#jon cupps
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kyuremking · 1 month ago
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Hightower Sigil - Ser Jon Cupps
Husband of Leyla Hightower
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For those with eagle eyes, you will notice that this sigil is an inverted and "degraded" version of the sigil of House Costayne.
I would say that Cupps is a very minor house sworn to the Costaynes who at the same time are vassals of the Hightowers.
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delagar · 1 year ago
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Book Reviews
My reviews of the new Murderbot book are in here, as well as reviews of Leckie's Translation State, and Melissa Scott's Master of Samar. Plus lots of fiction! You should buy it and read it!
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locustheologicus · 2 years ago
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The Trouble with Trump:
Jon Stewart: This is why Trump became popular in the first place
The keywords that I want to highlight in this opinion by Jon Stewart (which I share) are "consistent accountability." And I want to say something about the concept of accountability. To talk about a system of accountability for the political and economic issues that Jon speaks about here is to talk about regulations: regulations of political and economic practices that have allowed corruption to flagrantly exist. As Stewart says to Fareek in this video is that "we either have the rule of law or we have no rule of law." We know that corruptive practices exist and are exploited by those with great financial means to control both the economic and political systems in America. Our American political system has suffered from this reality.
That is why it boggles my mind that people trust a candidate like Donald Trump to "drain the swamp" when he is a primary citizen of the swamp.
As president, Donald Trump has flouted all kinds of norms, starting with his decision not to divest from his business interests while in office. That set the stage for an administration marked by self-interest, profiteering at the highest levels and more than 3,700 conflicts of interest.
Jon Stewart is correct in calling us to promote consistent accountability on issues of corruption. Certainly, members of both parties can be implicated on corruption charges, but it is not correct to assume that all parties are created equal. Trump has taken corruptive practices to a whole new level and this cannot be ignored. Perhaps in doing this we can then identify the systemic issues that allow the swamp to exist in the first place. I assure you that Campaign Finance Reform will be a policy that must again resurface if we are to actually "drain the swamp."
My fellow Americans, if we actually care to "drain the swamp," then we need to regulate the swamp in a way that holds both parties accountable. And yes, one party is going to have to struggle with this more than the other... so be it.
As for those who express outrage over the indictment of Trump, I simply dont care. With everything he has done to undermine the American political system and debase our most cherished values (i.e., mutual respect, universal equality, a sense of justice, the rule of law), any expressed outrage merely falls flat and hollow.
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samwpmarleau · 4 years ago
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If you’re up for it, rank all the Jons. I think it would be fun
There are too many Jons to rank all of them, so I’ll ignore the pre-series ones. For the main Jons:
Jon Snow (I find him extremely boring, but he’s still better than the other Jons)
Smalljon Umber (not too notable but defended Robb to the death)
Greatjon Umber (sexist but otherwise okay, unless the rumors about his house upholding the first night is true, in which case he can fuck all the way off to the bottom of this list)
Jon Connington (his disparaging of Elia is NOT OKAY, and also his choice in men is abysmal)
Jon Arryn (profiteered off the murders of Elia, Rhaenys, and Aegon, contributed to Lysa’s misery, was too blind to see Littlefinger’s machinations ... he can gtfo)
Then the minor Jons, for most of whom I needed the wiki to tell me who they were:
Jon Fossoway (brave, easygoing, and modest)
Jon Bulwer (his daughter succeeded him, iconique)
Jon Brax (he’s a toddler, so for now an innocent bean)
Jon Penny (an orphan, poor lad)
Jon Bettley (he and his wife are made fun of in equal measure, so he gets pity points)
Jon Cupps (gold-diggers deserve RESPECT)
Jon O’Nutten (outlaws are cool)
Jon Lothston (he’s got talent)
Jon Vance (became a maester, so he’s a learned man)
Old John Mudd (nothing notable)
Jon Redfort (nothing notable)
Jon Wylde (nothing notable)
Jon Lynderly (trusts Littlefinger. bad move)
Jon Myre (an asshole who supports Euron)
Young John Mudd (Arianne thinks he doesn’t behave like a knight and I trust her judgment. Also a decent chance he’s a rapist)
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chicagochinesenews · 3 years ago
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駐芝加哥辦事處姜森處長轄訪俄亥俄州,感謝州長Mike DeWine、副州長Jon Husted、州參議長Matt Huffman及州眾議長Bob Cupp的熱誠接待及對台灣的友好與支持
(本報訊)駐芝加哥辦事處姜森處長轄訪俄亥俄州,推動台灣與俄亥俄州經貿科技及教育合作關係,感謝州長Mike DeWine、副州長Jon Husted,以及州參議長Matt Huffman及州眾議長Bob Cupp等議會領袖的熱誠接待,以及對台灣的友好與支持。 (more…)
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day0one · 4 years ago
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Ohio House votes to remove Larry Householder as Ohio Speaker following corruption arrest
COLUMBUS, Ohio -- The Ohio House of Representatives has voted unanimously to remove Larry Householder as Ohio House speaker a little more than one week following his arrest on federal corruption allegations.
Members approved the measure swiftly without debate in a Thursday morning session. The vote was 90-0, with 9 members, including Householder, absent. Additional “yes” votes could trickle in as Thursday continues — some of the “absent” members were nearby but missed the vote since it happened so quickly.
The move doesn’t remove Householder from office entirely — it just removes him from his job as Speaker, a powerful position that schedules House votes and decides what will be voted on. Householder remains in office, and is up for re-election in November.
Householder, a political aide and three lobbyists, including former Ohio Republican Party Chairman Matt Borges, were arrested last Tuesday in what federal authorities described as a $60 million bribery scheme. They were formally indicted on Thursday, minutes before the vote.
The FBI says FirstEnergy funneled the money to Householder and his allies, including a network of shadowy political groups, to help elect Householder as speaker, in exchange for a nuclear bailout bill worth more than $1 billion that Householder pushed through the legislature.
With Householder removed as speaker, House Republicans are working behind the scenes to pick a new one, with state reps. Jim Butler, of suburban Dayton, and Bob Cupp, of Lima, emerging as the lead candidates. Cupp is a former Ohio Supreme Court justice, while Butler served under Householder as the number-two ranking House Republican.
House Republicans said the plan is to hold a private vote for Butler or Cupp behind closed doors, and then vote unanimously for the winning candidate in a later, public vote to make it official. They were scheduled to meet privately immediately following the session, but the caucus was delayed until 1:30 p.m. so additional representatives could make it to Columbus.
State Rep. Jon Cross, a Kenton Republican who was a close Householder ally, said following the vote he thinks Republicans will be able to unite behind either candidate.
“I’m hoping we can make a very unified decision, get together and vote and get this done,” he said.
State Rep. Jack Cera, a Belmont County Democrat and longtime state legislator, said he’s saddened by Thursday’s vote. He said the Householder episode illustrates the need for campaign-finance reform.
“The public going back years and years has thought that all politicians are crooks. And stuff like this paints us all with the same brush. And we’ve got to do something about the money in the political system if we want to change that,” he said.
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tiny-little-bird · 7 years ago
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Hi, I want to start off with saying that I'm absolutely in love with your blog. ❤️ I wanted to ask you, do you think that after Sam, Jon will be the first to find out about his parentage, or do you think Bran will tell Sansa and Arya offscreen, before Jon arrives at Winterfell with Dandelion Tangerine?
First of all, thank you so much, you’re really sweet 😚💙
“Dandelion Tangerine” you guys are so creative with the nicknames omg 🙈🤣
Now onto your question. I honestly have this idea in my head that yes, Jon will find out first, and Sansa will find out 2nd after him, from him.
