#csds exit polls

[rudrjobdesk]

Chanakya Todays Exit Poll: यूपी, उत्तराखंड में किसकी बनेगी सरकार? जानिए कितने बजे आएगा चाणक्य टुडे का 5 राज्यों का एग्जिट पोल

Chanakya Todays Exit Poll: यूपी, उत्तराखंड में किसकी बनेगी सरकार? जानिए कितने बजे आएगा चाणक्य टुडे का 5 राज्यों का एग्जिट पोल

Chanakya Todays Exit Poll: उत्तर प्रदेश विधानसभा चुनाव 2022 के सातवें चरण के मतदान की समाप्ती के साथ शाम में एग्जिट पोल (Exit Poll 2022) आने शुरू हो जाएंगे। उत्तर प्रदेश, पंजाब, उत्तराखंड, गोवा और मणिपुर सहित पांच राज्यों में हुए मतदान के बाद सभी को 10 मार्च को आने वाले नतीजों का इंतजार है।  असली नतीजों से पहले हम आपको सभी पांच राज्यों के चाणक्य टुडेज एग्जिट पोल (Chanakya Todays Exit Poll) के…

[antoine-roquentin]

This reading of the 17th Indian election, that is supported by the findings of the Lokniti-CSDS exit poll, suggests three conclusions.

First, India has made one more step in the invention of a de facto ethnic democracy. While this formula has been coined by an Israeli political scientist, Sammy Smooha, for defining the regime of his country, a de jure jewish state, India continues to be secular on the paper but in practice minorities are becoming second class citizens – as the underrepresentation of Muslim MPs in the Lok Sabha shows.

Second, India has also made one more step on the way to an illiberal democracy. This trend, during the election campaign, has been reinforced by the loss of credibility of the Election Commission and the media. It flows logically from the populist idiom of Indian politics: when a man embodies the nation and projects himself as its savior against all kinds of threats, to question his authority becomes illegitimate. And the stronger he is, the smaller the space for exerting a critical mind. As a result, there’s been no press conference worth that name, hardly any assessment of the past policies – not to say anything of the traditional debates between the main contenders that are the most exciting episodes of liberal democracies. Instead, Narendra Modi has saturated the public space, benefiting from a hugely imbalanced access to electronic media on prime time and record electoral expenditures which have transformed the official ceilings into a farce. All this reflects the growing convergence of India with other ethnic, illiberal and national-populist democracies, including not only Israel, but also Brazil, Hungary, Turkey and, to some extent, the US. In these countries too, a man has projected himself as the savior of a nation reduced to the majority community against external and internal threats, polarizing society and the public opinion to such an extent that those who are not with them are against them – a way to divide not only society, but also families. Indeed, in this new form of regime, political adversaries have been transformed into enemies – enemies of the people and the nation – in the name of security. Most of the illiberal democracies are also, therefore, security states as their populist leaders need threats to fight in order to divert attention from their socio-economic limitations and to mobilise their supporters.

Third, in Indian politics, policies do not matter as much as before: while an election campaign used to be a moment for assessing the achievements of the outgoing PM and compare programs, this time the campaign was not about jobs, the crisis of the peasantry, environment, but about emotions – fear, anger and mangoes, a cocktail that is part of the populist recipe across the world. Incidentally, the Congress program addressed some of the major issues India is facing – including ecological disasters, liberticide laws and mass poverty – but it was not discussed.

[tumbledsom]

Exit Polls Predict a Sweep for the BJP in Delhi, But the Cosmopolitan Capital’s Voting Preference Can Throw a Surprise The election outcome in at least 20 Assembly segments of Delhi, as the CSDS surveys have pointed, have been decided by voters from Bihar and eastern UP. via Top Politics News- News18.com

[mylucky137276]

Lok Sabha elections 2019 exit polls out today: How reliable are they?

When the last phase of Lok Sabha elections 2019 end on Sunday, all eyes will be on exit polls that will be released after voting concludes. The counting of votes, which will begin at 8 am on May 23, is expected to take longer than usual this time around and will reportedly continue well into the night. Till then, the numerous exit polls -- regardless of their accuracy -- will put forward their predictions on whether the Narendra Modi-led BJP government will come back to power or not.

With the embargo on their broadcast being lifted on Sunday evening, the following exit polls will be announced today: Republic-Jan Ki Baat, Republic-CVoter, Today's Chanakya, ABP-CSDS, News18–IPSOS, India Today-Axis, Times Now-CNX, and NewsX-Neta. Here's everything you need to know about them.  

ALSO READ: Exit Polls 2019: Be careful; take their forecasts with a bucketful of salt

What are exit polls and how are they conducted?

An exit poll is a poll of voters conducted soon after they walk out having cast their vote. Conducted by a number of organisations, these post-voting polls ask voters for whom they actually voted, unlike opinion polls that ask voters for whom they plan to vote. Their aim it to predict the actual result of the elections based on the information gathered from the voters. To accurately predict election results, it is important that the exit poll's sample size is geographically, demographically and socially representative.  

ALSO READ: Exit polls 2019 LIVE: Will Modi magic work again for BJP in LS polls 2019?

[pruchika99-blog]

Lok Sabha elections 2019 exit polls out today How accurate are they?

