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delicatebluebirdruins · 5 years ago

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the hunger games: Catching Fire

i know I’m early but I don’t know the actual time this starts and I’m kind of tired so I’ll just post this now (23:29 pm) and go to bed

1. I love the opening of this film- the music, the cinematography and the outfit Kat is wearing

2. the conversations between Kat and Gale are so awkward

side note: i know someone who worked in the special effects department of this film; i also still have the cinema ticket for it and the odeon article about the film

3. why is the bread that Peeta walks in carrying looks like it has been burned?

4. i love but also don’t understand Mrs E’s accent when she asks “did you have a good walk dear”

5. “this town reduced to ashes” this line from Snow is chilling especially when you know whats going to happen

6. I really don’t care for Effie at the best of times... the hug with Cinna though is amazing

7. “must feed the monster” interesting line from Effie there thoughts?

8. I love the snow kiss

9. “things are great here in 12” But not for long (I am appalled at the lack of Bob Hale/ Dave Lamb gifs tumblr)

10. i love Peeta’s quip about how much closer him and Katniss are

11. I understand Kat’s reaction to the “you’ve earned it line”

12. of course you’re not good with friends Kat you have no true friends in the films

13. Effie’s hair is not that bright a orange really

14. I love the mockingjay in the tunnel and the broken lights flickering

15. i love, love Peeta’s speech and I love the use of Rue’s theme during Kat’s speech and i love the speech but i wish they kept “thank you for your children” and i love the salute

16. i wish we saw the District numbers... and did you notice that they used the same extra in a few of the scenes?

17. i am glad we got a brief glimpse into nights on the train

18. i love the addition of Snow’s granddaughter

19. I love Caesar being so close to Kat when Peeta is proposing

20. “attitude”... the music... the shoulder touch and the creepy smile... the hat tip toward Peeta... the three nails painted black on Peeta’s left hand... “tough act to follow” Effie’s reaction

21. “a chance for the games to mean something”... the fireworks and I love the blood in Snow’s glass

22. i hate the addition of “Gale maybe if we were away from here things would be different between us”

23. Commander Thread is scary

24. I don’t like the change to Gale’s whipping story line

25. I kind of like the blood splatters on Thread

26. I dislike Mrs E having shaking hands when trying to get the morphling out

27. I like this scene with Prim and Katniss however I don’t like Kat’s opening statement

28. I just noticed that Katniss and Prim are sitting together and there is a empty space between Prim and their mum- I love Kat’s reaction to the Quell

side note: I made a excellent pause on Kat’s face when she takes the first swig

29. why did they have to add in the extra kiss between Kat and Gale

30. I love the reaping scene: the music, how sombre (words are hard) it is, Kat’s braid, Effie’s outfit, Effie’s reaction to saying Haymitch’s name and her saying Peeta’s after he volunteers

31. “show then that we are a team, that they can’t just...” what was Effie going to finish with here?

32. “forget everything you think you know about the games”- Cinema Sins: ding

33. i love Haymitch applauding the morphlings for self medicating but it always kind of confuses me

34, Mags is someone we had for only a few days and I always get attached to her despite knowing she dies

35. i love the tribute outfit... and saying hi to the horse... the editing for the “i outgrew them” scene is really abrupt... the smiles between Kat and Peeta... I still wish this scene was at night

36. I love Seeder, Chaff not so much... I hate Haymitch’s reaction to Johanna undressing

37. Brutus spear arm strength though... I love Wiress laughing about the force field... Mags is amazing... I love the shooting scene and Wiress applauding Kat’s abilities

38. I love Kat seeing rue’s painting but i also don’t

39. hello knot tying skills... I wish there was a greater reaction to “Seneca” hanging with them

40. Caesar’s opening for the interviews is amazing but also kind of chilling

41. Caesar’s reaction to Beetee’s suggestion about changing the law

42. what was with the bleeping out of Johanna’s words?

43. “actually be your happier self” made me snort

44. i love the wedding dress... I love Kat going yay spinning, then wtf, then i’m a bird now... I love the mockingjay dress

45. I love Haymitch toasting Peeta after the baby bomb

46. the hand holding... the audience’s reaction

47. Cinna getting hurt is always going to be hard to watch

48. when Kat comes out of the tube in the film it is done so well the panic, the feeling of being thrown of kilter (I wonder how different it would have been without a soundtrack and the only sound we hear is waves) the perfect pairing with “this is no place for a girl on fire”

49. I love the force field kiss

50. Again Snow’s granddaughter is a great addition

51, I wonder how much the Capitol’s electricity bill is

52. I love the spile... and Finnick giving the water to Mags

53. Mags reaction to the chimes hurts me

54. Yes I am in the hunger games, yes i am going to touch the fog you know just to check its actually fog and not some scary weapon

55. the fog scene makes me sad when Finnick keeps telling Mags please get up and later when she walks into the fog... I love the music when the fog disappears (still wish Peeta had lost his leg in the films)

56. i love the Peeta talking to the morphling and how pretty the scene is

57. I wish they kept the pearl scene the same

58. Johanna pulls off the “bloody” look well

side note: my sister came and was really sad to see Wiress

59. the jabberjay scene is horrible... “it’s not real”... I wonder if the Capitol edited videos of Everlark to make it seem like Kat’s the bad guy when they had Peeta dosed with tracker jacker venom

60. I love Finnick twirling the trident in the background

61. I love how the pictures in the locket are just promo pictures... Beach kiss is amazing and I love Johanna calling them lovebirds (I wonder if she was invited to the wedding)

62, I love the “see you at midnight kiss”

63. I love Finnick

64. I love the effect of the “storm clouds” and the force field

65. Snow’s reaction to the arena’s destruction is great (though as i’m typing this I am curious about the timeline like when did the bombers get sent? when Kat was unconscious? how long was she unconscious for?)

66. I love the music for the arena’s destruction: how its shot and of course the music

67. “about the boy” just to clarify about Peeta

68. Its painful to watch Kat’s reaction to learning where Peeta is, her voice breaking with Haymitch’s betrayal and pain over where Peeta is

69. Gale couldn’t you have waited to tell her that D12 was razed to the ground?... I also love the last shot of the film focusing on the emotions flitting across Kat’s face

#thg movie #catching fire #movies #long post #thgmovies

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fadedmelody · 7 years ago

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100 Questions Tag!

tagged by lovely liv ( @nebula-simms ) ty!

