#assembly election results 2020 india

[jayprakashraj]

Assembly Elections 2023

Equations Of The Five States Few Days Before Elections?

Political News In Hindi, There are not many days left in the voting process for the elections to be held in 5 states including Hindi heartland states. Voting will start from 7th of next month. About a month before the voting, the political parties release the list of candidates and the election campaign is at its peak, but this time all the five equations seem to be changing with each passing time. Out of the 5 electoral states, there is a direct fight between BJP and Congress in 3 big states, while in the remaining two states, there is a big fight between the regional parties of Congress. However, after the distribution of tickets among the political parties of all the five states, the fire of infighting has no longer remained internal but has reached the streets. After the party canceled the ticket, the game of defection has also started. In such a situation, let us know what the current equations of all the election states say and who is stronger than whom.

Dilemma Between Both The Parties In Rajasthan:

Rajasthan is the only state in India where the public changes its government every five years. At the beginning of this year, this trend seemed to be repeating again, but the infighting among BJP leaders, the anger of former Chief Minister Vasundhara Raje and the pro-people policies of Chief Minister Ashok Gehlot have put Congress ahead. According to local and other election surveys, at the beginning of this year, BJP was reported to be ahead of Congress, the biggest reason for which was the open verbal attacks between Chief Minister Ashok Gehlot and former Rajasthan Congress President Sachin Pilot.

Former Chief Minister Sachin Pilot had accused his own party's government of corruption several times in the last 5 years and had also gone on fast. Apart from the Gehlot-Pilot political tussle in the state, there were other big issues which had put the CM Gehlot-led government on the back foot, but where the opposition should have capitalized on these issues, they fought due to the ongoing opposition within their party. It seems to be coming out. The rift between Rajasthan BJP President Satish Punia, Union Minister Gajendra Singh Shekhawat and former Chief Minister Vasundhara Raje Scindia is well known. It is being said that while there is a tussle between two leaders in the Congress regarding the post of Chief Minister, on the other hand, there are 3-4 such leaders within Nahajapada who are now staking their claims in the Jan Sabha.

However, BJP was ignoring all these problems and giving competition to Congress, but the biggest increase in this problem happened when the news started coming that the BJP high command had appointed its senior most leader and former Chief Minister Vasundhara Raje Scindia in the state after the 2018 defeat. Have since been ignored. Keeping all these incidents in mind, many surveys were conducted regarding the election results and are being conducted even today. Presently, the situation is such that despite the anti-Congress wave, it seems to be giving a tough fight to the BJP, which is being attributed to the lack of leadership in Rajasthan BJP and other life-benefiting schemes like Ashok Gehlot's dearness allowance and Chiranjeevi Yojana.

Chances Of Biggest Upset In Telangana:

Chief Minister KCR's Telangana Rashtra Samithi (now Bharat Rashtra Samithi) has formed the government in Telangana for two consecutive terms. Out of the total 119 assembly seats, KCR's TRS had established its dominance in Telangana by winning 63 in the 2014 elections and a spectacular 88 in the 2018 elections, but this time the elections can increase the problems for KCR and his entire party. After the landslide victory in 2018, allegations of corruption started being made against KCR, his daughter K Kavita and many MLAs, the effect of which was seen in the Greater Hyderabad Municipal Corporation election s held in the year 2020.

While TRS had won 99 seats out of 150 Municipal Corporation seats in 2016, in 2020, under the leadership of MP Bandi Sanjay, it won 44 seats, defeating TRS and the party led by its associate Asaduddin Owaisi. On the other hand, TRS had slipped from 99 to 56. BJP started establishing its roots in Telangana after the 2014 Lok Sabha elections. From 2014 to 2020, he had performed well in the Lok Sabha and Assembly, which seemed to indicate that the BJP is moving towards winning another southern state of South India after Karnataka in the 2023 Assembly, but in 2023, the BJP won in Karnataka. The shameful defeat changed everything for the BJP.

Due to opposition within the party against President Bandi Sanjay, Union Minister G. Kishan Reddy was made the party president, after which the BJP started moving towards its decline, of which the Congress took full advantage and, beating all the figures, led by State President Revanth Reddy. I is currently appearing ahead in all equations. Revanth Reddy and former Congress President Rahul Gandhi have held public meetings and presented themselves as a better and different option before the people of Telangana. At present, Congress seems to be far ahead of the other two parties in almost every opinion poll. The fight which was BJP vs TRS till a few months ago has now become TRS vs Congress.

