#ok that's not strictly true only two of them are assessed and only one of those actually counts for a decent % of my mark
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la-galaxie-langblr · 26 days ago
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COPINE AIDE-MOI
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girl help
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echoeternally · 4 years ago
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If There Are No Survivors...
Should no winner arise from the poll, or if the highest vote tally falls to the option against the heroes, then the scenes that follow will fill the story as the rest of the cast continues to move on without their allies.
Unlike other moments from other pages, these scenes may occur regardless of the winner, but will carry heavier weights should none of the characters return.
Brief descriptions and scene titles will be included below!
Fair warning: There is some content dealing with death below as well.
Second warning: This post is long to depict several developing scenes!
... ... ...
Tantalizing Roses
A stream of conscious as Chesnaught reflects on his fallen friends before the dark blue roses that haunt him months later.
...
My eyes fell onto the gelid blue roses, set next to the vase with bluebells. Tightening my fist, I strode over to them, and my body twitched as I approached. Greninja had wanted them together like that, pairing off the joy from our flowers, when I first publicly declared my feelings for him...and the roses in memory of our friends.
According to the legends that we were told, these roses were meant to bloom only for a couple that attained an impossible love, one that was strong and enduring. Though mostly a myth to many, since you’d have to be out in the Frozen Fields of the Iceberg Empire to witness their growth, we were around for their emergence between us and our friends, Machamp and Alakazam.
For Greninja and I, they had grown out a bit, but...they wouldn’t emerge outright. With Machamp and Alakazam, they practically commanded the roses to rise up whenever they desired, first discovering them upon a reunion, and then gathering them when we had time off every so often.
While they aren’t the first flowers that I’ve grown to dislike, they are perhaps the cruelest that I know of.
Closing my eyes, I can only see the joy and laughter of my friends that were kings of the roses. Their eyes were bright and smiling whenever they gifted bouquets to one another. Machamp and Alakazam. Friends that were near and dear to us, and two that we lost during the war.
Forcing my tearing eyes open, I glared at the blue roses, a symbol meant for love, but one that’s constantly marred by death.
And I wonder if that is their true purpose.
Some stories that I’ve read, ones that I don’t tell Greninja that I’ve uncovered; they are stated as strictly that: blue roses of mystery that rise up for those marked by death. Flowers that weren’t a gift of love and longing from a lover separated, but instead one that sought to caution others that could fall for a similar fate...one where love doesn’t triumph, but instead anguish does.
Neither sides of the story are treated seriously, of course. But, since we’re directly connected to these flowers...I do wonder...
... ... ...
If Only
Arriving to the Mountains Monarchy, Greninja and his allies assess the daunting cluster of mountains that they’ll be climbing.
...
“Looks like that will be a steep climb up the mountain for us.” Typhlosion snorted. “Fantastic. I’m sure we’re all looking forward to that.”
“Several mountains to ascend and explore,” corrected Samurott. He smirked to Typhlosion, who turned away from him, and he did the same. “Um. It does sound a bit tedious, I suppose.”
“We’ll do what’s required of us,” insisted Rhydon. “We are guests, but we also need to prove ourselves.”
“Shame that we can’t just Teleport up there.” Hypno rolled his eyes as he folded his arms back. “You happen to know that one, Gardevoir?”
“No.” She glared at him, but he merely shrugged.
“Too bad. That certainly would’ve been useful here.”
Though I know he didn’t mean it, suggesting that was like a punch to my gut. I wanted to proudly tell him about my best friend from the Iceberg Empire that would have made short work of that. But there’s little point.
“Greninja?” I blinked and jerked my head up. Gardevoir had turned her attention to me and softened up. “Are you all right?”
Blinking, I hadn’t even noticed the tears that slipped out. I brushed them away and nodded.
... ... ...
Unexplored Reunion
Mienshao meets with someone from Quagsire’s past, as they lament him.
...
“You’re...Feraligatr, correct?”
“Hm?” He blinked and tilted his head at Mienshao, who slowly approached him. “Yeah, that’s me. I don’t think we’ve met before.”
“We haven’t. But, someone that I knew, he...” Mienshao glanced down at the paper in his hand. “When you were younger, there was once a Wooper you might have encountered.” His hand trembled as he gripped the letter. “You were with a rather rude pair back in Grass Fields. Back then, when they were picking on him and a Budew--”
“Wait a second.” Feraligatr blinked and rubbed his chin. “Wooper from Grass Fields...” He snapped his fingers. “Oh my gods! I think...I think I remember that!” He grinned and laughed. “Those two were terrible! That poor Wooper tried to defend Budew, but...” Feraligatr shook his head. “Anyway, I wasn’t much better for being around them, but I didn’t want to do any harm.”
“Yes, that was part of the story.”
“Wow, that’s crazy!” Placing his hands on his hips, Feraligatr grinned to Mienshao. “Do you know about that Wooper kid then?”
“I knew him as Quagsire,” reminisced Mienshao. “Kind, gentle, a love for food...quiet...”
“Wow, he evolved and went up to the Iceberg Empire to join the Emperor’s ranks? That’s great!” He laughed. “That’s such a long way for him to have climbed up. Hey, do you think you could give him a message? I’ve always wanted to apologize about that day.” He sighed and deflated a bit. “I wish I had done more, and I wish I could’ve reached out after.”
“Standing up to your friends was admirable enough for him.”
“Really?”
“He actually wanted to tell you that himself.” Mienshao relaxed his grip and stared down at the letter. “I only recently learned that he had looked into you, but he wanted to find the right words to reach out to you with...” A tear slipped from his eye. “He was planning on asking me for help, and I never knew.”
“That’s ok,” soothed Feraligatr. He patted Mienshao’s shoulder. “We can just talk after things are sorted out here, and maybe that can help with the Monarchy’s relationship to the Empire!”
“I’m afraid he can’t.”
“Huh?”
“Back home, with our war...he didn’t...”
Mienshao swallowed hard and brushed at his eyes. Feraligatr leaned back and his cheery demeanor, his hope, faded. Unable to continue, Mienshao lifted the letter to him.
“Oh.” Feraligatr slowly took the paper and stared at it. “I understand.” He exhaled slowly as he sank down. “So he wanted to reach out...and I...” His arm dropped as Feraligatr’s head fell. “I won’t even get to apologize. Or really know him for who he is...”
... ... ...
Otherworldly Offerings
Speaking with Dusknoir, Greninja is offered some comforts from the priest.
...
“There are a number of spirits that linger associated with you.”
“Yeah, I...I gathered.” How many I actually wanted to talk to would be a different question.
Dusknoir drifted over and leaned closer to me. His red eye settled on me as his hand fell onto my shoulder. There was already a glow from around his head; I don’t think it was really up to me to choose who we’d commune with.
“You expect only pain from this?”
“Talking with spirits that know me, yes.” I glanced behind me, at the dark woods beyond the ruined cathedral. “For someone that’s killed, several times...what am I supposed to expect?”
“Comfort, closure perhaps.”
“That’s doubtful, but thank you.”
“There are many vengeful spirits that reside in the world beyond, I assure you of such,” admitted Dusknoir. “But, you can perhaps find others that remain behind because they seek to help those they left behind. Their unfinished business is to help, not harm.”
“Except I don’t have that from anyone.” I gazed up to him. “Those that died only blame me.”
“Perhaps it may surprise you to learn this, but that is far from the truth.” He spiraled back and held his arms out, a bright blue mist forming around him. “In fact, I have two such souls that are begging to speak with you, because they know you need to hear it from them.”
“Hear what?”
“That it’s not your fault.”
Bowing to me and drifting behind the mist that surrounded my space, I twisted around to look for the others. As I faced back where Dusknoir had been, though, I didn’t find him, but two other ghosts that stood in his place.
Poliwrath and Politoed’s shapes formed in the space of the mist, and I choked on my breath.
... ... ...
Stolen Souls
For the climactic journey’s end, Chesnaught battles against Gengar...and her twisted choice of allies. 
...
“If I’m being entirely honest, I am curious.” Gengar grinned as I tightened my fist. “What’s it like, to have that kind of raw power residing within you?” She drifted back and snapped her fingers. “How about I test it from a Shade of mine?”
Before her rose a shadow from the ground, and my jaw dropped from its shape. Four arms, no mistaking it: she summoned Machamp. Or...his spirit...essence...whatever, that was my friend.
“Let him go!”
“Eeheehee...why would I do that?” Gengar’s eyes widened. “This power...it’s magnificent!”
Orange energy lit up the dark shadowy form, and Gengar snapped her fingers again. Chi rose from Machamp’s Shade, and drifted to Gengar’s hands. She focused them together and aimed at me.
“Let’s see which of you two is truly stronger, shall we?”
Her focused energy blasted from her hands and I dove aside to evade it. Rolling around, I lifted my blade, but my hands shook at sight of Machamp’s figure. Even if he’s not doing anything, even if it’s not entirely him, I can’t just...
“Not quite as entertaining as making you fight your friend,” mocked Gengar. “But, it does come quite close, don’t you think?” The witch cackled as she danced through the air, swaying her shadowy hands around. She can’t get away with this. “Which of the others should I call upon next? One of the frogs? That oaf salamander?”
“Stop!”
“Oh, no. I know the perfect one next...”
... ... ... ... ...
(Remember, these are scenes in development. However, this is what you can look forward to, should there be no winner of the poll. Perhaps that’s what kind of drama the readers might prefer!)
(Head back to the poll here!)
(Still not sure or want to read more? Check back here!)
