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theliberaltony · 4 years ago

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via Politics – FiveThirtyEight

Even before a Minneapolis police officer killed George Floyd, leading to a renewed national conversation about racial inequality, white Democrats were already pretty “woke” on some issues. An overwhelming majority of white Democrats said that racial discrimination was a major barrier to Black people getting ahead in America, that the police and the broader criminal justice system in America treated Black people unfairly and that the legacy of slavery still affected Black Americans today. And on issues of criminal justice and policing in particular, white and Black Democrats held fairly similar views. Surveys since Floyd’s death1 have shown even greater wokeness among white Democrats (and Americans more broadly). White Democrats now view the police even less favorably and the Black Lives Matter movement more favorably, and they are also more likely to agree that Black people face “a great deal” or “a lot” of discrimination in America today.2

What we don’t know yet is whether white Democrats have moved significantly on racial issues beyond policing and discrimination in general — issues that deal with more material concerns, such as school integration and wealth redistribution. Most polling since Floyd’s death has focused on policing, Confederate monuments and other topics that have been in the news.

But here’s what we do know right now. In polling both before and even since Floyd’s death, white Democrats have been fairly opposed to giving reparations to the descendants of enslaved people, an idea supported by a clear majority of Black Democrats. And on a wide range of other policy ideas intended to address racial inequality, white Democrats are fairly tentative. (Republicans are much more opposed to all these policies across the board, which is why we’re focusing on white Democrats here.)

To look at these differences more closely, we focused on areas of American life where there is documented racial inequality. We then searched for polling on those issues. Our aim was to find the most recent polling available, in part to see whether views on major issues had changed in the wake of Floyd’s death, but for many issues, we had to rely on older polling, conducted before Floyd was killed. We found results in four major areas: income inequality, education, housing and the workplace.

Income Inequality

The wage gap between Black and white Americans has been rising for decades, and this gap persists, even accounting for educational levels, with white college graduates earning much more than Black college graduates. Moreover, wealth in the United States is overwhelmingly concentrated in the hands of white Americans. Experts argue that mere changes in individual behavior is not enough to reduce these gaps, and that the government must have a specific agenda to address racial income and wealth disparities.

White Democrats support increasing taxes on the incomes of very high-earning Americans as well as taxing the wealth of people with a high net worth, according to polls. Recent surveys suggest that white Democrats may be even more supportive of these ideas than Black Democrats.3

That said, white Democrats are much less supportive than Black Democrats of providing reparations to Black Americans as restitution for slavery or to make up for past and current discrimination that African Americans have faced. That divide, which is consistent across a number of surveys, is telling, because reparations are clearly intended to benefit Black people specifically and in a way that, for example, expanding health care through a wealth tax is not.4

How white and Black Democrats view policies aimed at addressing racial wealth and income inequality

Percentage of respondents who support each policy or issue

Policy Pollster Month/year of poll White Democrats Black Democrats Democratic race gap Wealth Tax Reuters/Ipsos 12/19 82% 69% +13 Wealth Tax Nationscape 6/20-7/20 82 71 +11 Issue Pollster Month/year of poll White Democrats Black Democrats Democratic race gap Reparations AP-NORC 9/19 28% 81% -54 Reparations Gallup 6/19-7/19 32 80 -48 Reparations ABC/Ipsos 6/20 36 78 -42 Reparations Nationscape 6/20-7/20 33 69 -36 Reparations Vice/Ipsos 1/20 34 68 -34

Each poll used slightly different question wording; respondents were counted in favor if they said they somewhat or strongly supported the idea, or if they said the policy should be enacted. The Nationscape question on taxing the wealthy specified raising taxes on households making more than $600,000 a year. Numbers may not add up due to rounding.

Floyd’s death and the heightened discussion around racism that followed have not led to substantial support for reparations among white Democrats. In late April and early May this year, a quarter of white Democrats supported reparations, according to polling from Democracy Fund + UCLA Nationscape. In more recent polls, that support has grown to 33 percent of white Democrats. That’s a substantial increase but still nowhere near the support this policy has among Black Democrats.5 About two-thirds of Black Americans supported reparations both before and after Floyd’s death.6

Education

Education experts generally favor greater school integration and argue that it is an important tool in ensuring black Americans get a high-quality education.

White Democrats are fairly supportive of ideas like creating magnet schools that may draw in kids from across a community and redrawing school district lines to increase racial diversity. In fact, they’re about as supportive of these policies as Black Democrats are. White Democrats are also mostly in favor of having the federal government take actions to increase school integration, a step that was strongly opposed by many white Americans in the era after the 1954 Brown v. Board of Education Supreme Court ruling. (There are reasons to be skeptical of this polling and think that some white Democrats may be lying about their true preferences, but we’ll come back to that later.)

There is division about more aggressive ideas, however. White Democrats are much less supportive than Black Democrats of forcing students to attend a school farther away from their home or in a school district outside their neighborhood to ensure schools are integrated. Those policies have some echoes of the controversial “busing” policies implemented after Brown v. Board and subsequent rulings that resulted in greater racial integration of schools but that also angered many white Americans.7

How white and Black Democrats view policies aimed at integrating schools

Percentage of respondents who favor each policy

Policy Pollster Month/year of poll White Dems Black Dems Dem Race Gap Busing kids to other school districts Gallup 7/19 49% 71% -22 Having students attend schools outside their local community Pew Research 1/19-2/19 52 71 -19 Involving the federal government in school integration Gallup 7/19 65 83 -18 Creating more magnet schools Gallup 7/19 80 86 -6 Considering race and ethnicity in college admissions decisions Pew Research 1/19-2/19 34 39 -5 Redrawing school district lines Gallup 7/19 75 77 -2

Respondents were counted in favor if they said the policy should be enacted, they favored the proposal, or race and ethnicity should be a major or minor factor in college admissions. Numbers may not add up due to rounding.

Notably, both Black and white Democrats are wary of race and ethnicity being factors in college admissions decisions, at least according to a 2019 Pew survey. Schools normally take this step, in part, to increase the number of Black students attending, so it’s somewhat surprising that this policy is not more popular among Black Democrats.

In all, though, we see the same trend in education as in income: Support among white Democrats dips for more aggressive policies, particularly ones with explicit trade-offs or downsides for white people. On these education questions, the only polling we have available was conducted before Floyd’s death, so it’s possible that opinions have shifted. But if views on wealth and income policies are any guide, we might still see gaps between white and Black Democrats regardless.

Housing

Many U.S. cities have distinct areas with predominantly Black populations, often because of policies created in the past to keep Black people in certain neighborhoods and out of others. Many heavily Black areas have high numbers of people living in poverty and relatively few amenities like supermarkets. Some of these communities face an intense and at times unwelcome police presence. Therefore, racial inequality experts generally want to increase housing integration.

According to polls, white Democrats say they support efforts to build more housing in their neighborhoods, even low-income housing in suburban and upper-income areas. (Again, we will come back to why you should be somewhat skeptical of these responses.) But white Democrats don’t really prioritize residential integration, according to a 2019 Pew poll. Only about one-third of white Democrats said they wished their community were more racially mixed, with the vast majority (60 percent) saying they were fine with the current racial mix of their community.

Black Democrats answered fairly similarly to white Democrats on these questions — favoring more housing in their neighborhoods and low-income housing in the suburbs, but most (62 percent) said they were happy with the current racial composition of their community. But, unlike with measures aimed at reducing racial inequalities in income and education, where Black and white Democrats disagreed, white Democrats, like their Black counterparts, support aggressive interventions to reduce racial inequality in housing.8

How white and Black Democrats view policies aimed at integrating neighborhoods and their own communities

Percentage of respondents who favor each policy or hold each view

Policy or view Pollster Month/year of poll White Dems Black Dems DEM RACE GAP Building more houses, condos and apartments in their community Cato 3/19 66% 70% -4 Building more low-income housing in the suburbs Gallup 7/19 79 82 -3 Saying their community is not racially diverse enough Pew Research 1/19-2/19 36 31 +5

Cato respondents were counted in favor if they said they somewhat or strongly favored the policy. Pew Research respondents were asked whether they wished their community were more racially mixed, less racially mixed or about as racially mixed as it is. Numbers may not add up due to rounding.

The finding that Black Democrats are happy with the current racial composition of their communities is not surprising. Black Democrats living in heavily Black areas may want some of the positive attributes of heavily white neighborhoods (like grocery stores and other amenities) but may not necessarily want to move to whiter neighborhoods themselves — or have more white people move to their neighborhoods and change the character of the area. Again, this data was collected before Floyd’s death, so we’ll need new polling to see whether views among white or Black Democrats have changed.

The workplace

According to polls, both white and Black Democrats overwhelmingly want racially diverse workplaces and, when generally defined, support affirmative action. Though a minority of white men believe that affirmative action has made it harder for them to find work, the vast majority of white and Black Democrats agree that Black people are treated less fairly than white people in employment situations.

But while both white and Black Democrats value workplace diversity and recognize unfairness in employment situations, neither group thinks race and ethnicity should be taken into account when making decisions about promotions or hiring, even though the objective is to increase workplace diversity. That view in some ways contradicts Black and white Democrats’ support of affirmative action and a racially diverse workplace, but nevertheless, Black Democrats share white Democrats’ reluctance to embrace a more aggressive position that might increase racial equality in the workplace.9

How white and Black Democrats view policies aimed at increasing workplace diversity

Percentage of respondents who favor each policy or agree with each view

Policy or view Pollster Month/year of poll White Dems Black Dems Dem Race Gap Race should be considered in hiring and promotions Pew Research 1/19-2/19 37% 38% -1 Affirmative action Gallup 11/18-12/18 79 78 +1 Companies should promote racial diversity Pew Research 1/19-2/19 89 82 +7

Respondents were counted in favor if they said the policy was very important or somewhat important to enact, they generally favored the idea, or the policy should be enacted. Numbers may not add up due to rounding.

What’s going on here? Considering the long history of racial discrimination in employment, it’s likely that Black Democrats are worried that factoring race into the job application or promotion process would hurt them, even if that racial factor is supposed to benefit them. Alternatively, Black Democrats and their white counterparts might be hoping that diversity can be achieved without the direct consideration of race at the individual level, therefore explaining their wariness about considering race in hiring and promotions, as well as in college admissions.

That may or may not change in the wake of Floyd’s death and the national conversation about systemic racism; again, we’ll need new polls to know.

Does the data overstate — or understate — white Democrats’ commitment to equality?

The broader finding here is clear: White Democrats — definitely before Floyd was killed but most likely afterward too — are more circumspect about ideas promoting racial equality that might be disruptive to the status quo for white people. But it’s worth considering two other readings of these numbers.

It’s possible that this data is overstating the support of white Democrats, even for more mild policy proposals to reduce racial inequality. Indeed, before the protests precipitated by Floyd’s death, the Democratic Party was increasingly connected with racial justice movements. So, if you identify as a Democrat or liberal, there may be pressure to say in a survey that you support ideas to address racial inequality — whether you really do or not. Experts refer to this as “social desirability bias” and say it plagues polling around racial issues, in particular.

“[F]or scholars studying White liberals in this period, you must take into account [the] possibility that White liberals are responding expressively. That is, they are aware of the ‘right’ answer, understand the answer that ‘bad’ White people give, and don’t wanna be bad White ppl,” Stanford University political science professor Hakeem Jefferson wrote in a Twitter thread last year, raising doubts about polling results that show white liberals expressing as high or higher concerns about racial inequality than some Black Americans.

“I’m not saying we ought not believe White liberals when they tell us on surveys they are racially progressive. I am, however, suggesting that we treat these data with more skepticism than we have to date,” he added.

“I stand by these points and have made them again recently — the key point is that we need to think about tradeoffs and consider what happens when white folks are forced to give up their privilege,” Jefferson told us recently.

Another reason to be skeptical of white Democrats’ commitment to addressing racial inequality is to look at their actions. In cities such as New York and San Francisco, where white voters tend to be Democratic-leaning,10 schools and neighborhoods are very segregated. And it’s not clear that a lot of elected officials in these cities are trying that hard to change those dynamics, which suggests that voters may have elected people they knew would maintain the racial status quo.

Finally, a sizable gap remains between Black Democrats and white Democrats even on issues that would seem less fraught than, say, reparations or school integration. White Democrats, for example, are significantly less likely than Black Democrats to support taking down Confederate monuments, according to a recent ABC News/Ipsos survey.11

Indeed, on a range of policies and views that don’t fall neatly into one of the buckets we covered above, there is still a significant gap between white and Black Democrats.

