#2019jan

[kristinemaebsnapshots]

Just keep on moving and wandering while wondering about the past.

📍 Bopiliao Historical Block (剝皮寮歷史街區)

1.02.2019 | 📸 @kristinemaeb

[saintmeghanmarkle]

Post III: Identity clues/language/lost friendship - @TorontoPaper1 Revisit by u/PleaseJustText

Post III: Identity clues/language/lost friendship - @TorontoPaper1 Revisit DISCLOSURE - I do NOT want to spam the sub! I have additional tweets saved/grouped & can post them, but again - I do not want to spam. Some themes are also very controversial, Epstein, et. I worried about posting them & crossing political lines. Topics:MM's fake racism claimsHow she & Harry broke up more than onceHow MM got involved in politics & should not have done that (In both the UK and the US)Epstein - MANY tweets on thisMANY references to fake pregnancies, while also alluding to actual children*Hi again, fellow Sinners ....It's raining here & I can't weed my flower beds so I'm back down the rabbit hole. It's my day 'home alone.' :) Today, I focused on the tweets referring to the apparent lost friendship between MM & the person/people behind the Twitter account.We/Us is mentioned several timesThe author/authors also warn MM ... people she thinks are her friends ... are not.The author/authors are sad RE: what they THOUGHT was a true friendship - 'DEEP/HEARTFELT.'Also refers to her, 'former victim' being in control??'We love the British sense of humor' is also referenced, which makes me think - this is definitely from NOT from British authors. As an American, I would say, 'THE British sense of humor.' I feel like a British person would just say, 'a British sense of humor.' No 'The.' If that makes sense.I also included one of several tweets with a French phrase. In English, this one translates into, 'A friend is slow to find and quick to lose.'Tweets are in chronological order:Feb 9, 2019Feb 10, 2019Feb. 11, 2019 -- ENGLISH: 'A friend is slow to find and quick to lose.'Feb 14, 2019Feb 14, 2019March, 4, 2019March 8, 2019March 9, 2019March 11, 2019Jan 20, 2020Jan 7, 2020 post link: https://ift.tt/v3IBfYa author: PleaseJustText submitted: May 08, 2024 at 08:09PM via SaintMeghanMarkle on Reddit disclaimer: all views + opinions expressed by the author of this post, as well as any comments and reblogs, are solely the author's own; they do not necessarily reflect the views of the administrator of this Tumblr blog. For entertainment only.

[amrselim]

LUSAIL COMMERCIAL BOULEVARD

LUSAIL COMMERCIAL BOULEVARD Jan 2018 – Jan 2019Jan 2018 – Jan 2019 BIM Manager IN REDCO (QATAR) in LUSAIL COMMERCIALBOULEVARD DESIGN AND BUILD OF MIXED USE BUILDINGSCommercial Boulevard District (CBD) is part of the Lusail City Development andenvisioned to be the heart of Lusail. For this key district, LREDC is both the masterdeveloper and plot developer. The Commercial Boulevard District…

[ceascult]

INNA - Sin Ti

[chifumin]

Editorial work for Vogue Taiwan @voguetaiwan January #2019jan shot by Leslie kee #lesliekee @lesliekeesuper #nikacole @nika.cole #model #imagemodel @imagemodelstokyo #voguetaiwan #editorial #photoshoot #shooting #fashion #yohjiyamamoto #styling #photography #hair #makeup #makeupbyme #chifumi https://www.instagram.com/p/BtxkCfRDxNj/?utm_source=ig_tumblr_share&igshid=dbigp0cg85zo

[theliberaltony]

via Politics – FiveThirtyEight

Find a raceOverallAlabamaAlaskaAmerican SamoaArizonaArkansasCaliforniaColoradoConnecticutDelawareDemocrats AbroadDistrict of ColumbiaFloridaGeorgiaGuamHawaiiIdahoIllinoisIndianaIowaKansasKentuckyLouisianaMaineMarylandMassachusettsMichiganMinnesotaMississippiMissouriMontanaNebraskaNevadaNew HampshireNew JerseyNew MexicoNew YorkNorth CarolinaNorth DakotaNorthern MarianasOhioOklahomaOregonPennsylvaniaPuerto RicoRhode IslandSouth CarolinaSouth DakotaTennesseeTexasUtahVermontVirgin IslandsVirginiaWashingtonWest VirginiaWisconsinWyomingNational viewMONDAY, FEB. 3

Iowa

TUESDAY, FEB. 11

New Hampshire

SATURDAY, FEB. 22

Nevada

SATURDAY, FEB. 29

South Carolina

TUESDAY, MAR. 3Super Tuesday

California

Texas

North Carolina

Virginia

Massachusetts

Minnesota

Colorado

Tennessee

Alabama

Oklahoma

Arkansas

Utah

Maine

Vermont

American Samoa

TUESDAY, MAR. 10

Michigan

Washington

Missouri

Mississippi

Idaho

North Dakota

Democrats Abroad

SATURDAY, MAR. 14

Northern Marianas

TUESDAY, MAR. 17

Florida

Illinois

Ohio

Arizona

TUESDAY, MAR. 24

Georgia

SUNDAY, MAR. 29

Puerto Rico

SATURDAY, APRIL 4

Louisiana

Hawaii

Alaska

Wyoming

TUESDAY, APRIL 7

Wisconsin

TUESDAY, APRIL 28

New York

Pennsylvania

Maryland

Connecticut

Rhode Island

Delaware

SATURDAY, MAY 2

Kansas

Guam

TUESDAY, MAY 5

Indiana

TUESDAY, MAY 12

Nebraska

West Virginia

TUESDAY, MAY 19

Oregon

Kentucky

TUESDAY, JUNE 2

New Jersey

New Mexico

District of Columbia

Montana

South Dakota

SATURDAY, JUNE 6

Virgin Islands

UPDATED DEC. 12, 2019, AT 4:44 PM

Who Will Win The 2020 Democratic Nomination?Our latest forecast for how many pledged delegates each candidate will win after all states have voted

FiveThirtyEight’s model simulates the primary season thousands of times to find the most likely outcome for each candidate. The chart shows how many delegates, on average, each candidate is projected to have pledged to them at each point in the primary season, along with a range of possible delegate counts. We’re also showing the distribution of simulated final pledged delegate counts in the table, where taller bars mean a more likely outcome. Right now, many candidates, even the front-runners, wind up with tall bars close to zero — generally, those are simulations where the candidate dropped out before having a chance to accumulate many delegates.

IOWAVIRGIN ISLANDSFEB. 3, 2020MAR. 1APRIL 1MAY 1JUNE 60 500 1,000 1,500 1,990 2,500 3,000 delegates0 500 1,000 1,500 1,990 2,500 3,000 delegatesMAJORITY OF PLEDGED DELEGATESMAJORITY OF PLEDGED DELEGATESTODAY01k2k3k1,5511,551AVG.AVG.986986668668493493RANGE OF FORECASTED OUTCOMESBidenSandersWarrenButtigiegMAJORITYMAJORITYHow each candidate’s chances of winning more than half of pledged delegatesa plurality of pledged delegateshave changed over timeNOV. 5, 2019JAN. 1, 2020FEB. 3APRIL 1JUNE 60 20 40 60 80 100%IOWAVIRGIN ISLANDSFORECASTLAUNCHLATESTLATEST ODDSBiden2 in 5(43%)Sanders1 in 5(21%)No one1 in 8(13%)Warren1 in 8(12%)Buttigieg1 in 12(9%)Other1 in 50(2%)

Welcome to our new 2020 Democratic Primary Forecast. Predicting the primaries is a tricky business. During the first couple weeks of the model’s life, as we start to see how it reacts to real-world data, we reserve the right to make minor changes and bug fixes. See something you think is wrong? Send us an email.

How does FiveThirtyEight forecast elections? Read our methodology »See the polls behind the forecast: All national polls »See more from FiveThirtyEight on

2020 ELECTION

14 HOURS AGOForeign Policy Doesn’t Usually Affect Elections. Could Iran Be Different?

By Nathaniel Rakich

PODCAST

2 DAYS AGOHow The Iran Conflict Could Affect The 2020 Election

By Galen Druke

2020 ELECTION

2 DAYS AGOTrump Is The Most Unpopular President Since Ford To Run For Reelection

By Nathaniel Rakich

2020 ELECTION

3 DAYS AGOTrump’s Approach To Iran Highlights Both Parties’ Internal Divides

By Perry Bacon Jr.

Upcoming primaries and caucuses

Who will win in Iowa?

BidenSandersButtigiegWarrenKlobucharSteyerYangBookerBloombergGabbardWilliamsonBennetPatrickDelaneyHarrisCastroSestakBullock is forecasted to win an average of 28% of the vote in Iowa. In 80% of simulations, he wins between 5% and 49% of the vote. He has a 1 in 3 (35%) chance of winning the most votes, slightly better than the second most likely winner, Sanders, who has a 1 in 4 (26%) chance.How each candidate’s forecasted share of the vote has changedFORECAST LAUNCH11/24/1912/151/5/201/260 20 40 60%0 20 40 60%ELECTIONThe latest forecasted range of outcomes for vote share 0%10203040506070809010027.8%27.8%Biden’s averageBiden’s averageMore likely outcomes ▲

Turning votes into delegates

BidenSandersButtigiegWarrenKlobucharSteyerYangBookerBloombergGabbardWilliamsonBennetPatrickDelaneyHarrisCastroSestakBullock is forecasted to win an average of 14 pledged delegates out of a possible 41. There is an 80% chance that he wins between 0 and 28 delegates. He has a 2 in 5 (40%) chance of winning the most delegates, better than the second most likely winner, Sanders, who has a 1 in 4 (26%) chance.How each candidate’s forecasted delegate total has changedFORECAST LAUNCH11/24/1912/151/5/201/2601020300102030ELECTIONThe latest forecasted range of outcomes for delegates051015202530354013.613.6Biden’s averageBiden’s averageMore likely outcomes ▲

Where the delegates come from

Iowa will award 41 pledged delegates: 14 will be given out based on the statewide vote, and 27 will be given out based on the vote in its congressional districts.

Average forecasted statewide delegates= 1 DELEGATE

Biden

4.4

Sanders

3.5

Buttigieg

3.1

Warren

2.2

Others

0.9Average forecasted district-level delegates= 1 DELEGATE8.4All districtsHover to see a district average6.7All districts5.9All districts4.2All districts1.9All districtsSee the polls behind the forecast: All Iowa polls and polling averages »

Who will win in New Hampshire?

SandersBidenButtigiegWarrenKlobucharSteyerGabbardYangBookerBennetWilliamsonPatrickDelaneyBloombergHarrisCastroSestakBullock is forecasted to win an average of 23% of the vote in New Hampshire. In 80% of simulations, he wins between 2% and 44% of the vote. He has a 3 in 10 (32%) chance of winning the most votes, slightly better than the second most likely winner, Biden, who has a 3 in 10 (29%) chance.How each candidate’s forecasted share of the vote has changedFORECAST LAUNCH11/24/1912/151/5/201/260 20 40 60%0 20 40 60%ELECTIONThe latest forecasted range of outcomes for vote share 0%10203040506070809010023.0%23.0%Sanders’s averageSanders’s averageMore likely outcomes ▲

Turning votes into delegates

SandersBidenButtigiegWarrenKlobucharSteyerGabbardYangBookerBennetWilliamsonPatrickDelaneyBloombergHarrisCastroSestakBullock is forecasted to win an average of 7 pledged delegates out of a possible 24. There is an 80% chance that he wins between 0 and 16 delegates. He has a 3 in 10 (31%) chance of winning the most delegates, slightly worse than the most likely winner, Biden, who has a 1 in 3 (34%) chance.How each candidate’s forecasted delegate total has changedFORECAST LAUNCH11/24/1912/151/5/201/260510152005101520ELECTIONThe latest forecasted range of outcomes for delegates0246810121416182022247.07.0Sanders’s averageSanders’s averageMore likely outcomes ▲

Where the delegates come from

New Hampshire will award 24 pledged delegates: eight will be given out based on the statewide vote, and 16 will be given out based on the vote in its congressional districts.

Average forecasted statewide delegates= 1 DELEGATE

Sanders

2.4

Biden

2.2

Buttigieg

1.6

Warren

1.5

Others

0.4Average forecasted district-level delegates= 1 DELEGATE4.7All districtsHover to see a district average4.3All districts3.2All districts2.9All districts0.8All districtsSee the polls behind the forecast: All New Hampshire polls and polling averages »

Who will win in Nevada?

BidenSandersWarrenButtigiegKlobucharBloombergSteyerYangBookerBennetPatrickGabbardWilliamsonDelaneyHarrisCastroSestakBullock is forecasted to win an average of 30% of the vote in Nevada. In 80% of simulations, he wins between 0% and 60% of the vote. He has a 2 in 5 (38%) chance of winning the most votes, slightly better than the second most likely winner, Sanders, who has a 3 in 10 (31%) chance.How each candidate’s forecasted share of the vote has changedFORECAST LAUNCH11/24/1912/151/5/201/262/160 20 40 60%0 20 40 60%ELECTIONThe latest forecasted range of outcomes for vote share 0%10203040506070809010030.4%30.4%Biden’s averageBiden’s averageMore likely outcomes ▲

Turning votes into delegates

BidenSandersWarrenButtigiegKlobucharBloombergSteyerYangBookerBennetPatrickGabbardWilliamsonDelaneyHarrisCastroSestakBullock is forecasted to win an average of 13 pledged delegates out of a possible 36. There is an 80% chance that he wins between 0 and 27 delegates. He has a 2 in 5 (42%) chance of winning the most delegates, better than the second most likely winner, Sanders, who has a 3 in 10 (29%) chance.How each candidate’s forecasted delegate total has changedFORECAST LAUNCH11/24/1912/151/5/201/262/1601020300102030ELECTIONThe latest forecasted range of outcomes for delegates0510152025303512.812.8Biden’s averageBiden’s averageMore likely outcomes ▲

Where the delegates come from

Nevada will award 36 pledged delegates: 13 will be given out based on the statewide vote, and 23 will be given out based on the vote in its congressional districts.

Average forecasted statewide delegates= 1 DELEGATE

Biden

4.4

Sanders

3.8

Warren

2.4

Buttigieg

1.5

Others

0.8Average forecasted district-level delegates= 1 DELEGATE7.8All districtsHover to see a district average6.7All districts4.2All districts2.8All districts1.6All districtsSee the polls behind the forecast: All Nevada polls and polling averages »

Who will win in South Carolina?

