#like did that totally fall within what people expected of harvey
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thinking about the fact that in my (semi abandoned) stardew save i married harvey without getting more than one heart with anyone else except i think maybe robin for getting her axe or whatever. like no one else KNOWS my farmer.
do you think maru noticed the engagement ring and didn't ask? or maybe she did, or maybe a patient did, and when harvey was like "yeah i married the farmer who moved into that old plot" they were like "the... the who?"
do you think everyone got wedding invites in the mail and went... harvey got married to who?
it was under a year too, and literally all i do is fish by the river and sometimes the beach. do you think everyone went to the wedding and met this nonverbal freak and it was like "so happy to meet you...!" and the farmer just. nods and then stays glued to harvey's hip.
idk this is really funny to me. someone at the wedding finally bites the bullet and goes "so how did you two meet...?"
"oh he dropped off coffee at the hospital twice a week."
"and.........??"
"and the rest is history!"
"it's really not,"
#whispers from the trees#alter post#woods post#stardew valley#stardew valley harvey#sdv harvey#stardew harvey#like#do you think this was expected of harvey#that he'd fall in love with this weird farmer guy#who never speaks#and fishes for like 30 days straight before stumbling into pierre's store for seeds#like did that totally fall within what people expected of harvey#or did it totally blindside the town lol
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Crowbar Nurse Chapter 6 — What Gives an Engineer Superhuman Strength?
—Why did my body feel so nimble?
Just exactly how did my body change…?
As I ran at the group of zombies, I questioned how impossibly agile I was, considering I had just finished working overtime.
It’s almost like I’m actually Sera Harvey.
I wasn’t able to leap over buildings or anything crazy like that, but it’s not like Sera was able to do so in the game either. Plus, the controls in DMC games are typical of most horror games in that the characters walk quite sluggishly. I suppose it’s more frightening this way. Being able to run like this is more than good enough for me. I prepared myself for the worst as I headed straight at the enemies. I knew this was already an uphill battle.
There’s only one way out… we’re going to do it and do it well! First, I’ve got to get the Tank to fire…!
The Tank fired a high-explosive shell as soon as I got within range. The shell traveled many times over the speed of sound and was heading directly at me. … however, the projectile impacted and detonated quite a distance away from where I was.
Perfect… it’s just like how it works in game!
With the Tank being a zombie, its slow lumbering movement did not help it track its target. The Tank is almost guaranteed to never accurately land its first shot. And muck like a real Tank, it would be unpleasant for anything standing immediately next to the gun, to say the least. The muzzle blast went straight into the surrounding zombies and they were all destroyed… the Minotaur took a huge hit as well. Everything is going just as I planned, save for one thing.
Augh! Don’t tell me I got caught too…!
A sharp pain shot through my body. I collapsed on the spot as the pain torn through me from the inside out. Before I had collapsed, the tank zombie fired another few shots… but I wouldn’t still be here if I had been hit by it. The situation was taking a turn for the worse.
“Gah… ugh…!”
Breathing was a lot harder than I remembered. … something must have happened to my lungs. My diaphragm and other muscles were functioning as they should, but I couldn’t breathe very well. The shockwave must have punctured my lungs.
I-I can’t move… crap. I can’t fight like this!
I thought the only tactic was to get the enemies to kill themselves, and honestly, that part worked alright… but I didn’t expect to receive this much damage either.
In the game, the blast radius is about 10 meters, but I’ve heard it’s much smaller compared to real life. Maybe I had misjudged my distance. I sure hope I didn’t receive a real Tank’s gun blast…
“Sera!”
Kiryū rushed over in fear. The Tank is still alive. It was dangerous for him to come over here… but I’m sure he knew that already. Just as I realized he had tossed me some recovery items, he turned to face the Tank with his crowbar.
Oh, that’s not a good idea. You can’t take down a Tank with a crowbar…
The pain seared through me again, leaving me unable to speak. I writhed in pain as the blood-soaked Kiryū came back with his blood-stained crowbar.
“Good thing it was pretty weak already… hey, use the healing items already! What, are you feeling too weak to use it yourself? Jeez… you okay? Do you recognize me?”
I faintly nodded at his question.
“Aw, jeez… I haven’t used any healing items in this game before, so I don’t quite know how to use ‘em… how about this bottle? Should I just sprinkle it over your body?”
I shook my head. That bottle… or rather, that vial in his hand has a rubber cap over the end of it. It’s so that you can’t open it by hand. You need a syringe to utilize it. For some reason, the protagonist spawns with a syringe—I did not. There’s a hospital section afterwards, so maybe I’ve gotta get one there.
“Hmm, how about these herbs then? What do I do with them? Can I just cram it in your mouth?” “…”
…
…
… hmm?
Umm, maybe?
I’ve never seen it being used in game before. In the game, you open the menu, select Items, select Medicinal Herbs, then select Yes when it asks Do you want to use this item?. Since it’s never shown how the protagonist uses the herb… I don’t have the slightest idea what to do with it. I’m not sure what Kiryū thought when he saw my expression, but he stuffed the whole plant in my mouth.
“Mm… ugh…”
A handsome youth ramming a handful of lawn clippings into a sweet, young girl’s mouth… this must’ve looked much worse than it actually was. Would this really heal my internal trauma?! Almost as if answering the question… a miracle occurred.
“Ugh…?!”
A refreshing tingling sensation rushed through my body as if I had been immersed in menthol. All the pain and breathing problems affecting me had disappeared instantaneously.
“… how does this world work…”
I spat the ball of herb out from my mouth.
“Those medicinal herbs worked as quickly as sublingual tablets…” “Let me know once you figure this world out…”
He heaved a sigh as I sat up from the ground. Kiryū, still sitting there, was dripping with blood… but none of it seemed to be his own—all of it was just splattered from the enemies.
“You took down the Minotaur and Tank without so much a scratch… that’s incredible, Kiryū.” “All I did was hit and run. You had weakened the Tank already and the Minotaur smoked itself with the gas turbine exhaust.”
He says it had gone so smoothly only because I charged in with all my courage.
“No, but still, you’re way too strong even with all things considered. … you’re probably the real one-man army here. Really, thank you so much for saving me… but I can’t help but feel like I’ve lost all my confidence.”
I forced a smile. Kiryū—a total beginner—had to save me. And I even boasted about how “I know this game like the back of my hand”.
“That was just a fluke. Don’t even get me started on how scary it was fighting enemies that could kill me in one hit…”
He urges us to hurry to a safe zone, to which I nodded with all my might. I was in absolute, 100% agreement. Since we’ve just taken down some special zombies, there shouldn’t be a mob for the next little while. Nevertheless, another Tank or Minotaur might show up if we were to take our sweet time. Drastic times call for drastic measures.
Drastic measures.
“… looks like we will have to grind for those levels after all.” “Hey, now. Did you forget you were at the brink of death, Sera? If we kill too many zombies and get too powerful, more of those special ones are going to spawn, right?” “I haven’t forgotten. That was… humiliating. If we were to avoid every single fight, there will be too many of them before we can react.” “I mean, I guess…” “Trust me.”
I’ve played this game so much, I can literally beat it with a plastic bottle as my only weapon. I’m a beast. Yet, I just showed Kiryū just how unreliable I was. It was absolutely shameful.
“We’ll make sure to be ready for next time. I’ll build us an unstoppable army from hell…”
I slowly stood up from the ground.
“… what’s that about an army?”
He seemed confused as he stood up with me.
“That’s right, an unstoppable army from hell. Even if I can’t level up in this game, there’s many other ways we can win. Don’t worry… I’ll turn these streets of downtown into a safe zone, like a garden that you can stroll through without a so much a care…” “I couldn’t care less about a garden. Let’s just calm down and plan our next moves.”
Kiryū, with a wry smile on his face, rolled his neck.
“That’s our destination, right?” “Ah, yes. We have almost reached the beginning of the stage. It’s my first time backtracking like this. It feels a little odd…”
As we twist and turn through the narrow alleyways, another new enemy creeped across our path.
—It was a Heart.
That wasn’t a metaphor for anything. The zombie was about four times the size of a yoga ball. Tentacles scrawl from the monster in the shape of a literal heart. I don’t remember what its actual name is. That’s how unimportant they are.
“Shit. We’ve used up all the herbs earlier…!” “We’ll be fine. That thing may look gross, but it is only ‘slightly stronger’ than the average zombie. We’ve got more than enough firepower to take it down…”
I walked in front of Kiryū. He looked anxious, but he seemed to calm down when we made eye contact.
“Could you please lend me your crowbar?” “It’s all sticky from the blood. You okay with that?” “I’ll be fine after wiping it with my skirt. This will be an easy fight… I used to kill a whole bunch of these things before my anatomy tests… so watch closely, okay?”
I took a few big swings with the crowbar.
“—Let do it. We’ve got to!”
“Whew. That was a good workout! The heart is a complicated organ with lots of specific parts to remember. I couldn’t have passed my exams without the help of these guys!”
I listed out each artery by name as I bashed away with the crowbar before returning the crowbar to the blood-soaked Kiryū. I could imagine him thinking I’m some sort of psychopath giving a lecture on the human heart.
“Are all nurses like this…?”
I ignored his flabbergasted comment at me. Then, crossed the now navigable street and hurried to the Vital Watch.
“… let me just correct you that no, not all nurses are ‘like this’.”
“I don’t think you’ll find many female nurses who love blasting hellish monsters to giblets with a BFG.” “A BFG… don’t tell me you mean the Big Fucking Gun, the most powerful weapon from Doom…? I don’t think many people in Japan know what a BFG is… man, you’re hardcore.”
We finally reached the beginning of the game, even with us chatting. There were small two-story shops and the glass from their display windows lining the street. The alleys around here were a little wider, but many of them were blocked off by fallen utility poles and crumbled walls. Here was also where the army (though I don’t know which nation’s army, so it’s hard to make a joke here) faced off with the zombies.
“Oh, look, there are herbs over there. I’mma go grab ‘em.”
Kiryū walked from planter to planter to pluck the herbs from them.
There’s dirt falling out of his pockets…
The absolute beauty of a man contrasted his overflowing pockets like a bad joke. But those herbs saved my life earlier. I’m can’t exactly tell him to “cut it out because you look super lame” either.
Speaking of which, I’d like pockets of my own too. I’d like to have herbs readily accessible. Or at least a pocket big enough to fit my phone… too many dresses nowadays forgo pockets to focus on “showing off your perfect lines”. It’s honestly really inconvenient.
“… or maybe a drink would be nice too.”
Nothing beats a good drink after work.
“Hmm? A drink?”
Kiryū stood up as he looked at me. He must have heard my mumbling.
“Yes, I would love one. Ugh. You just need a frosty can of beer after working overtime. But instead, I was sent over here with no beer at all. Just my luck.” “That’s… unfortunate. I don’t think you’ll find any here. Once you we get back to our world, you can get your fill of booze.”
Scratching his cheek, he tepidly tried to console me, but I wasn’t about to give up so easily.
“No, I might get the chance. One of the healing items in this game is an alcoholic drink.” “Huh. If we find them, then yeah, that could happen.” “That’s exactly right. I wonder if there are any lying around… whoa, hey! Look!” “… that’s way too convenient…”
I ignored Kiryū as I filled my hands with alcohol and my heart with joy. I popped off the top and took a swig.
“Ahh, that hits the spot!” “You nurses sure love your drink… and are you sure about drinking something you picked up off the ground?”
He doubted me with a tilt of the neck, but I laughed in response.
“I’m sure. Absolutely sure. We picked up those herbs lying on the side of the street too, right? Same difference. And plus, I haven’t even finished working overtime and I was dragged into this adventure. I deserve this.” “… well, I guess so.” “Right?”
Down the gullet the liquor goes.
“There’s a real interesting part in this game too. You get a lot of health back from booze, but if you drink too much…” “What happens?” “… you puke it back out. Bleeeghhh!” “Oh, you’ve gotta be shitting me.”
■The back blast of gas turbine engines
Just a quick tidbit from the author. After weapons like rocket launchers and tanks guns fire, there will be a blast of extremely hot gas. Being within 30 meters of the back blast will guarantee injury if not death. The heat will roast you to a delicious crisp. So, if you ever see one in real life, try to keep distance. Now that’s a top tip that will ensure your chance of survival. (Not that you would normally have the chance to get up close to an operating tank in Japan anyway.)
contents: /ch001/ /ch002/ /ch003/ /ch004/ /ch005/ /ch006/ /next/
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#Average Translations#AvgTL#osm#light novels#ln#web novels#wn#syosetu#一般の英訳#ライトノベル#ラノベ#オンライン小説#オンラインノベル#小説家になろう#Crowbar Nurse#CBN#threehyphens#isekai#バールナース#異世界
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Catastrophic Hurricanes Are the ‘New Normal,’ and They Will Cost Trillions
“We got a little bit lucky,” said President Donald Trump about the storm which killed at least six people in Louisiana, ripped apart buildings, left more than half a million homes without power, and triggered a chemical fire from an industrial plant over Lake Charles.
Of course, Trump was glad he didn’t have to postpone his speech at the Republican National Convention.
But while Hurricane Laura did not, thankfully, produce the catastrophic storm surge some predicted—weakening into a tropical storm—it represents an unmistakably escalating trend of extreme weather events due to increasing global temperatures.
Hurricane Laura had followed hot on the heels of Hurricane Marco. The Atlantic hurricane season has already broken records with 13 named storms, which meteorologists consider well above-normal activity.
Recently published scientific studies suggest that the devastation wrought by Laura, and the potential catastrophe only narrowly avoided, are likely to become a ‘new normal’ if we continue to pump carbon emissions into the atmosphere.
Billion dollar disasters
Earlier in August, the US-based Environmental Defense Fund (EDF) published a major report on exactly this issue, titled Climate Change-Fueled Weather Disasters: Costs to State and Local Economies.
The report brought together data from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) Billion-Dollar Weather and Climate Disasters database with other studies, to build a stark picture of what we now know about extreme weather risks.
The report points out that since 1980, the number of extreme weather events per year in the United States has increased fourfold, with annual direct cost of these disasters increasing fivefold.
