#Jharkhand monsoon deficiency

[townpostin]

Drought Concerns Prompt High-Level Meeting in Jharkhand

CM Soren Addresses Below-Average Rainfall, Plans Relief for Farmers Jharkhand government strategizes to tackle potential agricultural crisis as monsoon underperforms across the state. CM calls for preparedness and central assistance. RANCHI – Chief Minister Hemant Soren convened an urgent meeting with senior officials to address the below-average monsoon rainfall in Jharkhand. Chief Minister…

[znewstech]

Scanty rainfall and food security

Scanty rainfall and food security

A contiguous stretch of land in eastern India, spanning U.P, Bihar, Jharkhand and southern portion of West Bengal, is reeling under a severe rainfall deficiency. The deficiency ranges from 48% to 59% in west U.P, Bihar, Jharkhand and south Bengal. In east U.P, the deficiency is 72%, according to IMD’s data on the southwest monsoon covering the period June 1 to July 20. This is bound to have a…

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Monsoon forecasts; and why it is so crucial for Indian economy

Monsoon forecasts; and why it is so crucial for Indian economy

Former finance minister Pranab Mukherjee once termed monsoon as the real finance minister of India. He was right. After all, 60 per cent of India's arable land depends on rain, agriculture contributes 15 per cent to India's gross domestic product, and last but not the least, sustains 55 per cent of India's population.

So, it's not surprising that everybody, right from companies selling products in rural India to governments fighting inflation, prays for optimum rain. At 96%, the India Meteorological Department (IMD) has predicted a “near-normal" monsoon in 2019. In contrast, private weather forecaster Skymet, citing an El Niño possibility, has a damp prognosis: “Below-normal" rains at 93% of the long-period average (LPA).

El Niño conditions occur as temperatures rise in the equatorial region of the Pacific Ocean, which impacts global weather. In India, it generally leads to lower rainfall.The IMD has predicted a near-normal monsoon seven times in the past 10 years, but those calls were correct only on three occasions. Of the balance four, two were below-normal, one deficient, and one saw a deluge.

May to July is critical for kharif productionthe season accounts for 40 per cent of the country's total farm output. Excess or deficient rain can affect sowing. A delay can make prices of farm commodities shoot up. The main kharif crops are rice, pulses, soybean, maize, millet and sugarcane. Sowing usually begins in the second week of June. Going by the weather agency's forecast, the late onset and slow progress of the monsoon might, to some extent, delay the sowing of Kharif crops in non-irrigated belts. However, as the monsoon picks up momentum, sowing may commence and the impact could be contained.

June set to be drier

The delayed start of the monsoon means extended summer heat across India. Temperatures have crossed 40°C in most parts of the country, while some regions in central and western India have breached 45°C in May. Moreover, any delay in monsoon rains can also lead to below-normal rainfall in June. The Weather Company forecasts a very high (80%) probability of below-normal rainfall in June across India, in Kerala, coastal Karnataka, Konkan, Goa, Gujarat, Madhya Pradesh, Uttar Pradesh, Bihar, Jharkhand, West Bengal and Odisha.

As per current estimates, the cumulative rainfall from June to September may end up at around 93 to 96% of normal levels. However, the monthly variation of rain can still affect the crop output. “While the seasonal forecast interests bankers and policymakers, it's the sub-seasonal forecast (month-wise forecast) that holds the maximum value for farmers,” says Deoras.

The second stage of the long-range forecast from IMD with the overall rainfall is expected in the first week of June. The next round monsoon forecast from The Weather Company is also expected by June 4.

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[monicasharmalove]

42% of India's land area under drought, 500 mn people severely affected

Current Affairs

About 42% of India’s land area is facing drought, with 6% exceptionally dry--four times the spatial extent of drought last year, according to data for the week ending March 26, 2019, from the Drought Early Warning System (DEWS), a real-time drought monitoring platform.

Andhra Pradesh, Bihar, Gujarat, Jharkhand, Karnataka, Maharashtra, parts of the North-East, Rajasthan, Tamil Nadu and Telangana are the worst hit. These states are home to 500 million people, almost 40% of the country’s population.

While the central government has not declared drought anywhere so far, the state governments of Andhra Pradesh, Gujarat, Karnataka, Maharashtra, Odisha and Rajasthan have declared many of their districts as drought-hit.

