thefundiedata

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Upcoming Events | February-July 2025

Not predicting for: Michaela Bates, Alyssa Bates and Joseph Duggar.

Just Occurred: Jed and Katey Duggar have had their twin girls, Elsie Kate and Emma Kate Duggar.

Confirmed Events: Jinger and Jeremy Vuolo are expecting their third child, a boy. Predicted birthday of 28th March. Josiah and Lauren Duggar are expecting their fourth child. Estimated birthday of 17th April. Jeremiah and Hannah Duggar are expecting their third child, a girl. Predicted birthday of 9th May. Trace and Lydia Bates are expecting their second child*, a girl. Predicted birthday of 31st May. Timothy and Heidi Rodrigues are expecting their first child. Due date of 12th July.

Predicted Events: February: 25th - Jana and Stephen Wissmann announce Baby 1.

March: 29th - Justin and Claire Duggar announce Baby 1 (11 SDs late).

April: 6th - Isaiah Bates and Sarah enter a courtship & Jason and Maddie Duggar announce Baby 1. 11th - Kaylee and Jonathan Hill announce Baby 2 (3 SDs late). 14th - Jackson and Emerson Bates announce Baby 1 (3 SDs late).

May: 15th - Jill and Derick Dillard announce Baby 4* (1 SD late). 20th - Carlin and Evan Stewart announce Baby 3 (2 SDs late).

June: No events predicted.

July: 5th - Renee Rodrigues enters a courtship (1 SD late). 9th - Joy and Austin Forsyth announce Baby 4. 21st - Nurie and Nathan Keller announce Baby 4.

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Are you predicting Jeremy and Jinger stop now that baby was revealed as a boy? Anything new with Jeremiah and Hannah's third girl? Lauren does look pregnant without a doubt in Jinger's video, and Derrick is holding Jill in a way that could mean she's preggo too. Are you predicting/updating on these yet?

I personally think Jinger and Jeremy will stop. The spreadsheet will keep predicting unless they specifically say they won't be as it just assumes everyone will keep going.

Only things I am looking out for with Jeremiah and Hannah is an exact date of birth for Brielle and a due date for Baby 3.

I agree, Lauren is almost certainly pregnant. Not sure what kind of confirmation we'll ever get though. Maybe at the birth of Jinger or Hannah's children.

Jill is overdue so I wouldn't be too surprised at an announcement from her and Derick, though it could also just be how they were standing.

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Meet Elsie Kate & Emma Kate Duggar

On Thursday 9th January, Jed and Katey Duggar announced the birth of their twin daughters, Elsie Kate & Emma Kate. The twins were born on Wednesday 8th January. The twins were born eleven days early.

Pregnancy Announcement Jed and Katey announced the pregnancy on 18th July 2024. Katey was on Day 95 of pregnancy at the time. She announced her pregnancy with Truett on Day 41 and her pregnancy with Nora on Day 122 of pregnancy. Her new average is to announce on Day 86 (12 weeks, 2 days) of pregnancy. The couple announced the twins' genders at the same time as the pregnancy announcement. This was different to prior announcements, where they had announced on Day 150, on average.

Effect on the Data The twins were born when Katey was aged 26, meaning their data impacts the 25-30 maternal multiplier rate. It's had a very small impact as the 595 days between Nora's birth and the birth of the twins was very close to the average rate in the 25-30 age bracket. Otherwise, the pregnancy only affects Jed and Katey's ongoing predictive pace.

The couple's average pace for Nora and the twins is 497 days. Taking this and multiplying it by the maternal multiplier, their predicted pace for Baby 5 is 585 days.

What's Next? Taking that 585 day pace for Baby 5, key dates for Jed and Katey's future predictions are:

Pregnancy Announcement: 27th January 2026 Gender Reveal: 13th March 2026 (or at time of announcement) Due Date & Birth Date: 9th August 2026

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What is actually Brielle grace duggar born on.. we know it's on February 2024 but what is the date of the month ??

We don't know for definite as Jeremiah and Hannah haven't announced her exact date of birth.

The clues we do have: her birth was announced 25th February 2024, so she was born before then.

Her two month update comes up as 26th April on my Instagram, but could be a timezone thing, pretty consistent with the birth announcement.

Her 6 1/2 month post was 4th September. Suggests a birth of around 17th-20th February.

I've put 19th February 2024 as the estimated date in the spreadsheet, but it's not a fact, it's just a guess. I suppose we might know for definite in February if they do a birthday post.

