#oc: toney

[eggoyolkk]

just seeing that sketch dump of wilfre being spared by the hero makes me love it; an how about the hero managing to clean the corrupting shadow off from him (untainting and separating aldark away from wilfre's body in the process (i am even imaging a funny scene of this shadow jerk aldark going down the drain in this process)) without killing him? how it would look like?

hilariously ive already considered this <3

so step one: retrieve him from the hall of darkness alive and separate him from Heather

step two: gay bath.

step three: no more shadow :D

[officermaddie23]

The Fandom kids get kidnapped (FT Ocs)

Coraline Jones: I'M GONNA KEEP A STRAIT FACE YOU WON'T EVEN KNOW THAT I'M SCARED YOUR GONNA UNTIE ME AND LET ME OUT OF THE VAN THATS IT THIS IS NOT UP FOR DISSCUSSION Melvin: I CAN'T HIDE THE FEAR Calvin: Uh could you go to the front of the van I like to be alone Mikacroak Yelinak: you think you could untie these ropes they are really tight? YOU THINK YOU CAN UNTIE THESE ROPES THEY ARE REALLY TIGHT (Breaks free from the ropes) okay I'm gonna jump out of the van and ninja roll JUMPING NOW (Ninja rolls out of the car) Vanny: This is the last time I'm telling you to shut up Seven: NO I DON'T WANNA SHUT UP (sees the Beldam go into his wallet) Mam kill me if you must but that dollar you took out of my wallet that's mine Gregory: Wait I gotta pee wait I'm hungry wait slow down wait nevermind I'm fine Georgie: You said this was an ice-cream truck where's the ice cream I'm suspicious now Kasey: Hey can I be the kidnapper now because this experience is a one out of 5 stars Vanny: *points her gun at Kasey* Kasey: So your mad because I'm right Millie Fitzsimmons: I am not getting in that van its atrociously dirty. Kill me chop up my body if you must but don't put me in the dirt put me in some disinfected water Sarah: 3 years now 3 years ago you bumped my head up against the roof of the van and I'm still mad Vanny: Just tell me where the money is Toney Becker: NO THAT IS A SECERT I WILL TAKE TO MY GRAVE Cassie: For the past 3 minutes you kidnappers smell like sweaty people who went to the gym and didn't take a shower afterwords (Takes a selfie with Vanny and the beldam) No filter Vanny: I TOLD YOU TO STOP TALKING OR I'M GONNA KILL YOU Young Michael Afton: I TOLD YOU TO STOP TALKING OR I'M GONNA KILL YOU. You see how stupid you sound

[theimpossiblescheme]

I come bearing more backstory Jellicle OCs!  Here are the three new babies I’ve brought into the world...

Undine--Mistoffelees’ mother and Cat Morgan’s mate, magical ship’s cat onboard the Flying Dutchman.  Voiced by Andrea Frierson-Toney.  Ethereal, gentle, longing.

Sempronia--the Primadonna Cat, friend and former co-star of Gus and his troupe.  Voiced by Dorothy Bond.  Audacious, flamboyant, affectionate.

Cadogan--Sempronia’s older brother, “barkeep” of the Lost Dog pub.  Voiced by Orson Bean.  Easygoing, plainspoken, modest.

[aqutalion-art]

Aqu and Co. Fundraiser: Moar Cats

This round ends: 06/15/19

Total raised this round: $0

I’ve been wanting to do another of these for a while, but had to deal with grad school and finishing the dissertation and cleaning up the mess grad school made of the rest of my life. But now life has calmed down enough that I think I can do this.

The Charities

There are two choices, this round:

-Challenger’s House. A no-kill cat shelter in Toney, Alabama. It’s where I got Lufia, the cutest little biscuit ever, for which I am eternally grateful. Yay, cats.

-Western Illinois Animal Rescue. A volunteer-operated no-kill shelter in Monmouth, IL. They have cats, too. And also dogs. One of the volunteers is a college friend of mine, and she assures me that they put their money in the right place.

What do you get?

You get a 6x9 picture of a character, person or animal of your choice. I do both OC’s and fanart, as well as manga-style portraits of actual people, and pictures of pets. For people, it’ll probably be from the waist up or the shoulders up, depending on what fits. For animals, it depends on the pose.

$5 gets you a custom Harlock the Cat cosplay pic, with a badge version to wear on your lanyard at your next con.

$15 gets you a spiffy ink drawing

$30 gets you a suuuuper-spiffy watercolor pic

What do you do?

Make a donation directly to one of the charities above (or if you want to split it between the two, that’s fine, too). Screenshot your confirmation screen or email (blur out credit card numbers and the like).

Send the screenshot to aqutalion@gmail.com, and tell me what you want drawn and where to send the finished piece. If it’s an OC, I’ll need either a reference pic or a description. If it’s a portrait, I’ll need a photo of the actual person/animal to work from.