I’d love for it to play down something like this: 
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Bran tells Jon he is Rhaegar’s and Lyanna’s child, Jon is in shock, understandbly so. Affter Bran tells him everything he needed to know, he leaves Bran’s room, still shooked af, and heads for the crypts. 
Sansa is down there lighting the candles and paying her respects to her father (she does that as often as she can, whenever she has a bit of spare time). 
She hears heavy, fast steps, approaching, and heavy breating. Jon gets into focus, and she realizes it’s him. He wasn’t expecting anyone to be there, so he stops right where Lyanna’s statue is, Sansa is standing in front of Lord Stark’s statue. 
She’s confused and concerned to see him in this state, she gets closer to him, and gently places her hand on his forearm, and sweetly asks him
I never saw you cry before. What’s wrong? 
He blurts out his answer out to her
My entire life was a lie, I never was, and never will be, a Stark. 
They’ve been there before, she’s told him so many times that he is a Stark to her, but she says it again. 
You are a Stark, to me. To us. 
She looks at him, to make sure her words are taking roots into him, and then  asks him
Do you understand me? 
He doesn’t reply, he doesn’t nod, she could swear he was a statue, if it weren’t for the heavy breathing. She didn’t know what had gotten into him, but she would get to the bottom of it. She hugs him, to comfort him, and that does seem to calm him a little. 
They are standing right in front of Lyanna’s statue, they stay embraced for a little, and then he lifts his head from her shoulder, breaking the embrace and turns to look at Lyanna’s statue, he’s silent for a moment, Sansa looks at him perplexed, and then he speaks softly, almost in a whisper, 
She’s my mother.
He keeps his gaze on Lyanna’s statue and let’s out a big sigh. Sansa looks at the statue too now, and then at Jon, utterly confused, and a bit alarmed, and asks him
How can that be? She was our father’s sister, Jon. You’re not suggesting-
He stops her before she can finish that sentence.
No. NO. Lord Stark was never my father.
Sansa looks at him, her face displays her inner shock. 
What? What do you mean he wasn’t- Jon by all the Gods, what is going on? Is it Bran? Did he tell you all this?
Jon replies with an 
Aye. 
Then who is his father she thinks to herself, and then voices her question
Who is your father then?
He is hesitant, he’d rather not say it, but he does after a moment.
Prince Rhaegar of House Targaryen.
Sansa doesn’t say anything, she’s speechless. Jon tells her about the annulment. 
Bran says he annulled his marriage to Elia Martell, that he married my mother, in a secret ceremony.
Sansa quickly replies.
You’re a Prince. 
The bigger realisation the dawns on her, and she brings both hands to her mouth.
You are the Rightful Heir to The Iron Throne
She grabs both his forearms now. This solves many of their problems, but it creates just as many in return. Sansa doesn’t say anything for a few moments, she just gently looks at him, with her mouth partly open, while he says nothing and he does the same. Until he decides to break the silence, and repeats, with sadness in his voice, 
I was never one of you, I will never be, I’ll never be a Stark. I’m half Targaryen, I have the blood of the men, who murdered your uncle and grandfather, flowing in me.
She shakes her head, and cuppes both his cheeks with her hand, so she’ll listen to her
You might have their blood, but you are father’s son. You are who you are, because of him, he will always be part of you, no matter what, you were raised by wolves, not by dragons, you are a Stark, you will always be a Stark. I never again want to hear speak this nonsense. You are part of our pack, now, and always. Understood?
She basically/kind of gives him the speech Jon gave Theon in 7.07, and it nicely comes full circle. 
He grabs her cheeck and gently kisses her forehead like in 6.10
I’m glad I found you down here, I don’t know what I would’ve done if I had been alone. 
He gently strokes her cheek and smiles at her
Thank you, Sansa.
She smiles back.
I’m always here for you, you know that.
He nods. And something lingers in his mind.
Why do you think father never told Lady Stark? 
Sansa does not even need to think about it for too long, she knows exactly why. 
Isn’t it obvious Jon? It made the lie more believable, and put any rumors at bay. He didn’t tell her, to keep you safe from Robert;s wrath. You know what he did to Elia and her children, your half siblings. Had he told her, mother would’ve loved you, treated you with kindness, she would’ve taken you under her wing and, that, would’ve raised suspicions. All father did was to protect you, he gave up on his honor, he lied for all to hear, to keep you safe, to keep you alive.
Father lied too, he thought to himself, he did it too for the greater good.
I hope I won’t disappoint him, I hope all his sacrifices weren’t for naught.
Sansa shakes her head.
How could they be? You were born to save us all from the end of the world, to see us through the long night, his sacrifices weren’t and will not be for naught. 
They both nod at eachother. Sansa’s nod expressing a “Got it?”, nad Jon’s a “Yes, got it.”
End of scene.
Okay, emh, this turned into a script-ish fic… I didn’t inted it, but oh well, I’m not sorry about it. lol 🤗🙈🙈
“Ser Davos get’s carried away” yep, 100% can relate 👌😅😂😂
I guess you could change Sansa, with Arya, and it would still work. 🙃
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tripstations · 6 years ago
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Drink like a New Yorker
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If you live in New York, work in New York or are doing business in New York – there is only one appropriate drink to order…New York State wines.
New York State of Wine
The New York grape, grape juice and wine industries generate more than $4.8 billion in economic benefits annually for New York State. There are 1,631 family vineyards, over 400 wineries, producing 175,000,000 bottles of wine, generating $408 million in state and local taxes (www.newyorkwines.org). New York’s wineries also contribute to New York State’s exports and in 2012, 19.8% of the wine produced in the state was exported.
Wineries and satellite operations attracted more than 5.9 million tourist visits in 2012, spending $401+ million. The tourism industry (including wineries, hotels, restaurants, retailing, transportation) contributes over 6400 jobs to the state, for a total of $213+ million in wages. The tourist is particularly important to the farm wineries, with sales direct to consumers representing approximately 60 percent of total wine sales volume.
The winery industry directly employs approximately 62,450 people and generates an additional 14,359 jobs in supplier and ancillary industries which supply goods and services to the industry and whose sales depend on the wine industry’s economic vitality.
In excess of 101,806 jobs can be linked to the wine industry and these positions average $51,100 in annual wages and benefits. The total wages generated by direct, indirect and induced economic activity driven by the wine industry – $5.2 billon.
New York State Wines and Wineries (Curated)
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At a recent Rockefeller Center/ Rainbow Room wine event sponsored by the Wine & Grape Foundation, Sam Filler, the Executive Director of the organization stated, “New York is home to the first bonded winery in the United States, making our state one of the oldest wine regions in the country.” The objective of the NY Drinks NY Grand Tasting, “…is to showcase the diversity, artistry and accessibility of New York’s wine and food landscape.”
The 8th Annual NY Drinks NY Grand Tasting offered access to over 200 wines from approximately 50 wineries across the state.
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Keuka Lake Vineyard. 2017. Turkey Run. Vignoles (Finger Lakes)
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Located on the slopes above the southern end of Keuka Lake this winery showcases young vinifera and old hybrid plantings that range from 3-years (representing Cabernet Franc and Vignoles), to vines over 50-years of age (representing Leon Millot and Delaware vines).
Thanks to the Finger Lakes, the vineyard produces excellent fruit. The heat of the summer is retained by the lakes and moderates the extreme cold temperatures of the vineyards in winter. As spring approaches, the frigid waters moderate the warming air temperatures and act as a delay for bud break and lower the risk of frost damage.
The terroir is a glacial mix of glacially laid rocks, sand, silt and clay that has been deposited on the lower slopes above Keuka Lake providing for water drainage that is essential for vine balance and health.
