#morning syndicate panel chart

[sattamatkamobi2]

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[saattamatka]

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BET NETWORKS ANNOUNCES THE RETURN OF ALL INSPIRING GOSPEL COMPETITION SERIES, “SUNDAY BEST,” FOR ITS NINTH SEASON

  NEW YORK, NY – April 18, 2019 – After a four-year hiatus, America’s most inspirational singing competition, “Sunday Best,” makes its triumphant return to BET, as a new and improved Season 9 takes over Sunday nights beginning in June. The well-established gospel show welcomes back Grammy Award®-winning music legend Kirk Franklin as host, gospel songstress and host of "Get Up Mornings," Erica Campbell as a judge; and adds two Grammy-Award® nominated artists Kelly Price and Jonathan McReynolds as new additions to the panel. With a brand new stage and exciting themed challenges, this season will be the toughest one yet.

   The new season kicks off with in-person auditions in front of the judges as they narrow the field from 20 to the top 10. For the first time the contestants were able to use an online submissions process, after which the team lead a global search for this year’s contestants, leading up to the much-anticipated live auditions in Dallas, TX, Washington, D.C., Atlanta, GA, and Detroit, MI, Lagos, Nigeria and for the first time-ever London, England and Johannesburg, South Africa, which were open to select international contestants.

    Jesse Collins, CEO of Jesse Collins Entertainment (BET Awards, The New Edition Story), will serve as executive producer of season nine of Sunday Best along with showrunner Josh Greenberg (The Sing-Off, Lip Sync Battle). Dionne Harmon (The Bobby Brown Story, Hip Hop Squares) and Jeannae Rouzan–Clay (Dear Mama, Black Girls Rock!) and are co-executive producers.

   Clockwise from top left: Erica Campbell, Jonathan McReynolds, Kelly Price and Kirk Franklin. Photo courtesy of the BET Networks.

       Meet the Host & Judges:

   Kirk Franklin (Host)

Since making his debut in the early 90s, Kirk Franklin has established himself as a trailblazer and icon in contemporary music. He first burst onto the world stage with Kirk Franklin & The Family, forever changing the look and sound of gospel music. Since then, Franklin has sold over 10 million albums worldwide and written and produced timeless, genre-bending music for himself and other artists earning numerous awards and accolades, including fourteen GRAMMY's and forty-three Stellar Awards. With a career spanning over 25 years, he continues to break new ground and make indelible contributions to popular music. Franklin will release his 13th studio album, LONG LIVE LOVE, on May 31st.

    Erica Campbell (Judge)

A 5x Grammy Award winner who has released two solo albums as well as seven albums with her sister as part of the dynamic duo “Mary Mary.” Campbell has received numerous awards and accolades. Her debut solo album “Help” topped the charts for several weeks and won the 2015 Grammy Award for Best Gospel Album as well as earned 8 Stellar Awards. Campbell recently released her first duet "All Of My Life," with music-producer husband Warryn Campbell. Erica continues to elevate as a multi-media star and is the host of the highly-rated nationally syndicated radio show "Get Up! Mornings with Erica Campbell” that can be heard weekdays 6am-10am EST in over 40 markets.

    Kelly Price (Judge)

Kelly Price has forged her own career path in music, when she first earned the reputation as one of the industry’s most sought-after songwriters, before becoming a 9-time Grammy-nominated artist in her own right. Her first two albums, Soul of a Woman and Mirror Mirror both went platinum and launched Price to R&B prominence. Proving versatile off the stage, Price has now pivoted to television, and stars as a series regular in BET’s hit series American Soul, recently picked up for season 2. The project brought Price’s career full circle as “Soul Train” was the first national broadcast appearance of her career, and her first industry award when she took home the Soul Train Awards trophy for Best New Artist.

    Jonathan McReynolds (Judge)

A Dove Award-winning, 3-time GRAMMY® nominee, 8-time Stellar Award winning, NAACP Image Award nominee and Billboard Music Award nominated gospel singer-songwriter based in Chicago, IL. At just 29, Jonathan has released three full length studio albums and one EP, holds a Masters in Theology from Moody Theological Seminary and is currently an adjunct member of the Columbia College faculty on top of his work as an official contributor to Huffington Post. He is also the founder of Elihu Nation, a nonprofit organization that promotes wisdom and recently awarded $30k in scholarships. He was recently named a new member of Mensa, an international high IQ society, as well. His music has been cheered on by music icons from Stevie Wonder, Nicki Minaj, and Tori Kelly to gospel giants like CeCe Winans, Yolanda Adams, and Kirk Franklin, who dubbed McReynolds “the future of gospel music.” McReynolds also serves as an ambassador for Martin Guitars.

