#oscar predictions

[austinslounge]

😁

[oscarwoodland]

My Final Oscar Predictions: Will Win, Could Win, Wild Card Win

With the Oscars only four days away, I figured it was time to finally lock in my predictions. Here I'm doing my will win (my final prediction) my could win (my second pick) and my wild card win (my third pick). Thanks to the chaos of this year, the could wins and wild card wins are possible in a lot of cases. Here goes!

Best Picture

Will Win: Anora

I think all three of the movies that I'm listing in this category have an equal shot at winning the night's ultimate prize. My pick here is purely me going with my gut.

Could Win: The Brutalist

See above. My gut is just telling me Anora a little harder.

Wild Card Win: Conclave

With the BAFTA and the SAG ensemble win behind it, as well as just being a solid, sturdy pick, it'll be Conclave if not Anora or The Brutalist.

Best Actor

Will Win: Adrien Brody, The Brutalist

With the exception of SAG, he's won all the major precursors and is probably the most consistently awards-loved part of The Brutalist.

Could Win: Timothée Chalamet, A Complete Unknown

Has been the only other Best Actor nominee to really catch up with Brody (notably winning SAG). He's definitely been campaigning hard, I just don't think it's happening this year.

Wild Card Win: Sebastian Stan, The Apprentice

I feel like the more obvious pick here would be Ralph Fiennes for Conclave, but it just doesn't seem like he's getting much love individually for that film. So I went with Stan, who I was surprised to see on a secret ballot and who I think might get some political love in voting, even if it doesn't translate to a win.

Best Actress

Will Win: Demi Moore, The Substance

Has won most of the major precursors, has a great narrative, it just seems like things are aligned in her favor.

Could Win: Mikey Madison, Anora

This is yet another category where the "will win" is not guaranteed. Madison's story is interesting: she was the frontrunner until the Globes, seemed to slip away, and then came back with the Independent Spirit Awards. I'm leaning a little more towards Moore, but I still think she can pull off a win.

Wild Card Win: Fernanda Torres, I'm Still Here

There is a third option, which is that Moore and Madison split the vote and Torres winds up taking the win. She had a shock win with the Globes, and it's still possible for her.

Best Supporting Actor

Will Win: Kieran Culkin, A Real Pain

This is the pick I'm the most confident in. He's won every single precursor and has been the favorite the entire season. It's going to be him.

Could Win: Jeremy Strong, The Apprentice

If you'd asked me a week ago I'd probably have put Strong at the bottom for most likely to win Best Supporting Actor. However, he did show up on multiple secret ballots - while I know that that's a very small sample size, it's still much more than I was expecting.

Wild Card Win: Guy Pearce, The Brutalist

If for some reason it's not Kieran Culkin, and if the secret ballots misled me, it'll probably be Guy Pearce.

Best Supporting Actress

Will Win: Zoe Saldaña, Emilia Pérez

While Emilia Pérez has been embroiled in controversy after controversy and has destroyed its chances in most categories, Saldaña, the favorite before the major controversy, seems to have escaped relatively unscathed. Of course we won't find out if that's really true until Sunday night, but there haven't been any major warning signs against her win.

Could Win: Felicity Jones, The Brutalist

Once again I am being guided by the secret ballots and hope that I am not being led astray. If anyone is going to prevent Saldaña's win, I think it's Jones.

Wild Card Win: Monica Barbaro, A Complete Unknown

Potentially random guess, but between Isabella Rossellini having about eight lines in Conclave and my gut telling me that Ariana Grande's campaign is dead in the water, I think Barbaro is my third place pick.

Best Director

Will Win: Sean Baker, Anora

This is based purely off of my prediction for Anora to win Best Picture.

Could Win: Brady Corbet, The Brutalist

See above.

Wild Card Win: Coralie Fargeat, The Substance

I do think it's really just down to Baker and Corbet, but since I have to make a third place pick I think Fargeat is the most likely of the remaining directors.

Best Adapted Screenplay

Will Win: Peter Straughan, Conclave

Has won before, is the only film in this category I think can win Best Picture, it's happening.

Could Win: Joslyn Barnes and RaMell Ross, Nickel Boys

Has gotten a surprising amount of screenplay love previously.

Wild Card Win: Clint Bentley and Greg Kwedar, Sing Sing

If it's winning anything it's winning screenplay. Seems possible.

