#fun fact. i was gonna post this yesterday but then my computer got too full and would not save

[autisticaradiamegido]

day 157

femme fatale mode >:3c

[spiked-tea-writing]

and they were roommates?!

SapnapxFem!Reader

Summary: Imagine being in love with your roommate, couldn't be you.

Pronouns: She/her

Warning: Swearing

Word Count: 2.3k

A/n: I don’t watch or know anything, I just like these people and I had a concept. Also, he and Dream aren’t roommates in this for the sake of I can’t figure that out. Also also, my timeline is probably fucked but who cares

The dynamic in the apartment was...interesting to say the least

In the two years of living together, it had shifted a lot

In the beginning, you and Sapnap had been... less than cordial to each other

Both eighteen, fresh out of high school, off to college thinking that you knew everything.

There was lots of fighting, to say the least.

All of the “No it’s your turn to vacuum”, and “I swear to god Sapnap I will punt you halfway across the world if you eat my pineapple again”

The only reason you didn’t slit each other’s throats was that if the other person was dead, who would pay rent?

It was the summer before college started at the time, and you were working long hours minimum wage so coming]’/ home to an annoying prick caused a crap ton of conflict

After a few months of being little bitches to each other, y’all got piss drunk in the apartment and it all just sorta fell apart

Got that good drunk therapy, spilling your deepest secrets

(y’all were underage but shhh)

So by the time college started, the two of you had become actual friends and started enjoying each others company

A few months into the friendship, you encouraged him to post the video of “Minecraft, but it’s Raining Cats and Dogs” on a whim

Lmao little did you know what you had created (we’ll get to that later)

You mocked his train of thought constantly, laughing at the timing of it all.

“Ahhh yes, I am Sapnap, the genius who thought it’d be great to become a YouTuber while in my first year of college.”

He’d always just laugh and roll his eyes, playfully shoving you while stealing your chips.

The next few months were a haze of studying, work, and him.

It was truly a friendship of convenience since you guys were so busy, him starting his youtube career, and you working restaurants, then school on top of that, it was just easy to find friendship in your roommate.

Of course, he had his close friends which he spoke to over the internet, and you had your friends from back home, but as for college, it really was only him.

You guys had a fun time just hanging around the apartment, and it became so easy to be friends with him

And it WAS truly platonic (we’ll get back to that as well)

The best thing he brought to the friendship was his animals

You got on fabulously with Cash and the cats

They were all so cuddly and honestly loved you more than him lmao

You guys were just trying to get degrees and not be too stupid, was that too much to ask???

Well to a certain 2020, it was

The beginning of that year was great.

He was sorta realizing that he liked putting himself on social media, but on top of that, it seemed like a great start to a year.

February brought him to twitch, which you loved

You found it hilarious how he would just sorta play games and have people watch him live.

But you were incredibly supportive, as a friend, of course

He really liked it so, you tried to ignore the shouting at three am, and the loud anthems at night

Sure you’d give him hell in the morning, but why kill his fun?

March started great, as it was his birthday.

You got him a glittery lighter as a gag, but it was the perfect gift for a broke-ass college student

Then a certain pandemic came a-knockin’ on y’all’s door

It was a hard hit on both of you.

An executive decision was made that you two would stay put, but being away from your families was incredibly tough.

That spring was the birth of The SMP.

It brought him so much joy, which in turn made you happier.

The rest of the school year was a blur of zooms and test

Nick nearly killed you on multiple occasions when you made fun of the fact that he was learning computer science over the computer or made him help you figure out what the fuck zoom was since it was tangentially related to his major

“SAP HELP ME YOU SHOULD KNOW THIS ITS YOUR FUCKING MAJOR!!!”

“NO, IT’S- AHHHHHHHHH”

Yall got more than a handful of noise complaints shhhh

That summer was fill was spent trying to fill the time in weird ways

Note to self, he can’t cook (which you learned the hard way)

Yall spent so much time trying to cook and bake, then sweating off the calories working out with The Fitness Marshall lmao

As sucky as the situation was, that summer was so incredibly fun for the both of you, and truthfully the only arguments were about what music to blast

“Y/n I swear if I listen to Cosmicandy one more time I will drown you.”

“Well if I hear American Idiot one more time someone’s knee caps are getting harvested.”

(that argument was settled with Elton John.)

When school started up again that fall, something shifted

After a year of actual friendship, you guys were no longer just friends, and the tension was so thick it could be cut with a knife

You had watched every single one of his streams since day one, but within 2 seconds of his Love or Host, you felt the need to hurl for some peculiar reason

It was bizarre because there was no way you could ever like him, of course not.

Within the apartment, you guys suddenly got a lot more touchy, but only because it was getting cold with winter and all that jazz.

It wasn’t because yall were secretly in love, what is this, a romcom?

The number of times you guys woke up on the couch, definitely not cuddling was too many to count

You started sitting in his room while he streamed, definitely not watching him with heart eyes because of how excited he got

He always had a pot of coffee full and a 6-pack of monster in the fridge since he knew you ran on spite and caffeine, and definitely not so that he could spend more time with you in the early hours of the morning.

The laundry started getting all mixed around, resulting in just sharing any sweats, hoodies, or socks.

The same thing went for food.

No longer was anything labeled with a name, if it was in the fridge, it was fair game (unless there was a post-it because come on, yall weren’t monsters)

But no, y’all were just roommates, not dating, lets make that clear.

Feelings? We don’t know her.

This entire time, his friends have had to hear about you rip.

But they got front row seats to your relationship development

“OMG my roommate is the worst she ate all of the frozen strawberries”

“Y/n kidnapped Storm all day while she studied and I thought I lost the fucking cat asjvdk”

“I had to run down and talk to the landlord because we dropped a pot of pasta sauce all over the carpet and couldn’t get the damn stain out.”

“She is so nice in preparation for a family dinner zoom, she ran out to the local Filipino food place and pick stuff up.”

“Sorry I’m late I overslept and didn’t want to wake up Y/n.”

They weren’t stupid, and could clearly see how whipped he was.

Dream and Geroge teased him about it constantly.

“Woah, calm down Sap, you should probably tell her you love her before you propose.”

“Yeah Dream’s right, it’s kinda weird that you’re living together before ever dating.”

He always flushed and denied it with a shake of his head.

He wasn’t into you, are they crazy?

Quackity and Karl messed with him in more unorthodox ways

There are a solid number of clips where they are fake crying over how he’s cheating on them, and even more tweets to match

It only got worse when you met them accidentally.

He was chatting post-stream on a video channel with George, Dream, Karl, and Quackity, and just his luck, you came into his room.

Like of all the times you could walk in, it was the time he was with his five closest friends but I digress

“Yo I got some extra tips yesterday so I picked up some extra Red Bull if you want to do one of your weird all-nighter streams.”

“Y/n I’m on channel.”

“Oh shit sorry my b. Catch.”

All the guys heard was a thud and a groan from Sapnap as the six-pack hit him in the chest.

Dream was the one to recognize your name.

“WAIT IS THAT Y/N I WANT TO MEET THEM!”

You could hear Dream’s voice through his headphones

“Sap… who is that?”

“No one. I’ll be out in a sec to help with dinner.”

You could hear a British voice come through.

“Oh so we are no one now, huh.”

Another voice piped through.

“Common... ¿Qué intentas ocultar?”

You cut in.

“Your headset it shit my guy. I can hear everything. I’m down to talk to them.”

He let out a groan.

“Fine. But you’re gonna have to do the dishes tonight.”

“Deal. Now move.”

“What? No.”

“Fine bitch.”

You collapsed onto his lap, plucking the headphones off of him.

“Hello, Sapnap’s friends. I am Y/n. A pleasure to meet y’all. Can you hear me?”

You heard a series of laughs through the headset, and a voice came through.

“Yes, we can see you too. I’m Karl, it’s so nice to finally meet his girlfriend.”

A blush rose on both of your faces, and another voice came through.

“Yeah, we’ve heard lots about you. Plus we can’t see your face in that picture Sap sent us. I’m Quackity”

That remark stopped your embarrassment in its tracks.

“What the fuck? How do you guys know me? I’m not even his girlfriend? And what picture?”

Sapnap grabbed your arm to calm you down as another voice cut in, but his one you recognized as his friend Dream.

“Hey, it’s okay. He just talks about you a bit, and the picture I believe was of you holding like three cats with like a red bull can on your head.”

“Jesus fucking christ why do they have that photo??”

He looked guilty but chuckled.

“Because that photo is a damn masterpiece.”

Karl’s voice came back in with a giggled.

“Soooo, Y/n we’d love to hear about you. Specifically anything funny or embarrassing that you have learned by living with him.”

Sapnap let out a groan from behind you as you went off.

“WELL lemme tell y’all, he has no cooking knowledge, well I mean, now he does, but one time, about a year ago, I had I been keeping a pot of water boiling for about an hour, soft boiling eggs, cooing noodles, blanching bok choy, etc. but this fucking genius is like ‘oH tHe HaNdLe Is StIcKiNg OuT. LeMmE mOvE iT wItH mY bArE hAnD.’ Needless to say, he burnt the crap outta his hand and kept the bag of frozen blueberries on it for the entire night. It took me like a solid five seconds to actually help him because I was laughing.”

By the time you had finished that story, you had seen Nick roll his eyes like 5 five times while the rest of the guys were wheezing.

“Yeah, well remember the time you were trying to imitate Rapunzel after we had watched it over Zoom with my sister, and you swung the edge of the frying pan into our head and got a nasty bump on it? At least I moved quick enough to put some ice on it.”

“Ice? It was the damn leftover Slushy that I had been freezing.”

“True, but you got to drink it after, so it was a win-win situation.”

“Sap, I had a bump the size of a golfball coming off of my temple. There was no winning.”

“Fine, you’re just making me sound like such a shit roommate.”

“No that’s not true, you do all of the talking to the landlord, and you at least tried to muffle the noise when you stream.”

“I guess that’s true, but you do like 80% of the cleaning.”

“Yeah but only because you’re working. Plus in the past 6 months, you’ve made coffee every morning, AND made sure I was taking my meds.”

“Those things aren’t that hard and I do it to make sure you don’t die because I lo- care about you.”

“What?”

“What?”

You heard Dream’s wheeze laugh and remembered that you guys were still on call.

“Smooth.”

You both went red, and Sap moved his arm around you to leave the channel.

The next few moments were complete torture, the two of you just sitting in silence.

You were wondering if he meant what he was about to say and he was scared that you had heard it.

He was the one to break the silence. (mind you you’re still sitting on his lap lmao)

“I’m sorry about that.”

You weren’t sure how to respond. Should you ask him if he meant it? Because that wouldn’t be that bad. Or just pretend it never happened. Nah that’d be hella awkward. Or-

“I love you too.”

“You what?”

Wow, okay your brain is being a little bitch rn, but fuck it. Balls to the walls baby.

“I love you, and I have for a while now. I just want you to know.”

You finally looked him in the eye, and he was grinning like the Cheshire Cat.

“Thank god. I love you, and nearly fucking told you for the first time in front of my friends accidentally. Damn, I’m smooth.”

You laughed and he smiled wider.

“Can I kiss you?”

After a quick nod he swooped in and holy hell his lips felt great. His arm wound around your waist and your hands made their way to his jaw as he pulled you closer to him.

The only thing playing in your mind was “and they were roommates”

[omg-im-such-a-masochist]

🐰🎩NEW TRICKS🎩🐰

Prompt: Y/N decides to show Mr. Moxley some new tricks in order to certify him that he is still her number one

Word Count: Long

Pairings: Jon Moxley x Reader

Warnings: +18, oral sex (male receiving), angst, jealousy, cursing, praise kink

Tag: @jibbles26 , @bellalutionn

Notes: I’m a sucker for the power that blowjobs hold upon guys. Y’all know the drill loves,sorry for misspellings,english isn’t my first language (bla bla bla),check out my other stories if you’d like to(it would make your girl here very happy 😊) and if you’re comfortable with it,please let me know what you think? Some feedback is always welcomed and appreciated ❤️You can check out my other stories on my Masterlist and my newest story as a fixed post. Okay,now let’s get to the fun part,shall we? Hope you’ll enjoy 😉

“Hi doll, what you’re up to?” He smirks as he nibs my neck

“Just working. Why? Do you need something?” I ask as I remove my reading glasses

“I do, actually”

“What do you need babe?” I look up to his blue eyes that were filled with mischief

“You” He grinned

“Jon, I thought you needed something urgent” I chuckle

“I do!” He pulls me off my desk chair “I missed you so much” He cradled his face on the crook of my neck

“Jon, we’ve had sex six times yesterday and two times this morning, how can you physically still miss me?” I laugh “That’s like, 8 rounds in less than 24 hours babe! And you only got home yesterday”

“I can’t help it that you’re so fucking hot and looks so sexy all the time” He licks a trail from my neck to my lips

I look down to my current outfit that consisted in a comfortable pair of grey leggings, an oversized Korn t-shirt, Wilson’s crew socks, glasses, messy hair and no makeup

“I don’t think I look very sexy right now” I cackled

“Yes you do! You always do!” He pulls me closer to his crotch by my ass “C’mon Y/N, let’s do some fun nasty business, kitten” He slaps my ass quite vigorously

“Tempting, but I’ll have to decline it! Sorry big guy” I patted his chest

“Why?” He whined and stomped his feet like a little kid

“Because some of us got some serious work to do” I smiled fondly as I sit back in my desk chair

“But I wanna be with you! I need you and I want you now!” He pouted

“Jon, I promise you that once I finish this I’ll be all yours ok love?”

“No” He whines “Not later, right now!” He stomps his feet again

Yes, Jon Moxley can be quite the bad boy, but what a lot of people don’t know is that he’s also a fucking whining little baby! He gets an attitude over the dumbest reasons and sometimes this little scenario happens, where he thinks he can whine and pouts his way until he get what he wants. Sometimes it’s cute and charming to see such a big bearded man like him cause such a scene, but another times like right now it’s annoyingly frustrating, uncalled for and the last thing I need to get me even more stressed out.

“Jonathan, don’t start it! You’re not 4 years old! You’re a grown ass man in your 30’s, so behave as such” I turn to my computer and start to type my notes. After 10 minutes I can still feel his presence behind me, making me grow more nervous

“Jon, you’re not helping, my love” I said calmly

“I’m waiting. You said I would have you once you’re done so I’m waiting!” He bitterly said

“Won’t you rather wait in the couch instead? Meanwhile you can pick a movie for us to watch it later” I try to negotiate

“Meh, I’m perfect where I am right now, thanks for the concern” He huffed

*Oh great, what a fucking joy!* I thought

“This might take a while” I defeatedly said

“Don’t worry, I got time” Was his short answer

Fifteen minutes (and a stubborn Jon Moxley sitting on the floor) later I get a call from Peter, my coworker.

“Hey Peter what’s up?” I say holding my phone to my ear with my shoulder “What? Wait Peter, hold on I can’t hear you properly and I can’t stop typing”

“Well, put it on speaker then” Jon mumbled behind me and in my workaholic haze I did it as he told me, forgetting about one little small detail: Peter’s innocent (but also kind of annoying) flirting.

“Pete, can you repeat that again please?” I rapidly say while I type

“I asked when do you think you can send me the paperwork?” He chuckled

“Oh! Can you give me like....30 minutes?”

“I can give you whatever you want” He charmingly said

“Peter, shut up”

“What?” He cackled “It’s true you know, ask and you shall receive, my dear”

“I didn’t knew you were a Jesus fan” I mocked

“I’m your fan” I can hear the smile on his voice

“Whatever weirdo” I brush it off as I continue to type on the dashboard “Is that all you needed?”

“No, there’s one more thing that I forgot to ask you”

“Ok, shoot” I said

“When are you finally going to accept any of my nightcaps invitations?” Pure amusement filling up his voice

“Oh God send me to hell, fuck off Peter!” I jokingly said and hung up

I totally forgot the fact that Jon had heard that until his voice broke the silence

“So how long have you been seeing each other?” He rudely spats

“What? Seeing who?” I ask confused

He stood up from the floor, yanked me off the chair and trapped my body between his and the table.

“Your sweet boy Pete” he coldly smiles

I roll my eyes “Jon, are you really gonna take a guy like Peter seriously? He quotes Jesus to flirt! That’s nothing but pathetic and also slight disrespectful towards Jesus” I joke

“You think this is funny? What if you caught me flirting with a girl from work, how would that make you feel?”

“It depends if you’re gonna quote Jesus or not” I tease

“Y/N I’m fucking serious! Is this a joke to you? Our relationship is a joke to you? Am I a fucking joke to you?”

“My answer is no to all the above. Now if you ask me if I think that you’re overreacting then yes, I do”

“Overreacting? Really? What about all of the nightcaps invitations? Are you gonna tell me I’m overreacting about that too?” His voice starts to rise

“I don’t like your tone Jonathan” I angrily said

“And I don’t like you having an affair with your coworker!” He yelled

“Oh, so I’m having an affair now? Wow, I better accept those invitations then, if I’m going to hold the cheating girlfriend of the year award” I spat

“Are you having an affair with him?”

“How can you even ask that? You know me better than that Jonathan!” Now I’m yelling too, peachy just peachy!

“Well you didn’t answered my question though. Are you?”

“Of course not! What makes you think that?”

“You don’t wanna have sex with me, so where are you getting some? ‘Cause we both know you have quite the appetite for sex, I mean fuck, is hard even for me to keep up with you! You’re like a fucking machine!” He says

My eyes widened in disbelief “So just because I declined to have sex with you 30 minutes ago, because I have to work, I am suddenly a cheater? Or is it because I like to have sex more than the average women do that makes me a cheater? Wow Jonathan, I’ve never heard you say that when one of your male friends cheated. That says a lot”

“Says a lot about what?”

“Your sexist side. Or I don’t know, maybe it’s something else, maybe you are the one who’s cheating on me! So you’re mirroring your infidelity on me”

“Me? A sexist? Now that’s a joke” He laughs “We both know the things you’ve already done to me in the bedroom and trust me pumpkin, if I was a sexist I would never had let you go down that road, if you know what I mean” He measured me up and down “And even if I wanted to cheat on you, which is not the case, I’m pretty sure I wouldn’t physically be able to since you knock my ass down every single time we fuck”

“I don’t hear you complain! In fact if I remember correctly you were the one who got in here wanting to have sex in the first place” I huff annoyed

“And I still do kitten” He gets closer

“Don’t touch me, jerk”

“You know how much it turns me on when you get all mad like that, right?” He tried to grab my breasts but I slapped his hands away

“Stop, Jonathan”

“What?” He leans closer, pressing his hardening bulge against my lower belly “Am I not good enough for you anymore? Do you prefer your boy Pete instead?”

“Bullshit” I spat

“Then show me, kitten” He whispers “Show me I’m still good enough for you” He makes me grab a handful of his erection “Show me that you still want me, that I still turn you on”

I pulled him down towards me by his neck, kissing him roughly, biting his lower lip quite harshly

“Hmm” He growls “My kitten is feisty, I like that” He smirks “I love when you’re a bitch to me” He laughs devilishly “Whatcha gonna do, huh?”

I forcefully open the button of his jeans, pulling the fly down and yanking the pants along with his boxer briefs down.

Jon put his hands up, in a surrender position. I lick my palm and close my fist around his cock, pumping it up and down.

“Yes baby” He moaned “Take it! Take what’s yours”

I kneel down and without thinking twice, I swallow his length until it reaches the back of my throat

“Fuuuuck! Y/N, baby...so good, you suck my dick so fucking good kitten! I love it, I fucking love it!” He moans and I push him further down my throat, swallowing around him

“Oh my fuck” He bucks his hips forward in surprise “How can you be so good at this?” He whispers, holding my hair back, so he can watch me sucking him off

“You look so fucking gorgeous sucking my cock baby. Fuck, look at that! Look at how well you take everything in”

I look up at him, hearing him continuing to praise me

“I love when you look at me...so beautiful with your mouth full of cock, so greedy for more aren’t you, baby?”

I nod, lifting his member up so I can lick the bottom half of his shaft, making him moan loudly

“You’re so insanely good at giving head! A fucking pro” He panted “The best head I’ve ever gotten”

I lock my lips around the head, sucking it hard to make him feel the pressure I know he loves, while my hands pump his length with a tight grip

“Oh yes, baby” Jon screamed in pleasure “Oh my fucking- Stop, stop” He moans with his eyes hazy in ecstasy, mouth in an ‘O’ shape as he bites his knuckles to prevent any screaming.

“We both know you don’t want me to stop” I smile, licking from the bottom of the head to his slit

“You’re gonna pay for this” His voice shakily says

“I wouldn’t threaten me if I were you baby” I smirked “I have other tricks that I’ve never showed you before” I whisper, feeling his length throbbing on my hand

“Other tricks?” He faintly whispered

I let go of his member and lay down on the floor beckoning to him.

“Come here Jon, let me show it to you baby”

Please let me know your thoughts on this? Feedback is always appreciated 🥰😘

[turtle-steverogers]

Not Guilty- 2

murder mystery’s back! im having too much fun with this story guys

Link to chap 1 in case you need it

warnings: albert being a human disaster, abuse of the word ‘milk’

ship: ralbert, platonic spalbert

word count: 1680

editing: lmaoooo no

Chap 2

When Albert gets to the precinct the next morning, he’s wary to find a wrapped parcel on his desk that looks suspiciously like a sandwich.  He pokes at it, frowning when he sees a singular smiley face drawn on the underside in black sharpie.

 “Hey, uh, Spot?” He calls, looking up when he hears his partner’s chair roll out from his desk and subsequently poke his head around the low wooden wall that separates their cubicles.

“Yes, honeycakes?” Spot’s expression is the face of innocence and Albert’s stomach churns.

“Did you-” He stumbles, gesturing to the presumed sandwich, “Is this for me?”

“It’s on your desk, isn’t it?” Spot smiles, rolling back into his cubicle.

Albert sighs, taking off his messenger bag and jacket and sitting heavily in his desk chair.  He cautiously unwraps the white paper to find a loaded meatball sub sitting in the middle of a napkin.  There’s a sticky note placed delicately on the fluffy white bread and Albert plucks it up, squinting at the words:

Sorry you didn’t finish your sandwich xoxo Spottie

He laughs probably too loud and sticks the sticky note on his desktop, right next to the note from Jack that reads: ‘I’m sorry for stealing your pants, I had brains on mine’ after Jack had taken his extra pair of slacks from his locker when his got spoiled at a crime scene.

He takes a bite of the sandwich, pleased to find that he can still stomach his favorite Gianno’s special after yesterday’s events.  As he chews, careful not to get any tomato sauce on his shirt, he plucks a sticky note from his own pad and scrawls out: Thanks, Pop Spotcket.  Love u, dear xoxo and tosses it over to Spot.

A moment later, Spot snorts indignantly, “‘Pop Spotcket’? Really? Does anyone actually use those anymore?  The only person I know who has one is my niece and she’s eleven.”

Albert rolls his chair so he’s in Spot’s cubicle, sandwich still in hand, “I have one, asshole.  They’re useful.  Anyway, thanks for the sandwich.  How’s it looking at Gianno’s?”

Spot sighs wearily, placing a stack of papers down and turning from his computer to look at Albert, “Eh.  They’re closed today.  I stopped by this morning to pick up some evidence left at the crime scene and one of the waiters asked if I wanted anything and I remembered that you didn’t get to finish your lunch yesterday so…”

“Thanks, man,” Albert says, mouth full.  Spot wrinkles his nose and tells him not to speak with food in his mouth.  Albert rolls his eyes, “Anyway, evidence?  What’s new?”

“Nothing really,” Spot says, “Just Wiesel’s receipt from his last meal.  Wasn’t really much on it, but it gave us a sure timestamp that lines up with our original record, so at least that’s set.”

“Good,” Albert shoves the last bit of sandwich into his mouth, licking his fingers.

“Yeah.  Saw our boy there, though.”

Albert raises his eyebrows, “Higgins?”

“Mhm.”

“How’s he?”

Spot shrugs, “Didn’t talk to him.  Kid looked like shit.  Well, more shitty than yesterday if that’s somehow possible.  Kept sending cute little glares my way, fucking ray of sunshine, that one.”