In fact, they have catalogued a total of 258 extreme weather disasters within that period, each of them wreaking levels of havoc that cost upward of a billion dollars. Cumulatively, the total direct cost of all of these disasters is already more than $1.75 trillion.
And if climate change continues on a business-usual-trajectory, these costs are predicted to get bigger and bigger.
Sleepwalking into a perfect storm
“Climate models project that even with a moderate increase in greenhouse gas emissions, by the end of this century, the frequency of Category 4 and 5 hurricanes in the Atlantic Basin could increase by 45-87 percent, putting the continental United States at risk,” warns the EDF report.
It further points out that these risks will increase if we do nothing to stop climate change: “In the absence of climate policy to rapidly reduce emissions, we can also expect greater frequency or intensity of five other categories of weather disaster”—namely, severe storms, floods, freezes, drought, and wildfires.
There’s not a single state in the US which has escaped extreme weather—every one of them has suffered at least one of what the report describes as a “billion-dollar weather disaster.”
But five states in particular have been hit repeatedly by every single type of disaster: “North Carolina, Georgia, Alabama, Mississippi, and Texas have each endured several billion-dollar hurricanes, severe storms, floods, winter storms, freezes, droughts, and wildfires.”
The trillion dollar costs of business-as-usual
The report also lays out some important facts that allow us to arrive at some reasonable estimates of how these impacts and costs would intensify under continuing climate change.
Since 2005, the US federal government has paid out roughly $30 billion a year to respond to extreme weather disasters. But from 2016-2018, the US has experienced disaster costs on average exceeding $150 billion a year. And total damages to the US mainland from the 2017 Atlantic hurricane season (comprising hurricanes Harvey, Irma, Jose and Maria) amounted to some $265 billion.
These costs are set to increase dramatically if global average temperatures continue to rise. The EDF report notes that every 1° Celsius (C) of warming will generate roughly $257 billion of costs to the US every year from extreme weather impacts. This is consistent with the fact that current global average temperatures have, indeed, already increased by around 1°C since 1880.
That means that on a business-usual-trajectory, when we hit another 1°C higher to reach around 2°C of warming, annual US disaster relief expenditures will more than double to around $514 billion.
Right now, we are well on our way toward this scenario. Another study published earlier in August in the Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences concluded that current carbon emission levels are consistent with the UN Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change’s (IPCC) worst-case scenario for a 4.3°C world by 2100.
While actual emissions are expected to slow-down below the worst-case due to a big drop in coal use which the IPCC model doesn’t account for, this still means it’s plausible to anticipate that we are on track to hit 1.5°C between potentially as early as around 2030, and to breach the 2°C mark by around 2050.
If annual costs rise from the EDF’s average of $257 billion to $514 billion a year from 2020 to 2050, this will amount on average to an annual increase of $8.56 billion every single year.
Which means that on a business-as-usual global heating trajectory, extreme weather impacts will cost the US a total of $12 trillion by 2050.
In other words, within 30 years, the US will pay out over 60 percent of its current level of GDP in extreme weather costs due to climate change. This means that if we do nothing about climate change, extreme weather alone is going to increasingly push the US economy into a state of permanent recession through to the end of the century.
The real culprits: Big Oil
But this level of damage is also going to directly hit the bottom line of the biggest carbon-emitting American companies.
One study released in June lead authored by physicist Dr Quintin Rayer, who heads up research at the UK-based financial consultancy firm, P1 Investment Management, argues that if these costs were applied to the world’s biggest carbon-emitting companies, it would considerably damage their share pricing, profitability and market values.
Rayer identifies the top seven carbon-emitting publicly listed companies as follows: ExxonMobil, Royal Dutch Shell, BP, Chevron, Peabody Energy, Total, and BHP Billiton.
Together, these companies are responsible for 9.5 percent of all carbon emissions from so-called ‘Scope 1’ and ‘Scope 3’ emissions—respectively, direct emissions from owned or controlled sources, and all other indirect emissions that occur in a company’s value chain. (These different ‘scopes’ are categories from the Greenhouse Gas Protocol, an accounting and reporting standard developed by the World Resources Institute.)
This makes them directly responsible for the increased risks of extreme weather, and suggests that a significant percentage of the costs of extreme weather impacts should be allocated to these firms.
If that was applied, Rayer calculates, these fossil fuel firms would “increasingly see around 1-2 percent losses on their market capitalizations (or share prices) from North Atlantic hurricane seasons.”
This, in turn, has important implications for financial markets: “It is uncertain to what extent climate risks are priced into fossil companies’ share prices, and cautious investors might be concerned.”
Bye-bye, GDP
But right now, it’s not fossil fuel companies that are paying the price. It’s taxpayers.
This time last year, the National Bureau of Economic Research estimated that the fall-out to the American economy from extreme weather would reach as high as 10.5 percent of US GDP by 2100.
More recent studies find this could be even higher. A peer-reviewed paper in Climatic Change released in November 2019 found that if we continue on our current course, “extreme risks” will have increased by 3-5.4 times by 2060. By 2100, the study concludes, climate-induced extreme weather events could shave off as much as 16 percent from the GDP of the American economy.
As time goes on, our assessments of the risks and costs of climate change keep getting worse. The best scientific data proves that escalating climate change will gradually and inescapably destroy our economic prosperity, unless we take urgent action.
In other words, if we fail to reign in the biggest fossil fuel producers, slash carbon emissions and transition to a renewable energy system, the probability that we will get “lucky” with coming hurricane seasons will rapidly diminish.
Catastrophic Hurricanes Are the ‘New Normal,’ and They Will Cost Trillions syndicated from https://triviaqaweb.wordpress.com/feed/
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Don't know whether to major in ORFE, COS, or ECON. I really love the financial sector in NYC and always wanted to work as an analyst in nyc for a group like goldman or jane street. Do you guys have any suggestions? I'm looking to major in something that will prepare me with the skills needed for finance jobs.
Response from Sulpicia:
Literally dozens of graduates from each of those majors go to jobs like the one you want every year, and so I wouldn’t consider one necessarily “better” than the others. I think that the most important thing is taking coursework across all three departments (plus other relevant departments) that will give you the skills you need, rather than just picking a major. Have you looked at the Finance certificate yet? That might interest you.
Since you can basically go into finance with any major and there’s a lot of crossover between the ones you picked (e.g. it’s totally doable to be an Econ major and get a COS certificate), I would consider which discipline/department you would feel the most comfortable spending two years with. Do you want to be AB or BSE? AB will likely provide more flexibility, but if you have a lot of AP credit BSE might let you take more classes in your area of interest and fewer in random distribution areas. Do you have friends in any department? Ask them what their classes and independent work are like. What sort of academic work do you imagine yourself doing? Ultimately, you major doesn’t matter THAT much because of the flexibility of Princeton coursework, so pick the place where you feel like you will be happiest and most engaged.
Response from Sushi:
Sulpicia ninja’d me but I hadwritten all of this already so I will add it here.
Iwill defer to Pichu, Edamame, Maybach, Harvey, or other contributors if theyhave different opinions on this question since they have more experience in thefield. They are free to delete my answer if they think it’s wrong/insufficient,but I wanted to provide some input from a not-completely-finance perspectivesince you asked about COS as well. I am speaking from the position ofinterviewing at companies such as Goldman/similar companies, as well asinterviewing at trading companies such as Jane Street/similar companies. I alsodid a Princeternship and another program at Jane Street, and lastly, I haveworked at a similar company in the past.
First,I think that you have to define which jobs you are interested in within the“financial sector.” There are hundreds of different kinds of niche jobs infinance. Investment banking is very different than private equity, working fora venture fund, etc. Since you asked about Goldman and Jane Streetspecifically, I will speak to my knowledge of those.
Ananalyst at places like Goldman is very different from being an analyst atplaces like Jane Street. This is evident even from the interviews. I have foundthat Goldman/similar interview is very focused on financial knowledge(terminology from ECO 362 but information from beyond ECO 362). If you applyfor a quant position at Goldman/similar, you will also have to demonstratebasic coding skills (my friends passed the bar with just COS 126). But you doNOT need COS at all for a job at Goldman/similar. You may have to do some extraself-studying because the knowledge gained by the finance certificate is notenough, but it’s mostly just qualitative econ knowledge that you have to know.
Onthe other hand, a Jane Street recruiter told me that they don’t look atpeople’s resumes unless they’ve already taken probability theory (ORF 309 here)for trading positions or functional programming (COS 326 here, they also lookfor algorithms COS 226) for software engineering positions (or have done theequivalent and have sufficient evidence to prove that, such as high level mathcompetitions for trading and a coursera/etc. course and sufficient sideprojects for software engineering). Also, at one of the companies similar toJane Street, a recruiter told me that they don’t even care whether you have anyfinancial background, they just want you to have the problem-solving ability,modeling/statistical analysis ability, and coding ability to take on a positionthere, and they will teach you all the finance when you join.
AlsoI think another consideration in choosing a company that you will ultimatelyend up in is the work-life balance. The lifestyles at these companies are alsovery different: I’ll give two different examples here since both Goldman andJane Street are near the middle of the spectrum of no work-life balance towork-life balance. I’ve heard that at BAML interns work 120+ hours a week,whereas at some more tech-focused trading companies like Citadel, there’s morework-life balance and it’s the very typical 40 hours a week workweek.
Sothe first step is realizing that you probably will need a different skillset tosucceed in acquiring a job at either of these companies. The people I know whointerned at Jane Street are COS or Math majors. The majority of people I knowwho interned at Goldman are COS, ORF, and ECO, though I do know plenty ofhumanities majors there too. Goldman also has a variety of positions. Theirtypical summer analyst position compared to more engineering type quantpositions (though if you want to do quant I would suggest not doing it at an IBplace, since you would probably have a better experience).
Second,however, you can get a job in finance regardless of what you major in, as longas you pass the resume screen and interviews, and you have the requisite skillsneeded for the position. As I said before, I know plenty of non-econ humanitiesmajors who get jobs at Goldman. If you want to work at Jane Street, any of themore mathematically-oriented majors would work, as long as you take therequired ORF/ECO/MAT classes to be considered. I believe Maybach has written atlength about this, and you can view it through the search bar, but it does noteven matter if you are math track or frat track econ to get these jobs. As longas you can pass the interview (there are plenty of resources online about this,also check Glassdoor for specific questions for specific companies), you willbe fine. Just choose a major where you can make sure that your GPA is above 3.5(3.6 preferred, higher for more selective companies like Jane Street) so thatyou pass the resume screen cutoff.
Also,I would like to add that if you are 100% sure you are going into industry, youdo not need to consider independent work strongly in your major choice. This isbecause you will spend more time prepping for interviews/interviewing in thefall/recruiting for interviews in the spring than doing your independent work(and most of the people I know who wanted to go into industry were 1) bse sothey didn’t have to write a thesis or 2) just wrote bs independent work so theycould graduate).
Hereare some courses that serve as baseline knowledge for the interviews for thesecompanies:
Goldman/similarANALYST: ECO 362 plus lots of self-study, no cos necessary
Goldman/similarQUANT: ECO 362 plus self-study, COS 126/226
JaneStreet/similar QUANT: COS 126/226, ORF 245/309/524/526, no econ necessary
JaneStreet/similar SOFTWARE: COS 126/226/326, no econ necessary
Response from Pichu:
^yeah sushi’s right for the most part and also why would i delete your answer you wrote so much lol. to OP: i would add ORF 335 to the list of courses for more quantitative roles. it’s the same as ECO 362 except you learn the derivations behind everything and actually understand what everything means.
goldman and jane street are pretty different types of companies, in regards to the types of roles available and culture. it seems like you just threw those 2 names out there because you heard people make a lot of money there. so from that it seems like youre not very intellectually driven, in which case the less quantitative and technical roles are probably more for you. so like investment banking or sales & trading at a bank, but basically everyone wants to do that so you should be prepared for some pretty intense competition (and long hours).
In the off-chance that you actually are intellectually curious and are actually interested in things like applied math (which is the same as ORFE) or math, then yeah like sushi said just get good at probability and apply to prop trading places like jane street or optiver. some will expect you to know some finance, some won’t care. if you put anything finance-related on your resume like a class you took, then be prepared to be asked about it. but yeah the culture there is a lot different than at banks, most people at prop trading firms are math/cs people, kinda nerdy, casual dress code that kinda thing.
