#Avatar 2 and Top Gun: Maverick the year before that
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Oscar Nominations Predictions - November 2024
Yup it's that time of year again. Now that we are getting to the end of the year and I've seen more movies, let's see.
My predictions (in alphabetical order):
Best Picture:
Anora
The Brutalist
A Complete Unknown*
Conclave
Dune Pt 2
Emilia Perez
Nickel Boys*
A Real Pain
Sing Sing
Wicked Pt 1
** most likely to be swapped out depending on how they go down.
Best Director:
Sean Baker (Anora) Edward Berger (Conclave), Brady Corbet (The Brutalist), Denis Villenueve (Dune Pt 2. Definitely won't win but I think he'll be nominated). Not sure who the fifth person will be but probably someone directing a non-English film and/or a woman if the past few years continue the same pattern.
Best Actor:
Adrian Brody, Timothy Chalamet (for A Complete Unknown) Colman Domingo, Ralph Fiennes, and idk about the fifth show but maybe Daniel Craig or Jesse Eisenberg?
Best Actress (most competitive race ATL):
Karla Sofía Gascón (Emilia Perez), Angelina Jolie (Maria), Mikkey Madison (actually the only person I'm 100% confident about), Nicole Kidman (Babygirl). I'm going on a limb and guessing Saoirse Ronan might struggle to get in for The Outrun and I don't see Cynthia Erivo getting for Wicked, but I do see her being nominated at CC and Gloobes.
Best Supporting Actor:
Kieran Culkin (A Real Pain), Clarence Maclin (Sing Sing), Guy Pearce (The Brutalist), Denzel Washington (Gladiator II), and actually I'm going out on a limb and guessing that it might be one of the Anora guys but not sure which one. Or maybe Byran Tyree Henry for A Fire Inside? I don't see it going to Jeremy Strong for The Apprentice because of how contentious that movie is right now.
Best Supporting Actress:
Danielle Deadwyler (The Piano Lesson), Ariana Grande (Wicked), Felicity Jones (The Brutalist), Saoirse Ronan (Blitz, not The Outrun, and I think she'll compete in supporting), Zoe Saldana (Emilia Perez).
Best Original Screenplay:
Anora will probably win, but I think that actually if The Substance is going to be nominated anywhere, it'd be here.
Best Adapted:
Not sure what classifies here (is The Brutalist original or adapted?) so not sure. I think Sing Sing gets in here.
#lior liveblogs awards season#note: just because I think Grande might get in but Erivo won't is not what SHOULD happen#it is what I think is more LIKELY to happen#all of my Oscar predictions are that -- predictions or guesses -- not necessarily my personal choices#I haven't even seen all the movies on the Best Picture list bc some of them haven't come out yet but that's my guess#just based on patterns of how nominations have worked the past few years (there's usually at least one non-English film (Emilia Perez this#year)#the long historical epic (The Zone of Interest was both last year and there was also KOTFM#yeah I know Oppenheimer technically counts but I'd put that in...)#at least two blockbusters (Barbenheimer last year and both#Avatar 2 and Top Gun: Maverick the year before that#this year I think Dune 2 and Wicked Pt 1)#one small A24 film (Sing Sing this year and Past Lives last year)#and if there is an indie darling then that might end up there too or even win#(EEAAO the year before last Poor Things this past year and Anora this year))#but patterns can change so who knows?#the reason I think Grande might get in and Erivo will have a harder time is bc Best Supporting Actress is not that competitive this year#while Best Actress is maybe the most competitive race#also there is already an example of the academy being willing to nominate a supporting comedic role#over the lead with Barbie and Ryan Gosling getting nominated but not Margot Robbie#so they will do it#but I could be totally wrong it depends on how well Wicked does at the precursors
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Movies
Hi, Barbie.
Barbie
Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse
Goncharov
Nimona
Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery
Red, White, and Royal Blue
Lord of the Rings -3
Black Panther +24
The Addams Family
The Super Mario Bros. Movie -4
Knives Out
Puss In Boots: The Last Wish
Oppenheimer
The Hunger Games
Avatar: The Way of Water
Guardians of the Galaxy
Shrek
The Little Mermaid +15
Scream -1
Top Gun: Maverick -1
Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Mutant Mayhem
Everything Everywhere All At Once +7
Saw +14
Twilight -13
Wendell & Wild
Howl's Moving Castle -6
The Hobbit -3
Five Nights at Freddy's
Enola Holmes
My Policeman
Deadpool -8
How to Train Your Dragon +12
Beauty and the Beast +16
Avatar
Scream VI
Bottoms
Mean Girls +6
Megamind -4
Metalocalypse: Army of the Doomstar
Spirited Away -10
The Batman -38
Rogue One: A Star Wars Story
Venom -34
Les Misérables
Encanto -44
Iron Lung
Coraline
The Thing
John Wick
Strange Way of Life
Blue Beetle
Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny
Legally Blonde
Frozen -14
Dungeons & Dragons: Honor Among Thieves
Ghosted
American Psycho -7
Princess Mononoke
Dune -49
The Princess Bride
Teen Wolf: The Movie
Star Wars: Episode III—Revenge of the Sith -21
Pacific Rim
Renfield
Shrek 2
Saw X
The Old Guard -29
Nope -47
Spider-Man: Beyond the Spider-Verse
Night at the Museum
Soul -26
The Mummy
The Nightmare Before Christmas
My Little Pony: Equestria Girls
Hellraiser
The Lost Boys
The Marvels
Emesis Blue
The Shape of Water
The Menu
My Neighbor Totoro
Shazam -40
Sonic the Hedgehog -66
Pirates of the Caribbean -48
The Hunger Games: Catching Fire
Elemental
Lilo & Stitch
Fight Club
The Dark Knight
The Hunger Games: The Ballad of Songbirds & Snakes
The Princess Diaries
The Incredibles
Halloween Ends
The Lorax
10 Things I Hate About You
Heathers
Kung Fu Panda
The Devil Wears Prada
Rise of the Guardians
Birds of Prey
The number in italics indicates how many spots a title moved up or down from the previous year. Bolded titles weren’t on the list last year.
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hi hello i think it’s time that i actually introduce all of my OCs? because i truly have so many and i never actually talk about half of them. so below you will find all my OCs! along with short bullet point explanations of their characters. if they have an OC sheet, that’ll be linked— as well as any fic i have posted about them. i’ve also included links to my vibes page (@vibesforlee) where i’ve got tags for each of my OCs.
Fandoms Below Include: Star Wars, A Song of Ice and Fire, Percy Jackson, Marvel, Chronicles of Narnia, Critical Role, Avatar The Last Airbender, and Top Gun: Maverick
so uhhhh yeah i hope this is helpful for at least my own brain but also anyone else who is interested!
dividers by: @saradika-graphics
banners by: me
Lyra Amidala Naberrie
General Knowledge
Younger sister of Padme Amidala
Jedi Healer during the Clone Wars
Served as Medic General of the 104th Legion, Chief Medical Officer of the 104th Company known as the “Wolfpack”, and as Medic General of the 501st Legion
Fic: @abandoned-by-destiny
Vibes
House of the Dragon
Aemma Velaryon Targaryen
General Knowledge
Firstborn child to Rhaenyra Targaryen and Laenor Velaryon, before Laenor’s premature death three years after the marriage
Older sister to Jacaerys Targaryen Strong, Lucerys Targaryen Strong, Joffrey Targaryen Strong, Viserys Targaryen Strong, and Visenya Targaryen Strong
Bonded to the dragon Vermithor
Vibes
Game of Thrones
Lyanna Stark
General Knowledge
Eldest child of Catelyn and Ned Stark (by approximately seven minutes)
Twin sister to Robb Stark; believed half-sister of Jon Snow; older sister to Sansa Stark, Arya Stark, Bran Stark, and Rickon Stark
bonded to a red and brown direwolf called Scarlet Shadow
Fic: screaming from a crypt
oc blog: @princess-lyanna-stark
Vibes
Ceara Murphy
General Knowledge
daughter of Neptune and Emma Murphy, a legacy of Fortuna and daughter of Irish immigrants living in Portland, Oregon
inherited the power from her father to start earthquakes, and eventually manipulate seismic waves into concentrated blasts
brought down Mount Othrys after helping Jason Grace kill the Titan Krios
one of the demigods of the prophecy of Nine
Vibes
Emmalee Miller
General Knowledge
inherits the spirit and powers of the mythical Scarlet Witch when Wanda Maximoff is killed during her torture and experimentation at The Raft prison
is brought in by SHIELD after her powers emerge, and is initially assumed to be an Inhuman— and is therefore recruited by Daisy Johnson to join her Secret Warriors
Vibes
Edme Pevensie (female!Edmund Pevensie)
General Knowledge
Younger sister to Peter and Simon Pevensie, older sister to Lucy Pevensie
gains the power to manipulate ice and water after being stabbed with the shattered wand of The White Witch during The First Battle of Beruna
is crowned as High Queen Edme the Just, alongside her siblings; High King Peter the Magnificent, King Simon the Gentle, and Queen Lucy the Valiant
returns to Narnia twice after The Golden Age, both times to assist Prince, later King, Caspian the Tenth
Fic: A Reminder
Vibes
Campaign 1: Vox Machina
Alythea Vance
General Knowledge
Level 1 Druid/Level 11 Cleric (Death Domain) when hired by Vox Machina
is hired by Vox Machina to be their temporary healer/cleric during their mission to Whitestone, after Pike Trickfoot leaves on her vision quest
helps liberate the town of people of Whitestone, and returns to Vox Machina after the arrival of the Chroma Conclave in Emon
Vibes
Campaign 2: Mighty Nein
Kara Dean
General Knowledge
Level 7 Bard (College of Valor) when she meets the Mighty Nein
is Captain Avantika’s first mate/navigator when the Mighty Nein meet up with Avantika after stealing The Mist in Nicodranus
betrays Avantika and helps the Mighty Nein steal her journal
leaves The Revelry and Darktow with the Mighty Nein after The Plank King kills Avantika
Vibes
Xia Beifong
General Knowledge
Older sister to Toph Beifong, and heir apparent to the Beifong fortune
a nonbender who has trained extensively in swordplay
assists her younger sister in escaping, both to the fighting ring and to leave with the Avatar
in retaliation, is essentially sold by her father into marriage to the much older Earth King in Ba Sing Se
Vibes
Major Taylor Gardner
General Knowledge
28 year old Marine pilot
first Marine to ever be allowed to attend Top Gun, and the youngest female aviator to ever win Top Gun
callsign “Wasp”; due to the fifth generation fighter, colloquially called a Stinger, that she stole while escaping the uranium enrichment plant after being undercover there for several weeks obtaining vital intel
fic: Hangman and The Wasp
Vibes
#lee's ocs#star wars oc#jedi oc#oc lyra amidala naberrie#asoiaf oc#house of the dragon oc#hotd oc#targaryen oc#oc aemma velaryon targaryen#game of thrones oc#got oc#stark oc#oc lyanna stark#percy jackson oc#oc ceara murphy#marvel oc#oc emmalee miller#Narnia oc#fem!edmund pevensie#oc edme pevensie#critical role oc#vox machina oc#oc alythea vance#mighty nein oc#oc kara dean#avatar the last airbender oc#ATLA oc#oc xia beifong#top gun maverick oc#tgm oc
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What are your favourite movies? Bonas points if you do ur FAV halloweeeny ones! Xxxx
Lol, okay, I can do both.