I’ll draw the piccy and send it to you! You get art, some kitties gets food, and I get to use up some of the art supply stash so I don’t have to drag it cross-country when I move, which should have happened a year ago, but that’s neither here nor there. Win, win, win!

Finished pics will be posted both here (the art blog, aqutalion-art) and on my deviantart page. If you don’t want yours posted publicly, let me know.

Depending on whether I can be bothered to set up the camera rig, I may film myself painting some of the pieces for my YouTube channel. If you don’t want yours filmed, or want to make sure it is, let me know.

Even if you can’t donate, signal-boosts and spreading the word are greatly appreciated!

Isn’t she a cute little biscuit?

[patriotsnet]

How Many House Seats Did Republicans Win

New Post has been published on https://www.patriotsnet.com/how-many-house-seats-did-republicans-win/

How Many House Seats Did Republicans Win

Florida Vs California: How Two States Tackled Covid

2018 House Midterm Election Results Update – House Voting Results – How Many Seats? Blue Wave?

The researchers theorized that one reason for the change is that Democrats were in charge of states where people who had the virus first arrived in the country but Republicans were less stringent about safeguards, which could have contributed to their states ultimately higher incidence and death rates.

The early trends could be explained by high Covid-19 cases and deaths among Democratic-led states that are home to initial ports of entry for the virus in early 2020, the researchers wrote. However, the subsequent reversal in trends, particularly with respect to testing, may reflect policy differences that could have facilitated the spread of the virus.

The study, which which was published in the peer-reviewed American Journal of Preventive Medicine, examined Covid-19 incidence, death, testing, and test positivity rates from March 15 through December 15, 2020, when there were 16 million confirmed cases in the U.S. and 300,000 deaths. It focused on per-capita infection and death rates in the 26 GOP-led states and 24 Democratic-led states and Washington, D.C., and made statistical adjustments for issues such as population density.

But policy differences between the Republican and Democratic leaders emerged as a big factor for the reversal of the states fortunes, the study suggests.

One of the most concerning things last year is the politicization of public health restrictions, Lee said. Theyre not opinions, theyre based on evidence.

Opinionhow Can Democrats Fight The Gop Power Grab On Congressional Seats You Wont Like It

Facing mounting pressure from within the party, Senate Democrats finally hinted Tuesday that an emboldened Schumer may bring the For the People Act back for a second attempt at passage. But with no hope of GOP support for any voting or redistricting reforms and Republicans Senate numbers strong enough to require any vote to cross the 60-vote filibuster threshold, Schumers effort will almost certainly fail.

Senate Democrats are running out of time to protect Americas blue cities, and the cost of inaction could be a permanent Democratic minority in the House. Without resorting to nuclear filibuster reform tactics, Biden, Schumer and House Speaker Nancy Pelosi may be presiding over a devastating loss of Democrats most reliable electoral fortresses.

How Did The Gop Gain In The House While Trump Lost Its Actually Pretty Simple

One of the increasingly prevalent arguments spun by President Trump and his allies when it comes to supposed voter fraud in the 2020 election is this: Republicans had, by and large, a pretty good election below the presidential level. They gained significant ground in the House and probably held the Senate as long as they dont lose both Georgia runoffs. So how on earth did Trump lose?

The answer is actually pretty simple: Our elections increasingly look more like parliamentary ones, and given that, the results make a ton of sense.

New data from the election-reform group FairVote sheds some light on how the battle for the House played out. The big takeaway: Our politics are increasingly less about people and incumbents and more about party. Weve been talking about increased polarization for many years, but the 2020 election really drove it home. The results for Congress affirm the fact that Republicans writ large lost the election, even though it might have been closer than many expected.

FairVote has for years studied an issue called incumbency bump i.e., how much an incumbent benefits relative to other members of their party thanks to already being in office. The conventional wisdom on incumbency is that its a big advantage that people might not like a politicians party or Congress as a whole, but if they know that politician well or have any doubts, theyll revert to supporting the person in the seat.

Recommended Reading: Why Are Republicans Wearing Blue Ties

Oc Supervisor Michelle Steel Defeats Rep Harley Rouda Flipping Socal Congressional Seat Back To Gop

Still, Republicans are buoyed as they look to 2022, when Democratic Gov. Gavin Newsom is expected to seek another term. A U.S. Senate seat will be on the ballot along with other statewide offices, all held by Democrats.

Republicans see a target. Newsom is struggling with an economy battered by the virus, there is widespread discontent with the states shifting COVID restrictions and his credibility has been dented: He broke state rules when he and his wife were caught dining with 10 others at the toney French Laundry restaurant, sitting close together, mask-less. Newsom repeatedly has told Californians to stay home and wear masks.