Lok Sabha Elections 2019 When the last phase of Lok Sabha elections 2019 end on Sunday, all eyes will be on exit polls that will be released after voting concludes. The counting of votes, which will begin at 8 am on May 23, is expected to take longer than usual this time around and will reportedly continue well into the night.

Till then, the numerous exit polls regardless of their accuracy will put forward their predictions on whether the Narendra Modi-led BJP government will come back to power or not.

ALSO READ : Exit polls: Jolt for TDP as Jagan's YSRCP looks set to form govt in Andhra

With the embargo on their broadcast being lifted on Sunday evening, the following exit polls will be announced today: Republic-Jan Ki Baat, Republic-CVoter, Today's Chanakya, ABP-CSDS, News18–IPSOS, India Today-Axis, Times Now-CNX, and NewsX-Neta.

What are exit polls and how are they conducted? - An exit poll is a poll of voters conducted soon after they walk out having cast their vote. Conducted by a number of organisations, these post-voting polls ask voters for whom they actually voted...Read more.

[rposervices]

Opinion polling for the 2019 Indian general election - India votes in world's biggest ever poll

In the run up to the Indian general election, 2019, various organisations carried out opinion polls to gauge voting intention in India. Results of such polls are displayed in this article. The date range for these opinion polls are from the Jan 2018 to April 2019. Many organisations have gone on to conduct exit polls and post-poll surveys as well, which too are displayed.

Background

Opinion polls in India can be controversial. These charges include partisan manipulation. Opinion poll methodology has heavily improved and agencies like CSDS have got it absolutely correct on 16 occasions, roughly correct on 7 occasions and wrong on 4 occasions. Post-poll surveys, widely published, are fundamentally different from opinion polls.

Opinion polling

Line graph showing number of seats projected in opinion polls per alliance over time. Various organisations have carried out opinion polling to gauge voting intentions in India. Results of such polls are displayed in this list. The date range for these opinion polls is from the previous general election, held in April and May 2014, to the present day. Read More... Read the full article

[sluttyshakespeare]

4 Spectacular Details About India Council of Ministers

Prime Minister Narendra Modi has suffered his greatest electoral loss because concerning power in 2014, a blow to a re-election bid that will play out in the next several months. The losses that Modi's ruling Bharatiya Janata Party suffered came at the state level as voters in 5 states put either the primary opposition celebration or regional parties into power-- an outcome that is expected to unite and reinforce opposition forces. Voting happened in five of India's 29 states over the past month. 3 of the states are essential-- Rajasthan, Chhattisgarh and Madhya Pradesh-- as they are the largest in India's heartland. The main opposition Indian National Congress now holds political sway in each. " We accept individuals's required with humility," Modi said in a series of tweets. "Success and defeat are an integral part of life. [These] outcomes will further our resolve to serve individuals and work even harder for the development of India." After Modi assumed power in May 2014, the BJP went on to win elections in state after state, assuring a "Congress complimentary" India. Before the choose the five state elections were depended on Tuesday, the INC held power only in 2 huge states-- northern Punjab and southern Karnataka. The BJP chief ministers of Rajasthan and Chhattisgarh have yielded and resigned. In Madhya Pradesh, senior INC leader Kamal Nath stated his celebration has protected a clear majority to form a federal government in spite of the INC falling short by two seats, which it is confident of filling with assistance from other non-BJP winners. Regional parties, on the other hand, won majorities in the smaller states of Telangana and Mizoram. Ballot in the five states had actually been promoted as the semifinals to the basic elections due by May. " There was a double anti-incumbency, both versus state governments and the central cabinet ministers, which led to the sort of [decision] that we have seen in the 3 [BJP-ruled] states," stated Sanjay Kumar, director of the New Delhi-based Centre for the Study of Developing Societies. In Chhattisgarh, some exit polls had actually anticipated a BJP triumph. "One big factor that swung the election in the favor of Congress [there] was that they guaranteed in their manifesto that if they pertain to power they will increase the minimum assistance costs of food grains in 10 days," Kumar said. "So this was the last-minute surge in favor of Congress." In other BJP-ruled states, voters were moved by their discouragement with a broadening debt crisis amongst farmers who had marched to the capital four times within a year to demand loan waivers and greater prices for their crops. India's economic growth softened to 7.1% for the 3 months ended in September, below 8.2% for the previous quarter. " The three crucial states have mainly agrarian populations," Japanese brokerage Nomura said in a note, "and the drubbing suggests that farm distress stays a crucial electoral worry for the BJP in the upcoming national elections." The INC's excellent performance, Nomura included, "marks a reversal of fortunes for its chief, Rahul Gandhi, who had earlier suffered a string of losses to the BJP in states." In Rajasthan, farmers, the Muslim minority community and Dalits, thought about a lower caste in India, were "unhappy" with the BJP government, according to political expert Narayan Bareth. He added that youth are divided, with some drawing motivation from Modi while others criticize him for not creating work. " The BJP fielded only one Muslim prospect in the recent surveys regardless of [Muslims] comprising 10% of Rajasthan's population of over 70 million," Bareth stated, explaining that there have been numerous occurrences of attacks against Muslims as well as Dalits in the state in the recent past.