So basically, my family and I have these lists we started, we call them the top movies of you scratch offs. It's like those posters you buy with the top 100 movies you have to watch before you die, and you scratch off the movie when you've seen it? These type things. I got one from my dad for Christmas last year, so we started this bit where we made lists of the top movies that would go on the poster of your life. Top meaningful/nostalgic/formative movies for you. This is my list, in no particular order.
All the Harry Potters
Footloose (2011)
It (2017) and It (2019)
The Land Before Time
Lemonade Mouth
Easy A
Brother Bear
The Parent Trap
Chronicle
Deadpool 2
Super 8
How to Train Your Dragon
Grown Ups
Mamma Mia
Top Gun Maverick
Balto
Hairspray
Final Destination series
Epic
Indiana Jones and the Temple of Doom
The Lord of the Rings: The Two Towers
The Perks of Being a Wallflower
Star Wars series
Avatar and Avatar the Way of Water
Top Five Favorite Movies, in no particular order:
Deadpool 2
Easy A
Psycho
Rear Window
Lord of the Rings: The Two Towers
Finally, Top Horror Movies:
Friday the 13th
Halloween
Nope
It (2017) and It (2019)
The Boy
The Black Phone
Psycho
Just anything Mike Flanagan makes
Midsommar
Scream
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The Top 25 Movies of 2022
When I think about 2022, the highs of the year feel like a return to form, for movies and for myself personally. And yet, on further inspection, it’s possible that two straight years of largely garbage movies and even more garbage circumstances have set the bar rather low. Yes indeed, this year has been better in comparison, but it has not by any means measured up to “normal”.
There have been some bright spots – travelling all over the country to meet friends, watching movies I’ve been waiting to see for several years, etc – and there have been some dark recesses – of the mind, yes, but also whatever the fuck has been happening at Warner Bros. Discovery. And as far as my empty promises of lots of new pieces that I made in my first ever post, the ideas are still there, I just haven’t yet made most of them as coherent as I’d hoped. However, I have some breaking news for you: the year’s over, which means it’s time for the highlight reel babyyy! You’ll only find best-ofs here (sorry to The Gray Man) as we kick off another year.
Quick note to anyone who didn’t read the Shepitko piece: I’m totally on your side. It’s too long and too much like a SparkNotes summary of a biography. I wrote it while I was stuck deep down a well of love for this incredible artist who thought much along the same lines about art: “If I don’t do it, I’ll die.” Is that a sideways excuse for why I haven’t updated this blog in a long time? Maybe…
But back to 2022. An incredible year for theatres: Top Gun Maverick recreating the late great Tony Scott’s aesthetic for a fleeting 2 hour thrill ride was something I never expected. Avatar: The Way of Water leading the charge for high quality, must-see-in-3D movies on the other hand was something I completely expected and yet I still walked out absolutely in love with Pandora. The return of Jaws, ET and The Godfather in the form of picture-perfect restorations and pristine transfers was such a perfect lure back to theatres.
But as with any year, I saw most movies this year in my bedroom or on TV. 594 is a very large number, which troubles me. I worry that I watch too any movies – do I really process what I watch or is it robotic? Am I just putting on movies as a way to distract myself, and if so, is that fair?
I don’t really have answers there. It has certainly felt mechanical at times, and I felt like I reached saturation, occasionally feeling like I didn’t even care about movies. And then, just in the nick of time would come something like Crimes of the Future, a nasty piece of mystery fiction, but nasty in the best possible way, twisted by ol’ Dave Cronenberg to forefront his own preoccupations with the human body and relationships. Suddenly, I’d be back in love with films.
So what can I do? I’ll keep watching movies, but maybe slow down a little. Take time to process each movie before moving on. Watch with more purpose, more discernment. Maybe I don’t need to watch ALL of the new Pinocchios (del Toro’s is by far the most enjoyable, Zemeckis’ is a complete nothingburger and the Russian one is… unfathomably awful). And most of all, I’ll write more, because that helps me connect to movies more than just letting it swirl around in the cesspool that is my mind.
But enough of the rambling preamble. As a movie year, 2022 was twisty and all over the place. A great year for Tom Cruise and Colin Farrell (who was excellent in FOUR WHOLE MOVIES THANK YOU to the film deities!!), a great year for horror, a great year for weird shit that seemed to be aimed directly at me. A terrible year (I know I said no negativity so I’ll get this over quickly) for unfortunate franchises (Branagh’s Poirot, Jurassic World) and Tom Hanks, who was in the bad Pinocchio and generally agreed to be the worst part of Elvis. Undecided result for Margot Robbie, who was passably charming in an inexplicable film (Amsterdam) and reportedly excellent in an unmitigated flop that I’m excited to watch (Babylon).
I watched 141 movies released in 2022. Here are my top 25.
25. Causeway
24. Saloum
23. Save the Cinema
22. Bheeshma Parvam
21. The Lost King
20. Pada
19. Everything Everywhere All at Once
18. Nope
17. God’s Country
16. Hinterland
15. Hustle
14. The Northman
13. The Banshees of Inisherin
12. Prey
11. Benediction
10. Fire of Love
This was among my most anticipated movies of 2022. It’s rare for me to be so excited for a documentary – I usually stumble upon them and then get pulled into loving it. And unlike another documentary from this year that I loved (my precious Good Night Oppy, which made me cry, much like most movies about the space program), I wasn’t really pre-disposed to loving it. I’m a space guy, not a lava guy. Yet Fire of Love is special, because the premise promises a tragic love story, but from the first moment that we see the Kraffts, we realize that this isn’t tragic to them, no matter the outcome. They understand the risks fully and still it’s completely joyous for them. And the footage of the volcanoes is mesmerizing, you almost understand how inextricably drawn they felt to them. NatGeo, two years running, making my best of year list. I’ll keep my eye out for their 2023 releases.
9. The Woman King
This is Gladiator with most of the flab cut off. Gina Prince-Bythewood is one of my favourite working directors and her shift into action filmmaking is really remarkable, considering how emotionally focused her first three movies are. It makes sense though, once you realize that her action scenes are so fluid is because she herself is an athlete and she frames the scenes, not just as balletic or violent feats, but as a show of athletic prowess. From the opening – which is very reminiscent of the first Nakia scene in Black Panther – I was fully on board with the tone and scale of this movie, boosted in no small part by Viola Davis (the biggest Oscar snub of the year), Lashana Lynch (being an absolute dynamo on screen) and Thusu Mbedu (who somehow holds her own as a co-lead in this movie opposite Davis).
