#hurrican Hilary

[theaologies]

spinning my chair around and sitting in it backwards: GOOOOOD MORNING CLASS

FIRST AND FOREMOST: this is not a panic post. It’s an informational preparedness post. Don’t panic. Just be prepared for this like you’d be prepared for an earthquake but you know it’s coming and it’s wet.

I’m 30, lived in Central Florida for the first 26 years of my life, and have experienced more hurricanes and tropical storms than you can imagine. Never in my life did I think I would have to discuss HURRICANE SAFETY again after moving to LOS ANGELES from FLORIDA and yet HERE WE ARE-

(This information is accurate as of 8/17 at 9am PST)

SO models are still early but it seems like as of last night, Pacific Hurricane Hilary is rapidly intensified AND has shifted its track pretty severely inland. Originally SoCal was predicted to get some bands off the coast but this does NOT seem to be the case anymore

As our good friend Jim Cantore mentioned above, if Hilary DOES make landfall in SoCal, it will be the first tropical storm to do so since 1939. Fucking yikes.

THE GOOD NEWS:

It isn’t looking like Hilary will make landfall anywhere as a strong hurricane. If it makes landfall in central Baja it looks like it’ll be a Cat 2 which isn’t great but still- better than the Cat 5 it’s currently strengthening to.

As for SoCal, we’re not predicted to get anything over a Tropical Storm. And mountains tear up tropical cyclones like crazy. It’ll (probably) be weak and, wind wise, no worse than the Santa Ana’s

THE BAD NEWS:

Our Cone of Uncertainty is currently pretty wide- this fluctuation matters as it determines which side of the storm hits us. Is this significant? Yes. The right side of a Hurricane is considered the “dirty” side- it’s the side that is most likely to produce severe weather, such as severe thunderstorms and tornadoes. It’s still too early to determine what side will affect us the most but it’s something to keep in mind.

Also, I can’t speak for the rest of SoCal, but I would not bet on the LA infrastructure doing well even with a weak tropical storm. Which is why I have brought you here today, to run down the IMPORTANT HURRICANE CHECKLIST

NOTE: I made this several years ago for FLORIDA so not all of it will be accurate to SoCal. Most of us live in apartments and have no say over tree trimmings and the likes. If the storm is feeling like it’s going to get bad, I would recommend moving important things and electronics away from windows and hanging out in areas of the apartment that have the least amount of windows. I don’t think boarding up windows or anything will be necessary but here’s information if you need/want it

ANOTHER NOTE: if you have the means, please check up on your unhoused neighbors and immediate community groups that do so, as well. As always, they will be the ones most affected by severe weather. Tarps, anything that rises up off the ground, waterproof bags, etc would be good to grab for them. I am not an expert here and would recommend following the lead of your community groups that work with your unhoused neighbors to find out what will be needed most.

I don’t at all think we’ll see any shutdowns so if the rain does get bad be prepared for dangerous driving conditions. I know it’s dangerous to drive any time it rains in LA but, you know. The Weather Channel isn’t predicting a TON of rain at the moment (for LA) but, just like our winter/spring this year, be on the look out for flash floods.

And again, this is all JUST IN CASE. It’s better to be prepared than not. SoCal’s infrastructure is not at all prepared to handle a tropical event so who knows! Anything is possible. If I was in Florida I wouldn’t at all be worrying about this but I’m not anymore and our wet winter absolutely fucked our roads in LA so I’d rather everyone be safe than sorry.

I’m sure it’ll all be fine and now you just have more safety information, which is never bad! Because frankly climate change is very real and I would not be surprised to see this happening more and more in the coming years. And it does have me worrying that El Niño this year is going to be worse than we imagined.

[ysabelmystic]

Y’all in the American SW and west Mexico better check the national hurricane center and your weather for this weekend and next week.

Hurricane Hilary is about to make landfall and that whole desert area is supposed to get a years worth of rain or more. Death Valley is supposed to get twice the annual rainfall. Severe winds, massive flooding, and landslides are all strong possibilities.

This is gonna get ugly. Please spread the word. This is a majorly anomalous event and people may be unaware of the threat headed their way.

EDIT AUGUST 19th

Hilary will hit the Baja peninsula this evening at a category 2. It will arrive in southern California as a tropical storm on Sunday evening before weakening and moving into Nevada as a tropical depression.

THAT SAID: for the Americans here, even if the storm is “weak”, I want to emphasize that the main danger is rain. We are most concerned about flooding. If you are in an area at risk for flooding, take appropriate precautions as per your city or state officials’ or the noaa’s directions. Even if you end up only being mildly inconvenienced, it is better to be prepared. Go to a friend or relatives house if you live near a body of water or a very low-lying area. Make sure you have water bottles and nonperishable foods. Keep your pets indoors. Don’t wade or drive into puddles.