MP Politics - Shivraj Mama Reduced The Fear Of Big Defeat In Madhya Pradesh:

It is said that Madhya Pradesh is a laboratory for BJP. From 2003 to 2018, BJP had one-sided rule in the central state but the defeat with minimum margin in 2018 changed the politics of BJP. A year after the defeat, BJP formed the government in March 2020 by including 22 MLAs including Jyotiraditya Scindia in the party, but the anti-BJP wave among the public had not ended. Till 6 months before the election date, there was a strong and historic victory under the leadership of former Chief Minister Kamal Nath. There were several protests against the BJP government in the last one year, there were allegations of corruption in examinations and increasing crimes against backward classes in the state. Almost every section had expressed their anger against BJP, in which some solutions were found but many were left disappointed. Seeing such a huge anti-incumbency against BJP, according to political pundits and different media surveys, BJP was seen lagging behind Congress by a huge margin, but 4-time Chief Minister of the state Shivraj Singh Chouhan played his ace and shocked everyone. The name of that ace was Laadli Brahmin Yojana which worked to benefit 50% of the voting class i.e. women in the elections and to calm the opposition wave. Apart from this, within the last 6 months, CM Shivraj also held many big public meetings in which he also met women directly. However, while Shivraj is making moves to save his government and society, Congress on the other hand is seen sleeping. Just as BJP proved unsuccessful in Rajasthan as opposition, similarly Congress proved unsuccessful in Madhya Pradesh. The faster the elections were approaching, the faster the Congress was deviating from its vision. Congress failed to capitalize on the biggest protest in the state, due to which BJP got a chance to make a comeback. Now the current situation is that according to political pundits and recent surveys, Congress is ahead but the margin seems to be the same as the 2018 election results.

Bhupesh Kaka Flame Will Remain Intact In Chhattisgarh:

In Chhattisgarh, which is the second stronghold of BJP in Central India, Congress had defeated the 15-year-old Raman Singh government in the last elections. From 2003 to 2018, BJP had won 3 elections but due to anti-incumbency against Chief Minister Raman Singh and other cabinet ministers, BJP had to face historic defeat. Of the total 90 seats in the assembly, Congress had won 71 seats. Even after five years, BJP is not in a position to recover from this shameful defeat handed by Congress. In the last five years, Chief Minister Bhupesh Baghel has taken Chhattisgarh to new heights of development with his policies, due to which his image has been established as a better Chief Minister, the answer to which BJP has not been able to find till now. Although CM Bhupesh Baghel has launched many flagship schemes, there is one such scheme which has made him the Chief Minister of Chhattisgarh for the second consecutive time that is Godhan Nyay Yojana, under which the government will buy cow dung from farmers and cattle rearers at the rate of Rs 2 per kg. After purchase, women self-help group members will convert the cow dung into vermicompost and other products. This scheme had opened new employment opportunities for the unemployed poor living in both rural and urban areas. Not only this, the Bhupesh Baghel government was successful to a great extent in the Naxalite violence that had been going on in the state for years. After Chhattisgarh 2018, Congress had defeated BJP in the 2021 civic elections also. Now the current situation is that even the BJP high command is not seen making much effort in Chhattisgarh and the Congress is moving towards a one-sided victory in the various surveys that are coming out continuously.

Difficulties May Increase For Zoramthanga:

Mizoram has been a bone of contention between the Mizo National Front and the Congress ever since it was separated from Assam state in 1972 and attained full statehood in 1987. In the 8 assembly elections held since 1987, both the parties have formed their government in Mizoram 4 times each. Congress was considered very strong in Mizoram till the 2018 assembly elections, but due to anti-incumbency against party president and 4-time Chief Minister PU Lal Thanhawla and Mizo National Front coming together with BJP-led alliance, Congress got only 40 seats in the 2018 elections. Got 5 seats. Mizo National Front chief and current Chief Minister Zoramthanga took oath as the Chief Minister for the third time. However, Zoramthanga's situation seems to be worsening in 2023.

