#level 37.1
Explore tagged Tumblr posts
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The murder of Laken Riley took center stage during Thursday night's State of The Union. Riley was a 22-year-old student who was killed last month at the University of Georgia. The suspect in her murder is a Venezuelan migrant whom officials say was illegally in the U.S.
During the Republican rebuttal, Riley's murder was brought up by Alabama Sen. Katie Britt. "She was brutally murdered by one of the millions of illegal border crossers President Biden chose to release into our homeland. Y'all ... as a mom, I can't quit thinking about this. I mean, this could have been my daughter. This could have been yours."
The claim that immigration brings on a crime wave can be traced back to the first immigrants who arrived in the U.S. Ever since the 1980s and '90s, this false narrative saw a resurgence.
During the current presidential campaign, the vitriol has been intense. Just in the last few months, former president Donald Trump has spoken of immigrants as criminals and mentally ill people who are "poisoning the blood of our country". Florida Gov. (and former presidential candidate) Ron DeSantis suggested migrants crossing the border be shot.
However, research indicates that immigrants commit less crimes than U.S.-born people.
Much of the available data focuses on incarceration rates because that's where immigration status is recorded.
Some of the most extensive research comes from Stanford University. Economist Ran Abramitzky found that since the 1960s, immigrants are 60% less likely to be incarcerated than U.S.-born people.
There is also state level research, that shows similar results: researchers at the CATO Institute, a Libertarian think tank, looked into Texas in 2019. They found that undocumented immigrants were 37.1% less likely to be convicted of a crime.
Beyond incarceration rates, research also shows that there is no correlation between undocumented people and a rise in crime. Recent investigations by The New York Times and The Marshall Project found that between 2007 and 2016, there was no link between undocumented immigrants and a rise in violent or property crime in those communities.
The reason for this gap in criminal behavior might have to do with stability and achievement. The Stanford study concludes that first-generation male immigrants traditionally do better than U.S-.born men who didn't finish high school, which is the group most likely to be incarcerated in the U.S.
The study also suggests that there's a real fear of getting in trouble and being deported within immigrant communities. Far from engaging in criminal activities, immigrants mostly don't want to rock the boat.
But the idea that immigrants bring crime remains widespread.
A few months ago, NPR reported on a migrant shelter functioning in Staten Island, N.Y. Anthony Pagano, the owner of a flower shop located close to the shelter, told NPR he was against it being located in his community.
"How do you put migrants across from an elementary school? An all-girl high school, and another public elementary school," he asked. "You don't know who they are. Criminals. You see all the crimes that are being committed by migrants."
New York City Police data shows there was no rise in murder, rapes or robberies in the area.
#us politics#news#npr#immigration#immigrants#violent crime#property crime#fear mongering#fear of the other#xenophobia#racists#Laken Riley#Sen. Katie Britt#statistics#Stanford University#Ran Abramitzky#CATO Institute#The New York Times#The Marshall Project#2024
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Verbal Terminology in Autistic Tumblr Survey Results
After quite a long while (and for that I apologise) I’ve finished the results of a survey about the descriptivist uses of the terms Nonverbal/Non-Speaking and Semiverbal/Semi-Speaking in Tumblr’s Autism Community. This survey was originally intended to cover more, and just be a fun side project that unfortunately ended up with many flaws throughout the whole process. I'll go into specifics more at the end in the “Further Notes” section!
All that to say, I heavily implore you to do your own research and listen to others outside of this survey about these terms. Admittedly I think this survey is best taken as a small peek into how a very small group of people currently use these terms, in a fun non-informational survey format. (Also this was my first time doing image ids, so well i tried my best they might be really bad and for that i apologise in advance!!)
Demographic Questions
[image id: a bar graph called “What Would You Call Yourself” with the options going top to bottom the graph says Nonverbal at 16 (3.5%), Semiverbal at 118 (25.9%), Someone Who temporarily Loses Speech or Temporarily Can’t Talk at 308 (67.7%), Verbal or At allistic Level at 171 (37.6%), and Hyperverbal at 95 (20.9%) end id]
First things first I looked at the different ways survey respondents identified personally, and at a base level we can see most people said they had varying speech levels. The next highest given types overall were Semiverbal and Speaking Autistics, with Nonverbal being the least used term among survey participants. Due to this being multiple choice I also looked at what group of responses where most common:
[image id: a bar graph of Unique Term Use Types. The highest is Temporary Only at 141 respondents. The next Highest is VT (Verbal and Temporary) at 60, followed closely by Verbal Only at 59. The rest in order of highest to lowest is Semiverbal Only at 41, ST (Semiverbal and Temporary) at 33, TH (Temporary and Hyperverbal) at 29, Other Combinations at 21, VTH (Verbal, Hyperverbal, and Temporary) at 19, Hyperverbal Only at 18, SVT and STH and VH are all tied at 8, SV (Semiverbal and Verbal) at 6, and finally Nonverbal Only at 4 respondents. end id]
This graph more clearly shows that a majority of responders would consider their verbal speech levels to change, but only a minority of that group also considers themself Semi or Non-Verbal. You can all also see how a majority of responders considered themself either as just temporarily losing speech or a combination group using the Verbal option, which highlights a potential bias in the future questions. (Also the other section is for all combinations that got under 1% of respondents individually!)