BidenSandersWarrenButtigiegSteyerKlobucharBookerYangWilliamsonGabbardBennetPatrickDelaneyBloombergHarrisCastroSestakBullock is forecasted to win an average of 36% of the vote in South Carolina. In 80% of simulations, he wins between 3% and 63% of the vote. He has a 3 in 5 (58%) chance of winning the most votes, much better than the second most likely winner, Sanders, who has a 1 in 5 (19%) chance.How each candidate’s forecasted share of the vote has changedFORECAST LAUNCH11/24/1912/221/19/202/160 20 40 60%0 20 40 60%ELECTIONThe latest forecasted range of outcomes for vote share 0%10203040506070809010035.7%35.7%Biden’s averageBiden’s averageMore likely outcomes ▲

Turning votes into delegates

BidenSandersWarrenButtigiegSteyerKlobucharBookerYangWilliamsonGabbardBennetPatrickDelaneyBloombergHarrisCastroSestakBullock is forecasted to win an average of 25 pledged delegates out of a possible 54. There is an 80% chance that he wins between 0 and 49 delegates. He has a 3 in 5 (56%) chance of winning the most delegates, much better than the second most likely winner, Sanders, who has a 1 in 5 (20%) chance.How each candidate’s forecasted delegate total has changedFORECAST LAUNCH11/24/1912/221/19/202/160204002040ELECTIONThe latest forecasted range of outcomes for delegates0510152025303540455025.225.2Biden’s averageBiden’s averageMore likely outcomes ▲

Where the delegates come from

South Carolina will award 54 pledged delegates: 19 will be given out based on the statewide vote, and 35 will be given out based on the vote in its congressional districts.

Average forecasted statewide delegates= 1 DELEGATE

Biden

8.8

Sanders

4.3

Warren

2.6

Buttigieg

1.9

Others

1.4Average forecasted district-level delegates= 1 DELEGATE16.1All districtsHover to see a district average7.8All districts4.7All districts3.6All districts2.7All districtsSee the polls behind the forecast: All South Carolina polls and polling averages »

Who will win in California?

BidenSandersWarrenButtigiegKlobucharBloombergYangSteyerBookerGabbardBennetWilliamsonPatrickDelaneyHarrisCastroSestakBullock is forecasted to win an average of 25% of the vote in California. In 80% of simulations, he wins between 0.3% and 51% of the vote. He has a 1 in 3 (37%) chance of winning the most votes, slightly better than the second most likely winner, Sanders, who has a 3 in 10 (31%) chance.How each candidate’s forecasted share of the vote has changedFORECAST LAUNCH11/24/1912/221/19/202/160 20 40 60%0 20 40 60%ELECTIONThe latest forecasted range of outcomes for vote share 0%10203040506070809010025.3%25.3%Biden’s averageBiden’s averageMore likely outcomes ▲

Turning votes into delegates

BidenSandersWarrenButtigiegKlobucharBloombergYangSteyerBookerGabbardBennetWilliamsonPatrickDelaneyHarrisCastroSestakBullock is forecasted to win an average of 139 pledged delegates out of a possible 415. There is an 80% chance that he wins between 0 and 300 delegates. He has a 2 in 5 (39%) chance of winning the most delegates, slightly better than the second most likely winner, Sanders, who has a 3 in 10 (30%) chance.How each candidate’s forecasted delegate total has changedFORECAST LAUNCH11/24/1912/221/19/202/1601002003000100200300ELECTIONThe latest forecasted range of outcomes for delegates050100150200250300350400139.4139.4Biden’s averageBiden’s averageMore likely outcomes ▲

Where the delegates come from

California will award 415 pledged delegates: 144 will be given out based on the statewide vote, and 271 will be given out based on the vote in its congressional districts.

Average forecasted statewide delegates= 1 DELEGATE

Biden

46.3

Sanders

42.6

Warren

28.8

Buttigieg

17.7

Others

8.6Average forecasted district-level delegates= 1 DELEGATE86.2All districtsHover to see a district average79.4All districts53.3All districts33.8All districts18.3All districtsSee the polls behind the forecast: All California polls and polling averages »

Who will win in Texas?

BidenSandersWarrenButtigiegKlobucharBloombergSteyerYangBookerBennetWilliamsonDelaneyPatrickGabbardHarrisCastroSestakBullock is forecasted to win an average of 30% of the vote in Texas. In 80% of simulations, he wins between 1% and 56% of the vote. He has a 1 in 2 (49%) chance of winning the most votes, a bit better than the second most likely winner, Sanders, who has a 1 in 4 (23%) chance.How each candidate’s forecasted share of the vote has changedFORECAST LAUNCH11/24/1912/221/19/202/160 20 40 60%0 20 40 60%ELECTIONThe latest forecasted range of outcomes for vote share 0%10203040506070809010030.0%30.0%Biden’s averageBiden’s averageMore likely outcomes ▲

Turning votes into delegates

BidenSandersWarrenButtigiegKlobucharBloombergSteyerYangBookerBennetWilliamsonDelaneyPatrickGabbardHarrisCastroSestakBullock is forecasted to win an average of 93 pledged delegates out of a possible 228. There is an 80% chance that he wins between 0 and 185 delegates. He has a 1 in 2 (49%) chance of winning the most delegates, better than the second most likely winner, Sanders, who has a 1 in 4 (23%) chance.How each candidate’s forecasted delegate total has changedFORECAST LAUNCH11/24/1912/221/19/202/16050100150200050100150200ELECTIONThe latest forecasted range of outcomes for delegates02040608010012014016018020022092.992.9Biden’s averageBiden’s averageMore likely outcomes ▲

Where the delegates come from

Texas will award 228 pledged delegates: 79 will be given out based on the statewide vote, and 149 will be given out based on the vote in its state Senate districts.

Average forecasted statewide delegates= 1 DELEGATE

Biden

31.9

Sanders

19.9

Warren

13.3

Buttigieg

9.1

Others

4.9Average forecasted district-level delegates= 1 DELEGATE58.9All districtsHover to see a district average37.0All districts25.1All districts17.9All districts10.1All districtsSee the polls behind the forecast: All Texas polls and polling averages »

Who will win in North Carolina?

BidenSandersWarrenButtigiegKlobucharBloombergSteyerBookerYangBennetGabbardWilliamsonPatrickDelaneyHarrisCastroSestakBullock is forecasted to win an average of 34% of the vote in North Carolina. In 80% of simulations, he wins between 0.7% and 62% of the vote. He has a 1 in 2 (55%) chance of winning the most votes, much better than the second most likely winner, Sanders, who has a 1 in 5 (20%) chance.How each candidate’s forecasted share of the vote has changedFORECAST LAUNCH11/24/1912/221/19/202/160 20 40 60%0 20 40 60%ELECTIONThe latest forecasted range of outcomes for vote share 0%10203040506070809010033.6%33.6%Biden’s averageBiden’s averageMore likely outcomes ▲

Turning votes into delegates

BidenSandersWarrenButtigiegKlobucharBloombergSteyerBookerYangBennetGabbardWilliamsonPatrickDelaneyHarrisCastroSestakBullock is forecasted to win an average of 49 pledged delegates out of a possible 110. There is an 80% chance that he wins between 0 and 95 delegates. He has a 1 in 2 (54%) chance of winning the most delegates, much better than the second most likely winner, Sanders, who has a 1 in 5 (22%) chance.How each candidate’s forecasted delegate total has changedFORECAST LAUNCH11/24/1912/221/19/202/16020406080100020406080100ELECTIONThe latest forecasted range of outcomes for delegates010203040506070809010011048.748.7Biden’s averageBiden’s averageMore likely outcomes ▲

Where the delegates come from

North Carolina will award 110 pledged delegates: 38 will be given out based on the statewide vote, and 72 will be given out based on the vote in its congressional districts.

Average forecasted statewide delegates= 1 DELEGATE

Biden

16.6

Sanders

9.0

Warren

5.8

Buttigieg

4.1

Others

2.4Average forecasted district-level delegates= 1 DELEGATE31.4All districtsHover to see a district average17.0All districts10.9All districts7.8All districts4.9All districtsSee the polls behind the forecast: All North Carolina polls and polling averages »

Who will win in Virginia?

BidenSandersWarrenButtigiegKlobucharBloombergSteyerBookerYangBennetWilliamsonPatrickGabbardHarrisCastroDelaneySestakBullock is forecasted to win an average of 32% of the vote in Virginia. In 80% of simulations, he wins between 1% and 60% of the vote. He has a 1 in 2 (52%) chance of winning the most votes, much better than the second most likely winner, Sanders, who has a 1 in 5 (20%) chance.How each candidate’s forecasted share of the vote has changedFORECAST LAUNCH11/24/1912/221/19/202/160 20 40 60%0 20 40 60%ELECTIONThe latest forecasted range of outcomes for vote share 0%10203040506070809010032.3%32.3%Biden’s averageBiden’s averageMore likely outcomes ▲

Turning votes into delegates

BidenSandersWarrenButtigiegKlobucharBloombergSteyerBookerYangBennetWilliamsonPatrickGabbardHarrisCastroDelaneySestakBullock is forecasted to win an average of 42 pledged delegates out of a possible 99. There is an 80% chance that he wins between 0 and 82 delegates. He has a 1 in 2 (51%) chance of winning the most delegates, better than the second most likely winner, Sanders, who has a 1 in 5 (22%) chance.How each candidate’s forecasted delegate total has changedFORECAST LAUNCH11/24/1912/221/19/202/16020406080020406080ELECTIONThe latest forecasted range of outcomes for delegates010203040506070809041.941.9Biden’s averageBiden’s averageMore likely outcomes ▲

Where the delegates come from

Virginia will award 99 pledged delegates: 34 will be given out based on the statewide vote, and 65 will be given out based on the vote in its congressional districts.

Average forecasted statewide delegates= 1 DELEGATE

Biden

14.2

Sanders

7.9

Warren

5.2

Buttigieg

4.8

Others

1.9Average forecasted district-level delegates= 1 DELEGATE26.9All districtsHover to see a district average15.1All districts9.9All districts9.1All districts4.0All districtsSee the polls behind the forecast: All Virginia polls and polling averages »

Who will win in Massachusetts?

BidenWarrenSandersButtigiegKlobucharBloombergSteyerBennetBookerYangGabbardWilliamsonPatrickDelaneyHarrisCastroSestakBullock is forecasted to win an average of 25% of the vote in Massachusetts. In 80% of simulations, he wins between 0.2% and 51% of the vote. He has a 1 in 3 (33%) chance of winning the most votes, slightly better than the second most likely winner, Warren, who has a 3 in 10 (29%) chance.How each candidate’s forecasted share of the vote has changedFORECAST LAUNCH11/24/1912/221/19/202/160 20 40 60%0 20 40 60%ELECTIONThe latest forecasted range of outcomes for vote share 0%10203040506070809010025.0%25.0%Biden’s averageBiden’s averageMore likely outcomes ▲

Turning votes into delegates

BidenWarrenSandersButtigiegKlobucharBloombergSteyerBennetBookerYangGabbardWilliamsonPatrickDelaneyHarrisCastroSestakBullock is forecasted to win an average of 29 pledged delegates out of a possible 91. There is an 80% chance that he wins between 0 and 64 delegates. He has a 2 in 5 (37%) chance of winning the most delegates, better than the second most likely winner, Warren, who has a 1 in 4 (25%) chance.How each candidate’s forecasted delegate total has changedFORECAST LAUNCH11/24/1912/221/19/202/16020406080020406080ELECTIONThe latest forecasted range of outcomes for delegates010203040506070809029.229.2Biden’s averageBiden’s averageMore likely outcomes ▲

Where the delegates come from

Massachusetts will award 91 pledged delegates: 32 will be given out based on the statewide vote, and 59 will be given out based on the vote in its congressional districts.

Average forecasted statewide delegates= 1 DELEGATE

Biden

9.7

Warren

8.9

Sanders

7.4

Buttigieg

4.4

Others

1.6Average forecasted district-level delegates= 1 DELEGATE17.7All districtsHover to see a district average16.2All districts13.5All districts8.3All districts3.2All districtsSee the polls behind the forecast: All Massachusetts polls and polling averages »

Who will win in Minnesota?

See the polls behind the forecast: All Minnesota polls and polling averages »

Who will win in Colorado?

See the polls behind the forecast: All Colorado polls and polling averages »

Who will win in Tennessee?

See the polls behind the forecast: All Tennessee polls and polling averages »

Who will win in Alabama?

See the polls behind the forecast: All Alabama polls and polling averages »

Who will win in Oklahoma?

See the polls behind the forecast: All Oklahoma polls and polling averages »

Who will win in Arkansas?

Who will win in Utah?

Who will win in Maine?

See the polls behind the forecast: All Maine polls and polling averages »

Who will win in Vermont?

Who will win in American Samoa?

Who will win in Michigan?

See the polls behind the forecast: All Michigan polls and polling averages »

Who will win in Washington?

BidenSandersWarrenButtigiegKlobucharBloombergSteyerYangBookerBennetGabbardWilliamsonDelaneyPatrickHarrisCastroSestakBullock is forecasted to win an average of 27% of the vote in Washington. In 80% of simulations, he wins between 0% and 59% of the vote. He has a 2 in 5 (37%) chance of winning the most votes, slightly better than the second most likely winner, Sanders, who has a 3 in 10 (31%) chance.How each candidate’s forecasted share of the vote has changedFORECAST LAUNCH11/24/1912/221/19/202/160 20 40 60%0 20 40 60%ELECTIONThe latest forecasted range of outcomes for vote share 0%10203040506070809010026.9%26.9%Biden’s averageBiden’s averageMore likely outcomes ▲

Turning votes into delegates

BidenSandersWarrenButtigiegKlobucharBloombergSteyerYangBookerBennetGabbardWilliamsonDelaneyPatrickHarrisCastroSestakBullock is forecasted to win an average of 30 pledged delegates out of a possible 89. There is an 80% chance that he wins between 0 and 68 delegates. He has a 2 in 5 (40%) chance of winning the most delegates, slightly better than the second most likely winner, Sanders, who has a 3 in 10 (30%) chance.How each candidate’s forecasted delegate total has changedFORECAST LAUNCH11/24/1912/221/19/202/16020406080020406080ELECTIONThe latest forecasted range of outcomes for delegates0102030405060708030.230.2Biden’s averageBiden’s averageMore likely outcomes ▲

Where the delegates come from

Washington will award 89 pledged delegates: 31 will be given out based on the statewide vote, and 58 will be given out based on the vote in its congressional districts.