Anyways, here’s some maps from the NHC

And here’s a link with information in Spanish.

AUGUST 20 FINAL UPDATE

Updated info from the NHC website.

Newsom also issued a state of emergency for parts of Southern California. Widespread flooding is expected.

Good luck y’all

[knottahooker]

HEY CALIFORNIA PEOPLE!

HURRICANE ADVICE FROM A FLORIDIAN!

Make sure you've got shelf-stable food and water for everyone in the house, including pets. The rule of thumb is a gallon per person per day. Freeze water bottles if you want cold water.

Make sure you have enough meds!

Make sure you have batteries, candles, flashlights, and a manual can opener. 

Make sure your electronics, including backup batteries, are charged. Unplug things you don't want fried in case of a power surge. 

Don't tape your windows, it doesn't help and you'll just be stuck scrubbing goo off of them later.

Put a mug of frozen water in it in your freezer with a quarter on top of it. If your freezer defrosts, the ice will melt and the quarter will sink and tell you you need to throw things out.

Get everything that's not nailed to a foundation out of your yard. That dead branch hanging on by a thread? Time to get it down (it was probably time to do that three days ago, but now’s better than never).

Park away from powerlines and trees if you can. Rain makes the ground soft and then trees fall over.

Have an evacuation plan to a shelter. Evacuate if they’re telling you to.

If you start to flood, don't go in your attic. You'll get trapped if the water rises too high and you can't hack through your roof. This happened to a lot of people in Texas and Louisiana. Get ON the roof.

Be safe, be well <3 

[therebelliouspiscean]

Hurricane Hilary... The Truth May Shock You

[ryan-sometimes]

So I live in LA and here’s a list of the most insane things I’ve heard people say about the hurricane:

“And what am I supposed to do? Stop it?”

“We could use the rain, it’s been so dry lately”

“Maybe it’ll put out the wildfires”

“How bad can it be?”

[mishacollins]

It’s nice of Mother Nature to offer to water my plants in Southern California while I’m in Charlotte this weekend, but I think a hurricane might be overdoing it. Hawaii’s burning and so are Canada and Greece. California, Vermont, and India are flooding, droughts are drying up lakes around the world and there is 100-degree sea-water off Florida and devastating heat waves worldwide…

Climate change is real and it’s here. Biden’s huge IRA bill is really doing something about it by moving us to 80% renewables by the end of the decade. A President Trump would just burn more Saudi and Russian oil, grab a Big Mac and watch it all burn. This is yet another reason we have to actually care and actually vote. Check your voter registration status right now: https://bit.ly/GoVoteMC

[jaxthedragon]

Water, earth, fire, air. Finally, California has become the Avatar of Natural Disasters

[221bshrlocked]

The sheer amount of unbotheredness Californians are displaying right now, including myself, is kinda hilarious and terrifying.

[tomorrowusa]

California has gotten its first tropical storm watch ever. The last time a tropical storm hit California was in September of 1939 just after Hitler had started World War II. They didn't issue such watches in those days.

Major Hurricane Hilary in the Pacific is way stronger than low energy Hurricane Don in the Atlantic a few weeks ago; the latter spent only a few hours as a hurricane as it spun around aimlessly away from land.

Hilary will weaken from the current Category 4, but how much it will weaken is still not certain. If it maintains sustained winds of at least 74 MPH/119 KMH when it reaches California, then it will become California's first ever official hurricane.

Hurricane Hilary is expected to hit Southern California as a tropical storm, with a punch that could include flash flooding and significant amounts of rain, according to the National Hurricane Center.  A tropical storm watch for much of Southern California was issued Friday morning. The National Weather Service's San Diego outpost said this was the first time such an advisory had ever been issued for the region. 

As somebody who's been through half a dozen tropical cyclones on the East Coast, I would advise our California friends that rain is a bigger hazard than wind – in most cases. People in areas which have the potential for flooding should particularly remain on alert.

The 1939 storm, called El Cordonazo, became the first and only tropical storm to make landfall in the state in the 20th century, according to the National Weather Service. NWS says the storm, which was at one point a hurricane, originated off the southern coast of Central America before moving north and eventually coming ashore at San Pedro, California.  Resulting floods from the storm killed at least 45 people across the Southern California region and caused $2 million in damage to structures and crops, the weather service reports. Another 48 people were also killed at sea.

There were far fewer people in California in 1939 when El Cordonazo caused deadly flooding.

Here is the current forecast for rainfall potential.

Keep up with the track of Hurricane Hilary here. Southern California should begin to feel the effects of Hilary on Sunday afternoon. Monitor local emergency information and follow advisories.

