#OODA Loop

[orphancookie69]

Flip Hacking Live 2023: The OODA Loop

It is Fall of 2023, and while most people are signing off for the year due to holidays...the most successful people are ramping up to keep up the hustle. My partner and I virtually attended Flip Hacking Live 2023. Love how they utilized Zoom and maximized this event for all involved.

The OODA Loop: A big theme I saw, or commonality, was that these guys were all Military. The OODA loop was developed by John Boyd to help pilots make decisions in high intensity environments. The four basic steps are:

Observe

Orient

Decide

Act

So, let's break this down and do some self application.

Observe: The observations come from the following inputs...

Implicit Guidance & Control: Your intuition, etc.

Unfolding Circumstances: Have a plan but adjust as needed

Outside Information: factors you have to deal with but can't control

Unfolding Interaction with Environment: interacting with your environment.

This is how your environment shapes and affects you.

Orient: The observations feed into how you orient yourself...

Cultural Traditions: some cultures have specific traditions, even if they are in a home away from home. There is also something to be said about no culture.

Analysis & Synthesis: You analyze information and based on what resonates with you, you combine it to form a theory or system.

Previous Experiences: many say experience helps you in future scenarios and yet, be careful what experience you bring up.

New Information: we live in an age of technology and honestly there is too much information.

Genetic Heritage: information about people based on biological descendants and relationships.

This would make, what others call, your bias. It is so important to know your bias.

Decide: Based on your implicit guidance and control you make a decision (or a hypothesis). At this point in the loop, you can start getting feedback and adjust based on feedback.

Act: Once we make a guess or decision, we act or test our guess. We get feedback based on the test and unfolding interaction with the environment.

The brain has two sides: the gut/instinctual side and the problem solving/logic side. When something is new, it starts in the logic side. Once you do it enough, its intuition. Also, information or choices are input and lack of input is also input. Your system is you, your principles are: people, purpose/vision, principles, and playbook. Think like a CEO. Proximity and Perspective is Power.

Are you looking for more information about Flip Hacking Live? Here: Flip Hacking LIVE: #1 Live Event for House Flippers & Wholesalers! More information about the OODA Loop: OODA loop - Wikipedia

While I feel like this was the central theme, what other goodies were there? Luxury market flippers, marketing, tactics, principles, affirmations, mindset, how to hire, alternative scripts, 3 legged business stool. My favorite part was Bruce Norris, from TNG, about how we are in unprecedented times. Flip Hacking Live offered a new kind of training, and I am excited for those who signed up for it. Who else watched this, or even attended it in person?

[biglisbonnews]

Portugal battles wildfires amid third heatwave of the year Portugal is currently facing intense wildfires that have engulfed thousands of hectares of land, as firefighters struggle to contain the flames amid soaring temperatures. The fires near the southern town of Odemira have forced more than 1,400 people to evacuate and have so far destroyed around 6,700 hectares of land. […] https://www.oodaloop.com/globalrisk/2023/08/08/portugal-battles-wildfires-amid-third-heatwave-of-the-year/

[wtma-mn]

Lets Make Situational Awareness An Everywhere Thing

So much is made about situational awareness for personal defense. The need to recognize who and what is around you to keep yourself and family safe. Developing skills to help you determine who are threats, what are environmental conditions, where are exit/escape routes are part of personal protection skills that go far beyond the physical techniques. These are subjects covered by Randy King, Rory…

[sunder-the-gold]

OODA Loop. Observe, orient, decide, act.

Observe (take in data).

Orient (what can I do?).

Decide.

Act.

The faster you loop, the better you perform.

when playing danmaku games, is it better to focus on your character or on the incoming projectiles?

you ideally develop a sense of spacial awareness for your character, kind of in the same way that you develop an awareness that makes it so you don't have to be entirely conscious of where the cursor is when you move to click something across your screen

as for projectiles, it's best to never focus on the projectile itself, but the empty space around it, so you can interpret the field less as "a wall of mass that will kill me" and more as "the shifting space where it is safe to move"

[ms-boogie-man]

sharing, for educational purposes

As an example, Mr Steve Jobs… when he lost this, [they] killed him

Now, [they] have lost this ;)

… [they] are out of moves yo; and I will leave it there

Angie/Maddie🦇❥✝︎🇺🇸

[peacelaw]

Reason Why You're Still Broke | Rich Vs. Middle Class Mindset

in this video iI'll share reasons why your Still broke and how you can Stand out the crowd

[scalefeathers]

In other words: don’t just do something; stand there!