We have a real opportunity, I think, to win statewide again, Patterson said.

Biden, despite his dominating win in the state, did not have coattails in key House races.

In the 25th District north of Los Angeles, Republican Rep. Mike Garcia held on for a 333-vote win over Democrat Christy Smith while running as a Trump apostle in a district with a 7.5-point Democratic registration edge. The son of a Mexican immigrant father, the former Navy combat pilot won the seat in a May special election after the resignation of former Democratic Rep. Katie Hill.

Young Kim defeated Democratic Rep. Gil Cisneros in a rematch in the Democratic-leaning 39th District, anchored in Orange County. A former state lawmaker, she was born in South Korea and grew up in Guam.

Who Controls State Legislatures In States With Changes

Thirteen states were affected by the 2020 Census’ shift in congressional seats.;

States are given the task of redrawing districts when;they gain;or lose;seats.;

Michael Li, senior counsel for the non-partisan Brennan Center for Justice’s Democracy Program,;said;the country could be poised for a battle over;gerrymandering, the practice of redrawing district lines to favor one party over the other or to suppress the vote of communities of color.

In some states, the process is fairer than others, he said, because they are not controlled by just one political party or they have instituted an independent redistricting committee, such as in Michigan. But for other states, the party in power stands to control the map.

Read Also: Republicans Are Stupid Donald Trump Quote

How Republicans Pulled Off A Big Upset And Nearly Took Back The House

Analysis by Harry Enten, CNN

There seemed to be one safe bet when it came to the 2020 election results: Democrats would easily hold on to their majority in the House of Representatives. Not only that, but the conventional wisdom held that Democrats would pick up more than the 235 seats they won in the 2018 midterm elections.

Why Did House Democrats Underperform Compared To Joe Biden

Reddit

The results of the 2020 elections pose several puzzles, one of which is the gap between Joe Bidens handsome victory in the presidential race and the Democrats disappointing performance in the House of Representatives. Biden enjoyed an edge of 7.1 million votes over President Trump, while the Democrats suffered a loss of 13 seats in the House, reducing their margin from 36 to just 10.

Turnout in the 2018 mid-term election reached its highest level in more than a century. Democrats were fervently opposed to the Trump administration and turned out in droves. Compared to its performance in 2016, the partys total House vote fell by only 2%. Without Donald Trump at the head of the ticket, Republican voters were much less enthusiastic, and the total House vote for Republican candidates fell by nearly 20% from 2016. Democratic candidates received almost 10 million more votes than Republican candidates, a margin of 8.6%, the highest ever for a party that was previously in the minority. It was, in short, a spectacular year for House Democrats.

To understand the difference this Democratic disadvantage can make, compare the 2020 presidential and House results in five critical swing states.

Table 1: Presidential versus House results

Arizona

Read Also: Republican Senate Seats

Election Analysis And Context

All 435 seatsincluding seven vacancieswere up for election, with Democrats needing to add 23 seats to win majority control of the chamber.

The Democratic Party was well-positioned to gain seats, according to a 100-year historical analysis of House elections conducted by Ballotpedia and political scientist Jacob Smith. From 1918 to 2016, the presidents party lost an average of 29 seats in midterm elections. The Democrats matched this pattern in the 2018 midterms, gaining 40 seats for a total of 235 seats17 more than was needed for a majority.

One undecided 2018 race was decided in September 2019 when Dan Bishop won the special election. The state board of elections called a new election following allegations of absentee ballot fraud in the 2018 race. for more information on the aftermath of the 2018 election.

In 372 of the 435 seats, an incumbent was seeking re-election on November 6. There were 52 seats where the incumbent was either retiring or otherwise not seeking re-election18 Democrats and 34 Republicans, including House Speaker Paul Ryan and seven vacant seats. In four other seats, the incumbenttwo from each partywas defeated in a primary before election day.

There were 46 seats that changed party hands, both open seats and those occupied by an incumbent, and 30 of the 372 incumbent U.S. representatives lost their seats in the general electionall Republicans.

Gubernatorial And Legislative Party Control Of State Government

Midterm elections: Do Republicans have a chance of keeping the House?

Top 10 Closest Primaries: January to June 2020

Wave elections

Gubernatorial and legislative party control of state government refers to the role of political parties in the power dynamic between state legislatures and executives. Below, we examine the partisan affiliation of the 1,972 state senators, 5,411 state representatives, and 50 state governors across the United States.

Partisan breakdown of state governments

Below, Ballotpedia presents our information on the partisan breakdown of state senators, state representatives, and governors as well as the state legislature and state executive branch as a whole. We also examine state government trifectas, which occur when the state house, the state senate, and the office of the governor are each controlled by one political party. Trifectas are important to highlight since unified partisan affiliation between the branches of state government can impact a states legislative process.