1. DO YOU SLEEP WITH YOUR CLOSET DOORS OPEN OR CLOSED? closet? :’)

2. DO YOU TAKE THE SHAMPOOS AND CONDITIONER BOTTLES FROM HOTELS? never been in a hotel tbh

3. DO YOU SLEEP WITH YOUR SHEETS TUCKED IN OR OUT? idk i just sleep with a blanket

4. HAVE YOU STOLEN A STREET SIGN BEFORE? no??

5. DO YOU LIKE TO USE POST-IT NOTES? yes i do! i usually use them to remind me to post something on tumblr or take/edit some screenshots :)

6. DO YOU CUT OUT COUPONS BUT THEN NEVER USE THEM? i never use coupons oops

7. WOULD YOU RATHER BE ATTACKED BY A BIG BEAR OR A SWARM OF BEES? ok for the long run i think bees because even though they could hurt you.. not as much as a bear so?

8. DO YOU HAVE FRECKLES? i have them across my nose and under my eyes :)

9. DO YOU ALWAYS SMILE FOR PICTURES? idk, not usually because im a ~poser~ and i have a horrible smile

10. WHAT IS YOUR BIGGEST PET PEEVE? im stealing this answer from liv, when people walk *so slow* at school and like.. do they not want to get to their class on time?

11. DO YOU EVER COUNT YOUR STEPS WHEN YOU WALK? nopee

12. HAVE YOU PEED IN THE WOODS? no?

13. HAVE YOU EVER POOPED IN THE WOODS? no?

14. DO YOU EVER DANCE EVEN IF THERES NO MUSIC PLAYING? maybe if i’m doing something like cleaning my room

15. DO YOU CHEW YOUR PENS AND PENCILS? i used to chew my pens but not anymoree

16. HOW MANY PEOPLE HAVE YOU SLEPT WITH THIS WEEK? 734635437927837.3

17. WHAT SIZE IS YOUR BED? single :’)

18. WHAT IS YOUR SONG OF THE WEEK? black and gold by Sam Sparro :)

19. IS IT OK FOR GUYS TO WEAR PINK? of course!

20. DO YOU STILL WATCH CARTOONS? not reallyyy unless it’s a film or something

21. WHAT IS YOUR LEAST FAVORITE MOVIE? ooh idk

22. WHERE WOULD YOU BURY HIDDEN TREASURE IF YOU HAD SOME? ooooh probably in my room somewhere because no one would ever find it :’)

23. WHAT DO YOU DRINK WITH DINNER? water, i can’t go like 2 hours without water i stg

24. WHAT DO YOU DIP A CHICKEN NUGGET IN? usually ketchup :)

25. WHAT IS YOUR FAVORITE FOOD? vegetarian spaghetti bolognese omg :’)

26. WHAT MOVIES COULD YOU WATCH OVER AND OVER AGAIN AND STILL LOVE?

Tangled omg, i love that film ;-;

27. LAST PERSON, YOU KISSED/KISSED YOU?

ooh idk (wow mia you havent answered a question like that yet)

28. WERE YOU EVER A BOY/GIRL SCOUT?

nopee

29. WOULD YOU EVER STRIP OR POSE NUDE IN A MAGAZINE? not rn? since i’m a minor ;-;

30. WHEN WAS THE LAST TIME YOU WROTE A LETTER TO SOMEONE ON PAPER? when i was like 7 i think oops

31. CAN YOU CHANGE THE OIL ON A CAR? nope

32. EVER GOTTEN A SPEEDING TICKET? i can’t even drive lmao

33. EVER RAN OUT OF GAS? no because i can’t drive lmao

34. WHAT’S YOUR FAVORITE KIND OF SANDWICH? chicken and stuffing fite me

35. BEST THING TO EAT FOR BREAKFAST? waffles

36. WHAT IS YOUR USUAL BEDTIME? ok recently its been like 12am but its usually around 3am or something

37. ARE YOU LAZY? lordt yes

38. WHEN YOU WERE A KID, WHAT DID YOU DRESS UP AS FOR HALLOWEEN? yesss i still do i cri

39. WHAT IS YOUR CHINESE ASTROLOGICAL SIGN? rooster binch

40. HOW MANY LANGUAGES CAN YOU SPEAK? english and french :)

41. DO YOU HAVE ANY MAGAZINE SUBSCRIPTIONS? nope

42. WHICH ARE BETTER: LEGOS OR LINCOLN LOGS? lego i guess bc i’ve never heard of lincoln logs?

43. ARE YOU STUBBORN? a little bit i guess, because whenever i have to pay someone and they’re like ‘nah it’s alright’ im like nO TAKE MY MONEY

44. WHO IS BETTER: LENO OR LETTERMAN? who dat

45. EVER WATCH SOAP OPERAS?

noo

46. ARE YOU AFRAID OF HEIGHTS?

i mean if i was stood on top of a skyscraper ig i’d be scared :’)

47. DO YOU SING IN THE CAR? only if the music is loud enough for people to not hear me

48. DO YOU SING IN THE SHOWER? ok sad story we only have a bath at my house so no

49. DO YOU DANCE IN THE CAR?

no?

50. EVER USED A GUN? no because they’re not legal here unless you have a hunting license i think

51. LAST TIME YOU GOT A PORTRAIT TAKEN BY A PHOTOGRAPHER? ooo when i was a baby

52. DO YOU THINK MUSICALS ARE CHEESY? obviously musicals like hamilton and in the heights aren’t but some are

53. IS CHRISTMAS STRESSFUL? yess because i have to worry about what gifts i have to get my friends and family w/ the little amount of money i have and the little amount of time i have?