“Before monsoon, which is still far away, the next two or three months are going to be difficult in many of these regions,” Vimal Mishra, associate professor at the Indian Institute of Technology (IIT), Gandhinagar, and the developer of DEWS, told IndiaSpend.

Failed monsoon rains are the primary reason for the current situation. The North-East monsoon, also known as ‘post-monsoon rainfall’ (October-December) that provides 10-20% of India’s rainfall, was deficient by 44% in 2018 from the long-term normal of 127.2 mm, as per data from the India Meteorological Department (IMD).

This compounded the rainfall deficit in the South-West (SW) monsoon (June-September) that provides 80% of India’s rainfall, which fell short by 9.4% in 2018--close to the 10% deficit range when the IMD declares a drought.

India has experienced widespread drought every year since 2015, Mishra said, with the exception of 2017...Read More

[smartmeindia-blog]

Monsoon ends with 'below normal' rainfall; highest deficiency in Bihar, Jharkhand, WB: IMD

Monsoon ends with ‘below normal’ rainfall; highest deficiency in Bihar, Jharkhand, WB: IMD

This is a second year in a row when monsoon ended with below normal rainfall. (PTI)

The monsoon season ended Sunday with a “below normal” showing this year as the country recorded a nine per cent deficit in rainfall, according to the India Meteorological Department (IMD).

Alongside Bihar, Jharkhand and West Bengal northeastern states recorded the maximum deficiency, the weather agency said.

[todaybharatnews]

via Today Bharat The India Meteorological Department (IMD) today announced that it expects monsoon rainfall to be normal this year. "Southwest monsoon seasonal (June to September) rainfall over the country as a whole is likely to be normal (96-104%)," the IMD said in its first stage Long Range Forecast (LRF) for monsoons. Addressing a press conference through video link, Secretary of Ministry of Earth Sciences Dr. M. Rajeevan released the IMDrsquo;s Long Range Forecast for the 2020 Southwest Monsoon Season Rainfall.nbsp; Director General of IMD, Dr. M. Mohapatra was also present. The IMD also issued the lsquo;New Normal Dates of Onset/Progress and Withdrawal of Southwest Monsoon Over Indiarsquo;. DR. Rajeevannbsp; said that quantitatively, the monsoon seasonal (June to September) rainfall is likely to be 100% of the Long Period Average (LPA) with a model error of 5%. The LPA of the season rainfall over the country as a whole for the period 1961-2010 is 88 cm. "Good news is that it is estimated that the deficient rainfall will be 9 per cent. This forecast is based on the statistical model, it suggests that we will have a normal monsoon", he said. He said, IMD will issue the updated forecasts in the last week of May/first week of June 2020 as a part of the second stage forecast. Dr. Rajeevan pointed out that ldquo; Neutral El Nino Southern Oscillation (ENSO) conditions are prevailing over the Pacific Ocean and Neutral Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) conditions are prevailing over the Indian Ocean. Some climate model forecasts indicate these conditions are likely to persist during the ensuing monsoon seasonrdquo;. ldquo;As sea surface temperature (SST) conditions over the Pacific and Indian Oceans are known to have strong influence on Indian monsoon, IMD is carefully monitoring the evolution of sea surface conditions over the Pacific and the Indian oceans,rdquo; he added.nbsp; Dr. Rajeevan said that La Nina, or cooler-than-usual sea surface temperatures in the east-central Pacific Ocean, is typically associated with better monsoon rains and colder winters in India while El Nino is associated with below-normal rainfall in the country. The southwest monsoon season, that replenishes the country's farm-dependent economy, first hits the southern tip of Kerala usually in the first week of June and retreats from Rajasthan by September. Monsoons are expected to hit Kerala's Thiruvananthapuram on June 1. In states like Maharashtra, Gujarat, Madhya Pradesh, Chattisgarh, Telegana, Andhra Pradesh, Odisha, Jharkhand, Bihar and parts of Uttar Pradesh, monsoon will be delayed by 3-7 days compared to the existing normal dates. However, over extreme northwest India, thenbsp;monsoonnbsp;arrives now little earlier, on 8th July compared to the existing date of 15th July. Monsoons are expected to withdraw in south India on October 15.