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Staci Nugent
The owner is Mel Goldman and the winemaker is Staci Nugent. Nugent attended Cornell and did graduate work in California in genetics. Making a career switch, she enrolled in the wine program at the University of California at Davis, receiving a Master’s degree in Viticulture and Enology. Nugent has worked with highly regarded wineries that include Ornellaia, Italy; Hardy’s Tintara Winery, South Australia; and William Selyem, Sonoma, California. Before joining Keuka Lake Vineyards (2008), she was a winemaker at Lamoreux Landing Wine Cellars.
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Sustainable farming practices brings the Vignoles to our attention. The grape is made by crossing Seible and Pinot de Corton, is associated with the Finger Lakes and grows well in the gravel soils (glacial till).
Notes: Keuka Lake Vineyards. 2017 Turkey Run Vignoles
Light bright blonde to the eye, the nose is rewarded with lemons, honey, green grapes and sweet oranges, (lemons and oranges) while the palate enjoys citrus and other fruits with the sweetness tempered by a light acidity. Pair with seafood curry, Buffalo chicken wings, pepper and Swiss cheese.
Red Newt Cellars. 2006. Legacy. Niagara Cream Sherry (Hector, New York)
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Located on the east side of Seneca Lake (Hector, NY) in the Finger Lakes region, the winery started in 1998 by David and Debra Whiting and the 1998 vintage produced 1200 cases of Chardonnay, Riesling, Vida, Cayuga, Cabernet Franc, Cabernet Sauvignon and Merlot. The first white wines were released in July 1999.
Whiting is considered to be one of the top winemakers in the Finger Lakes Region. Current production of Red Newt Cellars is apprximately 20,000 cases with a white wine focus on aromatic varities: Riesling, Gewurztraminer and Pinot Gris. CIRCLE Rielsing is the most popular and widely distributed wine, made in a classic Finger Lakes style, with hints on tangerine and honeysuckle, citrus and peach on the palate.
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Kelby Russell
Kelby Russell is the head winemaker at Red Newt and considered an expert in the art of cold-climate white wines. Thanks to the variable climate of the East Coast, he recognizes that the search for the “perfect wine” is a “false idol, “ finding that the role of the winemaker is to, “…artfully direct what comes into the winery into the best thing and the most honest expression of the year that you possible can.”
At Harvard (Class of 2009) Russell majored in government and minored in economics, was a member of the Glee Club and thought his career would follow a path that would lead to orchestra management. During a study abroad experience in Tuscany he discovered the art and science of making wine.
After graduation, when a job with Jazz at Lincoln Center did not materialize, he visited Fox Run Vineyards and thought he had an interview. The staff was busy with the harvest so he was handed a shovel and offered the opportunity to help on the “crush pad.” This was the begnning of his unpaid internships and he got to spend winters in New Zealand and Australia and autumns in the Finger Lakes as an intern.
His first salaried position in 2012 was with Red Newt as an assistant winemaker. David Whiting, the co-founder and winemaker, promoted Russell to head winemaker and the rest is history. He currently directs the Red Newt house styles and reserves and develops his own Kelby James Russell label with a focus on small-batch wines, from dry rose to Australian-style dry Riesling.
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Notes: Red Newt Cellars. 2006 Legacy. Niagara Cream Sherry (Niagara grapes)
The Niagara grape develops into a long-aged solera sherry, creating a complex palate experience.
Bright golden yellow to the eye (think daffodils) with the nose picking up hints of honey, raisins, oranges, apricots, yellow apples, and spices. The finish to absolutely delicious, delivering honey, lemons and spices. Perfect as a dessert course or pair with Blue cheese and pate.
Damiani Wine Cellars (DWC)
DWC was started by Lou Damiani, a Cornell engineer specializing in energy conservation, and Phil Davis. Damiani had an interest in winemaking and his education started in the field of food science before switching to engineering. In the 1990s he returned to study winemaking and mentored under Phil Hazlitt.
In 1996 Damiani wanted to plant Cabernet Franc and Merlot and visited an old friend and college friend, Phil Davis, who was also a viticulturist. They started the project and in 1997 Hazlitt pulled out a hybrid vineyard and planted Cabernet Sauvignon, Pinot Noir and Merlot. When their vineyards started producing in 2003 the next step was to make world class red wines.
Damiani was the head winemaker from 2003 – 2011 and he trained Phil Arras to continue and improve the DWC tradition. In 2007 Glenn Allen joined as a Business Consultant and later became a partner in the enterprise. Today DWC has four main vineyard sites with approximately 40 acres of land under vine and a new tasting room that hosts events and is the retail outlet.
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Phil Arras, originally from Philadelphia, moved to the Finger Lakes in 2003 to attend Cornell University and majored in philosophy and political science. Inspired by a class on wine appreciation, Arrras changed his career focus to winemaking. He was hired by Damiani Wine Cellars in 2009 as the assistant winemaker and began “on the job” training. In 2012, Arras became head winemaker.
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Notes: Damiani Wine Cellars. NV Marechal Foch “Vino Rosso” Finger Lakes. (Varietal may be a cross between Goldriesling and a Vitis riparia/Vitis rupestris or a cross between Gamay Noir and Vitis riparia – Oberlin 595).
Deep ruby color to the eye, an undertone of tomatoes runs alongside notes of plums and apricots and the tannins are so soft as to be obscure. Pairings might include pasta, barbeque and smoked gouda cheese.
Thirsty Owl Wine Company. 2017. Traminette
Ted Cupp purchased 150 acres of frontage on Cayuga Lake from Robert and Mary Plan, trailblazers who started the Cayuga Wine Trail in 2001. During 2001 and 2002 he began construction on the winemaking facility and tasting room for the Thirsty Owl. In 2002, in cooperation with Shawn Kime, he planted Cabernet Sauvignon, Syrah, Pinot Noir and Malbec. When the doors to the winery opened in 2002, Thirsty Owl had produced 1200 cases.
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Jon Cupp, President
Today, the Thirsty Owl is synonymous with award winning wines, including the Governor’s Cup and the John Rose award for Rieslings. The Pinot Noir had the highest rated North American Pinot at the Taster’s Guild International Competition. Thirsty Owl produces Malbec and Syrah as well as blends, reds, whites and ice wine.
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Shawn Kime
The winemaker and vineyard master, Shawn Kime, is originally from Romulus, New York and attended Morrisville College and Cornell University. Kime started to work in agriculture at the age of 14 and started winemaking after spending 2 years working with one of the earliest Finger Lake Vinifera growers.
The goal of the Thirsty Owl is to “…make changes in the vineyard and winemaking based on the year to produce wines that not only reflect our region but the growing season…. As a Finger Lakes native, I am proud of the fact that we are producing cool climate varietals that are on par with any region in the world.”
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Notes: Thirsty Owl Wine Company. 2017 Traminette (cross between Gewurztraminer and Joannes Seyve 23.416).
To the eye, highlights of golden yellow. The nose finds apricots, peaches, pears, honey and fresh lemons as well as florals (especially roses and tulips) and a bit of spice. The palate is entertained with citrus and lemons, oranges and a bit of earth. The finish brings light acidity making it an interesting dessert wine.
Pair with spicy/sweet and sour sauces on chicken, pork and veal and Cheddar, Fontina and Gruyere cheese.
Benmarl Winery. 2015 Baco Noir. Hudson River Valley
Benmarl (slate hill) Winery is located in Marlboro, NY and covers 37-acres and is considered to be the oldest vineyard in America (it holds New York Farm Winery license no.1). It was owned by magazine illustrator turned vintner Mark Miller from 1957 -2003. In 2006 Victor Spaccarelli purchased the vineyard and Matthew Spaccarelli is currently the winemaker
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In the 17th century, wine was being made by the French Huguenots in New Paltz, New York. Andrew Jackson Caywood started his vineyard in the early 1800s. The community was incorporated as the Village of Marlborough, a cluster of grapes carved in its seal commemorated its major crop (1788).