54. EVER EAT A PIEROGI? nope

55. FAVORITE TYPE OF FRUIT PIE? imma be basic ig so apple

56. OCCUPATIONS YOU WANTED TO BE WHEN YOU WERE A KID? i used to wanna be a vet until i realised you’d have to put animals down so hell no

57. DO YOU BELIEVE IN GHOSTS? ye boi, i mean it’s hard not to in my house :’)

58. EVER HAVE A DEJA-VU FEELING? not reallyyy i think its just when i’ve actually done that thing before

59. DO YOU TAKE A VITAMIN DAILY?

nope

60. DO YOU WEAR SLIPPERS?

nope

61. DO YOU WEAR A BATH ROBE? a dressing gown? is that that? then yes ig sometimes

62. WHAT DO YOU WEAR TO BED? whatever i fall asleep in tbh

63. WHAT WAS YOUR FIRST CONCERT? never been to onee

64. WALMART, TARGET, OR KMART? tescos 4 lyfe

65. NIKE OR ADIDAS? nike

66. CHEETOS OR FRITOS? we don’t have them here

67. PEANUTS OR SUNFLOWER SEEDS? peanuts

68. EVER HEAR OF THE GROUP TRES BIEN? umm no but ik what it means lol

69. EVER TAKE DANCE LESSONS? nope

70. IS THERE A PROFESSION YOU PICTURE YOUR FUTURE SPOUSE DOING? oh shit idk

71. CAN YOU CURL YOUR TONGUE? nope, everyone else in my family can do it tho

72. EVER WON A SPELLING BEE? never been in one

73. HAVE YOU EVER CRIED BECAUSE YOU WERE SO HAPPY? this is really sad but i cried when i got ts4 because like.. no way my mum agreed to me playing it because she thought it was about sex & strippers :’)

74. OWN ANY RECORD ALBUMS? nope

75. OWN A RECORD PLAYER? yes but i think my mum only has a few records

76. DO YOU REGULARLY BURN INCENSE? umm no

77. EVER BEEN IN LOVE? ye boi

78. WHO WOULD YOU LIKE TO SEE IN CONCERT? owl 👏 city 👏

79. WHAT WAS THE LAST CONCERT YOU SAW? never been to one

80. HOT TEA OR COLD TEA? hott

81. TEA OR COFFEE?

tea binch

82. SUGAR COOKIES OR SNICKERDOODLES? wth are snickerdoodles

83. CAN YOU SWIM WELL? i can float but if i even think about water on my face i hyperventilate like.. sometimes i think im gonna drown when i WASH MY HAIR

84. CAN YOU HOLD YOUR BREATH WITHOUT HOLDING YOUR NOSE? yep!

85. ARE YOU PATIENT? to a certain extent

86. DJ OR BAND AT A WEDDING? idk

87. EVER WON A CONTEST? yess i’ve won a few ik i have but idk what they were

88. HAVE YOU EVER HAD PLASTIC SURGERY? nooo

89. WHICH ARE BETTER: BLACK OR GREEN OLIVES? errr none?

90. CAN YOU KNIT OR CROCHET? i can knit a little bit

91. BEST ROOM FOR A FIREPLACE? living room? i dont want fire near my stuff or even in my house for that matter

92. DO YOU WANT TO GET MARRIED? umm i guess idk

93. IF MARRIED, HOW LONG HAVE YOU BEEN MARRIED? lol

94. WHO WAS YOUR HIGH SCHOOL CRUSH? idk i’ve had more than 1? is that bad??

95. DO YOU CRY AND THROW A FIT UNTIL YOU GET YOUR OWN WAY? nooooo im not a lil biatch

96. DO YOU HAVE KIDS? um how about no

97. DO YOU WANT KIDS? idk maybe

98. WHAT IS YOUR FAVORITE COLOR? purple

99. DO YOU MISS ANYONE RIGHT NOW? yes >:>

100. WHO ARE YOU GOING TO TAG TO DO THIS TAG NEXT? um idk if you guys have done this/want to do this but i’m gonna tag @femmesim, @bananahut, @wanderlust-sims, @loniden, @faeflowr, @skywardpalms, @lilwisp, @kotiij and anyone who wants to do it :’)

#ask game #non sims #be quiet mia #tagged in #fadedmelody

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league-of-light · 7 years ago

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PLAYOFF PICK’EM

The playoff championships are around the corner and I'm more excited than Phil is to give Katie some lingerie so he can see a girl in undies for the first time in person instead of behind a computer screen (This final pick’em of the season is sponsored by rubhub.tv, your international hub to rub one out). It's your two favorite people here, Mr. Naughty and Mr. Nice (which is which? That's a secret I'll never tell, xoxo Gossip Girl), the Sultans of Shadows, the Lords of Light, your cocomissioners of content, Willyboi and Juan Wandisimo here as we give you the final weekly pickem: Christmas Playoff Edition. We’ll start with the consolation playoffs and then work our way to prime time, because I enjoy building suspense.

A note from the editor: I'm not entirely sure these consolation matchups are correct, but handling the Consolation playoffs has been an absolute nightmare so we're just gonna leave it and determine playoff loser by whoever has the fewest points out of the four of you.

Bowers v. Dylan

Seeing Bowers vs Dylan in the fantasy football championship is like seeing Spotify queue up All I Want for Christmas is You. Seeing Bowers vs Dylan in the fantasy football consolation championship is like seeing Spotify queue up All I want for Christmas is You...by Michael Buble. Sure it warms your heart a little, but it's just not the same. Maybe there's some content since Bowers stole Jordan Matthews from Dylan? I don't know people, I'm trying to make this one work but it just makes me sad. And I don't want to be sad this Christmas. If I wanted to be sad for Christmas I'd go on a double date with Phil and Katie to the sex museum and then come home and watch the NFL give Man of the Year to both Marcus Peters and Michael Bennett with Jason while talking to Tom about Net Neutrality with Smiles Feldman as Evan reminds me Arielle is still a member of this league for another 3 days and Everett is not because that's just the kinda thing Evan would do and then have Harnsowl tell me this scene was the best scene in modern television, on par with Shannons feelings on the Minions movie. If I wanted to be sad I'd do those things. But now I've thought about it and so here I am deep in a pit of misery, I need to smile, Dylan please distract me and tell me who wins this matchup.

I know things didn't work out for Bowers this year, but I think he put together a really good team 🙂. He had some tough luck, but we all had fun and enjoyed each other's company, and that's what really matters 🙂. As for this game, I think my team of Jord's probably won't score too much, so I'd go with Bowers, but really, just getting to this point makes us all winners 🙂. Happy Holidays everyone!

Dear God no.