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can I ask why you predict for Josiah and Lauren but not for Joe and Kendra? i feel like both families have stepped out of being public figures

I don't predict for Josiah and Lauren in the same way I do for the rest of the Duggars. Up until the pregnancy speculation, they were included at the top of Upcoming Events as one of the couples I don't predict for (it typically said Alyssa, Jinger, Josiah, Joseph and Michael), though even with those couples, I will put things that are confirmed into the calendar. Once it became fairly clear to me Lauren was likely pregnant, I added that to speculated events. I was actually going to do the same with Kendra before the updated grandchild count confirmed she hadn't had more children. It's not so much me predicting when things will happen, as much as reporting on it once it has happened. They're still in the spreadsheet and it's still predicting for them, I'm just not posting it, partly because it seems pointless when there's no announcements.

The post I put up today is all that will go up about this pregnancy and then it'll be back to not going on Upcoming Events again.

Maybe not the best balance but it's what I've got at the moment.

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So Lauren Duggar is pregnant...

Jinger's birthday vlog seems to have confirmed what snarkers had thought for a while, that Lauren Duggar is pregnant. I thought I'd do some quick data around this pregnancy.

Early, Late or On Time? That depends on when Lauren is due. The spreadsheet was predicting a birth 10th February 2025. I think Lauren is probably due slightly later than this. For now, I've popped 17th April in as a predicted birth date, which would be ~715 days after Ezra, or 0.32 Standard Deviations later than expected, which is pretty close. I'm going to be honest, I have no good reason for that date, except I thought it was the latest likely date based on bump size at Jinger's birthday, and I'd rather have the data be out by the numbers being slightly bigger than they should be than slightly smaller.

Baby 5? Short answer - Baby 5 is now due 4th April 2027. Slightly longer answer, Lauren and Josiah now have a predicted pace of 717 days. They are now predicted to have 11 children. (Even longer answer, this will obviously change if Lauren is due earlier. A birth in mid-March changes the prediction to February 2027 and a birth in mid-Feb changes the prediction to January 2027)

[thefundiedata]

Upcoming Events | January-June 2025

Not predicting for: Michaela Bates, Alyssa Bates and Joseph Duggar.

Just Occurred: Jeremiah and Hannah Duggar are expecting their third daughter. They have said she will be born 'late spring'. The spreadsheet estimates May. Timothy and Heidi Rodrigues are expecting their first child. The due date is 12th July.

Confirmed Events: Jed and Kate Duggar are expecting twin girls. The girls will be their third and fourth children. Predicted birthday of 29th December. Jinger and Jeremy Vuolo are expecting their third child. Predicted birthday of 28th March. Trace and Lydia Bates are expecting their second child*. Predicted birthday of 31st May.

Tentative Events: Josiah and Lauren Duggar may be expecting their fourth child. The spreadsheet was predicting a birth in February 2025, which matches with these suspicions.

Predicted Events: January: No events predicted.

February: 25th - Jana and Stephen Wissmann announce Baby 1.

March: 29th - Justin and Claire Duggar announce Baby 1 (11 SDs late).

April: 6th - Isaiah Bates and Sarah enter a courtship & Jason and Maddie Duggar announce Baby 1. 11th - Kaylee and Jonathan Hill announce Baby 2 (3 SDs late). 14th - Jackson and Emerson Bates announce Baby 1 (3 SDs late).

May: 15th - Jill and Derick Dillard announce Baby 4* (1 SD late). 20th - Carlin and Evan Stewart announce Baby 3 (2 SDs late).

June: No events predicted.

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Baby Rodrigues 1 is on the way!

As the clock ticked over from 2024 to 2025, Timothy and Heidi Rodrigues made an exciting announcement - they are expecting their first child! They also gave an exact due date, 12th July 2025. Praise be! I somehow never did the couple's wedding data, so take this speedy pregnancy data as a compromise.

Early, Late, or On Time? Before this announcement, the average marriage-to-firstborn pace was 371 days across all Duggar, Bates and Rodrigues announcements. The Rodrigues average was 343 days, but with large variability as Nurie had a relatively long pace for her first child and Kaylee's was very short due to Gideon being premature.

This meant Tim and Heidi weren't expected to have a baby until September 2025, so this baby has come slightly early. However, it is very much within what the spreadsheet expects, and was only 0.59 Standard Deviations early.