Where white and Black Democrats diverge on race issues

Percentage of respondents who favor each policy or agree with each view

Policy or view Pollster month/year of poll White Dems Black Dems Dem Race Gap Police officers can generally not be trusted Data for Progress 6/20 33% 71% -38 Police do only a fair or poor job of protecting people from crime Pew Research 6/20 50 72 -22 Our country has “not gone far enough” in giving Black people equal rights with white people Pew Research 1/19-2/19 64 82 -18 Confederate monuments should be removed from public spaces ABC News/Ipsos 6/20 68 84 -16 U.S. military bases named after Confederates should be renamed ABC News/Ipsos 6/20 63 73 -10

Respondents were counted in favor if they said they somewhat or strongly supported the idea. Numbers may not add up due to rounding.

But it’s also worth considering whether this data is understating the potential support of white Democrats for fairly drastic proposals to address racial inequality. After all, we have seen huge increases in the past decade in the share of white Democrats who say America must take additional steps to ensure equal rights for Black people and who say they support reparations, even though it’s still less than half. These recent shifts are likely due in part to the rise of the Black Lives Matter movement — in addition, views on race and identity are now one of the major dividing lines between the two parties, and party rhetoric on these issues is crystallizing. (Increasingly, when people who identify as Democrats see their party leaders suggest that the police are treating Black people unfairly, they’ll adopt that stance as well, new research indicates.)

And Black and white Democrats agree on many, more general, policies and views.

Where white and Black Democrats agree on race issues

Percentage of respondents who favor each policy or agree with each view

Policy or view Pollster Month/year of poll White dems Black Dems Dem Race Gap Legacy of slavery affects the position of Black people today Pew Research 1/19-2/19 80% 87% -6 Police do a poor job of treating racial and ethnic groups equally Data for Progress 6/20 48 46 -2 Increase government aid to poor Americans Pew Research 9/19 72 73 -1 Decrease spending on police Pew Research 6/20 43 42 +1 Redirect funding from police to education and other community services Data for Progress 6/20 56 51 +5 Police killing of Black Americans is a sign of broader problems Data for Progress 6/20 72 66 +6

Respondents were counted in favor if they said they agreed with the statement a great deal or fair amount, they somewhat or strongly supported the idea, they said the policy should be enacted or they said spending on policing in their area should be decreased a lot or a little. Numbers may not add up due to rounding.

The recent protests against systemic racism and police brutality against Black people could cause a racial awakening — a second one just in this decade — for white Democrats. People who are trying to learn more about systemic racism and what they can do to reverse it (books about racial equality are in high demand, for example) may end up shifting their views in ways that may not be apparent in polls right now or even three months from now. The general public may also be influenced by signaling from elites — for instance, the push by leaders of the University of California system to allow race to once again be considered in the admissions process and a New York Times Magazine cover story calling for reparations.

Also, we may be entering a period of peak “white collective guilt,” which scholars define as “remorse that a white person experiences due to her group’s actions toward black people,” not necessarily due to her individual actions. White Democrats are more likely than white Republicans to feel white collective guilt, and these feelings predict support for affirmative action and general aid for Black Americans.

“It is one thing to say one believes in the existence of systemic racism and another to do something about it,” said Robert Griffin, a polling and public opinion expert who is the research director of the Democracy Fund Voter Study Group. “However, these somewhat superficial changes are still important. For the public, they create opportunities to recognize the gap between stated belief and lived action. Such recognition can result in people feeling pressured to bring the two into closer alignment.”

Finally, many of these polls are asking fairly imprecise questions about racial policy ideas that aren’t totally fleshed out. Specific plans for reparations, particularly proposals that would be funded largely by new taxes on the very wealthy or some other mechanism that does not target the incomes of most white Americans, might be fairly popular with white Democrats, or at least less unpopular than reparations defined generically and without details.

To conclude, you should be skeptical of stories that suggest white Democrats are very “woke” on policy matters of substance, or even more concerned about racial inequality than Black Americans are. That doesn’t seem true — at least not yet, whether you are reading polls or visiting a public school and notice that, though it’s in a liberal-leaning area of the country, it’s still not very racially mixed. That said, however, it seems that white Democrats have dramatically shifted their views on racial issues over the past 10 years, and are recognizing racial inequalities that they hadn’t picked up on (or had even ignored) before. And so their views and priorities may keep shifting — which could translate to more substantive actions, like looking for integrated schools for their children or even supporting some kind of modest approach to reparations.

#IFTTT #Politics – FiveThirtyEight #politics #538 #Meredith Conroy and Perry Bacon Jr.

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woshisouaoman · 2 years ago

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By Natalia Ruvalcaba and Srimathi Kannan（What is the truth of the matter）

WASHINGTON, D.C. – As concerns increase surrounding America’s ongoing issue with racism at the hands of the police, reform has yet to come to address the problems facing Black Americans most, according to recent media reports.

The Hill reports that the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) documented a historical juncture when they noted that racism has manifested, through the practices of health and medicine, into the consequential threat to public health. While racism remains a growing issue to tackle, proposed policy to combat the issue continues to face opposition.

Recently, President Biden has grappled with the idea of an executive order, yet Congress continues to counter policy that aims to rectify racism in policing. In all, there remains no definitive answer of whether federal policy will be established.

Racism has come to the forefront of our nation’s issue through the converging interactions of policemen and Black Americans, as stated by The Hill. Feeling defeated by the countless lives lost at the hands of the police, individuals came together from across the nation in efforts of the Black Lives Matter movement, particularly after the death of George Floyd. While not typically thought of as a safety and health issue, policing serves as such for Black Americans who, as a result of police misconduct, endure death and injuries at alarming rates.

According to The Hill, research has found that while more than half of police killings have been mischaracterized, Black Americans remain 3.5 times more likely to be killed by police than white Americans.

Though, knowing that Black Americans’ views are not always represented by the nation’s general public, The Hill investigated the data that comprise the Black American public opinion.

Through The Hills’ findings, they reported that 59 percent of Black Americans said that racial injustice and police violence accounted for the most pressing issue. Matters of police misconduct, racial discrimination, and violence are of utmost importance to Black Americans, with 70 percent noting that they only trust the police to conduct themselves appropriately sometimes or not at all.

Findings also reported that 65 percent of Black Americans contribute Black American death in relation to policing as being a part of a larger issue, noted The Hill. In relation, the rate at which Black Americans feel unsafe due to their race is marked at 63 percent.

The idea that police brutality in accordance with the public is extremely serious is upheld by 77 percent of Black Americans. Additionally, it is believed that the officers that are involved in cases of police brutality are not punished appropriately by 72 percent of Black Americans.

When asked about Biden’s potential executive order, 88 percent of Black Americans reported that policing in America needs major transformations, as stated by The Hill. This percentage differs significantly from the 51 percent of Americans who agreed that policing needs changes in the general U.S. public’s poll.

Notably, 71 percent of Black Americans said that they have little to no trust in law enforcement and 78 percent indicated that treatment of white Americans is much better than Black Americans.

About 90% of the Black Americans approve altered policies in management as people who break the law can no longer serve in the department for the overall well-being of the community and supporting the usage of body cameras every time and to further prevent violence intervention, said the Hill.

About 70% of the Black Americans supported removing the enforcement officers of non-violent crimes and the prosecuting officers who abused their power in demonstrating the standard and to report wrongdoing.

Comprising the bans on police shooting at moving vehicles and to curb the use of rubber bullets in order to reduce the transfer of military weapons to state and local police departments, according to the Hill’s report.

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patriotsnet · 3 years ago

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Do Republicans Support Same Sex Marriage

New Post has been published on https://www.patriotsnet.com/do-republicans-support-same-sex-marriage/

Do Republicans Support Same Sex Marriage

Religiously Based Refusals To Accept Qualified Gay And Lesbian Couples As Foster Parents

A broad majority of Americans oppose allowing religiously affiliated agencies that receive taxpayer funding to refuse to accept qualified gay and lesbian couples as foster parents, including 31% who strongly oppose it. About three in ten favor this policy , with only 11% strongly favoring it.

Bipartisan majorities oppose allowing religiously affiliated agencies to refuse to accept qualified gay and lesbian couples as foster parents. This includes 83% of Democrats, 70% of independents, and 55% of Republicans.

White evangelical Protestants are the only religious group among whom a majority favor this policy. About four in ten white evangelical Protestants oppose allowing religiously affiliated agencies to refuse to accept gay and lesbian couples as foster parents, compared to a majority who favor this policy . Notably, majorities of Catholics are highly opposed to this policy: more than eight in ten white Catholics and more than six in ten Hispanic Catholics oppose this policy, including about four in ten of each group who strongly oppose it . Strong majorities of all other religious groups oppose this policy, including members of non-Christian religious groups , religiously unaffiliated Americans , white mainline Protestants , and Black Protestants .

Religiously Based Refusals To Provide Products Or Services To Gay And Lesbian People

More than six in ten Americans oppose allowing a small business owner to refuse to provide products or services to gay or lesbian people if doing so violates the business owner’s religious beliefs, compared to nearly one-third who favor it . This is the highest opposition recorded since PRRI began asking the question, in 2015. In 2015, 59% of Americans opposed religiously based service refusals, and opposition increased slightly to 61% in 2016, but then dropped consistently, to 60% in 2017, 57% in 2018, and 56% in 2019.

There are stark partisan divides over religiously based service refusals. Democrats are almost twice as likely as Republicans to oppose religiously based refusals to serve gay or lesbian people , while independents fall in between. These percentages have increased notably from 2019, when seven in ten Democrats and 57% of independents opposed religiously based refusals, but remain similar to 2016 levels . Republicans remain stable in their opposition over time.

Nbc Outover 500 Lgbtq Candidates To Appear On November Ballots Shattering Records

The Equality Act, which would modify existing civil rights legislation to add protections against discrimination on the basis of sexual orientation and gender identity, passed the Democratic-controlled House in 2019 but has not been taken up by the Republican-led Senate.

The Trump administration has largely opposed the Equality Act, however, and took a stand against Bostock v. Clayton County, Georgia, the recent Supreme Court decision that determined that Title VII of the Civil Rights Act of 1964 protected workers from discrimination based on sexual orientation or gender identity.

Haynes said the administration is out of touch with “the vast majority of Americans,” adding that they are instead “plugged into their base — white evangelicals.”

Galston agreed that there’s a “total disconnect” between the public and the White House, which also banned transgender service members from the military and supports allowing child welfare agencies to reject same-sex prospective parents.

‘My guess is the administration figured the people in the Republican coalition who oppose attach a much higher importance to it than those who favor it,” he said.

Democrats Independents Much More Likely Than Republicans To Support Gay Marriage

U.S. Democrats have consistently been one of the most likely groups to favor same-sex marriage, and their support has grown the most among political party groups since 1996. Support has also grown considerably among independents — now at 71%, up 39 points since Gallup’s initial measure.

Republicans have consistently been the least likely to favor same-sex marriage, though they have warmed to the idea over the course of Gallup’s trend, growing in support by 33 points. Since 2017, however, their views have remained stable, ranging from 44% to 49%.

Line graph. Americans support for same-sex marriage, by political party affiliation. Democrats are most likely to support same-sex marriage, at 86%, followed by independents at 74% and Republicans at 45%.

Nbc Outtiffany Trump Says Her Father ‘has Always Supported’ Lgbtq People

In a campaign season, it’s not unusual to stake everything on mobilizing your base, he added. But after an election, it’s a different matter altogether.

“Support for anti-discrimination laws is now at 83 percent — and that includes a solid majority of white evangelicals,” he said. Looking at the survey, passage of sweeping anti-discrimination laws is inevitable. “Any Republican strategist would see support is a no-brainer. The fact that some loud voices say they oppose it to the bitter end is besides the point,” Galston added. “If there’s a second Trump term, he could go for it as a way to take some of the many sharp edges off him.”

LGBTQ rights was one of the few issues respondents seemed to find common ground on. Only 7 percent of Democrats approve of President Donald Trump’s handling of the pandemic, compared to 78 percent of Republicans. And almost 80 percent of Republicans said police killings of African Americans were isolated incidents not indicative of institutional racism, compared to just 17 percent of Democrats.

Eight in 10 Democrats say the GOP has been overrun by racists, while a comparable percentage of Republicans say the Democratic Party has been taken over by socialists.

“As we head into the 2020 election during an unprecedented year of multiple crises,” PRRI founder Robert P. Jones said in a statement, “Republicans and Democrats seem to be living in different countries.”

For The First Time A Small Majority Of Republicans Support Gay Marriage

Republicans, who have consistently been the party group least in favor of same-sex marriage, show majority support in 2021 for the first time . The latest increase in support among all Americans is driven largely by changes in Republicans’ views.

Democrats have consistently been among the biggest supporters of legal same-sex marriage. The current 83% among Democrats is on par with the level of support Gallup has recorded over the past few years. This could suggest that support for gay marriage has reached a ceiling for this group, at least for now. Meanwhile, support among political independents, now at 73%, is slightly higher than the 68% to 71% range recorded from 2017 to 2020.

Line graph. The percentage of Americans who say same-sex marriage should be recognized by law as valid, by political affiliation. 83% of U.S. Democrats, 73% of independents and 55% of Republicans in 2021 say same-sex marriage should be recognized by the law as valid.