Best Original Screenplay

Will Win: Jesse Eisenberg, A Real Pain

Screenplay (both adapted and original) is an interesting category because it's one the Academy enjoys using to reward films that don't win Best Picture - maybe it's just because of the fact that there will always inherently be one winner that doesn't win Picture. I think A Real Pain could be another example of this, regardless of which movie wins the big title.

Could Win: Sean Baker, Anora

This is another category I'm unsure of. Again, I have Anora winning Best Picture, but like I said above, the Academy loves to give this award to movies that don't win big. I'm a little more confident on A Real Pain, but this is very much possible.

Wild Card Win: Brady Corbet and Mona Fastvold, The Brutalist

See everything I said above about Anora. Very possible, but I'm less convinced of it than the other two, since I feel that it's gotten much less love for its screenplay compared to them.

[lfthinker]

My final Oscar Predictions:

Best Picture: Anora

Best Director: Sean Baker (Anora)

Best Actor: Adrien Brody (The Brutalist)

Best Actress: Demi Moore (The Substance)

Best Supporting Actor: Kieran Culkin (A Real Pain)

Best Supporting Actress: Zoe Saldana (Emilia Perez)

Best Original Screenplay: Anora

Best Adapted Screenplay: Conclave

Best Cinematography: The Brutalist

Best Original Score: The Brutalist

Best Original Song: El Mal (Emilia Perez)

Best Editing: Anora

Best Production Design: Wicked

Best Costume Design: Wicked

Best Makeup and Hairstyling: The Substance

Best Sound: Dune Part Two

Best Visual Effects: Dune Part Two

Best International Feature: Emilia Perez

Best Animated Feature: The Wild Robot

Best Animated Short: In the Shadow of the Cypress

Best Live Action Short: A Lien

Best Documentary: Porcelain War

Best Documentary Short: I Am Ready, Warden

Note, this is who I think will win based on precursor awards, vibes, and in a few cases throwing a dart. This is not who I want to win in most cases. I also don’t feel nearly as confident about these predictions as I have the last few years. I only missed four last year, I’m expecting to miss more this year.

[awardseasonblog]

La cinquina per il Miglior attore non protagonista si fa interessante! Oltre al favorito Kieran Culkin, restano in lizza Yura Borisov, Edward Norton e Guy Pearce. Chi si aggiudicherà l'ultimo posto?

[ovaryacted]

ANYWAYS, here are my Oscar predictions (not including all of them):

Actor In A Leading Role - RALPH FIENNES (they will probably give it to Adrien Brody though and I truly hope not)

Actor In A Supporting Role - KIERAN CULKIN (duh, awards szn sweep)

Actress In A Leading Role - DEMI MOORE (Mikey Madison is my second option)

Actress In A Supporting Role - ZOE SALDAÑA (they’ll probably give it to her considering she’s won every other award, would love for Ariana Grande or Isabella Rossellini to win though)

Animated Feature Film - THE WILD ROBOT

Cinematography - CONCLAVE

Costume Design - CONCLAVE

Directing - ANORA

Documentary Feature Film - NO OTHER LAND (Gal Gadot is presenting the award so I have a hunch this will happen)

Film Editing - CONCLAVE

International Feature Film - FRANCE for Emilia Pérez (a pity award, I’d want Brazil to win for I’m Still Here though!)

Makeup And Hairstyling - THE SUBSTANCE (Really any film works as long as it’s not Emilia Pérez)

Music (Original Score) - CONCLAVE or WICKED

Best Picture - CONCLAVE

[msfangirlgonewild]

Oscar predictions here we go!

Stream it online live on HULU is better than watching post live on ABC!

Final Oscar Predictions:

Best Picture

Conclave

Actor in a Leading Role

Timothée Chalamet, “A Complete Unknown”

Actress in a Leading Role

Demi Moore, “The Substance”

Actor in a Supporting Role

Kieran Culkin, “A Real Pain”

Actress in a Supporting Role

Zoe Saldaña, “Emilia Pérez”

Best Director

Sean Baker, “Anora”

Animated Feature Film

“The Wild Robot”

Documentary Feature Film

“Black Box Diaries”

Adapted Screenplay

“Emilia Pérez,” Screenplay by Jacques Audiard in collaboration with Thomas Bidegain, Léa Mysius and Nicolas Livecchi

Original Screenplay

“The Substance,” Written by Coralie Fargeat

Film Editing

“Wicked” Myron Kerstein

International Feature Film

“Emilia Pérez,” France

Costume Design

“Wicked,” Paul Tazewell

Makeup and Hairstyling

“Wicked,” Frances Hannon, Laura Blount and Sarah Nuth

Original Score

“Wicked,” John Powell and Stephen Schwartz

Original Song

“Like a Bird” from “Sing Sing,” Music and Lyric by Abraham Alexander and Adrian Quesada