     For updates and more information about “SUNDAY BEST”, please visit BET.com/SundayBest. Join the conversation on social media by logging on to our social media platforms using the hashtag: #BETSundayBest.

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[matkasatta]

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28 February 2020

Drinks, data, discussion

We're giving Data Bites a break in March, but if you have 4 March pencilled into your diary, there's still an opportunity to discuss all things data, as we'll be going for drinks instead. If you'd like further details, drop me a line on gavin[dot]freeguard[at]instituteforgovernment[dot]org[dot]uk.

We're also on the lookout for:

Any reflections on the first octet (thanks, Giuseppe) for a short report we're publishing in April

Suggestions for future speakers, and any subject areas you'd like to see covered

Sponsors.

Please do get in touch!

Other things in brief:

A big thank you to Vuelio and an excellent panel for a fun discussion yesterday evening on the small matter of what 2020 holds in store. (No, we didn't stand up for the key change.) More on the hashtag.

A good discussion at the IfG yesterday morning on all things outsourcing transparency. Tl;dr: we need better data and more transparency. Some thoughts and links from me here.

I was quoted in a Times article on how civil servants are using Slack, revealed after a questionable deployment of an FoI exemption (more here, here and here on FoI).

And finally... another plea for help: we're looking for all sorts of frameworks about how to think about data, information, etc. Any suggestions very welcome - via Twitter or the email address above.

Have a great weekend

Gavin

Today's links:

Graphic content

You'll either love it or hate it

Marmot Review 10 Years On (UCL Institute of Health Equity)

Gains in UK life expectancy stall after decade of austerity, report says* (FT)

Austerity blamed for life expectancy stalling for first time in century (The Guardian)

UK politics, people and public services

Deprivation profiles for Welsh Local Authorities (Jamie Whyte)

School funding (Graham for IfG)

Housing (Ian Mulheirn on a BBC briefing)

Where are all the UK's new homes being built? (Centre for Cities for BBC News)

One in 10 new homes in England built on land with high flood risk (The Guardian)

Special advisers (IfG)

Migration Statistics Quarterly Report: February 2020 (ONS)

Study the biggest driver of migration to the UK, but overall levels remain stable (ONS)

Outer London most exposed to new immigration rules* (FT)

Electoral systems across the UK (IfG)

Labour partisans (strong identifiers) are now really distinctive compared with other groups (Paula Surridge)

More (Matt Singh)

GE2019: How did demographics affect the result? (House of Commons Library)

Capital Investment: why governments fail to meet their spending plans (IfG)

The trillion-pound question (Resolution Foundation)

Coronavirus

China fall in coronavirus cases undermined by questionable data* (FT)

13,000 Missing Flights: The Global Consequences of the Coronavirus* (New York Times)

Mapping the Coronavirus Outbreak Across the World* (Bloomberg)

US politics

What Defines The Sanders Coalition? (FiveThirtyEight)

Responses to our polling on the Democratic primary (G. Elliott Morris, via Ketaki)

What the Democratic Candidates Discussed During the Debates: Annotated Transcripts* (Bloomberg - and a bit behind the data, via Petr)

Sport

Alex Ovechkin is the eighth member of the NHL's 700-goal club* (Washington Post)

Liverpool have been in a winning position for... (Opta)

Uefa’s ban on Man City does not change football’s inequality* (FT)

Will Liverpool’s machine football conquer America?* (FT)

Globalisation has left lower-league football clubs behind* (The Economist)

How We Analyzed Allstate’s Car Insurance Algorithm (The Markup)

Everything else

Are there too many central bankers?* (The Economist)

The World’s Biggest Economies Get a Jolt of Government Spending* (Bloomberg)

Some lesser known visualisation techniques to show rankings when your data is just too big for a regular bar chart (Maarten Lambrechts)

