the petro-yuan. Smaller producers such as Angola and Nigeria are already selling oil/gas to China in yuan.
And if you don’t export oil but is part of BRI, such as Pakistan, the least you can do is replace the US dollar in bilateral trade, as Interior Minister Ahsan Iqbal is currently evaluating.
A key feature of the geoconomic heart of the world moving from the West to Asia is that by the start of the next decade the petro-yuan and trade bypassing the US dollar will be certified facts on the ground across Eurasia.
The NSS for its part promises to preserve “peace through strength”. As Washington currently deploys no less than 291,000 troops in 183 countries and has sent Special Ops to no less than 149 nations in 2017 alone, it’s hard to argue the US is at “peace” – especially when the NSS seeks to channel even more resources to the industrial-military complex.
“Revisionist” Russia-China have committed an unpardonable sin; they have concluded that pumping the US military budget by buying US bonds that allow the US Treasury to finance a multi-trillion dollar deficit without raising interest rates is an unsustainable proposition for the Global South. Their “threat” – under the framework of the BRICS as well as the SCO, which includes prospective members Iran and Turkey – is to increasingly settle bilateral and multilateral trade bypassing the US dollar.
It ain’t over till the fat (golden) lady sings. When the beginning of the end of the petrodollar system – established by Kissinger in tandem with the House of Saud way back in 1974 – becomes a fact on the ground, all eyes will be focused on the NSS counterpunch.
Read More: http://thesaker.is/the-petro-yuan-bombshell/
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whittlebaggett8 · 6 years ago
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3 Ways China Can Make the Belt and Road Initiative More Successful
As a midsize European nation, Italy is maintaining a subtle stability between the European Union and China because its signing of a memorandum of comprehending on signing up for Beijing’s Belt and Street Initiative (BRI). Understandably, this member of the G-7 might bear a good amount of money of multidimensional force and skepticism from outside because of to the divided interpretations of the BRI within Europe, as well as the truth that Italy’s participation could someway dilute the U.S. affect in the area.
From an apolitical point of view, on the other hand, China has performed a proper work of detailing what the initiative is and prolonged a sincere invitation to each and every region to join. According to the most up-to-date BRI report in 2019 launched by the nation, the Chinese federal government had signed 173 cooperation agreements with 125 countries and 29 international companies by the close of March 2019. Exclusively, the six big corridors for intercontinental financial cooperation – the New Eurasian Land Bridge, China-Mongolia-Russia, China-Central Asia-West Asia, China-Indochina Peninsula, China-Pakistan, and Bangladesh-China-India-Myanmar financial corridors – link the Asian and European economic circles collectively.
It is feasible that, in the foreseeable long run, the Pax Americana may be changed. The BRI is carrying out a new form of “collaborative globalization” past a U.S.-led just one. As long as the BRI sticks to the a few concepts — mutual consultation, joint design, and shared benefits — as proposed by Chinese President Xi Jinping originally, the BRI will conclusion up obtaining sanguine sights across the world. Italy’s involvement is a pleasant kick-off.
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Even so, to even more make improvements to China’s BRI is initially to realize that even as the initiative did get a earn in Italy, so considerably, it has not performed so completely. Pursuing the expanding coverage over 70 nations around the world across Asia, Europe, Africa, and Latin America, issues from outsiders have emerged, hugely publicized and prevailing in the western bloc: What is the BRI all about? Is it a world-wide method or just an inter-regional initiative? Will it just be a program that China could acquire benefit for itself? How could nations take part in its growth and enhancement?
In purchase to be reassuring, one particular have to apparent the prospective roadblocks, which mainly worry the adhering to three concerns: transparency, engagement, and connectivity among the community.
Among the all the parts, transparency is at the prime of the pyramid all the time to crystal clear up skepticism viewing the initiative as “exclusively excellent.” Frequently speaking, prioritizing the BRI requires Beijing to establish measurable benchmarks as very well as crucial venture oversight mechanisms, including by opening access to the growth deal procedure, if not commercially labeled, less than the supervision of many regulators.
