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Fantasy sit-start: Lineup advice for every Week 13 game

Josh McCown highlights this week’s look at whom to sit and start in fantasy leagues (AP Photo).

Chiefs vs. Jets: Start Tyreek Hill, who’s averaged 89.2 yards and scored all five of his touchdowns on the road this year (for whatever that’s worth), and the Jets have allowed 20 passing TDs.

Start Josh McCown, who continues to be a DFS bargain. He’s coming off a game in which he shredded a solid Carolina defense for 307 yards (8.7 YPA) with three touchdowns and no picks. McCown has a higher Passer Rating than Russell Wilson and is on pace to throw for 3,700 yards and total 29 touchdowns. He ranks No. 3 among all QBs in Player Profiler’s “Production Premium” stat, is at home (where he’s gotten 8.1 YPA) and up against a suspect Chiefs defense this week.

Lions vs. Ravens: Sit Matthew Stafford, who’s played well of late (9:2 TD:INT ratio over last four games) but gets a Baltimore defense that’s allowed the second-fewest fantasy points to quarterbacks this season.

Start Jeremy Maclin, who should bounce back from last week’s disappearing act with Detroit’s best corner Darius Slay likely covering Mike Wallace most of the game (Maclin lines up in the slot, where Slay rarely goes).

49ers vs. Bears: Start Jordan Howard, who’s gotten 4.8 YPC with four touchdowns over six home games and gets a vulnerable 49ers defense.

Start Carlos Hyde, who remains affordable in DFS despite seeing a ton of volume. He’s averaged 8.8 targets over the past five games and has totaled more looks this year (73) than he has over his previous three seasons combined (64). It’s unclear if Jimmy Garoppolo will dump it off as much, but getting a major upgrade at QB should help the running back’s numbers overall.

[Week 13 fantasy rankings: Overall | PPR | QBs | RBs | WRs | TEs | FLEX | DST | Ks]

Vikings vs. Falcons: Start Case Keenum, who’s gotten 8.9 YPA with an 8:2 TD:turnover ratio while completing 71.1 percent of his passes over the past three games. He hasn’t fumbled all season long and plays in a dome this week in a game that could turn into a shootout.

Sit Tevin Coleman, who returns to a backseat role with Devonta Freeman back in action and is facing a Minnesota front seven that’s yielded the fewest fantasy points to running backs. I’d also fade Julio Jones in DFS, as his ownership will likely see a boost coming off such a huge performance last week, but he’ll be shadowed by Xavier Rhodes.

Patriots vs. Bills: Start Dion Lewis, who continues to have a reasonable DFS price tag despite regularly seeing 15+ touches on one of the league’s best offenses. The Bills have the No. 27 ranked run defense DVOA and have only gotten worse of late.

Despite no Kelvin Benjamin and with Jordan Matthews and Charles Clay both banged up, sit Zay Jones. New England hasn’t allowed more than 17 points in a game since Week 4 and employs tough outside corners.

Broncos vs. Dolphins: Start Devontae Booker, who led all Denver backs in snaps (albeit with a modest 26) last week and should get even more work on a Broncos team that’s lost seven straight and needs to look toward the future. Miami sports the No. 31 ranked defense DVOA.

Start DeVante Parker. Jay Cutler is back and has locked onto Parker before, which should especially be the case Sunday with slot corner Chris Harris matched up against Jarvis Landry (and Aqib Talib suspended).

Texans vs. Titans: Pay up for DeAndre Hopkins in DFS. He’s seen 12.0 targets per game since Tom Savage took over at QB, even racking up 125 yards in a tough Baltimore environment last week. Hopkins is on pace to score 13 touchdowns this season and gets a highly favorable matchup this week.

Start the Titans defense. Hopkins should get his, but the rest of the Texans offense is a complete mess. Tennessee is cheap in DFS and is touchdown favorites at home against a quarterback who’s gotten 6.1 YPA with 12 turnovers and 14 sacks over five starts.

Colts vs. Jaguars: Sit T.Y. Hilton, who has fewer than 30 yards receiving in five of his past six games and gets the NFL’s toughest secondary, with Jalen Ramsey (and/or A.J. Bouye) presenting a tough task Sunday.

Start Marqise Lee, who had been targeted 32 times over the previous three games before being shadowed by Patrick Peterson last week. The Colts sport the No. 28 pass defense DVOA and are without Vontae Davis and Rashaan Melvin, so Dede Westbrook is also a nice cheap alternative…And if you’re concerned about game script here (the Jags shut out the Colts in Indy the last time these teams met), then making Leonard Fournette the foundation of your DFS lineup this week makes sense.

Buccaneers vs. Packers: Start DeSean Jackson, as the Packers have been getting smoked by outside receivers lately, and there’s sneaky shootout potential in this game. Sit Cameron Brate and O.J. Howard, as it’s unclear if Jameis Winston’s return will lead to a change in the TE hierarchy, and Green Bay has ceded the fewest fantasy points to the position.

Start Jamaal Williams, who’s averaged 22.7 touches over the past three games and gets a Tampa Bay defense that’s bottom-three in the league. Aaron Jones could possibly return, but he sprained his MCL just a few weeks back…Davante Adams should also be treated as a top-10 WR start this week.

Panthers vs. Saints: Sit Greg Olsen, who returned to practice Friday but is in the midst of a lost season and is playing nowhere close to full strength against a New Orleans defense that’s defended tight ends well.

Start Michael Thomas, who hasn’t scored over his past seven games (and has yet to reach the end zone at home this season) but continues to see a bunch of targets and faces a Panthers defense that ranks No. 24 in DVOA against No. 1 wide receivers.

Browns vs. Chargers: Sit Josh Gordon. He reportedly ran a 4.35 forty while training for his return, and there’s undeniable upside here despite Cleveland’s QB situation. But it’s best to take a wait-and-see approach given the long layoff and the Chargers’ tough cornerbacks.

Start Hunter Henry, whose targets remain frustrating (he hasn’t seen more than five in a game since Week 6) but scored last week and gets a Cleveland defense that continuously gets beat by tight ends.

Rams vs. Cardinals: Sit Sammy Watkins, who was productive last week with Robert Woods sidelined but should mostly be lined up against Patrick Peterson this week. Play Cooper Kupp with confidence.