The following maps display current state government trifectas as well as historical trifectas leading up to the 2010, 2012, 2014, 2016, 2018, and 2020 elections. Use the buttons below to select a map.

Read Also: When Did Republicans And Democrats Switch Platforms

Eric Holder: There Is Still A Fight For Democrats Against Gop Gerrymandering

In McConnells Kentucky, for instance, Republicans are divided over how far to go during the upcoming redistricting process, which they control in the deep-red state. The more extreme wing wants to crack the Democratic stronghold of Louisville, currently represented by Rep. John Yarmuth. More cautious Republicans like McConnell are willing to settle for smaller changes that reduce Democratic margins while stuffing more Republican voters into hotly contested swing districts.

Make no mistake: McConnells caution isnt rooted in any newfound respect for the integrity of our electoral process. Instead, Republicans are mainly worried about avoiding the costly and embarrassing court decisions that invalidated their most extreme overreaches and potentially turn the line-drawing over to the courts. So McConnells approach doesnt reject partisan gerrymandering it just avoids the type of high-profile city-cracking that could land the Kentucky GOP in federal court.

States With Republican Governors Had Highest Covid Incidence And Death Rates Study Finds

States with Democratic governors had the highest incidence and death rates from Covid-19 in the first months of the coronavirus pandemic, but states with Republican governors surpassed those rates as the crisis dragged on, a study released Tuesday found.

From March to early June, Republican-led states had lower Covid-19 incidence rates compared with Democratic-led states. On June 3, the association reversed, and Republican-led states had higher incidence,the study by researchers at the Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health and the Medical University of South Carolina showed.

For death rates, Republican-led states had lower rates early in the pandemic, but higher rates from July 4 through mid-December, the study found.

You May Like: Trump Used To Be Democrat

The House’s Balance Of Power Is Tipped Toward Democrats

The Democrats;have a narrow six-member margin in the current House of Representatives, meaning if just a handful of seats flip, Republicans can regain control of the House.

Democrats’;advantage;will grow to seven when Troy Carter is sworn in;to fill a seat in Louisiana’s delegation left vacant;by Cedric Richmond, who left the House to join the Biden administration as the director of the White House Office of Public Engagement.;

United States House Of Representatives Elections 2018

17Footnotes

The Democratic Party won control of the U.S. House from the Republican Party on . Democrats gained a net total of 40 seats, 17 more than the 23 seats they needed to win control of the House.

Heading into the elections, Republicans had a 235-193 majority with seven vacancies. All 435 seats were up for election. Special elections were held earlier in 2018 and in 2017 to fill vacancies that occurred in the 115th Congress. Democrats flipped one seat when Conor Lamb won a to replace Tim Murphy in Pennsylvania’s 18th Congressional District.

Ballotpedia covered every state and federal primary in 2018 to highlight the intraparty conflicts that shaped the parties and the general elections. Click here for our coverage of Republican Party primaries in 2018, and here for our coverage of Democratic Party primaries.

Also Check: Republican Vs Democrat Indictments

Isan Composition Of State Legislatures

Alabama Alaska Arizona Arkansas California Colorado Connecticut Delaware Florida Georgia Hawaii Idaho Illinois Indiana Iowa Kansas Kentucky Louisiana Maine Massachusetts Michigan Minnesota Mississippi Missouri Montana Nebraska Nevada New Hampshire New Jersey New Mexico New York North Carolina North Dakota Ohio Oklahoma Oregon Pennsylvania Rhode Island South Carolina South Dakota Tennessee Texas Utah Vermont Virginia Washington West Virginia Wisconsin Wyoming See also

The partisan composition of state legislatures refers to which political party holds the majority of seats in the State Senate and State House. Altogether, there are 1,972 state senators and 5,411 state representatives.The breakdown of chamber control after the November 2020 election is as follows:

37 chambers

One chamber with power sharing between the parties

The breakdown of chamber control prior to the November 2020 election was as follows:

39 chambers

See also: Partisan composition of state houses and Partisan composition of state senates

state government trifecta

As of August 15, 2021, there are 23 Republican trifectas, 15 Democratic trifectas, and 12 divided governments where neither party holds trifecta control.

Districts That Flipped In 2018

The map below highlights congressional districts that changed party control in the general elections on November 6, 2018.

The following table lists congressional districts that changed party control in the general elections on November 6, 2018. It also includes 2020 general election race ratings from three outlets.

Flipped congressional districts, 2018 Kim Schrier

Recommended Reading: Trump 1998 People Magazine Quote

Republicans Introduce 253 Bills To Restrict Voting Rights In States Across The Us

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Republican lawmakers in 43 states have introduced a total of 253 bills aimed at restricting access to the ballot box for tens of millions of people. Republican-controlled states, including Southern states that employed lynch law terror to block African Americans from voting during the decades-long period of Jim Crow segregation, are flooding their legislatures with measures to effectively disenfranchise working class, poor and minority voters.