The violence that has been going on in Manipur for the last 5 months has increased the distance between Zoramthanga and NDA. Zoramthanga had expressed strong opposition to the government over the Manipur violence and called for the NDA to be out. On the other hand, now the anti-incumbency against Zoramthanga is at its peak, Congress has now tried to take advantage of it, but in this the fight will not be 2 but 3, which makes the Mizoram elections more exciting. In 2017, former IPS officer and Congress MP Lalduhoma had founded a new party, Zoram Nationalist Party, to end the duopoly of Congress and MNF in Mizoram Assembly.

Political News - In the 2018 elections, Lalduhoma's3 party had secured the second position, defeating Congress Com. According to political pundits and surveys, no party is seen getting absolute majority in this election, but there is a big increase in the vote share and seats of Congress and Zoram Nationalist Party, which can increase the problems of Zoramthanga. .

The election bugle has been sounded and public meetings are being held with full enthusiasm by all the parties. This time, the elections of these five states will not only decide the condition and direction of the general elections to be held in 2024 but can also rejuvenate the future politics and many big leaders, which we will know on December 3.

[bbbnews]

Bihar Election Results 2020 Live Updates : प्रधानमंत्री नरेंद्र मोदी ने किया ट्वीट – ‘बिहार ने दुनिया को लोकतंत्र का पहला पाठ पढ़ाया’ Bihar Election Results 2020: बिहार विधानसभा चुनाव की मतगणना अभी भी जारी - फाइल फोटो बिहार विधानसभा चुनाव के मतों की गिनती के ताजा आंकड़ों के अनुसार सत्तारूढ़ राष्ट्रीय जनतांत्रिक गठबंधन (राजग) विपक्षी महागठबंधन पर बढ़त बनाये हुए है. 

[trendsfashion27]

Bihar Election Results 2020 Live Updates: ताजा रुझानों में NDA को बहुमत, महागठबंधन पीछे

Bihar Election Results 2020 Live Updates: ताजा रुझानों में NDA को बहुमत, महागठबंधन पीछे

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Bihar Election Results 2020: आज तय हो जाएगा कौन बनेगा बिहार का मुख्यमंत्री?

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Live Bihar Assembly Election Results 2020: बिहार विधानसभा चुनाव (Bihar assembly election 2020) के ताजा और शुरुआती रुझानों में NDA को बहुमत मिलता दिख रहा है. एनडीए को कुल 125 सीटें मिलती दिख रही हैं, जबकि महागठबंधन को 101 सीटें मिलती दिख रही हैं. लोजपा 7 सीटों पर जबकि…

[digimakacademy]

बिहार चुनाव में हार पर कांग्रेस में बढ़ी रार, अब खुर्शीद का सिब्बल पर हमला, कहा- पार्टी में रहकर नुकसान पहुंचाने वाले खुद बाहर हो जाएं तो सबसे अच्छा हाइलाइट्स: बिहार चुनाव में कांग्रेस की हार के बाद पार्टी के भीतर बढ़ी कलह सिब्बल, तारिक अनवर, कार्ति चिदंबरम ने पार्टी के रुख पर उठाए सवाल

[newsboy360]

Nearly King-Maker In Bihar, Asaduddin Owaisi "Will Fight Polls In Bengal"

Nearly King-Maker In Bihar, Asaduddin Owaisi “Will Fight Polls In Bengal”

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“AIMIM will fight polls in West Bengal.. AIMIM is coming to Bengal,” AIMIM chief Asaduddin Owaisi said.

Hyderabad:

Buoyed by the result of the Bihar Assembly election, Asaduddin Owaisi’s party – All India Majlis-e-Ittehadul Muslimeen or AIMIM, which won five seats, is now looking to spread its wings to states such as Uttar Pradesh and West Bengal.

Speaking with reporters in…

[ndtvindia24hrs]

Nearly king-maker in Bihar, Asaduddin Owaisi "will contest in Bengal"

Nearly king-maker in Bihar, Asaduddin Owaisi “will contest in Bengal”

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AIMIM chief Asaduddin Owaisi said, ‘AIMIM will contest elections in West Bengal. AIMIM is coming to Bengal. ‘

Hyderabad:

Dazed by the result of Bihar Assembly Elections, Asaduddin Owaisi’s party – All India Majlis-e-Ittehadul Muslimeen or AIMIM, which won five seats, is now seen spreading its wings in states like Uttar Pradesh and West Bengal.

