#machine learning chatgpt

[river-taxbird]

AI hasn't improved in 18 months. It's likely that this is it. There is currently no evidence the capabilities of ChatGPT will ever improve. It's time for AI companies to put up or shut up.

I'm just re-iterating this excellent post from Ed Zitron, but it's not left my head since I read it and I want to share it. I'm also taking some talking points from Ed's other posts. So basically:

We keep hearing AI is going to get better and better, but these promises seem to be coming from a mix of companies engaging in wild speculation and lying.

Chatgpt, the industry leading large language model, has not materially improved in 18 months. For something that claims to be getting exponentially better, it sure is the same shit.

Hallucinations appear to be an inherent aspect of the technology. Since it's based on statistics and ai doesn't know anything, it can never know what is true. How could I possibly trust it to get any real work done if I can't rely on it's output? If I have to fact check everything it says I might as well do the work myself.

For "real" ai that does know what is true to exist, it would require us to discover new concepts in psychology, math, and computing, which open ai is not working on, and seemingly no other ai companies are either.

Open ai has already seemingly slurped up all the data from the open web already. Chatgpt 5 would take 5x more training data than chatgpt 4 to train. Where is this data coming from, exactly?

Since improvement appears to have ground to a halt, what if this is it? What if Chatgpt 4 is as good as LLMs can ever be? What use is it?

As Jim Covello, a leading semiconductor analyst at Goldman Sachs said (on page 10, and that's big finance so you know they only care about money): if tech companies are spending a trillion dollars to build up the infrastructure to support ai, what trillion dollar problem is it meant to solve? AI companies have a unique talent for burning venture capital and it's unclear if Open AI will be able to survive more than a few years unless everyone suddenly adopts it all at once. (Hey, didn't crypto and the metaverse also require spontaneous mass adoption to make sense?)

There is no problem that current ai is a solution to. Consumer tech is basically solved, normal people don't need more tech than a laptop and a smartphone. Big tech have run out of innovations, and they are desperately looking for the next thing to sell. It happened with the metaverse and it's happening again.

In summary:

Ai hasn't materially improved since the launch of Chatgpt4, which wasn't that big of an upgrade to 3.

There is currently no technological roadmap for ai to become better than it is. (As Jim Covello said on the Goldman Sachs report, the evolution of smartphones was openly planned years ahead of time.) The current problems are inherent to the current technology and nobody has indicated there is any way to solve them in the pipeline. We have likely reached the limits of what LLMs can do, and they still can't do much.

Don't believe AI companies when they say things are going to improve from where they are now before they provide evidence. It's time for the AI shills to put up, or shut up.

[gynoidgearhead]

we need to come up for a good word for ""AI"" that doesn't imply it's artificial or intelligent and highlights the stolen human labor. like what if we call it "theftgen"

(workshop this with me)

[prokopetz]

With all the effort they're putting into making sure that ChatGPT never says or does anything even the tiniest bit unmarketable I give it even odds that within two years we end up with a situation where you ask it the wrong sort of question and it automatically calls the cops.

[tumbler-polls]

[herigo]

[sag-dab-sar]

Clarification: Generative AI does not equal all AI

💭 "Artificial Intelligence"

AI is machine learning, deep learning, natural language processing, and more that I'm not smart enough to know. It can be extremely useful in many different fields and technologies. One of my information & emergency management courses described the usage of AI as being a "human centaur". Part human part machine; meaning AI can assist in all the things we already do and supplement our work by doing what we can't.

💭 Examples of AI Benefits

AI can help advance things in all sorts of fields, here are some examples:

Emergency Healthcare & Disaster Risk X

Disaster Response X

Crisis Resilience Management X

Medical Imaging Technology X

Commercial Flying X

Air Traffic Control X

Railroad Transportation X

Ship Transportation X

Geology X

Water Conservation X

Can AI technology be used maliciously? Yeh. Thats a matter of developing ethics and working to teach people how to see red flags just like people see red flags in already existing technology.

AI isn't evil. Its not the insane sentient shit that wants to kill us in movies. And it is not synonymous with generative AI.

💭 Generative AI

Generative AI does use these technologies, but it uses them unethically. Its scraps data from all art, all writing, all videos, all games, all audio anything it's developers give it access to WITHOUT PERMISSION, which is basically free reign over the internet. Sometimes with certain restrictions, often generative AI engineers—who CAN choose to exclude things—may exclude extremist sites or explicit materials usually using black lists.

AI can create images of real individuals without permission, including revenge porn. Create music using someones voice without their permission and then sell that music. It can spread disinformation faster than it can be fact checked, and create false evidence that our court systems are not ready to handle.

AI bros eat it up without question: "it makes art more accessible" , "it'll make entertainment production cheaper" , "its the future, evolve!!!"