Graph workflow

What is Complexity Science? (#ComplexityExplained, via David)

Meta data

Data

The Value of Data (Bennett Institute/ODI)

It’s Now or Never for National Data Strategies (Diane Coyle for Project Syndicate, via Graham)

How do we create trustworthy and sustainable data institutions? (ODI)

Data Dialogues' participatory futures projects announced (Nesta)

Three types of agreement that shape your use of data (Leigh Dodds)

Government rejects call for DCMS to audit departments’ data-sharing rules (Civil Service World)

How can data transform our health and care system? (Nesta)

AI, algorithms

The algorithm is watching you (London Review of Books)

Data Analytics and Algorithms in Policing in England and Wales: Towards A New Policy Framework (RUSI)

Rules urgently needed to oversee police use of data and AI – report (The Guardian)

Met Police chief defends facial recognition from 'ill-informed' critics (BBC News)

RUSI Annual Security Lecture

AI = “Automated Inspiration” (Cassie Kozyrkov, Towards Data Science)

Clearview AI hack is sweet irony for privacy advocates (New Statesman)

Suppose you have to choose... (Geoffrey Hinton)

Facial recognition is spreading faster than you realise (The Conversation)

Google AI will no longer use gender labels like 'woman' or 'man' on images of people to avoid bias (Business Insider)

Innovating responsibly with data and Artificial Intelligence (AI) (LOTI)

Digital government

Getting out early feels good: meet the Defra team building a new digital service for GB exporters (Defra)

A thread about UK digital government (warning: contains half finished thoughts) (Richard Pope)

UK digital government in the 2010s - what was it all about politically? (Bennett Institute)

Why Government Leaders Need to Become Digital Leaders (Governing)

Information

Inside the infodemic: Coronavirus in the age of wellness* (New Statesman)

How the Coronavirus Revealed Authoritarianism’s Fatal Flaw (The Atlantic)

Together at last – UK’s planning and housing statistics now in one place (ONS)

About the size of a London flat (ONS)

What Africa Check, Chequeado and Full Fact have learned about tackling bad information (Poynter)

Everything else

The Markup

Slouching towards dystopia: the rise of surveillance capitalism and the death of privacy (New Statesman)

Economists should learn lessons from meteorologists* (FT)

Robert Chote interview: OBR chief reflects on ten years as the nation’s top fiscal watchdog, and how he is still a reporter at heart (Civil Service World)

'I give fusion power a higher chance of succeeding than quantum computing' says the R in the RSA crypto-algorithm (The Register)

Oracle Reveals Funding of Dark Money Group Fighting Big Tech* (Bloomberg)

Katherine Johnson Dies at 101; Mathematician Broke Barriers at NASA* (New York Times)

Katherine Johnson: NASA mathematician and much-needed role model (The Conversation)

Democracy tech will be the next hot investment space (Wired)

The perils of opening the mind (Boston Globe)

Transparency

How can outsourced public services be made more transparent? (Institute for Government)

Grammar school scoring is wrong, says father – and hopes finally to prove it (The Guardian, via Nick)

Financial secrecy is the enemy in the fight against corruption (Thom Townsend)

Who uses WhatDoTheyKnow? (mySociety)

Opportunities

JOBS: NatCen

JOBS: What Works for Children's Social Care

JOB: Head of Information Rights (National Archives)

JOB: Delivery Manager (Convivio)

JOB: Artificial intelligence and algorithms reporter (Washington Post)

JOB: Partnerships and Community Manager – Understanding Patient Data (Wellcome)

JOB: Digital innovation (city) lead (Futuregov)

MoJ on the hunt for Head of Prisons Digital Services to help end reliance on ‘monolithic supplier owned systems’ (diginomica)

FELLOWSHIP: Google News Initiative (with FT, Guardian, Reach, Independent, TBIJ, Telegraph, First Draft News)

Building trust in how you handle data: a hierarchy (ODI)

EVENT: Data Trusts 2020: from theory to practice (ODI)

EVENT: Press Play: the power of data to transform physical activity (Ipsos MORI)

EVENT: FutureFest (Nesta)

And finally...