[vsplusonline]

India to receive normal monsoon this season, says IMD; May bring some respite to coronavirus-hit economy

New Post has been published on https://apzweb.com/india-to-receive-normal-monsoon-this-season-says-imd-may-bring-some-respite-to-coronavirus-hit-economy/

India to receive normal monsoon this season, says IMD; May bring some respite to coronavirus-hit economy

New Delhi: India will receive normal monsoon this season, country’s meteorological department said on Wednesday in its forecast for the Southwest monsoon that covers 75 per cent of the country, and thereby may bring much-needed respite to the economy, which is reeling under the catastrophic effect of the COVID-19 pandemic.

Addressing an online briefing, IMD Director General M Mohapatra said quantitatively, the rainfall is likely to be 100 per cent of the Long Period Average (LPA) in the monsoon season (June-September) with a model error of 5 per cent.

“In these difficult times of coronavirus, the good news is that the country will receive normal rainfall during June to September. This will help our agriculture sector and better crop yield. It will definitely help in economic growth of the country,” said M Rajeevan, Secretary, Minister of Earth Sciences.

“The country will receive normal rainfall this season,” Mohapatra said. The IMD defines ‘average’ or ‘normal’ rainfall as between 96 per cent and 104 per cent, and the LPA of the seasonal rainfall across the country for the period 1961-2010 is 88 centimetres.

The country receives 75 per cent of its rainfall from the southwest monsoon during June to September. It is not only crucial for farming in the country, but also for replenishing the reservoirs,and more importantly to the economy which is still largely dependent on agriculture.

Northeast monsoon is another phenomenon that brings rainfall to the Tamil Nadu, Puducherry, parts of Kerala and Andhra Pradesh during October to December.

From this year the IMD also revised the dates of onset and withdrawal dates of the monsoon for several parts of the country based on the data from 1960-2019. The previous dates were based on the data from 1901 to 1940.

However, the onset date for monsoon over Kerala, which is June 1, remains unchanged, Rajeevan said.

In states like Maharashtra,Gujarat, Madhya Pradesh, Chhattisgarh, Telangana, Andhra Pradesh, Odisha, Jharkhand, Bihar and parts of Uttar Pradesh, monsoon will be delayed by 3-7days compared to the existing normal dates.

For the national capital, the new normal onset date for monsoon has been revised from June 23 to June 27 — a delay of four days. Similarly, dates have been revised for Mumbai and Kolkata from June 10 to 11, and for Chennai from June 1 to 4.

However, over extreme northwest India, the monsoon will arrive a little earlier, on July 8, as compared to the existing date of 15th July. The new date for monsoon withdrawal from south India is October 15.

The IMD, the weather forecaster of the country, attributed the forecast of normal monsoon to a neutral atmospheric changes ‘El Nino’ and a possible ‘La Nina’ during the second part of the four-month rainfall season from June to September.

Forecast models suggest that there is a 41 per cent chance of the season receiving normal rainfall and only 9 per cent possibility of a deficient monsoon.

Last year, India had received “above normal” rainfall.

“Neutral El Nino Southern Oscillation(ENSO) conditions are prevailing over the Pacific Ocean and Neutral Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) conditions are prevailing over the Indian Ocean. Some climate model forecasts indicate these conditions are likely to persist during the ensuing monsoon season.

“However, a few other global climate models indicate the possibility of development of weak La Nina conditions over the Pacific Ocean during the second half of the season,” Rajeevan said.

As sea surface temperature (SST)conditions over the Pacific and Indian Oceans are known to have strong influence on Indian monsoon, the IMD is carefully monitoring the evolution of sea surface conditions over the Pacific and the Indian oceans, Mohapatra said.

El Nino is linked to the heating of waters over the central Pacific Ocean. La Nina is linked to the cooling of central Pacific waters. Positive and negative IODs are associated with cooling or heating of waters in the Indian Ocean respectively.

“La Nina, or cooler-than-usual sea surface temperatures in the east-central Pacific Ocean, is typically associated with better monsoon rains and colder winters in India while El Nino is associated with below-normal rainfall in the country,” Rajeevan said. PR PYK PYK

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Former finance minister Pranab Mukherjee once termed monsoon as the real finance minister of India. He was right. After all, 60 percent of India’s arable land depends on rain, agriculture contributes 15 percent to India’s gross domestic product, and last but not the least, sustains 55 percent of India’s population.