The laws largely focus on tightening voter ID requirements, purging voter rolls and restricting absentee and mail-in ballots.

In the United States, state governments have the authority to oversee elections and determine election procedures and rules, including for national elections. Within each state, individual counties have a great deal of latitude in the conduct of elections.

Republicans control both the lower and upper legislative houses in 36 of the 50 states, and both the legislatures and governorships in 23 states, making it very possible for far-reaching barriers to the ballot box to be imposed across much of the country.

Despite opening the door for a return to restrictive and discriminatory voting practices, the 2013 ruling met with little resistance on the part of the Democratic Party. Neither the Obama White House nor the congressional Democrats mounted any serious effort to reverse the evisceration of the Voting Rights Act by enacting new legislation in the years since the reactionary Shelby ruling.

Texas

Gop Women Made Big Gains

Democrats win House, Republicans keep Senate in US

While the majority of the Republican caucus will still be men come 2021, there will be far more Republican women in Congress than there were this year. So far, it looks like at least 26 GOP women will be in the House next year, surpassing the record of 25 from the 109th Congress. Thats thanks in part to the record number of non-incumbent Republican women 15 whove won House contests. And its also because of how well Republican women did in tight races. The table below shows the Republican women who ran in Democratic-held House districts that were at least potentially competitive,1 according to FiveThirtyEights forecast. As of this writing, seven of them have won.

GOP women have flipped several Democratic seats

Republican women running for potentially competitive Democratic-held House seats and the status of their race as of 4:30 p.m Eastern on Nov. 11

District D+22.1

Results are unofficial. Races are counted as projected only if the projection comes from ABC News. Excludes races in which the Republican candidate has either a less than 1 in 100 chance or greater than 99 in 100 chance of winning.

Also Check: Who Is Right Republicans Or Democrats

[skyanfeeds]

‘Nick Gates vs. The World’: Giants fans rallying behind offensive lineman in cool way after he suffered bruta  NJ.com

Giants first-round pick Kadarius Toney vents frustration with role on team after loss to Washington  CBS Sports

Giants don't trust Daniel Jones, Aaron Rodgers' moodiness is a distraction — Colin | NFL | THE HERD  The Herd with Colin Cowherd

Ron Rivera sees hope and concerns in Washington Football Team victory  The Washington Post

Was Dexter Lawrence offside?  NBC Sports

View Full Coverage on Google News

[bleedbigblue]

New Post has been published on Bleedbigblue.com

New Post has been published on https://bleedbigblue.com/kadarius-toney-likely-not-to-practice-this-week/

Kadarius Toney Likely Not To Practice This Week

Kadarius Toney likely not to practice this week according to Zack Rosenblatt.

Kadarius Toney is still working his way back and likely won’t practice this week. Toney has been dealing with the after-effects of his COVID-19 diagnosis from before training camp, which has made it difficult for him to get in proper conditioning shape. That is something both Judge and general manager Dave Gettleman have alluded to in recent weeks. He is also dealing Judge has said was aggravated last week, though he hasn’t revealed yet what was injured.

Last week when asked if Toney was falling behind, Giants OC Jason Garrett replied “it is what it is,” at this moment not the best vibes regarding Toney.

If you are looking for additional updates please subscribe to our mailing list.

[colesmurf22]

(OC) Tiffany The Yoshi

Bio: Tiffany Yoshi Name: Tiffany Gender: Female Age: 24 Birthday: December 24th Sexuality: Bisexual Species: Yoshi Relationship/Wife: Tori Family Members: Tiffani (Mother) Tife (Father) Kyla (Little Sister) Tiffanie (Sister) Tiffy (Sister) Tiffin (Sister) Tifa (Sister) Tobey (Brother) Tobin (Brother) Tolliver (Brother) Toney (Brother) Torianna (Daughter) Theodora (Daughter) Mikki (Daughter) Kenneth (Son) Jacob (Son) Travis (Son) Heaven (Daughter) Nevaeh (Daughter) Tyron (Younger Son) Tyrone (Younger Son) Tory (Younger Daughter) Tracie (Younger Daughter) Torin (Younger Son) Tomi (Younger Daughter) Torrin (Younger Son) Tiffni (Younger Daughter) Kylar (Brother in law) Personality: Girly, Cute, Pretty, Nice, Kind, Caring, and Smart Friends: Emmie (Best Friend) Abril Scarlett (2nd best friend) Rosalyn (3rd best friend) Tracy (4th best friend) Christina (My bestie's oc and 5th best friend) Whitney (My bestie's oc and 6th best friend) Emilia (My bestie's oc) Kimmie (My bestie's oc) Kenzie (My bestie's oc) Whitnee (Our oc and 7th best friend) Melia (Our oc) Pacifica (Our oc and 8th best friend) Roslin (Our oc and 9th best friend) Kanadee (Our oc) Allison (My bestie's oc) Maddie (My bestie's oc and 10th best friend) Vivienne Iridiana Olivia Favorite Color: Aqua Favorite Season: Winter Favorite Holiday: Christmas Fun Fact: Tiffany is a very girly yoshi, she likes doing girly things only. She also love the color Aqua. She is a very cute yoshi, when people sees her. They can tell that she is very cute. She's so cute that everyone that is around her wants to give her a hug, or doing girly things with her. She is very pretty, she doesn't like to be all sloby, she likes to keep herself pretty. She is very very nice, she may be all girly and pink. But she love being nice, expecelly to her youngest sister Kyla. She likes to hang out with her to, since she's girly to. She is very kind. She is very caring, expecelly to her little boy Jacob , she cares deeply about him. And she can be smart sometimes Tiffany belong to me Yoshi Species: Nintendo