but truth be told, no job will be super quantitative, even ones with the word “quant” in the name. if you’re actually interested in real quant work, a masters/phd is the way to go. this comes from multiple sources who are pretty experienced in the “financial sector in NYC” as you like to call it
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By Alice Evans 13 OCTOBER 2017 • 9:30PM "How’s your Harvey-meter?” asked a female producer, her eyes flicking up and down the regulation 8x10 headshot with my acting credits stapled onto the back. “I’ve no idea.” I lied, trying to sound unconcerned although my palms had begun to sweat and familiar feelings of dread had invaded my stomach. “Because Harvey would like to sign off personally on the lead roles for this,” she continued. So obviously, if you’re on good terms… well, you know.” She smiles. “Yep”, I say, with the insider’s ‘I know what you mean’ laugh. Which is insane, because what she and I both know is that the subject at the core of this delicate dance we’re doing is whether or not Harvey Weinstein has ever come onto me. It’s 2003. I’ve been a working actress for six years, and have a decent slew of credits. Lead roles. I’m not a household name, but neither am I a complete interloper, although that’s exactly what I feel like, sitting on this plastic chair in a Soho office crammed full of headshots just like mine covering the walls, the desk, the floor. I feel like none of the roles I’ve worked so hard to get make any difference in this case, because there’s no chance whatsoever I will get this job. And I am right. Because I’ve already failed The Harvey Test. Rewind a year. Cannes film festival 2002. I’ve been flown in by the production company of a French language film I’d been in the year before that was looking for foreign investors. Once the meetings have been completed, we all go our separate ways and make a plan to reunite that evening at a beach party at the Carlton Hotel, where we were staying. I am standing at the bar on my own when out of nowhere a hand extends with a cocktail in it and a voice says: “Here.” I look up. I have no trouble recognising him and half wonder whether Harvey must have made a mistake but no: he’s handing it to me. “Thank you” I manage. And then, taking a large slug: “I’m Alice.” “I know exactly who you are,” he says, and I feel a surge of silly pride. “Oh. I know who you are too”. “Good start,” he goes on, and I laugh nervously into my drink. Harvey stares at me. Then begins to look over my shoulder. And I panic a little. This is my moment to impress Harvey Weinstein. If I’m boring he’ll walk away and I may never get a second chance. Oddly, despite having heard endless stories about massages and hand-jobs in hotel rooms, it doesn’t even cross my mind - not for a second - that he might try the same on me. Why would he? I’m not that type of girl. (In retrospect this may seem disingenuous, but does anyone really feel like they’re ‘that sort of girl’?). I’m nervous though. I blurt out the first thing that comes to mind: “My boyfriend screen-tested for you in New York yesterday.” “I know” says Weinstein without blinking. “He did an incredible job. He’s a talented guy”. Wow. I’m flattered by proxy. I can’t wait to tell Ioan (Gruffudd, my now husband) the good news. I’m so excited I take off on some boring tangent about auditions and films and suddenly, out of nowhere, he’s asking me to go into the hotel bathroom with him. I laugh, make a joke. Keep rambling. But he continues. “Just go. I’m right behind you. I want to touch your tits. Kiss you a little.” He moves right up close to me and looks me up and down. I can feel his breath. And it’s not your average tipsy come-on. It’s sinister. The sort of thing that makes you want to run away fast. Now this wouldn’t be hard. We’re in a very public place. He knows I could make a scene. But as I extricate myself (by moving backwards and murmuring various excuses) Harvey utters a phrase that has stayed with me forever. “Let’s hope it all works out for your boyfriend,” he says. The next morning Ioan calls me. He has a film being promoted at Cannes, too and we have lunch planned. He sounds so buoyed by the good news about the audition that I stop short of telling him about the bathroom proposal. I feel quite conflicted. Clearly, I should never have to walk into a public bathroom and let a stranger touch my breasts, but something about the whole encounter makes me feel like I’ve let him down. Like I could have handled it better. Harvey didn’t actually do anything wrong. He propositioned me, overtly, repeatedly, then he turned nasty when I said no, but that’s not illegal. And yet I can’t help feeling I’m the one who has behaved badly here – and that somehow I will be made to pay. My worst fears are confirmed when I spot Harvey at a party that night and make my way over to say hello. I’m not sure what to expect, but I’m hoping to hear some friendly banter so I can stop worrying. I tap Harvey’s shoulder. He spins around and for a second I see his face cloud, then turn steely. “Do I know you?” he asks calmly. Then he walks away and I’m left standing there, stunned. The next day Ioan still hasn’t heard anything about the audition. In Hollywood, no news is rarely good news. We sit despondently eating lunch with a former member of his management team and they go over and over the audition scenario, and the phone refuses to ring. My panic rises. Finally Ioan gets up and goes to the bathroom. Watching him go, the guy leans in and asks: “So what really happened with Harvey?” And I tell him - by this point desperate for some sympathy. “I was worried you might say that,” he nods. “They called this morning. It’s not going Ioan’s way. I’m not going to tell him just yet - he’s got interviews to do this afternoon and I don’t want to upset him.” I was never again considered for a Weinstein film, and neither was Ioan. I’ll never know if my refusal to be sexually available for Mr Weinstein at the moment he fancied his little fix had me blacklisted, or whether I’m inflating my own importance in a much bigger picture. But I do know this: this total lack of concern for me as a woman – and more importantly a human being – shocked me to the core and affected me for years. But it’s not just me we’re talking about today. And actually, it isn’t just Harvey Weinstein. As long as there are sociopaths in positions of control in Hollywood (and sadly these people, both male and female, exist in every industry) who are known to use their positions of power to torture desperate, hopeful people but never publicly denounced, then Harvey’s fall from grace will mean nothing. There will always be those who would rather play it safe than try to change the status quo, and more than one person tried to stop me from writing this piece, concerned about “what it might do” to both my and Ioan’s career. But I’m heartened by the many who have spoken out in recent days not just against Harvey, but a culture of sexual bullying within the industry that’s neither a “game” nor part of some quaint movie tradition but unacceptable on a very basic human level. And I really hope that the “You can count on me - I won’t tell” days are over. None of us should be counted on to cover up the immoralities of those above us – and all of us should now tell.
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Season 4 premiere of #Gotham is here! Review, Rate, Spoilers. Episode one "Pax Penguina"
Greetings and salutations my fellow Gothamites. Yes, it is that wonderful time of year once again; the time for a new season, new characters, and new hero in the making that the city of Gotham truly deserves. A Dark Knight. (See how I added the tagline there?)
A strange system of unionized crime, an exciting new club in town, a Riddler-sicle, some alleyway butt-kicking, and an answer to the question that has been buzzing around for three years: “What the heck happened to Jonathan Crane?”
Season four of Gotham, episode one. Here we go.
And right off the bat, (pun not intended at first, but now that I think about it, pun totally intended), we see a masked figure save a family from some thugs with some good old-fashioned fisticuffs. Who was that masked figure you might ask? Why, it’s Bruce Wayne (David Mazouz) dabbling in some vigilantism (and doing a pretty good job so far, I might add). After the skirmish, Bruce discovers that the thugs possessed a license with a very familiar umbrella-shaped stamp on it.
Elsewhere, without Bruce’s knowledge, Ra’s al Ghul (Alexander Siddig) observes Bruce’s escalades like a mentor watches a student or how a father watches his own son.
We then see a wedding in progress. Everyone’s having fun, they’re happy, the band pulls a proper Rick Rolling, and a good time is being had by all. But since this is Gotham City, the celebration is cut off, of course, by some hicks in masks and armed to the teeth. You know the drill, they demand cash, phones, jewelry, valuables and nobody gets hurt. You know how you do.
A whistle rings through the hall; almost like a signal. Everyone turns their heads to see…. Victor Zsasz (Anthony Carrigan)! Man, I’ve missed him!
He, in his own way, politely informed the gunmen that in order to commit a crime in Gotham, you gotta have a license; and the only way to get a license is to ask the Penguin and give him a good cut of the earnings. As long as you have those licenses, you can commit a crime without being arrested or persecuted by the police. The leader of the hicks, Merton (Michael Buscemi), says hell to the no on that offer. In return, Zsasz shoots his finger clean off, causing the hicks to run along. The bride and groom thank Victor for saving their wedding from the thugs….only to be bombarded by other thugs that do have a license.
What did you expect? It’s Gotham.
Meanwhile, in a creepy, dimly lit, congressional looking room, the new Mayor and commissioner of Gotham are having a meeting with the former mayor and now full-time Kingpin Oswald Cobblepot (Robin Lord Taylor). And, basically, since Penguin has organized and unionized crime, the crime rate has been cut by 57%. A historic low for the city of Gotham. Mayor Burke (Larry Pine) is all-in-all “thankful” for Penguin’s um…”contributions” to help keep the city safe, but he is still hesitant about the new licensed criminals’ system. With a somewhat calm exterior and a smile, Penguin insists on how exactly the hordes of criminals that once prowled the streets of Gotham…
First, he hunted them down, then he-
Okay, okay fine. Use your imagination. The point is: Oswald Cobblepot mad Gotham City safer. However, Gotham will ALWAYS have crime. And all that he’s asking from Mayor Burke is to have crime be put in the hands of professionals. A simple deal with simple terms….well, yeah, I mean, Penguin does get a sweet profit from it; but being the expert negotiator he is, Mayor Burke and the commissioner get a little percentage of the profits themselves.
Unionized crime, no press, no police interference, and a piece of the pie for everyone. God bless America.
We finally see Jim Gordon (Ben McKenzie) make an appearance as he takes a visit to a bar for his coffee. Unfortunately, Jim stumbled upon a random thug robbing the bartender at gunpoint. Jim gets ready to do his GCPD thing when the thug tells him that he has a license…….needless to say, Jim Gordon does not give a single rat’s ass and arrests the fool. Ah, good old Jim. Good to be back.
At Wayne Manor, Alfred (Sean Pertwee) confronts Bruce about his late night activities. While Bruce informs Alfred that he intends to stop Penguin’s new crime syndicate. Such a busy boy Master B is.
Remember those hicks at the wedding? We see Merton and his partner Grady (Michael Maize) take a stroll down to Arkham Asylum to visit a certain patient. A certain patient that we have not seen in three years or so: Jonathan Crane (Charlie Tahan).
(It’s been so long!)
In his years of confinement, the effects of the fear toxin, created by his whack-a-doo father, are still well within Jonathan’s system; causing him to live with his mind being in a constant state of fear which had left Jonathan traumatized and with a self-made, imagined “Boogeyman” scarecrow-like being that haunts him. Merton and Grady bribe the Warden of Arkham (Damian Young) to let them take Jonathan Crane with them. They drag him out of his cell and close up to see a drawing that Jonathan had been scribbling on the floor almost obsessively.
They take Jonathan back to his home and uncover more of his father’s experimental drugs for the fear toxin. With the use of an actual scarecrow, Merton and Grady force Jonathan to make more of the toxin, which they have weaponized and use it to rob a bank on live television to show that Penguin a lesson.
While investigating the crime scene, Jim notices that the method the hick thugs used was very similar to Gerald Crane’s fear toxin and informs his partner in crime Harvey Bullock (Donal Logue). From this, they deduce that Merton must have forced Jonathan to reveal the fear toxin formula.
Jim and Harvey pay a visit to the Warden at Arkham Asylum, which wasn’t exactly very fruitful. So, they go to Grady’s apartment. Unfortunately for them, he and Merton were waiting for them. The head hick Merton explains that they want to send a message to Penguin about him and his licenses.
Elsewhere, we see Selina Kyle (Camren Bicondova) walking alone at night in an alley. Since this is Gotham, a bunch of muggers take notice and surround her.
But guess what? Selina was hoping they would do that and then she pulled out that whip and when ALL KINDS of proto-Catwoman on them! One guy tries to get up and attack Selina from behind when Tabitha Galavan (Jessica Lucas) and knocks him right upside the head. This was a teaching moment for Tabitha to give to Selina. Never turn your back on a guy unless you know for sure that he’s down. And a lesson learned means pizza for Selina and Tabby.
After bringing a box of pepperoni-covered goodness back to their apartment, Tabitha and Selina see that Victor Zsasz has been waiting for them. Though he did not come with violent intentions, Victor did come with a request: that Tabitha and Selina should come over to Penguin, get a license, and let a lot of vicious and scaring bygones be vicious and scaring bygones. Selina full-heartedly agrees with the promise of more power, money, and a better place to live. Having her pride, Tabitha refuses.
At the not-yet-opened Iceberg Lounge, Oswald Cobblepot gives a statement to inaugurate his new club. A club to see and be seen. The conference of reporters inquire about the new licenses and crime in the city. Oswald gives a rousing statement about how Caesar Augustus once had a period of calm with rarely any violent acts of crime or aggression. He called it “Pax Romana”. Cobblepot goes on to state that without the GCPD getting in the way, this could possibly be known as his “Pax Penguina.”
Oswald then reveals his most “interesting” centerpiece: Edward Nygma, the Riddler himself (Corey Michael Smith) completely frozen solid.
(Eh, I’ve already made like a ton of ice puns….)
Making use of the advice that Bruce gave him, Jim Gordon marches into the club and informs Penguin that the gang of hicks (look, I know they probably have a better name than that, but once you watch the episode, you’d call them the same thing) are coming after Penguin with fear toxin. Jim’s threat and antagonizing goads Oswald into wanting to catch the gang of hicks for himself.
Opening night of the Iceberg Lounge is going splendidly. The sights, lights, sounds, music, the mingling, the top-drawer of Gotham’s society attending, and the apropos ice-themed décor makes it look like a gathering of Gatsbys. Bruce Wayne and Alfred Pennyworth are even in attending too. However, Bruce has more of a hidden agenda to be there than just to make an appearance as a Wayne. He means to uncover any information he can get about Penguin’s new licenses for legal crime. Bruce and Oswald have a conversation underlined with so much more that what is being said. Very Batman, I might add.
Without realizing it completely, Oswald reveals that he is working with a man that has a list of people with licenses. Bruce intends to make his move until he sees Selina Kyle from across the room.
Ignoring Bruce and focusing on her true intention, Selina talks to Victor Zsasz about agreeing to get a license. Victor implies that the deal was meant for her and her babysitter, Tabitha. Coincidentally, Tabitha shows up behind Selina and agrees to get a license from Penguin.
Meanwhile, the gang of hicks decide to attack Penguin at his inauguration. With Jonathan have made more of the fear toxin, they take the scarecrow, throw it in a closet and Jonathan along with it, locking the door.
In his fear-induced hallucination, Jonathan sees the scarecrow come to life once again and comes toward him. Trying with all of his might, with his primal screams of terror, and plead after plead to let him out of the closet, Jonathan is completely alone, completely trapped with his personal boogeyman.
Jonathan falls to the ground, cowering, whimpering, and shaking. His hallucination calls out to him, “Jonathan….Jonathan….Jonathan…
JONATHAN!”
Back at the Lounge, or more likely, outside the Lounge, Bruce meets up with Selina who is walking along the rooftop.
The conversation that commences between them, how can I put it? It’s probably one of the most Batman talking to Catwoman and Selina Kyle talking back to Bruce Wayne thing I have ever seen.
Bruce apologizes for snapping at Selina the way he did back at the hospital. Selina plays coy and insists that she can’t hear him unless he comes to the edge of the roof with her. Bruce walks along the ledge with no problem, which impresses Selina. The reunion of star-crossed vigilantes is interrupted by Alfred who informs Bruce that there is a situation building inside.
The gang of hicks, you know, as AMAZINGLY SUBTLE AS THEY ARE, managed to get caught by Penguin and Zsasz and are brought out in the party as an example of criminals without licenses. How if the GCPD and people like the hicks continue, no one is safe. Bruce steps up to Penguin and asks what he plans to do with those criminals. With a quick tilt of the head and a smile, Oswald insures that he has nothing to be concerned with regarding that particular subject.