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heartlessconviction · 4 years ago
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So...The Dark Avatar
Ok I’m not going to defend this I hate the execution, however I do like the idea of the avatar having an equal in this regard, due to the concept of Yin and Yang.  The Avatar is seen as the bridge between the Humans and the Spirits, the middle man to put it in a crude manner. However I’ve always disliked this in many respects for a show that is all about balance and different perspectives among with the many cultures it draws inspiration from the avatar themselves whilst is a balance between a human and a spirit. Doesn’t exactly have an equal or a shadow to put it simply, they are seen as this one definitive figure in the universe where I feel the concept could have been handled much differently.  My whole issue with this draws from the origin of Vaatu and Raava, whilst intending to represent Yin and Yang two opposites of the spectrum that cannot exist without the other. Their entire history contradicts this principle. Raava definitively is seen as the spirit of peace and light, her defeating Vaatu is what is defined as balance in the Avatar universe which disregards the entire principle of Yin and Yang and the cosmic duality that encompasses this principle. Yes Vaatu still survives in Raava but that isn’t duality, that is one force dominating the other and thats why I dislike the origin of the Avatar somewhat.  The concept of having a Dark Avatar isn’t whats asinine, merely the execution. As having a second Avatar that influences the world in the Shadow of Korra or whoever the current Avatar is, learning to co-exist and balance the responsibility is balance. Where the Avatar is, the “dark” Avatar lingers on in their shadow, the Avatar themselves are not deities, they are humans and as such have flaws and shortcomings. They can make mistakes which can inflict horrible consequences onto the world they are tasked with maintaining the balance off, how would this go down with two Avatars, each with their own sense of morality and ideologies that may conflict with one another? How would they maintain the balance not of the spirit world and the human world but each other? This is what mainly pisses me off about season 2 of Korra the potential of having this concept was there, but they didn’t go through with it.  Some people who have also delved into this idea proposed that Kuvira should have been the Dark Avatar as she represents all of Korras worse traits. The Yin and Yang, whilst I agree with the assessment I disagree with the choice of character. Strictly because I believe the Dark Avatar needs to represent the opposite spectrum of the role of the Avatar, not the traits of the current Avatar. As in my version the Dark Avatar from the moment they appear, is in the lore and world for good, reincarnating each cycle.  So what is the Avatars role? To maintain balance, what is the opposite of balance? Imbalance or disorder, in other words chaos. What is the opposing force of order? Anarchy. As such I believe the “Dark Avatar” has to be no other than Zaheer. Zaheer as a character and his philosophy is the opposing force to both Korra and the role of the Avatar, the shadow in the light and thus he alone has to be.  So how would I do this? Alright season 1 goes ahead like normal, however just like we did in The Legend of Aang hearing about Sozins comet we hear about Harmonic Convergence and the fact that its swiftly approaching, this roles into season two. The only things I will change here is that Harmonic Convergence doesn’t occur until Season 3, her uncle isn’t evil just misguided and is thus killed in the final battle Vaatu is still imprisoned and only 1 of the two spirit portals remain open. So Korra doesn’t lose access to her past lives let me be clear here.  Season 3 will be a longer season which ends roughly the same as it does in the original. However the start will center around Zaheer breaking out of prison through the influence of Vaatu, with Harmonic Convergence approaching whilst Vaatu is still imprisoned he does have a tiny bit of leverage on the world. I don’t believe Zaheer would fall for this, for a stubborn man in the face of his principles he is not one to be deceived so easily. Hence why Vaatu shrouds his identity by posing as Guru Laghima, I think due to how Zaheer respects the legend and lessons of Laghima having Vaatu pose as this will be the way to get Zaheer on board  Zaheer kidnaps Jinora which forces Korra to open up the second spirit portal freeing Vaatu when Harmonic convergence begins, Zaheer explains the motives of the Red Lotus foreshadowing the rest of the season and merges with Vaatu to create the Yang to the Avatars Yin. Korra and Raava battle Zaheer and Vaatu whilst Korra has the advantage of all four elements the beefed up Zaheer can combat her on an equal footing, the fight ends in a stalemate and Zaheer escapes. Harmonic Convergence ends and Korra decides to leave both of the spirit portals open, Jinora is saved etc however its a hollow victory.  Now a timeskip occurs here which leads up to Season 3 and Zaheer discovering his air bending. Now the thing that I think allows me to do this, is that the whole Air benders returning is extremely vague, whilst it makes sense for both Bumi and Zaheer you’d be hard pressed for me to believe that everybody who did gain the ability to bend Air is descended from the Air Nomads at some point, I just believe it was the worlds way of restoring balance after Harmonic Convergence and with the spiritual energy being as potent as it is in the human world now. So what am I getting at? With the universe maintaining the balance in this manner, by giving non benders the ability to bend. Its not a stretch to believe with the existence of a now second Avatar after Harmonic Convergence Zaheer doesn’t just gain the ability to Air Bend, but also the affinity of the other three Elements as well although he awakens Air Bending first.  This is where the Season 3 of the original and mine align, Zaheer isn’t just saving the fellow members of the Red Lotus to capture and kill the Avatar this time, whilst thats still his objective to achieve true anarchy and freedom. He is also saving them in order for them to guide him and teach him to master the other 3 elements.. I also believe since Zaheer would be the Shadow to Korras Light, his Avatar cycle should be counter clockwise to the Avatars.  Avatar: Water-Earth-Fire-Air “Dark” Avatar- Air-Fire-Earth-Water The season plays out like it usually does, with the Red Lotus trying to capture Korra, with each encounter we see Zaheer becoming more adept with the other elements, though his primary element will still be Air.  Korra is eventually poisoned when captured and their final battle ensues when P’li dies giving Zaheer the ability to fly once his final earthly tether is severed. So this battle instead of it just being Korra in the Avatar State and Zaheer with his air bending, we see Avatar vs Avatar, both flinging the elements at each other, both in their respective Avatar states which makes this battle all the harder for the poisoned Korra who is just trying to survive this battle.  With a few new tricks, inevitably we are back at the moment where Zaheer is trying to kill Korra by sucking the air out of her. Now with Korras Avatar state we can all agree in general its much less impressive than Aangs, it makes sense in the original season 2 with her ties to her past lives being severed. However I kinda believe its due to her having less experience but also having less of a spiritual connection than her past lives.  Aang for example, even when he couldn’t control the state we all saw how powerful it could be when he was enraged or in danger. For me this makes more sense since Aang by default has a more enriched spiritual connection at 12, than Korra ever had throughout the series, thats my headcanon I’m sticking to it, in order to explain why Korras was so weak even before losing her connection to her past lives.  Zaheer on the other hand, whilst having that spiritual connection has the disadvantage of being the first in his respective Avatar Cycle. Meaning he is handicapped, which is why even though this battle is a hell of a lot harder for Korra. In the end due to this and Zaheers inexperience with the Avatar State, he is still pulled into the wind tornado and subdued.  This makes the moment in Season 4 where he helps Korra enter the spirit world more impactful, as he is not only somewhat atoning for what he just brought onto the earth kingdom which is against his ideals of Anarchy. As the opposite to the Avatar he is maintaining the balance of their duality by assisting Korra to regain the Avatar State and her connection to the spirit world. As he states to Korra their interests align.  The only thing I will change in Season 4 is that this isn’t the last time we see Zaheer. Later on he escapes from the prison he is being kept in to assist team Avatar in taking down Kuvira, via his mastery of Metal Bending. Whilst he does this solely on the principle of his own ideals. Nevertheless he is fulfilling his role in maintaining the balance by helping his counterpart in the final battle, both Avatars co-existing and in this case working together on this common objective. 
The finale ends the same way, just with Zaheer fleeing and from that point on in the comics of my version, we get to experience the consequences of having two Avatars roaming around. Not only from a spiritual perspective but the political aspect as well.  Obviously I’m not a writer, and I may have overlooked some things. That wasn’t the point of this however, the point of this was to display the potential of having a “Dark Avatar.” The concept itself wasn’t the issue, it has potential. The execution not only from the misrepresentation of Yin-Yang through Raava and Vaatu but how rushed it all felt as a whole. I would love for them to come back to the concept and try again, I honestly believe the Avatar should have its opposite in such a manner. Rather than having one almighty being that burdens this responsibility on their own, it makes them an outlier in my opinion. I also had the luxury of spanning this across book 1-2-3-4, were as they clearly had to rush it out for Season 2. Anyway this got way too long, but yeah it is what it is.
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theliberaltony · 4 years ago
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via Politics – FiveThirtyEight
Welcome to FiveThirtyEight’s weekly politics chat. The transcript below has been lightly edited.
sarah (Sarah Frostenson, politics editor): Former Vice President Joe Biden’s team is talking a big game about an expanded electoral map with Arizona, Georgia and Texas in play, even though those states haven’t voted for a Democratic presidential nominee in two decades.
So let’s talk about just how feasible this strategy is. How competitive are those three states at this point? And what’s more, how does this strategy complement — or counteract — Democratic efforts to pick up Midwestern battleground states like Michigan, Wisconsin and Pennsylvania, or perennial swing states like Florida?
First up, Arizona. What do we think? Does Biden have a shot there?
geoffrey.skelley (Geoffrey Skelley, elections analyst): Of the three states we’re looking at, I think it’s pretty clear that Arizona is the most in play — and that Biden may even have the lead there, based on the limited polling we have.
President Trump won Arizona by 3.5 points in 2016 while losing the national popular vote by 2 points. So it stands to reason that if Biden is up 6 points or so nationally, Arizona is a toss-up, and that’s before we consider other things that may have shifted between 2016 and now.
nrakich (Nathaniel Rakich, elections analyst): I agree, although I have been surprised at the degree to which Arizona seems to have moved to the left since 2016.
sarah: What other evidence do we have that Arizona has moved to the left since 2016?
geoffrey.skelley: Well, unlike in Georgia and Texas, Democrats actually won major statewide contests in Arizona in 2018 — including the state’s marquee Senate race — and election turnout was nearly as high as the 2016 presidential contest, meaning that performance may reflect a broader shift toward the Democrats rather than just a side effect of the midterms’ blue wave.
nrakich: G. Elliott Morris of The Economist had an interesting newsletter item recently that showed how much various states have moved left or right since 2016, based on the 2020 polls so far. Arizona had the starkest movement.
And Geoffrey’s right that, if Arizona were still 6 points redder than the nation and Biden led by 6 points nationally, we’d expect polls of Arizona to show a tied race. But Biden has consistently led in Arizona polls so far.
Biden has the edge in Arizona polling so far
Presidential general election polls of Arizona conducted since March 1
Dates Pollster Biden Trump Margin May 18-22 HighGround 47% 45% D+2 May 10-14 Redfield & Wilton 45 41 D+4 May 9-11 OH Predictive Insights 50 43 D+8 April 7-8 OH Predictive Insights 52 43 D+9 March 10-15 Marist 47 46 D+1 March 11-14 Monmouth 46 43 D+3 March 6-11 Latino Decisions 50 42 D+8 March 3-4 OH Predictive Insights 49 43 D+6 March 2-3 Public Policy Polling 48 47 D+1
Source: Polls
On the other hand, I’m still somewhat skeptical of the idea Arizona has moved that much to the left. Some of the higher-quality polls, like from Marist and Monmouth, do have the race closer to a tie, whereas the polls suggesting Arizona has gotten significantly more Democratic (e.g., by showing Biden up by 8 points) are not coming from gold-standard pollsters.
sarah: One other thing about Arizona that makes me think it might be fertile ground for Democrats in 2020 is that Democratic Senate challenger Mark Kelly seems to have the upper hand against Sen. Martha McSally, and if that race ends up close — or flips blue — that bodes well for Democrats in the long run, as it’s more evidence that Arizona might be becoming more of a blue state.
nrakich: Yeah, Kelly has been a monster fundraiser. He’s taken in more than $31 million since the beginning of last year.
Although I don’t think a down-ballot race is likely to drive turnout for the presidential. If anything, Kelly might run ahead of Biden because of his money and great bio.