Start Ricky Seals-Jones. He’s obviously tough to trust considering how off the radar he was as recent as three weeks ago, but he’s scored three touchdowns over the past two games and remains cheap in DFS.

Giants vs. Raiders: Sit Orleans Darkwa, who played just 19 snaps last week, his lowest since Week 3. It’s a plus matchup, but the Giants are 8.5-point underdogs on the road and starting Geno Smith at quarterback.

Start Seth Roberts, who scored 10 touchdowns over the past two years despite acting as a third WR and should step into a much larger role Sunday with Michael Crabtree and Amari Cooper out against a shaky Giants defense now missing Janoris Jenkins…Jared Cook is also primed for a big game.

Eagles vs. Seahawks: Sit Jay Ajayi, who’s now totaled just 20 carries over three games since getting traded to Philadelphia, including bottoming out with only five last week. Seattle remains tough against the run.

Start Russell Wilson, who’s accounted for 25 of Seattle’s 26 touchdowns this season and has been unstoppable at home, where he’s averaged 353.0 yards from scrimmage with 13 scores over five games. The Eagles should be able to put up points, so this could easily turn into a high-scoring affair during a game in which the Seahawks are more than three-point underdogs at home for the first time since 2012.

Steelers vs. Bengals: Sit Ben Roethlisberger, who’s played better than usual on the road this season but still sports a modest 8:5 TD:INT ratio over six games and gets a Cincinnati secondary that’s allowed 6.4 YPA (third lowest in the NFL).

Target A.J. Green in DFS, as the Steelers’ defense has been gashed for big games against No. 1 wide receivers since Joe Haden has been out.

Follow Dalton Del Don on Twitter. 

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NFL Today, Week 7

New Post has been published on http://usnewsaggregator.com/nfl-today-week-7/

NFL Today, Week 7

SCOREBOARD

Monday, Oct. 23

Washington at Philadelphia. Carson Wentz and the Eagles (5-1) lead the NFC East, are first in the conference and enter having won four straight games, including an impressive 28-23 victory at Carolina. Meanwhile, Kirk Cousins and the Redskins (3-2) look for some revenge after losing to the Eagles at home in Week 1.

Seattle Seahawks quarterback Russell Wilson, right, celebrates with Doug Baldwin after scoring a touchdown during the second half of an NFL football game against the New York Giants, Sunday, Oct. 22, 2017, in East Rutherford, N.J. (AP Photo/Bill Kostroun)

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STARS

Passing

– Russell Wilson, Seahawks, went 27 of 39 for 334 yards and three touchdowns to lead Seattle to a 24-7 win over the New York Giants.

– Blake Bortles, Jaguars, threw for 330 yards and a touchdown in Jacksonville’s 27-0 victory at Indianapolis.

– Jameis Winston, Buccaneers, had 384 yards passing with three touchdowns and an interception in a losing cause as Tampa Bay fell to Buffalo 30-27.

– Drew Brees, Saints, went 27 of 38 for 331 yards with a TD and two INTs in New Orleans’ 26-17 win at Green Bay.

– Dak Prescott, Cowboys, tossed three touchdown passes in Dallas’ 40-10 rout of the 49ers in San Francisco.

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Rushing

– Ezekiel Elliott, Cowboys, ran for 147 yards and two touchdowns and also caught a 72-yard TD pass to help Dallas rout San Francisco 40-10.

– Le’Veon Bell, Steelers, had 134 yards on 35 carries and added three catches for 58 yards in Pittsburgh’s 29-14 win over Cincinnati.

– Aaron Jones, Packers, rushed for a career-best 131 yards on 17 carries and added a TD in Green Bay’s 26-17 loss to New Orleans.

– T.J. Yeldon, Jaguars, helped fill in for the injured Leonard Fournette by running for 122 yards and a score on just nine carries in Jacksonville’s 27-0 win at Indianapolis.

– Latavius Murray, Vikings, ran for 113 yards and a TD on 18 carries in Minnesota’s 24-16 victory over Baltimore.

– LeSean McCoy, Bills, had two TD runs and rushed for 91 yards on 23 attempts in Buffalo’s 30-27 win over Tampa Bay.

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Receiving

– Ted Ginn Jr., Saints, had seven catches for 141 yards in New Orleans’ 26-17 win at Green Bay.

– O.J. Howard, Buccaneers, caught two touchdown passes and finished with six catches for 98 yards in Tampa Bay’s 30-27 loss at Buffalo.

– Kenny Stills, Dolphins, had two TD receptions to help Miami rally past the New York Jets 31-28.

– Doug Baldwin, Seahawks, made nine catches for 92 and a touchdown in Seattle’s 24-7 win over New York Giants.

– Deonte Thompson, Bills, had four catches for 107 yards to help Buffalo to a 30-27 win over Tampa Bay.

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Special Teams

– Stephen Hauschka, Bills, kicked a 30-yard field goal with 14 seconds remaining to help Buffalo beat Tampa Bay 30-27.

– Travis Benjamin, Chargers, returned a punt 65 yards for a touchdown in Los Angeles’ 21-0 win over Denver.

– Cody Parkey, Dolphins, kicked a 39-yard field goal with 22 seconds to go to give Miami its first lead of the game – and the win – in a 31-28 victory over the New York Jets.

– Kai Forbath, Vikings, kicked six field goals to lift Minnesota to a 24-16 victory over Baltimore.

– Ryan Succop, Titans, made his fourth field goal of the game – a 47-yarder with 1:55 left in overtime – to extend his NFL record for makes inside 50 yards to 55 straight and sent Tennessee past Cleveland 12-9.

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Defense

– Eddie Jackson, Bears, became the first player in NFL history with multiple defensive touchdowns of 75 or more yards in the same game, running back a fumble recovery 75 yards and returning an interception 76 in Chicago’s 17-3 win over Carolina.

– Kevin Byard, Titans, had three interceptions in Tennessee’s 12-9 overtime win at Cleveland.

– Tre’Davious White, Bills, forced and recovered a fumble to set up Stephen Hauschka’s 30-yard field goal with 14 seconds remaining in Buffalo’s 30-27 victory over Tampa Bay.

– Cameron Wake, Dolphins, had 2½ sacks in Miami’s 31-28 win over the New York Jets.

