#this has been in my drafts for so long (mar 30 2022) this is still in the old post editor

[sanchomps]

[reavenedges-lies]

Okay now to the proper answer and not just an expansion on others content. (This is long and also functions as a mini primer about Dylan Guenther)

Now unfortunately as you've seen with other responses this is a very nuanced conversation with many factors e.g., age (Prime or Peak ages usually ranging from 23-30 for forwards and 25-32 on defenseman and goalies), location, coaching & staff, availability, and physicality. Now I will go over some of these things but since the Penguins have already been touched on by my lovely friend and mutual @coffee-at-annies I'll be focusing on the Coyotes. Notorious in the last decade or so for having atrocious luck with prospects and draftees.

My poor poor desert dogs have been in a off and on rebuild since 2013, and with multiple bad ownership groups starting back in '09 its been a long and draining process on our fans and players. Our General Manager situation didn't seem to help either with Chyka in 2020 seemingly not wanting to be here and also breaking league rules and getting the Yotes 1st rounder taken away that year. Later that same year we had a GM with a mere 2 month stint before we landed on our current GM Bill Armstrong (I will be referring to him as GMBA from here on out for times sake). We (Yotes fans and maybe @desertpups or @patrichornkissed can corroborate) haven't had this stable of a GM with a solid plan in what seems like ages, and under him we have completely revamped our Player Development staff and programs.

Now that we have some context out of the way, I'm going to go through all of the Yotes 1st rounders from the last decade (2014's draft) and go over how many games they played for ARI and if they got traded. (If you have any questions about these players send me an ask and i'll answer to the best of my abilities.)

2014- Brendan Perlini (12 OVA) Currently Inactive at the NHL level, played 153 games for ARI with 57 points (33-24-57) 2015- Dylan Strome (3 OVA) Currently with WSH, played 48 games for ARI with 16 points (7-9-16) 2015- Nick Merkley (30 OVA) Currently Inactive at the NHL level, played 1 game with ARI 2016- Clayton Keller* (7 OVA) Still with ARI, as of right now (MAR 25, 2024) he has played in 509 games with 404 points (163-241-404) 2016- Jakob Chychrun* (16 OVA) Currently with OTT, played 373 games for ARI with 170 points (60-110-170) 2017- Pierre-Olivier Joseph (23 OVA) Currently with PIT, Traded before he could play for ARI 2018- Barrett Hayton (5 OVA) Still with ARI, as of right now (MAR 25, 2024) he has played in 209 games with 84 points (35-49-84) 2019- Victor Söderström (11 OVA) Still with ARI-AHL, as of right now (MAR 25, 2024) he has played in 53 games with 11 points (1-10-11) 2020- NONE 2021- Dylan Guenther (9 OVA) Still with ARI-AHL, as of right now (MAR 25, 2024) he has played in 67 games with 37 points (17-20-37) 2021- FORFEIT (11 OVA) 2022- Logan Cooley (3 OVA) Still with ARI, as of right now (MAR 25, 2024) he has played in 71 games with 34 points (13-21-34) 2022- Conor Geekie (11 OVA) Prospect -WHL 2022- Maveric Lamoureux (29 OVA) Prospect -QMJHL 2023- Dmitriy Simashev (6 OVA) Prospect -KHL/MHL 2023- Danil But (12 OVA) Prospect -KHL/MHL

5/10 of our last NHL playing 1st round draftees are no longer with the team and 2 are no longer active in the NHL. Of the remaining five only two can be considered full time players for the Coyotes -I'm not counting Cooley just yet as he may get assigned to the Roadrunners next year for Dev reasons- those being Hayton and Keller. The two players with Stars next to their names played in the season they were drafted with everyone else on this list getting at least one full season in a development league or college. Keller IIRC didn't play until the end of the season post his college season rounding out, but I really want to talk about his line mates.

Now I have a lot to say about Hayton's development as a whole, as he is a fantastic skater who makes great decisions and moves the puck beautifully with his line mates, but has no finish. He does not score often, with last seasons 19-24-43 being his best since he has been playing at an nhl level, this year he has been plagued with injury after injury. But the real enigma is Dylan Guenther and his progression.