So, it’s not surprising that everybody, right from companies selling products in rural India to governments fighting inflation, prays for optimum rain. At 96%, the India Meteorological Department (IMD) has predicted a “near-normal” monsoon in 2019. In contrast, private weather forecaster Skymet, citing an El Niño possibility, has a damp prognosis: “Below-normal” rains at 93% of the long-period average (LPA).

El Niño conditions occur as temperatures rise in the equatorial region of the Pacific Ocean, which impacts global weather. In India, it generally leads to lower rainfall. The IMD has predicted a near-normal monsoon seven times in the past 10 years, but those calls were correct only on three occasions. Of the balance four, two were below-normal, one deficient, and one saw a deluge.

May to July is critical for Kharif production the season accounts for 40 percent of the country’s total farm output. Excess or deficient rain can affect sowing. A delay can make prices of farm commodities shoot up. The main Kharif crops are rice, pulses, soybean, maize, millet, and sugarcane. Sowing usually begins in the second week of June. Going by the weather agency’s forecast, the late onset and slow progress of the monsoon might, to some extent, delay the sowing of Kharif crops in non-irrigated belts. However, as the monsoon picks up momentum, sowing may commence and the impact could be contained.

June set to be drier

The delayed start of the monsoon means extended summer heat across India. Temperatures have crossed 40°C in most parts of the country, while some regions in central and western India have breached 45°C in May. Moreover, any delay in monsoon rains can also lead to below-normal rainfall in June. The Weather Company forecasts a very high (80%) probability of below-normal rainfall in June across India, in Kerala, coastal Karnataka, Konkan, Goa, Gujarat, Madhya Pradesh, Uttar Pradesh, Bihar, Jharkhand, West Bengal, and Odisha.

As per current estimates, the cumulative rainfall from June to September may end up at around 93 to 96% of normal levels. However, the monthly variation of rain can still affect the crop output. “While the seasonal forecast interests bankers and policymakers, it’s the sub-seasonal forecast (month-wise forecast) that holds the maximum value for farmers,” says Deoras.

The second stage of the long-range forecast from IMD with the overall rainfall is expected in the first week of June. The next round monsoon forecast from The Weather Company is also expected by June 4.

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[townpostin]

Heavy Rain Alert Issued for Jharkhand Over Next 48 Hours

IMD predicts thunderstorms and lightning in isolated areas amid ongoing rainfall deficit Jharkhand braces for heavy rainfall in isolated areas as IMD issues an alert, despite the state’s current 43% rain deficit. RANCHI – The India Meteorological Department (IMD) has issued a heavy rain alert for isolated areas in Jharkhand over the next 48 hours, as well as lightning and thunderstorm…

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Monsoon And It’s Expectations

Former finance minister Pranab Mukherjee once termed monsoon as the real finance minister of India. He was right. After all, 60 per cent of India's arable land depends on rain, agriculture contributes 15 per cent to India's gross domestic product, and last but not the least, sustains 55 per cent of India's population.

So, it's not surprising that everybody, right from companies selling products in rural India to governments fighting inflation, prays for optimum rain. At 96%, the India Meteorological Department (IMD) has predicted a “near-normal" monsoon in 2019. In contrast, private weather forecaster Skymet, citing an El Niño possibility, has a damp prognosis: “Below-normal" rains at 93% of the long-period average (LPA).

El Niño conditions occur as temperatures rise in the equatorial region of the Pacific Ocean, which impacts global weather. In India, it generally leads to lower rainfall.The IMD has predicted a near-normal monsoon seven times in the past 10 years, but those calls were correct only on three occasions. Of the balance four, two were below-normal, one deficient, and one saw a deluge.

May to July is critical for kharif productionthe season accounts for 40 per cent of the country's total farm output. Excess or deficient rain can affect sowing. A delay can make prices of farm commodities shoot up. The main kharif crops are rice, pulses, soybean, maize, millet and sugarcane. Sowing usually begins in the second week of June. Going by the weather agency's forecast, the late onset and slow progress of the monsoon might, to some extent, delay the sowing of Kharif crops in non-irrigated belts. However, as the monsoon picks up momentum, sowing may commence and the impact could be contained.