Speaking to reporters in…

[bbbnews]

बीजेपी ने बिहार में किया जीत का दावा, कहा – झूठे वादों पर विकास की जीत पटना: Bihar Assembly Results 2020 : बिहार में विधानसभा चुनाव के पूर्ण नतीजे रात 12 बजे तक भी नहीं आ सके.

[newsyatra]

Bihar Assembly And By Election 2020 : Election Commission Press Conference, Addressed To Media - Bihar Election Result 2020 : चुनाव आयोग ने कहा, कोरोना की वजह से नतीजों में हो रही देरी

Bihar Assembly And By Election 2020 : Election Commission Press Conference, Addressed To Media – Bihar Election Result 2020 : चुनाव आयोग ने कहा, कोरोना की वजह से नतीजों में हो रही देरी

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न्यूज डेस्क, अमर उजाला, नई दिल्ली

Updated Tue, 10 Nov 2020 06:11 PM IST

बिहार चुनाव नतीजे 2020 Live Result Updates

खबरें, विश्लेषण, साक्षात्कार और विशेष वीडियो

ख़बर सुनें

ख़बर सुनें

बिहार विधानसभा चुनाव परिणामों के लिए मतगणना जारी है। अंतिम परिणाम का इंतजार कर रहे लोगों को अभी और इंतजार करना होगा। चुनाव आयोग ने कहा कि कोरोना वायरस की वजह से…

[newsyaari]

Just about King-Maker In Bihar, Asaduddin Owaisi Says 'AIMIM Will Struggle Elections In West Bengal'

Just about King-Maker In Bihar, Asaduddin Owaisi Says ‘AIMIM Will Struggle Elections In West Bengal’

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“AIMIM will fight polls in West Bengal.. AIMIM is coming to Bengal,” AIMIM chief Asaduddin Owaisi said.

Hyderabad:

Buoyed by the result of the Bihar Assembly election, Asaduddin Owaisi’s party – All India Majlis-e-Ittehadul Muslimeen or AIMIM, which won five seats, is now looking to spread its wings to states such as Uttar Pradesh and West Bengal.

Speaking with reporters in…

[bbbnews]

Election Results 2020: How To Check Realtime Bihar Elections Results 2020 On Mobile, Computer

Election Results 2020: How To Check Realtime Bihar Elections Results 2020 On Mobile, Computer

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Bihar Election Results 2020: The turnout of female voters was 59.7 percent (file)

Patna:

The results for Bihar Assembly Election 2020will be declared today. Counting of votes will begin at 8 am and early trends are expected to come by 8.30 am. While final results will be out later in the day, the Election Commission will provide live counting updates on its website. Full coverage…

[newsreachindia]

[indianscooper]

दिल्ली विधानसभा चुनाव २०२०: यहां ऑनलाइन परिणाम की जाँच करने का तरीका बताया गया है

दिल्ली विधानसभा चुनाव २०२०: यहां ऑनलाइन परिणाम की जाँच करने का तरीका बताया गया है

दिल्ली विधानसभा चुनाव 2020 परिणाम कल घोषित किए जाएंगे जब केंद्र शासित प्रदेश (यूटी) के निवासियों ने 8 फरवरी को अपने वोट डाले। देश और दिल्ली के मौजूदा राजनीतिक माहौल को देखते हुए, दिल्ली के चुनाव परिणामों में यूटी की आबादी ही नहीं , लेकिन देश भर में। वर्तमान मुख्यमंत्री अरविंद केजरीवाल और उनकी आम आदमी पार्टी, प्रधानमंत्री नरेंद्र मोदी की भारतीय जनता पार्टी, और सोनिया गांधी की अगुवाई वाली भारतीय…

[beardedmrbean]

Police in India's Punjab state are investigating the killing of Sidhu Moose Wala, a popular rapper, who was shot the day after his security detail was reduced.

The security cutbacks were prompted by a desire by Punjab's government to fight "VIP culture," with some 400 people having their security trimmed as a result.

What happened to Sidhu Moose Wala?

Moose Wala was shot on Sunday evening in Mansa, a district in the north of Punjab state. The 28-year-old rapper was rushed to hospital where he was declared dead.

Punjab Police chief VK Bhawra told reporters on Sunday that initial indications were that the killing was linked to inter-gang rivalry. On Monday, local media reported that arrests had already been made in connection with the killing. 

Punjab Chief Minister Bhagwant Mann tweeted his condolences, and declared that "nobody involved will be spared" once police identify the culprits.

