#christine olivares

[missmoodring]

Act 1 Chapter 2 Part 1.2

(Dialog in orange will represent characters speaking Selvadoradian instead of Simlish)

“And last night she woke up three times in her sleep so I woke up three times too! One time she asked me to get her the ice cream and she literally fell back asleep with the spoon hanging out her mouth.” Maverick couldn’t tell if Mateo was complaining or not. Admittedly, it was strange to see his once playboy brother married and an expecting father to twins!

Maverick imagined what their youngest brother, Malachi, would say if he was here instead of away at Britechester. Probably “That’s the life you signed up for,” or “I can’t believe they’re letting you become someone’s dad.”

Mauricio chuckled, revealing in the similarities of what he went through three different times with Eliana. “Do you know what you're having yet?” he questioned his eldest son.

“We do but she wants to keep it a secret and do a gender reveal.” Mateo shrugged. Mauricio did too and then turned to his second son.

“Anything new with you? You buy that ring yet?” Mauricio questioned. Maverick shook his head. Mauricio released a soft sigh. He was hoping that both his eldest sons would have settled down by now. Maverick and Bianca worked well together and Mauricio really liked Bianca. He always had.

He remembered when he first saw her in cadet training. Not only was she a phenomenal critical thinker, she was eager to learn and took no shit, so she advanced pretty quickly at the Oasis Springs Police Department. There was even a point in time where he thought that Bianca would surpass his own son, Mateo, and become the department chief just like he did before he retired.

Disappointed couldn’t even describe what Mauricio felt when he learned that Bianca had up and quit one random Tuesday afternoon. He even took it upon himself to pick up the phone and call her to see what was going on. He remembered her words perfectly, “I don’t think this is meant for me.” What a waste of talent.

“Dinner's ready!” He could hear his wife call out to the boys. The family gathered around the table and did their prayers. Bianca wasn’t quite sure what Mrs. Olivares had whipped up in the kitchen but she made sure to basked in all the aromas before digging in.

“First meal of the year together ,” Eliana prefaced. Mauricio knew it was time.

“I have a case for us. High profile, international, multi victim, good payout. I think-“

“How long is this case going to take?” Christine interrupted.

“I dunno. Maybe a few months. Maybe a year. Maybe two. I can't answer that."

“Well, count Téo out. I can’t even tie my own shoes, how will I be able to take care of two babies by myself? I need my husband home with me more than ever.” Christine said. Mauricio couldn’t help but to agree. He understood that it was time for his son to step up and be the father and husband he promised to be.

“Well, son,” Mauricio turned towards Maverick, “that leaves you and me.” Maverick nodded his head yes. This wasn’t an usual request. He usually helped his father in his ‘side gig’.

“And Bianca.”

Maverick furrowed his brows. Bianca? Bianca knew of the family business but never had she partook in their business dealings.

“Me?” She questioned.

“Yeah, now with Téo out, there’s an open spot on my team. You were always a great investigator and there’s going to be plenty of money going around. This seems like the perfect time to get you involved in the family business.” Mauricio reasoned.

Bianca was still jobless since she abruptly quit the force. Money was tight. Just to get by, she had taken on odd jobs and small loans from her mother. It would be nice to have a little change in her pocket. And this wasn’t real police work. From her understanding, she didn’t have to carry a weapon or chase anyone down. She wouldn’t mind just doing a bit of investigative work.

From the corner of his eye Maverick could see his girlfriend considering the offer. “I don’t think this is a great idea.” He finally said.

“Why not?” Mauricio challenged. The sound of crickets filled the air as the unspoken truth suffocated the family.

Even if Bianca had been shacking up with Maverick for years, was loved by his entire family, invited to each summer vacation, was nearly fluent in Selvadoradian, in the holiday photos, and was on the family cell phone plan, she was just girlfriend. Maybe one day in the future they would be married and popping out babies like Christine and Mateo, but today was not that day. Bianca was not an Olivares.

Even if Bianca had been shacking up with Maverick for years, was loved by his entire family, invited to each summer vacation, was nearly fluent in Selvadoradian, in the holiday photos, and was on the family cell phone plan, she was just girlfriend. Maybe one day in the future they would be married and popping out babies like Christine and Mateo, but today was not that day. Bianca was not an Olivares.

“I’ll do it.” Bianca smiled.

“Good girl.” Mauricio said. Bianca could hear the smile in his voice.

Olivares or not, Bianca was on the case.

Beginning \ Previous\ Next \ Directory

[xian-moriarty]

CALENDRIER DE L'AVENT : 24 (ou peut-être plus) femmes utilisables comme personnages féminin dans de récits de cape et d'épée se déroulant sous le règne de Louis XIII.

24 - Les trois soeurs de Louis XIII. On les oublie souvent, mais les filles d'Henri IV et de Marie de Médicis n'ont pas été de simple potiche. Alors certes, leur statut de princesses les fait quitter la France, mais elles resterons en contact avec leur pays de naissance !

Elisabeth deviendra reine d'Espagne par son mariage avec Philippe IV. Grande mécène de la littérature espagnole, elle arrivera tard sur la scène politique. Avec la conspiration des dames, elle fera tomber Olivares (le richelieu local). Hélas, elle meure en couche à 40 ans.

Christine deviendra duchesse de Savoie. Régente, elle affronta ses beaux-frères pour la gestion de ses Etats. Elle demandera l'aide à la France mais refusera toujours de se retrouver sous domination. Richelieu, sur son lit de mort, avouera qu'elle lui a donné des sueurs froides.