Timing of Pregnancy Announcement Much more typical than the other Rodrigues announcements, I can say! Across all spreadsheet couples, the average to announce was on Day 99 (14 weeks, 1 day). However, when you just look at the Rodrigues family, the average is much, much earlier on Day 46 (6 weeks, 4 days). Tim and Heidi come in at a more typical pace of announcing on Day 88 (12 weeks, 4 days). Obviously couples are welcome to announce whenever they want, but this announcement is far more average!

The average spreadsheet couple now announces on Day 98 (14 weeks). Tim and Heidi were 0.34 Standard Deviations earlier to announce than the average predictor couple now is. This data point will now be used to estimate when Tim and Heidi will announce future pregnancies.

Due Date This one is clear, thanks guys! Timmy said, 'Heidi and I are thrilled to announce that we are expecting a baby come July 12th.'

Impact on the Data This has slightly quickened the pace of a first baby after marriage from 371 days to the new average of 368 days. This has affected Jana Wissmann, Jason Duggar, Justin Duggar and Jackson Bates. It has also significantly quickened Tim and Heidi's predicted pace. They are now expected to have eleven children, up from eight just after their wedding day.

Baby 2? Assuming no changes to the second child multiplier before then, the couple are predicted to announce Baby 2 in April 2026 for a birth that November. The predicted spacing between these two pregnancies is a speedy 482 days.

[thefundiedata]

My 2025 Predictions

Anna Duggar - no predictions John & Abbie - no predictions Jana & Stephen - announce and have baby 1 Jill & Derick - announce and have baby 4* Jessa & Ben - announce baby 6 but won't have until spring 2026 Jinger & Jeremy - no predictions Joe & Kendra - really not sure what's going on here, baby 5 in the autumn? Josiah & Lauren - late winter baby Joy & Austin - will announce late 2025 for a 2026 birth Jed & Katey - no predictions Jeremiah & Hannah - no predictions Jason & Maddie - announce and have baby 1 James - no predictions Justin & Claire - no predictions Jackson - no predictions Johannah - no predictions

Zach & Whitney - will announce a 2026 baby at the end of the year, final child Michael & Brandon - no predictions Erin & Chad - will announce and have baby 7 while still having no stable environment for a child and calling the baby a miracle Lawson & Tiffany - will announce a 2026 baby Nathan & Esther - no predictions Alyssa & John - after swearing blind Rhett would be their last baby, announce baby 6 anyway and have them towards the end of the year Tori & Bobby - end of year baby, pushing into 2026 Trace & Lydia - no predictions Carlin & Evan - Carlin will finally convince Evan to have baby 3 Josie & Kelton - no predictions Katie & Travis - no predictions Jackson & Emerson - have their first towards the end of the year, after their second anniversary Warden - no predictions Isaiah - has relationship announced by Kelly but stays off social media Addallee - enters a relationship, fully monetised on Instagram.

[thefundiedata]

Baby Duggar 3 is on the way!

On Tuesday 24th December, Jeremiah and Hannah Duggar announced they are expecting their third child, a daughter. The couple are already parents to two girls, Brynley Noelle and Brielle Grace.

Early, Late, or On Time? The pregnancy announcement was earlier than predicted. The spreadsheet had originally expected an announcement from the pair in June 2025. However, it is earlier in the pregnancy than previous announcements have been, which means the birth is predicted to be only 72 days early, which is pretty close!

Timing of Pregnancy Announcement As I said above, this announcement came earlier than other Jeremiah and Hannah pregnancies. They announced with Brynlee on Day 156 of pregnancy and with Brielle around Day 174. This pregnancy was announced around Day 137 (19 weeks, 4 days) of pregnancy. This brings their new average to Day 156 (22 weeks, 2 days).

Due Date Not totally known. The announcement said 'late next spring'. Taking spring to be March, April and May, I am assuming a due date of May. Therefore, I have put the estimated due date as 16th May. Brynlee was born seven days early, so I am estimating a birth date of 9th May.

Impact on the Data This has ever-so-slightly sped up Jeremiah and Hannah's future spacings, which means Jeremiah and Hannah are now expected to have eleven children (up from the previous ten). It has also marginally lowered the maternal multiplier for 25-30 year olds by a couple of days per predicted pregnancy in this age group.

This baby is estimated to be born 445 days after Brielle (pretty quick, especially for a third baby), which sets their estimated pace for Baby Four at 587 days.

Baby Four? Jeremiah and Hannah are predicted to announce Baby Four in August 2026 for a birth that December (which would just mean four under four!).

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Bates Christmas Posts

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Duggar Christmas Posts

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Baby Bates 2* is on the way!