Who was Moose Wala?

Sidhu Moose Wala (birth name Shubhdeep Singh Sidhu) started off as a songwriter before his breakthrough as a solo artist came in 2017 with the single "So High."

His blend of folk, hip-hop and rap music brought him huge popularity in India and among diaspora communities in the United Kingdom and Canada.

Most of his songs had titles in English and lyrics in Punjabi, and in 2018 his debut album even made it into Canada's Billboard Albums chart.

In 2020, he was charged under India's Arms Act for allegedly promoting gun culture. His popularity prompted a run at politics, however, and last year he ran unsuccessfully as a candidate in Punjab's state assembly elections on the Congress Party ticket.

Congress leader Rahul Ghandi was quick to tweet a message of condolence.

"Deeply shocked and saddened by the murder of promising Congress leader and talented artist," he wrote. "My heartfelt condolences to his loved ones and fans from across the world."

[newsyaari]

High Minister Narendra Modi Carried out 12 Rallies On Which Seat Nda And Mahagathbandhan Is Main - Bihar Election Consequence : चुनाव में प्रधानमंत्री मोदी ने की 12 रैलियां, जानिए उन सीटों का हाल

High Minister Narendra Modi Carried out 12 Rallies On Which Seat Nda And Mahagathbandhan Is Main – Bihar Election Consequence : चुनाव में प्रधानमंत्री मोदी ने की 12 रैलियां, जानिए उन सीटों का हाल

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न्यूज डेस्क, अमर उजाला, पटना

Updated Tue, 10 Nov 2020 12:11 PM IST

बिहार विधानसभा चुनाव : छपरा में रैली को संबोधित करते प्रधानमंत्री नरेंद्र मोदी। – फोटो : ANI

बिहार चुनाव नतीजे 2020 Live Result Updates

खबरें, विश्लेषण, साक्षात्कार और विशेष वीडियो

ख़बर सुनें

ख़बर सुनें

बिहार विधानसभा चुनाव में…

[southeastasianists]

The tragedy of what appears could be a long-running civil war remains a distinct possibility in Myanmar today. Nevertheless, the term “civil war” itself is inappropriate. Rather Myanmar today resembles Europe during the Nazi occupation. While the sense of occupation by a foreign force had always existed in the ethnic minority areas with their well-armed insurgent organizations, there is a sense today that this is also the case in the Bamar heartland. The occupying army is Myanmar’s own national army (the Tatmadaw) which, from its foundation, has largely functioned as an autonomous state within a state. Those civilians who support the military, such as the members of the USDP, are treaters as collaborators.

Seen even from the conventional paradigm of military coups replacing a democratically elected government the reaction of the international community, and above all the “West”, is disappointing. Yet, once we change perspective to conceive of Myanmar as an occupied country then the reaction of the international community is simply irresponsible. To use a metaphor, Myanmar today is an international orphan. This is not to say, to pursue the analogy, it does not have a family. This ‘family’, in our view, can be divided into three: the kindly, but unengaged aunts, the self-serving and self-indulgent uncles and the feckless cousins.

The kindly, unengaged aunts

The first group, of kindly but unengaged aunts, is a caricature of the United States, the EU and the United Kingdom. Other countries, particularly the other three members of the Quad—Australia, India and Japan—can be considered part of this grouping. Certainly, they rapidly condemned the coup and, in some cases, introduced targeted sanctions against the generals and their immediate families. These were later reinforced to include military-linked conglomerates.

In recent years their political leaderships have heralded a pivot towards the Indo-Pacific with the aim, declared in various official strategy papers, of promoting democracy and confronting autocracy. By not making Myanmar a priority concern in their democratic Indo-Pacific posturing they have revealed the emptiness of these pompous declarations. Is there any post-coup situation in the world today of any greater moral clarity?

The failure of the Australian government to even introduce a basic system of targeted sanctions is puzzling. Cynically, in the context of Sino-Australian tensions doing so would send a clear message to Beijing on the unacceptability of its support for authoritarian regimes, while not being seen to directly criticize the PRC itself. The Morrison governments hesitancy to even provide permanent resident status to the 3,000 or so Burmese students in Australia represents a repudiation of Canberra’s bipartisan principled middle power tradition dating back to Dr Evatt.