NOTE TO SELF-SLOW THE FUCK DOWN!

[sophie-frm-mars]

so my new girlfriend is very much into electoral politics, she participates on a local level organizing meetings and going over policy ideas, we talk about politics from a local level to a global level and I always take the approach of like "the whole world is a system designed to crush people at the bottom, and all systems of power are just temporary configurations that will vanish and appear again and again as societies emerge and break down throughout time." and of course her approach is more "the written rules of politics have meaning worth paying attention to beyond just the desires of the powerful to have things their way."

and I need you to convince me that her approach is interesting, because I want to be interested in what she has to say, and if that's not possible then it would be nice to hear your thoughts about, idk, all of this, maybe an idea you have can shake things up in an interesting way, I'm not trying to win an argument, I'm trying to enjoy my girlfriend's special interest, help

I love this question!

So here's my first thing about this - human social structures use lots of the same absolute basic units of interaction and organisation. You have to talk about stuff, decide what goals you want to achieve, how to work towards them and then take steps. In military theory this is called the ODA or OODA loop, you can look it up. Your gf is involved in practical organizing, just in a way that serves to recuperate democracy into capitalism and take away rather than give power to the people

I'm not sure from your ask if you're involved in any organizing yourself but if you aren't there is still a tonne to learn from local political organizers in electoral politics even if their imagination is prefigured to coopt their efforts. I have friends who've worked in NGOs, panels and committees with the UN, I've known people who've written reports for President Biden and people who've gone to Westminster to meet with high level ministers, I've had friends in the DSA, Momentum, and all the way down to little affinity groups trying to organize a banner making session and it all works (or doesn't work) the same way. As Muel likes to put it, it's all just people going into different rooms and talking with different people

So on a basic level, there is a lot of practical stuff you can learn about organizing talking to someone involved in local politics

In order to be more involved, if that's what you want, in her interests while also maintaining your own political principles, I have two suggestions:

1. Try to figure out ways that your politics can help her. There are in the ways people organize what we could call "democratic technologies". The people's assembly. Hand signal voting. Stack organizing during meetings. Even a suggestion box is in a sense a democratic technology.

You can try to bring these things to her and see what kinds of things could be done in her environment to make things more actually empowering and democratic. Neoliberalism provides faux democratic technologies in order to blunt and dead-end organizing efforts while declaring to everyone they've "empowered communities". If you can trick everyone into spending all their efforts into getting a community funding grant that they may or may not actually get, where they have to present a complete budget and plan, they won't spend that time just directly using their labour to help people, and if they do get the grant the capital circulates more, promoting the market both materially and in people's minds as the only way society functions. If your gf can make changes to electoral politics around her she might be able to undo some of the things you don't like about it as a system and shift focus away from expecting an authority to fix your problems onto direct action

2. Organize in your local community and invite her to be involved. Not sure what else to say about this, it would show that your stance is more effective

[darkmaga-returns]

This is real. This is a cybersecurity, law, policy, and roles and missions of the Federal Government. This is not a technology issue on how to take them down - that's easy.

Oct 15, 2024

A complex swarm of drones wanders at will over the largest American National Security Joint Base cluster. Langley Air Force Base, Ft. Eustis (now a joint base with Langley), Yorktown Naval Weapons Station, Norfolk Naval Station, Norfolk Naval Air Station, Little Creek Amphibious Base, Oceana Naval Air Station, Dam Neck Annex (Seal Team 6), etc. etc. etc.

This cluster of bases in Virginia is the largest single concentration of U.S. Military resources, units, and equipment. And someone just flew a drone swarm for 17 days as the Department of Defense and the Inter-Agency process went bonkers.

Step 1 on any new, complex, national security issue is answering this question: Who will be the lead Department or Agency to address the developing crisis?

I’m sure the Eisenhower Executive Office Building, the National Security Council, and the National Military Command Center were doing Cheetah Flips and Flap-Exs on steroids to answer this question. Well the threat actor flew for 17 days with no interruption.