Henriette sera reine d'Angleterre. Débarrasser de Buckingham, elle a une influence considérable sur son époux. Elle a eu du cran cette petite, surtout lors des troubles de la guerre civile qui conduira son Charles Ier à l'échafaud. La digne fille de son père !

[successpolh]

Stylizer 6 infinite trial

#Stylizer 6 infinite trial portable#

#Stylizer 6 infinite trial code#

#Stylizer 6 infinite trial free#

Unsupervised Effectiveness Estimation Through Intersection of Ranking References (João Gabriel Camacho Presotto, Lucas Pascotti Valem, Daniel Carlos Guimarães Pedronette).Pages 231-244 Olivares-Mendez, Holger Voos).Pages 219-230 Real-Time Style Transfer with Strength Control (Victor Kitov).Pages 206-218įaster Visual-Based Localization with Mobile-PoseNet (Claudio Cimarelli, Dario Cazzato, Miguel A.

#Stylizer 6 infinite trial portable#

Personal Identity Verification by EEG-Based Network Representation on a Portable Device (Giulia Orrú, Marco Garau, Matteo Fraschini, Javier Acedo, Luca Didaci, David Ibáñez et al.).Pages 164-171Ī System for Controlling How Carefully Surgeons Are Cleaning Their Hands (Luca Greco, Gennaro Percannella, Pierluigi Ritrovato, Alessia Saggese, Mario Vento).Pages 172-181Ĭlass-Conditional Data Augmentation Applied to Image Classification (Eduardo Aguilar, Petia Radeva).Pages 182-192įabric Classification and Matching Using CNN and Siamese Network for E-commerce (Chandrakant Sonawane, Dipendra Pratap Singh, Raghav Sharma, Aditya Nigam, Arnav Bhavsar).Pages 193-205 Geometrical and Statistical Properties of the Rational Order Pyramid Transform and Dilation Filtering (Kento Hosoya, Kouki Nozawa, Atsushi Imiya).Pages 152-163 Handwriting Analysis to Support Alzheimer’s Disease Diagnosis: A Preliminary Study (Nicole Dalia Cilia, Claudio De Stefano, Francesco Fontanella, Mario Molinara, Alessandra Scotto Di Freca).Pages 143-151

#Stylizer 6 infinite trial code#

Non-contact Heart Rate Monitoring Using Multiple RGB Cameras (Hamideh Ghanadian, Hussein Al Osman).Pages 85-95Īn Efficient Anaglyph 3D Video Watermarking Approach Based on Hybrid Insertion (Dorra Dhaou, Saoussen Ben Jabra, Ezzeddine Zagrouba).Pages 96-107Ī Computer Vision Pipeline that Uses Thermal and RGB Images for the Recognition of Holstein Cattle (Amey Bhole, Owen Falzon, Michael Biehl, George Azzopardi).Pages 108-119ĭeepNautilus: A Deep Learning Based System for Nautical Engines’ Live Vibration Processing (Rosario Carbone, Raffaele Montella, Fabio Narducci, Alfredo Petrosino).Pages 120-131īinary Code for the Compact Palmprint Representation Using Texture Features (Agata Giełczyk, Gian Luca Marcialis, Michał Choraś).Pages 132-142 Uncertainty Based Adaptive Projection Selection Strategy for Binary Tomographic Reconstruction (Gábor Lékó, Szilveszter Domány, Péter Balázs).Pages 74-84

#Stylizer 6 infinite trial free#

Over Time RF Fitting for Jitter Free 3D Vertebra Reconstruction from Video Fluoroscopy (Ioannis Ioannidis, Hammadi Nait-Charif).Pages 49-61Ĭhallenges and Methods of Violence Detection in Surveillance Video: A Survey (Wafa Lejmi, Anouar Ben Khalifa, Mohamed Ali Mahjoub).Pages 62-73 Toward New Spherical Harmonic Shannon Entropy for Surface Modeling (Malika Jallouli, Wafa Belhadj Khalifa, Anouar Ben Mabrouk, Mohamed Ali Mahjoub).Pages 38-48 Hybrid Function Sparse Representation Towards Image Super Resolution (Junyi Bian, Baojun Lin, Ke Zhang).Pages 27-37 3D Color CLUT Compression by Multi-scale Anisotropic Diffusion (David Tschumperlé, Christine Porquet, Amal Mahboubi).Pages 3-14Īnalysis of Skill Improvement Process Based on Movement of Gaze and Hand in Assembly Task (Yohei Kawase, Manabu Hashimoto).Pages 15-26

[sesiondemadrugada]

Gretel & Hansel (Oz Perkins, 2020).

[dragoni]

He's crying because his whiteness, his maleness, his PRIVILEGE, his "promised" perfect future is being questioned, and society never prepared him for failure or for facing the consequences of his actions #KavanaughHearings

— Xorje Olivares‏ @XorjeO - Sept 27, 2018

Remember, Remember, the 6th of November #VoteBlue

[porticodebusto]

Rustic Elegance in Peach, Beige and Burnt Orange The Arnold Ilex Nicolas - Christine Olivar Garden Wedding Yesterday at Portico de Busto 📸: Vincent Zhu Erodias By Portico de Busto Events #DesTINEdToBeWithLex #intimateeventperfectvenue #intimatewedding #intimateweddingperfectvenue Like Lex & Tine, join the celebrities and many others photographed amidst nature in the iconic, classic, picture-perfect setting of Portico de Busto. Celebrate and be seen in probably the most photographed and frequently chosen best venue in Bulacan. "Hindi ka iba". That’s how you’ll feel if Portico de Busto Events manage your wedding. Feel the warmth of a 'special family member' getting married. Having your wedding soon? Tell us your dream, book now! Visit our website for more details. 📱 Smart: 0998 992 8786 Sun: 0925 767 8426 ☎️- Globe: 044 309 3595 📲PM FB @porticobusto #bulacanweddingsuppliers #HindiKaIba #porticodebustodotcom ~~ (at Portico de Busto) https://www.instagram.com/p/Ci55UIMhnqy/?igshid=NGJjMDIxMWI=