– Yannick Ngakoue, Jaguars, had 2½ of Jacksonville’s franchise record-tying 10 sacks in a 27-0 rout at Indianapolis.

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STREAKS & STATS

Buffalo’s Stephen Hauschka tied an NFL record by making 12 consecutive field goals from 50 yards or longer by hitting a 52-yarder in the Bills’ 30-27 win over Tampa Bay. The record is shared by Blair Walsh, Robbie Gould, Justin Tucker and Matt Prater. Hauschka has not missed an attempt from beyond 50 yards since missing a 50- and 52-yarder in a 35-6 win over Arizona on Dec. 21, 2014. … Jacksonville matched its franchise record with 10 sacks in a 27-0 win at Indianapolis. Jacksonville joined the 1984 Chicago Bears and 1967 Oakland Raiders as the only teams to record 10 or more sacks twice in the same season. The Jaguars, who also had 10 against Houston in the season opener, also got their first shutout since a 41-0 victory over the New York Jets on Oct. 8, 2006. Indy was shut out for the first time since a 41-0 loss to the Jets in a playoff game on Jan. 4, 2003. … With his first catch in Arizona’s 33-0 loss to the Los Angeles Rams at London’s Twickenham Stadium, a 16-yard reception on the fourth play from scrimmage, Arizona’s Larry Fitzgerald has now caught a pass in the NFL in 40 different stadiums. … The Los Angeles Chargers beat Denver 21-0, sending the Broncos to the franchise’s first shutout defeat since a 24-0 loss to the Los Angeles Raiders on Nov. 22, 1992. … Jones’ 1-yard touchdown reception with 4:09 to go ended the schneid, and he hurled the football high into the mist as if to say “at last.”

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MILESTONES

Eddie Jackson became the first player to score multiple defensive TDs of 75 yards or more in a game, leading the Chicago Bears to a 17-3 victory over the Carolina Panthers. He’s also the only rookie in NFL history with two 75-yard defensive touchdowns in a season. He ran back a fumble recovery 75 yards on the game’s opening possession and returned an interception of Cam Newton 76 yards for a score early in the second quarter to give Chicago a 14-0 lead. He became the first Bears player since Fred Evans in 1948 – and the first NFL player since Tennessee’s Zach Brown in 2012 – with two defensive TDs in a game. … Tennessee’s Ryan Succop extended his NFL record for makes inside 50 yards to 55 straight with a 47-yarder with 1:55 left in overtime to lift the Titans past Cleveland 12-9 in overtime. … New Orleans’ Drew Brees threw a touchdown pass in the Saints’ 26-17 win at Green Bay, adding another milestone to his impressive 17-year career by becoming the fourth player in NFL history with at least 500 touchdown tosses, including the playoffs. He joined Peyton Manning, Brett Favre and Tom Brady. … Minnesota’s Kai Forbath kicked six field goals and Justin Tucker had three for Baltimore in the Vikings’ 24-16 win, with the nine combined field goals tying an NFL record for most in a game.

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SUPER MISMATCH

In a rematch of last season’s Super Bowl, the New England Patriots kept on keeping on against the Atlanta Falcons with 23-7 victory. They extended their consecutive points streak vs. Atlanta to 54 before allowing Julio Jones’ 1-yard touchdown reception with 4:09 to go. New England scored the final 31 points to win the NFL championship in February. Jones’ TD also ended a streak in which Atlanta allowed 43 consecutive points to opponents, including 20 straight points in last week’s loss to Miami, and then 23 in a row to New England.

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KICKIN’ IT

Dallas lost kicker Dan Bailey to a right groin injury in the first half of its 40-10 win at San Francisco, forcing coach Jason Garrett to scramble a bit. Dallas went for the 2-point conversion following their first TD after Bailey’s injury and couldn’t convert. Safety Jeff Heath handled the kickoff duties after that and reached the goal line on his first kick. Heath got his shot at extra points in the second half and made two out of three. Heath is the first non-kicker or punter to make multiple extra points in a game since former Houston linebacker and current Packers GM Ted Thompson made four in 1980.

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EDDIE’S READY

Chicago rookie safety Eddie Jackson became the first player to score multiple defensive TDs of 75 yards or more in a game, leading the Chicago Bears to a 17-3 victory over the Carolina Panthers. He’s also the only rookie in NFL history with two 75-yard defensive touchdowns in a season. Jackson’s big day came exactly one year after he broke his leg playing for Alabama against Texas A&M. Jackson ran back a fumble recovery 75 yards on the game’s opening possession and returned an interception of Cam Newton 76 yards for a score early in the second quarter to give Chicago a 14-0 lead. He became the first Bears player since Fred Evans in 1948 – and the first NFL player since Tennessee’s Zach Brown in 2012 – with two defensive TDs in a game.

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COWBOY UP

Ezekiel Elliott gained 219 yards from scrimmage and tied a career high with three touchdowns just days after a legal reprieve put his suspension on hold and the Dallas Cowboys beat the winless San Francisco 49ers 40-10. Elliott was granted his second temporary restraining order on Tuesday, putting his six-game suspension over domestic violence allegations on hold and then gave the Cowboys a big boost on the field. He matched his season total of rushing touchdowns with two in the first quarter and then took a short pass from Dak Prescott 72 yards for another touchdown on Dallas’ first possession of the second half to put the 49ers away. Elliott ran for 147 yards on 26 carries to go with the big catch, setting a career high in scrimmage yards in a game.

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SHADY SEES DAYLIGHT

Buffalo’s LeSean McCoy had two touchdown runs in a 30-27 win over Tampa Bay to end a six-game scoreless drought that matched the longest of his career and dated to the final game of last season.

___

STEPPING IN

Brett Hundley, making his first NFL start in place of the injured Aaron Rodgers, rushed for 44 yards on three carries, including a 14-yard touchdown run, but finished 12 of 25 for 87 yards in the 26-17 loss to New Orleans. Rodgers is out indefinitely with a broken right collarbone. … Matt Moore replaced an injured Jay Cutler and threw two touchdown passes in the final 12 minutes to lead the Miami Dolphins to a comeback victory over the New York Jets. Cutler left the game due to a chest injury with his team trailing 21-14. After the Jets took a two-touchdown lead, Moore threw scoring passes to Kenny Stills covering 28 and 2 yards to tie it.