Average forecasted statewide delegates= 1 DELEGATE

Biden

10.1

Sanders

9.5

Warren

5.7

Buttigieg

3.9

Others

1.8Average forecasted district-level delegates= 1 DELEGATE18.8All districtsHover to see a district average17.6All districts10.7All districts7.4All districts3.5All districtsSee the polls behind the forecast: All Washington polls and polling averages »

Who will win in Missouri?

BidenSandersWarrenButtigiegKlobucharBloombergSteyerBookerYangBennetGabbardWilliamsonPatrickDelaneyHarrisCastroSestakBullock is forecasted to win an average of 32% of the vote in Missouri. In 80% of simulations, he wins between 0.5% and 65% of the vote. He has a 1 in 2 (46%) chance of winning the most votes, a bit better than the second most likely winner, Sanders, who has a 1 in 5 (22%) chance.How each candidate’s forecasted share of the vote has changedFORECAST LAUNCH11/24/1912/221/19/202/160 20 40 60%0 20 40 60%ELECTIONThe latest forecasted range of outcomes for vote share 0%10203040506070809010032.0%32.0%Biden’s averageBiden’s averageMore likely outcomes ▲

Turning votes into delegates

BidenSandersWarrenButtigiegKlobucharBloombergSteyerBookerYangBennetGabbardWilliamsonPatrickDelaneyHarrisCastroSestakBullock is forecasted to win an average of 27 pledged delegates out of a possible 68. There is an 80% chance that he wins between 0 and 58 delegates. He has a 1 in 2 (46%) chance of winning the most delegates, better than the second most likely winner, Sanders, who has a 1 in 4 (23%) chance.How each candidate’s forecasted delegate total has changedFORECAST LAUNCH11/24/1912/221/19/202/1602040600204060ELECTIONThe latest forecasted range of outcomes for delegates0510152025303540455055606527.227.2Biden’s averageBiden’s averageMore likely outcomes ▲

Where the delegates come from

Missouri will award 68 pledged delegates: 24 will be given out based on the statewide vote, and 44 will be given out based on the vote in its congressional districts.

Average forecasted statewide delegates= 1 DELEGATE

Biden

9.4

Sanders

5.6

Warren

4.2

Buttigieg

3.6

Others

1.3Average forecasted district-level delegates= 1 DELEGATE17.1All districtsHover to see a district average10.2All districts7.6All districts6.6All districts2.5All districtsSee the polls behind the forecast: All Missouri polls and polling averages »

Who will win in Mississippi?

BidenSandersWarrenButtigiegKlobucharBloombergSteyerBookerBennetYangWilliamsonPatrickGabbardDelaneyHarrisCastroSestakBullock is forecasted to win an average of 41% of the vote in Mississippi. In 80% of simulations, he wins between 0.9% and 75% of the vote. He has a 3 in 5 (60%) chance of winning the most votes, much better than the second most likely winner, Sanders, who has a 1 in 6 (18%) chance.How each candidate’s forecasted share of the vote has changedFORECAST LAUNCH11/24/1912/221/19/202/160 20 40 60 80%0 20 40 60 80%ELECTIONThe latest forecasted range of outcomes for vote share 0%10203040506070809010040.5%40.5%Biden’s averageBiden’s averageMore likely outcomes ▲

Turning votes into delegates

BidenSandersWarrenButtigiegKlobucharBloombergSteyerBookerBennetYangWilliamsonPatrickGabbardDelaneyHarrisCastroSestakBullock is forecasted to win an average of 18 pledged delegates out of a possible 36. There is an 80% chance that he wins between 0 and 36 delegates. He has a 3 in 5 (58%) chance of winning the most delegates, much better than the second most likely winner, Sanders, who has a 1 in 5 (20%) chance.How each candidate’s forecasted delegate total has changedFORECAST LAUNCH11/24/1912/221/19/202/16010203040010203040ELECTIONThe latest forecasted range of outcomes for delegates0510152025303518.218.2Biden’s averageBiden’s averageMore likely outcomes ▲

Where the delegates come from

Mississippi will award 36 pledged delegates: 13 will be given out based on the statewide vote, and 23 will be given out based on the vote in its congressional districts.

Average forecasted statewide delegates= 1 DELEGATE

Biden

6.6

Sanders

2.7

Warren

1.5

Buttigieg

1.1

Others

1.1Average forecasted district-level delegates= 1 DELEGATE11.6All districtsHover to see a district average4.8All districts2.7All districts2.0All districts2.0All districtsSee the polls behind the forecast: All Mississippi polls and polling averages »

Who will win in Idaho?

BidenSandersWarrenButtigiegKlobucharBloombergSteyerYangBookerGabbardWilliamsonPatrickBennetDelaneyHarrisCastroSestakBullock is forecasted to win an average of 28% of the vote in Idaho. In 80% of simulations, he wins between 0.7% and 60% of the vote. He has a 2 in 5 (40%) chance of winning the most votes, slightly better than the second most likely winner, Sanders, who has a 3 in 10 (30%) chance.How each candidate’s forecasted share of the vote has changedFORECAST LAUNCH11/24/1912/221/19/202/160 20 40 60%0 20 40 60%ELECTIONThe latest forecasted range of outcomes for vote share 0%10203040506070809010028.4%28.4%Biden’s averageBiden’s averageMore likely outcomes ▲

Turning votes into delegates

BidenSandersWarrenButtigiegKlobucharBloombergSteyerYangBookerGabbardWilliamsonPatrickBennetDelaneyHarrisCastroSestakBullock is forecasted to win an average of 7 pledged delegates out of a possible 20. There is an 80% chance that he wins between 0 and 16 delegates. He has a 2 in 5 (43%) chance of winning the most delegates, better than the second most likely winner, Sanders, who has a 3 in 10 (29%) chance.How each candidate’s forecasted delegate total has changedFORECAST LAUNCH11/24/1912/221/19/202/160510152005101520ELECTIONThe latest forecasted range of outcomes for delegates024681012141618207.47.4Biden’s averageBiden’s averageMore likely outcomes ▲

Where the delegates come from

Idaho will award 20 pledged delegates: seven will be given out based on the statewide vote, and 13 will be given out based on the vote in its congressional districts.

Average forecasted statewide delegates= 1 DELEGATE

Biden

2.5

Sanders

2.1

Warren

1.2

Buttigieg

0.8

Others

0.4Average forecasted district-level delegates= 1 DELEGATE4.6All districtsHover to see a district average3.8All districts2.3All districts1.5All districts0.8All districts

Who will win in North Dakota?

BidenSandersWarrenButtigiegKlobucharBloombergSteyerYangBookerBennetWilliamsonGabbardDelaneyPatrickHarrisCastroSestakBullock is forecasted to win an average of 27% of the vote in North Dakota. In 80% of simulations, he wins between 0.5% and 59% of the vote. He has a 2 in 5 (39%) chance of winning the most votes, a bit better than the second most likely winner, Sanders, who has a 1 in 4 (27%) chance.How each candidate’s forecasted share of the vote has changedFORECAST LAUNCH11/24/1912/221/19/202/160 20 40 60%0 20 40 60%ELECTIONThe latest forecasted range of outcomes for vote share 0%10203040506070809010027.2%27.2%Biden’s averageBiden’s averageMore likely outcomes ▲

Turning votes into delegates

BidenSandersWarrenButtigiegKlobucharBloombergSteyerYangBookerBennetWilliamsonGabbardDelaneyPatrickHarrisCastroSestakBullock is forecasted to win an average of 5 pledged delegates out of a possible 14. There is an 80% chance that he wins between 0 and 11 delegates. He has a 2 in 5 (40%) chance of winning the most delegates, better than the second most likely winner, Sanders, who has a 3 in 10 (28%) chance.How each candidate’s forecasted delegate total has changedFORECAST LAUNCH11/24/1912/221/19/202/1605100510ELECTIONThe latest forecasted range of outcomes for delegates012345678910111213144.84.8Biden’s averageBiden’s averageMore likely outcomes ▲

Where the delegates come from

North Dakota will award 14 pledged delegates based on the statewide vote.

Average forecasted statewide delegates= 1 DELEGATE

Biden

4.7

Sanders

3.8

Warren

2.4

Buttigieg

2.2

Others

0.9

Who will win Democrats Abroad?

Who will win in the Northern Marianas?

Who will win in Florida?

BidenSandersWarrenButtigiegKlobucharBloombergSteyerYangBookerBennetWilliamsonGabbardDelaneyPatrickHarrisCastroSestakBullock is forecasted to win an average of 36% of the vote in Florida. In 80% of simulations, he wins between 0.3% and 70% of the vote. He has a 1 in 2 (51%) chance of winning the most votes, a bit better than the second most likely winner, Sanders, who has a 1 in 5 (21%) chance.How each candidate’s forecasted share of the vote has changedFORECAST LAUNCH11/24/1912/221/19/202/163/150 20 40 60 80%0 20 40 60 80%ELECTIONThe latest forecasted range of outcomes for vote share 0%10203040506070809010035.8%35.8%Biden’s averageBiden’s averageMore likely outcomes ▲

Turning votes into delegates

BidenSandersWarrenButtigiegKlobucharBloombergSteyerYangBookerBennetWilliamsonGabbardDelaneyPatrickHarrisCastroSestakBullock is forecasted to win an average of 96 pledged delegates out of a possible 219. There is an 80% chance that he wins between 0 and 200 delegates. He has a 1 in 2 (51%) chance of winning the most delegates, better than the second most likely winner, Sanders, who has a 1 in 5 (22%) chance.How each candidate’s forecasted delegate total has changedFORECAST LAUNCH11/24/1912/221/19/202/163/15050100150200050100150200ELECTIONThe latest forecasted range of outcomes for delegates02040608010012014016018020096.396.3Biden’s averageBiden’s averageMore likely outcomes ▲

Where the delegates come from

Florida will award 219 pledged delegates: 76 will be given out based on the statewide vote, and 143 will be given out based on the vote in its congressional districts.

Average forecasted statewide delegates= 1 DELEGATE

Biden

33.3

Sanders

17.4

Warren

12.3

Buttigieg

9.0

Others

4.0Average forecasted district-level delegates= 1 DELEGATE62.0All districtsHover to see a district average32.5All districts23.2All districts17.3All districts8.0All districtsSee the polls behind the forecast: All Florida polls and polling averages »

Who will win in Illinois?

BidenSandersWarrenButtigiegKlobucharBloombergSteyerBookerBennetYangPatrickWilliamsonGabbardDelaneyHarrisCastroSestakBullock is forecasted to win an average of 32% of the vote in Illinois. In 80% of simulations, he wins between 0% and 66% of the vote. He has a 1 in 2 (46%) chance of winning the most votes, a bit better than the second most likely winner, Sanders, who has a 1 in 4 (23%) chance.How each candidate’s forecasted share of the vote has changedFORECAST LAUNCH11/24/1912/221/19/202/163/150 20 40 60%0 20 40 60%ELECTIONThe latest forecasted range of outcomes for vote share 0%10203040506070809010031.7%31.7%Biden’s averageBiden’s averageMore likely outcomes ▲

Turning votes into delegates

BidenSandersWarrenButtigiegKlobucharBloombergSteyerBookerBennetYangPatrickWilliamsonGabbardDelaneyHarrisCastroSestakBullock is forecasted to win an average of 60 pledged delegates out of a possible 155. There is an 80% chance that he wins between 0 and 128 delegates. He has a 1 in 2 (46%) chance of winning the most delegates, better than the second most likely winner, Sanders, who has a 1 in 4 (24%) chance.How each candidate’s forecasted delegate total has changedFORECAST LAUNCH11/24/1912/221/19/202/163/15050100150050100150ELECTIONThe latest forecasted range of outcomes for delegates02040608010012014060.160.1Biden’s averageBiden’s averageMore likely outcomes ▲

Where the delegates come from

Illinois will award 155 pledged delegates: 54 will be given out based on the statewide vote, and 101 will be given out based on the vote in its congressional districts.

Average forecasted statewide delegates= 1 DELEGATE

Biden

20.8

Sanders

12.5

Warren

9.0

Buttigieg

8.7

Others

3.0Average forecasted district-level delegates= 1 DELEGATE38.4All districtsHover to see a district average23.3All districts16.8All districts16.4All districts6.0All districtsSee the polls behind the forecast: All Illinois polls and polling averages »

Who will win in Ohio?

See the polls behind the forecast: All Ohio polls and polling averages »

Who will win in Arizona?

See the polls behind the forecast: All Arizona polls and polling averages »

Who will win in Georgia?

See the polls behind the forecast: All Georgia polls and polling averages »

Who will win in Puerto Rico?

Who will win in Louisiana?

BidenSandersWarrenButtigiegKlobucharBloombergSteyerBookerYangGabbardBennetWilliamsonPatrickDelaneyHarrisCastroSestakBullock is forecasted to win an average of 39% of the vote in Louisiana. In 80% of simulations, he wins between 0.2% and 75% of the vote. He has a 1 in 2 (53%) chance of winning the most votes, much better than the second most likely winner, Sanders, who has a 1 in 5 (20%) chance.How each candidate’s forecasted share of the vote has changedFORECAST LAUNCH12/1/191/5/202/93/150 20 40 60 80%0 20 40 60 80%ELECTIONThe latest forecasted range of outcomes for vote share 0%10203040506070809010038.5%38.5%Biden’s averageBiden’s averageMore likely outcomes ▲

Turning votes into delegates

BidenSandersWarrenButtigiegKlobucharBloombergSteyerBookerYangGabbardBennetWilliamsonPatrickDelaneyHarrisCastroSestakBullock is forecasted to win an average of 25 pledged delegates out of a possible 54. There is an 80% chance that he wins between 0 and 53 delegates. He has a 1 in 2 (53%) chance of winning the most delegates, much better than the second most likely winner, Sanders, who has a 1 in 5 (21%) chance.How each candidate’s forecasted delegate total has changedFORECAST LAUNCH12/1/191/5/202/93/1502040600204060ELECTIONThe latest forecasted range of outcomes for delegates0510152025303540455024.824.8Biden’s averageBiden’s averageMore likely outcomes ▲

Where the delegates come from

Louisiana will award 54 pledged delegates: 19 will be given out based on the statewide vote, and 35 will be given out based on the vote in its congressional districts.