Caywood became an important viticulturist and leading authority in the development of new grape varieties. The Miller family bought the Caywood property in 1957 and renamed it Benmarl. It was purchased in 2006 by the Spaccarelli family. They replanted many abandoned vineyards, refurbished the estate and carry on the tradition of experimentation, planting new hybrid varieties like Traminette as well as Old World vinifera.
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Notes: Benmarl Winery. 2015 Baco Noir. Hudson River Valley
The Baco Noir, made from estate-grown fruit, brings dark plum hues to the eye, and delivers the aromas of dark plums, cedar and sage to the nose. On the palate are flavors of blackberry with hints of spice. Tannins give it a structure that is delicious and the finish delivers spice and black berry fruits. Benmarl has been producing Baco Noir for 50 years. Pair with pork roast, pasta with meat sauce, beef burgers with blue cheese.
The NY Drinks NY Event
The elegant Rainbow Room @ Rockefeller Center was the venue for the New York Drinks New York event. As an important wine trade events, many hundreds of wine buyers, sellers, sommeliers, wine educators, and writers convened to experience a wine-range of quality wines produced in New York State.
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Wines of Distinction included:
Brotherhood Winery
Brotherhood Winery is the oldest continuously operating winery in America, producing wine for 180 years in Hudson Valley. It features one of the most modern bottling facilties for wine on the East coast, with a capacity of 1.5 million cases er year. A wine current featured focuses on low calories (approximately 90 calories per glass).
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Glenora Wine Cellars
Glenora Wine Cellars produces award-winning Finger Lakes wines for over 40 years with a focus on sparkling wine and Riesling, sourcing grapes from 13 growers across four of the Finger Lakes. Glenora opened the first winery on Seneca Lake (1977).
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Saltbird Cellars
Robin McCarthy is the owner and winemaker at Saltbird Cellars that started in 2014 and, based on the unique maritime terroir, developed Stainless Steel Sauvignon Blanc, Migratus Barrel Fermented Sauvignon Blanc and Stainless-Steel Chardonnay.
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Hosmer Winery
Hosmer Winery is located on Cayuga Lake in the Finger Lakes. Grapevine plantings date back to the 1970s and early experiments with plantings of classic Vinifera started in 1985. The 70-acre estate includes Rieslings, Chardonnays, Cabernet Francs as well as French-American hybrid varieties.
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For additional information: @NYWineGrapeFdn and NYWineGrapeFdn
© Dr. Elinor Garely. This copyright article, including photos, may not be reproduced without written permission from the author.
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kyuremking · 1 month ago
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Hightower Sigil - Lady Leyla Cupps-Hightower
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Lynesse is next.
Below the cut there is a previous version.
This one was a bit complicated because I wanted to include several concepts that I have in my head about Leyla and her marriage to Jon Cupps
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nanshe-of-nina · 8 years ago
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Women of House Hightower Patrice Hightower The unexpected nature of the High Septon’s death in 44 AC aroused much suspicion, however, and whispers of murder persist to this day. Some believe His High Holiness was removed by his own brother, Ser Morgan Hightower, commander of the Warrior’s Sons in Oldtown. Others suspect Lord Martyn’s maiden aunt, the Lady Patrice Hightower, though their argument seems to rest upon the belief that poison is a woman’s weapon.
Ceryse Hightower Ceryse was the daughter of Martyn Hightower, the Lord of Oldtown. She was advanced by her uncle, the High Septon, after he protested the betrothal of the thirteen-year-old Prince Maegor to Maegor’s newborn niece, Princess Rhaena. Ceryse and Maegor were married in 25 AC. The prince claimed to have consummated their marriage a dozen times on their wedding night, but no sons ever came of it. He soon grew tired of Ceryse’s failure to bear him an heir and began taking other brides. Ceryse died in 45 AC, taken by a sudden illness, though it is also rumored that she was killed at the king’s command.
Alicent Hightower Matters became more complicated when, with Ser Otto Hightower’s encouragement, King Viserys announced his intention to wed the Lady Alicent, Ser Otto’s daughter and the Old King’s former nursemaid. For the most part, the realm celebrated this union. Rhaenyra, secure in her place as heir, welcomed her father’s new bride, for they had long known one another at court.
Malora Hightower “To be sure. Lord Leyton’s locked atop his tower with the Mad Maid, consulting books of spells. Might be he’ll raise an army from the deeps.”
Denyse Hightower Daughter of Leyton Hightower, wife of Ser Desmond Redwyne, and mother of Denys Redwyne.
Leyla Hightower Daughter of Leyton Hightower and wife of Ser Jon Cupps.
Alysanne Hightower Daughter of Leyton Hightower, wife of Ser Arthur Ambrose, and mother of Alyn Ambrose.
Lynesse Hightower “ I crowned Lynesse queen of love and beauty, and that very night went to her father and asked for her hand. I was drunk, as much on glory as on wine. By rights I should have gotten a contemptuous refusal, but Lord Leyton accepted my offer. We were married there in Lannisport, and for a fortnight I was the happiest man in the wide world.”
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hermanwatts · 5 years ago
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Bio-Bibliographies: The Louis L’Amour Companion
Louis L’Amour (1908-1988) may be the most popular western fiction writer of the Twentieth Century. He was the second western writer to read. The first was Robert E. Howard’s westerns. L’amour is not my favorite western writer, I like Gordon D. Shirreffs, T. V. Olsen, and Elmer Kelton more. L’Amour did write some classic novels including The Daybreakers and Last Stand at Papago Wells that I enjoyed quite a bit. The Daybreakers is an epic western. When L’Amour was on, he was on. There are also novels that were dialed in and in need of some editing.
I really like L’Amour’s pulp magazine adventure fiction. I can still remember buying both Night Over the Solomons and West From Singapore from spinner racks at the mini-mart up the street from my apartment.
L’Amour has been an inspiration. President Ronald Reagan was a big fan. Fantasy writer David Gemmell has mentioned his indebtedness to L’amour.
The Louis L’Amour Companion (Andrews and McMeel, 1992) by Robert Weinberg was needed at least for me to pin-point where the shorter fiction first appeared.
The first edition was a trade paperback, 307 pages, that sold for $12.95. A mass market paperback edition from Bantam was released May 1, 1994. And that is still available on Amazon!