I graphed out my unaccepted Twitter DM requests (Katy Montgomerie)

The One With All The Polling (YouGov)

Duck (Terrible Maps, via Tim)

Sliding flaws: EU publishes misleading Brexit chart (Politico)

An actual chart from the 1998 Comprehensive Spending Review (via Sukh)

Civil servants discuss the politics of Love Island on Slack* (The Times)

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WSJ author & research firm that botched iPhone X demand doubling down on iPhone XS

Apple built and began selling its high-end OLED iPhone XS and iPhone XS Max models a month ahead of iPhone XR availability in an effort to sell users more expensive models before facing competition from its own new lower-priced, entry-level LCD phone -- at least according to the columnist and the think tank that were totally wrong about iPhone X sales last year. News from Captain Obvious On one hand, it's fairly obvious that Apple is producing and selling its XS models first-- that's what it announced it would do. But for some reason, Wall Street Journal columnist Tripp Mickle thought it was necessary to source this idea as coming from "people familiar with Apple's production plans," which could correctly be interpreted as "anyone who watched the keynote presentation." It's the opposite of a secret that Apple's less expensive iPhone XR won't become available for another five weeks. The report observed that "the staggered release gives Apple a month to sell the higher-end models without cheaper competition from itself. It also simplifies logistics and retail demands and could strengthen Apple's ability to forecast sales and production of all three models through the Christmas holidays," both ideas it again attributed to "analysts and supply chain experts," rather than Mickle's own predictions. In 2017, Apple was ready to sell its more conventional iPhone 8 models first, while the all-new iPhone X didn't become available until November. A year ago, this was reported as having a "dampening effect" on iPhone 8 sales as consumers waited for the fancier new model, an idea again repeated by the Journal in an effort to make the mundane sound edgy and incisively critical. Is Apple holding back iPhone XR deliveries to bamboozle its buyers? But hold on -- if consumers knew last year that iPhone X was coming and held off on iPhone 8, can't they also manage to wait for the XR (a significantly shorter wait given that it ships in October rather than November as the original X did)? Not in the case of the super-premium iPhone XS, according to Mickle and his partners. After thinking heavily and consulting some "supply chain experts," the paper reported that consumers would be totally fooled by Apple's product availability, and spring into action to buy phones priced at $999 to almost $1500 simply because the $750 XR won't be available for another month. Of course, the less-cynical explanation is simply that iPhone X shipped later last year because it was an entirely new product, and iPhone XR this year for the same reason. In fact, that's what Apple told the Journal. Additionally, Apple is already selling even more discounted iPhone 7 and iPhone 8 models starting at $450, so anyone looking for bargains rather than an ultra-premium new device isn't exactly being bamboozled by Apple's straightforward presentation of its offerings. While iPhone 8 was a significantly new model new last year, it was based upon the previous iPhone 7 design that Apple had a year of experience in assembling -- and much more if you count the lineage back to the iPhone 6. This year's iPhone XS models are similarly improvements upon the iPhone X model Apple has now been building for a year and is experienced with. The new XR involves an entirely new display based on an advanced LCD panel with an all-new precision backlight designed to illuminate the rounded corners of a rigid display technology rather than wrapping back upon itself as flexible OLEDs can. The Journal cynicism about Apple's XR release isn't just thrown out as a grumbling editorial. It's presented by the paper as news, complete with nonsensical "sourcing" that involves "supply chain experts," as if to give some credibility back to a pseudoscientific practice that's been less useful than astrology and alchemy in reading Apple's tea leaves with any accuracy. Dropping the BOM If that wasn't bad enough, the Journal conjured up another fantasy-data boogeyman to lend credence a completely false premise. What's worse than supply chain experts? How about BOM estimates. You know, those precise numbers that analysts guess up and then are recited as if facts across widespread syndication. I've asked executives about component BOM (bill of materials) estimates, and the answer is always "they're wrong, far too low." Generally, BOM estimates are used almost exclusively against Apple to portray its products as costing far less to build that what the finished goods sell for, with the tone being that profit margins are too high and customer-abusive. At first glance, this is easy to misinterpret. Unless of course, you're charting out Apple's share of industry profits with the intent of making China's production look profitable, in which case analysts estimate that $30 billion worth of quarterly iPhone revenues only generated about $6 billion in profits. Here, Mickle uses two BOMs from a source I've never seen BOMs from