[ciudademprendedores7]

Así concluye la 8ª edición del Torneo internacional The Lakes

Barceló Bávaro Grand Resort celebró su 8ª edición del Torneo en The Lakes Barceló Golf Course en el que todos los amantes del golf pudieron disfrutar del campo y las instalaciones de Barceló Bávaro Grand Resort los días 27, 28 y 29 de septiembre.

Situado dentro del complejo Barceló Bávaro Grand Resort, The Lakes Barceló Golf Course conforma uno de los más altos estándares de la industria del golf en República Dominicana ofreciendo a sus jugadores una experiencia de ensueño.

Durante 3 días (uno de práctica, 27 de septiembre y dos de torneo, 28 y 29 de septiembre), los jugadores tuvieron la oportunidad de demostrar sus habilidades, concluyendo con el siguiente pódium:

En la categoría A, el ganador fue Marcel Olivares, y ocuparon el segundo y tercer lugar Justin Rodríguez y Cesar Rodríguez respectivamente. En la categoría B, Franklin Sánchez consiguió el primer puesto, Rudy Daly el segundo y Raul Contreras el tercer puesto. En la categoría C, Ricardo Jeuri Cheviol fue el ganador, Ramon Almonte el segundo clasificado y Luis Ramon Francis como tercer clasificado.

Las damas ganadoras del torneo fueron Cecilia Nord en el primer puesto, Martina Villegas en el segundo y Christine Evans en tercer lugar.

Los jugadores que consiguieron Long Drive, Drive de precisión y acercamiento de bandera también obtuvieron premios especiales y palos de golf. Además de los trofeos, los ganadores obtuvieron certificados de estancia y green fee, saquetas y carritos de golf. También se repartieron 12 certificados de estadías en hoteles de la cadena, vales de compra en la tienda Pro Shop del campo de Golf The Lakes, carritos de golf y un carro, entre otros premios.

Un campo de golf profesional y de diseño The Lakes Barceló Golf Course, se trata del primer campo que se construyó en el área de Bávaro y Punta Cana hace más de 20 años. Rediseñado en el 2010 por el reconocido arquitecto P.B Dye, el cual, estuvo involucrado desde el principio y supervisó directamente todo el proceso

El campo de golf, atraviesa un frondoso bosque de manglares, con 25 lagos tierra adentro y 122 trampas de arena que fueron posicionadas estratégicamente.

El diseño aprovecha la belleza natural de la zona de Bávaro, la incorporación de especies y plantas nativas en torno a sus verdes meticulosamente bien cuidados greens y fairways, 6.655 yardas desde la salida de profesionales, los 18 hoyos y par 72, de campeonato.

Leer mas...

[crosscountryrally]

Christine Giampaoli Zonca aspira a la consistencia en el Ocean X-Prix:  “Lo principal para mí es que hacer un buen trabajo y devolver el coche de forma segura al equipo”

La piloto italo-española Christine Giampaoli Zonca junto a su compañero Oliver Bennett tuvo que realizar la primera vuelta en el nuevo circuito de Dakar, Senegal para el Ocean X-Prix antes que los otros equipos y eso les jugó en contra en el clasificador, terminando novenos en los entrenamientos. Christine GZ espera que haciendo una vuelta consistente, habiendo completado más kilómetros en los autos en cada sesión llevará al equipo Hispano Suiza Xite Energy a los puestos de Semi-Fnal.

“Este circuito aquí en Lac Rose es completamente diferente al de Arabia. Esperaba dunas como las que teníamos allí y que fuera un poco más lento que el desierto, pero no es así. Yo diría que el principal problema que tenemos aquí es intentar adaptarnos al coche ya que todo es nuevo, ya que no tenemos pruebas en absoluto, pero ese es el mismo problema para todos los equipos. Lo principal para mí es que hacer un buen trabajo y devolver el coche de forma segura al equipo” comentó la española después de los entrenamientos, enfocándose en hacer una vuelta segura también mañana, que les permita aspirar a los puestos de Semi-Final (1° al 6°). 

Sin olivar que Extreme E corre con un propósito, Christine GZ destacó el lado de apoyo social de la categoría: “Ha sido realmente genial estar involucrada en los proyectos Legacy; por lo general, siempre digo que las carreras y 'salvar el mundo' no encajan realmente, por lo que este campeonato ya ha sido increíble por esa razón” agregó Christine, respecto del trabajo de Extreme E en los problemas climáticos y sociales en los países que visita. “Ayer, conocer a la gente local aquí e ir a la escuela y ver de primera mano cuánto pueden hacer con tan poco, es increíble. Ha sido muy bueno hacer algo fuera de las carreras que también ayudará a marcar una diferencia real en la vida de las personas, a menudo no tenemos la oportunidad de hacer eso, así que estoy realmente feliz por eso ".

La clasificación del Ocean X-Prix se realizará en dos sesiones mañana, programadas a las 7:30 y a las 12:00 del día.