Contents
Introduction
Part 1: His Life and Times
Introduction
Chronology of Louis L’Amour’s Life
Louis L’Amour – All-American Author
Meet Louis L’Amour by Walker A. Tompkins
Louis L’Amour: Man of the West by Harold Keith
Louis L’Amour – The Man Behind the Myth
Louis L’Amour and Bill Tilghman – An interview
L’Amour at War: Selected Letters by Louis L’Amour to Script Magazine edited by Stefan Dziemanianowicz
In Profile: Tracking Down Louis L’Amour by Jean Mead
A Visit with Louis L’amour by Jon Tuska
Lunch with Louis ‘n’ Me: A Few Casuals by Way of Reminiscence by Harlan Ellison
“L’Amour Receives Congressional Medal” from Publishers Weekly
L’Amour Receives the Medal of Freedom
Part 2: Before the Novels
Introduction
Louis L’Amour and Poetry
“The Chap Worth While” by Louis L’Amour
“Poetry and Propaganda” by Louis L’Amour
“A Thread of Realism” by Louis L’Amour
Louis L’Amour’s Early Writings: An Annotated Checklist
“The Lost Golden City” by Louis L’Amour
The Pulp Magazines
An Excerpt from “The Blank Page” by Kenneth Fowler
Louis L’Amour on the Pulps– An Interview by Lawrence Davidson. Richard Lupoff, and Richard Wolinsky
“Anything for a Pal” by Louis L’Amour
Men of Action: Louis L’Amour’s stories in Thrilling Adventures
Death in Cold, Hard Light: The Mystery Fiction of Louis L’Amour by Robert Sampson
L’Amour’s Short Story Collections: A Checklist
Writing for the Brand– An interview with Kent Carroll by Stefan Dziemianowicz
L’Amour’s Short Stories: An Annotated Checklist
L’Amour’s Uncollected Stories: A Checklist
Part 3: The Novelist
Introduction
The Best-Selling Western Author of All Time
The Novels of Louis L’Amour– The Fifties: An Annotated Checklist
Louis L’Amour’s Hopalong Cassidy by Bernard A. Drew
Louis L’Amour on His Hopalong Cassidy novels by Jon Tuska
Hondo Land and Louis L’amour by Scott A. Cupp
Hondo – Novel or Novelization? By Jon Tuska
L’Amour and Gold Medal by Ed Gorman
The Twenty-Five Best Western Novels of All Time
The Novels of Louis L’Amour – The Sixties: An Annotated Checklist
An Open Letter to the Old Bookaroos by Louis L’Amour
The Novels of Louis L’Amour – The Seventies: An Annotated Checklist
Louis L’Amour by Barbara A. Bannon
The Mix Master – L’Amour’s Crossover Novels by R. Jeff Banks
The Novels of Louis L’Amour – The Eighties: An Annotated Checklist
“Bantam Announces Plans for the Louis L’Amour Overland Express” from Publisher’s Weekly
Louis L’Amour on The Walking Drum – An Interview by Lawrence Davidson, Richard Lupoff, and Richard Wolinsky
Striding Toward Byzantium: Louis L’Amour’s The Walking Drum by Judith Tarr
The Contemporary Authors Interview by Mary Scott Dye
Louis L’Amour’s Nonfiction Books
Part 4: Audio and Video
Introduction
“The Outlaw Rides Again” by Louis L’Amour
From Fiction into Film by Jim Hitt
Louis L’Amour’s Films – An Interview by Lawrence Davidson, Richard Lupoff, and Richard Wolinsky
L’Amour on Film: A Checklist of His Movies and Television Adaptations by Hal Hall and Robert Weinberg
L’Amour Audiotape Adaptations: A Checklist by Hall Hall and Robert Weinberg
Appendices
Appendix 1: Collecting Louis L’Amour: Hardcovers, Paperbacks, Magazines, Esoterica
Appendix 2: Suggestions for Further reading
Copyright Extension
So The Louis L’Amour Companion hits all the right buttons with interviews, biography, bibliography, and even a few works by L’Amour. This is the only  mass-market paperback bio-bibliography that I can think of.
Bio-Bibliographies: The Louis L’Amour Companion published first on https://sixchexus.weebly.com/
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thisdaynews · 5 years ago
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The Worst Political Predictions of 2019
New Post has been published on https://thebiafrastar.com/the-worst-political-predictions-of-2019/
The Worst Political Predictions of 2019
How wide was the gulf between what actually happened in 2019 and the paths imagined by our pundits and politicians? Drawing from scores of op-eds, tweets, news stories and other first drafts of not-yet-history, here’s POLITICO Magazine’s sixth annual Worst Predictions list.
17. “By the end of 2019, the president of the United States will be Nancy Pelosi”
Predicted by: Stephen Kinzer,Boston Globe
Even as Pelosi flexed her power this year—deftly navigating impeachment with limited public blowback against Democrats (at least so far)—she remains third in line for the Oval Office, no closer to becoming president than she was at the start of 2019.
16. “The Syria withdrawal probably won’t happen in anything more than a cosmetic sense”
Predicted by: Damir Marusic,The American Interest
The U.S. withdrawal from Syria in 2019—allowing Turkey to decimate the Kurdish population and Russia to make major advances in the country, including taking over American military installations—marked a more than cosmetic change in Middle East policy.
15. Trump will “resign from office before he can be impeached, citing health reasons”
Predicted by: Jon Cooper
Cooper, a Democratic fundraiser and prominent #resistance Twitter personality, is prone to outlandish statements that rack up retweets from his fellow partisans. A particular subgenre of this type of tweet is calling for the resignation of Republican officeholders (retweet if you agree!) and then predicting that they will resign. With Trump, Cooper has done both, repeatedly calling for his resignation and predicting that the resignation is coming soon.
14. “Beto O’Rourke will be the next president of the United States”
Predicted by: Lee Drutman (several times) and a great many others
For a time in late 2018 and early 2019, it plausibly looked like Beto O’Rourke was the future of the Democratic Party. CNN’s S.E. Cupp, James Gagliano, Joey Jackson, Scott Jennings, Roxanne Jones, Peniel Joseph, Jen Psaki and Alice Sewart each predicted that he would be leading the polls of Democratic presidential candidates at the end of this year. Less than eight months later, O’Rourke dropped out of the presidential race altogether.
13. Joe Biden won’t run for president
Predicted by: Ari Fleischer
Biden entered the Democratic primary in April, and he has consistently led national polls since.
12. House Democrats and Senate Republicans will “secure a number of legislative victories … [and] meet on middle ground”
Predicted by: Orrin Hatch
At the start of 2019, with a new Democratic majority in the House and the Republicans firmly in control of the Senate, retiring Sen. Orrin Hatch saw the possibility of bipartisan compromise on the horizon. The actual story of Congress this year was not one of meeting “on middle ground,” but of party-line triumphs—House Democrats impeaching Trump, and Senate Republicans installing ever more conservatives into the federal judiciary. It’s become so routine for legislation that passed in the House to get held up in the Senate that Pelosi herself has dubbed McConnell’s chamber “the graveyard.” Bipartisan successes? There were very few.
11. Mueller will “exonerate Trump,” “implicate the Deep State” and “forever legitimize his presidency”
Predicted by: Bill Mitchell (here, too)
Not only did special counsel Robert Mueller not exonerate Trump, he said, “If we had had confidence that the president clearly did not commit a crime, we would have said so.”
10. Kamala Harris will win the Democratic presidential nomination
Predicted by: Myra Adams
This wasn’t implausible when it was predicted in January, during Harris’ highly regarded presidential campaign rollout, but the California senator didn’t even make it to the end of 2019 as a candidate, dropping out of the race on Dec. 3.
9. “Buttigieg will drop [in the polls] soon, and many of his supporters will migrate to Warren”
Predicted by: Noah Smith, June 25, 2019
Leading the fourth-largest city in Indiana hasn’t historically been a launching pad for the Oval Office, but in late December, Pete Buttigieg remains at or near the top of the Democratic pack in Iowa and New Hampshire.
8. Trump will nominate Jared Kushner for attorney general
Predicted by: Carl P. Leubsdorf,Dallas Morning News, Dec. 27, 2018
When Trump went about finding a successor for Attorney General Jeff Sessions, he could have chosen Kushner, a graduate of NYU Law whose legal experience largely consists of two internships. Instead, Trump chose former Attorney General Bill Barr.
7. House Democrats will not impeach Trump
Predicted by (among others): Peter Daou, Kai Ryssdal and Stephen L. Carter
They did.