“Christ,” Albert grimaces, “I’m convinced he’s a player in this debacle somehow.  I mean, he seemed genuinely surprised when he found out the vic was Wiesel, but too many strings lead to connections on his end.”

“Yeah,” Spot agrees, “I dunno, I say we dig a little into Wiesel’s other relations as well.  I feel like there’s a gap here somewhere.”

“Toxicology came back,” Albert says after a pause.

Spot looks at him, eyebrows raised, “And?”

“Sarin poison in the blood.  Stab wounds were post-mortem.  Someone wanted this shit to look messier than it is.”

“Interesting.  I wonder who’d go through the trouble of poisoning, then following up with a physical attack.  ‘Specially in a public place.  S’kinda risky.”

“That’s what I was thinking, but whoever it was, clearly knew what they were doing.”

“Clearly…”

XXX

Albert never understood why there was such a wide variety of milks in the world.  And why, in this moment, he can’t find any simple fucking 2%.  

He scans over the selection again, bypassing the almond and oat milks and skimming over the fritzy lactose free shit.  There’s strawberry milk and chocolate milk on display and even horrifyingly enough, mint milk, but no fucking 2%.  It’s not even like this fucking bodega is big enough to warrant having so many milks. 

He just wants some damn normal person milk!

“Excuse me, detective.” 

Albert doesn’t startle.  He doesn’t.  He’s a trained law enforcement officer and detective.  People like him don’t fucking startle.  But, he is on high, professional alert when he turns around to see Antonio Fucking Higgins standing behind him, eyebrows raised in what’s probably amusement and hands shoved in his pockets.

Albert makes a strangled noise, eyes working on their own accord as they trail down Higgins’ body.  He’s sweaty, looking like he just came from some sort of workout, and a pair of tight adidas running pants hug his legs in all the right places.  He’s in a tank top today, somehow doing his arms more justice than the grey shirt he’d been wearing yesterday.  A hat sits backwards on his head, doing little to tame the curls that are trying to sneak out of the stupid hole where the strap meets the fabric.  He looks hot and it’s unfair and Albert’s never been ashamed of his sexuality, but right now he’s wishing that he could reign in his gay ass a little bit because aside from the fact that Higgins is a bit of a prick, he’s also a suspect and that’s, like, number one in the Book of Nope for cops of any kind.

Higgins is still looking at him, but now there’s a small crease of concern between his eyebrows, “You alright, man?” He asks, “You look kinda like you’re having a heart attack.  Do you have any chest pain?  Your left arm feel numb at all?”

Albert shakes himself, morphing his expression into something he hopes looks less like Gay Panic, “Yeah, sorry, I-” He splutters a bit, then shuts his mouth with a click.  

Higgins scoffs, “I just need milk, man, you mind?”

Albert starts, hastily stepping out from where he was definitely blocking the milk selection and watching as Race grabs a carton of-- fucking 2%.  How did he find it so fast?  How did Albert not see it?  He’s supposed to be the one trained to look for details others don’t see!

Trying not to flush, Albert reaches out and grabs a carton as well and Higgins looks at him again, laughing, “You were standing here for a long time, dude, I thought you were gonna murder the milk for a second.”

“Couldn’t find the 2%.” Albert mumbles, blushing harder when Higgins laughs louder.

“Real good reconnaissance there, detective.”

When Higgins is laughing, his face changes into something a whole lot more pleasant.  Not that it was ever unpleasant (the dude’s got a jawline of a god), but some of the hardness in his eyes and shadows on his face go away and for just a second, he looks like the 25 year old he’s supposed to be.  It’s nice, Albert thinks, ignoring the way alarm bells are going off in his head.

“Shut up, Higgins, I’m tired.  Some of us have to read about murders all day, so excuse me if my milk finding skills aren’t the most refined.”

Higgins’ face softens and the smile in his eyes turns into something else that Albert doesn’t want to dissect, “Race.”

“What?”

“Higgins is my dad, not me.  And I don’t like the name Antonio very much, so if we’re gonna be talking more, be it over murder or milk, call me Race.”

“Race?”

Higgins--Race--winks, “That’s a story for level five amici.”

“Oh, okay.”

They pause for a moment and even though Albert’s not drunk, his inhibitions seem to flutter away from him against his will as he blurts out, “Drinks sometime? Would- uh- would you wanna get drinks sometime?”

And fuck-fuck- SHIT- what are you doing Dasilva? What the fuck?

Race considers him for a moment, “Not that I wouldn’t hit that,” he nods to Albert’s body and Albert flushes.  Damnit with the flushing!  He’s 26, not some flouncy high schooler, “But I don’t think that’s a good idea, detective.”

Albert nods, “No, yeah, honestly I don’t know why I asked- uh-”

“Relax, don’t have an aneurysm, it’s okay.  I just don’t think it’s a good idea right now.”

“No no, you’re right.  Absolutely.”

There’s another pause, then Race smiles apologetically, “I gotta go get the rest of my groceries.  Take care.”

Albert cringes internally at how fucking painfully awkward this exchange has been, “You too,” he says, watching Race retreat to the wine aisle.  He takes another moment to gather himself, then goes to the checkout line.

XXX

Albert turns up the volume on his TV, pleased with the quiet solitude of his apartment for the night.  He doesn’t love living alone, but it’s been a long couple days and he’s been looking forward to a night to himself since he’d woken up that morning.  Just him, some thai, and the Animal Planet playing reruns of ‘It’s Me or the Dog’ all night.  Fucking self care.

He’s just yelling at some dog owner on the TV for feeding his pug 24 eggs a day and watching as Victoria Stilwell chews out the greasy fucker when his phone rings on the coffee table in front of him. 

Groaning, Albert mutes the show and chugs down a few sips of beer, before picking up the phone and answering with an annoyed, “Someone better be dying.”

There’s silence on the other end and Albert pulls the phone away from his ear to check the caller ID.  It’s Spot.  Shit, someone might actually be dying.”

“Spot?  Everything okay?”

Spot sounds sheepish when he says, “Well no one’s dying, technically…”

“But…”

“There was another murder.”

“Shit.”

-

Race went straight home after the bodega, right? RIGHT!??!? stay tuned ;)

thanks saph for ‘pop spotcket’

thanks for reading, chiefs

hmu to be added to my tag

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[nightowlfandom]

Kim Namjoon- Mixing Business With Pleasure (Office AU) Part 1

REQUEST FROM PROMPT LIST- RIGHT HERE

Leggo!

If this sounds familiar it probably is, I’m not in a creative space today since my request box is emptyyyyy. A part of this was inspired by a scene in the Webtoon let’s play where Sam stands up to Charles and it’s still to this day my most favorite part of that Webtoon. Like yes girl, tell him! Gosh I loved her aah!

Also I know that nobody probably cares but would anyone like me to post a playlist of my inspiration/writing list. I kind of want you all to know what goes through my brain when I’m typing. I’m probably gonna do it anyways so just like yah

...

You were grateful your aunt had managed to get you a job here, she just didn’t tell you what a complete bully the boss was. You liked to stay out of his way other than do what you were supposed to, bring him papers and what not. 

That didn’t stop your constant run-ins though. He was pretty cold. You were surprised that his heart wasn’t made of ice either. He shamelessly used his charm to get out of getting his ass kicked though and it baffled you. 

“Get it done.” Namjoon slammed the folder down onto the desk of the girl next to you. “Or you’re fired.” 

“Y-yes sir!” the girl looked like she was on the verge of a freakout as she began typing. “You.” he pointed to you. “When you of the phone with Mr. Jung, bring the report to my office.”

“Yes sir.” you said, holding back the urge to roll your eyes. 

You had a history with Namjoon, that dated all the way back to high school. You didn’t like going back in the past but it was no mystery why he was the way he was. It had nothing to do with you, but since you were the best friend of the girl he was dating with (who dumped him), it got you some...points. That’s another story though.

...

“Mr. Ki-” 

“So you got it done?” Namjoon took the documents from you.

“Yes sir.” you replied. “He said that he will definitely be working with you in the future, I just had to convince him...by that I mean beg.” you mumbled.

“Is that a new perfume?” he suddenly asked. “You smell different.”

“Uh...yeah.” you trailed off. “Is that an issue? Is the smell too-”

“No...It’s nice. It fits you, you should wear it more often.” he looked down at the papers. Your silence made him speak further. “It was a compliment Y/N.” 

“Oh..thank you sir.” you said. “I’ll get back to work.” you smiled, bowing a little. You exited the office, about to go back to your desk when you were blocked.

Office mean girl, no stupid wannabe korean drama lifestyle if fit without them. Don’t forget the useless, brainless followers to match.

“It looks like my computer is malfunctioning, so I hope you don’t mind me asking you do send out some emails for me.” she said. Whatever the hell her name was.

“Um, I have my own work to do and doing your work doesn’t seem like a fun time.”

“Well either fix my computer or do my work, there’s no in between.” she looked bored.

“How about a fist between the eyes.” you suddenly found yourself saying.

“Ugh! How violent!”

“You have been a pain in my ass since the day I met you, you know that” you asked. “Why Mr.Kim hired you I will never understand since you don’t have the capacity to-.”

“Are you jealous of her Y/N.” her friend said cut you off, smirking. “You didn’t get the promotion you wanted and now your all mad.”

“Hm...Y/N can’t help it that she’s mediocre and oops!-”

You were suddenly greeted by the feeling of something hot, thankfully not burning liquid. you sniffed your now brown stained shirt. Coffee. 

“What’s going on here!?” You heard Mr. Kim storm in upon hearing the round of “OOOOOHHSS” from onlookers

Namjoon was surprised to say the least to see you standing there, soaking wet. 

“Oh No...I’m sorry! It was an accident.” she laughed, not knowing Namjoon was watching the two of you. You could see him out the corner of your eye....and y’know what...fuck it. Namoon saw the coffee dripping down from your hair to your clothes....fuck...it

Crack!

You wanted to say you weren’t aware of what you were doing in that moment but you knew full and well what you were doing and why. You had enough of her constant belittlement and sabotage of your work. You didn’t care if you had gotten fired that day, in fact that would only add to the victory. It just felt good to feel her nose crack under the force of your knuckles.

“Oh my god! She punched me! My nose!!!” she screeched, pointed at you.

“YOU WANT ME TO DO IT AGAIN!” You threatened getting closer. She could only scramble to back away. No one came to her aid or anything, they were too busy looking at you. “I HAVE HAD IT WITH YOU. I’VE HAD IT WITH THIS JOB,  AND I AM DONE!”

She looked up and saw Namjoon and instantly pointed at you. “She’s crazy!! She punched me for no reason! Fire her!!!” she cried. “She started it!” she lied.

“Y/N...a word please?” he said lowly, a glare etched on his face. Begrudgingly, you followed, crossing your arms. You looked around, your fist clenched. “If none of you have any work to do, I’ll be happy to give you a stack of paperwork.” he barked. You walked into Namjoon’s office, only to hear him slam the door shut. “Now before I lash out and fire you, I’m assuming you’re aware of the company policy of no fighting?”

“Fire me??!?! You’re seriously talking about firing me?!?!” you laughed in an over-exaggerated tone, but really you were fighting back new emotions welling up.

“Are you crying?” he asked, looking taken aback. “Y/N L/N Are you really crying right now?!?!”

“...I’m covered...head to toe...in hot coffee and the first time I defend myself, you’re threatening to fire me!. What the hell do you think I’m doing?!!? Have you any idea what goes on outside your office walls!!!”

“I know that I saw you react to playground bullying by breaking a presteigious worker’s nose.” he said as if what he was was factual.

“Y-you think that idiot is presteigious, she’s been getting everyone to do her job for her since she was even hired!” your office voice was gone and the real Y/N was starting to break free. “You’d have to be real fucking stupid to think she’s anything other than useless.” 

Before you could say another word, Namjoon began unbuttoning his shirt. “Take off your shirt.” he sighed. 

“I’m sorry?” your eyes widened. 

“Your shirt is covered in coffee and you are not returning to work looking. So take off your shirt and put this one on.” he said again, holding out the shirt he had just taken off his body. “I keep a spare in my briefcase.”

. “I’m going to have a word with Ms.Na.” he exited the room.

Ah so what was her name...

...

The next day you had walked into the building, still very upset from yesterday. Namjoon had called you into his office with a proposition...

“Apologize!?!?!” You were taken aback at his words. You had leaned against the door with your arms crossed. “You’re kidding, right?”

“Yes. Ms.L/N” Namejoon warned. “Please don’t raise your voice at me. I only saw what I saw and if what i saw was you punch Ms. Na in the nose, then I have to set punishments accordingly.”

“Oh so forget the fact that she just poured hot coffee on my head an tried to degrade me-”

“You know what Ms.L/N, you leave me no choice-”

“ NO! Do You know what Mr.Kim. Instead of being standoffish and rude to people why don’t you try being nice for once in your miserable life. Has it ever occured to you that maybe being kind and actually smiling for one would actually make you a few friends. Maybe you want me to apologize to her because you and her are one and the same. You aren’t afraid to be mean and hateful towards people if it means you get what you want! People aren’t scared of you’re because you’re the boss, they’re scared of you because all you do is bully and scare people into think they’re gonna lose their jobs if they don’t do what you want. Well you know what? I am fed up! Fire me if you want but I refuse to stand by and let you or anyone bully me anymore! I refuse to apologize to that little brat and if you think for one second I will then you have lose your mind,” you spat, exhaling sharply. You had said everything in one breath so you had no idea what you said. “...S-Sir.” you added on politely. 

Oh no, now that came out of nowhere, oh man...oh man oh man oh man. 

Mr.Kim’s face was blank or at least blank in the sense that he wasn’t glaring into your soul. Suddenly, he smirked. He began laughing a little too. He reached out his hand, smirking a little. He untucked your shirt that you hadn’t bothered to fix and straightened out your collar.

“Hm...Spoken like a true future boss. So You finally stand up to me.” he chuckled. “I knew I liked you Y/N” he bit his lip. He laughed a little straightened up your necklace. “Maybe I should have given you that promotion.” he sighed.

“Then why didn’t you?” you asked, raising an eyebrow.

“I was testing you.” his fingertips moved up to move your hair out of your face. “And I think you just may have passed. However, you can’t be a boss without looking the part.” 

“So...does this mean I get to keep my job?”

“Yes Y/N.....” he chuckled. “You can keep your job.”

“Mr. Ki-” the door opened and since you were standing in front of the door. 

“Ack!” you stumbled forward, falling right into Namjoon’s arms. Your noses bumped against one another, his lips brushing yours momentarily.

“Oh, it looks like you two are busy sooo-” the door closed.

You yanked yourself back, standing up straight. “I am so sorry sir! I didn’t mean to- I fell...I’m just....Bye now!” You squeaked, bolting out of the room.

[canaryatlaw]

Alright, so today was good, went mostly according to plan. I had my alarm set for noon but woke up at 9:40 and couldn't fall back asleep again so I shrugged and got out of bed. Everyone had just left for church so it was just my sister and I, and she wanted to get some breakfast so we went to the bagel store where we both got bacon egg and cheese sandwiches on a roll which were highly satisfying. We made a quick stop at target because I needed to buy toothpaste. I finally ran out of the prescription stuff I have, and the refill expired so I guess I have to go to the damn dentist....but in the mean time I needed toothpaste. The fun part here is thanks to my acid reflux/mouth issues I can't do anything mint, which if you hadn't noticed is the entirety of the adult toothpaste selection. So I got Colgate kids watermelon. Lovely, I know. My mom's car was running low on gas so we stopped at the gas station before going home. It was fucking cold standing there and pumping gas, the snow was mostly off the roads but there was definitely some problem places, and there were apparently a shit ton of car accidents on the island yesterday. So as we were going home I was giving my sister tips on how to drive in snow, even though she probably won't start driving till next winter, it's always valuable knowledge to have, lol. So we got home and set to repack my suitcase with actually folding clothing and so it would all fit in there, cuz it wasn't currently. My bag was only at 43 pounds on the way here, so I wasn't too worried about going over 50 with Christmas presents and such (stay tuned for more on that). After that I just hung out for a while until my parents came home from church, then I said my goodbyes and we left for the airport. Of course my parents wanted to park and accompany me inside, which ended up being a pain the ass because they overcomplicate EVERYTHING and I really know what I'm doing when it comes to flying at this point because I've done it many, many times, many more than they have. And of course having them there and like, talking to the ticket lady for me makes me feel like a child, so that was annoying too. And oh, surprise. Your bag is 15 pounds overweight! Great. I would love to know where I got 22 pounds of Christmas presents and clothes, but apparently that's a thing. So the lady says we can get a bag from her for $25 and stick some stuff in it to avoid the larger overweight bag charge. So then I'm standing there unpacking my bag and putting stuff into this new one and then I really felt like a child because I couldn't even pack my damn bag right and I needed my parents to help me. Lovely. But it was over soon enough, and I wasn't really pissed, just annoyed. So we said goodbye and I headed through security and to the gate. Like I posted earlier, I downloaded a few fics onto my computer to read during the flight. Soon we were boarding, and I decided to take the middle seat next to the cute guy in front of me, normally I like window seats but the lady in the aisle seat was already standing up so it was just convenient that way. We didn't end up talking, but it's okay he wasn't really that cute, lol. So we end up in the air and I start the shorter or the two (very long) fics, which clocked in at 44 pages, and occupied me for the flight to Baltimore, which isn't very far. It was a Nyssara fic about Nyssa spending Christmas in star city with Sara and her dad after Laurel died and it was just so incredibly sweet and adorable and Nyssa is learning all these American Christmas traditions and she's so excited about all of it it's just the cutest thing ever. It's not finished yet so it has a lot of unresolved plot stuff, but I like it a lot so far. I actually took notes on my phone at the parts I loved so I could remember to comment on them later. I hope I didn't spook the author, who I don't think I've ever interacted with, with my rather enthusiastic comment. So we landed and I got to the next gate and waited for a while, finishing up that fic and then starting the next. It's like 49,000 words and 118 pages, and I subscribed to the author (she's on here somewhere but I can't recall her url at the moment) sometime before she wrote the last two chapters so the email notifications have been hanging out in my inbox for a while now, so I figured I should get around to reading it. It's captain canary of course, set after Len's death ("death") for Sara but time wise in 2013, picking up right after Mick leaves the bar after telling Snart he's a hero to him. Sara shows up and convinces him to make a deal with him, that she'd help him on 3 heists free of charge in exchange for him breaking her into a very secure house that has something that belongs to her in it. He's of course very curious about her at first and can't really figure her out, and he tried to renege on the deal in the middle of the first heist, but instead of running like he told her to she stayed and fought off the guards so he could escape, even getting shot in the process. So now he's really like ??? No idea what's going on. Then we get into the plot from the flash 2x03 when Lewis shows up and puts a bomb in his daughters neck because she's a fucking psychopath, but now he has Sara with him, and that's about as far as I got, 43 pages in. Not bad. The flight was fine, everything standard and we landed in Chi pretty soon. Got my two (😑) checked bags from the baggage claim and head over to the uber pick up spot to wait for mine to come. He got there pretty quickly, and we were off. We talked most of the way, got into a good conversation about like, trying to always be decent to people and not blowing up at some poor sap not in control of the situation that you're unleashing all your anger at, and what exactly is that gonna help anyway?? It was good. When we were fairly close I mentioned I work in the child abuse and neglect law, so we started talking about the system (which is a fairly common occurrence after I tell people that fact) and the flaws that it has, and how they could be remedied, and how difficult implementing that remedies could be. Overall it was a pretty good ride and I enjoyed the conversation, and of course he told me good luck on everything which was nice. Then came the task of carrying my fucking suitcase up the stairs to my apartment, which was fucking awful and soooo difficult, and of course when it comes to common sense like "carry your bags up one at a time" I'm a fucking moron and that didn't occur to me until I had them all up there (so good at academics, but such an idiot when it comes to common sense). But finally I made it up there, at which point I basically collapsed on the couch because I was so dead from what I just did. I did get some dinner though and decided to watch last week's episode of Conviction that I missed. I have to say, I'm sorry to see the show go. It had a very bumpy beginning, but it seems they've really found their niche now and the last few episodes have really been exceptional. It had so much potential to be something really great, but it just couldn't get off the ground quick enough to avoid the chopping block, which makes me sad. But anyway, the "ripped from the headlines" case was about schools protecting a star student athlete accused of rape, and then someone kills the bastard and one of his victims gets convicted of his murder. During the investigation they uncover that he did the same thing to 3 other girls after the first one, all of whom were too scared to come forward after seeing how the school was so awful to the first girl. It ends up being the rape crisis counselor that did it, which was an interesting choice, but she gets out so that's a happy ending at least. Their character interactions are getting better, or at least I don't want to stab the characters every five minutes, so hey that's progress. After it ended I left the tv on the news for a while and hung out on my computer for a while. I got my textbooks and looked at my reading for tomorrow night's class- 77 pages. Lol, good to be back. After a while I started getting ready for bed, and at some point my roommate came home, so I talked with her for a little bit, updated each other on our lives over break and such. I told her about the incident with the school, and she was furious and so glad we won that one. I'm gonna write out a full post on it when I get a chance, excluding personal information of course, but just laying out the facts and how fucking ridiculous the school was being. But thinking back on it, I'm really proud of myself for how that went down. Yeah, it was my dad's position that allowed us to get the chance to argue our case, but it was my words he took in there, my words that changed their minds. And like, this is the same exact thing I've been protesting with this school for so long, but this is the first time I was actually listened to and actually got justice for. And like...I really can't tell you how much that means to me. It's everything. That's why I'm here, that's why I'm in law school, to find justice for the wronged, and of course since this case involved religion as well it really for me inflamed because I love my faith so much and it makes me really fucking furious when assholes like this go around trying to hijack it for their own self-righteous needs and claim that's what their faith is. No. I'm sorry, but do not follow the same God you do. The God I know and love so so much would balk at these actions being done in his name. And it just breaks my heart to know these people are going to be responsible for turning people off to Christianity entirely, and have them think God is this judgmental angry person, like his followers, and they will never see the incredible love He has for all of us and everything that comes along with that. A quote that's stuck with me a lot lately is "you are the only bible some people will ever read." Like that's so powerful to me. When I slap on the title "Christian" my actions will be associated with my faith, and I can either cause people to be drawn closer to it or to be pushed away. Like if that's not incredibly convicting, I don't know what is. I'm ranting now though, and it's getting late so I should stop. I have to wake up around noon (lol) tomorrow so I'll have time to do my 77 pages of reading before class, haha. Fun life, but it's the life I chose and I wouldn't trade it for anything. Well, until tomorrow. Goodnight babes. Sleep tight.