Though state elections are combated on local issues, the BJP losses in the celebration's strongholds of Rajasthan, Madhya Pradesh and Chhattisgarh indicate Modi's appeal is subsiding. The 3 states account for 65 of the 543 chosen members in the lower home of Parliament. The majority of these seats were won by Modi's celebration in the 2014 general elections. Two pratfalls have cost Modi very much. In 2016, he unexpectedly demonetized high-value bank notes. A year later, an items and services tax was implemented. Mayhem took place. Small and midsize organisations were affected. The country's farm sector fell into distress. And the economy stopped working to produce jobs. All of this expense Modi and his party in the state surveys, Bareth stated.

Who is the Minister of India 2019?

The existing ministry is led by Prime Minister Narendra Modi, who took office on 26 May 2014. There was reshuffling in his cabinet on 3rd September 2017. The remarkable advancements show Modi and the BJP face numerous obstacles ahead of the 2019 general elections. "Prior to the results came out, everybody thought the 2019 last would be in between 2 groups which do not match in capabilities," Kumar of CSDS stated." [The] BJP was seen as extremely strong, and it was felt that Congress and other local celebrations, even together, would not be able to put up a strong battle. " These outcomes now show that the 2019 contest is going to be interesting since the group which is going to oppose the BJP [will be] much stronger," with the INC in a position to lead an anti-BJP opposition alliance. Nevertheless, Kumar added that being "much stronger" is most likely not enough to permit the opposition to fall the BJP nationwide Narendra Modi government next year. "But absolutely we can anticipate a major contest stepping forward in 2019," Kumar said, adding it will "not be a cinch for the BJP." The state elections in addition to the abrupt resignation of Reserve Bank of India Gov. Urjit Patel today have actually added to the stress and anxiety of investors. As a result, chaos is likely to check Indian financial markets in the run-up to the basic election. In a note provided on Tuesday concerning the BJP's state-level losses, the Eurasia Group, a political danger consultancy, said it continues to believe that Modi, who is without a doubt India's "most popular" politician, "is most likely to win re-election, however at the helm of a coalition rather than with a straight-out majority of BJP parliamentarians." " However, the outcomes today increase our certainty that that union will be large and unwieldy, substantially slowing motion on difficult economic reforms and developing higher scope for independent power centers to emerge in the cabinet as coalition allies require control over crucial financial ministries." More than 100 million voters in 5 states across India went to the polls in November and December. The results revealed on Dec. 11 put the current governing Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) led by Prime Minister Narendra Modi on the defensive: they didn't win a single state. With national elections to be held by Might 2019, the narrative has actually moved in India. For the very first time in a while, the BJP no longer looks invincible. It seemed like the other day that the BJP had all the political momentum. In 2014, they won the first single-party majority in 30 years in the country's lower home of parliament. They followed this by getting power in state after state, managing 21 of India's 29 state-level assemblies by May 2018. Modi's policy focus on economic growth, jobs, and excellent governance appealed to citizens, and his early efforts to woo foreign financial investment to India and stimulate production brought in global attention. What's more, the Indian National Congress celebration (referred to as Congress)-- which had actually controlled politics for most of the nation's history given that self-reliance in 1947-- had a much-diminshed presence, with not even adequate seats in the lower home to hold official opposition status. In the states too the celebration's control dwindled as it kept losing to the BJP.

So what occurred? While it's prematurely to have a complete image of why voters turned down the BJP in all five states, economic problems most likely played an essential role. In spite of the focus India government has placed on economic growth and work, it has actually not provided enough tasks for India's blossoming population. Stories flow frequently about the 20 million candidates for simply 100,000 jobs in the railway service, or other examples of excessive odds. The unemployment rate as measured by the Centre for Monitoring Indian Economy (CMIE) has actually been ticking up over the past year, and reached 6.62 percent as of November 2018. This is on top of a growing awareness that rural India is suffering, and not presently enjoying the gains of national-level financial development. The majority of India stays rural. It also now appears that 2 policy steps the Modi government took in the name of reform likewise led to financial distress. The first was demonetization in Nov. 2016, which was billed as an anti-corruption measure. Under that policy, almost 90% of the nation's currency notes by value were taken out of blood circulation. Poor execution-- for example, the brand-new notes had a different size so did not fit into ATMs, resulting in recalibration hold-ups-- deepened the shock, triggering financial activity in the casual, cash-based economy, to freeze. This hurt small businesses and workers throughout the informal sector. Second, a long-awaited and crucial reform that combined all of India's states into a single market for a products and services tax, had a rocky and complex launching that hurt some services too. For a party that had actually staked its national presence on economic performance, there just wasn't a great story to inform the citizens. In addition, citizens did not seem to discover the BJP's return to a more spiritual nationalism-based agenda engaging. In early 2017, after gaining power in the large state of Uttar Pradesh, the BJP appointed a divisive religious firebrand, Yogi Adityanath, as the state's chief minister. He set out on the nationwide stage this year, and campaigned intensely for the celebration in Madhya Pradesh, Rajasthan, and Chhattisgarh throughout the populous Hindi heartland. Although his own state experiences order issues, he ended up being a "star campaigner" elsewhere in India, delivering speeches with "generous doses of Hindutva" (Hindu nationalism), according to one press account. This did not prosper. It's likewise the case, however, that in 3 of the 5 states, the BJP had been in power-- and in India, incumbency gives no benefit. In fact, journalists routinely blog about the "anti-incumbency element" in India. So it's possible that citizens in Chhattisgarh and Madhya Pradesh, where the BJP had been in power for three succeeding terms, or Rajasthan (one term), felt it was just time for a change. However there's no denying that these losses for the BJP develop a new opening for the Congress party, which walloped the BJP in Chhattisgarh, won decisively in Rajasthan, and won the largest number of seats in Madhya Pradesh. (In Telangana and in Mizoram, regional celebrations trounced both the BJP and Congress.). The lessons of these state elections will apply to the nationwide landscape ahead. Momentum matters: A year back, political pundits in India would have stated the BJP was near-certain to win re-election in 2019, with the margin of triumph the only unpredictability. Today, you're just as most likely to hear speculation about a decreased BJP needing coalition partners to get across the finish line-- and even the return of a big Congress-led union. In other words, a government's record matters. If the BJP can not describe how their policies have enhanced individuals's lives, then citizens may very well seek to someone else. Prime Minister Narendra Modi is having his worst week in a long time. On Tuesday his Hindu nationalist Bharatiya Janata Party crashed to electoral defeat in 5 Indian states. The losses set up a possibility that when appeared remote: Citizens might toss Mr. Modi out of workplace this spring.