before: analyst Mehdi Hosseini, with trading firm Susquehanna International Group. Usually, BOMs are generated by a think tank that specializes in putting together these really brainy accounting efforts. Here, an analyst scribbled up BOMS prior to any tear-downs that only materialized on Thursday morning. This is some next level magic-ball gazing. Hosseini's numbers, supposedly accurate to the dollar, claim that the XR costs $331 to build, while the XS and XS Max supposedly cost $355 and $371. This is absolutely ridiculous on so many levels it's hard to know where to start. First off, if the two engineering efforts only differ in component costs by $23 dollars, Apple wouldn't be selling them at the prices it set, with the XS a solid $250 higher. Apple would either be foolishly leaving money on the table with the XR, or radically holding back demand for its best XS models by pricing them as such an unwarranted premium. The reality is-- as has long been known-- that Apple consistently aims to reach a target profit margin, sometimes suppressing its profits to launch new tech, and sometimes riding higher at the tail end of a production as components become cheaper. But Apple simply doesn't have massive shifts of profit margins on this level between its new product offerings. And if it did, it wouldn't be giving its supposedly massively more profitable XS models with profit margins of $644 and $730 per device a brief window of pre-orders before dropping profitability by a huge degree with the XR -- which would only deliver $420 per device. If these numbers were real, Apple wouldn't have introduced the iPhone XR at all this month, and would have secretly held it until iPhone XS orders were entirely satiated, then launched it as a cheaper alternative to boost up sales. That's what other companies do all the time. That's what Apple did with the iPhone SE. Telling us that Apple allocated just five weeks of exclusive XS sales -- when customers know the XR is coming at $750 -- is just insulting. It's about as insulting as telling us that an analyst knows enough about the components and build costs of brand new iPhones before they land in the hands of customers to generate a reliable BOM. On top of all this, the same author who cited Hosseini's BOM as evidence that the XS and XR only cost Apple a difference of $23 to build wrote a piece for the Wall Street Journal just a few months ago that claimed iPhone X's OLED screen cost "about $97 out of $376 in total estimated cost per device," and then used this fact-from-the-air to claim that its new display was primarily responsible for its $999 price, causing it to cost so much that nobody was buying it. BOM estimates aren't factual numbers The problem with these BOMs is that they can't possibly be right over any length of time. On a simpler device, such as a commodity PC, you can total up the cost of off-the-shelf components pretty easily. On a proprietary, highly integrated device with custom designed silicon and few commodity parts that aren't customized by Apple in partnership with their makers, there's no way to really know how much parts cost. That's because the cost per component is related to volume. Nobody really knows exactly how much custom components like the OLED display or the A12 Bionic cost until they result in sales over a period of time, because the cost is related to the volume it eventually ships at, and how fast the prices of those components can be brought down (which is directly related to demand volume). In Apple's conference calls, even its executives commonly note surprise in the dramatic effects of shifting component costs among commodity parts like DRAM and flash storage. The costs of developing custom silicon and producing chips in volume is complicated by the emergence of unanticipated issues: everything from political squabbles to storms and earthquakes hitting Apple's production partners. A big part of Apple's efforts involve hedging against component cost shifts. There is no simple price tag on components that can be added up to a neat, precise number that can serve as a foundation for unbridled speculation by journalists -- particularly Mickle, who has a background in sports writing, not technology. Compare, for example, even the reasonably well-known cost of a rather commodity component such as storage memory chips. You could have generated an estimated BOM for Apple's iPhone 8 and Google's Pixel 2 last year, but in reality the fact that Apple subsequently shipped well over 200 million phones with similar memory chips while Google's partners HTC and LG each shipped a negligible number of smartphones means they couldn't ride the same economies of scale as Apple in even among basic commodity components. Now consider the custom silicon work both Apple and Google did in creating camera logic chips. Apple built this work into its A11 Bionic and shipped it across 120 million high-end iPhones. Google likely faced higher costs in ramping up its silicon efforts (whereas Apple was continuing custom SoC work it's been doing since 2009), but then wasn't able to amortize these expenses across the scant few million devices it produced, then sold at fire sale pricing with steep discounts. Clearly there's no way to compare BOM costs that simplify all this behind a guestimate for "camera logic chip." The iPhone X BOM estimate Mickle previously