“It will be hard for China to encourage doubters on money owed till it is open up about the requirements it employs in choosing who to lend to and why,” commented James Crabtree in the Monetary Instances. This refers to a honest and controlled method for tenders throughout the spectrum. Right here will come a concrete example of federal government finances transparency. By counting the scores of countries along the BRI as presented by the Intercontinental Spending plan Partnership, we could find out that most of these states score below 60 out of 100, foremost to corruption, alongside with both overflow or deficiency of funding.
To make improvements to transparency, just about every state is supposed to present a lot more detailed and in depth details on funds files, such as the venture basis, implementation proposal, fund allocation, and performance appraisal. The system of an open legislative listening to could be founded to allow for the community to testify and get included in the overview. Plus, the whole system of publicly reporting the preliminary planning, mid-phrase inspection, and evaluation of the government finances really should grow to be a regulatory norm. If this can be understood, all these aforementioned criticisms on transparency will wind up collapsing on them selves.
But this is not the end. Misperceptions on constrained reciprocal marketplace entry to all members normally comes immediately after the concern of transparency. But this wrong premise ought to also be clarified: the BRI would not only profit nations immediately on the geographical route of the BRI map. As an alternative, it is created to assist growth together the Belt and Street route, which characteristically encompasses both of those land and maritime areas, as China aims to get the entire world on board.
Comparing the present-day range of both of those nations around the world and other organizations concerned, we could absolutely do much more. As a scenario in position, nongovernmental businesses (NGOs) play a vital role that has not yet been fully fulfilled. For some delicate sectors regarding international relations and domestic politics, it may well be imprudent if China as a place gets involved straight, which would be at odds with its nonintervention rule in overseas coverage as effectively. As a result, with broad engagement from NGOs and other establishments, we can gain a further comprehending of the regional lifestyle and purely natural and societal disorders in BRI countries. It is also achievable to obtain out the crux of local economic and social advancement and make corresponding modifications so as to much better cater for the development of recipient countries.
In addition, connectivity between the public is yet another area that should really be highlighted. According to  the Pew Investigate Center, sights about China differ substantially across the nations surveyed: “a median of 45 per cent have a favorable view of China even though 43 p.c keep an unfavorable perspective.” On the bright side, nations around the world that formulate financial ties as a result of the BRI with China are most most likely to express sanguine and good attitudes towards Beijing. And that could be a highly effective defense from individuals who take sinister sights of the BRI as “neocolonialism.” Nonetheless China is continue to expected to work more durable on exhibiting the outsiders that inside of the BRI neighborhood, individuals-to-people today ties are starting to be closer and far more intimate. As we after explained on the Sino-African connection, “China is also modifying its methods to bridging the many cultural gaps that inhibit closer cooperation and comprehending.”
Solutions to the above troubles can be done in two strategies. To start with, the worldwide media should really spend a lot more attention to the vivid development of the area people’s life, from the focal place of the political implications and venture cooperation in the construction of the BRI as it employed to be. Next, the initiative alone should information financial cooperation at the macro amount towards more folks at the bottom of society, and steadily handle poverty alleviation, environmental protection, health care care, and catastrophe reduction, and boost the improved implementation of human enhancement, so that neighborhood men and women can come to feel a perception of belonging.
Criticism of the BRI will hardly ever end, but it behooves us to much better understand what our companions imagine, and thus correct the corresponding troubles. It is a actuality that China’s BRI generally survives in the cracks. As considerably as accomplishment is anxious, we are not there just nonetheless.