[scottmapess]

Bitcoin DOUBLE Trap Analysis?! April 2020 Price Prediction & News Analysis

VIDEO TRANSCRIPT

It’s a trap. My son, my son and my son. Let me let me get me to my son. Welcome back to Crown Crypt, OK? That’s. We’ll get started for the Saturday morning over here from a actually a very bright and sunny Helsinki, Finland. It’s almost six degrees Celsius here. So for those of you who speak Fahrenheit where just above freezing, which is good and I didn’t get some sun of which I will not be getting any myself because I’m gonna be on Twitter all day after this as I have as I plan to. To carry on the tradition that we’ve been doing for the last like three, four weeks now. So if you want to hang on our side, if you want to hang out a little bit later, I’ll be on probably right after this. Right after I post a stream. Also, I apologize for the very dark hue on this video right now. I don’t know what’s going on, but OBSS has been darkening, whatever the output is, more and more over the last like month or so. I have no idea why this is happening. It’s rather annoying. I wish it was like true to color because it’s obviously a few shades, more than a few shades lighter than what you’re seeing right now. But of course, me being a visual person, I like to harp on those sorts things. Maybe you care, maybe you don’t care. But hopefully everything is visible here. And if anyone you happen to know a quick fix for this. If this is a known issue, because for whatever reasons happened on this computer. But on my other one, which is rather strange anyways, I would appreciate some help with that. If you do happen to know, if not all good you can do is deal with it as it stands right now and I’ll figure it figured out over time. Also, what else do I want to say? Yeah. With the discord. I figure I should make another announcement about it. But the disco community, if you haven’t already found out, or if you just kind of came back and haven’t watched any TV is from the last few days or this past week, you probably noticed a bunch changes with discord. What’s happened is we require now a verification by this verification bot, which essentially promptly with a message the first time that you log into the server. So that means if you are already a part of the server before this past week, then you will actually need to leave the server and rejoin the server if you want to have those those that that access restored back to the general community. It’s very simple to do. It’s a little bit annoying, little bit of an inconvenience, but it does make for a better community. And I’m actually really enjoying kind of the more intimate feel right now as it’s actually helped a little bit lessen the load on my inbox, which means that I get to hang out more in the community, which is what I enjoy most. Not fucking answering the same goten question in DMD all fucking day anyways. On top of that, what I should say all GICs side is if you are in the program, if you have if you have the team program, the options program or even the jewel, you don’t need to do any of that. You already have access and and you won’t need to make any change with that. Please not leave unless you actually want to leave. Of course, you know, we’re not here to handcuff you, but it’ll just create more work for both yourself and myself. And we don’t even do that. But if you own part of the general community, yes, you will be prompted with that private message. If you do leave the server and then come back to the server again, there is a an invite lincoln. description of the video or on Crown dot net, whichever one you want to take. And and then and then just follow the rules in that private message or site. Not the rules, but the directions and that private message to basically verify yourself with like a quick capture, some like that and and then all get. So other than that what else do I want to say. Crouching application front of a very face. Found it aptc crown attorney dot net. It’s free. And now our developer is actually he’s recovering. He’s going to be released from quarantine, I believe, either tonight or tomorrow. He actually even joined in on the twitch stream last night. It seemed to be really good spirits and really looking forward to the next update for this, which is what’s gonna bring out the open interest trout, which couldn’t come fucking sooner. It’s so funny how the delay happened right at like the most critical moment because this would have been perfect to actually show the interplay between open interest price action volume and volatility, of which we’ll just have to wait a little bit longer. But it should be relatively soon right after he gets ready if he gets well and his wife’s already covered. So that’s really good as well and we’re very much happy for that. Now, it’s it’s because he’s creating amazing things for us for free, but or for the community for free. But but also, while that’s a person I like. So fair enough. Anyways, anyways, looking at this right here, we do see that open interest is more or less steady from yesterday to today. We haven’t seen any major breaks the upside or to the downside, which still lets us know that the big break out of this formation has yet to come. Meaning that in open iron, an open mind is the right is the right call in this as we are still a part of some greater hole formation. And that’s what I’m gonna be doing today. A little bit different because mostly the analysis from message to today’s can be very similar. However, I’m just gonna redo my charts here from fresh scratch and see if we see anything different, anything new and to go on from there. So there’s gonna be a little bit of a shorter video. I do think and and I but I do want to keep that in the back of my mind. The open interest still kind of still kind of within range, suggesting that we are still a part of some greater formation here. And that’s further going to be verified by metrics anyways. Looking at all the other all the other top dashboard metrics. More or less steady. We really haven’t seen too much change in these for like the last couple weeks, actually. Fear and Greed Index was awesome in between like a 10 reading. 20 Reed We are right at Rio right now to an 18, I still think that this is the one thing that makes me reconsider my inherent bearishness on this, as that would be a damn good indication that we are kind of climbing the wall worry as bitcoin is to next off the lows and the market’s incredibly fearful still. But does that supersede price action? Fuck no, it does not. So let’s go to Price Action Mountain over here and start off with actually the four hour. Now, do you want to start off with this right here? Just very simple. Bitcoin could have a chance to undo unfuck the death cross and go back in the Golden Cross land on the 4 hour, which I do believe would at the very least give us a test back up to about 70, 350, 70, 400 ish region. And that’s where things get interesting once again from the higher term time frames. Do I think that they weren’t going to break above that, you know, right now? No, actually, I don’t think so. Again, I I actually do still lean a little bit more to the downside on this. I think that this is I think that this ends up being a trap, but my opinion is not relevant. You should not give a fuck about my opinion, my opinions wrong all the time. He thought wrong yesterday when I was when I was our side two days ago when I was bearish. And we had this nice little pump up over here. Now, for full disclosure, I’m not short right now. I’m completely covered and I’m just waiting for the next piece of edge. But but at the end of day, I do not trade my opinion on trade. Technical analysis and technical nous right now is shaping up for a little bit more of a test. The upside here as the Golden Cross is being hinted at and will inevitably happen. The longer that big remains, both 69 50 pivot and and if and if we do initiate that, I will at the very least look for a test back up here to the top side of this prior range, which could now plot in with a nice little Bluebox territory. Got a 73, 50 to 70, 300 ish regions where I have it now and we’ll put a nice little blue box in there is going to look Apsley massive for our. But realistically, this is only $50 range. So so we can actually even while we’re on here in the lower term timeframes, take this one step further and put a nice horizontal lot, a current resistance, which seems to be holding holding Bitcoin back for the time being. In fact, we can actually mark this off as a little bit of a liquid zone as the Wix and bodies do seem to match up pretty damn well and just shove it in right there. And if you trading the very, very, very, very low time frames, which I think is absolute death and destruction on especially on a fucking weekend, for God’s sakes, that’s what I’ll be using, although I would certainly not use that at all because I do not trade on the weekends and I don’t care to trade on the weekends. Doesn’t mean that you can’t have great trade opportunities on the weekends. But I’ve found that over time my edge as a technical and technical analyst, my edge is seems to be stronger during the weeks trading period. Whenever you know, as long as the are kind of trading alongside anyways to the downside, a little bit more easy as that 200x mentioned average on the four hours still offers up the lovely, the lovely trampy trap behavior. So if we do want to reference the sort of opening statement of this video of which the opening statements are usually just for fun and whatnot, but there is a pretty important one right here. If Bitcoin does break back down below the chin ADX Benjamin average. This will be a this will be a trap and this will get in this. This is very much under question right now. And again, this is very low time frame stuff right here. But this is very much on a question right now because this is a weekend and I am very skeptical of any sort of moves that I do see on a weekend as this. As it stands right now, we are still still in a downturn on the 4:00 hour. It’s looking like the can have a chance to actually reverse this trend, though, especially if we know especially we take out on a closing basis 31 sites, 31 30, which we’ve gotten pretty damn close to already closed net last. That last local high somewhere right around 50, 100. Even so, it will very likely have a chance. And if it is going to happen, it probably does actually happen today or tomorrow. That being Saturday or Sunday, depending upon your part of the world. And then it will initiate the aggressive sorry, the Golden Cross right over here. And at the very least, a touch back up here to 7:03, Sony to 7/3 50ish region. That’s where the higher term time frames can change around. If I do see a break above Sony, three fifty and a four hour closure above there, especially if it’s like, you know, a higher time frame, like a 12 hour or daily, although plane, the plane a lower term time frames right now, maybe a little bit more relevant than I would look for. Extension actually much higher. Much, much higher. In fact, all the way to the tippy, tippy top from this last little auto block area right here from the higher time frame perspective, in a range between about seventy seven fifty and seventy nine 50ish region could be collapse and make it a little bit shallower. So it’s a little bit less, less massive actually. Yes we can. Because what I’d actually like to do is if we really do get that leap up, it’s really this liquid zone right here that I think is actually more more important because that’s where your distribution is gonna come from, most likely if it does turn into distribution anyways. So I would be looking at that as a range between about. Yeah. Seventy nine and 80, 50, so a hundred all range. I think that’s a little bit more reasonable than a $20 range. So see as a big one does calls on new highs, especially on a higher type from like a twelve hour ordeal. I do think that we will very likely work our way up here. But remember, according to the according to our opening metrics like the open interest rate here, we are still seeing what we would expect if Bitcoin was caught in a greater formation on the whole macro scale. Because what I really want to show, which I can’t right now, is an open interest chart, which would have shown you that open interest hit the rock bottom that we’ve seen. And typically the rock bottom for, you know, four major moves down around about 500 million open interest at around March 13th down here in the. Lower 4000 to our region. And ever since then, it’s just been also about a 200 sorry, about 150000 or sorry, 150 million dollar range from here to where we are right now. And when usually we do see the moves, the upside actually open is typically coming down. When we see the moves coming to the downside, we typically see open interest going up, which is actually indicative of redistribution, which I do believe we have a good case for as well. So while I am presenting a little bit more of a bullish case right here, I want to first say at the outset, this is a weekend. I do not trust this. I think that this is like the perfect time for a trap. And and I do think and I do have my reservations that Bitcoin will close above sunny 350 ish region right here. If it does, you know. Fair enough. I’m happy to. My my my opinion obviously proven wrong again. This is why I don’t trade it. But but but I would be looking much higher as we just kind of looked at, you know, another 700 hour move perhaps in the cards, which is very much tradable, especially at a seven thousand or price point, cause that’s a 10 percent move. And that’s fucking amazing home by itself. But as it stands right now, what I would be looking at again is with critical importance on the 200X. Benjamin, have it right here because there’s you know, we’re obviously shopping around right now. Trend technically is still down as it is right now, but very it is going to have a chance to actually reverse itself. It has a damn good. It has damn good setup right here, to be fair. We do see momentum. Positives are floating, but for our stocks technically still upright here, they are getting a little bit more mature. But I do think that that’s going to at least give it a try. We’re pregnant at the very least, get another way to the upside. And then the question is, does it turn into rejection or not? I don’t have any real opinion on that, especially on a weekend. I just have an opinion on what it would look like if we get a wake up and then closed back down below, let’s call it seven thousand especially or or especially 69, 50. That would be a damn good indication that we are gonna be testing the bottom side, our side, the down side of the range. By the same token, if we if we see if we see a closure above Saudi 320 350, an open interest shoots up above 700 million. Again, that would be a damn good indication that this is that this is getting ready to have a little bit of boola enjoyment to the upside. Anyway, it’s three hours soap’s headed down right now and we do see that there quite literally nosediving. So I think that that’s a little bit more on the bear side to our stocks are up right now hourly are going to be floundering around, most likely an up. So the the general consensus among the lower term time frames that it actually is up right now. So I do think that at the very least, we’re gonna to get a test up here. And this is flagging down. This is constructive. This was a weekday. I’d say that this is bullish as fuck. But because it is a weekend, I’m very skeptical looking at a stock vaulted percentile on our hourly. We are we’re very, very likely to have a move today. You know, very likely to have a move to not just a short term timeframe range, but probably the medium time frame range, which is basically up here towards that twenty three hundred dollar number. And to the downside, that’s not this guy right here at 69 50, that’s actually a little bit lower, probably somewhere down around here, around 60, 70, 50 ish region to sixty seven hundred even is what I’d be looking toward. So I’ll put another blue box in right there. Still kind of the same range that we’ve been looking at yesterday. But this is just this is just looking at liquid zones and order blocks right now. We can now combine this with an analysis of the greater formation. But before we get into that, again, with recalling that the open interest has been essentially suggesting that we’ve been in one major massive formation this whole way from March 13 to where we are right now. That’s further confirmed by the volume signature, which, as you can see, has been that nice tailing off from left hand, right hand side as. As that does suggest that we aren’t when massive consolidation, some like this with a resolution point or an apex coming in early May. So that means we’re very likely to get a resolution probably within the next probably within the next week. And I do think less than that. I think I said earlier this week, probably around somewhere, somewhere between this the middle of this current week, that we just kind of finish here and then also like the Monday, Tuesday of this coming week. And I do still think that that actually does kind of align with that, say about, you know, 75 percent fall. We’ll still call it about April 21st. It looks like that’s three days away. So I’d be Monday, Tuesday ish region, depending upon which which part of the wall that you’re in. So, you know, this this read right here now tells us that it’s very likely that we should be looking at this as one massive pattern formation. Now, does anything fit in the way that we’ve been looking at it? Well, I think actually, yes, although we’ll need to go to not beat Mexico because there’s you know, we have an outlier price action right here. Or do we? Well, let’s actually let’s actually order the daily first. And let me let me let me chart this off. First and foremost. So for USAn, again, you know, tailing off from left hand, right hand side, also tailing off on the stock, 42 percent on a daily, which suggest that we’re going to spend a lot more time in this stuff in this region, actually. But the 12 hour, which should get a pretty damn good move is getting well. Now, as is kind of kind of in that same trajectory, actually, let’s see when we’re the apex come in around middle of May rather than early May and probably has a resolution here. Twenty fifth to twenty seventh of April is usually when they become extremely likely to break. So still within the range of next week. So both you know, both metrics suggesting somewhere in, you know, in the range of like early next week. Till late next week. This is why I’d like to see the open interest, because I’m sure that we’d be able to kind of like cut it to the middle there as well as we’re using, you know, vault volumes can be a little more direct volatility can be more of a derivative, but both very much, very much important. And now it’s actually look for a potential pattern going on right here. So let’s see if we are if we are going to be on a bit Mexico, how this operate. Well, we do see some like this. The problem is, is that while you can kind of plot this out right here, which would suggest that, you know, we’re probably in some sort of like major, massive rising channel, which is a redistribution formation. It’s not going to look the same on the other majors. And I do think that it’s important to get consensus on this market. Saarland Right. So I should’ve gone to a daily. OK. Apologies hold. I need to redo this. That was that was not proper. This one now just looks all kinds of weird, all kinds of wonkiness. Perhaps even this area works a little bit better. Of which maybe we just tested already. But again, this this is kind of the odd man out. This is the alpha. This is why we really have to look at all different ones. Now, we already know G. DAX kind of plotted out from yesterday. We do see some sort of a rising wedge going on right here. Vimes Signature does fit on it. And we actually would have technically already broken it. But we’ve read what? But we’ve re-approach the broken support and now testing as resistance once, twice, maybe been working on a third time, which, by the way, would be coming in right here at our next topside blue box on the top side of this current formation at about 70, 300 ish region in this in this range between 73, 73 and 7:03 50ish region. So it would just be considered a retest of that. Now, do you have a competing one going on right here? I think that that’s actually also relevant to we’ll talk about that, but that’s only relevant to the lower term timeframes. But I wanted to pull up a fresh chart if I can. Let’s see and see if we can recreate this in a more obvious way. Well, actually, yeah, we do have one here. However, could we chart it equally the same as something like this? I think so, yes. Which would still say that we’re within the context of the greater rising channel. And I do trust channels a lot more than wedges, of which the one that we’re looking at probably was a wedge. So what you know, what’s the right answer here? Technically, both. Actually, technically both, because they do fit. And it would suggest that we’re slowly but surely kind of tipping this one over as long as we are below that last broken trend line, which I had charted more like a wedge formation like this and that we’re just kind of retesting right now, as you can kind of see, it’s kind of like hard to fit it right now, which is not a good sign. So maybe it’s not the one to be doing. But I think the channel fits a lot more obviously, and does fit the narrative of the descending volume and does fit the narrative of the descending historic vaulted percentile and does fit the narrative of what you would see on the open interest if we could actually try to back out because it was down around about 500 million right here, popped up to about 700 million PSI. But you know, also to between about five million, 7.2 million on all these moves, downside moves, which seem to be accumulating open interest and upside moves seem to be lessening open interest. And we did see the same thing yesterday as well when bitcoin did or started two days ago or a day and a half ago, I guess now where Bitcoin did move its way to the upside. Let me just make sure that recording I am according to my phone’s working. That’s great. Fuck. Can you hold a thought? Maybe crown you fucking moron. But but my point is, is that, you know, on that last move, the upside, we did see openings just go from I think a little bit above 700 million. I think 710 million down to where we are right now, 650 million. So that’s suggesting that shortz’ closing is running the price actually the upside. So it’s it’s still shorts and control as far as I’m concerned. And with the overall great information still in a redistribution pattern, I am skeptical on this price action, as I have been saying. So. So, you know, on this on this fresh chart right here, I think it’s I think it’s just more easily seen that we are going from level to level on a daily something like this to the upside, something like this to the downside. And until we break one of these, there’s not really like a another medium or even long term trend to really be made as there’s no real resolution below sixty six hundred. Yes, we do have resolution. And I would be looking for a move back down to at the very least fifty eight fifty nine hundred and that’s you know that’s almost a thousand or move at a six thousand dollar price point. I mean that’s what more it’s certainly more than a 10 percent move and almost a fifteen percent move. Pretty damn good. Again these are I just want to show that the edges on these trades are worth waiting for. To the upside, as I said as well above this region right here. I do, you know. You know, we could even stay within the context of this rising channel gun for the two accidentally damage up here. And that’s 79, 30. Remember, that’s pretty much it within the confines of this blue box. So we have the upside right here. And I’d still be kind of testing the topside resistance on this baby right here. So I just want to show that, you know, longer term, I am skeptical on Bitcoin, like actually just fucking greengold on its way to the to the moon from this region, even with the having all that good stuff in order, you know, could that come into play? Yeah, absolutely. But I think that there’s just more tangible things on the board right now that I as a trader would trust in more than me, you know, events that everyone’s fucking known about since the eternity since the dawn of eternity. So because, you know, the general kin’s are the general knowledge is that. If it’s public information and you’ve already known about it and you’ve been making decisions based upon it, then it’s very much reasonable to think or you have to defensively think if you’re like a money manager managing big funds that other people are doing the same thing. It’s fucking free information. So it’s probably probably priced in, especially with regards to the fact that we have features now too, which is essentially what allows those miners to kind of make decisions well, quite late in the future. So they get to make decisions, you know, for like last year calling with this year’s knowing that they that they’re gonna have the having, you know, relatively within, you know, some somewhere within that day. Anyways, I’m getting way off topic right now. Jesus Christ, man. Let’s go see what is closed at us. Seems close. A little bit more of a more as a rejection, a little bit more TOPY ish to me, 1725. So keep that in mind, because going in to Sunday, I do believe that we’re prall going to be held around this region. Now that again, that doesn’t really give us any real buys on this price action as the way that I look at this right here is that I’m not. While we do have the death crossing, while the death cross moving averages are getting much divergence, waking each other. I don’t play this bearish as longs for as long as are above the 21 expansion on average, which right now we obviously are. And that will not be taken out to the downside as long as we are above about sixty nine eighty five, which is essentially where the twin index mentioned average will be on spot. And I think that this is a easier look on price action as well, because if we do take out the low side of this, it’s going to look like a D-O-G total plus plus fall due to the downside plus below a major moving average. And I’d imagine that going to see much more cities turn back down around with it. We do see yeah. We’re gonna see Stokes carry on to the downside daily. RSI probably do the same thing as well. Still looks overall bearish to me, so I would say that I’d be a damn good insight, but that means that at least for myself, I’ll have to wait until Sunday at some are 8 p.m. Eastern time or so. It’s actually Sunday at 5:00 p.m. Eastern hour, Central Standard Time. In order for these babies to open back up and potentially give me a source of edge for this. So again, putting all the puzzle piece together and going back to spot price action right here. Let me actually go back to our Bit Mexican chart. Well, let’s actually go look at the let’s let’s let’s let’s actually look at the measure move of this as a rising channel. If this is going to operate is right, that channel will actually go back to a fresh chart here. I’m just curious. Again, this videos can be a little bit in the short aside. I think overall this one going to show potentially a break. You know, if we were to break down, if we were to break down a measure, move all the way down to the. It’s hard to know because, you know, you don’t, you know, really take it until we actually break down. But proverbially speaking, is assuming that it would come maybe like early next week if it does come to the downside outlook for a move down to about 50 500 ish region of fifty six hundred. That does make sense with the 200X Benjamin average and turn it simple moving average or so and more so the churn, it’s simple actually at this point is a unit expansion we have is getting way up there. Turn it simple as all the way down around actually 56 it looks like right now. So it’s got a little bit of work to do. What’s up, Alex? Good to meet you, man. And welcome to the cave. And also, I wanted to see how Samis closed the weekly. The other weekly on SGMD looks a lot more like a hang mandella right there as well, which is more inherently bearish if you are just going off of dildo formations, which I actually don’t trust that much in bitcoin land. Weekly stuff is going to certainly be sorry. Are they going to suddenly be down? Let’s go look at this. The reverse stock indicator says they will cross. They will cross the upside if we do close anywhere above 60, 350. So they should close. They should cross up next week. By the same token, we do have a rejection on the weekly RSI. And I do think that that’s probably going to be held there. So, you know, is this going to be a one off to the upside here? I think probably, yeah. Looking at the reverse RSI EMC cross yet just shows 73 50. So that areas can be a big area going forward here as long as are below there. I am not bullish for the medium or long term. It’s only short term ranges. And that’s something I can say with well, at least for myself, for my trading behaviors with, you know, ads like kind of like an anchor of my trading behaviors right now. And of course, major moving averages on the weekly as well are in a much in a very bearish posturing. You know, even if we do pop back up and test around seventy eight to seventy nine hundred ish region, as we’re kind of showing earlier, I would look at that area as another area of massive fuckery as well. So patients here is gonna be a little bit of a virtue as it as we can. Trading is rather annoying to deal with. Typically speaking, at least for myself, you know me, I’m sure some people out there love it and you know more power to you. I hope that you’re making as much money as fucking possible. And I sincerely mean that. I really sincerely mean that because well, why the fuck not, man? Go do good. It’s like I fucking hate it when people say like money is bad. No. If you if you’re going to be good with money, then it’s just going to accentuate your goodness. That’s all. Just do some good things with it. Jesus Christ. Is that such a hard concept to understand? But for fuck’s sake, man, for fuck’s sake. It’s like an amplifier. You know, it’s it’s it’s it’s like it’s like it’s like beer. It’s like it’s like getting drunk. You know, if you’re an asshole, when you get drunk, you turn into a bigger asshole. If you’re that nice guy and or just even doesn’t even need to be a nice guy, but a good guy. And he gets drunk. He’s just, you know, happy and given hugs people. Rogers does that even more. You know, it’s just like that amount. It’s an amplifier as far as I’m concerned. OK. Another stupid rant that I’m getting off of. I’m getting off a chart on here. Sorry about that. I apologize. You don’t want to hear about that. You wanna hear more about price action. And I think now is a good time to go check in on traditional markets. We spoke about this yesterday. That tradition marks where the best case for bitcoin kind of going to the upside here. And let’s see, they closed yesterday. Now, we did come down. We spoke about this during the twitch stream yesterday, that we are likely to come down actually exactly to this level. Eighty seven thirty ish region did bounce from there. And I do think that we are going to open up next week, probably retest in the high. But is the momentum waning on this on this right now? I think so, yes. I think I think that we actually are going be putting in a local top here for the short and medium term and possibly come back down into this region somewhere right around the eighty four is low. Eighty four, as I’d say, maybe, maybe maybe upper eighty threes sometime in next week. So I do think that again to kind of like synthesize those thoughts down, look at us looking especially at Nasdaq futures which I think are running this market, you know, and again, just going from level to level. This is just beautiful right here. Fucking beautiful. Gotta love it, man. Gotta fucking love it. The simplicity of this. Sometimes we did say that we were likely to hit around eighty nine hundred. We got up to eighty nine fifty. That’s fine. And then I said likely a short term and medium term reversal. I think that’s what we’re gonna get coming into next week, although next week should open up around around yesterday Friday’s high. Looking at many futures probably be about the same thing actually still within the context of this rising wedge. Sounds familiar now, doesn’t it? And also a very precarious place as well, because not only are we in a redistribution pattern, but volume signature is is is confirming that. And we do see that we’re kind of at the prep’s the precipice of a major change in behavior here, too, because the longer that it stays above the 55, the screen moving average, the you know, the more and more likely it will unfuck this death cross. But if the death cross does want to play out, this would be a damn good place to reverse from. And if we do break down below, I mean, even just even us, Friday’s low would probably do it for me. Confirming that as reversal, I look for a measured move to be initiated. Somewhere down around here, somewhere down it down back into like the twenty five twenty five to twenty six hundred range which is going to correlate with like 255 to 60 ish region on spot price action. And we’ll come back and reassess after that. By the same token, to the upside, if this thing makes another leg of the upside, we’re gonna see three ton great to see like three or five A310 is going to and everyone’s gonna get very, very happy and very, very bullish. And that would be another good place for, you know, for a massive meltdown. The only thing that really concerns me about tradition marks right now is that everyone, everyone, their mother thinks that they’re good being the genius, thinking like, fuck, I watched that movie called what was it called? The Big Short. And you know what? I know exactly what’s going on. It’s gonna be right now we’re gonna be going to zero this. Things sucked and maybe it is. But you’re not alone in thinking that you’re not the fucking only person thinking that that is the majority of the market right now. So that, you know, that’s the other thing making me think that ad. Do we have another move back, if you like? Three 310 first? Probably, yeah. It’s certainly not other question, but. But, hey, if we take out Friday is low, then yeah, I will look for for for that house of cards crumble it a bit more. But for right now, I’d say caution against the wind. Let’s go check out the other market leaders. Mr. Beautiful. And this is like wine, Mr. β, all actually breaking the long term downtrend, it looks like if you are gonna be using this as a long term downtrend. Some like that. Bitcoin nowhere near actually breaking that same level. We can go back on over here and look at it. In fact, what you know, this level even correlates directly with holy shit that Bluebox of destiny, perhaps perhaps destiny. You are looking at as such. Oh, also that and with the top three reasons. So this baby as well. So strange, right. And I’m sure I’m sure people are going to be like. But Crown. Don’t you know this one right here too? Yes, I know about this one right here, too. It’s all good. I don’t really trust diagonals that much. Yea, I know. At least not not enough to trade, but it is funded to an analysis size on. But you know, going back down to lower timeframes here, I didn’t get to talk about this. This is relevant as well. We do see. To quote my fucking hate for a diagnose, we do actually see that there is something resembling a falling channel here which typically does break out to the upside. If we did make a measured move on this, it is a little bit funny that we would actually see the measure move correlate. Actually nowhere near what the fuck that’s that’s cause is getting the bottom of the of the order block right here. So I’m doing a more aggressive read on this. Looking at the liquid zone, if I were looking at the order block it would say about 70 100, which would be the bottom side of this. It’s all within range that write them. It depends where we break out from, too. So, you know, if you know, if we were to break out from this region right here. It’d be obviously higher anyways. Enough of that. Jesus fucking Christ, man. To me, it’s pretty damn simple for even even like a four hour delay closure about sunny 130. Very, very likely we will toss up this region of the cup on a bux higher. That’s where things actually can change for the macro. But I don’t think. I don’t think that that’s what’s happening to be actually directly clear and deliberately clear maybe. But again, I know my opinions not necessary for that to the downside. A little to the downside. Actually, a lot more easy, but live more diabolical. Any any four hour delay, closure, blow 64 50. And I do believe that this that this will play out as a whole. As you know, as an efficacious death cross, we will very likely come down to this region right here, 6, 7, 50 tests their pride, pride to another anemic bounce. But I do believe that that bounce would be sold into. And then we will likely come down into the mid 5 thousands. So things are kind of shifting around here. And I think it’s also still relevant to talk about this. It’s not going to be so much of a shorter video now, is it, to be so much of a shorter video? Anyways, um, um. Looking at the two day, we can just quickly go through this as well. You know, the two day duel to Death Cross? I do. Again, I do think that day to day till Death Cross is still very much relevant. And I do think that it could still very much play out, as we do see a very similar signature to here to what we seen in the past in both in both instances. Now, the third one kind of formally in front of our very eyes. So this could be a trend if it does play out. But this one about over here, green and purple, fit five and 200. Crossman downside. Slowly but surely, it’s round now below the 21, although it does have the 55 along the way. And that is a that is a hallmark of the last pass crosses. And then boom, massive move. The downside, 50 percent. You already know from 6000 basically to 3000 times before that was running over here in 2014/2015 at this price point. Price action very far away from front from the cross itself, which I think is kind of a it’s kind of similar. What we’re doing right now to Bitcoin gets another test back up to the 55, although after that gets quickly rejected. And once it’s back down below the 21, that’s when the inevitable downside does play out. So what I’m looking at right here is, is same thing as a daily eye. You know, I look at this as overall bearish. As long as you’re below the death cross moving averages, which are where they’re conveniently right at that fucking over $7000 a number, right around seventeen hundred if you wanna get super exact. But. But I don’t play to the downside as long as we are above the 20 1 expense to an average on especially a closing basis. And we will be closing this 2 day doled out now. Not tonight, tomorrow night, tomorrow night at 8:00 p.m. Eastern time. So it’s gonna be a long day, I suppose. But if we do get another test up to the 55, as we have in the past couple instances, I’d say that that would be pretty, pretty stock standard. And it also would be in line with even the short term ranges as that was really such change things around. So I feel like I’ve missed quite a few things on this video. But again, I feel like this past week’s videos have been more or less on topic for that anyways. And realistically, I’m looking at this price session right here, especially on a weekend when it’s kind of flagging now is probably going to, you know, like likely to be trampy. Just higher higher degree, higher degree of crappiness behavior on a weekend. We can go quickly, check out the probability ranges right over here and can actually look at this a little bit differently as well. If we won’t actually do some ring analysis, which should we can we can do future bars. Yeah. If I do it on. Future buys, it should actually do better with the with the with the slopes of these babies, and right now they’re both squeezing on each other. The downsides are side the upside, the site, the ones to the bottom side, which are squeezing the upside, the slope on. That’s a little bit more a little bit more impressive, a little bit more a little bit more direct. Not too crazy. Maybe it’s just my eyes kind of making that up, Knight. I do think I do things with a bit more study them. So technically speaking, it would be a little bit more angled to the upside. However, what I really want to be looking at is the probabilities of the range that we’re looking at. As of the current moment in time and by the way, current, if I use current, it actually does push down a little bit more I think is going to turn into a little bit of a fake out. So Sunny, 350 is still the relevant air to the upside. I would say seventy six to seven hundred. The downs in a more conservative estimate, more aggressive. Seventy six. Seven fifty. And what do we see? Actually, the range is for both relatively small in comparison limit. Just make sure you do have my settings right. I believe and above target probability. Seventeen and a half percent on today’s Daily Dose closure. So it you know, it certainly is possible. It’s bet it’s better than one standard deviation, however. Say it’s what is within one’s own deviation. It looks like just right there. I think that’s a half one on the grey. So that so so as you put them in perspective, that actually is rather high, 14 and a quarter percent to the downside. Again, still within the realm of possibility. But realistically, we have more that y what’s our inside probability is going to be. Well, the difference between those, which is about 68 and a quarter, that we’re just gonna be Ossana between 60, 70, 350 to the upside and sixty seven 50 to the downside, which I think is most likely here, especially on a weekend. I think that we’re progam to test sides of the ranges on the short term. But do we get an actual break on the short term. Well a break of the week’s trend. In this case would be what would be continuation of the downside, not to the upside as this is still a four hour downtrend. As it stands, can very easily revert itself here, but as it stands, it technically is that way. So I think this 50th priority way too long. Porges for that I thought is give me a shorter video. Apparently not. Do you like how the 4 hour turn and simples gonna start to align with the Bluebox A piece in Destiny? To the downside right here. If we do drone on a little bit longer, that should be happening by tomorrow. I do believe unless things just Apsley shatter before end of day today, which I think is a little bit unlikely. I think that we’re perogative to wait until tomorrow for like, you know, a nice move and then we should resolve the range either. Sorry, and I’m not talking about the short term range. Which guy and this guy, but rather the medium term range. This guy over here, sunny, 350 and 6, 750. The downside, I think that we’re gonna be resolving that early this next week. Very, very likely. Quickly, we can look at like the troll and your bands to see if we can come up with any sort of other biases trolling you. What? Actually actually showing some more inherent bullishness here. I did have a fake up to the downside right here, and that usually isn’t that usually is pretty damn good. And what what, you know, wears the tops out of the trolley bands on a daily S300 fucking obviously will quickly look at the MacDonalds as well and see what that one’s showing. See, what do you what do you got for me today. Could it be. Could it be that we’re just gonna be putting another set of bearish divergence here on them on the histogram. Maybe. But that’s that’s fucking crystal ball bullshit which I need to call my shell self out on on a really. And that also imply that we’re gonna get higher has some price action too. So could we move up here and put another set of devant there. Yeah, could be. So there you go. I’m not really getting too much else off the other than that the the only way that I really get some off this is if is if we come down below the zero, read again and cross the downside which we’re not doing right now and that’s not going to happen. Very unlikely to happen today. In fact, so you know what I’d like to see on the Mac? He is like an obvious signal. I’d like to see like a medium term timeframe range broken. So 6 700 in this region. In this case would be great. Plus that crossing back down below the zero read. That would be damn good for some some inherent downside back down below 6000 into like the mid 5000 probably to the upside, a little bit more difficult. I actually think that the shorter term time from the reps and in that a little bit more accurately, a little bit more easily. Right here. So other than that, really not very much has changed from USA to today. Bitcoin’s flagging now and improving its bullish chances. I think a little bit more, but I’d keep an eye on this because when these when these guys start to kiss, if if there’s gonna be a trap, I’d look for it somewhere right around there. Anyways, that’s gonna do it for right now. I’m not gonna be trading today. I will be on Twitch later, say for a long, long, long, long time. In fact, I’m debating just not eating and just playing all day. So so we can maybe see some moves together. Other than that, I want to wish you well once again. Take care and add until next time.