6. House Dems and the Senate GOP will work together to enact immigration reform
Predicted by: Fortune Magazine
In its annual “Crystal Ball” forecast for the year ahead,Fortuneimagined Mitch McConnell and Nancy Pelosi working together to pass a “farm bill, immigration reform, and an infrastructure bill that President Trump has long wanted to see on his desk.” Immigration reform shows no signs of life, and major investments in infrastructure—despite the ostensible support of both Trump and House Democrats—remain unrealized.
5. Mueller will reveal that Trump’s 2016 campaign received millions of dollars from Russia, Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates and Qatar
Predicted by: Former Rep. John Leboutillier
Leboutillier, a former Republican congressman from New York, began 2019 with an op-ed in theHillthat audaciously predicted, “The Mueller investigation will unveil evidence of Trump putting himself out to the highest bidder in return for campaign help and financing: Russians, Saudis, Emiratis, Qataris—there will be evidence that millions of foreign dollars illegally flowed into the Trump campaign coffers in 2016.” There was no such evidence, Mueller unveiled no such thing, and there is no factual basis upon which to claim that “millions of foreign dollars illegally flowed into the Trump campaign.”
4. In 2019, there will be a “move toward forcing African-Americans to secure 19th century Black Codes-type passes that they must carry in public”
Predicted by: Dr. Ricky L. Jones
It was an alarming, eye-popping prediction from Jones, a professor at the University of Louisville and a contributor to theCourier Journal: “We will see a move toward forcing African-Americans to secure 19th century Black Codes-type passes that they must carry in public. Any white person would be able to demand the blacks in question produce these IDs to prove they have the right to inhabit certain spaces or engage in pre-approved activities in 2019.” Nothing even hazily resembling the prediction has been entertained.
3. British Prime Minister Theresa May “will see out Brexit and then depart on her own terms and timing”
Predicted by: Nick Williams
May announced that she would resign as prime minister in May, after the Brexit plans she negotiated were defeated in Parliament for the third time in as many months. The House of Commons rejected her Brexit plan for a fourth time two days later. She officially stepped down as prime minister in July and was succeeded by Boris Johnson. In December, Johnson won a large parliamentary majority, and, as of this writing, it appears likely that Brexit will finally happen in January 2020, almost four years after British voters first approved the idea.
2. Republicans will break ranks with an increasingly erratic Trump
Predicted by: Patti Solis Doyle
At the end of 2018, Solis Doyle, who managed Hillary Clinton’s 2008 presidential campaign, predicted that “Republicans, who have supported the mayhem and chaos up to now, will be looking down the barrel of a 2020 presidential cycle with abysmal numbers with women, suburban voters and independents. They’re going to break.”
Not a single House Republican supported either of the two articles of impeachment that passed the House in December, and Congressman Justin Amash was drummed out of the Republican Party for suggesting that Trump should be impeached over Mueller’s findings (now an independent, he voted for both articles of impeachment).
1. Alabama will be hit by Hurricane Dorian, never mind what the National Weather Service says
Predicted by: President Donald Trump
In the annals of post-Watergate presidential “scandals,” the “Sharpiegate” brouhaha is among the most bizarre. In advance of the storm making landfall, Trump tweeted that “In addition to Florida – South Carolina, North Carolina, Georgia, and Alabama, will most likely be hit (much) harder than anticipated.” There were never any reputable weather maps that had Alabama in the direct path of the storm, and the National Weather Service in Birmingham quickly issued a statement correcting the president.
Rather than admit a mistake, Trump produced a map of the hurricane’s path—and apparently used a marker to draw over the expert forecast and change the path of Dorian’s projected fallout area to include Alabama. The hurricane never did hit the state.
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goodqueenaly · 8 years ago
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Vassals of Vassal Houses
It’s bothered me for a while that there is no centralized resource for all of the Houses sworn not to paramount Houses, but to the Houses themselves sworn to paramount Houses. So, I figured it was time to remedy that, with much help from @racefortheironthrone​.
North
House Ryswell: The Appendices for both AFFC and ADWD list Roger, Rickard, and Roose Ryswell as Lord Rodrik’s “quarrelsome cousins and bannermen” (though Theon in ADWD notes that Roger, Rickard, and Roose are Rodrik’s sons)
House Manderly: Wyman Manderly tells Davos in ADWD that his “bannermen include a dozen petty lords and a hundred landed knights”
Ramsgate and the Sheepshead Hills are definitely sworn to White Harbor, according to the app, but it’s unknown which families control them (though the Woolfields controlling one is a strong possibility, given the name of the family and the fact that a Woolfield is married to the current Manderly heir).
It’s possible that the Lockes of Oldcastle and the Flints of Widow’s Watch are sworn to the Manderlys, as Wyman alleges he can deliver “all the lands east of the White Knife, from Widow's Watch and Ramsgate to the Sheepshead Hills and the headwaters of the Broken Branch”.  However, in all relevant appendices the Lockes and this branch of House Flint are listed as primary bannermen of Winterfell, rather than bannermen of the Manderlys; Wyman’s words may only be suggesting his ability to influence his lordly neighbors, rather than a true liege-vassal relationship. 
House Reed: 
House Blackmyre (“Reek II”, ADWD)
House Boggs (“Reek II”, ADWD)
House Cray (“Reek II”, ADWD)
House Fenn (“Reek II”, ADWD)
House Greengood (“Reek II”, ADWD)
House Peat (“Reek II”, ADWD)
House Quagg (“Reek II”, ADWD)
House Glover: 
House Bole (“The King’s Prize”, ADWD)
House Branch (“The King’s Prize”, ADWD)
House Forrester (“The King’s Prize”, ADWD)
House Woods (“The King’s Prize”, ADWD)
Vale
House Royce: 
House Coldwater (AFFC Appendix)
House Tollett (AFFC Appendix)
House Shett of Gulltower (AFFC Appendix)
House Corbray: in "Alayne II”, AFFC, Sansa thinks that “Corbray’s vassals” would be attending the wedding of Lord Lyonel and his Gulltown bride
House Waynwood: 
House Hardyng (“Alayne II”, AFFC)
House Sunderland: 
House Borrell (AFFC Appendix)
House Longthorpe (AFFC Appendix)
House Torrent (AFFC Appendix)
Riverlands
House Vance of Wayfarer’s Rest: 
House Smallwood (“Arya IV”, ASOS)
House Frey
House Erenford (“Jaime VI”, AFFC)
House Haigh (“Jaime VI”, AFFC)
House Charlton (“Jaime VI”, AFFC)
Harrenhal (presumably applicable for the duration of Harrenhal’s feudal holding)
House Wode (“Jaime III”, AFFC)
House Whent (formerly) (“The Riverlands: House Tully”, TWOIAF)
Westerlands
House Reyne: TWOIAF notes that “Lord Reyne reportedly laughed when his maester read him Ser Tywin’s edicts and counseled his friends and vassals to do nothing”.
House Tarbeck: TWOIAF notes that “[t]he Lannister host descended so quickly that Lord Walderan’s vassals and supporters had no time to gather”.
House Farman
House Clifton (“Jaime VIII”, AFFC)
Reach
House Rowan
House Osgrey (“The Sworn Sword”)
House Webber (“The Sworn Sword”)
House Tarly
House Hunt (AFFC Appendix)
House Hightower
House Beesbury (AFFC Appendix)
House Mullendore (AFFC Appendix)
House Costayne (AFFC Appendix)
House Bulwer (AFFC Appendix)
House Cuy (AFFC Appendix)
House Redwyne
House Rhysling: speculative. “Rhysling” sounds not unlike “riesling”, which might be a clue that the Rhyslings are in the winemaking business - and the only spot for real winemaking in the Reach is the Arbor.