[eggoyolkk]

this is Real Old but i still like it. anyway meet my Hero !! lmao

[the-world-travelers-blog]

Toney River, Nova Scotia [4032x3024] [OC].

[junker-town]

How long will it take Dan Mullen to get Florida out of its rut?

Mullen’s got loads of SEC experience and inherits a roster full of exciting sophomores and juniors. How long might it take him?

Bill C’s annual preview series of every FBS team in college football continues. Catch up here!

Long ago at Football Outsiders, I took a look at whether any type of coach is more likely to succeed than any others. The only broad conclusions I could reach were as follows:

Programs tend to gravitate toward their historical norms.

If you can get a coach with power conference coaching experience, that’s slightly more likely to work out for you than anything else.

Those aren’t mind-blowing conclusions, but they’re instructive when thinking about Florida’s hire of Mullen.

Florida’s historical norms:

Following the 2010 season, Florida’s 50-year average percentile rating in the S&P+ rankings was 84.7 percent. If you recall standardized testing, that’s pretty good. The Gators had achieved at an elite level throughout most of the 1990s and 2000s, but had been at least solid before that.

Basically, all Florida needs is a decent head coach in order to play at a top-15 level.

During the seven seasons since, Florida’s average percentile rating in S&P+ is only 76.2 percent. Granted, 2017’s strange collapse played a role in that figure, but you could say UF’s hires of Will Muschamp and Jim McElwain were average at best.

Hiring a coach with the right kind of experience:

Muschamp and McElwain had solid résumés. But neither had been a P5 head coach before.

Mullen has nine years of not only P5 head coaching experience, but SEC head coaching experience.

And he led historical overachievement at Mississippi State. In the 50 years before his arrival, MSU’s average percentile rating was 57 percent. In his nine seasons, it was 75.4 percent. His Bulldogs finished ranked in the AP top 20 three times and won six bowls. He raised the bar significantly in Starkville.

Any further context you want to add is even friendlier. You know, like how how Florida’s offense had an average Off. S&P+ ranking of fifth during his last three years as OC in Gainesville (2006-08) and has had an average ranking of 65.4 since.

On paper, this is very likely to be at least a good hire for Florida. I would be floored if the Gators weren’t at least top-15 good soon. (They’ve only hit that mark twice in the last seven years.) On the field, this was a nearly risk-free hire.

So why isn’t there more energy emanating from Gainesville? This hire got a good grade from everyone who grades such things, but “Florida’s going to be back soon!” buzz — like what we saw from Scott Frost’s Nebraska hire — has been minimal.

Recent headlines haven’t helped. Something in the neighborhood of seven Gators were allegedly involved in a confrontation involving gamblers and BB guns (and a frying pan). This came after a few key players were suspended or booted for “misusing school-issued funds” last fall. It’s a lot harder to get your program to achieve when your two-deep is randomly Thanos-ing itself.

Meanwhile, though July recruiting rankings are as conversational as they are consequential, Mullen hasn’t done himself any favors there either.

Then there’s the product on the field. Florida didn’t bottom out in exactly the same way that Tennessee did last season — while UT’s Butch Jones was very much fired for on-field performance, McElwain’s dismissal was blurrier, and the Gators were decent for half the season. Still, as with Jeremy Pruitt at UT, Mullen is facing a Year Zero season while figuring out what kind of building job he’s got.

Florida’s got plenty of individual talent, even if this latest stupid scandal continues. It’s hard to set 2018 expectations until we know the timeline for the rebuild, but we can still make an educated guess on how the season will go.

Offense

Let’s start with a positive: Florida should be pretty good up front. The Gators were mostly solid in run blocking last year — they were 31st in stuff rate (run stops at or behind the line) and 32nd in Adj. Line Yards, though they were far from awesome in short-yardage situations (82nd in power success rate) — despite young running backs.