source https://www.cryptosharks.net/bitcoin-double-trap-analysis-april-2020/ source https://cryptosharks1.blogspot.com/2020/04/bitcoin-double-trap-analysis-april-2020.html

[heatherrdavis1]

Bitcoin DOUBLE Trap Analysis?! April 2020 Price Prediction & News Analysis

VIDEO TRANSCRIPT

It’s a trap. My son, my son and my son. Let me let me get me to my son. Welcome back to Crown Crypt, OK? That’s. We’ll get started for the Saturday morning over here from a actually a very bright and sunny Helsinki, Finland. It’s almost six degrees Celsius here. So for those of you who speak Fahrenheit where just above freezing, which is good and I didn’t get some sun of which I will not be getting any myself because I’m gonna be on Twitter all day after this as I have as I plan to. To carry on the tradition that we’ve been doing for the last like three, four weeks now. So if you want to hang on our side, if you want to hang out a little bit later, I’ll be on probably right after this. Right after I post a stream. Also, I apologize for the very dark hue on this video right now. I don’t know what’s going on, but OBSS has been darkening, whatever the output is, more and more over the last like month or so. I have no idea why this is happening. It’s rather annoying. I wish it was like true to color because it’s obviously a few shades, more than a few shades lighter than what you’re seeing right now. But of course, me being a visual person, I like to harp on those sorts things. Maybe you care, maybe you don’t care. But hopefully everything is visible here. And if anyone you happen to know a quick fix for this. If this is a known issue, because for whatever reasons happened on this computer. But on my other one, which is rather strange anyways, I would appreciate some help with that. If you do happen to know, if not all good you can do is deal with it as it stands right now and I’ll figure it figured out over time. Also, what else do I want to say? Yeah. With the discord. I figure I should make another announcement about it. But the disco community, if you haven’t already found out, or if you just kind of came back and haven’t watched any TV is from the last few days or this past week, you probably noticed a bunch changes with discord. What’s happened is we require now a verification by this verification bot, which essentially promptly with a message the first time that you log into the server. So that means if you are already a part of the server before this past week, then you will actually need to leave the server and rejoin the server if you want to have those those that that access restored back to the general community. It’s very simple to do. It’s a little bit annoying, little bit of an inconvenience, but it does make for a better community. And I’m actually really enjoying kind of the more intimate feel right now as it’s actually helped a little bit lessen the load on my inbox, which means that I get to hang out more in the community, which is what I enjoy most. Not fucking answering the same goten question in DMD all fucking day anyways. On top of that, what I should say all GICs side is if you are in the program, if you have if you have the team program, the options program or even the jewel, you don’t need to do any of that. You already have access and and you won’t need to make any change with that. Please not leave unless you actually want to leave. Of course, you know, we’re not here to handcuff you, but it’ll just create more work for both yourself and myself. And we don’t even do that. But if you own part of the general community, yes, you will be prompted with that private message. If you do leave the server and then come back to the server again, there is a an invite lincoln. description of the video or on Crown dot net, whichever one you want to take. And and then and then just follow the rules in that private message or site. Not the rules, but the directions and that private message to basically verify yourself with like a quick capture, some like that and and then all get. So other than that what else do I want to say. Crouching application front of a very face. Found it aptc crown attorney dot net. It’s free. And now our developer is actually he’s recovering. He’s going to be released from quarantine, I believe, either tonight or tomorrow. He actually even joined in on the twitch stream last night. It seemed to be really good spirits and really looking forward to the next update for this, which is what’s gonna bring out the open interest trout, which couldn’t come fucking sooner. It’s so funny how the delay happened right at like the most critical moment because this would have been perfect to actually show the interplay between open interest price action volume and volatility, of which we’ll just have to wait a little bit longer. But it should be relatively soon right after he gets ready if he gets well and his wife’s already covered. So that’s really good as well and we’re very much happy for that. Now, it’s it’s because he’s creating amazing things for us for free, but or for the community for free. But but also, while that’s a person I like. So fair enough. Anyways, anyways, looking at this right here, we do see that open interest is more or less steady from yesterday to today. We haven’t seen any major breaks the upside or to the downside, which still lets us know that the big break out of this formation has yet to come. Meaning that in open iron, an open mind is the right is the right call in this as we are still a part of some greater hole formation. And that’s what I’m gonna be doing today. A little bit different because mostly the analysis from message to today’s can be very similar. However, I’m just gonna redo my charts here from fresh scratch and see if we see anything different, anything new and to go on from there. So there’s gonna be a little bit of a shorter video. I do think and and I but I do want to keep that in the back of my mind. The open interest still kind of still kind of within range, suggesting that we are still a part of some greater formation here. And that’s further going to be verified by metrics anyways. Looking at all the other all the other top dashboard metrics. More or less steady. We really haven’t seen too much change in these for like the last couple weeks, actually. Fear and Greed Index was awesome in between like a 10 reading. 20 Reed We are right at Rio right now to an 18, I still think that this is the one thing that makes me reconsider my inherent bearishness on this, as that would be a damn good indication that we are kind of climbing the wall worry as bitcoin is to next off the lows and the market’s incredibly fearful still. But does that supersede price action? Fuck no, it does not. So let’s go to Price Action Mountain over here and start off with actually the four hour. Now, do you want to start off with this right here? Just very simple. Bitcoin could have a chance to undo unfuck the death cross and go back in the Golden Cross land on the 4 hour, which I do believe would at the very least give us a test back up to about 70, 350, 70, 400 ish region. And that’s where things get interesting once again from the higher term time frames. Do I think that they weren’t going to break above that, you know, right now? No, actually, I don’t think so. Again, I I actually do still lean a little bit more to the downside on this. I think that this is I think that this ends up being a trap, but my opinion is not relevant. You should not give a fuck about my opinion, my opinions wrong all the time. He thought wrong yesterday when I was when I was our side two days ago when I was bearish. And we had this nice little pump up over here. Now, for full disclosure, I’m not short right now. I’m completely covered and I’m just waiting for the next piece of edge. But but at the end of day, I do not trade my opinion on trade. Technical analysis and technical nous right now is shaping up for a little bit more of a test. The upside here as the Golden Cross is being hinted at and will inevitably happen. The longer that big remains, both 69 50 pivot and and if and if we do initiate that, I will at the very least look for a test back up here to the top side of this prior range, which could now plot in with a nice little Bluebox territory. Got a 73, 50 to 70, 300 ish regions where I have it now and we’ll put a nice little blue box in there is going to look Apsley massive for our. But realistically, this is only $50 range. So so we can actually even while we’re on here in the lower term timeframes, take this one step further and put a nice horizontal lot, a current resistance, which seems to be holding holding Bitcoin back for the time being. In fact, we can actually mark this off as a little bit of a liquid zone as the Wix and bodies do seem to match up pretty damn well and just shove it in right there. And if you trading the very, very, very, very low time frames, which I think is absolute death and destruction on especially on a fucking weekend, for God’s sakes, that’s what I’ll be using, although I would certainly not use that at all because I do not trade on the weekends and I don’t care to trade on the weekends. Doesn’t mean that you can’t have great trade opportunities on the weekends. But I’ve found that over time my edge as a technical and technical analyst, my edge is seems to be stronger during the weeks trading period. Whenever you know, as long as the are kind of trading alongside anyways to the downside, a little bit more easy as that 200x mentioned average on the four hours still offers up the lovely, the lovely trampy trap behavior. So if we do want to reference the sort of opening statement of this video of which the opening statements are usually just for fun and whatnot, but there is a pretty important one right here. If Bitcoin does break back down below the chin ADX Benjamin average. This will be a this will be a trap and this will get in this. This is very much under question right now. And again, this is very low time frame stuff right here. But this is very much on a question right now because this is a weekend and I am very skeptical of any sort of moves that I do see on a weekend as this. As it stands right now, we are still still in a downturn on the 4:00 hour. It’s looking like the can have a chance to actually reverse this trend, though, especially if we know especially we take out on a closing basis 31 sites, 31 30, which we’ve gotten pretty damn close to already closed net last. That last local high somewhere right around 50, 100. Even so, it will very likely have a chance. And if it is going to happen, it probably does actually happen today or tomorrow. That being Saturday or Sunday, depending upon your part of the world. And then it will initiate the aggressive sorry, the Golden Cross right over here. And at the very least, a touch back up here to 7:03, Sony to 7/3 50ish region. That’s where the higher term time frames can change around. If I do see a break above Sony, three fifty and a four hour closure above there, especially if it’s like, you know, a higher time frame, like a 12 hour or daily, although plane, the plane a lower term time frames right now, maybe a little bit more relevant than I would look for. Extension actually much higher. Much, much higher. In fact, all the way to the tippy, tippy top from this last little auto block area right here from the higher time frame perspective, in a range between about seventy seven fifty and seventy nine 50ish region could be collapse and make it a little bit shallower. So it’s a little bit less, less massive actually. Yes we can. Because what I’d actually like to do is if we really do get that leap up, it’s really this liquid zone right here that I think is actually more more important because that’s where your distribution is gonna come from, most likely if it does turn into distribution anyways. So I would be looking at that as a range between about. Yeah. Seventy nine and 80, 50, so a hundred all range. I think that’s a little bit more reasonable than a $20 range. So see as a big one does calls on new highs, especially on a higher type from like a twelve hour ordeal. I do think that we will very likely work our way up here. But remember, according to the according to our opening metrics like the open interest rate here, we are still seeing what we would expect if Bitcoin was caught in a greater formation on the whole macro scale. Because what I really want to show, which I can’t right now, is an open interest chart, which would have shown you that open interest hit the rock bottom that we’ve seen. And typically the rock bottom for, you know, four major moves down around about 500 million open interest at around March 13th down here in the. Lower 4000 to our region. And ever since then, it’s just been also about a 200 sorry, about 150000 or sorry, 150 million dollar range from here to where we are right now. And when usually we do see the moves, the upside actually open is typically coming down. When we see the moves coming to the downside, we typically see open interest going up, which is actually indicative of redistribution, which I do believe we have a good case for as well. So while I am presenting a little bit more of a bullish case right here, I want to first say at the outset, this is a weekend. I do not trust this. I think that this is like the perfect time for a trap. And and I do think and I do have my reservations that Bitcoin will close above sunny 350 ish region right here. If it does, you know. Fair enough. I’m happy to. My my my opinion obviously proven wrong again. This is why I don’t trade it. But but but I would be looking much higher as we just kind of looked at, you know, another 700 hour move perhaps in the cards, which is very much tradable, especially at a seven thousand or price point, cause that’s a 10 percent move. And that’s fucking amazing home by itself. But as it stands right now, what I would be looking at again is with critical importance on the 200X. Benjamin, have it right here because there’s you know, we’re obviously shopping around right now. Trend technically is still down as it is right now, but very it is going to have a chance to actually reverse itself. It has a damn good. It has damn good setup right here, to be fair. We do see momentum. Positives are floating, but for our stocks technically still upright here, they are getting a little bit more mature. But I do think that that’s going to at least give it a try. We’re pregnant at the very least, get another way to the upside. And then the question is, does it turn into rejection or not? I don’t have any real opinion on that, especially on a weekend. I just have an opinion on what it would look like if we get a wake up and then closed back down below, let’s call it seven thousand especially or or especially 69, 50. That would be a damn good indication that we are gonna be testing the bottom side, our side, the down side of the range. By the same token, if we if we see if we see a closure above Saudi 320 350, an open interest shoots up above 700 million. Again, that would be a damn good indication that this is that this is getting ready to have a little bit of boola enjoyment to the upside. Anyway, it’s three hours soap’s headed down right now and we do see that there quite literally nosediving. So I think that that’s a little bit more on the bear side to our stocks are up right now hourly are going to be floundering around, most likely an up. So the the general consensus among the lower term time frames that it actually is up right now. So I do think that at the very least, we’re gonna to get a test up here. And this is flagging down. This is constructive. This was a weekday. I’d say that this is bullish as fuck. But because it is a weekend, I’m very skeptical looking at a stock vaulted percentile on our hourly. We are we’re very, very likely to have a move today. You know, very likely to have a move to not just a short term timeframe range, but probably the medium time frame range, which is basically up here towards that twenty three hundred dollar number. And to the downside, that’s not this guy right here at 69 50, that’s actually a little bit lower, probably somewhere down around here, around 60, 70, 50 ish region to sixty seven hundred even is what I’d be looking toward. So I’ll put another blue box in right there. Still kind of the same range that we’ve been looking at yesterday. But this is just this is just looking at liquid zones and order blocks right now. We can now combine this with an analysis of the greater formation. But before we get into that, again, with recalling that the open interest has been essentially suggesting that we’ve been in one major massive formation this whole way from March 13 to where we are right now. That’s further confirmed by the volume signature, which, as you can see, has been that nice tailing off from left hand, right hand side as. As that does suggest that we aren’t when massive consolidation, some like this with a resolution point or an apex coming in early May. So that means we’re very likely to get a resolution probably within the next probably within the next week. And I do think less than that. I think I said earlier this week, probably around somewhere, somewhere between this the middle of this current week, that we just kind of finish here and then also like the Monday, Tuesday of this coming week. And I do still think that that actually does kind of align with that, say about, you know, 75 percent fall. We’ll still call it about April 21st. It looks like that’s three days away. So I’d be Monday, Tuesday ish region, depending upon which which part of the wall that you’re in. So, you know, this this read right here now tells us that it’s very likely that we should be looking at this as one massive pattern formation. Now, does anything fit in the way that we’ve been looking at it? Well, I think actually, yes, although we’ll need to go to not beat Mexico because there’s you know, we have an outlier price action right here. Or do we? Well, let’s actually let’s actually order the daily first. And let me let me let me chart this off. First and foremost. So for USAn, again, you know, tailing off from left hand, right hand side, also tailing off on the stock, 42 percent on a daily, which suggest that we’re going to spend a lot more time in this stuff in this region, actually. But the 12 hour, which should get a pretty damn good move is getting well. Now, as is kind of kind of in that same trajectory, actually, let’s see when we’re the apex come in around middle of May rather than early May and probably has a resolution here. Twenty fifth to twenty seventh of April is usually when they become extremely likely to break. So still within the range of next week. So both you know, both metrics suggesting somewhere in, you know, in the range of like early next week. Till late next week. This is why I’d like to see the open interest, because I’m sure that we’d be able to kind of like cut it to the middle there as well as we’re using, you know, vault volumes can be a little more direct volatility can be more of a derivative, but both very much, very much important. And now it’s actually look for a potential pattern going on right here. So let’s see if we are if we are going to be on a bit Mexico, how this operate. Well, we do see some like this. The problem is, is that while you can kind of plot this out right here, which would suggest that, you know, we’re probably in some sort of like major, massive rising channel, which is a redistribution formation. It’s not going to look the same on the other majors. And I do think that it’s important to get consensus on this market. Saarland Right. So I should’ve gone to a daily. OK. Apologies hold. I need to redo this. That was that was not proper. This one now just looks all kinds of weird, all kinds of wonkiness. Perhaps even this area works a little bit better. Of which maybe we just tested already. But again, this this is kind of the odd man out. This is the alpha. This is why we really have to look at all different ones. Now, we already know G. DAX kind of plotted out from yesterday. We do see some sort of a rising wedge going on right here. Vimes Signature does fit on it. And we actually would have technically already broken it. But we’ve read what? But we’ve re-approach the broken support and now testing as resistance once, twice, maybe been working on a third time, which, by the way, would be coming in right here at our next topside blue box on the top side of this current formation at about 70, 300 ish region in this in this range between 73, 73 and 7:03 50ish region. So it would just be considered a retest of that. Now, do you have a competing one going on right here? I think that that’s actually also relevant to we’ll talk about that, but that’s only relevant to the lower term timeframes. But I wanted to pull up a fresh chart if I can. Let’s see and see if we can recreate this in a more obvious way. Well, actually, yeah, we do have one here. However, could we chart it equally the same as something like this? I think so, yes. Which would still say that we’re within the context of the greater rising channel. And I do trust channels a lot more than wedges, of which the one that we’re looking at probably was a wedge. So what you know, what’s the right answer here? Technically, both. Actually, technically both, because they do fit. And it would suggest that we’re slowly but surely kind of tipping this one over as long as we are below that last broken trend line, which I had charted more like a wedge formation like this and that we’re just kind of retesting right now, as you can kind of see, it’s kind of like hard to fit it right now, which is not a good sign. So maybe it’s not the one to be doing. But I think the channel fits a lot more obviously, and does fit the narrative of the descending volume and does fit the narrative of the descending historic vaulted percentile and does fit the narrative of what you would see on the open interest if we could actually try to back out because it was down around about 500 million right here, popped up to about 700 million PSI. But you know, also to between about five million, 7.2 million on all these moves, downside moves, which seem to be accumulating open interest and upside moves seem to be lessening open interest. And we did see the same thing yesterday as well when bitcoin did or started two days ago or a day and a half ago, I guess now where Bitcoin did move its way to the upside. Let me just make sure that recording I am according to my phone’s working. That’s great. Fuck. Can you hold a thought? Maybe crown you fucking moron. But but my point is, is that, you know, on that last move, the upside, we did see openings just go from I think a little bit above 700 million. I think 710 million down to where we are right now, 650 million. So that’s suggesting that shortz’ closing is running the price actually the upside. So it’s it’s still shorts and control as far as I’m concerned. And with the overall great information still in a redistribution pattern, I am skeptical on this price action, as I have been saying. So. So, you know, on this