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IRON MAN STOPPED

Cleveland left tackle Joe Thomas sustained a serious injury to his left triceps and could miss the remainder of another losing season for the Browns. The 10-time Pro Bowler had played 10,363 consecutive snaps when he was forced to leave the field in the third quarter of a 12-9 overtime loss to the Tennessee Titans. He will undergo an MRI on Monday, but it’s safe to assume that the 32-year-old will miss weeks if not months.

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COMEBACK KIDS

Miami erased a 14-point fourth-quarter deficit and rallied to beat the New York Jets 31-28. It was the second consecutive comeback win by the Dolphins, who overcame a 17-point deficit in the second half a week ago for an upset victory at Atlanta. They’ve won 12 games in a row when the margin is seven points or fewer. The NFL record is 14 consecutive games.

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QB WOES

Cleveland’s quarterback issues remain uncertain after DeShone Kizer started after a one-week benching because of turnovers – and then was benched again. He threw two picks before coach Hue Jackson had seen enough, pulling him for Cody Kessler, who was inactive for the first six games after making eight starts last season as a rookie. Kizer was 12 of 20 for 114 yards. Kessler 10 of 19 for 121.

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YO, ADRIAN?

Adrian Peterson, in his second game for Arizona since being acquired via a trade with the New Orleans Saints, was held to just 21 yards on 11 carries in the Cardinals’ 33-0 loss to the Los Angeles Rams. It was a contrast from a week ago, when he ran for 134 yards and two touchdowns in a win over Tampa Bay.

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LONDON STALLING

The Los Angeles Rams’ 33-0 shutout of the Arizona Cardinals marked the second time in as many games in Britain that an opponent has failed to score. The Saints defeated the Miami Dolphins 20-0 at Wembley Stadium on Oct. 1 – the 18th game held in the country. Los Angeles had not shut out an opponent since a 24-0 road victory against the Washington Redskins on Dec. 7, 2014, while the Cardinals had not failed to score since a 58-0 loss at Seattle on Dec. 9, 2012.

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CATCHING ON

Pittsburgh rookie wide receiver JuJu Smith-Schuster had a 31-yard touchdown catch in the Steelers’ 29-14 win over Cincinnati. Smith-Schuster, who doesn’t turn 21 until Nov. 22, has three career touchdown receptions – the most in NFL history by a player before his 21st birthday.

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SIDELINED

Arizona quarterback Carson Palmer broke his left arm in a 33-0 loss to the Los Angeles Rams at Twickenham Stadium, leaving Drew Stanton to take over after the team returns from its bye week. Palmer will require surgery on the arm and coach Bruce Arians said he expects the quarterback to miss eight weeks. … Cleveland left tackle Joe Thomas sustained a serious injury to his left triceps and could miss the remainder of the season. The 10-time Pro Bowler had played 10,363 consecutive snaps when he was forced to leave the field in the third quarter of a 12-9 overtime loss to the Tennessee Titans. … Miami quarterback Jay Cutler left the Dolphins’ 31-28 win over the New York Jets with what is believed to be a cracked rib that will force him to miss at least one start. … Baltimore wide receiver Mike Wallace left the Ravens’ 24-16 loss at Minnesota with a concussion and did not return. … Dallas kicker Dan Bailey suffered a groin injury in the Cowboys’ 40-10 win at San Francisco and didn’t return.

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SPEAKING

“It’s kind of unbelievable. I thought he was a superhuman, where nothing could happen to him. There were about 30 seconds out there where I teared up. It’s tough because he’s the best player on our team.” – Cleveland left guard Joel Bitonio on teammate Joe Thomas, who had played 10,363 consecutive snaps when he was forced to leave the field in the third quarter of a 12-9 overtime loss to the Tennessee Titans with a triceps injury that could sideline him the rest of the season.

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“I don’t want to think about it. It makes me sick. To come out on the road and get going like we did and then finish it like that is frustrating.” – Josh McCown after the New York Jets blew a 14-point fourth-quarter lead and fell to the Miami Dolphins 31-28.

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For more AP NFL coverage: http://pro32.ap.org and http://twitter.com/AP_NFL

Dallas Cowboys running back Ezekiel Elliott (21) runs against the San Francisco 49ers during the first half of an NFL football game in Santa Clara, Calif., Sunday, Oct. 22, 2017. (AP Photo/Marcio Jose Sanchez)

Buffalo Bills kicker Stephen Hauschka (4) boots the winning field goal during the second half of an NFL football game as Tampa Bay Buccaneers defensive back Robert McClain (36) looks on Sunday, Oct. 22, 2017, in Orchard Park, N.Y. (AP Photo/Adrian Kraus)

Chicago Bears free safety Eddie Jackson (39) celebrates a touchdown on a fumble recovery against the Carolina Panthers during an NFL football game at Soldier Field in Chicago, Ill. on Sunday, Oct. 22, 2017. (Rick West/Daily Herald via AP)

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Top daily fantasy football plays for Week 2 of the NFL season

With Week 2 of the NFL season upon us, we take a look at some of the best values to be found on Draftkings and FanDuel, and some players worth fading.

SB Nation will be bringing you the top Daily Fantasy options each week through the regular season and into the playoffs. We have a small sample size of which offenses look good to target and others we should avoid until further notice. As for who should be in your lineups, here are the top value plays of the week, with an eye toward low ownership and high upside.

Quarterback

Tom Brady, New England Patriots at New Orleans Saints ($7,900 DK, $9,200 FD)

The narrative is about Angry Tom Brady. Most people think it’s about what happened 10 days ago. Sure, but what about eight years ago? That was the last time the Patriots played the Saints in New Orleans and it was one of the worst losses in Brady’s regular-season history. That’s a revenge game narrative that shouldn’t go overlooked. Also, the Saints’ defense just got torched by Sam Bradford, and now plays on short week. Add in Brady’s high price, which usually scares off the value hunters, and he might not even be a chalky play. It all adds up to a great option this week.

Drew Brees, Saints vs. Patriots ($7,700 DK, $8,700 FD)

Brees is back at home this week, and as we know in DFS, the Superdome is the Coors Field of football. Brees’ home/road splits are among the most extreme in football, right there with Ben Roethlisberger. The difference between Ben and Brees this week is the opponent. The Patriots defense looked like a shell of itself against the Chiefs and Dont’a Hightower is out this week. Brees will need to match Brady bomb-for-bomb, and don’t doubt that he won’t.