Samantha vs. Andy

These two duked it out all season for that Wildcard spot, only to have Harnsowl swoop in and steal it at the last second. I don't think there's much heart from either team at this point, which is a shame to see especially during this magical time of year. Perhaps tonight they will be visited by the ghosts of fantasy past, present, and future. For Samantha I imagine that would look like Aaron Jones, Travis Kelce, and Todd Gurley (that's right folks, calling it now, next year she drafts Todd Gurley and breaks my heart) and for Andy we're looking at Julio Jones, TY Hilton, and Andrew Luck (rip). Can one of these two find the fight in their heart to give this one last matchup everything they’ve got? I want a matchup that’s more electric than Dyker Heights or whatever that thing in Brooklyn is called, but I fear we’re only gonna get Christmas on the Mountain in this matchup. Can you find it in your heart people? Do it for Tiny Tim. Speaking of Tim, Dylan, who’s gonna win this?

I expect Mas to continue her impressive run. 2nd in Best Platonic Couple, tied 2nd for Chat MVP (a true miscarriage of justice as Phil won the award despite not being in the chat), roots for the 2nd best baseball team in New York, had the 2nd most successful fantasy football team of the Wettdgje household, was the 2nd banker to join the league, works in the 2nd largest profession block in the league (bankers, behind lawyers), and this week, she'll come in 2nd place in this matchup. Andy comes away with the victory.

Arielle v. Nico

"O man woodnt it b so funni if Will has 2 pay Arielle?" Sure, if you enjoy laughing at the fact that Nico got bumped out of the playoffs by Evan, then I guess continue to yuck it up about him potentially missing out on another $50. It's not like the man's home was ravaged by a hurricane a couple months ago, let's instead think about how funny it would be in 6 months when I Venmo Arielle/speak to her for the last time in my life. You're all monsters. Like the monsters Nico has drummed up for us in our spectacular D&D campaign. Because Nico is the best. I hope Santa brings him, Karla, and Nicole (yeah his dog is named Nicole and his name is Nico shut up don't judge him he adopted the dog and she already had a name. That's now twice you were a jerk to Nico in this write up alone. you owe him an apology) nothing but happiness this holiday. This matchup should be a blow out and your hopes for any lols will deflate quicker than Phils Christmas boner when he realizes despite buying the underwear the instagram thot promoted, Katie's instagram fittness (that’s not a typo, she spells it with 2 t’s) ass goals failed to make her booty look anything like Sarah Termini's or whatever that girl with the big donk is named. Dylan, who u got?

This one is for the Loser's Bracket Championship. So whoever wins it is the best loser. We live in a world where Blake Bortles, the biggest loser QB in the world, is destroying NFL teams. Arielle had the worst team in the league this year, and her conduct has been so bad that it's led one commissioner to say, "Ariellle is out" and to angrily rebuke anyone who says otherwise (although I've enjoyed her recent resurgence). It's only natural that she'd find a way to be the best loser in the league and pick up the victory.

Evan v Harnsowl

O wow oooo wee this is it folks, the matchup of the week, the creme of the crop, the one and only RUBHUB MASTURBATION BOWL. A matchup that literally means nothing other than bragging rights, these two undeserving, ungrateful playoff teams deserve to play each other back and forth until the end of time. I award neither of you any points, and may god have mercy on your souls for taking a playoff spot from Nico and losing week 1 of the playoffs. Watching this matchup is gonna feel a lot like watching A Christmas Story Live! on Fox. You don't know who the hell gave this greenlight, or why they did it in the first place, but this is a flaming hot dumpster fee. And not the kind of dumpster fire where it's so fun you can't help but watch, nah this is a smoky smelly dumpster fire that the hobos use to keep themselves warm because they slipped up and became an alcoholic and their ultra Christian families abandoned them so now they all have is the clothes on their back and this dumpster fire to keep them warm this Christmas. In other words, it's just kind of sad. But hey remember this is the rubhub masturbation bowl so log on to rubhub and use coupon codes HonkIfUrHarny or SevenMinutesInHEvan for 15% off your first month (code depends on the winner). Dylan, what do you think?

Hold on, I have no inspiration at all for this one. We might need to send this one to a special guest picker. I've got legit nothing

There you have it folks, you suck.

Phil v. Walsh

I've got to be honest folks this matchup doesn't tickle my pickle in any way/shape/form. Remember when you were a kid in elementary school on December 23rd? Lunchtime comes and you and the squad are talking about how excited you are to get presents, and little Ben Schwartz chimes in about how tonight is the 8th night of Hanukkah which means he's getting something really good cause his parents save the best present for last! There's no malicious intent, no anti-semiticism, but Ben frankly no one gives a damn. When the break ends I'll be more than happy to hear how awesome it was when you spun your magical Hebrew top for golden coins, but when Christmas is around the corner I can't be bothered. Anyway, this matchup feels a lot like that. I guess there's some excitement that Phil might win money for the first time in 5 years, but at the end of the day I don't really care. We now turn to Dylan Feldman live in the NFL Studio, Dylan, who you got?

Well Will, it's gonna be a great one this weekend, right Shannon *laughs for no particular reason*. Congratulations to Primo Content for amking it this far, but it ends today. Walsh has Lamar Miller out of *Warren Sapp off camera "Merry Christmas baby, here's a dildo... what? oh sorry, THE UUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUU*, and he has a great matchup this week against a Steelers team that will have trouble bouncing back after last week's loss. Phil is also relying on Leonard Fournette, but can he stay healthy? This is a guy who quit on his team before their bowl game last year, so we know he's not clutch. Walsh's team has heart, and that's what you need to win in the loser's bracket in the NATIONAL! FANTASY! FOOTBALL league. Back to you Boom.

Will vs. Jason

I wrote this matchup last, and now I know that I ordered it correctly because that handy dandy image I found this morning says to go I, A, O. But you didn’t come here for Grammar Memes, you came here because this is the moment you’ve all been waiting for. Let’s face it folks, no matter what happens here we’re all winners. If this matchup tells us anything, it’s that irrational love for players is the key ingredient to making the playoffs. I’ve got nothing else to say, so instead I’ll sing you a song. On the 12th day of Christmas my true love gave to me.....

Twelve Nick Foles ducking

Eleven Jimmies ‘gramming

Ten Butkers a-kicking,

Nine Collins dancing,

Eight JuJus a-biking,

Seven Stefons a-digging,

Six Brandins a-cooking,

Five GOUUUUULDEN ROBBIES,

Four calling McCaffs,

Three Jared Goffs,

Two Robert Woods,

And a Todd Gurley for MVP.