on this fresh chart right here, I think it’s I think it’s just more easily seen that we are going from level to level on a daily something like this to the upside, something like this to the downside. And until we break one of these, there’s not really like a another medium or even long term trend to really be made as there’s no real resolution below sixty six hundred. Yes, we do have resolution. And I would be looking for a move back down to at the very least fifty eight fifty nine hundred and that’s you know that’s almost a thousand or move at a six thousand dollar price point. I mean that’s what more it’s certainly more than a 10 percent move and almost a fifteen percent move. Pretty damn good. Again these are I just want to show that the edges on these trades are worth waiting for. To the upside, as I said as well above this region right here. I do, you know. You know, we could even stay within the context of this rising channel gun for the two accidentally damage up here. And that’s 79, 30. Remember, that’s pretty much it within the confines of this blue box. So we have the upside right here. And I’d still be kind of testing the topside resistance on this baby right here. So I just want to show that, you know, longer term, I am skeptical on Bitcoin, like actually just fucking greengold on its way to the to the moon from this region, even with the having all that good stuff in order, you know, could that come into play? Yeah, absolutely. But I think that there’s just more tangible things on the board right now that I as a trader would trust in more than me, you know, events that everyone’s fucking known about since the eternity since the dawn of eternity. So because, you know, the general kin’s are the general knowledge is that. If it’s public information and you’ve already known about it and you’ve been making decisions based upon it, then it’s very much reasonable to think or you have to defensively think if you’re like a money manager managing big funds that other people are doing the same thing. It’s fucking free information. So it’s probably probably priced in, especially with regards to the fact that we have features now too, which is essentially what allows those miners to kind of make decisions well, quite late in the future. So they get to make decisions, you know, for like last year calling with this year’s knowing that they that they’re gonna have the having, you know, relatively within, you know, some somewhere within that day. Anyways, I’m getting way off topic right now. Jesus Christ, man. Let’s go see what is closed at us. Seems close. A little bit more of a more as a rejection, a little bit more TOPY ish to me, 1725. So keep that in mind, because going in to Sunday, I do believe that we’re prall going to be held around this region. Now that again, that doesn’t really give us any real buys on this price action as the way that I look at this right here is that I’m not. While we do have the death crossing, while the death cross moving averages are getting much divergence, waking each other. I don’t play this bearish as longs for as long as are above the 21 expansion on average, which right now we obviously are. And that will not be taken out to the downside as long as we are above about sixty nine eighty five, which is essentially where the twin index mentioned average will be on spot. And I think that this is a easier look on price action as well, because if we do take out the low side of this, it’s going to look like a D-O-G total plus plus fall due to the downside plus below a major moving average. And I’d imagine that going to see much more cities turn back down around with it. We do see yeah. We’re gonna see Stokes carry on to the downside daily. RSI probably do the same thing as well. Still looks overall bearish to me, so I would say that I’d be a damn good insight, but that means that at least for myself, I’ll have to wait until Sunday at some are 8 p.m. Eastern time or so. It’s actually Sunday at 5:00 p.m. Eastern hour, Central Standard Time. In order for these babies to open back up and potentially give me a source of edge for this. So again, putting all the puzzle piece together and going back to spot price action right here. Let me actually go back to our Bit Mexican chart. Well, let’s actually go look at the let’s let’s let’s let’s actually look at the measure move of this as a rising channel. If this is going to operate is right, that channel will actually go back to a fresh chart here. I’m just curious. Again, this videos can be a little bit in the short aside. I think overall this one going to show potentially a break. You know, if we were to break down, if we were to break down a measure, move all the way down to the. It’s hard to know because, you know, you don’t, you know, really take it until we actually break down. But proverbially speaking, is assuming that it would come maybe like early next week if it does come to the downside outlook for a move down to about 50 500 ish region of fifty six hundred. That does make sense with the 200X Benjamin average and turn it simple moving average or so and more so the churn, it’s simple actually at this point is a unit expansion we have is getting way up there. Turn it simple as all the way down around actually 56 it looks like right now. So it’s got a little bit of work to do. What’s up, Alex? Good to meet you, man. And welcome to the cave. And also, I wanted to see how Samis closed the weekly. The other weekly on SGMD looks a lot more like a hang mandella right there as well, which is more inherently bearish if you are just going off of dildo formations, which I actually don’t trust that much in bitcoin land. Weekly stuff is going to certainly be sorry. Are they going to suddenly be down? Let’s go look at this. The reverse stock indicator says they will cross. They will cross the upside if we do close anywhere above 60, 350. So they should close. They should cross up next week. By the same token, we do have a rejection on the weekly RSI. And I do think that that’s probably going to be held there. So, you know, is this going to be a one off to the upside here? I think probably, yeah. Looking at the reverse RSI EMC cross yet just shows 73 50. So that areas can be a big area going forward here as long as are below there. I am not bullish for the medium or long term. It’s only short term ranges. And that’s something I can say with well, at least for myself, for my trading behaviors with, you know, ads like kind of like an anchor of my trading behaviors right now. And of course, major moving averages on the weekly as well are in a much in a very bearish posturing. You know, even if we do pop back up and test around seventy eight to seventy nine hundred ish region, as we’re kind of showing earlier, I would look at that area as another area of massive fuckery as well. So patients here is gonna be a little bit of a virtue as it as we can. Trading is rather annoying to deal with. Typically speaking, at least for myself, you know me, I’m sure some people out there love it and you know more power to you. I hope that you’re making as much money as fucking possible. And I sincerely mean that. I really sincerely mean that because well, why the fuck not, man? Go do good. It’s like I fucking hate it when people say like money is bad. No. If you if you’re going to be good with money, then it’s just going to accentuate your goodness. That’s all. Just do some good things with it. Jesus Christ. Is that such a hard concept to understand? But for fuck’s sake, man, for fuck’s sake. It’s like an amplifier. You know, it’s it’s it’s it’s like it’s like it’s like beer. It’s like it’s like getting drunk. You know, if you’re an asshole, when you get drunk, you turn into a bigger asshole. If you’re that nice guy and or just even doesn’t even need to be a nice guy, but a good guy. And he gets drunk. He’s just, you know, happy and given hugs people. Rogers does that even more. You know, it’s just like that amount. It’s an amplifier as far as I’m concerned. OK. Another stupid rant that I’m getting off of. I’m getting off a chart on here. Sorry about that. I apologize. You don’t want to hear about that. You wanna hear more about price action. And I think now is a good time to go check in on traditional markets. We spoke about this yesterday. That tradition marks where the best case for bitcoin kind of going to the upside here. And let’s see, they closed yesterday. Now, we did come down. We spoke about this during the twitch stream yesterday, that we are likely to come down actually exactly to this level. Eighty seven thirty ish region did bounce from there. And I do think that we are going to open up next week, probably retest in the high. But is the momentum waning on this on this right now? I think so, yes. I think I think that we actually are going be putting in a local top here for the short and medium term and possibly come back down into this region somewhere right around the eighty four is low. Eighty four, as I’d say, maybe, maybe maybe upper eighty threes sometime in next week. So I do think that again to kind of like synthesize those thoughts down, look at us looking especially at Nasdaq futures which I think are running this market, you know, and again, just going from level to level. This is just beautiful right here. Fucking beautiful. Gotta love it, man. Gotta fucking love it. The simplicity of this. Sometimes we did say that we were likely to hit around eighty nine hundred. We got up to eighty nine fifty. That’s fine. And then I said likely a short term and medium term reversal. I think that’s what we’re gonna get coming into next week, although next week should open up around around yesterday Friday’s high. Looking at many futures probably be about the same thing actually still within the context of this rising wedge. Sounds familiar now, doesn’t it? And also a very precarious place as well, because not only are we in a redistribution pattern, but volume signature is is is confirming that. And we do see that we’re kind of at the prep’s the precipice of a major change in behavior here, too, because the longer that it stays above the 55, the screen moving average, the you know, the more and more likely it will unfuck this death cross. But if the death cross does want to play out, this would be a damn good place to reverse from. And if we do break down below, I mean, even just even us, Friday’s low would probably do it for me. Confirming that as reversal, I look for a measured move to be initiated. Somewhere down around here, somewhere down it down back into like the twenty five twenty five to twenty six hundred range which is going to correlate with like 255 to 60 ish region on spot price action. And we’ll come back and reassess after that. By the same token, to the upside, if this thing makes another leg of the upside, we’re gonna see three ton great to see like three or five A310 is going to and everyone’s gonna get very, very happy and very, very bullish. And that would be another good place for, you know, for a massive meltdown. The only thing that really concerns me about tradition marks right now is that everyone, everyone, their mother thinks that they’re good being the genius, thinking like, fuck, I watched that movie called what was it called? The Big Short. And you know what? I know exactly what’s going on. It’s gonna be right now we’re gonna be going to zero this. Things sucked and maybe it is. But you’re not alone in thinking that you’re not the fucking only person thinking that that is the majority of the market right now. So that, you know, that’s the other thing making me think that ad. Do we have another move back, if you like? Three 310 first? Probably, yeah. It’s certainly not other question, but. But, hey, if we take out Friday is low, then yeah, I will look for for for that house of cards crumble it a bit more. But for right now, I’d say caution against the wind. Let’s go check out the other market leaders. Mr. Beautiful. And this is like wine, Mr. β, all actually breaking the long term downtrend, it looks like if you are gonna be using this as a long term downtrend. Some like that. Bitcoin nowhere near actually breaking that same level. We can go back on over here and look at it. In fact, what you know, this level even correlates directly with holy shit that Bluebox of destiny, perhaps perhaps destiny. You are looking at as such. Oh, also that and with the top three reasons. So this baby as well. So strange, right. And I’m sure I’m sure people are going to be like. But Crown. Don’t you know this one right here too? Yes, I know about this one right here, too. It’s all good. I don’t really trust diagonals that much. Yea, I know. At least not not enough to trade, but it is funded to an analysis size on. But you know, going back down to lower timeframes here, I didn’t get to talk about this. This is relevant as well. We do see. To quote my fucking hate for a diagnose, we do actually see that there is something resembling a falling channel here which typically does break out to the upside. If we did make a measured move on this, it is a little bit funny that we would actually see the measure move correlate. Actually nowhere near what the fuck that’s that’s cause is getting the bottom of the of the order block right here. So I’m doing a more aggressive read on this. Looking at the liquid zone, if I were looking at the order block it would say about 70 100, which would be the bottom side of this. It’s all within range that write them. It depends where we break out from, too. So, you know, if you know, if we were to break out from this region right here. It’d be obviously higher anyways. Enough of that. Jesus fucking Christ, man. To me, it’s pretty damn simple for even even like a four hour delay closure about sunny 130. Very, very likely we will toss up this region of the cup on a bux higher. That’s where things actually can change for the macro. But I don’t think. I don’t think that that’s what’s happening to be actually directly clear and deliberately clear maybe. But again, I know my opinions not necessary for that to the downside. A little to the downside. Actually, a lot more easy, but live more diabolical. Any any four hour delay, closure, blow 64 50. And I do believe that this that this will play out as a whole. As you know, as an efficacious death cross, we will very likely come down to this region right here, 6, 7, 50 tests their pride, pride to another anemic bounce. But I do believe that that bounce would be sold into. And then we will likely come down into the mid 5 thousands. So things are kind of shifting around here. And I think it’s also still relevant to talk about this. It’s not going to be so much of a shorter video now, is it, to be so much of a shorter video? Anyways, um, um. Looking at the two day, we can just quickly go through this as well. You know, the two day duel to Death Cross? I do. Again, I do think that day to day till Death Cross is still very much relevant. And I do think that it could still very much play out, as we do see a very similar signature to here to what we seen in the past in both in both instances. Now, the third one kind of formally in front of our very eyes. So this could be a trend if it does play out. But this one about over here, green and purple, fit five and 200. Crossman downside. Slowly but surely, it’s round now below the 21, although it does have the 55 along the way. And that is a that is a hallmark of the last pass crosses. And then boom, massive move. The downside, 50 percent. You already know from 6000 basically to 3000 times before that was running over here in 2014/2015 at this price point. Price action very far away from front from the cross itself, which I think is kind of a it’s kind of similar. What we’re doing right now to Bitcoin gets another test back up to the 55, although after that gets quickly rejected. And once it’s back down below the 21, that’s when the inevitable downside does play out. So what I’m looking at right here is, is same thing as a daily eye. You know, I look at this as overall bearish. As long as you’re below the death cross moving averages, which are where they’re conveniently right at that fucking over $7000 a number, right around seventeen hundred if you wanna get super exact. But. But I don’t play to the downside as long as we are above the 20 1 expense to an average on especially a closing basis. And we will be closing this 2 day doled out now. Not tonight, tomorrow night, tomorrow night at 8:00 p.m. Eastern time. So it’s gonna be a long day, I suppose. But if we do get another test up to the 55, as we have in the past couple instances, I’d say that that would be pretty, pretty stock standard. And it also would be in line with even the short term ranges as that was really such change things around. So I feel like I’ve missed quite a few things on this video. But again, I feel like this past week’s videos have been more or less on topic for that anyways. And realistically, I’m looking at this price session right here, especially on a weekend when it’s kind of flagging now is probably going to, you know, like likely to be trampy. Just higher higher degree, higher degree of crappiness behavior on a weekend. We can go quickly, check out the probability ranges right over here and can actually look at this a little bit differently as well. If we won’t actually do some ring analysis, which should we can we can do future bars. Yeah. If I do it on. Future buys, it should actually do better with the with the with the slopes of these babies, and right now they’re both squeezing on each other. The downsides are side the upside, the site, the ones to the bottom side, which are squeezing the upside, the slope on. That’s a little bit more a little bit more impressive, a little bit more a little bit more direct. Not too crazy. Maybe it’s just my eyes kind of making that up, Knight. I do think I do things with a bit more study them. So technically speaking, it would be a little bit more angled to the upside. However, what I really want to be looking at is the probabilities of the range that we’re looking at. As of the current moment in time and by the way, current, if I use current, it actually does push down a little bit more I think is going to turn into a little bit of a fake out. So Sunny, 350 is still the relevant air to the upside. I would say seventy six to seven hundred. The downs in a more conservative estimate, more aggressive. Seventy six. Seven fifty. And what do we see? Actually, the range is for both relatively small in comparison limit. Just make sure you do have my settings right. I believe and above target probability. Seventeen and a half percent on today’s Daily Dose closure. So it you know, it certainly is possible. It’s bet it’s better than one standard deviation, however. Say it’s what is within one’s own deviation. It looks like just right there. I think that’s a half one on the grey. So that so so as you put them in perspective, that actually is rather high, 14 and a quarter percent to the downside. Again, still within the realm of possibility. But realistically, we have more that y what’s our inside probability is going to be. Well, the difference between those, which is about 68 and a quarter, that we’re just gonna be Ossana between 60, 70, 350 to the upside and sixty seven 50 to the downside, which I think is most likely here, especially on a weekend. I think that we’re progam to test sides of the ranges on the short term. But do we get an actual break on the short term. Well a break of the week’s trend. In this case would be what would be continuation of the downside, not to the upside as this is still a four hour downtrend. As it stands, can very easily revert itself here, but as it stands, it technically is that way. So I think this 50th priority way too long. Porges for that I thought is give me a shorter video. Apparently not. Do you like how the 4 hour turn and simples gonna start to align with the Bluebox A piece in Destiny? To the downside right here. If we do drone on a little bit longer, that should be happening by tomorrow. I do believe unless things just Apsley shatter before end of day today, which I think is a little bit unlikely. I think that we’re perogative to wait until tomorrow for like, you know, a nice move and then we should resolve the range either. Sorry, and I’m not talking about the short term range. Which guy and this guy, but rather the medium term range. This guy over here, sunny, 350 and 6, 750. The downside, I think that we’re gonna be resolving that early this next week. Very, very likely. Quickly, we can look at like the troll and your bands to see if we can come up with any sort of other biases trolling you. What? Actually actually showing some more inherent bullishness here. I did have a fake up to the downside right here, and that usually isn’t that usually is pretty damn good. And what what, you know, wears the tops out of the trolley bands on a daily S300 fucking obviously will quickly look at the MacDonalds as well and see what that one’s showing. See, what do you what do you got for me today. Could it be. Could it be that we’re just gonna be putting another set of bearish divergence here on them on the histogram. Maybe. But that’s that’s fucking crystal ball bullshit which I need to call my shell self out on on a really. And that also imply that we’re gonna get higher has some price action too. So could we move up here and put another set of devant there. Yeah, could be. So there you go. I’m not really getting too much else off the other than that the the only way that I really get some off this is if is if we come down below the zero, read again and cross the downside which we’re not doing right now and that’s not going to happen. Very unlikely to happen today. In fact, so you know what I’d like to see on the Mac? He is like an obvious signal. I’d like to see like a medium term timeframe range broken. So 6 700 in this region. In this case would be great. Plus that crossing back down below the zero read. That would be damn good for some some inherent downside back down below 6000 into like the mid 5000 probably to the upside, a little bit more difficult. I actually think that the shorter term time from the reps and in that a little bit more accurately, a little bit more easily. Right here. So other than that, really not very much has changed from USA to today. Bitcoin’s flagging now and improving its bullish chances. I think a little bit more, but I’d keep an eye on this because when these when these guys start to kiss, if if there’s gonna be a trap, I’d look for it somewhere right around there. Anyways, that’s gonna do it for right now. I’m not gonna be trading today. I will be on Twitch later, say for a long, long, long, long time. In fact, I’m debating just not eating and just playing all day. So so we can maybe see some moves together. Other than that, I want to wish you well once again. Take care and add until next time.

Via https://www.cryptosharks.net/bitcoin-double-trap-analysis-april-2020/

source https://cryptosharks.weebly.com/blog/bitcoin-double-trap-analysis-april-2020-price-prediction-news-analysis

[jeffrmayhugh]