This angers the already scorned Ivy Pepper (Maggie Geha) and she sneaks off to find the main power switch and shut the party down.
The sudden blackout causes people to panic and, using that panic to their advantage, the gang of hicks sprays Oswald Cobblepot with the fear toxin, causing him to hallucinate a monstrous version of Edward Nygma coming back to life.
Honestly, when I first saw the image of hallucination Edward, it kinda reminded me of those reptile-like people you see in those Believe It Or Not books.
With Jim, Bullock, Alfred, and Zsasz trying to find and fight the hicks, Grady manages to get away. A quivering and distraught Oswald is left grasping onto Jim Gordon, suffering the devastating effects of the fear toxin.
The next night, in full mask and overcoat, Bruce manages to get the list of other criminals with licenses. (Also, in a very Batman-like way). On a rooftop, Bruce accidentally comes upon a robbery in progress. As he leans in closer on the window overlooking the scene, the structure breaks and Bruce falls into the building. In a hurry, the burglars leave. Sirens can be seen and heard from the outside, leaving Bruce being caught without his mask.
Back at the Crane House, Grady to get more of the fear toxin from Jonathan. He goes to the closet and calls out for him, “Jonathan! Hey, Crane!”
Only a distorted voice answers back.
“Jonathan Crane isn’t here anymore.”
Grady adjusts his eyes to the horror, the creature inside the closet where Jonathan Crane once was. A hemp-like material stretched, wrapped, and sewed around him like skin. Spikes of straw seeping out of his body. Two dark circles with a glowing white hue stare straight at Grady.
“IT’S JUST THE SCARECROW!”
PHEW! There was a lot stuff going on in this premiere!
First off: it was a very well shot episode and a very, VERY well written episode. Even though, with some episodes, when Gotham puts so much in an episode, it does feel rushed and too busy. This episode did not. Yes, there was lot going on, but the pacing of both the dialogue and action was very well done.
THINGS I LIKED:
I think I can speak for the majority for the Gotham audience when I say,
“Yes! Victor Zsasz! Yes!”
Anthony Carrigan brings so much weight to a character in the Batman comics that isn’t very well known. I absolutely love Carrigan’s approach to Zsasz. His brand of crazy and psychotic reality is very evident in his speech, his movement; Do not misunderstand, the character of Zsasz in both Gotham and in the comics is as insane and threatening, but in Gotham, this Zsasz doesn’t need to go full crazy with his tally marks and constant need for liberation. Carrigan plays at Victor Zsasz’s madness like he had a mesh lid on it. He doesn’t just bombard the audience with crazy all the time, but now and again, the sadistic killer seeps through and you can tell that Anthony Carrigan is loving every minute of it and so are we.
I would like to see more scars on Zsasz, or have them continue some focus on the tally marks on his body like they did in the first season. I think it would be cool if we could intermittently see more and more tallies accumulate.
I love what they did with Jonathan Crane and I love what Charlie Tahan did with him too. Well done. And I’m not just saying this cause Scarecrow is one of my top ten favorite Batman villains. His transformation into the Scarecrow, I really liked too. His fear, his hallucination, his own boogeyman completely consumed what was left of Jonathan Crane. When he said “Jonathan Crane isn’t here anymore”, he actually means it. I have got to give major props to the writers for doing so much and doing it so well with Jonathan in just ONE episode. I can’t wait to see what Scarecrow has up his newly parchment sleeve.
It is so nice and refreshing to see Oswald Cobblepot go back to being a crime boss and back to being the Penguin. Creating a system of unionized crime that is legal in a way that actually makes sense, getting the Mayor of Gotham and the commissioner of the police department to agree to this system, take a part in it, and look the other way, stealing the Sirens’ Club and making it his infamous Iceberg Lounge, parading his defeat of the Riddler and making it seem like he’s helping a friend with a rare brain disease (freaking hilarious by the way. He just had that story teed up and ready to go), cutting down the crime rate by 57%, and doing all this while keeping a smile on his face and having an answer and response for anything that comes his way.
I also enjoyed his little moment of vulnerability as he had a private talk with himself and the green popsicle. “Which one of us is really frozen?” Quite the ponder.
Of course, seeing Bruce getting more comfortable in being a vigilante, but not quite Batman yet, is always a treat. I spazzed out like such a nerd during his talk with Jim Gordon and how he left the conversation before it was over. Just the whole conversation was such a Gordon/Batman moment.
I did like the conversation between Bruce and Selina. It was very coy and it had such undertone to it.
Basically any moment with Harvey Bullock is awesome.
THINGS I DID NOT LIKE:
If I had a dollar for every time Selina had the attitude of “You don’t know anything about me”, I could afford to go see IT in theaters as much as I damn well please.
Those hicks…….seriously?
As a member of the awesome group called Gotham Addicts, (look them up on Facebook and Twitter, they’re awesome) I asked some good friends of mine in that group to give their take on the episode. And boy, oh, boy, do they have thoughts. They have thoughts, opinions, likes, dislikes, and theories. Check out what these awesome peeps had to say about the episode and on things even I didn’t notice:
“Predictions for Penguin...I feel he will be the one to thaw out Ed. The fear gas will drive him to it to possibly make the scary Ed go away. He might free him. He's the only one who knows how; through Victor Freis. I also feel the fear gas will be used on Bruce, which will be leading to his "BAT" moment and making him Batman.
The show moved at a nice pace. Didn't even realize the time flew by. It left you wanting so much more. I love the fact they jumped right into the story. It didn't need a painful build up. It was good seeing Harvey be Harvey. He got to be heroic before, now he's back to himself and leaving all the rebel cop stuff to Gordon. It was great seeing Gordon, being the cop and not saving the world. I always enjoy the interactions between Gordon and Harvey.
As for the Penguin: It was good to see him return to his old gangster self at the end of season 3...But now he's a huge crime boss and in charge. This is the Penguin he was meant to be. The scene in the mayor's office was the perfect example of his cold calculating mind and his sheer powerful presence. They couldn't disagree. He made it impossible for them to do so...by his speech. God Bless America...and then the mayor smiled. Awesome scene.
The private moment with his trophy. Or Edward. That was deeper than most think. The “who is really frozen” comment and that look. You can see the warmth that still flickers in his cold heart. The sad sob story about why Ed was in ice and the way he played the heartstrings of his crowd. Damn he's so masterful at manipulating people. A gift. It’s simply a gift.
All the scenes between Penguin and Gordon were classic. Penguin is the hero Gotham NEEDS...Gordon is the Hero they WANT...The news reporters ate up every fact that Penguin threw at them and Gordon still held his ground. The tension between them is just amazing stuff. The ending where after the Penguin calls out the GCPD for being useless and HE was the only one that can save Gotham, then him being hit with the fear gas. Who does Penguin run to? Gordon to save him... just made the whole scene go off the chart when you think of how those in the crowd and readers of the news are feeling.
Even though I didn’t care for the cowboy criminals, I did love the reintroduction of Crane and then Scarecrow...that Warden, what a piece of work...still felt it was rushed compared to the other storylines. The battle of Gordon with the other cops and Harvey about doing the job they were hired to do. Felt like old times. Good times. It's refreshing to see the show get out of the freaks/virus theme and back to go old crime ridden city.”
- S. Howard
“As a fan of Gotham and Batman overall, I'm excited to see these characters finally developing into the Batman characters that we know and love. Bruce is on a mission to save Gotham while also giving this businesslike demeanor when talking to people such as Gordon or Penguin. Selina is bringing cat woman to life with the famous whip play and her cat like reflexes. As for surprised in the episode I was a bit shocked when Ivy betrayed Penguin in a small way and turned out the lights in the nightclub, giving the “Outlores” the advantage to attack Penguin. Although, now that I think about it, her actions were understandable. Penguin has been cold and calculating for the past six months and has probably been very snappy with her. The poor girl is only going to take so much of his abuse. As for Penguin himself, he has taken Gotham city by the throat and refuses to let go. The city is his giant playground with him issuing legal licenses for crime and all. I actually had an "awe" moment when he was standing in the Iceberg Lounge talking to Edward Nygma, who is still encased in ice. To me, that scene showed that he still misses Edward and the talks they used to share. I still have hopes that the two will make amends and be friends again.....or maybe more. Although, Penguin's going to have to get past that frightening image of Ed from the fear toxin. This season started off with a bang, and things are only going to get crazier from here. I'm buckling my seat belt and hanging on for dear life because this is going to be one hell of a ride!
It was just little things I noticed when I watched that scene again. First off, the smoke in the background was turning into question marks and the little question marks protruding from Edward's head. This obviously represents the Ed's obsession with riddles and puzzles. As the nightmare sequence progresses, you see that Edward's face becomes distorted and the background turns hazy.....almost like Oswald is gazing at him from underwater, leading back to the point when Edward shot Oswald and tossed him in the river. This could very well be Oswald's greatest fear because it was a point where closest to actually dying......had it not been for Ivy saving him later, and since his "resurrection," Edward's attempted to kill him multiple times and every time, Oswald has escaped.....sometimes within an inch of his life. I believe that nightmare sequence is showing us that Oswald's greatest fear is that Edward will eventually thaw out of the ice and will this time succeed in killing him.”
- Megan R.
Overall, I’d give this episode a 9.8 out of 10
Well, that was one heck of an episode. I don’t think I have much more to say except:
See you next time.
And as always, Stay weird Gotham.
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Another Massive Blackout Struck Puerto Rico Last Night
New Post has been published on http://foursprout.com/wealth/another-massive-blackout-struck-puerto-rico-last-night/
Another Massive Blackout Struck Puerto Rico Last Night
Authored by Daisy Luther via The Organic Prepper blog,
Last night, an explosion at a San Juan power plant regressed Puerto Rico’s efforts to restore power to the island five months after Hurricane Maria struck a massive blow.
Much of Northern Puerto Rico has suffered another blackout, including the capital city.
The island’s Electric Power Authority said several municipalities were without power, including parts of the capital, San Juan, but they were optimistic it could be restored within a day as they worked to repair a substation that controls voltage…
…It was not immediately known what caused Sunday’s fire, which was quickly extinguished. Officials said the explosion knocked two other substations offline and caused a total loss of 400 megawatts worth of generation. (source)
Before this explosion, more than a million people were still without power from the Category 4 hurricane that struck the island on Sept. 20, 2017. They’ve been thrown back in time by a hundred years, with no power, no running water, and damaged homes.
This is a prime example of how disasters aren’t just one-time occurrences. They’re very often followed by subsequent disasters.
Think about it. Fires are often followed by floods which are followed by mudslides and sinkholes. (See California for reference.) The tsunami in Japan was followed by a nuclear plant disaster. Hurricane Harvey in Texas had storm surges and floods that caused a chemical plant to explode a few days later. Now, this already-stressed infrastructure has crumbled again under it’s increasing demand.
Power has been restored to a few critical locations.
This is one situation in which living in a more populated area can benefit you. After last night’s explosion, workers were quick to restore power to specific locations.
By late Sunday, electricity workers had been able to restore power to key locations, including the Luis Muñoz Marín International Airport in Carolina, as well as the Medical Center. (source)
As well, after Hurricane Maria, the first areas to resume some form of normalcy were the ones with higher population. San Juan saw it’s power restored immediately but people in more remote areas are still waiting. And not just a few people.
Vox estimated that 1.36 million Americans are still without electricity. You’ll see other numbers that say 400,000, but that is counting households, not individuals.
The US Army Corps of Engineers… estimated that Puerto Rico would need 50,000 utility poles and 6,500 miles of cable to restore its power system…
…When an electrical circuit is open or broken, the power doesn’t flow, whether that’s a flashlight or a phone.
It’s a simple concept, but when it happens in the electricity grid — what engineers say is the largest, most complex machine ever built — it quickly becomes a byzantine problem.
With thousands of miles of transmission lines, gigawatts of generation, computers that route power, frequency regulators, and transformers that all serve the constantly fluctuating needs of millions of people, lots of things can go wrong. Generators can shut down. Transformers can explode. Power demand and supply can fall out of balance.
By far the most common cause of blackouts is damage to power lines, which are the most vulnerable part of the electrical grid to storms.
“In a disruption like this, it’s transmission and distribution,” Marsters said. “Damage does occur to generation assets, but those are point specific and you can get those back online in a reasonable time.”
…Puerto Ricans are now desperately trying to connect the main power arteries to individual homes, and some have resorted to their own makeshift repairs, mounting their own utility poles and stringing up low-voltage transmission lines. (source)
But even before Hurricane Maria made landfall, things with the infrastructure were dire.
The power grid in Puerto Rico was in rough shape BEFORE Maria
Even before the hurricane devastated the island, the infrastructure was in terrible shape, a fact underlined by last night’s explosion.
The blast illustrated the challenges of restoring a power grid that was already crumbling before it was devastated by the Category 4 hurricane.
In many cases, power workers are repairing equipment that should have long been replaced but remained online due to the power authority’s yearslong financial crisis. PREPA is worth roughly $4 billion, carries $9 billion in debt and has long been criticized for political patronage and inefficiency. It also struggled with frequent blackouts, including an island-wide outage in September 2016. (source)
Before Maria made landfall, I wrote an article that predicted a long haul to get power restored.
It’s entirely possible that Hurricane Maria will put the island in the dark for quite some time to come, completely changing their way of life. 70,000 people are still without power from their bout with Irma, and much more damage to the utility system is expected. Gov. Rossello said:
“We will not have sustainable electric infrastructure in the near future. We will be bringing in crews from outside of Puerto Rico to attend to these measures.”(source)
Philipe Schoene Roura, the editor of a San Juan, Puerto Rico-based newspaper, Caribbean Business, wrote:
Prepa Executive Director Ricardo Ramos Rodríguez recently said the powerlines carrying electricity in the public corporation’s system are in such a deteriorated state that a strong storm could leave the island without power for weeks.