[image id: A pie chart pf praticapent’s age groups. The highest at 56% is 18-29 year olds, with 13-17 place at 38.2%. The rest have the percents cut off but in order are 30-29, Under 13, and then 40+ year olds. End id]
Most responders fell in the age ranges of 13-29. This seems to follow general Tumblr trends after a quick search, but possibly leans a few years younger then the general user base. The lack of older adults taking the survey is unfortunate as some of these terms have been around for a while, and it’s always a plus to get an all ages response on surveys like these.
[image id: A pie chart titled “Where did you find the survey”, The top choice being “Another Tumblr Blog” at 59.1%, and the 2nd “Nd Culture Is” at 37.1%. You can see the slices for “From Someone I Know” and various Other Responses in the pie chart, with the other responses blurred out in the index sheet. end id]
This graph is admittedly a bit worthless, as I made it before deciding where I was going to post the survey to, so a decent amount of people, both those who selected “Another Blog” or Other mentioned getting it straight from the og post or a reblog of it. So needless to say i wasn’t quite exact enough by what i meant in this question (which was to see how far it spread vs any bias from just my “in-group” so to say), but it does does imply that that the survey didn’t make it far from the groups I posted it in. Which is expected with how little "promoting" was done during the survey period.
NonVerbal / NonSpeaking
[image id: a multiple bar graph showcasing the correlation between how responders self identified vs how they define Nonverbal. Going from top to bottom is The Fully Always option chosen by 3 from Nonverbal Only, Masking with no chosen responses, Little to No Speech at 2 from Nonverbal and other Terms Users, Allow Temporary at 9 from Nonverbal and other Term Users plus 7 from Nonverbal and Temporary and an intentional Nonverbal Only Responder, then All Above with 1 Nonverbal and Temporary plus a Nonverbal Plus Response, Followed lastly by Other Definitions with no responses. End id]
Before going over this data I want to reiterate that the survey had very few nonverbal people taking it, so this data is not going to be all possibly not even most, nonspeaking people’s option on defining those terms. Next The N Plus section on the graph includes the N and T groups as well as other responders who marked themself with more than just the Nonverbal role. That said it seems that the greater community tends to lean towards the “Someone who has periods or is always not able to speak and/or can't speak well” option, and well quite a few nonverbal autistics agree, there’s a group especially among those who only consider themselves nonverbal who prefer defining it as those who always can’t speak fully ever. This matches with trends i’ve personally seen in the nonverbal tags of nonverbal people preferring definitions that centre on the lack of verbalness, even completely or most of the time vs speaking autistics using more broader terms, but again with such a lack of nonspeaking people involved there is no solid reliability to the data.
SemiVerbal / SemiSpeaking
[image id: a multiple bar graph showcasing the correlation between how respondents self identified vs how they define Semiverbal. Going from top to bottom is Partly All with 8 from Semiverbal Only plus 7 Semiverbal and Temp and 10 from Semiverbal Plus, Next is Inbetween with 24 from Semiverbal Only and 42 from Semiverbal and Temp plus 53 from Semiverbal Plus, Lose Speech has 5 from Semiverbal Only plus 6 from Semiverbal and Temp and 8 from Semiverbal Plus,All Above with 2 from both Semiverbal and Temp plus Semiverbal Only, Context-Based with no responses, and finally Other with 1 from Semiverbal Only plus 2 from Semiverbal and Temp and 3 from Semiverbal Plus. end id]
Like The Nonverbal Section, The S Plus section on the graph includes the S and T groups as well as other responders who marked themself with more than just the Semiverbal role. Otherwise, from this graph we see an overall trend of including anybody “between nonverbal and verbal” regardless of how the respondents identified themself. There also seems to be less of a disconnect between those who are semiverbal vs the greater community when compared to the results of Nonverbal, although whether that is a bias of the survey or a general trend is hard to tell. Most respondents who chose Other seem to have given either an all of the above answer (which I might have manually included???) or mentioned a definition using the idea of always struggling with speech but at different levels.
Further Notes
One thing I really wish I had done was involve more nonverbal and semiverbal people in the whole process of making this, i think looking back there’s definitely moments were you could tell this was made by a speaking autistic and I really didn’t do nearly enough to include and uplift the voices of those who this survey was literally about. In a similar vein I forgot about pretty much every non-autistic community who uses these terms, but also didn’t make it clear enough that it was unintentional, leaving not only countless voices unheard but accidentally ostracising those whose voices are equally as important as what this survey managed to cover.
Alongside that I was very unclear in what some questions meant to the point even future-me wasn’t sure what the data was for, plus I bit off much more than I could chew, making for a messy at best survey experience. As such survey taker’s might notice not every question was given space here, and that is simply because I couldn't process the data in a timely manner.
I did however let people opt-in to sharing further notes about how they use these terms and will share some of those under the read more with no individual commentary so as to let people speak fully for themselves:
There is a gap in the language available to describe autistic difficulties with speech. Verbal should describe the ability to use language, written or spoken, but in the context of neurodivergency almost always describes speech only. Non-speaking would be a more appropriate term and would free up nonverbal as a term for autistics who struggle with written and spoken English (as in syntax or language in general, not spelling). This has been talked about in high support need circles but is not mainstream.