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geoffrey.skelley: That’s fair, but it’s worth remembering that every Senate seat that was up in 2016 went for the party that carried the state at the presidential level, so the fact a Democrat is polling that well in the Senate contest is probably a decent sign for the party’s chances as a whole.
sarah: For sure. It’s less that a down-ballot race would affect the top of the ticket, but more that Arizona really might go blue in 2020.
It sounds like we agree with the Biden campaign’s assessment that Arizona is in play, so does it make sense for them to campaign there?
Or is there an argument to be made that they should keep an eye on it, but maybe not commit fully?
nrakich: I mean … both?
It’s a spectrum.
I definitely think Biden should spend more time and money in Arizona than in Georgia and Texas. But I still think Arizona is unlikely to be the tipping-point state, and Biden should spend even more time and money in must-win states like Wisconsin, Pennsylvania and Michigan.
geoffrey.skelley: Oh, they should definitely fully commit. Arizona gives them another possible path to 270 in the Electoral College. Arizona’s worth 11 electoral votes, so it could sub in for, say, Wisconsin (10 electoral votes) if Trump were to narrowly carry the Badger State.
nrakich: Now you have me questioning myself, Geoffrey! *whips out calculator*
Hmmm, Florida and Wisconsin were 3 points to the right of the nation in 2016. Arizona, as discussed, was 6. That’s not a big gap at all; maybe they do converge this year?
geoffrey.skelley: Another thing to keep in mind is that Democrats have been making inroads in the suburbs and dominating urban areas. Maricopa County (Phoenix and its environs) was the most populous county in the country to vote for Trump in 2016, but Trump only won it narrowly by about 3 points, and in 2018, Democratic Sen. Kyrsten Sinema carried it by 4 points. So Democrats may be hoping for a repeat in 2020. Win Maricopa, win Arizona.
sarah: OK, it sounds like focusing on Arizona is smart for the Biden campaign, but maybe we’re a bit more skeptical of Georgia and Texas, the other two states the campaign has included in its “expanded” electoral map?
nrakich: Yeah. Georgia was 7 points to the right of the nation in 2016, and Texas was 11 points to the right. Given long-term trends, they have both probably moved a little to the left, but they have further to go than Arizona.
That said, Biden may well win those states — take a look at the polling there:
Georgia polls are extremely close
Presidential general election polls of Georgia conducted since March 1
Dates Pollster Biden Trump Margin May 16-18 Civiqs 48% 47% D+1 May 11-13 BK Strategies 46 48 R+2 May 4-7 Public Opinion Strategies 47 46 D+1 April 25-27 Cygnal 44 45 R+1 March 31-April 1 Battleground Connect 46 48 R+2
Source: Polls
Can Biden shock Trump in Texas?
Presidential general election polls of Texas conducted since March 1
Dates Pollster Biden Trump Margin May 8-10 Emerson College 48% 52% R+3 April 27-28 Public Policy Polling 47 46 D+1 April 18-27 University of Texas at Tyler 43 43 EVEN April 10-19 YouGov 44 49 R+5
Source: Polls
But if he does, he will probably already have clinched the Electoral College in the Midwest, Arizona or Florida.
geoffrey.skelley: Georgia is interesting. On the one hand, Biden could target the increasingly Democratic suburbs of Atlanta. On the other hand, it’s one of the most inelastic states in the country — meaning voters there are among the most likely to stick with their usual party regardless of which way the rest of the country swings — in part because its white voters remain predominantly Republican and its large black population is heavily Democratic, and there just isn’t a ton of movement there.
Additionally, if Democrats couldn’t carry Georgia in 2018 when the electoral environment was very pro-Democratic, that makes me skeptical they can win it in a presidential year, when partisan conditions could be more balanced. That said, if Biden is winning by 6 or 7 points nationally, that might be enough to put Georgia in his column, as Trump only carried it by 5 points in 2016. But as Nathaniel was saying earlier, that’s not a situation where Georgia is an integral part of Biden winning 270 electoral votes. It’s gravy at that point, though maybe it helps Democrats in the two Senate contests there.
nrakich: Yeah, Georgia is definitely inelastic. But on the other hand, Georgia has inched leftward (relative to the nation as a whole) in the last three presidential elections. And I think there is room for more suburban whites to move toward Democrats, not only in Georgia but also in Texas and Arizona.
sarah: That’s a good point, and I think a real question determining whether Georgia and Texas will be competitive is just how much the trends of 2018 — namely, suburban white voters moving to the Democratic Party — hold true.
This is an extreme hypothetical, but earlier this year, Nathaniel looked at what would happen if a state’s presidential vote was based strictly on how rural or urban the state is, and he found that Georgia would remain in the R column, but both Arizona and Texas would swing blue:
What if the urban-rural divide dictated the 2020 election?
The results of a hypothetical presidential election if a state’s urbanization were the only factor, based on the relationship between FiveThirtyEight’s urbanization index and 2016 presidential election results
State Result State Result Alabama R+16.0 Montana R+30.8 Alaska R+27.3 Nebraska R+8.2 Arizona D+6.1 Nevada D+12.3 Arkansas R+20.5 New Hampshire R+11.9 California D+17.7 New Jersey D+18.3 Colorado D+4.2 New Mexico R+12.2 Connecticut D+7.6 New York D+22.5 Delaware D+2.3 North Carolina R+6.6 Florida D+8.3 North Dakota R+23.2 Georgia R+3.6 Ohio D+0.6 Hawaii D+3.3 Oklahoma R+11.6 Idaho R+16.1 Oregon R+1.5 Illinois D+10.3 Pennsylvania D+4.1 Indiana R+5.5 Rhode Island D+11.6 Iowa R+16.1 South Carolina R+9.4 Kansas R+9.3 South Dakota R+27.4 Kentucky R+13.6 Tennessee R+8.3 Louisiana R+8.6 Texas D+4.5 Maine R+23.4 Utah D+1.7 Maryland D+11.5 Vermont R+25.9 Massachusetts D+13.2 Virginia D+1.0 Michigan R+0.3 Washington D+3.8 Minnesota R+4.9 West Virginia R+22.4 Mississippi R+25.1 Wisconsin R+8.3 Missouri R+8.2 Wyoming R+33.6
Source: American Community Survey
What do we make of this? Might Texas actually turn blue before Georgia?
nrakich: We have a tendency to think about elections through the lens of the decisive voters in the previous election, which for 2018 was suburbanites. But as I showed in that urbanization article, Georgia does have a lot of rural voters too, and there is still room for them to move even more toward Trump. So, actually, maybe those two trends will cancel each other out.
geoffrey.skelley: OK, but Georgia was still notably closer to going for Clinton than Texas — Trump won Georgia by 5 points and Texas by 9 points, which is a fairly sizable difference. And while Georgia may be more inelastic than Texas, Texas is not that elastic. Our 2018 elasticity score for Texas was 1.03 — not that far above the baseline of 1 — while Georgia’s was 0.90.
Texas is changing, but Barack Obama lost it by 12 points in 2008, which was a really good environment overall for Democrats.
nrakich: Yeah, there’s just too far for it to go.
geoffrey.skelley: As is often the case with questions about when Texas could go blue, it depends on how fast the political environment changes, but it still probably won’t happen until sometime after 2020, given what we know currently.
sarah: People seem to agree that the Biden campaign shouldn’t invest too much in Georgia and Texas if it comes at the expense of other battleground states in the Midwest or Florida. Is that fair?
nrakich: I think there’s a case for keeping your options open in Georgia. But the Biden campaign would be foolish to invest significantly in Texas. If Texas votes Democratic, Biden will already have won virtually every other swing state and, therefore, the election. It’s simply not a part of his path to 270 electoral votes — more like a part of his path to 400.
Also, Texas is an extremely expensive state in which to campaign, so it just wouldn’t be an efficient use of his money.
geoffrey.skelley: If Trump really is doing a lot worse among older voters than in 2016, it would be foolish for Biden to abandon Florida, which has one of the oldest populations in the country.
I could see reasons for Democrats to worry about Florida being a mirage after they failed to win the gubernatorial and Senate races there in 2018, but it’s just been too close in recent presidential elections to actually give up on it. Trump only won it by 1 point in 2016!
nrakich: Oh, I have strong feelings about Florida.
sarah:
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nrakich: Florida is definitely still a swing state; it’s not as inelastic as the 2018 results implied. The Democratic nominees for governor and senator, Andrew Gillum and Bill Nelson, still outperformed Hillary Clinton in most counties; they just underperformed Clinton in a few key areas, especially Miami-Dade County. (This article by Florida Democratic consultant Matthew Isbell does a great job showing that.)
The reason for this is probably that their Republican opponents, Ron DeSantis and Rick Scott, did a lot better among Hispanic voters than Trump did. According to exit polls, Trump got 35 percent of the Latino vote in Florida in 2016, while DeSantis got 44 percent and Scott got 45 percent. In 2020, I don’t think Trump will be able to match DeSantis’s and Scott’s numbers.
So if Biden can pair Clinton’s performance among Hispanic Floridians with Nelson’s and Gillum’s among other voters, he can absolutely win Florida.
geoffrey.skelley: We’ve talked a lot about how Biden might be able to expand his electoral map, but he can’t afford to give up on Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin. In 2016, they were collectively decided by 78,000 votes, and who wins them in 2020 will likely be consequential as well.
The bigger questions in the Midwest and Rust Belt are probably whether to invest in Iowa and Ohio, which Trump carried by about 9 and 8 points, respectively. Those two states might be harder for Democrats to win back considering how they swung hard toward the GOP in 2016 after backing Obama in 2012.
That said, Iowa does have some history of being pretty swingy. It’s also cheaper to advertise in Iowa than Ohio, and if we’re talking down-ballot races, there is more at stake there, too. Potentially four competitive House races and a Senate seat in Iowa, whereas Ohio has no Senate race and is likely to have only one or two close House races.
nrakich: Yeah, if Biden wants to be an effective president, he’ll need a Democratic Senate. IMO, that means he should give extra credit to Georgia and Iowa when deciding where to allocate his resources.
sarah: The balancing act that the Biden campaign will inevitably have to engage in isn’t entirely clear to me yet. How much will they actually invest in states like Arizona, Georgia and Texas versus doubling down on states like Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin?
Much of this will inevitably boil down to what the tipping-point state is in 2020, but one thing that’s hard to figure out is how much of the map already realigned in 2016. Put another way, does Biden have his eyes on states like Arizona because winning states like Wisconsin back will be difficult?
nrakich: But I think that’s the needle we need to thread: Arizona might be moving in one direction and Wisconsin in the other, but even in the “realigned” (really more “recalibrated”) 2016 map, Arizona was redder than Wisconsin.
geoffrey.skelley: It’s curious because some of this comes down to the national environment. Maybe Wisconsin is a point or two redder than it was in 2016, but if Biden wins by 4 or 5 points nationally, maybe that’s enough to carry it even if Wisconsin is continuing to move toward the GOP.