“To give you a number, if during Hurricane Georges 100 lines went down in 1998, today the same [kind of ] hurricane would bring down 1,000,” the official candidly told Caribbean Business when asked about the possibility of Prepa’s system effectively withstanding the onslaught of a similar storm.
“The lifespan of most of Prepa’s equipment has expired. There is a risk that in light of this dismal infrastructure situation, a large atmospheric event hitting Puerto Rico could wreak havoc because we are talking about a very vulnerable and fragile system at the moment,” Ramos added…
…Francisco Guerrero (a fictitious name to protect his identity), a Prepa field worker for 23 years, said it would take months for Prepa to bring up Puerto Rico’s power system should a hurricane like Harvey strike the island.
The lack of linemen and other technical personnel, as well as a lack of equipment—including replacement utility poles for powerlines and replacement parts—are the issues of greatest concern among public corporation employees, who say they risk their lives working with equipment in poor condition that provides them with little safety.
Guerrero said that today only 580 linemen remain out of the 1,300 who were part of the workforce in previous years—and that’s not counting the upcoming retirement of another 90 linemen. Likewise, he said there are only 300 electrical line testers to serve the entire island.
The source also said that much of Prepa’s equipment dates back to the 1950s—and the more “modern” equipment that is still functional dates from the 1990s; in other words, it’s from the past century.
“If a hurricane like this one [Harvey] hits us, the system is not going to come online, I’d say, in over six months. Right now, the warehouses don’t even have materials. I’m talking about utility poles and other stuff,” Guerrero explained.
“How can you say that you have equipment that dates back to the 1950s and you are not buying parts to repair them? When it’s time for maintenance work, you don’t have the part and you leave things as they are, but there is an entry in the log saying maintenance was done. And yes, it was done, but the most important thing was not done, which was to replace that part,” he added.
Although he did not assign the debacle to former Prepa Chief Restructuring Officer Lisa Donahue’s order to stop buying supplies as the main cause for the lack of materials, he is certain the order was “the straw that broke the camel’s back.” (source)
Many people thought it was a ridiculous premise and that power would be up and running within a couple of weeks. But it turns out, that was cognitive dissonance. This situation is all the proof you need to see that things can change overnight.
Go watch this video to see what everyday life is like in Puerto Rico for nearly half a million people.
Do you think things will ever be the same in Puerto Rico?
Have the residents of the island been permanently thrown back into Third World status? Will the power ever be fully restored? And considering they’re Americans too, isn’t it rather embarrassing that we aren’t doing more to aid in the recovery?
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Text
Another Massive Blackout Struck Puerto Rico Last Night
New Post has been published on http://foursprout.com/wealth/another-massive-blackout-struck-puerto-rico-last-night/
Another Massive Blackout Struck Puerto Rico Last Night
Authored by Daisy Luther via The Organic Prepper blog,
Last night, an explosion at a San Juan power plant regressed Puerto Rico’s efforts to restore power to the island five months after Hurricane Maria struck a massive blow.
Much of Northern Puerto Rico has suffered another blackout, including the capital city.
The island’s Electric Power Authority said several municipalities were without power, including parts of the capital, San Juan, but they were optimistic it could be restored within a day as they worked to repair a substation that controls voltage…
…It was not immediately known what caused Sunday’s fire, which was quickly extinguished. Officials said the explosion knocked two other substations offline and caused a total loss of 400 megawatts worth of generation. (source)
Before this explosion, more than a million people were still without power from the Category 4 hurricane that struck the island on Sept. 20, 2017. They’ve been thrown back in time by a hundred years, with no power, no running water, and damaged homes.
This is a prime example of how disasters aren’t just one-time occurrences. They’re very often followed by subsequent disasters.
Think about it. Fires are often followed by floods which are followed by mudslides and sinkholes. (See California for reference.) The tsunami in Japan was followed by a nuclear plant disaster. Hurricane Harvey in Texas had storm surges and floods that caused a chemical plant to explode a few days later. Now, this already-stressed infrastructure has crumbled again under it’s increasing demand.
Power has been restored to a few critical locations.
This is one situation in which living in a more populated area can benefit you. After last night’s explosion, workers were quick to restore power to specific locations.
By late Sunday, electricity workers had been able to restore power to key locations, including the Luis Muñoz Marín International Airport in Carolina, as well as the Medical Center. (source)
As well, after Hurricane Maria, the first areas to resume some form of normalcy were the ones with higher population. San Juan saw it’s power restored immediately but people in more remote areas are still waiting. And not just a few people.
Vox estimated that 1.36 million Americans are still without electricity. You’ll see other numbers that say 400,000, but that is counting households, not individuals.
The US Army Corps of Engineers… estimated that Puerto Rico would need 50,000 utility poles and 6,500 miles of cable to restore its power system…
…When an electrical circuit is open or broken, the power doesn’t flow, whether that’s a flashlight or a phone.
It’s a simple concept, but when it happens in the electricity grid — what engineers say is the largest, most complex machine ever built — it quickly becomes a byzantine problem.
With thousands of miles of transmission lines, gigawatts of generation, computers that route power, frequency regulators, and transformers that all serve the constantly fluctuating needs of millions of people, lots of things can go wrong. Generators can shut down. Transformers can explode. Power demand and supply can fall out of balance.
By far the most common cause of blackouts is damage to power lines, which are the most vulnerable part of the electrical grid to storms.
“In a disruption like this, it’s transmission and distribution,” Marsters said. “Damage does occur to generation assets, but those are point specific and you can get those back online in a reasonable time.”
…Puerto Ricans are now desperately trying to connect the main power arteries to individual homes, and some have resorted to their own makeshift repairs, mounting their own utility poles and stringing up low-voltage transmission lines. (source)
But even before Hurricane Maria made landfall, things with the infrastructure were dire.
The power grid in Puerto Rico was in rough shape BEFORE Maria
Even before the hurricane devastated the island, the infrastructure was in terrible shape, a fact underlined by last night’s explosion.
The blast illustrated the challenges of restoring a power grid that was already crumbling before it was devastated by the Category 4 hurricane.
In many cases, power workers are repairing equipment that should have long been replaced but remained online due to the power authority’s yearslong financial crisis. PREPA is worth roughly $4 billion, carries $9 billion in debt and has long been criticized for political patronage and inefficiency. It also struggled with frequent blackouts, including an island-wide outage in September 2016. (source)
Before Maria made landfall, I wrote an article that predicted a long haul to get power restored.
It’s entirely possible that Hurricane Maria will put the island in the dark for quite some time to come, completely changing their way of life. 70,000 people are still without power from their bout with Irma, and much more damage to the utility system is expected. Gov. Rossello said:
“We will not have sustainable electric infrastructure in the near future. We will be bringing in crews from outside of Puerto Rico to attend to these measures.”(source)
Philipe Schoene Roura, the editor of a San Juan, Puerto Rico-based newspaper, Caribbean Business, wrote:
Prepa Executive Director Ricardo Ramos Rodríguez recently said the powerlines carrying electricity in the public corporation’s system are in such a deteriorated state that a strong storm could leave the island without power for weeks.
“To give you a number, if during Hurricane Georges 100 lines went down in 1998, today the same [kind of ] hurricane would bring down 1,000,” the official candidly told Caribbean Business when asked about the possibility of Prepa’s system effectively withstanding the onslaught of a similar storm.
“The lifespan of most of Prepa’s equipment has expired. There is a risk that in light of this dismal infrastructure situation, a large atmospheric event hitting Puerto Rico could wreak havoc because we are talking about a very vulnerable and fragile system at the moment,” Ramos added…
…Francisco Guerrero (a fictitious name to protect his identity), a Prepa field worker for 23 years, said it would take months for Prepa to bring up Puerto Rico’s power system should a hurricane like Harvey strike the island.
The lack of linemen and other technical personnel, as well as a lack of equipment—including replacement utility poles for powerlines and replacement parts—are the issues of greatest concern among public corporation employees, who say they risk their lives working with equipment in poor condition that provides them with little safety.
Guerrero said that today only 580 linemen remain out of the 1,300 who were part of the workforce in previous years—and that’s not counting the upcoming retirement of another 90 linemen. Likewise, he said there are only 300 electrical line testers to serve the entire island.
The source also said that much of Prepa’s equipment dates back to the 1950s—and the more “modern” equipment that is still functional dates from the 1990s; in other words, it’s from the past century.
“If a hurricane like this one [Harvey] hits us, the system is not going to come online, I’d say, in over six months. Right now, the warehouses don’t even have materials. I’m talking about utility poles and other stuff,” Guerrero explained.
“How can you say that you have equipment that dates back to the 1950s and you are not buying parts to repair them? When it’s time for maintenance work, you don’t have the part and you leave things as they are, but there is an entry in the log saying maintenance was done. And yes, it was done, but the most important thing was not done, which was to replace that part,” he added.
Although he did not assign the debacle to former Prepa Chief Restructuring Officer Lisa Donahue’s order to stop buying supplies as the main cause for the lack of materials, he is certain the order was “the straw that broke the camel’s back.” (source)
Many people thought it was a ridiculous premise and that power would be up and running within a couple of weeks. But it turns out, that was cognitive dissonance. This situation is all the proof you need to see that things can change overnight.
Go watch this video to see what everyday life is like in Puerto Rico for nearly half a million people.
Do you think things will ever be the same in Puerto Rico?
Have the residents of the island been permanently thrown back into Third World status? Will the power ever be fully restored? And considering they’re Americans too, isn’t it rather embarrassing that we aren’t doing more to aid in the recovery?
0 notes
Text
Inside Khloe Kardashian's Quietly Momentous Being pregnant
New Post has been published on https://takenews.net/inside-khloe-kardashians-quietly-momentous-being-pregnant/
Inside Khloe Kardashian's Quietly Momentous Being pregnant
In 2018, the E! star and member of some of the well-known households round shall be branching off to begin a household of her personal. Khloe has confirmed that she is pregnant along with her and boyfriend Tristan Thompson‘s first youngster collectively, taking to Instagram to share a photograph of her naked, until now simply speculated-upon child bump.
Whereas the thrilling information hasn’t precisely been saved underneath wraps—”Khloe is so pleased, you haven’t any concept,” a supply advised us in September—the often extra demonstrative fam has been noticeably quieter this 12 months, notably relating to any and all blessed occasions.
However now that it is starting to look so much like Christmas, the Kardashians have been in a extra giving temper.
In the future at a time for nearly three weeks now, the Kards have been rolling out a scene from their huge vacation card photograph shoot (which they skipped final 12 months), timed to have the entire completed product on show by Christmas.
The cardboard form of serves as a metaphor for all of 2017—little by little, the household is coming again into clear focus after a most uncommon 12 months.
Although Khloe has talked extensively about aspiring to grow to be a mom sooner or later, her determination to not flaunt her expectant standing or interact within the sisterly custom of baring bumps in bikinis and posing for elaborate photograph shoots (until now) is smart so far as the timing goes.
For starters, why not hold just a little one thing for herself? Khloe has lived the final 10 years of her life nearly solely in public, getting married, ending up separated, relationship once more, aiding ex Lamar Odom‘s restoration after he overdosed and in the end getting divorced in full view of the cameras. Then in fact inquiring minds wished to know all about her romance with Thompson, which blossomed within the fall of 2016 after they had been launched on a blind date arrange by a mutual buddy.
Thompson was recent from successful his first NBA Championship ring with the Cleveland Cavaliers and, as soon as the 2016-17 season acquired underway, Khloe began spending extra time in The Land than she most likely ever anticipated to spend in her life. However already understanding she wished to make it work, Khloe adjusted, even when obstacles appeared to loom.
Along with abiding by his ordinary grueling schedule of exercises, practices and video games, Thompson additionally turned a first-time dad final December when his ex Jordan Craig gave delivery to their son, Prince Oliver Craig Thompson. Perhaps all the above would’ve been a stumbling block to some—the entire household is aware of how laborious it’s to this point skilled athletes—however Khloe and Tristan had fallen quick for one another.
Quick-forward to now and, with Khloe given carte blanche to embellish any Kardashian-Thompson abode as she sees match, she’s in “one of the best relationship” she’s ever been in and the expectant couple are fortunately cohabitating in Cleveland and L.A.
“I do actually love Cleveland,” she assured Steve Harveythroughout an look on his speak present in September. “Everyone seems to be like, ‘Oh, you do not have to say that.’ I actually get pleasure from it. It is so completely different from L.A. and I like the seasons. I spend Christmas on the market and I’ve by no means had a white Christmas. I’ve by no means gotten to expertise that, so I get pleasure from it. The individuals are so good…They’re so actual.”
This momentous time in Khloe’s life additionally occurs to have coincided, not simply with momentous moments for sisters Kim Kardashian and Kylie Jenner, but in addition with the wake of Kim’s traumatizing, entire-family-dynamic-altering expertise being robbed at gunpoint in Paris in October 2016. Kim stayed off social media for 3 months, a lifetime in Kardashian years, and her husband, mother and sisters all needed to rally to assist her really feel like her regular self once more.
“It is traumatizing and terrifying, however you genuinely…that is if you get down in your knees and also you pray and also you thank the lord that nothing worse occurred,” Khloe recalled listening to concerning the theft throughout an interview on Right now in January.
In the meantime, virtually since she and Thompson began relationship, they have been the topic of engagement and being pregnant rumors.
“There’s rumors I have been pregnant for I feel eight years now,” Khloe mentioned on Right now. “Rumor after rumor after rumor…we have simply realized to not deal with them.”
In a June episode of Maintaining Up With the Kardashians, Khloe sees a fertility specialist—at first as a result of she and Kim had been pondering the thought of Khloe being a surrogate for Kim and Kanye West. Her first go to left Khloe questioning whether or not she might even get pregnant and the physician suggested her to cease taking contraception capsules so he might totally suss out her scenario.
All appeared promising in the long run, and that apparently marked a turning level for Khloe and Tristan’s future collectively.
“Tristan and I positively speak about beginning a household,” she mentioned. “He desires to have 5 or 6 children with me and that is beautiful. We might begin at one and we might develop from there. However now understanding I am not on contraception is rather like—it is scary. It is like a very huge step.”