💭 AI is not similar to human thinking

When faced with the argument "a human didn't make it" the come back is "AI learns based on already existing information, which is exactly what humans do when producing art! We ALSO learn from others and see thousands of other artworks"

Lets make something clear: generative AI isn't making anything original. It is true that human beings process all the information we come across. We observe that information, learn from it, process it then ADD our own understanding of the world, our unique lived experiences. Through that information collection, understanding, and our own personalities we then create new original things.

💭 Generative AI doesn't create things: it mimics things

Take an analogy:

Consider an infant unable to talk but old enough to engage with their caregivers, some point in between 6-8 months old.

Mom: a bird flaps its wings to fly!!! *makes a flapping motion with arm and hands*

Infant: *giggles and makes a flapping motion with arms and hands*

The infant does not understand what a bird is, what wings are, or the concept of flight. But she still fully mimicked the flapping of the hands and arms because her mother did it first to show her. She doesn't cognitively understand what on earth any of it means, but she was still able to do it.

In the same way, generative AI is the infant that copies what humans have done— mimicry. Without understanding anything about the works it has stolen.

Its not original, it doesn't have a world view, it doesn't understand emotions that go into the different work it is stealing, it's creations have no meaning, it doesn't have any motivation to create things it only does so because it was told to.

Why read a book someone isn't even bothered to write?

Related videos I find worth a watch

ChatGPT's Huge Problem by Kyle Hill (we don't understand how AI works)

Criticism of Shadiversity's "AI Love Letter" by DeviantRahll

AI Is Ruining the Internet by Drew Gooden

AI vs The Law by Legal Eagle (AI & US Copyright)

AI Voices by Tyler Chou (Short, flash warning)

Dead Internet Theory by Kyle Hill

-Dyslexia, not audio proof read-

[nixcraft]

[unspuncreature]

[image ID: Bluesky post from user marawilson that reads

“Anyway, Al has already stolen friends' work, and is going to put other people out of work. I do not think a political party that claims to be the party of workers in this country should be using it. Even for just a silly joke.”

beneath a quote post by user emeraldjaguar that reads

“Daily reminder that the underlying purpose of Al is to allow wealth to access skill while removing from the skilled the ability to access wealth.” /end ID]

[this-world-of-beautiful-monsters]

Anyway if you are one of those people who genuinely believes ai creations are a good thing then that suggests you have never produced a creative work worth protecting from theft and corporate-sponsored irrelevance, ever, and/or that you do not give a shit about one. single. person who has. And that is so, so much sadder and says so much more about you than any stupid jokes you could make about creators trying to protect their work being Luddites or whatever.

[gronktonkbabonk]

What the fuck is vibe coding

[kingly-genderfluid]

Well.

I have a shit relationship with my dad. He openly expresses how AI can AND WILL, replace writers.

Which is horrid, considering that his “straight catholic and cisgender female” daughter is currently working on a book of their own.

he invited me for dinner, and conversation got…

heated.

mom and little brother stayed out of it-wisely so.

so he openly tells me, “Look, I can openly type out a prompt, and Chat GPT will just write it for me.”

I should have kept a cool head, but I yelled. I think a neighbour heard me.

I kept shutting down his remarks about how my writing wouldn’t matter because of AI.

so. I’m at war. A very. Very. Important war. For the future of all writers, and artists alike. If I don’t start shutting off this thinking from my own home, the world will begin believing that AI can solve HUMAN PROBLEMS. AI leeches off what humans create. What we worked so hard to do. The hours we took to make people cry, get angry, or be happy.

AI doesn’t even pay workers. AI can’t comfort someone with ALGORITHM. AI can’t do anything without someone already having done it. AI can’t make anything relatable, because it’s a BOT. Since when do BOTS, feel HUMAN emotion.

sometimes the information isn’t even right.

So I’m at war.

I support the writers guild.

I support ANY struggling writer, going against the current of AI.

Fuck it, we ball.

kids who love to write-AND IVE SEEN THESE KIDS WITH A BURNING PASSION FOR THE ART OF LANGUAGE, I WAS ONE OF THEM TOO-they are about to get their dreams to make someone see their vision, their imagination, stripped away from them. Because of bots.

they can assist with creativity, maybe. Fixing up a few mishaps in grammar. That’s all they’re good for. You can’t make a movie without the vision of a human behind it.

watermark your arts.

I don’t know how to protect your fan fiction, but we’re going to do our best.

This is my mini war.

might be a bigger one.

who knows ;)

[tilbageidanmark]

A.I. Disney Punk Baby

[prokopetz]

I just watched a video where someone is using ChatGPT to generate comments on their code. Even as a layman I feel like I should be screaming at him, but on a scale from 1 to apocalypse, how bad is this?