8. Jackass Forever
Like every iteration of Jackass, Forever is wonderfully juvenile, but there’s an added tinge of melancholy in watching Knoxville, Steve-O, Dave England and the rest of the original cast slowly come to terms with the fact that their bodies can’t take the same levels of punishment anymore. We see them hand over a lot of the stunts to the newer additions, who take the reins while also trying to get out of the giant shadows of Ryan Dunn and Bam. All that said, Knoxville and Steve-O still do the two most what the fuck gags in the movie, and Danger Ehren, as ever, is the victim of a nightmarish flurry of pain. But Jackass isn’t about violence; it’s just the most stupidly violent franchise about friends who love each other.
7. Kimi
Any movie Steven Soderbergh puts out is likely to make my best of, and it speaks to the quality of the top 10 this year that Kimi has dropped to the back half. This movie is fun as hell, an old school conspiracy thriller in the vein of (quite obviously) The Conversation and Rear Window, but set in a tech world that’s increasingly more familiar – and more frightening – to us. Of course, Soderbergh isn’t new to conspiracies (see: Erin Brockovich), but the thing that makes his work in Kimi particularly enthralling is his ability to capture natural human behaviour on screen. He makes excellent hangout movies (Oceans 11-13, Magic Mike, Let Them All Talk) because he knows that if you shoot movie stars in a certain way and pace it right, anything they do will be immensely watchable. And for Kimi, he teamed up with one of the very rare true-blue movie stars under 35 in Zoe Kravitz. She pulls the camera with a natural, easy magnetism that automatically sets us up on her side. Add Soderbergh’s excellent technical craft, and you get a lean, mean, murder mystery machine that has you in and out and completely satisfied in 90 minutes flat.
6. Top Gun: Maverick
Often the Best Actor/Actress Oscar is won by someone doing an interpretation of a real person that we’re all familiar with (Rami Malek for Freddie Mercury, Renee Zellweger for Judy Garland and possibly – god forbid – Austin Butler for Elvis). I think that should just be its own special Oscar: Best Re-Creation. And this year, Top Gun: Maverick should win that honour, because Joseph Kosinski (who I’m overall pretty mixed on as a director) does a spectacular job recreating that early Tony Scott style that made the first Top Gun so exhilarating. Funny thing, leading up to the release of this movie, I put my favourite Tony Scott movies on TV (I’ll take any excuse really). My sister walked in during the first 10 minutes of Unstoppable and not only was she completely hooked, but she insisted on watching the rest of the movies with me. So it was particularly fantastic to be able to show my sister a Tony Scott-esque movie in theatres for the first time. I wish there were more of them.
5. Avatar: The Way of Water
Yes I loved it. Am I a sucker for Jim Cameron? Also yes. The water footage is like watching NatGeo from another planet (in a good way, you should know by now that I’m a fiend for NatGeo). Cameron knows how the build tension in an action scene and he also knows how to shoot it so that you know exactly where everyone is in relation to each other, which seems to be a lost art in big budget blockbusters these days. But what gets The Way of Water to number 5 is the tulkun. What an incredible idea to have this species of space whales be intellectually and emotionally smarter than the Na’vi and yet have them choose to intertwine themselves with the Na’vi. And the decision to introduce this kind of an interspecies dynamic in the SECOND MOVIE when there’s is no analogue for it in the first, is a feat on its own. Although I should have probably recused myself from reviewing this movie, since Payakan is my best friend.
4. The Fabelmans
Steven Spielberg has always been a filmmaking savant, which this movie will tell you, but I think what makes The Fabelmans so good, and what has really been working for Spielberg in this last decade, is that he tackles honest, complex emotions head on instead of eschewing it for the classic Spielberg sentimentality. He portrays the intricate and overlapping familial dynamics in the Fabelman household (a thinly veiled depiction of his own home life) with shockingly little guile or deflection and shows us not only the joys, but the strains of being an artist.
3. TÁR
Hard to talk about this movie without just lavishing praise on Cate Blanchett, but I’ll try – not because she isn’t the best thing about it, but because every discussion about TÁR is so dominated by Cate Blanchett that other great parts of the movie fade into the noise. Todd Field as an actor is best known as Nick Nightingale in Eyes Wide Shut, but his work as a director in TÁR reminds me of the second half another Kubrick movie: Barry Lyndon. To start the movie at the peak of someone’s prowess and document their downfall, and not have audiences utterly despairing by the end is a special talent that few have, and Field certainly nails it. Noemie Merlant (of Portrait of a Lady on Fire fame) is an absolute beacon of charisma as Lydia Tar’s assistant, and her performance subtly elevates the audience’s investment in the story. But I think the secret sauce to the movie, and the emotional crux, is on the shoulders of Nina Hoss, who has very little screen time, yet really underscores the whole movie with one incredible line reading. The individual pieces of TÁR are excellent in their own right, which sometimes poses a problem when the filmmaker tries to put them all together, but the movie is so well-conceived and Field has such a strong artistic voice that the brilliance of each part only works to elevate the whole.
2. After Yang
The first of Colin Farrell’s 2022 movies remains my favourite, which is a shock because I would have put money on The Banshees of Inisherin being my number one movie of the year overall. And though Banshees has been slowly creeping up my rankings the longer I think on it, After Yang has held strong for nigh on a year. Kogonada’s first movie, Columbus, juxtaposed an emotional gentleness with the sadness of real life in a way that didn’t make me want to run away as movies like that normally do. Instead, he made the real world an enviable gentle place that doesn’t magic away tragedies but accepts them as an essential part of every person. In After Yang, Kogonada takes that sensibility and applies it to a sci-fi idea that is perhaps as old as the genre: what if a robot began to feel? The set-up is, on paper, similar to classics like Blade Runner and AI, but the movie is handled with a tenderness that those earlier movies had only sparingly. There’s a lot in After Yang about loss and grief and parenting, but also about the joys of culture and art.
1. Three Thousand Years of Longing
If you go back to my list last year, my number one was Night of the Kings, a Ivorian prison drama about the importance of storytelling. So I guess it’s pretty boring that this year, yet again, I’ve picked a film that features tales of magic and wonder. Three Thousand Years of Longing is a djinn movie, but what sets Three Thousand Years apart is the way these fairytales are portrayed. Rooted in real history, the stories have a sense of dream logic that makes every instance of magic makes sense. And the main story itself, much like another movie I loved this year (Good Luck to You, Leo Grande), cautiously but lovingly explores the awkward romanticism of two strangers in a hotel. Idris Elba’s Djinn is wary of his summoner, while Tilda Swinton’s Alithea, a scholar of storytelling, is well aware of the mischievous nature of djinns. Hijinks do not ensue, however. Rather, the two of them slowly let their guards down, as the Djinn warns Alithea of the dangers of previous wishes he’d had to grant, weaving tales of a mystical history that has her (and me) completely enraptured. Three Thousand Years feels to me like the closest a movie can get to the magic of bard recounting an oral tradition of love and war and the follies of humans.
***
As usual, some honourable mentions:
Decision to Leave, Good Luck to You, Leo Grande, Athena, A Man of Action, Mukundan Unni Associates, Apollo 10 ½: A Space Age Childhood, Watcher, Something from Tiffany’s (a very solid romcom) and motherfucking Ambulance because what a goddamn ride that movie is.
I don’t recommend stand-up specials often because nothing is less appealing than comedy recommendations. But Jerrod Carmichael’s Rothaniel is really the most intimate special I’ve seen while still being hilarious.
I know I don’t talk TV often but Andor and Slow Horses have three essentially perfect seasons between them and I’m very excited for what’s next.
Finally, Dinner in America is the most punk rock movie of the year and I really hope it gets a bit more traction because there aren’t enough straight up fuck the system movies being made, which is a major bummer.
***
I want to end on a note of cautious optimism, but I’ve gone on too long already, so let me just say this: we’re probably getting new movies from our greatest working directors[1], not to mention new entries in some of the most high quality franchises. Yes indeed, folks, a promising movie year lies ahead, and you might as well stay tuned to Another Revue - who knows? I might be true to my word about writing more.