The BJP's primary opponent, the left-of-center Congress Celebration, all of a sudden looks like a possible contender for national power. In 3 important states in the populous Hindi heartland-- Chhattisgarh, Madhya Pradesh and Rajasthan-- Congress federal governments will change BJP incumbents. Regional parties triumphed in two other states, Telangana in the south and Mizoram in the northeast. It's too early to cross out Mr. Modi's prospects. He stays a popular figure and powerful orator, and his celebration is India's best-funded and best-organized. Yet it's clear Mr. Modi's tax-and-spend design of development is stopping working to enthuse voters. Tuesday's results recommend discontent in the Hindi heartland, an area that in 2014 provided the BJP two-thirds of its parliamentary seats.

What type of federal government does India have?

India is a federal state with a parliamentary kind of government. It is governed under the 1949 constitution (effective since Jan., 1950). The president of India, who is head of state, is chosen for a five-year term by the chosen members of the federal and state parliaments; there are no term limits. Simply put, Modinomics is not working. When Mr. Modi was chosen, he promised to invigorate the economy by offering "optimal governance" with "minimum federal government" and changing red tape with a red carpet for service. Rather he picked to evade politically contentious reforms that would have allowed market forces to play a bigger function in India's ineffective economy.

Instead of offering money-losing state-owned companies, making it simpler for organisations to employ and fire workers, or privatizing sclerotic cabinet ministers banks, Mr. Modi has actually made himself a grand benefactor for the bad. On the campaign trail, he boasts about what he appears to consider as his biggest accomplishments: opening more than 330 million bank accounts, providing brand-new cooking-gas connections to 120 million families, and setting up 90 million toilets. Why aren't citizens satisfied with the largess? In the Indian Express, journalist Harish Damodaran mentions that the three heartland states where BJP governments lost did an excellent job of following the prime minister's playbook. They built lots of roads, homes and toilets, and offered towns with electrical energy, cooking gas and web connections. But they fell short in one essential area: improving earnings. Crop rates have risen slowly over the past four years in a part of the nation that depends upon farming. Few nonfarm tasks have actually emerged. Making matters worse was Mr. Modi's harebrained decision two years ago to invalidate almost 90% of India's currency by value, which gutted lots of small companies. The procedure hit building and construction specifically hard, harming large numbers of migrant workers. An extremely complicated nationwide goods-and-services tax introduced in 2015 penalized small companies unused to onerous filing requirements. By equipping tax inspectors with oppressive powers, Mr. Modi has also deter organisation belief. Previously this year, Morgan Stanley reported that nearly 23,000 U.S.-dollar millionaires have left India since 2014. The firm's Ruchir Sharma slammed "the tightening grip" of India's "overzealous tax authorities.".

The lesson for India's next prime minister-- or for Mr. Modi, ought to he win a 2nd term: India's job crisis is complex. The increase of robotics, combined with a souring toward open market in developed economies such as the U.S., may make it hard for India to replicate China by rapidly moving countless workers from ineffective farm work to better-paid factory tasks. But only a market-based technique has any opportunity of being successful. Business people, not bureaucrats, will produce the task opportunities voters look for. The odds of Mr. Modi remedying course in the few remaining months of his term are vanishingly slim. If anything, he seems preparing for more populist costs to sway voters so far unimpressed with his efforts. On Monday Reserve Bank of India Gov. Urjit Patel resigned from his position. Mr. Patel pointed out "individual reasons" for his departure, but most observers analyzed it as a protest against government efforts to railway the central bank into following reckless policies. The brand-new guv, a former bureaucrat understood for his proximity to the government of India, might enable politicians to money pre-election costs by raiding the bank's rupee reserves. He might likewise enable weak state-owned banks to open the loaning spigots, and assistance interest-rate cuts quicker than his predecessor, a highly regarded technocrat with a reputation as an inflation hawk. Regrettably for India, the Congress Celebration shares Mr. Modi's populist bent. Elegant guarantees of well-being for the unemployed and loan waivers for farmers marked its election victories this week. As India gears up for its national election, the BJP's defeats have actually tossed the race open. But while we can't anticipate the result, we can say something for certain: Whoever wins won't be promising market-friendly economic reform. Four years ago today, Narendra Modi was sworn in as India's prime minister amidst the kind of enjoyment and expectation not seen in years. Not for thirty years had a single celebration won an electoral majority. Modi's success, his rhetoric and his background all seemed like a decisive break with India's past-- one which lots of Indians were eager to welcome. QuicktakeIndia's Goals What specifically was expected from Modi? Surely, that's one fair way to judge how his government has actually done as he tries for reelection next year. As far as financial policy goes-- which was where the previous Congress administration had disappointed the most-- citizens wanted to see three things: less corruption, greater decisiveness in policymaking and more market-friendly reform. Even Modi's critics need to confess-- and welcome-- the reality that he's materialized progress on all 3. Even his fans, though, should acknowledge that given its advantages, his federal government hasn't lived up to its capacity. Take the first metric. Modi's top officials have actually definitely prevented getting caught up in the sort of big scandals that disabled the previous federal government towards the end of its tenure. If anything can be said to be Modi's primary political top priority, it's this-- to avoid any tip of financial impropriety. More than anything else, an image of probity helps the prime minister cast himself as the champ of normal Indians against a historically venal political class.