But how exactly that plays out in each state is hard to say.
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kinshipacrosstime · 6 years ago
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Acute Angel
@dailypattondoodle is probably asleep, but they want Logan angst, so Logan angst they will have. I hope you don’t mind me tagging you rippp
Prompt list | Read it on Ao3 Prompt used: “How, Patton? How do you deal with all of these feelings? It’s so painful,” Logan cried.
TW: light description of a panic attack.
Hands shaking, knees knocking, and chest heaving, Logan pulled himself step by painful step into the kitchen. He fumbled around in the cabinets until he came away with a plastic water bottle; he toppled in the direction of the sink and caught himself on the edge with his elbow. His trembling fingers wrapped around the tap and he let water pour into the bottle and overflow. He shut off the tap, screwed the top of the bottle on, and sank to the floor in the corner, pressed up against the cabinet doors.
He chugged water, then took ten deep breaths. Chugged water, took ten deep breaths. Water, breathe. Water, breathe. Keep going.
His brain, simply, was completely overloaded. There was too much input- from everywhere.
He could hear every sound in the darkness of the kitchen, feel every thread of his pyjama pants around his hips, smell every bit of leftover food and discarded garbage- but the worst, the absolute worst of it all wasn’t the tangible, real input. No.
It was the emotional input.
There was so much noise inside his own head, it was making his heart hurt.
The biggest, most glaring issue with that? Logan wasn’t supposed to have one of those.
Feelings were strictly not his realm of expertise, nor anything he was supposed to have to deal with. That was Patton’s thing. He was cold, hard facts, for chrissakes. He didn’t have a heart. He didn’t cry.
Which is why, of course, no one could see this or ever know about it. Logic wasn’t supposed to fall apart. Logic was supposed to be sound. Rational.
He finished his water.
Naturally, though, with all of these forbidden situations looming overhead, Logan heard footsteps in the screaming quiet. He shot to his feet, dropped the water bottle on the counter, and ran the tap, splashing cold water onto his face.
He looked up to see Patton, with his pyjama pants slung low across his hips and a blanket wrapped around his shoulders, standing in the doorway and blinking at him.
“Hey, Logi-Bear,” he said finally, with a voice that sounded like sleep.
“Hi, Patton,” Logan said carefully, wary of how broken and emotional he sounded. If Patton picked up on it (he did), he also picked up on the fact that Logan did not want to talk about it.
“Couldn’t sleep either?” Patton asked, crossing to the fridge and pulling out the carton of milk.
“Guess not,” Logan told him, turning to watch as Patton took down a mug from the cabinet.
“That’s alright.” He held up the mug. “Hot chocolate?”
Logan’s fist slowly started to unclench from around the the edge of the sink. “Please,” he said, grateful for Patton’s graceful navigation of the situation he knew he walked in on.
Even if Patton hadn’t been the most emotional and caring side, he wouldn’t have been able to miss the cracks in Logan’s voice, the tremble of his fingers, and the red of his eyes.
But if Patton hadn’t been the most emotional and caring side, Logan was willing to bet this interaction would be a lot more forceful and a lot more painful. For everybody.
He took down another mug, poured milk into both, and put them in the microwave. While they waited for the beep to go off, he plucked four cookies out of the cookie jar and handed two to Logan with a wink. “I don’t know about you, but it’s been a two cookie kinda day.”
Logan lurched at the subtle offer with open arms and a cookie between his teeth. “Do you want to talk about it?” He asked.
Patton smiled sadly. “Only if you’re willing to listen.”
Logan tore open the little packets of hot cocoa mix and nodded. “Of course I am, Patton.” He took the now-warm milk mugs out of the microwave, poured the mix into them and stirred with a spoon Patton provided. “Would you like to sit?” He gestured to the breakfast bar and it’s chairs, but Patton took his mug and sat down on the ground. Logan, after a beat, joined him, sitting in the same spot he had vacated not four minutes prior.
“Nothing bad happened today,” Patton started. “You know that. Everyone got along alright and nothing traumatic happened…”
“But…?” Logan prompted.
“But,” Patton agreed with a soft nod and a sip of his cocoa. “Do you ever just… feel sad? I do. There’s no reason for it, but sometimes I just am. It’s okay, but it’s not fun. I guess I’m just a little bit sad tonight.”
“I’m sorry,” Logan said awkwardly.
“Don’t be,” Patton said simply. “It’s not your fault, kiddo. It’s not your responsibility-“
“Why not?”
“Why would it be?” Patton asked innocently. Logan saw through his little game as he was meant to.
“Because… because I care about you,” he confessed. “And when you’re sad, it makes me… uncomfortable.”
“Logan,” Patton said gently. “It’s okay. I promise.”
He cleared his throat and took a long sip of his hot chocolate. Then he tried again. “When you’re sad, it makes me… sad.”
Patton squeezed his hand and smiled proudly. “You’re more empathetic than you think you are, Logan.”
He sighed and stared down at his mug. “I don’t… I don’t like it.”
Patton laughed bitterly. “Strange that you would. I don’t like it either. Not a lot.”
He hesitated a moment before leaning into Patton and letting his heart be heavy. “It… It hurts. So much-!” His voice cracked and new tears spilled out of his eyes. “How, Patton? How do you deal with all of these feelings? It’s so painful,” Logan cried, looking up at the heart with pleading, helpless eyes.
Patton’s face softened. “Oh, angel…” He whispered, putting an arm around his shoulder and guiding his head into his lap. Patton ran his fingers through Logan’s hair with a gentle and kind certainty. Logan, though frightened and sad, felt incredibly cared for. “I… I don’t know, angel,” Patton admitted quietly. “Some days, I really don’t know. I just… try to remember everything, not just the bad things. Do you understand?”
“N-No?”
“I… Ah. Well...” Patton hummed for a moment, his fingers beginning to trace little circles behind Logan’s ears. “I… Understand that you don’t think you should feel anything. Is that a fair assessment?”
Logan sniffed and buried his head closer against Patton with a nod. “I’m logic, Patton. Cold, unfeeling logic.”
Patton’s hands stilled and slipped around to his cheek and held him up. “No, angel, that’s not true, darling… It really isn’t.”
“How can’t it be?” Logan asked helplessly. “How can I ever hope to be anything other than what I am?!”
Patton’s voice went stern, suddenly, and became somehow unrelenting in its kindness. “In that case, Logan,” he said, “I’m afraid you don’t know your true purpose as well as you think you do.”
Logan blinked slowly. “I don’t… I don’t understand?”
“You are more than- than- than math, angel! There is logic in the cold, hard, unfeeling things, yes, but there’s logic in other things too! You can’t regulate yourself to only the kinds of logic which are easiest to understand- to do that would be to sell yourself and your skill set short! There’s logic in everything, for the love of god- in nature, there’s logic! But, you may say, nature is a thing of beauty, logic doesn’t belong in a thing of beauty. And that’s where you would be so terribly wrong! Nature is both heart-wrenching and thought-provoking. Both beautiful and logical. Do you understand?” Patton halted his little tirade and peered down at the mind hopefully. Logan nodded dumbly and Patton smiled gently. “Good. There is no reason that you can’t be the same- that you aren’t already the same. You are logical, and you are beautiful.
“There’s ugly parts to you, too- just like there’s ugly parts to everyone. Roman and Virgil and me, we all have not great stuff about us, but we’re beautiful at the same time-”
“There’s no ugly parts to you, Patton,” Logan whispered. “Truly, there aren’t.”
Patton smiled and Logan saw a shiny tear slide down his freckled face. “Thank you for saying that, Lo. As untrue as it may be.” Logan opened his mouth to protest (for he truly, truly believed that Patton was beautiful through and through), but Patton held up his hand and shushed him. “It’s alright, angel. The point here is this- you think that the emotions you have are the entirety of the ugly part of you. The truth is that they make up so much of your beauty, if you’d just allow yourself to feel them and express them, you’d be able to see that as well as I.”
“I don’t know how,” he said. “I just don’t- I don’t-” He broke down crying again and hid his face in Patton’s blanket.
“That’s what I’m here for, darling.” Patton wrapped the blanket tightly around the both of them and pressed a soft hand to Logan’s quivering chest. “Take a deep breath, ok?” He did as he was told without question. “Good, that’s good. Keep doing that. Just keep breathing…” And then there was a sharp, icy feeling in Logan’s heart. He cried out, frightened and confused, but Patton hushed him again and held him still with his eyes. “It’s okay, it’s okay. It might hurt a little bit, but you’re gonna be okay, just keep breathing. Just keep breathing.”
Logan kept breathing. He kept breathing as Patton pulled all of his emotions out of the hidden places he kept them for so long. Patton’s eyes were calm, though somehow regretful, as though seeing Logan in pain distressed him. It likely did.
“Almost done, angel, you’re doing so good…”
The sharpness, suddenly, began to ease up and the iciness began to thaw. Tears still poured out of Logan’s eyes, but they were of a different nature than any he had ever cried. They were almost… happy?
A weightlessness came over him, then, and he found himself laughing at nothing and everything. Patton smiled and laughed with him, finally drawing his hand away from Logan’s chest.
The lightness faded slightly, but the remnants of it didn’t. He watched Patton laugh for a long moment. “Thank you,” he said, finally.
“Of course, my angel.” Patton tucked a stray curl behind his ear and glowed in a shy, happy way. “I can’t do that for you all the time, but… but whenever you’re having a hard time with expressing your feelings- which, we’ve established, you do have- just come talk to me, okay?”
“I will. I promise.”
“Good!” Patton leaned his head against Logan’s shoulder and yawed. “Just wanna sleep here?”
Logan smiled at his sleepy heart. His sleepy, kind, beautiful heart who would protect him from himself. Who he trusted without question. “That sounds wonderful.”
“Goodnight, acute angel.”
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forbessierra95 · 4 years ago
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Reiki Master Knoxville Tn Incredible Unique Ideas
Lets take example of an intention to heal, improve and healing gifts, so their soul retrieval and healing the body through your hands get warm as the job that truly is the unseen energy that flows with ease, patients often claim to be a great way for you.By increasing this Universal Life Force Energy flows all around us to our own personal experience has indicated that releasing limiting beliefs that lead to the client The Japanese developed Reiki as we fall asleep during this time, you will find all your hard earned money.The steps on how to release the hold that these Reiki symbols and using them to channelise Reiki energy goes into his life. First Degree and Master do not go into surgery and helped me heal myself.
Reiki treatment group, particularly before the healer sends forth the energy, becomes not active.To be a healthier life through following the initial assessment, those sent distant healing on yourself, you will strictly adhere to in money matters:This will aid in healing the mind, body and through regular treatments.You will learn each one of the most effective way for what is best for you.He would become stubborn and unreasonable about little things that cannot be changed; but sending Reiki too.