Production Design

“Wicked,” Production Design: Nathan Crowley, Set Decoration: Lee Sandales

Sound

“Dune: Part Two,” Gareth John, Richard King, Ron Bartlett and Doug Hemphill

Visual Effects

“Dune: Part Two,” Paul Lambert, Stephen James, Rhys Salcombe and Gerd Nefzer

Cinematography

“The Brutalist,” Lol Crawley

[boardchairman-blog]

2024 Oscar Predictions

Best Picture

American Fiction

Anatomy of a Fall

Barbie

The Holdovers

Killers of the Flower Moon

Maestro

Oppenheimer

Past Lives

Poor Things

The Zone of Interest

Best Director

Jonathan Glazer- The Zone of Interest

Yorgos Lanthimos- Poor Things

Christopher Nolan- Oppenheimer

Alexander Payne- The Holdovers

Martin Scorsese- Killers of the Flower Moon

Best Actress

Lily Gladstone- Killers of the Flower Moon

Sandra Hüller- Anatomy of a Fall

Greta Lee- Past Lives

Margot Robbie- Barbie

Emma Stone- Poor Things

Best Actor

Bradley Cooper- Maestro

Leonardo DiCaprio- Killers of the Flower Moon

Paul Giamatti- The Holdovers

Cillian Murphy- Oppenheimer

Jeffrey Wright- American Fiction

Best Supporting Actor

Robert De Niro- Killers of the Flower Moon

Robert Downey Jr.- Oppenheimer

Ryan Gosling- Barbie

Charles Melton- May December

Dominic Sessa- The Holdovers

Best Supporting Actress

Emily Blunt- Oppenheimer

Danielle Brooks- The Color Purple

Penelope Cruz- Ferrari

Sandra Huller- The Zone of Interest

Da'Vine Joy Randolph- The Holdovers

Best Original Screenplay

Anatomy of a Fall- Justine Triet and Arthur Harari

The Holdovers- David Hemingson

Maestro- Bradley Cooper and Josh Singer

May December-  Samy Burch and Alex Mechanik

Past Lives- Celine Song

Best Adapted Screenplay

American Fiction- Cord Jefferson

Barbie- Noah Baumbach & Greta Gerwig

Killers of the Flower Moon- Eric Roth and Martin Scorsese

Oppenheimer- Christopher Nolan

Poor Things- Tony McNamara

Best Animated Feature

The Boy and the Heron

Chicken Run: Dawn of the Nugget

Elemental

Nimona

Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse

Best Documentary Feature

20 Days in Mariupol

American Symphony

Beyond Utopia

Bobi Wine: The People's President

The Eternal Memory

Best Foreign Language Film

20 Days in Mariupol (Ukraine)

Fallen Leaves (Finland)

Society of the Snow (Spain)

The Teacher's Lounge (Germany)

The Zone of Interest (United Kingdom)