Gunner (Guenther) played his first year post draft and post ELC signing with the WHL's Edmonton Oil Kings and would've been part of the WJC-U20 team had it not been cancelled. After that he officially joins the Coyotes to everyone's excitement. However he only posts 6 goals in 33 games prior to that years WJC-U20. Post WJC he gets sent down to WHL's Thunderbirds (Traded from EDM to SEA at the deadline) for more development and a chance once again at the playoffs ultimately winning them a championship. The season is over, and he is doing off-season training trying to bulk up on his own before the mini training camp and ultimately the AUS games. He is looking dead ringer for a spot in the opening night line-up, and he starts the season in the AHL. He is mad, and turned that into an opportunity to get better.

According to reports from the Roadrunners HC Potvin he was spending almost all his free time training in some way or another and taking advantage of all the resources provided to him. He gets better over the course of his time down in Tucson and eventually is the team leader in points. He is working on himself and his game and Zucker gets suspended for 3 game. There is an empty spot on the roster for the best player on the Roadrunners, and Guenther is it. His mentality as a call up? “I’m not really thinking about what might happen. I’m just gonna go out there and I’m gonna play well. That’s all I can do, make it impossible for them to send me down. Absolutely, that’s the plan.” And He Does Just That. He has been playing since Zucker got suspended, he is currently at 34 games played and 22 points (11-11-22). He is the epitome of how you want development to go at this stage.

Right Now, the coyotes have the stability in their coaches on and off the ice as well as in their want and drive to be here. We could not have said that in 2020. As of the beginning of this season fans got an interview with GMBA where he said "We're in Phase 2 right now. It's right on track". We've got depth, we have draft picks, we have prospects and we have players who want to be here. The Prospects are the life blood of any given team, but that means nothing if you don't have a working system around them of a stable GM, HCs, Scouts and Development team. Prospects and Rookies take time, they take effort and they take what they can, to get what they need. There is no real stigma around whether or not you can call them up, its a decision on whether they're ready mentally and physically, if they're ready to be pushed into more grueling hours than they had been prior, if they're ready to use their drive to be better into being better not only for themselves but their team, coaches and fans, and whether or not the coaches and gm are ready to help those players each step of the way to the best of their abilities even when its not what the players want.

NHL-wide thought: it's funny how when a team has reached it's expiration date they call for a retool to get younger and refresh the roster to compete. but when they see prospects doing so well before coming in the show, they're like "but does his game translate well to the NHL???" or "is he NHL ready?" What really is the deal about prospects and why is there so much stigma about them despite the need to rebuild at some point?

good question, anon! I would like to know the answer to this too, but sadly I am here exclusively for the shits, giggles and pretty faces so am probably not the best person to ask.

I would suggest asking... perhaps @reavenedges-lies @coffee-at-annies or @idontlikeem all of whom i think know far more about Proper Hockey Stuff!

[seanmeverett]

Diary of a Madman, Page 39

11,000 people peering inside, you’re one of the chosen.

I. This Week’s Analyses [Retail]

Elon Musk Finally Catches Up To Biologic Intelligence [FEATURED]: we show off our commercial one-pager and a page from our pitch deck.

Amazon’s Miraculous Pillar Business [fountainhead]: analyzing the subtle aspects of Amazon’s ROIC-based business strategy.

The Changing Dynamics of Reality Retail [fountainhead]: our thesis is that a personal and human experience matter for non-commodity products.

Operating System for Future Luxury Retail [fountainhead]: bridging the offline and online gap.

Facebook F8 2017 Predictions [fountainhead]: how’d we do?

II. “Cockamamie Bullshit”

Below is the chart that Nick Bostrom put together in his AI book, Superintelligence. It tells what is required to emulate real Biologic Intelligence. While the rest of the industry is focused squarely on #1, over the last 6 years, we’ve emulated #2, #3, #4, some of #5, and #9.

I had a potential investor a few weeks back reply to our pitch deck, without even making it all the way through, that what we’ve done is, and I quote, “cockamamie bullshit”. Truth be told, he’s heavily invested in #1 below (and has told his LPs the same) so for someone to come along and say he’s been disrupted? Well, as you might imagine, that just ain’t gonna sit well with some of them thar old-timey folks.

And no, I’m not afraid to call out bullshit when I see it. The truth is a wonderful thing. If you still don’t believe in the power of Biologic Intelligence, or you think we’re the only group talking about it, then let me introduce you to this little organization called DARPA. You know, the ones who CREATED SELF-DRIVING and protects the United States of America with advanced technology. That little group.