In an interview this summer season with The Mail on Sunday‘s YOU journal, she expanded upon the topic, saying, “Tristan is a superb dad and he positively desires extra youngsters, however we each really feel that it’s going to occur when the time is true. We’re nonetheless in a brand new relationship and I like us having time collectively. Upon getting children you possibly can’t get again your non-kid years…You are worried about your youngsters for the remainder of your life. The priority I’ve is elevating little human beings in a world that is stuffed with such hate and terror. That appears very scary.”
There may be, certainly, additionally that.
However barely a month after the interview was printed in August got here phrase that Khloe and Tristan had been certainly anticipating a child, and scary world apart, the mommy-to-be was thrilled.
As for the opposite ever-present rumor, Khloe advised YOU, “I imagine in marriage and I need to be married once more sooner or later however I haven’t got a timeframe. Why do individuals assume that marriage equates to happiness? There are lots of people in unhealthy marriages.”
And Khloe in fact is aware of from expertise. Although within the second she hoped on the time that she and Lamar Odom might repair their marriage, she revealed earlier this 12 months that she had really “pretend tried” to get pregnant whereas she and Odom had been nonetheless collectively—which means, she advised the previous NBA star she was on board with their efforts to have children, understanding deep down that it was not the appropriate time to have a child.
To the surface world, it had appeared that Khloe was 100-percent desirous to have a child.
“Once I was doing my fertility therapies, they had been extra so for Lamar,” she admitted. “I needed to cease as a result of there was a lot deeper stuff that was occurring in our marriage. I knew that it wasn’t the appropriate scenario to convey a baby into, and I feel I’ve completed a variety of protecting up for him, like even when it made me seem like I used to be the issue. However I used to be tremendous taking over that burden on my shoulders as a result of he had a variety of different deeper s–t to take care of.”
What a world away she is from these demoralizing instances.
And although mum had been the phrase, Khloe and Tristan did appear to be having some enjoyable preserving their “secret.”
For example, on June 26, Khloe Snapchatted an image of three Polaroids of her and Thompson, having written on considered one of them, “DAD + MOM.” And on Sept. 25, when phrase was first beginning to get out, Khloe commented on a photograph of Tristan in his Cavs uniform, writing, “Daddy appears GOOD,” together with the emoji with hearts for eyes.
Hey, hindsight is 20/20.
Contributing to the silence quotient was the truth that, all inside days of one another in September, out got here the information that Kylie Jenner was additionally pregnant, after which Kim Kardashian lastly confirmed that she and Kanye West had been certainly anticipating their third youngster by way of surrogate.
Whereas Khloe’s being pregnant is now Instagram-official, Kylie—who was the visitor of honor at a child bathe thrown at her home final month—has but to say a phrase or share any definitive bump image.
So the Kardashian-Jenner household’s strategy to sharing a significant life occasion was noticeably completely different in 2017, they usually had been all in it collectively. On Ellen in November, Kim did not cave to Ellen DeGeneres‘ good-natured stress to spill the household secrets and techniques. “When there are many rumors, now we have this household group chat and we threaten one another’s lives if we converse for the opposite one,” she defined, having already let it slip that she and Kanye are having one other lady(!). “We threaten every others’ lives if we converse for the opposite one. We simply determined there’s a lot that goes on that we respect one another’s proper to talk for themselves.”
Kim later sipped a sardine milkshake on the Late Late Present With James Corden, slightly than say something about her sisters’ reported pregnancies.
And whereas blood family have largely closed ranks, Khloe’s BFF Malika Haqq advised E! Information this summer season, “Tristan’s a really grounded, sound human being that comes from an important household…Typically you acknowledge different individuals come from comparable backgrounds that may work just a little extra carefully to the best way you had been raised or the best way you do issues. Morals and limits and all these issues are actually essential and I feel that they’ve a variety of the identical morals and targets in life. I feel that is why their relationship is profitable.”
Scott Disick known as Thompson “unbelievable.” “He is like the primary good, regular man she’s ever introduced dwelling,” Disick advised Steve Harvey. “Not that we’re good and regular!”
However Thompson’s normalcy was a promoting level for Khloe, too. “We each felt this sturdy vitality,” she advised London’s ES Journal in April. “I used to be like, oh that is such a pleasant, regular man—the normalcy is what I used to be craving.” She mentioned that, early on, the NBA star—who is aware of about dedication, having performed in a league-leading 447 straight video games till a thumb harm compelled him to the bench final season—accepted her way of life, wherein mass public consideration is simply in-built.
“You might inform that was a giant tablet to swallow,” Khloe recalled. “However he accepts who I’m. He likes to guard me, which I have never had earlier than—somebody searching for me nearly earlier than himself.”
“He’s a father, and I do know for a proven fact that he could be an impeccable father [to their own kids],” she additionally mentioned. “I positively need to be a mother. However I do not put the stress on it. It isn’t like, ‘the clock is ticking.’ I really feel in my soul it would occur.”
And it’s occurring.
“My biggest dream realized! We’re having a child! I had been ready and questioning however God had a plan all alongside. He knew what He was doing. I merely needed to belief in Him and be affected person,” she captioned her photograph, wherein each her palms and Thompson’s are caressing her abdomen collectively. “I nonetheless at instances cannot imagine that our love created life! Tristan, thanks for loving me the best way that you simply do! Thanks for treating me like a Queen! Thanks for making me really feel lovely in any respect levels!”
Khloe continued, “Tristan, most of all, Thanks for making me a MOMMY!!! You could have made this expertise much more magical than I might have envisioned! I’ll always remember how great you have been to me throughout this time! Thanks for making me so pleased my love!”
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China refuses to admit it has a rape problem — and I would know
Stringer/Getty Images
The Chinese government run media claimed that sexual assault was not an issue in China, after the Harvey Weinstein scandal broke.
For years, the Chinese government has covered up sexual assaults, repressed sexual freedom, and refused to give proper sex education.
Limited American media gives the Chinese public a warped sense of Western sexuality.
In the fall of 2004, when I was 19, I studied abroad in the beautiful coastal Chinese city of Xiamen. One Friday evening, I attended an English meet-up at a local university, hoping to make some Chinese friends. To my surprise, a group of Chinese men — young, but older than I was — flocked to me, asking me repeatedly if I had any boyfriends, if my dating life resembled the popular American sitcom Friends, and if I was “open,” which I later learned was a poor translation for a Chinese phrase that meant “sexually liberal.” I was not.
The next day, one of them asked me to go swimming at a local hot springs with a group of his friends. It sounded fun. I said yes. But as it turned out, there were no friends, and I had no cellphone. Later that day, he raped me. That moment marked a new era for me — the Before Christ and Anno Domini that split my soul and altered the trajectory of my life.
Unwittingly, I had walked into the middle of a struggle to redefine Chinese identity, in a nation at times unable to come to terms with its own sexual revolution — or the epidemic of violence behind its closed doors.
China’s repressed struggle became visible last week as America belatedly dealt with longstanding sexual assault allegations against Hollywood mogul Harvey Weinstein. Investigations by the New York Times and the New Yorker revealed Weinstein’s decades of abuse and assault against dozens of women in which a male-dominated media industry was complicit. The allegations triggered a society-wide reckoning, as women across the country and around the world who have experienced sexual assault posted the deceptively simple five letters “me too” on their Facebook and Twitter accounts. It was a stunning public display that seemed to shed light on a universal experience.
It was just at this point that Chinese state-run media decided to wade into this shared public moment of confession and vulnerability in order to win points for its supposed civilizational superiority.
On Oct. 16, the government-run English-language newspaper China Daily published an opinion article called “Weinstein case demonstrates cultural differences,” that posed the question: “What prevents sexual harassment from being a common phenomenon in China, as it is in most Western societies?” Sexual violence wasn’t universal, the author — Sava Hassan, a “Canadian Egyptian educator” who taught in China — argued. “It is a well-known fact that China is a traditional society based upon commendable values and virtues that respect the dignity and humanity of its citizens, regardless of their gender,” it explained. “Chinese authority deals harshly with those who disrespect themselves by behaving inappropriately toward others.” (The article has since been removed from the site.)
The idea that Chinese society is somehow inherently less sexist than other societies is, of course, ludicrous. But it’s part of a worldview, heavily promoted by the Chinese Communist Party, that sees violence and social instability as an ideological or even civilizational flaw. And with Western democracy as its primary competitor, the party takes every opportunity, no matter how vulgar, to demonstrate China’s superiority over what it presents as a chaotic, violent, and debauched West.
That explains both the tasteless China Daily piece — and what happened to me.
Up until the early 20th century, Chinese family structure and sexual values remained — to use the party’s own term — “feudal.” Women fell under the authority of their male relatives, and female chastity was highly prized, while men could keep concubines. After 1949, the party prioritized marriage reform as part of its goal to create a New China by sweeping away Western imperialism and feudal traditions alike. The very first law passed in the newly established People’s Republic was the marriage law of 1950, which encouraged love-based matches, made concubinage and child marriage illegal, and gave men and women equal rights in divorce proceedings.
This was no Western-style sexual revolution; Chinese society remained deeply conservative, and the Communist state preferred to keep it that way. Sex before marriage was illegal, sex education was largely nonexistent, and publications about sex or romance were prohibited as bourgeois. Behind closed doors, the abuse of women was still common. Coercion by their superiors in the Communist hierarchy often appears in memoirs, and sexual assault on the young women traveling as Red Guards or “sent down to the countryside” from the city during the Cultural Revolution seems to have been frequent. Actress Bai Ling has talked of her sexual abuse while serving in a People’s Liberation Army “entertainment unit” as a teenager.
ReutersBut with the economic reforms after 1978, industrialization and urbanization radically altered the nature of relationships. Factories sprouted up in cities across the eastern coast. The flow of rural migrants into urban areas in search of work removed them from direct family and village oversight. New education and career opportunities kept young people single longer and threw them together in confined urban spaces away from families. Young people in China began to do what young people in similar situations elsewhere in the world have always done — flirt, date, have sex. In 1989, just 15.5 percent of China’s populace had sex before marriage, according to Chinese sexologist Li Yinhe; by 2012, that number had risen to more than 70 percent.
Chinese attitudes towards sex in some ways lurched into modernity, while in other ways remained deeply traditional. Prostitution flourished but women were still expected to be virgins when they married. Discussion of sexually transmitted diseases remained taboo; the government was complicit in the cover-up of an AIDS epidemic in the 1990s. Rules against unmarried couples sharing hotel rooms were finally lifted in the 2000s, years after they’d stopped being enforced, although the rare children born outside of marriage faced massive state stigma. To help keep the population under control, the state encouraged the use of contraception, and grocery stores put brightly-wrapped condom packages in the checkout aisles next to mints and gum. But public discussion and debate over these sweeping changes remained stunted. Even the phrase “cohabitation” could embarrass polite company.
With China’s opening also came first a trickle, and then a flood, of foreign popular culture. Japanese fashion, Hong Kong magazines, and Hollywood films exposed a mass Chinese audience to ideas of young love, romantic choice, and sexual freedom. When a slightly censored version of The Bridges of Madison County, a movie that portrayed a passionate extramarital affair, opened in Beijing in 1996, it sold 1.3 million tickets on its first weekend there.
But it wasn’t easy for many Chinese to adapt to the shredding of the asceticism of the early Communist era. The party had long linked China’s success, and its own legitimacy, to an essential struggle against imperialism, capitalism, and Western bourgeois values. China’s economic distinctiveness relative to the West was swiftly disintegrating. Would its sense of moral distinctiveness vanish as well?
The problem is that the economic changes were helping cause the moral and behavioral ones — and the state preferred to lionize the former while officially opposing the latter. So rather than acknowledge the ways that urbanization, industrialization, and globalization were undermining traditional ways of life, Chinese authorities conveniently blamed their country’s new bedroom behaviors on an insidious, foreign enemy. As early as 1990, state media blamed the proliferation of pornography within China on “Western cultural infiltration.” A rash of recent laws prohibit television and movies from depicting cleavage, one-night stands, and “admiration for Western lifestyles.”
But these chastisements did little to alter anyone’s behavior, and it wasn’t long before China’s free market economy had exploited, for its own ends, the association between sex and the West. Pictures of foreign women — typically blonde Caucasians, like me — came to regularly grace packages of lingerie, sex toys, and knockoff condom brands. Inevitably, the connection entered the Chinese vernacular. I’ve heard Chinese men describe the Chinese women who frequent Shanghai nightclubs as “more Westernized than the West.”
But perhaps nothing clinched the deal like Friends. The American sitcom became an unparalleled sensation across China, so popular that its characters and storylines remain a lingua franca between young Chinese and visiting Americans to this day; there’s even a Friends-themed coffee shop in Beijing. In the show’s 10 seasons, the six main characters had a combined total of 85 sexual partnerswho appeared on screen. The sitcom — and by association, American culture and the entire West writ large — came to embody the sexual freedoms that had revolutionized the Chinese bedroom.
The perceived image of white women in China “fused the sexual and the political,” noted Louisa Schein, a professor of anthropology at Rutgers University, in her 1994 article, “The Consumption of Color and the Politics of White Skin in Post-Mao China.” When Chinese looked at the bodies of Western women, they saw freedom, democracy, abandon, critique of morality, or any number of different ideas, wrote Schein. The white woman thus served as an important element in the “recuperation of the East-West binarism” — a stable, essential Chinese society and an inferior, borrowed Western culture — a duality that provided an “antidote” to the rapid, chaotic influx of modernity and change.
In other words, the images Chinese saw in illicit magazines and on television and, later, the internet, made it easy to write off these sweeping social changes as a kind of Western sexual imperialism. The result was a workable solution to the problem of Chinese identity in a post-communist society — Chinese may choose to participate in casual relationships, but in doing so, they would be indulging in a type of freedom that is inherently Western. The same cognitive dissonance worked for the Communist Party as well. Sexual freedom was permitted, but any resulting social ills were understood to be the fault of the West, not the Chinese government.