When is the next indian election?

General elections are because of be kept in India in between April and May 2019 to make up the 17th Lok Sabha. It's similarly true, however, that the ability of those Indians to evaluate the government has actually decreased. The liberty of information requests that previously drove reporting on corruption and cronyism are now being consistently rejected; the opposition, at least, honestly concerns the self-reliance of organizations, such as the Supreme Court, that are expected to keep an eye on the government. While things appear like they have actually enhanced, we may not have the complete picture. What about decisiveness? Well, Modi-- a leader with huge political power, leading a bulk in parliament and a celebration that manages most of India's states-- has both the opportunity and the desire to be more decisive than any prime minister in years. No one would claim, as they might have 4 years earlier, that India's federal government was so weak and vacillating that it was unable to make a genuine choice or alter a law or institute brand-new policy. Of course, being definitive isn't enough: What you choose likewise matters. And Modi's decisiveness has actually resulted in some huge blunders along with indisputable accomplishments. Consider, for example, the one decision that will specify Modi's term in power: his over night withdrawal, in November 2016, of 86 percent of India's currency from flow. To this day, no one knows how and why this decision was made; who remained in the room; why the Reserve Bank of India, the custodian of India's financial stability, signed onto the strategy; and whether it succeeded in its ambiguous aims. What India needs most is a more effective state. However, developing a structure that enables prompt, evidence-based policymaking needs more than a prime minister who understands his mind. It demands administrative reform up and down India's inefficient administration-- the one difficulty Modi has been reluctant to undertake.

Finally, there's economic reform, where Modi's federal government boasts of definite progress. It passed landmark tax reform, which completely revamped India's system of indirect taxes and has the possible to knit India's diverse states into one economy-- and even, perhaps, to increase tax compliance and raise federal government profits to a brand-new, greater level. India's banking system, strained by bad loans, has actually been offered brand-new hope thanks to an insolvency and personal bankruptcy code that may help release a few of the capital that's been sunk into stalled or mismanaged projects. Debt-ridden electrical power energies have actually been provided a chance to tidy up their books, which together with an ongoing focus on rural electrification may lastly provide all Indians an opportunity at 24x7 power. What the Modi government hasn't been able to do is render Indian companies more competitive. India's exports are traditionally low as a percentage of GDP and task growth has actually been minimal. That's due to the fact that the Indian economic sector is still waiting on truly versatile labor markets and for processes that allow them to engage with the world on equivalent terms. Modi's supporters will no doubt argue that he ought to be offered a 2nd term exactly in order to assault these remaining problems. Yet his federal government has just recently seemed to move backward on reform, raising tariff walls and seeking to safeguard whole sectors from competitors. If India's prime minister has dissatisfied a few of those who were most passionate when he took office four years ago, it isn't because he did not have energy however due to the fact that he didn't expend his political capital on the best functions. It's difficult to see why that would change in a second term.

[releasesoon]

Exit Poll Results 2019 India: Chanakya, India Today-Axis, CVoter, ABP-CSDS to announce Lok Sabha poll predictions on 19 May

Exit Poll Results 2019 India: Chanakya, India Today-Axis, CVoter, ABP-CSDS to announce Lok Sabha poll predictions on 19 May

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The Lok Sabha election 2019 has reached its fag end with the final and seventh phase of the elections to conclude on Sunday. More than a month after the seven-phase elections began, we are now finally in the slog overs. Polling will be conducted across seven states and one Union Territory on 19 May comprising the remaining 59 constituencies out of 543.

[1nation1election-blog]

Rajasthan Assembly election 2018 Opinion Polls || Exit Polls, Rajasthan Assembly Polls

Rajasthan Assembly election 2018 Opinion Polls || Exit Polls, Rajasthan Assembly Polls

Rajasthan Assembly election 2018 opinion polls || Exit Polls || Rajasthan Assembly Polls – According to opinion Poll or exit poll of ABP News for Rajasthan election 2018 the Congress can become number one party. Elections are to be held later this year and before that, ABP News has done survey with the Publicity-CSDS to explore Rajasthan’s mood. The figures in the survey are going to raise…

[saviolinette-blog]

Gujarat, Himachal election result LIVE: BJP leads; Rupani wins Rajkot West

ElectionResultsLive2017: The BJP is leading in 107 seats, while the Congress nominees are ahead in 74 of Gujarat’s 182 seats, show the latest trends.