Average forecasted statewide delegates= 1 DELEGATE

Biden

8.7

Sanders

4.1

Warren

2.7

Buttigieg

1.9

Others

1.5Average forecasted district-level delegates= 1 DELEGATE16.0All districtsHover to see a district average7.5All districts5.0All districts3.6All districts2.8All districts

Who will win in Hawaii?

Who will win in Alaska?

Who will win in Wyoming?

See the polls behind the forecast: All Wyoming polls and polling averages »

Who will win in Wisconsin?

See the polls behind the forecast: All Wisconsin polls and polling averages »

Who will win in New York?

BidenSandersWarrenButtigiegBloombergKlobucharYangSteyerBookerBennetGabbardDelaneyWilliamsonPatrickHarrisCastroSestakBullock is forecasted to win an average of 35% of the vote in New York. In 80% of simulations, he wins between 0% and 73% of the vote. He has a 1 in 2 (46%) chance of winning the most votes, a bit better than the second most likely winner, Sanders, who has a 1 in 4 (24%) chance.How each candidate’s forecasted share of the vote has changedFORECAST LAUNCH12/1/191/5/202/93/154/190 20 40 60 80%0 20 40 60 80%ELECTIONThe latest forecasted range of outcomes for vote share 0%10203040506070809010035.0%35.0%Biden’s averageBiden’s averageMore likely outcomes ▲

Turning votes into delegates

BidenSandersWarrenButtigiegBloombergKlobucharYangSteyerBookerBennetGabbardDelaneyWilliamsonPatrickHarrisCastroSestakBullock is forecasted to win an average of 107 pledged delegates out of a possible 274. There is an 80% chance that he wins between 0 and 226 delegates. He has a 1 in 2 (46%) chance of winning the most delegates, better than the second most likely winner, Sanders, who has a 1 in 4 (24%) chance.How each candidate’s forecasted delegate total has changedFORECAST LAUNCH12/1/191/5/202/93/154/1901002000100200ELECTIONThe latest forecasted range of outcomes for delegates020406080100120140160180200220240260107.3107.3Biden’s averageBiden’s averageMore likely outcomes ▲

Where the delegates come from

New York will award 274 pledged delegates: 90 will be given out based on the statewide vote, and 184 will be given out based on the vote in its congressional districts.

Average forecasted statewide delegates= 1 DELEGATE

Biden

35.2

Sanders

22.5

Warren

15.3

Buttigieg

9.5

Others

7.5Average forecasted district-level delegates= 1 DELEGATE71.6All districtsHover to see a district average45.9All districts31.0All districts19.7All districts15.8All districtsSee the polls behind the forecast: All New York polls and polling averages »

Who will win in Pennsylvania?

BidenSandersWarrenButtigiegKlobucharBloombergSteyerYangBookerBennetGabbardWilliamsonDelaneyPatrickHarrisCastroSestakBullock is forecasted to win an average of 37% of the vote in Pennsylvania. In 80% of simulations, he wins between 0% and 75% of the vote. He has a 1 in 2 (50%) chance of winning the most votes, a bit better than the second most likely winner, Sanders, who has a 1 in 5 (21%) chance.How each candidate’s forecasted share of the vote has changedFORECAST LAUNCH12/1/191/5/202/93/154/190 20 40 60 80%0 20 40 60 80%ELECTIONThe latest forecasted range of outcomes for vote share 0%10203040506070809010037.3%37.3%Biden’s averageBiden’s averageMore likely outcomes ▲

Turning votes into delegates

BidenSandersWarrenButtigiegKlobucharBloombergSteyerYangBookerBennetGabbardWilliamsonDelaneyPatrickHarrisCastroSestakBullock is forecasted to win an average of 79 pledged delegates out of a possible 186. There is an 80% chance that he wins between 0 and 162 delegates. He has a 1 in 2 (50%) chance of winning the most delegates, better than the second most likely winner, Sanders, who has a 1 in 5 (22%) chance.How each candidate’s forecasted delegate total has changedFORECAST LAUNCH12/1/191/5/202/93/154/19050100150050100150ELECTIONThe latest forecasted range of outcomes for delegates02040608010012014016018078.778.7Biden’s averageBiden’s averageMore likely outcomes ▲

Where the delegates come from

Pennsylvania will award 186 pledged delegates: 61 will be given out based on the statewide vote, and 125 will be given out based on the vote in its congressional districts.

Average forecasted statewide delegates= 1 DELEGATE

Biden

25.7

Sanders

13.6

Warren

9.6

Buttigieg

7.4

Others

4.7Average forecasted district-level delegates= 1 DELEGATE52.5All districtsHover to see a district average27.8All districts19.6All districts15.2All districts10.0All districtsSee the polls behind the forecast: All Pennsylvania polls and polling averages »

Who will win in Maryland?

See the polls behind the forecast: All Maryland polls and polling averages »

Who will win in Connecticut?

Who will win in Rhode Island?

Who will win in Delaware?

See the polls behind the forecast: All Delaware polls and polling averages »

Who will win in Kansas?

BidenSandersWarrenButtigiegKlobucharBloombergYangSteyerBookerBennetGabbardWilliamsonPatrickDelaneyHarrisCastroSestakBullock is forecasted to win an average of 37% of the vote in Kansas. In 80% of simulations, he wins between 0% and 79% of the vote. He has a 2 in 5 (44%) chance of winning the most votes, a bit better than the second most likely winner, Sanders, who has a 1 in 4 (24%) chance.How each candidate’s forecasted share of the vote has changedFORECAST LAUNCH12/1/191/5/202/93/154/190 20 40 60 80%0 20 40 60 80%ELECTIONThe latest forecasted range of outcomes for vote share 0%10203040506070809010037.0%37.0%Biden’s averageBiden’s averageMore likely outcomes ▲

Turning votes into delegates

BidenSandersWarrenButtigiegKlobucharBloombergYangSteyerBookerBennetGabbardWilliamsonPatrickDelaneyHarrisCastroSestakBullock is forecasted to win an average of 15 pledged delegates out of a possible 39. There is an 80% chance that he wins between 0 and 31 delegates. He has a 2 in 5 (45%) chance of winning the most delegates, better than the second most likely winner, Sanders, who has a 1 in 4 (24%) chance.How each candidate’s forecasted delegate total has changedFORECAST LAUNCH12/1/191/5/202/93/154/1901020300102030ELECTIONThe latest forecasted range of outcomes for delegates0510152025303514.614.6Biden’s averageBiden’s averageMore likely outcomes ▲

Where the delegates come from

Kansas will award 39 pledged delegates: 13 will be given out based on the statewide vote, and 26 will be given out based on the vote in its congressional districts.

Average forecasted statewide delegates= 1 DELEGATE

Biden

4.8

Sanders

3.1

Warren

2.1

Buttigieg

1.7

Others

1.2Average forecasted district-level delegates= 1 DELEGATE9.7All districtsHover to see a district average6.3All districts4.2All districts3.4All districts2.5All districts

Who will win in Guam?

BidenSandersWarrenButtigiegKlobucharBloombergBookerYangSteyerBennetGabbardDelaneyPatrickWilliamsonHarrisCastroSestakBullock is forecasted to win an average of 35% of the vote in Guam. In 80% of simulations, he wins between 0% and 81% of the vote. He has a 2 in 5 (42%) chance of winning the most votes, a bit better than the second most likely winner, Sanders, who has a 1 in 4 (26%) chance.How each candidate’s forecasted share of the vote has changedFORECAST LAUNCH12/1/191/5/202/93/154/190 20 40 60 80%0 20 40 60 80%ELECTIONThe latest forecasted range of outcomes for vote share 0%10203040506070809010035.3%35.3%Biden’s averageBiden’s averageMore likely outcomes ▲

Turning votes into delegates

BidenSandersWarrenButtigiegKlobucharBloombergBookerYangSteyerBennetGabbardDelaneyPatrickWilliamsonHarrisCastroSestakBullock is forecasted to win an average of 3 pledged delegates out of a possible 7. There is an 80% chance that he wins between 0 and 7 delegates. He has a 2 in 5 (43%) chance of winning the most delegates, better than the second most likely winner, Sanders, who has a 1 in 4 (26%) chance.How each candidate’s forecasted delegate total has changedFORECAST LAUNCH12/1/191/5/202/93/154/190246802468ELECTIONThe latest forecasted range of outcomes for delegates012345672.62.6Biden’s averageBiden’s averageMore likely outcomes ▲

Where the delegates come from

Guam will award seven pledged delegates based on the territory-wide vote.

Average forecasted territory-wide delegates= 1 DELEGATE

Biden

2.6

Sanders

1.8

Warren

1.0

Buttigieg

0.8

Others

0.8

Who will win in Indiana?

BidenSandersButtigiegWarrenKlobucharBloombergSteyerYangBookerBennetWilliamsonGabbardDelaneyPatrickHarrisCastroSestakBullock is forecasted to win an average of 33% of the vote in Indiana. In 80% of simulations, he wins between 0% and 70% of the vote. He has a 2 in 5 (42%) chance of winning the most votes, a bit better than the second most likely winner, Sanders, who has a 1 in 4 (23%) chance.How each candidate’s forecasted share of the vote has changedFORECAST LAUNCH11/24/191/5/202/163/290 20 40 60 80%0 20 40 60 80%ELECTIONThe latest forecasted range of outcomes for vote share 0%10203040506070809010032.5%32.5%Biden’s averageBiden’s averageMore likely outcomes ▲

Turning votes into delegates

BidenSandersButtigiegWarrenKlobucharBloombergSteyerYangBookerBennetWilliamsonGabbardDelaneyPatrickHarrisCastroSestakBullock is forecasted to win an average of 30 pledged delegates out of a possible 82. There is an 80% chance that he wins between 0 and 67 delegates. He has a 2 in 5 (43%) chance of winning the most delegates, better than the second most likely winner, Sanders, who has a 1 in 4 (23%) chance.How each candidate’s forecasted delegate total has changedFORECAST LAUNCH11/24/191/5/202/163/29020406080020406080ELECTIONThe latest forecasted range of outcomes for delegates0102030405060708030.330.3Biden’s averageBiden’s averageMore likely outcomes ▲

Where the delegates come from

Indiana will award 82 pledged delegates: 27 will be given out based on the statewide vote, and 55 will be given out based on the vote in its congressional districts.

Average forecasted statewide delegates= 1 DELEGATE

Biden

9.8

Sanders

6.2

Buttigieg

5.6

Warren

3.2

Others

2.2Average forecasted district-level delegates= 1 DELEGATE19.9All districtsHover to see a district average12.6All districts11.5All districts6.5All districts4.5All districtsSee the polls behind the forecast: All Indiana polls and polling averages »

Who will win in Nebraska?

BidenSandersWarrenButtigiegKlobucharBloombergSteyerYangBookerGabbardBennetWilliamsonDelaneyPatrickHarrisCastroSestakBullock is forecasted to win an average of 33% of the vote in Nebraska. In 80% of simulations, he wins between 0% and 71% of the vote. He has a 2 in 5 (44%) chance of winning the most votes, a bit better than the second most likely winner, Sanders, who has a 1 in 4 (23%) chance.How each candidate’s forecasted share of the vote has changedFORECAST LAUNCH11/24/191/5/202/163/295/100 20 40 60 80%0 20 40 60 80%ELECTIONThe latest forecasted range of outcomes for vote share 0%10203040506070809010033.2%33.2%Biden’s averageBiden’s averageMore likely outcomes ▲

Turning votes into delegates

BidenSandersWarrenButtigiegKlobucharBloombergSteyerYangBookerGabbardBennetWilliamsonDelaneyPatrickHarrisCastroSestakBullock is forecasted to win an average of 11 pledged delegates out of a possible 29. There is an 80% chance that he wins between 0 and 23 delegates. He has a 2 in 5 (44%) chance of winning the most delegates, better than the second most likely winner, Sanders, who has a 1 in 4 (24%) chance.How each candidate’s forecasted delegate total has changedFORECAST LAUNCH11/24/191/5/202/163/295/100102001020ELECTIONThe latest forecasted range of outcomes for delegates024681012141618202224262810.910.9Biden’s averageBiden’s averageMore likely outcomes ▲

Where the delegates come from

Nebraska will award 29 pledged delegates: nine will be given out based on the statewide vote, and 20 will be given out based on the vote in its congressional districts.

Average forecasted statewide delegates= 1 DELEGATE

Biden

3.4

Sanders

2.1

Warren

1.4

Buttigieg

1.2

Others

0.9Average forecasted district-level delegates= 1 DELEGATE7.5All districtsHover to see a district average4.7All districts3.1All districts2.8All districts1.9All districts

Who will win in West Virginia?

BidenSandersWarrenButtigiegBloombergKlobucharSteyerYangBookerGabbardBennetDelaneyWilliamsonPatrickHarrisCastroSestakBullock is forecasted to win an average of 35% of the vote in West Virginia. In 80% of simulations, he wins between 0% and 73% of the vote. He has a 1 in 2 (46%) chance of winning the most votes, a bit better than the second most likely winner, Sanders, who has a 1 in 4 (24%) chance.How each candidate’s forecasted share of the vote has changedFORECAST LAUNCH11/24/191/5/202/163/295/100 20 40 60 80%0 20 40 60 80%ELECTIONThe latest forecasted range of outcomes for vote share 0%10203040506070809010035.0%35.0%Biden’s averageBiden’s averageMore likely outcomes ▲

Turning votes into delegates

BidenSandersWarrenButtigiegBloombergKlobucharSteyerYangBookerGabbardBennetDelaneyWilliamsonPatrickHarrisCastroSestakBullock is forecasted to win an average of 11 pledged delegates out of a possible 28. There is an 80% chance that he wins between 0 and 26 delegates. He has a 1 in 2 (47%) chance of winning the most delegates, better than the second most likely winner, Sanders, who has a 1 in 4 (24%) chance.How each candidate’s forecasted delegate total has changedFORECAST LAUNCH11/24/191/5/202/163/295/1001020300102030ELECTIONThe latest forecasted range of outcomes for delegates024681012141618202224262811.311.3Biden’s averageBiden’s averageMore likely outcomes ▲

Where the delegates come from

West Virginia will award 28 pledged delegates: nine will be given out based on the statewide vote, and 19 will be given out based on the vote in its congressional districts.