Of course, when I was 19, I knew nothing of this. I’d just stepped off a plane from my small Christian university in a West Texas town, where there were hundreds of churches but just a handful of clubs. That Friday evening at English Corner, the Chinese men around me entertained a notion of American womanhood that bore little resemblance to me, or most other young American women for that matter. When they looked at me, they saw Rachel, or Phoebe, or Monica. They saw the living embodiment of sexual revolution. They saw a West that existed only in their own minds, a West without values or dignity.
The next day, in a last-ditch effort to save myself, I told the attacker I was a virgin. He didn’t believe me. He simply couldn’t.
This was far from an isolated incident for me, though it was by far the worst. In the four years I lived in China over the past decade and a half, I lost count of the number of Chinese men who assumed that because I was American, they could touch me, say lewd things to me, or take me home with them; they often said as much. “Many Chinese people, older and conservative-minded especially, ” said Lijia Zhang, journalist and author of the novel Lotus, “think all Western people are sexually loose, women in particular.”
American television didn’t cause this behavior, of course; it’s simply become a new way to excuse it. It may come as no surprise that Chinese society, stubbornly patriarchal, and its governing party, obsessed with stability, have both been unable to acknowledge the epidemic of violence against women that flourishes within the country. In a 2013 U.N. Population Fund survey of one Chinese county, fully one in five male respondents admitted to having committed rape. Two percent admitted they had participated in a gang rape; 44 percent of men said they had engaged in physical violence against an intimate partner.
Kim Kyung Hoon/Reuters“This is endemic to the Chinese system, it’s a severe problem,” said Leta Hong Fincher, author of the forthcoming book Betraying Big Brother: The Rise of China’s Feminist Resistance. The Chinese government does not release statistics on sexual assault, viewing it as a politically sensitive social problem, Hong Fincher explained. “China doesn’t want to admit how bad the problems are with sexual violence … and of course there’s an ideological component to that.”
Violent cases tend to trigger the Chinese government’s instincts for self-preservation rather than criminal justice. In May 2013, after a 22-year-old woman was allegedly gang raped by security guards in Beijing and then fell to her death from a window, local authorities denied any foul play. Her family and hundreds of others protested in the southern quarter of the capital city. Riot police swarmed the protests; photos and discussion of the protests circulated online but were swiftly removed by censors.
The denial at work is delicately intertwined with nationalism and political ideology. After the brutal gang rape and murder of a young woman on a bus in Delhi, India, in late 2012, state news agency Xinhua syndicated an article titled “A Case of Gang Rape Reflects the True India.” The episode, the piece crowed, had shocked the globe and “pulled back the veil of democracy.” When India’s Daughter, the 2015 documentary about that rape, was released, it wasn’t censored but rather was widely availableon Chinese streaming websites. At the time, I had a Chinese colleague who, like many of the young Chinese men of his generation, evinced a confident and unquestioned nationalism. After watching the film, he expressed to me his gratitude that he hailed from a better, safer country. Something like that could never happen in China, he smugly told me.
I bit my tongue, but my hands shook as I turned back to my computer.
Others have been braver and bolder than me. Feminist activist Li Tingting and four fellow Chinese activists attracted global attention when Chinese authorities detained them for more than a month after their March 2015 attempt to raise awareness about sexual assault on public transit. Still, there’s little chance that the #MeToo campaign will trend in China anytime soon. Chinese social media is its own isolated ecosystem, by design. Twitter and Facebook are both blocked in China, precisely so that outside ideas and movements can’t spread.
So women will continue to pay the price for China’s inability to take responsibility for its own changing society, and for the party’s ideological insecurity both toward the wider world and within the country that it governs. I paid this price with my own body. But I will bite my tongue no more.
NOW WATCH: Meet the three women who married Donald Trump
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One dividend stock I’d buy instead of going for BT Group plc’s 6% yield
BT Group (LSE: BT-A) shares have had a very mixed five years.
From late 2012 to late 2015 the price more than doubled to a high of 500p, but since then it’s slumped most of the way back again to 271p, for an overall five-year gain of just 24%.
But now, on a forward P/E of a very modest 10 and with a dividend yield forecast at 5.8%, BT looks like a screaming buy, doesn’t it? Well, looks can be deceiving, and here’s one word to explain why I’ve gone right off the idea of buying BT shares — debt.
At the end of the first quarter at 30 June, BT’s net debt stood at a pretty hefty £8.8bn, which seems like a lot for a company making $418m in pre-tax profit in the period. What’s more, BT’s market cap currently stands at £27bn, and taking that into account we’d get an effective P/E for a debt-free business of around 13, which is close to the FTSE 100 long-term average.
Pension millstone
But it’s worse than that, because of BT’s pension fund deficit, which stood at £9.2bn at the end of 2016 net of tax. That’s not the same as debt, and BT isn’t necessarily going to have to stump up for the whole amount. But if it did, that would lift the effective P/E for the business to around 17 — and that’s starting to look perhaps a wee bit stretched.
There are estimates that BT could have to pour around £2bn into the pension scheme over the next two years, and that’s a very big chunk of expected annual profits — and that must put pressure on the dividends.
I’d look for income safety elsewhere.
Specialised insurance
I think I’m seeing that safety in Lancashire Holdings (LSE: LRE), the insurer specialising in the property, energy, marine and aviation sectors.
What we’re looking at is a company that pays a low ordinary dividend, which has been averaging around 1.5% over the past five years. And it then tops that up with whatever special dividends it can afford, and they’ve been pretty impressive in recent years — analysts are predicting a total yield of 8% this year.
I think that strategy is exactly right for an insurance company, and that it could have saved some heartache had the whole sector adopted that approach. Insurance profits can be both cyclical over the medium term, and erratic over the short term, and going for high ordinary yields can lead investors away from that fact. Then if the dividend has to be cut, as happened to a number of firms during the financial crisis, it can lead to overblown panic and an overselling of shares.
Hurricanes
Lancashire Holdings was exposed to Hurricanes Harvey, Irma and Maria and to the Mexican earthquakes, and that sounds like it could be catastrophic. But the aggregate losses are expected to be in the range of $106m-$212m, and the company reckons that falls “well within [its] modelled loss ranges for these types of catastrophe events.”
They’re catastrophes to the people affected, but to insurance companies (and their shareholders) they should be seen as part of their regular business.
The cost of claims should hit the firm over a reasonably long period, and does not in my view damage the long-term investment prospects.
I do invest in insurance, and I’m seriously considering Lancashire Holdings.
A million by retirement
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Why I’m not buying BT Group plc for its 5.6% dividend yield
Is BT Group plc’s 40% share price slump set to continue?
One FTSE 100 stock I’d buy ahead of BT Group plc
2 great dividend stocks under £10
Alan Oscroft has no position in any shares mentioned. The Motley Fool UK has no position in any of the shares mentioned. Views expressed on the companies mentioned in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.
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Our country has been plastered by hurricanes lately.
First there was Hurricane Harvey, which turned much of Houston, Texas into a lake, along with Corpus Christi, Rockport and the surrounding area. Then there was Hurricane Irma, which brushed by Puerto Rico and then tried to devour the Florida Peninsula. Finally, the third villain in this story was Hurricane Maria, which demolished Puerto Rico.
While Hurricane Maria was the “weakest” of the three, only a Category IV hurricane, it probably did the most damage. That damage is exacerbated by the fact that Puerto Rico is an island, making it harder to get relief workers and supplies in. Unlike Houston, access to Puerto Rico is limited to a few ports and airports, both of which were damaged by the storm.
Thousands of homes in Puerto Rico were destroyed by the hurricane, some only having their roofs torn off, while others were flattened entirely. Entire apartment buildings are standing with the façade torn off by the high winds, leaving the apartments exposed to the elements.
But the really serious damage from the hurricane wasn’t to people’s homes, although that is rather serious, but rather to the electrical grid. Over 95% of the island is currently without electrical power, not because of damage to the power plants, but rather to the near-total destruction of the transmission lines that carry the electricity produced to people’s homes, offices, stores and companies.
Without electricity, much of what people depend on to survive is eliminated. There is no running water, no communications, and most stores are unable to operate.
Between the lack of electric power to run their cash registers and the communications necessary to reorder stock, even if they sell their inventory for cash, using hand-written receipts, the stores will be empty of critical supplies, such as food, within less than three days.
World’s Smallest Battery Will Power Your House For More Than 2 Days!
But coming up with that cash will be difficult for most people, as the ATM machines that they need to use and the computers for the banks are without power and communications as well. Since few people hold onto much cash these days, but rather use plastic for all their purchases, they are left without the ability to buy even the most basic necessities of life.
While relief efforts are pouring in, there isn’t enough and it’s not getting there fast enough. Unlike the rest of the country, the people of Puerto Rico are limited by being on an island. There isn’t anyplace they can go themselves, to get away from the problems or get what they need.
But getting supplies to the island is only the beginning of the problems. Once the supplies get there, workers encounter problems moving them to those in need. Roads are damaged or blocked by felled trees and other debris and gasoline is in short supply. Those nearest the ports and airports have the best chances of receiving relief supplies, while others, on more remote areas, may receive none.
Medical Issues
The problems that ordinary people have are bad enough. But they don’t hold a candle up to the problems faced by those with serious medical conditions. Hospitals are overrun, between the people who were injured by the hurricane and the normal problems they have to deal with.
On top of that, diesel fuel to run the hospitals’ generators is running short, limiting their ability to treat patients.
The lack of electricity is causing other medical problems as well, such as there not being power to run kidney dialysis machines. People with kidney failure need this treatment three times per week. Without it, their body accumulates too many minerals in the bloodstream and organs, leading to heavy-metal poisoning and death.
The same can be said for many other medical treatments which require electricity to run the equipment.
Medicines themselves are becoming an issue as well. While pharmacies and hospitals were well stocked before the storm, some medicines are running short. The worst of this are medicines which require refrigeration, like insulin. Without refrigeration to keep insulin supplies fresh, diabetics will soon find themselves without this life-saving drug.
Recovery from the Disaster
Rebuilding and restoring Puerto Rico is going to be a major project. The damage was so severe and widespread, that there isn’t any place “safe” on the island that people can go to, to get away from the problems. That also means that there is no good starting point to work from in rebuilding the island. If only part had been damaged, they could use that as a base for rebuilding the rest.
Unsurprisingly, officials have decided that the first focus of restoration has to be government facilities and hospitals. While that makes sense from the viewpoint of needing those to be functional in order to rebuild the rest of the island, it can also be seen as government bureaucrats taking care of themselves.
The first thing that has to be restored is the electrical grid. With so much of the grid damaged, repairs are impossible. Rather, the distribution grid needs to be rebuilt. This little project is projected to take six months, which probably means it will take much longer.
In the mean time, the loss of electricity will mean that people will be without clean running water, power in their homes, refrigeration and the distribution of products to retail stores will be severely limited. As all the farms in the country were destroyed by the hurricane, all food will need to be shipped in for at least the next year, until the 2018 harvest comes in.
While the death toll from the hurricane is officially stated as 16 people, that number will surely rise. Between the lack of necessary medical attention and the lack of clean water, they can expect to see more and more people dying, either of pre-existing conditions or from disease spreading easily due to lack of sanitation. The situation isn’t pretty and it’s likely to get worse, even with all of the efforts being thrown into relief and recovery.
This problem is amplified by the Puerto Rican government’s poor financial condition. With an economy that is near the bankruptcy point, there isn’t the money needed to rebuild the island. Fortunately for them, President Trump has waived the normal requirement for states to pay 25% of disaster relief and recovery funds.
Lessons to be Learned
This disaster was just about as serious as they come. While the process of rebuilding won’t be as bad as it would have been with an EMP, the outright destruction is much worse. The people of Puerto Rico, American citizens, are going to be hard pressed to survive this disaster and come out on top.
Video first seen on The Oregonian.
Nevertheless, there are a lot of lessons that you and I can learn from this disaster. Lessons that we should apply to our own prepping plans, so that when our turn comes, we are not left in the same boat as our countrymen find themselves.
If we don’t take the opportunity to learn, then we could say that their suffering would be in vain.
Shelter
One of the biggest lessons that we can take away from this hurricane, as well as the ones that hit Houston and Florida is that American homes are not built to withstand natural disasters, especially disasters that involve enormous amounts of water. Our homes are easily damaged in any sort of flooding, which ends up soaking into the materials and destroying them.
Granted, many of the homes which were the worst hit in the hurricane are those of the poor. As such, they aren’t built according to normal American standards, but rather, in any way possible. So they are not as strong as a typical American home.
But that really doesn’t make much difference.
In a time of major disaster, we have to assume that our home will be damaged, unless you happen to live in a concrete box. With that in mind, there are two things that we should do.
The first is to be ready to make emergency repairs to our home, having the necessary tools, materials and skills on hand to accomplish those repairs. The second is to have an alternate means of shelter that we can use, if our homes become completely destroyed.
I had previously thought of using a travel trailer as my alternate shelter, in case of a hurricane destroying my home (I live in a hurricane zone as well). However, looking at the damage in Puerto Rico, it is clear that such an idea was ill-founded; a travel trailer would not survive.
It would be best to have a shelter somewhere away from your home, the classic survival retreat that we all aspire to. But if you can’t afford that, at least make sure that you have a good tent or two that you can count on.
Water
The lack of clean water in Puerto Rico is going to account for many deaths. Had those people but had some means of purifying their water, they could survive. Yet few actually did. While I have no idea how many preppers there are in Puerto Rico, it is clear that there aren’t enough.
But I see something else here as well. This is one area, in which we, as preppers, can really serve our communities, earning their respect and hopefully giving them a reason to not attack us. That is, for us to be ready to provide water filtration to those around us. For us, this is easy, as we already plan on purifying our own water. All we really need to do is increase our capacity.
Another lesson that we can take away from this is the need to be ready to harvest rainwater. While a lot of us are already using rainwater capture, we probably don’t have anywhere near the capacity needed to capture even an infinitesimal amount of the water that would fall on our homes in a hurricane. Increasing that capacity would also increase our chances of survival.
Food
With the island’s farms in a shambles, food is going to be a real challenge for the next year, with prices considerably higher than normal. While food shortages aren’t a major issue yet, they soon will be, as people and stores run out. FEMA and other relief agencies just can’t get food to the island quick enough.