I think we should look to the wheelchair users for language design, specifically the differences with the language around full time wheelchair user and ambulatory/part time wheelchair user
i wish mostly speaking people would find other ways of explaining their experiences without using nonverbal/nonspeaking people's language. we already have a much harder time communicating and when our language is taken or used in different ways that makes people confused about the meaning and they assume that the experience of mostly speaking people is the same as mostly or fully nonverbal/nonspeaking people. when actually the overall experience is very different
I am not sure exactly where I fit within being verbal but losing speech and struggling to speak almost always, or if I am semiverbal. I think the lines between all of these terms can be blurry, but I think it's bad how verbal autistics who lose speech occasionally (and often talk about being able to push through this and force themselves to speak - which is how I feel almost all the time) have taken these terms which makes it very hard to find content from people whose experiences with speech are similar to mine or who are nonverbal. I think it's connected to how in general lower support needs autistics take most of the space in the autistic community and it can feel isolating for people like me who are higher support needs.
And well this survey was about English specifically, I want to share what this survey respondent said about how the terms work in their language and how that affects their usage of these terms:
third of all: the alternatives to that, such as "losing speech", "having verbal shutdown", or "going mute"... simply do not work in some languages. and as proof, let me show you my beautiful native language, that being ukrainian!
"losing speech" = our word for speech equals our word for talk. when losing speech, i CAN talk - but not by using my voice.
"verbal shutdown" = our word for shutdown is not being used in the same way as in english and there is no good alternatives.
"going mute" = our word for mute has a very long and complicated and problematic history, and is not something most people would be comfortable saying!
so, that means that i am left with absolutely no phrases to use in my language - because the only one, that being "going/becoming non-verbal" which is translatable and has the same meaning - is not an option anymore.
#survey#neurodivergent#actually neurodivergent#actually autistic#long post#cw long post#emri.exe#i'm still not certain if this is actually legible as one long ass Tumblr post#and not a reblog chain but that was much harder mechanically to make in advance :/
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Excerpt from this story from EcoWatch:
According to the new Banking on Climate Chaos Fossil Fuel Finance Report 2024, the largest banks in the world have given $6.9 trillion in fossil fuel funding to the industry since the 2016 Paris Agreement.
The goal of the Paris Agreement — signed by 196 countries — is to limit human-caused global heating to 1.5 degrees Celsius above pre-industrial levels by lowering carbon dioxide emissions. However, contrary to their pledges, private interests in many countries have kept funding the operations of fossil fuel companies, which have continued to expand, reported The Guardian.
The impacts of climate change most often affect vulnerable communities who are the least responsible for it.
“Climate change hits the frontlines first and worst. People living on the frontlines of climate chaos and the fossil fuel industry are predominantly Indigenous Peoples, Black and Brown communities, low-wage workers, women, fishers or smallholder farmers, often living in poverty,” Banking on Climate Chaos said.
For the 15th edition of the report, the researchers looked at the underwriting and lending of the biggest 60 banks globally to more than 4,200 oil, gas and coal firms that were causing environmental destruction in the Arctic and Amazon, The Guardian reported.
They discovered that, of the nearly $7 trillion given to the companies, almost half supported the expansion of fossil fuel development.
Banks in the United States were the biggest culprits, giving 30 percent of last year’s $705 billion total. JPMorgan Chase’s support of fossil fuels was $40.8 billion in 2023 — the largest financier. The second largest contributor was Japan’s Mizuho with $37.1 billion, while Bank of America was third.
Europe’s biggest donor was Barclays with $24.2 billion. A little more than a quarter of the financing last year came from European banks, the report said.
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Soybean planting gains momentum and exceeds the average in Brazil
The planting of the new Brazilian soybean crop made significant progress between October 19 and 25, making up for much of the delays accumulated to date. Regular rainfall in most of the country once again created a favorable environment for germination and initial development of crops across the country, encouraging the advancement of farm machines in all growing states. Although work remains behind schedule in Mato Grosso, the strong progress made last week brought a significant recovery to the planting pace, reducing accumulated delays. At a national level, work is now above the five-year average for the period.
According to a survey conducted by SAFRAS & Mercado through October 25, Brazilian growers planted 36.1% of the total area expected for the country in the 2024/25 crop. The percentage is equivalent to approximately 17.113 mln hectares sown, out of a total of 47.401 mln hectares estimated for planting. The previous week, the rate was 16.8%, while in the same period last year it was 37.1%. The five-year average for the period is 33.3%.
Continue reading.