Jameis Winston, Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Chicago Bears ($6,300 DK, $7,800 FD)

Winston is coming in a forgotten man, as are all Bucs and Fins this week. It’s a good time to get a solid quarterback at a fair price in a plum matchup against the Bears at home. I think the Winston-Mike Evans stack will be the most productive in DFS this season and it all starts with the Week 2 “opener.”

Derek Carr, Oakland Raiders vs. New York Jets ($7,200 DK, $8,300 FD)

There might be a tendency to avoid Carr in what should be blowout win for the Raiders at home against the punchless Jets. But I suspect that all those points are going to come through the air, before the Raiders turn to Marshawn Lynch to close it out.

Discount Darling: Alex Smith, Kansas City Chiefs vs. Philadelphia Eagles ($5,700 DK, $7,200 FD)

Was Smith’s performance in Week 1 a fluke? I don’t think so. As great as Kareem Hunt was, most of his damage came as receicer. There’s nothing about the Eagles secondary that should keep Smith from essentially repeating his Week 1 performance, especially at home in a competitive game.

Avoid: Carson Palmer, Arizona Cardinals at Indianapolis Colts ($6,000, $7,500 FD)

I know it’s the Colts, but with David Johnson out, do defenses really need to play the running game honestly. I guess we’ll see, but until Palmer shows he can be productive without Johnson behind him, I’m looking elsewhere.

Also consider: Matt Ryan, Atlanta Falcons; Carson Wentz, Philadelphia Eagles; Russell Wilson, Seattle Seahawks.

Running back

Ty Montgomery, Green Bay Packers at Atlanta Falcons ($5,800 DK, $6,500 FD)

If you liked what Tarik Cohen did to the Falcons last week out of the backfield, now translate that to an early-down back in an elite offense. Montgomery was solid last week against a formidable Seattle defense, so he should have all sorts of opportunities against a lesser challenge in Atlanta.

Jay Ajayi, Miami Dolphins at Los Angeles Chargers ($6,400 DK, $7,900 FD)

Another forgotten man from Week 1 against a defense that struggled to contain C.J. Anderson on Monday night and now has to deal with an extremely well-rested Ajayi on a short week. Add to the mix the amount of check-downs one might expect from Jay Cutler and you have a big PPR number for Ajayi on tap.

LeSean McCoy, Buffalo Bills at Carolina Panthers ($8,600 DK, $8,600 FD)

McCoy racked up 27 total touches last week, and had he not tapped out with an apparent injury with the Bills on the goal line, he might have added a touchdown to his total last week. McCoy is good to go in Week 2 and though he faces a tough defense, he’s going to get crazy volume again, including plenty of pass targets.

Tarik Cohen, Chicago Bears at Tampa Bay Buccaneers ($4,100 DK, $5,400 FD)

It will be interesting to see what Cohen’s ownership looks like a week after exploding onto the scene with his 113 total yards and eight receptions on 12 targets. With Jordan Howard not 100 percent, Cohen could easily exceed those Week 1 numbers, which makes him ridiculously under-priced for his role.

Discount Darling: Javorius Allen, Baltimore Ravens vs. Cleveland Browns ($4,100 DK, $4,900 FD)

Allen shouldn’t be nearly as popular as Cohen, but he isn’t any less valuable at his price, especially on FanDuel, where he gets a bit of a discount from Cohen. Allen out-snapped Terrance West last week and with Danny Woodhead on IR, Allen should see even more work against the Browns, which has struggled – last week notwithstanding – against the run.

Avoid: DeMarco Murray, Tennessee Titans at Jacksonville Jaguars ($6,300 DK, $7,500 FD)

Murray was surprisingly underwhelming last week, and with all the discount options on the table, this might be a good week to go wait-and-see here.

Also consider: Todd Gurley, Los Angeles Rams; Marshawn Lynch, Oakland Raiders; Melvin Gordon, Los Angeles Chargers.

Wide receiver

Mike Evans, Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Chicago Bears ($7,700 DK, $8,500 FD)

If the “forgotten team” narrative does hold true, and Buccaneers/Dolphins players go under-owned because they didn’t play last week and have no stats to study, then Evans is a must-play this week. Even in his preseason cameos, Evans dominated the field, and with DeSean Jackson on the other side to keep defenses honest, Evans could wind up the No. 1 receiver in fantasy. A criminally under-owned Winston-Evans stack this week may never be more rewarding.

Amari Cooper, Oakland Raiders vs. New York Jets ($8,100 DK, $7,900 FD)

As I wrote under Carr’s entry above, I suspect the blowout everyone expects here will happen, but it will happen via the air, not the ground, at least in the early going. I’m sure will get plenty of Beast Mode in the second half, but the first half star with multiple-touchdown upside is Cooper.

Michael Thomas, New Orleans Saints vs. New England Patriots ($7,500 DK, $8,000 FD)

Basically, every skill player on either team is worthy of consideration this week. But I’m guessing that Thomas will be the most productive and at the same time, among the most under-owned. The Patriots receivers will get most of the DFS attention, and they are excellent plays. But for tournament consideration, I want the guy who can put up similar numbers, but at lower ownership.

DeVante Parker, Miami Dolphins at Los Angeles Chargers ($5,400 DK, $6,400 FD)

Jason Verrett has been ruled out and Jarvis Landry is nursing an injury. This is suddenly a great spot for Parker to become the focus of Jay Cutler’s reads, which could translate to double-digit targets, which should further translate into a 7-100-1 type of game at a cheap price and minimal ownership.

Discount Darlings: Cooper Kupp, Los Angeles Rams vs. Washington ($4,100 DK, $5,400 FD)

I’ve loved Kupp going back to my preseason DFS columns. He was plenty involved in Week 1, and now he gets the added bonus of being the guy not covered by Josh Norman. Nelson Agholor isn’t nearly as good as Kupp and look what he did last week as the non-Norman receiver. Kupp, at this price, is DFS gold this week.