Chief Minister Vijay Rupani, who earlier trailed behind his Congress rival Indranil Rajyaguru in early trends, has now taken an unassailable lead in the Rajkot West seat.

The elections for 182-seat Assembly were held on December 9 and 14, after an acrimonious campaign, which was dominated by a face-off between Prime Minister Narendra Modi and Congress president Rahul Gandhi. In the 2012 elections, the BJP had won 115 seats while the Congress emerged victorious on 61 seats. The BJP has been in power in the state since 1995, winning consecutive elections in the home state of Modi and BJP chief Amit Shah.

ALSO READ: Modi magic intact hint exit polls; BJP predicted to win Himachal, Gujarat

ALSO READ: Counting of votes for Himachal Polls today

The exit polls also predicted that the BJP would wrest Himachal Pradesh from the Congress. As reported earlier, all survey agencies, barring ABP-CSDS, predicted a sweep for the BJP in the hill state, where the elections were held on November 9. The ABP-CSDS survey predicted a BJP victory, with the Congress running it close in the 68-member Assembly.

ALSO READ: Exit polls predict BJP victory in Gujarat and Himachal Pradesh

CATCH ALL THE LIVE UPDATES 11:46 AM The BJP cannot be completely happy, says Rajeev Rai, Spokesperson SP 11:46 AM As per the Election Commission data, BJP has 49% vote share while Congress has 41.7% in Gujarat assembly elections 11:44 AM Rahul Gandhi, good show, says BJP ally Shiv Sena 11:42 AM Congress wins Kasumpti seat in Himachal with its candidate Anirudh Singh defeating BJP’s Vijay Jyoti by a margin of 9,397 votes 11:42 AM On the Congress giving a neck and neck fight to the BJP in the Gujarat Assembly elections, senior Congress leader Kamal Nath says it is the ‘beginning of return of the Congress’. 11:42 AM BJP’s Pradipsinh Jadeja wins Vatva 11:39 AM Congress’ Arjun Modhwadia trailing by 1800 votes from Porbandar

Click here to read → Gujarat, Himachal Election Results 2017

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All exit polls on Thursday predicted a clean sweep for the BJP in the Assembly elections held in Gujarat and Himachal Pradesh, in both of which it was virtually a direct fight between the two parties. While one channel gave a maximum of 135 seats to the BJP in the 182-member Gujarat Assembly, the lowest of 99-113 was given by another in the state which has been ruled by the party for the last 22 years. The ABP-CSDS Lokniti exit poll showed the BJP winning a maximum of 117 seats and Congress 64. The India Today-Axis poll predicted 99-113 seats for the BJP and 68-82 seats for the Congress. The Times Now and India TV-VMR exit poll predicted the BJP will win 113 and the Congress 66. In the 2012 assembly elections, the BJP had won 115 seats and the Congress 61 while the others got six.  The Republic-Jan Ki Baat survey put the number for the BJP at 108 and the Congress at 74. The predictions by NewsX-CNX placed the BJP on the top with 110-120 seats and the Congress between 65 and 75. The poll by News24-Chanakya predicted 135 for the BJP and 47 for the Congress in Gujarat. In Himachal Pradesh, where the Congress was in power for the last five years, the exit polls showed the BJP wresting the power with India Today-Axis giving it 47-55 in the 68-member assembly. The ruling Congress is likely to get 13-20 seats. Republic TV-Jan Ki Baat gave the BJP 41 and the Congress 25. The NewsX-CNX poll predicted that the BJP will get 42-50 and the Congress 18-24 seats. The survey by ABP-CSDS in Himachal Pradesh showed the BJP may get 38 and the Congress 29. The poll by News24-Chanakya predicted 55 for the BJP and 13 for the Congress. IANS : 14th. Dec,17

ALL EXIT POLLS PREDICTED A CLEAN SWEEP FOR THE BJP IN ASSEMBLY ELECTIONS HELD IN GUJARAT AND HIMACHAL PRADESH : All exit polls on Thursday predicted a clean sweep for the BJP in the Assembly elections held in Gujarat and Himachal Pradesh, in both of which it was virtually a direct fight between the two parties.

[mphindinews]

हार्दिक पटेल ने बताया, EXIT POLL में आखिर क्यों जीत रही है बीजेपी

नई दिल्ली: गुजरात और हिमाचल प्रदेश विधानसभा चुनाव के लिए वोटिंग प्रक्रिया संपन्न होने के साथ ही विभिन्न न्यूज चैनलों पर आए एग्जिट पोल में दोनों राज्यों में बीजेपी की सरकार बनने का अनुमान है. हिमाचल प्रदेश में जहां कांग्रेस का सूपड़ा साफ करते हुए बीजेपी की प्रचंड बहुमत की संभावना हैं, वहीं गुजरात में भी बीजेपी आसानी से बहुमत के आंकड़े को छूकर सरकार बना सकती है. इंडिया टूडे-AXIS, ABP-CSDS, India…

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New Post has been published on http://www.visionmp.com/almost-all-exit-polls-predicted-more-than-100-seats-for-the-ruling-bjp-in-gujarat/

Exit polls predict BJP win in Gujarat, Himachal Pradesh

New Delhi: The BJP looks headed for facile victories in both Gujarat and Himachal Pradesh, according to a string of exit polls conducted by various media organisations.