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level names for future chapters i guess
Level 2 - The Conduit (this took forever to come up with)
Level 3 - The Powerhouse
Level 4 - The Office
Level 5 - The Hotel
Level 6 - The Darkness
Level 7 - The Ocean
Level 8 - The Caverns
Level 9 - The Suburbia
Level 10 - The Field
Level 11 - The Cityscape
Level 12 - The Matrix
Level 13 - The Apartments
Level 14 - The Paradise
Level 15 - The Future
Level 16 - The Institution
Level 17 - The Ship
Level 18 - The Nostalgia
Level 19 - The Attic
Level 20 - The Warehouse
Level 21 - The Numbers
Level 22 - The Remnants
Level 23 - The Superorganism
Level 24 - The Celestial
Level 25 - The Arcade
Level 26 - The Unreal
Level 27 - The Damnation
Level 28 - The Keep
Level 29 - The Works
Level 30 - Can't come up with anything but i do know it's going to take place in a waterpark
Level 31 - The Rink
Level 32 - The Lockers (from enter the backrooms)
Level 33 - The Deterioration
Level 34 - The Sewers
Level 35 - The Vacancy
Level 36 - The Terminal
Level 37 - The Sublimity
Level 38 - The Conglomeration
Level 39 - The Majesty
Level 40 - The Pizzeria
Also a few other ones:
Level 46 - The Desert
Level 50 - The Pavement
Level 52 - The School
Level 65 - The Aisle
Level 69 - The Drive
Level 99 - The Anemoia
Level 100 - The Shore
Level 117 - The Course
Level 188 - The Windows
Level 231 - The Homely
Level 300 - The Vibrance
Level 313 - The Vitrums
Level 400 - The Frontier
level 404 - the sanctuary
Level 666 - The Hellscape
Level 699 - The Deep
Level 700 - The Fractal
Level 789 - The Mathematical
Level 870 - The Poison
Level 906 - The Archive
Level 998 - The Zenith
Level 999 - The Edge (idk really)
Level 3999 - The Conclusion
Level 9223372036854775807 - The Maximum
Negative Levels
note: everything between -3 and -8 is just taken from enter the backrooms rather than one of the actual wikis
Level -0 - ???
Level -1 - The Monochrome
Level -2 - The Overflow
Level -3 - The Reflection
Level -4 - The Woods
Level -5 - The Cold
Level -6 - The Descent
Level -7 - The "Utopia"
Level -8 - The Barrier
Level -9 - The Aura
Level -10 - The Playplaces
Again, a few others:
Level -12 - The Waterway
Level -13 - The Conflux
Level -15 - The Unascertained
Level -16 - The Base
Level -18 - The Suites
Level -20 - The Falsehoods
Level -110 (i love this one so much) - The Everchanging
Sublevels
Level 0.1 - The Danger
Level 0.2 - The Renovations
noisrevnI ehT - 5.1 leveL
Level φ - The Aureate
Level π - The SATURATED
Level 4.3 - The Dereliction
Level 6.1 - The Eatery
Level 6.2 - The Neon
Level 6.31 - The Veil
Level 6.5 - The Blindness
Level τ - The Wreckage
Level 11.3 - The Sanguine
Level 36.1 - The Plane (Will this even get its own chapter? Can't I just get away with making it part of Level 36 itself?)
Level 37.1 - The Depths
Enigmatic Levels
The End
The Whiteout
The Blackout
The Basement
The Blue Channel
Somewhere fun! =)
Run.
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Immigrants less likely to commit crimes than U.S.-born : NPR
Some of the most extensive research comes from Stanford University. Economist Ran Abramitzky found that since the 1960s, immigrants are 60% less likely to be incarcerated than U.S.-born people.
There is also state level research, that shows similar results: researchers at the CATO Institute, a Libertarian think tank, looked into Texas in 2019. They found that undocumented immigrants were 37.1% less likely to be convicted of a crime.
Beyond incarceration rates, research also shows that there is no correlation between undocumented people and a rise in crime. Recent investigations by The New York Times and The Marshall Project found that between 2007 and 2016, there was no link between undocumented immigrants and a rise in violent or property crime in those communities.
The reason for this gap in criminal behavior might have to do with stability and achievement. The Stanford study concludes that first-generation male immigrants traditionally do better than U.S-.born men who didn't finish high school, which is the group most likely to be incarcerated in the U.S.
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Re: Best 3rd-Level "Smart Guy" (Divination/Rune) Spell
These were originally separate categories (divinations and runes), but I wanted to conserve time and space. 97 votes came in; the winner was speak with dead at 37.1% (36 votes), followed by tongues at 19.6% (19 votes). I probably could have separated this list out a bit better had I taken the time. I'll analyze the spells anyway.
Arcane sight is just detect magic without the waiting, which IMHO is how detect spells should work (but that's a tangent). Ofc, I think all casters should be able to use detect magic at-will as a baseline ability, so what do I know?
Clairvoyance irks me: in power, it's roughly equivalent to detect thoughts, yet it pushes arcane eye a level higher, forcing that to compete with the superior scrying. All this and it can't even be used to make a ring of x-ray vision, even though that's what it does.
I don't blame people for not voting for discern lies: it's too specific for the level it's at, you're usually better off with zone of truth and detect thoughts anyway, and it's poorly worded.
Explosive runes/glyph of warding is fun. Not the most fun, but fun. By which I mean "I have never used the spell, but I appreciate Order of the Stick."
Illusory script is annoyingly powerful for a 3rd-level spell. I mean, it takes true seeing AND another spell to decipher it? The 5e version fixes these complications, I think, so whatever.
