#oscar predictions

[austinslounge]

😁

[filmperidot]

2023 Oscars Thoughts

This Oscars was (in my opinion) the best in a while.

The jokes weren’t that bad! You can never expect everything to land at award shows, but oftentimes the entire show is downright painful (shoutout to Amy Schumer). Overall, Jimmy Kimmel did a good job!!

The lovely birthday tribute to James Martin of An Irish Goodbye was one of my absolute favorite moments, how sweet was that.

I can’t remember if they’ve done this in past years, but regardless, the individual shoutouts to each Best Picture nomination was really nice to see.

This goes without saying, but all of the nominees and winners this year were absolutely wonderful and totally deserving. It made me really happy to see all of them recognized (despite a few snubs).

The reduced play off music! I was really happy to see they dialed it back compared to some of the other shows. Don’t get me wrong it’s always a little awkward and disappointing to see, but when award shows are playing off their biggest winners it’s downright embarrassing. At least the Oscars aren’t doing that too.

JENNYY!!! Her death absolutely DEVASTATED me so seeing her on stage was very healing<3

The performances were great! Naatu Naatu from RRR was really fun, Hold My Hand from Top Gun: Maverick was heartfelt, This Is A Life from Everything Everywhere All At Once had great visuals, and Lift Me Up from Black Panther was beautiful.

The speeches were heartfelt! They often are, but these really struck a chord.

The fashion was gorgeous too! Some favorites were Cara Delevingne, Jessica Chastain, and Lady Gaga.

All of my predictions were correct except one (director)! And they were who I was rooting for anyways so that was awesome.

Finally, this has been said many times before, but it’s been beyond delightful to see underappreciated older actors who’ve been in the industry for a long time finally having their well deserved moments. I don’t think I’ve ever been quite so happy to see anyone win an award before. I’m over the moon for Ke Huy Quan, Jamie Lee Curtis, Brendan Fraser, and Michelle Yeoh.

Edit: Just wanted to add this because I think it’s kinda funny but I was fully prepared to watch this muted and just turn the volume on for the speeches and people I like. I had the remote on hand and everything.

[awardseasonblog]

La cinquina per il Miglior attore non protagonista si fa interessante! Oltre al favorito Kieran Culkin, restano in lizza Yura Borisov, Edward Norton e Guy Pearce. Chi si aggiudicherà l'ultimo posto?

[boardchairman-blog]

2024 Oscar Predictions

Best Picture

American Fiction

Anatomy of a Fall

Barbie

The Holdovers

Killers of the Flower Moon

Maestro

Oppenheimer

Past Lives

Poor Things

The Zone of Interest

Best Director

Jonathan Glazer- The Zone of Interest

Yorgos Lanthimos- Poor Things

Christopher Nolan- Oppenheimer

Alexander Payne- The Holdovers

Martin Scorsese- Killers of the Flower Moon

Best Actress

Lily Gladstone- Killers of the Flower Moon

Sandra Hüller- Anatomy of a Fall

Greta Lee- Past Lives

Margot Robbie- Barbie

Emma Stone- Poor Things

Best Actor

Bradley Cooper- Maestro

Leonardo DiCaprio- Killers of the Flower Moon

Paul Giamatti- The Holdovers

Cillian Murphy- Oppenheimer

Jeffrey Wright- American Fiction

Best Supporting Actor

Robert De Niro- Killers of the Flower Moon

Robert Downey Jr.- Oppenheimer

Ryan Gosling- Barbie

Charles Melton- May December

Dominic Sessa- The Holdovers

Best Supporting Actress

Emily Blunt- Oppenheimer

Danielle Brooks- The Color Purple

Penelope Cruz- Ferrari

Sandra Huller- The Zone of Interest

Da'Vine Joy Randolph- The Holdovers

Best Original Screenplay

Anatomy of a Fall- Justine Triet and Arthur Harari

The Holdovers- David Hemingson

Maestro- Bradley Cooper and Josh Singer

May December-  Samy Burch and Alex Mechanik

Past Lives- Celine Song

Best Adapted Screenplay

American Fiction- Cord Jefferson

Barbie- Noah Baumbach & Greta Gerwig

Killers of the Flower Moon- Eric Roth and Martin Scorsese

Oppenheimer- Christopher Nolan

Poor Things- Tony McNamara

Best Animated Feature

The Boy and the Heron

Chicken Run: Dawn of the Nugget

Elemental

Nimona

Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse

Best Documentary Feature

20 Days in Mariupol

American Symphony

Beyond Utopia

Bobi Wine: The People's President

The Eternal Memory

Best Foreign Language Film

20 Days in Mariupol (Ukraine)

Fallen Leaves (Finland)

Society of the Snow (Spain)