Best Original Score

Jerskin Fendrix- Poor Things

Ludwig Göransson- Oppenheimer

Mica Levi- The Zone of Interest

Robbie Robertson- Killers of the Flower Moon

John Williams- Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny

Best Original Song

“Dance the Night” from Barbie

“The Fire Inside” from Flamin' Hot

“I'm Just Ken” from Barbie

“It Never Went Away” from American Symphony

“What Was I Made For” from Barbie

Best Cinematography

Hoyte Van Hoytema- Oppenheimer

Matthew Libatique- Maestro

Rodrigo Prieto- Killers of the Flower Moon

Robbie Ryan- Poor Things

Łukasz Żal- The Zone of Interest

Best Film Editing

Jennifer Lame- Oppenheimer

Yorgos Mavropsaridis- Poor Things

Thelma Schoonmaker- Killers of the Flower Moon

Laurent Sénéchal - Anatomy of a Fall

Kevin Tent- The Holdovers

Best Costume Design

Barbie- Jacqueline Durran

Killers of the Flower Moon- Jacqueline West

Napoleon- David Crossman and Janty Yates

Oppenheimer- Ellen Mirojnick

Poor Things- Holly Waddington

Best Production Design

Barbie- Sarah Greenwood and Katie Spencer

Killers of the Flower Moon- Jack Fisk and Adam Willis

Oppenheimer- Ruth De Jong and Claire Kaufman

Poor Things- James Price, Shona Heath, and Zsuzsa Mihalek

The Zone of Interest- Chris Oddy, Joanna Maria Kuś and Katarzyna Sikora

Best Sound

Barbie

Ferrari

Maestro

Oppenheimer

The Zone of Interest

Best Makeup and Hairstyling

Golda

Maestro

Napoleon

Oppenheimer

Poor Things

Best Visual Effects

The Creator

Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 3

Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny

Poor Things

Society of the Snow

Overall

Oppenheimer: 13

Killers of the Flower Moon: 11

Poor Things: 11

Barbie: 10

The Holdovers: 7

The Zone of Interest: 7

Maestro: 6

Anatomy of a Fall: 4

American Fiction: 3

Past Lives: 3

20 Days in Mariupol: 2

American Symphony: 2

Ferrari: 2

Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny: 2

May December: 2

Society of the Snow: 2

[dualredundancy]

Ready for tomorrow's Academy Awards? Here's everything you need to know and see before tomorrow's ceremony!

[velvet4510]

Predicting right now that Cillian Murphy and Lily Gladstone will win Best Actor and Actress at this year’s Oscars.

[zodgory]

I do my Oscar predictions in a bingo format to further gameify this day about rewarding artists.

Because there's only 23 categories, I have to come up with a space on my own which this year is "Political Speech" as in I hope someone gets up there and says something worth a damn.

I can see so many of these going another way, but we will see what happens!

[webalothebruja]

My Oscar Predictions 2025

When the 2025 Oscar nominations were announced, to my surprise, many of the films nominated had been on my letterbox list labeled "movies I need to watch." At this point in my life, I have finally come to a point where I am watching movies when they come out. No longer am I seeing movies 3-4 years after their release and understanding why they received so much praise at the time. Films are not wine. They are not meant to be aged to perfection. Especially if they are receiving praise in current time. Though, it is a hard habit to fight, I have done my best at watching most of the films nominated tonight and these are my predictions.

⭐️=who I would like to win

🎟️= who will probably win

Supporting actress

Monica Barbaro//a complete unknown⭐️

Ariana grande//wicked

Felicity jones//the brutalist 

Isabella Rossellini//conclave

Zoe Saldana//Emilia Perez🎟️

Supporting Actor

Yura Borisov//Anora

Kieran culkin//A real pain⭐️

Edward Norton//A complete unknown🎟️

Guy Pearce//the brutalist

Jeremy Strong//The Apprentice  

Best Adapted Screenplay

A Complete Unknown

Conclave⭐️

Emilia Perez🎟️

Nickel Boys

Sing Sing 

Costume Design

A Complete Unknown

Conclave⭐️

Gladiator II

Nosferatu⭐️

Wicked🎟️

Animated Short Film//I have not seen any of these to vote

Beautiful Men

In the shadow of cypress

Magic candies

Wander to wonder

Yuck!