And if you're wondering why this is happening...

Our oceans are the warmest in recorded history. This is why it's so concerning

[autumn-storms-and-coffee-rings]

dear californians -

though i don’t live on the NC coast (i’m more central/near the mountains NC), i still deal with hurricanes. they can still be hurricane or tropical storm level by the time they reach here.

the cone of certainty is also kind of uncertain - it can wiggle within the cone, or veer completely off course at any time.

do not underestimate this.

here’s some prep:

in case of power outage -

charge everything

have batteries

have flashlights

have non-perishable food

have a cooler and ice packs/bags of ice for vital food and medications

the food thing is really important for people with dietary restrictions because it can take days for power to be restored

open your refrigerator and freezer as little as possible to keep things cool longer

in case of water problems -

fill all the water bottles

in case of flooding and evacuation -

get a full tank of gas

don’t drive through water ffs

have cash

have a bag packed with clothes, shoes, medications, etc.

have a bag packed for your pet(s) with carriers, food, medications, favorite toys, etc.

get any important documents together and put them in ziplock bags to protect them from water

document any valuable possessions in case of flooding for insurance purposes (move them to higher ground if there’s time)

check your flood zone

check your flood, home/rent, car insurance policies

check your evacuation route

listen to officials and meteorologists. stay calm. have a plan.

thinking of you! feel free to ask me questions and share this.

[yiqi-fr]

Hurricane Hilary

I am 1000% begging any SoCal or west coaster reading this to take this hurricane as seriously as you can and then take it more seriously. I know that Hurricane Sandy was an unusually strong storm and happened over 10 years ago and I can still remember how scary it was. Power outages for weeks, hopping between family members' houses, trying to stay warm as it started to get cold. It doesn't look like this storm will be as bad as that but it helps to be prepared.

The damage doesn't just happen on the day of the storm. Storm surges can take days to recede, roads can stay inaccessible long after the storm passes, floodwaters can contain deadly contaminants that can infiltrate the tap water and also hide live electrical lines. Many people die from carbon monoxide which fills their homes when they don't realize they need to put their generators or other tools and equipment outside.

There are lots of guides and resources to know how to keep safe and you still have time to prepare. Leave if you can but I know that option is not realistic for everyone. Research how to prepare and how to keep you or your family and friends safe during the storm and in the period of recovery. Keep in touch with people who may be in the path of the storm and make sure they're okay and accounted for.

Many of you who aren't familiar with hurricanes are now directly in the path of one. Please stay safe

[mousedetective]

For everyone who saw this post about the hurricane hitting California as a tropical storm this weekend, we got a room until Sunday morning. I still need to raise about $140 for one more night and some food. But we're going to be somewhere safe!

[faebirdie]

i need people to be careful about what they are sharing about hurricane hilary because i'm seeing a lot of false information being spread. namely, i'm seeing a lot of people say that it's a level 4 hurricane. which is true. but they aren't mentioning the very important caveat that by the time it reaches california, it will have largely declined and will instead simply be a tropical storm. which is still historic for california, but it's not quite as scary for people living there as it's being made out to be. It's not going to cause major issues with infrastructure or large-scale flooding like a full-blown hurricane would. the majority of people will be, at most, mildly inconvenienced by it.

i think the response to this storm is showing a very clear difference in how we treat natural disasters that hit areas associated with wealthy white people as opposed to one's that hit larger populations of black people like lots of the southeast. it makes me fear for how funding and help might be given to california, which needs it less, and then not be available next time somewhere like georgia or louisiana really need it.

it also has the average californian so freaked out that they are taking resources and focus away from the people around them that actually might be seriously affected by this. so please, if you are in california, look out for the homeless and/or lower income people in your area. do what you can to make sure they have access to adequate shelter to protect them from the wind and rain. and that they have enough food and water to stay put until this storm passes.

also just stay off the roads as much as possible. people already drive like assholes around here and will probably be even worse during this. everything should have calmed down by tuesday at the latest.

[aroaceleovaldez]

finally finished my project of collecting voiceclaims that are as close as i can find for my hcs of the main HoO cast - just for funsies so it's not as perfect as I'd like but whatever, it was a neat exploration and exercise of me trying to think of literally any franchise for voice actors.

Leo got two cause I had trouble of finding good clips for the voiceclaim that's closers to my hcs for him (the second half of his section). Also got to play the fun game of digging through my art for decent doodles of each character.

Also fun fact, I am almost completely unfamiliar with 3 franchises in this video and was just digging for voice clips on youtube. Try to guess which ones.

[haveyouusedthispokemon]

not allowed to not have used scatterbug. mandatory scatterbug.

[destielmemenews]

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