Imagen: myenergi en Twitter

[missmoodring]

Act 1 Chapter 2 Part 2.1

Oasis Springs – Sunday, January 7th, 2024

“They’re here!” the sound of the knocking on the door nearly made Eliana’s heart jump out of her chest. As soon as Mauricio got back to Oasis Springs, Eliana was given clear instructions: Plan a family dinner.

So she did. She cleaned the house, looked up a new recipe and sent a funny text in the family group chat to make sure the kids knew they were required to be here.

“I’m so happy to see you,” Eliana said as she buried herself between her son’s and his girlfriend’s face. Maverick was used to his mother over pouring her love.

Bianca was not.

But that did not stop Bianca from returning the love that Eliana graciously gave her.

Eliana turned to her middle son, Maverick, “Your father and brother are outside by the pit. Us girls are going to finish up dinner and call you inside when it’s ready.” Maverick sheepishly smiled at his mother’s command.

The two women retreated to the kitchen to prepare dinner.

“Bibi,” Christine greeted. She shifted in her seat as she tried to pull the weight of herself and her two bubbas around. Although Christine was only a few months pregnant, carrying two babies caused a lot of stress on her frail frame.

“Don’t even think about getting up!” Bianca smiled as she hugged Christine and took a seat next to her.

The three women chatted, mainly about Christine’s growing stomach and her shrinking bladder, as Eliana prepared dinner for The Olivares Family.

Over at the pit, the men talked about… surprisingly, the same thing.

Beginning \ Previous\ Next \ Directory

[cleopatrarps]

Just the Fear of a Trade War Is Straining the Global Economy

LONDON — Only a few months ago, the global economy appeared to be humming, with all major nations growing in unison. Now, the world’s fortunes are imperiled by an unfolding trade war.

As the Trump administration imposes tariffs on allies and rivals alike, provoking broad retaliation, global commerce is suffering disruption, flashing signs of strains that could hamper economic growth. The latest escalation came on Friday, when President Trump announced fresh tariffs on $50 billion in Chinese goods, prompting swift retribution from Beijing.

As the conflict broadens, shipments are slowing at ports and airfreight terminals around the world. Prices for crucial raw materials are rising. At factories from Germany to Mexico, orders are being cut and investments delayed. American farmers are losing sales as trading partners hit back with duties of their own.

Workers in a Canadian steel mill scrambled to recall rail cars headed to the United States border after Mr. Trump this month slapped tariffs on imported metals. A Seattle customer soon canceled an order.

“The impact was felt immediately,” said Jon Hobbs president of AltaSteel in Edmonton. “The penny is really dropping now as to what this means to people’s businesses.”

The Trump administration portrays its confrontational stance as a means of forcing multinational companies to bring factory production back to American shores. Mr. Trump has described trade wars as “easy to win” while vowing to rebalance the United States’ trade deficits with major economies like China and Germany.

Mr. Trump’s offensive may yet prove to be a negotiating tactic that threatens economic pain to force deals, rather than a move to a full-blown trade war. Americans appear to be better insulated than most from the consequences of trade hostilities. As a large economy in relatively strong shape, the United States can find domestic buyers for its goods and services when export opportunities shrink.

Even so, history has proved that trade wars are costly while escalating risks of broader hostilities. Fears are deepening that the current outbreak of antagonism could drag down the rest of the world.

Before most trade measures fully take effect, businesses are already grappling with the consequences — threats to their supplies, uncertainty over the terms of trade and gnawing fear about what comes next.

“Just talking about protectionism is causing trouble,” said Marie Owens Thomsen, global chief economist at Indosuez Wealth Management in Geneva. “It’s an existential risk to the world economy.”

After two years of expansion, airfreight traffic was flat over the first three months of the year, according to the International Air Transport Association. Dips have been especially pronounced in Europe and Asia.

Container ships, the workhorses of global commerce, have seen no growth in freight since last fall in seasonally adjusted terms, according to a key index.

A gauge of world trade tracked by Oxford Economics, a research firm in London, recently registered its weakest showing since early 2017.

“Let us not understate the macroeconomic impact,” the managing director of the International Monetary Fund, Christine Lagarde, warned this past week about trade conflicts. “It would be serious, not only if the United States took action, but especially if other countries were to retaliate, notably those who would be most affected, such as Canada, Europe and Germany.”

Threats to trade are emerging just as the global economy contends with other substantial challenges.

The Trump administration’s decision to reinstate sanctions on Iran has lifted oil prices, adding pressure to importers worldwide. Europe’s economy is weakening, with Germany — the continent’s largest economy — especially vulnerable. Central banks in the United States and Europe are withdrawing the cheap money they sent coursing through the global financial system after the crisis of 2008, lifting borrowing costs.

The Trump administration has embroiled the United States in increasingly acrimonious conflicts with huge trading partners.

The United States last year imported more than $600 billion in goods and services from Canada and Mexico, the two other nations in the North American Free Trade Agreement — a deal Mr. Trump has threatened to blow up. Americans bought more than $500 billion in wares from China, and another $450 billion from the European Union. Collectively, that amounts to nearly two-thirds of all American imports.

“If you seriously disrupt any of these three, you’re going to feel the effects,” said Adam Slater, lead economist at Oxford Economics. “If you disrupt all three at once, you’re going to feel it quite severely.”

In Houston, still recovering from the devastation inflicted by Hurricane Harvey, the steel tariffs loom like another storm on the horizon.

The Greater Port of Houston, a network of nearly 200 terminals lining 25 miles of channel, is one of the busiest seaborne cargo hubs on the planet. It is also a major local employer, and the largest importer of steel in North America. Steel imports have been surging, especially pipes used by the energy industry.