Average forecasted statewide delegates= 1 DELEGATE

Biden

3.6

Sanders

2.2

Warren

1.3

Buttigieg

1.0

Others

0.9Average forecasted district-level delegates= 1 DELEGATE7.7All districtsHover to see a district average4.7All districts2.8All districts2.0All districts1.8All districts

Who will win in Oregon?

BidenSandersWarrenButtigiegKlobucharBloombergSteyerYangBookerGabbardBennetWilliamsonDelaneyPatrickHarrisCastroSestakBullock is forecasted to win an average of 33% of the vote in Oregon. In 80% of simulations, he wins between 0% and 71% of the vote. He has a 2 in 5 (42%) chance of winning the most votes, a bit better than the second most likely winner, Sanders, who has a 1 in 4 (25%) chance.How each candidate’s forecasted share of the vote has changedFORECAST LAUNCH11/24/191/5/202/163/295/100 20 40 60 80%0 20 40 60 80%ELECTIONThe latest forecasted range of outcomes for vote share 0%10203040506070809010033.0%33.0%Biden’s averageBiden’s averageMore likely outcomes ▲

Turning votes into delegates

BidenSandersWarrenButtigiegKlobucharBloombergSteyerYangBookerGabbardBennetWilliamsonDelaneyPatrickHarrisCastroSestakBullock is forecasted to win an average of 22 pledged delegates out of a possible 61. There is an 80% chance that he wins between 0 and 48 delegates. He has a 2 in 5 (43%) chance of winning the most delegates, better than the second most likely winner, Sanders, who has a 1 in 4 (25%) chance.How each candidate’s forecasted delegate total has changedFORECAST LAUNCH11/24/191/5/202/163/295/100204002040ELECTIONThe latest forecasted range of outcomes for delegates05101520253035404550556022.122.1Biden’s averageBiden’s averageMore likely outcomes ▲

Where the delegates come from

Oregon will award 61 pledged delegates: 20 will be given out based on the statewide vote, and 41 will be given out based on the vote in its congressional districts.

Average forecasted statewide delegates= 1 DELEGATE

Biden

7.2

Sanders

5.0

Warren

3.2

Buttigieg

2.5

Others

2.1Average forecasted district-level delegates= 1 DELEGATE14.8All districtsHover to see a district average10.3All districts6.6All districts5.0All districts4.3All districtsSee the polls behind the forecast: All Oregon polls and polling averages »

Who will win in Kentucky?

BidenSandersWarrenButtigiegKlobucharBloombergSteyerYangBookerGabbardBennetDelaneyWilliamsonPatrickHarrisCastroSestakBullock is forecasted to win an average of 35% of the vote in Kentucky. In 80% of simulations, he wins between 0% and 73% of the vote. He has a 1 in 2 (46%) chance of winning the most votes, a bit better than the second most likely winner, Sanders, who has a 1 in 4 (23%) chance.How each candidate’s forecasted share of the vote has changedFORECAST LAUNCH11/24/191/5/202/163/295/100 20 40 60 80%0 20 40 60 80%ELECTIONThe latest forecasted range of outcomes for vote share 0%10203040506070809010035.0%35.0%Biden’s averageBiden’s averageMore likely outcomes ▲

Turning votes into delegates

BidenSandersWarrenButtigiegKlobucharBloombergSteyerYangBookerGabbardBennetDelaneyWilliamsonPatrickHarrisCastroSestakBullock is forecasted to win an average of 22 pledged delegates out of a possible 54. There is an 80% chance that he wins between 0 and 47 delegates. He has a 1 in 2 (47%) chance of winning the most delegates, better than the second most likely winner, Sanders, who has a 1 in 4 (23%) chance.How each candidate’s forecasted delegate total has changedFORECAST LAUNCH11/24/191/5/202/163/295/100204002040ELECTIONThe latest forecasted range of outcomes for delegates0510152025303540455021.721.7Biden’s averageBiden’s averageMore likely outcomes ▲

Where the delegates come from

Kentucky will award 54 pledged delegates: 18 will be given out based on the statewide vote, and 36 will be given out based on the vote in its congressional districts.

Average forecasted statewide delegates= 1 DELEGATE

Biden

7.3

Sanders

4.3

Warren

2.6

Buttigieg

2.1

Others

1.8Average forecasted district-level delegates= 1 DELEGATE14.4All districtsHover to see a district average8.5All districts5.2All districts4.2All districts3.6All districts

Who will win in New Jersey?

BidenSandersWarrenButtigiegBloombergKlobucharBookerSteyerYangBennetGabbardDelaneyWilliamsonPatrickHarrisCastroSestakBullock is forecasted to win an average of 36% of the vote in New Jersey. In 80% of simulations, he wins between 0% and 74% of the vote. He has a 1 in 2 (46%) chance of winning the most votes, a bit better than the second most likely winner, Sanders, who has a 1 in 5 (22%) chance.How each candidate’s forecasted share of the vote has changedFORECAST LAUNCH11/24/191/5/202/163/295/100 20 40 60 80%0 20 40 60 80%ELECTIONThe latest forecasted range of outcomes for vote share 0%10203040506070809010035.8%35.8%Biden’s averageBiden’s averageMore likely outcomes ▲

Turning votes into delegates

BidenSandersWarrenButtigiegBloombergKlobucharBookerSteyerYangBennetGabbardDelaneyWilliamsonPatrickHarrisCastroSestakBullock is forecasted to win an average of 49 pledged delegates out of a possible 126. There is an 80% chance that he wins between 0 and 101 delegates. He has a 1 in 2 (46%) chance of winning the most delegates, better than the second most likely winner, Sanders, who has a 1 in 5 (22%) chance.How each candidate’s forecasted delegate total has changedFORECAST LAUNCH11/24/191/5/202/163/295/10050100050100ELECTIONThe latest forecasted range of outcomes for delegates010203040506070809010011012049.249.2Biden’s averageBiden’s averageMore likely outcomes ▲

Where the delegates come from

New Jersey will award 126 pledged delegates: 42 will be given out based on the statewide vote, and 84 will be given out based on the vote in pairs of state legislative districts.

Average forecasted statewide delegates= 1 DELEGATE

Biden

16.4

Sanders

9.7

Warren

6.4

Buttigieg

5.1

Others

4.4Average forecasted district-level delegates= 1 DELEGATE32.7All districtsHover to see a district average19.2All districts12.8All districts10.2All districts9.0All districtsSee the polls behind the forecast: All New Jersey polls and polling averages »

Who will win in New Mexico?

BidenSandersWarrenButtigiegKlobucharYangBloombergSteyerBookerBennetGabbardWilliamsonDelaneyPatrickHarrisCastroSestakBullock is forecasted to win an average of 36% of the vote in New Mexico. In 80% of simulations, he wins between 0% and 76% of the vote. He has a 2 in 5 (45%) chance of winning the most votes, a bit better than the second most likely winner, Sanders, who has a 1 in 4 (26%) chance.How each candidate’s forecasted share of the vote has changedFORECAST LAUNCH11/24/191/5/202/163/295/100 20 40 60 80%0 20 40 60 80%ELECTIONThe latest forecasted range of outcomes for vote share 0%10203040506070809010035.7%35.7%Biden’s averageBiden’s averageMore likely outcomes ▲

Turning votes into delegates

BidenSandersWarrenButtigiegKlobucharYangBloombergSteyerBookerBennetGabbardWilliamsonDelaneyPatrickHarrisCastroSestakBullock is forecasted to win an average of 13 pledged delegates out of a possible 34. There is an 80% chance that he wins between 0 and 28 delegates. He has a 1 in 2 (45%) chance of winning the most delegates, better than the second most likely winner, Sanders, who has a 1 in 4 (26%) chance.How each candidate’s forecasted delegate total has changedFORECAST LAUNCH11/24/191/5/202/163/295/1001020300102030ELECTIONThe latest forecasted range of outcomes for delegates05101520253013.113.1Biden’s averageBiden’s averageMore likely outcomes ▲

Where the delegates come from

New Mexico will award 34 pledged delegates: 11 will be given out based on the statewide vote, and 23 will be given out based on the vote in its congressional districts.

Average forecasted statewide delegates= 1 DELEGATE

Biden

4.3

Sanders

2.9

Warren

1.4

Buttigieg

1.3

Others

1.2Average forecasted district-level delegates= 1 DELEGATE8.9All districtsHover to see a district average6.0All districts2.9All districts2.7All districts2.5All districts

Who will win in the District of Columbia?

BidenSandersWarrenButtigiegKlobucharBloombergSteyerYangBookerBennetDelaneyGabbardWilliamsonPatrickHarrisCastroSestakBullock is forecasted to win an average of 40% of the vote in the District of Columbia. In 80% of simulations, he wins between 0% and 82% of the vote. He has a 1 in 2 (51%) chance of winning the most votes, much better than the second most likely winner, Sanders, who has a 1 in 6 (17%) chance.How each candidate’s forecasted share of the vote has changedFORECAST LAUNCH11/24/191/5/202/163/295/100 20 40 60 80%0 20 40 60 80%ELECTIONThe latest forecasted range of outcomes for vote share 0%10203040506070809010040.3%40.3%Biden’s averageBiden’s averageMore likely outcomes ▲

Turning votes into delegates

BidenSandersWarrenButtigiegKlobucharBloombergSteyerYangBookerBennetDelaneyGabbardWilliamsonPatrickHarrisCastroSestakBullock is forecasted to win an average of 9 pledged delegates out of a possible 20. There is an 80% chance that he wins between 0 and 19 delegates. He has a 1 in 2 (52%) chance of winning the most delegates, much better than the second most likely winner, Sanders, who has a 1 in 6 (18%) chance.How each candidate’s forecasted delegate total has changedFORECAST LAUNCH11/24/191/5/202/163/295/100510152005101520ELECTIONThe latest forecasted range of outcomes for delegates024681012141618208.78.7Biden’s averageBiden’s averageMore likely outcomes ▲

Where the delegates come from

The District of Columbia will award 20 pledged delegates: seven will be given out based on the districtwide vote, and 13 will be given out based on the vote in groups of wards.

Average forecasted districtwide delegates= 1 DELEGATE

Biden

3.0

Sanders

1.3

Warren

1.0

Buttigieg

0.9

Others

0.8Average forecasted ward group-level delegates= 1 DELEGATE5.6All ward groupsHover to see a ward group average2.4All ward groups1.9All ward groups1.6All ward groups1.5All ward groups

Who will win in Montana?

BidenSandersWarrenButtigiegKlobucharBloombergSteyerYangBookerGabbardBennetWilliamsonDelaneyPatrickHarrisCastroSestakBullock is forecasted to win an average of 34% of the vote in Montana. In 80% of simulations, he wins between 0% and 73% of the vote. He has a 2 in 5 (44%) chance of winning the most votes, a bit better than the second most likely winner, Sanders, who has a 1 in 5 (22%) chance.How each candidate’s forecasted share of the vote has changedFORECAST LAUNCH11/24/191/5/202/163/295/100 20 40 60 80%0 20 40 60 80%ELECTIONThe latest forecasted range of outcomes for vote share 0%10203040506070809010033.8%33.8%Biden’s averageBiden’s averageMore likely outcomes ▲

Turning votes into delegates

BidenSandersWarrenButtigiegKlobucharBloombergSteyerYangBookerGabbardBennetWilliamsonDelaneyPatrickHarrisCastroSestakBullock is forecasted to win an average of 7 pledged delegates out of a possible 19. There is an 80% chance that he wins between 0 and 16 delegates. He has a 2 in 5 (44%) chance of winning the most delegates, better than the second most likely winner, Sanders, who has a 1 in 4 (23%) chance.How each candidate’s forecasted delegate total has changedFORECAST LAUNCH11/24/191/5/202/163/295/10051015051015ELECTIONThe latest forecasted range of outcomes for delegates0246810121416187.27.2Biden’s averageBiden’s averageMore likely outcomes ▲

Where the delegates come from

Montana will award 19 pledged delegates: six will be given out based on the statewide vote, and 13 will be given out based on the vote in each of two regions.

Average forecasted statewide delegates= 1 DELEGATE

Biden

2.3

Sanders

1.4

Warren

1.0

Buttigieg

0.7

Others

0.6Average forecasted region-level delegates= 1 DELEGATE4.9All regionsHover to see a region average3.0All regions2.1All regions1.6All regions1.4All regionsSee the polls behind the forecast: All Montana polls and polling averages »

Who will win in South Dakota?

BidenSandersWarrenButtigiegKlobucharBloombergSteyerYangBookerGabbardBennetWilliamsonDelaneyPatrickHarrisCastroSestakBullock is forecasted to win an average of 34% of the vote in South Dakota. In 80% of simulations, he wins between 0% and 73% of the vote. He has a 2 in 5 (44%) chance of winning the most votes, a bit better than the second most likely winner, Sanders, who has a 1 in 4 (23%) chance.How each candidate’s forecasted share of the vote has changedFORECAST LAUNCH11/24/191/5/202/163/295/100 20 40 60 80%0 20 40 60 80%ELECTIONThe latest forecasted range of outcomes for vote share 0%10203040506070809010034.0%34.0%Biden’s averageBiden’s averageMore likely outcomes ▲

Turning votes into delegates

BidenSandersWarrenButtigiegKlobucharBloombergSteyerYangBookerGabbardBennetWilliamsonDelaneyPatrickHarrisCastroSestakBullock is forecasted to win an average of 6 pledged delegates out of a possible 16. There is an 80% chance that he wins between 0 and 13 delegates. He has a 1 in 2 (47%) chance of winning the most delegates, better than the second most likely winner, Sanders, who has a 1 in 4 (26%) chance.How each candidate’s forecasted delegate total has changedFORECAST LAUNCH11/24/191/5/202/163/295/10051015051015ELECTIONThe latest forecasted range of outcomes for delegates02468101214166.26.2Biden’s averageBiden’s averageMore likely outcomes ▲

Where the delegates come from

South Dakota will award 16 pledged delegates based on the statewide vote.

Average forecasted statewide delegates= 1 DELEGATE

Biden

6.2

Sanders

3.8

Warren

2.4

Buttigieg

1.9

Others

1.7

Who will win in the Virgin Islands?