Bitcoin DOUBLE Trap Analysis?! April 2020 Price Prediction & News Analysis

VIDEO TRANSCRIPT

It’s a trap. My son, my son and my son. Let me let me get me to my son. Welcome back to Crown Crypt, OK? That’s. We’ll get started for the Saturday morning over here from a actually a very bright and sunny Helsinki, Finland. It’s almost six degrees Celsius here. So for those of you who speak Fahrenheit where just above freezing, which is good and I didn’t get some sun of which I will not be getting any myself because I’m gonna be on Twitter all day after this as I have as I plan to. To carry on the tradition that we’ve been doing for the last like three, four weeks now. So if you want to hang on our side, if you want to hang out a little bit later, I’ll be on probably right after this. Right after I post a stream. Also, I apologize for the very dark hue on this video right now. I don’t know what’s going on, but OBSS has been darkening, whatever the output is, more and more over the last like month or so. I have no idea why this is happening. It’s rather annoying. I wish it was like true to color because it’s obviously a few shades, more than a few shades lighter than what you’re seeing right now. But of course, me being a visual person, I like to harp on those sorts things. Maybe you care, maybe you don’t care. But hopefully everything is visible here. And if anyone you happen to know a quick fix for this. If this is a known issue, because for whatever reasons happened on this computer. But on my other one, which is rather strange anyways, I would appreciate some help with that. If you do happen to know, if not all good you can do is deal with it as it stands right now and I’ll figure it figured out over time. Also, what else do I want to say? Yeah. With the discord. I figure I should make another announcement about it. But the disco community, if you haven’t already found out, or if you just kind of came back and haven’t watched any TV is from the last few days or this past week, you probably noticed a bunch changes with discord. What’s happened is we require now a verification by this verification bot, which essentially promptly with a message the first time that you log into the server. So that means if you are already a part of the server before this past week, then you will actually need to leave the server and rejoin the server if you want to have those those that that access restored back to the general community. It’s very simple to do. It’s a little bit annoying, little bit of an inconvenience, but it does make for a better community. And I’m actually really enjoying kind of the more intimate feel right now as it’s actually helped a little bit lessen the load on my inbox, which means that I get to hang out more in the community, which is what I enjoy most. Not fucking answering the same goten question in DMD all fucking day anyways. On top of that, what I should say all GICs side is if you are in the program, if you have if you have the team program, the options program or even the jewel, you don’t need to do any of that. You already have access and and you won’t need to make any change with that. Please not leave unless you actually want to leave. Of course, you know, we’re not here to handcuff you, but it’ll just create more work for both yourself and myself. And we don’t even do that. But if you own part of the general community, yes, you will be prompted with that private message. If you do leave the server and then come back to the server again, there is a an invite lincoln. description of the video or on Crown dot net, whichever one you want to take. And and then and then just follow the rules in that private message or site. Not the rules, but the directions and that private message to basically verify yourself with like a quick capture, some like that and and then all get. So other than that what else do I want to say. Crouching application front of a very face. Found it aptc crown attorney dot net. It’s free. And now our developer is actually he’s recovering. He’s going to be released from quarantine, I believe, either tonight or tomorrow. He actually even joined in on the twitch stream last night. It seemed to be really good spirits and really looking forward to the next update for this, which is what’s gonna bring out the open interest trout, which couldn’t come fucking sooner. It’s so funny how the delay happened right at like the most critical moment because this would have been perfect to actually show the interplay between open interest price action volume and volatility, of which we’ll just have to wait a little bit longer. But it should be relatively soon right after he gets ready if he gets well and his wife’s already covered. So that’s really good as well and we’re very much happy for that. Now, it’s it’s because he’s creating amazing things for us for free, but or for the community for free. But but also, while that’s a person I like. So fair enough. Anyways, anyways, looking at this right here, we do see that open interest is more or less steady from yesterday to today. We haven’t seen any major breaks the upside or to the downside, which still lets us know that the big break out of this formation has yet to come. Meaning that in open iron, an open mind is the right is the right call in this as we are still a part of some greater hole formation. And that’s what I’m gonna be doing today. A little bit different because mostly the analysis from message to today’s can be very similar. However, I’m just gonna redo my charts here from fresh scratch and see if we see anything different, anything new and to go on from there. So there’s gonna be a little bit of a shorter video. I do think and and I but I do want to keep that in the back of my mind. The open interest still kind of still kind of within range, suggesting that we are still a part of some greater formation here. And that’s further going to be verified by metrics anyways. Looking at all the other all the other top dashboard metrics. More or less steady. We really haven’t seen too much change in these for like the last couple weeks, actually. Fear and Greed Index was awesome in between like a 10 reading. 20 Reed We are right at Rio right now to an 18, I still think that this is the one thing that makes me reconsider my inherent bearishness on this, as that would be a damn good indication that we are kind of climbing the wall worry as bitcoin is to next off the lows and the market’s incredibly fearful still. But does that supersede price action? Fuck no, it does not. So let’s go to Price Action Mountain over here and start off with actually the four hour. Now, do you want to start off with this right here? Just very simple. Bitcoin could have a chance to undo unfuck the death cross and go back in the Golden Cross land on the 4 hour, which I do believe would at the very least give us a test back up to about 70, 350, 70, 400 ish region. And that’s where things get interesting once again from the higher term time frames. Do I think that they weren’t going to break above that, you know, right now? No, actually, I don’t think so. Again, I I actually do still lean a little bit more to the downside on this. I think that this is I think that this ends up being a trap, but my opinion is not relevant. You should not give a fuck about my opinion, my opinions wrong all the time. He thought wrong yesterday when I was when I was our side two days ago when I was bearish. And we had this nice little pump up over here. Now, for full disclosure, I’m not short right now. I’m completely covered and I’m just waiting for the next piece of edge. But but at the end of day, I do not trade my opinion on trade. Technical analysis and technical nous right now is shaping up for a little bit more of a test. The upside here as the Golden Cross is being hinted at and will inevitably happen. The longer that big remains, both 69 50 pivot and and if and if we do initiate that, I will at the very least look for a test back up here to the top side of this prior range, which could now plot in with a nice little Bluebox territory. Got a 73, 50 to 70, 300 ish regions where I have it now and we’ll put a nice little blue box in there is going to look Apsley massive for our. But realistically, this is only $50 range. So so we can actually even while we’re on here in the lower term timeframes, take this one step further and put a nice horizontal lot, a current resistance, which seems to be holding holding Bitcoin back for the time being. In fact, we can actually mark this off as a little bit of a liquid zone as the Wix and bodies do seem to match up pretty damn well and just shove it in right there. And if you trading the very, very, very, very low time frames, which I think is absolute death and destruction on especially on a fucking weekend, for God’s sakes, that’s what I’ll be using, although I would certainly not use that at all because I do not trade on the weekends and I don’t care to trade on the weekends. Doesn’t mean that you can’t have great trade opportunities on the weekends. But I’ve found that over time my edge as a technical and technical analyst, my edge is seems to be stronger during the weeks trading period. Whenever you know, as long as the are kind of trading alongside anyways to the downside, a little bit more easy as that 200x mentioned average on the four hours still offers up the lovely, the lovely trampy trap behavior. So if we do want to reference the sort of opening statement of this video of which the opening statements are usually just for fun and whatnot, but there is a pretty important one right here. If Bitcoin does break back down below the chin ADX Benjamin average. This will be a this will be a trap and this will get in this. This is very much under question right now. And again, this is very low time frame stuff right here. But this is very much on a question right now because this is a weekend and I am very skeptical of any sort of moves that I do see on a weekend as this. As it stands right now, we are still still in a downturn on the 4:00 hour. It’s looking like the can have a chance to actually reverse this trend, though, especially if we know especially we take out on a closing basis 31 sites, 31 30, which we’ve gotten pretty damn close to already closed net last. That last local high somewhere right around 50, 100. Even so, it will very likely have a chance. And if it is going to happen, it probably does actually happen today or tomorrow. That being Saturday or Sunday, depending upon your part of the world. And then it will initiate the aggressive sorry, the Golden Cross right over here. And at the very least, a touch back up here to 7:03, Sony to 7/3 50ish region. That’s where the higher term time frames can change around. If I do see a break above Sony, three fifty and a four hour closure above there, especially if it’s like, you know, a higher time frame, like a 12 hour or daily, although plane, the plane a lower term time frames right now, maybe a little bit more relevant than I would look for. Extension actually much higher. Much, much higher. In fact, all the way to the tippy, tippy top from this last little auto block area right here from the higher time frame perspective, in a range between about seventy seven fifty and seventy nine 50ish region could be collapse and make it a little bit shallower. So it’s a little bit less, less massive actually. Yes we can. Because what I’d actually like to do is if we really do get that leap up, it’s really this liquid zone right here that I think is actually more more important because that’s where your distribution is gonna come from, most likely if it does turn into distribution anyways. So I would be looking at that as a range between about. Yeah. Seventy nine and 80, 50, so a hundred all range. I think that’s a little bit more reasonable than a $20 range. So see as a big one does calls on new highs, especially on a higher type from like a twelve hour ordeal. I do think that we will very likely work our way up here. But remember, according to the according to our opening metrics like the open interest rate here, we are still seeing what we would expect if Bitcoin was caught in a greater formation on the whole macro scale. Because what I really want to show, which I can’t right now, is an open interest chart, which would have shown you that open interest hit the rock bottom that we’ve seen. And typically the rock bottom for, you know, four major moves down around about 500 million open interest at around March 13th down here in the. Lower 4000 to our region. And ever since then, it’s just been also about a 200 sorry, about 150000 or sorry, 150 million dollar range from here to where we are right now. And when usually we do see the moves, the upside actually open is typically coming down. When we see the moves coming to the downside, we typically see open interest going up, which is actually indicative of redistribution, which I do believe we have a good case for as well. So while I am presenting a little bit more of a bullish case right here, I want to first say at the outset, this is a weekend. I do not trust this. I think that this is like the perfect time for a trap. And and I do think and I do have my reservations that Bitcoin will close above sunny 350 ish region right here. If it does, you know. Fair enough. I’m happy to. My my my opinion obviously proven wrong again. This is why I don’t trade it. But but but I would be looking much higher as we just kind of looked at, you know, another 700 hour move perhaps in the cards, which is very much tradable, especially at a seven thousand or price point, cause that’s a 10 percent move. And that’s fucking amazing home by itself. But as it stands right now, what I would be looking at again is with critical importance on the 200X. Benjamin, have it right here because there’s you know, we’re obviously shopping around right now. Trend technically is still down as it is right now, but very it is going to have a chance to actually reverse itself. It has a damn good. It has damn good setup right here, to be fair. We do see momentum. Positives are floating, but for our stocks technically still upright here, they are getting a little bit more mature. But I do think that that’s going to at least give it a try. We’re pregnant at the very least, get another way to the upside. And then the question is, does it turn into rejection or not? I don’t have any real opinion on that, especially on a weekend. I just have an opinion on what it would look like if we get a wake up and then closed back down below, let’s call it seven thousand especially or or especially 69, 50. That would be a damn good indication that we are gonna be testing the bottom side, our side, the down side of the range. By the same token, if we if we see if we see a closure above Saudi 320 350, an open interest shoots up above 700 million. Again, that would be a damn good indication that this is that this is getting ready to have a little bit of boola enjoyment to the upside. Anyway, it’s three hours soap’s headed down right now and we do see that there quite literally nosediving. So I think that that’s a little bit more on the bear side to our stocks are up right now hourly are going to be floundering around, most likely an up. So the the general consensus among the lower term time frames that it actually is up right now. So I do think that at the very least, we’re gonna to get a test up here. And this is flagging down. This is constructive. This was a weekday. I’d say that this is bullish as fuck. But because it is a weekend, I’m very skeptical looking at a stock vaulted percentile on our hourly. We are we’re very, very likely to have a move today. You know, very likely to have a move to not just a short term timeframe range, but probably the medium time frame range, which is basically up here towards that twenty three hundred dollar number. And to the downside, that’s not this guy right here at 69 50, that’s actually a little bit lower, probably somewhere down around here, around 60, 70, 50 ish region to sixty seven hundred even is what I’d be looking toward. So I’ll put another blue box in right there. Still kind of the same range that we’ve been looking at yesterday. But this is just this is just looking at liquid zones and order blocks right now. We can now combine this with an analysis of the greater formation. But before we get into that, again, with recalling that the open interest has been essentially suggesting that we’ve been in one major massive formation this whole way from March 13 to where we are right now. That’s further confirmed by the volume signature, which, as you can see, has been that nice tailing off from left hand, right hand side as. As that does suggest that we aren’t when massive consolidation, some like this with a resolution point or an apex coming in early May. So that means we’re very likely to get a resolution probably within the next probably within the next week. And I do think less than that. I think I said earlier this week, probably around somewhere, somewhere between this the middle of this current week, that we just kind of finish here and then also like the Monday, Tuesday of this coming week. And I do still think that that actually does kind of align with that, say about, you know, 75 percent fall. We’ll still call it about April 21st. It looks like that’s three days away. So I’d be Monday, Tuesday ish region, depending upon which which part of the wall that you’re in. So, you know, this this read right here now tells us that it’s very likely that we should be looking at this as one massive pattern formation. Now, does anything fit in the way that we’ve been looking at it? Well, I think actually, yes, although we’ll need to go to not beat Mexico because there’s you know, we have an outlier price action right here. Or do we? Well, let’s actually let’s actually order the daily first. And let me let me let me chart this off. First and foremost. So for USAn, again, you know, tailing off from left hand, right hand side, also tailing off on the stock, 42 percent on a daily, which suggest that we’re going to spend a lot more time in this stuff in this region, actually. But the 12 hour, which should get a pretty damn good move is getting well. Now, as is kind of kind of in that same trajectory, actually, let’s see when we’re the apex come in around middle of May rather than early May and probably has a resolution here. Twenty fifth to twenty seventh of April is usually when they become extremely likely to break. So still within the range of next week. So both you know, both metrics suggesting somewhere in, you know, in the range of like early next week. Till late next week. This is why I’d like to see the open interest, because I’m sure that we’d be able to kind of like cut it to the middle there as well as we’re using, you know, vault volumes can be a little more direct volatility can be more of a derivative, but both very much, very much important. And now it’s actually look for a potential pattern going on right here. So let’s see if we are if we are going to be on a bit Mexico, how this operate. Well, we do see some like this. The problem is, is that while you can kind of plot this out right here, which would suggest that, you know, we’re probably in some sort of like major, massive rising channel, which is a redistribution formation. It’s not going to look the same on the other majors. And I do think that it’s important to get consensus on this market. Saarland Right. So I should’ve gone to a daily. OK. Apologies hold. I need to redo this. That was that was not proper. This one now just looks all kinds of weird, all kinds of wonkiness. Perhaps even this area works a little bit better. Of which maybe we just tested already. But again, this this is kind of the odd man out. This is the alpha. This is why we really have to look at all different ones. Now, we already know G. DAX kind of plotted out from yesterday. We do see some sort of a rising wedge going on right here. Vimes Signature does fit on it. And we actually would have technically already broken it. But we’ve read what? But we’ve re-approach the broken support and now testing as resistance once, twice, maybe been working on a third time, which, by the way, would be coming in right here at our next topside blue box on the top side of this current formation at about 70, 300 ish region in this in this range between 73, 73 and 7:03 50ish region. So it would just be considered a retest of that. Now, do you have a competing one going on right here? I think that that’s actually also relevant to we’ll talk about that, but that’s only relevant to the lower term timeframes. But I wanted to pull up a fresh chart if I can. Let’s see and see if we can recreate this in a more obvious way. Well, actually, yeah, we do have one here. However, could we chart it equally the same as something like this? I think so, yes. Which would still say that we’re within the context of the greater rising channel. And I do trust channels a lot more than wedges, of which the one that we’re looking at probably was a wedge. So what you know, what’s the right answer here? Technically, both. Actually, technically both, because they do fit. And it would suggest that we’re slowly but surely kind of tipping this one over as long as we are below that last broken trend line, which I had charted more like a wedge formation like this and that we’re just kind of retesting right now, as you can kind of see, it’s kind of like hard to fit it right now, which is not a good sign. So maybe it’s not the one to be doing. But I think the channel fits a lot more obviously, and does fit the narrative of the descending volume and does fit the narrative of the descending historic vaulted percentile and does fit the narrative of what you would see on the open interest if we could actually try to back out because it was down around about 500 million right here, popped up to about 700 million PSI. But you know, also to between about five million, 7.2 million on all these moves, downside moves, which seem to be accumulating open interest and upside moves seem to be lessening open interest. And we did see the same thing yesterday as well when bitcoin did or started two days ago or a day and a half ago, I guess now where Bitcoin did move its way to the upside. Let me just make sure that recording I am according to my phone’s working. That’s great. Fuck. Can you hold a thought? Maybe crown you fucking moron. But but my point is, is that, you know, on that last move, the upside, we did see openings just go from I think a little bit above 700 million. I think 710 million down to where we are right now, 650 million. So that’s suggesting that shortz’ closing is running the price actually the upside. So it’s it’s still shorts and control as far as I’m concerned. And with the overall great information still in a redistribution pattern, I am skeptical on this price action, as I have been saying. So. So, you know, on this on this fresh chart right here, I think it’s I think it’s just more easily seen that we are going from level to level on a daily something like this to the upside, something like this to the downside. And until we break one of these, there’s not really like a another medium or even long term trend to really be made as there’s no real resolution below sixty six hundred. Yes, we do have resolution. And I would be looking for a move back down to at the very least fifty eight fifty nine hundred and that’s you know that’s almost a thousand or move at a six thousand dollar price point. I mean that’s what more it’s certainly more than a 10 percent move and almost a fifteen percent move. Pretty damn good. Again these are I just want to show that the edges on these trades are worth waiting for. To the upside, as I said as well above this region right here. I do, you know. You know, we could even stay within the context of this rising channel gun for the two accidentally damage up here. And that’s 79, 30. Remember, that’s pretty much it within the confines of this blue box. So we have the upside right here. And I’d still be kind of testing the topside resistance on this baby right here. So I just want to show that, you know, longer term, I am skeptical on Bitcoin, like actually just fucking greengold on its way to the to the moon from this region, even with the having all that good stuff in order, you know, could that come into play? Yeah, absolutely. But I think that there’s just more tangible things on the board right now that I as a trader would trust in more than me, you know, events that everyone’s fucking known about since the eternity since the dawn of eternity. So because, you know, the general kin’s are the general knowledge is that. If it’s public information and you’ve already known about it and you’ve been making decisions based upon it, then it’s very much reasonable to think or you have to defensively think if you’re like a money manager managing big funds that other people are doing the same thing. It’s fucking free information. So it’s probably probably priced in, especially with regards to the fact that we have features now too, which is essentially what allows those miners to kind of make decisions well, quite late in the future. So they get to make decisions, you know, for like last year calling with this year’s knowing that they that they’re gonna have the having, you know, relatively within, you know, some somewhere within that day. Anyways, I’m getting way off topic right now. Jesus Christ, man. Let’s go see what is closed at us. Seems close. A little bit more of a more as a rejection, a little bit more TOPY ish to me, 1725. So keep that in mind, because going in to Sunday, I do believe that we’re prall going to be held around this region. Now that again, that doesn’t really give us any real buys on this price action as the way that I look at this right here is that I’m not. While we do have the death crossing, while the death cross moving averages are getting much divergence, waking each other. I don’t play this bearish as longs for as long as are above the 21 expansion on average, which right now we obviously are. And that will not be taken out to the downside as long as we are above about sixty nine eighty five, which is essentially where the twin index mentioned average will be on spot. And I think that this is a easier look on price action as well, because if we do take out the low side of this, it’s going to look like a D-O-G total plus plus fall due to the downside plus below a major moving average. And I’d imagine that going to see much more cities turn back down around with it. We do see yeah. We’re gonna see Stokes carry on to the downside daily. RSI probably do the same thing as well. Still looks overall bearish to me, so I would say that I’d be a damn good insight, but that means that at least for myself, I’ll have to wait until Sunday at some are 8 p.m. Eastern time or so. It’s actually Sunday at 5:00 p.m. Eastern hour, Central Standard Time. In order for these babies to open back up and potentially give me a source of edge for this. So again, putting all the puzzle piece together and going back to spot price action right here. Let me actually go back to our Bit Mexican chart. Well, let’s actually go look at the let’s let’s let’s let’s actually look at the measure move of this as a rising channel. If this is going to operate is right, that channel will actually go back to a fresh chart here. I’m just curious. Again, this videos can be a little bit in the short aside. I think overall this one going to show potentially a break. You know, if we were to break down, if we were to break down a measure, move all the way down to the. It’s hard to know because, you know, you don’t, you know, really take it until we actually break down. But proverbially speaking, is assuming that it would come maybe like early next week if it does come to the downside outlook for a move down to about 50 500 ish region of fifty six hundred. That does make sense with the 200X Benjamin average and turn it simple moving average or so and more so the churn, it’s simple actually at this point is a unit expansion we have is getting way up there. Turn it simple as all the way down around actually 56 it looks like right now. So it’s got a little bit of work to do. What’s up, Alex? Good to meet you, man. And welcome to the cave. And also, I wanted to see how Samis closed the weekly. The other weekly on SGMD looks a lot more like a hang mandella right there as well, which is more inherently bearish if you are just going off of dildo formations, which I actually don’t trust that much in bitcoin land. Weekly stuff is going to certainly be sorry. Are they going to suddenly be down? Let’s go look at this. The reverse stock indicator says they will cross. They will cross the upside if we do close anywhere above 60, 350. So they should close. They should cross up next week. By the same token, we do have a rejection on the weekly RSI. And I do think that that’s probably going to be held there. So, you know, is this going to be a one off to the upside here? I think probably, yeah. Looking at the reverse RSI EMC cross yet just shows 73 50. So that areas can be a big area going forward here as long as are below there. I am not bullish for the medium or long term. It’s only short term ranges. And that’s something I can say with well, at least for myself, for my trading behaviors with, you know, ads like kind of like an anchor of my trading behaviors right now. And of course, major moving averages on the weekly as well are in a much in a very bearish posturing. You know, even if we do pop back up and test around seventy eight to seventy nine hundred ish region, as we’re kind of showing earlier, I would look at that area as another area of massive fuckery as well. So patients here is gonna be a little bit of a virtue as it as we can. Trading is rather annoying to deal with. Typically speaking, at least for myself, you know me, I’m sure some people out there love it and you know more power to you. I hope that you’re making as much money as fucking possible. And I sincerely mean that. I really sincerely mean that because well, why the fuck not, man? Go do good. It’s like I fucking hate it when people say like money is bad. No. If you if you’re going to be good with money, then it’s just going to accentuate your goodness. That’s all. Just do some good things with it. Jesus Christ. Is that such a hard concept to understand? But for fuck’s sake, man, for fuck’s sake. It’s like an amplifier. You know, it’s it’s it’s it’s like it’s like it’s like beer. It’s like it’s like getting drunk. You know, if you’re an asshole, when you get drunk, you turn into a bigger asshole. If you’re that nice guy and or just even doesn’t even need to be a nice guy, but a good guy. And he gets drunk. He’s just, you know, happy and given hugs people. Rogers does that even more. You know, it’s just like that amount. It’s an amplifier as far as I’m concerned. OK. Another stupid rant that I’m getting off of. I’m getting off a chart on here. Sorry about that. I apologize. You don’t want to hear about that. You wanna hear more about price action. And I think now is a good time to go check in on traditional markets. We spoke about this yesterday. That tradition marks where the best case for bitcoin kind of going to the upside here. And let’s see, they closed yesterday. Now, we did come down. We spoke about this during the twitch stream yesterday, that we are likely to come down actually exactly to this level. Eighty seven thirty ish region did bounce from there. And I do think that we are going to open up next week, probably retest in the high. But is the momentum waning on this on this right now? I think so, yes. I think I think that we actually are going be putting in a local top here for the short and medium term and possibly come back down into this region somewhere right around the eighty four is low. Eighty four, as I’d say, maybe, maybe maybe upper eighty threes sometime in next week. So I do think that again to kind of like synthesize those thoughts down, look at us looking especially at Nasdaq futures which I think are running this market, you know, and again, just going from level to level. This is just beautiful right here. Fucking beautiful. Gotta love it, man. Gotta fucking love it. The simplicity of this. Sometimes we did say that we were likely to hit around eighty nine hundred. We got up to eighty nine fifty. That’s fine. And then I said likely a short term and medium term reversal. I think that’s what we’re gonna get coming into next week, although next week should open up around around yesterday Friday’s high. Looking at many futures probably be about the same thing actually still within the context of this rising wedge. Sounds familiar now, doesn’t it? And also a very precarious place as well, because not only are we in a redistribution pattern, but volume signature is is is confirming that. And we do see that we’re kind of at the prep’s the precipice of a major change in behavior here, too, because the longer that it stays above the 55, the screen moving average, the you know, the more and more likely it will unfuck this death cross. But if the death cross does want to play out, this would be a damn good place to reverse from. And if we do break down below, I mean, even just even us, Friday’s low would probably do it for me. Confirming that as reversal, I look for a measured move to be initiated. Somewhere down around here, somewhere down it down back into like the twenty five twenty five to twenty six hundred range which is going to correlate with like 255 to 60 ish region on spot price action. And we’ll come back and reassess after that. By the same token, to the upside, if this thing makes another leg of the upside, we’re gonna see three ton great to see like three or five A310 is going to and everyone’s gonna get very, very happy and very, very bullish. And that would be another good place for, you know, for a massive meltdown. The only thing that really concerns me about tradition marks right now is that everyone, everyone, their mother thinks that they’re good being the genius, thinking like, fuck, I watched that movie called what was it called? The Big Short. And you know what? I know exactly what’s going on. It’s gonna be right now we’re gonna be going to zero this. Things sucked and maybe it is. But you’re not alone in thinking that you’re not the fucking only person thinking that that is the majority of the market right now. So that, you know, that’s the other thing making me think that ad. Do we have another move back, if you like? Three 310 first? Probably, yeah. It’s certainly not other question, but. But, hey, if we take out Friday is low, then yeah, I will look for for for that house of cards crumble it a bit more. But for right now, I’d say caution against the wind. Let’s go check out the other market leaders. Mr. Beautiful. And this is like wine, Mr. β, all actually breaking the long term downtrend, it looks like if you are gonna be using this as a long term downtrend. Some like that. Bitcoin nowhere near actually breaking that same level. We can go back on over here and look at it. In fact, what you know, this level even correlates directly with holy shit that Bluebox of destiny, perhaps perhaps destiny. You are looking at as such. Oh, also that and with the top three reasons. So this baby as well. So strange, right. And I’m sure I’m sure people are going to be like. But Crown. Don’t you know this one right here too? Yes, I know about this one right here, too. It’s all good. I don’t really trust diagonals that much. Yea, I know. At least not not enough to trade, but it is funded to an analysis size on. But you know, going back down to lower timeframes here, I didn’t get to talk about this. This is relevant as well. We do see. To quote my fucking hate for a diagnose, we do actually see that there is something resembling a falling channel here which typically does break out to the upside. If we did make a measured move on this, it is a little bit funny that we would actually see the measure move correlate. Actually nowhere near what the fuck that’s that’s cause is getting the bottom of the of the order block right here. So I’m doing a more aggressive read on this. Looking at the liquid zone, if I were looking at the order block it would say about 70 100, which would be the bottom side of this. It’s all within range that write them. It depends where we break out from, too. So, you know, if you know, if we were to break out from this region right here. It’d be obviously higher anyways. Enough of that. Jesus fucking Christ, man. To me, it’s pretty damn simple for even even like a four hour delay closure about sunny 130. Very, very likely we will toss up this region of the cup on a bux higher. That’s where things actually can change for the macro. But I don’t think. I don’t think that that’s what’s happening to be actually directly clear and deliberately clear maybe. But again, I know my opinions not necessary for that to the downside. A little to the downside. Actually, a lot more easy, but live more diabolical. Any any four hour delay, closure, blow 64 50. And I do believe that this that this will play out as a whole. As you know, as an efficacious death cross, we will very likely come down to this region right here, 6, 7, 50 tests their pride, pride to another anemic bounce. But I do believe that that bounce would be sold into. And then we will likely come down into the mid 5 thousands. So things are kind of shifting around here. And I think it’s also still relevant to talk about this. It’s not going to be so much of a shorter video now, is it, to be so much of a shorter video? Anyways, um, um. Looking at the two day, we can just quickly go through this as well. You know, the two day duel to Death Cross? I do. Again, I do think that day to day till Death Cross is still very much relevant. And I do think that it could still very much play out, as we do see a very similar signature to here to what we seen in the past in both in both instances. Now, the third one kind of formally in front of our very eyes. So this could be a trend if it does play out. But this one about over here, green and purple, fit five and 200. Crossman downside. Slowly but surely, it’s round now below the 21, although it does have the 55 along the way. And that is a that is a hallmark of the last pass crosses. And then boom, massive move. The downside, 50 percent. You already know from 6000 basically to 3000 times before that was running over here in 2014/2015 at this price point. Price action very far away from front from the cross itself, which I think is kind of a it’s kind of similar. What we’re doing right now to Bitcoin gets another test back up to the 55, although after that gets quickly rejected. And once it’s back down below the 21, that’s when the inevitable downside does play out. So what I’m looking at right here is, is same thing as a daily eye. You know, I look at this as overall bearish. As long as you’re below the death cross moving averages, which are where they’re conveniently right at that fucking over $7000 a number, right around seventeen hundred if you wanna get super exact. But. But I don’t play to the downside as long as we are above the 20 1 expense to an average on especially a closing basis. And we will be closing this 2 day doled out now. Not tonight, tomorrow night, tomorrow night at 8:00 p.m. Eastern time. So it’s gonna be a long day, I suppose. But if we do get another test up to the 55, as we have in the past couple instances, I’d say that that would be pretty, pretty stock standard. And it also would be in line with even the short term ranges as that was really such change things around. So I feel like I’ve missed quite a few things on this video. But again, I feel like this past week’s videos have been more or less on topic for that anyways. And realistically, I’m looking at this price session right here, especially on a weekend when it’s kind of flagging now is probably going to, you know, like likely to be trampy. Just higher higher degree, higher degree of crappiness behavior on a weekend. We can go quickly, check out the probability ranges right over here and can actually look at this a little bit differently as well. If we won’t actually do some ring analysis, which should we can we can do future bars. Yeah. If I do it on. Future buys, it should actually do better with the with the with the slopes of these babies, and right now they’re both squeezing on each other. The downsides are side the upside, the site, the ones to the bottom side, which are squeezing the upside, the slope on. That’s a little bit more a little bit more impressive, a little bit more a little bit more direct. Not too crazy. Maybe it’s just my eyes kind of making that up, Knight. I do think I do things with a bit more study them. So technically speaking, it would be a little bit more angled to the upside. However, what I really want to be looking at is the probabilities of the range that we’re looking at. As of the current moment in time and by the way, current, if I use current, it actually does push down a little bit more I think is going to turn into a little bit of a fake out. So Sunny, 350 is still the relevant air to the upside. I would say seventy six to seven hundred. The downs in a more conservative estimate, more aggressive. Seventy six. Seven fifty. And what do we see? Actually, the range is for both relatively small in comparison limit. Just make sure you do have my settings right. I believe and above target probability. Seventeen and a half percent on today’s Daily Dose closure. So it you know, it certainly is possible. It’s bet it’s better than one standard deviation, however. Say it’s what is within one’s own deviation. It looks like just right there. I think that’s a half one on the grey. So that so so as you put them in perspective, that actually is rather high, 14 and a quarter percent to the downside. Again, still within the realm of possibility. But realistically, we have more that y what’s our inside probability is going to be. Well, the difference between those, which is about 68 and a quarter, that we’re just gonna be Ossana between 60, 70, 350 to the upside and sixty seven 50 to the downside, which I think is most likely here, especially on a weekend. I think that we’re progam to test sides of the ranges on the short term. But do we get an actual break on the short term. Well a break of the week’s trend. In this case would be what would be continuation of the downside, not to the upside as this is still a four hour downtrend. As it stands, can very easily revert itself here, but as it stands, it technically is that way. So I think this 50th priority way too long. Porges for that I thought is give me a shorter video. Apparently not. Do you like how the 4 hour turn and simples gonna start to align with the Bluebox A piece in Destiny? To the downside right here. If we do drone on a little bit longer, that should be happening by tomorrow. I do believe unless things just Apsley shatter before end of day today, which I think is a little bit unlikely. I think that we’re perogative to wait until tomorrow for like, you know, a nice move and then we should resolve the range either. Sorry, and I’m not talking about the short term range. Which guy and this guy, but rather the medium term range. This guy over here, sunny, 350 and 6, 750. The downside, I think that we’re gonna be resolving that early this next week. Very, very likely. Quickly, we can look at like the troll and your bands to see if we can come up with any sort of other biases trolling you. What? Actually actually showing some more inherent bullishness here. I did have a fake up to the downside right here, and that usually isn’t that usually is pretty damn good. And what what, you know, wears the tops out of the trolley bands on a daily S300 fucking obviously will quickly look at the MacDonalds as well and see what that one’s showing. See, what do you what do you got for me today. Could it be. Could it be that we’re just gonna be putting another set of bearish divergence here on them on the histogram. Maybe. But that’s that’s fucking crystal ball bullshit which I need to call my shell self out on on a really. And that also imply that we’re gonna get higher has some price action too. So could we move up here and put another set of devant there. Yeah, could be. So there you go. I’m not really getting too much else off the other than that the the only way that I really get some off this is if is if we come down below the zero, read again and cross the downside which we’re not doing right now and that’s not going to happen. Very unlikely to happen today. In fact, so you know what I’d like to see on the Mac? He is like an obvious signal. I’d like to see like a medium term timeframe range broken. So 6 700 in this region. In this case would be great. Plus that crossing back down below the zero read. That would be damn good for some some inherent downside back down below 6000 into like the mid 5000 probably to the upside, a little bit more difficult. I actually think that the shorter term time from the reps and in that a little bit more accurately, a little bit more easily. Right here. So other than that, really not very much has changed from USA to today. Bitcoin’s flagging now and improving its bullish chances. I think a little bit more, but I’d keep an eye on this because when these when these guys start to kiss, if if there’s gonna be a trap, I’d look for it somewhere right around there. Anyways, that’s gonna do it for right now. I’m not gonna be trading today. I will be on Twitch later, say for a long, long, long, long time. In fact, I’m debating just not eating and just playing all day. So so we can maybe see some moves together. Other than that, I want to wish you well once again. Take care and add until next time.