They now return all eight linemen who started at least one game last year and who’ve combined for 112 career starts. Left tackle Martez Ivey has mostly lived up to his five-star hype (he was second-team all-SEC last year), and while McElwain didn’t recruit like gangbusters up front, he did compile experience.

Granted, pass blocking numbers were terrible. Both primary quarterbacks, Feleipe Franks and Malik Zaire, took sacks on over 11 percent of their pass attempts, and UF ranked a wretched 114th in Adj. Sack Rate. But a lot of that is on the shoulders of the QBs, not necessarily on the line. Franks was an overwhelmed redshirt freshman, and Zaire was sack-prone at Notre Dame, too.

UF did appear to have some answers brewing. After a struggle against Michigan, the Gators averaged 6.3 yards per play and 31 points per game in wins over Tennessee, Kentucky, and Vanderbilt. Freshman Malik Davis rushed 42 times for 311 yards, Franks completed 65 percent of his passes and averaged a strong eight yards per pass attempt (including sacks), and sophomore Tyrie Cleveland caught 11 of 18 balls for 270 yards. The young core looked ready.

And then the calendar flipped to October. Franks took 15 sacks in three games and went into a shell. Zaire took over and did the same, so Franks got the job again. After producing a 150.3 passer rating in September, Franks managed just 99.3 thereafter.

Still, he was a freshman. So was Davis, who missed the last month of the season with a knee injury. Cleveland’s production vanished when his QBs’ production did, but he’s still a former blue-chipper with a a track record. (He was also involved in the frying pan scandal.)

Potential has never been Florida’s problem, but the list of guys with it is awfully long.

Newly eligible Ole Miss transfer and former blue-chipper Van Jefferson caught 91 passes over two seasons in Oxford and produced a plus-14 percent marginal efficiency, which dwarfed that of any Florida receiver besides slot man Kadarius Toney. (Jefferson was in what I’ll politely call a more WR-friendly offense.)

Toney, another member of the Frying Pan Seven, caught 15 of 21 passes with a lovely 57 percent success rate. He also rushed 14 times for 120 yards. He also did next to nothing after September.

Running back Adarius Lemons came off the bench late in his freshman year and gained 110 yards in 13 carries against UAB and FSU.

Photo by Kevin C. Cox/Getty Images

Van Jefferson

Juniors like running back Lamical Perine and receivers Josh Hammond and Freddie Swain didn’t produce intriguing per-touch numbers but have racked up experience. There’s another layer of four-star youngsters who have barely seen the field, but still might carry potential. Perhaps the most noteworthy: Ohio State transfer Trevon Grimes, sophomore Daquon Green, JUCO tight end Lucas Krull, and freshman slot Jacob Copeland.

Then there’s Scarlett. He rushed for 889 yards (five per carry) for the pass-challenged 2016 offense before missing last season. And while Franks didn’t run often, he looked good when he did (29 non-sack carries, 212 yards). Mullen brought co-coordinators John Hevesy and Billy Gonzales from Starkville, and with Davis, Scarlett, and Perine, with either Franks, freshman Emory Jones (yet another of the Frying Pan Crew), or sophomore Kyle Trask behind center, it’s not hard to see a version of last year’s run-heavy MSU offense. And if that happens, there’s upside in the receiving corps, too.

Needless to say, though, it’s been a while since Florida’s offense lived up to recruiting rankings.

Logan Bowles-USA TODAY Sports

Jordan Scarlett

Defense

Florida hasn’t had an offense rank higher than 39th in Off. S&P+ since Meyer left, but the defense held on through the Muschamp years and the start of the McElwain era. Florida ranked 13th or (much) better in Def. S&P+ every year from 2008-16.

But the back seven got thinned out between 2016 and 2017, the line dealt with injuries, and the Gators fell to 54th last year. Things bottomed out during a three-game stretch that saw them allow 7.1 yards per play and 38 points per game to Georgia, Missouri, and South Carolina.

Now, 54th still isn’t terrible — it’s better than what the offense has been — but Todd Grantham’s first Florida defense has quite a bit to prove.

Kim Klement-USA TODAY Sports

Chauncey Gardner-Johnson

The primary source of problems was in the big-play department — the Gators didn’t suffer glitches, they suffered catastrophes. They ranked 27th in success rate but 118th in IsoPPP (which measures the magnitude of the big plays you allow), and despite a slow game tempo, the 5.2 plays per game of 20-plus yards that they allowed ranked 97th.

Of course, when you see that freshmen and sophomores accounted for seven of last year’s top nine DBs, those big plays begin to make sense. The secondary was so young that it’s still one of the youngest in FBS, but there is some play-making talent. Junior nickel Chauncey Gardner-Johnson led the team with 15 havoc plays (six tackles for loss, nine passes defensed), and sophomore corners Marco Wilson and CJ Henderson combined for 18 passes defensed.