BidenSandersWarrenButtigiegKlobucharBloombergSteyerYangBookerBennetDelaneyWilliamsonGabbardPatrickHarrisCastroSestakBullock is forecasted to win an average of 37% of the vote in the Virgin Islands. In 80% of simulations, he wins between 0% and 83% of the vote. He has a 1 in 2 (45%) chance of winning the most votes, a bit better than the second most likely winner, Sanders, who has a 1 in 5 (22%) chance.How each candidate’s forecasted share of the vote has changedFORECAST LAUNCH11/24/191/5/202/163/295/100 20 40 60 80%0 20 40 60 80%ELECTIONThe latest forecasted range of outcomes for vote share 0%10203040506070809010036.7%36.7%Biden’s averageBiden’s averageMore likely outcomes ▲

Turning votes into delegates

BidenSandersWarrenButtigiegKlobucharBloombergSteyerYangBookerBennetDelaneyWilliamsonGabbardPatrickHarrisCastroSestakBullock is forecasted to win an average of 3 pledged delegates out of a possible 7. There is an 80% chance that he wins between 0 and 7 delegates. He has a 1 in 2 (45%) chance of winning the most delegates, better than the second most likely winner, Sanders, who has a 1 in 5 (22%) chance.How each candidate’s forecasted delegate total has changedFORECAST LAUNCH11/24/191/5/202/163/295/100246802468ELECTIONThe latest forecasted range of outcomes for delegates012345672.72.7Biden’s averageBiden’s averageMore likely outcomes ▲

Where the delegates come from

The Virgin Islands will award seven pledged delegates based on the vote in each of two regions.

Average forecasted region-level delegates= 1 DELEGATE

Biden

2.7All regionsHover to see a region average

Sanders

1.6All regions

Warren

0.9All regions

Buttigieg

0.8All regions

Others

1.0All regions

Forecast model by Nate Silver. Design and development by Ryan Best, Jay Boice, Aaron Bycoffe, Chris Groskopf, Ella Koeze, Jasmine Mithani, Emily Scherer, Julia Wolfe and Yutong Yuan. Research by Dhrumil Mehta, Derek Shan and Mary Radcliffe. Illustrations by Fabio Buonocore.

Download polls

Download forecast

Get more FiveThirtyEight

Newsletter

Videos

Podcasts

Twitter

Facebook

Data

RSS

Contact

Jobs

Masthead

About Nielsen Measurement

Terms of Use

Privacy Policy

Do Not Sell My Info

Your California Privacy Rights

Children’s Online Privacy Policy

Interest-Based Ads

© 2018 ABC News Internet Ventures. All rights reserved.

[digitalexperiencemonitoring2021]

How to Monitor Microsoft Teams SSL Certificate from Expiring

What is an SSL Certificate

Secure Socket Layer (SSL) and its successor, Transport Layer Security (TLS) are protocols designed to safeguard traffic over the internet. SSL certificates allow websites to move from HTTP to HTTPS, a more secure communication channel on a network. Starting this September, the lifespan of an SSL/TLS certificate will be limited to 398 days, a reduction from the previous maximum certificate lifetime of 825 days. With this change, everyone needs to more carefully monitor SSL certificate expiration and server characteristics.

Publicly trusted SSL/TLS certificates issued on and after September 01, 2020, with a validity of more than 398 days will be rejected by browser makers such as Apple, Microsoft, Google, Mozilla, and Opera. Cloud service providers will require that their certificates comply with this requirement else web browsers may not render their pages correctly or fail to load. As of today, the combined global market share for desktop browser usage for Chrome, Firefox, and Safari is more than 85%.

Sept 2019Oct 2019Nov 2019Dec 2019Jan 2020Feb 2020Mar 2020Apr 2020May 2020June 2020July 2020Aug 20200%14%28%42%56%70%ChromeSafariFirefoxSamsung InternetUC BrowserOperaEdge LegacyIEAndroidOther (dotted)StatCounter Global StatsTop 9 Desktop, Mobile, Tablet & Console Browsers from Aug 2019 — Aug 2020

Source: StatCounter Global Stats — Browser Market Share

In a move that may seem arbitrary, the reduction of certificate lifespan offers end users a secure and authentic digital experience. Certificates that have a lifespan longer than 398 days can delay any major internet outage incident and upgrade to a secure technology stack. The last thing an enterprise would want is to see its Teams certificate get revoked and cause disruption at work because someone in IT forgot to renew the certificate license. Such an act would profoundly impact worker productivity and business revenue.

According to the Ponemon survey, the average global 5000 company spends about $15 million to recover from business loss due to a certificate outage and faces another $25 million due to non-compliance.

Additionally, hackers over time can exploit weaknesses in algorithms to forge or clone certificates and have end users reveal their sensitive confidential information on an impersonated website. One-year certificates lead to a more frequent generation of new key pairs and limit exposure to compromise.

Another challenge that derails the certification process is that several internal technical teams will create their version of monitoring tools without consulting or coordinating the requirements with the central IT function. These siloed teams make it difficult for even the best network administrators to account for all the critical certificates that need renewing. Such tools lack the sophistication to crawl the entire organization’s network and scan for all certificates needed to run IT efficiently and smoothly.

An automated modern system would catalog all the certificates found, load certificates into a queue in the order of expiry date, and conveniently replace them when necessary. Consider that DevOps might want to run a web application in a virtual mode within a hybrid cloud environment. The increasing complexity of the IT landscape means that enterprises would need to explore all types of certificates beyond just SSL/TLS — virtualization, containerization, encrypted emails, IOT certificates, software update license, SDN, and more.

Sign up for the Exoprise CloudReady Health Report

Subscribe to our weekly Cloud Health Report to see how Office 365 performed last week. Measured from 1000’s locations throughout the world — it’s legit.

Subscribe

Microsoft Teams Outage Due to Expired SSL Certificate

At the beginning of this year (if you were following us closely!), we wrote a blog on Microsoft Teams Outage that was caused due to an expired certificate. Teams was down for hours, leaving users around the world not able to login to their services. Microsoft admins forgot to renew their SSL certificate, something unusual for its company size.

Exoprise CloudReady Teams Audio Video sensors were able to detect this outage early and inform its customers well before Microsoft reported the problem.

The issue started at 8:50 am and quickly spread to multiple continents. Around 3 pm, Microsoft acknowledged that an expired authentication certificate was the cause of the outage and finally deploying the fix at 4:27 pm EST. Timely detection and renewal process of the expired certificate would have been less disruptive at a scheduled time, thus saving thousands of wasted employee work hours to an outage.

How to Monitor SSL Certificate Expiration

To combat the certificate expiry issue, Exoprise currently offers two out-of-the-box CloudReady sensors (SSLCheck and SSLMonitor) for monitoring SSL/TLS connections over the network. These sensors help protect an organization against X.509 certificate outages, spoofing, and mis-configured servers.

IT administrators looking to ensure seamless delivery of Microsoft Teams services to employees can regularly monitor the web server’s health, its ability to accept/respond to sessions on a secure channel and verify the certificate expiration date.

The first sensor, SSLCheck, allows monitoring for up to 5 TLS servers (whether you own them or not) for performance, authentication, and X.509 certificate expiration. Admins can get proactive alerts in any ITSM of their choice when the certificates are due to expire. SSLCheck collects data on following:

Mean or average SSL Validation Time for all endpoints

Mean TCPIP Connect time for all endpoints

Nearest expiration for all endpoints

Endpoint SSL Get Time

Endpoint TCP/IP Connect time

Endpoint Expiration

The second sensor, SSLMonitor, allows deep monitoring for up to 2 TLS servers for any certificate changes and spoofing. This sensor is suitable for heavy and mission-critical applications that rely on deep inspection of servers and certificate infrastructure. SSLMonitor collects data on the following:

Certificate Changes

Cipher/Server Changes

Man-in-the-Middle Detection

Exoprise CloudReady configuration setup wizard for the SSLCheck sensor is shown below. The process is easy to set up by anyone in the IT team and allows instant monitoring of SSL/TLS certificates after deploying the sensor. Use the alarm dashboard to view all incoming notifications and alert your teams to proactively manage certificate issues before your customers get to know.

SSLCheck Sensor Setup Validation Step

SSL Certificate Monitoring Benefits

SSL/TSL certification monitoring by Exoprise offers the following benefits to businesses:

Gain visibility through proactive monitoring, discovery, and alerting on SSL certificate expiration

Reduce operational costs and errors by automating the job of managing certificates

Improve website security and performance with SSL monitoring in real-time

Increase service availability and customer confidence through institutionalized best practices

Deliver great SaaS experience by tracking service disruption and preventing an outage

Increase reliability with a single all-in-one platform for all technology certificate needs

Monitor SSL Certificate Expiration for Teams and Others with Exoprise

Managing certificate expiration and replacement in today’s IT environment is complex and challenging. Successful monitoring and upgrade strategy for SSL/TLS certificate and others is a must for enterprises. Microsoft announced several new features for Teams at the recent #MSIgnite 2020 virtual event.

Whether your company relies on Teams or any other SaaS cloud service from the Office 365 suite, you need a robust cloud monitoring strategy to ensure business continuity and team success.

CloudReady helps you focus on things that matter to your organization and does the critical heavy lifting monitoring of cloud applications and certificate health.

Learn more about CloudReady at www.exoprise.com

Start a Free Trial Today. Its Simple To Get Started

Every day customers start and deploy a full suite of sensors in under 5 minutes. Give it a try for network benchmarks, root cause analysis and complete visibility into ALL of Office 365.

FREE TRIAL

Originally published at https://www.exoprise.com on September 29, 2020.

[stariplier-project]

umm.. can i request a star? i'm turning 15 and i live in an Asian country where the edu expectations and system are insanely high/strict.. school graduation is next year december period/2019Jan and i just feel so dragged down due to my physical insecurities and bullying.. idk if i can hold on that far... x

Please don’t give up, anon. I know that things are difficult right now, near-impossible even, but you deserve to see how much better your life can get after school. You deserve to see your dreams come true, and you deserve to feel happy, safe, and confident.

I want you to know that you are beautiful, strong, amazing, and important, even if you have insecurities. You still matter and you still have worth.

You don’t deserve to be bullied, no matter what. See if you can talk to someone you trust about what’s been going on- you shouldn’t have to go through that. I want you to know that I am here for you - we all are, and we are here to support and encourage you. You are not alone, and you don’t have to go through this alone.

Hold on, anon, you deserve to see your life after school. You can make it

Keep on shining!♥ Courtney

[ericfruits]

Black Knight: National Mortgage Delinquency Rate Increased in February

CR Note: It is possible that some of the increase in the delinquency rate in February was due to late tax refunds. From Black Knight: Black Knight’s First Look: Bucking Historical Seasonal Trend, February Sees Delinquencies Rise; Prepayments Up 11 Percent, Driven by Softening Interest Rates

• Delinquencies rose by 3.7 percent in February, the first February increase in 12 years • Despite the monthly rise, delinquencies remain more than 9.5 percent below last year’s level • At 40,400 for the month, foreclosure starts were down 19.5 percent from January and edged close to September 2018’s 15-year low • The national foreclosure rate improved marginally and is now down more than 21 percent year-over-year • Prepayment speeds rose by 11 percent from January’s 18-year low, suggesting an increase in refinance activity driven by the recent decline in 30-year interest rates

According to Black Knight's First Look report for February, the percent of loans delinquent increased 3.7% in February compared to January, and decreased 9.5% year-over-year. The percent of loans in the foreclosure process decreased 0.4% in February and were down 21.3% over the last year. Black Knight reported the U.S. mortgage delinquency rate (loans 30 or more days past due, but not in foreclosure) was 3.89% in February, up from 3.75% in January. The percent of loans in the foreclosure process decreased slightly in February to 0.51% from 0.51% in January. The number of delinquent properties, but not in foreclosure, is down 179,000 properties year-over-year, and the number of properties in the foreclosure process is down 67,000 properties year-over-year.

Black Knight: Percent Loans Delinquent and in Foreclosure Process  Feb 2019Jan 2019Feb 2018Feb 2017Delinquent3.89%3.75%4.30%4.21%In Foreclosure0.51%0.51%0.65%0.93%Number of properties:Number of properties that are delinquent, but not in foreclosure:2,019,0001,945,0002,198,0002,135,000Number of properties in foreclosure pre-sale inventory:264,000265,000331,000470,000Total Properties2,284,0002,210,0002,528,0002,605,000

https://ift.tt/2uhVzpY

[kristinemaebsnapshots]

📍 Tiger Sugar 老虎堂黑糖专壳 Xuchang St.

1.02.2019 | 📸 @kristinemaeb

[hang0o0]

2019Jan, Go adventure with my Dog in spring

[seiko-suzuki]

21st century museum of contemporary art .Kanazawa 2019Jan 27th

[ceascult]

Crystan - Iasomie

[the-shynamites]

2019jan.22ver.