___
Soderbergh (Magic Mike 3), Scorsese (Killers of the Flower Moon), Michael Mann (Ferrari), Sofia Coppola (Priscilla), Miyazaki (How Do You Live?), Fincher (The Killer), Gerwig (Barbie), Yorgos Lanthimos (Poor Things and possibly And), Reichardt (Showing Up), Nolan (Oppenheimer), Shyamalan (Knock at the Cabin), Ridley Scott (Napoleon), Steve McQueen (Blitz), Jonathan Glazer (The Zone of Interest) ↩
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I never posted 2023 so here it is
2023 was the year of Franchises! Here’s a list of franchises I caught with 3+ movies (or in one case a series and a movie)
The Hunger Games (5)
Saw (10)
Expendables (4)
Agatha Christie/Kenneth Branagh (3)
Equalizer (3)
Big Fat Greek Wedding (3)
Insidious (5)
Mission Impossible (7)
Fast & Furious (10)
Guardians of the Galaxy (3)
Creed (3)
John Wick (4)
Magic Mike (3)
Ant-Man (3)
Teen Wolf (show and movie)
Below the cut is every movie I saw in 2023
January
Better Watch Out (2016)
Set It Up (2018)
Whitney Houston: I Wanna Dance with Somebody (2022) (theater)
Warm Bodies (2013)
The Whale (2022) (theater)
White Noise (2022)
Emily the Criminal (2022)
The Menu (2022)
Missing (2023) (theater)
Puss in Boots: The Last Wish (2022) (theater)
The Wedding Year (2019)
Skinamarink (2023) (theater)
M3GAN (2023) (theater)
The Hatchet Wielding Hitchhiker (2023)
Legally Blonde (2001)
Sing Street (2016)
The Green Mile (1999)
Saint Omer (2022) (theater)
A Man Called Otto (2023) (theater)
Plane (2023) (theater)
All Quiet on the Western Front (2022)
The Wonder (2022)
Dude (2018)
House Party (2023) (theater)
Women Talking (2022) (theater)
Fear (2023) (theater)
Shotgun Wedding (2023)
Teen Wolf: The Movie (2023)
Maybe I Do (2023) (theater)
TÁR (2022) (theater)
Collide (2022)
You People (2023)
The Martha Mitchell Effect (2022) (short)
Infinity Pool (2023) (theater)
Triangle of Sadness (2022)
Fire of Love (2022)
Navalny (2022)
February
Avatar: The Way of Water (2022) (theater)
Ambulance (2022)
Dinner in America (2020)
Endangered (2022)
No Exit (2022)
BARDO, False Chronicle of a Handful of Truths (2022)
Knock at the Cabin (2023) (theater)
Downsizing (2017)
The Worst Person In The World (2021)
Pathaan (2023) (theater)
Just My Luck (2006)
The Prince of Egypt (1998)
80 for Brady (2023) (theater)
Top Gun (1986)
Top Gun: Maverick (2022)
Magic Mike (2012)
Knock at the Cabin (2023) (theater)
Someone Great (2019)
At Midnight (2023)
Titanic (1997) (theater)
Magic Mike XXL (2015)
Sick (2022)
Ant-Man (2015)
Ant-Man and The Wasp (2018)
Creed (2015)
Winnie the Pooh: Blood and Honey (2023) (theater)
Creed II (2018)
The Postcard Killings (2020)
The Poison Rose (2019)
Of An Age (2023) (theater)
Ant-Man and the Wasp: Quantumania (2023) (theater)
Sand Castle (2017)
Ambulance (2022)
Magic Mike’s Last Dance (2023) (theater)
The Clapper (2017)
Cocaine Bear (2023) (theater)
Superbad (2007)
We Have A Ghost (2023)
Jesus Revolution (2023) (theater)
Moneyball (2011)
Emily (2023) (theater)
Champions (2023) (theater)
John Wick (2014)
March
John Wick: Chapter 2 (2017)
Creed III (2023) (theater)
John Wick: Chapter 3 - Parabellum (2019)
Bunker (2023) (theater)
This Is Where I Leave You (2014)
Children of the Corn (2023) (theater)
All Quiet on the Western Side Front (2022) (theater)
Top Gun: Maverick (2022) (theater)
The Land Before Time (1988) (theater)
Operation Fortune: Ruse de Guerre (2023) (theater)
My Year of Dicks (2022) (short)
Scream 6 (2023) (theater)
The Sea Beast (2022)
Somebody I Used to Know (2023)
Top Gun: Maverick (2022)
Queendom (2023) (theater) (SXSW)
Creed III (2023) (theater)
Meet the Robinsons (2007)
Sinister (2012)
Set It Up (2018)
Shazam! (2019)
The Speed Cubers (2020) (short)
Scream (1996)
Paint (2023) (theater)
Shazam! Fury of the Gods (2023) (theater)
Louis Tomlinson: All of Those Voices (2023) (theater)
The Silent Twins (2022)
John Wick: Chapter 4 (2023) (theater)
Daddy Day Care (2003)
Moving On (2023) (theater)
Super 8 (2011)
Dragged Across Concrete (2018)
Murder Mystery (2019)
Murder Mystery 2 (2023)
April
Dungeons & Dragons: Honor Among Thieves (2023) (theater)
Mafia Mamma (2023) (theater)
A Good Person (2023) (theater)
The Super Mario Bros. Movie (2023) (theater)
The Sandlot (1993)
A Thousand and One (2023) (theater)
Air (2023) (theater)
The Boy, the Mole, the Fox and the Horse (2022) (short)
On the Rocks (2020)
Fled (1996)
The Pope’s Exorcist (2023) (theater)
Sisu (2023) (theater)
Sharper (2023)
Tetris (2023)
Renfield (2023) (theater)
Beau is Afraid (2023) (theater)
Somewhere in Queens (2023) (theater)
How To Blow Up A Pipeline (2023) (theater)
Nefarious (2023) (theater)
Guy Ritchie’s The Covenant (2023) (theater)
Top Gun: Maverick (2022) (theater)
Spider-Man: No Way Home: More Fun Stuff (2022) (theater)
May
Hypnotic (2023) (theater)
Are You There God? It’s Me, Margaret (2023) (theater)
Wolfwalkers (2020)
Polite Society (2023) (theater)
Guardians of the Galaxy (2014) (theater)
Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 (2017) (theater)
Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 3 (2023) (theater)
The Tigger Movie (2000)
Love Again (2023) (theater)
Evil Dead Rise (2023) (theater)
The Super Mario Bros. Movie (2023) (theater)
A Man Called Otto (2022) (theater)
The Croods (2013)
Fool’s Paradise (2023) (theater)
Kandahar (2023) (theater)
The Fast and the Furious (2001)
2 Fast 2 Furious (2003)
The Fast and the Furious: Tokyo Drift (2006)
Fast & Furious (2009)
Fast Five (2011)
Fast & Furious 6 (2013)
Furious 7 (2015) (theater)
The Fate of the Furious (2017)
Fast & Furious Presents: Hobbs & Shaw (2019)
F9 (2021)
Fast X (2023) (theater)
Cocaine Bear (2023)
The Hunt (2020)
The Mother (2023)
STILL: A Michael J. Fox Movie (2023)
BlackBerry (2023) (theater)
The Wrath of Becky (2023) (theater)
The Little Mermaid (2023) (theater)
June
Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse (2018)
Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse (2023) (theater)
Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse (2023) (theater)
Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse (2023) (theater)
The Machine (2023) (theater)
You Hurt My Feelings (2023) (theater)
Spider-Man: Across the Spider-V erse (2023) (theater)
Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse (2023) (theater)
Inside (2023)
Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse (2023) (theater)
The Boogeyman (2023) (theater)
Flamin’ Hot (2023)
Transformers: Rise of the Beasts (2023) (theater)
No Hard Feelings (2023) (theater)
Asteroid City (2023) (theater) is
The Flash (2023) (theater)
Past Lives (2023) (theater)
Theater Camp (2023) (theater)
Carl’s Date (2023) (short) (theater)
Elemental (2023) (theater)
The Blackening (2023) (theater)
July
Aftersun (2022)
The Inspection (2022)
Asteroid City (2023) (theater)
Talk to Me (2023) (theater)
Talk to Me (2023) (theater)
Nimona (2023)
Mission: Impossible (1996)
Mission: Impossible II (2000)
Mission: Impossible III (2006)
Mission: Impossible - Ghost Protocol (2011)
Mission: Impossible - Rogue Nation (2015)
Mission: Impossible - Fallout (2018)
Mission: Impossible - Dead Reckoning Part One (2023) (theater)
Oppenheimer (2023) (theater)
Barbie (2023) (theater)
Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse (2023) (theater)
Barbie (2023) (theater)
The Out-Laws (2023)
Joy Ride (2023) (theater)
Gran Turismo (2023) (theater)
They Cloned Tyrone (2023)
The Baker (2023) (theater)
Haunted Mansion (2023) (theater)
August
Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Mutant Mayhem (2023) (theater)
The Meg (2018)
Hidden Strike (2023)
Insidious (2010)
Insidious: Chapter 2 (2013)
The Super Mario Bros. Movie (2023)
Insidious: Chapter 3 (2015)
American Graffiti (1973)
Insidious: The Last Key (2018)
Insidious: The Red Door (2023) (theater)
Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Mutant Mayhem (2023) (theater)
Oppenheimer (2023) (theater) (IMAX 70mm)
Dreamin’ Wild (2022) (theater)
Meg 2: The Trench (2023) (theater)
Heart of Stone (2023)
Retribution (2023) (theater)
Shortcomings (2023) (theater)
Blue Beetle (2023) (theater)
Red, White & Royal Blue (2023)
The Ritual Killing (2023)
The Equalizer (2014)
Back on the Strip (2023) (theater)
The Monkey King (2023)
Bottoms (2023) (theater)
Puppy Love (2023)
Landscape with Invisible Hand (2023) (theater)
The Adults (2023) (theater)
My Big Fat Greek Wedding (2002)
My Big Fat Greek Wedding 2 (2016)
The Equalizer 2 (2018)
Vacation Friends (2021)
Vacation Friends 2 (2023)
The (Almost) Legends (2023)
The Last Voyage of the Demeter (2023) (theater)
The Super Mario Bros. Movie (2023) (theater)
Talk to Me (2023) (theater)
Oldboy (2003) (theater)