The Teacher's Lounge (Germany)

The Zone of Interest (United Kingdom)

Best Original Score

Jerskin Fendrix- Poor Things

Ludwig Göransson- Oppenheimer

Mica Levi- The Zone of Interest

Robbie Robertson- Killers of the Flower Moon

John Williams- Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny

Best Original Song

“Dance the Night” from Barbie

“The Fire Inside” from Flamin' Hot

“I'm Just Ken” from Barbie

“It Never Went Away” from American Symphony

“What Was I Made For” from Barbie

Best Cinematography

Hoyte Van Hoytema- Oppenheimer

Matthew Libatique- Maestro

Rodrigo Prieto- Killers of the Flower Moon

Robbie Ryan- Poor Things

Łukasz Żal- The Zone of Interest

Best Film Editing

Jennifer Lame- Oppenheimer

Yorgos Mavropsaridis- Poor Things

Thelma Schoonmaker- Killers of the Flower Moon

Laurent Sénéchal - Anatomy of a Fall

Kevin Tent- The Holdovers

Best Costume Design

Barbie- Jacqueline Durran

Killers of the Flower Moon- Jacqueline West

Napoleon- David Crossman and Janty Yates

Oppenheimer- Ellen Mirojnick

Poor Things- Holly Waddington

Best Production Design

Barbie- Sarah Greenwood and Katie Spencer

Killers of the Flower Moon- Jack Fisk and Adam Willis

Oppenheimer- Ruth De Jong and Claire Kaufman

Poor Things- James Price, Shona Heath, and Zsuzsa Mihalek

The Zone of Interest- Chris Oddy, Joanna Maria Kuś and Katarzyna Sikora

Best Sound

Barbie

Ferrari

Maestro

Oppenheimer

The Zone of Interest

Best Makeup and Hairstyling

Golda

Maestro

Napoleon

Oppenheimer

Poor Things

Best Visual Effects

The Creator

Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 3

Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny

Poor Things

Society of the Snow

Overall

Oppenheimer: 13

Killers of the Flower Moon: 11

Poor Things: 11

Barbie: 10

The Holdovers: 7

The Zone of Interest: 7

Maestro: 6

Anatomy of a Fall: 4

American Fiction: 3

Past Lives: 3

20 Days in Mariupol: 2

American Symphony: 2

Ferrari: 2

Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny: 2

May December: 2

Society of the Snow: 2

[dualredundancy]

Ready for tomorrow's Academy Awards? Here's everything you need to know and see before tomorrow's ceremony!

[velvet4510]

Predicting right now that Cillian Murphy and Lily Gladstone will win Best Actor and Actress at this year’s Oscars.

[pinkeoni]

Okay here are my predictions, does not reflect personal preferences

[whoiskt]

My oscars predictions this year is Everything Everywhere All at Once sweep. At least for best picture/best actress/best supporting actress (Stephanie Hsu imo, but maybe Jamie Lee Curtis?)/best director/best screenplay/best editing.

If Cate Blanchett wins Best actress I'll just go kill myself. No offense to her but I was not impressed by Tár and if it wins any awards I'm done.

The only performance I've actually seen for the lead actor is Colin Farrell in The Banshees of Inisherin, so I can't say much but I think they'll probably give it to Brendan Fraser. The Whale wasn't good enough to get nominated itself but I bet the idea of a Comeback King is enough to give it to someone else.

Guillermo de Toro's Pinocchio for best animated feature.

[oscarwoodland]

My Final Oscar Predictions: Will Win, Could Win, Wild Card Win

With the Oscars only four days away, I figured it was time to finally lock in my predictions. Here I'm doing my will win (my final prediction) my could win (my second pick) and my wild card win (my third pick). Thanks to the chaos of this year, the could wins and wild card wins are possible in a lot of cases. Here goes!

Best Picture

Will Win: Anora

I think all three of the movies that I'm listing in this category have an equal shot at winning the night's ultimate prize. My pick here is purely me going with my gut.

Could Win: The Brutalist

See above. My gut is just telling me Anora a little harder.

Wild Card Win: Conclave

With the BAFTA and the SAG ensemble win behind it, as well as just being a solid, sturdy pick, it'll be Conclave if not Anora or The Brutalist.

Best Actor

Will Win: Adrien Brody, The Brutalist

With the exception of SAG, he's won all the major precursors and is probably the most consistently awards-loved part of The Brutalist.

Could Win: Timothée Chalamet, A Complete Unknown

Has been the only other Best Actor nominee to really catch up with Brody (notably winning SAG). He's definitely been campaigning hard, I just don't think it's happening this year.