That’s it from me folks. Happy Holidays, remember to have your pets spayed or neutered, Phil please use a condom tonight. I’ll pass it off to our expert analyst Dylan. Andylstan, what are we looking at here?

Thanks Boom. This is, of course, one of the toughest picks we've ever had to make, as both of these teams have looked truly dominant at times this year but also have had issues with injuries and seemingly some bad JuJu. To figure out the winner, we've had to develop a new algorithm that we call FORT MINOR, which stands for Final Odds Respective Teams are Memorialized Is Not Overly Rigorous. It is determined by a number of factors, weighted by their importance.

Luck (10%) - Marquise Goodwin was on another team 3 weeks ago, playing uninspired football. Now, he has no dad, no son, and he's putting up fantasy football numbers like he's Julio Jones. Nobody could have guessed Meanwhile, Sean McVay would be this good, and that's been huge for Willl this season. Jason's caught a good break in this category, but Will dominates this one. *Will - 8% Jason - 2%* Skill (20%) - Jason managed to get through the year with largely his original team. One could argue that having a better draft is more skillful. Will, on the other hand, put together a couple of blockbusters to keep his team at the top of the league. He has the slight edge here, thanks to his acquisition of Brandin Cooks (coming off of a very good week) and because of the work he did to win the toughest division in the league. *Will - 11% Jason - 9%* Concentrated Power of Will (15%) - It's in the name. Kudos to Jason, as he did show a ton of grit and determination this year, but there's no way he touches Will in his own category. *Will - 12% Jason - 3%* Pleasure (5%) - I actually think nobody got more joy out of this fantasy football season than Jason. His unbridled enthusiasm for Carson Wentz's breakout year stands apart from the rest of the league. Sure, Will has enjoyed Stefon Diggs, but he has players like that every year. Jason has been able to ride the Wentz Wagon to victory here. *Will - 1% Jason - 4% Pain (50%) - Here's where things get interesting. It comes down to a debate we have constantly in sports. LeBron or Jordan? Clemens or Pedro? Rice or Moss? How do you compare someone with a sustained run of excellence to someone whose peak has never been matched? Will clearly defeated Jason here for the first 13 weeks of the season. You would think that would make him the clear winner. We forget now, but the Dalvin Cook injury was devestating, and Allen "15 TD's" Robinson has unfairly missed out on this great Jaguars season. But they say you could hear Jason heart breaking from halfway around the world when Carson Wentz went down. In the end, that peak is too high to ignore. *Will - 20% Jason - 30%* Reasons to Remember the Name *Will - 52% Jason - 48%* And there you have it folks. FORT MINOR has determined that Will has a 52% chance of winning this week. So, by the slightest of margins, we're predicting that the Blastoise Brigade comes away with the title in a thrilling matchup. Either way, expect a great week of fantasy football. Back to you Boom, and enjoy the holidays everyone!

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daveandtrev · 7 years ago

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2017 Draft Recap

Friends, Confidants, members of the Star Wars Club, I’m going to get straight to the point. It’s good to be writing to you. Mon and I are in month five of our journey around the world (if Europe was the only continent in said world) and being the guy on his computer typing every day is starting to get me weird stares (because of course the WiFi is only in the common area.) So let’s dive into a bit of draft recap and see what we can find.

Per popular request (and for those who said I wouldn’t do it until next year week 8, Mr. Grundy) I want to take a look back at some of my favorite picks right after draft day as well as what I think are the best picks looking back after six weeks. Please note that I would have liked to have made the draft day player selections before Week 1 and I will definitely make a point of selecting these picks earlier next year. For this edition, I looked back to my final draft board and found players who went cheaper than I had them valued and picked the most interesting cases. Picks I like now are the best values with the future in mind.

One last, quick note: I’ve come to really believe that draft results are the biggest indicator of season long success. This sometimes goes without saying, but I don’t think I bought into this enough until last season. Honestly, I asked myself “Why am I not winning more?” and when I looked at the previous drafts (and my preparation habits) I started to understand. With 12 teams reducing viable waiver pickups, the draft has become even more important. I have renewed vigor for draft study and therefore will be tying the draft into most of my thinking and content about our league.

Plunk - My favorite picks on draft day: Stefon Diggs at $12. (I valued him at $15 on draft day). I liked Stefon Diggs a lot and was targeting him from the start…that is until I took the plunge on two expensive RBs in the first 3 picks of the draft and all my planning got scrapped. I was a bit worried when I heard he would play on the outside more this year (as he had so much success in the slot) but really that’s just opened up longer targets and showcased the guy’s talent. He is legit and would probably be worth $25 or more if we drafted again today. His box scores going into the year remind me a lot of Golden Tate (or even TY Hilton): blow up games (150+ yards) mixed with the occasional dud and only a lack of red zone usage/efficiency keeping him from the elite tier. (He has already tripled his RZ scoring from last year. He has three TDs already in five games compared to one TD over the entire previous season. Perhaps he can make the leap.)

Now: Chris Hogan at $3. (Honorable mention to Diggs and Gurley). Gurley has been the RB2 through 6 weeks and Diggs has been the WR7, but Chris Hogan checks in at WR8 and cost a piddly $3 on draft day. He has returned incredible value thus far and should continue to dominate the Pats WR volume. This happens once or twice a year at that point in the draft, but it’s the envy of those $17 Allen Robinson bidders. And those who bought Maclin at $7,Marshall at $8 or Crowder at $10. We won’t even mention Amari Cooper at $37 who currently sits at WR76…

Soape - My favorite pick on draft day: Kareem Hunt, $27. (Valued at $30 on draft day). I wanted to put Adam Thielen here at $3. Unfortunately, even though I liked him on draft day, my final draft board says he was a $2 player. So technically he wasn’t a draft day value. Hence I land on the only player who fits the value criteria – Kareem Hunt. I hoped that nobody would know his name with the late Spencer Ware injury and he’d land in the $18-$20 range. No such luck. Soape came out of a multi year hiatus and picked the best fantasy player in the league for under $30. I won’t even try to say I thought this kind of season was coming. I definitely did not think he’d be sitting at RB1 through 6 weeks. The only reason I put him above TyMont and Cook was because I knew his competition would be near zilch with Ware out (competition was a bit unclear in the other two cases). Well done Soape.