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whittlebaggett8 · 6 years ago
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Afghanistan: Prospects and Challenges to Regional Connectivity
Afghanistan’s strategic site has for a extended time been touted as a competitive advantage for the place. The National Unity Government (NUG) has emphasised that Afghanistan’s overall economy will be reworked and financial development attained if the state can employ this benefit and switch alone into a regional hub for trade and transit. To materialize that ambition, nevertheless, Afghanistan needs comprehensive infrastructure improvement internally and connectivity externally. To that stop, Afghanistan can tap into the probable of regional connectivity jobs like China’s Belt and Highway Initiative (BRI) and Russia, India, and Iran’s Worldwide North-South Transportation Corridor (INSTC) that have occur on to the scene in the latest decades.
Yet, the prospect of these initiatives in setting Afghanistan on the path to self-reliance stays unpromising, at minimum in the quick run, as the region carries on to face a multitude of interdependent problems. This was verified by the conclusions of a modern examine by the Business for Plan Exploration and Progress Studies (DROPS), a exploration imagine tank primarily based in Kabul.
Afghanistan’s Path to Regional Connectivity
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Afghan and Chinese policymakers see Afghanistan’s locale as its greatest benefit below the BRI, mostly mainly because it facilitates the motion of products, information, and vitality. The DROPS study reveals that whilst the BRI initially bypassed Afghanistan, Chinese officers introduced concrete techniques to integrate Afghanistan in 2017, a calendar year following signing of a joint MOU. As it stands, China is joined to northern Afghanistan through the graduation of the Sino-Afghanistan Special Railway Transportation Challenge and the Five Nations Railway Project. China also would like to url itself to southern Afghanistan by means of the China-Pakistan Financial Corridor (CPEC) but this has been gained with hesitation by Afghanistan as its caught in the middle of a dispute between Pakistan and India around CPEC traversing by way of disputed territory. China and Afghanistan have now initiated a fiber optic link via the Wakhan corridor and are seeking to website link the BRI to different electricity jobs and extractive sectors. Kabul-Urumqi flights resumed in 2016.
Lots of in Afghanistan experience these to be modest ways at most effective, not to mention most are continue to in the feasibility review stage. Critics are calling for extra concrete steps and investment decision to accompany these major strategies. Nevertheless, China’s ambassador to Afghanistan, Liu Jinsong, outlined Afghanistan as a essential associate in the BRI.
One more key regional connectivity undertaking is the nascent Intercontinental North-South Transport Corridor (INSTC) getting superior by Russia, Iran, and India as of 2017 to connection the Indian Ocean to Europe. Afghanistan has the possible to backlink itself with INSTC by Chabahar port and the Lapis Lazuli Corridor. The to start with shipment from India attained Afghanistan by way of Chabahar port in November 2017, generating the port a strategic alternate to Pakistan’s Karachi port on which Afghanistan has hence far been heavily dependent. Moreover, Afghanistan despatched the initially cargo of merchandise to Europe by means of the Lapis Lazuli Corridor in mid-December 2018. With both equally Chabahar port and the Lapis Lazuli Corridor now in operation, the INSTC could additional chances for Afghanistan to accessibility the Indian Ocean and Europe.
Issues Going through Connectivity
Notwithstanding the prospective buyers these initiatives keep for Afghanistan, we detect a number of problems, as outlined in the DROPS study, that stand in Afghanistan’s way to becoming self-reliant by way of regional economic connectivity jobs. Foremost, the examine finds that as extended as Afghanistan stays in a state of ongoing conflict and political instability, it will not be able to fortify its place in the area to materialize its regional connectivity ambitions. Countries want to experience that Afghanistan is a risk-free trade and transit hub and that they can understand a return on their investments. Furthermore, the infrastructure deficit stays a major hurdle and important reforms are required in the financial and banking establishments — these as safe and sound and knowledgeable standardized transactions– to make the ecosystem trader friendly. These issues, in accordance to policymakers in Afghanistan, limit the country’s role in regional and global economic initiatives to that of a “policy taker” somewhat than an “initiator.” This place weakens Afghanistan’s bargaining placement as its pursuits in these procedures often stay secondary to others.