Wild Card Win: Sebastian Stan, The Apprentice

I feel like the more obvious pick here would be Ralph Fiennes for Conclave, but it just doesn't seem like he's getting much love individually for that film. So I went with Stan, who I was surprised to see on a secret ballot and who I think might get some political love in voting, even if it doesn't translate to a win.

Best Actress

Will Win: Demi Moore, The Substance

Has won most of the major precursors, has a great narrative, it just seems like things are aligned in her favor.

Could Win: Mikey Madison, Anora

This is yet another category where the "will win" is not guaranteed. Madison's story is interesting: she was the frontrunner until the Globes, seemed to slip away, and then came back with the Independent Spirit Awards. I'm leaning a little more towards Moore, but I still think she can pull off a win.

Wild Card Win: Fernanda Torres, I'm Still Here

There is a third option, which is that Moore and Madison split the vote and Torres winds up taking the win. She had a shock win with the Globes, and it's still possible for her.

Best Supporting Actor

Will Win: Kieran Culkin, A Real Pain

This is the pick I'm the most confident in. He's won every single precursor and has been the favorite the entire season. It's going to be him.

Could Win: Jeremy Strong, The Apprentice

If you'd asked me a week ago I'd probably have put Strong at the bottom for most likely to win Best Supporting Actor. However, he did show up on multiple secret ballots - while I know that that's a very small sample size, it's still much more than I was expecting.

Wild Card Win: Guy Pearce, The Brutalist

If for some reason it's not Kieran Culkin, and if the secret ballots misled me, it'll probably be Guy Pearce.

Best Supporting Actress

Will Win: Zoe Saldaña, Emilia Pérez

While Emilia Pérez has been embroiled in controversy after controversy and has destroyed its chances in most categories, Saldaña, the favorite before the major controversy, seems to have escaped relatively unscathed. Of course we won't find out if that's really true until Sunday night, but there haven't been any major warning signs against her win.

Could Win: Felicity Jones, The Brutalist

Once again I am being guided by the secret ballots and hope that I am not being led astray. If anyone is going to prevent Saldaña's win, I think it's Jones.

Wild Card Win: Monica Barbaro, A Complete Unknown

Potentially random guess, but between Isabella Rossellini having about eight lines in Conclave and my gut telling me that Ariana Grande's campaign is dead in the water, I think Barbaro is my third place pick.

Best Director

Will Win: Sean Baker, Anora

This is based purely off of my prediction for Anora to win Best Picture.

Could Win: Brady Corbet, The Brutalist

See above.

Wild Card Win: Coralie Fargeat, The Substance

I do think it's really just down to Baker and Corbet, but since I have to make a third place pick I think Fargeat is the most likely of the remaining directors.

Best Adapted Screenplay

Will Win: Peter Straughan, Conclave

Has won before, is the only film in this category I think can win Best Picture, it's happening.

Could Win: Joslyn Barnes and RaMell Ross, Nickel Boys

Has gotten a surprising amount of screenplay love previously.

Wild Card Win: Clint Bentley and Greg Kwedar, Sing Sing

If it's winning anything it's winning screenplay. Seems possible.

Best Original Screenplay

Will Win: Jesse Eisenberg, A Real Pain

Screenplay (both adapted and original) is an interesting category because it's one the Academy enjoys using to reward films that don't win Best Picture - maybe it's just because of the fact that there will always inherently be one winner that doesn't win Picture. I think A Real Pain could be another example of this, regardless of which movie wins the big title.

Could Win: Sean Baker, Anora

This is another category I'm unsure of. Again, I have Anora winning Best Picture, but like I said above, the Academy loves to give this award to movies that don't win big. I'm a little more confident on A Real Pain, but this is very much possible.

Wild Card Win: Brady Corbet and Mona Fastvold, The Brutalist

See everything I said above about Anora. Very possible, but I'm less convinced of it than the other two, since I feel that it's gotten much less love for its screenplay compared to them.

[lfthinker]

My final Oscar Predictions:

Best Picture: Anora

Best Director: Sean Baker (Anora)

Best Actor: Adrien Brody (The Brutalist)

Best Actress: Demi Moore (The Substance)

Best Supporting Actor: Kieran Culkin (A Real Pain)

Best Supporting Actress: Zoe Saldana (Emilia Perez)

Best Original Screenplay: Anora

Best Adapted Screenplay: Conclave

Best Cinematography: The Brutalist

Best Original Score: The Brutalist

Best Original Song: El Mal (Emilia Perez)

Best Editing: Anora

Best Production Design: Wicked

Best Costume Design: Wicked

Best Makeup and Hairstyling: The Substance

Best Sound: Dune Part Two

Best Visual Effects: Dune Part Two

Best International Feature: Emilia Perez

Best Animated Feature: The Wild Robot

Best Animated Short: In the Shadow of the Cypress

Best Live Action Short: A Lien

Best Documentary: Porcelain War

Best Documentary Short: I Am Ready, Warden

Note, this is who I think will win based on precursor awards, vibes, and in a few cases throwing a dart. This is not who I want to win in most cases. I also don’t feel nearly as confident about these predictions as I have the last few years. I only missed four last year, I’m expecting to miss more this year.