Now: Kareem Hunt at $27. This is clearly a league winning pick if Hunt keeps it up. Soape has shaken off the rust of a year away and is absolutely loaded (He’s also sitting on Antonio Brown and Melvin Gordon. Plus Dak, a legit WR2 in Adam Thielen and Derrick Henry lurking as an absolute beast if given the opportunity.) (How many compliments do I need to give to get that Chik-fil-A bro?)

And I’m going to cheat here….

Now (1B): Adam Thielen at $3. And here is the other lucky lotto winner who has unearthed a starter for under $5. Thielen succeeded towards the end of last year and from what I read, was legitimately creating separation on his routes and beating guys (aka being good at receiver). After talks with Grundy who was worried about the O-Line, I hesitated on my initial love for the Vikes this year and ended up downgrading their offense a bit before draft day. Big mistakey. (I should know that the homers always protect themselves from disappointment. Plenty of people were up on the Bucs this year but I was not buying it myself. It’s the disappointment that comes after elevated expectations that is the true heart killer, so even though you think you’re getting a “better” opinion by talking to said homer, you’re really introducing a reverse bias. Unless you talk to Jason. From which you get, “WE’RE GONNA THRASH!!!!”)

Swave – My favorite pick on draft day: Emmanuel Sanders at $10. (Valued at $15 on draft day). Sanders had almost the same target share as DT last year and was targeted in the red zone and inside the 10 at the exact same rate as DT. And he cost $10 less on draft day. He was a solid pick then and a solid pick now.

Now: Michael Crabtree at $18. I think Sanders is still a good bargain at that price, but I prefer Michael Crabtree today. He is still scoring TDs and its only a matter of time before the Raiders offense starts clicking. He’s currently sitting at WR11. I am starting to come around (slightly) on Duke Johnson who is becoming a staple in the game plan. I annually get nervous to back these exclusive pass catching backs but one or two always end up a top-20 RB by the end of the year and Duke could be forcing his way into the conversation at a cost of only $2.

Dave – My favorite pick on draft day: Ezekiel Elliot at $35. (Valued at $45 on draft day). So in my first draft over on ESPN with my uncle and cousins, Zeke fell to the third round. As soon as I saw him picked at 22nd overall, I knew he was a steal. I decided to make a run for him in our league and see if I could get him under $40 which I was able to do. Yes, he has risk. The suspension clearly could put a damper on things. But the upside was phenomenal. Over the years I have continually wrestled with upside vs. safety and when to pursue each. I used to love the running QBs who had “QB1 overall upside” like Vick, Kaepernick, RG3, and Cam. I would always err on the side of potential and I paid top dollar to draft them. More times than not, I got burned (drafting Vick #2 overall was the pinnacle of that thought process. It did not work out.) I don’t think the problem was pursuing these guys – I think I pursued them when they were priced the highest. Let’s face it – Zeke would have went for $50+ without a suspension. At that price, he’s a bad bet when he could miss half a fantasy season. But at $35? With the recent precedent of Brady two years back in which he played all year long through a similar suspension? I take the bet and hope he returns $50 worth of value but am not killed if he misses 6 games and turns out to only be worth around $20.

Now: Alex Smith at $1. I mean come on! We should have seen this coming right? 10 year veteran breaks out into an MVP player, tapping into the potential we always knew he had as a former #1 overall pick. He puts aside his game-manager ways to relentlessly attack defenses down the field and finally feature his stud TE. This was obvious right? Yup…sometimes it’s better to be lucky than good.

Cristian – My favorite pick on draft day: DeAndre Hopkins at $18. (Valued at $25 on draft day). I probably moved Hopkins and Allen Robinson more than any other players on my draft board. They oscillated between $30 and $15 for a solid month and I never felt good about the spot they were in. (My final draft board had both at $25). The thing I couldn’t argue with was opportunity (which both had a ton of last year) but the thing we knew was that quarterbacks kept them down in previous seasons, and the QB situations of both teams wasn’t resolved. Looking at it six weeks in, I laugh at how we will remember this year for those two players. Robinson was a bust, Hopkins a stud. I love this, because this is the essence of fantasy football. It’s not one-strategy-fits-all. Neither situation was better than the other on draft day (in my opinion). Yet Scooter gets burned and Cristian gets a steal. (Remember this next time you beat yourself up for your season gone amuck: fantasy football is a gambler’s game and hence you get gambler’s odds. With 12 teams its my estimate that everyone has less than a 50% chance at a playoff season, regardless of skill, and the competition in our league likely pushes that number lower (maybe 40%?) for even the most skilled players. We’ll test this thought going forward.)

Now: DeShaun Watson at $1. Yeah bro. He was the best pick on the team. He’s now starring on Jack’s team. Live by the undervalued player, die by the player who explodes after you drop him. At least he plays for the home team, right Cristian?

Monica – My favorite pick on draft day: Gronk at $28. (Valued at $30 on draft day). I also liked Demaryius Thomas at a larger discount, but I was so surprised at Gronk’s price tag (I predicted that he would go for $40) that I believe he was the best pick. The write-up on Zeke applies here. Take the risk when the price drops.

Now: Gronk at $28. I started this article last week and had Rodgers as the potential pick here. That won’t work going forward, even though I think Rodgers at $36 is a solid investment. Even after taking a 0 from a missed game, Gronk is the TE2 with a 30 point lead on the TE6. He is the #1 option on offense for New England and is the favorite to lead the position in points at season’s end.

Grundy: My favorite pick on draft day: Dalvin Cook at $19. (Valued at $25 on draft day). I told Grundy on draft night that I’d rather have Cook at $19 then TyMont at $18, both of whom I valued at $25. Offensive line issues notwithstanding, Dalvin was a massive upgrade over Vikings RBs last year and was going to be featured in the pass game. He was a good bet for work on all downs and I prefer rookies at RB (who see higher efficiency than their older counterparts.) Of course, before we see it happen on the field we are just guessing. At this price, it was a good bet that paid off before injury. (I once took Ryan Matthews in the first round when he was a rookie with the Chargers and I thought he was the next LaDainian Tomlinson. He wasn’t and I sucked that year. Even for “fantasy truths” such as rookie RBs being potentially better picks – consider the price.)