They released a new proposal a few weeks back looking for and describing everything we’ve been saying publicly for the last year. A few relevant quotes:

Current artificial intelligence (AI) systems only compute with what they have been programmed or trained for in advance; they have no ability to learn from data input during execution time, and cannot adapt on-line to changes they encounter in real environments.

At the same time, current ML systems are not intelligent in the biological sense. They have no ability to adapt their methods beyond what they were prepared for in advance and are completely incapable of recognizing or reacting to any element, situation or circumstance they have not been specifically programmed or trained for. This issue presents severe limitations in system capability, creates potential safety issues, and is clearly limiting in Department of Defense (DoD) applications, e.g., supply chain, logistics, and visual recognition, where complete details are often unknown in advance and the ability to react quickly and adapt to dynamic circumstances is of primary importance.

The human brain does not constitute the only biological system relevant to the L2M project. The project will also look to lower animal brains, and even organisms without brains due to reduced complexity, yet remarkable behaviors.

Of course there’s much more. Especially when they get into the nitty gritty:

Sounds exactly like what we have in our one-pager:

The future is not cockamamie bullshit. You only get that kind of heated, angered response when you become a threat to someone’s buggy whip business. That’s a signal you’re onto something big. As one of my very good, long-time startup friends told me recently, “keep punchin”.

III. Three Interesting Things

One: For Sale. We’re selling 3 products that we’ve reviewed. Email me if you’re interested:

$290 Bang & Olufsen H9: bluetooth wireless headphones with noise cancellation in the Argilla gray. Comes with velvet gray case, wired headphones and charger.. Regularly $500.

$290 Apple Watch, Series 1: 42mm Stainless Steel with 3 bands: black rubber, blue leather, milanese loop. Regularly $1,000 that you can’t even get in Stainless Steel any longer.

$175 Bose Headphones: bluetooth wireless headphones with noise cancellation in silver. Comes with the protective case and charger.

Two: The Moon Collective. One of our friends deep in the space industry is putting together a small collective of the smartest people and organizations to jumpstart the New Space Economy. We’re providing a bit of help.

Read this draft overview and see if you’re compelled. Email me if so.

Three: Compassionate Technology. Give our friend Olivia Jeffers a look. Smart as a whip and she’s publishing some great stuff.

IV. Newsworthy News

Energy: you can harvest water from the air.

Trading: you can arbitrage potato chips now.

Feminism: Math is doing well.

VR: Lytro’s new camera is as big as 3 humans.

Apple: gettin a new GPU and joining the Space Tech party.

Space: Helium-3 matters for colonization. Self-organizing microsats and 3D printing from Mars dust. Searching for ET.

Facebook: changed their story from VR to AR #throwback.

Communication: everyone struggles explaining their business.

Coffee: it’s clear now?

Self-Driving: CarOS is the new battleground. Where did we hear that before? #throwback

Self-Flying: VTOL is life.

AI: spending is up, up, up.

Market Size: AI & Robotics (2020): $153B, Sensors (2022): $240B which means Sensors are 2x larger than AI & Robotics.

China: goes to Hollywood and to space.

Retail: Amazon Basics could be the greatest Trojan horse into developing economies ever.

Cannabis: getting capital for the top startups.

Crypto: new app increasing the value of Ethereum, from Coinbase.

Manufacturing: the Vibration Institute exists for IIoT.

You’re a mad man until the rest of the industry releases a product to a massive set of the population.

— Sean

Read The Rest

In one list or: 38, 37, 36, 35, 34, 33, 32, 31, 30, 29, 28, 27, 26, 25, 24, 23, 22, 21, 20, 19, 18, 17, 16, 15, 14, 13, 12, 11, 10, 9, 8, 7, 6, 5, 4, 3, 2, 1

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Humanizing Tech is a premium technological think tank for building humanity’s future. It covers Biologic Intelligence, autonomous robotics, self-learning AI, superhuman augmentation, personal hedge funds, editable DNA, SAAS space platforms, personal power stations, and video as an app. This newsletter is a peek inside the Editor’s mind.

Diary of a Madman, Page 39 was originally published in Humanizing Tech on Medium, where people are continuing the conversation by highlighting and responding to this story.

from Stories by Sean Everett on Medium http://ift.tt/2palYTi