June set to be drier

The delayed start of the monsoon means extended summer heat across India. Temperatures have crossed 40°C in most parts of the country, while some regions in central and western India have breached 45°C in May. Moreover, any delay in monsoon rains can also lead to below-normal rainfall in June. The Weather Company forecasts a very high (80%) probability of below-normal rainfall in June across India, in Kerala, coastal Karnataka, Konkan, Goa, Gujarat, Madhya Pradesh, Uttar Pradesh, Bihar, Jharkhand, West Bengal and Odisha.

As per current estimates, the cumulative rainfall from June to September may end up at around 93 to 96% of normal levels. However, the monthly variation of rain can still affect the crop output. “While the seasonal forecast interests bankers and policymakers, it's the sub-seasonal forecast (month-wise forecast) that holds the maximum value for farmers,” says Deoras.

The second stage of the long-range forecast from IMD with the overall rainfall is expected in the first week of June. The next round monsoon forecast from The Weather Company is also expected by June 4.

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[cakandivali]

Pre-monsoon rainfall deficit drops to 22 per cent

Latest Updates - CA Mitesh NEW DELHI: Pre-monsoon rainfall from March to May, a phenomenon vital to agriculture in several parts of the country, has recorded a deficiency of 22 per cent, according to India Meteorological Department (IMD) data.The IMD recorded 75.9 millimetres of rainfall from March 1 to May 15 as against the normal rainfall of 96.8 millimetres, which comes to around minus 22 per cent.From March 1 to April 24, the IMD recorded a deficiency of 27 per cent. The deficiency this week seems to have fallen over the last fortnight due to rains over east and northeast India.Meanwhile, the southwest monsoon has advanced into South Andaman Sea and conditions are favourable for it to reach the North Andaman Sea and the Andaman Islands in the next 2-3 days, the IMD said.Of the four meteorological divisions of the IMD, the south peninsula, which comprises all the southern states, has recorded pre-monsoon deficiency of 46 per cent – the highest in the country.This was followed by 36 per cent in the northwest subdivision that covers all the north Indian states – it was 38 per cent from March 1 to April 24, but has dropped by 2 per cent due to rainfall across several parts.The deficiency in the east and northeast region that covers eastern states of Jharkhand, Bihar, West Bengal, Odisha and northeastern states was seven per cent.There was no deficiency in the central region which comprises states of Maharashtra, Goa, Chhattisgarh, Gujarat and Madhya Pradesh.However, from March 1 to April 24 the pre-monsoon rainfall recorded in the central division was five per cent than normal. The region has also been witnessing intense heat waves and several dams in the Marathwada region of Maharashtra have reached zero storage level.Pre-monsoon rainfall is important for horticulture crops in some parts of the country. In states like Odisha, ploughing is done in the pre-monsoon season, while in parts of northeast India and the Western Ghats it is critical for plantation of crops.Laxman Singh Rathore, former director general of the IMD, said in parts of northeast India and the Western Ghats, pre-monsoon rainfall is critical for plantation crops. There will be "moisture stress" incase of a deficit, he said.Crops like sugarcane and cotton, planted in central India, survive on irrigation and also require supplement of pre-monsoon rains, Rathore added."In the forested regions of Himalayas, pre-monsoon rainfall is necessary for plantations like apple. Due to moisture, pre-monsoon rainfall also helps in minimising the occurrence of forest fires," he said. Chartered Accountant For consultng. Contact Us: http://bit.ly/bombay-ca

[optimisticprincepainter]