Now: Dalvin was clearly going to be the pick her pre-injury, but going forward I will pivot to Carson Wentz at $8. Wentz has made immense strides this season, vaulting the Philly pass game from the 25th ranking in Passing DVOA up to the 6th ranked team as of Week 6. (DVOA is a Football Outsiders metric which can be read about on footballoutsiders.com. It’s an efficiency metric which means that the Eagles now have a borderline elite passing offense as opposed to being among the league worst last year.) Everyone is waiting on Jameis and Mariota to make the leap – but it’s Wentz who is beating them to it. Grundy is reaping the benefits: Wentz would now fetch over $20 if we drafted today and sits as the overall QB4. (I’m imagining a wistful Jason reading this in Longview as he has collected nearly all Eagles properties without securing the most valuable piece.)

Jason – My favorite pick on draft day: Golden Tate for $11. (Valued at $20 on draft day.) I think I liked every WR that went between $10 and $12 (Sanders, Benjamin, Tate, Garcon, Diggs). Their roles were secure and I felt like most were worth $15 or more. They fell below that threshold and still I drafted exactly zero of them, leaving me with lots of post-draft regret. Tate is a stud who does everything except score double digit TDs. You’re going to get 90 catches, 1000 yards and 5 TDs no matter what. He is the guy in Detroit and he really stood out to me as a bargain when I looked over draft results for the first time. (Side note: remember when he disappeared for the first 5 games last year and he was sitting on waivers for weeks? His coaches had to come out and say he was still a priority on offense. I’m still not sure what happened – but he got his numbers by season’s end).

Now: Tate for $11. Steady as he goes. He is what we thought he was at WR13 so far. (Side note on Jason’s team: What has happened to Gilislee over the past few weeks??)

Trevor – My favorite pick on draft day: Keenan Allen at $21. (Valued at $30 on draft day). Allen has had a strange career with weird injuries. He’s torn an ACL and lacerated a kidney the last two years but has clearly been effective when healthy. I felt that those were more freak injuries than the constant nicks and bruises some players sustain (hello, Jordan Reed) and liked him quite a bit on draft day.

Now: Zach Ertz at $11. Sorry Jason, I misspoke earlier. Ertz may be more valuable than Wentz at his respective position, again showing the growth of the Eagles offense as a whole. Ertz dominated last year when Jordan Matthews was out, but small samples don’t always hold true into the next year (Kyle Rudolph dominated in a similar spot without Diggs last year, but hasn’t had the same value this year, especially without Bradford). In this case, Ertz was a clear bargain at $11 and is scoring at a much higher clip this year (his one previous knock) making him a great selection who currently tops the TE position in fantasy points. (I'll go ahead and plug him for Trevor – he’s very available for trade!)

Phil – My favorite pick on draft day: Doug Martin at $6. (Valued at $10 on draft day.) I figured he might go for $12 or $15 to someone who paired him with Quizz Rodgers or another cheap RB who could get you through the first 3 weeks. But for $6, he’s almost no risk at all. If I wouldn’t have panic drafted Maclin at $7 like a chump (and drafted an $11 WR like I wanted) I would have certainly challenged Phil on this guy. Preseason puff pieces are always something to be weary of, but the Bucs beat reporters seemed earnest on Doug being committed physically and mentally this year. Through two games, this pick looks to be on the right track.

Now: Cameron Brate at $3. Shamelessly target the home team Phil Stark. I admire your faith. Brate has gone nowhere this year despite additions of OJ Howard and DeSean Jackson, keeping his spot as the second option in the Bucs passing game. I think we need to consider the notion that he is establishing himself as a top 5 or 6 fantasy tight end (currently at TE4). Jameis loves him in the red zone and will continue to target him there and everywhere as the season progresses. (Stave Dark home team film review: Brate makes a “wow” play once or twice a game where he makes a reception with a high degree of difficulty. He’s a legitimate talent.)

Scooter: My favorite pick on draft day: Terrelle Pryor at $28. (Valued at $30 on draft day.) My pre draft thoughts: Cousins is still good and all his WRs were leaving. Pryor dominated with Cleveland and was now upgrading to a good QB on a team that wants to pass and should score points. By all accounts the guy is a physical size/speed specimen. I want to bet on guys like this. I valued him conservatively at $30 but felt his upside was top 10 at the position and simply just wanted him on my team (I told you before I’m a sucker for potential). Looking back now, I do think I should have taken two things into account. 1) New QB/WR combos take time to gel and 2) Offensive coordinator changes mean something. Sean McVay was good at his job, and we are seeing him do well with another offensive out in LA. Cousins has been merely okay without him thus far. The jury is still out here, but I absolutely bought in to the hype before the draft and thought he was a great pick.

My other favorite pick on draft day: Darren McFadden at $2. (Valued at $10 on draft day.) I was incredulous to see him go this cheap as a Zeke owner. I just ran out of money (everyone nods with empathy). I was more excited about the Pryor pick (and had more to write on it) but this pick was a great investment if Zeke were to serve his six game suspension. Picks like this can make a 2-3 win difference which can vault a team into the playoffs.

Now: Jordy Nelson at $45. This becomes much tougher to back with Rodgers down, but Hundley has shown well in the preseason before and Jordy is the best weapon on the team. He continues to have the most upside for Scooter’s team going forward.

Jack – My favorite pick on draft day: Leonard Fournette* at $20 (Valued at $25 on draft day.) I have to put an asterisk. I was scared on Fournette. Even though he was a rookie who figured to get featured usage (“fantasy truth” in the right direction) he was also on a bad team who typically see depressed running back points due to being behind on the scoreboard (“fantasy truth” in the wrong direction). He was the only player that Jack drafted who was a bargain in comparison to my auction values. So essentially I didn’t like his team on draft day. I say that for a reason: I was simply wrong. Jack is sitting at 1st overall in the league and is red hot lately as his team put up ridiculously high totals for the 4th straight week. DeShaun Watson has been the waiver pickup of the year and the Jordan Howard trade has worked out nicely thus far. This is with Martavis, Jimmy Graham, and Danny Woodhead adding little (all drafted at over $12+). But Devante is scoring, Fournette is dominant, Howard is getting fantastic volume, and the QB play is exceptional, not to mention the Jacksonville D putting up absurd stat lines. I don’t know many guys who want to win more than Jack does (or who have seen the share of fantasy disappointment that Jack has) so here’s to the scoring binge carrying on a few more weeks.