House Cupps: speculative. Again, the name suggests a connection to the wine-drinking Arbor, and House Cupps being a vassal of the wealthy and powerful Redwynes might explain why the very powerful Leyton Hightower would allow his daughter Leyla to wed Ser Jon Cupps (especially as Leyla’s sister Denyse wed Ser Desmond Redwyne)
Dorne
House Yronwood
House Drinkwater: possibly if not probably. The app says that Gerris Drinkwater is a “knight sworn to Yronwood”, though this porbably only refers to Gerris being a household knight at Yronwood, as Gerris does not seem to be the head of House Drinkwater (since his twin sisters are called daughters, rather than sisters, of a landed knight). The House is not formally noted as a vassal of Yronwood in any Appendix, and only designated as a landed knightly House in the text, but in “The Spurned Suitor” Quentyn Martell thinks that he wants to “go back to Yronwood and kiss both of [Gerris Drinkwater’s] sisters”. This may suggest that the Drinkwater twins live on or near the Yronwood holdings, which would be sensible for daughters of an Yronwood bannerman.  
House Jordayne (formerly) (“Ancient History: Ten Thousand Ships”, TWOIAF)
House Wyl (formerly) (“Ancient History: Ten Thousand Ships”, TWOIAF)
It’s possible that the Blackmonts and Qorgyles were also at one time Yronwood bannermen; Yandel writes that Nymeria and Mors Martell “struggled against Yronwood and his bannermen (the Jordaynes of the Tor, the Wyls of the Stone Way, together with the Blackmonts, the Qorgyles, and many more)”.
House Dayne of Starfall
House Dayne of High Hermitage (AFFC Appendix)
Iron Islands
House Harlaw
House Volmark (AFFC Appendix)
House Myre (AFFC Appendix)
House Stonetree (AFFC Appendix)
House Kenning of Harlaw (AFFC Appendix)
House Harlaw of the Tower of Glimmering (“The Kraken’s Daughter”, AFFC)
House Harlaw of Grey Garden (“The Kraken’s Daughter”, AFFC)
House Harlaw of Harlaw Hall (“The Kraken’s Daughter”, AFFC)
House Harlaw of Harridan Hall (“The Kraken’s Daughter”, AFFC)
Crownlands
House Hayford
House Hogg (“Jaime III”, AFFC)
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actutrends · 5 years ago
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The Worst Political Predictions of 2019
How broad was the gulf between what really happened in 2019 and the paths imagined by our experts and political leaders? Drawing from ratings of op-eds, tweets, news stories and other initial drafts of not-yet-history, here’s POLITICO Publication’s sixth annual Worst Predictions list.
17 “By the end of 2019, the president of the United States will be Nancy Pelosi”
Forecasted by: Stephen Kinzer, Boston Globe
Even as Pelosi flexed her power this year– deftly browsing impeachment with limited public blowback versus Democrats (at least up until now)– she stays third in line for the Oval Workplace, no closer to ending up being president than she was at the start of 2019.
16 “The Syria withdrawal probably will not take place in anything more than a cosmetic sense”
Forecasted by: Damir Marusic, The American Interest
The U.S. withdrawal from Syria in 2019– allowing Turkey to decimate the Kurdish population and Russia to make major advances in the country, consisting of taking over American military setups– marked a more than cosmetic change in Middle East policy.
15 Trump will “resign from workplace prior to he can be impeached, mentioning health factors”
Predicted by: Jon Cooper
Cooper, a Democratic fundraiser and popular #resistance Twitter personality, is vulnerable to extravagant declarations that rack up retweets from his fellow partisans. A specific subgenre of this type of tweet is requiring the resignation of Republican officeholders (retweet if you agree!) and after that forecasting that they will resign. With Trump, Cooper has actually done both, repeatedly requiring his resignation and forecasting that the resignation is coming quickly.
14 “Beto O’Rourke will be the next president of the United States”
Forecasted by: Lee Drutman( several times) and a fantastic numerous others
For a time in late 2018 and early 2019, it plausibly looked like Beto O’Rourke was the future of the Democratic Party. CNN’s S.E. Cupp, James Gagliano, Joey Jackson, Scott Jennings, Roxanne Jones, Peniel Joseph, Jen Psaki and Alice Sewart each predicted that he would be leading the surveys of Democratic presidential candidates at the end of this year. Less than eight months later, O’Rourke dropped out of the presidential race completely.
13 Joe Biden won’t run for president
Forecasted by: Ari Fleischer
Biden went into the Democratic primary in April, and he has actually regularly led national surveys since.
12 House Democrats and Senate Republicans will “protect a variety of legal success … [and] satisfy on middle ground”
Forecasted by: Orrin Hatch
At the start of 2019, with a brand-new Democratic bulk in the Home and the Republicans securely in control of the Senate, retiring Sen. Orrin Hatch saw the possibility of bipartisan compromise on the horizon. The actual story of Congress this year was not one of conference “on middle ground,” but of party-line accomplishments– Home Democrats impeaching Trump, and Senate Republicans setting up ever more conservatives into the federal judiciary.
11 Mueller will “exonerate Trump,” “link the Deep State” and “permanently legitimize his presidency”
Forecasted by: Costs Mitchell( here, too)
Not just did unique counsel Robert Mueller not exonerate Trump, he said, “If we had actually had confidence that the president plainly did not dedicate a criminal offense, we would have stated so.”
10 Kamala Harris will win the Democratic governmental nomination
Predicted by: Myra Adams
This wasn’t implausible when it was forecasted in January, throughout Harris’ extremely related to presidential project rollout, but the California senator didn’t even make it to the end of 2019 as a candidate, leaving of the race on Dec. 3.
9. “Buttigieg will drop [in the polls] quickly, and a number of his supporters will move to Warren”
Anticipated by: Noah Smith, June 25, 2019
Leading the fourth-largest city in Indiana hasn’t historically been an introducing pad for the Oval Workplace, but in late December, Pete Buttigieg remains at or near the top of the Democratic pack in Iowa and New Hampshire.
8. Trump will choose Jared Kushner for attorney general of the United States
Forecasted by: Carl P. Leubsdorf, Dallas Early Morning News, Dec. 27, 2018
When Trump set about finding a follower for Attorney General Jeff Sessions, he might have picked Kushner, a graduate of NYU Law whose legal experience mainly includes two internships. Instead, Trump selected former Attorney General Costs Barr.
7. House Democrats will not impeach Trump
Anticipated by (among others): Peter Daou, Kai Ryssdal and Stephen L. Carter
They did.
6. House Dems and the Senate GOP will work together to enact migration reform
Forecasted by: Fortune Publication
In its annual “Crystal Ball” forecast for the year ahead, Fortune imagined Mitch McConnell and Nancy Pelosi collaborating to pass a “farm bill, immigration reform, and a facilities bill that President Trump has actually long wanted to see on his desk.” Migration reform reveals no signs of life, and significant investments in infrastructure– regardless of the apparent support of both Trump and Home Democrats– remain unrealized.
5. Mueller will reveal that Trump’s 2016 project received millions of dollars from Russia, Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates and Qatar
Forecasted by: Previous Rep. John Leboutillier
Leboutillier, a former Republican congressman from New York, began 2019 with an op-ed in the Hill that audaciously predicted, “The Mueller examination will reveal evidence of Trump putting himself out to the highest bidder in return for project assistance and funding: Russians, Saudis, Emiratis, Qataris– there will be proof that countless foreign dollars unlawfully streamed into the Trump project coffers in 2016.” There was no such evidence, Mueller unveiled no such thing, and there is no accurate basis upon which to declare that “countless foreign dollars illegally flowed into the Trump campaign.”