Sixteen years ago, when President George W. Bush put tariffs on steel, imports fell substantially. Such memories now stoke modern-day fears.

“We’re kind of in a wait-and-see mode,” said Roger Guenther, executive director for the Port of Houston Authority.

For companies that make steel and aluminum, the American tariffs have presented a direct and menacing challenge to their businesses.

At Alta, the steel mill in Edmonton, the metals tariffs delivered an immediate crisis. Roughly one-fifth of the company’s business involves shipping steel to American customers.

Suddenly, the border separating Canada from the United States was effectively enshrouded in fog. The company redirected rail cars destined for customers in the United States, incurring extra freight charges reaching 100,000 Canadian dollars (about $76,000).

Lawyers for some of Alta’s customers have suggested that certain products might be classified to avoid tripping the American tariffs, which apply only to specific types of steel. Yet for now, the company is waiting for rulings from overwhelmed American customs officials.

“We do not know when we will get an answer out of the U.S. government,” Mr. Hobbs said. “Nobody, including the U.S. border protection agency, knows what to do.”

Across Europe, steel makers fret about an indirect consequence of Mr. Trump’s tariffs — cheap Chinese steel previously destined for the United States, now redirected to their continent.

“We have seen increases,” said Mathias Ternell, international affairs director at Jernkontoret, a Swedish steel industry association in Stockholm. “This is what Swedish companies and European companies worry about the most.”

Mr. Trump portrays trade hostilities as a necessary corrective to the United States’ trade deficits with other nations. But economists and business leaders note that many imports are components that are used to manufacture goods at American factories.

For buyers of steel and aluminum inside the United States, the tariffs have increased prices, discouraging investment.

Electrolux, the Swedish manufacturer of household appliances, recently postponed plans to upgrade a stove factory in Tennessee, citing uncertainties created by the tariffs.

In the suburbs of Austin, Tex., Matt Bush, vice president of a small company that makes structures used in office buildings and retail spaces, said steel tariffs would force his company to pay as much as $50,000 a month extra for metal.

“You have to imagine all the people who are purchasing raw steel and aluminum for input into their business are in the same predicament,” he said. “And it’s probably staggering how far that reaches.”

Spain has emerged from a depression to become one of the fastest growing economies in Europe. Trade conflict is directly challenging that trajectory.

In the Spanish city of Toledo, Extol, a company that makes parts for the automobile and railroad industries, has recently seen customers demand supply contracts lasting no more than three months, rather than the usual one-year duration. With the price of aluminum rising, buyers are reluctant to commit, said the company’s chief executive, Fernando Busto.

“We are watching events with enormous worry,” Mr. Busto said. “The political decisions of Donald Trump are resulting in turbulence and volatility.”

Far beyond the realm of metal, the impact of trade skirmishes are rippling out, hitting small businesses and consumers.

In Mexico, anxiety about trade has persisted ever since Mr. Trump took office, given his threats to tear up the North American Free Trade Agreement, and his designs on constructing a wall along the border. Ordinary Mexicans have absorbed the hit as the peso has plunged in value, raising the cost of everyday goods from the United States.

“That president is driving us to bankruptcy,” said Gustavo Ferreyra Olivares, a fruit seller who has operated a stall at a covered market in Mexico City for 35 years. “Trump is the one who has raised the prices.”

Most of the fresh fruit at his stall was grown in Mexico. But Granny Smith apples nestled in molded cardboard bore the USA label. So did a pile of glistening Gala apples, and neat lines of Red Delicious.

Under Nafta, Mexico has grown into the world’s largest importer of American apples. But sales are down because the price has gone up by nearly one-fifth in the past week alone.

The Mexican government recently imposed 20 percent tariffs on American apples in response to Mr. Trump’s duties on steel. That will make it harder for Mr. Ferreyra to sell his American produce. He envisions farmers hurting on the other side of the border, too.

“Mexico is a big importer of apples,” he said. “If we decide to boycott them, they will all have to stay up there.”

Global commodities markets are wrestling with the impacts of trade conflict, especially as China seeks alternatives to American suppliers.

In recent years, as the ranks of China’s middle class have grown, so has the national appetite for pork. Raising growing numbers of pigs has forced China to import increasing volumes of American soybeans.

But China has taken direct aim at American farms in retaliation for Mr. Trump’s metals tariffs, threatening duties on soybeans from the United States. Chinese pork producers have turned their sights to Brazil and Argentina, the only countries that now produce enough soybeans to offer a potential alternative to the American supply.

On the other side of the Atlantic, Jesper Pagh sat in his office in Copenhagen and watched the result — rising prices for soybeans on world markets.

Mr. Pagh oversees the livestock feed business at the DLG Group, an agribusiness conglomerate that supplies customers in Sweden, Germany and Denmark. His company has traditionally tapped South America for soybeans. Now, Chinese competition was increasing the cost.

American soybeans were suddenly available, but they presented a mismatch. Europe imports soybean meal, not the beans. In the United States, the crushing plants that make meal were already tied up by domestic customers.

A veteran of the commodity world, Mr. Pagh is accustomed to prices that fluctuate. His company relies on long-term supply contracts, limiting its vulnerability to price shifts.

Still, here was a new variable.

“It’s another factor that’s affecting the volatility and the level of nervousness in the market,” Mr. Pagh said. “It’s not something that really keeps me awake at night, but, of course, it can escalate.”