Avoid: Stefon Diggs, Minnesota Vikings at Pittsburgh Steelers ($6,100 DK, $6,500 FD)

Check the status of Sam Bradford before the game. He has been limited all week in practice with a knee issue and is expected to start, but things could always change before lineups lock. Even if he does go, it’s hard to imagine he can repeat his Monday night performance on the road against the Steelers defense. That translates to his pass catchers and Diggs is likely to be highly-owned, making him a tournament fade.

Also consider: Larry Fitzgerald, Arizona Cardinals; Brandin Cooks, Patriots; Julio Jones, Atlanta Falcons.

Tight end

Coby Fleener, New Orleans Saints vs. New England Patriots ($3,100 DK, $5,300 FD)

Fleener proved the “Coors Field” theory of the Superdome last year, putting up his best numbers in home games. He had a pretty impressive road game last week, so there’s a good bet he has one of his Superdome specials on Sunday, especially with the Pats defense weakened with the loss of Hightower.

Charles Clay, Buffalo Bills at Carolina Panthers ($3,000 DK, $5,200 FD)

Clay emerged as the most reliable receiver on the Bills last week, and given the Panthers’ difficulty against tight ends, that distinction should hold true for at least one more week.

Jared Cook, Oakland Raiders vs. New York Jets ($3,300 DK, $5,100 FD)

It was the Jets that allowed Clay’s solid game last week, and Cook, who was solid in his Week 1 game against Tennessee, should have plenty of opportunities to keep it going at home this week.

Cameron Brate, Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Chicago Bears ($3,000 DK, $5,300 FD)

Our final “forgotten man” narrative. Austin Hooper got free for a long touchdown last week against the Bears. Brate has emerged as an impact receiver in this offense and with Evans and Jackson stretching the field, Brate could have a field day underneath.

Discount Darling: George Kittle, San Francisco 49ers at Seattle Seahawks ($2,500 DK, $4,500 FD)

The Seahawks have always had a bit of a blind spot for tight ends, and Kittle acquitted himself nicely in his regular season debut last week, catching 5-of-6 targets, albeit for just 27 yards. If Kittle makes five catches on Sunday, the guess here is one will be for a touchdown, which could lead to a coveted 5X salary day.

Avoid: Jason Witten, Dallas Cowboys at Denver Broncos ($3,400 DK, $5,400 FD)

It’s one thing for Witten to do it at home against the Giants with a record on the line. It’s back to reality this week against the solid Broncos defense in Denver. Don’t chase the points here.

Also consider: Jimmy Graham, Seattle Seahawks; Delanie Walker, Tennessee Titans; Zach Ertz, Philadelphia Eagles

Defense

Oakland Raiders ($3,500 DK, $5,300 FD)

Arizona Cardinals ($4,100 DK, $5,000 FD)

Baltimore Ravens ($3,700 DK, $4,700 FD)

Carolina Panthers ($3,600 DK, $5,100 FD)

Discount Darling: Los Angeles Rams ($3,000 DK, $4,400 FD)

Avoid: Tennessee Titans ($3,300 DK, $4,600 FD)

[packernet]

New Post has been published on https://www.packernet.com/blog/2017/09/10/packernet-predictions-week-1/

Packernet Predictions: Week 1

As we prepare for week 1 of the 2017 NFL season, Packernet has decided to put our predictive powers to the test. Each week we will give you our picks and see how we stack up.

*Special guest predictions by Tecmo Bowl*

New York Jets (0-0) at Buffalo Bills (0-0)  Line: Bills by 8.5. Total: 40. 

Ryan’s Pick: Bills

We don’t know much but I feel fairly confident when I say the Jets are the worst team in the NFL. I could be wrong but I doubt it matters very much. Bills take this one easily.

Jon’s Pick: Jets I think the public sides with the Bills this week, but Jets smoked them in week 17 last year. Sure, Fitzpatrick had a decent game, and somehow, as bad as he is, he seems better than Josh McCown, but I’m looking at what’s stayed the same in New York: Bilal Powell, who ran rampant on the Bills suspect run defense (they allowed 4.6 ypc last year, fifth worst in the league).

Tecmo Sim: Jets 20 Bills 28

LeSean McCoy ran for 235 yards. I feel like I really don’t need to say anything else.

Atlanta Falcons (0-0) at Chicago Bears (0-0)  Line: Falcons by 7. Total: 48.5. 

Ryan’s Pick: Falcons

I think the Bears a little underrated. I do. But c’mon, it’s the falcons. I still think this game gets out of hand and the Falcons win and win big.

Jon’s Pick: Bears

I’m going upset here. I said in my fantasy picks that I would avoid Ryan this week because I have a weird feeling. The feeling is so weird that I think the Bears might just pull off an upset this week. I think their defense is better than most people think it is (although, the Falcons might have a field day going away from Jones because Cooper is bad). It feels stupid, but my gut says the Bears pull it off.

Tecmo Sim: Falcons 28 Bears 3

As if things weren’t bad enough, Jordan Howard was taken off the field after only 5 carries. The Bears couldn’t get anything going and the Falcons walk away with this one.

Jacksonville Jaguars (0-0) at Houston Texans (0-0) Line: Texans by 6. Total: 39.5. 

Ryan’s Pick: Jaguars

Everyone seems hung up on Bortles being not too good. He’s not, but did anyone bother to notice Tom Savage is on the other side. Bortles comes out with his new left tackle and stud running back and takes it to the Texans.

Jon’s Pick: Jaguars

The Texans offense looks rough. Tom Savage is their QB, which I think says enough about their offense. Plus, at some point, Blake has to stop throwing to the other team so often, right? Maybe this is finally his year. In the end, the Jaguars are too talented to keep losing to teams like the Texans.

Tecmo Sim: Jaguars 19 Texans 21

Fournette looks solid, running for 134 yards in his regular season NFL debut, but his QB is a flaming garbage heap. Ultimately, Savage is able to win this one despite throwing 3 interceptions.

Philadelphia Eagles (0-0) at Washington Redskins (0-0)  Line: Eagles by 1. Total: 47.5. 

Ryan’s Pick: Eagles

Wentz is the real deal. He started hot last year and I expect much of the same this year. Josh Norman is good at what he does but there is a drop off beyond that. Torrey Smith, Nelson Agholor, and Zach Ertz have a field day in this one.

Jon’s Pick: Redskins

I don’t trust Alshon as a number one, and I think the Redskins have a better running game. Neither team were world beaters last season, but the ‘Skins were one game better, and they’re at home this week, so I’ll take them to win.