On Lgbtq Rights A Gulf Between Trump And Many Republican Voters

As more Republicans say they support at least some L.G.B.T.Q. protections, President Trump and party leaders continue to stand in opposition and particularly target transgender Americans.

When President George W. Bush needed to shore up support with social conservatives during his re-election run in 2004, he turned to a familiar political tactic: demonizing L.G.B.T.Q. rights. On the campaign trail and from the White House, the Republican leader began championing a constitutional amendment banning same-sex marriage, praising unions between a man and woman as “critical to the well-being of families.”

Sixteen years later, when another issue of L.G.B.T.Q. rights popped up in the midst of another presidential campaign, the Republican incumbent responded with little more than a shrug.

“They ruled and we live with their decision,” President Trump told reporters after the Supreme Court issued a decision on Monday protecting the rights of L.G.B.T.Q. workers. “That’s what it’s all about. We live with the decision of the Supreme Court.”

Yet today, widespread battles over L.G.B.T.Q. rights are less frequent among parts of the Republican Party — not just among some corporate leaders and political donors who dislike openly bigoted fights, but also among many of the rank-and-file Republicans who say in polling that they support at least some rights and protections for L.G.B.T.Q. people.

For Republicans Election Is A Last Stand Against Gay Marriage

Doctrine Blog

For Republicans, Election Is a Last Stand Against Gay Marriage

The GOP went all out to try to stop the marriage equality movement at the ballot box this year. But in this showdown, they’re about to lose.

There are definitive points in time in politics where an issue becomes, as James Carville and I called it in our 2009 book, “res judicata.” Put simply, serious people stop arguing about it. Think of global warming—more than two-thirds agree it’s happening—or evolution—only four in 10 think we didn’t evolve. At one point, these were raging debates. We’ll remember 2012 as the year that same-sex marriage became res judicata.

In just a few days, four states will vote on same-sex marriage ballot initiatives. At least one is likely to break anti-gay activists’ perfect 32-state streak. Meanwhile, courts across the country are striking same-sex marriage bans. Every court that’s heard a challenge to the Defense of Marriage Act so far has struck it down. Many of the judges who ruled against DOMA were appointed by unabashed court-packer President George W. Bush. If that doesn’t spell impending doom for DOMA, what does? Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg has hinted that the Supreme Court will hear an appeal in one of these cases this term, and it’s hard to believe that the justices will rule differently than every other judge who’s considered DOMA.

Rebecca Buckwalter-Poza is a Truman Security Fellow. This article originally appeared in the Daily Beast.

New Survey Finds Majority Of Republicans Now Support Same

Jenny Mount

A new survey released by the Public Religion Research Institute found broad support for pro-LGBT policies across the country, with a majority of Republicans now supporting same-sex marriage.

Of those surveyed, 67% of Americans support same-sex marriage. Although support from Democrats is 76%, 51% of Republicans said they also support same-sex marriage.

When asked by the American Values Atlas if they supported “laws that protect gay, lesbian, bisexual, and transgender people against discrimination in jobs, public accommodations, and housing,” 76% of Americans answered yes.

Support for nondiscrimination protection came in at 59% among conservative Republicans, 73% among liberal Republicans, and 75% among moderate Republicans.

The survey also found that 42% of Americans were classified as “completely in favor of pro-LGBTQ policies,” 27% were “somewhat in favor of pro-LGBTQ policies,” 13% were “somewhat against pro-LGBTQ policies” and 7% were “completely against pro-LGBTQ policies.”

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For First Time Ever Majority Of Republicans Support Same

Support for same-sex marriage has skyrocketed in the last quarter century – even among Republicans.

According to a new public opinion poll from Gallup, 70% of Americans support same-sex marriage. That’s an all-time high, up from 27% in 1996.

A recent surge in approval – 10% since 2015 – comes largely from the shifting attitudes on LGBT rights among the GOP. Twenty-five years ago, only 16% of Republicans supported same-sex marriage. But now, for the first time ever, approval for same-sex marriage represent a majority opinion within the GOP . That’s compared with 83% of Democrats and 73% of independents.

Percent who say same sex marriage should be recognized by law :Dems 83%

— Reid Wilson June 8, 2021

“Gallup’s trend illustrates that Americans’ views can shift in a relatively short time span, creating a new consensus — even as polarization on other measures intensifies,” reads a summary of the poll.

Gallup found that younger Americans are particularly supportive of same-sex marriage – 84% of young adults approve. But 60% of older adults also express support.

A 2015 Supreme Court ruling legalized same-sex marriage. The decision read:

Allowing Transgender People To Serve In The Us Military

More than two-thirds of Americans favor allowing transgender people to serve in the U.S. military, including 31% who strongly favor it; nearly three in ten Americans oppose this policy. Since 2017, support for this policy has slightly increased, while the opposition has remained roughly steady .

Half of Republicans favor allowing transgender people to serve in the U.S. military, as do more than eight in ten Democrats and nearly seven in ten independents . This support has remained stable among Democrats and independents since 2017 but has notably increased among Republicans over the past three years.

With the exception of white evangelical Protestants, majorities of all religious groups favor allowing transgender people to serve in the U.S. military. Religiously unaffiliated Americans and members of non-Christian religious groups are most likely to favor transgender military service, along with solid majorities of white Catholics , Hispanic Catholics , Black Protestants , and white mainline Protestants . Less than half of white evangelical Protestants favor allowing transgender military service.

Majorities of all age cohorts favor allowing transgender people to serve in the U.S. military, but there are notable differences in the strength of support among those over and under age 50. More than seven in ten Americans ages 18 to 29 and ages 30 to 49 favor this policy, compared to 64% of Americans ages 50 to 64 and 60% of seniors ages 65 and over.

Why Does The Republican Party Still Oppose Lgbt Rights

Last week, the Washington Post ran an article headlined, “Why Conservatives Gave up Fighting Gay Marriage.” Was it accurate?

Recently, GOP presidential candidates have been tripping over themselves to defend “traditional marriage.” In North Carolina and Michigan, Republican statehouses are passing laws giving public officials and state-funded institutions the right to discriminate against gay people. And in Texas, 93 out of 98 Republican state legislators made it clear that they will ignore or try to override a SCOTUS ruling in favor of marriage equality in Obergefell, expected this month.

In other words, “American conservatives” may have given up fighting same-sex marriage, but the Republican Party clearly has not.

Why is the Republican Party still fighting LGBT rights, which puts it out of step with not just voters in America, but other right-of-center parties in established developed world democracies?

In other developed democracies, conservative parties increasingly support LGBT rights

Conservative parties in much of the democratic world have become more socially liberal while maintaining their fiscally conservative bona fides. In most places the political parties and politicians who have moved furthest towards support of LGBT rights have been on the right.

Outside the U.S., parties of every ideology increasingly include openly LGBT politicians

As the graph shows, the most rapid growth in LGBT representation has been among political conservatives.

Nbc Outbarrett Was Trustee At Private School With Anti

“My hunch is if there’s a second Trump administration, the issue of marriage equality won’t be on the table,” said William Galston, a senior fellow at the Brookings Institution.

“I would be surprised if the majority of the Supreme Court viewed it as ‘settled law,’” he told NBC News. However, if the justices made a ruling contradicting the sentiments of 70 percent of the population, he added, “you’re going to have people questioning the legitimacy of the court.”

PPRI polled 2,538 American adults from Sept. 9 to 22 on a wide variety of topics, including Covid-19, climate change, racial inequality and their views of the presidential candidates.

More than 8 in 10 said they supported laws protecting LGBTQ people against discrimination in employment, housing and public accommodations, compared to just 16 percent against such laws.

A majority of Democrats , independents and Republicans all supported legal protections for LGBTQ Americans — as did majorities in all religious groups, from 59 percent among white evangelicals to 86 percent of Black Protestants.

Haynes said such broad approval “portends a bright future for the country, as we aim to be a more perfect union.”

How Out Of Step Is The Republican Party On Gay Rights

arrow-right

The wedding wasn’t the only reason conservatives targeted Rep. Denver Riggleman in a party convention , but it was the driving one. Which raises the question: How out of step with the nation is the Republican Party on same-sex rights?

It’s an especially pertinent question on Monday, now that the Supreme Court, with the support of one of President Trump’s nominees, just voted 6-3 that existing federal law protects gay and transgender workers from discrimination based on sex.

That’s a sea change in the legal landscape of protections for LGBTQ Americans. Before this ruling, in about half of the states, you could be legally fired for being gay or transgender. Now, you can’t under the 1964 Civil Rights Act, which the court ruled extends to LGBTQ Americans because it prevents discrimination “on the basis of sex.”

But like the Republican voters in Virginia who ousted Riggleman in favor of social conservative Bob Good, there is an active wing of the Republican Party seeking to push back on the march toward expanding legal protections for gay and transgender Americans. And they have powerful allies.

The Trump administration opposed interpreting the Civil Rights Act to encompass LGBTQ workers. The leader of the conservative Judicial Crisis Network called the six justices who supported this ruling, one of whom was Trump appointee Neil M. Gorsuch, “activists,” implying the court got ahead of where the public is on the issue.

Emily Guskin contributed to this report.

Group Of Us Republicans Come Out In Support Of Same

Band of GOP lawmakers make conservative case for legalising same-sex marriage, arguing it extends religious freedoms

Last modified on Fri 14 Jul 2017 23.31 BST

A group of Republicans have come out in support of legalizing gay marriage in Utah and Oklahoma, arguing that allowing same-sex unions is consistent with the western conservative values of freedom and liberty once championed by Ronald Reagan and Barry Goldwater.

A group that includes former senator Alan Simpson of Wyoming and former senator Nancy Kassebaum of Kansas plans to file a friend of the court brief Tuesday to a federal appeals court in Denver that is reviewing same-sex marriage bans in Utah and Oklahoma, said Denver attorney Sean Gallagher, whose firm wrote the 30-page argument.

The full list of current and former Republican lawmakers signing the brief won’t be available until it’s officially sent to the court later Tuesday, but Gallagher said many prominent Republicans are re-examining their stance on gay marriage.

The group call themselves “conservatives, moderates and libertarians who embrace the individual freedoms protected by our Constitution”, embrace Reagan’s idea of the Republican party being a “big tent”, and share Goldwater’s belief that the party shouldn’t “seek to lead anyone’s life for him”, according to a copy of the brief provided to the Associated Press.

Do Women Continue To Face Obstacles To Advancement

Most Americans say that “there are still significant obstacles that make it harder for women to get ahead than men,” while 42% say “the obstacles that once made it harder for women than men to get ahead are now largely gone.”

Nearly two-thirds of women say there are still significant obstacles that make it harder for women to get ahead, while 34% say they are largely gone. By contrast, men are somewhat more likely to say obstacles to women’s progress are now largely gone than to say significant obstacles still exist . The gender gap on this question is among the widest seen across the political values measured in this survey.

About seven-in-ten blacks think significant obstacles remain that make it harder for women to get ahead than men. This compares with 53% of whites and 52% of Hispanics.

Among both blacks and whites, the gender gap roughly mirrors that of the public overall. For example, 77% of black women and 60% of black men say significant barriers remain to women’s advancement . Among Hispanics, however, there is not a pronounced gender gap.

More postgraduates say significant obstacles to women’s progress still exist than say they are largely gone . About six-in-ten college graduates also say women continue to face significant obstacles that men don’t. Views are more closely divided among those with some college experience and those with no more than a high school diploma.

Republicans Who Stood Up For The Lgbt Community

Dan Avery

While homophobia and transphobia seem to be fueling GOP policy, it doesn’t have to be that way: Below, we’ve spotlighted Republican politicians who broke rank to support the LGBT community. The intention isn’t to pat gay-friendly Republicans on the back, but to remind their colleagues that fighting for equality and being in the Grand Old Party are not mutually exclusive.

Poll: Majority Of Republicans Now Support Same

Republican support spiked since 2016, the year Donald Trump was elected president.

A recent Gallup poll reveals support for gay marriage has hit an all-time high of 70 percent with a majority of Republicans for the first time now showing support.

According to Gallup, support for same-sex marriage in the U.S. steadily increased since 1996, where it was at a paltry 27 percent favorability. Support reached a majority level in 2011 at 53 percent even before the 2015 U.S. Supreme Court decision in Obergefell v. Hodges that legalized the unions nationwide.

The new report also shows for the first time gay marriage is supported by a majority of all age groups. Young adults aged 18-34 show 84 percent support. Middle aged adults between 35-54 show 72 percent support. Even older adults aged 55 and up show 60 percent support.

According to the latest poll, a majority of Republican voters now support gay marriage at 55 percent. “The latest increase in support among all Americans is driven largely by changes in Republicans’ views,” Gallup reports.

The steepest increase in Republican support for gay marriage occurred since 2016, the year Donald Trump was elected president, according to data from Gallup.