Almost all exit polls predicted more than 100 seats for the BJP in Gujarat where the party has been ensconced in power for close to two decades now.

In Himachal Pradesh, where the electorate has chosen the Congress and BJP alternately in Assembly polls, the exit polls projected a clear majority for the saffron party, unseating the Congress.

Today’s Chanakya gave BJP 135 seats in Gujarat and predicted a measly 47 for the Congress, 14 less than the opposition party has in the current Assembly. It predicted a voteshare of 49 per cent for the BJP and 38 per cent for challenger Congress.

A party or an alliance has to win at least 92 seats in the 182-member House to form government in Gujarat.

In the 2012 Assembly polls, the BJP had won 115 seats, the Congress 61 and others six.

The Times Now-VMR Exit poll predicted 115 seats for the BJP and 64 for the Congress, with the remaining going to others.

The Republic-C Voter Exit Poll gave the BJP 108 seats and the Congress 74.

The ABP-CSDS exit survey by ABP News predicted a BJP victory in 117 seats as against the Congress’s 64.

The NDTV said the BJP was likely to clinch 112 seats and the Congress 70.

A survey by India Today’s ‘Aaj Tak’ news channel also predicted that the BJP would retain power in the state, winning anywhere between 99 and 113 seats. Aaj Tak’s was the lone survey that said the BJP’s tally could slip under 100. It projected 62 to 82 seats for the Congress.

India TV-VMR survey also forecast a BJP win, with the party likely to clinch anywhere between 108 and 118 seats. The Congress, it said, could win 61 to 71 seats.

The survey said the BJP could garner 48 per cent of the votes polled, the Congress 41 and others 11 per cent.

In Himachal Pradesh, the exit polls predicted the BJP’s return to power with a comfortable majority.

The Times Now-VMR and Zee News-Axis exit polls predicted identical tally of 51 seats for the BJP in the 68-member Assembly. A party needs 35 seats for a simple majority in the House.

The Times Now-VMR poll gave 16 seats to the Congress and one to other, while the Zee News-Axis poll forecast 17 seats for the current ruling party.

The Aaj Tak-Axis exit poll gave 47-55 seats to the saffron party, 13-20 to the Congress and 0-2 to others.

Among other exit polls, the News X survey predicted 42-50 seats for the BJP and 18-24 for the Congress.

Congress had returned to power in Himachal Pradesh in 2012 pocketing 36 seats, marginally more than the half-way mark, while the BJP secured 26. The others had bagged the remaining six.

The Congress was, however, skeptical about the predictions, with party spokesperson Shobha Oza saying exit polls have proved wrong in elections before, and claiming it will emerge victorious.

[politicalbaaba]

How exit polls in UP stack against pre poll forecasts?

How exit polls in UP stack against pre poll forecasts?

Exit poll results are out for five states and as usual they don’t help in identifying winner across these states.

Key Findings of exit poll results are:

BJP is the single largest party (SLP) across polls in UP. Some predict hung (C Voter, CSDS) while some outright BJP win (Today’s Chanakya, Axis).

India Today Axis gives Manipur to Congress, C-Voter says BJP will be SLP.

India Today Axis gives…

[uttarpradeshelectionresults]

Uttar Pradesh Election Opinion Poll Up Vidhan Sabha Election

ttar Pradesh UP Legislative Assembly Elections 2017 Opinion Polls: All set for the Uttar Pradesh UP elections, the date to be announced and all political parties are ready for the elections, there are some regional parties contesting the elections as well as some national parties like BJP and Congrescontestready to contest the elections. An authoritative get-together race will be held in 2017 for the 403 seats of the Vidhan Sabha in the condition of Uttar Pradesh in India. The dates of the decision are yet to be reported, as of now 2016. In the past decision in 2012, the Samajwadi Party won a majority and formed government in the authority of Akhilesh Yadav.

Uttar Pradesh Vidhan Sabha Elections 2017 Surveys: The survey is similar to the opinion polls, this is collected from different people of age, gender and other factors, etc. The questions will be asked “Whom You want to make UP Chief Minister”, “Who win win Uttar Pradesh elections 2017, if now elections are held?” and many more questions like “popular CM face” etc. will be asked from the people based on the answers the opinion polls are made, these polls are conducted by the several agencies or news channels like News 24, Chanakya, ABP News, Times Now (English),  NDTV India, Aaj Tak, India Today, Total TV News, India TV, CNN-IBN, IBN 7, DNA, Zee News, News Nation, Sahara Samay, News X etc.

Uttar Pradesh Assembly Vidhan Sabha Elections 2017 – UP Opinion Polls and Survey Results – SP, BSP, BJP, Congress

The survey (HuffPost- CVoter) was conducted between 1st and 31st August 2016, using a random stratified sample of 20,642 respondents across all 403 constituencies. You can also Check UP elections Exit Poll Results, Dates & Notifications Polling Schedule. Here are the data from different sources. Later after the alliance of SP and congress more polls were conducted as the data is available here, don’t forget to share it on social media.