Apparently they are inside our OODA-Loop and our inter-agency process is not fast or agile enough to take action.

Not good at all. Was it China or Iran? Likely

[dostoyevsky-official]

ooda loop is the final endpoint of all philosophy. it's an epistemological pinnacle. the buddha saw it when he achieved enlightenment

[centrally-unplanned]

Okay so since we did Chinggis, how about the other Big Conqueror Generals? Alexander of Macedon, Attila, Timur, Napoleon?

(Several asked for some of these in other asks)

Alexander the Pretty Good: So at this point I think everyone knows that his father Phillip was the "state builder", who created the new systems of Macedonian drill and mobilization infrastructure, handing Alexander a strong army he did not build. And Greece really was hitting a nadir of power, the post-Spartan era fragmenting alliances and exhausting the stronger city states. So it is fair to say that Alexander is overvalued, any Macedon king probably could have taken over Greece at that time. Additionally, when you study his "vast" conquests, its actually really just Greece & then Persia like five times, its him beating one opponent and then mopping up, and having the material advantage most of the time once you get rid of the hagiography.

But starting from Alexander the Great's height gives you an extremely long way to fall; he is overvalued, but still incredibly high VOR. He has the irreplaceable synergistic value of ambition & charisma; he decided to conquer the world, and got a huge list of allies, often ones he had himself fought in battle, to help him do it. Most people never conceive of that as actually being possible - in particular Alexander was not provoked or forced into his confrontations with Persia (establishing hegemony over Greece was more of a coincidence, but I think he would have found an excuse). And while his military achievements are exaggerated he obviously was talented, particularly at logistics - projecting power that wide is a nearly unparalleled feat in his time, and not something Macedonia was built to do before him. So I will go with A+

Atilla is discussed here, weak, C-/D+

Timur - never studied him actually! Its my issue being a Europe & East Asia guy, I know Gengis/Temujin because he is tied up with the Jin, but Timur never quite got around to the Ming conquest

Napoleon: Very complicated, provisional opinions. The Napoleonic wars scope is in fact quite contingent; its a constant back and forth of revolutionary ambition from France to spread itself, reactionary forces in the monarchies to fight back, rebellions and opportunities. Napoleon was not someone who engineered the whole thing by any means, he was given a chance to shine and he took it. Revolutionary France, constantly at war, was pretty much always going to arrive at something like a military leadership.

Additionally, he often gets too much credit for civil reforms of things like the Napoleonic Code; the process for formulating the Code started in the first National Assemblies in 1791, and multiple drafts of a new, universal code had been made when Napoleon was in power. He ordered it to stop dillydallying and make it happen, don't get me wrong, that is points. But its also the kind of thing dictators can do, right? So its a bit of a question of how likely a military ruler centralizing authority at all in France was. I think kind of high? I don't view Napoleon as an Augustus figure. So I think his VOR would have had kind of similar power. Napoleon did not have grand insights into what the legal code should, from what I know. On things like these I think he is getting credit for the fact that his name in in the title that maybe he shouldn't.

But there is a reason he became Emperor of France - he is a grade A military genius. His rep here is deserved - of course he was taking advantage of smart officers, existing innovations, etc, dude ain't forging cannons himself. But he put it all together, truly did push the use of artillery forward, and he was tirelessly creative on the battlefield. He was a famous workaholic, memorizing every map and coordinating every part of the battle himself, in ways that just put him ahead of the curve of his opponents. He is a classic OODA loop guy - he is getting information, putting a plan forward, getting new information, and pivoting the plan faster than everyone else, and he keeps winning on the back of it.

And then the rep you get from that string of wins inspired morale, commitment, diligence, and more from his men and officers that compounds. That last part is important - making an army takes time, its about relationships. You couldn't just slot the Duke of Wellington in as commander of the French and expect it to work the same. Due to that, the VOR for having Napoleon leading your armies in 1805 is literally irreplaceable. There is not single other person in existence who can deliver greater value, and I think that is very clear - and at margins that are very rare.