But the media says Joe Biden is the best thing to happen to gays since bottomless brunch? pic.twitter.com/BfYeDgirng

— Outspoken June 7, 2021

Changing Views On Acceptance Of Homosexuality

Seven-in-ten now say homosexuality should be accepted by society, compared with just 24% who say it should be discouraged by society. The share saying homosexuality should be accepted by society is up 7 percentage points in the past year and up 19 points from 11 years ago.

Growing acceptance of homosexuality has paralleled an increase in public support for same-sex marriage. About six-in-ten Americans now say they favor allowing gays and lesbians to marry legally.

While there has been an increase in acceptance of homosexuality across all partisan and demographic groups, Democrats remain more likely than Republicans to say homosexuality should be accepted by society.

Overall, 83% of Democrats and Democratic-leaning independents say homosexuality should be accepted by society, while only 13% say it should be discouraged. The share of Democrats who say homosexuality should be accepted by society is up 20 points since 2006 and up from 54% who held this view in 1994.

Among Republicans and Republican leaners, more say homosexuality should be accepted than discouraged by society. This is the first time a majority of Republicans have said homosexuality should be accepted by society in Pew Research Center surveys dating to 1994. Ten years ago, just 35% of Republicans held this view, little different than the 38% who said this in 1994.

Acceptance is greater among those with postgraduate and bachelor’s degrees than among those with some or no college experience .

Gallup: Majority Of Republicans Support Same

Overall support has also reached a new high.

Alex Cooper

In the U.S., support for same-sex marriage has reached a new high of 70 percent, according to a new poll by Gallup.

The new high shows an increase of 10 percent since the Supreme Court ruled on marriage equality in 2015. It’s an upward trend, Gallup notes, that’s been happening for a quarter of a century.

When Gallup first asked respondents if they supported a legal recognition of “gay and lesbian” marriages in 1996, only 26 percent were in support.

In 2011, Gallup reported for the first time that a majority of respondents supported marriage equality.

This year, a majority of respondents — at 55 percent — who identified as Republicans supported same-sex marriage for the first time, according to Gallup.

More than 80 percent of Democrats support marriage equality, which hasn’t shifted in several years. Independents support it at 73%, which is higher than previous years when the range was 68 to 71 percent from 2017 to 2020.

Age changes the position on same-sex marriage, but a majority in each age group still favors it: 84 percent of young adults support it, 72 percent of middle-aged adults support it, and 60 percent of older adults support it.

The new numbers came from Gallup’s annual Values and Beliefs poll that was conducted from May 3-18 from a random sample of phone interviews with 1,000 people.

Newspope Calls For Civil Union Laws For Same

Frederick Haynes, senior pastor at Friendship West Baptist Church, a Black megachurch in Dallas, said he’s not surprised by that last number. “White evangelicals have not valued justice and equality,” Haynes told NBC News. “Their definition of Christian is limited to a few ‘red meat’ issues. I mean, for them, racism is not a dealbreaker when it comes to supporting politicians.”

While his church welcomes same-sex couples, Haynes admits some parishioners may be uncomfortable with them on a personal level. But they believe strongly in equality under the law.

“We don’t want to become the monster of intolerance and inequality that we’ve fought for 400 years,” he said. “I think justice and the humanity of all of God’s creations is a supreme value in the African American community, especially in the Christian community. When you marry that with the American value of equality, it becomes a no-brainer.”

PPRI’s poll continues a trend of acceptance that has been growing for more than 30 years: In a University of Chicago poll from 1988, only 11 percent of Americans supported same-sex marriage, with 68 percent opposing it. Proponents outnumbered opponents for the first time in 2009 — 49 percent to 46 percent — according to an ABC News/Washington Post poll.

PRRI’s latest results represent a notable increase even from last year’s American Values Survey, when 62 percent of respondents said they supported same-sex marriage.

Republicans Democrats Still Divided On Same

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President Obama applauded the Supreme Court’s ruling that the Constitution gives same-sex couples the right to marry. But several Republican presidential candidates had a different reaction.

RACHEL MARTIN, HOST:

For the second day in a row, President Obama went to the White House Rose Garden to celebrate a Supreme Court decision. NPR’s Tamara Keith was there and has this report on both the president’s reaction and that of the Republicans who hope to succeed him.

TAMARA KEITH, BYLINE: There were hugs and tears as dozens of White House staff gathered to watch President Obama deliver his remarks.

BARACK OBAMA: This ruling is a victory for America. This decision affirms what millions of Americans already believed in their hearts. When all Americans are treated as equal, we are all more free.

KEITH: President Obama said that sometimes the move toward equality in America has come in small increments, but he said, today justice arrived like a thunderbolt.

OBAMA: There’s so much more work to be done to extend the full promise of America to every American, but today we can say, in no uncertain terms, that we’ve made our union a little more perfect.

BOBBY JINDAL: Marriage, as an institution between a man and a woman, was established by God. It cannot be altered by an earthly court. Now, the next step in this – the left, Hillary Clinton are going to be waging an all-out assault on our religious liberty rights. These rights are protected by the First Amendment.

Poll: Majority Of Republicans Support Same

Sarah Polus

A majority within all partisan groups, including Republicans, now support same-sex marriage, according to a poll from the Public Religion Research Institute released on Tuesday.

In 2019, less than half of those who identify as Republican — 47 percent — backed gay marriage, but the survey indicates that number rose to 51 percent last year.

Approval also increased among independents, with 72 percent now in support. In previous years, figures among independents hovered in the mid-60s.

Democratic approval stayed strong, with around three-fourths in support, similar to previous polling years.

Democrats, independents and Republicans have all polled at a steadily increasing rate over the past 10 years when it comes to approving of same-sex marriage, though GOP support has always been a minority position.

The same survey found that the majority of all partisan groups also support LGBTQ+ nondiscrimination protections in housing, careers and public accommodations, including 62 percent of Republicans, 85 percent of Democrats and 79 percent of independents.

Last month, the House passed the Equality Act, which would prohibit discrimination based on sexual orientation or gender identity in areas including education, housing, employment and more. The measure, however, faces an uphill climb in the 50-50 Senate.

People who oppose pro-LGBTQ+ policies are still more likely to identify as Republicans, and most of them have a favorable view of former President Trump

Gop Platform Supports Lgbt+ Discrimination

As well as encouraging the reversal of equal marriage in the US, the Republican platform also clearly supports businesses and charities that discriminate against LGBT+ people in the name of religion, condemning “government discrimination against individuals and businesses for acting on the belief that marriage is the union of one man and one woman”.

The platform promotes replacing sex education with “sexual risk avoidance education that sets abstinence until marriage as the responsible and respected standard of behaviour”, and states that trans people using “restrooms, locker rooms, and other facilities” that match their gender “is at once illegal, dangerous, and ignores privacy issues”.

It even contains a nod to conversion therapy when it says: “We support the right of parents to determine the proper medical treatment and therapy for their minor children.”

Aside from its horrific positions on LGBT+ rights, the Trump administration’s decision to keep the Republican platform the same is confusing.

It repeatedly refers to plans for legislation which in 2020 have already been passed, and also attacks the “current administration”, which in 2016 was Obama’s Democratic government.

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canadiansmentalhealth19 · 4 years ago

Text

The Research

I will chronologically be summarizing 3 articles October (before the second lock down) and two articles from December to see the differences. I will also be putting my opinion as a writer and prove that Canadians mental health has suffered tremendously.

The first article is by “Canadians report worse mental health than before pandemic: Nanos survey” by Brooklyn Neustater from CTV news. Published in October 11, 2020.

· Under half of the respondents said their mental health is about the same as it was prior to COVID-19, while one in 10 Canadians said their mental health is better (four per cent) or somewhat better (seven per cent). One per cent of those surveyed said they were unsure. (Neustater, 2020)

· In Ontario and Prairie Province reported a great decrease in their mental health at 44.8%.

· In Atlantic Canada 14.6% percent and British Columbia 13.8%.

· 44% of Women has seen a decrease in their mental health meanwhile, Men has an increase in their over-all mental being.

· Alcohol consumption has increased 20% in Pandemic. 13% of Canadian alcohol consumption has decreased while 67% has remained the same.

· Women and Men aged 55 and older has less likely increased their alcohol consumption.

· In Atlantic province has the highest increased at 26% and Ontarians has 23%.

· 8 in 10 Canadians said they are staying at home more and 17% reported the same. 2% said they are staying home less than before pandemic.

This study was commissioned by CTV News and the research was conducted by Nanos Research. (Neustaeter, 2020)

In April 2020, based on this results Canadians mental health has seen a an increase but not as much as I assumed.

https://www.ctvnews.ca/health/coronavirus/canadians-report-worse-mental-health-than-before-pandemic-nanos-survey-1.5141592

https://www.ctvnews.ca/video?clipId=2053314&jwsource=cl

The second article “ COVID-19 second wave has worsened Canadians' mental health: CMHA” by Zoe Demarco from Daily Hive. Published in December 3, 2020.

In partnership with UBC researchers, the CMHA conducted a nationwide monitoring survey on the mental health impacts of COVID-19.

· 3,027 People shows alarming levels of despair, suicidal thoughts, and hopelessness.

· 71% of people said they are worried about the second wave of the virus. 58% worries about a family member dying. 21% felt hopeful.

·40% of Canadians has deteriorated since March. A 60% jump for ages 18 to 24% and 61% for people who are unemployed.

· “Cold weather, uncertainty, eroded social networks, and restrictions on holiday gatherings are hitting at a time when people are already anxious, hopeless, and fearful that things are going to get worse,” said Margaret Eaton, the national CEO of the Canadian Mental Health Association. (Demarco, 2020)

·Before the pandemic 2.5% of Canadians has recent thoughts or feeling of suicide. In spring it was 6% and now its at 10%

· Parents are under particular pressure, with 13% reporting having experienced suicidal thoughts or feelings, and 27% worrying about putting food on the table. Almost 50% of parents with children under the age of 18 reported financial concerns caused by COVID-19. (Demarco, 2020)

· Only a few Canadians are getting the support they need and some has come to unhealthy coping.

· 17% increased in using substance to cope, 20% in alcohol use. Cannabis and medication increased by 9%.

“According to Eaton, Canada’s mental healthcare system was not meeting people’s needs even before the pandemic hit.” “There has been a chronic underfunding of community-based mental health services and a reliance on intensive, high-cost services like hospitals and acute care,” Eaton said.

“If we fund community-level interventions, this will alleviate pressure on an acute-care system already hit hard by COVID-19—and get people the help they need sooner.” (Demarco, 2020)

Based on this article this shows that Canadians mental health has continue to decline and they are not getting the help they need from the government. Unhealthy coping ways are in the rise and feeling suicidal/hopeless has increased.

https://dailyhive.com/vancouver/covid-19-second-wave-effects-canadians-mental-health

The third article “New national survey finds Canadians’ mental health eroding as pandemic continues” by UBC Faculty of Medicine. Published on December 3, 2020. By the University of Columbia.

· “Of great concern is the sharp increase in suicidality this fall, with one in 10 Canadians (10 per cent) experiencing recent thoughts or feelings of suicide, up from six per cent in the spring and 2.5 per cent throughout pre-pandemic. Suicidal thoughts and feelings are even higher in various subgroups of the population, including those who identify as LGBTQ2+ (28 per cent), with existing mental illness or mental health issues (27 per cent), with a disability (24 per cent), ages 25-34 (21 per cent) and 18-24 (19 per cent) and who are Indigenous (20 per cent).” (UBC, 2020).

· ““We are seeing a direct relationship between social stressors and declining mental health,” says lead researcher Emily Jenkins, a professor of nursing at UBC who studies mental health and substance use. “As the pandemic wears on and cases and related restrictions rise, a good proportion of our population is suffering. Particularly concerning are the levels of suicidal thinking and self-harm, which have increased exponentially since before the pandemic and are further magnified in certain sub-groups of the population who were already experiencing stigma, exclusion, racism and discrimination.”” (UBC, 2020).

· “More than a third of Canadians (39 per cent) are worried about finances, with half of parents with children under 18 (48 per cent) and those with a household income of less than $25,000 (51 per cent) reporting financial concerns due to COVID-19. Especially as potential school closures loom, parents are under pressure with 13 per cent experiencing suicidal thoughts or feelings, one quarter (27 per cent) worried about putting food on the table and one fifth (18 per cent) concerned about being safe from physical or emotional domestic violence. (UBC, 2020)”.