Ian Austen reported from Ottawa and Elizabeth Malkin from Mexico City. Reporting was contributed by David Montgomery in Austin, Tex.; Rachel Chaundler in Zaragoza, Spain; Christina Anderson in Stockholm; Gaia Pianigiani in Rome; and Cao Li in Hong Kong.

A version of this article appears in print on , on Page A1 of the New York edition with the headline: Trade War Fears Start to Strain Global Economy . Order Reprints | Today’s Paper | Subscribe

The post Just the Fear of a Trade War Is Straining the Global Economy appeared first on World The News.

from World The News https://ift.tt/2JQe9vl via News of World

[dani-qrt]

Just the Fear of a Trade War Is Straining the Global Economy

LONDON — Only a few months ago, the global economy appeared to be humming, with all major nations growing in unison. Now, the world’s fortunes are imperiled by an unfolding trade war.

As the Trump administration imposes tariffs on allies and rivals alike, provoking broad retaliation, global commerce is suffering disruption, flashing signs of strains that could hamper economic growth. The latest escalation came on Friday, when President Trump announced fresh tariffs on $50 billion in Chinese goods, prompting swift retribution from Beijing.

As the conflict broadens, shipments are slowing at ports and airfreight terminals around the world. Prices for crucial raw materials are rising. At factories from Germany to Mexico, orders are being cut and investments delayed. American farmers are losing sales as trading partners hit back with duties of their own.

Workers in a Canadian steel mill scrambled to recall rail cars headed to the United States border after Mr. Trump this month slapped tariffs on imported metals. A Seattle customer soon canceled an order.

“The impact was felt immediately,” said Jon Hobbs president of AltaSteel in Edmonton. “The penny is really dropping now as to what this means to people’s businesses.”

The Trump administration portrays its confrontational stance as a means of forcing multinational companies to bring factory production back to American shores. Mr. Trump has described trade wars as “easy to win” while vowing to rebalance the United States’ trade deficits with major economies like China and Germany.

Mr. Trump’s offensive may yet prove to be a negotiating tactic that threatens economic pain to force deals, rather than a move to a full-blown trade war. Americans appear to be better insulated than most from the consequences of trade hostilities. As a large economy in relatively strong shape, the United States can find domestic buyers for its goods and services when export opportunities shrink.

Even so, history has proved that trade wars are costly while escalating risks of broader hostilities. Fears are deepening that the current outbreak of antagonism could drag down the rest of the world.

Before most trade measures fully take effect, businesses are already grappling with the consequences — threats to their supplies, uncertainty over the terms of trade and gnawing fear about what comes next.

“Just talking about protectionism is causing trouble,” said Marie Owens Thomsen, global chief economist at Indosuez Wealth Management in Geneva. “It’s an existential risk to the world economy.”

After two years of expansion, airfreight traffic was flat over the first three months of the year, according to the International Air Transport Association. Dips have been especially pronounced in Europe and Asia.

Container ships, the workhorses of global commerce, have seen no growth in freight since last fall in seasonally adjusted terms, according to a key index.

A gauge of world trade tracked by Oxford Economics, a research firm in London, recently registered its weakest showing since early 2017.

“Let us not understate the macroeconomic impact,” the managing director of the International Monetary Fund, Christine Lagarde, warned this past week about trade conflicts. “It would be serious, not only if the United States took action, but especially if other countries were to retaliate, notably those who would be most affected, such as Canada, Europe and Germany.”

Threats to trade are emerging just as the global economy contends with other substantial challenges.

The Trump administration’s decision to reinstate sanctions on Iran has lifted oil prices, adding pressure to importers worldwide. Europe’s economy is weakening, with Germany — the continent’s largest economy — especially vulnerable. Central banks in the United States and Europe are withdrawing the cheap money they sent coursing through the global financial system after the crisis of 2008, lifting borrowing costs.

The Trump administration has embroiled the United States in increasingly acrimonious conflicts with huge trading partners.

The United States last year imported more than $600 billion in goods and services from Canada and Mexico, the two other nations in the North American Free Trade Agreement — a deal Mr. Trump has threatened to blow up. Americans bought more than $500 billion in wares from China, and another $450 billion from the European Union. Collectively, that amounts to nearly two-thirds of all American imports.

“If you seriously disrupt any of these three, you’re going to feel the effects,” said Adam Slater, lead economist at Oxford Economics. “If you disrupt all three at once, you’re going to feel it quite severely.”

In Houston, still recovering from the devastation inflicted by Hurricane Harvey, the steel tariffs loom like another storm on the horizon.

The Greater Port of Houston, a network of nearly 200 terminals lining 25 miles of channel, is one of the busiest seaborne cargo hubs on the planet. It is also a major local employer, and the largest importer of steel in North America. Steel imports have been surging, especially pipes used by the energy industry.

Sixteen years ago, when President George W. Bush put tariffs on steel, imports fell substantially. Such memories now stoke modern-day fears.

“We’re kind of in a wait-and-see mode,” said Roger Guenther, executive director for the Port of Houston Authority.

For companies that make steel and aluminum, the American tariffs have presented a direct and menacing challenge to their businesses.

At Alta, the steel mill in Edmonton, the metals tariffs delivered an immediate crisis. Roughly one-fifth of the company’s business involves shipping steel to American customers.

Suddenly, the border separating Canada from the United States was effectively enshrouded in fog. The company redirected rail cars destined for customers in the United States, incurring extra freight charges reaching 100,000 Canadian dollars (about $76,000).