Coraline (Remastered) (2008/2023) (theater)
Strays (2023) (theater)
The Dive (2023) (theater)
Jurassic Park 3-D (1993) (theater)
The Equalizer 3 (2023) (theater)
September
Murder on the Orient Express (2017)
Death on the Nile (2022)
The Truman Show (1998)
D.E.B.S. (2004)
Bottoms (2023) (theater)
2001: A Space Odyssey (1968) (theater)
Fender Bender (2016)
You Are So Not Invited To My Bat Mitzvah (2023)
The Good Mother (2023) (theater)
The Nice Guys (2016)
The Expendables (2010)
The Expendables 2 (2012)
The Expendables 3 (2014)
My Big Fat Greek Wedding 3 (2023) (theater)
The Nun (2018)
The Nun II (2023) (theater)
Saw (2004)
Saw II (2005)
Saw III (2006)
Golda (2023) (theater)
Here Comes the Boom (2012)
Zoom (2006)
Aristotle and Dante Discover the Secrets of the Universe (2022) (theater)
Accepted (2006)
The Inventor (2023) (theater)
Saw IV (2007)
A Million Miles Away (2023)
The Retirement Plan (2023) (theater)
A Haunting in Venice (2023) (theater)
Dumb Money (2023) (theater)
Saw V (2008)
The Big Short (2015)
Camp Hideout (2023) (theater)
Saw VI (2009)
The Master of Disguise (2002)
New York Minute (2004)
The Mummy (1999) (theater)
Barbie (2023) (theater)
Space Oddity (2022)
The Beanie Bubble (2023)
Saw 3D/The Final Chapter (2010)
Jigsaw (2017)
Spiral: From the Book of Saw (2021)
Expend4bles (2023) (theater)
Love at First Sight (2023)
It Lives Inside (2023) (theater)
The Wonderful Story of Henry Sugar (2023) (short)
The Swan (2023) (short)
But I’m a Cheerleader (1999)
Saw X (2023) (theater)
The Mummy Returns (2001) (theater)
Mean Girls (2004)
October
Room for Rent (2019)
No One Will Save You (2023)
Willy’s Wonderland (2021)
Cha Cha Real Smooth (2022)
The Rat Catcher (2023) (short)
Poison (2023) (short)
Flora and Son (2023)
CODA (2021)
Raymond & Ray (2022)
Stop Making Sense (Remastered) (1984/2023) (theater)
The Wolf of Wall Street (2013)
On Fire (2023) (theater)
It (2017)
Werewolves Within (2021)
Paw Patrol: The Mighty Movie (2023) (theater)
The Strangers (2008)
When Evil Lurks (2023) (theater)
Freelance (2023) (theater)
The Creator (2023) (theater)
Taylor Swift: The Eras Tour (2023) (theater)
Haunted Mansion (2023)
The Exorcist: Believer (2023) (theater)
Strange Way of Life (2023) (short) (theater)
The Human Voice (2023) (short) (theater)
Shelter in Solitude (2023) (theater)
Psycho (1960)
Cruising (1980)
Totally Killer (2023)
The Burial (2023)
Fanfik (2023)
If You Were The Last (2023)
Cassandro (2023)
The After (2023) (short)
After Death (2023) (theater)
Five Nights at Freddy’s (2023) (theater)
It Follows (2014)
Anatomy of a Fall (2023) (theater)
Hereditary (2018)
In the Mouth of Madness (1994)
November
Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse (2023)
Killers of the Flower Moon (2023) (theater)
Priscilla (2023) (theater)
Next Goal Wins (2023) (theater)
The Marsh King’s Daughter (2023) (theater)
Quiz Lady (2023)
The Persian Version (2023) (theater)
The Marvels (2023) (theater)
What Happens Later (2023) (theater)
Journey to Bethlehem (2023) (theater)
Taylor Swift: The Era Tours (2023) (theater)
It’s a Wonderful Knife (2023) (theater)
The Marvels (2023) (theater)
The Holdovers (2023) (theater)
Radical (2023) (theater)
Thanksgiving (2023) (theater)
The Hunger Games (2012)
The Hunger Games: Catching Fire (2013)
Pilgrim (2019)
Arthur Christmas (2011)
The Hunger Games: Mockingjay - Part 1 (2014)
The Hunger Games: Mockingjay - Part 2 (2015)
Home Alone (1990)
Wish (2023) (theater)
American Fiction (2023) (theater)
Trolls Band Together (2023) (theater)
Napoleon (2023) (theater)
The Hunger Games: The Ballad of Songbirds & Snakes (2023) (theater)
Naughty Nine (2023)
December
Best. Christmas. Ever! (2023)
Little Women (2019) (theater)
Silent Night (2023) (theater)
Dream Scenario (2023) (theater)
Saltburn (2023) (theater)
The Shift (2023) (theater)
School Spirits (2017)
Godzilla Minus One (2023) (theater)
The Super Mario Bros. Movie (2023)
Leave the World Behind (2023)
A Very Murray Christmas (2015)
Who Killed Santa? A Murderville Murder Mystery (2022)
Violent Night (2022)
The Boys in the Boat (2023) (theater)
The Boy and The Heron (2023) (theater) (subbed)
Red, White & Royal Blue (2023)
Rustin (2023)
Klaus (2019)
Eileen (2023) (theater)
Renaissance: A Film by Beyoncé (2023) (theater)
Willy Wonka & the Chocolate Factory (1971)
The Iron Claw (2023) (theater)
Charlie and the Chocolate Factory (2005)
Rye Lane (2023)
Anyone But You (2023) (theater)
Feast of the Seven Fishes (2019)
The Family Stone (2005)
Five Star Christmas (2020)
How the Grinch Stole Christmas (2000)
Aquaman and the Lost Kingdom (2023) (theater)
The Color Purple (2023) (theater)
Love Hard (2021)
Poor Things (2023) (theater)
The Color Purple (1985)
The Social Network (2010)
Fear the Night (2023)
The Half of It (2020)
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Tag Game to Better Know You
I have never been tagged in one of these before! Many thanks to @shywhitemoose for including me!
What book are you currently reading?
I am listening to the audiobook for “The First 90 Days: Proven Strategies for Getting Up to Speed Faster and Smarter” right now on the recommendation of my roommate. I just started a new job, and apparently it’s a great guide for leaders/new roles!
What’s your favourite movie you saw in theatres this year?
The only movies I’ve seen in theaters in 2023 so far have been Avatar: The Way of Water and Hidden Blade... neither of which I would consider a favorite. Can I extend this back further and say Top Gun: Maverick?
What do you usually wear?
I live in sweatpants and sweatshirts! If I’m at work though, it’ll be a nice dress (but with gym shoes LOL) ✨
How tall are you?
Somewhere between 5′9″ and 5′10″ or around 178cm!
What’s your star sign? Do you share a birthday with a celebrity or a historical event?
Pisces. And not that I know of off the top of my head!
Do you go by your name or a nickname?
Usually my full name, which is a bit difficult to shorten, but my good friends will call me by nicknames!
Did you grow up to become what you wanted to be when you were a child?
HA. I’ve wanted to be a stay-at-home mom since the First Grade. I’m 28 now, partnerless, childless, property-less, but have 2 Masters degrees and 2 major professional certifications under my belt, so mayhaps I’m on my way to a successful career at least?
TLDR: NO (but hopeful!)
Are you in a relationship? If not, who is your crush if you have one?
See above haha, NO (but hopeful!)
If you want to help me change this, hit me up 😉
What’s something you’re good at vs. something you’re bad at?
I think there are a lot of things I’m “decent” at, especially artistically? I like painting landscapes, figure drawing, playing certain instruments, cooking, baking, court sports.
I am bad at lying and horrible at letting loose in front of people. I can come across as quite reserved and easily embarrassed in person, but uh... very opposite in other areas hahaha (namely my fic)
Dogs or cats?
Both! But my roommate has the most wonderful dog right now, and I am just head over heels in love.
If you draw/write, or create in any way, what’s your favourite picture/favourite line/favourite etc. from something you created this year?
It’s definitely not the smuttiest or most interesting thing I think I’ve written, but coming up with some of my own lore for my fic Transference was super rewarding! This is an excerpt from Chapter 4 where good-guy Dooku teaches Obi-Wan about Force Lightning: (please mind the tags if you read the actual fic!)
“Close your eyes and find your inner peace, Padawan. Go for depth over breadth and try to strip away everything superfluous,” the older man intoned calmly, as if leading a meditation. “At our cores, we are all just made of stardust, and the forces that bind are not so different between you, a Stewjonian; me, a Serrenian; and lightning, the purest form of energy. Wherever you are, you must look even deeper and sense this connection at an atomic level.”
He tapped gentle fingers against Obi-Wan’s forehead, chest, and abdomen successively, focusing their combined attention on each subsequent chakra zone. With his eyes closed, the younger man could almost see with the Force, the glow of each of their signatures, organized collections of raw energy, pulsing brightly against the vastness of the empty chamber.
“Once you feel our resonance,” Dooku continued, lifting Obi-Wan’s arm by the wrist and dragging his fingers from the younger man’s palm to his heart and back again, “You will be able to catch my lightning blast, reel it in, and make it your own.”
“I can feel it, Master Dooku,” Obi-Wan said softly, concentrating hard.