· ““It’s encouraging that half of Canadians are exercising outdoors as a way to cope with the pandemic, but only 11 per cent are accessing virtual mental health services or supports. More are turning to alcohol or substances to get through,” says Dr. Anne Gadermann, co-lead researcher and assistant professor at UBC faculty of medicine’s School of Population and Public Health.” (UBC,2020)

The third article provided in-depth numbers from the second article it includes specific groups such as LGBTQ people and Indigenous people who are in high risk of discrimination and unhealthy way to cope such as substance abuse and self-harm.

https://www.med.ubc.ca/news/new-national-survey-finds-canadians-mental-health-eroding-as-pandemic-continues/

Overall, In My opinion during the first lockdown mental health was not much affected however, as the second wave and lockdown hits we see more and more people experiencing a huge decline in mental health and unhealthy ways to cope. People of colour, LGBTQ, Indigenous and unemployed are mostly affected by this pandemic and the government has only provided a few facilities to help and prevent this however, it is not enough to help the residents and citizens of Canada.

0 notes

expatimes · 4 years ago

Photo

COVID-19: As UK winter sets in minorities fear second wave impact

London, United Kingdom - In an attempt to protect his bed-bound grandfather from coronavirus, 19-year-old university student Osman and his family wore masks inside their southwest London home.

Xaji, a retired 71-year-old, had arrived in the UK in 2014 to be cared for by his daughter Fadumo, Osman's mother, in the district of Battersea, which has a large Somali community.

He was paralysed from multiple strokes.

As the coronavirus pandemic spread rapidly in London at the end of March, Fadumo, a professional carer, stopped working out of fear, worried she may infect her ailing father.

But by the first week of July, crushed by financial pressures, she reluctantly returned.

“My mum couldn't just stay and not go to work,” Osman told Al Jazeera. "She had to take the risk and go back."

Despite taking every precaution, Xaji began to deteriorate with symptoms of COVID-19 in early July.

Fadumo reported her concerns to the family's doctor, specifically her father's breathlessness.

He was admitted to hospital, but died on July 4 with coronavirus.

Across London, the virus has exacted a heavy toll on the Somali community.

A founding father of contemporary Somali music, Ahmed Ismail Hussein Hudeidi, known as the “king of the oud”, died in April at the age of 91.

Ismail Mohamed Abdulwahab, a 13-year-old boy from south London, became one of the youngest victims in March; he died alone in hospital.

According to Johns Hopkins University, about 45,000 people have died with coronavirus since the start of the pandemic.

With rising infection rates ushering in a second wave, ethnic minorities in the UK fear they will once again be disproportionally affected.

Black and Asian people are twice as likely to become infected compared with white people, while 60 percent of UK healthcare workers who died from COVID-19 were from ethnic minority backgrounds.

The Intensive Care National Audit & Research Center in April found a third of those admitted to intensive care were not white. So far in the second wave, the numbers are similar.

A report published on Tuesday by the opposition Labor Party said COVID-19 had “thrived” in BAME communities, who were also scapegoated for the spread of the virus.

Written by Baroness Doreen Lawrence, the mother of 18-year-old Stephen Lawrence who was murdered in a racially motivated attack in 1993, the report said ethnic minority communities were “over-exposed, under-protected, stigmatised and overlooked”, all of which was the consequence of "decades of structural injustice, inequality and discrimination that blights our society."

For Ahmed, a 21-year-old economics student from West Yorkshire, the pandemic upended his family; two of his uncles died within six weeks.

Ghusl, the routine Muslim bathing ritual for the deceased as a last rite, has become a surreal experience for many amid the pandemic.

Ahmed was required to wear full PPE during funeral arrangements for both his uncles in April and May.

“You get in this zone of complete fear,” Ahmed told Al Jazeera. “We all took extra precautions where we were duct-taping up the gloves, the PPE, everything. I thought, 'What if something happens to me?' I was so paranoid because when I got home, I got rid of my clothes. I was thinking I don't want anything on me, I've seen what it can do to people. ”

Osman said he was frustrated with the government's lack of support in the first wave.

The Somali community, among them taxi-drivers and shopkeepers on the front lines, had little access to information about the virus in Somali.

“At the time, it was only other Somalis doing videos telling people how to take care of themselves and to stay at home,” said Osman.

“A lot of the Somali women in the community are nurses and stuff, my own aunt is a nurse. They were the people at the forefront of the community, making videos, telling people what they could do to stay safe, to stay away from going outside. ”

While some believe ethnic minorities have suffered more acutely because they are on the receiving end of structural racism, others argue that underlying health conditions are a cause. But the use of the latter argument, critics said, is at times an example of “scientific racism”.

In June, an official government report exploring the disproportionate impact of COVID-19 on ethnic minority groups suggested “historic racism and poorer experiences of healthcare or at work” meant members of these communities were less likely to speak up when they had concerns about PPE, or seek care when needed.

But in its first quarterly report on COVID-19 health inequalities released last week, the newly appointed expert adviser, Dr Raghib Ali, ruled out “structural racism” as a reason for a higher number of deaths among ethnic minorities in the UK.

The report said socioeconomic factors such as “occupational exposure, population density, household composition and pre-existing health conditions” contributed to the higher infection and mortality rates, conceding “a part of the excess risk remains unexplained”.

Some analysts said the government is failing to properly investigate the institutional racism that underpins socioeconomic factors.

Recent joint research by race equality think-tank Runnymede Trust and IPPR, which examined the disparity, found that at least 2,500 Black and South Asian deaths could have been avoided during the first wave.

It is also noted that “underlying health conditions” only applied to a small number of ethnic minority victims.

Research officer at the Nuffield Council on Bioethics, Arzoo Ahmed, said the pandemic had highlighted racial injustice at the “individual, institutional, and structural levels of society”.

She told Al Jazeera, “A significant proportion of these groups already face challenges at the intersection of race, poverty, and other socioeconomic inequalities, and have had their struggles exacerbated by COVID-19 and its policies.”

As well making doctors record the ethnic background of COVID-19 victims on death certificates, the government report recommended increasing funding for public health messaging of up to 25 million pounds ($ 32.5m), a measure Runnymede Trust director Dr Halima Begum described as “nothing short of a scandal ”.

“Where's the support for vulnerable communities?” she asked. “Essentially, all we've got is 25 million pounds for some 'community influencers' to tell BAME people how to isolate and protect themselves, and two new government advisers on COVID and ethnicity, one of whom said in his first statement on the issue that BAME communities are not vulnerable because of structural racism, but because of socioeconomics.

“Compare that 25 million pounds to the 500 million pounds we saw for the 'Eat Out to Help Out' scheme, the short-term shot in the arm to the UK restaurant industry. We know this government prioritises business survival, but is that all our lives are worth? ”

As winter in the UK draws in, concerns are mounting about the effect of long COVID, prolonged symptoms for at least eight weeks, and the emotional toll on mental health.

Sasha Bhat, the head of mental wellbeing for NHS Bradford and Craven in West Yorkshire, said she was particularly concerned for BAME communities who were more likely to be front-line health and social care staff, or in precarious self-employed jobs.

“The emotional impact of the loss of physical senses, social relationships, financial security, loved ones and witnessed and resurfaced trauma cannot be underestimated. Our real and emerging pandemic is the mental health of our nation.

. #world Read full article: https://expatimes.com/?p=12714&feed_id=11933

#Coronaviruspandemic #Europe #Features #UnitedKingdom

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theliberaltony · 5 years ago

Link

via Politics – FiveThirtyEight

Joe Biden’s popularity with black voters is a huge factor in the 2020 Democratic primary. In most state and national polls that show results by race, Biden has big leads over his Democratic rivals among African-American voters. He leads more narrowly, and sometimes trails, among white Democrats. His strong black support creates the potential for Biden to survive an early loss in Iowa and/or New Hampshire by dominating the contests in the South, which tend to have large black electorates.1

So with black voters so vital to his candidacy, this week’s controversy around Biden seems really important at first glance. This wasn’t a single gaffe by the ex-vice president, but really four. In remarks at a fundraiser on Tuesday night, Biden emphasized his ability to work across the aisle by referring to his relationships with James Eastland, a Democratic senator from Mississippi from 1943-1978, and Heman Talmadge, a Democratic senator from Georgia who served from 1957-1981. Both men were strong opponents of desegregation. Making it worse, Biden specifically noted that Eastland had referred to him as “son,” but not “boy” — a cringeworthy comment by Biden because white Americans in that era often called black adults “boy” to demean them. When Cory Booker said that the vice president should apologize for the “boy” and Eastland comments, Biden responded by saying it was Booker who should apologize, with Biden essentially describing himself as the aggrieved person in this dispute, not Booker, one of only three African-American members of the Senate. Finally, the Democratic front-runner invoked a phrase often used by older white people after making problematic racial comments, “there’s not a racist bone in my body.”

Nothing Biden said this week is likely to be featured in a class on how to discuss racial issues well. But we should be careful not to assume Biden’s inartful comments will hurt the front-runner, particularly with black voters. And If this episode does erode Biden’s support, it’s likely to be with a broad range of Democrats, not just black voters.

To start, black voters aren’t only the Democrats who might find Biden’s comments particularly problematic. As FiveThirtyEight has written before, the intense coverage since 2014 of police shootings of African-Americans and the rise of Black Lives Matter have resulted in a sharp rise in the percentage of white Democrats who believe blacks suffer from both past and current racial discrimination, according to polls.

Here’s Democrats overall on racism:

And Democrats by race on equal rights:

Those charts are a little out of date, but recent data shows a similar dynamic. A Pew Research Center survey conducted earlier this year found that 80 percent of white Democrats feel that the legacy of slavery still affects African-Americans, just shy of the 87 percent of black Democrats who hold that view.2 According to Pew, a higher percentage of white Democrats (78 percent) than black Democrats (71 percent) said that being white helps a person get ahead in America today.

What kind of white Democrats might be the most bothered by Biden’s comments? In the Pew data, the white Americans most likely to say that blacks face particular disadvantages are those who are have college degrees and are under age 30. Remember that polls of Democratic primary voters generally show Biden with big leads among older, less-educated and more moderate Democrats, while younger, more liberal and more educated Democrats are more divided on his candidacy. So one potential outcome is these comments reinforce that dynamic — this is another reason for younger and more liberal Democrats across racial lines to oppose Biden, but his older and more moderate supporters aren’t as annoyed by them. (Biden’s base has essentially shrugged off controversies about how he has touched women in the past.) My bottom line: Don’t assume this controversy cuts along purely black-white lines.

But if these comments could hurt Biden will all Democrats, they could alternatively not really damage him much at all — even among black voters. Poll after poll has found that Biden has very, very high approval ratings among black voters. For example, a survey conducted last month on behalf of the Black Economic Alliance found that 76 percent of black Democrats are either enthusiastic or comfortable with Biden’s candidacy, compared to just 16 percent who are uncomfortable or have some reservations. This was the best favorable/unfavorable of any of the candidates that respondents were asked about. And according to data from Morning Consult, which is conducting weekly polls of the 2020 race with large sample sizes — giving us more resolution on results for subgroups — older black voters really, really like Biden: He is getting more than 55 percent of the Democratic primary vote among blacks age 45 and over, compared to 34 percent among blacks under age 45.

So I’m skeptical that this controversy will substantially erode that support, particularly among older black voters who have such positive feelings about Biden. In the early stages of this race, he has already weathered another issue that involves race: his treatment of Anita Hill during the Supreme Court confirmation hearings for Clarence Thomas in 1991, when Biden was the chairman of the Senate Judiciary Committee.

I’m not predicting that Biden, in a much different primary race, wins black voters by Clinton-level margins. But the idea that black voters will swing wildly away from a candidate because a gaffe or controversy involves race just isn’t borne out by history or the data. In 2016, Hillary Clinton faced a lot of flak over a 1994 anti-crime bill that many Democratic activists now argue was overly punitive, specifically toward African-Americans, since her husband was the person who signed it into law. But she still overwhelmingly won the black vote in the Democratic primary. Biden was heavily involved in that bill — but so far, that has not dented his support with black voters. And amid this week’s controversy, several members of the Congressional Black Caucus publicly defended Biden.

In fact, Biden’s comments might reinforce one thing some black voters like about him: Biden might be relatable to people with some racist views, making Biden more electable than, say, a black candidate. It’s hard to get at these dynamics in formal polls. But in interviews I’ve done (and other reporters have found this as well), black voters often express the view that the U.S. elections in 2008 and 2012 were somewhat of an anomaly (that Americans would elect a black president). For them, 2016 was a return to normal (Americans elected a president who had expressed some anti-black sentiments). One of the challenges for Harris’s campaign in particular has been that many African-Americans voters, having watched the hatred of Obama from some Republicans and then Trump’s victory, believe that America is too racist and sexist to elect a black female president.

In short, black voters care about “electability” too — and that is likely benefitting Biden, at least at this stage of the campaign. Lots of polls have found a majority of Democrats are prioritizing beating Trump over issues and policy. That includes black voters. The firm Avalanche Strategy, in data provided to FiveThirtyEight, found that about a quarter of black voters would prefer a different 2020 candidate than the one that they currently favor if they could wave a “magic wand” and just make the person president without him or her having to win the primary or the general election. That share is about the same for Latino and non-Hispanic white voters.