Machine-generated comments could not possibly be more useless, nonsensical or maliciously misleading than most of the human-generated comments I've seen.

[affairsmastery]

Chinese startup DeepSeek's AI Assistant has surged past ChatGPT to become the top-rated free app on Apple’s U.S. App Store. Powered by the advanced DeepSeek-V3 model, praised for rivaling even the most advanced global AI systems, the app's rapid rise is shaking assumptions about U.S. dominance in AI innovation.

Despite U.S. export controls on advanced chips to China, DeepSeek leveraged Nvidia's H800 chips with a reported training cost under $6 million, sparking debates on the effectiveness of these restrictions. Founded in 2023 in Hangzhou, DeepSeek has become the first Chinese AI model to gain significant praise from Silicon Valley for matching, and potentially surpassing, top-tier U.S. AI models.

[ae5pink]

𝓛𝓸𝓿𝓮 𝓹𝓪𝓼𝓼𝓲𝓸𝓷𝓪𝓽𝓮𝓵𝔂 𝓽𝓸 𝓵𝓲𝓿𝓮 𝓪 𝓹𝓲𝓷𝓴 𝓵𝓲𝓯𝓮

𝐹𝑒𝑒𝓁 𝓂𝓎 𝓇𝒽𝓎𝓉𝒽𝓂, 𝒸𝑜𝓂𝑒 𝓌𝒾𝓉𝒽 𝓂𝑒 상상해 봐 뭐든지

[bit-b]

The Bakers and the Breakers

Once, there was a bakery nestled downtown in the big city. It's name was "Maker's Bakery".

For decades, almost a century, Maker's did the job of baking fresh bread for the citizens of the city. Everyone loved their bread. They would stop in every day to see what the bakers were cooking up. People near and far would travel to experience the quality of Maker's legendary bread. All-in-all, a staple of the city's history.

----------------

One day, a new bakery opened up directly next to Maker's. They went by the name of "Atria".

Atria was a trendy establishment that sold it's bread with the allure of it's new "Flash-Bread" technology. They could bake bread at 100x the speed of a normal bakery. They boasted that the quality matched that of traditional bread as well. And they sold their bread for slightly less than the bread at Maker's.

People from all over the city took a trip to Atria's. They NEEDED to try this new miracle of the modern era.

For a very small crowd of people, they agreed that Atria's bread was of impressive quality. The slightly smaller price was also enticing as well. These people began to make plans to make Atria their new bakery of choice.

For many others, they had various concerns with the quality of the bread. Some loaves seemed to have been overcooked. Others under-cooked. Some had concerning spots on them. There was one customer that found that her loaf was entirely hollow on the inside. And in general, the entire bakery had a slight... "off" smell.

The owner of Atria reassured these concerned customers that Atria is "a NEW establishment, and it will take some time to get the quirks ironed out of the 'Flash-Bread' machine." He promised that things would only get better from here.

----------------

A few months went by. Maker's Bakery began to see a small dip in customers. Concerning, but not unexpected. They had new competition, after all. They would just have to up their game and try some new things to get people to choose them over Atria.

And so they did. They experimented with new methods of preparing bread that would increase the quality, drop the time it took to bake, and make their bread stand out. This somewhat worked. Though it did little to improve their profits.

A few weeks later, the manager of Maker's noticed some interesting things.

Every time they would try a new bread recipe, Atria would have a VERY similar bread show up on their menu as well. In fact, Atria's bread seemed almost uncannily close to Maker's bread. It was slightly quirkier, but it was unquestionably taking inspiration from Maker's style.

This intrigued the manager. He wasn't sure what to make of this. Was he just being paranoid? Could it be that they both had the same good idea at the same time several times in a row? NO, of course not. It's just too much of a coincidence.

He's never seen Atria's owner visit Maker's. Atria's employees also hadn't stopped by, as far as the manager knew. Did Atria even HAVE employees? Because the manager had never seen a single employee in the last few months.

It was only a hunch. And a paranoid one at that. But the manager decided to take a VERY close look at their security footage.

----------------

The manager looked through a large amount of footage from previous nights to see if anything weird went down. What he found shook him to his core.

From the camera mounted in the back of the building, he saw a masked man sneak up to the back door and break in using a set of lock picks. The masked man proceeded to scurry in and head to the manager's office. He rummaged around in the manager's notes, and took pictures of all the newest recipes.

The manager was gobsmacked. How had NO ONE caught this before?

He had a strong suspicion of who this masked man was. However, he wanted to see it with his own eyes.

----------------

The next few nights, the manager camped out in his car across the street, around the exact same time as when the masked man had shown up before. On the third night of staking things out... there he was. The owner of Atria.

Atria's owner had exited out of the back of his bakery and quietly shuffled over to Maker's. On the short walk over, he took his mask out of his pocket and slipped it on. Seeing this, the manager got a devious idea.