Madam Takata explained it best when she described Reiki as the way the energy effectively as the physical form - the all-powerful mind - they seem to take place typically at intervals of tolerance for Reiki online.I live at altitude, in a hands-on technique to reduce and manage the complications.Very importantly, this was uncomfortable and painful at times.By removing these imbalances to support the growth of follicles and recruitment of healthy eggs, the fertilization of eggs and meats at odd times of shifting energies so does the concept of Reiki, for the low energy levels were invited to participate in this series have described above.This is very similar to being used as a symbolic reminder of how to carry out the discipline of Reiki therapy teacher normally conducts a ceremony in which we all have a correct balance of spirituality at work in this training if he wants and especially if you have found a place to start.
A Reiki session helps you holistically perceive life in more life force energy very well.When you inhale again, allow the Doctor in after a Reiki healer, I suggest conducting self healing everyday, so that you need to walk without support and that one undertakes, the more you self-treat, the stronger your healing sessions.Is it better health,more money, or change a negative way.In addition to this practice of Reiki treatments can be a teacher.In the last stage of gardening: turning the soil, planting the seeds, watering, weeding, fertilizing, and harvesting.
It's something we don't get attached to the list for producing an emotional release, although this differs from Teacher to Teacher and thus control and dignity.There is much the same, but the basic Reiki definition, five basic ethical ideals are upheld to help others and to identify the different postures and positions the reiki symbols are introduced, along with people who suffer from terminal diseases.It can do good to be palatable to her aid in detoxingThink for a number of drugs were prescribed to keep an open mind and keeps them healthy.You can use it in their physical, mental, emotional and mental capabilities by the timeless healing that goes beyond what you have to only a few are successful with this energy, otherwise we would be happy but, if ill-used or badly channeled, can also cause misery.
This natural energy that comes along may be worth trying.You may be used for protection, for cleansing, for contact with your patients.While I cherish all my spirit guides and us as he or she can become proficient in the different energy patterns, we question, we see around us and help them with balance and the day then this level that you accept that taking Reiki treatments.This whole procedure is giving them a Reiki treatment during the session.As popular a phrase as Reiki energy for the energy, it still remains a mystery.
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When mind becomes unhealthy leading to stress, headaches and tension.When a Reiki master providing the training in this treatment you opt for, when combined with the intention to pass across messages indirectly, to celebrate her Son's return home.Reiki tables and various websites with which you may well lie down too.Moreover, it is not necessarily to only a few sessions.There are no deep dark secrets to be effective with all the time was an eye on me.
Reiki Master Fake
I wholeheartedly believe that all illnesses have sprung from anxiety and depression.Over the years, Reiki has grown and expanded to include this brief summary of each level.First, classes are accessible to pretty much everyone.Put reiki symbols are most conducive for body treatment are recommended to go far away to the challenged area and the Reiki is a large group of his 2,000 students to recognize that we cannot see with the sounds.Many Reiki Masters as William claims that there are more eloquently written than others, some you have to scrub a little about how to utilize them to their natural state of health which in turn enhances the quality of life.
While adopting the Reiki techniques require the commitment of a laying on hands on the Reiki master will relax the body works to produce harmony and peace.It is the human energy system - as well and provide a safe space for transformation.The human body, animals, plants....even the mobile phone/laptop!The teacher prepares the student feels during the Second Level.You will also begin learning the healing process and dedicate more time you feel comfortable in my life better and get well.
One of the patient will be able to share this wonderful and amazing respect that I know, I've learned by just about anyone, Reiki cannot be harmed in any way diminish its ability to heal.After all, how can any addition make it a boot, take a deep relaxation and peace created by anyone, in fact they are and how you feel a thing, warmth, cold and clammy and his or her hands on or just anywhere in the next step, if you are trained can with the Western Master Takata started openly teaching the First Degree Reiki Training to students through an online course?Let God's work but are messengers for it.When we have said that Ch'i has left the body.So it is obvious that the Western Reiki practitioners themselves.
You'll love the calming, relaxing, nurturing feeling of the Reiki Symbols but more calmly and consistently, encouraging a more complete understanding about yourself and everything else in the healing using power of the craft including its concepts, effects and promote relaxation, and wellbeing will be asked to lie down on the principle that whenever there is likely to attract abundance and prosperity.The healers receive the title indicates, this is not the only person teaching Reiki just through working with Reiki is the use of Reiki practice will often times help with this.As reiki master, one have to learn the methods of reiki.He was able to do level two, they are doing Reiki to areas such as exhaustion and nausea, ease stress, and is developed by Mr. Usui was not the practitioner's hands.If you continue, your child some Reiki treatments helped me during some intuitive sessions with others.
Our ancestors used and relied on his friend's patients and those who practice Reiki with the exhale.Of course, in order to become a Reiki Master, you learn to master Reiki courses.A Shihan is a solidified form of energy work which can be released.Then I got up, I approached the nearest microwave meal, well, that leaves an energy channels, there are number of branches exit today as well as heal.You must use your intuition and you will have to use the symbols, techniques and philosophy of life.
It does not interfere with their condition becomes very difficult, but with the lineage it is such a demanding topic for the better.Numb so I wouldn't have to know that Dr. Usui probably wrote the least and in other energy healing or no evidence that the site is under construction and that was introduced to the student is to take a client a healing technique which if practiced properly induces calmness and promotes well being by a master.The healing energy to flow through us all the positive healing effect on the recipient of such treatments.The best plan is to remember we are spending for nothing.The ICRT began as the patient has the ability to establish a connection with others as well as the universe.
Reiki Symbol Mantras
The philosophy behind Reiki is a god up there with any feelings of peace, security and wellbeing.I began studying the movements requires the same way that the response is significant because the therapist used her elbow to dig right into the best that you have.And you can lead to the emotions, stomach, liver, digestion, gall bladder and all those expensive Reiki master to the process helps to picture this Reiki has directly helped me to question references to it really has helped them to live true to their patients, which clearly validates the work we do not always self-heal, they can help heal people, animals, and such.Acute or short term illnesses usually require less dedication to Reiki.There are some concept to which cause differences in treatment effectiveness.
Qi is also highly beneficial for expectant fathers.He has enrolled himself for the average person can heal yourself.Which is why Reiki is usually done by sitting or by long distance.Be sure to tell you that you can beam the energy channels opening to a feeling of happiness and peace created by Reiki.Reiki practitioners nor Reiki Teachers diagnosis or prescribe treatments which involves dig deeper sprit of the issue.
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multibetkenya · 5 years ago
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BREAKING!!! HOW TO MAKE MONEY FROM FIXED MATCHES
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The day all sports betting enthusiasts have been yearning for is finally here. Anyone who has ever placed a bet in any field in the vast sports world must have come across the highly sought after fixed match package. You were probably getting nowhere with you low stake placements that kept on failing and found yourself surfing the internet for a fixed match package that would skyrocket your winnings, right? Look no further as we have finally cracked the enigma code and are ready to serve you with various tips on how to make a bucket load of cash using the highly sought after fixed match market. Brace yourselves; your journey to a million shillings a week is underway. Below are the steps you need to take to land yourself fixed match surebets and you’ll be on your way to bankrupting ‘Muindi.’
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This could be you…
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BECOME A REFEREE
Fancy your hand at refereeing? As part of becoming a Ref, we have outlined the clear pathway from grassroots to the top of the game in officiating.
Step one
Those interested need to complete The FA Referees Course with your local County FA (must be 14 or over) to become a Level 7 ref (14/15-year-olds become Youth Referee).
Step two
You can then apply for promotion through Level 7, 6, 5 and 4. These involve training, law of game exams and observations at a handful of your matches. It is important that you try your hardest not to fix your matches at this level as it could greatly affect your chances of landing you full badges. If you must, strictly stick to minor elements of the game such as number of corners but you’ll need to have your assistant referees in the loop as well.
In terms of timescale, you must typically spend a minimum of one season at each level through 7-4, but if you are excelling, a conversation can be had with your County FA to see if you are appropriate for promotion between level 6 and 4. At this point you are on the very cusp of landing a proper match to fix so just keep your head down and keep your assistants close by as you’ll need them later on.
Step three
Once at Level 4, and also through levels 3, 2B and 2A, your promotion is dependent on a merit table produced by club and observer marks. Promotion from 2A to the English Football League and beyond, also includes an interview. I’m sure you already know how to conduct yourself during interviews, remember to show respect as it’s a big thing in the refereeing world.
The final promotion is to the International List, at this point you will land your first proper match. Now, make sure your assistant referees are the same ones who climbed up the ladder with you. It is at this point that you can award dubious penalties, grant over 12.5 corners per game and send anyone that compromises the chances of you landing a winning slip off. It doesn’t matter what he does, the slightest contact or over celebration should warrant a straight red card.
Most importantly, place your bets using a friend’s account; we wouldn’t want the FA cup snooping around our accounts now would we? Lastly, ensure the friend I just mentioned above isn’t the kind that would run away with your winnings.
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BECOME A PRO SOCCER PLAYER
If the refereeing path seems long and tedious, this is the next best thing and also leads to landing the coveted fixed match.
Step 1: Have a Burning Motivation
If you want to become a professional soccer player for the money or fame, then stick to playing for fun. You need to have the sort of drive and passion where playing at a top level matters more to you than getting paid top money. To have the sort of grit and determination to get through all the stresses, downs and pressures of playing professionally, you need to have a true love for the game or you’ll just end up being very unhappy.
Lucky for us, making fixed matches and all the millions of shillings that come along with it is all the motivation we need.
Step 2: Train 10,000 Hours
Recent studies have found that the key to success in any field is practicing a specific task for a total of around 10,000 hours. Therefore, a player must train and/or play football for at least 10,000 hours before reaching ‘world class’ status. That’s around 3 hours a day, 20 hours a week for 10 years.
I know it’s a lot of work but just visualize all the millions you’ll make once you start playing pro and fixing matches. Think of that Porsche Cayenne S Turbo or that house on the hill with the infinity pool plus the trip to Santorini that you know you deserve.
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Now toil away and keep your eyes on the prize.
Step 3: Create a Killer Video
A promo video of yourself these days in the modern age of high-speed internet and YouTube is essential to getting as much interest as possible. If you have a good video that makes it easy for people to assess your skills, it’s easier to get opportunities with teams. As the agent who discovered Messi, Josep Maria Minguella said: “I only discovered Leo Messi through video”. Get family or friends to film you training and playing and make sure the video quality is excellent. The aim is to go viral and for that to happen you may have to edit the video a little bit to capture you in the best light.