4. In 2019, there will be a “approach forcing African-Americans to protect 19 th century Black Codes-type passes that they need to bring in public”
Anticipated by: Dr. Ricky L. Jones
It was an alarming, eye-popping prediction from Jones, a professor at the University of Louisville and a factor to the Carrier Journal: “We will see a relocation toward requiring African-Americans to secure 19 th century Black Codes-type passes that they need to carry in public.
3. British Prime Minister Theresa May “will see out Brexit and after that depart on her own terms and timing”
Predicted by: Nick Williams
May announced that she would resign as prime minister in Might, after the Brexit plans she negotiated were beat in Parliament for the 3rd time in as numerous months. The House of Commons declined her Brexit plan for a fourth time 2 days later on. She officially stepped down as prime minister in July and was prospered by Boris Johnson. In December, Johnson won a large parliamentary bulk, and, since this writing, it appears likely that Brexit will lastly happen in January 2020, practically 4 years after British voters first authorized the idea.
2. Republican politicians will break ranks with a progressively irregular Trump
Forecasted by: Patti Solis Doyle
.
At the end of 2018, Solis Doyle, who managed Hillary Clinton’s 2008 governmental project, forecasted that “Republicans, who have actually supported the trouble and chaos up to now, will be looking down the barrel of a 2020 governmental cycle with abysmal numbers with women, suburban voters and independents. They’re going to break.”
Not a single Home Republican politician supported either of the 2 articles of impeachment that passed your home in December, and Congressman Justin Amash was drummed out of the Republican Party for suggesting that Trump must be impeached over Mueller’s findings (now an independent, he elected both short articles of impeachment).
1. Alabama will be hit by Typhoon Dorian, never mind what the National Weather condition Service says
Predicted by: President Donald Trump
In the record of post-Watergate governmental “scandals,” the “Sharpiegate” brouhaha is among the most unusual.
Instead of confess an error, Trump produced a map of the hurricane’s path– and apparently used a marker to draw over the professional forecast and change the course of Dorian’s forecasted fallout location to consist of Alabama. The cyclone never ever did hit the state.
The post The Worst Political Predictions of 2019 appeared first on Actu Trends.
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reginaperes157 · 7 years ago
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S.E. Cupp
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Wednesday on HLN’s “S.E. Cupp Unfiltered,” host S.E. Cupp accused the Trump administration of  “sexism” in the back-and-forth with UN Ambassador Nikki Haley over additional sanctions on Russia. Cupp said, “Nikki Haley is not here for your sexism, White House. I’m not prone to cry sexism. I don’t do it often or lightly. But there’s no other word to describe the way President Trump and his advisers have treated a woman who is arguably his strongest, most confident and effective cabinet official. U.N. Ambassador Nikki Haley was not only hung out to dry by the Trump administration, she was then dismissed and head patted by an old boys club Trump adviser who thought he could. It was shameful. Haley said over the weekend that Treasury Department head Mnuchin would be announcing new sanctions against Russia for aiding in Syria’s horrific chemical attacks on civilians.” She continued, “That was something she had said earlier on Fox News, and it was specific: Mnuchin on Monday. Clearly, Haley didn’t invent this idea out of thin air. In fact, the White House told surrogates the Saturday before that, that sanctions were coming. And a Russian newspaper published a report on that same Sunday claiming U.S. ambassador to Russia, Jon Huntsman,
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notfro · 8 years ago
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Media Bias - Jon Stewart on Crossfire
First off, this is a clip from 2004. Crossfire no longer exists. Neither does its almost decade later reboot. But the spirit does! Black and white, left vs. right. Awwwwwyeeeeeaaaah! It’s OOOON!! That’s why it’s relevant.
I actually didn’t know about this show until CNN decided to reboot it with Van Jones, Newt Gingrich, S.E. Cupp, and Stephanie Cutter. At the time, I remember thinking: fuck yeah! A debate show where the pundits stay for the whole hour discussing the news.  Alright! Let’s do it! . . . . What? They did this before? Why did they stop? It looks awesome? . . . Really? I love Jon Stewart . . . Ok, cool, I’ll watch it.
So I watched this.  And it broke me down.  I wasn’t instantly convinced that Crossfire could “hurt America,” but it gave me a lot me to think about.  And luckily Jon Stewart speaks long enough to answer most of my questions.  Wait, so are debate shows are bad thing? “No, I would love a debate show.” Ok, so is it that they aren’t tough enough? “No, it’s because they’re hacks.”
What do you mean by hacks?
Now, while Jon does answer that question too, I think it would be better to delve in deep on just this word for a while.
I usually only hear the word “hack” (the noun) used to describe an artist who produces shit work, dull, uninteresting, purely marketable, completely useless, unoriginal work.  And to be honest, after watching this video the first time, I didn’t really understand Jon Stewart’s usage.  I know he didn’t mean the show because there weren’t a lot of shows like it.
He meant them. Paul Begala and Tucker Carlson. Each a pundit. Each holding strong political views. I knew Paul Begala was a Democratic staffer turned pundit, analyst and professor (teaching where I went to school, Georgetown). I even remember seeing him in the documentary about Bill Clinton winning the 1992 election, “The War Room.”  On the other side, I knew Tucker Carlson as a conservative talking head and a news anchor, who had that show called “Tucker” on MSNBC, I wonder what happened to him?  Oh he was on CNN before.  Oh he’s on Fox News now.  Weeknights at 7pm. Scratch that, Megyn Kelly left. Weeknights at 9pm. He lost the bow tie.
But okay, I know them, so what? They’re our representatives of the right (Tucker) and the left (Paul). Balance. And yeah, a debate of theirs can get heated, so what? That’s what happens when you get a liberal and a conservative in a room together. I mean I guess I would ideally want civil discussion instead of heated debate. But that’s more of a preference.  Sometimes yelling is necessary.  No it’s not always necessary, but I’m just happy we have both sides of the argument here together. Well, I guess they’re more “pitted against each other” than “together,” but at least they’re in the same room on the same channel communicating in one form or the other with each other.
Are they making honest arguments? Yeah, I think they believe what they say. 
NO, Are they making HONEST arguments? Or is it as Jon Stewart put it: Do the ends justify the means? 
Wait, do you mean to ask me if I think Tucker and Paul are making dishonest arguments to simply WIN the debate? In other words do I think they are supporting the ideology they believe in not by defending it or explaining it rationally but by simply undermining the opposing ideology in the rules of a debate.
Oh. Shit. Yeah, I guess they have no problem doing that.
“Hack” in this context means a pundit who takes an unoriginal talking point or an unoriginal stance simply and blindly arguing against the opposing viewpoint, someone who chooses not to have an honest, rational conversation about each issue in the news, reducing every issue to a political argument or a political attack or a political self-congratulations. 
Watching two hacks talk about the news doesn’t teach you anything about the news except for what the two sides are uniformly saying about it. A debate on TV is not seen as an opportunity to give viewers two rational explanations of political solutions to problems. A debate on TV is seen as an opportunity to extend the game of politics from Washington to your living room, giving you “infotainment.”
“Infotainment” is the only value. Not “education.” 
So maybe balance isn’t really the cure-all we thought it was. Maybe we shouldn’t drink so many White Russians. 
But you know . . . I mean . . . how does that affect the issues? If one side comes up with lie to support their argument, won’t the other side be enough to counteract that?  It certainly doesn’t help to only include one side of the argument because that’s how lies go unchecked. The only true way to talk about politically divisive issues is still BALANCE.  Sure it’s not great, but it’s better than any other way of doing it.  Because you know . . . you can’t have your objective journalists become a truth squad or something?
Wait a minute . . . 
We’re taking about climate change next.
With a grain of salt,
Bryan
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