source https://www.cryptosharks.net/bitcoin-double-trap-analysis-april-2020/ source https://cryptosharks1.tumblr.com/post/615905576394850304

[cryptosharks1]

Bitcoin DOUBLE Trap Analysis?! April 2020 Price Prediction & News Analysis

VIDEO TRANSCRIPT

It’s a trap. My son, my son and my son. Let me let me get me to my son. Welcome back to Crown Crypt, OK? That’s. We’ll get started for the Saturday morning over here from a actually a very bright and sunny Helsinki, Finland. It’s almost six degrees Celsius here. So for those of you who speak Fahrenheit where just above freezing, which is good and I didn’t get some sun of which I will not be getting any myself because I’m gonna be on Twitter all day after this as I have as I plan to. To carry on the tradition that we’ve been doing for the last like three, four weeks now. So if you want to hang on our side, if you want to hang out a little bit later, I’ll be on probably right after this. Right after I post a stream. Also, I apologize for the very dark hue on this video right now. I don’t know what’s going on, but OBSS has been darkening, whatever the output is, more and more over the last like month or so. I have no idea why this is happening. It’s rather annoying. I wish it was like true to color because it’s obviously a few shades, more than a few shades lighter than what you’re seeing right now. But of course, me being a visual person, I like to harp on those sorts things. Maybe you care, maybe you don’t care. But hopefully everything is visible here. And if anyone you happen to know a quick fix for this. If this is a known issue, because for whatever reasons happened on this computer. But on my other one, which is rather strange anyways, I would appreciate some help with that. If you do happen to know, if not all good you can do is deal with it as it stands right now and I’ll figure it figured out over time. Also, what else do I want to say? Yeah. With the discord. I figure I should make another announcement about it. But the disco community, if you haven’t already found out, or if you just kind of came back and haven’t watched any TV is from the last few days or this past week, you probably noticed a bunch changes with discord. What’s happened is we require now a verification by this verification bot, which essentially promptly with a message the first time that you log into the server. So that means if you are already a part of the server before this past week, then you will actually need to leave the server and rejoin the server if you want to have those those that that access restored back to the general community. It’s very simple to do. It’s a little bit annoying, little bit of an inconvenience, but it does make for a better community. And I’m actually really enjoying kind of the more intimate feel right now as it’s actually helped a little bit lessen the load on my inbox, which means that I get to hang out more in the community, which is what I enjoy most. Not fucking answering the same goten question in DMD all fucking day anyways. On top of that, what I should say all GICs side is if you are in the program, if you have if you have the team program, the options program or even the jewel, you don’t need to do any of that. You already have access and and you won’t need to make any change with that. Please not leave unless you actually want to leave. Of course, you know, we’re not here to handcuff you, but it’ll just create more work for both yourself and myself. And we don’t even do that. But if you own part of the general community, yes, you will be prompted with that private message. If you do leave the server and then come back to the server again, there is a an invite lincoln. description of the video or on Crown dot net, whichever one you want to take. And and then and then just follow the rules in that private message or site. Not the rules, but the directions and that private message to basically verify yourself with like a quick capture, some like that and and then all get. So other than that what else do I want to say. Crouching application front of a very face. Found it aptc crown attorney dot net. It’s free. And now our developer is actually he’s recovering. He’s going to be released from quarantine, I believe, either tonight or tomorrow. He actually even joined in on the twitch stream last night. It seemed to be really good spirits and really looking forward to the next update for this, which is what’s gonna bring out the open interest trout, which couldn’t come fucking sooner. It’s so funny how the delay happened right at like the most critical moment because this would have been perfect to actually show the interplay between open interest price action volume and volatility, of which we’ll just have to wait a little bit longer. But it should be relatively soon right after he gets ready if he gets well and his wife’s already covered. So that’s really good as well and we’re very much happy for that. Now, it’s it’s because he’s creating amazing things for us for free, but or for the community for free. But but also, while that’s a person I like. So fair enough. Anyways, anyways, looking at this right here, we do see that open interest is more or less steady from yesterday to today. We haven’t seen any major breaks the upside or to the downside, which still lets us know that the big break out of this formation has yet to come. Meaning that in open iron, an open mind is the right is the right call in this as we are still a part of some greater hole formation. And that’s what I’m gonna be doing today. A little bit different because mostly the analysis from message to today’s can be very similar. However, I’m just gonna redo my charts here from fresh scratch and see if we see anything different, anything new and to go on from there. So there’s gonna be a little bit of a shorter video. I do think and and I but I do want to keep that in the back of my mind. The open interest still kind of still kind of within range, suggesting that we are still a part of some greater formation here. And that’s further going to be verified by metrics anyways. Looking at all the other all the other top dashboard metrics. More or less steady. We really haven’t seen too much change in these for like the last couple weeks, actually. Fear and Greed Index was awesome in between like a 10 reading. 20 Reed We are right at Rio right now to an 18, I still think that this is the one thing that makes me reconsider my inherent bearishness on this, as that would be a damn good indication that we are kind of climbing the wall worry as bitcoin is to next off the lows and the market’s incredibly fearful still. But does that supersede price action? Fuck no, it does not. So let’s go to Price Action Mountain over here and start off with actually the four hour. Now, do you want to start off with this right here? Just very simple. Bitcoin could have a chance to undo unfuck the death cross and go back in the Golden Cross land on the 4 hour, which I do believe would at the very least give us a test back up to about 70, 350, 70, 400 ish region. And that’s where things get interesting once again from the higher term time frames. Do I think that they weren’t going to break above that, you know, right now? No, actually, I don’t think so. Again, I I actually do still lean a little bit more to the downside on this. I think that this is I think that this ends up being a trap, but my opinion is not relevant. You should not give a fuck about my opinion, my opinions wrong all the time. He thought wrong yesterday when I was when I was our side two days ago when I was bearish. And we had this nice little pump up over here. Now, for full disclosure, I’m not short right now. I’m completely covered and I’m just waiting for the next piece of edge. But but at the end of day, I do not trade my opinion on trade. Technical analysis and technical nous right now is shaping up for a little bit more of a test. The upside here as the Golden Cross is being hinted at and will inevitably happen. The longer that big remains, both 69 50 pivot and and if and if we do initiate that, I will at the very least look for a test back up here to the top side of this prior range, which could now plot in with a nice little Bluebox territory. Got a 73, 50 to 70, 300 ish regions where I have it now and we’ll put a nice little blue box in there is going to look Apsley massive for our. But realistically, this is only $50 range. So so we can actually even while we’re on here in the lower term timeframes, take this one step further and put a nice horizontal lot, a current resistance, which seems to be holding holding Bitcoin back for the time being. In fact, we can actually mark this off as a little bit of a liquid zone as the Wix and bodies do seem to match up pretty damn well and just shove it in right there. And if you trading the very, very, very, very low time frames, which I think is absolute death and destruction on especially on a fucking weekend, for God’s sakes, that’s what I’ll be using, although I would certainly not use that at all because I do not trade on the weekends and I don’t care to trade on the weekends. Doesn’t mean that you can’t have great trade opportunities on the weekends. But I’ve found that over time my edge as a technical and technical analyst, my edge is seems to be stronger during the weeks trading period. Whenever you know, as long as the are kind of trading alongside anyways to the downside, a little bit more easy as that 200x mentioned average on the four hours still offers up the lovely, the lovely trampy trap behavior. So if we do want to reference the sort of opening statement of this video of which the opening statements are usually just for fun and whatnot, but there is a pretty important one right here. If Bitcoin does break back down below the chin ADX Benjamin average. This will be a this will be a trap and this will get in this. This is very much under question right now. And again, this is very low time frame stuff right here. But this is very much on a question right now because this is a weekend and I am very skeptical of any sort of moves that I do see on a weekend as this. As it stands right now, we are still still in a downturn on the 4:00 hour. It’s looking like the can have a chance to actually reverse this trend, though, especially if we know especially we take out on a closing basis 31 sites, 31 30, which we’ve gotten pretty damn close to already closed net last. That last local high somewhere right around 50, 100. Even so, it will very likely have a chance. And if it is going to happen, it probably does actually happen today or tomorrow. That being Saturday or Sunday, depending upon your part of the world. And then it will initiate the aggressive sorry, the Golden Cross right over here. And at the very least, a touch back up here to 7:03, Sony to 7/3 50ish region. That’s where the higher term time frames can change around. If I do see a break above Sony, three fifty and a four hour closure above there, especially if it’s like, you know, a higher time frame, like a 12 hour or daily, although plane, the plane a lower term time frames right now, maybe a little bit more relevant than I would look for. Extension actually much higher. Much, much higher. In fact, all the way to the tippy, tippy top from this last little auto block area right here from the higher time frame perspective, in a range between about seventy seven fifty and seventy nine 50ish region could be collapse and make it a little bit shallower. So it’s a little bit less, less massive actually. Yes we can. Because what I’d actually like to do is if we really do get that leap up, it’s really this liquid zone right here that I think is actually more more important because that’s where your distribution is gonna come from, most likely if it does turn into distribution anyways. So I would be looking at that as a range between about. Yeah. Seventy nine and 80, 50, so a hundred all range. I think that’s a little bit more reasonable than a $20 range. So see as a big one does calls on new highs, especially on a higher type from like a twelve hour ordeal. I do think that we will very likely work our way up here. But remember, according to the according to our opening metrics like the open interest rate here, we are still seeing what we would expect if Bitcoin was caught in a greater formation on the whole macro scale. Because what I really want to show, which I can’t right now, is an open interest chart, which would have shown you that open interest hit the rock bottom that we’ve seen. And typically the rock bottom for, you know, four major moves down around about 500 million open interest at around March 13th down here in the. Lower 4000 to our region. And ever since then, it’s just been also about a 200 sorry, about 150000 or sorry, 150 million dollar range from here to where we are right now. And when usually we do see the moves, the upside actually open is typically coming down. When we see the moves coming to the downside, we typically see open interest going up, which is actually indicative of redistribution, which I do believe we have a good case for as well. So while I am presenting a little bit more of a bullish case right here, I want to first say at the outset, this is a weekend. I do not trust this. I think that this is like the perfect time for a trap. And and I do think and I do have my reservations that Bitcoin will close above sunny 350 ish region right here. If it does, you know. Fair enough. I’m happy to. My my my opinion obviously proven wrong again. This is why I don’t trade it. But but but I would be looking much higher as we just kind of looked at, you know, another 700 hour move perhaps in the cards, which is very much tradable, especially at a seven thousand or price point, cause that’s a 10 percent move. And that’s fucking amazing home by itself. But as it stands right now, what I would be looking at again is with critical importance on the 200X. Benjamin, have it right here because there’s you know, we’re obviously shopping around right now. Trend technically is still down as it is right now, but very it is going to have a chance to actually reverse itself. It has a damn good. It has damn good setup right here, to be fair. We do see momentum. Positives are floating, but for our stocks technically still upright here, they are getting a little bit more mature. But I do think that that’s going to at least give it a try. We’re pregnant at the very least, get another way to the upside. And then the question is, does it turn into rejection or not? I don’t have any real opinion on that, especially on a weekend. I just have an opinion on what it would look like if we get a wake up and then closed back down below, let’s call it seven thousand especially or or especially 69, 50. That would be a damn good indication that we are gonna be testing the bottom side, our side, the down side of the range. By the same token, if we if we see if we see a closure above Saudi 320 350, an open interest shoots up above 700 million. Again, that would be a damn good indication that this is that this is getting ready to have a little bit of boola enjoyment to the upside. Anyway, it’s three hours soap’s headed down right now and we do see that there quite literally nosediving. So I think that that’s a little bit more on the bear side to our stocks are up right now hourly are going to be floundering around, most likely an up. So the the general consensus among the lower term time frames that it actually is up right now. So I do think that at the very least, we’re gonna to get a test up here. And this is flagging down. This is constructive. This was a weekday. I’d say that this is bullish as fuck. But because it is a weekend, I’m very skeptical looking at a stock vaulted percentile on our hourly. We are we’re very, very likely to have a move today. You know, very likely to have a move to not just a short term timeframe range, but probably the medium time frame range, which is basically up here towards that twenty three hundred dollar number. And to the downside, that’s not this guy right here at 69 50, that’s actually a little bit lower, probably somewhere down around here, around 60, 70, 50 ish region to sixty seven hundred even is what I’d be looking toward. So I’ll put another blue box in right there. Still kind of the same range that we’ve been looking at yesterday. But this is just this is just looking at liquid zones and order blocks right now. We can now combine this with an analysis of the greater formation. But before we get into that, again, with recalling that the open interest has been essentially suggesting that we’ve been in one major massive formation this whole way from March 13 to where we are right now. That’s further confirmed by the volume signature, which, as you can see, has been that nice tailing off from left hand, right hand side as. As that does suggest that we aren’t when massive consolidation, some like this with a resolution point or an apex coming in early May. So that means we’re very likely to get a resolution probably within the next probably within the next week. And I do think less than that. I think I said earlier this week, probably around somewhere, somewhere between this the middle of this current week, that we just kind of finish here and then also like the Monday, Tuesday of this coming week. And I do still think that that actually does kind of align with that, say about, you know, 75 percent fall. We’ll still call it about April 21st. It looks like that’s three days away. So I’d be Monday, Tuesday ish region, depending upon which which part of the wall that you’re in. So, you know, this this read right here now tells us that it’s very likely that we should be looking at this as one massive pattern formation. Now, does anything fit in the way that we’ve been looking at it? Well, I think actually, yes, although we’ll need to go to not beat Mexico because there’s you know, we have an outlier price action right here. Or do we? Well, let’s actually let’s actually order the daily first. And let me let me let me chart this off. First and foremost. So for USAn, again, you know, tailing off from left hand, right hand side, also tailing off on the stock, 42 percent on a daily, which suggest that we’re going to spend a lot more time in this stuff in this region, actually. But the 12 hour, which should get a pretty damn good move is getting well. Now, as is kind of kind of in that same trajectory, actually, let’s see when we’re the apex come in around middle of May rather than early May and probably has a resolution here. Twenty fifth to twenty seventh of April is usually when they become extremely likely to break. So still within the range of next week. So both you know, both metrics suggesting somewhere in, you know, in the range of like early next week. Till late next week. This is why I’d like to see the open interest, because I’m sure that we’d be able to kind of like cut it to the middle there as well as we’re using, you know, vault volumes can be a little more direct volatility can be more of a derivative, but both very much, very much important. And now it’s actually look for a potential pattern going on right here. So let’s see if we are if we are going to be on a bit Mexico, how this operate. Well, we do see some like this. The problem is, is that while you can kind of plot this out right here, which would suggest that, you know, we’re probably in some sort of like major, massive rising channel, which is a redistribution formation. It’s not going to look the same on the other majors. And I do think that it’s important to get consensus on this market. Saarland Right. So I should’ve gone to a daily. OK. Apologies hold. I need to redo this. That was that was not proper. This one now just looks all kinds of weird, all kinds of wonkiness. Perhaps even this area works a little bit better. Of which maybe we just tested already. But again, this this is kind of the odd man out. This is the alpha. This is why we really have to look at all different ones. Now, we already know G. DAX kind of plotted out from yesterday. We do see some sort of a rising wedge going on right here. Vimes Signature does fit on it. And we actually would have technically already broken it. But we’ve read what? But we’ve re-approach the broken support and now testing as resistance once, twice, maybe been working on a third time, which, by the way, would be coming in right here at our next topside blue box on the top side of this current formation at about 70, 300 ish region in this in this range between 73, 73 and 7:03 50ish region. So it would just be considered a retest of that. Now, do you have a competing one going on right here? I think that that’s actually also relevant to we’ll talk about that, but that’s only relevant to the lower term timeframes. But I wanted to pull up a fresh chart if I can. Let’s see and see if we can recreate this in a more obvious way. Well, actually, yeah, we do have one here. However, could we chart it equally the same as something like this? I think so, yes. Which would still say that we’re within the context of the greater rising channel. And I do trust channels a lot more than wedges, of which the one that we’re looking at probably was a wedge. So what you know, what’s the right answer here? Technically, both. Actually, technically both, because they do fit. And it would suggest that we’re slowly but surely kind of tipping this one over as long as we are below that last broken trend line, which I had charted more like a wedge formation like this and that we’re just kind of retesting right now, as you can kind of see, it’s kind of like hard to fit it right now, which is not a good sign. So maybe it’s not the one to be doing. But I think the channel fits a lot more obviously, and does fit the narrative of the descending volume and does fit the narrative of the descending historic vaulted percentile and does fit the narrative of what you would see on the open interest if we could actually try to back out because it was down around about 500 million right here, popped up to about 700 million PSI. But you know, also to between about five million, 7.2 million on all these moves, downside moves, which seem to be accumulating open interest and upside moves seem to be lessening open interest. And we did see the same thing yesterday as well when bitcoin did or started two days ago or a day and a half ago, I guess now where Bitcoin did move its way to the upside. Let me just make sure that recording I am according to my phone’s working. That’s great. Fuck. Can you hold a thought? Maybe crown you fucking moron. But but my point is, is that, you know, on that last move, the upside, we did see openings just go from I think a little bit above 700 million. I think 710 million down to where we are right now, 650 million. So that’s suggesting that shortz’ closing is running the price actually the upside. So it’s it’s still shorts and control as far as I’m concerned. And with the overall great information still in a redistribution pattern, I am skeptical on this price action, as I have been saying. So. So, you know, on this on this fresh chart right here, I think it’s I think it’s just more easily seen that we are going from level to level on a daily something like this to the upside, something like this to the downside. And until we break one of these, there’s not really like a another medium or even long term trend to really be made as there’s no real resolution below sixty six hundred. Yes, we do have resolution. And I would be looking for a move back down to at the very least fifty eight fifty nine hundred and that’s you know that’s almost a thousand or move at a six thousand dollar price point. I mean that’s what more it’s certainly more than a 10 percent move and almost a fifteen percent move. Pretty damn good. Again these are I just want to show that the edges on these trades are worth waiting for. To the upside, as I said as well above this region right here. I do, you know. You know, we could even stay within the context of this rising channel gun for the two accidentally damage up here. And that’s 79, 30. Remember, that’s pretty much it within the confines of this blue box. So we have the upside right here. And I’d still be kind of testing the topside resistance on this baby right here. So I just want to show that, you know, longer term, I am skeptical on Bitcoin, like actually just fucking greengold on its way to the to the moon from this region, even with the having all that good stuff in order, you know, could that come into play? Yeah, absolutely. But I think that there’s just more tangible things on the board right now that I as a trader would trust in more than me, you know, events that everyone’s fucking known about since the eternity since the dawn of eternity. So because, you know, the general kin’s are the general knowledge is that. If it’s public information and you’ve already known about it and you’ve been making decisions based upon it, then it’s very much reasonable to think or you have to defensively think if you’re like a money manager managing big funds that other people are doing the same thing. It’s fucking free information. So it’s probably probably priced in, especially with regards to the fact that we have features now too, which is essentially what allows those miners to kind of make decisions well, quite late in the future. So they get to make decisions, you know, for like last year calling with this year’s knowing that they that they’re gonna have the having, you know, relatively within, you know, some somewhere within that day. Anyways, I’m getting way off topic right now. Jesus Christ, man. Let’s go see what is closed at us. Seems close. A little bit more of a more as a rejection, a little bit more TOPY ish to me, 1725. So keep that in mind, because going in to Sunday, I do believe that we’re prall going to be held around this region. Now that again, that doesn’t really give us any real buys on this price action as the way that I look at this right here is that I’m not. While we do have the death crossing, while the death cross moving averages are getting much divergence, waking each other. I don’t play this bearish as longs for as long as are above the 21 expansion on average, which right now we obviously are. And that will not be taken out to the downside as long as we are above about sixty nine eighty five, which is essentially where the twin index mentioned average will be on spot. And I think that this is a easier look on price action as well, because if we do take out the low side of this, it’s going to look like a D-O-G total plus plus fall due to the downside plus below a major moving average. And I’d imagine that going to see much more cities turn back down around with it. We do see yeah. We’re gonna see Stokes carry on to the downside daily. RSI probably do the same thing as well. Still looks overall bearish to me, so I would say that I’d be a damn good insight, but that means that at least for myself, I’ll have to wait until Sunday at some are 8 p.m. Eastern time or so. It’s actually Sunday at 5:00 p.m. Eastern hour, Central Standard Time. In order for these babies to open back up and potentially give me a source of edge for this. So again, putting all the puzzle piece together and going back to spot price action right here. Let me actually go back to our Bit Mexican chart. Well, let’s actually go look at the let’s let’s let’s let’s actually look at the measure move of this as a rising channel. If this is going to operate is right, that channel will actually go back to a fresh chart here. I’m just curious. Again, this videos can be a little bit in the short aside. I think overall this one going to show potentially a break. You know, if we were to break down, if we were to break down a measure, move all the way down to the. It’s hard to know because, you know, you don’t, you know, really take it until we actually break down. But proverbially speaking, is assuming that it would come maybe like early next week if it does come to the downside outlook for a move down to about 50 500 ish region of fifty six hundred. That does make sense with the 200X Benjamin average and turn it simple moving average or so and more so the churn, it’s simple actually at this point is a unit expansion we have is getting way up there. Turn it simple as all the way down around actually 56 it looks like right now. So it’s got a little bit of work to do. What’s up, Alex? Good to meet you, man. And welcome to the cave. And also, I wanted to see how Samis closed the weekly. The other weekly on SGMD looks a lot more like a hang mandella right there as well, which is more inherently bearish if you are just going off of dildo formations, which I actually don’t trust that much in bitcoin land. Weekly stuff is going to certainly be sorry. Are they going to suddenly be down? Let’s go look at this. The reverse stock indicator says they will cross. They will cross the upside if we do close anywhere above 60, 350. So they should close. They should cross up next week. By the same token, we do have a rejection on the weekly RSI. And I do think that that’s probably going to be held there. So, you know, is this going to be a one off to the upside here? I think probably, yeah. Looking at the reverse RSI EMC cross yet just shows 73 50. So that areas can be a big area going forward here as long as are below there. I am not bullish for the medium or long term. It’s only short term ranges. And that’s something I can say with well, at least for myself, for my trading behaviors with, you know, ads like kind of like an anchor of my trading behaviors right now. And of course, major moving averages on the weekly as well are in a much in a very bearish posturing. You know, even if we do pop back up and test around seventy eight to seventy nine hundred ish region, as we’re kind of showing earlier, I would look at that area as another area of massive fuckery as well. So patients here is gonna be a little bit of a virtue as it as we can. Trading is rather annoying to deal with. Typically speaking, at least for myself, you know me, I’m sure some people out there love it and you know more power to you. I hope that you’re making as much money as fucking possible. And I sincerely mean that. I really sincerely mean that because well, why the fuck not, man? Go do good. It’s like I fucking hate it when people say like money is bad. No. If you if you’re going to be good with money, then it’s just going to accentuate your goodness. That’s all. Just do some good things with it. Jesus Christ. Is that such a hard concept to understand? But for fuck’s sake, man, for fuck’s sake. It’s like an amplifier. You know, it’s it’s it’s it’s like it’s like it’s like beer. It’s like it’s like getting drunk. You know, if you’re an asshole, when you get drunk, you turn into a bigger asshole. If you’re that nice guy and or just even doesn’t even need to be a nice guy, but a good guy. And he gets drunk. He’s just, you know, happy and given hugs people. Rogers does that even more. You know, it’s just like that amount. It’s an amplifier as far as I’m concerned. OK. Another stupid rant that I’m getting off of. I’m getting off a chart on here. Sorry about that. I apologize. You don’t want to hear about that. You wanna hear more about price action. And I think now is a good time to go check in on traditional markets. We spoke about this yesterday. That tradition marks where the best case for bitcoin kind of going to the upside here. And let’s see, they closed yesterday. Now, we did come down. We spoke about this during the twitch stream yesterday, that we are likely to come down actually exactly to this level. Eighty seven thirty ish region did bounce from there. And I do think that we are going to open up next week, probably retest in the high. But is the momentum waning on this on this right now? I think so, yes. I think I think that we actually are going be putting in a local top here for the short and medium term and possibly come back down into this region somewhere right around the eighty four is low. Eighty four, as I’d say, maybe, maybe maybe upper eighty threes sometime in next week. So I do think that again to kind of like synthesize those thoughts down, look at us looking especially at Nasdaq futures which I think are running this market, you know, and again, just going from level to level. This is just beautiful right here. Fucking beautiful. Gotta love it, man. Gotta fucking love it. The simplicity of this. Sometimes we did say that we were likely to hit around eighty nine hundred. We got up to eighty nine fifty. That’s fine. And then I said likely a short term and medium term reversal. I think that’s what we’re gonna get coming into next week, although next week should open up around around yesterday Friday’s high. Looking at many futures probably be about the same thing actually still within the context of this rising wedge. Sounds familiar now, doesn’t it? And also a very precarious place as well, because not only are we in a redistribution pattern, but volume signature is is is confirming that. And we do see that we’re kind of at the prep’s the precipice of a major change in behavior here, too, because the longer that it stays above the 55, the screen moving average, the you know, the more and more likely it will unfuck this death cross. But if the death cross does want to play out, this would be a damn good place to reverse from. And if we do break down below, I mean, even just even us, Friday’s low would probably do it for me. Confirming that as reversal, I look for a measured move to be initiated. Somewhere down around here, somewhere down it down back into like the twenty five twenty five to twenty six hundred range which is going to correlate with like 255 to 60 ish region on spot price action. And we’ll come back and reassess after that. By the same token, to the upside, if this thing makes another leg of the upside, we’re gonna see three ton great to see like three or five A310 is going to and everyone’s gonna get very, very happy and very, very bullish. And that would be another good place for, you know, for a massive meltdown. The only thing that really concerns me about tradition marks right now is that everyone, everyone, their mother thinks that they’re good being the genius, thinking like, fuck, I watched that movie called what was it called? The Big Short. And you know what? I know exactly what’s going on. It’s gonna be right now we’re gonna be going to zero this. Things sucked and maybe it is. But you’re not alone in thinking that you’re not the fucking only person thinking that that is the majority of the market right now. So that, you know, that’s the other thing making me think that ad. Do we have another move back, if you like? Three 310 first? Probably, yeah. It’s certainly not other question, but. But, hey, if we take out Friday is low, then yeah, I will look for for for that house of cards crumble it a bit more. But for right now, I’d say caution against the wind. Let’s go check out the other market leaders. Mr. Beautiful. And this is like wine, Mr. β, all actually breaking the long term downtrend, it looks like if you are gonna be using this as a long term downtrend. Some like that. Bitcoin nowhere near actually breaking that same level. We can go back on over here and look at it. In fact, what you know, this level even correlates directly with holy shit that Bluebox of destiny, perhaps perhaps destiny. You are looking at as such. Oh, also that and with the top three reasons. So this baby as well. So strange, right. And I’m sure I’m sure people are going to be like. But Crown. Don’t you know this one right here too? Yes, I know about this one right here, too. It’s all good. I don’t really trust diagonals that much. Yea, I know. At least not not enough to trade, but it is funded to an analysis size on. But you know, going back down to lower timeframes here, I didn’t get to talk about this. This is relevant as well. We do see. To quote my fucking hate for a diagnose, we do actually see that there is something resembling a falling channel here which typically does break out to the upside. If we did make a measured move on this, it is a little bit funny that we would actually see the measure move correlate. Actually nowhere near what the fuck that’s that’s cause is getting the bottom of the of the order block right here. So I’m doing a more aggressive read on this. Looking at the liquid zone, if I were looking at the order block it would say about 70 100, which would be the bottom side of this. It’s all within range that write them. It depends where we break out from, too. So, you know, if you know, if we were to break out from this region right here. It’d be obviously higher anyways. Enough of that. Jesus fucking Christ, man. To me, it’s pretty damn simple for even even like a four hour delay closure about sunny 130. Very, very likely we will toss up this region of the cup on a bux higher. That’s where things actually can change for the macro. But I don’t think. I don’t think that that’s what’s happening to be actually directly clear and deliberately clear maybe. But again, I know my opinions not necessary for that to the downside. A little to the downside. Actually, a lot more easy, but live more diabolical. Any any four hour delay, closure, blow 64 50. And I do believe that this that this will play out as a whole. As you know, as an efficacious death cross, we will very likely come down to this region right here, 6, 7, 50 tests their pride, pride to another anemic bounce. But I do believe that that bounce would be sold into. And then we will likely come down into the mid 5 thousands. So things are kind of shifting around here. And I think it’s also still relevant to talk about this. It’s not going to be so much of a shorter video now, is it, to be so much of a shorter video? Anyways, um, um. Looking at the two day, we can just quickly go through this as well. You know, the two day duel to Death Cross? I do. Again, I do think that day to day till Death Cross is still very much relevant. And I do think that it could still very much play out, as we do see a very similar signature to here to what we seen in the past in both in both instances. Now, the third one kind of formally in front of our very eyes. So this could be a trend if it does play out. But this one about over here, green and purple, fit five and 200. Crossman downside. Slowly but surely, it’s round now below the 21, although it does have the 55 along the way. And that is a that is a hallmark of the last pass crosses. And then boom, massive move. The downside, 50 percent. You already know from 6000 basically to 3000 times before that was running over here in 2014/2015 at this price point. Price action very far away from front from the cross itself, which I think is kind of a it’s kind of similar. What we’re doing right now to Bitcoin gets another test back up to the 55, although after that gets quickly rejected. And once it’s back down below the 21, that’s when the inevitable downside does play out. So what I’m looking at right here is, is same thing as a daily eye. You know, I look at this as overall bearish. As long as you’re below the death cross moving averages, which are where they’re conveniently right at that fucking over $7000 a number, right around seventeen hundred if you wanna get super exact. But. But I don’t play to the downside as long as we are above the 20 1 expense to an average on especially a closing basis. And we will be closing this 2 day doled out now. Not tonight, tomorrow night, tomorrow night at 8:00 p.m. Eastern time. So it’s gonna be a long day, I suppose. But if we do get another test up to the 55, as we have in the past couple instances, I’d say that that would be pretty, pretty stock standard. And it also would be in line with even the short term ranges as that was really such change things around. So I feel like I’ve missed quite a few things on this video. But again, I feel like this past week’s videos have been more or less on topic for that anyways. And realistically, I’m looking at this price session right here, especially on a weekend when it’s kind of flagging now is probably going to, you know, like likely to be trampy. Just higher higher degree, higher degree of crappiness behavior on a weekend. We can go quickly, check out the probability ranges right over here and can actually look at this a little bit differently as well. If we won’t actually do some ring analysis, which should we can we can do future bars. Yeah. If I do it on. Future buys, it should actually do better with the with the with the slopes of these babies, and right now they’re both squeezing on each other. The downsides are side the upside, the site, the ones to the bottom side, which are squeezing the upside, the slope on. That’s a little bit more a little bit more impressive, a little bit more a little bit more direct. Not too crazy. Maybe it’s just my eyes kind of making that up, Knight. I do think I do things with a bit more study them. So technically speaking, it would be a little bit more angled to the upside. However, what I really want to be looking at is the probabilities of the range that we’re looking at. As of the current moment in time and by the way, current, if I use current, it actually does push down a little bit more I think is going to turn into a little bit of a fake out. So Sunny, 350 is still the relevant air to the upside. I would say seventy six to seven hundred. The downs in a more conservative estimate, more aggressive. Seventy six. Seven fifty. And what do we see? Actually, the range is for both relatively small in comparison limit. Just make sure you do have my settings right. I believe and above target probability. Seventeen and a half percent on today’s Daily Dose closure. So it you know, it certainly is possible. It’s bet it’s better than one standard deviation, however. Say it’s what is within one’s own deviation. It looks like just right there. I think that’s a half one on the grey. So that so so as you put them in perspective, that actually is rather high, 14 and a quarter percent to the downside. Again, still within the realm of possibility. But realistically, we have more that y what’s our inside probability is going to be. Well, the difference between those, which is about 68 and a quarter, that we’re just gonna be Ossana between 60, 70, 350 to the upside and sixty seven 50 to the downside, which I think is most likely here, especially on a weekend. I think that we’re progam to test sides of the ranges on the short term. But do we get an actual break on the short term. Well a break of the week’s trend. In this case would be what would be continuation of the downside, not to the upside as this is still a four hour downtrend. As it stands, can very easily revert itself here, but as it stands, it technically is that way. So I think this 50th priority way too long. Porges for that I thought is give me a shorter video. Apparently not. Do you like how the 4 hour turn and simples gonna start to align with the Bluebox A piece in Destiny? To the downside right here. If we do drone on a little bit longer, that should be happening by tomorrow. I do believe unless things just Apsley shatter before end of day today, which I think is a little bit unlikely. I think that we’re perogative to wait until tomorrow for like, you know, a nice move and then we should resolve the range either. Sorry, and I’m not talking about the short term range. Which guy and this guy, but rather the medium term range. This guy over here, sunny, 350 and 6, 750. The downside, I think that we’re gonna be resolving that early this next week. Very, very likely. Quickly, we can look at like the troll and your bands to see if we can come up with any sort of other biases trolling you. What? Actually actually showing some more inherent bullishness here. I did have a fake up to the downside right here, and that usually isn’t that usually is pretty damn good. And what what, you know, wears the tops out of the trolley bands on a daily S300 fucking obviously will quickly look at the MacDonalds as well and see what that one’s showing. See, what do you what do you got for me today. Could it be. Could it be that we’re just gonna be putting another set of bearish divergence here on them on the histogram. Maybe. But that’s that’s fucking crystal ball bullshit which I need to call my shell self out on on a really. And that also imply that we’re gonna get higher has some price action too. So could we move up here and put another set of devant there. Yeah, could be. So there you go. I’m not really getting too much else off the other than that the the only way that I really get some off this is if is if we come down below the zero, read again and cross the downside which we’re not doing right now and that’s not going to happen. Very unlikely to happen today. In fact, so you know what I’d like to see on the Mac? He is like an obvious signal. I’d like to see like a medium term timeframe range broken. So 6 700 in this region. In this case would be great. Plus that crossing back down below the zero read. That would be damn good for some some inherent downside back down below 6000 into like the mid 5000 probably to the upside, a little bit more difficult. I actually think that the shorter term time from the reps and in that a little bit more accurately, a little bit more easily. Right here. So other than that, really not very much has changed from USA to today. Bitcoin’s flagging now and improving its bullish chances. I think a little bit more, but I’d keep an eye on this because when these when these guys start to kiss, if if there’s gonna be a trap, I’d look for it somewhere right around there. Anyways, that’s gonna do it for right now. I’m not gonna be trading today. I will be on Twitch later, say for a long, long, long, long time. In fact, I’m debating just not eating and just playing all day. So so we can maybe see some moves together. Other than that, I want to wish you well once again. Take care and add until next time.