cited a few months ago suggested that all of the development expenses related to Face ID were somehow covered by a "camera module" that costs $16.70, as if TrueDepth was available off the shelf and Apple just pushed a shopping cart through a Walmart and put 50 million into its basket and then refused to buy another 40 million, because it ended up being so expensive that "some" ended up not buying it. This sort of reporting is not journalism. It's farcical nonsense. To recap: even if they were ever close to being accurate, BOMs are widely misleading to use in estimating the profit margins of a device, unless you also know their shipping volumes. And nobody today knows how many iPhones Apple will sell, nor what the mix will be. The Journal cited build estimates from UBS, supposedly sourced from the supply chain, but the number of devices Apple builds in advance are not preordained to sell at an equal pace. Last year, demand for several of Apple's products including the iPhone X and AirPods exceeded Apple's expectations. Across the last three cycles of iPhone 6 through iPhone 8 Plus models, Apple continued to describe its production mix as a learning process, with the demand for larger phones increasingly shifting upward. Even Apple didn't know this when it placed its first orders, before it began producing them and long before they went on sale. And a few years ago, Apple -- and everyone else -- appeared to think that iPhone 5c would outsell the better but more expensive 5s. Whenever Apple changes its orders in response to demand -- which happens constantly -- this is reported breathlessly as worrisome and potentially beleaguering. Yet, the same people who report supply chain order changes as alarming are using reports of Apple's purported initial orders as an airtight model for determining demand and component costs before they even go on sale. You can't have it both ways. This all happened before Most tellingly, the people involved in this Journal report got it completely wrong last year, even well after Apple shipped its new iPhones and think tanks had months of time and tons of data to process in creating their estimates of what Apple had sold in the previous quarter. Actually in this case they just interviewed 500 people. At the end of January, the same Journal author Tripp Mickle reported as if factual (based on unnamed sources he described as being "familiar with the matter") that Apple was "slashing planned production" of iPhone X "in a sign of weaker-than-expected demand." And just like BOMs, he pulled out numbers that were uncritically recited even though they couldn't pass any sort of sobriety test. Mickle fabulously claimed Apple had slashed orders by 50 percent, from "roughly 40 million initially planned" to "about 20 million," before casually adding that "other people familiar with the iPhone supply chain said Apple had cut orders for components used in the iPhone X by 60 percent." Had this actually occurred, it would have involved a lot of companies simply going out of business. In reality, Apple's suppliers-- even those with significant dependance upon Apple's production of iPhone X-- didn't note experiencing this at all. Even the difference in Mickle's "50 or 60 percent" ballparks would have resulted in $4 billion worth of lost production. Capturing just how detached from reality Mickle was in his writing, recall that he wrote that "iPhone X was promoted as the smartphone of the future, with features including a sharp, organic light-emitting diode display and facial-recognition technology, but troubles incorporating the new technology led to delays in the manufacturing process, and forced Apple to abandon the use of fingerprints as an option to unlock the phones." That wasn't true at all. Apple's executives explicitly debunked the idea that the Wall Street Journal picked up and reported as if it were true and supported by some sort of reporting work rather than just a fiction recited as an anecdote posing a historical event. Yet the fact that the Journal published such cocksure yet farcical reports of iPhone X facing doom because of customers couldn't afford it, or weren't interested in its new technology, or because Apple was fumbling to deliver it is a black eye that is still visible as the same people roll out a story this year that is just as fantastical and untethered to reality, seeking to legitimize absurd BOMs and dubious supply chain checks. Notably, the idea that last year's iPhone X wasn't selling as well as expected was also recited by Consumer Intelligence Research Partners, which also claimed in January that iPhone 8 was outselling iPhone X, based on survey data. This year, an analyst from the same group was cited by the Journal as contradicting Apple in outlining the idea that iPhone XS and XR were a "Dutch Auction," and being sold like airplane seats to extract the most money from buyers. After a solid decade of peddling the story that Apple was being pushed out of business by Android, then Samsung, then Xiaomi, then everyone collectively building phones in China, then disinterested customers who can't afford an iPhone X, maybe the Journal needs to hire actual reporters rather than clickbait fabulists concocting tales of doom for Apple, even as it handily outperforms the industry worldwide. https://goo.gl/CNztmB

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