This attitude is understandable from Narendra Modi in India in the light of his own autocratic ethno-nationalist agenda. However, it represents the betrayal of the Nehru tradition in foreign policy and, in realpolitik terms, is counterproductive given the continuing aggravation in Sino-Indian relations. Is it really in Delhi’s interest to see Mizoram and Manipur destabilized through a further influx of Myanmar refugees? In the context of Sino-Indian hostility is it in Delhi’s interest to see the PRC providing recognition, and carving out new economic benefits, with the Myanmar junta?  It is puzzling why India’s vaunted Look East Policy does not begin with its closest eastern neighbour but, so far, the Indian government has even prevented the Quad from making a clear statement on the release of political prisoners. India abstained in the 18th June vote in the UN General Assembly demanding an arms embargo and he release of political prisoners, unlike the other three Quad members who voted yes. Yet for Quad members, with their principle objective of constraining China, Myanmar is of secondary importance. This, once again is amazingly short-sighted: constraining, but also cooperating with China for mutual benefit, begins in Myanmar.

The United States bears, at least indirectly, responsibility for the coup. It was the leader of the world’s greatest democracy, President Donald Trump, himself who in propagating the Big Lie of a stolen US presidential election in November 2020 provided a rhetorical fig-leaf for would be dictators everywhere to justify their actions. Certainly, in the Myanmar case it gave occasion for Senior General Min Aung Hlaing to play by the Thai playbook and undertake a coup in order to defend democracy against democratic irregularities, corruption, etc. with a vague promise of “free and fair” elections in the future.

The junta is implementing the next steps in the Thai playbook in using a subservient and compliant judicial system to imprison the leaders of the democratic opposition, making Aung San Suu Kyi ineligible to run again. As with the Future Forward Party in Thailand, the banning and dismantling of Myanmar’s National League for Democracy, is just a matter of time.

The Biden Administration’s overwhelming priority is the strengthening and reinvigorating of alliances in Europe and in the Indo-Pacific, to both constrain China and check Russia. Objectively drawing a redline in Myanmar would be a concrete way of achieving these multiple objectives but, alas, with the withdrawal from Afghanistan and other overriding issues, Myanmar remains largely invisible in the “Washington beltway”

In Europe as a result of Brexit, Myanmar no longer has a champion in the “Brussels bubble” and even in the United Kingdom, the PRC’s turpitude in Hong Kong is the key Asian issue, alongside mercantilist policies to promote a Global Britain.  Elsewhere in the European Parliament political representatives would rather spend their time making rhetorical points on the Uighur and Hong Kong, than come to the aid of the Myanmar people who overwhelmingly ask for their support.

How can this be explained? We would suggest that the close link in Western eyes between the person of Aung San Suu Kyi and Myanmar’s democratic trajectory has been a double-edged sword.  When she was under house arrest and in opposition, she was perceived as incarnating the democratic aspirations of the Myanmar people and maintained these in the arena of public debated. However, when the democratic icon of the 1990s and 2000s fell from her pedestal due to both her autocratic demeanour and, above all, her defence of the Tatmadaw against charges of genocide in the International Criminal Court, concern with Myanmar evaporated. The orphan baby of Burmese democracy was thrown out, so to speak, with the bathwater of personality-centred politics.

Rather than acting decisively on Myanmar, the “kindly but unengaged aunts” have has chosen to delegate the resolution of the Myanmar crisis to the “feckless cousins” of ASEAN discussed below. In Europe this appeals to the somewhat narcissistic encouragement of regional integration elsewhere as well as the hubris surrounding interregionalism.  As the world’s most institutionalized regional entity the EU has a rather optimistic view of its oldest regional partner, ASEAN. Yet, to date none of the mechanisms provided in this partnership—such as EU-ASEAN parliamentary dialogue or the ASEAN Strategic Partnership Agreement—have been activated.

The self-interested and self-indulgent uncles

The second part of the family is the self-interested and self-indulgent uncles, namely China and Russia. While it is debatable whether Beijing encouraged the coup, it is clear that since it has been most accommodating in providing recognition to the junta. The PRC has legitimate security, especially energy security, interests in Myanmar and real concerns about instability on its southern borders. The paradox is that these would best be protected under a civilian administration supported by the people of Myanmar than by a Sinophobic and incompetent junta. Yet, as with Modi’s India, Beijing’s ideological blinkers on the benefits of authoritarianism has meant that the PRC is not the loveable country Xi Jinping seeks to project.