Lawyers for some of Alta’s customers have suggested that certain products might be classified to avoid tripping the American tariffs, which apply only to specific types of steel. Yet for now, the company is waiting for rulings from overwhelmed American customs officials.

“We do not know when we will get an answer out of the U.S. government,” Mr. Hobbs said. “Nobody, including the U.S. border protection agency, knows what to do.”

Across Europe, steel makers fret about an indirect consequence of Mr. Trump’s tariffs — cheap Chinese steel previously destined for the United States, now redirected to their continent.

“We have seen increases,” said Mathias Ternell, international affairs director at Jernkontoret, a Swedish steel industry association in Stockholm. “This is what Swedish companies and European companies worry about the most.”

Mr. Trump portrays trade hostilities as a necessary corrective to the United States’ trade deficits with other nations. But economists and business leaders note that many imports are components that are used to manufacture goods at American factories.

For buyers of steel and aluminum inside the United States, the tariffs have increased prices, discouraging investment.

Electrolux, the Swedish manufacturer of household appliances, recently postponed plans to upgrade a stove factory in Tennessee, citing uncertainties created by the tariffs.

In the suburbs of Austin, Tex., Matt Bush, vice president of a small company that makes structures used in office buildings and retail spaces, said steel tariffs would force his company to pay as much as $50,000 a month extra for metal.

“You have to imagine all the people who are purchasing raw steel and aluminum for input into their business are in the same predicament,” he said. “And it’s probably staggering how far that reaches.”

Spain has emerged from a depression to become one of the fastest growing economies in Europe. Trade conflict is directly challenging that trajectory.

In the Spanish city of Toledo, Extol, a company that makes parts for the automobile and railroad industries, has recently seen customers demand supply contracts lasting no more than three months, rather than the usual one-year duration. With the price of aluminum rising, buyers are reluctant to commit, said the company’s chief executive, Fernando Busto.

“We are watching events with enormous worry,” Mr. Busto said. “The political decisions of Donald Trump are resulting in turbulence and volatility.”

Far beyond the realm of metal, the impact of trade skirmishes are rippling out, hitting small businesses and consumers.

In Mexico, anxiety about trade has persisted ever since Mr. Trump took office, given his threats to tear up the North American Free Trade Agreement, and his designs on constructing a wall along the border. Ordinary Mexicans have absorbed the hit as the peso has plunged in value, raising the cost of everyday goods from the United States.

“That president is driving us to bankruptcy,” said Gustavo Ferreyra Olivares, a fruit seller who has operated a stall at a covered market in Mexico City for 35 years. “Trump is the one who has raised the prices.”

Most of the fresh fruit at his stall was grown in Mexico. But Granny Smith apples nestled in molded cardboard bore the USA label. So did a pile of glistening Gala apples, and neat lines of Red Delicious.

Under Nafta, Mexico has grown into the world’s largest importer of American apples. But sales are down because the price has gone up by nearly one-fifth in the past week alone.

The Mexican government recently imposed 20 percent tariffs on American apples in response to Mr. Trump’s duties on steel. That will make it harder for Mr. Ferreyra to sell his American produce. He envisions farmers hurting on the other side of the border, too.

“Mexico is a big importer of apples,” he said. “If we decide to boycott them, they will all have to stay up there.”

Global commodities markets are wrestling with the impacts of trade conflict, especially as China seeks alternatives to American suppliers.

In recent years, as the ranks of China’s middle class have grown, so has the national appetite for pork. Raising growing numbers of pigs has forced China to import increasing volumes of American soybeans.

But China has taken direct aim at American farms in retaliation for Mr. Trump’s metals tariffs, threatening duties on soybeans from the United States. Chinese pork producers have turned their sights to Brazil and Argentina, the only countries that now produce enough soybeans to offer a potential alternative to the American supply.

On the other side of the Atlantic, Jesper Pagh sat in his office in Copenhagen and watched the result — rising prices for soybeans on world markets.

Mr. Pagh oversees the livestock feed business at the DLG Group, an agribusiness conglomerate that supplies customers in Sweden, Germany and Denmark. His company has traditionally tapped South America for soybeans. Now, Chinese competition was increasing the cost.

American soybeans were suddenly available, but they presented a mismatch. Europe imports soybean meal, not the beans. In the United States, the crushing plants that make meal were already tied up by domestic customers.

A veteran of the commodity world, Mr. Pagh is accustomed to prices that fluctuate. His company relies on long-term supply contracts, limiting its vulnerability to price shifts.

Still, here was a new variable.

“It’s another factor that’s affecting the volatility and the level of nervousness in the market,” Mr. Pagh said. “It’s not something that really keeps me awake at night, but, of course, it can escalate.”

Ian Austen reported from Ottawa and Elizabeth Malkin from Mexico City. Reporting was contributed by David Montgomery in Austin, Tex.; Rachel Chaundler in Zaragoza, Spain; Christina Anderson in Stockholm; Gaia Pianigiani in Rome; and Cao Li in Hong Kong.

A version of this article appears in print on , on Page A1 of the New York edition with the headline: Trade War Fears Start to Strain Global Economy . Order Reprints | Today’s Paper | Subscribe

The post Just the Fear of a Trade War Is Straining the Global Economy appeared first on World The News.

from World The News https://ift.tt/2JQe9vl via Online News

[stem-175-blog]

The Phantom of the Opera at the Royal Albert Hall: A Timeless Story of Unimaginable Love

By Ronalyn Lourdez Olivares

Be on your guard and remember to keep your hand at the level of your eyes for The Phantom of the Opera will lasso you into its fandom of no return.