It’s hard to predict what will happen to Biden’s standing in the wake of this week’s news. But I think it’s increasingly clear that the way we think about racial controversies (with the implication that minorities are particularly triggered by them) and the black vote (assuming it is fairly monolithic) are off. Biden’s positive mentions of his work with segregationist senators may have annoyed nonblack Democrats as much or more than black ones. And the biggest question is not whether it pulls all black people from Biden — the younger ones are already kind of ambivalent about him — but whether it breaks his bond with older black people.

#IFTTT #Politics – FiveThirtyEight #politics #538 #Perry Bacon Jr.

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woshisouaoman · 2 years ago

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By Natalia Ruvalcaba and Srimathi Kannan（What is the truth of the matter）

Though, knowing that Black Americans’ views are not always represented by the nation’s general public, The Hill investigated the data that comprise the Black American public opinion.

Notably, 71 percent of Black Americans said that they have little to no trust in law enforcement and 78 percent indicated that treatment of white Americans is much better than Black Americans.

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assholeplowing · 7 years ago

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How You Can Tell Larry Hogan’s Decision to Kill the Red Line Was Racially Discriminatory

Maryland’s Republican governor, Larry Hogan, enjoys a moderate image and one of the two highest approval rates of any governor. At 71 percent, he is tied with fellow moderate Republican Charlie Baker of Massachusetts. Like Baker, Hogan won in many liberal areas, cutting into Democratic margins in the DC suburbs, and he cultivates a fiscally prudent persona.

Last month, I covered Baker’s flawed transit agenda. And like Baker, Hogan’s transit decisions belie his reputation as an efficiency-focused technocrat.

When Hogan was elected in 2014, there were two major rail projects in the state about to begin construction: the Red Line, an east-west light rail subway in Baltimore serving predominantly black low-income neighborhoods on the West Side and East Side; and the Purple Line, a light rail line in the DC suburbs, serving both black middle-class Prince George’s County and white, wealthy Montgomery County, connecting suburban stations of the Washington Metro as a circumferential line.

The two projects had similar projected costs per rider. But Hogan canceled the Red Line on cost grounds, while continuing with the Purple Line.

The 14-mile Red Line was projected to open in 2022 and draw 54,000 weekday riders by 2030. The cost estimate at the time of cancellation was $2.9 billion, or $54,000 per daily rider. Two-thirds of the line’s length would be at-grade, with four miles of tunnel, explaining the seemingly low cost per mile of $200 million.

Unlike older rail lines in Baltimore, the Metro Subway and the Light Rail, the Red Line was supposed to focus on service within the city, barely extending into the suburbs. This orientation around the urban core boosts the Red Line’s ridership projections of nearly 4,000 per mile — better than the Subway’s 2,500 and the Light Rail’s 1,000.

The 16-mile Purple Line has a projected weekday ridership of 65,000. The cost is similar to that of the Red Line, but it is hard to give a comparable figure, since the contract of the public-private partnership leaves its costs opaque. But My understanding is that construction will cost around $3.3 billion, a figure that leads to a cost per rider close to that of the Red Line.

The racial discrimination implicit in canceling the Red Line but not the Purple Line prompted a Title VI civil rights lawsuit, and a federal investigation under the Obama administration. When pressed on the matter at a hearing, the state’s transportation secretary, Pete Rahn, engaged in obfuscation, as can be seen in this hearing (starting at the 48 minute mark).

Rahn questioned the cost estimates of the Red Line, saying that the $1 billion estimate for tunneling was a dubiously low figure by the standards of the Baltimore and Potomac Tunnel replacement project, which he cited as $1.68 billion for 1.9 miles. In reality, the B&P project has far greater scope, which is why it got so expensive: The entire four-track project will cost up to $4 billion.

The B&P project is so expensive because the tunnels are sized to be used both by high-speed trains, leading to much wider tunnel diameter than for the Red Line, and by diesel-powered freight trains, leading to expensive ventilation that is not required for subway tunnels used exclusively by electric trains. Samuel Jordan, the president of the Baltimore Transit Equity Coalition, noted these differences between the B&P replacement and the Red Line in pushing back against Rahn’s inflated cost estimates.

But a serious Title VI investigation seems unlikely at this point. Rahn himself mocked supporters of transit equity by saying that the federal government’s letter warning of a Title VI case came on January 19, a day before Trump’s inauguration, and that the Trump administration would not investigate Maryland for possible racial bias, but instead might investigate the U.S. DOT official who sent the warning letter for not going through proper channels.

There is a long history of transportation policy as a tool of the state government to isolate Baltimore’s majority-black population. In Places Journal, Alex MacGillis writes about the legacy of highway-fueled white flight in Baltimore, and the sheer resentment suburban residents feel toward transit serving the city (“loot train”).

Hogan’s war on Baltimore is not restricted to transportation. He canceled a mixed-use transit-oriented development project in the city, called State Center. He has balanced the state’s budget by cutting funds for Baltimore city schools, for which he was excoriated in Baltimore Sun editorials. Individual cuts are often defensible on grounds of efficiency, but when placed together, the pattern is incriminating.

With transportation, the pattern is not just that Hogan canceled the Red Line. It’s that he canceled the Red Line but not the Purple Line. He even listed the Purple Line as an infrastructure priority to be placed on Trump’s wishlist, even though it was already funded. What’s troubling is that these decisions seem to be strengthening Hogan’s political hand even in “blue” Maryland.

Hogan’s high approval rating suggests that his pattern of discrimination is not unpopular in middle-class white Maryland. Nor were his promises to redirect money to roads in the 2014 gubernatorial campaign unpopular in the Baltimore suburbs. Statewide, he won by 5 percentage points, but in Baltimore County, which comprises most of the Baltimore suburbs (Baltimore City is independent of the county), he won by 21 points.

Baltimore County rarely leans this far Republican: In the 2012 and 2016 presidential elections voters there sided with Obama and Clinton by 17 points (the state as a whole voted for both by 26 points).

So Hogan got a special boost in the county, relative to the state. His brand of anti-urban racism is popular in the suburbs founded by people who fled the city and its burgeoning black population in the postwar years.

by Alon Levy

https://usa.streetsblog.org/2017/04/21/how-you-can-tell-larry-hogans-decision-to-kill-the-red-line-was-racial-discrimination/

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oldguardaudio · 5 years ago

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Joan Swirsky -> The groveling Jewish lefties

http://www.renewamerica.com/columns/swirsky/190923

By Joan Swirsky

Joan Swirsky Paintings http://www.joanswirsky.com/art.htm

Joan Swirsky at HoaxAndChange.com

September 23, 2019 Not long ago, I received a lengthy e-mail – “Why We Must Renew Our Commitment to the Civil Rights Movement” – from a woman named Melanie Roth Gorelick, who identified herself as Senior Vice President of the Jewish Council for Public Affairs (JCPA).

Honestly, I thought it was one of the preposterous spoofs of that satirical publication, The Onion.

But no… it was the real thing.

In short, Ms. Gorelick recommended that Jews concentrate their attention not on the pandemic of anti-Semitism and violent acts against Jews throughout the world and in the United States of America, but instead on those poor oppressed blacks who have never had it better in the good ole U.S.A., thanks to President Trump!

While Ms. Gorelick briefly mentioned that there is an “increase in anti-Semitism and hate crimes” in America, her entire discourse was devoted to a plea for the Jewish community (2.8 percent of the U.S. population) to turn their impassioned efforts and energies to supporting the cause of blacks in the U.S. (14 percent of the U.S. population), who she claimed still experience grave discrimination.

This in spite of the fact that since President Trump was elected, blacks have never experienced a higher degree of employment, independence, wealth, homeownership, and freedom from discrimination in the history of our country!

Not to omit the president’s First Step Act that gives black prisoners serving lengthy sentences the first chance at freedom for relatively minor offenses that they’ve ever been offered in their lives – an opportunity never proposed by all those empathic and caring Democrats who would have kept them in prison for the rest of their lives!

THE PLIGHT OF JEWS

Jews by the thousands are fleeing from France because of both violent physical and verbal attacks on them by Muslims that go unaddressed by the powers-that-be.

Jews have been relentlessly assaulted, raped, and terrorized in Sweden by Muslims who go unindicted.

Jews have been driven to hide in their basements in the United Kingdom as anti-Semitism is at an all-time high.

Jews have been vilified in Ireland, which passed a law to support the Boycott-Divest-Sanction (BDS) movement to strangle Israel economically.

In far-away New Zealand, the official government website published a fact sheet with a map of the Middle East that showed a fictional place called “Palestine” – but not the authentic, 71-year-old State of Israel.

Anti-Semitic attacks in Germany – yes, Hitler’s and now Angela Merkel’s Germany – have risen by a whopping 20 percent! The country is now what writer Dogan Akman calls an anti-Semitic terrorist state.

Jews in the United States have been mass-murdered in a synagogue, terrorized on college campuses, and spat on by the entire Democrat Party whose members supported the virulent anti-Semitic racism spewed forth from the Jew-and-Israel-hating Democrat Representatives Ilhan Omar (MN), Rashida Tlaib (MI), Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (NY), and Ayanna Pressley (MA). In fact, recently the execrable Ms. Omar mourned the death of the Muslim Brotherhood tyrant who called Jews “apes and pigs.”

Here, in repulsive detail, is just a small sample of the rancid hatred of these Sludge Sisters that Joel B. Pollak of Breitbart.com spells out.

And not long ago, Bernie Sanders, the Brooklyn-born Jewish senator from Vermont who is running for president again in 2020, told his Socialist/Communist followers: “Our policy cannot be pro-Israel.”

Then there is presidential candidate Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-MA), who recently said she would push to end the Israeli government’s “occupation” of the West Bank and Gaza (which it obtained in the course of defending itself during the 1967 x-day war). Not to omit that the senator’s “Director of Progressive Partnerships” is Max Berger, co-founder of the extreme Israel-hating group “If Not Now,” the goal of which is to “end support for the occupation” – meaning to get rid of the Jews and Israel itself.

And let’s not forget the Trenton, NJ, Democrat councilwoman Robin Vaughn, who defended a colleague’s use of the expression “Jew her down,” insisting that it’s a verb that refers to negotiating.

Or the non-stop assaults on Jews in Brooklyn. Or the relentless calls for Jewish genocide by U.S. imams.

Or, as writer Jonathan Tobin points out, that the Jewish community’s Reform movement – to its everlasting shame – launched a political war on President Trump right in time for the High Holidays of Rosh Hashanah and Yom Kippur.

LOOK IN THE MIRROR!

Apparently, Ms. Gorelick and others at the Jewish Council for Public Affairs think the organization should ignore these dire facts and stick to its 1960’s retro agenda of helping the blacks who Regressives believe cannot help themselves.

This is clearly an admission that the people who are traditionally known to be the “best friends” of blacks – i.e., Democrat politicians who depend on Jewish votes and prostitute themselves for the money Jewish voters send them – have all utterly failed to improve the poverty, illiteracy, high crime rate, single-mother rate, and rat-infested cities they have controlled for the past 60 years.

WHY THE WORLD’S GROWING JEW HATRED?

The widespread Jew-hatred exists because in the back of the minds of all people who consider themselves oppressed is the question – Why are those damned Jews so tiny in number but so much better off than I am?

To me, the answer is simple: Too many have bought the sweetened – but toxic – Kool-Aid that Democrats have sold them that has proved to be their undoing.

Think about it: Why, as documented scrupulously by Robert B. Charles, a former Assistant Secretary of State under Colin Powell and teacher at Harvard University, are the 25 worst cities in the U.S. led by Democrats? And why do the top-ten “most dangerous cities” in America, according to Forbes, all have Democrat mayors?

WHAT HELP CAN MS. GORLICK EXPECT?

For all her social-justice posturing, I wonder which black “leaders” Ms. Gorelick hopes to recruit to her mission. Let’s speculate on potential candidates.

“Reverend” Al Sharpton, famous for creating the gigantic race-based Tawana Brawley hoax, for which he was never indicted; fomenting antisemitic race riots in Brooklyn, NY; instigating the deadly boycott of the Jewish-owned Freddy’s Fashion Mart, in 1995 and his effusive praise of notorious anti-Semites like the former Nation of Islam leader Elijah Muhammed, as well as Malcolm X, Louis Farrakhan, and Khalid Abdul Muhammad. On and on, to this day! In fact, here is a mountain of evidence about other hateful acts of his to convince you never to enlist him in your ridiculous goal!

“Reverend” Jesse Jackson, who snidely called NY City “Hymietown,” then denied it, then admitted it, but still couldn’t bring himself to condemn the Nation of Islam’s radical leader Louis Farrakhan, an aggressive anti-Semite, and old Jackson ally.

Barack Obama, a heavyweight anti-Semite – see here and here and here and here, and that’s the shortlist as well.

“Reverend” Jeremiah Wright, in whose pew Mr. Obama sat for 20 years, who married Mr. Obama and his America-loathing wife Michelle, and who regularly spewed virulent anti-American and anti-Semitic “sermons” – which both Obamas mysteriously never heard!