Now: Fournette at $20. It’s easy at this point. Jacksonville is not a bad team and they boast a dominant defense. I want to say they remind me of an old Ravens team, but Bortles is still 10x worse than Flacco ever was (before this year of course). Fournette is going to crush his draft value and is making a play for top 5 fantasy player in 2017 (I think Hunt, LeVeon, Antonio, and maybe Gurley or Gordon are the only other players that belong in that conversation.) Fournette is currently the overall RB3 and has outscored all WRs and TEs.

One final thought: I believe every fantasy season has a story that cannot be told without making note of significant injuries. It’s the minefield we all play in. Which bombs are going to go off while you are standing above them? This effect uniquely defines each season as much as the draft (low hanging fruit, but I think relevant). Injuries suck in real life and in fantasy too – it isn’t really a skill to avoid them. Through Week 6, here is the scoreboard of major injuries to the game’s main pieces.

Injuries per team of players drafted for $5+: Jack 1 (Woodhead), Scooter 2 (A-Rob, Olsen), Trevor 2 (Dave Johnson, Marshall), Grundy 3 (OBJ, Cook, Luck), Monica 1 (Rodgers). That’s nine major injuries to $5+ players through Week 6. When we look at just draft dollars, Grundy is playing $84 down (although Luck may return soon) and Trevor is down $58, putting both at extreme disadvantages.

I feel this is shorter than usual but 3,700 words will have to do in the midst of globetrotting. I have some other ideas for visualizing our draft investments which I will send out when the travel schedule allows. Truly, I love being a part of this league with you guys and it has been the perfect way to stay in touch with home (‘Merica).

Ciao from Italy,

Stave Dark

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auburnfamilynews · 7 years ago

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It is hard to be upset with Auburn baseball’s loss to Florida State in the NCAA Regional Championship. The team picked to be among the worst in the SEC has far exceeded expectations. Sunday night’s game against host Florida State was a microcosm of the season. The Tigers were down 6–2 in the second inning following a three-run blast by Dylan Busby. It would’ve been easy to turn the game off,and I turned over and went to sleep though my wife kept watching. Her screams of delight woke me when the Tigers went up 7–6 in the ninth. The Seminoles put a leadoff runner aboard but the next play defined the game as the season had been defined. When things looked to be in hand, Auburn suffered a setback.

Just as losing assistant coach Brad Bohannon to Alabama this week wasn’t something the Tigers could help, neither was the terrible call by the umpire that claimed Auburn’s fielder missed the second base bag as he made the transition to turn a routine double play. The loss of Bohannon could be a major distraction while the missed call almost certainly sunk Auburn’s chances to advance to a Super Regional.

Did you get your money in on Jarrett Stidham before he became one of the most popular dark horse candidates for the 2017 Heisman? Just a few months ago, I visited Las Vegas for the second time in two years during the Super Bowl, the most popular sports betting weekend of the year. For me, it’s the weekend to bet on college football. At the time, Stidham had no individual odds posted, meaning he was listed among the field, which has the worst odds. No. 8 now finds himself at 40–1, just behind teammate Kam Pettway at 30–1. Those odds may still be in the bettor’s favor as the JUCO QB is already listed on many websites as a Top 10 QB in the next NFL draft. That’s a lot of faith in a guy who hasn’t played a down for Auburn.

SEC spring meetings raised the age-old talking point of Auburn to the Easy…err….East. It will never happen but yet it comes up every year. The sad thing is …

it really does make sense geographically. It is 1,061 miles from College Station, TX to Columbia, SC. The Alabama/Mississippi State line is neatly the halfway point. Texas A&M, Missouri, LSU, Mississippi State, Ole Miss, Arkansas are easily west of that line, and Alabama is the east of the halfway mark by only 50-odd miles.

Sure, a move makes sense, but so does the fact that SEC football goes through the state of Alabama. While the SEC West has title only been decided once in the Iron Bowl, the state of Alabama has represented the West in 16 of the 25 league championship games. Florida has represented the East 12 times and Georgia ranks second with five appearances. So, it makes sense not only geographically but also from a competition aspect as well. Regardless, it will never happen.

There were some sparse notes in basketball this week. First, Auburn finalized the 2017-2018 conference schedule. According to a report by AL.com, Auburn will play its traditional home-and-home series against Alabama, Georgia and Ole Miss as well as ones with South Carolina and Arkansas. The Tigers’ home SEC schedule will also include matchups with Kentucky and Vanderbilt, and road trips are planned to Florida, Missouri, Tennessee and Mississippi State.

The Tigers were left out of the SEC/Big12 challenge just a year after being the team that provided the tournament tying win, a first for the SEC. Think that’s a coincidence?

Center Horace Spencer hasn’t lit up the scoreboards for Auburn since coming to the Plains. The forward spent much of his time before Austin Wiley arrived in December as a center by default. For a few brief games, fans saw what could have been: a very good Auburn team that might have made it to the Big Dance. However, Spencer missed the last two months of the season nursing a shoulder injury before having surgery. No. 0 is now back practicing with the team and is about to head to Italy.

Spencer isn’t one of the headliner recruits that Bruce Pearl has brought in such as Chuma Okeke. And with only five starting spots available, it will be interesting to see how he fits in with Wiley, Okeke, and fellow forwards Danjel Purifoy and Anfernee McLemore. Purifoy is an obvious starter, and McLemore has athleticism that few can rival. There have been hints at a position move for Purifoy, so things could open up for Spencer down the road.

Coach Gus Malzahn hosted the annual Big Cat Weekend for football recruits. However, there wasn’t the flurry of commitments over the weekend that there has been in recent memory. Many players came away impressed, but the lack of commitments is interesting. By all accounts, most recruits are taking a “wait and see” approach. Is it just prudence, or is it concern that another 8–5 season likely means a coaching change?

Handicapper Danny Sheridan seems to think Malzahn has to beat Alabama this year or face the end of the line. Chances are, however, that a loss to Alabama wouldn’t be the only factor in a coaching decision. Auburn is 0–6 in rivalry games not nicknamed by miracle plays, nor have there been any ten-win seasons, the staple of a good program, since 2013.

Until next time …

The post News and Notes From Auburn Sports—6/6/2017 Edition appeared first on Track 'Em Tigers, Auburn's oldest and most read independent blog.

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