[digitallyunpluggedmagazine]

Ecrebo to Exhibit at NRF Big Show 2019 BOSTON--(BUSINESS WIRE)--Press Kit Materials are Available at: Company:       Ecrebo Booth/Stand: 440 Event: NRF Big Show 2019Jan 13 - 15, 2019New York, NY, US Web: Twitter: LinkedIn: About Ecrebo Ecrebo’s patented OnPoint Total Receipt Marketing (TRM™) software solution turns paper and e-receipts into powerf

[therealreverendchris]

As 2019 heads into 2020, we wanted to take a moment to reflect on the past year and some of the biggest stories on our subreddit, past discussion threads, and AMA's.Please use this thread to discuss your favorite stories, moments, and whatever else from the past year of r/politics, and have a safe and happy New Year!MegathreadsDateTitleJan 8, 2019Manafort Shared Trump Campaign Data With Russian Associate, Prosecutors SayJan 8, 2019President Trump’s Address on Border Security and the Democratic Response (Part 2)Jan 17, 2019President Trump Directed His Attorney To Lie To Congress About The Moscow Tower ProjectJan 18, 2019In rare statement, Mueller's office disputes nature of Buzzfeed report on Cohen's Trump Tower testimonyJan 22, 2019Supreme Court Allows Trump’s Transgender Military Ban to Take EffectJan 23, 2019Speaker Pelosi tells President Trump the House won't authorize State of the Union address in the chamber 'until government has opened'Jan 25, 2019Ex-Trump adviser Roger Stone arrested in Mueller probeJan 25, 2019FAA Orders Ground Stops and Delays Flights at Major U.S. Airports Due to Shutdown-Related Air Traffic Controller ShortageJan 25, 2019Megathread Part 2: Roger Stone arrested, scheduled to appear in court at 11am ESTJan 25, 2019President Trump announces a deal to temporarily reopen the government for three weeksFeb 4, 2019Federal prosecutors subpoena Trump’s inaugural committeeFeb 7, 2019Supreme Court Blocks Louisiana Abortion RestrictionsFeb 13, 2019Federal Judge Concludes Paul Manafort Lied to Special CounselFeb 19, 2019Bernie Sanders announces 2020 presidential runMar 28, 2019Trump and North Korean leader Kim Jong Un end summit early and fail to reach a dealMar 7, 2019Michael Cohen sues Trump Organization for unpaid legal feesMar 7, 2019Paul Manafort Sentenced to 47 Months in VA Federal CourtMar 14, 2019Senate Passes Resolution Rejecting Trump's Border Emergency Declaration 59-41Mar 22, 2019Mueller files final report with Attorney GeneralMar 22, 2019Megathread Part Two: Mueller files final report with Attorney GeneralMar 24, 2019AG Willam Barr releases his top line summary of the Mueller reportApr 7, 2019Homeland Security Secretary Kristjen Nielsen ResignsApr 18, 2019Attorney General Releases Redacted Version of Special Counsel ReportApr 18, 2019Megathread (Part 2): Attorney General Releases Redacted Version of Special Counsel ReportApr 19, 2019House Democrats Issue Subpoena for Unredacted Mueller ReportApr 25, 2019Joe Biden announces launch of his 2020 presidential campaignApr 29, 2019Attorney General Rod Rosenstein submits letter of resignation to TrumpApr 30, 2019Mueller Complained That Barr’s Letter Did Not Capture ‘Context’ of Trump ProbeMay 6, 2019House panel issues report citing Barr for contemptMay 6, 2019Treasury denies Democrats’ request for Trump tax returnsMay 14, 2019Alabama Senate Votes to Effectively Ban Abortion in the StateMay 29, 2019Robert Mueller to Make Public Statement About Russia InvestigationJun 13, 2019US Special Counsel recommends firing Kellyanne Conway over alleged Hatch Act violationsJun 13, 2019White House spokeswoman Sarah Sanders will be leaving her job at the end of the month, Trump saysJun 21, 2019Trump approves missile strike, aborts before launch.Jun 25, 2019Robert Mueller has agreed to testify publicly before Congress on July 17, House Judiciary and Intel CommitteesJul 9, 2019Federal Judge Blocks Justice Department’s Effort to Withdraw Lawyers on Census Citizenship CaseJul 11, 2019Trump abandons bid to include citizenship question on censusJul 12, 2019Labor Secretary Alex Acosta announces that he is resigningJul 14, 2019Trump Tells Freshman Congresswomen to 'Go Back' to the Countries They Came FromJul 26, 2019U.S. Supreme Court lets Trump use disputed funds for border wallJul 30, 2019California governor signs bill requiring presidential candidates release tax returns to appear on ballotAug 10, 2019AG Barr, Gaetz, AOC, others call for investigation into the death of Jeffery EpsteinAug 23, 2019President Trump announces increase in tariffs on China for billions of dollars of products, as Wall Street reacts to an intensifying trade warSep 10, 2019National Security Adviser John Bolton has resigned at the request of the president, citing policy disagreementsSep 12, 2019House committee adopts new procedures for impeachment investigation of President TrumpSep 20, 2019Report States Trump Repeatedly Pressed Ukraine President to Investigate Biden’s SonSep 20, 2019President Trump Authorizes Additional Troop Deployment to Saudi ArabiaSep 24, 2019Reports Indicate House Speaker Pelosi To Announce Formal Impeachment Inquiry Of President TrumpSep 24, 2019Rep. Adam Schiff Says Ukraine Whistleblower Wants To Talk To Intelligence CommitteeSep 24, 2019Speaker Pelosi announces House to launch formal impeachment inquirySep 26, 2019Intelligence Community Whistleblower Report Released; Alleges President Used Power of Office to Interfere in 2020 ElectionSep 27, 2019Sec. of State Mike Pompeo Subpoenaed By Three House Committees For Failure To Produce Ukraine DocumentsSep 30, 2019House committees subpoena Trump lawyer Rudy Giuliani for documents related to UkraineOct 2, 2019Bernie Sanders Undergoes Emergency Heart Procedure, Suspends Campaign Events Until Further NoticeOct 3, 2019President Trump Calls for Ukraine, China to Investigate BidensOct 4, 2019White House Subpoenaed in House Impeachment InquiryOct 6, 2019Second Whistleblower Comes Forward in the Trump-Ukraine ControversyOct 7, 2019Federal Judge Rules President Trump Must Turn Over Eight Years Of Personal And Corporate Tax ReturnsOct 7, 2019House Subpoenas Pentagon Chief and Acting Director of Office of Management and Budget for Documents in Impeachment InquiryOct 8, 2019White House Blocks US Ambassador Gordon Sondland From Testifying Before CongressOct 8, 2019Senate Intel Report Finds Kremlin Directed Russian Social Media Meddling In 2016Oct 8, 2019White House Says It Will Not Cooperate With House Impeachment InquiryOct 10, 2019Two Giuliani Associates Tied to Ukraine Scandal Arrested on Campaign Finance ChargesOct 10, 2019Energy Secretary Rick Perry Subpoenaed in House Impeachment InvestigationOct 11, 2019Congress Can Seek President Trump’s Tax Returns, Appeals Court RulesOct 11, 2019President Trump says acting Homeland Security Secretary McAleenan is stepping downOct 16, 2019Fourth Defendant in Giuliani Associates' Case ArrestedOct 17, 2019Rep. Elijah Cummings, a Maryland Democrat and House Oversight Chairman, dies at 68Oct 17, 2019Trump has awarded next year’s G-7 summit of world leaders to his Miami-area golf resortOct 19, 2019Trump drops plan to host G-7 at DoralOct 22, 2019William Taylor, envoy to Ukraine, testifies Trump tied Ukraine aid to politically motivated investigationsOct 23, 2019House Republicans disrupt closed impeachment hearing in protestOct 25, 2019Judge orders Justice Department to give House Judiciary Committee grand jury testimony from Special Counsel Mueller's investigationOct 27, 2019Rep. Katie Hill (D-Calif.) to resign from Congress amid ethics investigationOct 27, 2019Donald Trump met with boos and 'lock him up' chant at World Series Game FiveOct 28, 2019House to vote on resolution establishing next steps in impeachment inquiryOct 29, 2019House Released Resolution to Formalize Impeachment InquiryOct 30, 2019CEO Jack Dorsey says Twitter has decided to ban all political ads by candidates and outside groupsOct 31, 2019House passes resolution formalizing impeachment inquiry against TrumpNov 1, 2019Beto O'Rourke Ends Presidential BidNov 4, 2019Appeals Court Agrees President Trump Tax Returns Can Be Turned OverNov 4, 2019House Investigative Committees Release Testimonies Of Fmr. Ambassador Yovanovitch And Fmr. Senior Advisor McKinleyNov 5, 2019House impeachment committee releases transcripts of Sondland and Volker testimoniesNov 6, 2019House to Hold Public Impeachment Inquiry Hearings Next WeekNov 6, 2019House Committee releases transcript of US Diplomat Bill Taylor’s testimonyNov 7, 2019New York court orders President Donald Trump to pay $2 million for misusing his charitable foundationNov 14, 20192nd US official heard Trump call with SondlandNov 15, 2019Trump adviser Roger Stone guilty on all seven counts of lying to congress, obstruction and witness tampering in relation to the Russia probeNov 17, 2019Democrat John Bel Edwards re-elected governor of LouisianaNov 20, 2019Sondland testifies Trump ordered Ukraine ‘quid pro quo’ through GiulianiNov 24, 2019Pentagon asks for Navy secretary resignation over SEAL controversyNov 25, 2019Judge Rules White House Counsel Don McGahn Must Comply With House SubpoenaDec 3, 2019Appeals court refuses to block House subpoena for Trump’s financial recordsDec 3, 2019Sen. Kamala Harris Drops Out Of Presidential RaceDec 3, 2019House Intelligence Committee Releases Draft Impeachment ReportDec 5, 2019U.S. House will draft Articles of Impeachment against President Trump, Speaker Pelosi announcesDec 6, 2019White House won't take part in House Judiciary impeachment hearingsDec 9, 2019DOJ Inspector General report finds FBI's Russia probe justified, no bias foundDec 10, 2019House Democrats unveiled two articles of impeachment against President Trump, abuse of power and obstruction of CongressDec 13, 2019U.S. House Judiciary Committee approves articles of Impeachment against President Trump, full House vote on WednesdayDec 18 , 2019House Votes to Impeach President Donald J. TrumpDiscussion ThreadsDateTitleJan 3, 2019Swearing in of the 116th Congress, Speaker floor voteJan 3, 2019White House Daily Press Briefing - Live Discussion Thread - 01/03/2019Jan 4, 20192019 Statewide ElectionsJan 4, 2019President Trump Addresses the Press - Live Discussion Thread - 01/04/2019 - 2:00pm ESTJan 8, 2019President Trump’s Address on Border Security and the Democratic Response - 01/08/2019 - 9:00pm EST - Part 1, Part 2Jan 10, 2019President Trump Visits the Southern Border - Live Discussion Thread - 01/10/2019Jan 16, 2019Senate confirmation hearing for Attorney General nominee William BarrJan 19, 2019President Trump Live Remarks On Shutdown CompromiseJan 24, 2019US Senate Session Votes to Re-Open Government - Discussion Thread - 01/24/2019Jan 25, 2019President Trump Statement from the Rose Garden Regarding the Government Shutdown - Discussion Thread - 01/25/2019 1:30pm ESTJan 28, 2019White House Daily Press Briefing - Discussion Thread - 01/28/2019 - 3:30pm ESTFeb 5, 2019Pre-Event Discussion: State of the Union 2019Feb 5, 20192019 State of the Union addressFeb 5, 20192019 State of the Union Address and ResponseFeb 8, 2019Acting AG Whitaker Testifies Before House Judiciary Committee - Discussion Thread - 02/08/2019 - 9:30am EST - Part 1, Part 2Feb 27, 2019President Trump and Kim Jong Un Summit in Hanoi - Live Discussion ThreadFeb 27, 2019Michael Cohen Testifies Before House Oversight Committee - Part 1, Part 2, Part 3, Part 4, Part 5Feb 27, 2019President Trump and Kim Jong Un Summit in Hanoi - Day 2 - Live Discussion ThreadMar 6, 2019Kirstjen Nielsen testifies on border security before the House Homeland Security CommitteeMar 11, 2019WH Press Briefing with Press Sec. Sanders and Acting OMB Director Vought - Discussion Thread - 03/11/2019 - 2:00pm EDTApr 18, 2019U.S. Attorney General William Barr to hold Mueller report press conference at 9:30 am EDTMay 1, 2019William Barr Testifies on Mueller Report Before Senate Judiciary Committee - Discussion ThreadMay 8, 2019House Judiciary Committee Considers Contempt Resolution Against Attorney General - Discussion ThreadMay 21, 2019PA-12 Special ElectionMay 21, 2019Kentucky Primary ElectionJun 10, 2019Supreme Court Decisions 6/10/19 Discussion ThreadJun 10, 2019John Dean Testifies on Lessons Learned from Mueller Report - Discussion Thread - 06/10/2019Jun 17, 2019SCOTUS Orders & Opinions 6/17/19 Discussion ThreadJun 20, 2019Supreme Court Decisions 6/20/19 Discussion ThreadJun 21, 2019Supreme Court Decisions 6/21/2019 Discussion ThreadJun 24, 2019Supreme Court Decisions 6/24/2019 Discussion ThreadJun 26, 2019SCOTUS Orders & Opinions 6/26/19 Discussion ThreadJun 26, 20192020 Presidential Race - First Democratic Primary Debate, Night 1 - 6/26/19 9:00-11:00 pm EDT - Discussion Thread - Part 1, Part 2Jun 27, 2019Supreme Court Decisions 6/27/19 Discussion ThreadJun 27, 20192020 Presidential Race Democratic Debates - Night 2 - Part 1, Part 2, Part 3Jul 24, 2019Robert Mueller testifies before House Judiciary and Intelligence Committees - 8:30am and 12 Noon EDT - Part 1, Part 2, Part 3, Part 4Jul 30, 20192020 Presidential Race - Second Democratic Primary Debate, Night 1 - 7/30/19 8:00-10:30 pm EDT - Discussion Thread - Part 1, Part 2Jul 31, 20192020 Presidential Race - Second Democratic Primary Debate, Night 2 - 7/31/19 8:00-10:30 pm EDT - Discussion Thread - Part 1, Part 2Aug 5, 2019President Trump delivers remarks on the mass shootings in El Paso, Texas, and Dayton, Ohio - 10am EDTSep 4, 2019Climate Town Hall With Democratic Presidential CandidatesSep 10, 2019North Carolina Special Congressional Elections (Tuesday, September 10, 2019)Aug 12, 2019Third Democratic Presidential Debate - Pre-Debate ThreadAug 12, 2019Third Democratic Presidential DebateAug 12, 2019Third Democratic Presidential Debate - Post-Debate ThreadAug 17, 