The musical had yet again made another comeback produced by the famous Broadway theatre around the year of 2012. It is to celebrate the 25 years of continuous success and undying support of the audience for the said longest-running hit by the theatre.

The Phantom of the Opera is based from a novel of the same title by Gaston Leroux. It is about a deformed masked genius who secretly resides in the underground cavern of the Paris Opera House. The mysterious man tutored Christine Daae, a rising young soprano—eventually developing an obsessive love for her. After her debut, the phantom insisted to the new managers of the opera house that she must continue as a lead singer. Defy him and they will have a piece of his murderous ways.

It has those heavy and dark elements, but those highly contributed to the beauty and uniqueness of the story. Furthermore, the show it not what it seems to be and has a lot in store for its audience.

First of all, is the music. Each piece was well-composed and fitting to the theme of the musical. My personal favorite is ‘The Phantom of the Opera’ because of its very catchy beat and rock-like vibe that gets me bopping and singing along every time. Sierra Boggess, the one who played as Christine, slayed the viewers when she held several high notes for a long duration of time around the end of the song. She must have practiced hard because her performance sounds so effortless. This Phantom of the Opera also highlights the dependent and obsessive relationship between the phantom and the soprano. Additionally, there are also other songs that I kept playing on replay and absolutely recommend which are ‘Music of the Night’, ‘Think of Me’, ‘All I Ask of You’, ‘Angel of Music’, and ‘Masquerade.’

The performers were also extraordinary and on point. Although the performer who captured my attention is the one who played the phantom, Ramin Karimloo. The phantom is known for his terrifying, dangerous and fragile personality and he gave the audience exactly that. Frankly, I tear up when it was his turn to sing after Raoul, the handsome suitor, and Christine’s duet because his feeling of sadness feels so genuine. The heart-breaking scene where the music box, with a monkey figurine, played ‘Masquerade’ and he sang along in tears because he felt kindness for the first time pulled at my heartstrings. His powerful voice and acting definitely gave the role justice.

I would also like to comment on Sierra Boggess’s perfect portrayal of Christine Daae. During the scene where she was performing ‘Think of Me,’ the shine in her eyes and enchanting voice conveyed the excitement and child-like joy the soprano was feeling during her debut. In addition, the development of the character was also prominent all throughout the show unlike in the other versions. Her version of Christine is one who was weak and dependent that gradually matured into a courageous woman—a woman that can look straight into the phantom’s eyes. She had proven with flying colors that she is one of the best performers of the character. With these two talented people—Ramin Karimloo and Sierra Boggess combined, the show went to another level of being a masterpiece. The chemistry and compatibility of their voices had left hundreds to thousands of people in awe.

There were also other performers that did remarkably well which are Hadley Fraser as Raoul, Wendy Ferguson as Carlotta, Wynne Evans as Piangi, Liz Robertson as Madame Giry, and so forth.

The set design was also breath-taking—from the orchestra, costumes, props, and to the stage itself. I noticed that they used modern technology for the backgrounds instead of the traditional way which I find innovative. In my opinion, the most captivating set design is the underground cavern where the opera ghost lives. I was looking forward on how they have executed the boat scene since the stage devoid of water, and I was speechless for it had gone beyond my expectations. The lighting, mist effect, lanterns, the organ at the center were exquisite and the boat looked like it is smoothly floating on stage. A glorious setting indeed for the first appearance of the phantom.

The costumes were also well-thought and give an 18th century vibe. Each act was given such a variety of detailed dresses and suits from start to end. The best scene for an example might be the masquerade ball especially the phantom’s costume that seems to be inspired from Mexico. Moreover, aside from the costumes, the makeover of the phantom is worthy of praise as well for its disturbing and realistic look particularly the protruding brain in his flesh.

Overall, The Phantom of the Opera is an embodiment of artistic perfection, and this version has the best casting so far. I highly recommend it to those who are above the age of 13, because some elements—especially the phantom might not the children’s cup of tea. Moving on, this show has now become one of my favorites, and I will undoubtedly come back for more. If you are unfond of musicals, then this will change your point of view about the genre. The musical’s score, design elements and suspense will leave you at the edge of your seats. It is worth every penny and every moment of your life. And after watching, you will find it true that The Phantom of the Opera has always been there inside our minds.

Trailer:

[missmoodring]

It is my great honor and happy privilege to introduce to you Mr. and Mrs. Mateo and Christine Olivares 

[porticodebusto]

Rustic Elegance in Peach, Beige and Burnt Orange The Arnold Ilex Nicolas - Christine Olivar Garden Wedding Today at Portico de Busto 📸: Abigail Ureta By Portico de Busto Events #DesTINEdToBeWithLex #intimateeventperfectvenue #intimatewedding #intimateweddingperfectvenue Like Lex & Tine, join the celebrities and many others photographed amidst nature in the iconic, classic, picture-perfect setting of Portico de Busto. Celebrate and be seen in probably the most photographed and frequently chosen best venue in Bulacan. "Hindi ka iba". That’s how you’ll feel if Portico de Busto Events manage your wedding. Feel the warmth of a 'special family member' getting married. Having your wedding soon? Tell us your dream, book now! Visit our website for more details. 📱 Smart: 0998 992 8786 Sun: 0925 767 8426 ☎️- Globe: 044 309 3595 📲PM FB @porticobusto #bulacanweddingsuppliers #HindiKaIba #porticodebustodotcom ~~ (at Portico de Busto) https://www.instagram.com/p/Ci4x1t2JFxq/?igshid=NGJjMDIxMWI=