But of course he has his share of mistakes, particularly in naval affairs, over time his enemies internalize his innovations, and his reach exceeds his grasp. In particular he had multiple opportunities to "settle" for gains where France is first amoung equals, and he doesn't take it, and it all comes undone. He could have been S tier if he learned that. But alas, I think it puts him at A.

[luxe-pauvre]

The interesting thing about this dynamic, though, is that it's, well, dynamic: the situation may change simply because of the players involved. A psychological situation isn't stable because it isn't just about cards and actions. It's also about the emotional experiences and people involved. And so it's iterative. I may act differently if I think people are reacting to me differently, and vice versa. I might perceive the risk calculus differently than I did at a seemingly identical moment. It’s a process of constant adjustment. […] In a sense, it's like John Boyd's OODA [observe, orient, decide, act] loop playing out at the table instead of in the air. Boyd was a fighter pilot in the air force, and he invented OODA to describe a dynamic that he'd learned through his years in combat: to succeed, you need to constantly observe, orient, decide, and act. OODA. The way to outmanoeuvre your opponent is to get inside their OODA loop. Figure out what they are observing, how they are orienting and deciding, and how they act as a result. That way, you can anticipate them. Because at the end of the day, the fighting, just like the poker table, comes down to information. "You're getting signals when you play, and you're giving off signals. Your actions are both actions in the game that lead to the result in this particular hand, and signals for your opponent to interpret, that explain your strategy," Lantz says. "Someone can look at them and, from them, reverse engineer the strategy book you're using. It's a deep, multilayered problem in information processing.”

Maria Konnikova, The Biggest Bluff

[freyjuseggr]

would you guys hate me for opening up free readings again tonight even though i regularly forget or go to sleep before i get through all of them? im feeling chatty and i want to get warmed up before doing one for myself

rune readings as usual, and also ooda loop tarot. let me know which in an ask or i will assume its runes

fair warning, they may turn into tipsy readings at some point this evening

[wtma-mn]

Lets Make Situational Awareness An Everywhere Thing

So much is made about situational awareness for personal defense. The need to recognize who and what is around you to keep yourself and family safe. Developing skills to help you determine who are threats, what are environmental conditions, where are exit/escape routes are part of personal protection skills that go far beyond the physical techniques. These are subjects covered by Randy King, Rory…

[shadowdarkee]

I wonder what would happen if the lake trio mons could fuse together?

Lets see. One is responsible for collecting/sorting/processing information and making predictions. Another is responsible for making value judgements based on said information (and possibly also making predictions?). The third provides the will to act on said judgements. (The results of which are fed back in for calibrating step one and step two)

So putting them together (however said fusing would work), we get a world where the above OODA loop happens much quicker. Meaning...uhhh..... a world of speed runners?

[maklodes]

Is it just me, or are right-wingers (at least in the USA) basically never willingly cautious incrementalists?

That’s not to say that there are no right-wingers who are moderate. (Although moderate right-wingers have also been getting thin on the ground, they exist.) Moderate right-wingers, though, seem to have moderately right wing terminal goals. Like, people who want to cut the top marginal tax rate to 30%, or want abortion banned in the third trimester with health exceptions, or whatever exist, but it seems like either those people think a center-right policy is actually the right solution (i.e., they are moderate right-wingers), or they are only compromising out of necessity, and think that a third trimester ban is the most anti-abortion law that can get past their state house (i.e., they are far right-wingers who are willing to make compromises).

It seems like I never see right wingers who want to start small, see how a pilot program or moderately right-wing policy turns out, incorporate the new data from their previous policy foray into their OODA loop, then (hopefully, if the previous small-scale or moderate right-wing policy turned out well, which presumably right-wingers expect it will) push ahead to a new iteration of further-right policy.

Maybe it’s that people on the right see themselves as returning things to the way they used to be, so their ideas are already proven, negating the need for further experimentation?

I think education reform might be an area where there used to be cautious, incrementalist right-wingers, trying out programs like charter schools and vouchers and stuff, but lately most of the right has abandoned that strain of education reform in favor of fighting wokeness within the public school system and reporting furry kids to animal control or w/e.

(Admittedly, cautious incrementalism of the type I’m talking about isn’t that common in any political persuasion, so maybe I just don’t notice it on the right since I don’t directly interact with them much.)