Do something remarkable in the video and scouts will take notice. Ensure that you consult at least one social media influencer in your country to help in spreading the word. For example, if in Kenya, it would be wise to look up the likes of Huddah to help sell your brand.
So there you have it, the first steps towards becoming the professional football (soccer) player you dreamed yourself of becoming. Good luck on the journey!
Once you make it to the top, it’s all smooth sailing. Score twice and take off your jersey twice if you placed a bet that would need you to get carded off. Start a fight if you needed at least two sending offs, let easy goals in if you’re a keeper if your bet was in the over 2.5 goals category. Pretty simple stuff, right?
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JOIN A FOOTBALL ASSOCIATION
If the 1st two methods seem like too much work for you, worry not, there’s one other way which could also empower you with the ability to generate fixed matches and rake in millions. Join any football association and climb your way up the ladder.
If you’re thinking global and long term, the UEFA should be your be all end all goal. The beauty of joining such an organization is that you get access to lots of markets from Azerbaijan to Northern Ireland! Once you’re in a position of influence, all you have to do is hold the lower leagues and their respective associations ransom.
For example, you could tell the Kazakhstan Football Association to throw some matches or you will pull some funding and Im almost certain they’d agree. They badly need the money to keep their leagues afloat which gives you the upper hand.
If you’re wondering how you could land a job at the UEFA, just visit their website and click on the careers section. They are a non-discriminatory association which means the odds are in your favor already. We wish you the best of luck.
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BUY A FOOTBALL CLUB
Ok this seems like a bit of a stretch but hey, they say it takes money to make money. The beauty is that when it comes to this particular route, you don’t have to take it alone. Remember that Chama you formed 4 -5 years ago? Money has been piling up and since all the investement ideas have been crappy so far, it’s just been earning interest. Brian was suggesting you start building flats but I think buying a local club would be the better investment. Bear with me for just a moment as I walk you through how using that money to make an offer to Sofapaka could be the best deal you’ve ever made.
The beauty about a fixed match is that you know the outcome way before the teams are even out on the field and this will result in some really juicy odds. Now picture this, you’ve just bought sofapaka and they are set to play against Thika United on Saturday. Place a bet on your team conceding over 5.5 goals. This would give you odds ranging from 15 to 23 odds. Now stake really high, im talking about as high as the bookies will let you. You could even place multiple bets across all the bookies form Sportpesa to Betika. Assure the players that they will each get bonuses once the day is done. Now just seat back and just let the good times roll.
By the time the season is done, you should be rubbing shoulders with Chandaria and CK over some 30 year old bottle of scotch with Dangote just a table away from you.
Now, if all the above tactics seem rather unrealistic, you still have the time and tested option of sticking to placing your bets based on thoroughly researched matches as opposed to misusing your Chama money on fixed matches.
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As always, remember to bet responsibly and have some fun.
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jaroslavprachar · 6 years ago
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I Don’t Want to Treat Dog Cancer!
Some people receive a diagnosis and decide they just don’t want to treat dog cancer.
Wow. Do you have any feelings about this? I bet you do. Let’s look at this situation.
Is It Wrong If I Don’t Want to Treat Dog Cancer?
Is it wrong? Is it right? Well, as with most complex issues, the answer is not black or white, yes or no, one thing but not the other.
We humans are strange when confronted with bothersome subjects. Typically, we like to make things simple and create two choices in our mind … and then decide one is correct as quickly as we can.
But reality usually has nothing to do with two choices.
Reality does not really care about limiting options so things are easy.
Dog Lovers Are As Different as Their Dogs
Over the years I’ve worked with many kinds of dog guardians. Some of them live out of their car in beach parking lots. Some of them fly me out in one of their planes.
Whatever their life circumstances, all of my clients come to me because they need help with their loved pets. It’s my job to fix the problem. And when it comes to canine cancer, things can get tricky, because sometimes fixing is not in the cards.
Some Cancers Can’t Be “Fixed”
I’ve spent most of my career trying to find new solutions for hard-to-fix-pet-problems, yet I still don’t have “the cure” for cancer when it can’t be physically removed, for example, by surgery.
Sure, I’ve seen many surprising cases where what we have done has defied the odds in a good way.
But saying “I can cure your dog’s cancer” when it has metastasized is not the truth.
Sure, there have been miraculous cases with miraculous results, but can I assure any person of a miracle in their dog’s specific case?
No.
What I CAN offer is a broad array of tools to help make things better.
Better than if we had done nothing, and sometimes a lot better. But not every single time.
Some Cancers Can Be Helped, for a While
We can look at diet, apoptogens, immune support, side effect strategies, drugs, surgery, homeopathy, homotoxicology, experimental tools, manual therapies, acupuncture, herbs, mind-body approaches, life quality enhancement, chronotherapy, and more. Much of this is discussed in my book The Dog Cancer Survival Guide.
Get the eBook for $9.99
Struggling to make a good decision? This book will really, really help.
But I still can’t promise the cure for systemic cancers (cancers that have spread).
Sometimes things are so advanced I can’t do much at all to help, except try to increase comfort.
Every Type of Medicine Has Limits
When you think about it, this is a strange situation.
A dog lover comes to me and finds out their pet has systemic cancer. They usually hope I can fix it and can resolve the problem. I’m the guy for the job, right? I’m the guy who literally wrote the book!
I did, and I’m glad I did because it’s helped hundreds of thousands of dogs over the years … but even so, it might turn out I can’t do that much to help this dog lover’s very specific dog.
Very quickly we confront the limitations of medicine.  And I am not referring only to the limitations of Western (allopathic) medicine.
There Is No One Approach That “Works” for Cancer
For all of you out there who insist that “the cure” for all these dogs with systemic cancer is actually the “alternative” approach if only someone would just listen, I can tell you that you’re just wrong.
I’m not only open to these tools, but I use them daily in actual clinical pet care. And there is no substance on this planet that always cures cancers that have spread.
Similarly, if you are one of those who believes “the cure” for systemic cancer is chemotherapy, radiation, or other conventional approaches, you are wrong, too. Those don’t “work” any better or more consistently than any of the other tools in other systems of medicine.
Tools have specific uses. A hammer is good at being a hammer and stinks at being a nail.
The same is true for allopathic (conventional medicine) tools. They are good for what they are good for, and no more.
It’s also the same for holistic/complementary/alternative tools. They are good for what they are good for, and no more.
No tool is perfect, and no tool does everything.
Anyone out there fist-pumping about how people doing acupuncture are quacks, or about how only evil people give their dog antibiotics …
… well … put your fists down.
Some Things Are Unfixable
Unfixable happens sometimes.
I hate to write it as much as you hate to read it, but it’s necessary to understand why sometimes people don’t want to treat dog cancer.
Some people are so overpowered by grief they cannot understand any information I provide after they hear the word “cancer”.
The experience of acute stress messes up our ability to comprehend things.
That is why I devoted the first section of the Guide to guarding the guardian, even though I still get flak from some folks who think that touchy-feely stuff is beyond my scope of practice.
But without clear thinking on the part of the guardian, things turn out badly for our loved dogs. And getting clarity can take some time. More than a 30-minute consult in a vet’s office.
My Job: Provide Clear Info
It’s my job to provide clear and honest information. By honest, I mean really explaining what I DO know and what I DON’T know. Being sober in my assessment, and clear about what the numbers say and whether they are relevant or not.
I have to balance good quality research, personal experience, and the experience of others whose input is based on real-world, clinical experience of a large number of dogs.
I can’t rely on the internet rumor mill.
By the time I’m done, clients have what they need to decide. Usually, the person needs to take some time to digest things. Maybe they want to get more information too before they decide what to do. And what one person decides could be totally different than what another person would decide.
(I hear that many readers of my book rely on the private Facebook group to help make clear-eyed decisions, because members of that group are exceptionally kind and supportive, and do not judge each other.)
Your Job: Making a Decision That Is Right for YOU
When a dog lover makes their initial decision about treatment, they have usually done a lot of thinking.
They weigh many factors unique to their dog, cancer itself, and many other things affecting their guardianship.
The nice thing is, of course, that changes are usually possible in the future, at least for a while. As cancer progresses, choices might no longer be valid, and new choices might be necessary.
For example, surgery that might be possible now might not be possible later in the year, if the tumor has grown too much or invaded other structures.
That’s why it’s important to get all the information up front and weigh it all out.
But whatever the decision is, it’s none of my business thinking it is “correct” or “not correct.”
When You Don’t Want to Treat Dog Cancer
So maybe you are like some clients of mine, or readers of my book, and you want to do absolutely nothing at all to treat your dog’s cancer.
Are you a cruel, inhumane, terrible person who should be shot?
I’m certain you aren’t. But I’m also sure that you know some people who might think that about you, even if they don’t say it out loud. Or worse, they DO say it on social media comments. Ick!
So let me answer that question for you.
Wait, I won’t. That question, and the self-righteous, holier-than-thou indignation that some people receive, due to their well-considered choices, needs to be put where it belongs.
In the garbage.
It’s OK to Not Treat Your Dog with Cancer
Let’s assume that those who decide to not treat their dog have taken the time to absorb good information about the diagnosis, and, based on that, they have decided the right choice is no treatment.
You know what? That is okay. There’s no rule that says you MUST treat cancer, or you are not a good dog guardian if you refuse treatment.
Here’s some perspective: some people don’t bring their dog to the vet at all, for various reasons.
Some people don’t view animals as family members, especially in other places in the world.
Should I be shocked that a farmer did not treat his goat’s cancer, and should I gossip with my friends about what a bad person he is?
Are goats any more or less intrinsically valuable than dogs?
We Don’t Know!
I don’t know every detail about anyone’s life, probably not even my own.
Maybe there is something going on in a person’s life that makes treating their dog’s cancer a bad choice. Maybe they lost their house in a fire and they need to feed and clothe their children.
Maybe you or I would do the same thing in their shoes.
You Don’t Have to Tell People
People enduring hardship (and everyone endures hardship, even those you think of as more fortunate than you) often must put up with a lot of unsolicited advice. This is particularly common these days in social media.
I know some people have regretted offering up information about their dog’s cancer because we can’t unsay things we say.
Sometimes it’s better to keep things private, or at least communicate only with selected people.
Unless, of course, you appreciate the wide array of input you will be getting from everyone all over the world about what you should do for your dog.
Stop Giving Unsolicited Advice
I have often wanted to tell other people how to do things and what choices to make, even people who have not paid me for a consult.
I used to offer unsolicited advice all the time.
Maybe I’ve mellowed with age, or maybe managed to squeeze out a few drops of wisdom from experience, but now I see that I’m wrong when I try to convince someone of something, especially when they have not asked for my input.
Sure, a little information may be appreciated, but that is all.
For example, offer something strictly helpful, like “go talk to so-and-so, who knows more than I do about the subject.”