I don't get linked glyphs. It's just glyph of warding with a special trigger? Can't you do that with glyph of warding?
Secret page got no votes, which is great. It doesn't hide a page, it just...is another version of illusory script. You know what else could be done to hide writing? A variation of 1st-level spells that operate identically. I mean, it's about as powerful as disguise self or Nystul's magic aura.
Sepia snake sigil is stupidly overpowered. It's a spell glyph version of glyph of warding but applies temporal stasis to the target -- an 8th-level spell effect accomplished with a 3rd-level spell. On top of that, it specifically has brown light. You can't have brown light: brown is orange plus gray, i.e. it's a shade and thus requires some absence of light.
So, all the chaff out of the way, let's get to the meat: spells that let you communicate with creatures you couldn't otherwise and therefore gain information.
Speak with dead won because of the movie. The only thing it has over both tongues and speak with plants is that you're almost certain to be using it on a creature you know will have relevant information -- but that's because you did the research first, not a feature of the spell.
Speak with plants has great potential use, given that plants are everywhere and (for the purposes of the spell) they're temporarily sapient in a qualitatively and quantitatively way similar to humanoids. 5e instituted a downside on memory, but this is stupid and isn't present either in Critical Role's use or in 3.5's. You're not limited to so many questions, either, which is great. The downside is that you're unlikely to get any in-depth information from Henry Crabgrass. (Seriously, look up animatics on YouTube, they're wonderful.)
Tongues is the most likely to provide you with relevant information, but that's only if you can succeed at relevant social checks. You might need to do so with speak with plants, but you will almost assuredly have to do so with tongues: first, you have to figure out who it is you need to talk to, then you have to cast tongues, then you have to convince that person to talk to you, then you have to do the actual questioning. However, the spell gives you all the time you need to do that, so you're probably good. The only downside of tongues in many editions is that it is theoretically possible to learn every language in a setting (especially once 3rd edition condensed most of the species-specific monster languages) and so not need the spell, whereas you have to rely on magic to converse with plants or the dead.
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Close to two-thirds of births in Bulgaria in 2022 were outside marriage, according to new data posted by European Union statistics agency Eurostat.
This rate was largely unchanged compared with 2021 and 2020.
Eurostat said that in the EU, the proportion of live births outside marriage has shown an increasing trend in the past decades, more than doubling since 1993 (17.7 per cent) when these data were first available in the EU.
In 2022 this proportion was estimated at 42.2 per cent, meaning that 57.8 per cent of children were born inside marriage. This share reflects changes in patterns of family formation alongside the more traditional pattern where children were born within marriage. Extramarital births occur in non-marital relationships, among cohabiting couples, to lone parents and in registered partnerships.
Extramarital births outnumbered births inside marriage in seven of the EU Member States for which data are available, notably France (where 65.2 per cent of births occurred outside marriage), Portugal (60.2 per cent), Bulgaria (59.9 per cent), Sweden (57.8 per cent), Slovenia (57.3 per cent), Estonia (55.0 per cent) and Spain (50.1 per cent). Greece was at the other end of the spectrum where more than 80 per cent of births occurred within marriage.
Looking at the latest available data, extramarital births increased in 14 of the available EU member states in 2022 compared with 2021, remaining unchanged in Bulgaria, Eurostat said.
On the other hand, the indicator decreased between 2021 and 2022 in six Member States, the highest decrease can be observed in the Netherlands (from 55.6 per cent in 2021 to 42.1 per cent in 2022).
“The Covid-19 pandemic does not seem to have impacted the percentage of babies born outside marriage,” Eurostat said.
In 2020 at EU level, a slight drop was observed when compared to 2019, from 42.7 per cent to 41.9 per cent.
Nevertheless, during the same period that rate increased in 19 Member States for which data are available, albeit with small margins, with the largest rise observed in Estonia from 53.7 per cent in 2019 to 56.8 per cent in 2020.
In contrast, five EU countries saw a decrease of the rate of live births outside marriage between 2019 and 2020, notably Germany (from 33.3 per cent to 33.1 per cent), Spain (from 48.4 per cent to 37.1 per cent), Italy (from 35.4 per cent to 33.8 per cent), Hungary (from 38.7 per cent to 30.4 per cent) and Slovenia (from 57.7 per cent to 56.5 per cent).
Comparing 2022 to the last pre-Covid-19 year 2019, the rate of live births outside marriage was rising in all but four EU member states – Lithuania, Hungary, the Netherlands and Slovenia where rates dropped.
The biggest drop was recorded in Hungary (38.7 per cent in 2019 and 25.0 per cent in 2022) and the Netherlands (52.4 per cent in 2019 and 42.1 per cent in 2022), Eurostat said.
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Some of the most extensive research comes from Stanford University. Economist Ran Abramitzky found that since the 1960s, immigrants are 60% less likely to be incarcerated than U.S.-born people.
There is also state level research, that shows similar results: researchers at the CATO Institute, a Libertarian think tank, looked into Texas in 2019. They found that undocumented immigrants were 37.1% less likely to be convicted of a crime.
. . .