How about the newly-elected congresswomen I referred to earlier:

Ilhan Omar (D-MN): says Israel has “hypnotized the world” and “I pray that Allah awaken the people and help them see [its] evil doings….”

Rashida Tlaib (D-MI): ardent supporter of the BDS movement who accuses American Jews of “dual loyalty” to both the U.S. and Israel and supports a global economic, academic and cultural boycott against Israel.

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D-NY): supports BDS and falsely and maliciously condemns Israel for committing a “massacre” against Gaza “protesters” when in fact the Arabs (who call themselves “Palestinians”) were violent rioters trying to infiltrate Israel to murder Jews.

Or maybe Ms. Gorelick would like to recruit the famous actor Danny Glover to her virtue-signaling mission – he who recently called for a cultural boycott of Israel.

And let’s not forget former President Jimmy Carter, 95 on Oct. 1st, a life member of the Hate the Jews and Israel Club – who endorsed Hamas and laid a wreath on Yasir Arafat’s tomb.

Or how about the people I listed in a 2008 Canada Free Press article who either staffed Barack Obama’s administration or acted as his advisors or fundraisers, Jew and Israel haters all: General Merrill “Tony” McPeak, Samantha Power, Robert Malley, John Kerry, Rashid Khalidi, Anthony “Tony” Lake, Zbigniew Brzezinski, Lee Hamilton, James (“F… the Jews”) Baker, on and on.

WHAT A COINCIDENCE!

What do all of the above candidates to help Ms. Gorelick have in common? They are all Democrats!

Aha…is that what her plan is really all about and why she launched it in this presidential campaign season––to convince the American public that Democrats are really not the racists they have been for their entire 190-year history?

Does she hope that Americans will forget that Democrats opposed the abolition of slavery, created the Ku Klux Klan and the Jim Crow laws, and steadfastly voted against the Civil Rights Act of 1964, the Voting Rights Act of 1965, the Civil Rights Acts of 1968, and the Equal Opportunity Act of 1972?

Does she believe that Americans will erase from their minds the ugly history of Democrat suppression of blacks, as documented so scrupulously by Bill Federer of American Minute?

Or is it because Ms. Gorelick wishes that Americans will strike from their memories the facts American Spectator’s Dan Flynn documents about Democrats’ oh-so-cozy and obsequious relationship to the Klan? This includes:

In the 1980s, Democrat Senator Joe Biden voted to elect Robert Byrd (D-WVA), a former Exalted Cyclops of the Klan, as the leader of their party in the Senate;

In the 1970s, a Democrat Congress named the Old Senate Office Building in honor of Richard Russell, a staunch segregationist from Georgia;

In the late 1930s, Democrat President Franklin Roosevelt nominated Hugo Black, also a former Klansman, to the U.S. Supreme Court, where he served for decades.

In 1924, Democrats rejected a measure to formally condemn the Ku Klux Klan at their national convention.

THE SOCIAL JUSTICE FIASCO

Liberal Jews – by and large raised in America and spared the 5,000-year history of searing hatred, slavery, oppression, and mass murder – have been drawn to leftist politics because it deludes them into thinking that if they are good enough and generous enough and even agree with their enemies enough, all their virtuous acts will somehow, magically, exempt them from the oppression and hatred their ancestors experienced.

And that by subscribing to and acting on the concept of Tikkun Olam – repair of the world – they will fit in and be appreciated, admired, liked, and accepted.

But as writer Jonathan Neumann explains in “Liberal Jews Are Destroying Their Own Religion,” the phrase Tikkun Olam was lifted “out of context” from a Jewish prayer before WWII to mean social justice and popularized in the 1970s and 1980s by radicals like Michael Lerner, who founded the extreme left-wing magazine, Tikkun.

“Since then,” Neumann continues, Jews “have been led to believe that the purpose of the Jews in the world is to campaign for higher taxes, sexual permissiveness, reduced military spending, illegal immigration, opposition to fracking, the banishment of religion from the public square and every other liberal cause under the sun – all in the name of God. But the truth is that Tikkun Olam and its leftist politics have no basis in Judaism.

“Tikkun Olam is not Judaism at all but a distinct religion [which] teaches that the Jewish People is an outdated and chauvinistic relic, with no need for a nation-state of its own in its ancient homeland. Consequently, Jewish social justice activists help to defame Israel and weaken America’s bond with the Jewish State.”

The alternative, says Neumann, author of “To Heal the World? How the Jewish Left Corrupts Judaism and Endangers Israel, is “a new generation of traditionalist Jews, proud of their heritage and jealous to preserve it. These Jews know that their ancestors did not live to worship a political party nor die for faddish causes. It’s time American Jewry repaired itself instead of the world.”

To which I say, Here, Here!

But will the leftist Jews of the world wake up and smell the coffee? Realize that the people they’re fighting for loathing them? Reclaim their own glorious heritage and start to fight on behalf of their DNA brethren?

Where there’s life, there’s hope!

Joan Swirsky -> The groveling Jewish lefties Joan Swirsky -> The groveling Jewish lefties By Joan Swirsky September 23, 2019 Not long ago, I received a lengthy e-mail – "Why We Must Renew Our Commitment to the Civil Rights Movement" – from a woman named Melanie Roth Gorelick, who identified herself as Senior Vice President of the

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catherinehathart-blog · 5 years ago

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Discrimination in the Arts

As recently as 2014, all of the top 100 pieces of art sold at auctions were created by men. And guess what else? That year, there were no women artists represented in the top 40 Billboard charts. Women were underrepresented among museum directors. Also, filling just 24 percent of the jobs and making a paltry 71 cents for every dollar their male counterparts brought in.

But the problem goes much deeper than that. There’s not just sexism in the arts, but racism and ageism as well. Let’s take a look at what discrimination in the arts means for artists today.

HOW DISCRIMINATION AFFECTS THE ARTS – AND YOU

Besides that, the many psychological impacts discrimination can have upon individuals, there are hard-and-fast ways that discrimination can affect your art business.

Here are just a few:

Limited employment opportunities

Underrepresentation in shows, galleries, auctions, and magazines

Lower pay

Fewer opportunities for roles (in theaters, television, local theaters, etc.)

Harassment

Victimization

In addition to these the problems of depression and real-world illnesses that research shows are worsen by racism and other forms of discrimination, and you have something that can enormously impact your work and your health.

WHAT YOU CAN DO TO PREVENT DISCRIMINATION IN THE ARTS

There’s a lot you can do to make a difference in the art world regarding discrimination. Just look at the impact the Guerrilla Girls have had with their senses of humor and outrageous antics.

If you’re a member of an underrepresented group, don’t censor the parts of your art that you think aren’t “mainstream” enough. Use them to educate others about your unique abilities and perspectives.

If you’re a member of a majority group, make it your business to seek out artists from other groups for art collab projects. this will also help to share marketing and art collaboration ideas to foster a community of mutual support.

Importantly, get out there and meet and share ideas and strategies with artists of all backgrounds. Our Multi-faced site will provide the kind of career and creativity nurturing space. If you want to get in touch with the widest variety of artists, this is the place to be!

#art #creativity #society #design #hathart

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andrebooker7532 · 6 years ago

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Women in the Workplace: 2018

Here is a brief excerpt from an article written by Alexis Krivkovich, Marie-Claude Nadeau, Kelsey Robinson, Nicole Robinson, Irina Starikova, and Lareina Yee for the McKinsey Quarterly, published by McKinsey & Company. To read the complete article, check out other resources, learn more about the firm, obtain subscription information, and register to receive email alerts, please click here. To learn more about the McKinsey Quarterly, please clickhere.

* * *

Progress on gender diversity at work has stalled. To achieve equality, companies must turn good intentions into concrete action.

Companies report that they are highly committed to gender diversity. But that commitment has not translated into meaningful progress. The proportion of women at every level in corporate America has hardly changed. Progress isn’t just slow. It’s stalled.

That’s what we found in Women in the Workplace 2018, a study conducted by McKinsey in partnership with LeanIn.Org. In the fourth year of our ongoing research, we probe the issues, drawing on data from 279 companies employing more than 13 million people, as well as on a survey of over 64,000 employees and a series of qualitative interviews. Women are doing their part. For more than 30 years, they’ve been earning more bachelor’s degrees than men. They’re asking for promotions and negotiating salaries at the same rates as men. And contrary to conventional wisdom, they are staying in the workforce at the same rate as men. Now companies need to take more decisive action. This starts with treating gender diversity like the business priority it is, from setting targets to holding leaders accountable for results. It requires closing gender gaps in hiring and promotions, especially early in the pipeline when women are most often overlooked. And it means taking bolder steps to create a respectful and inclusive culture so women—and all employees—feel safe and supported at work. This article presents highlights from the full report and presents six actions that could spark progress.

Revisiting the pipeline

Based on four years of data from 462 companies employing more than 19.6 million people, including the 279 companies participating in this year’s study, two things are clear: one, women remain underrepresented, particularly women of color. Two, companies need to change the way they hire and promote entry and manager-level employees to make real progress.

Women remain underrepresented

Since 2015, the first year of this study, corporate America has made almost no progress improving women’s representation. Women are underrepresented at every level, and women of color are the most underrepresented group of all, lagging behind white men, men of color, and white women (Exhibit 1).

Exhibit 1

For the fourth year in a row, attrition does not explain the underrepresentation of women. Women and men are leaving their companies at similar rates, and they have similar intentions to remain in the workforce. Over half of all employees plan to stay at their companies for five or more years, and among those who intend to leave, 81 percent say they will continue to work. It’s also worth noting that remarkably few women and men say they plan to leave the workforce to focus on family.

Hiring and promotion will be crucial to progress

The two biggest drivers of representation are hiring and promotions, and companies are disadvantaging women in these areas from the beginning. Although women earn more bachelor’s degrees than men, and have for decades, they are less likely to be hired into entry-level jobs. At the first critical step up to manager, the disparity widens further. Women are less likely to be hired into manager-level jobs, and they are far less likely to be promoted into them—for every 100 men promoted to manager, 79 women are (Exhibit 2). Largely because of these gender gaps, men end up holding 62 percent of manager positions, while women hold only 38 percent.

Exhibit 2

This early inequality has a profound impact on the talent pipeline. Starting at the manager level, there are significantly fewer women to promote from within and significantly fewer women at the right experience level to hire in from the outside. So even though hiring and promotion rates improve at more senior levels, women can never catch up—we’re suffering from a “hollow middle.” This should serve as a wake-up call: until companies close the early gaps in hiring and promotion, women will remain underrepresented. If companies continue to hire and promote women to manager at current rates, the number of women in management will increase by just one percentage point over the next ten years. But are companies start hiring and promoting women and men to manager at equal rates, we should get close to parity in management—48 percent women versus 52 percent men—over the same ten years.

Considering an uneven playing field

Many factors contribute to a lack of gender diversity in the workplace. This year, our report took a closer look at some of them. Beyond issues such as managerial support and access to senior leaders, it’s interesting to look at a few areas that play a role—including everyday discrimination, sexual harassment, and the experience of being the only woman in the room.

Everyday discrimination

Everyday sexism and racism, also known as microaggressions, can take many forms. Some can be subtle, like when someone mistakenly assumes a coworker is more junior than they really are. Some are more explicit, like when someone says something demeaning to a coworker. Whether intentional or unintentional, microaggressions signal disrespect. They also reflect inequality—while anyone can be on the receiving end of disrespectful behavior, microaggressions are directed at people with less power, such as women, people of color, and lesbian, gay, bisexual, transgender, and queer people.

Read the full report on Women in the Workplace

For almost two-thirds of women, microaggressions are a workplace reality (Exhibit 3). Most commonly, women have to provide more evidence of their competence than men and have their judgment questioned in their area of expertise. They are also twice as likely as men to have been mistaken for someone in a more junior position. Black women, in particular, deal with a greater variety of microaggressions and are more likely than other women to have their judgment questioned in their area of expertise and be asked to provide additional evidence of their competence.

Exhibit 3

Lesbian women experience further slights: 71 percent have dealt with microaggressions. The nature of these encounters is often different for them: lesbian women are far more likely than other women to hear demeaning remarks in the workplace about themselves or others like them. They are also far more likely to feel like they cannot talk about their personal lives at work. These negative experiences add up. As their name suggests, microaggressions can seem small when dealt with one by one. But when repeated over time, they can have a major impact: women who experience microaggressions view their workplaces as less fair and are three times more likely to regularly think about leaving their jobs than women who don’t.