Russian behaviour in Myanmar, namely ensuring sales of its weaponry and promoting Putin’s autocratic agenda worldwide, is more perfidious and self-indulgent. Like in the Donbass and Belorussia, Myanmar provides an occasion for Putin’s macho promotion of Russia as a great power. Having largely lost both Vietnam and now India to the West, Moscow is left with Naypyidaw and Vientiane as its last Asian playgrounds.

The feckless cousins

Finally, the third group is the feckless cousins, Myanmar’s Southeast Asian neighbours of ASEAN, to whom the international community has bestowed responsibility to resolve the crisis. In our view, this misconceived sub-contracting is premised on the vague notion of ASEAN’s regional centrality. Yet, it is one thing to pay lip service to “ASEAN centrality” out of diplomatic politeness. It is another thing to actually believe that it can bring results.  “Centrality” is a question of positioning and, indeed, by default ASEAN has been the core around which other regional bodies such as the East Asia Summit, the ASEAN Regional Forum, APEC, the RCEP, etc, have been grafted. But “centrality” per se indicates to us nothing about capability or capacity, let alone political willingness.

It took almost three months after the coup for ASEAN on 24th April to organise a summit on Myanmar to which the junta leader, and he alone, was invited. Five months after the coup ASEAN’s promised special envoy has not been appointed both due to internal failure to agree on a candidate and a lack of approval from the junta itself . All ASEAN has achieved so far is to provide de facto legitimacy to the junta and buy it time. At both its emergency summit of 24 April and in the visit of two of its emissaries on 5 to 7 June, ASEAN has given legitimacy to the junta, without even any contact with the democratically elected leaders in Myanmar. It is hard to see how an even-handed dialogue can be organised between the jailers and the jailed, as calls from Indonesia, Malaysia, and Singapore for the release of political prisoners have gone unheeded.

ASEAN has been successful over 50 years in maintaining peace between its members. However, it has neither the “carrots” nor “the sticks” to bring about change within one of them. For example, under the 2008 ASEAN Charter there are no provisions for any member to be expelled. Above all, the sacrosanct, and self-serving, principle of non-interference will always negate the application of the seventh of the Charter’s purposes and principles: the strengthening of democracy and the promotion and protection of human rights and fundamental freedoms.

Moreover, not only is there a serious systemic issue, but there is also clearly a lack of political will to promote a return to democracy in Myanmar: the majority of ASEAN members have authoritarian or semi-authoritarian regimes. What is the interest of the Thai master of coups, ex-General, now PM Prayut, in seeing the Burmese civil disobedience movement succeed? Would it not further encourage the Thai members of the Milk Tea Alliance who periodically occupy the streets of Bangkok to continue denouncing a kindred patriarchal regime? Does the Politburo of the Vietnamese Communist Party want to see netizens succeed in virtually challenging an authoritarian regime? As for Cambodian PM Hun Sen, and Philippines President Rodrigo ‘Digong’ Duterte, aka The Punisher, democratic values are the least of their concerns. Finally, ASEAN is chaired at the moment by the Sultan of Brunei, the last remaining absolute monarch in Asia.

The divisions within ASEAN came into focus during the non-binding vote in the UN General Assembly on 18 June, calling for an arms embargo and the release of political prisoners (item 34-A/75/L.85.Rev. 1). Six ASEAN countries voted yes: Indonesia, Malaysia, Myanmar itself, the Philippines, Singapore and Vietnam. The other four—Brunei, Cambodia, Laos and Thailand—abstained. Divisions of this kind within a regional entity based on the principle of consensus have only one result: procrastination and a degree of immobilism, otherwise known as the ASEAN Way.

Conclusions

When an orphan’s extended family fails lamentably, fortunately there is an alternative: turning to your friends. In the countries of the “kindly and unengaged aunts” their parliaments—for example the French Senate, the US Congress and the Australian Parliament—pushing for more assertive action from their country’s respective executives. Civil society groups in Southeast Asia increasingly see the combat for Myanmar’s democracy as their own. In the West a vocal Burmese diaspora, advocacy groups, academics and other supporters are pushing to ensure that this orphan is not forgotten. It remains a moot point whether this will lead to concrete and tangible actions, such as the recognition of the National Unity Government, and international intervention of the basis of the Right to Protect will ensue.