UP Uttar Pradesh Latest February 2017 Opinion Poll Results 2017

UP UTTAR PRADESH ELECTIONS LATEST POLL FEBRUARY 2017: NEWS18 POLL OF POLLS

(SP+CONGRESS WINNING 181 SEATS, BJP+ WINNING 160 SEATS & BSP WINNING 57)

Axis-My IndiaCSDSPoll of Polls

Uttar Pradesh

SP + Congress173192181

BJP+185123160

BSP418157

UP Uttar Pradesh ABP News (ABP-CSDS) Opinion Poll Results 2017

PARTYSEATSVOTE %

Samajwadi Party141-15130

BJP129-13922

BSP93-10327

Congress13 -1908

Others6 – 1213

Uttar Pradesh Opinion Poll by VDPAssociatesPARTY2012 (WINNING SEAT)SEAT SHARE PROJECTIONS, 2016

BJP47149

BSP80165

SP22468

INC2808

Others2413

According to the ABP News survey, Mr. Akhilesh Yadav is most preferable CM in UP. In the mean time, Mayawati’s BSP is anticipated to passage superior to anything I did in 2012 with 95-111 seats. The BSP will figure out how to come third in the standings. The PK component appears to have acquired no change the Congress’ fortunes as they are relied upon to win minor 5-13 seats in the decisions.

UP Elections 2017 Exit Poll Results Regarding vote-share too, the survey shows that the Bhartiya Janta Party and the Samajwadi Party are necks on the neck in competition. While the ruling party will manage 27 percent of the vote-share as according to the survey results, the BJP will edge past with 28 percent of total votes, according to projections.

According to the Opinion, Poll by HuffPost-CVoter Akhilesh remains most preferable Chief Minister face in the state of UP followed by Mayawati than Sheila Dikshit. Some parties will declare their chief minister candidate before the elections, and some will declare afterwards. For information on the last date of nominations, notifications polling dates, schedule, counting of votes, results dates, etc. stay tuned with us and don’t forget to follow us on Facebook for latest updates and do share this article with your friends and family on social media.

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Uttar Pradesh Election Opinion Poll Up Vidhan Sabha Election

Uttar Pradesh Election Opinion Poll In Hindi Up Vidhan Sabha Election- Uttar Pradesh UP Legislative Assembly Elections 2017 Opinion Polls: All set for the Uttar Pradesh UP elections, the date to be announced and all political parties are ready for the elections, there are some regional parties contesting the elections as well as some national parties like BJP and Congrescontestready to contest the elections. An authoritative get-together race will be held in 2017 for the 403 seats of the Vidhan Sabha in the condition of Uttar Pradesh in India. The dates of the decision are yet to be reported, as of now 2016. In the past decision in 2012, the Samajwadi Party won a majority and formed government in the authority of Akhilesh Yadav.Uttar Pradesh Vidhan Sabha Elections 2017 Surveys: The survey is similar to the opinion polls, this is collected from different people of age, gender and other factors, etc. The questions will be asked “Whom You want to make UP Chief Minister”, “Who win win Uttar Pradesh elections 2017, if now elections are held?” and many more questions like “popular CM face” etc. will be asked from the people based on the answers the opinion polls are made, these polls are conducted by the several agencies or news channels like News 24, Chanakya, ABP News, Times Now (English),  NDTV India, Aaj Tak, India Today, Total TV News, India TV, CNN-IBN, IBN 7, DNA, Zee News, News Nation, Sahara Samay, News X etc.Uttar Pradesh Assembly Vidhan Sabha Elections 2017 – UP Opinion Polls and Survey Results – SP, BSP, BJP, CongressThe survey (HuffPost- CVoter) was conducted between 1st and 31st August 2016, using a random stratified sample of 20,642 respondents across all 403 constituencies. You can also Check UP elections Exit Poll Results, Dates & Notifications Polling Schedule. Here are the data from different sources. Later after the alliance of SP and congress more polls were conducted as the data is available here, don’t forget to share it on social media.UP Uttar Pradesh Latest February 2017 Opinion Poll Results 2017UP UTTAR PRADESH ELECTIONS LATEST POLL FEBRUARY 2017: NEWS18 POLL OF POLLS(SP+CONGRESS WINNING 181 SEATS, BJP+ WINNING 160 SEATS & BSP WINNING 57)Axis-My IndiaCSDSPoll of Polls Uttar PradeshSP + Congress173192181BJP+185123160BSP418157UP Uttar Pradesh ABP News (ABP-CSDS) Opinion Poll Results 2017PARTYSEATSVOTE %Samajwadi Party141-15130BJP129-13922BSP93-10327Congress13 -1908Others6 – 1213Uttar Pradesh Opinion Poll by VDPAssociatesPARTY2012 (WINNING SEAT)SEAT SHARE PROJECTIONS, 2016BJP47149BSP80165SP22468INC2808Others2413According to the ABP News survey, Mr. Akhilesh Yadav is most preferable CM in UP. In the mean time, Mayawati’s BSP is anticipated to passage superior to anything I did in 2012 with 95-111 seats. The BSP will figure out how to come third in the standings. The PK component appears to have acquired no change the Congress’ fortunes as they are relied upon to win minor 5-13 seats in the decisions.

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