On Saturday 7th December 2024, Trace and Lydia Bates shared they are expecting their second baby via their YouTube channel. This pregnancy follows a loss in February 2024.

Early, Late or On Time? This pregnancy announcement was slightly late but has also been offset by the couple announcing a little later than they did with Ryker. They were first expected to announce in October for a due date in April. The birth is now predicted to be 48 days late, which is only 0.32 SDs late, pretty much bang on time!

Timing of Pregnancy Announcement Trace and Lydia announced Ryker's pregnancy on Day 75 (10 weeks, 5 days) of pregnancy. This pregnancy was announced around Day 91 (13 weeks) of pregnancy, a fair bit later. Their new average is to announce on Day 83 (11 weeks, 6 days) of pregnancy, 8 days slower than before.

Due Date Based on Lydia finding out she was pregnant in Hawaii, and her seeming to suggest that it was a fairly early test (she suggested before finding out the result that it might be too early to test), I assume she was early in her pregnancy when she found out. The couple also shared she found out she was pregnant right at the start of their Hawaii trip in October. Based on all this, I am estimating a due date of 14th June 2025. However, Ryker was born 14 days early, so the estimated birth date for Baby 2* is 31st May 2025.

Impact on the Data This pregnancy is a post-loss spacing, therefore it doesn't affect the maternal multiplier, the second child multiplier or Trace and Lydia's data. Their lost pregnancy earlier in 2024 counts for all those data points. This pregnancy does affect the post-loss spacing data set. Prior to this pregnancy, it stood at 426 days. This pregnancy has a predicted spacing of 474 days, which has slightly raised the average to 429 days. This has a small effect on couples like Jill and Derick Dillard who also had a loss recently.

Baby Three? Trace and Lydia are expected to announce a further pregnancy in January 2026 for a birth in August 2026. They are predicted to have ten children in total.

[thefundiedata]

Data soon!

(And a Merry Christmas to those who celebrate)

Breaking News: A New Baby Girl

Jeremiah and Hannah announced that they are expecting their 3rd child, 3rd daughter due Spring 2025.

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I've got it as a guess of 14th June right now, but would love a more concrete answer. Though I may just post without pictures or concrete date.

Have Trace and Lydia announced a due date for the baby? That and the lack of actual pictures are making the data hard to finish!

[thefundiedata]

Have Trace and Lydia announced a due date for the baby? That and the lack of actual pictures are making the data hard to finish!

[thefundiedata]

This means no Joe baby number 5 has already been born as the twins are grandchildren 34 and 35.

Jed & Katey QnA

From "Twin Girl Nursery Tour + Pregnancy Q&A"

They decided to keep their Yukon and put the older two in the back seat.

They did an Arizona vibe for the nursery in honor of Katey's roots.

They bought premie clothes because Katey thought the girls would come early but now she is not so sure. Nora is in the nursery right now. The twins will be in Jed and Katey's room until they are older, then they will get the nursery and Nora will move in with Truett. Jed notes their house now is just a bit smaller than his house growing up that housed 13 kids so he is not worried. They will make it work for now but they have property they are thinking about.

1st and 2nd trimester were the same as her other two pregnancies but she has noticed the difference in the 3rd trimester.

They are not sure yet if the girls are fraternal or identical. They are in different sacks so there is a 30% chance they will be identical. They are probably fraternal because that is genetic and twins run in the family.

The twins are due Jan 19.

They are not sure if they will have more children. They are asking God for his timing. They are both open to more.

They will be the 34th and 35th

Jed does not see himself moving from Arkansas. There is no reason. Family, church, community, business is there. Katey could see it down the road. Jed seems more rooted based on their answers.

Katey was 9 weeks pregnant when they found out they were expecting twins.

Katie had a gut feeling and a dream that she would have twins. At the same time she was surprised. She thought and prayed that Truett would be a twin.

Katey is not planning for a c-section. Both babies are head down.

The only boys name Jed had was Jedidiah and Jeremiah but he would be scared he would have favoritism towards Jedidiah. They only had two names picked out. They were just girls names and they are using those.

Nora has no clue there are babies coming. They think Truett understands since he talks about having sisters and always mentions twins / there being two.

They want to instill right from wrong, how to treat others, and how to love and fear God in their children.

Katey has twins in her extended family. She has cousins, uncles, and a grandfather that is a twin.

They do not drink alcohol. They did not have alcohol at their wedding, it was communion. They have friends who do.

They will continue traveling. Their goal is 5-8 weeks out of the year. They took Truett to Israel and Italy. They will just adjust.