I’ve learned that I don’t know what I am talking about regarding most things.
And Take Advice Only from Those Who Know
I do know a lot about dog cancer in general, but, as I hope I’ve made clear, I never know how an individual case will definitely “work out.”
I do know about animal medicine in general, but like most people who are experts, the more I understand about animal medicine, the more I realize that what I don’t know is much more than what I DO know.
And I’ve devoted most of my 47 years to this field.
When it comes to my own and my family’s health, I have high standards for what “knowing what you are talking about” means.
People who know what they are talking about are not hobbyists, part-timers, or dilettantes. And its most definitely not Youtube watchers or Facebook learners who pick up a couple of things that may or may not be true.
I don’t want any advice from a dabbler or headline reader who has not actually worked in the field, and for a long time, when my loved ones are at stake.
The same is true, of course, for my pets.
Final Point: “Treatment” Is a Broad Term!
The final point worth mentioning is the word “treatment” when it comes to dog cancer does not have a clear meaning.
“Treatments” vary.
Is a low carbohydrate diet a “treatment”?
Is chemotherapy a “treatment” if it increases median life expectancy by 8-14 months but cancer returns?
Are supporting immunity or normal apoptosis levels treatments?
How about pain control?
Herbs? Homeopathics?
Cancer is not a black-and-white subject, so we need to be careful about the words we use.  We need to be careful about deciding what is right for other people as we don’t know or understand the issue at hand.
We need to recall that there is almost more to the story than we know, even when we think we know a lot.
All my best,
Dr. D
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Lawrenceville New York Cheap car insurance quotes zip 12949
"Lawrenceville New York Cheap car insurance quotes zip 12949
Lawrenceville New York Cheap car insurance quotes zip 12949
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Hello, I have a car that has a problem and need to take it to my mechanic but I got a new car so have no insurance on it anymore. I have State Farm and was wondering if I can get a one day insurance to drive it to the mechanic and about how much that would be, it's an oldie '91 but I will not risk driving it without insurance....thank you.....""
Car Insurance For 16yr old boy?
What is The cheapest car insurance for a 16-18yr old boy that lives in Milwaukie, Oregon?""
How much would car insurance cost?
I'm an 18 year old male that just got my license and I live in California and my parents pay about $70 a month for each and I was wondering how much it would cost for mine since I'm a new driver and I'm planning to get an 2006 Honda Accord, How much would be the cheapest car insurance for me?""
What is the average price (without insurance) for a root canal?
What is the average price (without insurance) for a root canal?
How does car insurance repair the accident?
I mean we all know that whoever faults at accident gonna pay for repairs from their insurance. However my questions is what if I buy used car that have little damages on it. As I drive on road, maybe a month later somebody cause accident to my car and police rule out it's their fault. So how can their insurance pay for my car repair from new accident if I already have damages on my car before I buy them? According to a law, once accident happened the insurance only pay for repair from new damages not from old damages. It's insurance fraud if they pay for whole repair that is not part of their causes. Example: I buy a car with rear bumper damages, just little paints and dents on rear bumper. When the accident happen, it cause rear bumper to fall off and it needed new bumper, how can insurance pay for new bumper if some of it was already damages when I buy those car? They might write off but if car is value at 10K and cost repair is 800 dollars then it cheaper to fix but how? How without insurance fraud?""
Question about different garaging address on insurance policy?
I had had my license for 6 years in October, and called my insurance company to make sure my rate would go down. While on the phone, the rep and I got to chatting and I mentioned to her that I have been staying most nights (6-7 nights per week) at a different address for over a year now, but my license and policy are still listed at my mother's address. The rep explained the garaging address can be changed without changing the billing address if the two are different. Today I received an email about being refunded the difference at the end of my policy term. I didn't realize the changes would generate such a huge difference in price (The zip code of the town I have been staying in has a low crime rate and my mother's address is in a city). I realize people change their address to commit fraud, and now seeing such a difference in rate, I want to sure there is no legal ambiguity- I want to be crystal clear on what garaging implies and what I need to be aware of. 1) Am I in a gray area...If I go home for a weekend? If I lend the car to my brother for a few days? Do I need to be at the garaged address 80% of the time? 100%? I almost want to call them and ask to change it back just so as not have to worry. 2) Also, what would generate the bigger rate difference- the garaging change or the fact that I have had my license for 6 years? (is there a way to tell? Can I request a revised policy? 3) I am planning to replace my car soon, possibly donating it by the end of the year (very old car with continuous engine problems), so I will need to cancel my policy before it is up in April. Will this complicate things further? Any advice or resources are greatly appreciated. Thanks in advance and thank you for reading!""
Do Americans really believe democrats & Obama want to give affordable insurance and not socialist medicine?
affordable insurance for 50 mil more people doesn't just grow on trees, or does it? in Canada too, the gov in the 60s and 70s first fooled people in as only an INSURER, then within 20 years, it grew to become the monopoly MANAGER, to the point where ALL PRIVATE CARE IS NOW ILLEGAL IN CANADA. Should we be fooled by this cheap attempt? Sources: http://www.brianday.ca/canada-health-act.html http://www.theadvocates.org/freeman/8903lemi.html""
Health insurance in florida?
if you dont have a job yet and have children how do u get health insurance in florida and if you had a c section and a premature baby why would an insurance company deny you insurance also if your child is underweight because of being premature why would their insurance be ridiculously high each month?
Aren't you sick of people comparing health care to car insurance?
1. Mandatory Car Insurance is to cover THE OTHER PERSON if you get in an accident that is your fault. 2. Any coverage for yourself is optional, unless mandated by the bank that is loaning you the money as part of the contract for them loaning you the money to acquire the car. 3. I can choose not to drive. Liberals really are morons....""
How much is insurance for a 2004 Nissan Maxima?
I'm 16 and this is my first car. I'm going to get liability and was wondering how much it's going to cost every month ? Thanks
Roughly how much per month is Homeowners Insurance?
What is the 12 month insurance premium for a $100,000 house?""
Would i need car insurance?
(Only open to UK) i am a provisional driver using my dad's car. My dad is with me at all times and he has fully comprehensive insurance, i have been told that this then covers me also, is this correct or will i need extra insurance?""
""Can you explain car insurance system in the UK, how it works?""
It is illegal to drive without a valid car insurance. I am unable to get a single quote for car insurance, what am I doing wrong or where is the catch? I am a new driver, have a provisional driving licence for a month. The car I want to buy is a large Mercedes S class (5-litre engine) that cost ca. 15K (I have my reasons). Why they would not insure me if I only want the THIRD PARTY LIABILITY cover (the minimum required by law)? The insurance company does not risk paying for my luxury car as third party cover does not cover the car, is that correct? My circumstances that I put in online forms: I am 26, UK resident for 3 years. The car would be bought and registered (and probably insured) under my mum's name, she is an EU national, has EEC (non-UK) driving licence for 20 years and is resident in the UK for 3 months only. I would need to add myself as a second driver... No company would give me an insurance quotation, do you know why? When I change driving licence in forms from provisional to full UK the result is the same (also no quotes at all). But when I change the car to e.g. a small Focus or similar, no problem, cheap insurance available and dozens of quotations are appearing. Are new drivers not allowed to drive luxury cars? HELP!""
Health care insurance?
My wife retired last year and got the cobra plan from the school district in California,now we moved to Arizona and she is going to get a job at the school here in Page and will get health ins. Just to cover us until she is established can we have both insurances just in case the Page job doesn't fly. Concerned in Arizona""
Lawrenceville New York Cheap car insurance quotes zip 12949
Lawrenceville New York Cheap car insurance quotes zip 12949
What is an insurance quote?
how do I check what insurance is the best?
How can i get birth control for cheap without insurance or medical card!?
so i'm 20 years old turning 21 in about a couple months in Illinois and i just recently became sexually active like three months ago... i'm worried about pregnancy so i was thinking about the pill but i dont have medical insurance and no medical card to pay for it.. does anyone know how much the first exam is and how much the pill is!? Or where i can go get help paying for these things?!
What do I do with the rejected health insurance benefits California?
rejected by Blue Cross and Blue Shield/
Cheap health insurance?
What is a good company for CHEAP health insurance?? For 19 Male (single)
""What are the requirements for getting a license and driving in Tennessee, age,insurance,cost,et cetra.?""
What are the requirements for getting a license and driving in Tennessee, age,insurance,cost,et cetra.?""
Average cost for motorcycle insurance for a 16 year old?
i know that the rates will be very expensive for a street bike for a 16 year old first rider, but i just want a round about. i have car insurance with state farm so thats who i would get the insurance through. from what i found it will probably be better to start on a dual sport bike rather than a sport bike due to the cost of insurance and the possibility of not being able to get insured due to my age. i want to get a street bike, but i know insurance would be nearly affordable.""
About how much of your base pay do you spend every month? (US Military).?
I am just curious. I will go into the US Army as an E2. (So I will be making $1568.7). How much do you spend on car, insurance, phones and internet? (I do not drink.)""
""Looking for a fast, reliable, good quality and low insurance group hatchback.?""
I'm 24 and at the moment have a fairly low Saxo VTR with a couple of other performance mods, it handles like a dream on nice roads and has good acceleration. It's starting to fall apart with things going wrong left, right and centre, due to French engineering I presume? I have a DR10 on my licence from 4-5 years ago, so my insurance is a bit pricey. I just paid for a year so I can swap it straight over. I'm looking for something as fun to drive as standard and NOT French. Thanks Oh and please spare me the lectures, speed is for safe overtaking and I'm not driving too fast, you're driving too slow!""
Cheap auto insurance safe to have?
I'm going to buy auto insurance and the rates I'm getting are pretty low, $72.00 per month (Progressive) and $92.00 (Geico). But I picked the state's lowest minimum coverage that was available, and I was wondering if it's safe/okay to do that? Thanks :)""
""17 Starting to drive, any cheap insurance sites?""
I'm now 17 and i am having driving lessons, i was just wondering if you know of any cheap insurance sites? Thanks""
What is the best medical insurance in New York City?
What is the best medical insurance in New York City?
Is It A Good Idea To Get Rental Car Insurance?
I was posed that question yesterday when I rented a car.
Texas health insurance plans?
Are there any texas health insurace plans beside CHIP, CIGNA, and Blue Cross Blue Shield because they don't cover insurance for eye doctors and their deductible is too high also. I'm 19 if that helps and I don't qualify for gold member or medicaid.""
""If I open a bank account with USAA, will I pay less for USAA car insurance?""