Another draw back is the deficiency of progress in Afghanistan’s domestic economy and export sector. Afghanistan’s overall economy remains largely a consuming 1 therefore, if the country back links alone far too hastily to regional jobs, it compromises the expansion of its area economic climate as it will face competitors from more robust economies, this sort of as China, Iran, India, and Pakistan, that its domestic sector presently can not match.
Also, political frailty in relations involving Afghanistan and its neighbors, specifically Pakistan, poses but a different bottleneck for its integration into regional initiatives these as the BRI. The menace of financial possibilities becoming undermined by politics is really appropriate to Afghanistan’s circumstance. For instance, the study finds that the Afghanistan-Pakistan Transit Trade Agreement (APPTA) signed in 2010 for 5 yrs was by no means renewed just after it expired in 2015, owing to disagreements among Afghanistan and Pakistan over such as India. Disagreements involving India and Pakistan have also prevented Afghanistan from planning techniques to url itself to CPEC. Sanctions by the United States on Iran in 2015 have also still left a unfavorable affect on Afghanistan’s economic climate. Whilst partially relieved by a the latest U.S. exemption on Chabahar port in November 2018, the sanctions keep on to influence remittances, imports, and the illegal movement of U.S. currency from Afghanistan to Iran.  
The Way Forward
Afghanistan has a extensive and challenging street to changeover from an help dependent financial system to a trade and transit financial state. The Afghan federal government sights initiatives these kinds of as the BRI and INSTC as automobiles that could allow it to renovate its financial system but for Afghanistan its journey to self-reliance is a race towards time. The stop of the Transformation 10 years is intently approaching, and by 2024 there will be a major decline in the aid it receives. It does not surface from this examine that the BRI and INSTC will be ready to alter Afghanistan’s economic trajectory in the in the vicinity of term as their implementation depends on infrastructure enhancement, reforms, addressing regional trade rivalries, improving upon administration, constructing regional capacities, be certain greater governance, and  tackling corruption — all of which are, in switch, dependent on much bigger countrywide and regional issues related to Afghanistan’s security and safety.
With out likely into these bigger concerns, which is outside of the scope of this paper, underneath are a handful of crucial recommendations highlighted in the CROPS review by Afghan governing administration officers, the non-public sector, and civil culture corporations on how Afghanistan can remodel its economic system. Initial, Afghanistan really should create its possess proactive procedures and domestic capacities to entice many others to link with its initiatives alternatively then usually connecting to initiatives of others in the area. This is very important simply because, provided the safety an financial predicament, there is fewer motive and interest for other international locations to make an overture towards Afghanistan. 2nd, Afghanistan by itself can not handle the obstacles to knowing its full prospective as a regional hub and requires a regional strategy to “turn these weaknesses into core competencies.” This regional method may perhaps include things like regional cooperation, regional integration, and attraction of investment decision in Afghanistan’s infrastructure that will convert it into a regional hub for trade and transit. Third, the Afghan govt ought to avoid adopting hostile economic procedures with some nations, like Pakistan, whilst endorsing favorable kinds with other individuals, like India. It is a good idea that the Afghan govt steer clear of intermingling economic system and politics.  
Mariam Safi is the founding Director of the Corporation for Coverage Exploration and Enhancement Reports (DROPS), a main think-tank in Afghanistan. She is a member of the Afghanistan Plan Team, a Senior Fellow at the Institute of Nationwide Protection Scientific tests Sri Lanka, an alumni at the In close proximity to East South Asia Centre for Strategic Scientific studies, and a community peace-setting up skilled for Peace Immediate. Ms. Safi has an MA in Worldwide Peace Experiments from the United Nations-mandated College for Peace in San José (Costa Rica).
Bismellah Alizada is the deputy director at DROPS. He retains a BA in political science from Kabul University and has been involved in civil culture and human rights activism given that 2012 when he co-started Youth Improvement Affiliation (YDA), a nearby CSO centered on youth and women empowerment by advocacy, coaching, and consciousness elevating. He has also co-translated the e book China in the 21st Century: What Absolutely everyone Requirements to Know.
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