[moviemosaics]

The Oscars are on Sunday! If you need help filling out your ballot for your company Oscars pool, or if you just want to understand what they heck is going on this year, you can check out my predictions in all 23 categories!

I cover everything from Best Picture to Best Production Design to Best Documentary Short Film. See who the contenders are, who has the ability to upset, and of course who SHOULD really be taking home these trophies if I had any say. While you're there, give my Patreon a follow for more movie content!

[stanning-elmo]

A few very early Oscar predictions while I procrastinate doing my laundry:

I think Challengers will get best picture, best original screenplay, and best actress noms, I can't say what might win

Civil Wars will 100% get a lot of noms. I think it has pretty good odds at best picture and best actress and probably best original screenplay

Anora will definitely get a lot of noms since it's one of the most oscar-baity I've seen come out this year

I think Megalopolis will get a bunch of undeserved nominations but not win anything

The Substance will probably get best picture, best screenplay, best actress, and best supporting. I think it has a very good chance of winning at least one.

It Ends With Us will probably (sadly) get a best adapted screenplay

Wicked will probably get a deserved best adapted screenplay. Probably also hair/makeup and costuming. I think Cynthia Erivo could easily get a best actress nom but I wouldn't put money on her winning. Also probably a few sound related technical awards

Animated feature noms will likely include Memoir of a Snail, The Wild Robot, and Inside Out 2 since Disney has dirt on the entire voting panel and it's not animation experts picking. Hard to say which would win, though. I hope and pray that The Watchmen might be able to get a nomination but I doubt they're even gonna campaign.

I think I Saw the TV Glow will get at least one nomination, maybe best Director or original screenplay

The Apprentice will probably get a few noms, almost certainly Best Actor for Sebastian Stan

Some more misc ideas:

I think A Quiet Place Day One has some potential

Deadpool and Wolverine will probably get something because, again, Disney won't let a single Oscars pass without committing a little fraud

Razzies prediction: MEGALOPOLIS SWEEP LET'S GOOOOO

[awardseasonblog]

(via Oscar 2025: i 15 migliori film da tenere d’occhio (previsioni dicembre))

[love-little-lotte]

2024 OSCAR PREDICTIONS

Here I go again with my annual Oscars predictions that may or may not be accurate. Unfortunately, I haven't seen every nominee — my personal best was still last year with 50 out of 52 movies — but I think I still have seen enough to make, uh, proper predictions.

With that said, here's my predictions for the 2024 Academy Awards:

Best Picture: Oppenheimer

Best Director: Christopher Nolan, Oppenheimer

Best Actor: 🩷Cillian Murphy🩷, Oppenheimer

Best Actress: 🩷Lily Gladstone🩷, Killers of the Flower Moon

Best Supporting Actor: Robert Downey Jr., Oppenheimer

Best Supporting Actress: Da'Vine Joy Randolph, The Holdovers

Best Original Screenplay: Past Lives (PLEASE LET CELINE SONG WIN THIS CATEGORY)

Best Adapted Screenplay: American Fiction (very underrated but I like this film so much!)

Best Animated Feature: Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse (still haven't seen The Boy and The Heron, unfortunately, but Spider-Man is still very fun and well-liked)

Best International Feature Film: The Zone of Interest

Best Documentary Feature Film: 20 Days in Mariupol

Best Documentary Short Film: The Last Repair Shop (my favorite out of the bunch)

Best Live Action Short Film: The Wonderful Story of Henry Sugar (Academy Award Winner Wes Anderson WHEN?!?!)

Best Animated Short Film: War is Over! Inspired by the Music of John & Yoko (mmm, it's not good but Oscar people love this kind of stuff; my personal favorite is Our Uniform)

Best Original Score: Oppenheimer (duh)

Best Original Song: What Was I Made For?, Barbie (duh part 2)

Best Sound: The Zone of Interest (or maybe Oppenheimer, but I will put my fave in this one idc)

Best Production Design: Poor Things (I'm sorry, Barbie 😭)

Best Cinematography: Oppenheimer

Best Makeup and Hairstyling: Maestro (sigh... but people like huge onscreen transformations so 🤷🏽‍♀️)

Best Costume Design: Poor Things (or Barbie, but Poor Things just stand out more)

Best Film Editing: Oppenheimer

Best Visual Effects: The Creator (the one category I'm not really sure about lmao I sadly haven't seen Godzilla yet!)