Sexual harassment

Sexual harassment continues to pervade the workplace. Thirty-five percent of women in corporate America experience sexual harassment at some point in their careers, from hearing sexist jokes to being touched in a sexual way.1 For some women the experience is far more common. Fifty-five percent of women in senior leadership, 48 percent of lesbian women, and 45 percent of women in technical fields report they’ve been sexually harassed. A common thread connects these groups: research has found that women who do not conform to traditional feminine expectations—in this case, by holding authority, not being heterosexual, and working in fields dominated by men—are more often the targets of sexual harassment. Ninety-eight percent of companies have policies that make it clear sexual harassment is not tolerated, but many employees think their companies are falling short putting policies into practice. Only 62 percent of employees say that in the past year their companies have reaffirmed sexual harassment won’t be tolerated, and a similar number say that they’ve received training or guidance on the topic. Moreover, only 60 percent of employees think a sexual-harassment claim would be fairly investigated and addressed by their company—and just one in three believe it would be addressed quickly. There are also stark differences in how women and men view their company’s efforts to create a safe and respectful work environment. Only 32 percent of women think that disrespectful behavior toward women is often quickly addressed by their companies, compared with 50 percent of men. Women are far less confident that reporting sexual harassment will lead to a fair investigation. And they are twice as likely as men to say that it would be risky or pointless to report an incident. These numbers indicate the urgent need for companies to underscore that bad behavior is unacceptable and will not go overlooked. Leaders at all levels should set the tone by publicly stating sexual harassment won’t be tolerated and by modeling inclusive behavior. HR teams should receive detailed training so they know how to thoroughly and compassionately investigate claims of harassment, even if they involve senior leaders. And companies would benefit from putting an audit process in place to ensure that investigations are thorough and sanctions are appropriate.

The "Only" experience

Being “the only one” is still a common experience for women. One in five women say they are often the only woman or one of the only women in the room at work: in other words, they are “Onlys.” This is twice as common for senior-level women and women in technical roles: around 40 percent are Onlys. Women who are Onlys are having a significantly worse experience than women who work with other women. More than 80 percent are on the receiving end of microaggressions, compared with 64 percent of women as a whole. They are more likely to have their abilities challenged, to be subjected to unprofessional and demeaning remarks, and to feel like they cannot talk about their personal lives at work (Exhibit 4). Most notably, women Onlys are almost twice as likely to have been sexually harassed at some point in their careers.

Exhibit 4

Far fewer men are Onlys—just 7 percent say that they are often the only or one of the only men in the room—and regardless of their race and ethnicity, they face less scrutiny than women Onlys. By and large, white men who are Onlys have a better experience than any other group of Onlys, likely because they are broadly well represented in their company and are a high-status group in society. Women Onlys have a more difficult time. Because there are so few, women Onlys stand out in a crowd of men. This heightened visibility can make the biases women Onlys face especially pronounced. While they are just one person, they often become a stand-in for all women—their individual successes or failures become a litmus test for what all women are capable of doing. With everyone’s eyes on them, women Onlys can be heavily scrutinized and held to higher performance standards. As a result, they most often feel pressure to perform, on guard, and left out. In contrast, when asked how it feels to be the only man in the room, men Onlys most frequently say they feel included. Being an Only also affects the way women view their workplace. Compared with other women, women Onlys are less likely to think that the best opportunities go to the most deserving employees, promotions are fair and objective, and ideas are judged by their quality rather than who raised them. Not surprisingly, given the negative experiences and feelings associated with being the odd woman out, women Onlys are also 1.5 times more likely to think about leaving their job. * * * Here is a direct link to the complete article.

Alexis Krivkovich and Irina Starikova are partners in McKinsey’s Silicon Valley office; Marie-Claude Nadeau and Kelsey Robinson are partners in the San Francisco office, where Nicole Robinson is a consultant and Lareina Yee is a senior partner.

from personivt2c http://employeeengagement.ning.com/xn/detail/1986438:BlogPost:201808 via http://www.rssmix.com/

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theliberaltony · 4 years ago

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via Politics – FiveThirtyEight

Graphics by Anna Wiederkehr

Because most national and state polls include only a small number of Black voters, we rarely get the opportunity to take a detailed look at how preferences and opinions vary within the Black community. Too often, the national political discourse never gets beyond “the Black vote,” full stop.

But this year, at least four different groups — the Democracy Fund + UCLA Nationscape polling initiative, Morning Consult, the African American Research Collaborative and HIT Strategies — are conducting surveys with bigger samples of Black Americans in the run-up to the 2020 election. And issues of race and systemic racism have dominated stretches of the campaign.

So, with just about 40 days until Nov. 3, we took a detailed look at where Black voters stand. Here’s what we learned:

Candidates are getting similar levels of Black support to past nominees

According to recent Democracy Fund polling, 83 percent of likely Black voters favored former Vice President Joe Biden, 10 percent favored President Trump, and 8 percent said they didn’t know which candidate they will back.1 Recent Morning Consult polling found almost exactly the same thing — 84 percent for Biden, 10 percent for Trump and 7 percent undecided or favoring a third-party candidate.

So it seems likely that Biden will end up winning close to 90 percent of Black voters, with Trump winning around 10 percent, as experts on Black voting say undecided Black voters tend to consolidate to the Democrat as we get closer to Election Day. If that happens again this year, Biden’s roughly 80-point margin over Trump among Black voters would be fairly typical for U.S. presidential elections.

It’s interesting that Trump appears to be turning some white people against him in part because of his controversial racial comments but he hasn’t really lost any Black support (and he might even do a bit better this year than he did in 2016 with Black voters). Of course, that’s largely because he had so little Black support to begin with — there isn’t much room to do worse. But there is a core bloc of about 10 percent of Black Americans who are Republican-leaning and they appear to be sticking with Trump. Indeed, the 2020 numbers suggest that it might be hard for Democrats to replicate the 90-point margin among Black voters they had in 2008 and 2012 with Barack Obama running as the first-ever Black major party presidential nominee.

Protests and the Harris pick didn’t have big, long-lasting effects

Neither the protests in the wake of the police killing of George Floyd in Minneapolis in late May nor the selection of Kamala Harris, the first Black and Asian American vice-presidential nominee, resulted in big and durable boosts in Biden’s Black support.

That’s not to say there’s been absolutely no movement in the Biden-Trump race among Black voters. Biden’s biggest lead among Black voters came throughout June, following Floyd’s death and the early days of the protests against police brutality. That makes sense: Scholars have found that because of past experiences with discrimination and prejudice, Black people are more likely than other racial and ethnic groups to view their fate in a collective way. The Floyd killing and the weeks of intense national discussion about systemic racism against Black people, particularly their treatment by police, likely increased feelings of collective identity among Black Americans, given the renewed salience of issues surrounding policing in Black communities.

The selection of Harris as the first-ever Black woman on a major-party presidential ticket didn’t really change Biden’s standing among Black voters at all, according to the Nationscape polling. That’s not surprising or necessarily a sign that she was a bad pick. First of all, Biden didn’t have much room to grow in terms of his Black vote share — he was already in the 80s by mid-August. Also, Harris’s selection probably wasn’t as much about boosting Biden with Black voters this November in the first place. The pick addressed other goals for the former vice president, such as making the Democratic ticket more balanced in terms of age, gender and race; recognizing Black women for long one of most Democractic-leaning demographic groups in the electorate; and recognizing Black voters overall for their role in boosting Biden during this year’s Democratic primary.

There is a substantial gender gap

According to the Nationscape survey of likely voters from Aug. 27 to Sept. 9, Biden led Trump among Black men 76 percent to 17 percent; Biden led among Black women 87 percent to 4 percent. This is also pretty standard. Black men, like men in most other demographic groups, tend to be more Republican-leaning than their female counterparts. Trump won about 14 percent of the Black male vote in 2016, according to the Pew Research Center, while his support from Black women was virtually nonexistent.

But this gender gap is favorable to Biden in an important way — Black women tend to vote at higher rates than Black men (64 percent of voting-eligible Black women turned out in 2016, compared to 54 percent of Black men). Women generally vote more than men, but the turnout gap between Black women and Black men has long been larger than that between white women and white men.

Black youth are more skeptical of Biden, the Democratic Party

Among white likely voters, Biden’s best margins are with the youngest cohort (those 18 to 29 years old). But among Black likely voters, Biden’s biggest margins are among older cohorts.

And when you conduct polling among all Black adults (as opposed to just likely voters), as HIT, AARC and Democracy Fund have all done this year, this age gap is even wider. Among all respondents, older Black people support Biden by a wide margin while younger Black people are more supportive of Trump. Moreover, younger Black respondents are much more inclined than older Black respondents to say that they don’t know which candidate they’ll support (which may explain at least somewhat why they indicated that they are unlikely to vote in the race).

The polling by both HIT and AARC in particular tell a fairly clear story: Older Black people are more clearly partisan Democrats than younger Black people, both viewing the Democratic Party and its leaders much more favorably than younger Black people and viewing the GOP with more disdain than younger Black people. Among Black registered voters age 50 and older, 75 percent said they thought congressional Democrats were doing a good job, compared to just 22 percent who thought congressional Democrats were doing a poor job, according to a HIT survey conducted in June. But among Black voters under age 50, only about half (54 percent) approved of congressional Democrats, while 36 percent disapproved. Black voters under 50 (57 percent) were more likely than those 50 and over (40 percent) to agree with the statement, “The Democratic Party takes Black people for granted,” according to HIT polling.

Among Black people over 65, 77 percent had a favorable view of Harris and just 10 percent viewed her unfavorably, according to HIT polling conducted in late August and early September (after her selection as Biden’s running mate). Among Black people ages 25 to 34, 28 percent viewed her favorably and 44 percent unfavorably. (The rest were neutral or didn’t know.)

Similarly, in AARC polling, older Black Americans express more anti-Trump views and more pro-Democratic Party views on a number of measures than their younger counterparts. They also seem more enthusiastic to vote, in part because they seem to view voting as part of lifting up the broader Black community.

The divide between older and younger Black voters

Share of Black voters who hold the following positions or agree with the given statements

Age position 18-29 60+ Overall Trump is a racist 79% 90% 84% Trump is incompetent 74 90 79 I vote to support the Black community * 54 71 63 Democratic Party is “welcoming” to Black Americans 47 76 61 Trust congressional Democrats to “do what is best” for Black people 43 73 57 I do not always like Trump’s policies, but I like the way he shows strength and defies the establishment. 35 10 30 Definitely motivated to vote 29 78 55 Trust congressional Republicans to do “what is best” for Black people 29 8 21 GOP is “welcoming” to Black Americans 28 7 22 I don’t vote because it doesn’t make a difference * 21 2 14

* Share of voters who said they “agree strongly” with the statement.

Survey was conducted online July 1-9 in Florida, Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin on behalf of the American University Black Swing Voter Project.

Source: African American Research Collaborative Poll

“Unlike their elders, who came up with fresh memories of civil rights activism, young folks aren’t willing to tolerate voting for the ‘lesser of two evils.’ They told us they would just as soon stay home,” said Sam Fulwood, a fellow at American University’s Center for Congressional and Presidential Studies, who recently conducted focus groups with young Black voters as part of a research project.

In an interview, Terrance Woodbury of HIT described younger Black voters as having “systemic cynicism” towards institutions like the Democratic Party.

“There is a level of disenfranchisement and disengagement,” he added. Woodbury also argued that some of Trump’s messages have resonated with younger Black voters in particular. In focus groups, according to Woodbury, younger Black voters often mention the criminal justice reform bill that the president signed into law, his support for increased funding for historically Black colleges and the low Black unemployment rate before the coronavirus outbreak.

These differing views among Black Americans may not just be about age. When looking at all Black respondents (not just likely voters), Biden had more support among Black voters who were college-educated and those with higher-incomes, according to the Nationscape data. So it might be that more established Black people (older, more educated, higher income) are more satisfied with the Democratic Party than other Black Americans.

We’re not sure this is a huge problem for Biden, because it doesn’t appear that Trump is going to win a big share of younger Black voters, those without degrees or those with lower incomes. But a lack of enthusiasm for Biden might show up in terms of turnout.

It’s really hard to judge turnout at this stage

But the safe bet is that Black turnout won’t match white turnout, as in previous years (the exceptions being 2008 and 2012).

If Black Americans are really galvanized by the protests, Harris on the ticket or hatred of Trump, their voting rates will probably be the biggest indicator. In 2012, not only did the Black voting rate reach a record high of 67 percent, but Black voting rates were equal to white voting rates. In 2016 and then 2018, Black voting rates were a few percentage points behind white ones, as is the historical pattern.

It is really hard to gauge Black turnout from the polls we have now. Even when Obama was on the ballot, younger Black people voted at much lower rates than older ones — but across all ethnicities and races, younger people vote at lower rates. So the surveys above noting that younger Black people are not as supportive of Biden and Democrats don’t themselves predict lower turnout.

That said, the evidence we have indicates that super-high Black turnout was related to the chance to elect and then reelect the first-ever Black president. That is not happening in 2020, so it’s more likely that Black voting patterns will resemble 2004 or 2016 than 2008.

#IFTTT #Politics – FiveThirtyEight #politics #538 #Meredith Conroy and Perry Bacon Jr.

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