“Finally, at the release, take care to bind your essence tightly,” the old Master cautioned and placed a hand over his pupil’s diaphragm. “You must simultaneously maintain the integrity of your vessel while focusing on your target. Do not let the energy drain any part of you as it leaves your body. Understood?”
What’s something you’d like to create content for?
I really wanted to try recording podfic this year, and decided just to go for it with Adrift and Entangled! If that doesn’t count since it’s already kind of happened, I would love to draw something for the Obikin fandom.
What’s something you’re currently obsessed with?
Obikin and podcasts! I’ve been loving my morning routine of listening to The Daily and Hardfork. If you’ve never listened to them before or if you want to get caught up on the news, HIGHLY RECOMMEND.
What’s something you were excited about that turned out to be disappointing this year?
Well, within the past year, I moved halfway across the country to start a fancy new job after grad school, promptly got laid off 3 months in, and then spent the rest of the winter in depression and stressing out about finding new employment.
All is well now, but the shiny new life was not very fun for about 5-6 months.
What’s a hidden talent of yours?
I have been told I give great massages 🥰 And I love giving them, they are the perfect combination of two of my love languages - physical touch and acts of service LOL
Are you religious?
Negative.
What’s something you wish to have at this moment?
50/50 between 1) more hours in a day (because there’s just too much to do) and 2) fic that will write itself LOL
No pressure tags: @dark--whisperings @saratutti @dreaminghour and anyone else who wants to do it (but please tag me if you do, so I can read it!)
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Predicted Oscars odds
My friend likes to lean on me to give him predictions for his betting pool, usually just for free drinks, but with this year being seemingly as open-ended as it is and with him being especially 538/stats-driven, thought I’d return to attempt to do something of a statistical breakdown of the odds of the winner in each category based on an amorphous and deeply unscientific/unserious combination of perceived buzz, narrative, precursor prizes and general gut intuition — although with my attempt to inject some semblance of objectivity into it, some of my predictions are not necessarily those I’m assigning the highest likelihood to win (I’ll put a ⭐️ next to each of my predicted guesses); but even in that case, I should theoretically be predicting more “upsets” to happen than I am, and there should be at least a handful of contenders seen as third or lower that can take a win.
I’ve tried this in the past, and things I’ve considered between 0-1% chance of winning (in this post signified by “>1%”) has won before — that being Ex Machina in Visual Effects. And I think I might have given Moonlight something like a 1 or 2% chance of beating La La Land, although that was the only alternative in the category I had of any statistical likelihood of winning. Which is all to say, please don’t treat this with any authority.
Odds (as defined by myself) are below the cut.
Picture:
Everything Everywhere All at Once - 75% ⭐️
All Quiet on the Western Front - 14%
The Banshees of Inisherin - 4%
Top Gun: Maverick - 3%
Elvis - 2%
The Fabelmans - 2%
Avatar: The Way of Water - >1%
Tár - >1%
Triangle of Sadness - >1%
Women Talking - >1%
Directing:
Daniels, Everything Everywhere All at Once - 89% ⭐️
Steven Spielberg, The Fabelmans - 5%
Todd Field, Tár - 4%
Martin McDonagh, The Banshees of Inisherin - 2%
Ruben Östlund, Triangle of Sadness - >1%
Actress in a Leading Role:
Michelle Yeoh, Everything Everywhere All at Once - 50% ⭐️
Cate Blanchett, Tár - 48%
Andrea Riseborough, To Leslie - 2%
Ana de Armas, Blonde - >1%
Michelle Williams, The Fabelmans - >1%
Actor in a Leading Role:
Austin Butler, Elvis - 54% ⭐️
Brendan Fraser, The Whale - 41%
Colin Farrell, The Banshees of Inisherin - 5%
Paul Mescal, Aftersun - >1%
Bill Nighy, Living - >1%
Actress in a Supporting Role:
Angela Bassett, Black Panther: Wakanda Forever - 36%
Kerry Condon, The Banshees of Inisherin - 32% ⭐️
Jamie Lee Curtis, Everything Everywhere All at Once - 25%
Stephanie Hsu, Everything Everywhere All at Once - 5%
Hong Chau, The Whale - 2%
Actor in a Supporting Role:
Ke Huy Quan, Everything Everywhere All at Once - 91% ⭐️
Barry Keoghan, The Banshees of Inisherin - 7%
Brendan Gleeson, The Banshees of Inisherin - 2%
Brian Tyree Henry, Causeway - >1%
Judd Hirsch, The Fabelmans - >1%
Adapted Screenplay:
Women Talking - 54% ⭐️
All Quiet on the Western Front - 46%
Living - >1%
Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery - >1%
Top Gun: Maverick - >1%
Original Screenplay:
Everything Everywhere All at Once - 55% ⭐️
The Banshees of Inisherin - 41%
Tár - 4%
The Fabelmans - >1%
Triangle of Sadness - >1%
Animated Feature:
Guillermo del Toro’s Pinocchio - 93% ⭐️
Marcel the Shell with Shoes On - 4%
Puss in Boots: The Last Wish - 3%
The Sea Beast - >1%
Turning Red - >1%
International Feature:
All Quiet on the Western Front - 94% ⭐️
Argentina, 1985 - 2%
Close - 2%
EO - 2%
The Quiet Girl - >1%
Documentary Feature:
Navalny - 47% ⭐️
Fire of Love - 42%
All the Beauty and the Bloodshed - 8%
All That Breathes - 3%
A House Made of Splinters - >1%
Cinematography:
All Quiet on the Western Front - 63% ⭐️
Elvis - 29%
Tár - 6%
Bardo, False Chronicle of a Handful of Truths - 2%
Empire of Light - >1%
Production Design:
Babylon - 55% ⭐️
Elvis - 34%
All Quiet on the Western Front - 8%
Avatar: The Way of Water - 3%
The Fabelmans - >1%
Costume Design:
Elvis - 71% ⭐️
Black Panther: Wakanda Forever - 15%
Everything Everywhere All at Once - 9%
Babylon - 5%
Mrs. Harris Goes to Paris - >1%
Makeup and Hairstyling:
Elvis - 53% ⭐️
The Whale - 35%
All Quiet on the Western Front - 10%
The Batman - 2%
Black Panther: Wakanda Forever - >1%
Visual Effects:
Avatar: The Way of Water - 95% ⭐️
All Quiet on the Western Front - 3%
Top Gun: Maverick - 2%
Black Panther: Wakanda Forever - >1%
The Batman - >1%
Film Editing:
Everything Everywhere All at Once - 65% ⭐️
Top Gun: Maverick - 31%
Elvis - 4%
Tár - >1%
The Banshees of Inisherin - >1%
Sound:
Top Gun: Maverick - 54% ⭐️
All Quiet on the Western Front - 34%
Elvis - 10%
Avatar: The Way of Water - 2%
The Batman - >1%
Original Score:
Babylon - 46%
All Quiet on the Western Front - 36% ⭐️
The Fabelmans - 11%
Everything Everywhere All at Once - 7%
The Banshees of Inisherin - >1%
Original Song:
RRR (“Naatu Naatu”) - 74% ⭐️
Top Gun: Maverick (“Hold My Hand”) - 13%
Everything Everywhere All at Once (“This Is a Life”) - 9%
Black Panther: Wakanda Forever (“Life Me Up”) - 4%
Tell It Like a Woman (“Applause”) - >1%
Animated Short:
The Boy, the Mole, the Fox and the Horse - 33%
My Year of Dicks - 29% ⭐️
Ice Merchants - 24%
An Ostrich Told Me the World Is Fake and I Think I Believe It - 12%
The Flying Sailor - 3%
Documentary Short:
The Elephant Whisperers - 46% ⭐️
Stranger at the Gate - 33%
How Do You Measure a Year? - 14%
Haulout - 4%
The Martha Mitchell Effect - 3%
Live Action Short:
Le Pupille - 31%
An Irish Goodbye - 28% ⭐️
The Red Suitcase - 24%
Ivalu - 11%
Night Ride - 6%
Statistics
Highest Likelihoods to win (70%+):
Visual Effects - Avatar: The Way of Water - 95%
International Feature - All Quiet on the Western Front - 94%
Animated Feature - Guillermo del Toro’s Pinocchio - 93%
Actor in a Supporting Role - Ke Huy Quan, Everything Everywhere All at Once - 91%
Directing - Daniels, Everything Everywhere All at Once - 89%
Picture - Everything Everywhere All at Once - 75%
Original Song - RRR (“Naatu Naatu”) - 74%
Costume Design - Elvis - 71%
Tightest Races (top options within 10%):
Actress in a Leading Role - Michelle Yeoh, Everything Everywhere All at Once vs. Cate Blanchett, Tár (2% difference)
Live Action Short: Le Pupille vs. An Irish Goodbye vs. The Red Suitcase (3%-7% difference)
Actress in a Supporting Role - Angela Bassett, Black Panther: Wakanda Forever vs. Kerry Condon, The Banshees of Inisherin vs. Jamie Lee Curtis, Everything Everywhere All at Once (4%-7% difference)
Animated Short: The Boy, the Mole, the Fox and the Horse vs. My Year of Dicks vs. Ice Merchants (4%-5% difference)
Documentary Feature: Navalny vs. Fire of Love (5% difference)
Adapted Screenplay: Women Talking vs. All Quiet on the Western Front (8% difference)
Original Score: Babylon vs. All Quiet on the Western Front (10% difference)
Most Vulnerable Frontrunners Outside of Tightest Races (Below 70% likelihood*):
Documentary Short: The Elephant Whisperers - 46%
Makeup and Hairstyling - Elvis - 53%
Actor in a Leading Role - Austin Butler, Elvis - 54%
Sound - Top Gun: Maverick - 54%
Original Screenplay - Everything Everywhere All at Once - 55%
Production Design - Babylon - 55%
(*tiebreakers based on margin of top two contenders)
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THE AARONS 2022: THE DAVID - Best Acquired Skill
The David is a special Aaron award created by and named after my good friend, intended to honor aspects of film that mainstream shows are too afraid to acknowledge.