2019Corey Lewandowski Testifies Before House Judiciary CommitteeAug 22, 2019State Elections and Democratic Primary Polling for September 2019Aug 26, 2019Acting DNI Maguire Testifies on Whistleblower Complaint, 9am EDTOct 2, 2019Press Conference with Nancy Pelosi & Rep. Adam Schiff - 10/2/19Oct 2, 2019Joint Press Conference With President Trump And Finland President Sauli Niinistö - 10/2/19Oct 10, 2019CNN LGBTQ Town Hall, 10/10/19, 7:30pm-12:00am EDTOct 12, 2019Louisiana Gubernatorial Primary - October 12, 2019Oct 15, 2019Fourth Democratic Presidential Debate - Pre-Debate ThreadOct 15, 2019Fourth Democratic Presidential Debate - 10/15/19 - 8pm-11pm EDTOct 15, 2019Fourth Democratic Presidential Debate - Post-Debate ThreadOct 21, 2019Democratic Presidential Primary Polling - October, 2019Oct 27, 2019President Trump expected to announce results of Special Ops raid against ISIS leadershipOct 31, 2019The US House Debate and Vote on Impeachment Inquiry ResolutionNov 5, 2019Statewide Elections - November 5th, 2019Nov 13, 2019Day One of House Public Impeachment Hearings - William Taylor and George Kent - Live 10am ESTNov 13, 2019Day One of House Public Impeachment Hearings - William Taylor and George Kent - Live 10am EST - Part 1, Part 2, Part 3Nov 15, 2019Day Two of House Public Impeachment Hearings - Marie Yovanovitch - Live 9am EST - Part 1, Part 2, Part 3Nov 16, 2019Louisiana Gubernatorial Election - November 16th 2019Nov 17, 2019Democratic Presidential Primary Polling - November 2019Nov 19, 2019Day Three of House Public Impeachment Hearings – Morning Session - 11/19/2019 - LTC Alexander Vindman and Jennifer Williams – Live 9am EST - Part 1, Part 2Nov 19, 2019Day Three of House Public Impeachment Hearings – Afternoon Session - 11/19/2019 - Kurt Volker and Tim Morrison – Live 2:30pm EST - Part 1, Part 2Nov 20, 2019Day Four of House Public Impeachment Hearings – Morning Session - 11/20/2019 - Gordon Sondland – Live 9am EST - Part 1, Part 2, Part 3, Part 4Nov 20, 2019Day Four of House Public Impeachment Hearings – Afternoon Session - 11/20/2019 - Laura Cooper and David Hale – Estimated Live 4:30pm ESTNov 20, 2019Fifth Democratic Presidential Debate - 11/20/19 - 9:00 PM - 11:00 PM EST - Part 1, Part 2Nov 21, 2019Day Five of House Public Impeachment Hearings – 11/21/2019 - Fiona Hill and David Holmes – Live 9:00m EST - Part 1, Part 2, Part 3, Part 4Dec 4, 2019Day One of House Judiciary Impeachment Hearings – 12/04/2019 - Live 10am EST - Part 1, Part 2, Part 3Dec 9, 2019Day Two of House Judiciary Impeachment Hearings – 12/09/2019 - Live - 9am EST - Part 1, Part 2, Part 3Dec 10, 2019House Leaders Announce Articles of Impeachment Against President Donald J. Trump – 12/10/2019 - Live - 9am ESTDec 11, 2019DOJ IG Michael Horowitz Testifies on FISA Abuse Allegations – 12/11/2019 - Live - 10:00am ESTDec 11, 2019House Judiciary Committee Debates Articles of Impeachment – 12/11/2019 - Live - 7:00pm ESTDec 12, 2019House Judiciary Committee Debates Articles of Impeachment – Day 2 - 12/12/2019 - Live - 9:00am EST - Part 1, Part 2, Part 3Dec 13, 2019House Judiciary Committee Debate and Vote on Articles of Impeachment – Day 3 - 12/13/2019 - Live 10am ESTDec 17, 2019House Rules Committee Debates Articles of Impeachment - 12/17/2019 - Live 11am ESTDec 18, 2019House of Representatives Debates and Votes on Articles of Impeachment - 12/18/2019 – Live 9 am EST - Part I, Part 2, Part 3, Part 4, Part 5, Part 6Dec 19, 2019Sixth Democratic Presidential Debate - 12/19/19 - 8pm-11pm EST - Part 1, Part 2Dec 22, 2019Democratic Presidential Primary Polling - December 2019AMAsDateTitleJan 8, 2019Andrew O'Hehir of Salon, discussing Paul Ryan's career and moreJan 9, 2019Mayor Glenn Jacobs of Knox County TN, also known as WWE superstar KaneJan 10, 2019Wayne Barnett of the Seattle Ethics and Elections Commission, discussing the Democracy Vouchers programJan 11, 2019Rep. Sam Kito III, finishing a five-year stint in the Alaska House of RepresentativesJan 14, 2019Bruce MacKinnon, political cartoonist for the Halifax Chronicle HeraldJan 17, 2019Yamiche Alcindor, White House Correspondent at the PBS NewsHour and a political contributor for NBC News and MSNBCJan 22, 2019Brigitte Amiri of the ACLU, discussing abortion rights on the 46th anniversary of Roe v. WadeJan 31, 2019The Independent's US Team discussing the government shutdownFeb 6, 2019Adam Edelen, Democratic candidate for Governor in KentuckyFeb 12, 2019Quinta Jurecic, the Managing Editor of LawfareFeb 14, 2019Rick Romell, business reporter covering Foxconn for the Milwaukee Journal SentinelFeb 19, 2019Arden Walentowski and Lizzie Stewart of the Let's Get Civical podcastFeb 19, 2019Hamza Khan, progressive political activist and founder of The Pluralism ProjectFeb 20, 2019Mayor Robert Garcia of Long Beach, CAFeb 21, 2019Amara Enyia, candidate for mayor of ChicagoFeb 22, 2019Mark Fiore, political cartoonist and animatorFeb 26, 2019Gus Bova, Kiah Collier, John Carlos Frey, and Molly Hennessy-Fiske, reporters covering the Texas border wallFeb 27, 2019Congressman Tim Ryan, D-OHFeb 28, 2019Andrew Yang,2020 Democratic candidate for presidentMar 1, 2019Niall Stanage, covering The White House for The HillMar 5, 2019Nick Schifrin, foreign affairs and defense correspondent for the PBS NewsHourMar 6, 2019Robert McChesney, political scholar and activistMar 8, 2019Robert Reich, fmr. Secretary of Labor and professor of public policy at UC BerkeleyMar 13, 2019Dr. Leana Wen, president of the Planned Parenthood Action FundMar 19, 2019Jessica Yellin, fmr. CNN White House Chief CorrespondentMar 19, 2019John Bauters, council member and fmr. mayor of Emeryville, CAMar 21, 2019Colton Thornton, 26 year old progressive runing for Mississippi state senateMar 26, 2019Brad Heath, Justice and Investigations editor for USA TodayMar 29, 2019Sam Doctor, Democratic candidate for PA-11Apr 1, 2019Tod Fennell, video game voice actor who played George Washington one time in an Assassin's Creed game. April Fools!Apr 2, 2019PolitiFact, the largest political fact-checking newsroom in the United States, back for their third AMAApr 3, 2019Alan Inouye, head of policy for the American Library AssociationApr 4, 2019Susan Page, Washington Bureau Chief of USA Today and author of "THE MATRIARCH: Barbara Bush and the Making of an American Dynasty"Apr 8, 2019Rep. Jerry McNerney, CA-09, discussing Net NeutralityApriil 9, 2019Igor Volsky, executive director of Guns Down AmericaApr 10, 2019Roberto Ferdman, VICE News Tonight correspondent reporting on the borderApr 11, 2019Rob O'Dell and Michael Squires, investigative and data reporter and editor at The Arizona RepublicApr 12, 2019Fmr. Senator Mike Gravel, 2020 Presidential CandidateApr 16, 2019Anna Palmer and Jake Sherman, authors of The Hill to Die OnApr 17, 2019Darrell Steinberg, Mayor of Sacramento CAApr 18, 2019Maya Cummings, Chair of the Maryland Democratic PartyApr 25, 2019Pat Garofalo, author of "The Billionaire Boondoggle"Apr 26, 2019Desmond Meade, TIME 100 honoree for leading the Florida Rights Restoration CoalitionMay 1, 2019Valerie Jarrett, President Obama's longest-serving senior advisorMay 3, 2019Alyssa Milano, activist and host of podcast "Alyssa Milano: Sorry Not Sorry"May 9, 2019The ACLU, discussing voting rights and mass incarcerationMay 15, 2019The LA Times and Kate Morrissey of the San Diego Tribune, discussing immigration and the southern borderMay 17, 2019Timothy Snyder, author of "The Road to Unfreedom" and "On Tyranny", back for his 2nd AMAMay 22, 2019Ben Gleib, TV show host, comedian, and 2020 Democratic presidential candidateMay 23, 2019Jay Inslee, governor of Washington and 2020 Democratic presidential candidateMay 24, 2019Marianne Williamson, 2020 Democratic presidential candidate, author, lecturer, and activistMay 29, 2019The New Democrat Coalition - Reps. Ami Bera, Suzan DelBene, Derek Kilmer, Ann McLane Kuster, and Stacey PlaskettJun 4, 2019Senator Ron Wyden & Reddit CEO Steve Huffman, discussing how Section 230 of the Communications Decency Act (“CDA 230”) allows sites like Reddit to existJun 11, 2019Jonathan Capehart, columnist and editorial board member for The Washington PostJun 14, 2019Josh Marshall, founder of Talking Points Memo, back for his 2nd AMAJun 19, 2019Chesa Boudin, public defender and candidate for San Francisco district attorneyJun 20, 2019Caitlin Dickerson, national immigration reporter from The New York TimesJun 26, 2019Matt Yglesias, VOX senior correspondent reporting on the policies of 2020 Democratic presidential candidatesJun 27, 2019John Hickenlooper, fmr. Governor of Colorado and 2020 presidential candidateJun 28, 2019The Independent's US team, reporting at the first 2020 Democratic debates in MiamiJul 2, 2019Amy Howe, Supreme Court reporter for SCOTUSblog and Howe on the CourtJul 23, 2019Mark Charles, independent Navajo candidate for president in 2020Jul 26, 2019Lisa Desjardins, PBS NewsHour congressional correspondentJul 31, 2019Allen Salkin and Aaron Short, authors of "The Method to the Madness", a book about how Donald Trump became presidentAug 2, 2019Daniel Funke of PolitiFactAug 13, 2019AF Branco, nationally syndicated conservative political cartoonistAug 14, 2019Morgan Harper, progressive candidate for OH-03Aug 15, 2019Maebe A. Girl, the first drag queen elected to public office, running for congress in CA-28Aug 16, 2019Lara Smith, national spokesperson for The Liberal Gun ClubAug 21, 2019Dan Alexander of Forbes, discussing the net worth of each 2020 presidential candidateAug 27, 2019Dale Beran, author of "It Came From Something Awful"Aug 28, 2019Coalition to Stop Gun Violence, the nation's oldest gun violence prevention organizationAug 29, 2019Daniel Ulysses Lockwood, a Democratic Socialist running for U.S. Congress in NC-04Aug 10, 2019David Chipman, Giffords: Courage to Fight Gun Violence Senior Policy AdvisorAug 11, 2019James Dawkins, state house candidate for NC-17Aug 12, 2019Stan Greenberg, author of "RIP GOP: How the New America Is Dooming the Republicans"Aug 13, 2019American Trails, a 30-year-old trail advocacy groupAug 18, 2019Shahid Buttar, challenger to Nancy Pelosi for CA-12Aug 19, 2019Tony Schwartz, ghost-writer of Trump: The Art of the DealAug 20, 2019Anthony Fisher, Politics Editor at Insider, Producer/Ombudsman of The Fifth Column podcast, and co-moderator of Business Insider's Republican Presidential Debate between Bill Weld and Joe Walsh in NYC on 9/24/2019Aug 20, 2019Secretaries of State Steve Simon (MN) and Kim Wyman (WA), discussing National Voter Registration DayAug 24, 2019Civic technology experts from Democracy Works, discussing National Voter Registration DayAug 26, 2019Natalie Cline, Democrat running for WV-01Aug 26, 2019Robert Reich, fmr. Secretary of Labor and professor of public policy at UC Berkeley, back for his second AMAAug 27, 2019Reporters working on USA Today's 'The Migrants', a story about how the US is handling an influx of migrantsOct 1, 2019Terri Ann Lowenthal, former staff director of the U.S. House of Representatives census oversight subcommitteeOct 8, 2019Heather Boushey, president and CEO of the Washington Center for Equitable GrowthOct 9, 2019Ryan J. Suto and Suher Adi with the YallaCountMeIn (national Arab American Get out the Count) campaignOct 10, 2019Tim Alberta, POLITICO’s chief political correspondent and author of NYT bestseller “American Carnage”Oct 11, 2019Greg Conley, president of the American Vaping Association, discussing recent vaping legislationOct 15, 2019NALEO Educational Fund, an organization that facilitates full Latino participation in the American political process, from citizenship to public serviceOct 16, 2019Mayor William Peduto of Pittsburgh PAOct 17, 2019USA Today Foreign Correspondent Kim Hjelmgaard, recently back from Ukraine to research the origins of Trump/Ukraine theoriesOct 18, 2019Agatha Bacelar, challenger to Nancy Pelosi for CA-12Oct 22, 2019Dane Wilcox, Democrat running for OR-03Oct 25, 2019Aaron Glantz, investigative reporter at Reveal and author of "Homewreckers"Oct 29, 2019Chris Armitage, Democrat running for WA-05Oct 30, 2019Allison Stanger, professor of International Politics and Economics at Middlebury CollegeOct 31, 2019Maggie Haberman and Michael Schmidt, New York Times reporters covering the Trump administrationNov 1, 2019Samantha Boucher, the first openly trans person to manage a US Senate raceNov 5, 2019Alexi McCammond, political reporter for AxiosNov 6, 2019Mike German, ex-FBI agent turned whistleblower and author of "Disrupt, Discredit, and Divide: How the New FBI Damages Democracy"Nov 7, 2019James Lindsay, director of studies at the Council on Foreign RelationsNov 8,2019Sara Swann and Geoff West from The Fulcrum, covering democracy reform issuesNov 12, 2019Kimberly Graham, candidate for US Senate in IowaNov 13, 2019Greg Giroux, senior reporter for Bloomberg GovernmentNov 19, 2019Robert Santos, president-elect of the American Statistical AssociationNov 20, 2019Greg Bluestein, veteran politics reporter for the Atlanta Journal-Constitution, covering the 11/20/20 Democratic DebateNov 26, 2019Courtney Subramanian, White House Correspondent for USA Today focused on the public impeachment hearingsNov 27, 2019Robert Lawton, Independent running for Congress in CA-04Dec 3, 2019Emily Leslie, Democrat running for GA State House District 106Dec 5, 2019Shannon Dooling, WBUR immigration reporterDec 11, 2019POLITICO journalists, discussing their co-hosting of the 12/19/2019 Dem DebateDec 13, 2019Stephanie Taylor, co-founder of the Progressive Change Campaign CommitteeDec 20, 2019Ron Jarmin, deputy director of the U.S. Census BureauDec 24, 2019Patrick Marley and Molly Beck, Milwaukee Journal Sentinel via /r/politics