Beyond incarceration rates, research also shows that there is no correlation between undocumented people and a rise in crime. Recent investigations by The New York Times and The Marshall Project found that between 2007 and 2016, there was no link between undocumented immigrants and a rise in violent or property crime in those communities.
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Bitcoin Slips Under $61K Amid Rising Market Fear: Report
Bitcoin (BTC) drops below $61K, reflecting a 2% decline amid market-wide losses.
The Fear & Greed Index hit 39, indicating rising fear among cryptocurrency investors.
Despite the market downturn, altcoins like PROS and SILLY have posted impressive gains.
Analytical platform CryptoRank reported that Bitcoin is currently trading below $61,000. This comes as the larger market for digital assets also appears shaky, with the top ten coins all down today. From these, Binance Coin (BNB) is down by 2.65%, Solana (SOL) is down by 2.37%, and Bitcoin (BTC) is down by 2%.
Crypto Market Sentiment
According to platform findings, the total market capitalization of cryptocurrencies has also dropped, falling by 1.94% to $2.24 trillion. The market was somewhat slightly different, with Bitcoin’s share reducing slightly to 53.74% from the previous 53.10%. Similarly, other tools such as the Fear & Greed Index, which is used to measure market sentiment, presently stand at 39, which shows that investors are filled with fear.
Source: Image by Alternative
Short-Term Gainers in Altcoins
Even though the top cryptos are down, there are a few altcoins doing much better than the others. The highest gainers for the week were Prosper (PROS), which appreciated by 61.9%, Silly Dragon (SILLY), which gained 53.7%, and Dora Factory (DORA), which rose by 46.1%.
Other day gainers include ParallelAI (PAI), which appreciated by 37.1%, and Wrapped Dog (wDOG), which rose by 29.5%. Altcoins remain generally in the red zone, but some of them at least provide short-term gains for those who are less patient.
Related:
The recent fall of Bitcoin has alarmed investors even more, especially when the Fear & Greed Index remains in the ‘fear’ territory. Traditionally, such market sentiment leads to the expansion of selling pressure, given that traders and institutions become more risk-averse.
But it also provides an opportunity to those who want to enter the market at the lowest point before Bitcoin touches critical support levels. The positive performance of many altcoins points to the possibility of more returns. However, it is still possible to find opportunities for trading in the current volatile market environment.
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[March 4, 2024]
National Public Radio:
Some of the most extensive research comes from Stanford University. Economist Ran Abramitzky found that since the 1960s, immigrants are 60% less likely to be incarcerated than U.S.-born people. There is also state level research, that shows similar results: researchers at the CATO Institute, a libertarian think tank, looked into Texas in 2019. They found that undocumented immigrants were 37.1% less likely to be convicted of a crime. Beyond incarceration rates, research also shows that there is no correlation between undocumented people and a rise in crime. Recent investigations by The New York Times and The Marshall Project found that between 2007 and 2016, there was no link between undocumented immigrants and a rise in violent or property crime in those communities. The reason for this gap in criminal behavior might have to do with stability and achievement. The Stanford study concludes that first-generation male immigrants traditionally do better than U.S-.born men who didn't finish high school, which is the group most likely to be incarcerated in the U.S. The study also suggests that there's a real fear of getting in trouble and being deported within immigrant communities. Far from engaging in criminal activities, immigrants mostly don't want to rock the boat. But the idea that immigrants bring crime remains widespread.
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Beyond Diagnosis: Exploring at-home micronutrient testing market
The At-Home Micronutrient Testing Market is expected to be worth US$ 297.5 million in 2023. The market is expected to reach US$ 545.8 billion by 2033, growing at a 6.3% CAGR over the forecast period. As people become more aware of the impact of nutrition on overall health, they are looking for ways to tailor their diet and supplements to their specific needs. At-home micronutrient testing kits allow for a more personalized approach by identifying specific nutritional deficiencies or imbalances.
Traditional laboratory testing can be both time-consuming and expensive. At-home testing kits reduce the need for medical visits or laboratory appointments by allowing people to collect samples and receive results in their homes. These kits are now available online and in pharmacies and are easily accessible to a diverse range of customers.
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The global movement towards health awareness and preventative healthcare has increased demand for at-home testing kits. People are taking ownership of their health and utilizing these kits to track and improve their nutritional condition.
Some at-home testing kits are linked to digital health platforms, allowing users to track their nutrient levels over time, receive personalized recommendations, and connect with healthcare experts for additional support.
The regulatory landscape for at-home testing kits is evolving, with regulatory bodies like the FDA playing a critical role in ensuring safety, accuracy, and reliability. Stricter regulations and increased scrutiny are being applied to ensure the quality of at-home testing kits, which can foster consumer confidence and promote market growth. These factors highlight the increasing consumer demand for accessible, personalized, and convenient healthcare solutions.
Key Takeaways from the At-home Micronutrient Testing Market:
The At-Home Micronutrient Testing industry in the United States is predicted to reach US$ 172.2 million by 2033, increasing at a 6.2% CAGR.
The At-Home Micronutrient Testing industry in the United Kingdom is estimated to reach a market value of US$ 29.6 million, expanding at a CAGR of 6.4% by 2033.