Tecmo Sim: Eagles 14 Redskins 24

Wentz is a massive disappointment giving up racking up more picks than touchdowns. In the end the Redskins walk away with this one.

Arizona Cardinals (0-0) at Detroit Lions (0-0)  Line: Cardinals by 2. Total: 48. 

Ryan’s Pick: Cardinals

A big contract buys a lot of things but it doesn’t buy wins. It’ll be a full week before the Lions fans will be able to stop having nightmares about what David Johnson and Larry Fitzgerald did to them.

Jon’s Pick: Cardinals

The Lions are still trying to figure things out on defense, and that’s spells trouble for whoever sees Fitzgerald the majority of the game. I don’t think the Lions offense will be able to put up enough points to overcome their weaknesses on the other side of the ball.

Tecmo Sim: Cardinals 17 Lions 24

The Lions Defense proves to be too much for the Cardinals who weren’t able to get anything going. Golden Tate gets 99 yards receiving.

Oakland Raiders (0-0) at Tennessee Titans (0-0)  Line: Titans by 2.5. Total: 50.5. 

Ryan’s Pick: Titans

I think quite a few people see this as a close match but I’m not so sure. The Titans are ascending and are doing so rapidly. The Raiders’ arrow is pointing up but entirely too slowly. The defense is garbage and I see the Titans running away a little.

Jon’s Pick: Raiders

This is a fantasy player’s wet dream, but I think it’s a standard gambler’s nightmare. Both teams have so many flaws on defense, and both teams have offenses that can pour it on. I think the Raiders win a high scoring game.

Tecmo Sim: Raiders 21 Titans 10

Not the score you would have expected, especially with both Marshawn Lynch and Demarco Murray rushing for over 100 yards, but alas Tecmo has spoken.

Baltimore Ravens (0-0) at Cincinnati Bengals (0-0)  Line: Ravens by 3. Total: 42.5. 

Ryan’s Pick: Bengals

The Ravens do make sense but week 1 is when things get out of hand. If something gets out of hand it will likely involve A.J. Green. Beyond that, Flacco is a little banged up.

Jon’s Pick: Ravens

I like the Ravens adding Maclin in the offseason. I think he’ll be a lot better in Baltimore than he was in KC, where they had a really hard time throwing the ball the last couple of years, whether by accident or design.

Tecmo Sim: Bengals 27 Ravens 16

A.J. Green was just too much for the Ravens defense and the Ravens couldn’t keep up.

Pittsburgh Steelers (0-0) at Cleveland Browns (0-0)  Line: Steelers by 8.5. Total: 47. 

Ryan’s Pick: Steelers

Does this really need explaining? If there was anything exciting about the Browns, it was their first round draft pick. Now he’s hurt. A rookie on a trash team doesn’t beat the trio of Ben, Bell, and Brown.

Jon’s Pick: Steelers

I can’t believe the Browns are still a team. Can’t someone just pull the plug and end their misery already? Steelers, easily, and probably by a lot.

Tecmo Sim: Steelers 31 Browns 17

Isaiah Crowell did manage 104 yards but Kizer’s 4 picks and Browns 146 receiving yards more accurately sum this one up.

Indianapolis Colts (0-0) at Los Angeles Rams (0-0)  Line: Rams by 4. Total: 41.5. 

Ryan’s Pick: Colts

If my life was on the line would I make this pick? I’m not sure. But it costs me nothing so I’m going to take a chance. I understand the Colts don’t have Luck, but is Goff better than Tolzein? Does anyone really know the answer? Rams are horrible, end of story.

Jon’s Pick: Rams

If the Rams don’t win this game, they should turn in their franchise to the NFL. Maybe then the Browns would follow suit and we could have a 30-team league again… maybe there would be more parity then. How can the Colts win on the road without Luck? I don’t think they can.

Tecmo Sim: Colts 7 Rams 38

The Colts lone touchdown came after a Tolzein interception was fumbled and recovered by T.Y. Hilton who ran it in for a touchdown. Just to give you perspective how bad this was.

Seattle Seahawks (0-0) at Green Bay Packers (0-0)  Line: Packers by 3. Total: 51. 

Ryan’s Pick: Packers

I’m not overly confident but this isn’t a homer pick. I genuinely think the Packers are the better team. In terms of matchups, I don’t think the Seahawks can hang.

Jon’s Pick: Packers

Rodgers and co. have performed very nicely against the Seahawks in Lambeau. Refer to the fantasy article for Rodgers’s stats. If the location were swapped, I’d go the other way, but I like the Packers at home.

Tecmo Sim: Packers 17 Seahawks 24

Nelson was able to top 100 yards receiving but it wasn’t enough. In the end, the Packers offense wasn’t its self.

Carolina Panthers (0-0) at San Francisco 49ers (0-0)  Line: Panthers by 6. Total: 47.5.

Ryan’s Pick: Panthers

The Panthers struggled last year but none of that really matters. The 49ers are really bad and just decided to switch up their defensive scheme to a 4-3. It might help in the long run but it won’t in week 1.

Jon’s Pick: Panthers

The 49ers offseason was a lot better than I thought it would be with John Lynch taking over as GM with absolutely no experience in the front office, but one offseason can’t fix the problems with that nightmare in San Francisco. The Panther are at least fielding a legitimate NFL team, and that should be enough to beat the 49ers almost every week this season.

Tecmo Sim: Panthers 28 49ers 34

Brian Hoyer leads the 49ers in a massive upset throwing for over 300 yards, 130 of those yards going to Pierre Garcon. Christian McCaffrey fantasy owners aren’t disappointing though, as he leads the Panthers in both rushing and receiving.

New York Giants (0-0) at Dallas Cowboys (0-0)  Line: Cowboys by 4. Total: 48. 

Ryan’s Pick: Giants

Part of me wants to say the Cowboys. Beckham is hurt and you can feel a big game coming from Elliott as a result of his impending suspension. Still, the Giants defense is scary. I think they have enough offensive power to take this one. If Beckham makes a miraculous return, I’ll feel better about this.

Jon’s Pick: Giants

This is a hard decision. I think this could go either way, but I like the Giants passing game vs Dallas’s defense. Many think that we’ll see some impassioned running from the soon-to- be suspended Elliot, but I doubt that the rest of the team will rally around domestic violence strongly enough to equal his fierce play.