[newsaajtak2021]

The Pandemic Will Be More Deadly This Year - Look At India

On Sunday alone, 261,500 new infections were recorded. That's as bad as the U.S. during all but the worst five days of the pandemic in December and early January.

Covid-19 is going to kill more people in 2021 than it did last year. If you want to see why, look at what's happening in India.

Cases have been surging in the country of 1.37 billion people. On Sunday alone, 261,500 new infections were recorded. That's as bad as the U.S. during all but the worst five days of the pandemic in December and early January. Case counts are rising far more quickly, too. Average infection numbers over the past seven days have run at nearly three times the level two weeks ago, a pace of growth that the U.S. last saw in the early days of the outbreak a year ago.

The real numbers may be yet higher. The city of Bhopal used Covid-19 protocols to cremate or bury 84 people last Tuesday, according to the Hindustan Times, while declaring only five Covid deaths. The B.1.617 variant, which isn't well understood yet, has features associated with higher infection rates and lower antibody resistance. It's turning up in more than half of viral samples taken in India.

As caseloads push medical facilities toward capacity, the health system itself is starting to crack. Vaccine stocks, hospital beds and even oxygen supplies are running short, leading to bitter arguments between the states and the federal government. In some places, the dead are being transported by truck because cities have run out of hearses. Elsewhere, crematoria have started to break down because of the sheer number of bodies being burned.

If things don't change soon, the country will be facing 3,000 deaths a day -- twice its current level, and 10 times what was being seen through most of this year -- Bhramar Mukherjee, a biostatistician at the University of Michigan, wrote last week.

As my colleague Mihir Sharma has written, arrogance, hyper-nationalism and incompetence helped foster a fatal sense of complacency amid India's apparent success against the outbreak earlier this year. Until a few weeks ago, lockdown restrictions had been progressively loosening for months. Cinemas were allowed to open to full capacity Feb. 1. Health Minister Harsh Vardhan declared the country "in the endgame of the Covid-19 pandemic" in early March, at almost precisely the point that cases started to surge again.

Worryingly, the clear signs of a second wave haven't prompted much course correction since. With elections underway in the states of Assam and West Bengal, the Twitter feed of Prime Minister Narendra Modi has been interspersing updates about the virus with Trump-style footage of him, unmasked, addressing mass rallies:

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The other side isn't necessarily doing much better, either. West Bengal's chief minister, an opponent of Modi's BJP, only got around to canceling her campaign rallies Sunday.

Worse may be to come. The Kumbh Mela, a Hindu pilgrimage festival that's normally the largest mass gathering on earth, is now underway on the banks of the Ganges, attended by an estimated 3.5 million people. That's well down on the numbers in a normal year, and even Modi, far too late, urged over the weekend that the event be purely "symbolic" rather than physical. Still, it's far above the mere thousands allowed to other mass events like last year's Hajj in Saudi Arabia and Arbaeen pilgrimage in Iraq.

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Even held outdoors, such events carry a profound risk of spreading the most infectious variants to every corner of the country. Close to 10% of people returning to Gujarat's largest city, Ahmedabad, from the festival tested positive for Covid over the weekend, the Press Trust of India reported Monday. Hitherto, the coronavirus has mostly hit the relatively affluent, urbanized parts of the country that are best able to cope with it, such as the southern states of Kerala and Karnataka, the capital Delhi, and Maharashtra, home to Mumbai. If the Kumbh Mela seeds it in rural districts, where the majority of India's population lives, the death toll could be higher still.

There's a lesson in this for the world. The 1.2 million people who've died from Covid so far this year already represent about two-thirds of the 1.8 million fatalities in 2020. Yet people are behaving as if it's already over. That's removing the sense of unified urgency that led many nations to make such strides in turning around the pandemic last year.

Vaccine supplies for the richest (and, thanks to global initiatives, poorest) countries are relatively ample. Yet those for middle-income nations, where the majority of the planet's population lives, are grossly inadequate, blocked by restrictive patent rules. India, with one of the world's largest pharmaceutical industries, is far better placed than most midsize economies to cope, but even it is crumbling under the strain.

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The more people infected in emerging countries while the rest of the world looks away, the more opportunities Covid-19 will have to develop into fresh strains and prolong this death and misery. We must do better. The globe is still under attack, but our defenses are in disarray.

(Except for the headline, this story has not been edited by NDTV staff and is published from a syndicated feed.)

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