During the forecast period, the At-Home Micronutrient Testing industry in China is expected to reach a market value of US$ 37.1 million, securing a 6.8% CAGR.
The At-Home Micronutrient Testing industry in Japan is predicted to reach US$ 27.1 million by 2033, increasing at a 6.6% CAGR.
South Korea's at-home micronutrient testing industry is predicted to achieve a market value of US$ 30.7 million, rising at a 6.4% CAGR during the forecast period.
With a CAGR of 6.5% from 2023 to 2033, the strips are expected to dominate the at-home micronutrient testing industry.
With a CAGR of 6.0% from 2023 to 2033, the vitamins are expected to dominate the at-home micronutrient testing industry.
With a CAGR of 6.7% from 2023 to 2033, the whole blood sample is expected to dominate the at-home micronutrient testing industry.
With a CAGR of 5.8% from 2023 to 2033, hospital pharmacies are expected to dominate the at-home micronutrient testing industry.
Key Players in the At-home Micronutrient Testing Market:
Abbott
Danaher Corporation
F. Hoffmann-La Roche Ltd
Siemens Corporation
Quest Diagnostics, Inc.
bioMerieux SA
DiaSorin S.p.A.
Thermo Fisher Scientific Inc.
Beckman Coulter, Inc. (BD)
Tosoh Bioscience, Inc.
Cerascreen Uk
LetsGetChecked
Everlywell
Key Developments in the At-home Micronutrient Testing Market:
In April 2022, Empower Clinics Inc. launched the Vitamin D Rapid Testing Kit under the Medisure brand to meet the growing demand for vitamin D testing in Canada.
In March 2020, to increase the visibility of its brand, Thermo Fisher Scientific stated that the Hydroxy Vitamin D test is now available in the United States.
At-home Micronutrient Testing Market Segmentation:
By Product:
Strips
Cassettes
By Micronutrient Type:
Vitamins
Minerals
By Sample Type:
Whole Blood
Urine
By Distribution Channel:
Hospital Pharmacies
Retail Pharmacies
Online Pharmacies
Hypermarkets/Supermarkets
Others
By Region:
North America
Latin America
Europe
East Asia
South Asia
Oceania
The Middle East & Africa
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There is an ideal strategy for voting in a poll to try to achieve any arbitrary distribution of votes.
Suppose someone posts a poll with options labeled 10%, 20%, 30%, and 40%, and the goal of the audience is to work as a team to get the percentages to match - so that the option labeled 10% will have 10% of the votes, etc.
What you need to do (assuming OP has not specified that they want people to decide their votes manually/based on what they think others pick) is allow a random process to decide your vote for you. The mathematical perfection of the Law of Large Numbers will see us through.
So take the example above. If I throw a fair ten-sided die (that is, roll 1d10), and vote "10%" if it lands on a 1, then I have a 10% (1 out of 10) chance of voting for the 10% option. if I vote "20%" if it lands on a 2 or a 3, then I have a 20% chance of voting for 20%. And so on.
If the poll options were "60%" and "40%", then I could assign the "60%" option to a result of 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, or 6 and the "40%" option to a result of 7, 8, 9, or 10. If all the options are rounded to the nearest 10 then it's quite easy.
Even a set of options like "37.1%", "58.3%", and "4.6%" are doable. If you're not math and computer savvy enough to deal with more complicated random number generators, you will probably find it easiest to do this by rolling 3d10 (count 10's as 0's) and setting those to be the digits. Then vote "37.1%" if the result is less than 37.1, "58.3%" if the result is greater than or equal to 37.1 but less than 95.4, and and "4.6%" otherwise. So if I rolled 6, 10, and 5, then I would count that as "60.5", for example, and I would vote for the "58.3%" option.
If everyone does this, then the poll will get closer and closer to the desired percentages. With enough voters all employing this strategy, it will be all but guaranteed that the percentages will get close enough that they will appear perfect within the level of precision shown by Tumblr polls.
By the way, if you have a set of percentages such that you can use a 1d10 to make your pick, then I think it should be okay to use the last digit of the post's notes to take your pick (if you are looking at the full number, and it's not rounded). That won't perfectly satisfy the assumptions of the Law of Large Numbers, but I think it should wash out in the end so that each of the 10 possible digits is acceptably equally likely to pop up.
However, you definitely could not use the first digit of the notes to make your pick. The first digit is more likely to be a smaller digit, such as 1, and unlikely to be a 9. This is because of something called Benford's Law that is a bit hard to explain. I'm not going to get into it here, but it may help your intuition to think of it this way: if a post has 1, 10, 100 etc notes, then it needs to double its notes before that first digit changes. If a post has 9, 90, 900 etc notes, then it only needs to get 1/9th of its current notes (1 out of 9, 10 out of 90, etc) before the first digit changes.
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Digital Twin Market- Share and Demand Analysis with Size, Growth Drivers and Forecast to 2027 | Credence Research
The latest market report published by Credence Research, Inc. “Global Digital Twin Market: Growth, Future Prospects, and Competitive Analysis, 2022 – 2030. The global digital twin market was valued at US$ 3.76 Bn in 2018 and is expected to reach US$ 57.38 Bn by 2027, expanding at a CAGR of 37.1% during the forecast from 2019 to 2027. A digital twin is a virtual replica of the physical system that continually adapts the environmental changes and delivers the best business outcome in real-time.