source https://www.cryptosharks.net/bitcoin-double-trap-analysis-april-2020/

[weekendwarriorblog]

30 Minute Experiment: Concerts #30ME

Dear Diary... ha ha... I’ve been wanting to make that joke for weeks. Sure, I kept a journal when I was younger but I never ever thought of starting an entry with “Dear Diary.” I mean, why does anyone do that? It’s not like the pages of your journal are gonna start talking and respond to you. Regardless, let’s do this...

(I’m listening to a live Blue Oyster Cult record while writing this for a reference.)

So yesterday or maybe it was the day before... you may have noticed all of the days blending into one long endless day by now... Mayor DiBlasio aka Blas stated that there would be no concerts in May or June, which probably was referring as much or more to the big outdoor festivals that start happening around this time of year, but no, I took that as ALL concerts from the tiniest clubs to the ones at Madison Square Garden. There have been a lot of exciting reunion tours this year, a few I was looking forward to that had already been postponed, including Supergrass and the House of Love.

I’m sure they’ll happen eventually, but when I opined on my Facebook that there would be no concerts in May or June, I got a whole bunch of negative nelly/debbie downer friends chiming in that I should be ready for there being no concerts until 2021 or even 2022. Everyone thinks that it will take a vaccine before people are ready to be out in public together at something like a rock concert.

I just want to point out that many of the people who responded, I don’t remember the last time any of them actually attended a concert or what concert that might be, but there are a lot of people who clearly have no clue how concerts and live music at all. I don’t know about you, but I’m not going to concerts and just making out with everyone around me. In fact, when I go to concerts at places like the Bowery Ballroom and Brooklyn Steel, moderately big venues but nowhere the size of MSG or something to that effect, I go there, maybe I buy a drink and then I just stand there waiting for the band to come on. I don’t really go to these things to socialize with random strangers or make new friends, and if I get into a conversation with someone around me, it’s a bit of anomaly. I’m there to see a band I like playing live, to feel the music coming off the stage and maybe get a different experience then hearing the songs on headphones from my iPod or computer (which I enjoy just as much).

I’m really enjoying a lot of my favorite artists (shout out to Kevin So and Mike Peters from the Alarm and Ben Gibbard from Death Cab for Cutie!) doing these at-home concerts to keep us entertained, and I love hearing them perform in any setting but it’s JUST NOT THE SAME. After a song is over, I want to whoop and applaud and show my appreciation just like everyone else in the audience, and after a song is over, there’s just silence. I don’t know how weird it is for the artist but it surely is weird for me. 

There’s also the matter of these musicians/artist needing to make a living and whether you like it or not, few of them are earning a living from album sales, not when so many people (including me) are fine listening to their music on Spotify or my new favorite, Tidal. (30 Day Free Trial right now!)

But let’s get back to my friends who I love dearly but I can probably can count on two hands or maybe two hands and one foot the number of my friends that have gone with me to concerts in the 30+ years I’ve lived in New York City. It’s gotten to the point where I don’t even ask them anymore since I know they’re all busy with other things, but that’s fine. Everyone has priorities in their lives and things they need to do. I fully understand. I can think of maybe three to five times in that same period where someone said, “Hey, Ed, do you want to go see so-and-so in concert?” And I’ll tell you, I’m not sure I’ve ever declined a single one of these invitations, because I love and support live music that much. I don’t care who it is. I don’t care what kind of music they’re playing but as long as it’s a different experience than I can get listening to studio albums on my lonesome, I’m in.

I truly believe that the people I mentioned above who responded to my post about there being no concerts in May or June fully believe me what it’s like to be someone like me who has to get out of the house and see some live music every so often to keep from going nuts. 

You might remember the number of times I mentioned my “lost year” in 2013 where I was stuck in Ohio getting leukemia treatment etc, but that whole time, I didn’t get to see a single concert. Believe me, I thought about it. I got a ticket to see The National when they played in Columbus that year and then thought better and resold it on StubHub. I got a ticket to see The Fixx (one of my favorite ‘80s bands) and Wang Chung (!!!) at a casino downtown but that ended up being a particularly bad weekend with a ZERO white blood cell count. Going to a concert would have been a very bad idea.

But when I returned to New York in 2014, what was one of the first things I did? I went to see The Pixies with my brother at NJPAC in Newark, a huge theater that was packed with thousands of people. Mind you, my immune system was barely anywhere near peak capacity still building itself after my transplant but I desperately needed to see a concert after 11 months without seeing one. I wore a mask while I was out in the lobby with people and until we got to our seats and when I felt comfortable that the person next to me wasn’t hacking and coughing, I took the mask off and I had a fucking GREAT time!!! And I didn’t get sick. In fact, it helped lighten my spirits after a year full of loneliness, boredom, depression... and all the other fun stuff that you get when you get cancer treatment.

Now this might be an odd example of a situation that could happen but anyone thinks that Brooklyn Steel couldn’t reopen and maybe limit the capacity/attendance to maybe half or 2/3rds to make the environment safer... that people wouldn’t attend maybe wearing masks and gloves... that people wouldn’t be conscious of not getting too close to others. (Okay, well I can’t speak or those annoying people who feel the need to dance obtrusively aka moshers)...  it just shows that you don’t know anything about how live music and concerts work. Very few of the bands that i like are the ones that seem to lead to moshing and I almost never take part if and when they do.

It also makes it seem like everyone out there is just gonna come to a concert when they’re not feeling well and start hacking and coughing over everyone or that every single person is asymptomatic COVID carriers... I mean, seriously, get real.

There are musicians/artists who need to make a living and pay their rent/mortgages and eat just as much as the rest of us and as long as there are people who want to see them perform live, then they should be allowed to do live shows again. Maybe in smaller capacity venues, maybe even in a half-sold MSG, but it would be a START. 

And for everyone who is saying that we can’t have concerts for another few years because THEY are afraid of being in these environments than you know what? Don’t go. You won’t be missed.  

Sorry this topic has gotten me so angry but for every genius scientist out there, I’ll show you people who follow bands around from city to city surrounded at every show by all kinds of germs who seem to be able to manage fine. 

If COVID is with us now, then we need to learn to live with it. Just like people had to learn to live with HIV and AIDS and take precautions from spreading it. It’s not that difficult a task. But basing everything you do and say on worry and FEAR (there’s that word again) is no way to live your life... and it’s certainly no way I’m gonna live mine. 

Again, I appreciate that all my friends worry and care about my well-being but trust me, going without concerts for another ten months to a year, will make my alter ego Ed Doom even harder to live with. I’m already ready to bust.

No, I’m not gonna go out there like the fools in Michigan to protest that we’re being kept inside for another month (at least), but I also don’t want to hear complaints from people about others wanting to go see concerts or live theater (like Shakespeare in the Park) or other culture because you’re so concerned about the spread of a virus that’s already showing signs of dissipating. We cannot stay in our apartments and houses for the rest of the year, and there’s no reason we should. 

I live in a neighborhood that’s normally pretty active especially at night but there just isn’t anyone on the streets anymore and there’s now been probably six or seven heavy rains that have washed away any and all signs of humanity, and that includes germs. And probably COVID.

So yeah, I agree that we need to get the proper testing and make sure that people can congregate safely, but to just throw away all aspects of why people like me enjoy living in New York and that includes concerts, then yeah, we have nothing more to talk about. You just do not understand. Go back to binge-watching some bullshit television show. 

Looking at my timer, which I remembered to set today, I have about two minutes to settle down and end this #30ME in a more civil tone, but yeah, this subject really gets me riled up.  I could probably write even more about what live music and concerts mean to me and how awful it’s been the last couple years having to cut back my concert budget drastically due to lack of work/money but I think if you’ve read this far, you get the message. Hopefully, I didn’t offend anyone but it took all of my control not to just start blowing up on my Facebook page with some of the responses I got... I mean, SHEESH!

And with that.. my time’s up. Hopefully I’ll have a more interesting or civil topic to disucss on Monday. Have a good Sunday!