Self-improvement is always important. For example, some actors have learned how to act. Fewer go above and beyond to embody their roles. This year, David tasked me with rewarding performers who gained new abilities during the course of their regular work. Here is The David for Best Acquired Skill:
WINNER: Freediving - Avatar: The Way of Water
The oceans of the planet Pandora are breathtaking, and the actors of Avatar 2 learned that the hard way. Current technology could barely keep up with Cameron’s vision for The Way of Water, which involved unprecedented extensive underwater motion-capture photography. The cast kept the concept afloat though by committing to learning how to hold their breath for the extended periods of time needed to film. Cameron’s recurring collaborator Kate Winslet even personally bested a record once held by Tom Cruise after staying underwater for seven minutes and fourteen seconds. The victory here is due to this being a very practical skill to have, with the added joy of making anyone who said there was no passion for more Avatar be all wet.
HONORABLE MENTIONS:
Jet Flying - Top Gun: Maverick
The cast of Top Gun conquered the highway to the danger zone by training to fly fighter planes, skyrocketing the standard for cinema stunts.
Film Camera Operating - The Fabelmans
Star Gabriel LaBelle studied how to operate old school cameras and editing tools for his role as the director’s stand-in. The retrospective film might just give rise to the next Steven Spielberg.
Conducting - TÁR
Ticking off another reason to call her the best performer of the year, Cate Blanchett learned how to conduct full orchestras to add realism to her role.
Imposturing - Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery
Rian Johnson revealed that Angela Lansbury let him teach her the rules to Among Us “up to a point” for her cameo, before the esteemed actress gave up and decided to just trust the script. Yet by bluffing her way through the game, she showed she did learn the right skills for it after all.
NEXT UP: THE 2022 AARONS FOR BEST TV SHOW!
#film#TheAarons#TheAaronsFilm#TheAarons2022#Best Of#avatar#the way of water#top gun#top gun maverick#the fabelmans#tar#glass onion#knives out
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Films/Series 2022
January :
Harry Potter : Return to Hogwarts
Jurassic Park + Jurassic Park 2
Cutting Edge 1,2,3,4
Scooby-doo sur l’île aux zombies + Scooby-doo, retour sur l’île aux zombies
Scream 3 + 4 + 5(x2)
Urban Legend 1 + 2
The royal treatment
The Fallout
Euphoria
Emily In Paris (S2)
Murder (S5)
SNK (S4)
The Witcher (S2)
Icarly (old + reboot)
Teen wolf (S3A)
Friends S1
The Gilded age
February
The fallout
The guilt
Princess on Ice
Freaky
Saw
Death on the nile
Coup de foudre à Manhattan
Mortelle saint valentin
DJ Rebel
Spider-man : NWH
L’affaire collini
X-men : le commencement/Wolverine 1/X-men I/X-men II/Affrontement final
Uncharted
Tara duncan (2011)
Teen wolf (S3B+4)
Friends S2
March
Tom et jerry (2021)
Wolverine Origin
Wizards of waverly place
Teen wolf S5A
Charmed S4
April
Aquamarine
Adam à travers le temps
Animaux fantastiques 3
X-men 3
10 things I hate about you
May
Sabrina the teenage witch (1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7)
Stranger Things x2
Logan
Dr Strange 1, 2
Maleficent
Senior Year
Dowton abbey II
Cinderella
So undercover
Red alert
Age de glace : buck
Deadpool
New mutants
June
Scooby-doo 1, 2, 3, 4
Stranger Things
Jonas Brothers
Super-héros malgré lui
Only murder in the building S2
Jurassic world 1, 2, 3
Dr Strange 2
July
Only murder in the building S2
AHStories 2
Caos : S4
Top gun : maverick
Not okay
Fear Street 1,2, 3
Thor 1, 2, 3
Scooby et la malédiction du 13ème fantôme
Isn’t it romantic
Purple Hearts
August
Pretty little liars 1-3
Pretty little Liars : Original Sin
The parent trap
Narnia 1, 2, 3
Nerve
Another cinderella story 1,2,3,4,5
Camp rock
Before I fall
Le secret de la cité perdue
September
Hunger Games 2
Drôles de vacances
Megan is missing
Prey
Fall
Dr Strange 2
Do Revenge
Adaline
October
Hocus Pocus 1,2
X
Halloween Ends
November
Enola Holmes 1, 2
Barbarian
Pearl
Black panther : wakanda
The Menu
Bones and all
Falling for christmas
December
Christmas's prince 1,2,3
She's the man
Knives Out 1, 2
The descent
Avatar 1, 2
Something from Tiffany's
Harry potter 1
Holidate
Princesse malgré elle
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Top Albums 2022 RS/ SG: Alvvays - Blue Rev, Steve Lacy - Gemini, Bartees Strange, Angel Olsen, Charli Xcx, Alex G, Koffee, Sunflower Bean, Soccer Mommy, Newjeans, Rosalia - moto, The Beths, Mindforce, Panda Bear, Muna, Weyes Blood, Sudan Archives - Prom Queen, Amber Mark - Three Dimensions, Ravyn Lenae, SG Goodman, Sam Prekop Bad Bunny, Swift, Beyo, Harry Styles, J-Hope, Weeknd
_________ Top Films - Empire+ Banshees of Inisherin Babylon - (Chazelle) Licorice Pizza - (PT Anders) Everything Everywhere all at Once (Dan Kwan) Maverick Top Gun Avatar 2 - Water, Elvis (Luhrmann) Greatest Beer Run - Farrelly, Turning Red, Prey Predator, Batman - Reeves, RRR - Rise Roar (Rajamouli), Pinocchio (GD Toro), Decision to Leave (Park Chan), The Fabelmans (Spielberg), Black Panther 2, Doc Strange Multi, Jurassic World Dom, Minions Gru, Thor Love, Sonic Hedgehog 2, Black Adam, Bullet Train, Ticket to Paradise Shows: Stranger Things 4, Wednesday (Burton), House of Dragon, Winning Time (Lakers), Better Call Saul F, Andor, White Lotus, The Boys, Ozark ______________ Globe Noms Movie- Drama: Fabelmans (Spielberg), Tar, Elvis (Luhrmann), Avatar 2, Top Gun M || Movie - Comedy: Banshees, Everything where, Triangle Sad, Babylon, Glass Onion || Cartoon - Pinocchio (delToro), Turning Red, Puss Boots lw || World - RRR, Decision to Leave, Western Front || TV: Better Call Saul, House Dragon, Ozark, Wednesday, Only Murders, Abbott Elem Actor - Hugh Jackman (Son), Brendan Fraser (Whale), Austin Butler (Elvis), Cate Blanchett (Tar), Ana deArmas (Blonde), Michelle Williams (Fabel), Adam Driver (White Noise), Colin Farrell (Banshees), Anya Tjoy (Menu), Margot Robbie, Emma Thompson || Diego Luna (Andor), Kevin Costner (Yellowstone), Bob Odenkirk, Zendaya, Hilary Swank, Jenna Ortega, Selena Gomez || host - Jerrod Carm
____________________ Films about Tomorrow Star Trek (66) Forbidden Planet (56) Tron (82), Artificial Intel (01) Metropolis , Wall E (08) Barbarella (68), Galaxy Quest (99), Westworld (73), Strange Days (95), Dark City (98), Inception (10), Ghost in Shell (95), District Nine, Gattaca (97), Contact (97), Interstellar (14), Nausicaa Valley (84), Logan's Run (76), Men in Black, Minority Report (02), Blade Runner 49 (17), Starship Troopers (97), Planet Apes (68) Ex Machina (15), Fifth Element, Total Recall (90), Demolition Man (93), Akira (88), Her (13), Terminator (84), Avatar (09), Back to Future 2, Day Earth Stood Still (51), Matrix (99), Alien (79), Star Wars (77), Blade Runner (82), Space Odyssey (68), Dune, Brazil (85), Martian (15), Alita Battle, Flash Gordon (54) Space: the final frontier. These are the voyages of the starship Enterprise. Its five year mission: to explore strange new worlds. To seek out new life and new civilizations. To boldly go where no man has gone before
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masterlist & rules
rules:
1. I can take requests but that doesn’t mean they’ll be fulfilled.
2. I don’t write smut. please don’t ask for it.
3. I do my best to write gender!neutral readers.
4. I try my hand at many fandoms, my current so far are: ATLA, Marvel, The Hunger Games, and DC, but I am wanting to branch out. I don’t write real person fiction.