The digital twin market is a rapidly growing sector within the technology and industrial landscape that involves creating virtual replicas, or "twins," of physical objects, systems, or processes. These digital twins are created using advanced technologies such as IoT (Internet of Things) sensors, data analytics, artificial intelligence (AI), and modeling software. The goal is to closely mimic the real-world counterparts in a digital format, allowing for real-time monitoring, analysis, and simulation.
Digital twins serve a wide range of industries, including manufacturing, healthcare, transportation, and infrastructure. In manufacturing, for example, a digital twin of a product or production line can provide valuable insights into performance, quality, and maintenance needs. In healthcare, digital twins of individual patients can help doctors and researchers make more informed decisions about treatments and drug therapies.
Browse 245 pages report Digital Twin Market By Type (Process Digital Twin, Product Digital Twin, System Digital Twin, Others), By Application (Performance Monitoring, Inventory Management, Predictive Maintenance, Business Optimization, Others), By Industry Verticals (Aerospace & Defense, Residential, Automotive & Transportation, Healthcare, Retail, Oil & Gas, Agriculture, Energy & Utilities, Others) – Growth, Future Prospects And Competitive Analysis, 2019 – 2027 - https://www.credenceresearch.com/report/digital-twin-market
Digital Twin Market Regional Analysis
In North America, the digital twin market has been thriving due to the presence of a robust technological ecosystem and a high level of digitalization in industries. The United States, in particular, has been a key player in the adoption of digital twins, with major companies investing heavily in this technology. The region's focus on innovation and advanced manufacturing has further accelerated the growth of digital twin applications, especially in industries like aerospace and defense.
In Europe, the digital twin market has also witnessed substantial growth, with countries like Germany, the United Kingdom, and France leading the way. European industries, such as automotive and manufacturing, have embraced digital twins to improve product design, production efficiency, and maintenance processes. Additionally, regulatory initiatives promoting sustainability and energy efficiency have driven the adoption of digital twins in building and infrastructure management.
The Asia-Pacific region has emerged as a dynamic market for digital twin technology, with countries like China, Japan, and India taking the lead. The rapid industrialization and urbanization in these countries have created a demand for smart manufacturing and smart cities, which rely heavily on digital twin applications. Chinese companies have been actively investing in digital twin technology to enhance their competitiveness in global markets.
In the Middle East and Africa, the adoption of digital twins has been growing steadily, primarily in sectors like oil and gas, construction, and healthcare. The need for asset optimization and efficient resource management has driven the use of digital twins in these regions. Government initiatives to modernize infrastructure and improve healthcare services have also contributed to the expansion of the digital twin market.
List of the prominent players in the Digital Twin Market:
ABB Group
IBM Corporation
Microsoft Corporation
Oracle Corporation
General Electric Company
Rockwell Automation
SAP SE
Siemens AG
The digital twin market presents a multitude of opportunities across various industries, thanks to its ability to transform how businesses operate and make informed decisions. Here are some key opportunities in paragraphs:
Manufacturing and Industry 4.0: The manufacturing sector is a prime area for digital twin adoption. Companies can create digital replicas of their production processes, enabling real-time monitoring, predictive maintenance, and optimization. This leads to reduced downtime, increased efficiency, and cost savings. As Industry 4.0 continues to gain traction, the demand for digital twin solutions will rise.
Healthcare and Medical Devices: Digital twins have the potential to revolutionize healthcare by creating virtual models of individual patients or medical devices. This allows for personalized treatment plans, virtual testing of medical devices, and the prediction of disease progression. The healthcare industry is increasingly investing in digital twin technology to enhance patient care and improve outcomes.
Smart Cities and Infrastructure: Digital twins play a crucial role in the development of smart cities and infrastructure projects. Urban planners and government authorities can create digital replicas of entire cities, including transportation systems, utilities, and buildings. This enables efficient resource management, traffic optimization, and disaster preparedness, ultimately leading to more sustainable and livable cities.
Energy and Utilities: The energy sector can benefit from digital twins to optimize power generation, distribution, and consumption. Utilities can create digital replicas of their grid infrastructure to monitor and control energy flow, predict maintenance needs, and enhance grid resilience. With the growing focus on renewable energy sources, digital twins offer valuable tools for managing complex energy systems efficiently.
Why to Buy This Report-
The report provides a qualitative as well as quantitative analysis of the global Digital Twin Market by segments, current trends, drivers, restraints, opportunities, challenges, and market dynamics with the historical period from 2016-2020, the base year- 2021, and the projection period 2022-2028.
The report includes information on the competitive landscape, such as how the market's top competitors operate at the global, regional, and country levels.
Major nations in each region with their import/export statistics
The global Digital Twin Market report also includes the analysis of the market at a global, regional, and country-level along with key market trends, major player analysis, market growth strategies, and key application areas.
Browse Full Report: https://www.credenceresearch.com/report/digital-twin-market
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