This pretty much answers the question of whether or not it is unreasonable to have a year’s worth of food stockpiled. For the people of Puerto Rico, a one year supply of food seems like a minimum, right now. Those that don’t have that much (most people) are probably going to end up losing weight.
There’s something else that this disaster brings up in the food area, as well. That is, protecting your food stockpile from destruction. If my home had been in Puerto Rico for the hurricane, it looks to me like much of my food stockpile would have been damaged or even floated away. I need to rethink my food storage, looking for ways to make sure that my food stays at my home site, even if my home becomes damaged.
One way to do this is to bury some of it. Five gallon buckets, filled with food will bury just fine, protecting the food. About the only thing that could happen to it, to destroy it, would be driving a vehicle over the top.
Electric Power
As usual, the electrical grid is one of the first things damaged by any storm. Therefore, none of us can count on electricity after a disaster. We either need to be ready to do without, or to produce our own.
In this case, people who had solar panels or wind turbines probably saw them damaged by the storm. High winds can be hard on both, especially if they are not properly anchored. In that case, their preparedness wouldn’t have helped them at all.
When Hurricane Harvey was headed for my home, before turning and making landfall at Rockport, I took down my wind turbine, strapping it down behind a cement wall to protect it from the storm. Had it been up and the hurricane hit our area, I am sure that it would have been destroyed.
Medical Needs
As I mentioned above, one of the biggest problems facing the citizens of Puerto Rico is medical services and supplies. This is not uncommon in any disaster situation, as medical services tend to become overwhelmed.
But there is a big difference in this case, that is, their generators are going to prove to not be enough. When the supply of fuel is exhausted, the hospitals and all their equipment will be down.
The only medical services we can truly count on in a time of emergency are those that are already in our possession. If anything, we had better count on needing more than we thing, not less. Chances are, we’re going to find ourselves in a position where we won’t be able to count on the medical community.
Self-Defense
It didn’t take long for the two-legged predators to come out of the woodwork and start taking what they wanted. I’ve heard stories of gunmen at gas stations, threatening others so that they could get in line first. While a fairly simple example, this is indicative of what is going on in other areas as well.
As supplies become even shorter, people will become more desperate. More and more acts of violence will break forth, with people fighting over food, water and other basic necessities. Those who are not prepared to defend themselves will be the loser in this game.
FEMA
Once again, FEMA has proven that they are unprepared to deal with any emergency, especially a major one. While their workers are hard at it, trying to coordinate relief efforts, they are behind the curve. Without others pitching in to help out, FEMA will be unable to meet all the needs.
There is a stark difference between what is happening in Puerto Rico and what has happened in Houston. While I don’t have any actual figures for how much aid is reaching Puerto Rico or how much of that is from FEMA, most of it seems to be coming from FEMA or through the Red Cross. On the other hand, the large Christian community in Texas provided most of the help to the citizens of Houston. In fact, there was so much aid given by the Christian Community, that news agencies who are normally hostile to Christians commented positively about it.
Anyone who is dependent on the government to provide them with aid is asking for trouble. While government relief workers do their best, it’s never enough.
We must be ready to take care of ourselves, and if possible, those around us as well. Are you prepared?
This article has been written by Bill White for Survivopedia.
from Survivopedia Don't forget to visit the store and pick up some gear at The COR Outfitters. How prepared are you for emergencies? #SurvivalFirestarter #SurvivalBugOutBackpack #PrepperSurvivalPack #SHTFGear #SHTFBag
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Expect Used-Car Prices to Skyrocket in the Southeast Post-Hurricane
–
Remember the 2009 Cash for Clunkers program? Some hated it. Others invested in this new form of government cheese. After eight weeks, the entire USA had spent nearly $3 billion in taxpayer money to supplement the purchase of almost 690,000 vehicles. It was a big deal, but not nearly as big as what’s happening right now in the Southeast thanks to hurricanes Harvey and Irma.
–
Roughly a million vehicles have been totaled from Texas to the southern tip of Florida. When Superstorm Sandy hit the New York tri-state area in 2012, auto sales in metropolitan New York City skyrocketed 49 percent in a single month. Yet, as far as vehicle population is concerned, the aftermath of that storm represents a fraction of the damage Harvey and Irma have left from Houston to Miami. Industry trade paper Automotive News reported estimates that retail sales in Houston were up 40 to 50 percent over year-ago levels in the immediate aftermath of the storm, even as inventories were depleted by flood damage.
–
When extreme disasters strike, local car dealers at ground zero will fan out into surrounding wholesale dealer auctions to buy whatever they can to fulfill the surge in demand. Within a week of Harvey’s landfall, there were dealers throughout southeast Texas visiting mega auctions in Atlanta, Tampa, and Tulsa. These folks were loading up cars and trucks on transport vehicles that were headed out to places including Houston and Corpus Christi.
–
Bradley Williams has been a large-scale buyer for franchise and independent dealers, and he’s seen this invasion of demand at regional auctions before. “Everyone from Texas is up in Tennessee now, and it’s going to be like this for the next two to three months now that Florida got hit, too,” Williams said. “I have to go buy cars in Ohio for a Tennessee store at this point.” The spike in demand hits every level of the used-car market, from late-model cars and trucks with fewer than 50,000 miles on their odometers to runaround beaters that have been to the moon and back.
–
–
A spokesman for the Insurance Council of Texas told Car and Driver earlier this month that about 15 percent of Texans generally drive without insurance. Of the Texan motorists that are insured, about 75 percent have comprehensive coverage, which would cover flood damage. I would venture to estimate that a substantial number of those who did keep comprehensive insurance coverage have older vehicles that aren’t worth very much. This level of loss on the low side of the market means that cheap cars will soon be in incredibly short supply for the next several months. Even up in the Northeast.
–
If there is one saving grace for the Southeast in terms of shopping for a vehicle, it is the timing of these natural disasters. Most major hurricanes take place during the late summer to early fall, a time when the used-car market is usually soft. Still, values have already been going up. “I watched an ’09 Focus with 115K [miles] do $4400 today at auction,” said Kristen Mauro, owner of Image Auto Sales in Bensalem, Pennsylvania, noting that the retail value is $4800. That suggests the wholesale price allows only a slim profit margin or that the buyer plans to sell the car at an inflated price. “I seriously don’t understand where people are going with these vehicles.”
–
–
Scammers Take Advantage after Cars Get Flooded in Texas Hurricane
–
Things to Keep in Mind When You’re Hunting for a Reliable Used Car
–
Great Used-Car Bargains Hide among the New-Car Losers
–
–
The double wallop that hit the Southeast is going to have an impact on used-car prices for a long time. A natural disaster can bring out the price gougers and opportunists like little else. So if you live in one of the hurricane-impacted areas and already enjoy what you drive, keep it if you can. Deals won’t be happening any time soon.
–
Steve Lang has been an auto auctioneer, car dealer, and part owner of an auto auction for nearly two decades.
–
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via WordPress https://robertvasquez123.wordpress.com/2017/09/19/expect-used-car-prices-to-skyrocket-in-the-southeast-post-hurricane/
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Expect Used-Car Prices to Skyrocket in the Southeast Post-Hurricane
-
Remember the 2009 Cash for Clunkers program? Some hated it. Others invested in this new form of government cheese. After eight weeks, the entire USA had spent nearly $3 billion in taxpayer money to supplement the purchase of almost 690,000 vehicles. It was a big deal, but not nearly as big as what’s happening right now in the Southeast thanks to hurricanes Harvey and Irma.
-
Roughly a million vehicles have been totaled from Texas to the southern tip of Florida. When Superstorm Sandy hit the New York tri-state area in 2012, auto sales in metropolitan New York City skyrocketed 49 percent in a single month. Yet, as far as vehicle population is concerned, the aftermath of that storm represents a fraction of the damage Harvey and Irma have left from Houston to Miami. Industry trade paper Automotive News reported estimates that retail sales in Houston were up 40 to 50 percent over year-ago levels in the immediate aftermath of the storm, even as inventories were depleted by flood damage.
-
When extreme disasters strike, local car dealers at ground zero will fan out into surrounding wholesale dealer auctions to buy whatever they can to fulfill the surge in demand. Within a week of Harvey’s landfall, there were dealers throughout southeast Texas visiting mega auctions in Atlanta, Tampa, and Tulsa. These folks were loading up cars and trucks on transport vehicles that were headed out to places including Houston and Corpus Christi.
-
Bradley Williams has been a large-scale buyer for franchise and independent dealers, and he’s seen this invasion of demand at regional auctions before. “Everyone from Texas is up in Tennessee now, and it’s going to be like this for the next two to three months now that Florida got hit, too,” Williams said. “I have to go buy cars in Ohio for a Tennessee store at this point.” The spike in demand hits every level of the used-car market, from late-model cars and trucks with fewer than 50,000 miles on their odometers to runaround beaters that have been to the moon and back.
-
-
A spokesman for the Insurance Council of Texas told Car and Driver earlier this month that about 15 percent of Texans generally drive without insurance. Of the Texan motorists that are insured, about 75 percent have comprehensive coverage, which would cover flood damage. I would venture to estimate that a substantial number of those who did keep comprehensive insurance coverage have older vehicles that aren’t worth very much. This level of loss on the low side of the market means that cheap cars will soon be in incredibly short supply for the next several months. Even up in the Northeast.
-
If there is one saving grace for the Southeast in terms of shopping for a vehicle, it is the timing of these natural disasters. Most major hurricanes take place during the late summer to early fall, a time when the used-car market is usually soft. Still, values have already been going up. “I watched an ’09 Focus with 115K [miles] do $4400 today at auction,” said Kristen Mauro, owner of Image Auto Sales in Bensalem, Pennsylvania, noting that the retail value is $4800. That suggests the wholesale price allows only a slim profit margin or that the buyer plans to sell the car at an inflated price. “I seriously don’t understand where people are going with these vehicles.”
-
-
Scammers Take Advantage after Cars Get Flooded in Texas Hurricane
-
Things to Keep in Mind When You’re Hunting for a Reliable Used Car
-
Great Used-Car Bargains Hide among the New-Car Losers
-
-
The double wallop that hit the Southeast is going to have an impact on used-car prices for a long time. A natural disaster can bring out the price gougers and opportunists like little else. So if you live in one of the hurricane-impacted areas and already enjoy what you drive, keep it if you can. Deals won’t be happening any time soon.
-
Steve Lang has been an auto auctioneer, car dealer, and part owner of an auto auction for nearly two decades.
- from Performance Junk Blogger 6 http://ift.tt/2wuM6z6 via IFTTT
0 notes
Text
Expect Used-Car Prices to Skyrocket in the Southeast Post-Hurricane
-
Remember the 2009 Cash for Clunkers program? Some hated it. Others invested in this new form of government cheese. After eight weeks, the entire USA had spent nearly $3 billion in taxpayer money to supplement the purchase of almost 690,000 vehicles. It was a big deal, but not nearly as big as what’s happening right now in the Southeast thanks to hurricanes Harvey and Irma.
-
Roughly a million vehicles have been totaled from Texas to the southern tip of Florida. When Superstorm Sandy hit the New York tri-state area in 2012, auto sales in metropolitan New York City skyrocketed 49 percent in a single month. Yet, as far as vehicle population is concerned, the aftermath of that storm represents a fraction of the damage Harvey and Irma have left from Houston to Miami. Industry trade paper Automotive News reported estimates that retail sales in Houston were up 40 to 50 percent over year-ago levels in the immediate aftermath of the storm, even as inventories were depleted by flood damage.
-
When extreme disasters strike, local car dealers at ground zero will fan out into surrounding wholesale dealer auctions to buy whatever they can to fulfill the surge in demand. Within a week of Harvey’s landfall, there were dealers throughout southeast Texas visiting mega auctions in Atlanta, Tampa, and Tulsa. These folks were loading up cars and trucks on transport vehicles that were headed out to places including Houston and Corpus Christi.
-
Bradley Williams has been a large-scale buyer for franchise and independent dealers, and he’s seen this invasion of demand at regional auctions before. “Everyone from Texas is up in Tennessee now, and it’s going to be like this for the next two to three months now that Florida got hit, too,” Williams said. “I have to go buy cars in Ohio for a Tennessee store at this point.” The spike in demand hits every level of the used-car market, from late-model cars and trucks with fewer than 50,000 miles on their odometers to runaround beaters that have been to the moon and back.
-
-
A spokesman for the Insurance Council of Texas told Car and Driver earlier this month that about 15 percent of Texans generally drive without insurance. Of the Texan motorists that are insured, about 75 percent have comprehensive coverage, which would cover flood damage. I would venture to estimate that a substantial number of those who did keep comprehensive insurance coverage have older vehicles that aren’t worth very much. This level of loss on the low side of the market means that cheap cars will soon be in incredibly short supply for the next several months. Even up in the Northeast.
-
If there is one saving grace for the Southeast in terms of shopping for a vehicle, it is the timing of these natural disasters. Most major hurricanes take place during the late summer to early fall, a time when the used-car market is usually soft. Still, values have already been going up. “I watched an ’09 Focus with 115K [miles] do $4400 today at auction,” said Kristen Mauro, owner of Image Auto Sales in Bensalem, Pennsylvania, noting that the retail value is $4800. That suggests the wholesale price allows only a slim profit margin or that the buyer plans to sell the car at an inflated price. “I seriously don’t understand where people are going with these vehicles.”
-
-
Scammers Take Advantage after Cars Get Flooded in Texas Hurricane
-
Things to Keep in Mind When You’re Hunting for a Reliable Used Car
-
Great Used-Car Bargains Hide among the New-Car Losers
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The double wallop that hit the Southeast is going to have an impact on used-car prices for a long time. A natural disaster can bring out the price gougers and opportunists like little else. So if you live in one of the hurricane-impacted areas and already enjoy what you drive, keep it if you can. Deals won’t be happening any time soon.
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Steve Lang has been an auto auctioneer, car dealer, and part owner of an auto auction for nearly two decades.
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