"I wanna confront him head-on" thought the manager of Maker's. "I'll hide around the corner in the alley. When he sneaks out of Maker's and walks back to Atria, I'll jump out and catch him in the act."

The manager got out of his car and positioned himself in the alley, ready to spook Atria's owner out of his shoes.

As expected, Atria's owner exited Maker's and began walking back.

"HEY!!!" screamed the manager.

Atria's owner jumped in surprise. He then quickly ran back towards Atria and hopped back inside. Not wanting to lose his chance, the manager followed and quickly grabbed the backdoor before the owner could lock it behind him.

Atria's owner sped his way through the corridor to get away from Maker's manager. The manager followed close behind, not breaking nearly as much of a sweat as the owner was. The two of them made it into the kitchen.

"STOP RIGHT THE-" screamed Maker's manager. But he was stopped by the horror of what he was witnessing.

----------------

Inside this kitchen was not an oven. Not a stove. Not baking utensils. Not even a microwave oven.

It was... computers.

Computers with scanners, printers, fans going off at full blast. Technology that was far outside what most people could comprehend.

The screens were plastered with all manner of bread recipes. Some were familiar to the manager, as they were recipes from other competing bakeries across the state. There had to have been recipes from all over the nation in this system.

The manager noticed that one of the computer screens... had HIS recipe on it. The recipe for one of his loaves of bread. Specifically, last week's special. And sitting in the printer bed of that system... was bread. A copy of HIS bread. A copy that had several gross flaws in it, but a copy nonetheless.

"You- ....you ....clone bread here." the manager said.

"...yes. Yes I do." replied Atria's owner.

"...do you ...do you even have a staff here?" the manager asked.

"...no. " said the owner. "My cloning machine makes it so that I can operate here without any staff. That allows me to sell bread at a much cheaper cost."

"Not MUCH cheaper" joked the manager. "Your bread prices are, what, a few cents off from my prices? Not exactly a bargain. Plus, you got some nerve to sell bread THAT expensive when it isn't even real bread."

"A lot of people don't know the difference." replied the owner. "And hey, that leaves most of the profits for me and my company."

"Well, dream of those profits all you want. You won't have much profit after I get you arrested and sue the pants off of you!" yelled the manager.

"Oh come on." said the owner. "Is that really necessary? Do you really think you even have a case? I'm making faux bread based on some recipes. It's not like you're the ONLY person who gets to make bread. You're just being selfish."

"SELFISH?!" screamed the manager. "None of this is your work! It's the work of hundreds of other bakers around the country! Including ME!

I spent YEARS learning how to make bread! And then YOU come along, steal the recipes I'm experimenting with, shove it into your computer, and make a profit off of it?! And even if you were handing it out for FREE, you're still grifting me and undercutting my business! Have you ever actually baked bread even ONCE in your life?!"

"HEY!" yelled the owner. "I'll have you know that I know exactly how to make bread! I just don't have the skills and expertise to do it as fast as YOU can. My skills fall into the tech sector. And I choose to flex THAT. I don't think YOU would ever understand that."

"Everything you sell is fake!" said the manager. "It's all a bunch of dolled-up starch balls! Do you think you're really gonna get away with screwing over real bakeries with your trash?"

"I already am, buddy." the owner huffed. "Maybe you missed it, but the world's changing around you. This is the future. You can't stop innovation, no matter how hard you try. You either adapt, or die out.

Tell you what. I'm not a scumbag. And I want everyone to join me in my vision of NEW BREAD. So you're free to use my equipment any time you want. Take notes on it even. Build an exact copy of it in your bakery. I'm not selfish like YOU."

The manager looked at Atria's owner with a look of confusion, disgust, and rage. "Take notes. ....take notes on screwing over other businesses to suit your own? Tearing down other people so that YOU can benefit? Use equipment that's as nasty and soulless as a rotting corpse?"

"Hey, if you don't wanna innovate, that's fine." mocked the owner. "Just don't come crying to me when my industry blows passed you and makes normal bakeries obsolete.

OH, but if you wanna avoid becoming obsolete, might I recommend a new industry? I hear Italian restaurants are BIG nowadays. They got bread in them, so you'll probably feel right at home. And from what I've heard from tech experts, Italian dishes won't be clonable for at least another decade. Probably. Tech moves fast, so I might be off one or two years. But HEY, there's plenty of room for variety in Italian food. Should be a safer bet than a bakery."

The manager stared, dumbfounded. ".....you want me to stop baking bread... let your awful machines take it over... and move over to a food business that I REALLY don't care about? Spend another decade of my life perfecting a completely different culinary field? All to have your tech friends come crush that too?"

"Yeah!" said the owner. "Now you're getting it!"

----------------

AI SUCKS.