Experience should help with the big plays, but Grantham’s system is aggressive — his Mississippi State defense ranked 13th in success rate and 120th in IsoPPP. So the all-or-nothing tendencies will continue, which is fine, as long as there are far more alls than nothings.

Kim Klement-USA TODAY Sports

Cece Jefferson

The front seven was also incredibly young, so much so that rush end Cece Jefferson and tackle Khairi Clark might be the only seniors to see action. (It also was only minimally damaged by Frying Pangate — reserve tackle Kyree Campbell was the only defender involved.)

With the addition of WVU transfer Adam Shuler II, UF appears loaded at end. Jefferson, Shuler, and Jabari Zuniga each had at least eight tackles for loss and three sacks last season, and Jachai Polite added another five. And inside linebacker David Reese led the team in tackles and came in second in TFLs with 10.

Linebacker depth might be tenuous, and the potential nose tackles in Grantham’s system haven’t proved themselves (no returning tackle had more than eight tackles last year), but there are known pieces to go with all the potential. Grantham improved MSU’s defense from 73rd to 19th in Def. S&P+ last year and could have a similar effect in Gainesville.

Special Teams

Florida ranked a healthy 15th in Special Teams S&P+ — despite almost no production in the return game — because of the dynamite leg combination of kicker Eddy Pineiro and punter Johnny Townsend. Both are gone.

With all these athletes at WR and DB, the returner positions have lots of unproven potential. (So this goes for basically the entire team.)

2018 outlook

2018 Schedule & Projection Factors

Date Opponent Proj. S&P+ Rk Proj. Margin Win Probability 1-Sep Charleston Southern NR 32.3 97% 8-Sep Kentucky 64 8.9 70% 15-Sep Colorado State 95 16.7 83% 22-Sep at Tennessee 79 7.3 66% 29-Sep at Mississippi State 14 -10.0 28% 6-Oct LSU 16 -3.3 42% 13-Oct at Vanderbilt 75 6.7 65% 27-Oct vs. Georgia 6 -13.9 21% 3-Nov Missouri 30 1.8 54% 10-Nov South Carolina 35 3.5 58% 17-Nov Idaho NR 30.3 96% 24-Nov at Florida State 18 -6.6 35%

Projected S&P+ Rk 32 Proj. Off. / Def. Rk 60 / 21 Projected wins 7.2 Five-Year S&P+ Rk 8.9 (28) 2- and 5-Year Recruiting Rk 13 / 13 2017 TO Margin / Adj. TO Margin* -3 / -5.2 2017 TO Luck/Game +1.0 Returning Production (Off. / Def.) 75% (77%, 74%) 2017 Second-order wins (difference) 4.8 (-0.8)

In Mullen’s first season at MSU, he brought a spark to a moribund offense and improved the Bulldogs from 95th to 33rd in S&P+. They improved from four wins to merely five because of some tight losses and a brutal schedule, but by year two, MSU was 9-4 and 26th.

Moribund offense? Check. Taking over a four-win team? Check. If nothing else, this feels familiar for Mullen.

SEC media picked Florida third in the East, which is fine as a splitting-the-difference pick. To me, either Mullen takes root and the Gators ride a hot start to second in the East, or this proves a Year Zero situation and UF ends up fifth or sixth.

S&P+ projects the Gators 32nd overall and favors them in eight games, with a ninth (LSU) a relative tossup. But home games against UK, Mizzou, and South Carolina, plus road trips to Tennessee and Vanderbilt, are extremely losable if last year’s primary issues — horrible passing game, big plays on defense — prove too deeply set.

I expect Mullen to eventually achieve at least a top-15 level. But Florida is a total mystery this year.

Team preview stats

All power conference preview data to date.

[nerdygirlgoesgamer-blog]

These are all my OCs for Undertale!!! Don’t worry I’ve worked long and hard on their backstories to make for certain that NONE of them are Mary Sues!!! So from left to right we have 

TEmily(an amalgamation between a Temmie and a human with a Patience soul), 

PRS 2(the second attempted soul stabilizing robotic prototype of an experiment known as Project Robotic Soul created by Dr. W.D. Gaster), 

Mage(She was a human who had been killed then reincarnated into a skeletal monster, which explains her soul. She remembers her human death which in turn gives her ability to remember the resets), 

Toney(The human with a soul of perseverance), 

Catra(Her mom was a cat and her dad was a bird. They were killed in the war when Catra was 5 then the monsters of Waterfall raised her until she was old enough to live on her own)

Anyway these are my OC’s!!!

[eggoyolkk]

i think at a certain point he regretted making Sock short

[eggoyolkk]

i need to start posting Toney. i love them So Much . my beloved little incompetent-as-fuck dtl:tnc Hero <3