Tecmo Sim: Giants 28 Cowboys 31

Manning completed 88% of his passes for over 300 yards and it still wasn’t enough. With Elliott leading the way (150 yards rushing) the Cowboys come out on top.

New Orleans Saints (0-0) at Minnesota Vikings (0-0)  Line: Vikings by 3. Total: 48. 

Ryan’s Pick: Vikings

The Saints seemed like the obvious pick to me at first, but I think they are going to struggle offensively. With their porous defense, it should give the Vikings enough wiggle room to actually move the ball.

As a side note, it would make my day to see AP gash the Vikings and hand them their first of many losses.

Jon’s Pick: Vikings

If defense wins championships, it should also win games, so I’m taking the better defense at home.

Tecmo Sim: Saints 14 Vikings 37

In what was the most dominant offensive and defensive performance of week 1, the Vikings were able to carve up the Saints D for 37 points with rookie Dalvin Cook leading the way, notching over 100 yards through the air and slightly less on the ground.

Los Angeles Chargers (0-0) at Denver Broncos (0-0)  Line: Broncos by 3. Total: 43. 

Ryan’s Pick: Chargers

The Broncos defense can outmatch the Chargers offense but the Chargers D can do the same. I went back and forth on this but I take Rivers over Siemian.

Jon’s Pick: Broncos

The Broncos win this one. They improved their offensive line in the offseason, which was a major hole last year, and that means they should be able to protect Siemian pretty well on Monday night. I like the new coaching staff, too. Mike McCoy wasn’t the best HC, but he made Tim Tebow look like he belonged in the NFL for a few games when he last OC’ed Denver, so I think they’ll be okay on offense. Their defense is still amongst the league’s best, even with their somewhat porous rushing D. Denver wins.

Tecmo Sim: Chargers 13 Broncos 28

Melvin Gordon is able to top 100 yards but in the end, the Denver defense reigns supreme.

[yahoo-shutdown-corner-blog]

NFL draft profile: No. 32 — Florida CB Quincy Wilson, confident gambler with size

Florida CB Quincy Wilson 6-foot-1, 211 pounds

Key stat: In 37 college games (24 starts), Wilson allowed a total of 57 catches for 616 yards, per Pro Football Focus.

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Florida CB Quincy Wilson occasionally was overshadowed in a talented Gators secondary. (AP)

The skinny: The son of former Miami (Fla.) cornerback Chad Wilson, who played for Dennis Erickson from 1992 to 1994, Quincy Wilson chose a different path at UF. After Vernon Hargreaves III and others left a supremely talented Gators secondary, Wilson shined in 2016, teaming with fellow corner Teez Tabor to form one of the best duos in the country. Wilson improved from a part-time player as a true freshman to an all-SEC pick as a junior and had little more to prove after making such big strides. There was some thought that he might want to play with younger brother, Marco Wilson, who signed with the Gators as a freshman this fall. But Quincy, 21, declared early for the draft and should be one of the top corners selected, even in a deep crop at the position.

Best-suited destination: Any team that plays a high-percentage of press coverage can use Wilson, who thrived more with that than he did zone or off-man coverage. This would include teams such as: the Kansas City Chiefs, Minnesota Vikings, Philadelphia Eagles, Detroit Lions, Pittsburgh Steelers, Tennessee Titans, New England Patriots, Green Bay Packers, Chicago Bears and Indianapolis Colts, among plenty others.

Some teams also believe Wilson could make a fine safety if need be, which adds a layer to his appeal.

Upside: Textbook DB size, with athleticism to match. Gets physical with long arms in press coverage and likes to test opponents early and try to shock them. Has a fiery temperament that suits his game. Doesn’t have elite speed, but makes up for it with ability to shadow and frustrate receivers by beating them to spots. Will take chances that often pay off. Has confidence in his instincts and what he sees. Won’t back down from stiff challenges. Teams had to test him opposite Tabor, and Wilson rarely gave major ground. Will come up and defend the run and screen games well. Wants to be great and appears to put in the work to do so. Shows up when the lights are brightest. Won’t fail because of a lack of confidence or desire.

Downside: Played in extremely talented secondary past three seasons. Often gambled knowing that his safeties had his back. Wilson gave some ground on a few occasions where quarterbacks couldn’t get the ball to the man he was covering. Will occasionally let receivers slip behind him or past him (see LSU game and SEC title game vs. Bama). Above-average athleticism for the position, but some teams think he might be best at safety with a lack of long speed. One NFL scouting combine observer felt he was clunky in his backpedal and looked ordinary in positional drills. Can get himself out of position if he doesn’t get quality jam against quicker receivers. Might not have slot coverage skills. True field stretchers will test him vertically.

Scouting hot take: “You give me a pick of those two [Florida corners, Wilson and Tabor] and I am taking the safe bet, [Wilson]. They’re both gamblers. But you take the one with the size and the betters [physical traits], even though they’re cut from the same cloth. I like his makeup.” — NFC secondary coach

Player comp: Somewhere in between Stephon Gilmore and Trumaine Johnson

Expected draft range: Top 40 picks

Previous profiles

Nos. 51-100: Here’s who just missed the cut No. 50: Indiana OG-C Dan Feeney No. 49: Iowa DB Desmond King No. 48: Vanderbilt LB Zach Cunningham No. 47: Wisconsin pass rusher T.J. Watt No. 46. Alabama pass rusher Tim Williams No. 45. Washington CB Sidney Jones No. 44. Alabama LB Ryan Anderson No. 43. Ohio State WR-RB Curtis Samuel No. 42. Florida DT Caleb Brantley No. 41. Connecticut DB Obi Melifonwu No. 40. USC CB-KR Adoree’ Jackson No. 39. Texas Tech QB Patrick Mahomes No. 38. Michigan State DL Malik McDowell No. 37: Ole Miss TE Evan Engram No. 36: Florida LB Jarrad Davis No. 35: Washington S Budda Baker No. 34: Oklahoma RB Joe Mixon No. 33: Alabama CB Marlon Humphrey

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Eric Edholm is a writer for Shutdown Corner on Yahoo Sports. Have a tip? Email him at edholm@yahoo-inc.com or follow him on Twitter!

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