Makeup and Hairstyling

A Different Man🎟️⭐️

Emilia Perez

Nosferatu⭐️

The substance⭐️

Wicked 

Original Score

The brutalist

Conclave

Emilia Perez

Wicked🎟️

The wild robot 

Original Screenplay

Anora

The Brutalist🎟️

A real pain

September 5⭐️

The substance⭐️

Actor in a leading role

Adrien Brody//The Brutalist

Timothee Chalamet//A complete unknown🎟️

Colman Domingo//Sing Sing

Ralph Fiennes//Conclave🎟️⭐️

Sebastian Stan//The Apprentice 

Actress in a leading role

Cynthia Erivo//wicked

Karla Sofia Gascon//Emilia Perez🎟️

Mikey Madison//Anora

Demi Moore//The Substance⭐️

Fernanda Tores//I’m still here 

Cinematography

The Brutalist🎟️

Dune: part two

Emilia Perez

Maria

Nosferatu⭐️

Best director

Sean Baker//Anora

Brady Corbert//The Brutalist

James Mangold//A complete unknown🎟️

Jacques Audiard//Emilia Perez

Coralie Fargeat//The substance⭐️

Documentary Feature Film//I have not seen any of these to vote

Black Box Diaries

No Other Land

Porcelain War

Soundtrack to a Coup d’Etat 

Sugarcane⭐️🎟️

Animated Feature Film

Flow

Inside Out 2

Memoir of a Snail

Wallace and Gromit: vengeance most fowl⭐️

The wild robot🎟️

Documentary Short Film//I have not seen any of these to vote

Death by Numbers

I am ready, warden

Incident

Instruments of a beating heart

The only girl in the orchestra

International feature film

I’m still here//Brazil⭐️

The girl with the needle//Denmark

Emilia Perez//France🎟️

The seed of the sacred fig//germany

Flow//Lativa 

Film Editing

Anora

The Brutalist

Conclave

Emilia Perez

Wicked🎟️

Production Design

The Brutalist

Conclave⭐️

Dune: part two

Nosferatu⭐️

Wicked⭐️🎟️

Original Song

El Mal//Emilia Perez🎟️

The Journey//the six triple eight

Like a bird//sing sing

Mi Camino//Emilia Perez🎟️

Never too Late//Elton John Never too late

Best Picture

Anora

The Brutalist

A Complete Unknown⭐️

Conclave⭐️

Dune: Part two🎟️

Emilia Perez

I’m Still Here

Nickel Boys

The Substance⭐️

Wicked🎟️

Sound

A Complete Unknown🎟️

Dune: part two⭐️🎟️

Emilia Perez

Wicked

The Wild Robot⭐️

Visual Effects

Alien:Romulus⭐️

Better Man

Dune: part two⭐️

Kingdom of the planet of the apes⭐️🎟️

Wicked🎟️

[love-little-lotte]

2025 OSCAR PREDICTIONS

"What's your favorite season?" "Awards!"

We've come to the end of the award season, and whoa, this has been one of the most memorable and chaotic in all the time I've been following the Oscars (since 2015, I think). I have no idea where the tide will take us, but I did enjoy a lot of the movies this year. I can't wait for the program later!

This list will be a combination of preferences and predictions, so to make it clearer, I'm going to put a little star on my first and favorite choice.

Anyway, here are my Oscar predictions for this year:

Best Picture: Conclave⭐︎ (sorry, I like Anora too, and it might be the winner, but I have a feeling Conclave will reign supreme!)

Best Director: Brady Corbet, The Brutalist

Best Actor: Adrien Brody, The Brutalist (Ralph Fiennes... you deserve better)

Best Actress: Demi Moore, The Substance⭐︎

Best Supporting Actor: Kieran Culkin, A Real Pain⭐︎

Best Supporting Actress: Zoe Saldaña, Emilia Pérez (but hey, I wouldn't be surprised if it'll be Isabella Rossellini)

Best Original Screenplay: Anora (still, personal favorite is The Substance⭐︎)

Best Adapted Screenplay: Conclave⭐︎

Best Animated Feature: Flow⭐︎ (love love love)

Best International Feature Film: I'm Still Here⭐︎

Best Documentary Feature Film: No Other Land⭐︎

Best Documentary Short Film: Instruments of a Beating Heart⭐︎

Best Live Action Short Film: A Lien⭐︎

Best Animated Short Film: Wander to Wonder⭐︎

Best Original Score: The Brutalist⭐︎

Best Original Song: Never Too Late, Elton John: Never Too Late (what the hell sure) (I just don't want that song to win idc)

Best Sound: Dune: Part Two⭐︎

Best Production Design: Wicked (hmm, or The Brutalist⭐︎)

Best Cinematography: The Brutalist⭐︎

Best Makeup and Hairstyling: The Substance⭐︎

Best Costume Design: Wicked⭐︎

Best Film Editing: Conclave⭐︎

Best Visual Effects: Dune: Part Two⭐︎

[supermarcey]

Bede’s 2025 Oscar Predictions

Bede’s 2025 Oscar Predictions Link: #Oscars #Oscars2025 #AcademyAwards #Cinema

Well, everyone. One of the biggest days in cinema has almost arrived: the Academy Awards. I know that it sounds hokey to say but as lover of all things cinema, it’s one of my favourite movie related days. I don’t know about anyone else, but this Oscar season has been most heated, controversal and surprising ones I’ve seen in quite a long time. No joke, I haven’t seen anything else like in my…

[awardseasonblog]

(via Oscar 2025: i 15 migliori film da tenere d’occhio (previsioni dicembre))

[jmunneytumbler]

97th Oscars Predictions/Preferences

The votes haven been tabulated (CREDIT: Focus Features/Screenshot) Okay, now I’m going to guess who and what I think will win at the 97th Oscars on Sunday, March 2, 2025, and you’re in luck, because I’m also going to reveal who I would select if I had a ballot. Best Picture Prediction: Conclave Preference: Conclave Best Director Prediction:  Sean Baker Preference: Coralie Fargeat Continue reading…