The monsoon season ended on Sunday with a “below normal” showing this year as the country recorded a nine per cent deficit in rainfall, according to the India Meteorological Department.Alongside Bihar, Jharkhand and West Bengal northeastern states recorded the maximum deficiency, the weather agency said.This is a second year in a row when monsoon ended with below normal rainfall.        This year saw Kerala receiving an unprecedented rainfall during the monsoon triggering one of the worst floodings in a century in which hundreds perished.The monsoon also defied IMD’s prediction of the country receiving normal rainfall. Monsoon withdrew on Saturday, September 29, twenty-nine days after its normal withdrawal date.The Southwest Monsoon, which is the main source of irrigation for crops and water supply for reservoirs, made its onset over Kerala on May 28, three days ahead of its normal schedule, the weather agency said. The monsoon may have officially withdrawn, but several southern states, Goa and Maharashtra are expected to receive rainfall in the first week of October, the IMD said.Overall, the country received 91 per cent of rainfall of the Long Period Average, which falls under “below normal” category, according to the IMD. All four meteorological divisions of the IMD recorded lesser rainfall than its normal precipitation. The highest monsoon deficiency was in the east and the northeast meteorological division of the IMD which comprises eastern states like Bihar, Jharkhand, West Bengal and the northeastern states.       This was followed by Central India where the monsoon deficiency was seven per cent.The northwest division comprising all the northern states, and south peninsula recorded deficiency of two per cent each.”A large deficiency came from the northeastern states. Plus, rainfall was deficient in Kutch, Saurashtra, Rajasthan east and Rajasthan west. Otherwise, rainfall was good across the country,” M Rajeevan, the secretary, ministry of earth sciences, said. Despite a prediction of good rainfall this season, June recorded a deficit 95 per cent while July and August saw respective deficits of 94 and 92 per cent. However, September saw a sharp decline of rainfall registering 76 per cent rainfall of the LPA, Mritunjay Mohapatra, the additional director general, IMD, said.The Rediff.com : 30th. Sept,18

INDIA METEOROLOGICAL DEPARTMENT SAID MONSOON ENDED WITH ‘BELOW NORMAL’ RAINFALL : The monsoon season ended on Sunday with a "below normal" showing this year as the country recorded a nine per cent deficit in rainfall, according to the India Meteorological Department.Alongside Bihar, Jharkhand and West Bengal northeastern states recorded the maximum deficiency, the weather agency said.This is a second year in a row when monsoon ended with below normal rainfall.       

[u4u-voice]

Weather Updates - Monsoon ends with ‘below normal’ rainfall : IMD

The monsoon season ended Sunday with a “below normal” showing this year as the country recorded a nine per cent deficit in rainfall, according to the India Meteorological Department (IMD). Alongside Bihar, Jharkhand and West Bengal northeastern states recorded the maximum deficiency, the weather agency said. This is a second year in a row when monsoon ended with below normal rainfall. This year saw Kerala receiving an unprecedented rainfall during the monsoon triggering one of the worst floodings in a century in which hundreds perished. The monsoon also defied IMD’s prediction of the country receiving normal rainfall. Monsoon withdrew on Saturday, September 29, twenty-nine days after its normal withdrawal date. The Southwest Monsoon, which is the main source of irrigation for crops and water supply for reservoirs, made its onset over Kerala on May 28, three days ahead of its normal schedule, the weather agency said. The monsoon may have officially withdrawn, but several southern states, Goa and Maharashtra are expected to receive rainfall in the first week of October, the IMD said. Overall, the country received 91 per cent of rainfall of the Long Period Average (LPA), which falls under “below normal” category, according to the IMD. (AGENCIES) Read the full article

[thenorthlines]

40% deficit rainfall in eastern India: IMD data

40% deficit rainfall in eastern India: IMD data

NL Correspondent New Delhi, July 22

Bihar has recorded the highest monsoon deficiency of 48%, while eastern Uttar Pradesh and Jharkhand have recorded 46% and 42% respectively. With the four-month rainy season almost half over, the rainfall deficiency in the eastern part of India, especially in Bihar and Jharkhand, has crossed the 40% mark, while a quarter of the country has received deficient…

[townpostin]

Heavy Rains Forecast for Jharkhand as Monsoon Advances

Meteorological Department issues yellow and orange alerts for various regions Jharkhand braces for intense rainfall and thunderstorms, with northeastern and southeastern districts expected to be most affected. RANCHI – The India Meteorological Department (IMD) has issued alerts for heavy rainfall across Jharkhand as the monsoon progresses through Chaibasa, Pakur, and Sahibganj. "We expect…

[infotainmentplus-blog]

Met department`s data shows quarter of country has received deficient rain, via Zee News :India National : Bihar has recorded the highest monsoon deficiency of 48 per cent, while east Uttar Pradesh and Jharkhand have recorded 46 and 42 per cent respectively. http://bit.ly/2LhgW5x