Here’s a compilation of all the writing I’ve done so far! Enjoy!
Last updated: 2024.06.22
Avatar: Last Airbender
Zuko:
Series:
Knife to the Chest series (modern spy!au)-
1 /
Rituals Series -
1 / 2 / (2.5)
Drabbles:
Morning
Silence Series -
1 / 2
Standalone/One-shots/Drabbles:
Clean Slate
Chances
Secrets
hometown skeptics called it (modern!au)
for a moment
distance
fractures
truth
OC Writings:
Wild
Marvel Cinematic Universe
Thor Odinson:
Series:
Gilded Series -
Golden / Bronze
Standalone/One-shots/Drabbles:
15 years, 15 million tears (i gave it my all, he gave me nothing at all)
Loki Odinson/Laufeyson:
Series:
Metallic Series -
Silver / Platinum
Pietro Maximoff:
Standalone/One-shots/Drabbles:
find me a way (i’ll be yours in a landslide)
my heart is broken (somebody fix it)
i climbed the tree (to see the world)
Peter Parker (Tom Holland-verse):
Standalone/One-shots/Drabbles:
forget me (not)
Shang-chi/Shang-qi:
i’ll be getting over you my whole life / currents swept you out (high tide cam eand brought you in)
DC Universe
Dick Grayson:
Standalone/One-shots/Drabbles:
flashes
canyon
high stakes
questions
a beginning
there is no fear now
all my nights taste like gold
Bruce Wayne:
Standalone/One-shots/Drabbles:
untitled (interactive/add-on prompt/one-shot/drabble)
grow old with me
The Hunger Games
Mr. & Mrs. Everdeen:
Standalone/One-shots/Drabbles:
love as resistance
Finnick Odair:
Standalone/One-shots/Drabbles:
delicate
lover of mine (request)
Harry Potter
Sirius Black:
Standalone/One-shots/Drabbles:
back for good
Lord of the Rings:
Legolas
Standalone/One-shots/Drabbles:
let there be light (let me be right)
starlight
Top Gun: Maverick
Bradley “Rooster” Bradshaw:
Standalone/One-shots/Drabbles:
you kiss me in your car (and it feels like the start of a movie i’ve seen before)
Jake “Hangman” Seresin:
Standalone/One-shots/Drabbles:
the risk (is drowning)
Series:
part 1: you fell hard, I thought good riddance / part 1.5: if love was a year, we were june / part 2: split open, i’m going down
Real Person Fiction (written before Tom was publicly announced (to my knowledge) to be dating Zendaya - I don’t write RPF anymore).
Tom Holland:
Standalone/One-shots/Drabbles:
milk + instagram live
flooding
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Movie Studios Look At New Ways To Distribute Newly Released Blockbusters And Improve Revenue
New Post has been published on https://perfectirishgifts.com/movie-studios-look-at-new-ways-to-distribute-newly-released-blockbusters-and-improve-revenue/
Movie Studios Look At New Ways To Distribute Newly Released Blockbusters And Improve Revenue
Next year all 17 Warner Bros. will be released in movie theaters and streamed on HBO Max on the same … [] day. (Photo by Presley Ann/Getty Images for WarnerMedia)
The five-day Thanksgiving weekend has been indicative of the type of year movie theaters have had since mid-March. Normally, Thanksgiving is the first big weekend of the lucrative holiday movie season. Moviegoers pack theaters watching family friendly films, critically acclaimed Oscar contenders and action adventure blockbusters.
In 2020 the box office for the long Thanksgiving weekend, was similar to other weekends since mid-March. The top grossing film, The Croods: A New Age, an animated sequel from Universal, generated $14.3 million domestically. Last Thanksgiving weekend, Disney’s DIS Frozen II was the top grossing movie raking in a record $124 million domestically. Other strong box office performances came from Knives Out and Ford Vs. Ferrari. Last year, Thanksgiving films generated $250 million in box office, this year it was a fraction of that total. If there is a silver lining it’s this; the opening weekend of Croods: A New Age surpassed Tenet as the top grossing movie since some movie theaters reopened in August.
This holiday season with about half of all movie theaters still shut, the studios have been using different strategies on when and where to release films. These are delaying the release of films until next year, or opting for a direct-to-consumer tactic by releasing them either on Premium VOD (PVOD) or streaming video platforms. In any event, the 2020 holiday season and 2021 will look very different for the movie industry.
Universal: For example, before Christmas, Universal’s The Croods: A New Age will be available on PVOD to homes for $19.99. The movie studio has been busy negotiating with theaters in shortening the window of theatrical releases and quickening their availability on home video. Universal has made agreements with three prominent and financially strapped movie theater chains; AMC, Cinemark and Cineplex. The agreement allows Universal to release a movie on PVOD for as short a lag time as 17 days (three weekends), after its theatrical release. Typically, a large majority of revenue comes in the first three weeks of a film’s release. For blockbuster movies (those grossing $50 million or more on the opening weekend), the theatrical window will be extended to 31 days (five weekends) before available for at-home viewing.
In the past, the lag time for home entertainment had been between 74 days and 90 days. The theaters will also get a percentage of the PVOD revenue. Typically, PVOD costs consumers $19.99 for a 48-hour window. While PVOD release schedule was initiated during the pandemic, it is widely expected to remain after the pandemic. Universal plans for the News of the World, a western starring Tom Hanks, for a theatrical release on Christmas Day followed by PVOD availability.
Warner Bros: Warner Bros., the second largest movie studio, announced their tentpole movie Wonder Woman 1984 will be released both in movie theaters and streamed on HBO Max on Christmas Day. HBO Max costs $14.99 per month. In a potential game changing announcement on how people will watch movies in the future, Warner Bros said in 2021 all 17 of their theatrical released films will be streamed on HBO Max simultaneously. The films will be available on HBO Max for 31 days. With the pandemic continuing into 2021 and theaters slowly opening up with limited seating capacity, Warner Bros. claims this dual release schedule will be temporary.
Among the films scheduled for 2021 releases are Dune based on Frank Herbert’s sci-fi novels available in October. Other big budget films slated for simultaneous theatrical release and streaming include Godzilla vs. Kong, The Suicide Squad, The Matrix 4, Space Jam: A New Legacy and In the Heights.
Disney: In September, Disney, the largest movie studio, decided to bypass movie theaters and released Mulan exclusively on their SVOD service Disney. To stream the movie, subscribers had to pay an additional $30, on top of their monthly subscription charge of $6.99. Mulan became free to all Disney subscribers in December. Also, on Christmas Day, Pixar will release Soul, a computer animated film to Disney skipping theaters. Unlike Mulan, the movie will not come with an extra charge for subscribers.
Clearly streaming providers are hoping for subscriber growth this holiday season and to be more competitive with category Netflix NFLX .
Netflix: Ironically, Netflix has been supportive of movie theaters with eight films released to cinemas this December. They include several highly anticipated movies with “A List” talent. Among them are Mank from director David Fincher and Oscar winner Gary Oldham. In addition, Netflix will release August Wilson’s Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom, with Oscar winner Viola Davis in the title role and Chadwick Boseman’s final picture. Oscar winner George Clooney stars and directs a sci-fi drama The Midnight Sky. Also, The Prom, from Ryan Murphy a film based on a Broadway musical and stars Oscar winners Meryl Streep, Nicole Kidman. After a brief theatrical run the movies will become available to Netflix subscribers.
A Crowded Movie Schedule in 2021: A number of blockbuster films moved their theatrical release dates from 2020 to 2021 and even beyond. Next year could see movie blockbusters week after week. Besides the aforementioned Dune, Godzilla vs. Kong and In the Heights, all moved to 2021, moviegoers can watch the most recent James Bond movie No Time To Die with Daniel Craig (in his final role as 007). The film’s release has been moved three times and is now slated for a theatrical release in April. The ninth installment of the Fast & Furious franchise F9 will open in theaters in May. This move also delays the release of the tenth (and final) Fast & Furious movie.
Disney’s Marvel Studios has pushed back the release date of Black Widow with Scarlett Johansson until May, 53 weeks after the original release date. Steven Spielberg’s remake of the Broadway musical West Side Story has been moved to next December. The Disney film was originally slated for a 2020 holiday release. Other films delayed one year include Top Gun 2 Maverick with Tom Cruise (the original was released in 1986) set for July. The animated sequel Minions: The Rise of Gru will also be released in July, one year after the original release date.
As a result of movies be rescheduled for 2021, other films will not be released until 2022 including The Batman starring Robert Pattinson set for March 2022 and Jurassic World: Dominion has been moved to June 2022. The next Avatar film from Disney is now scheduled for the 2022 holiday season, with the next Star Wars movie moved to 2023.
In all likelihood, post-pandemic moviegoing will be a very different experience. In 2019, there were 909 theatrical movies released, box office receipts totaled $11.32 billion and 1.24 billion movie admissions were sold. They may very well be the highwater marks for years to come.
From Media in Perfectirishgifts
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