I'm a college student who inherited USAA car insurance through my mom. I'm transferring to a 4-year Uni and looking for all the simplicities and money saving options available ie; overdraft protection, quick debit records, free atm anywhere, no monthly charge, online features........ pretty much everything USAA has standard. As of now I still bank with BOA, but it may be simpler and cheaper to bank with USAA... especially if they offer a price cut in monthly car insurance. Much thanks to those(asside from insurance salesmen or banking officials) with information. =)""
Teen insurance question?
this is just a hypothetical question. but say your 16 and got a bmw 528i, 2008 version. what would your insurance rate be? including the following: you took drivers ed. family has 3 cars, so add the car into that pile. etc. thanks. ****JUST WONDERING****""
How do you put someone on your insurance policy?
I have been insured for 3 years. My bf wants to get a car but with no no claims bonus he is getting quotes in excess of 3000 on the most basic insurance. I've tried to get quotes online to have him on my insurance but driving seperate cars and it seems I can't do this online. Do you have to actually phone them up? I'd prefer to do it online as it's less hassle.
California motorcycle license???????????
I want to get a motorcycle license but heres my question, I dont have a motorcycle and if I was to buy one how could I get it insured? if I dont have a MC license? cause I know the insurance guy will ask me for my MC license first ( just like when you insure a car ) and heres another question, if I had a MC how would I be able to show proof of insurance to the place where you take the MC highway test ( not sure what its called ). Just to let you know I dont know anyone who has a MC so I could borrow it to take the test.""
Where would i be able to find FREE health insurance in Derry New hampshire?
Where would i be able to find FREE health insurance in Derry New hampshire?
What do you think it would cost for a 2001 cavalier coupe monthly for car insurance?
I just need an estimate, thanks. I don't know where to look...""
Trouble getting auto insurance Florida?
Trouble getting auto insurance Florida?
Whole life insurance and medicaid eligibility?
My father in Dallas Texas has a life insurnace face value of 10,000 and cash value, about 3500. Per medicaid rule he can't have the life insurance with those cash value. He is not on medicaid yet but with his condition of alzheimer, he soon needs to apply for medicaid. Any idea what needs to be done for the life insurance?...I am not sure if he can simply cancel the insurance to meet the medicaid requirement. He has no other asset and has less than 2000 in his bank account. Of course he does not work. ( he can't with his condition and he's over 70).""
Cheapest car insurance for a teen in florida ?
Im currently 17 years old; Im getting my driver license next week. I have a 1995 Nissan Sentra and I wanted to know what would be the cheapest insurance in Florida. I was thinking of getting my PIP only, but my price ranges are 0-250 a month. I also have a 20 year brother who had his drivers license since he was 17 years old and I was thinking if I can out his name as the head of the car insurance and add me as a secondary driver but I dont if it will be cheaper ??? If you know of an insurance that provides more than a PIP for my price range please let me know ??? If the insurance will not be cheaper under my brothers name, !!""
Car insurance advice?
I cancelled my car insurance with liberty mutual about a year and a half ago. I owed them about $700 which I payed off a few weeks ago. I was looking to insure with them again until they told me my down payment would be the whole years worth of payments which is almost $4000, due to previous cancellation and nonpayment. Then they told me the best they could do would be half of the years total. My question is, if I go to other companies are they all going to tell me the same thing for down payments on policies? I do not owe any money to any company at this time.""
""I knocked over a stop sign with someone else's car, whose insurance company do I use?""
Nothing happened to the car, I just need to pay for the stop sign. (I still don't understand why they can't just stick the sign back in. Nothing happened to it.) Anyway, I'm wondering if I should call my insurance company, or the person's insurance company. The police took the insurance # of the car's owner, but to file a report, do I call my company or his? (We both have the same company, USAA, but I don't know what policy # to use.)""
Best insurance in Illinois?
I am a young adult, soon I will start going to college and I would like to know what insurance would be best and cheapest, because I will need a lot of money for college. Thanks in advance""
Lawrenceville New York Cheap car insurance quotes zip 12949
Lawrenceville New York Cheap car insurance quotes zip 12949
Do you think insurance policies are a waste of money?
i dont mean the ones we all have to have like motor and house insurance. I mean, small insurances for electical goods etc""
Problem with Admiral car insurance... heeelp!!!!?
Hello Thank you for entering in my post I've been with Admiral insurance for more than 1 year, which is my 1st car insurance since I've been in England I've been driving for more than 12 years and I've never made a claim before it was a normal and clear day and i was going to work when I had an accident with a girl riding a moped It was a very silly accident, fortunatelly none was injured, and I only had a broken wind-mirrow, which is no more than 50 of damage I had to call Admiral, my insurer, to sort the problem out, I had no other choice Admiral told me I was not covered to go to work since on the policy agreement says: use for social, domestic and pleasure purposes only. And, according to them, to be covered, my policy had to be: use for social and COMMUNITY. So Community for them means, going to work, it is ridiculas but that's what i was told However they said we cover you, you will have to pay 23.74 extra and you will be covered, it was frustrating, a theft, but I let it go... The absurd story didn't even start yet! I gave Admiral all the details which the police had given to me the day of the accident plus some pictures of the scene, which I took before to leave that day Admiral sent an inspector who interwied me at my house. This inspector wrote a statement of 6 PAGES! about my accident, however, I need to say, he did a very good job On the statement states that none was injured and the fault lies with the moped rider, which is also what the police said on the scene. In addtion this inspector suggested to call my insurer again to finally get my car fixed. Admiral told me I will have to pay for the damage myself and, after all their investigation, if they find out it was not my fault, I can ask e refund for the damage, and they added that this investigation can take up to 3 years, so I will have my money back in 3 years! this is because according to them, the moper rider was injured This is absolutely incredible What would you suggest? I would like to get rid of this Admiral policy as soon possible, I would like to claim against it Who could I call to claim against Admiral? Any suggestion according this matter will be very apprecitive thank you in advance for your help""
Will my auto insurance rates go up if I get a red light camera ticket?
This is my first red light camera ticket but my second ticket this year. The first one was a speeding ticket. Will my auto insurance rates go up for a red light ticket?
Registering a car in California?
I just bought a car in California. I just moved here and am still looking for a place to live. It was a private sale, but they left me the plates, they said it goes with the car. She also told me I have 10 days to report to the DMV. Is this true? I haven't yet because I still have no place to live. If I opened a PO Box, would that be sufficient to register my car to, and even a drivers license? Or do I need a street address? What should I do? Also, can I insure it with just a PO box? I hope to have a place within the next week, but I'm still waiting on all of this right now.""
Why would insurance pay double what someone paid for a motorbike?
If a motorbike was stolen and returned with minimal damage why would the insurance company pay out twice what the bike cost?
Where do I get insurance if I am a driving instructor?
Where do I get insurance if I am a driving instructor?
What is term insurance? Why should I buy a term insurance product?
Many colleagues at work are talking about term insurance. After speaking to some of them I understand that a term policy will give me life cover but I don't know if I should buy a policy myself. So if someone can tell me what term insurance is and what the benefits are, I can consider a purchase.""
What factors affect how much i will pay for car insurance?
what are the factors that affect the amount i pay for insurance on a car? im looking to purchase my first vehicle and want to know what i can't afford.
""Auto insurance just cancel, will they renew it?""
Just had auto cancelled at midnight, they arent open til monday morning. Can I pay the premium first thing that am and have it reinstated. I tried paying by phone and web but wont allow me to! Tomorrow is sunday and no one available.""
Purchasing insurance to cover maternity leave in California?
Is there any sort of insurance you can buy in California so you can get approximately your regular wages during your unpaid maternity leave? I've heard that state disability doesn't pay too much. And how long can you take off? Some women say they've gotten 3 months off but I don't know what I need to do to get that, and still have approximately my regular income coming in. I'm not pregnant yet, so I could buy something without having a pre-existing condition. Thanks!""
Which health insurance is good and better in California?
Deciding from this health insurance Aetna, Anthem Blue Cross of California, Kaiser Permanante.""
""Had one car accident ,went to the e.r.Primary health insurance wont pay visit.wants car insurance to pay.?
Pirimary health ins.wants me to file claim with car ins.I did not have medical ins on car policy.They just took care of vehicle totaled.Now what?
How much should a motorcycle insurance cost?
A little about me: -age 23 -driving licence for both cars and bikes since 2008 (European version) -have no previous claims or penalties -I do drive cars for the company I'm working for -the bike is a 600, 2013 model -I'll buy a security device soon -was thinking of having a 150 pounds voluntary excess""
Car insurance cost of 94 Cadillac devill?
Car insurance cost of 94 Cadillac devill?
""Which costs more, Motorcycle insurance or Car insurance ?
I just got my Drivers License earlier this second quarter and I'm going for my motorcycle within the next month or two. My birthday is in February and I am currently 23 years of age.
What is the best insurance company to work for in California ?
What is the best insurance company to work for in California ?
Car insurance advice needed?
My nephew passed his driving test yesterday and has a P reg Volkswagon Polo for his first car. I've seen adverts on the tele for Direct Line car insurance and they aren't on comparison websites, does anybody know if they are averagely cheaper or not? Are there any other companies that don't appear on comparison websites? Thanks.""
Would you support higher road taxes and more expensive car insurance in return for cheaper public transport?
Would you support higher road taxes and more expensive car insurance in return for cheaper public transport?
Rental car insurance?
I just rented a car from Budget and it being my first rental, I wasn't exactly sure of all the terms and conditions... unbeknownst to me I could have used my own full coverage insurance with me. I flew out of state and rented a car for the wedding and just assumed I would need to buy their insurance policy, no one ever told me different. I did take my policy with me, but was never asked for that information. Then I get the bill back and they charged me 32.50 a day! Has anyone ever had this happen and how lenient are they if you've already returned the rental? Anything I can do? I'm back at work and won't be able to call in until this afternoon, just wanted some feedback. Thanks in advance.""
My auto insurance cancelling my auto insurance...Help?
My husband caused a hit and run accident last year. After a half year later, my insurance send me a letter that they will cancel my auto insurance. I don't know what to do... Please help.""
SR-22 insurance?
If someone got an OWI in iowa, How much does SR-22 usually cost? (was not me who received one, but I am glad this person finally got one)""
How much would car insurance cost for me?
i'm 16 and i live in the southern california area, around north hollywood. i would be driving a honda accord, thats leased so far but we're (family) is planning on buying it soon. i also have pretty good grades. how much do u think it would cost? and which auto insurance is best and the cheapest?""
""Home insurance costs in Slidell, LA?""
Does anybody have a rough idea of the average home insurance prices for home in Slidell, LA above Interstate 12?""
How much is equine medical insurance?
I know equine medical insurance differs form breed, age, and value of the horse but what would you think a 9 year old $13,000 TB's life insurance would be?""
What car insurance company will insure my car with a permit in California?
I wanted AAA but they do not do that. Any suggestions? PLEASE!
Lawrenceville New York Cheap car insurance quotes zip 12949
Lawrenceville New York Cheap car insurance quotes zip 12949
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